Free NCAA Football Prediction: Blue Devils vs. Hurricanes Odds
Looking for Duke Blue Devils vs. Miami Hurricanes free picks? College football betting sees the Blue Devils taking on the Hurricanes on Saturday, October 22nd at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game Week 8 predictions like this Duke-MIA free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(4-3) Duke Blue Devils vs. Miami Hurricanes (3-3)
Date: Saturday, October 22nd, 2022
Time: 12:30 pm EST
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: DUKE +8.5 | MIA -8.5 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Blue Devils +260 | Hurricanes -350
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 58.5
The Duke Blue Devils will travel to Hard Rock Stadium and take on the Miami Hurricanes this weekend on RSN. Miami will open as the nine-point favorites here at home, with the total opening at 58.5.
HISTORY: Miami and Duke have faced off in every season since 2005, when the Canes came over from the Big East to join the ACC. Miami leads the all-time series 15-4, but Duke has won two of the last four meetings.
Duke Blue Devils
Duke began their season with a pair of notable non-conference victories over Temple and Northwestern. The Blue Devils shut out the Owls in their home opener, before traveling and defeating the Wildcats. Mike Elko‘s team followed those wins up by hammering on in-state foe NC&T, but they were handed their first defeat from Kansas in Lawrence. The Blue Devils bounced back in their ACC opener versus Virginia, but they’ve dropped their last two games. A trip to Atlanta ended with a loss to Georgia Tech and they returned home to an unpleasant welcome from their Tobacco Road rivals.
In Week 7, Duke loss to North Carolina, 38-35, on a last second touchdown pass from UNC QB Drake Maye.
Duke scores 32.9 points per game, while allowing 22.3 ppg.
Riley Leonard will make his eighth start of the season. The sophomore signal caller has been accurate and effective in his first year behind center, and he has the Blue Devils in position to become bowl eligible for the first time in four years. He’s been steady since tossing for 328 yards in the season opening win versus Temple. Leonard performed well versus KU, passing for 324 yards and he totaled 375 yards (245 pass, 130 rush) last weekend versus UNC.
Leonard has thrown for 1,557 passing yards with nine touchdowns to four interceptions, while leading Duke with 420 rushing yards and five scores on the season.
There’s been a collective effort to replace star running back Mateo Durant. Jaylen Coleman and Justin Waters have split the touches early, with the former rushing for 307 rushing yards prior to missing the last two games. Waters has rushed for 363 yards, and he scored twice in the loss to UNC.
Jalon Calhoun is on pace to lead the Blue Devils in receiving for a second straight season, recording team-lead of 29 receptions and 411 receiving yards through six games. Former quarterback Jordan Moore has stepped up at the position, catching 27 passes for 280 yards and three touchdowns.
Miami Hurricanes
The Mario Cristobal era has started a bit rough. After getting off to a 2-0 start, Miami lost to Texas A&M in College Station, before suffering an embarrassing loss to Middle Tennessee State at home. A third straight loss would follow after their bye to UNC at home, but the Canes would get back on track versus a longtime foe last weekend.
In Week 7. Miami defeated Virginia Tech in Blacksburg, 20-14, improving to 2-4 against the spread this season.
Miami has score 30.7 points per game, while allowing 20.5 ppg.
Tyler Van Dyke’s season started a bit slow, but he’s picked things up over during the month of October. The sophomore quarterback struggled versus A&M and MTSU, but after passing for a career-high 496 yards in the shootout with UNC, Van Dyke went for 351 yards and two scores in the road win over Virginia Tech.
Van Dyke has thrown for 1,648 passing yards with nine touchdowns and four interceptions through five games.
Henry Parrish Jr. has come in and got the bulk of the carries early for the Canes. The Ole Miss transfer scored three times in his debut against Bethune, and he followed it up by gaining over 100 total yards in the win over Southern Miss. Parrish Jr. is leading the team 366 rushing yards and four touchdowns, and Thaddius Franklin Jr. has complimented him well, gaining 202 yards and scoring a team-lead five touchdowns through the first five games.
Xavier Restrepo’s injury led to the wideout room needing to emerge on the fly. TIght end Will Mallory leads the team in receptions (23) and receiving yards (304) after a big game versus UNC. Hometown products Brashard Smith and Frank Ladson Jr. have stepped up at the position. Smith has provided steady production all season, catching three or more passes in each game, and totaling 23 catches for 241 yards thus far. Ladson Jr. has burst onto the scene over the last two games, and he’s up to 21 receptions for 223 receiving yards for the season.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- DUKE are 3-3 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- MIA are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Blue Devils are 3-5 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Hurricanes are 3-5 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Free Week 8 NCAA Football Final Analysis:
We’ve come a really long way, but the Duke Blue Devils have quietly been a better football team than Miami Hurricanes this season. Gone are the days of Devin Hester running circles among helpless Blue Devils, and look for this one to be close throughout. Mike Elko’s team came just as close to spoiling UNC’s season as Miami did, and they have a good chance of making things worse for Mario Cristobal and Miami.
The Canes are going to have to flex their Florida muscles here and bully Duke into a victory. Miami still trumps Duke athletically, so they will have to come out win this game physically, and lean on their strengths of size and pedigree. Miami hasn’t proven very trustworthy against the spread this season, and with the magic number a bit high for a conference matchup, we’ll take that angle here.
Look for a physical, ACC game here, and take the under.
4* Free Week 8 NCAA Betting Pick: Under 58.5
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