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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-11-16 | Kansas -5 v. Baylor | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas Jayhawks. Kansas crushed BIG12 rivals Kansas State on Thursday, and they are the team to beat, ranked #1 in the country. They take on the inconsistent Baylor Bears tonight, and I think the price to back the Jayhawks is more than reasonable. Kansas comes in as winners of 12 straight, and they covered the spread in 10 of those 12 games. They swept the season series with Baylor, and they've won and covered in seven straight against the Bears since 2013. The Bears finished the season as losers of three of their last four games before beating Texas yesterday. They lost 66-60 at home to Kansas during the regular season, and they shot just 36.1 percent from the field in that game. Kansas has plenty of experience playing neutral site games this season, winning five of six. They scored an average of 80.4 points on 48.6 percent shooting in those games. Opponents have averaged just 63 points on 36.7 percent shooting in the Jayhawks last five games. Take KAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-16 | Connecticut v. Cincinnati | 104-97 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Cincinnati #Bearcats. It's hard not like a team like Cincinnati come tournament time. The Bearcats are tough competitors, well coached and very disciplined defensively. Their style suits playing pressure packed games on neutral courts. Cincinnati will meet Connecticut in an early tip off Friday, and the Huskies did not finish the season strong. UCONN lost four of it's final eight games, including a home loss to Houston, and a 65-60 loss at Cincinnati. The Bearcats swept the season series, covering the spread in both meetings. Jesse Schule |
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03-07-16 | BYU v. Gonzaga -3 | Top | 84-88 | Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Gonzaga Bulldogs. Gonzaga struggled early in the season with an inexperienced back court, but the Bulldogs still finished tied with the St. Mary's with a 15-3 record in the WCC, and a 24-7 overall record. Their size and skill up front is tough for opponents to deal with, and their young guards now have bit more experience under their belts. The BYU Cougars upset the Bulldogs earlier in the year, but Gonzaga got revenge with a 71-68 at Salt Lake City on Saturday. The two teams will meet in Las Vegas in the conference tourney tonight, and I expect to see a similar result to the last meeting. BYU couldn't get anything going against Gonzaga's defense, shooing just 22-of-67 (32.8 %) from he field. The Bulldogs come in as the hotter team, covering the spread in four of their last five. They have been very good at the free throw line during that span, hitting 78 percent. The Cougars have failed to cover in three of their last five, and are shooting just 67.5 percent from the charity stripe. Free throw shooting could be a big factor in tonight's game, and that may not bode well for BYU. Take GONZ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-16 | Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois -5 | Top | 50-56 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies. The Huskies have quietly been making bettors a fortune at home, going 21-7-3 ATS in their last 31 home games. They host the Western Michigan Broncos in a MAC Tournament game tonight, and they already beat the Broncos 76-67 just over a week ago. The Broncos have only won two road games all year long, with a dismal 2-11 road record. While there's nothing easy about handicapping college hoops, I think this is a case of the obvious choice being the best choice. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-16 | SMU v. Cincinnati -1 | 54-61 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Cincinnati Bearcats. Jesse Schule |
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03-05-16 | Louisville v. Virginia -5 | Top | 46-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Virginia Cavs. The situational handicappers will be licking their chops tonight, lining up to bet on the Cardinals in this revenge game against Virginia. The Cavs trounced the Cardinals in Louisville back in January, handing them their worst loss of the season. I've written extensively about "situational handicapping" throughout my career, and I consider it to be one of the most overrated strategies that a sports handicapper can focus on. I do take note of "revenge spots" such as we see in tonight's game, but unless there are several other key factors that line up in favor of the team seeking revenge, I wouldn't want to bet on that team to do what it failed to do in the previous meeting. There's no reason to think that "revenge" will trump the effort of a Virginia team playing it's final home game before gearing up for the playoffs. Louisville on the other hand is serving a self imposed ban this post-season, so doesn't have anything left to play for. The Cardinals are just 4-6 on the road while Virginia is 14-0 at home. Louisville has failed to cover in eight of it's last nine road games, and they are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games versus teams with a winning record. The Cavs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus teams with a winning straight up record. Take UVA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-16 | North Carolina v. Duke +1.5 | 76-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Duke Blue Devils. The situational handicappers will be licking their chops tonight, lining up to bet on the Tar Heels in this revenge game against Duke. The Blue Devils upset North Carolina at Chapel Hill a couple weeks back, in a game that they really should have won. I've written extensively about "situational handicapping" throughout my career, and I consider it to be one of the most overrated strategies that a sports handicapper can focus on. I do take note of "revenge spots" such as we see in tonight's game, but unless there are several other key factors that line up in favor of the team seeking revenge, I wouldn't want to bet on that team to do what it failed to do in the previous meeting. I find it a little mind boggling that after watching the Tar Heels fail to beat Duke at home, people are willing to bet on North Carolina as a favorite at Duke on senior night. Actually laying points with a team that is just 5-5 on the road this season to beat Coach K at Cameron Indoor where Duke is 181-12 (.937) at home since the 2004-2005 season, second only to Kansas in home winning percentage. Take Duke. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-16 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech -1 | 59-63 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. The Yellow Jackets are coming off a 56-53 loss at Louisville, which was an impressive showing despite the disappointing result. They've had better luck at home of late, winning three straight, including a 63-62 win over #18 ranked Notre Dame. They had won four straight prior to the setback against Louisville, and I like their chances of knocking off Pittsburgh here on senior's night. The Panthers have been brutal on the road this season, losing five of eight overall. Most recently they lost 65-61 at Virginia Tech. They are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 road games. It's going to be a struggle for Pittsburgh to contend with the size of the Yellow Jackets, who are among the conference leaders averaging almost 37 rebounds per game. Georgia Tech is 12-5 at home. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-16 | Indiana State v. Illinois State -6 | 65-57 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Illinois State #Redbirds. The Indiana State Sycamores are coming off a home win over cellar dwellers Bradley, which snapped a six game losing skid. They had lost their previous three games all by a 20+ point margin. One of those losses came at Illinois State by a score of 78-50. The two teams meet in the conference tournament in St. Louis Friday, and I don't see any reason we won't see another comfortable win for the Red Birds. Illinois State finished in a second place tie with Evansville with a 12-6 record in the Missouri Valley Conference. They won six of their last eight games, losing only to conference powerhouses Wichita State and Northern Iowa. One of their wins during that span came at home against the conference leading Shockers. The Sycamores come into this game in a terrible offensive slump, averaging just 61.4 points on 34.5 percent shooting over their last five games. They are 1-8-1 in their last 10 games overall, and they are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games. The Redbirds are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games versus teams with a losing record. Take ILST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-16 | Princeton -5.5 v. Harvard | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Princeton Tigers. The Harvard Crimson have dominated the Ivy League in recent seasons, but they have been brutal in 2016. Harvard has lost eight of 12 games in conference play, and they have failed to cover in 10 of their last 12 overall. Harvard has been burying bettors, going 7-21 ATS in their last 28 versus the Ivy League. They've lost three of their last four home games, including a double digit loss to Yale. Princeton trails Yale by just a half a game in the Ivy League standings, with a 10-1 conference record. The Tigers beat Harvard at home by a whopping 21 points earlier this season, and they should win tonight's game by a wide margin. Princeton has covered the spread in five of it's last seven at Harvard, and four straight on the road. Take PRIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-16 | Colorado State v. Fresno State -4.5 | 73-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Fresno State Bulldogs. The Bulldogs have won four straight, and they will play their final home game against a struggling Colorado State Rams team on senior's night. The Rams have lost five straight on the road, and seven of 10 away from home this season. Colorado State has lost four of it's last five overall, and they've shot just 38.6 percent from the field during that span. The Bulldogs are 15-2 at home, and 11-5 in the Mountain West. They have covered the spread in four of their last five home games, and four of their last five against teams with a winning record. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in this series, and the favorite covered the spread in all five of those games. Take FRES. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-16 | Wisconsin -10 v. Minnesota | Top | 62-49 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. The Minnesota Golden Gophers are one of the BIG10's bottom feeders, with a conference record of 2-14. They have a losing home record, and they have suffered double digit home losses at the hands of Michigan and Northwestern, and they are coming off a 13 point loss on the road at Illinois. Normally you would expect a pretty strong effort from an underdog like Minnesota in it's final home game, but with three of it's top players suspended for the remainder of the season, maybe not. The Gophers might just fold like a cheap suite here without leading scorer Nate Mason, who had 31 points in the team's only two wins in conference play. Wisconsin has won four straight in this series, and three of those wins came by double digits. They won in Minnesota last year by a score of 76-63. Take WISC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-16 | Seton Hall +5 v. Butler | 78-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Seton Hall Pirates. Jesse Schule |
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03-02-16 | St. Joe's v. St Bonaventure +4 | Top | 90-98 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies. The Bonnies will host St. Joes on Wednesday, and it's senior night at St. Bonaventure. History certainly favors the Bonnies, who have won four straight meetings, including a double digit win at St. Joe's earlier this year. The Red Hawks are currently in first place in the A-10, but a home win for the Bonnies would move them into a tie with St. Joe's. St. Bonaventure has won eight of it's last nine overall, and the one loss came on the road at La Salle. They have scored an average of 82.2 points on 49.3 percent shooting over their last five games, and they are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take SBON. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-16 | Virginia v. Clemson +5 | Top | 64-57 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clemson Tigers. It's Senior's Night at Clemson, and the Tigers will be all fired up as they get set to host the Virginia Cavs. As well as Virginia has played of late, the fact is that they are just 4-6 on the road. I don't think the Cavs have any business being a sizable favorite on the road tonight, where Clemson has won seven of it's last eight. The Tigers covered the spread in six of those games, and even when they lose they don't lose by much. Three of their last four losses came in games decided by three points or less. This game appears to be destined to be a close, low scoring affair, and the home dog looks like a bargain Take CLEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-16 | Duke v. Pittsburgh | Top | 62-76 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. |
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02-28-16 | Xavier -1.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 81-90 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Xavier Musketeers. Jesse Schule |
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02-27-16 | Texas A&M v. Missouri +9.5 | 84-69 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Missouri Tigers. |
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02-26-16 | Harvard v. Yale -13 | 50-59 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Yale #Bulldogs. The Harvard Crimson have dominated the Ivy League in recent seasons, but they have been brutal in 2016. Harvard has lost seven of 10 games in conference play, and nine of 12 on the road. The Bulldogs beat the Crimson at Harvard by a dozen points earlier this season, and given that they are sitting just a half game clear of second place Princeton, we should expect another one sided game here tonight. The Bulldogs are an offensive juggernaut averaging 82.1 points per game on 50.1 percent shooting at home. They are shooting 73.5 percent from the free throw line over their last five games. Free throw shooting has been a real weakness for the Crimson, who are hitting just 55.5 percent from the charity stripe on the road. Harvard has been burying bettors, going 6-20 ATS in their last 26 versus the Ivy League. They've been a terrible bet when playing Yale, failing to cover in 15 of the last 22 meetings. The Bulldogs have covered the spread in six straight versus teams with a losing record. Â Take YALE. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule |
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02-25-16 | Texas-Arlington v. Arkansas-Little Rock -7 | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UALR. The Little Rock Arkansas Trojans are the top team in the Sun Belt Conference, and they have been dominant at home all year long. They put their 11-0 record to to the test hosting a banged up UT Arlington team tonight. The Mavericks are coming off a home loss to ULM, and they lost 68-62 at home to UALR earlier this season. The Mavericks have been without forward Kevin Hervey since January 16th, and he was averaging over 18 points per game before suffering a knee injury. The Trojans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games, and they've covered the spread in six of their last seven versus conference rivals. Take UALR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-16 | Northwestern v. Michigan -7 | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Michigan #Wolverines. The Wolverines are one of several teams "on the bubble" in the BIG10, and tonight's home game versus Northwestern is an absolute "must win". They can't afford to take anything for granted here, and we should see Michigan come out playing hard right from the opening tip off. Michigan has a home record of 12-3, and they won their last home game 61-56 over Purdue (then ranked #18). The Wildcats have only won twice in their last nine games, and those wins came against BIG10 bottom feeders Illinois and Minnesota, both victories coming at home. They've lost five straight on the road, and the average margin of defeat in those games was 14 points. They are only getting half as many points here in Michigan, where they have lost five straight since 2010. The Wolverines score an average of 78 points on 48.3 percent shooting at home, and they are hitting over 40 percent of their three-point attempts. It's a tough ask for the Wildcats to keep up offensively, as they come in averaging just 67 points per game over their last five. This is a statement game for Michigan, and I expect them to trounce the Wildcats, winning by double digits. Take MICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-16 | Villanova v. Xavier -1 | Top | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Xavier Musketeers. Xavier is 24-3 overall, and one of those three losses came on the road at Villanova. They get a chance to execute a little revenge here at home tonight, and they looked pretty good in a win at Georgetown over the weekend. The Hoyas were one of just three teams to beat Xavier this year, and the Musketeers punished them in the rematch winning 88-70. The loss at Villanova was particularly tough, with Edmond Sumner getting carted off on a stretcher in the opening minutes. The Freshman guard is back, and firing on all cylinders, scoring 22 points on 6-of-9 shooting in the win at Georgetown. Villanova has won seven straight, but has only covered the spread in three of it's last seven. The Wildcats have been cruising through the weaker teams in the Big East, but this is by far their toughest test to date. The Musketeers are 13-1 overall at home, scoring 83.2 points and shooting better than 40 percent from beyond the arc in those games. The Wildcats stats on the road are nowhere near what they are at home, and they face a Musketeers team that is 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games versus teams with a winning road record. Take XAV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-16 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +6.5 | 71-56 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston College Eagles. |
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02-23-16 | Michigan State v. Ohio State +6.5 | 81-62 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes. Jesse Schule |
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02-22-16 | Virginia v. Miami (Fla) | Top | 61-64 | Win | 100 | 18 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Miami Hurricanes. Jesse Schule |
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02-21-16 | Illinois v. Wisconsin -11.5 | 60-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Going back even further, the Illini are just 5-15-1 in the last 21 meetings, and they've failed to cover in five straight in Madison. The Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games, and they've covered the spread in seven of their last eight versus BIG10 teams.  Take WISC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-16 | St. Mary's +6.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 63-58 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the St. Mary's Gaels.  Gonzaga sits in first place in the West Coast Conference, one game ahead of St. Mary's with a 13-2 conference record. Both teams have 21 wins overall, but the Gaels have two fewer losses. This Gonzaga team has continued to beat up on weak opposition in the conference, but when they've faced tougher opponents they've failed miserably. That was on full display last Saturday when they lost 69-60 at SMU.  They've lost to BYU, UCLA, Arizona, Texas A&M and at St. Mary's earlier this year. The Gaels lead the nation in field goal percentage (.509), and they are ranked 5th in three-point percentage (.421). They shot 50 percent from the field in the win over Gonzaga earlier this year, and I think they'll keep this game close tonight.  The Bulldogs are just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning record, and they are asked to cover a big number in tonight's game. The Gaels have covered the spread in six of their last eight against teams above .500. They've also won five of eight straight up on the road.  Take SMC.  GL,  Jesse Schule |
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02-19-16 | Harvard v. Columbia -7.5 | 76-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Columbia #Lions.Â
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02-18-16 | Maryland v. Minnesota +10.5 | Top | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 19 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Golden Gophers. Jesse Schule |
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02-17-16 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech +5 | Top | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Jesse Schule |
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02-17-16 | Syracuse +8 v. Louisville | Top | 58-72 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange. Jesse Schule |
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02-16-16 | Florida v. Georgia +1 | 57-53 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Georgia Bulldogs. Jesse Schule |
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02-15-16 | NC State +12 v. Virginia | 53-73 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the N.C. State #Wolfpack.  The Cavs saw their seven game winning streak come to and end at Duke on Saturday, and they may have trouble picking up the pieces here at home on Monday. They host conference rivals N.C. State, and Virginia is asked to cover an inflated double-digit spread. Now the Cavs did beat Virginia Tech and Boston College by a combined 32 points in their last two home games, but prior to that they won close games at home against Clemson, Syracuse and Miami. The Wolfpack have lost four of their last seven, but none of those losses came by more than 10 points. Jesse Schule |
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02-13-16 | Texas +5 v. Iowa State | 75-85 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Texas Longhorns.  Texas has been one of the hottest teams in the BIG12 in 2016, and the Longhorns are only a game out of first place. They've won four of their last five overall, with the lone loss coming by just three points at Oklahoma. It has taken some time for this team to adapt to first year head coach Shaka Smart, but they really look like a contender heading into March. Jesse Schule |
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02-13-16 | Louisville v. Notre Dame -1 | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Notre Dame Irish. |
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02-13-16 | Texas A&M v. LSU -1 | Top | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LSU Tigers.Â
Jesse Schule |
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02-12-16 | Dayton -1.5 v. Rhode Island | Top | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 18 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* pay on the Dayton Flyers. Jesse Schule |
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02-11-16 | North Dakota v. Eastern Washington -6.5 | 85-95 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. I bet on the Eagles in their last home game against Sacramento State, and here is what I said before the game: "Last year's Big Sky champions have failed to impress this year, with a 10-10 overall record and just 4-4 within the conference. The Eagles have been dominant at home though, winning all seven of their games in Washington. The majority of those game were blowouts, such as Thursday's 112-83 shellacking of Portland State. Eastern Washington is averaging and incredible 92 points on 55.9 percent shooting at home." The would win the game, but only by seven points. Inexplicably they shot just 1-for-20 from three-point range on that night. If I live to be 103, I might never see another game where the Eagles shoot 1-for-20 from beyond the arc. They've since won back to back road games by double digits, and I think they'll win big at home tonight. Take EWU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-16 | Toledo v. Buffalo -2 | Top | 71-69 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Buffalo Bulls. |
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02-08-16 | Louisville v. Duke -4 | Top | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. Jesse Schule |
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02-06-16 | Eastern Michigan v. Buffalo -5.5 | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Buffalo Bulls. |
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02-06-16 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State +5 | Top | 64-59 | Push | 0 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. Jesse Schule |
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02-06-16 | Davidson v. Duquesne -2 | 93-82 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Duquesne Dukes. Duquesne will be just a slight favorite at home to Davidson, and this Wildcats team has really struggled on the road. The Dukes have won three straight, and five of six overall. They are 9-1 at home, and they are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 home games. Davidson has lost six of eight on the road this season, and has failed to cover the spread in five of their last seven road games. They are an absolutely abysmal 3-13 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Davidson has been hit hard by injuries, with forward Jake Belford out for the season, and leading scorer Jack Gibbs battling an ankle injury. Gibbs is expected to play on Saturday, but he might not be at 100%. He's scored 59 points in his last two games, but the Wildcats lost both those games by double-digits. |
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02-06-16 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh +1.5 | 64-50 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Panthers. Jesse Schule |
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02-03-16 | Arkansas +9 v. Florida | Top | 83-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arkansas Razorbacks. Jesse Schule |
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02-02-16 | Buffalo v. Northern Illinois -3 | Top | 90-78 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies. |
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02-01-16 | Texas v. Baylor -5 | Top | 67-59 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baylor Bears. The Texan Longhorns are coming off back to back home wins, and they've won five of their last six overall. They face a daunting task on the road tonight at Baylor though, as the Bears are 14-1 at home, and that one loss came at the hands of #1 ranked Oklahoma. Baylor scores an average of 81.7 points on 48.9 percent shooting at home, and they also average 37 rebounds per game. They should be able to dominate on the boards tonight, as Texas is averaging just 28.8 rebounds per game on the road. They are still without starting center and leading rebounder Cameron Ridley, who hasn't played since mid December. Texas lost at Baylor by 23 points last year, and it's dropped three of it's last four away from home. All four of Baylor's home wins against BIG12 teams have come by at least seven points. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-16 | Maryland v. Ohio State +5 | Top | 66-61 | Push | 0 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes. Maryland has been one of the more overrated teams in the country this season, and I think they are being asked to cover a few too many points on the road at Ohio State. The Buckeyes have won back to back games, and seven straight at home. One of those wins was a 74-67 upset over the #4 ranked Kentucky Wildcats. The Terrapins have lost their last two road games at Michigan State and Michigan, and they have lost their last two trips to Columbus. The Buckeyes are cleaning up on the board, averaging 38 rebounds per game at home. They out-rebounded the Illini 51-34 in their last game, and I expect them to own the glass tonight against a Maryland team that has only averaged 32 rebounds per game on the road. Ohio State is 8-2-1 ATS in it's last 11 home games. Take OSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-16 | San Francisco +17 v. Gonzaga | Top | 48-86 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco Dons. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are coming off an 84-67 home win over Santa Clara, but the Broncos are one of the worst teams in the WCC. This year's Bulldogs team hasn't been nearly as dominant as it has been in previous years. They've already suffered three home losses versus Arizona, UCLA and BYU. They are asked to cover an enormous number here against a San Francisco team that is one of the highest scoring teams in the conference. The Dons played them tough in San Francisco earlier in the year, blowing a big lead late, and then losing in overtime. The Bulldogs are one of the most overrated teams in the country, and they have been terrible against the spread this season. They are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games, and 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The Don's have covered the spread in seven of their last nine overall, and six of their last eight as a road underdog. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-16 | Kentucky v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 84-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas Jayhawks. Kansas will host Kentucky in the BIG12/SEC Challenge on Saturday night, and the Wildcats have really looked vulnerable on the road. The Jayhawks on the other hand are 10-0 at home, and that includes a win over #1 ranked Oklahoma. Kentucky has lost at UCLA, LSU and Ohio State. The Wildcats have failed to cover in 11 of their last 15 road games, and it doesn't get any tougher than this. Kansas has won and covered four straight non-conference games, while the Wildcats are 2-7 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. The competition in the BIG12 this year appears to be a cut above what the Wildcats have seen in the SEC. Kansas has won 34 straight at Allen Fieldhouse, and I expect that streak to continue here tonight. Take KU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-16 | CS Sacramento v. Eastern Washington -8.5 | Top | 67-74 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. Last year's Big Sky champions have failed to impress this year, with a 10-10 overall record and just 4-4 within the conference. The Eagles have been dominant at home though, winning all seven of their games in Washington. The majority of those game were blowouts, such as Thursday's 112-83 shellacking of Portland State. Eastern Washington is averaging and incredible 92 points on 55.9 percent shooting at home. Sacramento State comes in as losers of five of it's last seven, and the Hornets are just 3-6 on the road. Starting guard Cody Demps has missed the last five games for the Hornets with a quadriceps injury, and he's questionable to play tonight. The Hornets have failed to cover in seven of their last nine versus the Big Sky. Take EWU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-16 | Virginia v. Louisville -5.5 | Top | 63-47 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Louisville Cardinals. The Virginia Cavaliers have been a powerhouse in the ACC in recent years, but they've really struggled this season. They've dropped four of six on the road, and even though they managed to eke out a win at Wake Forest on Tuesday, they trailed by seven points with just 28 seconds remaining in that game. They connected with a trio of three-pointers in the final 14 seconds, including the winner at he buzzer. This should put them in a position for a big let down as they are in a much tougher spot at Louisville Saturday. The Cardinal are sitting in second in the ACC with a record of 6-1 in conference play. They are 13-0 at home, and they've covered the spread in seven of their last 10. Louisville should have an enormous advantage on the glass, coming in averaging more than 39 rebounds per game (10 more than the Cavs). They are lighting up the scoreboard at home, averaging 84.4 points on 51 percent shooting so far. The Cavs are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. Take LOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-16 | Georgia Tech v. Syracuse -5 | Top | 57-60 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange. Syracuse crushed Notre Dame at home on Thursday night, and I cashed in a winner in that game. Here is what I said before tip off: "The Orange have won three of four, including a pair of wins on the road, one of those a 64-62 win over Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium. They allowed just 52.3 points on 34.2 percent shooting in those three wins. Michael Gbinije leads the Orange in scoring, and he's among the national leaders with 53 steals." The Orange have also been red hot from beyond the arc, shooting 40 percent from three point range over their last five games. They made 10 three-pointers in the win over the Irish. Georgia Tech is coming off a road win at North Carolina State, but had dropped three straight prior to that. After watching the Orange completely dismantle Notre Dame on Thursday, it's hard to imagine that the Yellow Jackets will have much of a chance here on Saturday. Take SYR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-16 | Notre Dame v. Syracuse -3.5 | Top | 66-81 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange. Jesse Schule |
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01-27-16 | Purdue v. Minnesota +14 | 68-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Golden Gophers. The Golden Gophers have lost nine straight, and a 10th consecutive loss seems probable tonight. They host #21 ranked Purdue, and they will be a double digit home dog. While the losses have piled up, it's not as if Minnesota hasn't been competitive. The Gopher's last three losses have all come in close games, losing by five points to Illinois and Michigan, and by just seven points at home to Indiana. "It's tough," said coach Richard Pitino. "You're working hard. You're playing hard. You want to win. And you're just not finding a way to do it." These teams have a history of playing close games, with each of the last four meetings decided by four points or less. The Boiler Makers will be short-handed, with forward Caleb Swanigan nursing a sprained ankle, and Vince Edwards trying to shake off a head injury. Both players may still see action, but guard Kendall Stephens will sit out a second straight game due to personal reasons. I think the Boilers Makers are being asked to cover a few too many points against a BIG10 rival on the road. Jesse Schule |
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01-27-16 | Louisville v. Virginia Tech +8 | Top | 91-83 | Push | 0 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Virginia Tech Hokies. |
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01-26-16 | Indiana v. Wisconsin +2 | Top | 79-82 | Win | 100 | 18 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. The Indiana Hoosiers are 7-0 in conference play, and their stock is on the rise. I think the #19 ranked Hoosiers are a little overrated coming into Wisconsin as a favorite. They just barely escaped with a 59-58 win at home when the two teams played earlier this season. Wisconsin has suffered a few losses at home, but they looked pretty tough in a 63-60 loss to Maryland. Melo Trimble hit a buzzer beater to break the Badgers hearts in that game. The Badgers most recent home game was an upset win over Michigan State, led by Bronson Koenig's 27 point performance. The Hoosiers have really struggled against Wisconsin, going 4-12 ATS in the last 16 meetings, and losing five straight in Madison. Take WISC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-16 | Virginia v. Wake Forest +7 | Top | 72-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. The Virginia Cavaliers have failed to impress so far, with a 4-3 record in conference play. They've lost three of their last six overall, and all three wins during that span were in games decided by single digits. They snuck by Syracuse at home on the weekend, and now they are asked to cover a big number on the road at Wake Forest. The Cavs only have one win in five games on the road this season, and that was at Ohio State in December. They won that game 64-58, less than the margin they are asked to cover tonight. Virginia has since lost at Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech and Florida State. Not exacty powerhouse teams. Four of the last six meetings between these two teams have been decided by five points or less, and Virginia is 4-11 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Take WAKE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-16 | Duke +3.5 v. Miami (Fla) | Top | 69-80 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. We don't often see Duke as an underdog, but after sufferring three straight losses in conference play, the Blue Devils stock is low. All three of those losses came in close games against hot teams, and they turned things around with a double digit win on the road at N.C. State in their last game. Miami has an impressive record, but there's no denying that the Hurricanes have had a much softer schedule. Home court hasn't been much of an advantage in recent meetings between these two schools, as the home team is 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10. The Canes upset Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium last season, which sets up a nice revenge play here in Miami. Take DUKE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-16 | Utah v. Washington +3 | 80-75 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Washington #Huskies. Â Jesse Schule |
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01-24-16 | Syracuse +9.5 v. Virginia | Top | 65-73 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange. The Virginia Cavaliers have failed to impress so far, with a 3-3 record in conference play. They've lost three of their last five overall, and both wins during that span were in games decided by single digits. Still they are asked to win by double digits at home to Syracuse, a team that's coming off big road wins over Wake Forest and Duke. The Orange got off to a slow start, but that's understandable as they were missing head coach Jim Boeheim. Since his return they have turned things around winning three of four, but they can't afford to too many more losses if they want to keep post-season aspirations alive. The Orange have really turned up the heat on defense, allowing just 63 points per game over their last five. That's slightly less than Virginia has surrendered during the same span. "Our rebounding has been better and our defense has been better and those are two things you have to do, especially defense," said Boeheim. Take SYR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-16 | Providence +13 v. Villanova | Top | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Providence Friars. |
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01-24-16 | SMU v. Temple +7 | Top | 80-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Temple Owls. Jesse Schule |
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01-23-16 | Vanderbilt +6 v. Kentucky | Top | 57-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores. Kentucky has looked vulnerable lately, losing on the road at Auburn and LSU, and barely beating Mississippi State at home. The Wildcats may have their hands full at home this Saturday, hosting a Vanderbilt team that has won three straight. The Commodores crushed the Vols in Tennessee on Thursday by a score of 88-74. They hit 13 three-pointers, and out-rebounded Tennessee 50-43. The Vols have lost four of five overall on the road, but they've played some close games. They've actually covered the spread in nine of their last 13 road games. They've also been a great bet against Kentucky, as the Wildcats have failed to cover in seven straight against Vanderbilt. The Commodores will have a huge size advantage with a pair of seven footers, and junior forward Luke Kornet who has been a force during this three game winning streak. Kornet has scored 29 points, 31 rebounds with a whopping 16 blocks over the last three games. Take VAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-16 | Georgetown v. Xavier -9.5 | Top | 81-72 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 55 m | Show |
This is an 10* play on the Xavier Musketeers. |
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01-19-16 | NC State v. Pittsburgh -8 | 78-61 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Panthers. |
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01-19-16 | Clemson +10.5 v. Virginia | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Clemson Tigers. Jesse Schule |
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01-17-16 | Michigan v. Iowa -7.5 | Top | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes. Jesse Schule |
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01-16-16 | Oklahoma State +7.5 v. Texas | Top | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. |
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01-16-16 | Seton Hall v. Providence -6 | Top | 81-72 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Providence Friars. Jesse Schule |
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01-16-16 | Notre Dame v. Duke -8.5 | Top | 95-91 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. Duke is coming off a sub-par performance on the road at Clemson, losing by a score of 68-63. The Blue Devils had won five straight prior that, and they are still undefeated at home. Few teams can say that they've had any success at Cameron Indoor Stadium, the Blue Devils are 58-1 in Durham since Nov. 9, 2012, and one of those wins was a 90-60 blowout against the Irish last year. The Blue Devils have covered the spread in seven of their last nine versus conference rivals, and they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. They've averaged 93.5 points on 50 percent shooting while going 10-0 at home, but perhaps their biggest advantage over the Irish is on the boards. They are averaging almost 40 rebounds per game, while the Irish are averaging less than 30. Take DUKE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-16 | Loyola Marymount v. San Francisco -4.5 | 87-83 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 8* play on the San Francisco Dons. |
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01-14-16 | Pittsburgh +7 v. Louisville | Top | 41-59 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Pittsburgh Panthers. The Louisville Cardinals are coming off a loss to Clemson on Sunday, and yet they are still asked to cover an enormous spread at home tonight against a Pittsburgh team that has won 10 straight. I bet against Louisville in their loss to Clemson, and here is what I said prior to tip off:Â |
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01-13-16 | Florida State v. NC State -1 | Top | 85-78 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the N.C. State Wolfpack. Take NCST Jesse Schule |
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01-13-16 | Duke -6.5 v. Clemson | Top | 63-68 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. |
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01-12-16 | Iowa State -1.5 v. Texas | Top | 91-94 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Iowa State Hawkeyes. The Texas Longhorns have lost three of their last four overall, and one of those defeats came at home to Connecticut by a score of 71-66. Their leading scorer and rebounder Cameron Ridley didn't play in any of those games, and he remains sidelined with a foot injury. I think he will be sorely missed here against the Cyclones, who have looked very solid on the road. Iowa State won outright at Cincinnati, and lost a close game 87-83 at Oklahoma. Texas got killed on the boards in a loss to TCU on Saturday, and it shot just 37.1 percent from the field, and 14 percent from three point range. "I think offensively, we've got to continue to get better at playing faster," coach Shaka Smart said , "getting out in transition to get some easier baskets, because right now we're struggling to shoot the ball from outside in the half court." The Cyclones have averaged 82 points on 47 percent shooting on the road so far. Take ISU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-16 | Florida v. Texas A&M -5.5 | Top | 68-71 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Texas A&M Aggies. Jesse Schule |
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01-10-16 | Valparaiso v. Detroit +7.5 | Top | 92-74 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Detroit Titans. |
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01-09-16 | Kansas v. Texas Tech +7.5 | 69-59 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the #TTU Red Raiders.
Jesse Schule |
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01-09-16 | Georgia v. Ole Miss -2.5 | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ole Miss Rebels. |
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01-09-16 | St. Mary's -7.5 v. Pepperdine | Top | 64-67 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. Jesse Schule |
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01-09-16 | Texas A&M v. Tennessee +5.5 | Top | 92-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Tennessee Volunteers. Jesse Schule |
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01-07-16 | UL-Lafayette v. Arkansas-Little Rock -7 | Top | 57-77 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arkansas Little Rock Trojans. Jesse Schule |
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01-06-16 | Texas Tech +10.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders. |
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01-05-16 | Clemson v. Syracuse -5 | 74-73 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Syracuse Orange. |
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01-05-16 | South Carolina v. Auburn +6 | Top | 81-69 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Auburn Tigers. The South Carolina Gamecocks are still undefeated, but I think they are a little overrated heading into a tough road game against an SEC rival tonight. Their 13-0 record looks impressive, but they've had a soft schedule, and tonight's game should prove to be their toughest to date. Auburn is coming off an 83-77 win over Tennessee in it's SEC opener, and the Tigers are 5-1 at home. They've won six of their last seven versus South Carolina, covering the spread in six of those contests. Keep in mind that this Gamecocks team got off to a hot start last season, winning 9-of-12 in non-conference play, only to lose six of their first seven versus SEC teams. This looks like a generous cushion for the Tigers at home, and I think they'll give the Gamecocks a run for their money. Take AUB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-16 | Richmond v. Rhode Island -3.5 | Top | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Rhode Island Rams. |
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01-03-16 | Wake Forest +14.5 v. Louisville | Top | 57-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. Jesse Schule |
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01-02-16 | Gonzaga v. San Francisco +14 | Top | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 22 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco Dons. Jesse Schule |
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01-02-16 | Texas v. Texas Tech -4 | Top | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Jesse Schule |
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01-01-16 | Colorado +6.5 v. California | 65-79 | Loss | -106 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colorado Buffaloes. |
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01-01-16 | UCLA v. Washington | 93-96 | Loss | -106 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UCLA Bruins. |
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01-01-16 | Utah -3.5 v. Stanford | Top | 68-70 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the Utah Utes. |
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12-31-15 | BYU v. St. Mary's -5.5 | Top | 74-85 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. |
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12-30-15 | Nevada v. New Mexico -7 | Top | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New Mexico Lobos. Jesse Schule |
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12-29-15 | Richmond v. Texas Tech -4.5 | Top | 70-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders. |
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12-28-15 | Davidson +9.5 v. California | Top | 60-86 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Davidson Wildcats. |
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12-26-15 | Louisville v. Kentucky -2.5 | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kentucky Wildcats. Jesse Schule |
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12-22-15 | Mercer +10.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 44-64 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Mercer Bears. |
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12-22-15 | Vanderbilt v. Purdue -5.5 | Top | 55-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Purdue Boilermakers. |
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