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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-08-24 | Purdue +6.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 60-75 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 31 m | Show |
10* Purdue (GOM) The Boilermakers beat No. 11 NC State 63-60 and we're thinking that they'll give the Tourney defending champs a run for their money here. UConn pulled away for the 86-72 win over Alabama. Zach Edey is a beast, so far averaging 28 points and 15.4 boards through the five tournament games. Overall the Boilermakers average 82.9 PPG, while the Big East champs averaged 81.6. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Purdue! AAA Sports |
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04-06-24 | NC State v. Purdue -9 | Top | 50-63 | Win | 100 | 124 h 55 m | Show |
10* Purdue (SIDE WINNER) NC State has been the Cinderella team so far in the NIT, is not in all of College Basketball right now. That said, we think this Fairy Tale run is about to come to an end. Purdue, led by Zach Edey though will prove to be just too strong now we feel. Despite hitting just 3-of-15 3-pointers, the Boilermakers held on for the 72-66 win over the Vols, and we expect a much more efficient game this time around. NC State is led by big man DJ Burns, who has been phenomenal and who has put his name on the map, but Purdue's depth will finally be just too much for NC State to handle. Purdue ranks among the nation's best in several offensive categories and we expect the Boilermakers to keep foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Purdue! AAA Sports |
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04-02-24 | Utah +3.5 v. Indiana State | Top | 90-100 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
10* Utah (CBB GAME OF THE WEEK) In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Utah has defeated UC Irvine, Iowa, and VCU, while Indiana State got by SMU, Minnesota and Cincinnati. The Utes have a 7-foott 220-pound center in Branden Carlson and we feel he'll be the difference-maker in this one. Overall the Utes rank 49th in offensive efficiency and 36th in defensive efficiency. Indiana State ranks 16th in offensive efficiency, and 109th in defensive efficiency. At this point of the tournament, and considering that it's now finally shifted to a completely neutral venue at MSG, the old saying that "defense wins championships," could not be more apt in our opinion. Indiana State is now more popular with the public than its ever been, and the bookmakers know that. We're going the other way and grabbing the points, despite believing that Utah will in fact win this one OUTRIGHT! AAA Sports |
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03-30-24 | Illinois +8.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 52-77 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 30 m | Show |
10* Illinois (ELITE 8 GOY) These teams are really evenly matched. Illinois avetrages 84.2 PPG, while allowing 73.2, while UConn averages 81.6, while conceding 63.6. The Illini have been up to every challenge so far and know how to body up against big men. Terrance Shannon Jr. has scored agains the toughest defenses, scoring 30 points against KenPom's No. 1 Iowa State. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Illinois! AAA Sports |
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03-28-24 | Illinois +1.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 29 h 51 m | Show |
10* Illinois (SWEET 16 SIDE OF YEAR) It's the champs from the Big Ten and the Big 12 going head to head here and in this evenly matched contest, we're going to recommend that you grab as many points as you can. Illinois is back in the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2005. On the year the Illini average 84.6 PPG, while conceding 73.4. Iowa State is back in the Sweet 16 for the second time in three years. It averages 75.5 PPG, while allowing 61.2. Iowa State faces its stiffest test yet, and in our opinion, the Illini's efficient scoring will in the end prove to be too much for Iowa State to handle in this one; grab the points, the play is Illinois! AAA Sports |
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03-27-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Norfolk State +1.5 | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
10* Norfolk State (U OF THE U) This is the CIT Championship game and we like Norfolk State to figure out a way to come out on top. Purdue Fort Wayne averages 80.5 PPG this year, while allowing 71.5. The Mastadons though are ranked 408th in the country in rebounding. Norfolk State averages 74.5 PPG, but concedes just 67.6. They rebound a bit better at 315th in the country. They say "defense wins championships," and that saying could not be more apt in our opinion here in this Championship setting. While we clearly feel the outright win is possible, grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on Norfolk State! AAA Sports |
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03-26-24 | Georgia v. Ohio State -8.5 | Top | 79-77 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
10* Ohio State (NIT QUARTERFINAL GOY) We say that home field advantage will prove to be the difference-maker for Ohio State in hit matchup. The Buckeyes ae 13-3 at home all-time in the NIT. Ohio State is off the 81-73 victory over Virginia Tech. Georgia went to Wake Forest and hit 14 three-points in the upset 72-66 victory. Can anyone say "letdown spot" here? The Buckeyes guard the perimeter extremely well, especially at home. Look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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03-25-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne +5.5 v. Tarleton State | Top | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
10* Purdue Fort Wayne (CIT GOY) Tarleton State is the favorite here, but note that it lost two of its last three games of the regular season. Purdue Fort Wayne won its CIT opener 77-75 on the road over Bowling Green, a 12-point half-time lead proving crucial in the end. The Mastodons average 80.8 PPG, while conceding 71.5. Jalen Jackson averages 16.2 PPG. Tarleton State cruised to an 86-59 win over Abiline Christian. The Mastodons are good on the road, 9-7 so far. Yes, Tarleton State is 13-3 at home, but we don't see the visitors going down without a fight, as this one is very evenly matched. Outright upset again for Purdue Fort Wayne?! Anything is possible, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Purdue Fort Wayne! AAA Sports |
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03-24-24 | Colorado +4 v. Marquette | Top | 77-81 | Push | 0 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
10* Colorado (ASSASSIN) "Momentum" is a very real thing in sports, and the Buffs enter with a ton of it after winning the first two games of the tournament to reach the round of 32. Marquette got the better of Boise State 87-69, but the Broncos were one of the other teams that had to play in the FIRST FOUR and which were clearly much more tired. Fatigue is an issue for both sides now equally in our estimation. Colorado has the edge in the middle anchored by 6-11 265-pound senior center Eddie Lampkin Jr. We feel an outright win is possible, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Colorado! AAA Sports |
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03-23-24 | Oregon v. Creighton -5 | Top | 73-86 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* Creighton (DESTRUCTION) Oregon got by SOuth Carolina, but we're expecting it to have its hands full here with Greg McDermott's Blue Jays. Creighton made the Elite Eight last year and its experiece at this time of year will prove invaluable. The Blue Jays are 8-2 ATS overall in their last ten and their "lights out" three-point shooting will be too much for the Ducks and Dana Altman to keep up to in the Round of 32; lay the points, the play is indeed on Creighton! AAA Sports |
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03-23-24 | Texas +6.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
10* Texas (2ND RND SIDE OF YEAR) Texas may not win this game, but it won't be going down without a fight and because of that, we're indeed expecting an all out battle until the final horn and we'll be grabbing the points. Texas went on to demolish Colorado State in its opening round by a score of 56-44 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Vols went to to demolish Saint Peter's, but we just don't see Rick Barnes team being able to cover this larger spread. The Vols are perennial underachiever, and all signs point to that continuing; grab the points, the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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03-23-24 | Bradley v. Cincinnati -5 | Top | 57-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
10* Cincinnati (ASSASSIN) We feel that Bradley will be overmatched here finally on the road here in this difficult road venue. The Braves are off the 74-62 win over Loyola Chicago to advanced, while the Bearcats held on for the 73-72 OT win over San Francisco. Off that "near disaster," expect the home side to come out razor sharp right from the "get go" this time around. Overall Bradley averages 74.6 PPG, while the Bearcats average 74.6. The NIT is unique in that the early rounds are played at the home teams home arena, and now at this point in the tournament, we say that really does matter. Look for Cincinnati's defense to step up here and to also help in delivering the goods for us ATS; lay the points, the play is Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
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03-22-24 | Colgate +14 v. Baylor | Top | 67-92 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
10* Colgate (BLOCKBUSTER) Outright victory?! We're not calling for that, but we do expect the 25-9 Colgate Red Raiders to give the 23-10 Baylor Bears everything they can handle. The Red Raiders won the Patriot League, while Baylor came in third in the Big 12. Colgate makes its fourth straight NCAA appearance. The Red Raiders are tenth overall in scoring defense this year as well. The Bears are 28th in the country in scoring. So it's strength vs. strength. The problem is, Baylor doesn't play defense, ranked 134th in the nation. No outright here, but closer than expected: grab the points, the play is Colgate! AAA Sports |
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03-21-24 | South Dakota State v. Iowa State -16 | Top | 65-82 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
10* Iowa State (NCAA FIRST RND. GOY) We have the No. 15 seed South Dakota State (22-12), facing off against the No. 2 seed Iowa State (27-7), and in our opinion, this large spread isn't NEARLY large enough! South Dakota State was the best team in the Summit League all year and it beat Denver in the Conference Championship game, while Iowa State finished second in the Big 12 regular season, but then shocked everyone with the outright win over Houston in the Big 12 Championship. The Jackrabbits are making their third consecutive NCAA trip, but this is still going to be a super difficult matchup problem for them in our estimation. Overall South Dakota State averages 75.5 PPG, while allowing 71.6, while the Cyclones average 75.6 PPG, while conceding just 61.3 (second in the nation in steals!) The Cyclones have plenty of offensive depth as well with four players averaging double-figures in scoring. Look for the Cyclones to pull away for not only the win, but the comfortable ATS cover as well! AAA Sports |
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03-21-24 | Michigan State -1 v. Mississippi State | Top | 69-51 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (BLOCKBUSTER) This should be a tight, lower-scoring game for most of the game, but then we're expecting Michigan State to pull away for the comfortable win and cover. The Spartans are ranked ninth in adjusted defensive efficiency, conceding just 93.7 points per 100 possessions. Mississippi State is ranked 18th. These teams both lost in their conference tournaments, but covered in their respective setbacks. The Bulldogs though are going to struggle to score here with their 62nd ranked offense in terms of effiency (113.6 points per 100 possessions.) The Spartans have the edge in several different categories (defense, guard play and coaching just to start!), and when you add it all up, I smell an ATS rout; lay the short points, the play is Michigan State! AAA Sports |
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03-20-24 | Colorado v. Boise State +2.5 | Top | 60-53 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 8 m | Show |
10* Boise State (BLOCKBUSTER) Colorado's eight-game win streak came to an end in its 75-68 loss to Oregon in the Pac 12 Tournament Title game, and we think it'll have a hard time finding that wining momentum here in this "tricky" matchup with Boise State. Boise State lost in its opening game of its conference tournament, but the Broncos had several big wins that pushed their resume over the top, including a non-conference win over Saint Mary's, while also going 2-1 over their last three vs. teams that are now in the NCAA Tournament. The Mountain West was incredibly competitive this year, as evidenced by the six teams in the NCAA Tournament. The Buffs struggled away from friendly confines this year, and all signs point to that continuing here vs. this tough Broncos side; grab the points, the play is Boise State! AAA Sports |
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03-20-24 | San Francisco v. Cincinnati -5.5 | Top | 72-73 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 29 m | Show |
10* Cincinnati (NIT OPENING RND GOY) The Dons have lost three straight on the road, and we think they'll struggle here in this difficult away venue as well on Wednesday night. The Dons average 77.9 PPG, while conceding 66.3, while Cincinnati averages 74.6, while allowing 67.9. San Francisco was 6-5 on the road, but the Bearcats were 14-5 at home. The Dons lost 89-77 to Gonzaga in the conference tournament, while the Bearcats lost 68-56 to Baylor. Regardless, the home floor advantage can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this one in our opinion; lay the points, the play is Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
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03-19-24 | Colorado State -2 v. Virginia | Top | 67-42 | Win | 100 | 31 h 23 m | Show |
10* Colorado State (FIRST FOUR GOY) The Rams and Cavaliers both lost in their conference tournaments, but they enter the First Four as the No. 10 seeds, with a date vs. No. 7 Texas for the winner. Virginia has a fantastic defense, which is ranked seventh in overall adjusted defensive efficiency. But note that the Cavaliers have conceded 60 or more points in four out of their last five games. And Colorado State featured a top-50 offensive unit this year that has scored 60 or more in nine straight and in 32 of 34 overall this season. We think Colorado State matches up well here and will find a way to win and cover once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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03-19-24 | Minnesota +3.5 v. Butler | Top | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* Gophers (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Minnesota averages 75.4 PPG, while allowing 71.8. Dawson Garcia is a matchup issue for most teams, as he averages 17.7 points per game. The Bulldogs have a great record against non-conference teams at Hinkle Fieldhouse, but the Gophers have won their last five NIT Tournament games. Butler averages 73.3 PPG, while allowing 73.7. The Bulldogs defense hasn't been up to par of late and the Gophers' superior offense gives them a legit shot at winning this one outright; that said, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-15-24 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +3.5 | Top | 70-61 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
10* Northwestern (ASSASSIN) The Badgers are 20-12 after routing Maryland to advance to face the 21-10 Northwestern Wildcats, who are the fourth seed in the Tournament and who received a bye to this point. The Wildcats snapped a two-game slide at the end of the regular season to destroy Minnesota and we're expecting them to carry that momentum over here. The Wildcats also play with revenge after a 71-63 road loss at Wisconsin and note that Northwestern is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent. While the outright is clearly possible, the official call will be to grab the points; the play is Northwestern! AAA Sports |
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03-15-24 | Michigan State +8 v. Purdue | Top | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (BLOWOUT WINNER) Let's GO Michigan State! These two teams faced off March 3rd and Purdue won 80-74. We can expect another competitive nail-biter here after the Spartans commanding 77-67 win over Minnesota. We say the quick turnaround here is just what the doctor ordered for Michigan State today. Zach Edey will get his points, but look for the revenge-minded and surging underdog side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door with all the points they've been afforded here; the play is indeed on Michigan State! AAA Sports |
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03-14-24 | St. Peter's +1.5 v. Rider | Top | 50-48 | Win | 100 | 31 h 41 m | Show |
10* Saint Peter's (MAAC CONF. TOURNEY GOY) It's the opener of the MAAC Tourney and this is one that favors Saint Peter's in our opinion. The Peacocks finished 16-13, while Rider was 15-16. The Peacocks though lost both regular season games to the Broncs, both SU and ATS, and note that Saint Peter's is 7-3 (that's 70%!) ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses in a row vs. an opponent. It's difficult to beat a team three times in a year, and we don't foresee that happening here; the play is indeed on Saint Peter's! AAA Sports |
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03-14-24 | Ole Miss +4 v. Texas A&M | Top | 71-80 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 3 m | Show |
10* Ole Miss (SEC TOURNEY GOY) No need to overthink this one. We base our picks on many different things, and this particular one is based upon the revenge factor. Ole Miss finished 20-11, while Texas A&M was 18-13. While these two teams did finish 1-1 against each other in the regular season, it was A&M that beat Ole Miss 86-60 on the road as a 1-point dog on the final regular season game of the year, and note that the Rebels are in fact 8-2 (that's 80% of the time they've cashed in this spot!), in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. And that's it, immediate revenge factor is the difference in this neutral site location for Ole Miss! AAA Sports |
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03-13-24 | Michigan +4.5 v. Penn State | Top | 57-66 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 47 m | Show |
10* Michigan (BIG TEN TOURNEY SIDE OF YEAR) Michigan was terrible this year, but the Wolverines can, for at least one game, put a lot of this season's misery behind them with a victory here against the less-than-impressive 15-16 Nittany Lions. The Wolverines play with revenge as well after falling 79-73 at The Palestra in Philadelphia on January 7th (note that the Wolverines are in fact still 8-4 ATS as well in their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss as a favorite vs. an opponent.) Michigan was aggressive out of the gate vs. Penn State early, taking a 12-2 lead less than five minutes into the game, and The Wolverines led by as many as 14 points at 36-22 with 3:15 left in the first half, before then completely falling apart in the second. But, we ultimatley feel that these two poor teams are very evenly matched, especially in this neutral site affair. We're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to a battle until the final moments; grab as many points as you can, the play is indeed on the Wolverines! AAA Sports |
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03-13-24 | Oklahoma +2.5 v. TCU | Top | 70-77 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
10* Oklahoma (BIG 12 TOURNEY SIDE OF YEAR) These two teams are similar in a lot of ways. Oklahoma finished 20-11. TCU finished 20-11. Both also closed out their seasons with losses. Both teams also spent time in the Associated Press Top 25 at different times during the season, but each was left off the final regular-season poll which was released on Monday. The Sooners though do play with the revenge factor after falling 80-71 at TCU as 5.5-point underdogs back in January, and note that Oklahoma is 7-3 against the spread in its last ten in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread conference road loss vs. an opponent. And now here we are at a neutral location in Kansas City Missouri in the second round of the Big 12 Confernece Tournament, and while we clearly believe an outright victory is possible, our official call will be to grab the points. To say this is a revenge game is a bit of an understatement as the Horned Frogs have won four of hte last five between the teams. The winner of this one gets the glorious prize of facing the No. 1 seed Houston Thursday in the quarterfinals, but taking a little closer look at these teams sees he Sooners average 75.5 PPG, while allowing 68.5, while the Horned Frogs average 80.4 PPG, while conceding 71.6. But for us, the revenge factor will prove to be the difference-maker in this game on Wednesday; grab the points, the play is Oklahoma! AAA Sports |
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03-12-24 | New Hampshire v. Vermont -13.5 | Top | 59-66 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 36 m | Show |
10* Vermont (AMERICA EAST CONF. TOURNEY GOY) We like Vermont (26-6 overall and 15-1 in the America East), to send a message here and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish vs. New Hampshire (16-14, 7-9.) The Catamounts are big favorites here, but not nearly big enough in our estimation. Vermont averages 101.1 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 87.8 points per 100 possessions. Both are in the Top 50 in the country. The Wildcats' margin of error is small, averaging 74.6 PPG, and allowing 74.2. Vermont held on for the tight 75-72 win over Albany to advance, not even coming close to covering the 16.5-point spread, but this matchup and spread is much more manageable; so much so, that Vermont does indeed become our America East Conference Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR! AAA Sports |
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03-10-24 | Idaho State v. Northern Colorado -3.5 | Top | 83-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
10* Northern Colorado (BIG SKY TOUNEY GOY) Just a great situational play here. Idaho State is off the 68-60 win over Northern Arizona last night, but now here on the second game of the B2B, we're expecting fatigue to be a major issue. Northern Colorado has been off since March rth after beating NAU 82-74. The Bears have scored over 80 points in three straight games and we can't see the dead tired Bengals being able to keep pace; lay the points, the play is Northern Colorado! AAA Sports |
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03-09-24 | Texas State v. Troy State -5.5 | Top | 74-68 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
10* Troy (SUN BELT CONF. TOURNEY GOY) Texas State is 16-17, and Troy is 20-11. This is the quarterfinals of the Sun Belt Conference Tournament and we feel that the Trojans should for sure be larger favorites in this spot. Texas State beat Southern Miss 79-59 to advance, while Troy has received a bye into this spot. The Bobcats have won five straight, but note that Texas State is in fact just 3-7 ATS in its last ten after five or more SU victories in a row. The Trojans now get to avenge an 82-79 loss to Texas State in the final regular season game for both teams, and note that Troy is 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss vs. an opponent. Lay the points, as everything points to a lop-sided victory for Troy this time around! AAA Sports |
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03-08-24 | South Dakota v. Oral Roberts -3.5 | Top | 62-77 | Win | 100 | 27 h 29 m | Show |
10* Oral Roberts(SUMMIT LEAGUE CONF. TOURNEY GOY) These are two bottom feeders in the Summit League. South Dakota is ninth, and Oral Roberts is 8th. Oral Roberts averages 73.6 PPG, while South Dakota averages 76.5. The bottom line here though is that the Golden Eagles play with revenge here after a tight 77-76 road loss to the Coyotes on February 24th. They won the other matchup, but note Oral Roberts is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU conference road loss vs. an opponent. Look for the Golden Eagles' superior defense to be the difference in this one and lay the short points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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03-06-24 | Radford -5 v. USC Upstate | Top | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 28 h 4 m | Show |
10* Radford (BIG SOUTH TOURNEY GOY) The Radford Highlanders are 15-16, while the USC UpState Spartans are 10-19. These team are playing in Nido at the Mariana Qubein Arena. Overall the Highlanders average 72.5 PPG, while allowing 71.7. The Spartans are averaging 71.4 PPG, while conceding 73.1. These teams played twice. Radford won 64-61 at home as an 8-point favorite in the first one, and then lost 78-69 at SCUS on February 3rd as a 1.5-point favorite. Note that Radford is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Radford wasn't able to cover in either game vs. South Carolina Upstate this year, but in this neutral site affair, a "third times the charm" could not be a more apt phrase to describe this situation for us; the play is indeed on Radford! AAA Sports |
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03-06-24 | East Carolina +12.5 v. SMU | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
10* East Carolina (AAC GOY) While we're not calling for an outright victory here or anything, we do definitely expect a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. This one sets up well for the visitors. ECU is 14-15 overall, including 3-6 on the road, while SMU is 19-9 overall, including 13-3 at home. The Pirates don't come in with a lot of momentum. They've lost three straight, both SU and ATS in a row. They were dogs in each game. But that for sure is significant for us to take note of here, as the Pirates are a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five (80% of the time!) after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. ECU also plays with revenge after the 75-64 home loss as a four-point dog, and note that the Pirates are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. SMU has also lost three straight, both SU and ATS. It's not playing well at all right now, losing 77-73 at home to UTSA as a 17-point favorite last time out. With a game at UAB to end the season, we also believe it'll get caught looking ahead. Grab the points, the play is indeed on East Carolina! AAA Sports |
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03-05-24 | Loyola Maryland +7.5 v. Navy | Top | 48-64 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
10* Loyola Maryland (PATRIOT LEAGUE TOURNEY SIDE OF YEAR). Conference Tournament time. While we're not calling for the outright victory here for the Greyhounds, we do think that revenge-minded Loyola Maryland can keep it close enough to earn the comfortable cover. Loyola ended a four-game slide at the end of the season with a 69-68 upset win over Army as a one-point dog. It does indeed play with revenge as well after a 69-62 home loss to Navy as a 1.5-point favorite back on February 21st, and note that the Greyhouds are in fact 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. a conference opponent. Navy closed the season on a roll, off four straight SU/ATS victories in a row, inclding a 71-65 over American as a seven-point dog in its regular season finale. That result is significant to note here though as the Midshipmen are just 1-3 ATS in their last four off an upset conference road win as an underdog. In what we anticipate will be a battle to the final moments, we're grabbing the points with Loyola Maryland! AAA Sports |
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03-04-24 | Duke v. NC State +6 | Top | 79-64 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
10* NC State (ACC GOY) Outright win?! We're not counting anything out here, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the home side. Duke is 23-6 overall, including 6-4 on the road, while NC State is 17-12 overall, including 12-4 at home. NC State has lost back-to-back games at FSU and UNC as a dog, but it's been trading ATS victories and losses over its last five games and after the solid 79-70 road loss but cover at UNC, we like the home side to now keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe as well. Duke has won two in a row, both SU and ATS, but with a game at home vs. UNC this coming weekend, not only do we feel this is a natural "letdown" spot, but also a "look-ahead." This is a trap-game for the visitors, and we're looking for the home side to step up and make the most of it; grab the points, the play is NC State! AAA Sports |
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03-03-24 | Evansville +11 v. Belmont | Top | 66-83 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
10* Evansville (MISSOURI VALLEY GOM) While we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to a much tighter battle here in our opinion than what this spread is suggesting. Evansville is only 4-10 SU away from friendly confines, but 8-6 ATS. The Purple Aces have lost five straight SU/ATS, but that's significant to note as Evansville is in fact 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Belmont is 11-2 SU at home, but a more modest 7-5 ATS. I believe the home side will be pushed to the brink here. In their final regular season game, look for the visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Evansville! AAA Sports |
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02-28-24 | Missouri State +5 v. Illinois State | Top | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
10* Missouri State (MISSOURI VALLEY GOY) We base our picks on many different things. This one here is just a great situational play, that's also backed by some strong supporting ATS trends that can't be ignored. Missouri State is 15-14, but only 4-9 on the road, while Illinois State is 14-15 overall, including 9-6 at home. The Bears will be highly motivated here to stop a two game SU slide. Missouri State has now lost four straight ATS, but note despite a 93-78 setback at Belmont as a 7.5-point dog, the Bears are still 8-4 ATS in their last 12 after three or more ATS losses in a row. The biggest reason though behind this play is 'revenge.' The Bears lost 69-60 as seven-point favorites at home to Illinois State back in January, and note that Missouri State is a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Redbirds three-game win streak came to an end last time out in a 48-45 loss at Bradley, and off that "near hit" as a 12.5-point dog, all signs point to a letdown here finally in our opinion. While the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Missouri State! AAA Sports |
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02-23-24 | St. Peter's v. Mt. St. Mary's -2.5 | Top | 70-65 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
10* Mount St. Mary's (MAAC GOM) We love the way this one sets up for the home side. This spread should be a lot larger for the revenge-minded home side. The Mountaineers are 11-15, while Saint Peter's is 13-11. The Peacocks are off a 59-53 road win at Iona as seven-point dogs, but note that Saint Peter's is in fact just 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a SU/ATS conference road win as an underdog. the Mountaineers return home off two straight road losses, but they play with revenge after a 70-64 loss at Saint Peter's back in early January, and that's definitely significant for us to take note of here as well as the Mountaineers are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent; lay the short points with confidence, the play is Mount St. Mary's! AAA Sports |
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02-22-24 | Sam Houston State v. New Mexico State +1.5 | Top | 79-58 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* New Mexico State (CONF-USA GOM) We base our picks on many different things. This particular one sets up well from a situational stand point. These teams are fairly evenly matched, but New MExico State has a clear "home court" advantage here, while also playing with the "revenge factor." Those two big factors working in favor of the home side will prove to be the difference in our opinion. Sam Houston State is 15-11, but only 4-9 on the road, while New Mexico State is just 11-15 overall, but 11-1 at home. The Aggeis play with revenge after a 79-67 SU/ATS road loss at Sam Houston State back in late January, and note that New Mexico State is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent; for all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on New Mexico State! AAA Sports |
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02-21-24 | Illinois v. Penn State +7.5 | Top | 89-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
10* Penn State (BIG TEN GOW) We base our picks on many different things and this particular one just sets up really well for the hungry home side in our opinion. Illinois is 19-6 overall, while Penn State is just 12-14. But the Illini have looked really pedestrian on the road as they're just 4-4 straight up away from friendly confines. The Nittany Lions on the other hand Lenny are 9-4 in front of the home town crowd. Illinois is poor on the road, and Penn State is quite good at home. Also note that this is a big game for the Nittany Lions aside from needing to stop a three-game slide, most recently a 68-49 setback at Nebraska, as the men's basketball team will return to Rec hall in University Park Pennsylvania for the first time since December 2015. So they're out of the Bryce Jordan Center and back in the 6,502-seat bandbox and we believe it will for sure provide an extra boost for the home side here in this one. One of the reasons why the Nittany Lions are getting so many points here at home is that Coach Mike Rhoades announced on Monday that leading scorer Kanye Clary is off the team due to a coach's decision, but note that the Nittany Lions have responded well in this spot for bettors, as they're 8-2 against the spread in their last ten after a SU/ATS conference loss in which they were held to 50 or fewer points in. So here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against as this Illinois defense has conceded 83, 73, 96, 75, 88 and 80 points in six Big ten Road games this year. While we do think an outrigtht win is possible, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Penn State! AAA Sports |
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02-20-24 | Butler v. Villanova -6 | Top | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
10* Villanova (ASSASSIN) As primarily a situational cappers, this one falls right into our wheel house. The Wildcats have a lot working in their favor here, and there's actually more money on Butler in fact, or there was in the early going, so that also appeals to our contrarian side. But these teams are moving in opposite directions now over the last three weeks, and the Wildcats also play with revenge here after an 88-81 OT loss at Butler as 1.5-point dogs in late January. These teams have very similar overall win/loss records, but when you look a little closer at their numbers, we find that the Wildcats also enjoy more advantages in this position. Butler is 16-10 overall, while Villanova is just 14-11. The Bulldogs though are only 3-5 straight up and 4-4 against the spread on the road. The Wildcats are 8-4 straight up at home and 7-5 against the spread, so Villanova does enjoy the home court advantage here as well. So that's two really strong factors there, the revenge factor, coupled with the documented home court advantage here where Butler has definitely struggled on the road. And then you have to look at "current form;" Butler's lost two straight, both against good teams mind you and they were both dogs in each, falling 78-72 to Marquette and 79-57 to Creighton, but Villanova has won two straight, beating Seton Hall here 80-54 before then downing the Hoyas 70-54 in Georgetown. The Wildcats looked good last time out on both ends of the floor, they were led by 14 points from TJ Bamba, but it was the defense that stole the show, going on to hold its fourth straight opponent to less than 60 points. Conversely, in their most recent loss the Bulldogs missed 14 of their final 15 shots from 3-point range. Clearly they're a well coached team under Thad Matta, but now they're going to face another red hot defense that's capable of stopping the three-point ball as well (and which plays with revenge and the home court advantage!) We expect Villanova to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish! AAA Sports |
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02-19-24 | Southern v. Texas Southern | Top | 56-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
10* TEXAS SOUTHERN (SWAC GOY) Here is a great "situational" play. Clearly, with a spread like this the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched, and for the most part they really are, but there are significant situational factors working in favor of the home side that swings the pendulum to its side. Southern is 16-9, but only 6-9 on the road. Texas Southern is only 9-14 overall, but 4-3 at home. Off B2B losses and three straight ATS losses, the Tigers will be risking life and limb to get back into the win column tonight, and note that Texas Southern is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. The Tigers also play with revenge after a 58-51 loss at Southern in January. The Jaguars have won seven straight SU, but now everything finally points to a letdown here in this difficult road venue in our opinion; lay the short points, the play is on Texas Southern! AAA Sports |
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02-18-24 | Utah +3 v. UCLA | Top | 70-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
10* Utah (PAC 12 GOY) Just a great situational play here, and while we do think the outright win is a very real possibilty, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Utah is 15-9, including only 1-6 on the road, while UCLA is 14-11 overall, including 8-4 at home. Off three straight SU/ATS losses in a row though, we're expecting the visiting side to risk life and limb here. Utah annihilated UCLA 90-44 at home back in January, as this is just a bad matchup for the home side. And with nearly 70% of the early public money on the home side, we're definitely going full on "contrarian" for this matchup. Note as well that the Utes are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. UCLA is off six straight SU wins and five straight ATS victories, but note that the Bruins are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after five or more ATS victories in a row. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Utah! AAA Sports |
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02-17-24 | Florida International +14.5 v. Louisiana Tech | Top | 68-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
10* FIU (CONF-USA GOY) With nearly 70% of the early public money on Lousiana Tech, we're going the other way on this one and going full-on contrarian. That's note the only reason we think that FIU can keep this one within striking distance until the final buzzer. FIU is 8-17 overall, including just 1-9 on the road, while Louisiana Tech is 17-8 overall, including 12-1 at home. The Panthers play with revenge after a humbling 93-53 home loss to Louisiana Tech at the start of the months, and note that FIU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss vs. an opponent. The Bulldogs just snapped a two-game slide with a tough 63-58 win over Jacksonville State as 11-point favorites, and we're predicting them having a very difficult time again here today in covering such a large spread. For all the reasons listed above, the play is FIU! AAAÂ Sports |
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02-16-24 | Villanova v. Georgetown +10.5 | Top | 70-54 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
10* Georgetown (BIG EAST GOM) This one sets up great from a situational stand point for the home side in our opinion. Villanova is 13-11 overall, but just 2-6 on the road. Georgetown is only 8-16 overall, but it's a slightly better 7-8 in front of the home town crowd. The Hoyas have lost nine straight. In each game they've been a sizeable dog. That's the case again here, but now we feel this spread is TOO large. Villanova has been trading wins and losses over its last four games and off a big 80-54 home win over Seton Hall as a six-point favorite, we think the Wildcats will once again have their hands full away from friendly confines. Yes, Villanova is the better team here, but this is a bad spot for it facing this now desperate Hoyas side. And with a home game vs. Butler up next, not only is this a potential letdown spot for the visitors, but also a "look ahead." As stated off the top, a great situational play here on the Hoyas with the points! AAA Sports |
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02-15-24 | Portland +6.5 v. San Diego | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* Portland (WEST COAST GOY) Here's a great situational play, and while we'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to the visitors taking this one "right down to the wire." Portland is 9-17, including 2-9 on the road, while San Diego is 15-11, including 10-5 at home. The Torreros have won three straight. They've covered in six straight. The general betting public is clearly very quick to back the home side here, but we'll go full on contrarian and go the other way. And with Santa Clara coming to town next, not only is this a potential letdown spot, but perhaps also a "look ahead" position as well. And when you add those two factors together you get "trap game!" Portland plays with revenge as well after an 85-81 home loss to San Diego on January 23rd. In what we anticpate will be a similar competitive battle, we're grabbing the points; the play is Portland! AAA Sports |
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02-14-24 | Presbyterian +10.5 v. North Carolina-Asheville | Top | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
10* Presbyterian (BIG SOUTH GOY) We base our picks on many different things. Many different methodologies are employed daily. This particular one is an unreal "situational" play in our opinion. Presbyterian is 12-14, including just 4-7 on the road, while UNC Asheville is 17-9, including 10-1 at home. The Blue Hose though have quietly been playing their best basketball of the season, and we expect that momentum to get carried over here another game, having won three of their last four and covered in four straight! They play with revenge as well after falling 84-80 at home to UNC Asheville back on January 6th, and note that the Hose are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a conference home loss vs. an opponent. No outright, but much closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Presbyterian! AAA Sports |
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02-13-24 | Air Force +3.5 v. San Jose State | Top | 66-73 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
10* Air Force (TOP CONTRARIAN) While we clearly feel the outright win is possible, in the end our official call here will be to grab as many points as you can between these evenly matched sides. This is one of, if not the biggest contrarian play on the board with nearly 80% of the early public money on the home side. That raises red flags for us here, as we do definitely feel that SJSU is overvalued in this spot. Air Force has been competitive on the road this year as evidenced by its 5-4 ATS road record. In comparison, the Trojans are 4-6 ATS at home. SJSU won this game 70-67 as a 1.5-point dog on the road last month, and now the visitors have a chance for some sweet redemption. As stated off the top, the outright is clearly possible, but in the end let's grab the points with the revenge-minded visitors; the play is indeed on Air Force! AAA Sports |
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02-11-24 | UABÂ v. Tulsa +3.5 | Top | 70-63 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
10* Tulsa (SUPERBOWL BANKROLL BUILDER) While we do think an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can here. UAB is 15-8, but only 4-4 on the road. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the Blazers, we're definitely going full on contrarian here. UAB is probably the better overall team here vs. 12-10 Tulsa, but note that the Golden Hurricane are 11-3 at home. Tulsa comes in under the radar here after back-to-back losses, but super hungry to get untracked and we think this is the perfect opponent to do that against, as the Blazers have struggled at times on the road already this season. UAB is off a tough 76-73 OT win over FAU as a 5.5-point dog, and note that the Blazers are in fact just 1-4 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS conference win as a dog. Grab the points, the play is indeed on Tulsa! AAA Sports |
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02-10-24 | USC +2.5 v. Stanford | Top | 68-99 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
10* USC (BAIL-OUT) While clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can in this one. With nearly 65% of the early public money on the home side, we're pulling a full on contrarian here. USC is 9-14 overall, including just 1-7 on the road, while Stanford is 11-11 overall, and 8-4 at home. The Trojans are off an 83-77 OT loss at Cal, but beat Stanford 93-79 the last time these teams faced off. The Cardinal have lost two straight, including an 82-74 setback here to UCLA as 4.5-point favorites last time out. The home side is the one overvalued here, as we expect the hungry Trojans to pull off the minor upset here on the road in what we feel is a very favorable matchup for them; grab the points, the play is USC! AAA Sports |
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02-10-24 | NC State +8 v. Wake Forest | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
10* NC State (ACC GOM) While we're stopping short in calling for the outright victory, all signs point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opionion. Wake Forest is 15-7, but 12-0 at home. It's now overvalued here though in our opinion. NC State is 15-8, but only 3-3 on the road. NC State beat Wake 83-76 at home in mid January and we're expecting another "nail-biter" here; grab the points, the play is NC State! AAA Sports |
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02-09-24 | San Diego State +2.5 v. Nevada | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
10* SDSU (TOP CONTRARIAN) With nearly 70% of the early public money on Nevada, this one is simple for us here on Friday night, as this opportunity falls directly into our "wheelhouse." Both teams are 18-5 and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these hungry and talented sides has its hands on the ball last, we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. SDSU beat Nevada 71-59 at home in mid-January and this is simply a terrible matchup for the Wolfpack. Consider "sprinkling" a little on the ML, but the official call is to indeed grab as many points as you can with SDSU! AAA Sports |
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02-08-24 | Drexel +3.5 v. NC-Wilmington | Top | 56-75 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* Drexel (CAA DOG OF MONTH) Drexel is 15-8, but just 5-7 on the road, while UNC Wilmington is 16-6 overall, including a perfect 7-0 at home. The Seahawks managed a win last time out in a 77-74 victory over Campbell, but didn't even come close to covering the large 14-point spread. And now here they are having to cover another number which we feel is definitely too large as well. Drexel is 1-2 SU in its last three and 0-3 ATS, but note that the Dragons are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these evenly-matched sides has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points with Drexel! AAA Sports |
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02-07-24 | Wisconsin v. Michigan +5.5 | Top | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
10* Michigan (BIG TEN GOM) Neither team has been playing great of late, but we think there are enough factors working in favor of the Wolverines here to pull off the cover at home here on Wednesday night. The Badgers are the better team for sure in this battle overall, but Wisconsin is playing poorly right now. It's 16-6 overall, but it's just 3-4 on the road. It's coming off back-to-back losses and now will have its hands full with this 7-15 Michigan side that's 4-7 at home after a 69-59 home loss to Rutgers last time out. That's five straight straight-up and against the spread losses for the Wolverines, but that's significant to note because Michigan has in fact responded really well in this spot for bettors by going 7-2 against the spread in its last nine after five or more straight up and against the spread losses in a row. The Wolverines have a good offense still and we think that'll be a difference maker in this one as Michigan enters averaging 77 points per game. Wisconsin is decent defensively, allowing just 67.8 points per game, but as outlined at the start, this Badgers team isn't nearly as good on the road as at home. And that's going to be the case here we think as well facing this hungry and motivated home side. One other thing which swings the pendulum in Michigan's favor here is that the Wolverines for sure benefit from having their dynamic sophomore point guard Dug McDaniel available for this game. McDaniel is serving a six-game road suspension for academic problems and he's the Wolverines' leading scorer at 16.8 PPG. This one has all the makings of a "nail biter;" grab the points, the play is indeed on the Wolverines! AAA Sports |
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02-04-24 | Stanford v. Arizona -17 | Top | 71-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* Arizona (ATS BLOOD-BATH) We're expecting Arizona to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion, keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish. Stanford is 11-9, including 3-3 on the road, while Arizona is 16-5, including 11-0 at home. This is a third straight game for the Cardinal. They're off a 71-62 win at Arizona State, but with upcoming home games vs. UCLA and USC, this one sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the overmatched visiting side. Basically we're expecting the visitors to send up the white flag early, as they get prepared for back-to-back important home games. Arizona somehow lost to Stanford as well 100-82 as a 12.5-point favorite on December 31st, so the home side plays with the added incentive of revenge as well. Look for the Wildcats to shake off that New Year's hangover and at the same time, win and cover here tonight; lay the points, the play is indeed on Arizona! AAA Sports |
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02-04-24 | Youngstown State v. IUPU Ft Wayne +5.5 | Top | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
10* Purdue Fort Wayne (HORIZON LEAGUE GOM) While we do feel an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Youngstown State is a fantastic 17-6 overall, but a much more pedestrian 6-5 away from friendly confines. PFW is 14-8 overall, but 8-3 at home. The Penguins enter complacent after four straight wins and seven straight covers. PFW though is looking to break a string of poor play, losing four of its last five, including a 68-65 loss here to Milwaukee as a 3.5-point favorite last time out. Note though that the Mastadons have responded well in this spot for bettors by going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points with Purdue Fort Wayne! AAA Sports |
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02-03-24 | Mississippi State +9 v. Alabama | Top | 67-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
10* Mississippi State (SEC GOY) While we're stopping short in calling for the outright victory, everything does indeed point to a much tighter contest here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion, so will therefore be recommending to grab as many points as you can. Mississippi State is 14-6, while Alabama is 15-6. Alabama had to rally for its last win over Georgia, eventually pulling away for the 85-76 victory, but we feel that the Tide are now overvalued in this particular matchup. The Bulldogs on the other hand are hungry for an outright road win to help booster their NCAA chances. They're also hungry to atone for an 86-82 loss to Ole Miss, uncharacteristically turning the ball over 15 times, which was unfortunate, as it canceled out an overall sharp 53.6 percent collective field goal shooting effort. The visitors also play with revenge after falling 82-74 at home to Alabama back in January. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Mississippi State! AAA Sports |
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02-03-24 | Navy +11.5 v. Colgate | Top | 64-88 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
10* Navy (PATRIOT LEAGUE GOM) The bottom line here is that we love the way this one sets up for the visiting side. Navy is 8-12, including only 1-9 on the road. The Midshipmen come in "under the radar," but they won't be rolling over. Colgate is 14-8, including 7-2 at home, but after five straight SU/ATS victories in a row, we're expecting a small letdown here from the home side (and note that the Raiders are in fact just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after five or more SU/ATS wins in a row.) With back-to-back road games upcoming, expect the home side to take the foot off the gas in the second half and then look for the hungry visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is indeed on Navy! AAA Sports |
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02-02-24 | Siena +11.5 v. Rider | Top | 50-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
10* Sienna (MAAC GOY) While we're not calling for an outright win or anything, we do definitely feel that all the factors are in place for Sienna to keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting. The Saints, 3-17 overall, including 1-8 on the road, obviously come in "under the radar" here. Sienna is off four straight SU losses and three straight ATS losses, but note that the Saints are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Sienna won this game 67-65 as a 3.5-point dog at home on December 1st, and we're fully expecting another competitive battle here on the road. Rider is 4-3 at home, but the Broncs are just 7-13 overall. After back-to-back road wins/covers, we're expecting the home side to come in a bit complacent here and get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent. The numbers and the overall situation point to a very tight battle here between these conference opponents; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Saints! AAA Sports |
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01-31-24 | Alabama v. Georgia +6 | Top | 85-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* Georgia (SEC GOW) Alabama is coming off two straight wins, including beating LSU 109-88 most recently. But both games were at home and the Tide are just 2-2 in true road games this season. Alabama has won eight of its last nine and it's back in the AP Top 25 poll for the first time since late November, but we think the Tide will have their hands full here against 14-6 Georgia, which is looking to bounce back after a 102-98 overtime loss to Floria on Saturday. But despite the setback the Bulldogs have been hot overall, winning 12 of their past 15. Last year the Bulldogs were humbled in this game falling 108-59, so they won't be forgetting that loss obviously. Georgia has been money in the bank at home this year, as so far it's 11-1 in front of the home town crowd. Everything is in place for an outright upset here, so you may want to consider "sprinkling a little" on the money line. That said, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Georgia! AAA Sports |
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01-29-24 | Houston v. Texas +5 | Top | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
10* Texas (BIG 12 GOW) We love how this one sets up for Texas from a "situational" stand point. Houston is 18-2, but just 2-2 on the road. Texas is 14-6, including 10-2 at home. Houston is coming off four straight wins, including a 74-52 victory over K-State last time out. Note though that the Cougars are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS home win in which they held their opponent to 55 or fewer points in. Texas beat Oklahoma 75-60 as a 4.5-point dog, then fell 84-72 at BYU as a 7.5-point dog in its most recent action. Now back at home though, the Longhorns do in fact match up well with their opponent here. Houston has a big target on its back and Texas won't be rolling over here. While I do think an outright is very possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Longhorns! AAA Sports |
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01-28-24 | Temple +7 v. East Carolina | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
10* Temple (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Temple is 8-12 and ECU is 10-10. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the home side here, we're definitely going "contrarian" with this one. Temple though, off five straight SU/ATS losses, is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after five or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row. ECU snapped a three-game slide with a win at Witchita State last time out, but with USF coming to town next, this sets up as a "look ahead" position as well for the home side. These teams numbers/metrics are very similar and in a contest that we foresee coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab up the points; the play is indeed on Temple! AAA Sports |
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01-26-24 | Ohio +3 v. Kent State | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
10* Ohio (MAC GOY) With nearly 85% of the early public money on the home side in this one, we're going full on contrarian here and going the other way with this big play. Ohio is getting zero respect here from the oddsmakers because of its 0-5 SU/ATS road record. Kent is 10-9 overall, while Ohio is 9-10. The Golden Flashes are 5-4 SU at home, but just 2-5 ATS. These lop-sided trends are about to correct themselves here between these very evenly matched sides. Kent is off the 90-84 OT win at BGSU and is primed for a letdown here back at home. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Ohio! AAA Sports |
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01-24-24 | Auburn v. Alabama -3.5 | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
10* Alabama (SEC GOW) Auburn is 16-2 and Alabama is 12-6. The Tigers are 5-0 in conference play and the Tide are 4-1. Alabama will be the hungrier team here though, as it was tied with Auburn atop the SEC standings before making the trip to Knoxville on Saturday to challenge then-No. 6 Tennessee (Alabama fell a game behind Auburn in the league race after the 91-71 loss.) "They were tougher and more physical than we were," remarked Alabama coach Nate Oats after. "We weren't ready for it. They played harder than we did. When you give up 23 points off turnovers and 17 second-chance points, you won't win many games. They dominated us in a lot of ways." But back at home here we think the Tide are going to bounce back. Look for Mark Sears to have a big game here as he's so far averaging 19.8 points per game this year and he had 22 in defeat last time out. It's a classic strength vs. strength matchup in this one, as KenPom has the Crimston Tide ranked No 1 in offensive efficiency rating, while Auburn is ranked as the sixth-most-efficient defense. The Tigers are great offensively as well, but after an 82-59 home rout of Ole Miss we just think they're going to have their hands full here in this difficult road venue; lay the short points, the play is indeed on Alabama! AAA Sports |
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01-23-24 | Air Force +11.5 v. UNLV | Top | 90-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
10* Air Force (ASSASSIN) This one sets up well for the visitors. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we definitely believe the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting. The Eagles are 7-10, while UNLV is 9-8. Air Force is just 3-3 on the road, while the Runnin Rebels are 6-2 at home. UNLV is coming off a 78-75 loss at Colorado State and we're anticipating a similar tight battle here as well. The Rebels have been inconsistent and we just feel this number is a few points higher than it really should be. As stated off the top, Air Force won't be pulling off any epic upsets or anything, but everything definitely points to a war until the final whistle; grab the points, the play is indeed on Air Force! AAA Sports |
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01-22-24 | Cincinnati +9.5 v. Kansas | Top | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
10* Cincinnati (BIG 12 GOM) As primarily situational handicappers, this one falls right into our "wheel-house" so to speak. While the outright win isn't likely, we do definitely expect this one to be decidd in the final moments. Cincinnati is 13-5, while Kansas is 15-3. That includes 9-0 at home. It's no easy task obviously beating the Jayhawks on their own floor, but Cincinnati has responded really well in this spot for bettors by going 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite (fell 69-65 at home to Oklahoma as a 4-point fav.) Kansas actually suffered its second defeat in its last four games, falling 91-85 at WVU as a ten-point favorite last time out. And with a game at Iowa State up next, will the home side get caught looking ahead?! We say the conditions are right for a "battle until the end;" grab the points, the play is indeed on Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
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01-21-24 | Chattanooga v. East Tennessee State +1.5 | Top | 81-74 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
10* East Tennessee State (MID-MAJOR MAULING) While we clearly feel that the outright win is going to happen, our official call will still be to grab whatever amount of points you can with the hungry home side here. Chattanooga is 11-7 overall, but just 3-5 on the road. East Tennessee State is 9-9, including 6-1 at home. We can't understate how important we feel that the home floor advantage will prove to be in the end for the Buccaneers. The Bucs are off four straight losses and will be risking life and limb to snap the slide. Chattanooga is off the 74-60 win at Mercer, but we think it'll take a step back on the road here; grab the points, the play is East Tennessee State! AAA Sports |
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01-17-24 | Auburn v. Vanderbilt +11.5 | Top | 80-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
10* Vanderbilt (SEC GOM) No outright, but closer than expected in our opinion. This is a great situational play, as we're expecting 14-2 Auburn to get caught looking past its opponent to its home game vs. 15-1 Ole Miss. Auburn has won ten in a row, including three straight ATS, but note that the Tigers are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS victories in a row. Vanderbilt is off three straight losses and comes in "under the radar" here at home in our opinion. Auburn is just 1-1 in true road games this year, so the Tigers have not been at their best away from friendly confines. Either way, this is WAY too many points to be giving up on the road in our estimation; grab the points, the play is Vandy! AAA Sports |
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01-15-24 | Lamar v. McNeese State -12 | Top | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
10* McNeese State (SOUTHLAND GOY) This one sets up really well for the home side. We're expecting the 14-2 McNeese State Cowboys to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion. The Cowboys have in fact dropped three straight ATS, but note that McNeese State has responded incredibly well for bettors in this spot by going 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Cowboys actually lost this game 70-63 as ten-point favorites last time out, so there's no way their going to look past the 9-7 Lamar Cardinals this time around, especially with back-to-back road contests after this. Lamar has won four straight SU/ATS, including a 78-76 OT win at Nichols State as a 3.5-point dog last time out. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! Look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence; the play is indeed on McNeese State! AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Northern Kentucky v. Detroit +10.5 | Top | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
10* Detroit Mercy (HORIZON LEAGUE GOM) Outright win? If so, it would be the 0-17 Detroit Mercy's first outright victory of the season. We don't see that happening, but we do definitely see the door being left wide open for the hungry home side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. With nearly 80% of the early public money on the favorite, we are definitely going full on contrarian here. NKU has lost two straight games in OT, but is still 3-0 ATS its last three. However, note that the Norse are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. With a home game vs. Milwaukee up next, we say the visitors take the foot off the gas down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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01-08-24 | Northeastern +3.5 v. Monmouth | Top | 62-81 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
10* Northeastern (CAA GOY) We love the way this one sets up for the visiting side, and while we obviously feel the outright win is a very real possibility, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can in a contest that we see likely being decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last. Northeastern is 5-9 and Monmouth is 8-6. With nearly 85% of the early public money on the home side here, we're definitely going full-on contrarian for this one. The Huskies have faced some stiff competition this year and done well, including a 56-54 road setback at Virgina as a 16.5-point dog. Monmouth's numbers are a bit skewed here. Look for the hungry visting side to, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough to earn the ATS cover; grab the points, the play is indeed on Northeastern! AAA Sports |
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01-07-24 | Maryland +2 v. Minnesota | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
10* Maryland (BIG TEN GOY) We think that the Terps have a legitimate shot at winning this game outright obviously, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Maryland is 9-5, while Minnesota is 11-3. It's 10-1 at home, while the Terps are just 1-2 on the road. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the Gophers though, we're definitely going full on contrarian here and going the other way. Minnesota has won six straight. It's won eight straight ATS. Fans are now quick to back Minnesota, especially after its 73-71 upset win at Michigan as a 5.5-point dog last time out. But what most people won't bother taking note of here right now is that the Gophers are in fact just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off an upset SU/ATS conference road win as a dog. This is a great situational play in our opinion on the hungrier team, against a home side that's primed for a major mental letdown; grab the points, the play is Maryland! AAA Sports |
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01-05-24 | Connecticut v. Butler +6 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
10* Butler (BIG EAST GOY) While we do think an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. The UConn Huskies are 12-2, while the Butler Bulldogs are 10-4. What's been the one "achilles heel" for the Huskies this season? Their play on the road where they are 0-2 SU/ATS. And what's been the strength of the Bulldogs?! It's been their play at home, where they are 8-0 SU and 4-3 ATS. Butler is off back-to-back conference road losses as a sizeable dog, so it won't be taking anything for granted here as it look to snap the slide. After this UConn is at Xavier, so we also see the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Look for the hungry and determined home side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the spread; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Bulldogs! AAA Sports |
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01-02-24 | Charlotte +8.5 v. SMU | Top | 54-66 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
10* Charlotte (AAC GOM) Outright win?! We're not predicting that. But we do think that 9-3 SMU is going to get caught "looking past" 6-6 Charlotte to its much more high-profile game vs. Memphis this weekend. SMU is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last five, but that's signficant for us to take note of as the Mustangs are in fact just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after five more ATS victories in a row. Charlotte is 0-3 SU/ATS on the road, but that fact has only made the general betting public quick to back the favored home side here. But now the value has finally swung the other way here. We're not going to try and convince that the 49ers are a better team than the Mustangs, because that's definitely not the case. But as primiarly situational handicappers, this one falls right into our wheelhouse. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | CS-Fullerton +9.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
10* CSU Fullerton (BIG WEST GOY) We think that the Warriors get caught a little flat-footed here and that the Titans will, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample amount of points that they've been afforded. Fullerton is just 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in its last three after an 81-71 loss to LBSU last time out, but note that the Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They won this game 62-60 last year at home. Hawaii enters off two straight losses, falling to Georgia Tech and TCU and it's just 1-3 ATS in its last four overall. The Warriors are getting WAY too much respect here in our opinion. No outright, but MUCH closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Titans! AAA Sports |
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12-24-23 | TCU v. Hawaii +6 | Top | 65-51 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
10* Hawaii (ATS BLOOD-BATH) This is going to "come down to the wire," in our opinion, and because of that we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. TCU is 9-2 and Hawaii is 8-3. Hawaii looks to rebound here off the 73-68 loss to Georgia Tech as a two-point fav (but note that the Warriors have in fact responded incredibly well in this spot for bettors by going 4-1 ATS in their last five off an upset home loss as a favorite.) TCU is off an 88-75 loss to Nevada, and with Conference schedule looming after the X-Mas break, we say the visitors get caught "looking ahead" here. Grab the points, the play is indeed on Hawaii! AAA Sports |
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12-23-23 | Missouri State +15 v. St. Mary's | Top | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
10* Missouri State (MID-MAJOR ROUT) Missouri State won't be rolling over here in its final game before the XMas break. The Bears are 8-4 and they'll look to close out their non-conference schedule strong. Missouri State has won two of its last three and we think it catches Saint Mary's, which is 8-5 overall, but which has won five straight. The Gaels concede just 58.7 PPG. The Bears average 74.6 PPG, while allowing 67.6. We think the Gaels will win this game, but Missouri State's efficient offense will keep it competitive late; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Bears! AAA Sports |
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12-22-23 | Fresno State +11.5 v. San Francisco | 57-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
8* Fresno State (MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION) Fresno State is 6-4 SU, while San Fran is 9-4. It's also 6-0 at home. We think the home side though takes the foot off the gas in the second half, allowing the hungry visiting side more than enough room to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Fresno State is off a 75-72 OT home loss to Portland State as a 3.5-point favorite, which is significant to take note of here as the Bulldogs are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten off an upset home loss as a favorite. The Dons have been great and it's difficult to point out to many faults, but we say everything points to a minor mental letdown here before the X-Mas break; grab the points, the play is indeed on Fresno State! AAA Sports |
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12-21-23 | Manhattan +11 v. Monmouth | Top | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
10* Manhattan (MID-MAJOR BLOWOUT) We're not predicting an outright upset or anything, but everything definitely points to much more of a competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Manhattan comes in "under the radar" here after B2B losses. Most recently it was a 76-71 home loss to FDU. Monmouth has been trading wins/losses over its last four games and coming off a 77-71 win over Rider, we're expecting this trend to continue here. That said, we're not expecting the outright upset, but rather we just don't see the Hawks covering this large spread. As stated off the top, DO NOT sprinkle anything on the moneyline in this one, but do DEFINITELY grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on Manhattan! AAA Sports |
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12-20-23 | Connecticut v. Seton Hall +8.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
10* Seton Hall (BIG EAST GOM) UConn is 10-1 and Seton Hall is 7-4. Dan Hurley coached UConn to a title last year, and so far the Huskies look great this season as well. We just think they're now a bit overvalued here, as we're expecting the Pirates to risk life and limb to secure a victory here. Seton Hall has won two straight and it's faced some stiff competition this season already in USC, Iowa, Baylor and Rutgers. This is a big Big East matchup and while we'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Seton Hall! AAA Sports |
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12-19-23 | Florida -2.5 v. Michigan | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
10* Florida (BLOCKBUSTER) Florida is 7-3 and Michigan is 6-5. This is the opener of the Jumpman Invitational. The Gators come in riding a three-game win streak, most recently beating ECU 70-65. Michigan is 1-1 in Big Ten play, losing 78-75 to Indiana, and then bouncing back with a 90-80 win over Iowa. Michigan's defense has been sub-par though, ranked 126th in defensive efficiency. Florida has four guards averaging over 9.7 points per game and we're expecting this difficult backcourt to lead their team to a solid win and cover here; lay the points, the play is Florida! AAA Sports |
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12-18-23 | Maryland-Eastern Shore +9.5 v. Marist | Top | 52-76 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
10* Maryland-Eastern Shore (MID-MAJOR MAULING) We think the Maryland-Eastern Short Hawks will fly in "under the radar" here and, at the very least, post a comfortable cover with what we feel is a very large spread that's been afforded to it here in this matchup. Yes, the Hawks have lost four straight on the road, but they've faced some stiff competition in Notre Dame, Liberty, East Carolina and NC State. Marist is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last five, but note that the Red Foxes are in fact just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight ATS victories in a row. No outright here, but much closer than expected; a great situational play on Maryland-Eastern Shore! AAA Sports |
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12-17-23 | Oregon v. Syracuse +4.5 | Top | 63-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
10* Syracuse (WINNER) Oregon is 7-2 and Syracuse is 6-3. Oregon is on a three-game win streak. Overall the Ducks have allowed just 52 PPG, but their level of competition needs to be taken into account. Overall Oregon is averaging 81.2 PPG. The Orange lost their conference opener to UVA, but then they bounced back with two wins last week. Overall Syracuse is averaging 77.2 PPG, while conceding just 70.8. Oregon has some injury issues at center and Syracuse's offense has been incredibly efficient of late. This one has "uspet" written all over, meaning that grabbing the points is definitely the correct call in our opinion; the play is indeed on Syracuse! AAA Sports |
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12-16-23 | Georgetown +5.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 72-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
10* Georgetown (SUPER BLOWOUT) We like the 6-4 Hoyas to battle tough and to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to earn the comfortable ATS cover. The Hoyas snapped a two-game slide with a win over Coppin State last tmie out. Notre Dame on the other hnad is 4-5 and it comes in with zero momentum after a loss at Marquette on the road. Georgetown is averaging 77.8 PPG, while allowing 73.7, while ND is averaging 64.2 PPG, while conceding 67.3. Of course, the level of competition for both sides to this point needs to be taken into account, but regardless of that fact, we still feel that the visitors are getting "overlooked" by the oddsmakers in this one; lay the points, the play is Georgetown! AAA Sports |
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12-15-23 | Northern Colorado +21.5 v. Colorado | Top | 68-90 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
10* Northern Colorado (SUPER SHOCKER) Here's a great "spot" wager. Northern Colorado is 4-5 overall, while Colorado is 7-2. The Bears are winless on the road, while the Buffs are undefeated at home. Off an upset 90-63 neutral court win over Miami last time out as a two-point dog though, we believe that Colorado will indeed suffer a minor mental letdown here facing their lowly in-state rival. The Buffs break starts soon with conference play looming vs. Washington just after X-Mas. Last year the Buffs won this game 88-77 here, unable to cover the 15.5-point spread. Everything points to a similar final discrepancy here as well; so grab the points, as this is indeed a great situational play on Northern Colorado! AAA Sports |
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12-12-23 | IUPU-Indianapolis +24 v. Minnesota | Top | 65-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
10* IUPUI (ATS SUPER SHOCKER) Are we suggesting that IUPUI will win this game outright?! Of course not. We just love the way this one sets up for the visiting side, as we anticipate that Minnesota will take the foot off the gas in the second half, allowing the 3-7 Jaguars more than enough room to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Gophers have gone 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS over their last four, but with the X-Mas break on the horizon, we feel they'll get caught looking past their lowly opponent here. Minnesota is 7-1 at home and is 9-1 ATS overall this year. But now it's for sure the Gophers who are overvalued here. Looking at the offensive and defensive numbers doesn't tell the whole story here. The situational factors working in favor of the visiting side tip the scales in the Jaguars favor; grab the points, the play is indeed on IUPUI! AAA Sports |
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12-09-23 | Cal-Irvine v. San Diego State -9.5 | Top | 62-63 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
10* SDSU (ASSASSIN) We base our picks on many different things. This particular one is a great "situational" play in our opinion. And it's also backed up by a couple of rock solid ATS stats to support our theory here. UC Irvine is 6-3 this year, but just 1-3 on the road. SDSU is 7-2 this season, including 3-0 at home. The Aztecs won't be taking anything for granted here after their six-game win streak was snapped in a 79-73 loss at Grand Canyon as 2.5-point favorites last time out. SDSU has lost five straight ATS, but note that the Aztecs are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Anteaters have zero momentum off B2B losses and they'll get no respite here either; lay the points, the play is SDSU! AAA Sports |
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12-09-23 | Charlotte v. Duke -15.5 | 56-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
8* Duke (BLOCKBUSTER) Both teams enter 5-3 SU. Charlotte is 5-3 ATS, while Duke is 3-5 ATS. This will be the 49ers first true road game of the year and we feel they're going to stumble. The Blue Devils are 4-1 at home this year, but they're off the 72-68 road loss at Georgia Tech in their first conference action, as 12.5-point favs in that one. Duke has lost three straight ATS, but note that the Blue Devils are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. Charlottes off the rocking chair 85-62 win over Stetson, but everything points to a predictable letdown in our opinion; lay the points, the play is indeed on the Blue Devils! AAA Sports |
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12-08-23 | Army v. Harvard -13.5 | Top | 64-70 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
10* Harvard (BLOOD-BATH) Harvard's up-tempo pace will prove to be too much for Army to keep up to down the stretch in this one. The Black Knights are just 2-7, while the Crimson are 6-3. Army is 0-4 SU on the road, while Harvard is 3-0 at home. The Crimson are 0-3 ATS in their last three, but that's significant to note as they're 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. We believe that the numbers/trends all overwhelmingly point the Crimson as the correct call as far as the side is concerned in this matchup; lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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12-07-23 | IUPU-Indianapolis +5.5 v. Eastern Illinois | Top | 58-75 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 12 m | Show |
10* IUPUI (MID-MAJOR MAULING) We base our picks on many different things. We've always believed that being flexible with your approach is the best way to secure profits over the long-term, rather than following just one single handicapping methodology/strategy. And so with that in mind, we think this one sets up really well for IUPUI from a "situational" standpoint. The Jaguars are 3-6, while Eastern Illinois is 4-5. The Jaguars have faced a few good teams. One of their three wins came as an underdog a Valparaiso at the start of the year. The other two came over lower-tiered competition. In every loss they've been the underdog, and they've faced some good teams. Eastern Illinois has also faced some stiff competition, but ultimately we feel these teams are extremely evenly matched. So in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is IUPUI! AAA Sports |
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12-06-23 | DePaul +19.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 64-89 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
10* DePaul (ASSASSIN) We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we just like the way this one sets up for the now desperate visiting side to keep it close enough to cover with the points. The Blue Demons are 1-6, and the Aggies are 6-2. Texas A&M is ranked 21st, but it's now lost two of its last three, including a 59-47 loss to Virginia last time out. DePaul isn't a great team and we're not trying to make excuses for it as it's lost four in a row. But it was an underdog in three of those games. The Aggies are kind of a one man team. Henry Coleman III had 16 points and 14 rebounds in their most recent loss, but the rest of the team combined to go just 9 of 42 from the floor (which is just 21.4 percent.) This is the Blue Demons first true road game of the year, which can't be a bad thing considering how terrible the start of the season has been. In the 99-80 loss to Iowa State, Jeremiah Oden made six of seven from three-point range and finished with 25 points. As stated off the top, we're not going to call for an outright upset here or anything, but we think the Blue Demons have been improving of late, while the Aggies are going in reverse. Grab the points, the play is DePaul! AAA Sports |
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12-05-23 | Seton Hall +11.5 v. Baylor | Top | 60-78 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
10* Seton Hall (NON-CONF GOY) Outright victory?! We're definitely not calling for that, but we do also definitely believe that this is WAY too many points for the home side to be giving up, as this one sets up well from a situational stand point for the visitors in our opinion. Seton Hall is 5-2, while Baylor is 8-0. The Pirates are off the 88-75 win over Northeastern, stopping a two-game slide which came against USC and Iowa in tournament action. Note that while Seton Hall is 0-3 ATS in its last three, the Pirates are in fact a near-perfect 4-1 ATS for bettors after three or more ATS losses in a row. Baylor is rolling, but with big upcoming games vs. Michigan State and Duke before X-Mas, we're expecting the home side to take the foot off the gas here in the second half. The overall situation, combined with the above supporting O/U ATS trends does indeed make Seton Hall our CBB NON-CONFERENCE GOY! AAA Sports |
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12-03-23 | Minnesota v. Ohio State -12.5 | Top | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
10* Ohio State (BIG TEN GOM) Minnesota is 5-2 and Ohio State is 6-1. The Gophers are off the 97-64 win over New Orleans, while the Buckeyes beat CMU by a score of 88-61 in their most recent action. This is the first of two meetings between the schools and we think that Ohio State will take full advantage of the home court. Both teams have looked good to this point, but now the real competition gets underway. The Gophers have had a lot of turnover though from last year's team that won this game outright 70-67 as 14-point dogs. Ohio State's depth and incredible defensive play turns out to be the difference this year though; lay the points, the play is the Buckeyes! AAA Sports |
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12-02-23 | Wisc-Milwaukee -2.5 v. Green Bay | Top | 58-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* Milwaukee (HORIZON LEAGUE GOY) The Panthers are 3-4 after a 90-84 setback to Southern Miss last time out. Note that Milwaukee though is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They sit in sixth in the Horizon League, while the 3-4 Phoenix are in eighth. They're coming off a listless 75-71 loss to Purdue Fort Wayne. After four straight covers though, we feel the oddsmakers are giving the home side too much respect in this one. These teams played last February, and it was a nail-biter until the end, with Green Bay coming out on top 80-79. Now favored here because of their superior offense, look for the Panthers to exact a little revenge and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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12-02-23 | Furman +8 v. Princeton | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
8* Furman (BLOOD-BATH) The 4-3 Paladins come in under the radar here in our estimation. Furman is off the 86-78 win over South Carolina State. Overall the Paladins average 84.1 PPG so far, while allowing 80.1. Princeton is off an 85-71 win at Bucknell, the first time this year the that Tigers haven't covered the spread. And now here as well I believe they're overvalued, as the Paladins matchup well with this team and they're high-scoring and efficent offense will prove to be the difference-maker. We're not calling for the outright upset or anything, but all signs point to a comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is Furman! AAA Sports |
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12-01-23 | Fresno State +15.5 v. BYU | Top | 56-85 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Fresno State is 3-3 SU and 1-4 ATS. BYU is 6-0 SU/ATS. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we do now definitely think that the Cougars are getting TOO much respect from the oddsmakers here, as we look for the Bulldogs to comfortably cover with the large spread they've been afforded. Fresno State is off the 69-65 loss to UC Santa Barbara. So far the Bulldogs are averaging 73.2 PPG. BYU is off a 95-86 win over NC State. Overall BYU is averaging 92.3 PPG. Clearly, BYU is the better team here, but this is definitely a few too many points to be giving up. Fresno State has poor defense, but look for its above-average offense to keep it competitive late; grab the points, the play is indeed on Fresno State! AAA Sports |
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11-30-23 | Illinois State +6.5 v. Illinois-Chicago | Top | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* Illinois State (MISSOURI VALLEY GOM) In what we feel is an evenly matched contest, we're going to grab the points. Illinois State is 3-3 SU, while UIC is 5-2. The Redbirds have been competitive for the most part, but now returning to conference play here, everything points to a "nail-biter" in our opinion. UIC is 7-0 ATS, but that fact has only helped in driving this spread a little higher than it normally would/should be. We're seeing a lot of the early public money on the home side here, but when comparing these teams numbers, we're expecting a dog-fight until the end (Illinois State won the last matchup 68-62 in OT last season.) Grab the points, the play is Illinois State! AAA Sports |
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11-29-23 | Prairie View A&M v. Tulane -13.5 | Top | 77-98 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
10* Tulane (BLOOD-BATH) Prairie View A&M is 4-2 overall and 5-0 against the spread, so that now tells us two things looking at these numbers: the Panthers are a pretty good team. They're No. 1 overall in the SWAC and they're coming off three straight road victories as an underdog (and really BIG underdogs in every one of them, most recently they were an 11.5-point dog vs. Eastern Kentucky on the road and won 76-64.) Obviously Prairie View A&M is a pretty good team, not to be overlooked, but at 5-0 against the spread, that now tells us that they're likely going to be really overvalued here moving forward. Tulane is similar in that it's a really good team as well. It's 4-1 in a tough AAC conference and it's also coming in off a big win..beating Cal 84-81. But unlike their opponent today, the Green Wave UP UNTIL THIS POINT have been the overvalued team as they're just 1-4 against the spread. But now the situation has flip-flopped for these teams, and the value now swings the other way. We think Tulane, which now returns home where its already 3-0 this season after two straight Tournament games, is where the value lies; lay the points, the play is Tulane! AAA Sports |
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11-28-23 | Missouri +6 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
10* Missouri (NON-CONF GOW) Missouri is 5-2 SU, while Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU. The Tigers though are an unrealistic 0-7 ATS, while the Panthers are an unrealistic 5-1 ATS. Look for these lop-sided trends/numbers to start correcting themselves here immediately tonight. Outright win?! With a smaller spread like this, clearly, anything is possible. But in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. On the season Missouri is averaging 75.1 PPG, while allowing 67, while Pittsburgh is averaging 88.2, while conceding 63.2. Of course, the level of competition for each side has to be called into question at this point. Missouri shoots the ball well from three and is going to be able to stretch this Pittsburgh defense; grab the points, the play is the Tigers! AAA Sports |
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11-27-23 | Manhattan v. Fordham -11.5 | Top | 61-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10* Fordham (MID-MAJOR MAULING) The MAAC takes on the A-10 here. Manhattan got smashed 90-60 on the road by No. 5 UConn last time out and we think the Jaspers will once again have their hands full here vs. the Rams, who are looking to rebound themselves after a competitive 79-72 loss to Kent State. Overall Manhattan is averaging 65.6 PPG, while allowing 75.6, while Fordham is averaging 67 PPG, while allowing 68.8. Of course, both team's numbers are skewed because of the early competition. That said, Fordham's defes is definitely on another level here and we just can't see the offensively-challenged Jaspers keeping pace down the stretch; lay the points with confidence, the play is Fordham! AAA Sports |
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11-26-23 | College of Charleston +7.5 v. Kent State | Top | 84-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
10* Charleston (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Charleston is 2-3 SU, but 0-5 ATS. We're expecting the Cougars to battle tough here and, at the very least, post the solid ATS cover this time around. Kent State is 4-2. Charleston is off the 80-72 win over Coastal Carolina, whole the Golden Flashes are off a 79-72 win over Fordham. So far in the early going Charleston is averaging 69.4 PPG, while allowing 74.2. Kent State has averaged 83.6 PPG, while allowing 74.4. The Cougars have only played one true home game. They're battle-tested here and we think completely undervalued in this matchup. We really respect Kent State, but we don't see the Flashes covering this larger number; so grab the points, the play is Charleston! AAA Sports |
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11-25-23 | Tulsa v. Arkansas-Little Rock +4.5 | Top | 82-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
10* UALR (MAULING) It's the AAC traveling to take on the Ohio Valley Conference. The Golden Hurricane are 4-0, while the Trojans are 1-4. In a contest that we see "coming down to the wire" though, we're grabbing the points with the desperate home side here. Tulsa is off the 90-70 win over South Carolina State. The Trojans blew a 17-point lead in their last game and lost 93-90 to Georgia State in overtime. We like the Trojans to bounce back here after that disaster, as they just had a mental-lapse. Look for the tempo the home side sets to be too much for the Golden Hurricane to handle today, and while I do think an outright win is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with UALR! AAA Sports |
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