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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-29-21 | Blue Jays +105 v. Red Sox | Top | 13-1 | Win | 105 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* BLUE JAYS @ RED SOX MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Toronto Blue Jays have opened the week with a win and two losses here at Boston, but I like them to salvage a split of the series with a win on Thursday. Blue Jays' lefty Hyun Jin Ryu (9-5, 3.44 ERA) is 2-0 with a 2.20 ERA through his last three games and the team has won five of his last six starts. Ryu threw seven scoreless innings in an 8-0 victory in his last start against the Red Sox. On the mound for Boston in that game, just as tonight, was Eduardo Rodriquez (7-5, 5.23 ERA). The left-hander gave up five runs and 12 base runners through five innings in the defeat. The Blue Jays are a solid 28-25 on the road on the season, and I expect them to give the Red Sox all kinds of trouble in this one. Great price on Toronto to close this series with a win at Fenway Park. 10* play on Toronto Blue Jays. |
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07-29-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Royals | 0-5 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
EARLY MLB RUNLINE RIPPER - PROFIT GUARANTEE The Chicago White Sox coughed up a ninth-inning lead to lose in extra innings on Wednesday. I like them to snap back and win big in the finale of this series tonight. Royals' right-hander Carlos Hernandez (1-1, 6.04 ERA) has mostly worked out of the bullpen, but his last two outings were starts. Neither was particularly successful, with Hernandez allowing a total of seven runs on five hits and six walks over 6 2/3 innings of work. White Sox left-hander Carlos Rodon (8-4, 2.24 ERA) is having a terrific year, and he's 5-1 with a 1.90 ERA away from home. The team is 6-1 SU and against the runline as road favorites with Rodon on the mound. 8* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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07-29-21 | Yankees v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-14 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Yankees' ace Gerrit Cole (10-5, 2.74 ERA) is 1-5 despite a solid 3.82 ERA in 10 career starts against the Rays. Tampa Bay right-hander Luis Patino (1-2, 5.26 ERA) has been roughed up in his last three starts, but note his 1.04 ERA in three appearances at home this season. He took on the Bronx Bombers on May 11 when he held them to two runs (one earned) through four frames. Patino is backed up by one of the best bullpens in baseball. The first two games of this series have seen seven and four runs respectively. This should be another low-scorin affair. 10* play on UNDER. |
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07-28-21 | Yankees v. Rays -122 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -122 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* BALLPARK BLOWOUT Yankees' left-hander Nestor Cortes Jr. (0-0, 1.95 ERA) has an impressive ERA, but note that it's over only 27 2/3 innings of work and mostly out of the bullpen. In his last two outings, both starts, Cortes Jr. has allowed three runs through 6 2/3 innings. He's unlikely to go deep into the game which will put a lot of pressure on the Yankees' bullpen. Ray's righty Michael Wacha (2-2, 5.16 ERA) does not have impressive numbers, but note that he is 1-0 with a 4.13 ERA at home. Wacha is backed up by one of the best bullpens in baseball. Rays are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Rays are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. Rays are 62-21 in their last 83 games as a home favorite. 10* play on Tampa Bay Rays. |
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07-28-21 | Blue Jays -145 v. Red Sox | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 30 m | Show | |
EARLY MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE Good spot to back the Blue Jays in Game 1 of a double-header on Wednesday. Toronto left-hander Robbie Ray (8-5, 3.12 ERA) has a 2-1 record to go with a minuscule 1.93 ERA through his last three starts. Boston right-hander Garrett Richards (6-5, 4.99 ERA) is 2-0 in his last three starts, despite a 5.17 ERA. Richards has posted a 6.55 ERA at Fenway Park on the season. 8* play on Toronto Blue Jays. |
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07-28-21 | Cardinals v. Indians UNDER 9 | Top | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac (5-3, 4.30 ERA) does not boast particularly impressive numbers this season, but note his 2.95 ERA through 21 1/3 innings of work in four day starts in 2021. Cards' left-hander Kwang Hyun Kim (6-5, 2.88 ERA) has a consistent ERA no matter home/away or day/night. He has allowed only two runs on 10 hits with 15 Ks through his last three starts, covering 18 innings of work for a 1.00 ERA. Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 21-5-1 in Cardinals last 27 interleague road games. 10* play on UNDER. |
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07-27-21 | Astros -146 v. Mariners | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE *NO-BRAINER* The Houston Astros managed to squander a seven-run lead in the opener of this three-game series on Monday. The Mariners came back to win 11-8, but I expect the Astros to avenge the disappointing loss tonight.  Houston righty Lance McCullers Jr. (7-2, 3.04 ERA) is having a solid year, and he is 5-0 with a 2.66 ERA on the road. In 14 career starts against the Mariners, McCullers is 7-3 with a 2.70 ERA. Chris Flexen (9-4, 3.34 ERA) will take the ball for Seattle. While Flexen has posted an impressive 1.89 ERA home at T-Mobile Park, I think he's about to get lit up tonight. Note that Flexen was lucky to hold Houston to one run despite giving up 10 hits in six innings back in April. I highly doubt he'll be as fortunate in this encounter. 8* play on Houston Astros. |
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07-27-21 | A's v. Padres -145 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK - PADRES The San Diego Padres lost at Miami Saturday and Sunday, but now they return home to Petco Park where they are 33-19 on the season. The Padres are 9-0 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record and Chris Paddack (6-6, 4.76 ERA) is 2-0 with a 3.75 ERA through his last three starts. A's righty James Kaprielian (5-3, 2.65 ERA) has solid numbers, but note his 4.00 ERA on the road this season compared to a 1.13 ERA at home. 8* play on San Diego Padres. |
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07-27-21 | Cardinals v. Indians +102 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK - INDIANS I really like the price we get on Cleveland in this matchup. Indians' righty Cal Quantrill (2-2, 3.84 ERA) owns a 2-0 record with a 3.22 ERA in four starts in July and he is 1-0 with a 3.49 ERA at home on the season. Cards' Adam Wainwright (7-6, 3.56 ERA) has a 5.35 ERA through 38 2/3 innings of work on the road. Cleveland is averaging 5.32 runs per nine innings against right-handers home at Progressive Field. 8* play on Cleveland Indians. |
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07-26-21 | White Sox -122 v. Royals | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -122 | 18 h 12 m | Show |
AL CENTRAL MONEYLINE GAME OF THE MONTH The Kansas City Royals are coming into the new week riding a five-game winning streak, but I think they'll come up short in this matchup with Chicago. The White Sox snapped a three-game slide with a 3-1 win at Milwaukee on Sunday. White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record and 6-2 in their last 8 road games overall. They're dominating left-handers and runs should come fast and easy against Mike Minor who is 3-5 with a 5.61 ERA home at Kauffman Stadium on the season. The White Sox counter with left-hander Dallas Keuchel (7-3, 4.22 ERA) who's having a disappointing year, but he has allowed only three runs through 12 innings in his last two starts combined. 10* play on Chicago White Sox. |
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07-26-21 | Reds +118 v. Cubs | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
MLB BOOKIE BOMBER - UNDERDOG DELIGHT - GUARANTEED TO WIN The Chicago Cubs are 30-18 at home on the season, but the Reds are a solid 25-22 on the road and I really like the price we get on the visitors in this matchup. Reds left-hander Wade Miley (8-4, 2.72 ERA) is having an excellent year, and he is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA through his last three starts.  Cubs righty Kyle Hendricks (12-4, 3.61 ERA) is also having a solid year, but I don't think he should be this kind of favorite against Miley. We can also note that the Reds are hitting right-handers hard, averaging 5.08 runs per nine innings against them throughout the season. 8* play on Cincinnati Reds. |
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07-25-21 | A's v. Mariners UNDER 9 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK UNDER The first two games of this series have seen five and seven runs respectively. Seattle left-hander Marco Gonzales (2-5, 5.55 ERA) has allowed only five runs through 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts combined. He held the A's to one run on two hits in four innings at Oakland in the beginning of June. Oakland left-hander Cole Irvin (7-8, 3.42 ERA) was roughed up by Seattle back in May, but the Mariners are generally struggling with southpaws, averaging only 3.67 runs per nine innings against left-hadners home at T-Mobile Park. In addition to the under, I also like Oakland to avenge Saturday's 4-3 loss. Under is 7-1 in Athletics last 8 games as a road favorite. Under is 6-1 in Athletics last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter. 8* play on UNDER. |
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07-25-21 | A's -121 v. Mariners | 3-4 | Loss | -121 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK OAKLAND The first two games of this series have seen five and seven runs respectively. Seattle left-hander Marco Gonzales (2-5, 5.55 ERA) has allowed only five runs through 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts combined. He held the A's to one run on two hits in four innings at Oakland in the beginning of June. Oakland left-hander Cole Irvin (7-8, 3.42 ERA) was roughed up by Seattle back in May, but the Mariners are generally struggling with southpaws, averaging only 3.67 runs per nine innings against left-hadners home at T-Mobile Park. In addition to the under, I also like Oakland to avenge Saturday's 4-3 loss. Under is 7-1 in Athletics last 8 games as a road favorite. Under is 6-1 in Athletics last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter. 8* play on Oakland. |
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07-25-21 | Tigers -107 v. Royals | 1-6 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK TIGERS The Detroit Tigers came to Kansas City riding a seven-game winning streak. They have since come down to earth with the Royals recording back-to-back victories, but I like the Tigers to snap back here in the series finale. Detroit left-hander Tarik Skubal (6-8, 4.18 ERA) has allowed more than three runs in only one of his last 10 starts. In his very last outing, Skubal held Texas to one run on four hits through six innings. KC hands the ball to Daniel Lynch (0-2, 15.75 ERA) for his fourth career start. Lynch has, as his ERA would suggest, struggled through his first three starts, and he gave up four runs (three earned) on seven hits in just 2 2/3 innings back in May. 8* play on Detroit Tigers. |
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07-25-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox -135 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
MLB 5-PACK RED SOX The Red Sox had won the first two games of this series prior to a 4-3 loss to the Yankees on Saturday. They are 11-3 in their last 14 home games and 15-5 in their last 20 games as a home favorite. The Yankees are 6-14 in their last 20 games as a road underdog. Red Sox left-hander Martin Perez (7-6, 4.16 ERA) is 3-2 with a 3.45 ERA in day starts this season. Yankees' Domingo German (4-5, 4.40 ERA) is 1-4 with a 5.94 ERA in his day starts this year. 8* play on Boston Red Sox. |
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07-25-21 | Braves v. Phillies -165 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
MLB 5-PACK PHILLIES Atlanta righty Touki Toussaint (1-0, 1.35 ERA) has been struggling with a shoulder injury and has as a result made only one start in 2021. While it was a strong one, I think he's about to get smacked around here at Philadelphia on Sunday. The Phillies are averaging 5.11 runs per nine innings against right-handers home at Citizens Bank Park. Philly right-hander Aaron Nola (6-6, 4.64 ERA) has posted a 3.56 ERA through 48 innings of work at home. Nola is 11-7 with a 3.42 ERA in 23 career starts against the Braves. 8* play on Philadelphia Phillies. |
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07-24-21 | Pirates v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 10-2 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
NATIONAL LEAGUE RUNLINE GAME OF THE MONTH The Pittsburgh Pirates snapped a four-game skid with a 6-4 win here at Oracle Park on Friday. Their road record is still absolutely atrocious, and I expect them to be back to their losing ways on Saturday. Pittsburgh righty Wil Crowe (1-5, 6.12 ERA) gave up four runs in 5 1/3 innings against the Mets in his last start. That was at home, and now he goes on the road where has posted a 6.67 ERA over 29 2/3 innings of work. Crowe has made one start against San Francisco in 2021, an outing where he was tagged with three runs on six hits in five innings. The Giants counter with Kevin Gausman (9-3, 1.84 ERA) who is having a fantastic year. Gausman is 4-1 with a 2.25 ERA at home, with 58 Ks against only 22 hits and 10 walks through 48 frames. Gausman held Pittsburgh to one run on five hits with 12 Ks in eight innings back in May. 10* play on San Francisco Giants -1.5. |
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07-24-21 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK - ASTROS The Astros came through for us as a free pick against the runline on Friday. I like them to get the job done again in Saturday's matchup against Texas and Kyle Gibson. While Gibson (6-2, 2.86 ERA) has been stellar at home, note his 4.06 ERA on the road and the fact that he has aööpwed 14 runs on 23 hits through 17 innings for an ugly 7.41 ERA in his last three starts combined. Houston counters with Framber Valdez (5-2, 3.26 ERA) who is an undefeated 2-0 home at Minute Maid Park on the season. I also think the total is set a bit too low for this contest, with seven of 10 head-to-head meetings between the two teams this season going over the total. 8* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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07-24-21 | Rangers v. Astros OVER 8 | 1-4 | Loss | -103 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK - RANGERS/ASTROS OVER The Astros came through for us as a free pick against the runline on Friday. I like them to get the job done again in Saturday's matchup against Texas and Kyle Gibson. While Gibson (6-2, 2.86 ERA) has been stellar at home, note his 4.06 ERA on the road and the fact that he has aööpwed 14 runs on 23 hits through 17 innings for an ugly 7.41 ERA in his last three starts combined. Houston counters with Framber Valdez (5-2, 3.26 ERA) who is an undefeated 2-0 home at Minute Maid Park on the season. I also think the total is set a bit too low for this contest, with seven of 10 head-to-head meetings between the two teams this season going over the total. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-23-21 | Braves v. Phillies -142 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 9 m | Show | |
TGIF MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE Great spot to back the Phillies to snap back from three straight losses, the most recent a 7-2 setback to Atlanta on Thursday. Braves' left-hander Max Fried (7-5, 4.29 ERA) has posted a 6.43 ERA through 28 innings of work on the road this season. Fried has posted a 4.08 ERA in 12 career games (six starts) against the Phillies. Philly All-Star righty Zack Wheeler (7-5, 2.44 ERA) is 7-6 with a 3.38 ERA in 19 career starts against the Braves. Wheeler is 4-2 with a 2.16 ERA, covering a total of 75 frames at home this year. 8* play on Philadelphia Phillies . |
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07-23-21 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -133 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
EARLY DIAMONDBACKS @ CUBS DAYTIME DESTROYER | 2:20 PM ET START The Chicago Cubs are a solid 28-17 at home while Arizona is an abysmal 11-38 on the road. Fading the D'Backs blindly in all their games as a road dog would have generated a return on investment of almost 20%. The D'Backs have won four in a row, but all at home, while the Cubs are 3-4 in their last seven (all on the road). The Cubs took two of three in Arizona last week. I expect them to roll to an easy victory home at Wrigley. 8* play on Chicago Cubs. |
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07-22-21 | Angels +131 v. Twins | 3-2 | Win | 131 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
THURSDAY NIGHT MLB BOOKIE BU$TER The Minnesota Twins are only 22-25 home at Target Field and 41-55 overall on the season. The Angels are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record. Minnesota right-hander Kenta Maeda (4-3, 4.83 ERA) is 2-3 with a 4.56 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) against the Angels. Angels' lefty Andrew Heaney (5-7, 5.56 ERA) has posted a 3.18 ERA in 11 1/3 combined frames against Minnesota. The Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. 8* play on Los Angeles Angels. |
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07-22-21 | Rangers v. Tigers UNDER 9.5 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
AMERICAN LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH - SUPER EARLY 1:10 PM ET The last games of this series have seen five and six runs respectively. I think the finale on Thursday will be another tough day for the bats. Texas is averaging only 3.9 runs per game (28th) and it has the second-worst on base percentage at .297, and it has scored only 10 runs through a seven-game slide.. Today's Detroit starter Tyler Alexander has posted a solid 3.98 ERA through 20 1/3 innings of work home at Comerica Park this season. Texas righty Mike Foltynewicz has been lit up in most of his road starts, but I expect to see a fully focused Foltynewicz after giving up 10 runs in less than two innings at Toronto in his last start. 10* play on UNDER. |
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07-21-21 | Giants v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT GIANTS @ DODGERS BAILOUT TOTAL The first two games of this series have seen nine and 14 runs scored. I expect this to be another high-scoring affair. Dodgers Julio Urias has met the Giants twice in 2021, surrendering nine runs (eight earned) on 14 hits and two walks through 11 innings of work. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-21-21 | Indians v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -123 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAYÂ The Astros have opened this series with a couple of wins, most recently a 9-3 triumph on Tuesday. They should have no trouble putting runs on the board here against Cleveland right-hander Eli Morgan who has a 1-3 record to go with a 7.86 ERA in six starts this season. Houston counters with Lance McCullers who allowed just a run in seven innings of work with 10 strikeouts to earn the W in the Astros' 7-1 win Friday over the White Sox. McCullers is 7-2 with a 2.80 ERA on the season. 8* play on Houston Astros - 1.5. |
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07-20-21 | Suns v. Bucks -5 | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 33 h 9 m | Show | |
SUNS @ BUCKS NBA FINALS GAME 6 BOOKIE BREAKER The Milwaukee Bucks are in prime position to take down the NBA Finals after stealing Game 5 in Phoenix. The home team won each of the first four games of the series in dominant fashion, and I like the Bucks to get it done in their own building. Suns PG and leader Chris Paul did not look healthy in the last game and Phoenix lost despite shooting 68% (13-of-19) from behind the arc. We know the Bucks are giving absolutely nothing for free on defese home at Fiserv Forum, and I expect their all-round play and their depth to be the main difference in this one. 8* play on Milwaukee Bucks. |
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07-20-21 | Indians v. Astros UNDER 9 | 3-9 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
MLB 3 pack The Astros are averaging more runs per game than any other team in baseball but their bats have been rather cold since the All Star break. Cleveland is a mediocre team offensively and it's on-base percentage is second to worst. 8* play on under. |
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07-20-21 | Mets v. Reds -144 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
TUESDAY NIGHT MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The Reds took a disappointing extra-innings loss to the Mets on Monday. I like them to bounce back tonight with Wade Miley on the mound. Miley held Milwaukee scoreless through eight frames in his last start, and he has compiled a 2.80 ERA on the season. Mets righty Robert Stock has only eight innings under his belt, through which he has allowed seven runs for a 7.88 ERA. 8* play on Cincinnati Reds. |
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07-19-21 | Orioles v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -112 | 16 h 31 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Orioles won at Kansas City both Saturday and Sunday. They are 4-7 off back-to-back wins and 17-32 on the road this season. American League East rival Tampa Bay Rays took two of three in Atlanta over the weekend, and now they return home to Tropicana Field where they are 23-8 on the season. Baltimore Spenser Watkins has compiled a 1.74 ERA in three outings on the season, but that's over only 10 1/3 innings of work. Tampa Bay left-hander Ryan Yarbrough (6-3, 4.30 ERA) is 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA over his last three starts. The Rays have won each of the previous six meetings this season (5-1 against the runline) while outscoring the Orioles 48-21. This should be another blowout win for the Rays.  10* play on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5. |
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07-19-21 | Twins v. White Sox -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
MONDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Twins hand the ball to rookie right-hander Griffin Jax (1-1, 8.66 ERA) for his second start and sixth outing in the big leagues. Jax made his first start on July 3 when he was lit up with six runs on eight hits in five innings at Kansas City. The White Sox are a solid 33-15 at home and 26-15 against the runline as home favorives. Lance Lynn (9-3, 2.08 ERA) is 6-2 with a 1.68 ERA at Guaranteed Rate Field. 8* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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07-18-21 | Indians v. A's -161 | 4-2 | Loss | -161 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
SUNDAY AFTERNOON MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The A's disappointed as a home favorite on Saturday, but I like them to bounce back and come through for us in the finale of this series. Cleveland righty Zach Plesac (4-3, 4.31 ERA) has posted a 6.75 ERA through his last three starts while serving up six homers through just under 15 innings of work. This will be Plesac's first career starts against the A's who counter with Chris Bassitt. Bassitt (10-2, 3.28 ERA) is having a great year, and his ERA drops to 2.55 home at RingCentral Coliseum. Cleveland is averaging only 3.89 runs per nine innings against right-handers on the road. 8* play on Oakland Athletics. |
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07-18-21 | Mariners v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
MARINERS @ ANGELS TOTAL The Angels and the Mariners have split a couple of games here at Angel Stadium following the All-Star break, and I think we're getting a great price on visiting Seattle as a dog in the finale of this three-game set. Mariners' rookie right-hander Logan Gilbert (3-2, 3.51 ERA) has been very comfortable away from home, coming into this contest with a 2-0 record and a 2.04 ERA in four road starts. He held the Angels to one run on two hits with seven strikeouts in five innings back in June. Angels' lefty Patrick Sandoval (2-3, 3.72 ERA) is 0-2 with a 2.65 ERA in three career starts against the Mariners. No doubt a solid ERA but, but has yet to beat Seattle, and we can note that Sandoval is 1-6 with a 3.76 ERA in 16 career appearances, 12 starts, at Angel Stadium. In addition to Seattle winning the game, I also think we'll see plenty of runs scored from both sides. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-18-21 | Giants -118 v. Cardinals | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB MONEYLINE GAME OF THE WEEK The Giants are a solid 28-20 on the road in 2021 and they are 8-1 in their last nine during game 3 of a series. The Cardinals are 1-8 in their last 9 Sunday games. Giants' right-hander Johnny Cueto (6-5, 4.15 ERA) has been roughed up in his last two starts, but here he'll face a Cards' team that is averaging only 4.09 runs per game (27th) and Cueto is backed up by a strong bullpen. The Cards' relievers have combined for a 4.41 ERA (18th) and starter Wade LeBlanc (0-2, 4.78 ERA) has struggled to pitch deep into the games. In his last start, LeBlanc allowed three runs on five hits and three walks in three innings. The Giants are batting .254 while averaging 5.29 runs per nine innings when away from home against left-handers. 10* play on San Francisco Giants. |
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07-18-21 | Astros v. White Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 101 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK This contest will feature two of the best offenses in baseball, but I still think this will turn into a pitchers' duel. Astros' left-hander Framber Valdez (5-1, 2.98 ERA) hast posted a 2.03 ERA on the road in 2021, and in two career appearances versus the White Sox, Valdez is 1-0 with a 1.86 ERA. White Sox lefty Carlos Rodon (7-3, 2.31 ERA) has been outstanding this year pretty much no matter the location. Rodon has made six career starts against Houston through which he has compiled a stellar 1.83 ERA. 10* play on UNDER. |
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07-18-21 | Rangers v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
MLB BOOKIE BU$TER The Texas Rangers are only 13-31 on the road and the team has lost eight of left-hander Kolby Allard's (2-6, 3.69 ERA) starts overall. Toronto lefty Hyun Jin Ryu (8-5, 3.56 ERA) held Texas to only two runs in seven innings earlier this season. |
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07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns -3.5 | Top | 123-119 | Loss | -109 | 43 h 25 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA FINALS GAME 5 BOOKIE BREAKER The Bucks have tied the series following two wins home at Milwaukee, but now they're back on the road where the Bucks have been a very different team all year. They did not stand much of a chance in either of the first two games here at Phoenix Suns Arena, and I expect history to repeat itself in Game 5. Bucks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite. 10* play on Phoenix Suns. |
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07-17-21 | Orioles v. Royals -150 | 8-4 | Loss | -150 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
ORIOLES @ ROYALS 8* BOOKIE BU$TER The Orioles are an atrocious 15-32 on the road this season. KC righty Brady Singer (3-6, 4.52 ERA) has been pitching a lot better at home (3.99 ERA) than on the road (5.25 ERA), and Singer has posted a 3.21 ERA through his last three starts. The Royals opened this series with a 9-2 victory and this should be another win for the home team. 8* play on Kansas City. |
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07-17-21 | Indians v. A's -165 | 3-2 | Loss | -165 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK - OAKLAND Oakland opened the second half of the season with a 5-4 win, and I like them to pick up another win against the Tribe on Saturday. The Indians have lost six of Cal Quantrill's (1-2, 4.23 ERA) last eight starts and the right-hander is 0-2 with a 6.14 ERA on the road. The A's have won five of left-hander Sean Manaea's last nine starts, and Manaea is boasting a solid 3.28 ERA on the season. Manaea is 4-2 with a 3.34 ERA at home and he is 3-0 with a 1.71 ERA in three career starts against Cleveland. 8* play on Oakland. |
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07-16-21 | Rays v. Braves -125 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE I like the Braves to come out firing here following the All-Star break. Braves' righty Charlie Morton (8-3, 3.64 ERA) is 5-1 home at Truist Park on the season. In five career starts against the Rays, Morton has posted a 3.23 ERA. Tampa Bay righty Michael Wacha (2-2, 4.87 ERA) has an 0-4 record to go with a 4.71 ERA in seven career appearances, five of them starts, against Atlanta. Wacha is 1-2 with a 5.76 on the road in 2021. 10* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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07-14-21 | Suns v. Bucks -4 | 103-109 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
SUNS @ BUCKS NBA FINALS GAME 4 BOOKIE BREAKER The Milwaukee Bucks did not stand much of a chance in the first two games of the NBA Finals at Phoenix, but they bounced back with a dominant 120-100 home win in Game 3. While I do think Phoenix is the more talented team and the one to clinch the title eventually, winning in Milwaukee is not an easy task. The Bucks are 7-1 SU as home favorites in the playoffs and they have covered the spread in three straight games as home favorites. I like them to tie the series with another win SU and ATS on Wednesday. 8* play on Milwaukee Bucks. |
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07-11-21 | Suns v. Bucks -4 | Top | 100-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* SUNS @ BUCKS GAME 3 BOOKIE BREAKER The Phoenix Suns have opened the NBA Finals with a couple of double-digit wins, but the oddsmakers are expecting a very different game as the series move to Milwaukee. The Bucks have gone from a 5-point dog on the road to a 4-point home favorite, and I agree as I do exepct to see a big reaction from the team in a 2-0 hole. Giannis Antetokounmpo has also had several days to recover from a hyperextended left knee, and I simply think the desperation from the home team will give them a result. 10* play on Milwaukee Bucks. |
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07-11-21 | A's -132 v. Rangers | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
MLB 5-PACK OAKLAND Texas left-hander Kolby Allard (2-5, 3.45 ERA) is struggling. The team has lost six of his last seven starts and he is 0-3 with a 6.23 ERA through his last three starts. Oakland righty Chris Bassitt (9-2, 3.41 ERA) is having a great year. He is 5-0 on the road and the A's are 10-1 as favorites with Bassitt on the mound this year. 8* play on Oakland. |
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07-11-21 | Yankees v. Astros -142 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY Good spot to back the Houston Astros to bounce back from a couple of shut-out losses to the Yankees. Now they'll face Jameson Taillon (4-4, 5.05 ERA) who is 1-3 with a hideous 8.25 ERA on the road this season. Atros Framber Valdez (5-1, 2.86 ERA) is 2-0 with a 3.52 ERA at home. While I like the Astros to win, I think it'll be done behind solid pitching rather than their bats catching fire, which is why I also like the under. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
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07-11-21 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 9 | 7-8 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK TOTAL Good spot to back the Houston Astros to bounce back from a couple of shut-out losses to the Yankees. Now they'll face Jameson Taillon (4-4, 5.05 ERA) who is 1-3 with a hideous 8.25 ERA on the road this season. Atros Framber Valdez (5-1, 2.86 ERA) is 2-0 with a 3.52 ERA at home. While I like the Astros to win, I think it'll be done behind solid pitching rather than their bats catching fire, which is why I also like the under. 8* play on UNDER. |
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07-11-21 | Braves v. Marlins -105 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK SIDE The Atlanta Braves have won the first two games of this series, but I think they'll be denied the sweep here on Sunday. Miami righty Pablo Lopez (4-5, 2.94 ERA) has been a hard luck loser at times, but the team has won four of his last six starts. We can also note that Lopez won't have to worry about Rondald Acuna Jr. who tore the ACL in his right knee on Saturday. The Braves hand the ball to Ian Anderson (5-4, 3.27 ERA). The team has lost six of his last eight starts. 8* play on Miami Marlins. |
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07-10-21 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
YANKEES @ ASTROS MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Houston Astros have seen each of their last three and five of their last six go under the total, including a 4-0 loss to the Yankees on Friday. They got only three hits against Nestor Cortes Jr. and three relievers, and now they'll face a much tougher starting pitcher in Gerrit Cole (8-4, 2.91 ERA). The Astros still have a good chance of winning the game though as they trot out Zack Greinke (8-4, 2.91 ERA), but my money is on the under as I expect a low-scoring pitchers duel. 10* play on UNDER. |
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07-10-21 | Phillies v. Red Sox -141 | 11-2 | Loss | -141 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK #1 The Boston Red Sox defeated Philly 11-5 on Friday to improve to 28-17 home at Fenway Park this season. The Phillies fell to 18-28 on the road. Boston left-hander Martin Perez (7-4, 3.89 ERA) has allowed a total of only four runs through his last four starts, all Red Sox wins. Phillies' lefty Matt Moore (0-1, 5.60 ERA) is coming off a couple of solid starts, but the Red Sox are swinging hot bats and I think they'll do plenty of damage off Moore. Note that the Red Sox are averaging 6.36 runs per nine innings against southpaws home at Fenway. 8* play on Boston Red Sox. |
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07-10-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
*BIG BET ALERT* AL RUNLINE GAME OF THE MONTH - 10* TOP PLAY The Chicago White Sox are riding a three-game winning streak after putting a 12-1 beating on Baltimore on Friday. Now they'll get to tee off versus Thomas Eshelman (0-1, 7.16 ERA) who has made just four starts on the season. Last time out, Eshelman was tagged with four runs on seven hits in just four innings against the Angels. White Sox left-hander Lucas Giolito (6-6, 4.20 ERA) is having somewhat of a disappointing year, but note that the Orioles have been held to two or fewer runs in three of their last five games. The Orioles are 12-19 against the runline when facing a left-handed starter. 10* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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07-10-21 | Nationals v. Giants -1.5 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK #2 The San Francisco Giants are a solid 28-13 home at Oracle Park. Right-hander Anthony DeSclafani (9-3, 2.84 ERA) has been pitching very well all season, and the team has won six of his last seven starts. Nats' lefty Jon Lester (2-3, 5.34 ERA) is not having a good year, and he is 0-2 with a 7.08 ERA on the road. 8* play on San Francisco Giants -1.5. |
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07-09-21 | Angels v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
LATE-NIGHT ANGELS @ MARINERS BAILOUT TOP PLAY The Angels are 51-34-1 to the over on the season. Right-hander Alex Cobb (6-3, 4.60 ERA) has a 6.41 ERA in 10 career starts against the Mariners and he gave up five runs in seven innings against them back in June. Seattle left-hander Marco Gonzales (1-5, 5.82 ERA) gave up six runs in 3 1/3 innings against Texas in his last start. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-09-21 | Royals v. Indians -136 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
3-PACK - ROYALS @ INDIANS The Cleveland Indians are 17-5 SU with a +28.4% ROI as home favorites in 2021. Cleveland right-hander Triston McKenzie (1-3, 6.38 ERA) has ugly numbers, but so does KC righty Brad Keller (6-9, 6.39 ERA) as well and the team has lost each of his last six starts. 8* play on Cleveland Indians. |
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07-09-21 | White Sox -131 v. Orioles | 12-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
TGIF MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The Chicago White Sox have answered a three-game losing streak with back-to-back wins. I like them to keep the streak going when visiting Baltimore for the opener of a three-game series on Friday. White Sox left-hander Dallas Keuchel (6-3, 4.48 ERA) is 4-2 with a 3.23 ERA in nine starts against the Orioles. Baltimore right-hander Jorge Lopez (2-11, 6.02 ERA) is 1-2 with a 5.48 career ERA in four appearances (three starts) versus the White Sox. 8* play on Chicago White Sox. |
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07-09-21 | Cardinals v. Cubs -154 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
EARLY CARDS @ CUBS MLB BOOKIE BU$TER The Chicago Cubs are a solid 27-16 home at Wrigley Field this season. Right-hander Kyle Hendricks (10-4, 3.83 ERA) has allowed only one run through 12 innings in his last two home starts combined and he is 5-2 with a 2.98 ERA in matinee starts this year. Cards' left-hander Wade LeBlanc (0-1, 4.24 ERA) has pitched only 23 1/3 innings this year, mixing starts with work out of the bullpen. LeBlanc is coming off a couple of decent outings, but note that the Cubs are averaging 7.32 runs per nine innings against left-handers home at Wrigley. 8* play on Chicago Cubs. |
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07-08-21 | Bucks v. Suns -5 | Top | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 42 h 46 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* BUCKS @ SUNS NBA FINALS GAME 2 BOOKIE BREAKER Game 1 of this series told us a lot. I thought the Bucks could hang around with the Suns, but that won't happen unless Giannis is fully healthy. He'll get some more time to rest up his knee for Game 2 of the series, but I think the Bucks will have to focus on defending their home court next up rather than winning this one. 10* play on Phoenix Suns. |
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07-07-21 | Phillies v. Cubs +129 | 3-8 | Win | 129 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
PHILLIES @ CUBS MLB BOOKIE BU$TER I like the Chicago Cubs as an underdog at home with Alec Mills (3-2, 4.85 ERA) on the mound. Mills is 3-0 with a 2.20 ERA home at Wrigley Field on the season and the Cubs as a team are 26-15 at home. The Phillies are only 17-26 on the road and even though Zack Wheeler (6-4, 2.05 ERA) is having a great year, I don't think they deserve to be this kind of favorite. 8* play on Chicago Cubs. |
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07-07-21 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 30 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY WHITE SOX @ TWINS TOTAL BOOKIE BA$HER The White Sox and the Twins combined for only five runs last night. This looks like it should be another pitchers duel. White Sox right-hander Lance Lynn (8-3, 2.13 ERA) has allowed only one run on four hits with 13 Ks over nine innings in his last two starts combined. Twins' right-hander Michael Pineda (3-4, 3.70 ERA) gave up three runs in four innings of a 14-3 home loss to Houston last time out, but he's still the owner of a solid 3.16 ERA home at Target Field this year. 8* play on UNDER. |
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07-07-21 | Braves -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 14-3 | Win | 103 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY TOP-RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER Good spot to back the Braves to bounce back from a pair of losses at Pittsburgh. Atlanta has put up a total of only two runs in the series so far, but now they'll get a look at Pirates' righy Wil Crowe (1-5, 6.26 ERA) who gave up four runs in five-plus innings when he took on the Braves back in May. Atlanta hands the ball to left-hander Drew Smyly (6-3, 4.42 ERA) who has won four straight decisions. 10* play on Atlanta Braves -1.5. |
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07-06-21 | Yankees -150 v. Mariners | 12-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
TUESDAY NIGHT MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The New York Yankees have been going through a rough stretch, but I like them as a road favorite at Seattle on Tuesday. Seattle left-hander Justus Sheffield (5-7, 5.88 ERA) has been tagged with 18 runs over his last four starts, and he is 0-1 with a 10.38 in one career start against the Bronx Bombers The Yankees hand the ball to right-hander Jameson Taillon (3-4, 5.43 ERA) who is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in one start against Seattle, and the Yankees have won each of his last two starts. 8* play on New York Yankees. |
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07-06-21 | Bucks +6 v. Suns | 105-118 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
BUCKS @ SUNS NBA FINALS GAME 1 BOOKIE BREAKER Favorites have dominated against the spread so far in the playoffs, but I like the dogs in Game 1 of the NBA Finals. Sure, the Bucks will most likely be without their superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo (left knee) here in the opener, but this is a team with good depth and plenty of scoring options. Additionally, we can note that Phoenix is 2-3 ATS in its last five games while the Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five. 8* play on Milwaukee Bucks. |
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07-06-21 | White Sox v. Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
TOP-RATED AL CENTRAL MLB TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR The Chicago White Sox have seen each of their last eight games go over the total and the Twins are 52-27-4 to the over on the season. Twins right-hander Jose Berrios (7-2, 3.52 ERA) has allowed three runs or more in three of this last five starts. He has a 3.86 ERA at home this season. White Sox left-hander Carlos Rodon (6-3, 2.37 ERA) is having a great year, but the Twins scored four runs off him in an 8-5 Chicago win last week. The first two games of this series have seen 11 and 13 runs scored respectively. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-05-21 | Phillies v. Cubs -137 | 13-3 | Loss | -137 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
PHILLIES @ CUBS MONDAY NIGHT MLB BOOKIE BU$TER
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07-05-21 | Indians v. Rays -1.5 | 8-9 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
MONDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER *NO-BRAINER* The Cleveland Indians are heading into the week as losers of five straight games while the Tampa Bay Rays snapped a five-game skid of their own with a 5-1 win at Toronto on Sunday. Rays' left-hander Rich Hill (6-3, 3.70 ERA) is 3-2 with a 3.50 ERA at home in 2021, and he held teh Red Sox to one run on three hits through five innings of an 8-2 win in his last home start. Left-hander Logan Allen (1-5, 8.38 ERA) will take the ball for the Tribe. He gave up five runs (three earned) in two innings of a 10-3 loss at Cleveland in his lone road start of the season. 8* play on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5. |
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07-05-21 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Marlins | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* DODGERS @ MARLINS MLB BOOKIE BREAKER Miami left-hander Trevor Rogers (7-5, 2.14 ERA) is having a great year, but he still has five losses to his name due to poor run support. Miami is averaging only 4.06 runs per game (28th), and its offense should be no match for Dodgers' starter Walker Buehler (8-1, 2.35 ERA) who has been particularly hot of late, posting aa 1.53 ERA through nine straight quality starts. 10* play on LA Dodgers -1.5. |
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07-04-21 | Orioles v. Angels -1.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
SUNDAY AFTERNOON MLB RUNLINE RIPPER *NO-BRAINER* The Orioles have lost 24 of their last 28 on the road. Baltimore righty Thomas Eshelman (0-1, 6.57 ERA) has made only three starts in 2021, and his numbrs are ugly with nine runs allowed on 16 hits and five walks against only four strikeouts over 12 1/3 innings of work.  Angels' left-hander Patrick Sandoval (2-2, 3.89 ERA) has posted a 3.46 ERA with 31 Ks over 26 innings at home. 8* play on Los Angeles Angels -1.5. |
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07-04-21 | Cardinals v. Rockies -150 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Rockies are proper fade material on the road, but they're 30-17 home at Coors Field. German Marquez (7-6, 3.62 ERA) is 6-1 with a 3.06 ERA at home on the season while Cards' Carlos Martinez (4-9, 6.38 ERA) is 1-6 with a 7.52 ERA away from home. 8* play on Colorado Rockies. |
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07-04-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays -156 | 5-1 | Loss | -156 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK Tampa Bay left-hander Ryan Yarbrough (4-3, 4.48 ERA) hsa allowed 12 runs on 21 hits through 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts combined. The Rays lost each of those three games. Toronto left-hander Robbie Ray (6-3, 3.43 ERA) fanned 10 through six innings of a 9-3 win at Seattle last time out. The team has won four of his last six starts and Ray is 4-1 with a 3.22 ERA at Sahlen Field. 8* play on Toronto Blue Jays. |
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07-03-21 | Giants -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK ALERT - NATIONAL LEAGUE RUNLINE MAJOR WAGER The Giants are 25-19 on the road while the D'Backs are only 13-25 at home (7-20 as underdogs). Giants left-hander Sam Long (1-1, 4.95 ERA) gave up four runs on five hits in five innings against Arizona on June 15, but that was just his second career outing and I expect Long to do better this time around. We can also note that San Francisco still won that game 9-8 and that Long has a solid 19 strikeouts against six walks in his first four appearances covering 20 innings of work. Diamondbacks righty Jake Faria (0-0, 3.38 ERA) will be making just his fifth outing of the season (second start). I don't trust him to slow downa Giants team that put up 11 runs in Friday's matchup. The Giants have won seven of eight meetings this season. 10* play on San Francisco Giants. |
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07-03-21 | Padres -155 v. Phillies | 2-4 | Loss | -155 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
SATURDAY AFTERNOON MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE Good spot to back the Padres to bounce back from a pair of losses, the most recent a 4-3 setback here at Philadelphia on Friday. San Diego right-hander Yu Darvish (7-2, 2.44 ERA) is having a stellar year, and he has allowed only two runs on eight hits with 18 Ks through 12 innings in his last two starts combined. Darvish is an undefeated 2-0 with a 3.18 ERA on the road in 2021. Phillies' righty Zach Eflin (2-6, 4.20 ERA) is having what must be considered a pretty average year for him. He's struggled recently though with 10 runs allowed over 16 innings of work his last three starts. 8* play on San Diego Padres. |
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07-03-21 | Marlins v. Braves -118 | 3-2 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK - BRAVES Braves' rookie left-hander Kyle Muller (1-1, 2.70 ERA) struck out nine through five scoreless innings of one-hit ball against Cincinnati last time out. I have no doubt he'll be able to handle a Miami team that is batting only .205 while averaging 3.57 runs per game against left-handers away from home. The Braves are averaging 5.71 runs per game home at Truist Park and they should have no trouble putting runs on the board against righty Sandy Alcantara (4-7, 3.12 ERA) and a depleted Marlins bullpen. 8* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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07-02-21 | Red Sox v. A's -101 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -101 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
LATE-NIGHT MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The Boston Red Sox are red hot riding a seven-game winning streak, but I think they're about to run into trouble in Okland Friday night. Red Sox left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez (6-4, 5.83 ERA) is coming off some solid outings, but note his ugly 6.24 ERA on the road and the A's are 22-11 against left-handed starters in 2021. Frankie Montas (7-7, 4.72 ERA) will take the ball for Oakland. He has allowed two runs in four of his last three starts. 8* play on Oakland Athletics. |
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07-01-21 | Giants -136 v. Diamondbacks | 3-5 | Loss | -136 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
LATE-NIGHT NATIONAL LEAGUE SHOWDOWN The Arizona Diamondbacks are in an absolute free fall, having lost 24 of their last 26 games. D'Backs righty Merrill Kelly (4-7, 4.73 ERA) is coming off a pair of solid starts, but note that he was tagged with four runs in three innings of a 13-7 loss to San Francisco on June 16. The Giants hand the ball to right-hander Johnny Cueto (6-3, 3.63 ERA) who held Oakland to five hits through seven scoreless innings last time out. The team has won five of his last seven starts. 8* play on San Francisco Giants. |
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07-01-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -129 | Top | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
EASTERN CONFERENCE PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE YEAR (SIDE) The Atlanta Hawks rallied the troops to beat Milwaukee and tie the series at 2-2 on Tuesday. Very impressive considering as they closed as an 8.5-point dog and did it despite playing without team leader Trae Young who is listed as questionable for this game. Now the Bucks will try to take back momentum, maybe without Giannis Antetokounmpo who is listed as doubtful after hyperextending a knee in the third quarter of Game 4. So we have a Hawks team off a huge 110-88 win which surely must have taken its toll both physically and emotionally. Now they can breath a bit instead of facing an elimination game. The Bucks on the other hand must be extremely disappointed with their last outing. Classic zig-zac situation as I expect to see a big reaction from the home team following a really poor showing. Fear the deer, with our without Giannis on the court. 10* play on Milwaukee Bucks. |
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07-01-21 | Astros -1.5 v. Indians | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
ASTROS @ INDIANS MLB BOOKIE BA$HER Indians rookie right-hander J.C. Mejia (1-2, 4.94 ERA) is in a less than ideal spot as his scheduled start against Detroit on Tuesday was postponed. In his last four starts, Mejia has been tagged with 13 earned runs over just 15 2/3 innings of work. The Astros have lost five of their last six games, but they should get an easy W here with left-hander Framber Valdez (4-1, 2.11 ERA) on the mound. Valdez is 2-1 with a 2.21 ERA on the road in 2021 and the team has won four of his six starts on the year, covering the runline in all but one of the wins. 8* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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07-01-21 | Dodgers -131 v. Nationals | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE *NO-BRAINER* The Washington Nationals are coming into this series riding a four-game winning streak, but the LA Dodgers are even hotter with five straight wins. Washington left-hander Patrick Corbin (5-6, 5.33 ERA) is having a rough year, especially under the lights where he has posted a 6.14 ERA over 36 2/3 innings of work. The Dodgers are 13-8 against left-handed starters on the season. The Dodgers hand the ball to right-hander Tony Gonsolin (0-0, 2.77 ERA) who is being eased into the rotation after dealing with fatigue. He has allowed only one run in each of his four starts in 2021, including in a one-hit, seven strikeout four-inning outing against the Cubs on June 25. The Dodgers are a perfect 3-0 against the Nets this season, and I expect them to make it 4-0. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers. |
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07-01-21 | Brewers -1.5 v. Pirates | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
BREWERS @ PIRATES MLB BOOKIE BU$TER Pirates' starter Wil Crowe (1-4, 6.50 ERA) is getting roughed up in just about every start. His last outing was no different when he gave up four runs on eight hits (two homers) in five innings at St. Louis. The team has lost six of his last nine starts, covering the runline in only one of the losses. Milwaukee right-hander Corbin Burnes (3-4, 2.53 ERA) is having a solid year, and he's 3-0 with a 3.19 ERA in 15 appearances (three starts) against the Pirates. 8* play on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5. |
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07-01-21 | Twins v. White Sox -135 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
EARLY MLB *ACE IN THE HOLE* The Minnesota Twins hand the ball to their ace Jose Berrios (7-2, 3.41 ERA), but they're only 5-11 as road dogs in 2021. The White Sox turn to Carlos Rodon (6-3, 2.06 ERA) who is having a terrific year. They're 8-4 as favorites with Rodon on the mound on the season and they're going for the sweep here after winning the first two games of the series. For the year, they're 7-1 against Minnesota. So in this instance, I recommend fading the Minnesota ace Berrios and roll with the home team. 8* play on Chicago White Sox. |
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06-30-21 | Suns -102 v. Clippers | Top | 130-103 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show |
SUNS @ CLIPPERS GAME 6 NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Los Angeles Clippers survived an elimination game a couple of days ago when they came up with a huge 116-102 road victory in Phoenix. They still find themselves in a 3-2 hole, and I don't think the Clippers will escape elimination this time around despite homecourt advantage here in Game 6. The Suns found themselves in an early hole last time out, but I don't see coach Monty Williams allowing that to happen again. "The desperation has to be there. That's the deal," Williams said. "Just because you have a lead in the series doesn't mean you can show up and they're going to give it to you. We have to understand that, and I think we do now. We will be better when we show up the next time we play." The Clippers sure looked like a team playing for its postseason life last time out, but can they bring the same intensity two games a row? The Suns responded with a lockdown defense performance in Game 4 after losing Game 3, and I expect them to bounce back with a big outing again. 10* play on Phoenix Suns. |
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06-30-21 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 215 | 130-103 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
SUNS @ CLIPPERS TOTAL The Los Angeles Clippers survived an elimination game a couple of days ago when they came up with a huge 116-102 road victory in Phoenix. They still find themselves in a 3-2 hole, and I don't think the Clippers will escape elimination this time around despite homecourt advantage here in Game 6. The Suns found themselves in an early hole last time out, but I don't see coach Monty Williams allowing that to happen again. "The desperation has to be there. That's the deal," Williams said. "Just because you have a lead in the series doesn't mean you can show up and they're going to give it to you. We have to understand that, and I think we do now. We will be better when we show up the next time we play." The Clippers sure looked like a team playing for its postseason life last time out, but can they bring the same intensity two games a row? The Suns responded with a lockdown defense performance in Game 4 after losing Game 3, and I expect them to bounce back with a big outing again. In addition to Phoenix closing out the series, I also like the under as I think they'll make it a lot harder for their opponent to get open looks in this one. 8* play on UNDER. |
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06-30-21 | Angels +122 v. Yankees | 11-8 | Win | 122 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
3-PACK - ANGELS The New York Yankees are only 21-17 as home favorites on the season and fading them in those games would have generated a +13% ROI. Angels' righty Shohei Ohtani (3-1, 2.58 ERA) held the Giants to one run and six hits in six innings in his last start, and he has not allowed more than two runs in any of his last four starts. Yankees' right-hander Domingo German (4-5, 4.32 ERA) has allowed a total of 14 runs through 12 1/3 innings in his last three starts combined. The Yankees are just 3-3 as home favorites with German on the mound in 2021. 8* play on Los Angeles Angels. |
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06-30-21 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
EARLY NATIONAL LEAGUE RUNLINE GAME OF THE MONTH The Arizona Diamondbacks are 10-34 SU and 18-26 against the runline on the road in 2021. Arizona right-hander Riley Smith (1-3, 5.71 ERA) was tagged with four runs in just 3 2/3 innings at San Diego in his last start and he has allowed 20 runs over 27 innings for a 6.33 ERA away from home on the season. When Riley has had enough, he'll hand over the ball to one of the worst bullpens in baseball (29th, 5.26 ERA). St. Louis' left-hander Kwang-hyun Kim (1-5, 3.98 ERA) does not have many winning decisions, but his pitching has been decent as he's 1-1 with a 3.54 ERA home at Busch Stadium. 10* play on St. Louis Cardinals. |
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06-29-21 | Giants v. Dodgers -141 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
LATE-NIGHT GIANTS @ DODGERS MLB BOOKIE BREAKER The Los Angeles Dodgers won the opener of this series 3-2 on Monday, and I think they'll win Game 2 as well. Giants' righty Kevin Gausman (8-1, 1.49 ERA) is having a spectacular year, but note that he's 1-2 with a 3.56 ERA in six career outings (five starts) against the Dodgers. Walker Buehler (7-1, 2.51 ERA) will take the ball for the home team for his 10th career appearance and eighth start against the Giants. In previous meetings with SF, Buehler is 5-0 with a 2.51 ERA. 8* play on Los Angeles Dodgers. |
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06-29-21 | Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 219 | 88-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
BUCKS @ HAWKS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The opener of the Eastern Conference Finals saw a total of 229 points scored, but hte last two games have been much lower scoring. Now the Hawks might have to do without star guard Trae Young who is listed as questionable for the crucial contest after injuring his right foot Sunday in Game 3. Young will almost certainly be limited (if he even takes the floor), which will hurt the Hawks production badly. I expect defense to rule this game, and I'm very happy to back the under at this number. 8* play on UNDER. |
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06-29-21 | Mets v. Braves -151 | 4-3 | Loss | -151 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
TUESDAY NIGHT MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE *NO-BRAINER* The Atlanta Braves had Monday off while the NY Mets opened the week with an 8-4 loss at Washington. Mets' rookie right-hander Tylor MeGill (0-0, 4.15 ERA) will be making just his second start in his career while the Braves counter with reliable veteran Charlie Morton (7-3, 3.68 ERA). It's worth noting that MeGill's first start also came against the Braves when he limited them to a pair of runs through 4 1/3 innings on June 23, but I think they'll have him figured out this time around. Morton dominated the Mets in his last start holding them to one hit with 11 Ks over seven scoreless innings of a 3-0 win. 8* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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06-29-21 | Mets v. Braves UNDER 9 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK TOTAL The Atlanta Braves had Monday off while the NY Mets opened the week with an 8-4 loss at Washington. Mets' rookie right-hander Tylor MeGill (0-0, 4.15 ERA) will be making just his second start in his career while the Braves counter with reliable veteran Charlie Morton (7-3, 3.68 ERA). It's worth noting that MeGill's first start also came against the Braves when he limited them to a pair of runs through 4 1/3 innings on June 23, but I think they'll have him figured out this time around. Morton dominated the Mets in his last start holding them to one hit with 11 Ks over seven scoreless innings of a 3-0 win. In addition to Atlanta winning the game, I also like the under as I think the Mets will struggle big time to put runs on the board. They're averaging only 3.83 runs per game on the season, and Morton clearly owns the Mets. 8* play on UNDER. |
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06-28-21 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 214.5 | Top | 116-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA BOOKIE BREAKER | CLIPPERS @ SUNS BEST BET Game 4 of this series was a defensive struggle finishing with an 84-80 win on the road for the Phoenix Suns. They'll now be looking to close out the series in their own building, and while I sure like Phoenix to win, I would not be surprised if we see this one come down to the last bucket. The spread is really close IMO, but the total looks a bit inflated despite sitting almost eight points lower since the last game here at Suns Arena. These two teams are locked in defensively, and buckets are coming at a premium at every possession. We have seen three straight unders since a 120-114 Phoenix win in the opener, and none of the last three games went over this number. 10* play on UNDER. |
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06-28-21 | Orioles v. Astros -1.5 | 9-7 | Loss | -153 | 17 h 43 m | Show | |
MONDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER *NO-BRAINER* The Houston Astros are the hottest team in baseball, and now we get an opportunity to back them off a rare loss following Sunday's 2-1 setback at Detroit. Now they return home to take on the lowly Baltimore Orioles, and I don't see this ending any other way than a blowout win for the home team. Orioles' starter Thomas Eshelman (0-1, 7.27 ERA) has made only two starts on the season, one against Houston on June 23 when he was tagged with six runs through four innings of a 13-0 loss. Houston hands the ball to Zack Greinke (8-2, 3.56 ERA) who held the Orioles to one run on five hits through 7 1/3 innings in that same series. 8* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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06-28-21 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 7 | Top | 4-14 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Chicago Cubs are 44-29-5 to the under on the season, and the Milwaukee Brewers are 24-9-1 to the under in games with a total lower than eight. We should see a truly low-scoring contest here in the opener of a three-game series between the two division rivals as both teams hand the ball to strong starting pitchers, with Kyle Hendricks (10-4, 3.84 ERA) going up against Freddy Peralta (7-2, 2.11 ERA). Note that Hendricks has a 2.73 ERA in 25 career starts against Milwaukee while Peralta has posted a 3.38 ERA in nine career games against the Cubs. 10* play on UNDER. |
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06-27-21 | Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 224.5 | Top | 113-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT | EASTERN CONF PLAYOFFS TOTAL MAJOR WAGER We won with the Hawks in Game 1 but lost with them in Game 2 in what turned out to be a blowout win for the Bucks. In hindsight, a bad bet on Atlanta as it was an obvious bounce-back spot for the Bucks, who no doubt are the more skilled team. I don't see value on the spread posted for Game 3, but I think the bookmakers got the total all wrong. The two teams combined for 229 points in the opener, but we saw only 216 points in the next game, and I think we'll see lower and lower scoring games as the teams get more familiar with each other and the intensity on the defensive end ramps up.  The Bucks are 8-5 to the under in the playoffs. The Hawks are 10-3-1 to the under in the playoffs. 10* play on UNDER. |
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06-27-21 | Cubs v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
CUBS @ DODGERS NL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off back-to-back wins, but their bats are far from hot. Solid pitching has earned them the Ws, and we are of course more than likely to see more of the same with Clayton Kershaw (8-7, 3.43 ERA) on the mound. The Chicago Cubs have been cold at the plate lately as well, with two or fewer runs scored in seven of their last nine games. 10* play on UNDER. |
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06-27-21 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -122 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
SUNDAY AFTERNOON MLB RUNLINE RIPPER *NO-BRAINER* The Arizona Diamondbacks have not won many road games lately, or games at all for that matter. Last night's 10-1 win here at Petco Park was highly unexpected, and I just don't see the D'Backs coming up with another upset today. Padres' righty Yu Darvish (7-2, 2.50 ERA) is 5-2 with a 2.18 ERA at home on the season. Yarvish is backed up by one of the best bullpens in MLB (2nd, 2.85 ERA). Arizona right-hander Zac Gallen (1-3, 3.67 ERA) has been dealing with injuries all year, and he gave up four runs in just 2/3 innings at San Francisco in his last start away from home. Gallen is averaging five innings per start, and then he'll hand over the ball to one of the worst bullpens in baseball (28th, 5.20 ERA). Expect a humiliated and raging Friars team to win big after getting blown out by the worst team across the major leagues on Saturday. 8* play on San Diego Padres. |
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06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers +104 | 84-80 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
SUNS @ CLIPPERS GAME 4 NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Phoenix Suns came out completely flat in a 106-92 loss to the LA Clippers in Game 3. Phoenix star Devin Booker was held to 15 points as he was adjusting to playing with a plastic face guard after sustaining a broken nose in Game 2, and I think Booker will be in for another tough game. While I like Phoenix to win the series eventually, I do like the Clippers to take Game 4 and tie the score. 8* play on Los Angeles Clippers. |
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06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 218.5 | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
3-PACK The Phoenix Suns came out completely flat in a 106-92 loss to the LA Clippers in Game 3. Phoenix star Devin Booker was held to 15 points as he was adjusting to playing with a plastic face guard after sustaining a broken nose in Game 2, and I think Booker will be in for another tough game. While I like Phoenix to win the series eventually, I do like the Clippers to take Game 4 and tie the score. In addition the the Clippers winning the game, I also like the under as I see Suns' banged up stars struggling with their shooting. 8* play on UNDER. |
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06-25-21 | Hawks +8 v. Bucks | Top | 91-125 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* HAWKS @ BUCKS GAME 2 BOOKIE BREAKER This was my write-up for picking the Hawks in Game 1: "I must admit that I was quite surprised to see the Atlanta Hawks beat the Philadelphia 76ers in a playoff series, but now they have my attention. After Atlanta's outrigh win in the opener, are we now supposed to fear the deer and back the Bucks in a blowout? Yes and no IMO. While a desperate Milwaukee team should win this one straigth up, this is still way too many to give Atlanta.Â
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06-25-21 | Pirates v. Cardinals -160 | 5-4 | Loss | -160 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
FRIDAY NIGHT MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE *NO-BRAINER* The Pittsburgh Pirates put an 8-2 beating on the Cards on Thursday. They're still averaging an MLB-worst 3.74 runs per game, and I don't see their bats making up for all the runs Wil Crowe (0-4, 6.42 ERA) is likely to give up. St. Louis hands the ball to Kwang-hyun Kim (1-5, 3.60 ERA) who has allowed only two runs over 10 innings in his last two starts combined, and the left-hander has a posted a 2.66 ERA home at Busch Stadium on the season. Pittsburgh is averaging an abysmal 2.21 runs per nine innings against left-handers on the road. 8* play on St. Louis Cardinals. |
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06-25-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 10 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The over is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings at Fenway Park, and this double-digit number does not scare me. Note that Boston left-hander Martin Perez (5-4, 4.32 ERA) has a 7.92 ERA in seven starts against the Bronx Bombers while righty Domingo German (4-4, 4.17 ERA) has a 4.45 ERA in seven games (six starts) versus the Red Sox. The Yankees have been swinging hot bats lately scoring five, six and eight runs in their last three games and Boston is averaging a solid 5.34 runs per game home at Fenway Park. 10* play on OVER. |
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06-24-21 | Suns -115 v. Clippers | Top | 92-106 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 7 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* SUNS @ CLIPPERS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Phoenix Suns stole Game 2 of this series with a final second bucket. How deflating must that loss have been for the Clippers? Sure, they'll be in their own building on Thursday, but note that the Suns are still the favorite according to the bookmakers. Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. We can also note that Chri Paul traveled with the Suns to LA, and he's considered a probable participant. The Clippers meanwhile will once again have to do without their top player, Kawhi Leonard. 10* play on Phoenix Suns. |
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06-24-21 | Astros -1.5 v. Tigers | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
THURSDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Houston Astros are the hottest team in baseball, and they've failed to cover the runline as a favorite in only one of their last 10 games. They should have no trouble scoring runs off Tigers Jose Urena (2-7, 5.79 ERA) who has lost all three of his three starts this month while allowing 17 runs through only 11 innings of work for a hideous 13.91 ERA. Houston right-hander Luis Garcia (5-4, 2.82 ERA) on the other hand has delivered quality starts in four of his past five starts and he has not allowed more than three earned runs in any of his 14 outings. 8* play on Houston Astros. |
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06-24-21 | A's -138 v. Rangers | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
EARLY MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE *NO-BRAINER* The Oakland Athletics have won only one of their last five games, but I like the A's to come through as a road favorite at Texas Thursday afternoon. They're 7-1 in right-hander Chris Bassitt's (7-2, 3.40 ERA) eight away starts on the season and he has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 11 of 15 starts in 2021. Texas left-hander Kolby Allard (2-2, 2.93 ERA) is having a strong year, but note his 0-2 record with an 11.37 ERA in two career starts against the A's. 8* play on Oakland Athetlics. |
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06-23-21 | Dodgers v. Padres -109 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
LATE-NIGHT DODGERS @ PADRES TOP PLAY The San Diego Padres have won six in a row and will now look to complete the sweep of this three-game series against the LA Dodgers. Dodgers' right-hander Trevor Bauer (7-5, 2.45 ERA) is coming off seven scoreless innings against the D'Backs, but he had allowed 3, 3 and 4 runs in his last three starts prior to that outing. The team has lost seven of Bauer's 10 starts away from home in 2021. Padres' righty Joe Musgrove (4-6, 2.28 ERA) has been brilliant all season and he has allowed zero runs in four of his last six starts. The team is 4-2 as home favorites with Musgrove on the mound in 2021. 10* play on San Diego Padres. |
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06-23-21 | Hawks +8 v. Bucks | 116-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
HAWKS @ BUCKS ECF GAME 1 BOOKIE BREAKER I must admit that I was quite surprised to see the Atlanta Hawks beat the Philadelphia 76ers in a playoff-series, but now they have my attention. Could the Hawks be this season's Cinderella team, like Miami was in 2020? I really don't think the Milwaukee Bucks would be here if not for the Nets getting depleted by injuries, and the Bucks still needed seven games to get past them. Bucks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and this is way too many points to spot an underrated Atlanta team that has shown a tremendous never-say-die attitude. 8* play on Atlanta Hawks. |
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