Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs. Padres Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Padres on Friday, April 26th, 2024 at PETCO Park, in San Diego, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Padres free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres
(16-10) Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres (14-14)
Date: Friday, April 26th
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: PETCO Park San Diego, CA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Joe Musgrove
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies -112 | Padres -107 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Phillies -1.5 | Padres +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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At 9:40 PM ET, the Philadelphia Phillies will be taking on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park in San Diego, CA. The weather forecast is calling for overcast clouds and a temperature of 61 degrees. Aaron Nola will be on the mound for the Phillies, while the Padres will counter with Joe Musgrove.
Currently, the Phillies are slight favorites with a money line payout of -112 compared to the Padres at -107. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -118 compared to the under at -105.
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 16-10 overall this season, and they are 2.5 games behind the Braves for the NL East lead. The Phillies are 3-3 in divisional games this year and won the final game of their series vs. the Reds. So far, they are 4-2-2 in series this season.
The Phillies have been really good at home, going 10-6, and they are 6-4 on the road. This season, the Phillies have been the favorite in most of their games, going 14-7 as the favorite. As the underdog, the Phillies are 2-3 this year. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 10-4.
The Phillies’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Reds, closing out their series with a 5-0 win. After scoring four runs in the 3rd inning, the Phillies really took their foot off the gas, adding only one more run in the 6th. Overall, the Phillies went 11/3 and hit just one home run.
Zack Wheeler put together a good start for the Phillies, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out eight Reds batters. Bryce Harper was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
When the Phillies are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in their games is 8.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 10-15. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 1-5. Overall, 73.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season.
When betting the run line on the Phillies, it’s been a coin flip so far this season, as they are 12-14. They are 5-5 on the run line in road games, and their average run margin in all games is +0.5 runs per game. They are 10-11 on the run line as the favorite and 2-3 as the underdog.
Phillies Stats
The Philadelphia Phillies have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game, which ranks 14th in the league. Their home offense has been particularly strong, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have hit 28 home runs this season, which is 5th in the league. Alec Bohm has been red-hot at the plate, hitting .536 over his last 7 games with 2 home runs and 10 RBIs. Bryce Harper is currently on a 7-game hitting streak.
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San Diego Padres
San Diego is 14-14 overall and trail the Dodgers by 2.5 games in the NL West. The Padres lost the final game of their series vs. the Rockies and are 4-4-2 in series this year. Against other NL West teams, they are 8-8 this season.
At home, the Padres are 6-8 and have gone 8-6 on the road. So far, they have struggled as the underdog at home, going 0-3. As the underdog overall, the Padres are 5-7 and 9-7 when favored. San Diego’s longest losing streak as the underdog this year is three games.
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rockies with a 10-9 loss. San Diego was the heavy favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Rockies scored three times in the 2nd and added another three runs in the 3rd. The Padres’s offense scored a run in the 2nd but added only two more runs over the next three innings.
Randy Vasquez got the start for the Padres and took the loss. He only lasted 2 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits. Jurickson Profar had a big game at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
The Padres have played 27 games this season, and 21 of them have had over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 14-13. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is 7.5 runs is 4-3.
San Diego has been a tough team to predict on the run line this season, as they have a winning record overall but are just 4-10 ATS at home. They have been a much better bet on the road, going 11-3 ATS. They have been favored in 16 games and have gone 7-9 ATS, while they are 8-4 ATS as an underdog.
Padres Stats
The San Diego Padres have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 9th in runs per game with an average of 5. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. Their batting average of .259 is 5th in the league, and their OBP of .334 is also 5th. They have been getting on base at a good clip, as their walk rank is 4th. The Padres have a few hitters who have been performing well recently, with Ha-Seong Kim hitting .278 with 2 home runs and 9 RBIs over his last 10 games. Xander Bogaerts is on a 3-game hitting streak.
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After starting the season with a win over the Nationals, Aaron Nola has picked up wins in each of his last two starts. He’s been very solid in each of his outings, as he’s given up just 2 earned runs in each of his first two starts. Nola has 20 strikeouts in 21 1/3 innings of work.
Right-hander Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Phillies at home. Musgrove has made six starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 5.75. Looking at his overall numbers, Musgrove has a WHIP of 1.53 and opponents are batting .303 this year. Musgrove has turned in three quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he went seven innings, giving up three earned runs and picking up the win. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Musgrove has won two straight starts.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Phillies head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Phillies they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Padres are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Padres have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Phillies are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Padres have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this Phillies vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line, with the payout being -107. We have the Padres winning this one by a score of 3-2.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Joe Musgrove is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is fifth-best among all starters. As for Aaron Nola, his projection is for five K’s, which has him coming in at 18th.
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Final. pic.twitter.com/rhjWkavIVf
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) April 25, 2024
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