Free NCAA Pick: Alabama vs. Michigan Odds
Looking for Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines free NCAA 2024 CFP Semifinal At The Rose Bowl Game Pres. By Prudential picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Crimson Tide taking on the Wolverines on Monday, January 1st at the Rose Bowl. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Bowl games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Alabama Michigan matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: CFP Semifinal At The Rose Bowl Game Pres. By Prudential
(12-1) Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines (13-0)
2024 Rose Bowl Pres. By Prudential – CFP Semi Final
Date: Monday, January 1st
Time: 5:00 ET
Venue: Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA
2024 Rose Bowl ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Alabama +1.5 | Michigan -1.5
Rose Bowl Game Moneyline Odds: Alabama +100 | Michigan -121
College Football Betting Total: O/U 45.5
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Alabama will compete in its eighth College Football Playoff appearance within the past ten seasons, but this time, they find themselves as underdogs in the eyes of college football odds.
The Wolverines earned the top seed from the CFP committee with an undefeated season, including a crucial third consecutive victory over arch-rival Ohio State.
The 2024 Rose Bowl is the sixth meeting between the two programs. They last played on Jan. 1, 2020, in the Citrus Bowl, which Alabama won.
The Crimson Tide leads the series 3-2, and Nick Saban has a 4-3 all-time record against Michigan.
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Alabama Crimson Tide
In their most recent game, Alabama faced off against Georgia, pulling out a tight 27-24 win.
Alabama’s average scoring differential for the season is +16.7 leading to an ATS mark of 9-4. The Crimson Tide have been favored 11 times and the underdog in one games
Across 13 games, the average over/under line in Alabama’s matchups is 51.3 points.
These games have seen an average combined score of 53.5 points, resulting in an OU record of 8-4.
Alabama Crimson Tide Stats
On the offensive side, Alabama has averaged 35.1 points per game this season. This figure has them 14th in the NCAA.
Their passing game, averaging 228.5 passing yards, is ranked 54th nationally. In terms of rushing, they’re 29th in rushing yards with an average of 509 rushing attempts per contest this season.
Alabama’s defense is ranked 170th in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup.
Opponents have attempted an average of 29.7 passing attempts against the Crimson Tide. They have given up 18.4 points per game so far, placing them 67th in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 45th.
In the passing game, the Crimson Tide threw the ball 23 times for 192 and two scores against Georgia.
On the ground, they averaged 3.0 yards per carry and finished with one rushing touchdown.
X Factor: Coaching tips the scales for Alabama. Nick Saban’s 6-1 CFP semis record vs. Jim Harbaugh’s 0-2, including a 51-45 Fiesta Bowl loss to TCU last year.
Michigan Wolverines
Michigan will be looking for another big performance from their defense, as they shutout Iowa and won the game by a score of 26-0.
Michigan are 7-5-1 ATS.
This season, Michigan has an over/under record of 7-6.
Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 46.2 points, with the typical over/under line being 47.5 points.
Michigan Wolverines Stats
Heading into their matchup vs. Alabama, the Wolverines’ offense is averaging 162.9 rushing yards per game, along with 4 yards per attempt.
They currently hold the 48th rank in rushing yards and 60th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 218.8 yards per game.
In terms of scoring, Michigan is at 36.7 points per game, which is 10th in the NCAA.
The Wolverines’ offense ended the game with two rushing touchdowns vs. Iowa and 69 rushing yards on 32 attempts.
The team’s passing attack did not pick up a score, and finished with 147 while throwing the ball 30 times.
This season, the Wolverines’ defense has allowed 87.1 rushing yards per contest, placing them 207th. Opponents are averaging 152.6 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 59.1 when facing Michigan.
They currently hold the 107th spot in NCAA points allowed.
X Factor: Michigan’s depth along the defensive line could be the key factor in their potential success against Alabama.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Crimson Tide are 2-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Wolverines are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Crimson Tide are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Wolverines have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Crimson Tide’s last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Wolverines’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Alabama vs. Michigan Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Crimson Tide | +100 | +100 | +1.5 | +1.5 |
Wolverines | -121 | -121 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
4* Free 2024 Rose Bowl NCAA Betting Prediction: Alabama +1.5
New Year’s Day college football captivates the nation. The 2024 Rose Bowl Game pits #1 against #4 in a Big Ten vs. SEC showdown, with the winner advancing to the CFP National Championship against Texas or Washington.
Even though I’m backing Michigan to win this one outright, I’d advise going with the moneyline. This game might turn out to be tighter than expected, but I anticipate Michigan securing a victory over Alabama.
Why? Defense wins championships! The Wolverines are fourth in the nation in opponent yards per play and sixth in opponent EPA.
Michigan are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games, and 10-0 SU in their last 10, and they’re 13-0 straight up in their last 13 games playing as a favorite.
Having said that, my point spread pick is to take Alabama to cover the spread at +1.5.
On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the UNDER 45.5.
This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the under will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 41 points.
No matter who you have winning this Rose Bowl, I don’t figure it to be a high-scoring game.
CFP Semi Final – Rose Bowl Game Picks
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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/AlabamaFTBL/status/1739820845789499481
Michigan. Rose Bowl. New Year's Day.#GoBlue pic.twitter.com/pigq9QmI5T
— Michigan Football (@UMichFootball) December 25, 2023
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