Free Week 6 Prediction: Bengals vs Lions NFL Odds
Looking for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Detroit Lions free NFL Week 6 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bengals taking on the Lions on Sunday, October 17th at the Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Bengals Lions matchup.
NFL Handicapping: Week 6
(3-2) Cincinnati Bengals vs. Detroit Lions (0-5)
Date: Sunday, October 17th
Time: 1:00 PM
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
NFL Week 6 ATS Betting Lines: Detroit +3.5 (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 6 Moneyline Odds: Cincinnati -170, Detroit 150
NFL Week 6 NFL Betting Total: O/U 47.5
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Both teams earned a loss in Week 5. Cincinnati had plenty of chances to win but lost in a heartbreaker in OT against Green Bay. Their game-winning field goal was so close to going in the kicker thought he made it.
Detroit lost another heartbreaker of their own, almost beating the Vikings in Minnesota as double-digit underdogs. The Lions were extremely close to winning in 2 games this season and were competitive in games against the Packers and 49ers.
The Bengals are ranked by Football Outsiders as 12th in the league heading into Week 6, while the Lions are ranked 27th. PFF has a similar rating for overall team stats.
The story with Cincinnati is that they looked good sitting at 3-1 but all but one of those games were won or lost by 3 points. It was a matter of time before they started to lose these coin-flip games. They’re now 3-2 and trying to add one to the win column against the lowly Lions.
So far this season, the Bengals have had the 6th easiest schedule and the Lions have had the 3rd most difficult. This has been a theme so far this season (and probably every season), that teams are overrated until they get stomped a tough opponent, or teams are underrated until they dominate a weak opponent.
The passing offense has been good for the Bengals so far. PFF has Joe Burrow highly rated and despite his injury scare, he’ll be in for this week. Cincinnati can run the ball too, but they’re not great on defense, particularly coverage and tackling.
Detroit has played the 49ers, Packers, Ravens, Bears, and Vikings so far this year. I would be surprised if they won more than 1 game out of those in any recent year.
In all but the Bears game (go figure), they were either winning, covering the first half point spread, or ended up covering the full game point spread. This tells me they should have some value this season while everyone underrates them.
The close loss last week was likely more emotionally devastating to the Bengals than to the Lions. Detroit knows they’re not going to be more than a mediocre team, but the Bengals just lost a very winnable game and lost traction in the playoff race to the Ravens and Browns (yes, I know it’s early).
NFL Betting Trends:
- Bengals are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing 250+ passing yards.
- Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 CIN games.
- The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 DET games in October.
4* Free NFL Betting Prediction: Detroit Lions +3.5
The Lions are the bet in this matchup. Some trends in our favor have a great historical ROI but are not doing great so far this season. That gives us an opportunity to bet on solid trends AND regression to the mean in our favor.
One of those trends involves betting on teams attracting significantly more money than bets. This means larger average bets are placed on this team, implying sharp action.
The Lions aren’t great by any means, but they have shown they can be competitive, and the Bengals don’t blow teams out.
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