Free MLB Pick: Giants vs. Phillies Odds
Looking for San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Giants taking on the Phillies on Saturday, May 4th, 2024 at Citizens Bank Park, in Philadelphia, PA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Giants Phillies free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies
(15-18) San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies (22-11)
Date: Saturday, May 4th
Time: 6:05 ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia, PA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Keaton Winn vs. Ranger Suárez
MLB Moneyline Odds: Giants +152 | Phillies -184 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Giants +1.5 | Phillies -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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It’s a rainy night in Philadelphia as the Phillies host the Giants at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is set for 6:05 PM ET, and you can catch the action on NBCS. The Phillies are the heavy favorites in this one, with a money line payout of -184 compared to the Giants’ +152.
Keaton Winn gets the start for the Giants, while Ranger Suárez will take the mound for the Phillies. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the under slightly favored at -117 compared to the over at -105.
Philadelphia picked up a 4-3 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a three-run 3rd inning and scored the game’s final run in the 7th. As for the Giants, they scored two runs in the 2nd and added their final run in the 7th.
Aaron Nola got the start for the Phillies, going just four innings while giving up two runs and striking out four. Matt Strahm got the win out of the bullpen, and Jose Alvarado got the save. Jordan Hicks only went four innings for the Giants, giving up two earned runs on four hits.
Trea Turner went 2/3 with a run scored and an RBI, while Brandon Marsh also had two hits and drove in two for the Phillies’ offense. Thairo Estrada and LaMonte Wade Jr. each had two hits and two RBIs for the Giants.
Giants Stats
The San Francisco Giants have struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which ranks 22nd in the league. Their offense has been particularly anemic at home, where they average just 3.4 runs per game. Their batting average of .238 is 13th in the league, but their on-base percentage of .303 and OPS of .670 both rank below average.
Their top hitters this season have been Michael Conforto and Thairo Estrada, who have combined for 32 RBI. Thairo Estrada is currently on a 3-game hitting streak, and he has hit .273 over his last 6 games.
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Phillies Stats
The Philadelphia Phillies have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 12th in runs per game. They have been particularly good at home, where they rank 7th in runs per game. Their batting average of .253 is 4th in the league, and their 40 home runs are 3rd. The Phillies have been getting good production from Alec Bohm, who is hitting .358 with 4 home runs and 31 RBI on the season.
He has been especially hot lately, hitting .476 over his last 10 games. Bryce Harper has struggled recently, hitting just .200 over his last 8 games. The Phillies have two players on hitting streaks, with Whit Merrifield at 5 games and Alec Bohm at 16 games.
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Keaton Winn gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far, he has made six starts and has a record of 3-3. Winn’s ERA for the season is 3.18, along with a WHIP of .97. In his six starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 7.41 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander has been pitching well recently, as he has won three straight starts. In each of those outings, he has allowed just one earned run. Winn’s most recent outing came on April 28th, where he went six innings and gave up one earned run to the Pirates.
Ranger Suárez has been dominant this season, as he comes into the game with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 1.32. So far, he has made six starts and has one complete game shutout. Suárez has turned in five quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in eight innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three hits and one homer. Looking back over his last four starts, Suárez has allowed just one earned run in each outing. His ERA at home is 1.8 compared to 1.38 on the road.
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Giants head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Giants they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Phillies are 7-3 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Phillies have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Giants are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Phillies have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Giants vs. Phillies matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 7.5 runs. We see the Phillies coming out on top by a score of 5-4, giving us some wiggle room on the over/under line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Ranger Suarez is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Keaton Winn with five. Suarez is also projected to go slightly deeper into the game, but we don’t see either pitcher as a great option to pick up the win.
Offensively, our projections have the Phillies finishing with nine hits compared to the Giants with eight. If you’re looking for a player prop, the Phillies are projected to hit a home run, and they rank seventh in the league in projected home runs.
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
It's time to make more history. pic.twitter.com/KXQmoL03Qo
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) March 29, 2024
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