Free NCAA Football Prediction: Knights vs. #3 Bearcats Odds
Looking for UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats free picks? College football betting sees the Knights taking on the Bearcats on Saturday, October 16, 2021, at Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, OH. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game Week 7 predictions like this UCF Cincinnati free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
UCF Knights (3-2) vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (5-0)
Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: Nippert Stadium
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: UCF +21 / Cincy -21 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Knights +900 / Bearcats -1667
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 57.5
Week 7 college football sees the Knights and Bearcats meet at Nippert Stadium.
The Bearcats are ranked #3 in the AP poll and the quest to get an AAC program in the playoff is underway! Naturally, we all know that over the years we will get another pair of SEC programs or something combined with an occasional Big 12 or Big Ten team here and there. At least it feels that way, right?
Now that Alabama suffered its first loss it will open the focus on the rest of the undefeated programs in the country… ALL 12 OF THEM appearing in the top-25 of the polls as well.
So let’s not get too ahead of ourselves putting the Bearcats in the playoff already. This team still needs to get through Navy next weekend and SMU on November 20 on top of winning their conference championship game as well. Any loss by the Bearcats will almost certainly just drop them out of the top-10 altogether, much less in the top-5 as they are now.
UCF was a score away from tying Louisville in a 7-point loss and the crushing loss to the Naval Academy are the only blemishes in their record in 2021. That Navy loss is still a bitter pill to swallow because I watched and I even felt bad for them blowing such a big lead in a game they should have won. Well, should have, could have, would have I guess, because now we see a 3 – 2 program from Orlando that are 3 TD underdogs this weekend.
The Bearcats are significantly favored by 21 points in this American Athletic Conference matchup.
The last time the Knights were dog by this big of a number, they were going into Michigan as 36-point underdogs. They get the shit knocked out of them, 51 – 14, and we haven’t seen them expected to lose like this since then. This program is far removed from its self-proclaimed title in 2017, but I don’t think it is as bad as the lines makers are making it out to be.
When you are 3-TD dogs the writing should be on the wall that you are about to get whooped somethin’ good so how do the Knights stop that from happening?
Well, injuries for Coach Malzahn are a major concern because his QB, his backup RB, and their 3rd leading WR are all likely out of this game.
Dillon Gabriel is done with a collarbone injury and there isn’t even a timetable for his return posted yet. Gabriel still easily leads the roster in every category but now it comes down to Mikey Keane. and um, I am more than concerned with his abilities to move this offense against the Bearcats defense.
Keane has zero ability to use his legs to create space and/or tuck in the ball to move the chains. Not being a mobile QB is certainly going to hamper this team’s ability to move the ball and keep the offense on the field.
It is amazing that this team beat ECU last weekend 20 – 16 because if the defense hadn’t created 3 turnovers this team would have gotten manhandled by the Pirates. So, now you get why the line is so stupid-high. Scoring on Cincinnati more than once or twice is going to take two miracles and a double-rainbow wrapped in four-leaf clovers! Good Luck!
In addition, Isaiah Bowser won’t be running the ball this weekend and it might be some time until we see him again from his knee injury. That takes 52 carries and the team’s leading touchdown maker (5) out of the lineup for UCF.
Jaylon Robinson is 3rd on the receiving depth chart with 234 yards and a pair of scores, and he might not be absent for a second straight game.
The Bearcats are certainly aware that every game is now considered a trap game because any loss will basically knock them out of the playoff conversation.
Is it nice to have a top-3 appearance from an AAC program in either of the polls? Of course, it is, and they are certainly the cream of the crop in the conference rolling at 5 – 0.
The trip to Notre Dame really set the precedence for why this team has so much respect because they were favored to win there and did so. The Irish rarely lose at home under Kelly and Cincy walked onto their field and came away with a convincing 24 – 13 win. I say convincing because if you watched that game the Bearcats really were the better team and deserved the W.
Last weekend’s win over Temple didn’t provide the same atmosphere as we had in South Bend. The Owls got waxed 52 – 3 and the Cincy defense wasn’t in the mood to give them a damn thing!
The Bearcats rank 3rd in the land allowing just over 12 PPG and this defense has caused 9 turnovers ranking them just outside the top-10 in the land.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Knights are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games on field turf.
- Knights are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
- Knights are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Knights are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- The home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
- Bearcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Free Week 7 NCAA Football Pick
This is nothing close to a trap game and I am a thinkdog kind of guy too. Yeah, we can’t do that this weekend because the Cincy defense is going to eat this UCF offense alive. Breakfast, Lunch, Dinner, and the midnight snack to boot!
4* Free Week 7 NCAA Betting Pick:
52 – 10 this time because UCF will score one TD and kick a field goal all day! There will be no f**king rainbows and clovers to rely on and this isn’t Kansas anymore, Toto!
4* Free Week 7 NCAA Betting Pick: Cincy -21
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