Free NCAA Pick: Iowa vs. Tennessee Odds
Looking for Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Tennessee Volunteers free NCAA 2024 Cheez-it Citrus Bowl picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Hawkeyes taking on the Volunteers on Monday, January 1st at the Camping World Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Bowl games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Iowa Tennessee matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Cheez-it Citrus Bowl
(10-3) Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Tennessee Volunteers (8-4)
2024 Cheez-it Citrus Bowl
Date: Monday, January 1st
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL
Cheez-it Citrus Bowl ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Iowa +7.5 | Tennessee -7.5
Citrus Bowl Moneyline Odds: Iowa +250 | Tennessee -334
College Football Betting Total: O/U 35.5
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Iowa and Tennessee have faced each other three times in the past, with only one meeting occurring since the 1980s.
Tennessee emerged victorious with a 45-28 win in the TaxSlayer Bowl following the 2014 season.
In a recent development, sixth-year senior Joe Milton III opted out of the Citrus Bowl, leaving the reins in the hands of Tennessee’s Nico Iamaleava as he leads the #21 Volunteers against the #17 Hawkeyes.
If you’re considering a pregame bet on the total, the Under might be the favorable choice, but my STRONG lean is OVER. I also think my focus is on finding an in-game Over play once this kicks off. (The double down!)
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Iowa Hawkeyes
Against Michigan, the Hawkeyes trailed by -10 going into the 4th quarter and ended up losing by a score of 26-0.
Iowa’s average scoring differential for the season is +3.4 leading to an ATS mark of 6-6-1. The Hawkeyes have been favored nine times and the underdog in four games
So far in this season, Iowa has posted an over/under record of 2-11.
On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 29.8 points, with the typical over/under line set at 34.7 points.
Iowa Hawkeyes Stats
The Hawkeyes’ offense is set to face Tennessee while averaging 118.5 rushing yards per game and 3 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 97th for rushing yards and 128th for passing yards, with an average of 123.2 yards per matchup.
Overall, Iowa is putting up 16.6 points per game, which is 97th nationally.
The Hawkeyes defense faces off against Tennessee with 27 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re giving up 13.2 points per game which is 51st in the nation. Against the pass, they’re 25th in the NCAA, allowing 172.2 passing yards per game. Iowa’s run defense is yielding 106.1 rushing yards per contest.
Offensively, the Hawkeyes, didn’t score vs. Michigan. Overall, they threw for 120 yards on 32 attempts.
In the running game, they averaged 1.5 yards per attempt for a total of 35 yards.
Tennessee Volunteers
In their most recent game, Tennessee matched up with Vanderbilt and came out on top with a 48-24 win. Heading into the 4th quarter of the game, Tennessee held a 28-point lead.
Tennessee has gone into nine games as the favorite this season and two games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 6-5.
So far this season, Tennessee boasts an over/under record of 6-5. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 53.5 points, while the average over/under line has been 55.7 points.
Tennessee Volunteers Stats
Tennessee’s rushing attack is ranked 47th in college football with 434 rushing attempts per game.
This has translated into an average of 202.9 rushing yards per game, placing them 14th nationally. On average, they are attempting 32.6 passes per game leading to 251 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 40th position, averaging 31.5 points per game.
Offensively, the Volunteers finished with two scores on the ground against Vanderbilt while running for 168 rushing yards. In the passing attack, Tennessee scored four times and threw the ball 47 times for 449 yards.
On defense, Tennessee comes into the game ranked 100th in passing yards per game.
Opponents are throwing the ball an average of 32.4 times per contest vs. the Volunteers. Overall, they are giving up 22 points per game, which is 78th in college football. Against the run, they are 35th in the NCAA in rushing yards allowed.
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Tennessee Volunteers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Hawkeyes are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Volunteers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Hawkeyes are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Volunteers have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Hawkeyes’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Volunteers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Iowa vs. Tennessee Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Hawkeyes | +247 | +250 | +7.5 | +7.5 |
Volunteers | -332 | -334 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
4* Free 2024 Cheez-it Citrus Bowl NCAA Betting Prediction: Tennessee -7.5
Tennessee’s offense, averaging 31.5 PPG, faces a tough task against Iowa’s strong defense. With key players opting out (running backs Wright and Small), matching their usual output will be challenging.
Iowa’s defense excels in limiting opponents’ scoring.
Ironically, the pressure to score points falls on Iowa, despite their average of just 16.6 points and 239.3 yards per game. It seems they might not pose a significant scoring threat in this matchup.
On the moneyline, the way to go is to grab Tennessee. Not only should they pick up a win over Tennessee, but I also project them covering the spread. Tennessee’s offense played well against Michigan, and I expect them to carry that momentum into this week’s game against Iowa.
Tennessee is the favorite at -7.5 and I’m taking them to cover.
With the over/under line sitting at 35.5, my bet is to take the over.
So far, Tennessee have combined with their opponents to average 53.5 points per game, look for this game to surpass 35.5.
Tennessee has been successful recently, winning 10 of their last 14 games and 5 of their last 6 against Big Ten opponents. Additionally, they boast a 5-1 record in January.
On the other hand, Iowa has struggled, going 2-4 against the spread in their last 6 games and winning only 1 of their last 6 played in January.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 6.
I honestly don’t care if 12/14 of Iowa’s games have gone UNDER. This one goes OVER. Book it. Grab an in-game OVER bet too!
Cheez-it Citrus Bowl Game Picks
Keep checking us out for your weekly college football winners and free picks. UT’s team speed is going to punish the Hawkeyes.
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Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Tennessee Volunteers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
You know they had to let us wear orange for the Cheez-it @CitrusBowl ◻️🟧◻️#GBO 🍊 #DICKSHouseofSportKNX pic.twitter.com/KG6yfEsw8l
— Tennessee Football (@Vol_Football) December 30, 2023
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