Free NCAAF Pick: Tigers vs. Green Wave Odds
Looking for Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave Free NCAA Week 7 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Tigers taking on the Green Wave on 10/16 at Yulman Stadium, in New Orleans, LA. This free NCAA football pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Tigers Green Wave matchup.
2026 NCAAF Handicapping – Memphis Tigers vs Tulane Green Wave
(5-1) Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave (2-3)
Date: Oct 16, 2026
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Yulman Stadium in New Orleans, LA
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Tigers -267 | Green Wave +212 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Tigers -7 | Green Wave +7
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 53.5
Here’s why I’m backing a Memphis ATS bet below in my Tigers Green Wave free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Tigers vs. Green Wave Gameday
The Memphis Tigers visit the Tulane Green Wave on Friday, October 16, 2026, at Yulman Stadium in New Orleans. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET on ESPN. It’s a Week 7 American Conference matchup with important standings implications.
Charles Huff’s Memphis team enters 5-1 overall and 2-0 in conference play. The Tigers have won four straight and are 2-1 away from home.
Memphis has put itself in a strong early position.
Memphis brings a four-game winning streak to New Orleans, where Tulane is unbeaten at home.
Jon Sumrall’s Green Wave are 2-3 overall and 0-1 in conference play. Tulane has won both home games but lost all three road contests.
The Green Wave return to Yulman Stadium after a difficult trip to Army. Memphis arrives with considerably more offensive momentum. Friday will test whether Tulane’s home-field success can hold up against a conference contender.
It’s Week 7, Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave, hopefully we get a great matchup.
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Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave Odds & Previous Games
The opening moneyline favors Memphis at -263, with Tulane at +212. The Tigers are seven-point favorites. The opening total is 53.5 points.
Memphis defeated UAB 38-13, Charlotte 59-8, UT Martin 45-21 and Arkansas State 42-24. Its only loss came against Boise State, 38-20.
The Tigers have consistently put points on the board during their winning streak.
Tulane lost 20-17 to Army, 31-20 to Kansas State and 17-3 to Duke. The Green Wave beat Southern Miss 24-21 and South Alabama 28-24.
Tulane has won three of the last four meetings, including a 38-32 victory in 2025. Memphis won 34-24 at Yulman Stadium in 2024. The Green Wave also claimed a 31-21 victory in 2023.
The series has produced competitive football despite the current difference in records.
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Green Wave Stats
Tulane averages 18.4 points and 333 yards per game. The Green Wave generate 181 passing yards and 153 rushing yards per contest. Their offense has struggled to produce sustained scoring drives.
Defensively, Tulane allows 22.6 points and 407 yards per game. The Green Wave have had difficulty controlling stronger rushing attacks.
That creates pressure on their defensive front.
Maurice Turner leads Tulane with 277 rushing yards and two TD’s, although his availability is uncertain because of an injury designation. Jaylin Lucas has contributed 243 rushing yards.
Destyn Hill has been a regular receiving target, with 17 catches in the supplied season figures. Tulane needs more explosive production from its passing game. The offense cannot afford repeated three-and-outs against Memphis.
Third-down execution will be critical for the Green Wave.
Tulane needs its offense to sustain possessions rather than leave the defense carrying the workload.
Tigers Stats
Memphis averages 38.5 points and 517 total yards per game. The Tigers generate 247 rushing yards per contest, ranking among the national leaders. Their offensive balance has made it difficult for defenses to commit entirely to stopping one phase.
Jaylin Carter leads Memphis with 645 rushing yards and eight TD’s. Manny Covey adds 265 yards, giving Huff another option in the backfield.
The Tigers have established a dependable ground attack.
Hunter Tipton leads the receiving group with 367 yards and five TD’s. His production gives Memphis a downfield threat when defenses concentrate on the run.
Defensively, Memphis allows 20.8 points and approximately 380 yards per game. The Tigers have generated sacks and interceptions, although their run defense has been less consistent. Tulane will look for opportunities to exploit that weakness.
Memphis has enough offensive production to overcome occasional defensive lapses.
Memphis can control the line of scrimmage and still attack downfield when defenses crowd the box.
Tigers vs. Green Wave QB Matchup
Tulane QB Kadin Semonza has handled the primary passing duties through five games. His season includes four TD passes and two interceptions. The Green Wave need better efficiency from their passing attack.
Semonza has faced pressure behind an offense that struggles to sustain drives. His ability to make quick reads will matter against Memphis.
He cannot afford to give the Tigers short fields.
Memphis QB Marcus Stokes has thrown for 1,535 yards through six games. He has 16 TD passes against three interceptions. His completion rate is approximately 70%.
Stokes has also contributed as a runner, adding another element to Memphis’ attack. His mobility can extend possessions when coverage holds up downfield.
Memphis has received far more consistent production from the quarterback position.
Tulane must pressure Stokes without exposing its secondary to explosive throws. Memphis needs to prevent Semonza from escaping the pocket and extending plays.
The matchup places different demands on the two QB’s. Stokes can operate behind a productive rushing attack. Semonza needs to help Tulane avoid long-yardage situations.
Both coaching staffs have important adjustments to make.
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Tulane’s defensive backs must communicate when Memphis uses play-action and crossing routes. The Tigers need to identify pressure before the snap and protect the football.
For Tulane, keeping Semonza out of obvious passing situations is essential. Memphis can be more aggressive with its play selection because the running game has been dependable. That contrast will shape the offensive approach for both teams.
Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave bottom line: Memphis has the stronger offensive foundation, while Tulane needs disciplined defense and sustained possessions to protect its unbeaten home record.
Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave Football Betting Trends
- Memphis is 25-5 straight up as a favorite in their last 30 games.
- Tulane is 9-0 straight up in their last 9 home games.
- Also, the Tigers are 12-3 against the spread after a win in their last 15 games.
- The Green Wave is 4-1 against the spread as an underdog in their last 5 games.
- Additionally, Memphis has a 5-1 over/under record after a win in their last 6 games.
- Tulane is 18-9 against the spread after a loss in their last 27 games.
Tigers Green Wave Free Pick: Memphis -7
Here is my Tigers Green Wave free pick: I’m laying Memphis -7. The Tigers have won 25 of their last 30 games as favorites, and the supplied 12-3 ATS trend following a win adds another reason to back them. But winning outright won’t cash this ticket. Tulane is unbeaten at home, so I’m not dismissing the venue. Memphis needs to establish a lead without giving away possessions.
The key is finishing drives.
Memphis has the stronger scoring profile, and I’m backing that advantage to produce more than a touchdown.
Tulane can make seven points uncomfortable by shortening the game. That risk matters, especially if Memphis settles for FG’s.
The Tigers have covered 4 of 6 this season. They’ve also shown they can maintain scoring pressure after halftime. That matters more to me than another straight-up winning streak.
My number is seven, and I’m not chasing a worse spread.
At the opening line, Memphis -7 gets my money. An eight-point victory clears the number, while exactly seven pushes. That’s the difference between betting the Tigers and merely picking them to win.
I have the Tigers by 2 TD’s.
Today’s Week 7 NCAAF Free Pick
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Tulane Green Wave on X
A man of few words.
#UptownFootball | @GabeLovorn https://t.co/7nxK4esQ2Q
— Tulane Football (@GreenWaveFB) October 14, 2026
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