Free Week 12 Prediction: Panthers vs. Dolphins NFL Odds
Looking for Carolina Panthers vs. Miami Dolphins free NFL Week 12 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Panthers taking on the Dolphins on Sunday, November 28th at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, FL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Carolina- Miami matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(5-6) Carolina Panthers vs. Miami Dolphins (4-7)
Date: Sunday, November 28th, 2021
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
NFL Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: Carolina -1.5 | Miami +1.5 (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 12 Moneyline Odds: Carolina -130 | Miami +110
NFL Week 12 NFL Betting Total: O/U 42
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Both of these teams started stepping it up recently. The Panthers blew out the Cardinals two weeks ago before losing to the Washington Football Team. Carolina has been pretty unpredictable this season with wins against good teams and losses against bad teams.
The Dolphins survived their let down game last week against the Jets after blowing out the Ravens in prime time. They lost a few close games this season (3 games by a combined 5 points), so their record is worse than their actual team. Miami won three straight.
Football Outsiders has the Panthers ranked 19th up until this point and the Dolphins ranked 27th.
The last game against the Washington Football Team was a toss up, back and forth game. It was a let down game for both. The Panthers just beat down the Cardinals and Washington just beat down Tampa Bay.
Carolina’s issue is their offense and more importantly, the QB position. Their defense isn’t the issue, it ranks 6th in DVOA. Luckily for them, the Dolphins have an even worse offense and a much worse defense.
Miami seems to be getting overvalued because they won three straight games, but they haven’t figured anything out yet. They lost to the Jaguars, lost to the Falcons, barely got by against the Texans, and barely beat the Jets. This Carolina team is better than all of them.
Currently, the Panthers have more money on the spread than bets. That means each bet on the Panthers is bigger on average than bets on the Dolphins. Usually that’s indicative of sharp money.
Miami has been struggling all season, but they’ve had to play the Bills twice, Patriots, Colts, and Bucs. Those were all games they were expected to lose by a large margin. They also were expected to lose to the Ravens, but they drew up a great gameplan specifically for Baltimore and crushed them.
If that was a sign of things to come, they would have destroyed the Jets. However, that was a close game the whole way that was tied in the fourth quarter. That was also against a Joe Flacco led Jets team, so it makes the win even less impressive.
I would only trust the Dolphins to win as reasonably sized underdogs. This team is so unpredictable and they don’t really have many strengths that they can rely on consistently. If Tua has a bad game they basically lose every time.
NFL Betting Trends:
- The Panthers are 5-6 ATS this season.
- Under is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 7-1 in Panthers last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Dolphins are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Dolphins are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games following a straight up win.
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Carolina Panthers -1.5
Carolina has had the tougher schedule recently and I value that over Miami’s wins. Carolina would probably be close to -4 if Miami didn’t win three straight, but really only the Ravens win was surprising. That should be offset by the dominant Panthers win over Arizona.
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