Free MLB Pick: Astros vs. Yankees Odds
Looking for Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Astros taking on the Yankees on Tuesday, May 7th, 2024 at Yankee Stadium, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Astros Yankees free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Houston Astros vs New York Yankees
(12-22) Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (23-13)
Date: Tuesday, May 7th
Time: 7:05 ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Justin Verlander vs. Luis Gil
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros +102 | Yankees -121 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Astros +1.5 | Yankees -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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It’s a beautiful night for baseball in the Bronx, as the New York Yankees host the Houston Astros at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch is set for 7:05 PM ET, and you can catch the action on TBS. The Yankees are looking to extend their winning streak to four games, while the Astros are hoping to bounce back after dropping their last two contests.
On the mound, we have a marquee matchup between two talented pitchers. Justin Verlander gets the start for the Astros, while the Yankees will counter with Luis Gil. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, with the under currently paying out at -104.
Houston Astros
Houston is on the road today, taking on the Yankees with an overall record of 12-22, which puts them seven games behind the Rangers for the AL West lead. So far, they are 5-5 in divisional games and are 2-0 as the road underdog this season.
At home, the Astros are just 7-12 this year and have gone 5-10 on the road. The Astros have really struggled in day games this season, going 3-8. As the underdog, the Astros have dropped three straight, and they are 10-19 as the favorite.
Houston closed out their series vs. the Mariners with a 5-4 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -134 on the money line. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Mariners scored two runs in the top of the 2nd.
Hunter Brown got the start for the Astros and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and took the loss. The Astros’ offense scored their other three runs in the 6th inning but couldn’t close things out, and Josh Hader took the loss out of the bullpen.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is the lowest of the season for the Astros, who have played 30 games with higher lines. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game, and their over/under record is 11-21. Their games have had an average line of 9 runs, and their games have gone over the line in 88.2% of their games.
Through the first 34 games of the season, the Astros have been a poor bet on the run line, going just 12-22. They have been slightly better on the road, where they are 5-10, but they have been a terrible bet as the favorite, going just 9-20. Their average run margin on the season is -0.6, but in their 12 wins, they have outscored their opponents by an average of 5.0 runs per game.
Astros Stats
The Houston Astros have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 16th in runs per game with 4.4. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league.
The Astros have a good batting average of .259, which is 3rd in the MLB. They also have the fewest strikeouts per game in the league at 6.0. Their top hitters this season have been Jose Altuve, Kyle Tucker, and Yordan Alvarez. Altuve is hitting .343 with 7 home runs and 12 RBI, while Tucker has 9 home runs and 23 RBI.
In terms of recent performances, Jeremy Peña and Jon Singleton have been hitting well over their last 8 and 6 games, respectively.
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New York Yankees
The Yankees are 23-13 overall this season, and they trail the Orioles by just one game in the AL East. New York will host the Astros today, and they have won three straight games, closing out their series vs. the Tigers with three straight wins. So far, they are 6-7 in AL East games.
At home, the Yankees are 11-5 this year and have gone 12-8 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 16-9 this year, and they are 7-4 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 8-2-1 this year.
The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Tigers, closing out their series with a 5-2 win. After allowing one run to the Tigers in the top of the first, the Yankees responded with a run of their own and added another in the 2nd inning. New York went on to close out the scoring with two more runs in the 7th.
Nestor Cortes put together a good start for the Yankees, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two runs on three hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine Tigers batters. Aaron Judge was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and a run scored. The Yankees also had three other players with a pair of hits.
The Yankees have had a high percentage of games with over/under lines set at 8 runs or more this season, with 72.2% of their games having lines set at 8 or higher. Their over/under record for the season is 14-20, and their combined run average is 8.1 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 2-3, and their current over streak is at 2 games.
The Yankees have been a solid run line bet at home this season, going 6-10, but have been even better on the road, where they are 11-9. Their average run margin for the season is +1.2, and they have been favored in 25 of their 36 games. Their average run margin in wins is +3.3, while it is -2.5 in losses.
Yankees Stats
The New York Yankees have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Their offense has been particularly strong on the road, where they average 5.2 runs per game, good for 5th in the league. The Yankees have hit 43 home runs this season, which is 4th in the league.
Their team batting average of .246 ranks 8th, and their .331 on-base percentage is 3rd. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the top hitters for the Yankees this season. Judge has 7 home runs and 20 RBIs, while Soto is hitting .316 with 8 home runs and 28 RBIs.
In terms of recent performances, Gleyber Torres and Juan Soto have been swinging the bat well, with Torres hitting .240 and Soto hitting .308 over their last 7 games. Anthony Rizzo, Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Judge, and Gleyber Torres are all currently on hitting streaks.
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Justin Verlander and the Astros are on the road to take on the Yankees. Verlander has started two games this season, and he has a win and a no-decision. In his last start, he went 7 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 6. He has yet to allow a home run this season.
Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Orioles on May 1st, he pitched 6 1/3 innings, picking up the win in the outing. Looking at his overall numbers, Gil has made six starts, and opponents are batting .152 off him this year. Gil’s ERA is 3.19, and his record for the season is 2-1. Per nine innings, he is averaging 11.61 strikeouts and 5.81 walks. So far, he has made one quality start.
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Astros head into the game having gone 3-7 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Astros they are 3-7 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Yankees are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Yankees have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Astros are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Yankees have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Astros vs. Yankees game is that the Yankees will pick up a 10-4 win. Given that they are at -121 on the money line, this is the way we recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Luis Gil going 6 innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Justin Verlander, we have him going five innings and also finishing with five K’s.
Offensively, we actually have the Yanks finishing with more runs than the Stros’, and we have the Yankees finishing with more home runs. If you’re looking for a player prop, you could look at the Yankees to hit the most home runs in this one.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
"He's a ballplayer. He's a gamer." – @TheJudge44 on @JuanSoto25_ pic.twitter.com/nJAOPN9TzX
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) May 5, 2024
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