Free MLB Pick: Red Sox vs. Braves Odds
Looking for Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Red Sox taking on the Braves on Tuesday, May 7th, 2024 at Truist Park, in Atlanta, GA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Red Sox Braves free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves
(19-16) Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves (20-12)
Date: Tuesday, May 7th
Time: 7:20 ET
Venue: Truist Park Atlanta, GA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Kutter Crawford vs. Reynaldo López
MLB Moneyline Odds: Red Sox +146 | Braves -176 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Red Sox +1.5 | Braves -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9
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It’s a beautiful night for baseball in Atlanta, with the temperature currently sitting at 87 degrees under broken clouds. The Red Sox and Braves are set to face off in an interleague matchup at Truist Park, with first pitch scheduled for 7:20 PM ET.
Reynaldo López will be on the mound for the Braves, while Kutter Crawford gets the start for the Red Sox. The Braves come into this one as the favorites, with a money line payout of -176 compared to +146 for the Red Sox. The over/under line is set at 9 runs, with the over paying out at -105 compared to -116 for the under.
Boston Red Sox
Boston is on the road today vs. the Braves, and they are looking to pick up their first win vs. an AL East opponent this year, as they are 0-3 so far. The Red Sox are 19-16 overall, which has them 4.5 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. Boston closed out their series vs. the Twins with a loss and are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
So far, the Red Sox have gone 7-9 at home compared to 12-7 on the road. As the underdog, Boston is 10-11 this year and 9-5 as the favorite. This season, the Red Sox’ series record is 6-4-1.
Rafael Devers had a big game for the Red Sox in their 9-2 win over the Twins to close out their series. He went 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Red Sox really broke things open with a four-run 8th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Red Sox were at +153.
Cooper Criswell got the start for the Red Sox, going 4 1/3 innings, and giving up just one run on five hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.
The Red Sox have played in 32 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 9 runs in just four of those contests. The over/under record for the Red Sox this season is 14-18, and the combined run average in their games is 8.1. In the games with an over/under line set at 9 runs, the record is 2-1-1. The Red Sox have played in 27 games with an over/under line set below 9 runs, and the over/under record in those games is 12-14-1.
When betting the run line on the Boston Red Sox, it’s been profitable to take them on the road, where they are 13-6 against the run line. Their average run margin on the road is 2.4, compared to -0.2 at home. They are 14-7 against the run line as the underdog, but just 5-9 as the favorite.
Red Sox Stats
The Boston Red Sox have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 11th in runs per game with an average of 4.6. Their offense has been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game away from home.
The Red Sox have been getting on base at a good clip, as their .321 OBP ranks 6th in the league. Their BABIP of .31 is 2nd in the league, showing that they have been getting a bit lucky with balls in play. Ceddanne Rafaela has been hot at the plate, hitting .294 over his last 5 games and is currently on a 5-game hitting streak.
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Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 20-12 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the NL East, three games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Braves will host the Red Sox today having dropped three straight games, and they were swept by the Dodgers in their most recent series. So far, they have gone 8-4 in divisional games.
At home, the Braves are 11-4 this year compared to 9-8 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 20-10 and 0-2 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 7-3-1, but they have dropped two straight series.
Heading into their last game vs. the Dodgers, the Braves closed out the series with a 5-1 loss. Atlanta was the heavy favorite at -153 on the money line. Things started off well for the Braves, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Dodgers scored twice in the bottom of the first.
Max Fried had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on seven hits and issuing three walks. He also hit a batter and took the loss. The Braves’s offense scored their only run on a Marcell Ozuna homer in the 1st inning but didn’t score again the rest of the game.
Atlanta’s over/under record for the season is 12-18, and the average line for their games is 9 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 2-5-1. The Braves’ games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season. Their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs in 31.2% of their games, and the over has hit in 40% of those games.
When the Braves win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.2 runs per game. Overall, their average run margin is +1.1 runs per game, and they are 15-17 against the run line this season. They are 6-9 against the run line at home and 9-8 against the run line on the road. As the favorite, they are 14-16 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 1-1.
Braves Stats
The Atlanta Braves have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 3rd in runs per game with 5.1.
Their batting average of .258 is 4th in the league, and their OBP of .326 and SLG of .416 both rank 4th. Marcell Ozuna has been one of their top hitters, leading the team with a .306 batting average and 33 RBIs.
Travis d’Arnaud has also been productive, hitting .269 with 16 RBIs. In terms of recent performances, Austin Riley has struggled, hitting .200 over his last 10 games, while Marcell Ozuna has hit .257 over that same span. Orlando Arcia is currently on a 3-game hitting streak.
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Right-hander Kutter Crawford is getting the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 1.56. Crawford’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.07. In his 40 1/3 innings of work, he has issued just 2.9 walks per nine innings compared to 8.93 strikeouts.
Crawford has turned in four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he allowed just one earned run in seven innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings.
Reynaldo López is getting the start for the Braves at home against the Red Sox. He has been solid in his first three starts, picking up a win in his last outing against the Mariners. In that start, he went 5 innings, giving up 3 earned runs and striking out 7. He also has a win over the Astros and a no-decision against the Marlins.
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Red Sox head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Red Sox they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Braves are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Braves have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Red Sox are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Braves have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 0-3 in their last three games.
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this Red Sox and Braves matchup is to take the over, with the line currently sitting at 9 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Braves, giving us a little bit of wiggle room if you want to take the money line.
If you are looking to take the money line, the payout for the Braves is -176, and with the payout for the Red Sox at +146, we would much rather take the Braves to win.
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