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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-03-19 | Blue Jays -119 v. Orioles | 4-6 | Loss | -119 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Toronto Blue Jays have scored 16 runs while taking the first couple of games of this series and they've averaged more than seven runs per game over a five-game winning streak. I think they'll keep swinging hot bats tonight as they get a look at Baltimore righty Dylan Bundy (5-11, 5.24 ERA) who has posted a 6.16 ERA home at Camden Yards on the season. Over is 10-2 in Bundy's last 12 home starts vs. a team with a losing record and he could be in big trouble against a Blue Jays side that has hit a major-league best 81 homers since June 16. The Jays counter with left-hander Thomas Pannone (2-4, 5.98 ERA) who has made just four starts on the season and was 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA in three starts in July. Over is 5-1-2 in Orioles last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter. In addition to the over, I also like the price we get on the Jays to keep dominating the Orioles and roll to a sixth straight victory. 8* play on Toronto Blue Jays. |
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08-03-19 | Brewers v. Cubs -130 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
EARLY TOP RATED 10* MLB BIG HITTER The Chicago Cubs had no trouble to roll past the Milwaukee Brewers Friday afternoon and have now won nine of their last 11 home at Wrigley Field. I expect an easy win for the home team here in Game 2 of this three-game series early Saturday. Cubs' left-hander Cole Hamels (6-3, 2.98 ERA) will make his first start since June 28 after a stint on the IL. Hamels had posted a white hot 1.22 ERA in his last six starts prior to the injury, and I think he'll take up right where he left off. Hamels is 1-0 behind a 2.08 ERA in two turns against Milwaukee this season. The Brewers counter with southpaw colleague Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.48 ERA) who left his last outing on July 26 against the Cubs with shoulder tightness. Brewers are 3-10 in their last 13 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Cubs are 33-16 in their last 49 home games vs. a left-handed starter. 10* play on Chicago Cubs. |
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08-03-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 10 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY RED SOX @ YANKEES DAYTIME DESTROYER The Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees bats combined for six runs in the first inning before going ice cold through the rest of the game in Friday night's matchup. I expect to see the teams score at a decent clip in all nine innings here in Game 1 of a doubleheader on Saturday to push the total score over the posted number. Red Sox left-hander Chris Sale (5-10, 4.26 ERA) is 0-3 with a 7.71 ERA against the Yankees this season. Sale was tagged with six runs on five hits and three walks over 5 1/3 innings when he took on the Yankees last Sunday. NYY righty Domingo German (13-2, 4.08 ERA) allowed three runs on four hits and a walk in 5 1/3 innings in that same matchup, a 9-6 Yankees win.  Over is 10-2 in Yankees last 12 overall. Over is 14-3 in Red Sox last 17 vs. a team with a winning record. 8* play on OVER. |
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08-02-19 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Houston Astros are coming off a 7-1 victory at Cleveland on Thursday look like a good home favorite with left-hander Wade Miley (9-4, 3.06 ERA) on the mound. They're 6-1 SU (5-2 against the runline) in his seven starts as a home favorite this season and Miley himself was a red hot 3-0 with a 2.03 ERA in five turns in August. The Mariners counter with lefty Yusei Kikuchi (4-7, 5.21 ERA). He limited Detroit to two runs on seven hits over 6 2/3 innings as a home favorite last time out, but the team is 0-5 SU and 1-4 against the runline in his last five starts closing as an underdog. Kikuchi took on Houston on June 29 and was tagged with five runs (three earned) on six hits and three walks over five innings. Astros are 14-3 in their last 17 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Mariners are 2-9 in Kikuchi's last 11 starts. 10* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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08-02-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 10 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* RED SOX @ YANKEES TOTAL The Boston Red Sox have suffered a sweep by the hands of the Tampa Bay Rays to open the week, and that despite scoring a respectable 14 runs through the three-game series. They took three of four when they took on the Yankees in an extremely high-scoring set (16.5 runs per game) at Fenway last week, and I expect both teams to produce plenty of runs here in the opener of a four-game series in the Bronx. Yankees left-hander James Paxton (5-6, 4.72 ERA) served up four homers and was tagged with seven runs in just four innings of a 10-5 loss to Boston last time out. Red Sox righty Eduardo Rodriguez (13-4, 4.13 ERA) allowed three runs on seven hits and three walks in 5 2/3 innings in a 9-5 win over Yankees last time out. Over is 12-1 in Rodriguez's last 13 road starts. Over is 10-1 in Yankees last 11 overall. Over is 9-4-1 in Paxton's last 14 starts overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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08-02-19 | Mets -110 v. Pirates | 4-8 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The red hot New York Mets enter this contest on an eight-game winning streak, and here they'll face a shorthanded Pittsburgh team that has lost 10 of its last 11 and has been hit hard by suspensions following a benches-clearing brawl in Tuesday's matchup with the Cincinnati Reds. Additionally, we can note that Mets' left-hander Steven Matz (6-6, 4.32 ERA) fanned seven in a complete-game shutout against the Pirates on Saturday to improve to 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in four career starts against the club. Pirates' righty Trevor Williams (3-4, 4.87 ERA) was charged with the L in that matchup and the Pirates have lost each of his last three starts. Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. 8* play on NY Mets. |
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08-01-19 | Broncos -2.5 v. Falcons | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 28 h 48 m | Show | |
BRONCOS VS. FALCONS HALL OF FAME GAME The Denver Broncos have flipped from an underdog to a favorite here in the Hall Of Fame Game, and for a good reason IMO. They have some interesting talent battling for the backup QB spot behind Joe Flacco (who will be rested here). Kevin Hogan, who was 43-of-67 passing for 462 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions for the Redskins last preseason has been named the starter for Thursday, but rookie second-round pick Drew Lock will also be eager to show off his skills. We can also note that Denver has hired Vic Fangio as its new head coach. Fangio led the Bears’ No. 1 defense in 2018 and if anyone can get Denver's D back on track it's him. I'm sure Fangio will put more emphasis on this contest than Atlanta head coach Dan Quinn who is 4-12 ATS overall in the preseason with the Falcons (0-8 ATS the last two years). 8* play on Denver Broncos. |
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08-01-19 | Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
CUBS @ CARDINALS TOTAL The St. Louis Cardinals won the series opener 2-1 on Tuesday, but Chicago bounced back to win the second game of the series 2-0 on Wednesday. I expect another low-scoring affair here in the finale of the three-game set. Cards righty Jack Flaherty (4-6, 4.17 ERA) has posted a 1.48 ERA (four earned runs allowed over 24 1/3 innings) over his past four starts. He's still 0-1 in those outings getting just nine runs of support. The Cubs turn to left-hander Jon Lester (9-6, 3.63 ERA) who tossed seven scoreless innings of a no-decision at Milwaukee last time out. Under is 11-2-1 in Cubs last 14 overall. Under is 4-1-1 in Cardinals last 6 overall. 8* play on UNDER. |
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08-01-19 | Astros v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED ASTROS @ INDIANS TOTAL American League rivals Houston Astros and Cleveland Indians will clash in the finale of their three-game series Thursday night. The Tribe homered four times in Wednesday's 10-4 victory, but I don't think runs will come quite as easy for either team in this matchup. Cleveland will hand the ball to Danny Salazar for his first start of the season. He missed the first half after undergoing major shoulder surgery but has posted a 2.60 ERA with 28 strikeouts against five walks in six rehab appearances. He owns a 2.25 ERA in four career starts against the Astros who counter with Gerrit Cole (12-5, 2.94 ERA). Cole has posted an outstanding 1.96 ERA in his last 12 contests and he owns a 3.27 ERA in three career meetings with Cleveland. Under is 9-3 in Astros last 12 overall. Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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07-31-19 | Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
CUBS @ CARDS TOTAL Cubs right-hander Kyle Hendricks (7-8, 3.26 ERA) boasts a 2.93 ERA in 16 career matchups with St. Louis. Cards righty Miles Mikolas (7-10, 4.19 ERA) owns a 1.88 ERA in previous meetings with the Cubs. Under is 10-2-1 in Cubs last 13 overall. Under is 21-6 in Cardinals last 27 home games. 8* play on UNDER. |
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07-31-19 | Mets v. White Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 33 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Mets defeated host Chicago White Sox in a low-scoring affair in the opener of this three-game series Tuesday night. I don't think we'll see much fireworks here in Game 2 of the series either. White Sox righty Lucas Giolito (11-5, 3.52 ERA) has struggled since his red hot start to the year and was smacked around for seven runs by Minnesota last time out. We can however note that under is 5-2 in Giolito's last 7 home starts, and under is 5-2-1 in the Mets last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The visitors hand the ball to Jacob deGrom (6-7, 2.86 ERA) who is enjoying a great campaign but with little to show for it in the win column due to poor run support. He has been sharper than usual here in July, boasting a 1.04 ERA in four starts. Under is 8-2 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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07-31-19 | Mets -166 v. White Sox | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The New York Mets defeated host Chicago White Sox in a low-scoring affair in the opener of this three-game series Tuesday night. I don't think we'll see much fireworks here in Game 2 of the series either. White Sox righty Lucas Giolito (11-5, 3.52 ERA) has struggled since his red hot start to the year and was smacked around for seven runs by Minnesota last time out. We can however note that under is 5-2 in Giolito's last 7 home starts, and under is 5-2-1 in the Mets last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The visitors hand the ball to Jacob deGrom (6-7, 2.86 ERA) who is enjoying a great campaign but with little to show for it in the win column due to poor run support. He has been sharper than usual here in July, boasting a 1.04 ERA in four starts. Under is 8-2 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 overall. The Mets are a rather big road favorite here, but I still think they'll prove worth the price. 8* play on NY Mets. |
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07-31-19 | Twins v. Marlins UNDER 8 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
TWINS @ MARLINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Minnesota Twins claimed the opener of this series with a 2-1 triumph, and I think runs will come at a premium again here in Game 2 of the series. The Twins hand the ball to right-hander Jose Berrios (9-5, 2.94 ERA) who fanned eight through seven innings of three-run ball at Chicago White Sox last time out. Under is 3-1-1 in Berrios' last 5 road starts and 5-1-1 in his last 7 starts overall. The Marlins turn to righty Sandy Alcantara (4-9, 4.18) who is coming off six solid innings of two-run ball against Arizona. Under is 7-2 in Alcantara's last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 8-2 in Twins last 10 road games. 8* play on UNDER. |
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07-30-19 | Brewers v. A's OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL BIG HITTER The Oakland Athletics will host the Milwaukee Brewers for the opener of a three-game interleague series Monday night. Six straight head-to-head meetings have gone under the total, but the last matchup took place in 2016 ... I think we'll see runs come fast and easy for both sides tonight. The A's hand the ball to Chris Bassitt (7-5, 4.09 ERA) who was tagged with four runs on five hits in six innings of a 4-2 loss at Houston last time out. Over his last 12 starts, Bassitt has a 5.23 ERA and over is 5-0 in his last five home starts. The Brewers turn to Adrian Houser (4-4, 4.19 ERA) who has made most of his appearances out of the bullpen this year. Houser has really struggled as a starter, posting a 7.83 ERA in six starts. Over is 6-1 in Brewers last seven road games. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-30-19 | Pirates v. Reds -123 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -123 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Pittsburgh Pirates are heading into this contest on a nine-game losing streak following an 11-6 loss to the Cincinnati Reds Monday night. Here they'll face Reds righty Tanner Roark (6-6, 3.95 ERA) who is 2-0 in his last six starts and has allowed just four runs with 11 Ks through 10 innings in his last two starts. The Pirates counter with right-hander Joe Musgrove (7-9, 4.29 ERA) who surrendered six runs (five earned on seven hits (three homers) in five innings of a 6-3 loss to the Cardinals last time out. The Reds have won five of seven to position themselves only 6 1/2 games out of the division and NL wild-card races. They'll be well motivated and look good to keep the momentum going against a reeling Pirates side. 10* play on Cincinnati Reds. |
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07-30-19 | Pirates v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | 11-4 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Pittsburgh Pirates are heading into this contest on a nine-game losing streak following an 11-6 loss to the Cincinnati Reds Monday night. Here they'll face Reds righty Tanner Roark (6-6, 3.95 ERA) who is 2-0 in his last six starts and has allowed just four runs with 11 Ks through 10 innings in his last two starts. The Pirates counter with right-hander Joe Musgrove (7-9, 4.29 ERA) who surrendered six runs (five earned on seven hits (three homers) in five innings of a 6-3 loss to the Cardinals last time out. The Reds have won five of seven to position themselves only 6 1/2 games out of the division and NL wild-card races. They'll be well motivated and look good to keep the momentum going against a reeling Pirates side. Additionally, I also expect this game to stay under the posted total. Note that the under is 7-2 in the Pirates last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter and 7-3 in Roark's last 10 home starts. 8* play on UNDER. |
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07-30-19 | Orioles v. Padres UNDER 9 | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 14 m | Show | |
EARLY ORIOLES @ PADRES DAYTIME DESTROYER TOTAL The under is 5-1-1 in Orioles last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter, and here they'll face Dinelson Lamet (0-2, 5.00 ERA) who held the Mets to two runs and four hits while fanning six over four innings last time out. Under is 8-3 in Lamet's last 11 starts overall and 9-2-1 in Padres last 12 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game, which they did in Monday's 8-1 victory. 8* play on UNDER. |
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07-29-19 | Dodgers -129 v. Rockies | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -129 | 17 h 35 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB MONEYLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Los Angeles Dodgers are sitting pretty at the top of the National League West with the closest team 14.5 games back. I still think they'll be careful not to lose any momentum which is why a bounce back from Sunday's 11-4 loss at Washington is likely. A win should come fairly easy against a Colorado Rockies team that sits dead last in the division and has dropped 11 of its last 14 games.  Many pitchers fear Coors Field, but not Dodgers' righty Kenta Maeda (7-7, 3.81 ERA) who is is 5-1 with a 3.12 ERA in 10 career games at the ballpark. Colorado right-hander Jon Gray (9-7, 4.05 ERA) meanwhile was tagged with six runs on 11 hits his last time out in front of the home town crowd. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers. |
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07-29-19 | Blue Jays v. Royals -125 | 7-3 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
MONDAY NIGHT MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The morale in the Toronto Blue Jays camp is questionable following a disappointing Sunday. First they coughed up a seven-run lead after the fifth inning to eventually lose to the Tampa Bay Rays, and later on, they traded right-hander Marcus Stroman to the New York Mets. The Kansas City Royals have at least some kind of momentum after avoiding a four-game sweep against Cleveland with Sunday's 9-6 victory and I like the price we get on the home team. KC right-hander Brad Keller (7-9, 3.95 ERA) will be looking to close out an impressive month of July; he is 3-0 with a 1.33 ERA in four starts after limiting Atlanta to four hits and a walk over seven scoreless innings last time out. Blue Jays southpaw Thomas Pannone (2-4, 6.39 ERA) meanwhile has made just three major league starts on the season and has surrendered eight runs over 8 2/3 innings of work this month. Royals are 7-1 in Keller's last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record and 10-4 in the last 14 meetings with the Blue Jays at The K. 8* play on Kansas City Royals. |
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07-28-19 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED SUNDAY AFTERNOON TOTAL The first two games of this three-game series were both low-scoring affairs with the teams combining for a total of just nine runs. I don't see runs come easy for either side here in the series finale either. The Giants hand the ball to their ace Madison Bumgarner (5-7, 3.66 ERA) who has posted a 1.96 ERA in four starts this month. He owns a 3.41 ERA in 34 career games (33 starts) versus the Padres and the under is 17-8-3 in Bumgarner's last 28 starts vs. National League West foes and the under is 7-0 in the Padres last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Padres counter with 20-year-old left-hander Adrian Morejon for his third major league appearance. While he lacks experience, pitching at pitcher-friendly Petco Park should help him out and San Francisco has mustered only four runs through its last three games. Under is 14-2 in Padres last 16 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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07-28-19 | Rays -146 v. Blue Jays | 10-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The Tampa Bay Rays must be very disappointed after coughing up a six-run lead over the last two frames and eventually losing in extra innings on Saturday. I expect the Rays to bounce back with a more complete performance today. The Blue Jays will send Aaron Sanchez (3-14, 6.06 ERA) to the mound. The team had lost his last 11 starts prior to a 2-1 win over Cleveland on July 23 and the 27-year-old right-hander is without a winning decision over consecutive 16 starts. The Rays counter with right-hander Yonny Chirinos (8-5, 3.29 ERA) who has pitched at least five innings in all of his 15 starts this season and held eight of his last nine opponents to fewer than four runs. The Rays have won six of the eight games between the teams this season and picked up an 8-3 victory when these to pitchers went toe-to-toe on May 27. 8* play on Tampa Bay Rays. |
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07-28-19 | Braves v. Phillies -130 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY TOP RATED 10* MLB MONEYLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Atlanta Braves put a 15-7 beating on the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday. The Phillies will however have a huge advantage on the mound here on Sunday, and I expect the home team to pick up an easy victory and deny the Braves a sweep of the series. Phillies' ace Aaron Nola (8-2, 3.64 ERA) has been dominant against the Braves throughout his career, boasting a 9-3 record behind a 2.26 ERA in 15 starts. This year alone, Nola is 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA against the club and he tossed eight scoreless innings when he took on the Braves on July 2. In his five starts in July this year, Nola is 2-0 with a superb 1.93 ERA. Braves' right Kevin Gausman (3-5, 5.71 ERA) has not had nearly as much success against Philadelphia, going 0-2 with a 5.51 ERA in three career starts against the club. Phillies are 27-11 in Nolas last 38 home starts. Phillies are 4-0 in Nola's last 4 starts vs. Braves. 10* play on Philadelphia Phillies. |
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07-27-19 | Astros -1.5 v. Cardinals | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
SATURDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The AL West-leading Houston Astros had won seven of eight before taking a 5-3 loss to the NL Central-leading St. Louis Cardinals in the opener of this three-game series at Busch Stadium Friday night. I think this looks like an excellent spot to back the Astros to bounce back in the middle game. Tonight, right-hander Gerrit Cole (11-5, 3.03 ERA) will toe the slab for the visitors. He is undefeated through his last 11 starts and has limited six of his last seven opponents to one or fewer runs while reaching double-digits Ks in four of those outings. Cole owns a solid 3.09 ERA in 14 career starts versus the Cardinals who counter with Daniel Ponce de Leon (1-0, 2.82 ERA) for his seventh start of the season. Ponce de Leon held Pittsburgh to one run over three innings last time out, but gave up three hits and four walks. He rarely goes deep into the games and I expect the Astros powerful lineup to get the better of him. 8* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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07-27-19 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 10.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY (10*) We lost with the over when the Minnesota Twins claimed the opener of this three-game series 6-2 Friday night. With seven runs after just three innings that must be considered somewhat of a bad beat. I'm expecting the teams to make up for it by keeping the scorekeepers busy tonight. Minnesota lefty Martin Perez (8-3, 4.37 ERA) was reached for five runs on seven hits (three homers) and four walks in just four innings against the Yankees last time out. He owns a 4.97 ERA in nine outings (seven starts) on the road this season and he has a 4.88 ERA in four career starts against Chicago. Over is 9-1 in Perez's last 10 starts overall. White Sox righty Ivan Nova (5-9, 5.49 ERA) held Miami to one run over a complete game last time out, but he had allowed 10 runs over 10 2/3 innings of work in two starts prior to that. Nova has a 6.02 ERA home at Guaranteed Rate Field this year and Twins powerful lineup should have no trouble to manufacture runs off Nova. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-27-19 | Dodgers -180 v. Nationals | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Los Angeles Dodgers won the series opener 4-2 on Friday night, and I expect another comfortable triumph for the Dodgers here on Saturday with three-time NL Cy Young winner Clayton Kershaw on the mound. Kershaw (8-2, 2.84 ERA) has dominated the Nats throghout his career, entering this contest with an 11-3 record behind a 2.18 ERA in 16 appearances (15 starts) against the club. The Nats hand the ball to Joe Ross (0-2, 9.45 ERA) for his mere second start of the season. Edit: The Nats will use left-hander Matt Grace as an opener for Ross. He has posted a 6.23 ERA in 44 appearances out of the bullpen this year. The Dodgers have won the last four meetings in Washington. 8* play on LA Dodgers. |
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07-26-19 | Tigers v. Mariners OVER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -113 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Seattle Mariners opened this four-game series with a 10-2 triumph, and I expect another high-scoring affair here in Game 2 Friday night. Seattle southpaw Yusei Kikuchi (4-7, 5.37 ERA) gave up seven runs on nine hits over five innings of a 9-3 home loss to the Halos last time out. He has a 5.79 ERA in 10 starts at T-Mobile Park. The Tigers hand the ball to left-hander Daniel Norris (2-8, 5.02 ERA) who had allowed 11 runs over his last two turns (both on the road) before tossing four innings of one-run ball against Toronto home in Detroit last time out. For the season, Norris owns a 5.28 ERA in 12 appearances (10 starts) away from home. Over is 12-4-1 in Tigers last 17 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 8-1-1 in Kikuchi's last 10 home starts. Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Seattle. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-26-19 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -112 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Minnesota Twins had no trouble to manufacture runs off White Sox starter Lucas Gioloti in Thursday's 10-3 triumph. I think runs will come fast and easy once again here Friday night as they get a look at Chicago right-hander Dylan Cease (1-2, 6.19 ERA) who was tagged with four runs on three hits and four walks over five innings last time out. I would not be surprised to see the White Sox putting plenty of runs on the board either through with Minnesota righty Michael Pineda (6-5, 4.41 ERA) owning a 4.87 ERA in eight road starts on the season. Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 overall. Over is 5-1-1 in White Sox last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-26-19 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 11 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The New York Yankees entered Thursday off a high-scoring series with the Twins, and yesterday's 19-3 defeat to the Boston Red Sox suggest we might see runs come fast and easy for both teams here Friday night.  Boston righty Andrew Cashner (9-5, 4.19 ERA) has been tagged with nine runs over 11 innings since coming over from Baltimore. He's faced the Yankees three times already this season while still with the O's, with little success though, posting a 6.19 ERA. The Yankees counter with lefty James Paxton (5-5, 4.20 ERA) who gave up seven runs (four earned) on five hits and three walks in just 3 1/3 frames of an 8-4 loss to Colorado last time out. Paxton has had a couple of games like that this year, and Boston's dangerous lineup should be able to do plenty of damage off him. Over is 40-13-2 in Yankees last 55 road games. Over is 8-3 in Red Sox last 11 home games. Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings at Fenway Park. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-25-19 | Twins -141 v. White Sox | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB MONEYLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Minnesota Twins have started the week by dropping two of three to the Yankees despite winning Game 1 and producing 27 runs throughout the three-game series. I expect them to stay hot at the plate here, coming up against White Sox righty Lucas Giolito (11-4, 3.12 ERA) who had compiled a 6.48 ERA in his last five starts before holding Tampa Bay to one run through 6 2/3 innings of work last time out. Meanwhile, runs are not likely to come easy for the home team as The Twins counter with right-hander Jose Berrios (8-5, 2.96 ERA). He has posted a respectable 3.45 ERA over his three July starts and owns an 8-2 career record behind a 2.21 ERA in 11 career starts versus the White Sox. White Sox are 3-9 in Giolito's last 12 home starts vs. a team with a winning record and 3-10 in their last 13 overall. Twins are 21-7 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a losing record and 29-12 in their last 41 games following a loss. 10* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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07-25-19 | Padres v. Mets UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S SUPER EARLY TOP RATED TOTAL The San Diego Padres and the New York Mets will clash at Citi Field for the opener of a four-game series Thursday afternoon. With both sides on the lower end of scoring average in MLB and two quality pitchers on the mound, I'm confident we'll see this game go under the total despite the low number. The Mets hand the bal to righty Jacob deGrom (5-7, 3.02 ERA) who has posted a 1.42 ERA in three starts on the month. deGrom' owns a 1.79 ERA in seven career outings against the Padres and the under is 4-1 in his last five starts versus the club. The Padres turn to Eric Lauer (5-7, 4.31 ERA) who had allowed just one run in each of his last three outings prior to getting smacked around by the Cubs in Chicago on Friday. That was his first game back after some time on the bereavement list, and I expect a much more focused appearance today. Under is 12-2 in Padres last 14 overall. Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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07-24-19 | Yankees v. Twins OVER 10.5 | Top | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY Both the New York Yankees and the Minnesota Twins rank top three for runs scored per game in 2019. They've certainly shown why through the first two games of this series, combining for 40 runs(!), and I don't see any reason why they would slow down tonight.  The Yanks hand the ball to left-hander J.A. Happ (8-5, 4.86 ERA) who was tagged with four runs on seven hits in 5 2/3 innings of a 7-3 loss to Minnesota on May 4. Over is 23-11-3 in Twins last 37 games vs. a left-handed starter. Jake Odorizzi (11-4, 3.18 ERA) will toe the rubber for the Twins. He has allowed three or more runs in five of his last six starts and made it through the fifth inning just once during that stretch. He tossed six scoreless innings against the Yankees earlier this season but owns a 4.06 ERA in 17 career outings (16 starts) versus them. Over is 35-16-2 in Yankees last 53 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings. Over is 16-7-2 in the last 25 meetings at Target Field. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-24-19 | Indians v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 4-0 | Win | 105 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
INDIANS @ BLUE JAYS TOTAL The teams enter the finale of this three-game series tied at 1-1 following a 2-1 triumph for the home team Tuesday night. I expect another low-scoring affair here in the rubber match.  Toronto Blue Jays' right-hander Marcus Stroman (6-10, 3.06 ERA) fanned five through seven scoreless innings of six-hit ball last time out. I think he'll be able to keep the Tribe in check tonight as well. Note that he owns a 3.15 ERA in seven career outings versus Cleveland and the under is 6-1 in those games. As for the Indians, they hand the ball to Shane Bieber (9-3, 3.69 ERA) who's having a solid season, and he's been particularly effective on the road where he owns a 3.19 while limiting opponents to a .189 batting average over 10 outings (nine starts). Under is 14-5-1 in Biebers last 20 starts overall. Under is 9-3 in Stromans last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Toronto. 8* play on UNDER. |
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07-24-19 | Reds v. Brewers -153 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON NO BRAINER The Cincinnati Reds defeated the Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday night and can complete the sweep of this three-game series Wednesday afternoon. We can however note that they have a really poor record in day games on the road this season (5-16) while the Milwaukee Brewers are a solid 15-5 in day games home at Miller Park. Additionally, the Brewers are 12-4 in their last 16 during game 3 of a series and 20-8 in their last 28 games after losing the first two games of a series. 8* play on Milwaukee Brewers. |
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07-23-19 | Yankees v. Twins OVER 10 | Top | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB BIG HITTER TOTAL Both the New York Yankees and the Minnesota Twins rank top three for runs scored per game in 2019, and they did not disappoint as the teams combined for 14 runs Monday night. I expect to see another slugfest here in Game 2 of the series. Yanks righty Domingo German (12-2, 3.38 ERA) has been dominant in three starts since returning from the injured list, but only one of those was on the road. For the season, German owns a 4.53 ERA in eight road starts and over is 7-2-1 in his last 10 starts away from home. Minnesota hands the ball to right-hander Kyle Gibson (9-4, 4.02 ERA) who has allowed a total of only six earned runs over his past four starts, but he has a bloated 6.50 ERA in nine career starts against the Yankees. Over is 7-2 in Gibsons last 9 starts vs. Yankees. Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-23-19 | Reds v. Brewers -132 | 14-6 | Loss | -132 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
TUESDAY NIGHT MLB NO BRAINER The Cincinnati Reds won the opener of this series 6-5 Monday night. The Brewers are still 5-2 in their past seven games and I like the Brew Crew to tie the series here with Zach Davies on the mound. Davies (8-2, 2.79 ERA) has held opponents to a total of two earned runs over 23 1/3 innings in his past four outings for a 0.77 ERA. The Reds meanwhile hand the ball to Tanner Roark (5-6, 3.97 ERA) who has a 7.16 ERA in his past three outings ... The Brewers are 13-3 in Davies' last 16 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 5-0 in his last 5 home starts vs. Cincinnati. 8* play on Milwaukee Brewers. |
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07-23-19 | Phillies -138 v. Tigers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE ~ $20 TUESDAY SPECIAL Philadelphia Phillies right-hander Aaron Nola (8-2, 3.77 ERA) was tagged with four runs in five innings against the Dodgers last time out, but he should have a better night here against a Detroit side that averages just 3.31 runs per game home at Comerica Park. Nola held the Tigers to one run across 5 2/3 innings earlier this year to make it 1-0 with a 2.31 ERA in two career starts against the club.  Detroit hands the ball to Matthew Boyd (6-8, 4.13 ERA) who has surrendered between three and five earned runs in his last eight starts. The team lost seven of those contests and Boyd was charged with five runs in a 6-3 loss to Cleveland last time out. Phillies are 6-1 in Nola's last 7 road starts. Phillies are 20-7 in Nola's last 27 starts vs. a team with a losing record. 8* play on Philadelphia Phillies. |
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07-22-19 | Rangers v. Mariners -118 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The reeling Texas Rangers travel to Seattle off their seventh straight defeat following a 5-3 setback at Houston on Sunday. Here they'll face an almost equally struggling Seattle team that has dropped eight of its past nine games, but I like the home team to come through with a win in a high-scoring game Monday night. Left-hander Marco Gonzales (10-8, 4.48 ERA) will toe the slab for the Mariners. He was roughed up at Oakland last time out and owns a 5.46 ERA in 10 home starts on the season, but I expect the M's bats to bail him out against Texas right-hander Adrian Sampson (6-6, 4.92 ERA) who was tagged with five runs in just 1 1/3 innings out of the bullpen last time out. Sampson has made just one starts this season, one the 27-year-old probably rather forget as he was reached for seven runs in 3 1/ 3 innings of a 15-6 loss at Minnesota. The Rangers are 1-7 in their last 8 road games. Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Seattle. 8* play on Seattle Mariners. |
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07-22-19 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 9.5 | 3-7 | Win | 101 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The reeling Texas Rangers travel to Seattle off their seventh straight defeat following a 5-3 setback at Houston on Sunday. Here they'll face an almost equally struggling Seattle team that has dropped eight of its past nine games, but I like the home team to come through with a win in a high-scoring game Monday night. Left-hander Marco Gonzales (10-8, 4.48 ERA) will toe the slab for the Mariners. He was roughed up at Oakland last time out and owns a 5.46 ERA in 10 home starts on the season, but I expect the M's bats to bail him out against Texas right-hander Adrian Sampson (6-6, 4.92 ERA) who was tagged with five runs in just 1 1/3 innings out of the bullpen last time out. Sampson has made just one starts this season, one the 27-year-old probably rather forget as he was reached for seven runs in 3 1/ 3 innings of a 15-6 loss at Minnesota. The Rangers are 1-7 in their last 8 road games. Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Seattle. 8* play on Over. |
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07-22-19 | Cubs v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS ONLY The San Francisco Giants and the Chicago Cubs have been among the hottest teams in baseball coming out of the All-Star break. The Giants are in a bad spot here though after needing 47 innings to take three of four from the NY Mets to close out last week. Here they hand the ball to Shaun Anderson (3-2, 4.87 ERA) who has allowed 13 runs through his last three outings and made it through the fifth inning just once in his last six starts. With a depleted bullpen another short outing could spell disaster tonight, especially as the Cubs have averaged a healthy 5.2 rpg through nine games since the All-Star festivities. The Cubs counter with Alec Mills (0-0, 4.50 ERA) who limited the Reds to three runs on five hits over six innings in his season debut last week. The Giants have much like the Cubs been swinging hot bats of late, and I expect this contest to fly over the total with ease. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-22-19 | Yankees v. Twins OVER 10.5 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY Both the New York Yankees and the Minnesota Twins rank in the top three for runs scored per game in 2019. I expect to see a real slugfest here in the opener of a three-game set between the two American League foes. The Yanks hand the ball to CC Sabathia (5-4, 4.06 ERA) who sports an impressive 3.09 ERA in 39 career starts against Minnesota, but keep in mind that the Twins of this season are more lethal than in many years. This looks like a good time for them to do some damage off the veteran southpaw home at Target Field as Sabathia has a 5.84 ERA on the road this season. At the same time, one must certainly like the Yankees to keep scoring runs against lefty Martin Perez (8-3, 4.10 ERA) who owns a bloated 9.68 ERA in four career starts against the club. Over is 7-1 in Sabathia's last 8 starts overall. Over is 8-1 in Perez's last 9 starts overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-21-19 | Angels v. Mariners OVER 10.5 | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
MLB 3-PACK - TOTAL OF THE DAY The Seattle Mariners mustered only five hits in Saturday's 6-2 defeat. I think they'll have more success at the plate here on Sunday, coming up against Angels' left-hander Dillon Peters (1-0, 4.15 ERA) for his first start of the year. Peters has already been tagged with three runs on seven hits over 5 2/3 innings of work against Seattle this season, and over is 18-7-1 in Seattle's last 26 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Mariners hand the ball to a left-hander of their own in Yusei Kikuchi (4-6, 5.01 ERA). Kikuchi is 1-2 with a 10.91 ERA in four starts against the Angels this season and he has posted a 7.29 ERA over his last nine starts. Over is 15-3-1 in Kikuchi's last 19 starts overall. Over is 5-1-2 in the Angels last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter. 10* play on over. |
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07-21-19 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 10 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
3-PACK OF MLB TOTALS The Cincinnati Reds have struggled since the All-Star break but came through with a well needed 3-2 win on Saturday. Calling a winner here in the finale of this series with the LA Angels is hard, but I'm confident we'll see plenty of runs scored. Note that Reds' righty Anthony DeSclafani (5-4, 4.29 ERA) has served up two homers in each of his last two starts while Cards righty Jack Flaherty (4-6, 4.41 ERA) also has struggled with the long-ball of late. The weather report suggests that the ball will carry, and both pitchers could get in trouble here. Over is 7-3-1 in Flaherty's last 11 road starts and his ERA is 5.97 away from home. Over is 7-0 in DeSclafani's last 7 Sunday starts. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-21-19 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 12.5 | 0-5 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
3-PACK OF MLB TOTALS The Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles have combined for 36 runs through the first two games of this series, and I predict another high-scoring affair here in the finale Sunday afternoon. Baltimore righty Asher Wojciechowski (0-3, 5.74 ERA) has made just four appearances (three starts) here in 2019, over which he has served up four homers over 15 2/3 innings of work. His last time out, Wojciechowski was tagged with three runs on six hits over 5 1/3 innings of an 8-1 loss to Washington. The Red Sox turn to ex-Oriole Andrew Cashner (9-4, 4.09 ERA) who left the club just over a week ago. It's likely that they're very familiar with his stuff and we can note that Cashner was smacked around for six runs (five earned) on eight hits over five innings in his Red Sox debut. Over is 13-3-2 in Red Sox last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Over is 11-5-2 in Orioles last 18 home games. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-21-19 | Rockies v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER The reeling Colorado Rockies are losers of six straight, but the New York Yankees have shown no mercy over the first couple of games in this series and I don't see Sunday's finale being any different. The Yankees hand the ball to left-hander James Paxton (5-4, 3.94 ERA) who has posted a 2.50 ERA in his last three starts. Paxton allowed just two runs in six innings against the Tampa Bay Rays his last time out and owns a 3.52 ERA in three career starts against Colorado. The Rockies turn to German Marquez (8-5, 5.12 ERA) who is winless in his last three starts and has posted a 7.55 ERA over his last seven. Bad time to take on a Yankees team that is raking at the moment with 38 runs scored over its last five games, all wins straight up and against the runline. 10* play on New York Yankees. |
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07-20-19 | Red Sox -1.5 v. Orioles | 17-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Baltimore Orioles put an 11-2 beating on the Red Sox Friday night. I think the Red Sox will return the favor roúting the O's in a high-scoring contest here on Saturday. Boston hands the ball to Rick Porcello (7-7, 5.37 ERA) who's had a poor year. The veteran righty has been tagged with six and four runs in his last two starts, but his teammates bats bailed him out both times with a pair of 10-run performances. The Orioles turn to Tom Eshelman (0-1, 5.06 ERA) for his third start in the big leagues. Eshelman was tagged with four runs on five hits (two homers) in 5 2/3 innings of a loss to Tampa Bay last time out, and I don't see him being able to slow down the World Series defending champions. Over is 12-3-2 in Red Sox last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Over is 10-3-1 in Orioles last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 6-2 in Porcello's last 8 road starts. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. 8* play on Boston Red Sox -1.5. |
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07-20-19 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 11.5 | Top | 17-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Baltimore Orioles put an 11-2 beating on the Red Sox Friday night. I think the Red Sox will return the favor roúting the O's in a high-scoring contest here on Saturday. Boston hands the ball to Rick Porcello (7-7, 5.37 ERA) who's had a poor year. The veteran righty has been tagged with six and four runs in his last two starts, but his teammates bats bailed him out both times with a pair of 10-run performances. The Orioles turn to Tom Eshelman (0-1, 5.06 ERA) for his third start in the big leagues. Eshelman was tagged with four runs on five hits (two homers) in 5 2/3 innings of a loss to Tampa Bay last time out, and I don't see him being able to slow down the World Series defending champions. Over is 12-3-2 in Red Sox last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Over is 10-3-1 in Orioles last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 6-2 in Porcello's last 8 road starts. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-20-19 | Blue Jays v. Tigers OVER 10.5 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Detroit Tigers have dropped five on the bounce and 21 of their last 24 games, and a big reason for the slide has been poor performances from their pitching staff. I don't see that changing tonight as they hand the ball to Daniel Norris (2-8, 5.14 ERA) who has posted a 5.98 ERA over his last seven starts. The 26 year-old southpaw has surrendered 11 runs in his last two starts alone ... The Jays counter with rookie right-hander Trent Thornton (3-7, 5.25 ERA) who conceded five runs in just 1 1/3 innings of a 10-8 loss at Boston his last start, the third time in his last four starts he gave up five or more runs. Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 overall. Over is 5-1 in Thornton's last 6 starts overall. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings at Comerica Park. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-20-19 | John Isner -185 v. Ugo Humbert | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
ATP NEWPORT HALL OF FAME OPEN SEMIFINAL BOOKIE BLASTER John Isner is not playing at his very best at the moment but showed great mental toughness in coming back from a set down against Matthew Ebden in the quarterfinals. Isner has had plenty of success here at Newport with three titles throughout his career while 21-year-old Ugo Humbert has yet to make an ATP final appearance. Isner is almost impossible to break on grass, and I like him to get the better of his opponent here to advance to the final. 8* play on John Isner. |
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07-19-19 | A's v. Twins -125 | 5-3 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
TGIF MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The Minnesota Twins defeated the Oakland Athletics 6-3 on Thursday to put an end to a season-high three-game losing streak. I like the Twins to pick up another win here Friday night with Jake Odorizzi (11-4, 3.06 ERA) on the hill. They've won 13 of Odorizzi's 18 starts on the season and he limited the White Sox to one run over 5 1/3 innings of a 6-2 triumph last time out. Odorizzi was smacked around in an 8-6 loss to the A's on July 2, a contest he was forced to exit due to a blister on his right middle finger. I think he'll be looking to make up for that outing tonight. Chris Bassitt (6-4, 3.98 ERA) will toe the slab for Oakland. He's coming off six scoreless innings of four-hit ball of a home win against the White Sox, but note that Bassitt's ERA on the road is almost a full run higher than his ERA at home. The Twins are 14-2 in Odorizzi's last 16 home starts and 9-1 in their last 10 Friday games. The A's are 0-4 in Bassitt's last four Friday starts. 8* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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07-19-19 | Blue Jays -158 v. Tigers | 12-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
TGIF MLB NO BRAINER The Detroit Tigers closed out a 1-6 road trip with a 6-3 setback in Cleveland on Thursday. They'll be back home at Comerica Park Friday night, but with a 12-32 home record that might not make much of a difference. I like the visiting Toronto Blue Jays in this matchup as they hand the ball to their ace Marcus Stroman (5-10, 3.25 ERA) who has held 10 of his last 11 opponents to three or fewer earned runs. He owns a 2.17 ERA in four career starts against the Tigers who counter with Jordan Zimmermann (0-6, 7.01 ERA) who hasn't won a game since last September. Over his last two starts, Zimmerman has been tagged with a combined 14 runs on 21 hits in 7 1/3 innings and he has a 9.23 ERA through his last nine starts. 8* play on Toronto Blue Jays. |
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07-18-19 | Astros v. Angels OVER 10 | 6-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
ASTROS @ ANGELS THURSDAY NIGHT NO BRAINER The Houston Astros scored just two runs despite recording 13 hits in yesterday's 7-2 defeat. Over is 8-1-2 in their last 11 after allowing two runs or fewer in their previous game, and I expect both teams to score fast and easy here in the finale of this four-game series Thursday night. Matt Harvey (3-4, 6.88 ERA) will toe the slab for the Halos. He has posted a 16.20 ERA in two career starts versus the Astros and gave up five runs on five hits in 4 2/3 innings of a 10-4 loss to them on May 5. The Astros turn to Wade Miley (7-4, 3.32 ERA) who owns impressive career numbers against the Angels, but he could be in big trouble here as Mike Trout expects to return to the lineup after missing the first three games of this series due to a right calf strain. "I feel good. Just being cautious," Trout said Wednesday. "I should be fine to play (Thursday)." Miley was tagged with five runs (three earned) in 6 2/3 innings against Texas last time out. Over is 17-5-4 in Angels last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Over is 7-2-2 in the last 11 meetings. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-18-19 | Cardinals v. Reds -124 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -124 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB MONEYLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The St. Louis Cardinals are 4-2 coming out of the All-Star break following a 6-5 triumph over the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday. Tonight they'll be on the road at Cincinnati, and I like the Reds to get the better of their NL Central rival. Tanner Roark (5-6, 3.99 ERA) will toe the slab for the Reds. He was roughed up at Colorado last time out, but he's far from the only pitcher to have struggled at Coors this season and it happened after sitting through a rain delay of over three hours. The preparations should be better for this contest, and we can note that he limited the Cards to one run through 5 1/3 innings of a 5-2 Reds win back in April. The Cardinals counter with Dakota Hudson (8-4, 3.48 ERA) who is having a great year, but his K/BB ratio of 73/45 does note bode well. Don't be surprised if we see some regression for the 24-year-old righty in the second half of the season, and we can note that his ERA on the road is more than a full run higher than at home in St. Louis. The Reds are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record while the Cardinals are 6-13 in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 10* play on Cincinnati Reds. |
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07-18-19 | Rays v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS ONLY This series is all tied at 1-1 following a come-from-behind win for the New York Yankees on Tuesday. I like the Bronx Bombers to get the better of their American League East rival Tampa Bay Rays again here in the first game of a double-header on Thursday. Domingo German (11-2, 3.40 ERA) will toe the slab for the Yankees. They've won nine of his last 11 starts and German is 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA in two starts since returning from a hip injury. The Rays hand are 1-5 in right-hander Yonny Chirinos' (8-4, 3.11 ERA) last six starts and the Yankees are 39-13 in their last 52 games vs. a right-handed starter The Rays are 2-6 in the Bronx this year and I expect the home team to prove well worth the money tonight. We have a free pick on the Yankees to win this game straight up, but I also like this contest to fly over the total. Note that the over/under is 22-13-2 in Yankees' day games in 2019. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-18-19 | Padres v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY TOP RATED 10* PADRES @ MARLINS TOTAL The over/under is 8-21 in Miami Marlins' day games this season, and I think we'll see a low-scoring affair when they visit the San Diego Padres Thursday afternoon.  The Padres hand the ball to Dinelson Lamet (0-2, 6.30 ERA) who has made just two major league appearances since the end of 2017 due to Tommy John surgery. He has given up seven runs through 10 innings on the season, but also fanned 14. This could be a turning point against a Marlins team that averages just 3.65 runs per game. "Lamet's stuff is there," Padres manager Andy Green claims. "The control hasn't been. We know it will be. His last bullpen (session) was a step in the right direction. Commanding the fastball is something he has been working on since his surgery. There are days when it has been really good and days when he's fought with it a little bit." The Marlins counter with Caleb Smith (5-4, 3.46 ERA) who has posted a 2.04 ERA through six starts home at Marlins Park here in 2019. Under is 7-2 in Padres last 9 overall. Under is 7-3-1 in Marlins last 11 overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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07-17-19 | White Sox v. Royals OVER 10.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): TOP RATED 10* MAJOR WAGER TOTAL The Kansas City Royals put an 11-0 beating on the visiting Chicago White Sox Tuesday night. Here they'll get a look at White Sox righty Ivan Nova (4-8, 5.60 ERA) who has posted a 5.17 ERA in six career starts against the Royals. I don't see visitors getting shut out twice in a row though with the Royals sending Danny Duffy (3-5, 4.64 ERA) to the mound. The 30-year-old southpaw left his last start in the third inning after getting hit on the hand by a line drive, but he still managed to give up four runs during his short time on the hill. Over is 18-6-2 in Royals last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Over is 8-3 in Royals last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 6-2 in Nova's last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-17-19 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers OVER 10.5 | 19-4 | Win | 103 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Arizona Diamondbacks put a 9-2 beating on the Texas Rangers Tuesday night. I think we'll see plenty of action over home plate in the finale of this two-game interleague series Wednesday night. Arizona left-hander Robbie Ray (7-6, 3.81 ERA) is coming off back-to-back quality starts, but he owns a 5.06 ERA in four career starts against Texas. We also note that Ray has struggled with the long-ball of late, serving up 11 over his last eight starts and that over is 11-3 in Ray's last 14 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. The Rangers hand the ball to right-hander Jesse Chavez (3-4, 3.84 ERA) who has posted a 4.67 ERA in 12 career outings (one start) versus Arizona. He served up three home runs and was charged with seven runs against Houston last time out. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-17-19 | Dodgers v. Phillies OVER 10.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
DODGERS @ PHILLIES TOTAL I think runs will come easy for both the Philadelphia Phillies and the LA Dodgers here Wednesday night. Philly right-hander Nick Pivetta (4-4, 5.81 ERA) owns a 6.99 ERA in his past five starts while Dodgers' righty Kenta Maeda (7-6, 3.82 ERA) was tagged with three runs through just 5 2/3 innings of work of an 8-1 loss at Boston last time out. He served up two homers for the second straight contest and has given up 16 on the season. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-17-19 | Mets v. Twins -166 | 14-4 | Loss | -166 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Minnesota Twins will host the Kansas City Royals for the final contest of a two-game series Wednesday afternoon. I expect the home team to earn the win in a high-scoring slugfest. The Twins hand the ball to Martin Perez (8-3, 4.26 ERA) who is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA in two career outings (one start) against the Mets. Perez was tagged with four runs in a 15-6 win over Texas last time out. The Mets turn to left-hander Jason Vargas (3-5, 4.23 ERA) who has impressive career numbers against Minnesota, but note that the veteran was lit up for six runs in just five innings at Miami last time out. Here he'll face a Twins team that averages 5.65 runs per game home at Target Field. The Mets won last night's matchup 3-2, but the Twins are 17-4 in their last 21 after scoring two runs or fewer in their previous game. Over is 7-1 in Perez's last 8 starts overall. Over is 9-4 in Twins last 13 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 12-4-3 in Mets last 19 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 8* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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07-17-19 | Mets v. Twins OVER 10.5 | 14-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Minnesota Twins will host the Kansas City Royals for the final contest of a two-game series Wednesday afternoon. I expect the home team to earn the win in a high-scoring slugfest. The Twins hand the ball to Martin Perez (8-3, 4.26 ERA) who is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA in two career outings (one start) against the Mets. Perez was tagged with four runs in a 15-6 win over Texas last time out. The Mets turn to left-hander Jason Vargas (3-5, 4.23 ERA) who has impressive career numbers against Minnesota, but note that the veteran was lit up for six runs in just five innings at Miami last time out. Here he'll face a Twins team that averages 5.65 runs per game home at Target Field. The Mets won last night's matchup 3-2, but the Twins are 17-4 in their last 21 after scoring two runs or fewer in their previous game. Over is 7-1 in Perez's last 8 starts overall. Over is 9-4 in Twins last 13 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 12-4-3 in Mets last 19 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-16-19 | Braves v. Brewers -153 | 1-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
MONEYLINE MASSACRE *$20 TUESDAY SPECIAL* The Atlanta Braves won the opener of this series 4-3, but the Brewers have a significant edge on the mound here Tuesday night and should prove well worth the money backing them. Milwaukee right-hander Brandon Woodruff (10-3, 3.67 ERA) has been dominant home at Miller Park all season, boasting an 8-0 record with a 3.45 ERA and a 79-12 K/BB ratio over 60 innings of work. He has allowed just two runs over 13 2/3 frames in his last two starts combined. The Braves counter with Bryse Wilson (1-0, 6.14 ERA) who will return to the rotation following a short stint in the minors during the All-Star break. Wilson was tagged with nine runs in 2 2/3 innings for Gwinnett on Thursday and he has posted a 9.39 ERA in his two road starts in the majors this season. The Brewers are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 and 11-1 in Woodruff's last 12 home starts. 8* play on Milwaukee Brewers. |
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07-16-19 | Reds +119 v. Cubs | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
REDS @ CUBS TUESDAY NIGHT BOOKIE BLASTER The Cincinnati Reds have won seven of 10 against the Chicago Cubs here in 2019 following a 6-3 triumph in the series opener Monday night. I think their dominance in the season series will continue here with Anthony DeSclafani on the mound. DeSclafani (5-4, 4.26 ERA) has allowed just two runs with 13 Ks in his last two starts. The 29-year-old right-hander has limited the Cubs to four runs through 9 2/3 innings of work on the season and he is 4-3 with a 3.84 ERA in 11 career starts against them. Alec Mills will take the ball for Chicago as he makes his first start on the season- Mills is 0-1 with a 5.48 ERA in 10 career games (two starts) in the major leagues and I doubt the Cubs will be able to give him enough run support here. The Reds are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings at Wrigley Field, 6-2 in DeSclafani's last 8 road starts and 4-1 in DeSclafani's last 5 starts vs. Chicago. 8* play on Cincinnati Reds. |
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07-16-19 | Nationals -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Washington Nationals have been of the hottest teams in baseball in recent weeks despite coming off a tough 4-3 walk-off defeat in Philadelphia on Sunday. They're 4-0 in their last four games following an off day and look good to bounce back here against Baltimore. The Orioles have the worst record across the major leagues. They've lost both of right-hander Asher Wojciechowski's (0-2, 6.10 ERA) starts in 2019 with the right-hander allowing seven runs over 9 2/3 combined innings of work. The Nats hand the ball to Austin Voth (0-0, 5.52 ERA) who has had little success through his first three starts this season. He is, however, coming off six scoreless innings for Harrisburg in the minors and should have little to fear from an Orioles side that averages just 4.15 runs per game. Washington is 11-3 SU (9-5 against the runline) as a favorite of -180 or more this season. 10* play on Washington Nationals -1.5. |
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07-15-19 | Astros v. Angels OVER 9.5 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT ASTROS @ ANGELS TOTAL Both the LA Angels and the Houston Astros have been swinging hot bats since the All-Star break, and I think that will continue here when the two teams clash Monday night. Angels' righty Griffin Canning (3-5, 4.43 ERA) was tagged with six runs through 3 1/3 innings at Texas last time out while Houston right-hander Josh James will open for struggling southpaw Framber Valdez (3-5, 5.28 ERA). Valdez was also lit up by Texas his last time out, surrendering four runs on just 28 pitches, to make it 15 runs allowed over seven innings in his last three outings combined. Over is 6-2 in Astros last 8 road games. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Over is 5-1-2 in the last 8 meetings. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-15-19 | Tigers v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Cleveland Indians have won seven of their last nine to move 6 ½ games behind Minnesota Twins who still sit top of the AL Central. Tonight the Tribe host the worst team in the division, and I think they'll handle Detroit with ease. Adam Plutko (3-1, 4.95 ERA) will toe the slab for Cleveland. The 27-year-old righty has made just seven appearances (six starts) in 2019, but most have been of the better variety. He fanned six over six solid innings of a 13-4 win over Detroit on June 14 and owns a 26/4 K/BB ratio on the season. The Tigers counter with Daniel Norris (2-8, 4.96 ERA). They've lost eight of the left-hander's last 10 starts and he was tagged with six runs in five innings of a 7-5 loss to the White Sox last time out. He also gave up six runs in an 8-3 loss at Cleveland on June 23. The Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Tigers are 3-9 in Norris' last 12 road starts. 10* play on Cleveland Indians. |
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07-15-19 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox -1.5 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
MONDAY NIGHT NO-BRAINER The Toronto Blue Jays have been held to two runs or fewer in five of their last six contests, and they should not stand much of a chance here against a high-powered Red Sox team. 8* play on Boston Red Sox. |
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07-15-19 | Tigers v. Indians OVER 10.5 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 2 h 49 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS ONLY The Cleveland Indians have won seven of their last nine to move 6 ½ games behind Minnesota Twins who still sit top of the AL Central. Tonight the Tribe host the worst team in the division, and I think they'll handle Detroit with ease. Adam Plutko (3-1, 4.95 ERA) will toe the slab for Cleveland. The 27-year-old righty has made just seven appearances (six starts) in 2019, but most have been of the better variety. He fanned six over six solid innings of a 13-4 win over Detroit on June 14 and owns a 26/4 K/BB ratio on the season. The Tigers hand the ball to Daniel Norris (2-8, 4.96 ERA). They've lost eight of the left-hander's last 10 starts and he was tagged with six runs in five innings of a 7-5 loss to the White Sox last time out. He also gave up six runs in an 8-3 loss at Cleveland on June 23. The Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Tigers are 3-9 in Norris' last 12 road starts. Over is 4-0 in Indians last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 12-3-1 in Norris' last 16 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-14-19 | Dodgers -103 v. Red Sox | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
SUNDAY NIGHT BASEBALL MAIN EVENT ~ DODGERS @ RED SOX The Boston Red Sox and the LA Dodgers have split the first couple of games in this series with one lopsided triumph each. The Dodgers came out victorious on Saturday and I think they'll be the ones to clinch the series. Left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu (10-2, 1.73 ERA) will toe the rubber for the Dodgers. He's been dominant all season long and the Dodgers are 9-2 in Ryu's last 11 starts. The Red Sox turn to a left-hander of their own in David Price (7-2, 3.24 ERA). He has been almost as dominant as Ryu here in 2019, but note that Price has had some issues with his command lately with six walks in his last two starts. The Dodgers are hitting southpaws better than the Red Sox, and I think we're getting a great price on the visitors tonight. 8* play on LA Dodgers. |
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07-14-19 | White Sox v. A's -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER The Oakland Athletics have come out of the All-Star break all guns blazing, and I think they'll put another beating on the Chicago White Sox here in the finale of this three-game series Sunday afternoon. Reynaldo Lopez (4-8, 6.34 ERA) will toe the slab for the White Sox. He has allowed at least three runs in each of his last four starts and was tagged with six on nine hits in an 11-5 loss to Detroit last time out. The Athletics are 16-5 in their last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter. The A's turn to left-hander Brett Anderson (9-5, 3.86 ERA) who has held four of his last five opponents to two or fewer runs. The A's have won five of his last six starts and seven of his last nine. The White Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter and the A's are 14-3 in Anderson's last 17 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Oakland has outscored Chicago 18-3 through the first two games of the series. This looks like it will be another blowout win for the home team. 10* play on Oakland Athletics -1.5. |
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07-14-19 | Mariners v. Angels -160 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
SUNDAY AFTERNOON MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The Los Angeles Angels have outscored the Seattle Mariners 22-2 through the first two games three-game series and look good to complete the sweep Sunday afternoon. Seattle has lost seven of southpaw Yusei Kikuchi's (4-6, 4.94 ERA) last eight starts and he posted a 7.03 ERA in five starts in June. The Angels have smacked him around to the tune of 17 runs (16 earned) on 29 hits over 11 2/3 innings. Jose Suarez (2-1, 5.40 ERA) will toe the slab for the Halos. The 21-year-old left-hander has had his ups and downs through his first six major league starts, but I count on Suarez to get plenty of help from the Angels bats. Angels are 18-7 in their last 25 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Angels are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. 8* play on LA Angels. |
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07-14-19 | Mariners v. Angels OVER 10.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Los Angeles Angels have outscored the Seattle Mariners 22-2 through the first two games three-game series and look good to complete the sweep Sunday afternoon. Seattle has lost seven of southpaw Yusei Kikuchi's (4-6, 4.94 ERA) last eight starts and he posted a 7.03 ERA in five starts in June. The Angels have smacked him around to the tune of 17 runs (16 earned) on 29 hits over 11 2/3 innings. Jose Suarez (2-1, 5.40 ERA) will toe the slab for the Halos. The 21-year-old left-hander has had his ups and downs through his first six major league starts, but I count on Suarez to get plenty of help from the Angels bats. Angels are 18-7 in their last 25 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Angels are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Over is 15-2-1 in Kikuchi's last 18 starts overall. Over is 5-0-1 in Suarez's last 6 starts overall. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-14-19 | Reds v. Rockies -110 | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
REDS @ ROCKIES MONEYMAKER The Cincinnati Reds are just 5-14 in day games away from home on the season while the Colorado Rockies are 9-4 in day games home at Coors Field. We can also note that the Reds will see Rockies righty Antonio Senzatela (7-6, 5.32 ERA) for the first time while Cincinnati's Tyler Mahle (2-9, 4.47 ERA) posted a 5.40 ERA against Colorado last year. 8* play on Colorado Rockies. |
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07-13-19 | Reds v. Rockies -117 | 17-9 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
SATURDAY NIGHT NO BRAINER The Colorado Rockies halted a six-game losing streak with a close win over the Cincinnati Reds Friday night. I think they'll make it two on the bounce here, coming up against Reds righty Tanner Roark (5-6, 3.51 ERA) who matched his career high by allowing three home runs last time out. Roark is 1-2 against the Rockies in his career with a 3.71 ERA. The Rockies turn to left-hander Kyle Freeland (2-6, 7.13 ERA) who has had tough season after being one of the top pitchers in the National League in 2018. Freeland should be extremely motivated to earn back his spot in the rotation after spending the last six weeks in the minors. "I think I was slightly predictable," Freeland told reporters on Friday. "I think hitters had a pretty solid book and game plan going into games against me. At the same time, I was leaving a lot of mistakes over the middle of the plate. You put those two together, and more than likely the ball is going to be flying out." Still, the Rockies are 16-5 in Freeland's last 21 home starts and 5-1 in his last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. 8* play on Colorado Rockies. |
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07-13-19 | Astros -124 v. Rangers | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
ASTROS @ RANGERS MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The Houston Astros should be well up for Game 3 of the series after dropping the first two matchups. Tonight they hand the ball to left-hander Wade Miley (7-4, 3.28 ERA) who has held Texas to a pair of runs on as many hits with seven Ks over six innings this season. The Rangers turn to left-hander Mike Minor (8-4, 2.54 ERA) who has held the Astros to a 2.25 ERA over two starts this season, but Yuli Gurriel (7-for-18, two homers) and George Springer (9-for-20, home run) a couple of Houston hitters with good numbers off Minor. We can also note that the Rangers are 1-5 in Minor's last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record while the Astros are 38-15 in their last 53 road games vs. a left-handed starter. 8* play on Houston Astros. |
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07-13-19 | Giants v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -101 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): TOP RATED TOTAL The San Francisco Giants claimed the series opener with a grand slam from Matt Albers in the 10th inning Friday night. I think runs will be harder to come by for both teams here Saturday night. Giants' left-hander Madison Bumgarner (5-7, 4.03 ERA) has allowed just four runs on 11 hits through 15 innings in his last three starts combined. Bumgarner owns a 2.76 ERA in 13 career starts against the Brewers who counter with right-hander Zach Davies (7-2, 3.07 ERA) who is 0-2 with a 2.81 ERA in three career starts against San Francisco. Under is 13-4 in Bumgarner's last 17 starts during game 2 of a series. Under is 8-1 in Davies' last 9 starts during game 2 of a series. Under is 20-7-1 in Davies' last 28 starts overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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07-12-19 | Braves -107 v. Padres | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT BLOWOUT @ THE BALLPARK I like the price we get on the Atlanta Braves here at San Diego Padres Friday night. Braves' lefty Dallas Keuchel (2-2, 3.60 ERA) will make his fifth start since joining the team, and he has been excellent in recent outings. "I feel like I'm in midseason form," Keuchel said after his most recent start. "It took a few starts to build up. I knew it would take a few, but I think I'm there. Mentally, at first it was just trying to get locked in." Keuchel has faced the Padres twice before and is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA. The Padres hand the ball to right-hander Dinelson Lamet (0-1, 5.40 ERA) for his second major league start since returning from Tommy John surgery. He might not get much run support from a Padres team that averages just 3.87 runs per game home at Petco Park while Atlanta averages 5.00 rpg on the road. Padres are 0-8 in Lamet's last 8 starts. Braves are 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. 8* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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07-12-19 | Dodgers -101 v. Red Sox | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -101 | 16 h 60 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* DODGERS @ RED SOX BEST BET The Los Angeles Dodgers entered the All Star break off three consecutive losses, but I think they'll be well up for this World Series rematch against the defending champion Boston Red Sox. The Dodgers hand the ball to Kenta Maeda (7-5, 3.76 ERA) who is 0-3 in his last six starts despite pitching rather well. He has allowed more than two runs in just two of those four starts and limited San Diego to three runs on four hits in 7 2/3 innings last time out. The Red Sox turn to left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez (9-4, 4.65 ERA) who hasn't lost since June 9, despite allowing four runs or more in three of six starts during that stretch. Rodriguez has been inconsistent all season, and I expect the Dodgers to knock him around plenty tonight. The Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter. 10* play on LA Dodgers. |
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07-12-19 | Twins v. Indians -135 | 5-3 | Loss | -135 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
FRIDAY NIGHT MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The Cleveland Indians look like decent value here in the opener of a three-game set with American League Central rivals Minnesota Twins. Minnesota right-hander Kyle Gibson (8-4, 4.09 ERA) is 3-9 with a 5.46 ERA in 18 career outings against the Tribe and he has had big problems with Jason Kipnis (14-for-33, 11 walks) and Jose Ramirez (10-for-30). Cleveland hands the ball to right-hander Mike Clevinger (2-2, 4.44 ERA) who is 2-2 behind a 3.05 ERA in 10 appearances (seven starts) versus Minnesota. Minnesota lost six of its last 10 games before the All-Star break while the Indians have won a season-high six consecutive contests. We can also note that the Twins are just 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Cleveland. 8* play on Cleveland Indians. |
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07-11-19 | Astros v. Rangers +106 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 106 | 32 h 51 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* THURSDAY NIGHT ASTROS @ RANGERS MONEYLINE The All Star break could have come at a better time for the Houston Astros who are winners of seven of their last eight contest. The break might very well affect their momentum negatively, and I like the Texas Rangers to get the win here. Texas hands the ball to Lance Lynn (11-4, 3.91 ERA) who has pitched very well lately. The 32-year-old right-hander has won four straight starts while limiting opponents to eight runs over 29 innings of work. The Rangers have won seven of his last 10 starts overall and they're 8-1 in Lynn's last nine home starts. We can also note that Lynn has held the current Astros roster to a .203 AVG over 59 at bats. The Astros counter with Framber Valdez (3-4, 4.57 ERA). The 25-year-old southpaw has mainly worked out of the bullpen and was lit up for six runs on seven hits in 3 innings of a 14-2 loss to Pittsburgh last time out. Valdez has allowed three runs in five hits and five walks in 5 1/3 innings of work against Texas this year. 10* play on Texas Rangers. |
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07-09-19 | National League v. American League OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 3 m | Show | |
MLB ALL-STAR GAME: NL VS. AL MIDSUMMER CLASSIC TOTAL We will see some elite pitchers here in the All-Star game, but keep in mind that we have seen an average of 8.9 runs per game here in the first half of 2019, an improvement of 0.3 rpg since last season. Both sides have deep lineups, and this is supposed to be an exciting show for the fans. While a pitching duel can be fun, a back-and-forth slugfest is more entertaining. I think both teams will accommodate. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-07-19 | Padres v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
SUNDAY CLOSEOUT TOTAL The first three games of this four-game series have been low-scoring affairs, but I expect both teams to bring their bats here. The LA Dodgers, in particular, should be well up for this contest as they look to avoid heading into the All-Star break off three straight defeats. Ross Stripling (3-2, 3.45 ERA) will toe the slab for the Dodgers, He has posted a 2.61 ERA in 13 career appearances (five starts) against the Padres, but note that he was tagged with four runs in just 4 1/3 innings against Arizona last time out. The Friars turn to Joey Lucchesi (6-4, 3.91 ERA) who has surrendered six runs through his last two starts and the over is 6-2 in Lucchesi's last 8 road starts. Over is 4-1-2 in Stripling's last 7 home starts. Over is 19-7-1 in Padres last 27 Sunday games. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-07-19 | Cardinals v. Giants OVER 8 | 0-1 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
CARDINALS @ GIANTS SUNDAY AFTERNOON TOTAL The San Francisco Giants have scored 52 runs over their last six games, with all six going over the total. Here they'll come up against Cards righty Jack Flaherty (4-5, 4.90 ERA) who has posted an 11.37 ERA in two career starts versus the Giants. Jeff Samardzija (5-7, 4.32 ERA) will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he owns a 3.77 ERA in 24 career outings (13 starts) versus the Cardinals. Over is 8-2 in Samardzija's last 10 starts with 5 days of rest. Over is 4-0-1 in Samardzija's last 5 home starts. Over is 7-2-1 in Flaherty's last 10 road starts. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-07-19 | Marlins v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* SUNDAY AFTERNOON RUNLINE RIPPER The Miami Marlins snapped an overall five-game losing streak and an eight-game losing streak to the Atlanta Braves with a 5-4 victory on Saturday. I do not like their chances of making it two on the bounce though. Note that the Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a loss and 12-2 in their last 14 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Here the Braves hand the ball to Dallas Keuchel (1-2, 4.08 ERA) for his fourth start of the season. He limited Philadelphia to a pair of runs through seven innings of work last time out and owns a 1.50 ERA in two career starts against Miami. The Marlins hand the ball to Trevor Richards (3-9, 4.02 ERA) who has held the Braves to one run over 11 1/3 innings in two starts this season, but I think they'll get to him today. Note that the Marlins have lost each of Richard's last five starts and he has been tagged with nine runs in the last two alone.  10* play on Atlanta Braves -1.5. |
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07-06-19 | Rockies -101 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -101 | 20 h 31 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Arizona Diamondbacks managed to snap an eight-game losing streak against the Rockies with an 8-0 victory Friday night. I think Colorado will reestablish its dominance with a win here in the middle-game of the three-game set. Colorado hands the ball to right-hander Jon Gray (9-5, 3.84 ERA) who has allowed just three earned runs over his last three starts. The Rockies have won seven of his last nine starts and Gray owns a 1-0 record behind 2.38 ERA in two starts against Arizona this season. The D'Backs counter with left-hander Robbie Ray (5-6, 4.10 ERA) who has been tagged with three runs or more in four straight starts. The team has won just one of his last seven starts, a stretch that includes two losses to Colorado. Rockies are 14-4 in Gray's last 18 starts during game 2 of a series. Diamondbacks are 3-14 in their last 17 during game 2 of a series. Rockies are 18-5 in the last 23 meetings. 10* play on Colorado Rockies. |
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07-06-19 | Rangers v. Twins -153 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The Minnesota Twins put a 15-6 beating on the Oakland Athletics Friday night. Here they'll come up against A's righty Jesse Chavez (3-3, 2.97 ERA) who owns a 2.35 ERA in 11 career games (three starts) against Minnesota, but the 2019 Twins are just something different than what he's ever faced before. The Twins have already set a major league record for home runs before the All-Star break (165) and are averaging 5.76 runs per game on the season. Michael Pineda (5-4, 4.78 ERA) will toe the slab for the Twins. He has held three of his last four opponents to one run and Minnesota is 6-2 in Pineda's last eight starts. 8* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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07-05-19 | Brewers v. Pirates +107 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): TOP RATED 10* MONEYLINE The Milwaukee Brewers have owned Pittsburgh here in 2019 winning eight of the first 10 meetings, but the Pirates enter this contest as the hotter of the two teams and I'm happy to back the home team at this price. Pirates left-hander Steven Brault (3-1, 4.29 ERA) is coming off a solid month of June where he went 1-0 with a 2.42 ERA. That stretch included two solid starts against Milwaukee with just three runs allowed over 11 innings of work. The Brewers hand the ball to righty Zach Davies (7-2, 3.24 ERA) who is 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA in three encounters against the Pirates this season, but note that he has posted a 5.08 ERA in 12 career starts against them. The current Pirates roster is batting a combined .305 over 151 at-bats against Davies. Brewers are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Brewers are 1-10 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Pirates are 6-2 in Brault's last 8 home starts. Brewers are 2-5 in Davies' last 7 road starts. 10* play on Pittsburgh Pirates. |
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07-04-19 | Phillies v. Braves -150 | 6-12 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
THURSDAY NIGHT MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The Atlanta Braves put a 9-2 beating on the Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday night. While I expect another win for the Braves here on Thursday, I think it will be in a much lower scoring game. Atlanta right-hander Mike Soroka (9-1, 2.13 ERA) has been one of the most dominant pitchers in the major leagues this season. The Braves have won all but one of his last nine starts overall and Soroka has served up just four home runs through 14 starts in 2019. This will be Soroka’s first career start versus the Phillies who turn to Zach Eflin (7-7, 3.34 ERA). Eflin has allowed four homers while allowing nine runs in his last two starts alone. Eflin has the current Braves roster limited to a .220 AVG over 41 at bats, but will find it very hard to outduel Soroka. The Phillies have struggled in Atlanta in recent years and I'm happy to back the home team in this matchup. 8* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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07-04-19 | Phillies v. Braves UNDER 10.5 | 6-12 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
3-PACK The Atlanta Braves put a 9-2 beating on the Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday night. While I expect another win for the Braves here on Thursday, I think it will be in a much lower scoring game. Atlanta right-hander Mike Soroka (9-1, 2.13 ERA) has been one of the most dominant pitchers in the major leagues this season. The Braves have won all but one of his last nine starts overall and Soroka has served up just four home runs through 14 starts in 2019. This will be Soroka’s first career start versus the Phillies who turn to Zach Eflin (7-7, 3.34 ERA). Eflin has allowed four homers while allowing nine runs in his last two starts alone. Eflin has the current Braves roster limited to a .220 AVG over 41 at bats, but will find it very hard to outduel Soroka. The Phillies have struggled in Atlanta in recent years and I'm happy to back the home team in this matchup. 8* play on UNDER. |
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07-04-19 | Twins -127 v. A's | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -127 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Minnesota Twins battled back from a three-run deficit to avoid a third consecutive defeat when they posted a 4-3 victory over the Oakland Athletics on Wednesday. They're one of the absolute strongest road teams in baseball for the season, and I think they'll come through with a big win here Thursday afternoon. Twins righty Jose Berrios (8-4, 2.89 ERA) is without a winning decision through his last four starts, but this looks like a good spot for Berrios. He's a dominant 5-1 with a 2.72 ERA while holding opponents to a .207 AVG through seven afternoon starts on the season.  The A's turn to right-hander Tanner Anderson (0-3, 7.13 ERA) for his fifth start in 2019. They've lost all his previous turns and Anderson's last start was the worst of the bunch with seven runs allowed in just 2 2/3 innings. Twins are 6-1 in Berrios' last 7 road starts. Athletics are 6-13 in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. 10* play on Minnesota Twins. |
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07-03-19 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT MLB TOTAL The Los Angeles Dodgers opened this series with a 5-4 victory on Tuesday. I think runs will be harder to come by for both teams in Game 2 of the series on Wednesday. The Dodgers hand the ball to Walker Buehler (8-1, 3.43 ERA) who is 1-0 with a 3.47 ERA in four career starts against the D'Backs. He has allowed two or fewer runs in seven of his last nine starts. Arizona counters with Merrill Kelly (7-8, 4.00 ERA) who boasts an 1.83 ERA in his last three starts away from home. Under is 15-3-3 in Buehler's last 21 home starts. Under is 20-5-5 in Dodgers' last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 7-2 in Kelly's last 9 starts overall. 8* play on UNDER. |
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07-03-19 | Brewers v. Reds -134 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Cincinnati Reds and the Milwaukee Brewers enter Game 3 of this four-game series all squared at 1-1 following a 5-4 extra-innings win for the Reds on Tuesday. I like the home team to come through with another triumph here on Wednesday night. Reds righty Sonny Gray (4-5, 3.94) limited the Cubs to a pair of runs over 6 1/3 innings of a 6-3 win last time out. The Reds have won seven of his last eight starts, a stretch that includes two victories over Milwaukee. Brewers' right-hander Jhoulys Chacin (3-8, 5.60 ERA) is 0-5 through his last eight starts with Milwaukee losing six of those. Chacin is 1-7 with a 6.94 ERA in eight starts on the road in 2019 and the Reds have reached him for seven runs through 10 innings. Brewers are 0-7 in Chacin's last 7 road starts. Reds are 4-1 in Gray's last 5 home starts. Reds are 6-2 in their last 8 home games. 10* play on Cincinnati Reds. |
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07-02-19 | Brewers v. Reds -103 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Cincinnati Reds and the Milwaukee Brewers will clash in Game 2 of a three-game series at Great American Ballpark Tuesday night. I like the home team to come through with a win with Tanner Roark on the mound. Roark (5-6, 3.36 ERA) has been sharp in his last two starts, allowing just two runs on seven hits and a pair walks against 13 Ks over 11 1/3 innings of work. He is 1-0 with a 3.48 ERA in two starts against Milwaukee on the season. The Brew Crew turn to Chase Anderson (4-2, 4.42 ERA) who held the Mariners to a pair of runs (one earned) last time out, but he had been knocked around for six runs in five innings of an 11-7 loss to Cincinnati in his last start prior to that. Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 road games (prior to Monday). Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 home games (prior to Monday). 10* play on Cincinnati Reds. |
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07-01-19 | Cubs v. Pirates +102 | 5-18 | Win | 102 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
MONDAY NIGHT MONEYLINE MASSACRE The Pittsburgh Pirates have been playing rather well lately, winning seven of their last 10 games despite coming off back-to-back losses to Milwaukee. I like the Pirates to come through with a win here against the inconsistent Chicago Cubs. Tonight Pittsburgh hands the ball to Trevor Williams (2-2, 4.25 ERA) who has struggled in two starts since spending almost a month in the injured list, but this looks like a good spot to get back on track. Note that Williams has the current Cubs roster limited to a .234 AVG and he posted a 2.50 ERA over three starts against them in 2018.  The Cubs counter with 24-year-old Adbert Alzolay (1-0, 2.08 ERA for his third major league start. The rookie right-hander has kept the Mets' and the Braves' bats in check through his first couple of outings, but this will be his first start on the road. Cubs are 3-10 in their last 13 road games. Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 home games. Pirates are 5-1 in Williams' last 6 home starts. 8* play on Pittsburgh Pirates. |
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06-30-19 | Dodgers -155 v. Rockies | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
SUNDAY AFTERNOON MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The Colorado Rockies have won two of the first three games of this four-game series. The teams have combined for 50 runs so far in the series, and I expect the Dodgers bats to tie it up here in the finale. Dodgers' right-hander Kenta Maeda (7-4, 3.76 ERA) owns a 6-3 record with a 2.30 ERA against Colorado and he's had no trouble pitching at Coors Field, going 5-1 with a 3.00 ERA in nine games, six of them starts. The Rockies' counter with Chi Chi Gonzalez (0-1, 5.40 ERA) who has made just one start here in 2019 when he was tagged with three runs on six hits and four walks in five innings of a 4-2 loss at San Francisco on June 25. Gonzalez has limited big league experience despite making his debut back in 2015 and I think the Dodgers' will do plenty of damage off the 27 year old righty. 8* play on Los Angeles Dodgers. |
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06-30-19 | Twins v. White Sox -109 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* TWINS @ WHITE SOX PLAY OF THE DAY The Chicago White Sox are 11-4 in Lucas Giolito's 15 starts this season. Giolito (10-2, 2.87 ERA) has been particularly efficient in the early games as he enters this contest 5-1 with a 1.99 ERA in seven afternoon starts on the season. Minnesota on the other hand will put its trust in left-hander Lewis Thorpe who will make his big leagues debut. The Twins are a better baseball team (as their record would indicate), but I think the home team's advantage on the mound here will be too much for the Twins to overcome. 10* play on Chicago White Sox. |
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06-30-19 | Cubs -115 v. Reds | 6-8 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY CUBS @ REDS BOOKIE BLASTER The Cincinnati Reds have dropped five of their last six games after getting shut out by the Cubs in a 6-0 loss on Saturday. I think they'll come up short again here in the rubber match of this three game series. Cubs left-hander Jon Lester (7-5, 3.83 ERA) is 7-1 with a 3.88 ERA in 16 career starts against Cincinnati. He limited Atlanta to two runs (zero earned) on five hits with seven Ks over six innings in an 8-3 victory on Monday. The Reds counter with right-hander Anthony DeSclafani (4-4, 4.70 ERA) who owns a 3-3 record with a 4.24 ERA in 10 career starts versus the Cubs. He was tagged with four runs and served up three homers in 3 2/3 innings against Chicago on May 24 and was smacked around for six runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 7-5 loss at Milwaukee last time out. DeSclafani is 2-3 with a 6.52 ERA in eight day starts in 2019 while Lester is 3-2 with a 2-32 ERA in his six afternoon starts. 8* play on Chicago Cubs. |
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06-29-19 | Cardinals v. Padres UNDER 8 | Top | 2-12 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 49 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): TOP RATED MAJOR WAGER TOTAL The St. Louis Cardinals have scored just eight runs during an 0-4 skid, including a 3-1 loss to the San Diego Padres Friday night. Here in Game 2 of the series on Saturday they'll come up against Friars' right-hander Chris Paddack (4-4, 3.18 ERA) who has posted a 2.50 ERA in six starts home at Petco Park on the season. Cardinals right-hander Dakota Hudson (6-3, 3.36 ERA) has pitched well lately and has allowed one run in four of his last five starts and two or fewer runs in six of his last seven starts. Under is 6-1 in Hudson's last 7 starts overall. Under is 5-1 in Paddack's last 6 home starts. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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06-29-19 | Cubs v. Reds -114 | 6-0 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
SATURDAY AFTERNOON MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE *NO-BRAINER* The Cincinnati Reds claimed the opener of this three-game set with a 6-3 triumph Friday night, and I like the price we get on the Reds to secure the series with a win here in Game 2. Reds' righty Luis Castillo (7-2, 2.56 ERA) was smacked around at Milwaukee last time out, but he is 4-1 behind a 2.01 ERA in eight starts home at Great American Ball Park on the season. Castillo is 3-1 with a 3.75 ERA in seven career starts against the Cubs. Chicago left-hander Jose Quintana (4-7, 4.50 ERA) will be under a lot of pressure as Cubs' bullpen will be taxed after covering seven innings in Friday night's loss. Quintana has posted an 0-6 mark with a 5.40 ERA over his past nine starts and was torched for a season-high nine runs (eight earned) in 4 1/3 innings in a 10-2 loss to the Yankees last time out. Cubs are 2-9 in their last 11 road games. Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 home games. Reds are 14-6 in Castillos last 20 home starts. 8* play on Cincinnati Reds. |
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06-28-19 | Diamondbacks -104 v. Giants | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -104 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* D'BACKS @ GIANTS PLAY OF THE DAY The Arizona Diamondbacks look like good value here in the second contest of a four-game series with the San Francisco Giants Friday night. D'Backs right-hander Merrill Kelly (7-7, 3.93 ERA) has held four of his last five opponents to two or fewer runs. That includes seven solid innings of a 3-2 victory over the Giants on June 23 last time out. For the season, the 30-year-old rookie has allowed just two runs through two starts covering 11 1/3 innings of work. The Giants turn to Shaun Anderson (2-2, 3.94 ERA) who gave up both runs in the loss to Arizona and Kelly on June 23. On the season, Anderson has been charged with eight runs (six earned) over 11 innings against the D'Backs. Diamondbacks are 7-3 in their last 10 road games. Giants are 7-17 in their last 24 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Diamondbacks are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Francisco. 10* play on Arizona Diamondbacks. |
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06-28-19 | Diamondbacks v. Giants UNDER 8 | 3-6 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS ONLY The Arizona Diamondbacks look like good value here in the second contest of a four-game series with the San Francisco Giants Friday night. D'Backs right-hander Merrill Kelly (7-7, 3.93 ERA) has held four of his last five opponents to two or fewer runs. That includes seven solid innings of a 3-2 victory over the Giants on June 23 last time out. For the season, the 30-year-old rookie has allowed just two runs through two starts covering 11 1/3 innings of work. The Giants turn to Shaun Anderson (2-2, 3.94 ERA) who gave up both runs in the loss to Arizona and Kelly on June 23. On the season, Anderson has been charged with eight runs (six earned) over 11 innings against the D'Backs. Diamondbacks are 7-3 in their last 10 road games. Giants are 7-17 in their last 24 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Diamondbacks are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Francisco. San Francisco mustered only three hits in Thursday's 5-1 defeat. Under is 7-1 in Kelly's last 8 starts overall. Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 overall. 8* play on UNDER. |
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06-27-19 | Mariners +170 v. Brewers | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY MLB BOOKIE BLASTER Two teams trending in opposite directions will clash as the Milwaukee Brewers host the Seattle Mariners at Miller Park Thursday afternoon. The Brew Crew have dropped seven of their last nine games while the Mariners have won 11 of their last 19 and six of their last seven. I'm well happy to back the red hot underdog at this price. Seattle right-hander Mike Leake (7-6, 4.54 ERA) was lit up by Baltimore in his most recent start, but the M's still won that contest 10-9. They've won four of Leake's last five starts and the 31-year-old right-hander has this Milwaukee roster limited to a .214 AVG over 98 at bats. He is 5-2 with a 4.23 ERA in 10 starts against the Brewers here at Miller Park. Chase Anderson (3-2, 4.70 ERA) will take the ball for the Brewers. Much like Leake, he's coming off a subpar outing as he was tagged with six runs over just five innings of an 11-7 loss to Cincinnati last time out to fall to 0-2 with a 7.11 ERA through his last four starts. This will be his first career start against Seattle, but we can note that Anderson has posted a 5.04 ERA in eight appearances (five starts) home at Miller Park this season. 8* play on Seattle Mariners. |
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