Free Week 5 Prediction: Wildcats vs Cowboys Odds
Week 5 College football betting sees the Kansas State Wildcats taking on the Oklahoma State Cowboys Saturday October 3rd at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Oklahoma. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
Kansas State Wildcats (3-0) vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-0)
Date: Saturday, October 3rd
Time: 4:00 PM
Venue: Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Oklahoma
NCAA Football Spread: Oklahoma State -7.5
NCAA Betting Total: 49.5
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After a bye week, Kansas State will travel to Stillwater to take on an Oklahoma State coming off a thrilling late victory over Texas. Aided by the mishap of the Longhorn punter, the Cowboys kept their unbeaten season alive.
The Wildcats are also unbeaten to this point and will put their success to the test at Oklahoma State this Saturday afternoon.
The home team has won the last four meetings between these two teams – marked by Kansas State’s 48-14 over the Cowboys at home in 2014. Revenge will be on the mind of the Cowboys when Bill Snyder and Kansas State take the field.
In fact, Kansas State has not won at Oklahoma State since 1999.
The Wildcats have kept it close the last four times they have come to Stillwater. They lost all four times but by no more than 7 points.
Going into Stillwater and beating the Cowboys is no easy task, but Snyder and the Wildcats know that road conference wins are what separate good teams from the pack.
Beating South Dakota, UTSA, and Louisiana Tech like Kansas State has so far does not signify a talented football team. Going on the road and picking up a win at Oklahoma State would certainly do that.
Louisiana Tech is a better football team than most people think but that is more represented on the offensive side of the ball. Their defense has not typically been a strong point and they held the Wildcats to 23 points in regulation.
The Wildcats needed 3 overtimes to knock off the Bulldogs but like Power 5 teams all understand, the most important part of your non-conference schedule is picking up wins. That is when teams are looking to get all of the kinks out before they start conference play.
It is not clear whether the Wildcats did that against Louisiana, but they did just have a bye week to sort it out more.
Their offense hasn’t been very impressive so far as they have only recorded 371 yards per game through their first three games. And their opponents include South Dakota and UTSA – not exactly defensive powerhouses.
If Kansas State wants to make some noise in Stillwater and pick up their first win there since 1999, they better have done some serious work improving their offense during the bye week.
Despite needing a late special teams blunder by Texas to get a chance to win the game, the Cowboys controlled the football game. They held the Longhorns to 11 first downs while picking up 27 of their own.
They committed only 7 penalties compared to Texas’s 16. They converted over 50 percent of their third downs and held Texas to a 25 percent success rate on 16 third down attempts.
So, how was this game close? Well, turnovers. The Cowboys turned the ball over three times which is the only reason Texas was in the game. They took a Mason Rudolph fumble and an interception back for touchdowns to account for 14 of their 27 points.
Other than the three miscues by Rudolph, he did have a pretty solid game throwing the football. The Cowboys success will depend on Rudolph protecting the football.
You can guarantee that was a huge point of emphasis in practice this week for Oklahoma State. The coaching staff knows that they stole a win last week. You can’t have your quarterback turn the ball over three times and expect to win too many football games.
They did abandon the passing game a little bit after the turnovers last week which kept Texas in the game. They were moving the ball well through the air earlier in the game.
If Oklahoma State and Rudolph lose confidence in their passing game, the Cowboys are going to be in trouble. That is the best part of their offense and they can’t be afraid to make mistakes.
Ideally, they don’t want Rudolph turning the ball over three times a game. But if they hold back in fear of making mistakes, they won’t be able to move the football.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
• Oklahoma State is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite.
• Oklahoma State is 50-29-2 ATS under Mike Gundy as a favorite.
• The total has gone under 8 of Kansas State’s last 12 games as the underdog.
Free Week 5 NCAA Football Prediction
Expect a packed crowd in Stillwater as the Oklahoma State faithful will be ready for their first home conference game. The Wildcat offense does not have enough firepower to keep up with the Cowboys. Rudolph will rebound from his three turnover performance last week as the Cowboys will ride their passing attack to a 5-0 start.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Oklahoma State -7.5
If Kansas State can’t get the ball moving against the Oklahoma State defense, this one could get ugly.
Week 5 Free Score Prediction: Oklahoma State 31 – Kansas State 14
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