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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-13-23 | Panthers +161 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Florida Panthers +160 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:20 ET - The Panthers are 5-1 this season - playoffs included - when they are off a regulation loss by a 1-goal margin. That is the case here after their comeback versus Vegas fell just short in a 3-2 final in Game 4 in Florida. Even though they are now on the road for this one, note that Vegas was a modest 3-2 last 5 home playoff games before this series. Also, those 3 wins for the Golden Knights were all by just a single goal including 2 of them in OT. So, even though Vegas had big wins in the first two games of this series just keep this in mind about home ice. Also, Game 1 of this series was tied at 2 entering the 3rd period and the Panthers won Game 3 plus very nearly game back to force OT in Game 4. This series has not been as one-sided as one might think on the surface. That said, I look for Florida to bounce back even if Matthew Tkachuk does not play here as they improve to 6-1 / 86% on the season when in the situation noted above. A lot of underdog value here and I will not pass up on that. 10* FLORIDA +160 |
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06-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Panthers -118 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Florida Panthers Money Line -120 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:20 ET - Florida is 9-3 this season when they enter a game off at least 2 consecutive losses and with the most recent loss being in regulation time. That includes 8-3 in regular season and then 1-0 in post-season. Note that the home team is a perfect 4-0 in the Panthers last 4 games. The Golden Knights are 0-2 in the post-season when they are on the road and off a win by a margin of at least 4 goals. As you know, Vegas just blew out Florida 7-2 Monday and this followed a 5-2 win in the series opener. That first game was much closer than the final score would indicate. The 2nd game was ugly for the Panthers and went perfectly for the Golden Knights. Now it is payback time for Florida. Look for Vegas to drop to 0-3 in this post-season when on the road and off a win by a margin of 4 or more goals. Look for the home team to improve to 5-0 in Panthers last 5 post-season games. The 100% trends continue here as it is now or never for Florida truly and I look for the Panthers to respond huge on home ice while Vegas gets caught feeling a little too good about themselves and gets a dose of reality here. There is still some fight left in these Panthers and they are known for being particularly dangerous in the offensive zone in home games. 10* FLORIDA -120 |
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06-05-23 | Panthers +125 v. Golden Knights | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Florida Panthers Money Line +125 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:10 ET - When the Panthers are playing on the road and coming off a loss - a situation that has happened 3 times in these playoffs - they have gone a perfect 3-0 in this post-season. Vegas took game one but they got 2 power play goals and an empty-netter in the 5-2 win. It really was a much tighter game than the score indicates. It was 2-2 heading to the 3rd period and I am sure the resilient Panthers are going to bounce back here. Look for them to improve to 4-0 in the post-season when in this situation and notch yet another road win when coming off a loss. Resilience and perseverance are the key words with this Panthers bunch. 10* FLORIDA +125 |
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06-03-23 | Panthers +118 v. Golden Knights | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Saturday Florida Panthers Money Line +118 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 8 ET - The Golden Knights, of course, are a great team or they would not be here. However, these Panthers have been very special in their own right. Remember they had to get past the big bad Bruins in round one and they actually trailed in that series 3 games to 1. Once they accomplished that come back effort to get past Boston it seems like this team is nearly unstoppable. Amazingly, Florida has now won 11 of last 12 games and the lone loss was at home. In fact, the Panthers are now 8-0 L8 road games since losing their road opener of the post-season. Look for the streak to reach 9 wins in a row for Panthers road games as they get the job done again here to open up this series. Vegas was a more modest 6-4 last 10 games before winning Game 6 versus Dallas. Also, the Golden Knights have lost 2 of last 5 home playoff games. Grab the underdog Panthers looking to make it 9 straight road wins. FLORIDA +118 |
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05-29-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars -121 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -121 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Monday Dallas Stars Money Line -120 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:05 ET - As I wrote in my write-up for Saturday's Game 5, the whole world was lining up on Vegas to close the series out at home. The line had moved the direction of the Golden Knights but that gave us exceptional value on the Stars as a sizable underdog in that one. Note that Vegas has only two wins by more than a 1-goal margin in their last 8 games. The point is that one can give Vegas credit for gutting out tight wins (including a couple in OT) but, as I stated here before Game 5, I feel we could see a major shift in momentum in this series after the Stars finally got a tight home win in Game 4 after losing the first 3 games of the series. That was an OT win and the key was Dallas finally seemed to figure out how to get inside a bit more on the Golden Knights and create more higher-percentage scoring opportunities. We took that knowledge of how the game played out and expected that the Stars would continue to build off the things they did well in Game 4 and, sure enough, Dallas did just that in Game 5. The Stars were rock solid in that 4-2 win and now can really continue the roll with captain Jamie Benn coming back for Game 6 plus this game being back on home ice. The way I see it, the momentum and the key situational value here all lies with the home team. DALLAS -120 |
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05-27-23 | Stars +131 v. Golden Knights | Top | 4-2 | Win | 131 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
NHL Saturday Dallas Stars Money Line +130 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:05 ET - The whole world is lining up on Vegas to close this series out at home. The line has moved the direction of the Golden Knights but I feel this is giving us truly exceptional value on the Stars as a sizable underdog here. Note that Vegas has only 1 regulation win in last 4 home games in this post-season. The other 3 games included a 5-1 loss and a pair of OT losses against these Stars. The only regulation win for the Golden Knights in this stretch of 4 home games was just a 4-3 win over the Oilers. Give Vegas credit for gutting out tight wins but I feel we could see a major series shift in momentum here after the Stars finally got a tight home win in the most recent game. That was an OT win and the key was Dallas finally seemed to figure out how to get inside a bit more on the Golden Knights and create more higher-percentage scoring opportunities. The Stars will continue to build off the things they did well in Game 4 and remember, the Knights have been far from dominant on home ice. DALLAS +130 |
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05-25-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars -110 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
NHL Thursday Dallas Stars Money Line -110 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:05 ET - Dallas just suffered their first regulation time loss of this series. The Stars lost the first two games in overtime. Dallas easily could have been up 2-0 in series but now, after Tuesday's debacle, they are down 3-0 in this series. Note that the Stars are 6-0 since mid-March (including 3-0 in this post-season) when they are off a loss in regulation time. I am sure that Dallas is going to respond big here. Vegas took it to them early in Game 3 but you will see a very determined Stars bunch destined for payback in Game 4. They are on home ice and fired up and hungry to send this series back to Vegas. Their effort will be off the charts and the fact is not much has separated these two teams in this series. That said, the team that wants it more has the upper hand and the Stars are not going to be denied here at home. Look for the hosts to improve to 7-0 the last 7 times when off a NON-OT loss. DALLAS -110 |
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05-24-23 | Hurricanes +100 v. Panthers | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 60 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday Carolina Hurricanes Money Line +100 @ Florida Panthers @ 8:05 ET - The Hurricanes outhshot Florida 32 to 17 in the Game 3 loss. This after losing each of the first two games in OT. The Panthers got 4 power play opportunities and the Hurricanes got just 1. To say the Canes are a little bit frustrated and angry right now is the understatement of the year. The Hurricanes will respond here as Carolina is very well-coached and has veteran experience and they will be fully focused on the "game at a time" mentality in a series that has been tight but that they have been just short in all 3 games. They feel the calls were unfair in the Game 3 loss but they will use that frustration to turn it into positive energy for this one. The Hurricanes will not be denied here. They have come to far and are too good a team to get swept out of the playoffs. Just like you might have seen Boston come up big at Miami last night in the NBA - similar situation of Celtics having statistical edges in shots the game before but losing - I think in the hockey we are going to see another team avoid the sweep and send this series back north for a game in Raleigh. CAROLINA +100 |
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05-23-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars -137 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -137 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday Dallas Stars Money Line -140 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:05 ET - This is the first time in these playoffs that Dallas has lost B2B games. In the regular season the Stars had only 2 losing streaks of more than 2 games. When Dallas entered a game off exactly 2 straight losses they won that 3rd game 7 out of 9 times. The Stars never trailed in Game 2 and only trailed for a combined total of about 12 minutes in Game 1. They gave up a tying goal in Game 2 with about 2 minutes to go. Both games went to OT and the Stars lost both. After the way these games played out and everything that has transpired in this series. I just can not see them losing here in Game 3 on home ice. The home team is on a 5-0 run in Stars games. Look for that streak to reach 6-0 here with another home ice win. DALLAS -140 |
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05-22-23 | Hurricanes +100 v. Panthers | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
NHL Monday Carolina Hurricanes -101 @ Florida Panthers @ 8:05 ET - The Panthers 7 of last 9 wins have come by just a single goal and 6 of the 7 have been OT wins including each of the first two games in this series. This is simply unreal as Florida also has NO losses in OT so far in post-season. Carolina, on the other hand, is 6-4 last 10 games and 3 of those 4 losses by just a single goal including the last 2 in OT versus Florida. 2 of their 6 wins were in OT but the average margin of their other 4 wins was 4 goals apiece! I feel we are getting excellent line value here with the Hurricanes in about as close to a must win spot as it gets and yet we are getting a pick'em line and we have the team that has won the shots on goal battle by 17 including an edge of 12 in Saturday's tough loss. Value on the road team in a great spot and they are so hungry and will not be denied off B2B losses. CAROLINA -101 |
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05-21-23 | Stars +109 v. Golden Knights | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Sunday Dallas Stars Money Line +110 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 3:05 ET - The Stars are 9-0 the last 9 times they were off a loss. This run dates back to the regular season of course but includes a 5-0 run in the playoffs. That said, there is exceptional line value here with Dallas in an underdog spot in Game 2 of the series. Yes Vegas is on home ice but they have been truly dominant here and they barely squeaked out the win in Game 1. Strengthened by their resolve, the Stars will be the hungrier team tonight and just can't see them leaving the arena without a win. They will be a little more physical in Game 2 and I know what this experienced playoff veteran team is capable of when they put their minds to it. Look for them to improve to 10-0 last 10 when off a loss. DALLAS +110 |
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05-20-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes -150 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes Money Line -150 vs Florida Panthers @ 8:05 ET - Carolina had won 5 of 6 home games in this post-season before the tough 4-OT loss to the Panthers in Game 1 of this series. Note that the Hurricanes are 3-0 in the playoffs so far when coming off a loss and I look for them to respond once again in this situation. Also, Florida has played 13 post-season games so far and only 4 of the 13 have been regulation wins. Give the Panthers credit but they also have had amazingly good fortune. 5 of their 9 post-season wins have been in OT. Florida is 5-0 in OT games in the post-season and I look for the Hurricanes to bounce back strong. In the 3rd period of the Game 1 loss the Canes really looked like the Canes of old. They now have Terravainen back too and that helps as well. The point is they were starting to get into rhythm and looked strong and I feel we'll see that kind of effort and performance from the Hurricanes from the drop of the puck in this one. 10* CAROLINA -150 |
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05-19-23 | Stars +115 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Friday Dallas Stars +115 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:35 ET - The Golden Knights allowed 4 goals per game in their 3 home games in the series with Edmonton. Dallas is 7-3 last 10 games and struggled a bit in the losses but allowed a total of only 10 goals in those 7 victories. That is some solid defense and goaltending. More of the same expected here as they look to get the early edge in this series. A lot of times the pressure is on the home team in Game 1 when you are getting this late into the post-season. The Golden Knights fortress this season was not it once was in prior seasons. The Stars just want to come in and steal one of these first two games on the road. Look for them to do just that right away in the first game as the road team has won the first game in 3 of the 4 series combined for these two teams so far in this post-season. That trend continues here. DALLAS +115 |
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05-18-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes -136 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -136 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
NHL Thursday Carolina Hurricanes -135 vs Florida Panthers @ 8:05 ET - The only team to win more home games (28) in the regular season than Carolina did was Boston. Coming off a historic regular season, the Bruins ranked first in just about everything so the point is that the Hurricanes are keeping pretty good company with a record like that! As for the Panthers they lost 22 of 41 regular season road games. Give Florida credit for sure as any team to make it this far in the post-season is doing something right to say the least! However, I feel we have excellent line value here with a low money line on a high quality Hurricanes team on their home ice. Yes they have been without Terraveinen (could be back for this one!) and Svechnikov but the team has rallied around this and continues to play very well. The Panthers just beat a Maple Leafs team that won their first playoff series since 2004 when they finally got out of the first round. To me, the Hurricanes faced a much tougher 2nd round draw with facing a Devils team that had just knocked off a very tough Rangers team. So, all in all, I think the Hurricanes are undervalued here while everyone keeps pointing to Florida having knocked off the big bad Bruins. What happened with Boston was they put all their efforts into a historic regular season which then does not count once you reach the post-season. Again, give Florida credit but now thing are at the tightening up level of the post-season and the Hurricanes are the better team defensively and, long-term, in goal as well. CAROLINA -135 |
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05-14-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -180 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -180 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
NHL Sunday Edmonton Oilers Money Line -180 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 10 ET - I like to play underdogs and small favorites and totals and also I even play big money line dogs at times too. However, sometimes there are situations that demand to be played and that do involve laying some juice. This is absolutely one of those. Edmonton is a perfect 8-0 the last 8 times they were off a loss. Now I know we could play the puck line here but of those 8 wins, 3 of them were by just a single goal margin. I do like the fact that the Oilers have responded big in this series with a multi-goal margin of victory each time off a loss to the Golden Knights. Indeed, Vegas has played well in this series but the Oilers have won 3 of their last 4 home games and have been so strong off a loss. Give credit for Vegas coming up big in Game 5 but now it is the Oilers turn on home ice in Game 6 as they take that run to 9 in a row. EDMONTON -180 |
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05-13-23 | Stars -150 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
NHL Saturday Dallas Stars -155 @ Seattle Kraken @ 7:10 ET - The Stars have been the better team in this series and they don't want to risk a Game 7 now. Yes, Dallas has the luxury of knowing a Game 7 would be back on home ice but they don't want to risk that in a series they have owned since dropping Game 1 in overtime. Note that Dallas has won 3 of 4 games since that OT loss and this is a team that has allowed an average of just 2 goals in their 7 post-season wins. The Stars continue to get good goaltending and the same can not be said of Seattle. The Kraken are seeing Grubauer go through a tough stretch at the wrong time. Part of the reason for his struggles though is definitely the fact that the Kraken are getting outplayed all over the ice. A key here is that the Stars are playing without pressure as all the pressure is on the Kraken to extend this series. That said, and considering Dallas had already been playing so well, this one has the makings of a road rout. The Kraken will be squeezing the sticks a little too tight as they have lost some of that first round magic they had against the Avalanche. DALLAS -155 |
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05-12-23 | Oilers -130 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
NHL Friday Edmonton Oilers -130 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 10:10 ET - The Golden Knights have goalie issues because of the Brossoit injury. Hill struggled in Game 4. Quick has not played much at all and would be rusty if called upon for a start. The Oilers looked great in Game 4 plus have added intensity and emotion as the Golden Knights fueled their fire. The Pietrangelo very late-game slashing incident with Draisaitl of the Oilers was an ugly one and was uncalled for no matter what had happened on the ice throughout the game. That was just bad sportsmanship and is unusual from a veteran like Pietrangelo but it definitely is doing Vegas no favors entering this game. Like I said, it fuels the fire of the Oilers and you can feel the momentum shifting and you can sense the concern that the Golden Knights must have with their own goalie situation. Conversely, the Oilers have been getting solid goaltending with very few poor games through this post-season. I expect that to continue here and I also expect the Oilers firepower up front to continue to be too much for Vegas. The strength of the Oilers top players is starting to wear down this Golden Knights team as we are getting further into the post-season. EDMONTON -130 |
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05-12-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -164 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -164 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
NHL Friday Toronto Maple Leafs -165 vs Florida Panthers @ 7:10 ET - Sometimes all it takes is one and the Leafs just got it with that win at Florida in Game 4. Now I am not saying they come back and win this series but I do like their chances here in Game 5 with home ice and momentum on their side. Keep in mind, the Maple Leafs had B2B one-goal losses - including one in OT - before they got that tight 2-1 win Wednesday. Look for the rally to continue for the Leafs who had won 4 of 5 before the rough start to this series. Give the Panthers credit but the point is that the Maple Leafs were in those games and I like the grit I saw from the Leafs in that Game 4 win. Momentum carries for at least this one on home ice. TORONTO -165 |
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05-11-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -128 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Thursday Carolina Hurricanes Money Line -130 vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:10 ET - Because the Hurricanes do not have Svechnikov and Teravainen, they continue to be undervalued. Carolina has proven they can continue to play great even without those guys and we also get line value because the Devils were neck and neck with the Canes in the Metropolitan Division this season. The fact is that Carolina has been the much stronger team overall in the post-season as well as in this series. So, that said, the line value remains on the Hurricanes here as they are priced in the -130 range but their wins have been so dominant in this series. I know they had the one slip-up in Game 3 but that was on the road and was their one "excuse me" of this post-season. They bounced right back in Game 4 at New Jersey and you know they do not want to head back up there. That said, this is a chance to end it and these guys are so well-coached and so tough at home and I love the line value with the home favorite in this one. CAROLINA -130 |
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05-10-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -180 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday Edmonton Oilers -180 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 10:10 ET - This is a little pricier than I would normally lay on a money line play but this is the post-season with fewer games on the docket daily and I really like the Oilers here and do not want to get burned if they win the game by just a single goal margin. The fact is I am expecting a blowout here and the Oilers are 6-1 this season when they are at home and coming off a loss by a multi-goal margin. Also, the Oilers are currently on an overall 7-0 run when they have entered a game off a loss. Look for Edmonton to bounce back here as they respond off an embarrassing effort in Game 3 on home ice. Just can not see the Oilers being denied here. The Oilers were on an 11-2 run in home games before being embarrassed by the Golden Knights and now it is payback time here. Edmonton looked so bad in Game 3 but they have shown what they are capable of already in this series with the big Game 2 win which was dominant. They also showed resiliency in bouncing back after tough demoralizing OT losses to the Kings in round one so they can do it again now. EDMONTON -180 |
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05-09-23 | Hurricanes +133 v. Devils | Top | 6-1 | Win | 133 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday Carolina Hurricanes Money Line +130 @ New Jersey Devils @ 7:10 ET - Carolina lost 8 to 4 in an embarrassing Game 3 loss after taking the first two games of this series. Not only are the Hurricanes generally strong off a loss, this a PERFECT 4-0 situation for them on the SEASON. Only 4 times this season have the Hurricanes had a loss in which they both allowed at least 5 goals plus lost the game by a margin of at least 3 goals. After those 4 "ugliest of the ugly" variety of defeats, they have responded with a win each time. This is a well-coached team and their coach is hard-nosed and instills that same toughness and resiliency in his players. They will be ready to respond big here! Remember in the first round they were up 2 games to 0 also and then got hammered in a 5 to 1 loss at the Islanders in Game 3. They responded then with a huge Game 4 win. I am expecting a similar scenario here. Deja vu. Hurricanes roll. CAROLINA +130 |
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05-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -173 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -173 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
NHL Monday Edmonton Oilers Money Line -175 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:40 ET - Long time followers know I do not like to lay big juice in the money line sports. However, in the playoffs it is a different story and I will make exceptions sometimes when the situation is right. That is absolutely the case here. The Oilers have a ton of momentum after that big win at Vegas in Game 2 and I look for them to carry it right into this home match. Keep in mind, the Oilers have been a scoring machine and the Golden Knights are now facing a much tougher test than they did in their first series against Winnipeg. The Jets just did not have the scoring punch to really test Vegas. This situation is entirely different! The Oilers should again pile up goals here and I just don't see the Golden Knights having enough to keep up on the road in this one. Keep in mind, Vegas has been held to just 1 goal in each of their two losses. The Oilers have scored an average of 3 goals in their 3 playoff losses and 2 of those defeats came in overtime. The hosts here are better than people even realize. EDMONTON -175 |
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05-07-23 | Hurricanes +124 v. Devils | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
NHL Sunday Carolina Hurricanes +124 @ New Jersey Devils @ 3:40 ET - Interesting stat about the Hurricanes here is that they are 10-2 last 12 times they have entered a game off a win in which they allowed 1 goal or less. What that tells you is that when Carolina starts to play their style of game and their goalie is in sync like this, they are very tough to beat. That said, the world will likely be lining up on New Jersey here and saying they can't lose at home but the reality is why can't they? The fact is that the Devils have had to use both goalies in both games so far and each allowed multiple goals in the Game 2 loss. This New Jersey team has confidence that is shaken while the Hurricanes are rolling along. Also, Carolina knows that winning this series quickly carries extra importance considering Panthers up 2-0 in the other series against the Leafs plus that series just shifted south to Florida. That is not to say New Jersey and Toronto can't make comebacks but the point is that you won't see the Hurricanes taking their foot off the gas here. Right now the Canes are the better team all over the ice plus in goal which is so critical. CAROLINA +124 |
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05-06-23 | Oilers -118 v. Golden Knights | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
NHL Saturday Edmonton Oilers Money Line -120 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:10 ET - The Knights have won 5 straight games since losing game one in round one to the Jets. Vegas is so hot and yet they are home underdog here. Hmmm. Exactly! Don't let this line fool you. This is a very strong Oilers team that is also tougher than they use to be. They won the hits battle in Game One of this series. Also, the first round against the Kings they showed more backbone and resiliency than past Oilers teams. Really feel this is a much different Edmonton team than we've seen before and they will again battle back off a loss. The Oilers are 6-0 the last 6 times they have entered a game off a loss. This Edmonton team has not lost B2B games since February! We are now in May as you know. They have been great off a loss and take that run to 7-0 as they just will not be denied here. EDMONTON -120 |
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05-05-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -110 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Friday Carolina Hurricanes Money Line -110 vs New Jersey Devils @ 8:10 ET - The stats don't do it justice. The Hurricanes really dominated the Devils in Game 1 if you missed seeing it. I just do not see this changing for New Jersey on the road again for Game 2. The Canes are particularly tough at home and they are so strong and just do not give up many quality chances. Carolina could have had even more goals in Game 1 and, even without those close calls, they still dominated the game 4 to 1 before the icing on the cake with an empty netter to lead to the 5 to 1 finish. This is not going to change quickly for the Devils as they are unsettled in goal between Schmid and Vanecek. The Hurricanes are rolling strong with Andersen in between the pipes and they looked stronger in all facets of the game in the victory on Wednesday. More of the same here. Bargain price at home on Carolina because they are still without a couple of strong players. Even without those guys, they are so strong. The Hurricanes proved that again in that Game 1 win. CAROLINA -110 |
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05-03-23 | Oilers -114 v. Golden Knights | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday Edmonton Oilers Money Line -115 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 9:40 ET - The Golden Knights just won 4 straight games over the Jets and allowed 2 or less goals in 3 of the 4 wins. They are known as the better defensive team. They are on home ice here and they won the division that the Oilers hail from as well. Edmonton comes into this one as the 2nd place team and having allowed 3.7 goals per game in last 3 games. Yet Vegas is the underdog here. This is classic situation and I love it. All of the above would point to the Golden Knights being a moderately priced favorite here but they are not. In typical contrarian fashion, I am on the Oilers here! Keep in mind, Edmonton's only two losses in the series with LA came in overtime. Edmonton absolutely looked like the much better team throughout that series. The Oilers are so explosive on offense and so dangerous on special teams. Also, their defense and netminding was better than past post-seasons as they looked good against the Kings. They carry momentum from that right into this playoff series and I look for Game 1 to go to the road team here. EDMONTON -115 |
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05-03-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -115 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday Carolina Hurricanes -115 vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:10 ET - This is going to be a great series I have a feeling. But the Game 1 edge is too strong for me to ignore. Carolina has been resting up for this one while the Devils were in an absolute war with the Rangers. Here is what is most interesting about that the way I see it. The Devils made a goalie switch to Akira Schmid and he was fantastic. However, he really has not played much the past two seasons. Now, after completely shocking most all NHL experts with his performance in Round One, there could be a tough into to Round Two. It is almost like one of those "Did I really just do that" moments and then you quickly come back down to earth. Remember this is an entirely different match-up and now the Devils are finally having to leave the NYC area and they are facing a rested Hurricanes team. This sets up to be a tough match-up, at least in Game One, for Schmid and New Jersey the way I see it. CAROLINA -115 |
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05-02-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars -170 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -170 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday Dallas Stars -175 vs Seattle Kraken @ 9:40 ET - Normally I do not lay big prices and long-time followers know this. I play mostly totals or underdogs or small favorites. Even moderately priced favorites are rare for me. But I will venture into higher price ranges in the post-season when the situation warrants and that is the case here. Seattle is off that huge upset win over the defending champion Avalanche and that was a hard-fought 7-game series. The Stars have been waiting for the winner of this series and so Dallas has the rest edge plus now gets home ice edge here too since Seattle advanced rather than Colorado. This all sets up perfectly for the Stars to get a big Game One win. The Stars, once they got shifted into playoff mode, have been superb! Down 2-1 in the series to Minnesota, they then rattled off 3 straight wins and by a combined score of 11 to 3. Seattle wrapped up their series with a hard-fought 2-1 win over the Avs but allowed 3.5 goals per game in 4 games before that. You can see whey I am looking for a solid home win given the situational edges and home ice and the goaltending edge and overall edge in defensive play. DALLAS -175 |
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05-01-23 | Rangers +108 v. Devils | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +100 @ New Jersey Devils @ 8:10 ET - All the other first round series that were going have finished. This Game 7 is it. Home ice must mean everything, right? Actually NO, every single team that has advanced, except Vegas as the lone exception, has advanced with the clinching win on enemy ice! Sunday it was Florida and Seattle. Saturday it was Toronto and Edmonton. Friday it was Carolina and Dallas. Those were the last 3 days and 6 road teams advanced! Now it is the Rangers turn. New York has a huge playoff experience edge over the Devils. In a Game 7 situation that experience means even more. The fact this game is at New Jersey means very little as the road team won the first 4 games in this series and, as noted above, in the other series' getting eliminated on your own ice was a common theme. More of the same here. Keep in mind, the Rangers have scored 5 goals in EACH of their 3 wins in this series. Conversely, the Devils have scored an average of only 2.7 goals in regulation time of their 3 wins in this series. The Rangers have all the momentum after the 5-2 home win in Game 6 and remember they won the first two games of this series here AT New Jersey each by a 5-1 score. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +100 |
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04-29-23 | Oilers -161 v. Kings | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
NHL Saturday Edmonton Oilers Money Line -160 @ Los Angeles Kings @ 10:05 ET - This money line keeps rising but the move is justified. This is a chance tonight for the Oilers to close out the Kings and I fully expect that to happen. Edmonton has been the stronger team throughout this series but the Kings managed to hang around in the series courtesy of a couple of overtime wins. The Oilers also have one OT win but the other two wins were by a combined score of 10 to 5. Edmonton has looked strong and now has their swagger back following back to back wins as that OT win in Game 4 was key to changing the momentum of this series. Edmonton followed it up with a huge effort in Game 5 showing they were going to make the most of the momentum edge. I don't see them relinquishing that grip on the momentum here either. The Oilers are hungry because they know they really do have a shot this season. They have been on the cusp and this team is really built well and getting better goaltending than usual. There is no questioning the firepower they have up front. The better team with all the momentum closes this out Saturday. EDMONTON -160 |
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04-29-23 | Devils v. Rangers -120 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
NHL Saturday New York Rangers Money Line -120 vs New Jersey Devils @ 8:08 ET - The last 5 times the Rangers have entered a game on a losing streak of 3 or more games they have gone 4-1. I just do not see this team laden with recent playoff experience getting knocked out of the post-season tonight on their home ice. Yes this series has turned on a dime after the Rangers won the first two games. The Devils have now won 3 straight but New Jersey actually has not had a winning streak of longer than 3 games since mid-January. Look for the Rangers to stand tall at home here and force a massive Game 7! This series is not over yet. NEW YORK RANGERS -120 |
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04-28-23 | Avalanche -145 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Colorado Avalanche -145 @ Seattle Kraken @ 10:08 ET - In the regular season the Kraken actually lost 21 of 41 home games. The Avalanche were a fantastic 29-11-1 in road games in the regular season. If Colorado loses tonight, their season is over. The road team has actually won 3 of the 5 games in this series. The Avs are off B2B losses which is a situation that is worth noting as they are 4-1 last 5 times they entered a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. I just do not see them losing 3 straight to the Kraken and getting bounced out of the post-season after winning the Cup last year. Also, they know with one more win here they can send this series back to home ice for a winner takes all Game 7. I just do not see the Avs being denied here. Entering Game 5 they where on a stretch in which they had scored 11 of the last 17 goals scored in regulation in this series. Now after that tight 3-2 Game 5 loss, I fully expect the Avalanche to bounce back. The Kraken have just 6 wins in last 15 home games and one of those was in OT here in this series. Love the value of the road team at a manageable price here because they are on the road. 10* COLORADO -145 |
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04-28-23 | Hurricanes +110 v. Islanders | Top | 2-1 | Win | 110 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
NHL Friday Carolina Hurricanes +110 @ New York Islanders @ 7:05 ET - The better team off a 1-goal loss in which they heavily outshot their opponent. There is a lot to like with the Hurricanes here including the fact we get line value since they are on the road. The traveler has won each of the last two meetings between these clubs and I expect that trend to continue here. I really like Carolina when they are off a loss in post-season action and here they have another chance to close this series out after falling short at home in Game 5. Ideal set-up and with line value. CAROLINA +110 |
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04-27-23 | Jets +163 v. Golden Knights | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Money Line +163 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 10:10 ET - The Jets played better in Game 4 but still fell just short. They lost Game 3 in double-OT and that was on home ice and that is certainly tough to bounce back from. I feel we have tremendous big dog value here when you consider the way this series has played out. Hellebuyck is still an elite goalie and is capable of a big performance here. The road team has won 3 of the 4 games in the series and that includes the Jets getting a 5-1 win here in Vegas to begin the series. The only home win in the 4 games in this series was a game what was tied 2-2 entering the 3rd period. I just do not see any justification for this high price on the Golden Knights here. Yes the Jets could lose another tight game that swings late but I have a sense they are going to get over the hump in this one and finally catch a break and send this series back to Manitoba for Game 6 north of the border. 10* WINNIPEG +165 |
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04-24-23 | Golden Knights v. Jets -104 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Money Line -105 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 9:38 ET - I will keep riding the Jets here. Yes they ended up losing Game 3 in DOUBLE OT but that has helped retain line value here. As I mentioned in my write-up for Game 3, we get some line value because Vegas pulled away late in their Game 2 win. Keep in mind, Winnipeg won game 1 and then looked like they were on their way to another win in Game 2 before things changed in a hurry. The Jets will no doubt regroup on home ice and goalie Connor Hellebuyck is so strong. Look for a big bounce back effort from the Jets in this one after losing Game 3 in very tough fashion in double OT. Goalie edge and home ice edge and plus situational edge with Winnipeg now off B2B losses. The Jets, the last 4 times when they have entered a game coming off 2 or more consecutive losses have won all 4 times. I look for that streak to reach a perfect 5-0 L5 here. WINNIPEG -105 |
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04-23-23 | Oilers -154 v. Kings | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers Money Line -155 @ Los Angeles Kings @ 9 ET - The Kings are up 2-1 in this series and on home ice and yet they are a sizable underdog here. Must be a mistake, right? Actually no it is not a mistake and the Oilers are the play here. This might be contrarian but it is what has served me well through the years and Edmonton deserves every bit of this price. Anyone who has watched this series knows the Oilers have been the better team. Yet somehow the Kings have a pair of OT wins and are leading this series 2-1. Edmonton is going to be ultra aggressive here and will not be denied and I look for them to dominate in this one. The Oilers will come out like they were shot out of a cannon and they will be relentless here. I like grabbing the stronger team off yet another undeserved loss and fully expect them to step up big in this game and tie up the series before it heads back to Canada. 10* EDMONTON -155 |
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04-22-23 | Golden Knights v. Jets -110 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Saturday Winnipeg Jets Money Line -110 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 4 ET - I will keep riding the Jets here. We get some line value because Vegas pulled away late in their Game 2 win. Keep in mind, Winnipeg won game 1 and then looked like they were on their way to another win in Game 2 before things changed in a hurry. The Jets will no doubt regroup on home ice and goalie Connor Hellebuyck is so strong. Look for a big bounce back effort from the Jets in this one. Goalie edge and home ice edge and plus situational edge as the Jets are coming off a loss. WINNIPEG -110 |
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04-21-23 | Oilers -150 v. Kings | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Friday Edmonton Oilers Money Line -150 @ Los Angeles Kings @ 10 ET - This series is tied 1-1 but the Kings have never held a lead in the series. They won Game 1 in OT after trailing by 2 goals. They then trailed Game 2 again by 2 goals and rallied to tie it up but the Oilers then won that one in regulation. I respect the Kings but the Oilers are the better team and they have shown that in this series as well. They need a win to take back home ice in the series and I like our chances here. Edmonton has outshot Los Angeles in this series and had a multi-goal lead in each game and could easily be up 2-0 in this series. If they were up 2-0 here I probably would be staying away from this game. But the fact it is 1-1 even though they have outplayed them is what has me backing the Oilers in a big way here. They are favored in the -150 range on the road here for good reason. They need a win to avoid a series deficit here and, as the better team, I full expect them to get that! They continue their strong play and remember they were a great road team this season. That serves them well here too! EDMONTON -150 |
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04-20-23 | Jets +150 v. Golden Knights | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
NHL Thursday Winnipeg Jets Money Line +150 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 10 ET - As mentioned in my Tuesday write-up on Winnipeg (5-1 winner), the fact that Vegas has home ice and won all 3 meetings with Jets this season is skewing a couple of key factors in my opinion in terms of this line. We have Connor Hellebuyck on our side in this game for Winnipeg. Also, the Jets have a team built for post-season hockey in my opinion. Vegas goalie Laurent Brossoit actually missed some time earlier this season. Then he lost 14 of 22 starts at the AHL level. But then Adin Hill and Logan Thompson both got here and now here he is. Yes, I know he went 7-0-3 to close out the regular season but Tuesday was his first-ever playoff start plus he is facing his former team. Talk about pressure! The fact is that it will likely again prove to be too much and I like the odds on another upset win here just like the road upset win we saw here to open up this series. As coach Rick Bowness of the Jets stated before the series started, Winnipeg is not just here to give the Golden Knights a tune up for advancing to the next round. I like this Jets team and their attitude under Bowness and feel they are going to give Vegas a tough time in this series. It started Tuesday and continues tonight at a great underdog price. The Jets were dominant in the 1st game, just look at the stats too, and also note that key players for Vegas like Eichel and Stone ended up -3 with their +/- stats in game one. Just because the Golden Knights lost game one does not mean they bounce back in Game Two. Hellebuyck is great to have on your side over Brossoit and I do not mean any disrespect to Brossoit but Hellebuyck is just so good! WINNIPEG +150 |
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04-19-23 | Wild v. Stars -146 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday Dallas Stars -145 - As long-time followers know, I like dogs and small favorites and totals in NHL the most. That said, for me to lay it, the situation has to be just right. I feel that is what we have here. The Stars lost Game 1 in double-OT. They are on home ice and need to respond as they can't afford to go down 2-0 in this series with both losses in their own barn. I feel Dallas is going to come out extremely fired up and strong in this game. The Dumba hit on Pavelski changed the complexion of Game 1 and perhaps this series. The Stars were up 2-1 at the time before Pavelski got laid out. The Wild then tied the game later in the 2nd period after that. Then they won it in double-OT after some very tight chances by the Stars - including one off the post - came up just short of ending the game. Could be another tight game here but I just do not see Dallas being denied here. Their energy and emotion should be off the charts in this one and they held some edges in Game 1 in terms of in the faceoff circle and shots on goal, etc. Stars get it done here. DALLAS -145 |
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04-18-23 | Jets +135 v. Golden Knights | Top | 5-1 | Win | 135 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday Winnipeg Jets Money Line +130 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 9:30 ET - The fact that Vegas has home ice and won all 3 meetings with Jets this season is skewing a couple of key factors in my opinion in terms of this line. We have Connor Hellebuyck on our side in this game for Winnipeg. Also, the Jets have a team built for post-season hockey in my opinion. Vegas goalie Laurent Brossoit actually missed some time earlier this season. Then he lost 14 of 22 starts at the AHL level. But then Adin Hill and Logan Thompson both got here and now here he is. Yes, I know he went 7-0-3 to close out the regular season but now he makes his first-ever playoff start plus he is facing his former team. Talk about pressure! The fact is that it will likely prove to be too much and I like the odds on a road upset win here to open up this series. As coach Rick Bowness of the Jets stated, Winnipeg is not just here to give the Golden Knights a tune up for advancing to the next round. I like this Jets team and their attitude under Bowness and feel they are going to give Vegas a tough time in this series. It starts tonight at a great underdog price. WINNIPEG +130 |
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04-18-23 | Rangers +118 v. Devils | Top | 5-1 | Win | 118 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday New York Rangers +115 @ New Jersey Devils @ 7 ET - I like the overall experience edge of this Rangers team. They have the veteran edge in terms of their star players and a ton of post-season experience. They have the size edge too to out-physical the Devils and set the tone in game 1 of this series. Then you also have the key goalie edge. I know Vanecek has played well but Shesterkin is one of the best goalies in the world and he finished the season looking like the Igor we are use to seeing. That said, other than home ice edge, the edges here are in favor of New York. This includes the fact that the Rangers are plus money here because they are on the road. That said, I have no hesitation in backing them in this one as I expect them to open up this series with a road win. NEW YORK RANGERS +115 |
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04-17-23 | Islanders v. Hurricanes -165 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
NHL Monday Carolina Hurricanes Money Line -165 vs New York Islanders @ 7 ET - The Hurricanes have won each of the last 3 meetings between these teams and the average score has been 3 to 1 so they are not just squeaking by in these games either. That said, this price is at the upper range of what I like to lay on a game but it is playoff time and home ice and game one of a series. That said, I am willing to invest here as I look for Carolina to want to make a statement in game one and I fully expect a great home ice atmosphere for this game. Remember that the Islanders barely made the post-season this year and last year did not even make the playoffs. Conversely, the Hurricanes are Metro Div Champs this year and have unfinished business from last year's post-season. They had a 2-0 lead (and later 3-2 lead) in the Eastern Conference Semi-Finals last season but then lost to the Rangers. That said, the Canes come out very strong here and they had won 7 straight home ice post-season games before that Game 7 loss to the Rangers last year. Also, the Hurricanes enter this one off B2B big wins by a combined score of 10 to 5 to wrap up the regular season and clinch the division. Islanders lost last 3 road games of regular season by a combined score of 12 to 3. Look for those struggles to carry right into this game. CAROLINA -165 |
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04-14-23 | Avalanche v. Predators +170 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Friday Nashville Predators Money Line +165Â vs Colorado Avalanche @ 8:05 ET - The Avalanche need one more win to win the Central Division title. The Predators have lost all 3 meetings to the Avs this season and got swept out of the playoffs by Colorado last season. Guess which team is going to be more amped up here for this one? Nashville proved again in last night's win over Minnesota that there is no quit in this team even though they only recently got eliminated from post-season contention. The Predators also have the goalie edge in this one in my opinion. Saros played last night so it will likely be Lankinen here but note that the Avs used Georgiev last night. That means it will likely be Francouz getting the start here. He is a rock solid goalie but got hurt back in early February. This would be only his 2nd start since he returned from injury. Francouz allowed a pair of goals in both the 2nd and 3rd periods of his first start back. Predators will put pressure on him early and often. Of course the defending cup champion Avalanche are a great team but the Preds are very motivated here. They are not going to the playoffs and they still remember what happened in last year's post-season and they would love nothing more than to get a small measure of payback by knocking off the Avs here and preventing them from winning the division. Nashville has had only one bad game defensively last 10 games and has allowed an average of only 1.8 goals per game in the other 9 games. The Avalanche have allowed about 3 goals per game last 8 games. I love the underdog value here and expect an upset to wrap up the NHL regular season. NASHVILLE +165 |
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04-13-23 | Flyers -108 v. Blackhawks | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -110 @ Chicago Blackhawks @ 8:35 ET - The Flyers and Blackhawks have long been eliminated from post-season contention. But, interestingly, the draft lottery position of Chicago could be negatively impacted with a win here. Philadelphia is locked into their position. Also, both teams off wins but the Blackhawks win was over the Penguins and helped eliminate them from the post-season. That could leave Chicago flat here and Philly, based on the key circumstances here, is likely to prove to be the hungrier team. Note that the Blackhawks have won B2B games only ONCE since late February! The Flyers have certainly not been great but at least they have 6 wins last 14 games and also there could be some extra motivation here to get the win and get to 75 points in the standings. This is also a revenge game from the Flyers losing at home against Chicago earlier this season. 10* PHILADELPHIA -110 |
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03-23-23 | Wild v. Flyers +140 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 140 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Thursday Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +130 vs Minnesota Wild @ 6:35 ET - The Flyers offer great home dog value here. All the pressure is on the Wild in this match-up and the Flyers are likely to start Carter Hart in goal for this one. Hart has been great at home traditionally and is also red hot of late on home ice. In his last 4 home starts he has allowed a total of only 8 goals in regulation time of those starts. Philadelphia will be facing Marc-Andre Fleury in this one most likely. He has had some ugly starts in Philly in the past. He is a long-time veteran and I know he has played better of late but the former Penguin never found Philly to be a favorite place of his for sure. At the same time, he enters this start having allowed 8 goals in his last two starts including 5 in his most recent road start. As strong as Minny has been overall, they still have lost 12 of last 28 games and the Flyers are 3-1-1 in last 5 home games and will be going hard again here. This is one of those dangerous games for the rather heavy road favorite. PHILADELPHIA +130 |
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03-05-23 | Red Wings v. Flyers -120 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -125 vs Detroit Red Wings @ 6:05 ET - Red Wings got hammered yesterday in a 5th straight loss. With Husso out and Hellberg in goal yesterday, it probably means Nedeljkovic and he has struggled in the starting role so far this season at the NHL level. He was called up from AHL because of the Husso situation. Flyers have also been struggling but they enter this game with rest and are on home ice and are expected to have Hart between the pipes and he is known for being stronger on home ice than on the road. He is off a solid start in most recent outing. The scheduling situation, home ice edge, and goalie edge all in favor of the Flyers here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -125 |
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02-24-23 | Canadiens v. Flyers -140 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers -150 vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:05 ET - While it may seem surprising to see the Flyers as a sizable money line favorite here, the fact is this is a great spot to back them. This match-up has a little extra spice to it because these teams had a memorable post-season series just a few years ago. The Flyers took that series but Montreal did take the first regular season meeting this season and it was a memorable one. The Canadiens tied the game with 2 seconds left and then won the game in overtime! Suffice to say the Flyers felt shell-shocked after that frustrating loss. Look for them to take advantage here as they finally get their shot at revenge from that early-season loss. The key here is Philly does tend to be quite solid at home while Montreal has been struggling on the road for months now. The Canadiens had lost 10 of last 11 road games before a big win at New Jersey Tuesday. I look for the losing ways away from home to resume here after that rare road win over the Devils. Revenge is a real motivator for the Flyers here and they want to get back on track after having some recent struggles of their own of late. 10* PHILADELPHIA -150 |
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02-19-23 | Jets +112 v. Devils | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Money Line +115 @ New Jersey Devils @ 7:05 ET - The Jets have a huge situational edge here. They have been off since Thursday and that was a 3-1 loss at Columbus. They are fired up and rested and ready to bounce back here. Also, they could have Hellebuyck back between the pipes though, even if Rittich goes, I still like this play. Rittich has actually played quite well. However the same can not be said for Vanececk's back-up, Blackwood, in New Jersey. The Devils back-up netminder is likely to play tonight and he has allowed at least 4 goals in 3 of last 4 games! He is likely to play because Vanecek was in goal for yesterday's big win over division rival Penguins. In summary, New Jersey is in a B2B spot and off a big divisional win and is facing a rested Jets team having a solid season but coming off a loss. There is a reason this money line has been moving downward already. This is sharp hockey money seeing the same thing I am seeing here which is great underdog line value. 10* WINNIPEG +115 |
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02-16-23 | Flyers +180 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +180 @ Seattle Kraken @ 10:05 ET - Revenge game for Flyers. Philadelphia lost at home to Seattle 4-3 but should have Carter Hart back in net after Felix Sandstrom started that game. Note that Hart has been fantastic in goal of late. Also, the Flyers have gone 2-2-3 in last 7 games and I though about laying the juice and taking the 1.5 goals here since Philly does not have any multi-goal losses last 7 games. But the best value here is with the money line as I do feel the Kraken are vastly over-priced here. Hart has allowed just 1.4 goals in regulation time of his last 7 starts including just 1 goal per start in regulation time of his last 4 starts. The Flyers have won 2 of last 3 road games and the wins were by a combined score of 6 to 1 while the loss was in OT. If you look at the last dozen games for the Kraken, other than the tight win at Philly, they have won just 3 of 11 games! They are not a -200 favorite here or, at least, they do not merit such a price. While Philly is getting stellar goaltending from Hart, Seattle has allowed an average of 3.6 goals in regulation time of their last 5 games. 10* PHILADELPHIA +180 |
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02-11-23 | Predators v. Flyers +121 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +120 vs Nashville Predators @ 12:35 ET - If you do not allow the opponent to score it is tough for them to beat you! Indeed the Flyers have been getting great goaltending and are not allowing many goals at all in recent games. The Predators have been winning lately but those games were at home and they are coming off a home loss to the Golden Knights. The key is that the Preds have only had one strong game in the last 5 in terms of goals conceded. In the other 4 games, Nashville has allowed an average of 4.3 goals. Also, the Predators have lost 3 straight road games and allowed 3.7 goals per game in those 3 games. Home ice and stronger goaltending make for solid upset potential here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +120 |
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02-06-23 | Islanders v. Flyers +120 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +120 vs New York Islanders @ 7:05 ET - The Islanders are off B2B wins but had lost 10 of 11 games prior to that. Also, both those wins were on home ice. On the road, the Isles have lost 5 straight games and 10 of last 12. The home team is 2-0 in the two games between these divisional foes this season. The Flyers have been opposite of the Islanders this season. New York started hot than cooled. Philly had a very rough stretch earlier in the season for an extended period. However, they have since won 10 of 16 games. They did lose their most recent home game however in OT to the Kings. Philly either led or was tied with LA throughout the entirety of that game. They will make up for that home ice loss here and get back into the win column as they continue to exceed expectations of late while the Islanders have truly been mired in a long slump. Yes they acquired Bo Harvat from the Canucks and he is a great player but it could take him some time to "get on the same page" with his teammates and they could be a bit sloppy on the ice coming out of the All Star break. Don't be surprised if the Flyers are the more cohesive group on home ice here and I look for a huge game from Carter Hart in goal as he has allowed a total of only 6 goals in regulation time of his last 4 starts. 10* PHILADELPHIA +120 |
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01-24-23 | Panthers v. Penguins -139 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Pittsburgh Penguins Money Line -140 vs Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - The Panthers are in a back to back spot here. Florida had Lyon in goal last night and he struggled as I expected (we had over in their match-up with the Rangers here yesterday). Now, with Bobrovsky still dealing with an injury, it is likely be Knight who gets the start in goal tonight. He has allowed 21 goals in his last 5 appearances and only lasted about 1 period in one of those. Knight is back up from being assigned to AHL and I look for his NHL-level struggles to quickly resume. As for the Penguins, they are off a tight 2-1 OT loss and will be fired up here. They have the rest edge over the Panthers and plus Tristan Jarry has looked great in goal since he came back. He has allowed just 1 goal in regulation time of each of his two starts since he came back. So the Penguins have the edges here with a rest edge, home ice edge, and the goalie edge. Florida has lost 17 of 28 games this season on the road. Pittsburgh is solid 13-5-4 on home ice this season. Jarry is 16-5-5 with a solid 2.65 GAA this season. In 15 home starts this season he has only 2 losses in regulation time! We get a bargain price here because Penguins had slumped the final week of December and first week of January but they are starting to turn the corner and could be getting Kris Letang back soon as well. All in all, a great set-up here for home dominance. 10* PITTSBURGH -140 |
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01-21-23 | Flyers +128 v. Red Wings | Top | 2-1 | Win | 128 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +125 @ Detroit Red Wings @ 7 ET - What a fantastic set-up this is! The Red Wings are off a big upset win at Vegas but, prior to that, Detroit had lost 6 of 8 games and 13 of 18 games! Because they are hosting here they are laying a bit of a price in this spot as the Flyers overall record is not great this season. The key though is that Philly has been quite overall but is coming off a loss and that means even more value here. Before the 4 to 1 home loss to Chicago, as a big favorite mind you, the Flyers had won 8 of 10 games! Also, Philadelphia is 5-1 the last 6 times they were off a loss. 3 of those 5 wins were on the road too so there is not huge concern here as far as being on enemy ice and the fact is this is a great value spot on the Flyers. 10* PHILADELPHIA +125 |
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01-11-23 | Capitals v. Flyers +161 | 3-5 | Win | 161 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
NHL Wednesday 8* Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +160 vs Washington Capitals @ 7:05 ET - This is too much home dog line value to pass up on here. The Flyers have been playing much better and have won 5 of 6 games. If Ersson starts he has been fantastic in goal including a shutout win in most recent outing. If Hart starts he is known for being very strong at home and the fact he is off a rare tough outing would mean expect a bounce back for him on home ice here. Hart was off a great start in his prior start on home ice. The Flyers also have double revenge here as they have lost both games to the Capitals including one in overtime and one here on home ice. The way Philly is going right now just can not pass up on them here on their home ice. Washington is off a win but they have only scored a total of 3 goals in their last 2 games combined. Also, the Capitals have alternated wins and losses over their last 7 games. Look for that pattern to continue here as Washington continues to struggle with consistency the past two weeks. 8* PHILADELPHIA |
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01-10-23 | Jets -130 v. Red Wings | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Money Line -130 @ Detroit Red Wings @ 7:05 - The final home loss in regulation time that Winnipeg suffered last season came against this team. That is not a huge deal but it is still worth noting as it is the first time the Jets have faced Detroit since then. The big keys here are that this is a classic case of hot versus not. Also, not only are the Red Wings losers of 3 straight and off a loss to Toronto, Detroit again has the division rival Maple Leafs on deck. This is a classic "sandwich spot" as they have a non-conference battle right in the middle of big games versus a divisional foe that also has a revenge aspect to it. So, that said, this is a great spot to ride a Jets team that has won 5 straight games! Plus David Rittich got the last start in goal and with Winnipeg not in action again until Thursday, that means Connor Hellebuyck should get this start for sure. Hellebuyck is one of the best goalies in the league and having another big season and has been particularly red hot of late. The red hot road team should dominate in this one. 10* WINNIPEG JETS -130 |
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12-20-22 | Blue Jackets v. Flyers -169 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
NHL Tuesday 8* Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -170 vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - I am reducing to a non-Top Play here due to the higher price but I just can not pass up on this situation. The Flyers have lost each of first two games to the Blue Jackets this season and the last one was in OT and both were in Columbus. Philly coach Tortorella use to coach there in Columbus and you know this one means more to him as a result. It is a double revenge spot and the Flyers finally get the Jackets in Philadelphia. The Blue Jackets have been struggling badly and have lost 10 of 13 games. Yes, the Flyers have struggled too but they are on home ice and facing a team they should be able to beat with a strong and focused effort which is absolutely what you will see from the home side in this one. There is a reason the Flyers are priced so high here for this one. Don't let the line scare you away. Lay it! 8* PHILADELPHIA -170Â |
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12-10-22 | Hurricanes -135 v. Islanders | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes Money Line -135 @ New York Islanders @ 7:35 ET - We get line value here because the Hurricanes are on the road. This is a great value spot because the Islanders just got the upset win over the divisional rival Devils last night in New Jersey. That was a big win for them and Varlamov was in goal. Now it will probably be Sorokin in goal and they have lost each of his last 3 starts by a combined score of 14 to 6. The Hurricanes are off a loss but that was way back on Tuesday and followed 4 straight wins. The Canes are a strong team and rested and hungry to bounce back off a loss. The final key here is Carolina did lose at home to the Islanders 6 to 2. Payback time here for one of the worst losses the Hurricanes have had this season. 10* CAROLINA -135 |
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11-25-22 | Jets +145 v. Stars | Top | 5-4 | Win | 145 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets +145 @ Dallas Stars @ 8:35 ET - Rick Bowness is former coach of Dallas and now leading Winnipeg. He and the Jets beat them north of the border recently but earlier this season they met in Dallas and Bowness was out due to covid and the Stars won big. So for Bowness, this is first game back on the bench here in Dallas but on the other side and he and the Jets seeking revenge for the last visit here. I also like the fact Winnipeg is off a 6-1 loss and will be eager to respond here. This season, Jets are 4-0 when off a loss in which they failed to score more than 1 goal. The Stars are off a big comeback win but were just 3-4 in the 7 games leading into that one. They are giving up too many goals at times and went through a stretch where they had allowed 4 or more in 4 of 5 during this period. Jets, last game notwithstanding, have been better in their own end this season and I love the underdog price on them here. 10* WINNIPEG |
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11-22-22 | Rangers -102 v. Kings | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
NY RANGERS -105 - Even if the Rangers start Halak here he only allowed 2 goals in most recent start. I do expect Shesterkin to start though because this is the front end of a B2B and is the perceived tougher game as it the Kings tonight and the Ducks tomorrow. That said, Shesterkin has been dominant but, again, if Halak goes I still like this play. The Rangers have underachieved a bit so far this season and the Kings have overachieved and the result of this is now line value with New York at a pick'em price against a Los Angeles team that, in my eyes, they have solid edges over. The Rangers have won 4 of last 6 road games and one of the two losses was in OT. The Kings are off B2B losses and have been held to 2 or less goals in 6 of last 10 games. The Rangers have scored an average of 3.7 goals last 6 road games and get the job done again here. 10* NY RANGERS -105 |
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11-19-22 | Flyers +120 v. Canadiens | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +120 @ Montreal Canadiens @ 7:05 ET - The Canadiens and Flyers both are struggling but the key here is the goalie edge for the Flyers. It should be Carter Hart in goal for Philly and he has been great this season. As for the Habs, they continue to go with a heavy dose of Jake Allen and he has been struggling with consistently allowing 4 or more goals of late. If they go with Sam Montembeault instead, he had been playing quite well but then struggled in his most recent start and gave up a bushel of goals. With either Habs goalie likely to struggle and the win-starved Flyers (played some tough teams of late) likely to get a strong start from Hart, I love this spot for a road dog winner. 10* PHILADELPHIA +120 |
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11-15-22 | Flyers -102 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers -102 @ Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:35 ET - The Flyers are a pick'em here against the Blue Jackets in Columbus even though they have lost 3 straight including a 5-2 loss at Columbus during this stretch. You know what that means, right? Do not fall for the trap line! Most might be surprised to see a pick'em here but Hart has been so strong between the pipes for the Flyers this season and should be guarding the cage again after Sandstrom got the start in Philly's most recent game. The Blue Jackets have gone 1-6 in last 7 games and the only win was over the Flyers. Payback time here against a struggling Columbus team. 10* PHILADELPHIA -102 |
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11-14-22 | Islanders +100 v. Senators | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play New York Islanders Money Line -115 @ Ottawa Senators @ 5:35 ET - This is a great spot for a hot Islanders team at a great price because they are on the road. There is always extra value assigned to home ice of course but sometimes this creates the best value on the road team when they are the hot team and that is the case here. Islanders have won 8 of 10 and that includes winning 4 of last 5 away from home. Ottawa is off a win at slumping Philadelphia but had lost 7 straight games before that! Also, the Senators have lost 4 straight on home ice and have allowed an average of 4 goals per game in their last 7 losses. One win does not change everything for the struggling Sens and the Isles are on a mission right now. 10* NEW YORK ISLANDERS -115 |
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11-12-22 | Senators v. Flyers +120 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +110 vs Ottawa Senators @ 1:05 ET - The Flyers are improved yet they still are not a great hockey club. However, the Senators are not great either. That said, Philly continues to be undervalue and really Ottawa, even though this is a revenge game, is overvalued here. The Flyers are off a loss and will be hungry here. Philly is a perfect 3-0 this season when off a loss in regulation time. Ottawa has lost 7 straight games over this same period time. That means essentially we are testing a 10-0 / 100% SPOT here. 3-0 in favor of Flyers and 7-0 in favor of fading the Sens. Considering that plus the fact we are getting plus money to do it? Yes, I will take it! 10* PHILADELPHIA +110 |
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11-10-22 | Flyers +115 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +115 @ Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - This is a great spot for the underdog Flyers. They are playing with confidence under head coach Tortorella. Now they face the last time he coached. Tortorella was with Columbus for a number of seasons and had success here before they mutually agreed to part ways. Even though perhaps not necessarily a bitter break-up, you know Torts wants this game badly against his former team. He'll have the Flyers playing with extra fire here tonight as a result and they certainly should be able to take down the Blue Jackets. Hart has been phenomenal in goal for the Flyers this season. If Sandstrom plays, he is coming off a great start in net and has been better than expected early on in the back-up role. While Flyers are 7-3-2 this season, Blue Jackets are an ugly 3-9 on the year. Also, Columbus has lost 5 straight games by a combined score of 28-8 for an average margin of defeat of 4 goals per game! They just lost both games to Colorado by a combined score of 11-4 in the two match-ups in Finland. Yes, making this situation even worse for Columbus is they were over in Europe this past weekend. Tough spot for Blue Jackets and Flyers roll continues. 10* PHILADELPHIA +115 |
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11-09-22 | Hurricanes +100 v. Panthers | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes Money Line +100 @ Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - Florida is happy to be home but they are off a long road trip out west. Those often create tough situations in the first game back and that is the case here because the Panthers are catching the Hurricanes off a loss. Carolina had won 4 in a row before the loss and also is 2-0 this season when off a loss in which they scored 2 or less goals. Off the 3-1 defeat, the Canes back bounce back here. The Panthers are off a win but Florida is 0-5 the last 5 times they were off a victory. So with playing against that by going with the Canes here, we are backing a 5-0 situation that I fully expect to go to 6-0. Hurricanes off loss, Florida off long road trip across the country. Great spot. 10* CAROLINA +100 |
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11-08-22 | Blues v. Flyers +115 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 115 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +115 vs St Louis Blues @ 7:05 ET - Statistically if you look at the Flyers you have concerns but if you watch them on the ice and, in particular red hot goalie Carter Hart, those concerns become tempered. The fact is that Philly is exceeding expectations early this season even as they battle through to some injury issues. The markets have yet to catch up with this. The Blues are favored here despite being in the 2nd game of a B2B and on a 7-game losing streak. St Louis is likely to have Thomas Greiss in goal for this one since it is a B2B. The Blues are 0-2 in his two starts and lost the games by a combined score of 10 to 2. In fact, in this 7 game losing streak St Louis has been outscored 33 to 11 and lost each game by at least a 2 goal margin and the average margin of defeat has been 3 goals. The Flyers have some issues but they hold the scheduling edge here and home ice edge and Hart has not lost in regulation time yet this season! 6 wins, 2 OT losses, 0 regulation losses. I expect him to start here based on the scheduling situation here but no matter the goalie match-up in this one I would ride with Flyers as this is not the right time or place for Blues losing streak to end. 10* PHILADELPHIA +115 |
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11-05-22 | Flyers +168 v. Senators | Top | 2-1 | Win | 168 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +160 @ Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - Carter Hart should be back in goal for the Flyers in this one after getting a breather with Felix Sandstrom getting the last start. Note that the Flyers have yet to lose in regulation with Hart in goal. He has been fantastic this season and yet Ottawa is priced very high here. This is huge underdog value on Philly in my opinion. Yes, Cam Talbot is making his first start for the Senators after coming on in relief in the loss to the Golden Knights. However, coming on in relief in a game in which your team already allowed 5 goals is different than the situation here. The Sens are priced very high because the Flyers are still seen as one of the worst teams in the league. This is incredible line value here because Philly has been very competitive this season. They are on a 3-game losing streak but 2 of the losses were in OT and then the 3rd one at Toronto that was a 5-2 loss saw them down just 3-2 with under 8 minutes to go. Also, Hart did not play in that game. The Senators have lost 4 straight games by the way and none of those were in OT and they continue to allow too many goals. Is Talbot coming back from his rib injury going to fix all that? I don't think so either! And right now Flyers (when Hart is in goal) have been a lot better than the Senators this season in terms of goals allowed. Phenomenal underdog value here and I will not pass up on it. 10* PHILADELPHIA +160 |
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11-03-22 | Golden Knights v. Senators +127 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Ottawa Senators Money Line +125 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:05 ET - Vegas is hot to start this season and they enter this game on a 5-game winning streak. However, each of their last two wins were in overtime. Also, they have a game on deck at Montreal. When Vegas most recently missed a chance to get to the Stanley Cup Final it was because they lost to the Canadiens in the recent covid-impacted season that changed the post-season structure for that campaign. In any event, the Golden Knights have not forgotten and a visit to Montreal brings a little extra attention for sure. That said, Vegas could look right past Ottawa and that could prove to be a mistake. The Senators have lost 3 straight but the last two were on the road and prior to that the Sens had won 4 straight on home ice. In fact, just playing the home team in Ottawa games would have netted you a tidy 8-1 record so far! I am backing that 89% YTD record right here as I look for the Senators to get back on track on home ice where they have played so well. Note that their 4 wins came by an average margin of 3 goals apiece and, again, the Knights are entering this one off tight wins that each required OT. Solid home dog value here. 10* OTTAWA +125 |
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11-02-22 | Penguins v. Sabres +110 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Buffalo Sabres Money Line +110 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:35 ET - The Sabres are playing very well. Buffalo is off B2B wins at home and they already had a 3-game win streak on the road in Western Canada earlier this season. They are rested here too while the Penguins played last night. That means it is likely Pittsburgh will start Casey DeSmith here and he is winless on the season. He has not played all that poorly but he is allowing an average of 3 goals per game and his teammates could be tired in front of him. Penguins off a demoralizing 6-5 OT loss yesterday as they blew a 5-2 lead in a game they led 5-3 going to the 3rd period. Not only that, Pittsburgh was on home ice for that blown game! This Penguins team has now lost 5 straight including 4 straight on the road and this is the perfect set-up for another loss with this being a B2B spot with Penguins struggling with confidence issues after the way last night's game played out. The Sabres are much better than the Sabres teams of old and their 6 wins this season have come by an average margin of 3 goals. The point is that they are not just winning, they are getting big wins and you know they want to take down Crosby and Company here. 10* BUFFALO +110 |
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11-01-22 | Kings v. Stars -138 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Dallas Stars -135 vs Los Angeles Kings @ 8:35 ET - The Kings in the 2nd game of a B2B set and that means Petersen is likely between the pipes and he has struggled so far this season. He just had a strong start in his most recent game but that was against a Maple Leafs team that appeared to be playing at least a gear or two low of where they should be. He won't be facing a disinterested team tonight. This Stars team is fired up after losing their last game and having lost 4 of 6. Before their 6-3 loss to the Rangers they were 3-0 at home this season with the wins by a combined score of 11 to 2. In the 6-3 loss Oettinger go hurt and Wedgewood had to come in for him. Sometimes that can be tough on a goalie when he was not expected to play. Wedgewood now knows he is getting the start tonight (Oettinger is out) and I look for him to be much stronger in this start than he was in relief last week. The Stars will play much better in front of him too to limit shots on goal and scoring chances. After that lackluster finish to the game against the Rangers, Dallas will be much better here and they come out angry for this one. 10* DALLAS -135 |
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10-31-22 | Kings v. Blues -113 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play St Louis Blues Money Line -115 vs Los Angeles Kings @ 8:05 ET - The Blues have been struggling and are on a losing streak but that has resulted in exceptional line value here. St Louis is normally solid on home ice and this line has dropped a lot and the Kings have not exactly been dominant this season plus Los Angeles is known for struggling on the road. So when you add up all the factors here you have exceptional line value on a home team that is absolutely poised to end their recent losing skid. St Louis, including loss in most recent game, is still 6-3 the last 9 times they have entered a regular season game on a losing streak of 3 or more games. Last season they did not have a single losing streak more than 4 games. This one ends at 4 games too! Take advantage of the great price here as Kings entered their most recent game, a win, having allowing at least 4 goals in 7 of 9 games this season. Blue so hungry to shut down an opponent and they allowed 3 or less goals in 4 of first 5 games this season. In fact, STL allowed an average of just 2 goal per game those 4 games. The Blues reach back for some of that tonight and get back to usual "Blues hockey" in this one! 10* ST LOUIS -115 |
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10-30-22 | Jets +183 v. Golden Knights | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Money Line +175 / +180 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:05 ET - The Jets lost to the Knights here 5-2 earlier this month. Winnipeg was down 4-0 after one period. No one on the Jets has forgotten this. Winnipeg off a win at Phoenix on Friday and they will win again here. Vegas is off a win versus the Ducks Friday but were outshot in the game and Anaheim had goalie trouble in that one with Gibson getting pulled. Speaking of goalie troubles, Rittich was in goal when the Jets faced the Knights the first time but now #1 goalie Hellebuyck will be in between the pipes for this one and he and Winnipeg will be ready to go. This is a revenge game and Vegas has won 3 straight but last season Vegas had 6 chances at a winning streak of 4 or more games and only 2 times in those 6 chances did they manage to win that 4th game. This season already they had a chance and failed in the 4th one too. Look, it is not easy winning in this highly talented league and streaks are hard to sustain. The Jets want this game badly and this looks like a great spot to fade Vegas. They have a 5-game road trip back east on deck and it starts with the Capitals team that won the Stanley Cup over the Knights just a few seasons ago. 10* WINNIPEG +175 / +180 |
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10-29-22 | Hurricanes -167 v. Flyers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
NHL Saturday 8* Carolina Hurricanes -167 @ Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:05 ET - This is a little pricier than I generally like to lay in money line sports but I had my eyes on this one ever since Philly beat Florida Thursday despite being severely outshot. I know Carter Hart is in the zone right now and playing very well for the Flyers and he is the reason they had the chance to upset the Panthers Thursday. However, the Hurricanes are going to be relentless tonight after getting hammered 6-2 on home ice last night despite an edge in shots on goal. The Flyers have been a great early season story and there will continue to be good sports for them. However, not only is this not one of them, it is a great spot to fade them. The Canes will be relentless here as they look to bounce back from a rare ugly loss. 8* CAROLINA -167 |
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10-28-22 | Ducks +235 v. Golden Knights | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
NHL Friday 8* Anaheim Ducks Money Line +235 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 6:05 ET - This game starts at 3 PM local time in Vegas. Both of these teams are Pacific Time Zone teams but I feel the early start will favor the Ducks. They are very hungry and will be all business here. They have had a frustrating start to the season due in part to a long road trip to the East Coast. Then they lost at home to the Lightning despite it being a 2-2 game in the 3rd period. Look for the angry Ducks to be swarming in this game. As for the Golden Knights, everything has been coming up roses for them so far. They are off a game at San Jose in which they trailed 2-1 entering 3rd period but ended up winning 4-2. I am expecting the Knights could be a bit complacent here for this game and the Ducks are going to come in and shock them. Of course you have to pick your spots carefully with big dogs in money line spots and, the way I see it, this is one of those spots that is absolutely ideal for an upset! 8* ANAHEIM +235 |
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10-27-22 | Panthers v. Flyers +195 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 195 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +180 vs Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - In his first few seasons in the league, Flyers goalie Carter Hart has been stronger in his home starts than on the road. The young netminder is off to a fantastic start this season and is 4-0 so far. He is well-rested and fresh here as Felix Sandstrom has made 2 of the last 3 starts due to B2B situations. Note that Hart has not only won all 4 starts, he has allowed 2 or less goals in all 4 of them. Sandstrom started the first match-up with Panthers at Florida due to the scheduling situation but now Hart gets the rematch and it is in Philly where he has been strong through the years. Not including empty net goals, the Flyers have allowed 2 or less goals in 5 of 6 games this season! The Panthers, not including OT goals of course, have allowed 3 or more goals in 4 of last 6 games. They have lost each of last two road games and have allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 3 road games! The Panthers are way over-priced here as new head coach John Tortorella has Hart and this entire Flyers club playing much better team than the team we saw last year. I know we could grab some added insurance by laying a price to have the puck line here at +1.5 with Philly. However, prior to their 3-0 home loss to the Sharks in a tough back to back, the Flyers were 4-1 on the season including 2-0 at home. I am confident about the outright win here and going for the big payday with the money line. Look for the Flyers to improve to 5-0 in games that Carter Hart is in goal. 10* PHILADELPHIA +180 |
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10-26-22 | Lightning v. Ducks +149 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Anaheim Ducks Money Line +150 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 10:05 ET - I know the Ducks have been losing but all those games were on the road. They showed a lot of resiliency in their only home game so far this season and that was their season opener when they got the win in OT after rallying from a 2-goal deficit. I like the fact that goalie John Gibson got the game-winning assist in OT in that game and I feel a trip back home for the Ducks is just what the doctor ordered for Gibson and Anaheim to get back on track. The Ducks also did get a strong start from Gibson at Boston on the road trip but fell short 2-1. I know overall his play has been questionable but I have a feeling the Ducks are going to play very well tonight given this situation and the fact they are the more rested team. So even if Anthony Stolarz gets the start - I do expect Gibson - I look for Anaheim to come out firing on all cylinders and to get a rare strong effort from their rebuilt defensive pairings as well. Tampa Bay lost to the Kings last night and Andrei Vasilevskiy was in goal so this will most likely be Brian Elliott between the pipes for the Bolts. The veteran netminder has been a bit shaky and the Lightning defense has not been as strong this season and that continued last night in front of Vasilevskiy. So the home team is 6-0 in Ducks games this season and TB is in a tough scheduling spot here. I am grabbing the home dog here and with confidence as this is a top play for me. Love the set-up. 10* ANAHEIM +150 |
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10-25-22 | Golden Knights v. Sharks +162 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
NHL Tuesday 8* San Jose Sharks Money Line +160 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 10:35 ET - I like to look for home dogs in great spots in the NHL and this is one of them. The Sharks got off to a slow start this season as they seemed to be hindered by starting their season in Europe and suffering the B2B losses versus the Predators. However, they are starting to turn the corner and won 2 of 3 games to wrap up their 4-game east coast road trip. The Sharks allowed only 4 goals total in the final 3 games and goalie James Reimer is coming off a shutout win. San Jose will absolutely be up for facing the division rival Golden Knights here and they are catching Vegas at the perfect time. The Knights were at home last night and got a big win over the Maple Leafs. Note that Vegas is already 0-2 this season when they enter a game off a win by a multi-goal margin. Dating back to last season it is an 0-4 run when Golden Knights in this situation. This is great spot for an upset win for the home dog as Vegas took down a Maple Leafs team last night that many consider to finish among the best in the league this season. Flat spot for Vegas and back-up goalie Adin Hill likely to get the call here with this being a B2B. Hill has been a career back-up for a reason and he was with the Sharks last season so they know all about him and will take advantage of his weaknesses here. 8* SAN JOSE +160 |
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10-24-22 | Penguins v. Oilers -116 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers Money Line -115 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 8:05 ET - This is a great contrarian spot in my opinion. Many will be looking at Pittsburgh here as an underdog as they are 4-0-1 on the season and yet to lose in regulation. However, the Oilers are the play. Edmonton has lost 3 of last 4 games but those were against teams that are a combined 14-3-1 this season! Compare that to the Penguins. Their 5 games are against teams that are combined 13-18 on the season and none of those 5 teams have a winning record this season! Pittsburgh certainly still deserves credit for their hot start but this is their first game played outside of the Eastern time zone and I expect this trip to Western Canada could be a bit tough on the Pens after they were spoiled by their early season schedule. Edmonton off a rare shutout loss and they go on the road after this and will not play another home game until the calendar has turned the page to November. They need, and desperately, want this game and I just don't see the Oilers being denied in this one. 10* EDMONTON -115 |
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10-21-22 | Lightning -105 v. Panthers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lighting -105 @ Florida Panthers @ 7:35 ET - Really love this spot for the Bolts. I know this is a revenge game for the Panthers because they got swept out of the playoffs by the Lightning last season. However, lets talk about this season...Florida is 3-1 so far and Tampa Bay is 1-3 so far! The Bolts come in to this one hungry. They have been playing decently defensively and in goal when Vasilevskiy has been in there. He has allowed only 8 goals in 3 games. Compare that to the Panthers, mainly led by Bobrovsky, as they have allowed 3.7 goals last 3 games. I just don't trust the Florida defense and netminding. I know they are the higher-scoring team but the Lightning certainly are not without plenty of high-end talent up front and they have enjoyed plenty of success against the Panthers. Also, Florida still without some key players. When you add it all up you have a great spot for the road team to get back into the win column as, including playoffs last season, they are 3-0 the last 3 times they have entered a game off 2 or more consecutive losses. 10* TAMPA BAY -105 |
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10-18-22 | Bruins v. Senators -110 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Ottawa Senators Money Line -110 vs Boston Bruins @ 7:05 ET - The Bruins are 3-0 so far this season but in the 2nd night of a B2B here. That means Swayman likely to start and he only faced the Coyotes so far this season and allowed 3 goals on 24 shots. Ullmark was in goal last night and he has faced a lot more shots and looked better than Swayman so far. Now a tough spot for Boston as they face an Ottawa team that is 0-2 to start the season but has played better than the record shows and I like the fact this is the Senators home opener. Also, the Sens have been getting solid goaltending. They allowed 3 goals to the high-powered Maple Leafs and then the final two goals allowed to Buffalo were empty-netters. So that 4-1 final was a much closer game than the final score indicates. That said, I like the value with a hungry Senators team here. Ottawa added guys like Giroux and DeBrincat in the off-season and this Sens team is improving and going to be tough to beat on home ice here. Keep in mind, the Bruins have begun this season not a at 100% health and they have allowed a lot of shots in 2 of their 3 games. Only against a rather weak Arizona team were they able to limit shots. 10* OTTAWA -110 |
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10-17-22 | Canucks +121 v. Capitals | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Vancouver Canucks Money Line +115/+120 @ Washington Capitals @ 7:05 ET - This is a great value spot for the Canucks. The Capitals are off their first win of the season but it came against a Canadiens team that is not exactly a powerhouse these days. Remember this followed B2B losses for Washington to open up the season. Speaking of B2B losses, the Canucks have started the season with a pair of defeats but they led Edmonton 3-0 and Philadelphia 2-0 and yet lost each game. Vancouver is hungry to bounce back here and I know what you are thinking. If the Canucks are blowing leads is it not too difficult to trust them? However, the Caps are missing some key guys early this season. Washington had scored only 2 goals in each of their first two games before managing 3 against Montreal. I think the hungry Canucks are going to be too much for the Capitals here as Vancouver is pushing hard for that first win of the season. They looked good last season after the coaching change and are a team I like this season to perform well. They are under-valued right now because of the early season losses and so this is the perfect spot in which to back them. 10* VANCOUVER +115/+120 |
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10-14-22 | Rangers v. Jets -120 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Money Line -120 vs New York Rangers @ 8:05 ET - I am big on the New York Rangers this season and would not be surprised if they end up representing the Eastern Conference in the Stanley Cup Finals in June. However, this is a tough spot for them and the straw that stirs the drink is highly unlikely to be involved in this match-up. This is a back to back and Igor Shesterkin is now one of the top two goalies in the league along with Andrei Vasilevskiy of the Lightning. He beat Vasilevskiy and the Bolts to open up the season in New York. Then last night he was fantastic again against the Wild in Minnesota. However, he should not be between the pipes tonight. Look for Jaroslav Halak to get the start for New York. He is 37 years old and off a down season in Vancouver. I really like the edge in goal that the Jets should have considering Connor Hellebuyck should get the start. His GAA looks bad from last season and it was a down year for him. However, he faced a barrage of shots and his save percentage did not drop off that much. He just faced too many shots. Hellebuyck is still one of the best goalies in the top league that represents one of the best games in the world, hockey! Indeed he was one of the best in the NHL in my book and he will get the better of the Rangers and Halak as the Jets catch them in a back to back. Under new head coach Rick Bowness, look for the Jets to be much better defensively and play a different style which will also help Hellebuyck be at his best again. Remember how the Stars played? The Jets will start to emulate that under Bowness and I still like some of the solid scoring talent this Winnipeg has as well. Given the situation, this is the perfect spot to back a Jets teams fired up for a home opener under a new coach in a building filled with enthusiasm. You saw how Flyers responded with Tortorella in Philly last night? Look for a similar response for the Jets under Bowness here in Manitoba. They are catching the Rangers at the right time to get the big win. 10* WINNIPEG -120 |
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10-11-22 | Lightning v. Rangers -110 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line -110 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:35 ET - The Rangers seek revenge from last season's playoff ouster at the hands of the Bolts. Make not mistake about it the Lightning are still one of the top teams in the NHL and have a superb goalie in Andrei Vasilevskiy between the pipes. However, the Rangers also have an incredible goalie in Igor Shesterkin and they have the home ice edge here. New York also did great in picking up Kevin Fiala in the off-season. For the Lightning, the losses of McDonagh and Palat in the off-season as well as a top assistant coach could hurt this club a bit. That said, I love the hungry home team to get the job done in this one and get some playoff revenge in the process. Lightning have had a great run but their club roster is finally starting to regress a bit and this Rangers team is the one building well and getting ready to peak in my opinion. I have New York as having a solid chance at winning the cup this season and I like this spot for them to jump start their season. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -110 |
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06-26-22 | Avalanche -114 v. Lightning | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play Colorado Avalanche Money Line -114 @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ 8:15 ET - The Avalanche are 4-0 last 4 times when entering a game off a loss. Also, the Avs are 8-1 in road games in this post-season. Colorado has dominated shots on goal in this series and that continues here. The Avalanche just too much for a Lightning team that doesn't have the same level of talent on offense. Vasilevskiy fantastic in goal for the Bolts but Avs also have been getting good goaltending and the better team in terms of offensive output will prove to be too much here. 10* COLORADO -114 |
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06-24-22 | Lightning +163 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-2 | Win | 163 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning +163 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 8:15 ET - Pretty amazing that Tampa Bay could be up 3-1 in this series and yet are down 3-1 but are now catching a big underdog price in this one. Lightning lost Game 1 in OT and now Game 4 in OT and that is the only reason this series is 3-1 Avs instead of 3-1 Bolts. Colorado is a strong team for sure but they are very over-valued here and the play of Andrei Vasilveskiy in goal has been huge for them in the past two games. Truly the Avs goals on him in Game 4 including some fortunate bounces. That said, I am sure the stellar netminder, when he is in the zone like he has been now, can come into Denver and help the Bolts steal this game on the road. Tampa Bay is 9-2 the last 11 times they entered a game off a loss. With the Avs win at TB Wednesday, the road team has taken 8 of the last 13 Colorado games. Also, though Brayden Point is likely again out for the Lightning, they are 11-2 in the last 13 games he has missed in this post-season. The value is off the charts here and I look for the defending champs to get up off the mat, at least one more time, to live to fight another day as they stay alive with a big upset in Game 5 Friday. 10* TAMPA BAY +163 |
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06-22-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning -103 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line -105 vs Colorado Avalanche @ 8:15 ET - After the Lightning got destroyed 7-0 in Game 2 of this series following a tight OT loss in Game 1, they responded with a huge 6-2 win in Game 3. Tampa Bay is now 7-0 / 100% PERFECT L7 home games in this post-season. Indeed, the Bolts have won 8 straight games this post-season on home ice. The combined score of those 8 home ice playoff wins is 33-13. In other words they have not just been squeaking by in these home victories, they have been dominating. I have no hesitation in now testing a perfect situation here. I like our chances in this spot for the defending champs to stand up strong here once again as Vasilevskiy continues to be so strong on home ice and they now climb all the way back into this series by making it 2-2 after Wednesday's game is in the books. 10* Tampa Bay -105 |
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06-20-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning -106 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line -105 vs Colorado Avalanche @ 8:15 ET - The Lightning just got destroyed 7-0 in Game 2 of this series after a tight OT loss in Game 1. Tampa Bay is 4-0 / 100% PERFECT this season when off a shutout loss. Also, the Bolts have won 7 straight games this post-season on home ice. The combined score of those 7 wins is 27-11. In other words we are testing a double perfect situation here and one of those situations is one that has not lost all season for TB. I like our chances here for the defending champs to stand up strong here to climb back into the series and make it 2-1 after Monday's game is in the books. 10* Tampa Bay -105 |
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06-18-22 | Lightning +138 v. Avalanche | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 39 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line +135 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - The Lightning are 8-0 the last 8 times they were off a loss in which they allowed 5 or less goals. Keep in mind, the 4-3 OT loss saw the Bolts dig out of an early 3-1 hole. I liked the response from Tampa Bay after falling behind early and I like the fact they played more their style of game the final two periods of the hockey game before losing in overtime. I know the Avalanche are a great team and have been red hot but Tampa has won B2B cups for a reason! Look for their streak to make it 9 in a row here when in this situation! 10* TAMPA BAY +135 |
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06-15-22 | Lightning +150 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 79 h 21 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning +150 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - This one falls into the rest versus rust factor. You might be thinking it is great that the Avalanche swept the Oilers and are so well-rested here. However, this will be their first live game action in over a week and that will be tough on Colorado. Conversely, the Bolts have an ideal amount of rest entering this game. Yes Tampa Bay had to battle hard to get by the Rangers in 6 games after dropping the first two games of the series. However, the Lighting will enter this game having full off days Sunday and Monday and Tuesday. That, unlike what the Avs had, is an ideal amount of rest. It is enough to rest up but not so much that a team is rusty. Also, TB has more recently been in intense game action and winning all those tight low-scoring games could serve the Lightning well right off the bat here. These are two great teams here and I am certainly not saying that TB is going to get a 3-peat. Lets not get ahead of ourselves. We have to see how things play out as the series gets going. But the points is I do feel this is a huge situational edge for the Lightning entering this series and I feel they have a great shot to steal game one on the road. Getting a +150 price on a dog that is the 2x defending champ and enters this game having won 10 of 12 games...yes, I'll take it! 10* TAMPA BAY +150 |
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06-11-22 | Rangers +167 v. Lightning | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +167 @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ 8 ET - As long-time followers know I am a contrarian. Everyone will be lining up on Tampa Bay here to close this series out. However, the Rangers have been "right there" with the Lightning throughout this series and this is a tremendous value spot for New York getting huge plus money on the money line. Yes the home team had dominated this series but that ended when the Bolts scored late in Game 5 to steal a game on the road. Look for a similar result here as now it is the Rangers turn to steal one and that will set us up for an incredible Game 7 which is exactly what this hard-fought series deserves. New York has been a fantastic team all season long when off B2B losses and now they've lost 3 straight for just the 3rd time this season. Note: the Rangers have NOT lost 4 straight this entire season! That trend continues here as the big road dog staves off elimination. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +167 |
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06-09-22 | Lightning v. Rangers +113 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 53 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +115 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 8:15 ET - The Rangers are 8-0 last 8 home games in this post-season. The home team is a perfect 4-0 so far in this series after Tampa Bay won both games on their home ice to even this series up at 2 games apiece. New York is a different team and Shesterkin seemingly a different goalie when at Madison Square Garden. The home team is 6-0 in Tampa Bay's last 6 games in this post-season. Look for all these 100% perfect home team streaks to continue here. There is just too much value to pass up on here given these streaks and the fact that it is hard to win the Stanley Cup two times in a row...let alone 3 times! That said, I still feel the Rangers are going to find a way to win this series and to do so tonight's game is critical. I just don't see the Lightning getting a shot at the 3-peat and so, again, this Game 5 is critical and the hosts prevail. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +115 |
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06-07-22 | Rangers +156 v. Lightning | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play New York Rangers +155 @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ 8 ET - This is just too much value to pass up on. The Rangers are 5-2 the last 7 times when off a loss. Yes the Lightning did outshoot them heavily in the Game 3 win but New York still had plenty of chances to win that game and fell just short when Tampa Bay scored a goal in the final minute. That said, when you can take a scrappy team like the Rangers off a loss and knowing they had more than a punchers chance Sunday in a must-win game for the Bolts...I will take it every single time. The defending champs simply over-valued here. Keep in mind, Rangers had won 6 of last 7 meetings between these teams before coming up short in Game 3. I will grab the big dog here without hesitation. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS money line +155 |
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06-06-22 | Avalanche v. Oilers +116 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
NHL Monday 8* Edmonton Oilers Money Line +115 vs Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - The Oilers were better than the 4-2 final score from Saturday's Game 3 would lead you to believe. In fact, Edmonton very nearly took a 3-2 third period lead when an Oilers shot struck iron right before the Avalanche caught a break the other way and got their own 3-2 lead in the game. It is a game of inches for sure and the breaks have gone the way of the Avs so far. That is not to say Colorado is not a great team that is getting what they deserve because they absolutely are. However, it is just to say that Edmonton has been much better than most realize and they are very unfortunate to be down 3-0 in this series. Look for the Oilers to pull it all together here in Game 4 with their absolute best effort of the series and the result will be a home win. The Avalanche have been surviving so far with their injury issues mounting because they are a deep team. However, it catches up with them here on the road with Kadri now out as well and the home team finally tilts the ice in their favor for much of the game in this one as they prove to be the much hungrier team and simply will not accept getting swept out of the post-season in their own building. Home team pride kicks in here! 8* EDMONTON +115 |
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06-04-22 | Avalanche v. Oilers +116 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 37 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Edmonton Oilers Money Line +115 vs Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - The Oilers just got trounced 4-0 in game two of this series after a valiant comeback effort in game one of this series fell short in an 8-6 loss. The home team has now won each of the last 3 meetings between these teams and I look for that trend to continue here. The home loss before these 3 straight wins was an Oilers 2-1 loss in Edmonton but the hosts outshot the Avalanche 50 to 34 in that game. Edmonton is 6-1 the last 7 times they have entered a game off B2B losses. I just don't see the Oilers laying down and especially on home ice where they have won 18 of last 21 games! 10* EDMONTON |
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06-03-22 | Lightning v. Rangers +116 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 116 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +115 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 8 ET - As mentioned in my Game 1 write-up on this series, this is another nice home dog situation here. Yes the Bolts are the 2x defending cup champs but they also have now lost 5 of last 6 versus Rangers. This New York team is better than many realize and they also will take advantage of a Lightning team still likely to be without Brayden Point. The Rangers getting such strong goaltending and that is what is needed to counteract a TB team that also gets such great goalie work from Vasilevskiy who also faltered a bit in Game 1 as it was a 6-2 loss for the Bolts. Look for Shesterkin to again help lead the way to an upset win here. As I mentioned before, heading into this series, just more impressed with the Rangers knocking off the Pens and the Canes moreso than Tampa beating Leafs and Panthers teams known for playoff failures. Also, the Rangers have won 7 straight home games and I am happy to test that 7-0 run with an undervalued home dog once again Friday. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +115 |
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06-02-22 | Oilers +165 v. Avalanche | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers +165 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - The Oilers got down huge early in Game 1 but rallied back and also got strong goaltending from Koskinen when he came in for Smith. Conversely, the Avalanche had some soft goaltending from Francouz when he relieved Kuemper. Also, Kuemper may be out for this game. Either way I like Edmonton here. I have all the respect in the world for the Avalanche but this Oilers team continues to be undervalued. Remember that in the prior round against the Flames, the Oilers were getting hammered but rallied for a tight loss to Calgary. That ended up being their only loss in the series. Now I am absolutely not saying that is happening here. But what I am saying is that I do expect Edmonton to again carry momentum from a Game 1 loss in which they rallied right into a Game 2 victory. This Oilers team turned the tables on the Avs as Tuesday's game went on and they can do it again here. Too much big money line value to pass up on in this one. 10* EDMONTON +165 |
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06-01-22 | Lightning v. Rangers +118 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 118 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +115 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 8 ET - Another nice home dog situation here. Yes the Bolts are the 2x defending cup champs but they are also have lost 4 of last 5 versus Rangers. This New York team is better than many realize and they also will take advantage of a Lightning team still likely to be without Brayden Point. The Rangers getting such strong goaltending and that is what is needed to counteract a TB team that also gets such great goalie work from Vasilevskiy. Look for Shesterkin to help lead the way to an upset win here. Just more impressed with the Rangers knocking off the Pens and the Canes moreso than Tampa beating Leafs and Panthers teams so known for playoff failures. Also, the Rangers have won 6 straight home games and I also feel the long layoff for Tampa Bay will hurt them here as thsi will be their first game in over a week. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +115 |
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05-31-22 | Oilers +163 v. Avalanche | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers Money Line +160 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - I have a ton of respect for Colorado but feel the Oilers could steal game one of this series on the road before some adjustments are made. Edmonton has shown a lot of resilience to get here. Remember they suffered the OT heart-breaker versus the Kings in Alberta to fall behind 3-2 in the series and then had to go on the road to win Game 6 before winning Game 7 again home ice. Then they dropped Game 1 of their series at Calgary only to battle back and win 4 straight games over a very strong Flames team. That said, I am more impressed with the Oilers than the fact the Avs got by the Predators and then a Blues team that I think they should have destroyed but they did not. The key point being that the value is off the charts here as Edmonton is much stronger than many realize while everyone knows the Avalanche are so talented and hence we have seen a line move in a strong way toward Colorado in the opener. I am happy to invest in the value on the other side as the Oilers are 4-2 on enemy ice in this post-season and the road team has won 7 of last 8 Avs games! 10* EDMONTON +160 |
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05-30-22 | Rangers +136 v. Hurricanes | Top | 6-2 | Win | 136 | 42 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +135 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 8 ET - With the home team having won all 6 games in this series, there is certain to be favoritism from the betting markets toward the Hurricanes in this one. However, I feel strongly that that the fact the Rangers have taken 3 of the last 4 games in this series has much less to do with the home ice factor and much more to do with a goalie edge. New York has the edge between the pipes and that is particularly huge in a Game 7. That said, I am backing the road dog that is loaded with momentum and coming off another huge win in Game 6 Saturday. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +135 |
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