Free NCAA Football Prediction: Wolverines vs. Nittany Lions Odds
Looking for Michigan Wolverines vs. Penn State Nittany Lions free picks? College football betting sees the Wolverines taking on the Nittany Lions on Saturday, November 13th, 2021 at Beaver Stadium in University Park, PA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football games Week 11 predictions like this Michigan -Penn State free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
Michigan Wolverines (8-1) vs. Penn State Nittany Lions (6-3)
Date: Saturday, November 13th, 2021
Time: 12:00 PM EST
Venue: Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Michigan -1.5 / Penn State +1.5 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Wolverines -128 / Nittany Lions -108
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 48.5
Two Big East teams will be going at it on Saturday when the Michigan Wolverines visit the Penn State Nittany Lions.
Both of these teams are coming off of wins in the previous week. It should make for a very good matchup.
The Wolverines opened up as 2.5 point favorites and that number is now down to 1.5. I have seen most totals at 48.5.
Michigan Wolverines
Michigan has had a very good season so far. Some people may have thought this team would be good, but nobody had them at 8-1 through 9 games.
The Wolverines took care of the Indiana Hoosiers last week by a score of 29-7. They did just what they had to do against a bad team.
Cade McNamara was 10/18 for 168 yards with 2 touchdown passes on Saturday against Indiana. He, along with the entire offense will be in for a much bigger challenge when they have to go against that tough defense of Penn State.
Hassan Haskins had a big day running the football on Saturday. He finished the day with 27 carries for 168 yards and 2 touchdowns. The leading receiver was Cornelius Johnson who had 5 receptions for 108 yards.
The defense has played very well so far this year. Yes, they did get shredded by Michigan State, but that was one game. They did a good job of bouncing back on the defensive side when they went against the Hoosiers. It will be a lot tougher when they have to face an explosive Nittany Lion’s offense on Saturday.
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State has had a solid season this year, but they have yet to be an elite team. They will make a big statement if they can knock off Michigan.
The Nittany Lions covered as 10 point favorites against the Maryland Terrapins as they beat them by a score of 31-14. The game was close for a while, but eventually, Penn State proved to be too much for the Terps to handle.
Last week, Sean Clifford was 27/47 for 363 yards with 3 touchdown passes. He has played very well so far this year. He will have his hands full when he goes against a very physical and well-balanced defense in Michigan.
The running game was not a huge factor last week against the Terps. As noted earlier, Clifford was asked to throw the ball quite a bit. The leading receiver was Jahan Dotson who had 11 receptions for 242 yards. The Clifford to Dotson connection has been a thing of beauty this year.
Overall, the defense for this squad has been a major strength for them. Even against one of the best offenses in the Country in Ohio State, they did not look overmatched. We will see how they do against another explosive offense in Michigan.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Michigan is 8-1 SU in their last 9 games.
- Michigan is 13-7 SU in their last 20 games against Penn State.
- Michigan is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Big Ten.
- The total has gone over in 6 of Michigan’s last 6 games on the road against Penn State.
- Penn State is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.
- Penn State is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against an opponent in the Big Ten.
- Penn State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the East division.
- The total has gone over in 6 of Penn State’s last 9 games against Michigan.
Free Week 11 NCAA Football Pick
Every week, there are usually at least a few games that you feel like you have to watch. This is one of those games for me.
This is not an easy one, but I am going with Penn State at +1.5 here.
4* Free Week 11 NCAA Betting Pick:
This is a battle between two good teams in the Big Ten. Yes, Michigan is the better team, but that does mean at all that Penn State is a slouch.
I know it is only 1.5 points, but I am just not totally on board with the Wolverines covering here. It seems like a line that is too good to be true if you are laying it with Michigan. I can see both teams having success on offense and it comes down to the last minute.
It does not seem like many people are giving the Nittany Lions a chance here and I cannot say that I am surprised. I am not picking them to win this thing, but I just feel they can keep it very close in front of their home crowd. Both teams have been very good ATS, so something has to give in this one.
Give me the Nittany Lions getting 1.5 points here.
4* Free Week 11 NCAA Betting Pick: Penn State +1.5
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