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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-15 | George Mason v. Davidson -10 | Top | 71-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Davidson Wildcats. The Wildcats will host the George Mason Patriots tonight, in what appears to be a complete mismatch. The Patriots are coming off three straight losses, and they are just 2-8 versus conference opponents. The Wildcats have won four of their five home games versus A-10 opposition, and all four of those wins came by double digits. They are 10-1 overall at John M. Belk Arena. Backing the Wildcats has been profitable of late, especially at home where they have covered the points in seven of their last eight. Take DAV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-15 | Louisville +7 v. Virginia | Top | 47-52 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Louisville Cardinals. |
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02-07-15 | Alabama +4.5 v. LSU | Top | 60-71 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Alabama Crimson Tide. |
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02-07-15 | Mississippi State +12.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 41-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Mississippi State Bulldogs. |
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02-07-15 | Notre Dame +9.5 v. Duke | Top | 60-90 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Notre Dame. |
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02-07-15 | Tennessee +7 v. Georgia | Top | 53-56 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Tennessee Volunteers. Jesse Schule |
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02-04-15 | Colorado State v. Wyoming -1 | Top | 48-59 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wyoming Cowboys. GL, |
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02-04-15 | Washington v. Oregon -6 | Top | 74-78 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
This is and 8* play on the Oregon Ducks. Take ORE. |
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02-04-15 | Texas A&M +6 v. Ole Miss | Top | 59-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Texas A&M Aggies. Jesse Schule |
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02-03-15 | Georgia v. Kentucky -18 | Top | 58-69 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kentucky Wildcats. Jesse Schule |
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01-31-15 | La Salle v. Saint Bonaventure -2.5 | Top | 66-56 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies. |
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01-31-15 | Duke v. Virginia -6 | Top | 69-63 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Virginia #Cavaliers. The Cavs appear to be the cream of the crop in the ACC, and they'll get a chance to prove it at home this afternoon when they host Duke. The Blue Devils have lost three of six since starting the season with 14 straight wins. Their defense has been terrible during that stretch, allowing opponents to shoot over 50% from the field in their three losses. Jesse Schule |
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01-31-15 | Wichita State -1.5 v. Northern Iowa | Top | 54-70 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wichita State Shockers. Jesse Schule |
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01-30-15 | Oregon State v. Arizona -17 | Top | 34-57 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Arizona Wildcats. |
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01-29-15 | Connecticut v. Cincinnati -4.5 | Top | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Cincinnati #Bearcats. Jesse Schule |
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01-28-15 | South Carolina v. LSU -5 | Top | 58-64 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
10* analysis by 9AM |
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01-26-15 | Syracuse +11 v. North Carolina | Top | 83-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange. Jesse Schule |
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01-25-15 | Creighton +16 v. Villanova | Top | 50-71 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Creighton Blue Jays, Creighton has lost all seven of it's games versus Big East opponents, and it comes into Sunday's game at Villanova off eight straight losses. Making matters worse, they lost their 2nd leading scorer to a season ending injury in a loss at Butler on Wednesday. Not surprisingly the Blue Jays are a huge underdog against the #4 ranked Wildcats. A closer look at the circumstances seems to suggest that Creighton is grossly undervalued though. After all, Isaiah Zierden didn't score a single bucket before he went down with a torn MCL in the loss to Butler, and still the Blue Jays only lost by three points. They haven't really been getting blown out, in fact they've lost twice by just a single point in their last four games. Villanova has not played well in it's last two games, losing to Georgetown and shooting just 41.8 % from the field in an uninspiring win over Pennsylvania. I expect this game to be another closely contested affair. Take CRE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-15 | Northern Iowa v. Illinois State | Top | 54-53 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Northern Iowa Panthers. Jesse Schule |
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01-24-15 | Washington State +8 v. Colorado | Top | 58-90 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Washington State Cougars. |
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01-24-15 | BYU -5.5 v. San Diego | Top | 74-77 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the BYU Cougars. The Cougars are sitting third in the WCC behind Gonzaga and Saint Mary's with a record of 15-6. They lost to the Gaels last Saturday, and look to bounce back this afternoon with a road game at San Diego. Jesse Schule |
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01-22-15 | St. Mary's +14.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 47-68 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Saint. Mary's #Gaels. Jesse Schule |
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01-21-15 | Washington State +22 v. Utah | Top | 64-86 | Push | 0 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington State Cougars. |
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01-19-15 | Florida State v. Clemson -5 | Top | 59-55 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clemson Tigers. |
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01-18-15 | St. Joe's v. Saint Bonaventure -5 | Top | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the St. Bonaventure #Bonnies. Jesse Schule |
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01-17-15 | Eastern Washington -2 v. CS Sacramento | Top | 77-90 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the EWU Eagles. Here is an article I published about Eastern Washington a few weeks ago: "Every once in a while a college team will quietly fly under the radar, away from the national spotlight, covering the spread game after game, without anyone paying any attention. It was almost exactly a year ago that I published a piece discussing the incredible ATS trends of the Pac-12’s Utah Utes. In fact I have featured the Utes as my team "Flying Under The Radar" in each of the last two seasons. Utah is now in the spotlight, boasting a 7-2 record and ranked #13 in the country. This year I have my eye on the Eastern Washington Eagles out of the Big Sky Conference. The Eagles have won eight of 10 to start the season, and both losses have come against ranked opponents. One of those eight wins was a shocking upset of the Indiana Hoosiers at Assembly Hall in Bloomington. Their most recent game was an 81-77 defeat at Washington versus the #17 Huskies. They easily covered a 7.5 point spread in that game, and they are still a perfect 4-0 ATS for the season. The Eagles have some sharpshooters, as they rank among the nation’s top teams in the category of field goal percentage, hitting 50.6% (13th nationally). It’s not going to take long for people to start noticing this team, but their next two games might present another opportunity to back them before they become overvalued." The Eagles went on to lose to Sam Houston and California, but have bounced back with wins over Lewis Clark, Weber State and Portland. They are on the road at Sacramento State tonight, and this game features the two top teams in the Big Sky Conference. The Eagles are the cream of the crop in the Big Sky, and they should prove it tonight. Take EWU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-15 | Utah v. Arizona -4 | Top | 51-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arizona Wildcats. The #8 ranked Utah Utes are coming off a win on the road at Arizona State on Thursday, but they face a much tougher test tonight at Arizona. The Wildcats have won 31 straight home games dating back to February of 2013. Utah has lost 10 straight in this series, and they lost their last trip to Arizona by a score of 71-39. With Arizona asked to cover just a handful of points in tonight's contest, I think the value lies with a play on the home team. The Wildcats have covered in four of their last five games in Arizona, and they look like a good bet to make it 32 in a row tonight. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-15 | Wyoming -2 v. Fresno State | Top | 70-65 | Win | 102 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Wyoming #Cowboys. Wyoming had won seven straight prior to losing at home to San Diego State on Wednesday. It was their first loss in conference play, and only their second loss in five road games. I expect the #25 ranked Cowboys to bounce right back on the road tonight against a Fresno State team that isn't quite at the same caliber as SDSU. These teams have split the season series in each of the last two seasons, with the home team winning all four games during that span. This year's Wyoming squad is much stronger than it was then though, and their coach sounded pretty optimistic despite the loss to the Aztecs: "I saw no quit in our guys. I saw a lot of fight in our guys," he said. "There is always a lot of disappointment when you fall short, but I did not think we lost. I thought (San Diego State) took it from us."We've got to get ready and our mindset has to be right for Fresno State." Wyoming ranks among the nations leaders in field goal percentage, as well as scorning defense (3rd nationally). Take WYO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-15 | Wichita State -5 v. Evansville | Top | 61-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Wichita State Shockers. |
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01-15-15 | Eastern Washington -5 v. Portland State | Top | 92-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the EWU Eagles. Here is an article I published about Eastern Washington a few weeks ago: In fact I have featured the Utes as my team “Flying Under The Radar” in each of the last two seasons. Utah is now in the spotlight, boasting a 7-2 record and ranked #13 in the country. This year I have my eye on the Eastern Washington Eagles out of the Big Sky Conference. The Eagles have won eight of 10 to start the season, and both losses have come against ranked opponents. One of those eight wins was a shocking upset of the Indiana Hoosiers at Assembly Hall in Bloomington. Their most recent game was an 81-77 defeat at Washington versus the #17 Huskies. They easily covered a 7.5 point spread in that game, and they are still a perfect 4-0 ATS for the season. The Eagles have some sharpshooters, as they rank among the nation’s top teams in the category of field goal percentage, hitting 50.6% (13th nationally). It’s not going to take long for people to start noticing this team, but their next two games might present another opportunity to back them before they become overvalued." The Eagles went on to lose to Sam Houston and California, but have bounced back with wins over Lewis Clark and Weber State and Idaho. They are on the road at Portland tonight, but should have little trouble dispatching of an inferior opponent that lost it's last home game by double digits. Take EWU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-15 | San Diego State v. Wyoming -1.5 | Top | 60-52 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Wyoming Cowboys. GL, |
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01-13-15 | Missouri +24 v. Kentucky | Top | 37-86 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Missouri Tigers. |
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01-13-15 | Miami (FL) +15 v. Duke | Top | 90-74 | Win | 100 | 17 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Hurricanes. |
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01-13-15 | Arkansas -3 v. Tennessee | Top | 69-74 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arkansas Razorbacks. |
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01-06-15 | Villanova v. St. John's +4.5 | Top | 90-72 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the #SJU Red Storm. Jesse Schule |
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01-06-15 | Ole Miss +22.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 86-89 | Win | 100 | 18 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ole Miss Rebels. |
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01-04-15 | Washington +5.5 v. Stanford | Top | 60-68 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Huskies. |
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01-03-15 | Idaho State v. Eastern Washington -14.5 | 57-65 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the #EWU #Eagles. Here is an excerpt from an article I published about Eastern Washington a few weeks ago: "Every once in a while a college team will quietly fly under the radar, away from the national spotlight, covering the spread game after game, without anyone paying any attention. It was almost exactly a year ago that I published a piece discussing the incredible ATS trends of the Pac-12’s Utah Utes. In fact I have featured the Utes as my team “Flying Under The Radar” in each of the last two seasons. Utah is now in the spotlight, boasting a 7-2 record and ranked #13 in the country. This year I have my eye on the Eastern Washington Eagles out of the Big Sky Conference. The Eagles have won eight of 10 to start the season, and both losses have come against ranked opponents. One of those eight wins was a shocking upset of the Indiana Hoosiers at Assembly Hall in Bloomington. Their most recent game was an 81-77 defeat at Washington versus the #17 Huskies. They easily covered a 7.5 point spread in that game, and they are still a perfect 4-0 ATS for the season. The Eagles have some sharpshooters, as they rank among the nation’s top teams in the category of field goal percentage, hitting 50.6% (13th nationally). It’s not going to take long for people to start noticing this team, but their next two games might present another opportunity to back them before they become overvalued." The Eagles went on to lose to Sam Houston and California, but have bounced back with wins over Lewis Clark and Weber State. They host the lowly Idaho State Bengals tonight, and the Bengals lost to their state rivals Idaho by a score of 77-54 on New Years Day. This should be a blowout from start to finish. Take EWU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-15 | Washington State +15 v. Stanford | Top | 56-71 | Push | 0 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Washington State #Cougars. Jesse Schule |
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12-27-14 | Gonzaga v. BYU +6 | Top | 87-80 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
This is an 10* play on the BYU Cougars. |
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12-25-14 | George Washington v. Wichita State -5.5 | Top | 60-54 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wichita State Shockers. Jesse Schule |
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12-25-14 | Colorado v. Hawaii +4 | Top | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Hawaii Warriors. |
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12-20-14 | West Virginia v. NC State +1.5 | Top | 83-69 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the N.C. State Wolfpack. Jesse Schule |
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12-20-14 | Purdue v. Notre Dame -3 | Top | 63-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Notre Dame Irish. Jesse Schule |
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12-20-14 | VCU v. Cincinnati -1 | Top | 68-47 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bearcats. Jesse Schule |
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12-17-14 | San Diego State v. Cincinnati | Top | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cincinnati Bearcats. |
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12-17-14 | Illinois-Chicago v. SMU -21 | Top | 46-67 | Push | 0 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the SMU Mustangs. Jesse Schule |
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12-17-14 | Georgia State v. Old Dominion -3 | Top | 54-58 | Win | 100 | 19 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Old Dominion Monarchs. Jesse Schule |
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12-17-14 | Detroit -4 v. Central Florida | Top | 70-75 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the Detroit Titans. Jesse Schule |
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12-16-14 | Alabama v. Wichita State -11.5 | Top | 52-53 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Wichita State Shockers. Jesse Schule |
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12-15-14 | Cal Poly v. San Francisco -9 | Top | 78-71 | Loss | -112 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco Dons. Jesse Schule |
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12-11-14 | Eastern Washington +4.5 v. San Francisco | Top | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. Jesse Schule |
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12-10-14 | Wyoming v. California -3.5 | Top | 42-45 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the California Golden Bears. |
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12-09-14 | Seton Hall v. Wichita State -12.5 | Top | 68-77 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wichita State Shockers. Jesse Schule |
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12-07-14 | San Diego State -1 v. Washington | Top | 36-49 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Diego State Aztecs. Jesse Schule |
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12-05-14 | Texas v. Kentucky -11.5 | Top | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kentucky Wildcats. Jesse Schule |
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12-04-14 | LSU +8.5 v. West Virginia | 74-73 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the #LSU #Tigers. The #16 ranked West Virginia Mountaineers will host LSU on Thursday, and they are asked to cover a significant number of points against a tough SEC team. The Tigers have been guilty of underachieving so far, with a record of 5-2, losing Clemson and Old Dominion in last week's Virgin Islands Paradise Jam. Jesse Schule |
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12-03-14 | Wichita State +2.5 v. Utah | Top | 68-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wichita State Shockers. |
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12-03-14 | San Jose State v. UC-Davis -9.5 | Top | 56-70 | Win | 100 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UC Davis Aggies. |
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12-03-14 | San Francisco +12 v. Colorado | Top | 55-72 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco Dons. |
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12-03-14 | Michigan State +2.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 78-79 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Michigan State Spartans. Jesse Schule |
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12-03-14 | Toledo v. Cleveland State -2.5 | Top | 59-54 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cleveland State Vikings. Jesse Schule |
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12-02-14 | Denver v. Wyoming -10.5 | Top | 42-68 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wyoming Cowboys. |
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12-02-14 | Wright State +8.5 v. Evansville | Top | 78-86 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wright State Raiders. |
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12-01-14 | Siena -5.5 v. Fordham | Top | 67-69 | Loss | -122 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the Siena Saints. Jesse Schule |
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11-30-14 | Washington v. UTEP -1.5 | Top | 68-65 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UTEP Miners. |
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11-30-14 | Long Beach State v. Xavier -6.5 | Top | 73-70 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Xavier Musketeers. Jesse Schule |
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11-29-14 | Tulsa v. Wichita State -13 | Top | 55-75 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wichita State Shockers. Jesse Schule |
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11-27-14 | San Diego v. Xavier -9.5 | Top | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Xavier Musketeers. Jesse Schule |
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11-27-14 | Kansas v. Rhode Island +8 | Top | 76-60 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Rhode Island Rams. |
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11-25-14 | Michigan v. Villanova -4 | Top | 55-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Villanova Wildcats. |
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11-24-14 | BYU +3.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 87-92 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the BYU Cougars. Jesse Schule |
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11-24-14 | Eastern Washington +13 v. Indiana | Top | 88-86 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. Jesse Schule |
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11-22-14 | Providence v. Florida State -1.5 | Top | 80-54 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Florida State Seminoles. Florida State is coming off a shocking upset loss to the Northeastern Huskies. This perhaps has the Seminoles falling out of favor with the betting public, as they are just a slight favorite against Providence on Saturday. I had a close look at that game against the Huskies though, and it looks like Northeastern was just hitting their shots (to the tune of 60% from beyond the arc). I think that the loss might say more about their opponent, than it does about the Seminoles. The Friars are 3-0, but those are three unspectacular wins over cupcakes. Providence is shooting just over 45% from the field, compared to 54.9% of FSU. The Noles also have the edge in three point shooting as well as at the free throw line. I like FSU to bounce back with a win here in Connecticut. Take FSU. |
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11-22-14 | North Carolina v. Davidson +13 | Top | 90-72 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Davidson Wildcats. |
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11-22-14 | Massachusetts v. Notre Dame -3.5 | Top | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the Notre Dame Irish. Jesse Schule |
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11-20-14 | Denver v. St. Mary's -7 | Top | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 32 h 0 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. Jesse Schule |
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11-20-14 | Drexel v. Miami (FL) -9 | Top | 46-66 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Hurricanes. Jesse Schule |
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11-18-14 | Michigan State v. Duke -6.5 | Top | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Duke Blue Devils. |
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11-18-14 | Wichita State -8 v. Memphis | Top | 71-56 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Wichita State Shockers. Jesse Schule |
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11-17-14 | Detroit v. Oregon -10 | Top | 66-83 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oregon Ducks. |
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11-16-14 | Cal State Fullerton v. New Mexico -14.5 | Top | 59-67 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New Mexico Lobos. Jesse Schule |
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11-16-14 | Kennesaw State v. California -22.5 | Top | 59-93 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the California Golden Bears. Jesse Schule |
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11-16-14 | Massachusetts -5 v. Boston College | Top | 71-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UMASS Minutemen. Jesse Schule |
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11-14-14 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Louisville | Top | 68-81 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the Minnesota Golden Gophers. |
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04-07-14 | Kentucky v. Connecticut +3 | Top | 54-60 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Connecticut Huskies (1st Half)
Not too many people would have picked Kentucky to make it to the Championship game, but even fewer would have picked UCONN. The Huskies though are coming off upset victories over Florida and Michigan State. Connecticut shot 55.8% from the field against the Gators, while holding Florida to 38.8% from the field, and 1-of-10 from beyond the arc. Kentucky has won it's last three games by hitting big shots in the final minutes, but they haven't gotten off to a good start in any of those games. Aaron Harrison's 3-pointer bailed them out in the final seconds against Wisconsin, and he hit similar shots in the final minute against Louisville and Michigan. The freshman haven't faltered yet, but they've looked like a team on the verge of collapse the entire time. It's tough to depend on a late rally every night, and I wouldn't be at all surprised to see the Wildcats come up short in the Final. Take UCONN (1/H) GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-14 | Kentucky v. Wisconsin +2 | Top | 74-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Wisconsin Badgers (1st Half)
The Wildcats haven't led at the half in any of their last three games, and yet they are a favorite against the Badgers in this Final Four match-up. Wisconsin is coming off an overtime win over Arizona, and the Badgers continue to shoot the ball well from three point range. Frank Kaminsky was 3-for-5 from beyond the arc, and he was like a man against boys, scoring 28 points and pulling down 11 rebounds. Speaking of men against boys.. The Wildcats continue to win games with a starting lineup made up entirely of freshmen. The kids have made some mistakes, but so far they've been able to make the big plays at the right times, sneaking away with victories in close games. It would come as no surprise to anyone, if this group of freshman were to get caught up in the hype, lose their focus and hit a wall here against a more experienced Wisconsin team. Many of these Kentucky players are already looking ahead to the NBA, and that could prove to be a distraction. Take WISKY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-14 | Connecticut v. Florida -6 | Top | 63-53 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 6* play on the Florida Gators.
The Connecticut Huskies are the big underdogs here in the Final Four, coming off a come from behind upset win over Michigan State. They trailed the Spartans 25-21 at the half in that game, but took over in the second half. Florida on the other hand has won four straight games by double digits, and the Gators have had healthy halftime leads in all of those games. Florida has won 30 straight, but their last loss came to these Huskies in Connecticut. That game was decided by a buzzer beater though, and the Huskies had home court advantage. "It's a different game. That was four months ago," Connecticut coach Kevin Ollie said. "We're a different team. I'm a different coach. Billy Donovan's definitely got a better understanding of his team and what it takes for his team to win. So it's going to be a whole different game." Don't be surprised to see Cinderella turn into a pumpkin. Take FLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-14 | Fresno State v. Siena +1.5 | Top | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Siena Saints.
When I saw the Saints getting 8 points against Fresno State in the first game of the NIT Final, my first thought was that the bookies have made a mistake. I feel strongly that Siena is the better of the two teams. In fact I bet them both straight up +$320 as well as taking the points in that game. Here is what I had to say: "The Saints have won seven of their last eight games overall, and they have won three straight on the road, including an upset over Quinnipiac. Siena isn't getting a lot of respect from the bookmakers here, and that seems to be a trend recently, as teams from the MAAC Conference have been grossly underestimated. We saw it when Manhattan pushed Louisville to the brink, and Iona lost by a single point as an enormous dog versus LA-Tech. The Bulldogs finished the season strong, but their final two games of the season came against the two worst teams in the Mountain West, and I think the Saints will give them a much stiffer challenge." Now the Saints won Game 1, but have since allowed the Bulldogs to tie the series. They got off to a horrible start in Game 2, getting blown off the court in the first half. They didn't appear to be ready for a battle on their home court, and may have been guilty of taking their opponent too lightly. I expect the home team to bounce back with a much better effort in the Final, keep in mind this team has won and covered 8 of it's last 10. Take Siena. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-14 | Siena +8.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 61-57 | Win | 100 | 105 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Siena Saints. Well I took at stab at the Aztecs as a 3-1 dog on the ML versus Arizona, and San Diego State opened up an early lead, took a four point edge to the locker room at the half, but collapsed in the final five minutes. I don't regret it for a second, and while we didn't see the desired result, I think it was clear that the bookmakers weren't giving SDSU enough respect. I see a similar opportunity on Monday, with the Siena Saints playing Fresno State. This time I will not only play the dog SU, but also take the points. The Saints have won seven of their last eight games overall, and they have won three straight on the road, including an upset over Quinnipiac. Siena isn't getting a lot of respect from the bookmakers here, and that seems to be a trend recently, as teams from the MAAC Conference have been grossly underestimated. We saw it when Manhattan pushed Louisville to the brink, and Iona lost by a single point as an enormous dog versus LA-Tech. The Bulldogs finished the season strong, but their final two games of the season came against the two worst teams in the Mountain West, and I think the Saints will give them a much stiffer challenge. Take Siena. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-27-14 | San Diego State +6.5 v. Arizona | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 82 h 33 m | Show |
This is a free #NCAAB play on the San Diego State Aztecs.
The Arizona Wildcats are an enormous favorite in their Sweet 16 match-up versus San Diego State, and I'm gonna go out on a limb here and call for the Aztecs to WIN OUTRIGHT! That's right, I'm taking them on the moneyline, looking for the big payout. The Wildcats are a good team, and they've been impressive in recent games, but San Diego State could give them trouble. These teams have met four times since 2009, with each team winning twice. Three of those four games were decided by single digits, with the exception being an Aztecs victory in San Diego. The Aztecs covered the spread in three of those four games, and they lost by just a single point in Arizona last year. These teams come in with nearly identical records, with each team suffering just four losses on the season. One stat that just jumps off the page for me, is how successful the Aztecs have been in overtime. They have won eight straight in post-regulation, and 17 of their last 18. To me, this is a sign of a team that is well coached, and very disciplined. Such experience in close games could prove to be the difference against Arizona. Take SDSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-14 | North Dakota State v. San Diego State -2.5 | Top | 44-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the San Diego State Aztecs. It wouldn't be the "Big Dance" without Cinderella, and North Dakota State was the belle of the ball on Thursday, upsetting Oklahoma in overtime. They needed a late rally to come from behind, hitting a three-pointer with eleven seconds left on the game clock to tie the score in regulation. While we have already seen that you can't count out the underdog, barring another miracle, we should see this Cinderella turn into a pumpkin tonight. The Bison face a San Diego State team that comes in with a record of 30-4, including 6-1 in neutral site games. The Aztecs needed overtime to get past New Mexico State in their first round match-up, but that game wasn't really close until a late fourth quarter collapse. San Diego State led by a dozen at the half, and they made a quick recovery in overtime. This Aztecs team has plenty of experience in close games, winning eight straight in overtime, and 17 of their last 18 games in post-regulation. Such experience is hard to come by, and I find it astonishing that the Aztecs are such a small favorite here. Take SDST. GL, Jesse Schule
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03-19-14 | Wyoming v. Texas A&M -4 | Top | 43-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Texas A&M Aggies. The Aggies finished with a losing record in the SEC, and they bowed out of the conference tourney after losing in overtime to Missouri. They played very well at home this season though, finishing with a record of 16-3. They will face the Wyoming Cowboys tonight, who have lost five of their last six overall. The Cowboys last road game was a double digit loss at the hands of the Utah State Aggies, who are one of the bottom feeders in the Mountain West. I can't see a team that has struggled lately against some of the worst teams in the Mountain West, competing with an SEC team on the road. Both these teams suffer from Jeckyll and Hyde syndrome, playing well at home and poorly on the road. I reckon the smart money is on the home team here tonight. Take A&M. GL, Jesse Schule
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03-18-14 | Utah -1 v. St Mary's CA | Top | 58-70 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah Utes. The Utah Utes and St. Mary's Gaels both have similar records, but Utah has played far better teams in the superior Pac-12 conference. The Utes faced just one opponent from the West Coast Conference this season, and it was a blowout home win over the BYU Cougars, who finished ahead of the Gaels in the standings. Utah will be looking to bounce back from a crushing defeat at the hands of the Arizona Wilcats, as they scored just 39 points in a 71-39 blowout in the second round of the Pac-12 tournament. Prior to that though they defeated the Washington Huskies in their first round matchup, and they had won three of their final four games of the season, including an upset victory on the road at Cal. These teams haven't played in over a decade, but Utah won the last two meetings in 2002 and 2003. The Utes have the better shooters, as they shoot for a higher percentage, from the field, from beyond the arc and at the free throw line. I think the Gaels will find themselves outgunned here by a more talented team. Take Utah. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-14 | Wright State -2 v. East Carolina | Top | 73-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wright State Raiders. The Raiders were red hot down the stretch, winning six straight before being knocked out of their conference tournament by Milwaukee. Two of those wins came on the road, and they will have to play on the road tonight against East Carolina. The Pirates are coming off a loss to UTEP in the second round of the C-USA tourney. They shot just 43.1% from the field in that game, and they also struggled from the free throw line, hitting 6-of-11 (54%). The Raiders come in feeling the hot hand, as they are shooting 49.8% over their last five games. The Pirates have hit just 41.7% of their shots during that same span. I like Wright State's chances of bouncing back from a tough loss, as they should be able to get the better of an inferior opponent here tonight. Take the Raiders. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-14 | Michigan State v. Michigan +3 | Top | 69-55 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Michigan Wolverines.
Buckle up, today's game between Michigan and Michigan State has all the signs of being another epic battle. Oddly we see conference champions getting points in this game, even though they've won seven straight, finishing with a 17-3 record in conference play. The winning streak started with a 79-70 home victory over the Spartans, who they also defeated in East Lansing earlier in the year. With these two teams having a history of playing close games, I'd think twice about laying points here. We witnessed what the Wolverines can do in last year's tournament, and when they are hitting their shots, it's going to be tough for anyone to beat them. They were hitting their shots yesterday, shooting 53.2% from the field, and 12-of-23 from beyond the arc. "We've got six of our eight that play can make 3s," Beilein said. "And, as a result, when you have that many guys and pretty much they have different green lights, but they have green lights. So when they're shooting it well, we can spread people out." I expect Michigan to stay hot shooting, making life difficult for the Spartans. Take MICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-14 | Duke -1 v. Virginia | Top | 63-72 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils.
As a professional handicapper, it's important to know the difference between making the right call, and just getting lucky. My win with Virginia yesterday was one that I chalk up to pure luck. Watching the game, I was impressed with the Cavs defense, but it was frustrating to watch them fail to execute on offense. They looked like a team that was happy to be there, lacking in the confidence and experience that it takes to win. Somehow they managed to shoot 46.7%, and 3-of-12 from three point range, but it sure looked worse than that. They were constantly throwing the ball away, and just holding on to the ball until the shot clock would run down, and then throw up a prayer. With over five minutes left to play, they had just a five point lead, and at that point it looked as if they just stopped trying to score entirely. While Pittsburgh had a chance to hit a game tying shot in the final second, the Cavs ended up going to the free throw line and getting a miraculous cover. I believe if they play the same style today, Duke is going to punish them for it. The recipe for success is simple, if the Blue Devils can hit their shots, the Cavs won't be able to keep up. Duke hit 57.1% from the field against N.C. State, and 7-of-17 from beyond the arc. This Duke team has more weapons that Pitt, and I don't think Virginia can stop them from scoring. Take Duke. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-14 | Ohio State v. Michigan -2.5 | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Michigan Wolverines.
Michigan just narrowly escaped with a victory by a single point versus Illinois yesterday, and they will face the Buckeyes this afternoon. Ohio State also had a scare, as it had to come from behind to beat Nebraska. The Cornhuskers led by as much as 18 points in the second half, but could not hold on, as Ohio State eventually won 71-67. The Buckeyes did not shoot the ball well, and were just 4-of-18 from beyond the arc. They will find it very tough to hang in there versus Michigan unless they can flip the switch and start hitting some shots. Michigan wasn't exactly shooting out the lights either yesterday, hitting 10-of-30 from downtown, with Nik Stauskas going 2-for-10. They didn't stop trying though, and a player like Stauskas is going to start to catch fire sooner rather than later. The Wolverines won by double digits (70-60) at Columbus in February, and they are just a slight favorite here in this game. I expect the Buckeyes struggles versus Michigan to struggle, and don't be surprised to see Stauskas respond with a big game. Take MICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-14 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia -3 | Top | 48-51 | Push | 0 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Virginia Cavaliers.
Despite poor perimeter shooting, hitting only 30% from beyond the arc, Virginia slipped past Florida State by a score of 64-51 on Friday. They will face Pittsburgh this afternoon, and the Panthers are coming off a win over North Carolina, by just a five point margin. These teams met back on February 2 in Pittsburgh, and the Cavs handed the Panthers a loss on their home court. Viriginia didn't shoot particularly well in that game either, hitting just 4-of-12 three point attempts. Virginia is 5-0 on neutral territory this season, and they've shot the ball well in those games, hitting 50% from the field and 42.6% from beyond the arc. If they can find their shots today, this could get ugly for Pittsburgh. The Cavs have lost just once in their last 15 games, and that came on the road in their season finale at Maryland, falling in overtime to the Terrapins. Pittsburgh on the other hand lost seven of their final 14 games of the season, and of those seven wins, four came in overtime. The Panthers played well enough to build a 20 point lead against the Tar Heels, but then sloppy defense allowed North Carolina to come all the way back to within three points in the final minute. Virginia deserves to be a significant favorite here after the season it's had, and I think the Panthers will have their hands full here, don't be surprised if the Cavs run away with it. Take UVA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-14 | Baylor v. Texas +1 | Top | 86-69 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Texas Longhorns.
After blowing out West Virginia on Thursday, the Longhorns face Baylor Friday night. I personally think this Texas team might just be a lot better than it's record indicates. They finished with a respectable record while playing in the toughest conference in the country, and when you look at the Longhorns losses, there aren't any questionable ones. Texas is far better defensively, and they should dominate the boards versus the Bears. Texas won both meetings during the regular season, including a 74-60 win at Waco. The Longhorns have been a good bet against Baylor in recent seasons, covering the points in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. The Longhorns did everything right in a blowout win over the Mountaineers yesterday, and leading scorer Jonathan Holmes was 7-of-8 from the field, 4-of-4 from the free throw line for 20 points, while playing just 18 minutes. I expect Texas to shut down Baylor with tough defensive minded play, just as they did to West Virginia on Thursday. Take Texas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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