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2024 NBA Playoff Handicapping New York Knicks vs. Philadelphia 76ers
(2-1) New York Knicks vs. Philadelphia 76ers (1-2)
Date: Sunday, April 28th
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Wells Fargo Arena, Philadelphia
Moneyline NBA Odds: Knicks +160 | 76ers -184 (Bet Now!)
NBA ATS Betting Odds: 76ers -4.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total (O/U): 208.5
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Four games are on the Sunday NBA Playoff slate with the New York Knicks and Philadelphia 76ers opening the day. Philly battled back in Game 3 to nudge their way into the series with a 125-114 victory.
Season Series
New York took the season series winning three of the four meetings while the clubs split their four regular season matches last season. Philly holds the all-time edge of 264 victories of 472 contests versus the Knicks.
This is the ninth time in history that the clubs are meeting in the playoffs with the Sixers winning six of those series.
*Editor’s Note: Statistics and rankings are current as of this writing, Saturday, April 27th Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Sunday, April 28th.
New York Knicks
While the Knicks had ample reason to complain about the whistle on Thursday after getting the benefit of those calls in Game 2 which was partially responsible for the victory they couldn’t push that narrative too hard.
Jalen Brunson broke out of his shooting slump in this match scoring 39 points but required 27 shots to reach that mark. In fact, he’s arguably hunting his shot too much and it felt like part of the reason the Knicks lost was the lack of balanced scoring.
Knicks Stats
New York ranks tied for seventh offensively (117.3) and ninth defensively (112.4) while their net differential is plus +4.9 which ranks fifth overall.
Through the second game of the playoffs, they rank third offensively (120.5), and 16th defensively (121,3) with a minus -0.8 net differential ranking 10th.
With the injuries to the core, the Knicks performance against the spread dipped but they remained above .500 with a 45-39-1 record through 85 contests.
Knicks Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Mitchell Robinson, C (left last game/questionable—ankle)
- Julius Randle, PF (OUT for season— shoulder)
Philadelphia 76ers
Joel Embiid is seemingly playing on one leg and dealing with Bell’s Palsy but dropped a cool 50 on the Knicks in Game 3. The fact he was even in the game after an egregious foul is another matter altogether, but I guess the refs owed Philly a favor after the closing minute of Game 2.
Tyrese Maxey (25) was the only other Sixer to break 20 points but Cameron Payne provided a spark off the bench scoring 11 points while Kelly Oubre Jr. (15 points) was solid on both ends of the court.
76ers Stats
Philly ranked tied for 13th offensively (116.2) and 11th defensively (113.0) and possessed a net differential of plus +3.1 that ranks eighth overall. Before Embiid’s injury, Philly ranked in the top seven in all three areas.
Through the third game of the playoffs, the 76ers rank first offensively (121,3), and 14th defensively (120.5) with a plus +0.8 net differential ranking seventh.
The Sixers were one of the better bets against the spread this season with a 50-35-1 record through 86 contests.
76ers Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Joel Embiid, C (probable — knee)
- Robert Covington, SF (OUT indefinitely — knee)
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Knicks vs. 76ers NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of New York’s last 8 games.
- Also, the Knicks are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
- By comparison, the 76ers are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games.
- Additionally, Philly is 10-2 SU in their last 12 games.
Free New York Knicks vs. Philadelphia 76ers NBA Prediction:
Diving into the stats Tom Thibodeau has to be concerned his Knicks rank dead last defensively out of the 16 playoff teams. Although they lead the series 2-1 if the Sixers take this contest everything will be knotted at two games a piece and the series will turn into a best-of-three situation.
Making matters more complex is Joel Embiid has improved in each contest in the series while the Knicks may be without Mitchell Robinson who was a key part of the defensive scheme on Embiid.
The big man won’t likely get the same whistle benefit so he’ll need to dial back the elbows and shots to the groin but I’m betting on Philly to win Game 4 and head back to the Mecca with the series tied.
4* Free New York Knicks vs. Philadelphia 76ers NBA Betting Pick: 76ers ATS
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NBA Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/sixers/status/1784372593098633262
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