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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-19-17 | Cavs v. Bucks +2 | Top | 116-119 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over Cleveland. Jason Kidd's Bucks have largely been great since the acquisition of guard Eric Bledsoe from Phoenix on November 7. With Bledsoe in the lineup, Milwaukee won 11 of its first 15 games. But it stumbled last week, and lost all three games. Still, the glass is more than half-full for the Bucks' franchise, as the team is 15-13 this season. And Giannis Antetokounmpo currently ranks as the league's 2nd best player in PER, behind LeBron James. Tonight, the Bucks will attempt to snap their losing streak, and will host Cleveland, which defeated Milwaukee twice earlier this season. But winning NBA teams, playing with double-revenge in the regular season, and also off back to back losses, have covered 63% at home vs. foes off back to back wins. That bodes well for Milwaukee on Tuesday. As does the fact that the Bucks have gone 35-10-1 ATS their last 46 at home off back-to-back losses, including 10-1 ATS if they were playing with more rest than their opponent (which Milwaukee is). Take the Bucks on Tuesday. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-19-17 | Troy State -1.5 v. Austin Peay | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Troy State Trojans over Austin Peay. The Trojans were blown out, 88-63, by Arkansas on Saturday. But Troy has generally bounced back from blowout defeats, as it's 23-10 ATS off a loss by 20+ points. Even better: Troy falls into a 94-36 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take the Trojans. |
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12-19-17 | Marshall v. Xavier -22 | Top | 77-81 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 36 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Xavier Musketeers minus the points over Marshall. Marshall has been a double-digit underdog just once before this season. And we went against Marshall in that game, and got the $$$ with Illinois. We'll go against Marshall as a double-digit underdog again tonight, in this game at Xavier. The Musketeers are the nation's 3rd best field goal shooting team, so Marshall's up-tempo style plays right into the hands of the Musketeers. Xavier's 9-2 ATS this season, while Marshall is a wallet-busting 83-121 ATS as a road underdog (or PK). Lay the points with Xavier. |
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12-18-17 | Nuggets v. Thunder -5 | Top | 94-95 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Denver. The Thunder were upset by the Nuggets earlier this season. But OKC will avenge that loss tonight, as it's an awesome 65-38 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset defeat. Additionally, the Thunder fall into a division revenge system of mine which is 130-64 ATS since 1990. Finally, OKC is also 11-3 SU and 9-4-1 ATS its last 14 meetings vs. Denver. Lay the points. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-17 | Cavs v. Wizards +1.5 | Top | 106-99 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavaliers won at home last night, 109-100, over the Utah Jazz. And that was Cleveland's 17th win in its last 18 games. We actually had a big play against Cleveland in the one game it lost over this stretch, and that was when it played at Indiana nine days ago. One of the reasons I loved Indiana was that Cleveland's gaudy record, of late, is primarily due to a very soft schedule. Indeed, of the Cavs' 17 wins, only 3 have come against teams with an average margin of victory greater than 0. And the most difficult road game was the one at Indiana, and Cleveland failed that test. Sunday's game at Washington will also be a staunch test for the Cavs, as it comes on the heels of a game last night. This will be Cleveland's second road game this season when it had to play without rest. The other game was at Brooklyn back on October 25, which followed a home game vs. Chicago. Not surprisingly, Cleveland was upset by the Nets, 112-107, as an 8-point favorite. The Cavs are a dreadful 1-15 ATS their last 16 when playing on the road without rest, if they're off back-to-back wins! Take Washington over the Cavs. NBA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-17 | Vanderbilt +10.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 64-76 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Arizona State. The Sun Devils come into this game off an upset win last week at Kansas. That extended ASU's streak to start the season to 9-0 straight-up and 8-0 ATS. In contrast, the Commodores are 3-6 this season, and 0-8 ATS. Thus, this is the rarest of games with respect to two teams going in opposite directions against the spread. Indeed, my basketball database goes back to 1990. There have been 78,660 games played over the past 28 years (with pointspreads), including 61,176 games played where each team had at least eight games under its belt, and it has NEVER before happened that one team had been on an 8-game ATS win streak, while its opponent was on an 8-game ATS losing streak! Of course, one thing that isn't quite rare is a team, by itself, going on a 5-game ATS losing streak. And such teams have actually done quite well as double-digit road underdogs when matched up against foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Since 1990, they've covered 66%. Even worse for the Sun Devils: they're a horrid 15-39 ATS off an upset win since February 2001. Take Vanderbilt + the points. NCAA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-17 | Celtics -5.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 102-93 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Memphis. The Grizzlies come into tonight's game off a win over the Atlanta Hawks. And that was just Memphis' 9th win on the season. I love playing against bad teams off a win (as they rarely win back to back games), and we'll pull the trigger on the Celtics tonight, especially since Boston -- a very good team -- is off an upset loss to the Jazz. And, since 1990, .666 (or better) teams off a loss are 68.1% ATS on the road vs. .333 (or worse) non-division foes off a win. Moreover, Boston's 4-1-1 ATS off a loss this season, while Memphis has gone 0-4 ATS after its last 4 wins. Take Boston minus the points. NBA ROAD WARRIOR. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-17 | NC-Greensboro v. NC State -8 | Top | 81-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack minus the points over NC Greensboro. The Spartans are 7-3 SU and 4-0-1 ATS this season, but I look for NC State to hand them their first point spread defeat on Saturday afternoon. Long-term, the Spartans have been dreadful off a point spread win (63-97 ATS since 1990), including 25-44 ATS as a single-digit underdog. They're also a soft 17-24 ATS vs. the ACC Conference, including 0-4 ATS when they owned a winning point spread record. NC State falls into a 131-52 ATS system of mine which plays against certain underdogs off ATS wins. Take the Wolfpack. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-15-17 | Thunder v. 76ers -1.5 | Top | 119-117 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers over Oklahoma City. The Thunder are currently installed as a small underdog on the overnight line. And, should this point spread hold, it will be the very first time the Thunder have been an underdog on the road this season. They were favored in each of their first 14 road games, and have gone 4-10 straight-up and 3-11 ATS in those 14 road games. The other interesting thing to note about this game is that Oklahoma City has defeated Philadelphia 16 straight games. Unfortunately, teams that have won 16 (or more) straight games in a row vs. their opponent have gone just 24-50 ATS, including 0-7 ATS as an underdog! The 76ers are a solid 33-20 ATS at home the past two seasons, and will win and cover tonight. Take Philly. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-13-17 | Portland State v. Oregon -13 | Top | 84-95 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
At 10 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Portland State. The Vikings have ripped off eight straight point spread wins to start the season. But that streak should come to an end, in Eugene, tonight. Indeed, since 1990, College Basketball teams on a 7-game ATS win streak, with a .900 (or better) ATS win percentage, are 0-15 ATS as underdogs of +3 or more points in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes. Take Oregon. NCAA Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-13-17 | Jazz -5 v. Bulls | Top | 100-103 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Chicago. The Bulls come into tonight's game off 3 upset wins, while Utah is off 3 losses. But we'll lay the points with the Jazz, as NBA road favorites of -5+ points, off 3+ losses, have gone 99-65 ATS since 1990. Take Utah. |
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12-13-17 | Thunder v. Pacers | Top | 100-95 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder over Indiana. There's no doubt that the Thunder are underperforming right now. They're 12-14 on the season, and are 7-18-1 ATS, including 0-9 ATS their last nine. But they still have outscored opponents by an average of 2.15 ppg. Interestingly, that's better than Indiana's margin of victory (+1.52), and the Pacers are 16-11 on the season (and 17-10 ATS). But the fact that OKC is underperforming, and Indiana is overperforming has created line value for us in this game. And, for further technical support, consider that teams off 9+ point spread defeats are 48-24-1 ATS. Take the Thunder. |
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12-12-17 | Michigan v. Texas -6 | Top | 59-52 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Michigan. We played on the Wolverines in their last game -- a 78-69 overtime win vs UCLA. That victory moved Michigan to 8-3 on the season. But the Wolverines are 0-2 SU/ATS this year when they had to play on their opponent's home court, with losses at North Carolina and at Ohio State. And they're 6-20 ATS off a home win, including 0-7 ATS their last seven. Meanwhile, Texas is 6-2, but is a perfect 4-0 straight-up at home this season, with an average margin of victory of 27.75 points. These two teams did meet last season in Ann Arbor, and the Wolves came away with a narrow three-point win (as a 10-point favorite). But Michigan is a poor 38% ATS over the past 28 years vs. revenge-minded non-conference foes. And the Longhorns also fall into a 285-174 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites of -5+ points. Take Texas. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-12-17 | Nuggets v. Pistons -7 | Top | 103-84 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over Denver. The Pistons sprinted out to a 14-6 start, but have dropped six straight to fall to 14-12. But take a look at the six opponents that defeated Detroit over the previous 11 days: Washington, Philly, San Antonio, Milwaukee, Golden State and Boston. There isn't a losing team among them. And their combined record is 106-55. Moreover, four of the six games were on the road. So, tonight's home game against the 14-12 Nuggets -- though Denver is also a winning team -- will be a much more winnable game than those last six. Also, for technical support, consider that NBA home favorites of -5+ points have gone 81-54 ATS if they lost their six previous games. And Denver is 0-5 SU/ATS this season as an underdog of +2.5 (or more) points. Take the Pistons. NBA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-12-17 | Mississippi State v. Cincinnati -11 | Top | 50-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are 8-0 on the season, but have had a diet of creampuffs so far. Indeed, this will be the Bulldogs' first game played away from home this season. And just their 3rd game against a school from a major or mid-major conference (Dayton and Green Bay were the other two). But even though Mississippi State defeated Dayton and Green Bay, it didn't cover the point spread in either game. And neither was particularly close. Miss State failed to cover by 10.5 points vs. Green Bay, and it failed to cover by 8 points vs. Dayton. The Bulldogs did win their most recent game, 95-62, vs. North Georgia. Unfortunately, the Bulldogs are an awful 0-7 ATS off a win by 18+ points. Take Cincinnati. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-17 | Celtics -7 v. Bulls | Top | 85-108 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Chicago Bulls. Fred Hoiberg's men haven't won many games this season -- they're just 5-20 -- but they have won their last two games. However, I love playing against bad teams off wins. And especially off back to back wins, as .300 (or worse) teams have covered just 38 percent at home since 1990 off back to back wins when matched up against an opponent off a win. Boston plays hard every night, as evidenced by its 25-8 ATS record on the road off a point spread win the past two years. Lay the points with Boston. NBA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-17 | Charlotte +5 v. Tenn Chattanooga | Top | 50-64 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Tennessee Chattanooga, as Charlotte falls into 141-62, 80-18 and 116-55 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off a SU/ATS loss. The 49ers come into this game off a 23-point SU/ATS home loss to Wake Forest, while Chattanooga lost (but covered) as an 8-point road dog to Marshall. Unfortunately for Chattanooga, it's a wallet-busting 20-44-3 ATS off a pointspread win vs. an opponent off a pointspread defeat, including 3-15-1 ATS as a home favorite of -4 or more points. Take Charlotte + the points. NCAA Hoops Underdog of the Week! |
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12-09-17 | Portland State v. Santa Clara -2.5 | Top | 87-84 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos minus the points over Portland State. The Vikings are 7-2 straight-up this season, including an upset win at Loyola Marymount on Wednesday. Even better: the Vikings are a perfect 7-0 ATS on the year. But this 7-0 point spread win streak has set up the Vikings in a negative 39-90 ATS system of mine which goes against certain "hot" teams. Moreover, Portland State is a wallet-busing 35.7% ATS on the road off back to back wins, if it pulled an upset in its previous game, while Santa Clara is an awesome 67% ATS at home since 1990 vs. non-conference foes off upset wins. Lay the points with the Broncos. NCAA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-17 | Thunder -5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over Memphis. The Thunder have dropped their last seven in a row to the point spread, which may keep a lot of bettors away this evening. But road teams favored by more than three points, off 7+ ATS losses, have covered 70.8% since 1993. I look for Russell Westbrook & Co. to blow out the hapless Grizzlies on Saturday night. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-17 | Coppin State v. Connecticut -24 | Top | 59-72 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Coppin State. The Eagles are 0-9 on the season, so they should be a welcome sight for a 6-3 UConn team which has gone 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS over its last five games (after starting the season 4-0). But .800 (or worse) teams, favored by more than 18 points, off 5+ ATS losses, have covered 70.3% over the past 28 years. Take the Huskies. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-17 | UCLA v. Michigan -4.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on Michigan minus the points over UCLA. The Wolverines lost their previous game, 71-62, at Ohio State. But U-M is 53-31 ATS off a loss. And .500 (or better) teams are 49-22 ATS at home in games between the Big 10 and Pac-!2 Conferences, including 11-1 ATS off a loss. Take Michigan. |
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12-09-17 | William & Mary v. Ohio State -14.5 | Top | 62-97 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over William & Mary, as Ohio State falls into 284-174, 78-2 and 130-50 ATS systems of mine. William & Mary comes into this game off an upset win at George Mason, and is 6-2 SU and 4-0 ATS on the season. However, the Buckeyes are 69-45 ATS at home vs. foes with an ATS win percentage of .333 (or better), while William & Mary is an awful 18-35-1 ATS away from home as a dog of +5 or more points, if it won and covered its previous game. Take Ohio State. |
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12-08-17 | Cavs v. Pacers +3.5 | Top | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavaliers have won 11 straight games. But the primary reason for their win streak has been the dreadful level of competition. Of the Cavs' 11 victories, only TWO were against teams that currently own a winning record: Detroit (14-10) and Philadelphia (13-11). Indeed, the Cavs' schedule has actually been pretty easy thus far, as it's only played nine games (of its 25 games) against the 14 other NBA teams that currently own a winning record. Cleveland's schedule will toughen up over the next several weeks, as 11 of its next 18 games will be against foes that currently own a winning record. Indiana is a solid 57-41-1 ATS vs. winning teams, including 30-19-1 ATS at home. And it's 17-8-1 ATS its last 26 vs. Cleveland. Finally, Cleveland is an awful 5-17-1 its last 23 as a favorite. Take the Pacers. NBA High Roller Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-17 | Pacific +5.5 v. UC-Davis | Top | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Cal Davis. These two teams met earlier this season at Pacific. The Tigers were favored by 5.5 points in that game, but were upset, 62-58. But Pacific has won five of its last six games. And it's a solid 32-15 ATS when playing with revenge from a home upset loss. Finally, the Tigers fall into a 93-54 ATS NCAA revenge system of mine. Take Pacific. NCAA ELITE INFO. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-17 | Mavs +9 v. Celtics | Top | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Boston. We went against the Celtics last week in their game vs. the Suns (and cashed). And one of the points I made in my analysis for that game was that the Celtics had only been favored by more than eight points once before in this season. Well, Boston failed to cover that big point spread. And now it is favored again by more than 8 points vs. Dallas (just Boston's 3rd time to be favored by this many points in its 26 games this season), notwithstanding the fact that the Mavericks are off back to back blowout wins of 17+ points. And NBA road underdogs with a losing record have cashed 62% since 1990 off back to back home 17+ point wins! These two teams met earlier this year in Dallas, and the Mavericks lost in overtime, 110-102, after leading by as many as 13 points in the 4th quarter. But Dallas is a super 27-11 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 10-1 ATS when getting 6+ points. Take the Mavericks. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-17 | Northern Kentucky v. East Tenn State +1.5 | Top | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers over the Northern Kentucky Norse. These two clubs met in the season opener, and the Norse came away with an 81-63 home victory, as a 5-point favorite. Now, East Tennessee State has been installed as a home underdog, and we'll grab the points, as the Buccaneers fall into a 49-16 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams with a winning record, as well as a 33-14 ATS angle which plays on certain revengers that lost by more than 15 points earlier in the season. East Tennessee is also 11-4 ATS when playing with revenge from a double-digit road defeat, while the Norse are a poor 40% ATS as a road favorite of 6 or less points. Take East Tennessee. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-17 | Jazz v. Thunder -7 | Top | 94-100 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Utah. The Thunder play with revenge from an upset loss to the Jazz back in October. Utah won that game, 96-87, as a 4-point underdog. However, the Thunder are 65-37-2 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, while the Jazz are a horrid 3-22 ATS as regular season road underdogs priced from +3 to +8.5 points. Take the Thunder. NBA Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-17 | Missouri State -1.5 v. North Dakota State | Top | 71-58 | Win | 100 | 17 h 33 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears minus the points over North Dakota State. The Bears and Bison met earlier this season, in November, and Missouri State was upset in Springfield, 57-54, as a 9.5-point favorite. Since that defeat, however, the Bears have won five of six games to move their season record to 7-2. In sports, revenge can often be sweet, and I expect the Bears to get some payback on this Monday night. Indeed, NCAA road teams with a .625 (or better) win percentage, have cashed 71% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a loss, as a favorite of more than 6 points, to a non-conference foe. Additionally, North Dakota State has covered just 11 of its last 34 non-conference games, and 14 of its last 40 as underdogs. Take Missouri State. NCAA Hoops Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-17 | Nets +2 v. Hawks | Top | 110-90 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over Atlanta. These two teams met on Saturday, in Brooklyn, and the Hawks snapped a 2-game losing streak with the 114-102 upset win. That was a rare victory for Atlanta, which owns just a 5-17 record. But off that victory, we'll fade the Hawks, as .333 (or worse) teams off upset road wins are a poor 18-48 ATS as home favorites since 1990 vs. foes off a double-digit loss. Take Brooklyn. NBA Payback Payday! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-17 | Detroit v. UCLA -21 | Top | 73-106 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Detroit. The Titans are one of the highest scoring teams (#6) in the nation, as they average almost 94 points per game. But their offensive efficiency is below average, as they rank 197th in that category. So, the fact that they score such a high number of points relates to their pace of play. Detroit's average possession lasts less than 15 seconds. That won't bother UCLA, as the Bruins like to play EVEN FASTER than Detroit. UCLA actually ranks 9th in the country in pace of play. So, I expect a track meet tonight, which will play into the hands of UCLA, which is much more efficient on offense (#32) than Detroit. The Titans are currently on a 3-game ATS win streak. Unfortunately, the Titans are a poor 16-36 ATS when on a 3-game ATS win streak, while UCLA is 60-42 ATS vs. foes on a 3-game ATS win streak, including 43-26 ATS as a favorite or PK. Take the Bruins. NCAA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-02-17 | Tulsa +3.5 v. Illinois State | Top | 58-65 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Illinois State. The Golden Hurricane and Redbirds met earlier this season, and the Redbirds upset Tulsa, 84-68, as a 2-point underdog. Since that game, though, Tulsa's gone 2-0, while Illinois State has gone 1-2, including losses in each of its last two games. We'll take the Golden Hurricane as the underdog in the rematch, as they fall into an 89.4% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams, in non-conference games, that play with revenge from an upset loss. Even better: Tulsa's a super 27-6 ATS vs. non-conference foes with a losing record (Illinois State is 3-4), including 11-0 ATS vs. such foes off back to back losses. Take Tulsa. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-02-17 | Suns +13 v. Celtics | Top | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Boston. Yes, the Celtics are the league's best team -- record-wise -- and own a 19-4 SU record, and 18-4-1 ATS record. But they're laying too many points to the Suns on this Saturday afternoon (notwithstanding the fact that the Suns just got blown out by 24 in Detroit). Indeed, Boston's only been favored by more than 8 points ONCE this entire season. And that was when they laid 11 points to Sacramento on November 1. So, this will be Boston's biggest point spread yet this season, by a full two points. And the Celts are a dreadful 18-38-2 ATS when favored by more than 9 points vs. an opponent off a loss. Meanwhile, the Suns are 82-47-3 ATS off a loss by 20+ points. Take Phoenix. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-17 | Illinois v. Northwestern -6 | Top | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats minus the points over Illinois. The 'Cats were upset not once, but twice last season by Illinois. In this, their Big 10 Opener, the Wildcats will look to avenge those two defeats. And, if history is any indication, they will, as College teams have cashed 68.8% since 1991 in their Conference openers when playing with revenge from two upset losses the previous season! Take Northwestern. PAYBACK PAYDAY. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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12-01-17 | Pelicans -2.5 v. Jazz | Top | 108-114 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over Utah. This is a tough situational spot for the Jazz, who had to play last night in Los Angeles. Meanwhile, the Pels are well-rested following their upset defeat on Wednesday at the hands of Minnesota. But New Orleans is 6-3 ATS off a loss this season, and 3-0 ATS off back to back defeats. And it's also 9-1 SU/ATS vs. non-winning teams this season, including a perfect 6-0 SU/ATS on the road (compared to 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS this season vs. winning opposition). Take the Pelicans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-17 | Wolves v. Thunder -4.5 | Top | 107-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over Minnesota. The criticism of Oklahoma City has reached its highest point after the team lost to the Orlando Magic on Tuesday. That was Orlando's first win in a 10-game span, and also moved the Thunder's road record to 0-7 in November. The good news for the Thunder is that they're back home tonight. More good news: teams that were upset as a 6-point (or greater) favorite by opponents on a 7-game (or worse) losing streak have generally bounced back from that upset defeat. Dating back to 1993, they've covered 62.3% of the time. Take the Thunder to rebound on Friday night. |
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12-01-17 | Warriors -11 v. Magic | Top | 133-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Orlando. The Magic upset the Thunder, 121-108, in their last game to snap their 9-game losing streak. Faithful followers know I love to play against bad teams off wins, as they tend to not win back to back games. And I won't make an exception here, as Orlando falls into negative 47-105 and 11-43 ATS systems of mine based on that general principle. Take the Warriors. |
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11-30-17 | Northern Arizona v. Santa Clara -13.5 | Top | 57-89 | Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos minus the points over Northern Arizona. The Broncos come into this game off back to back upset losses to Alaska Anchorage and Sam Houston State. So they will no doubt be happy to take on the 0-6 Lumberjacks. And, yes, it's true that Northern Arizona is 3-2 ATS this season. Unfortunately, underdogs of +13 or more points, with a winning ATS record, are an awful 0-17-1 ATS if their win percentage is less than .160, and their opponent is off an upset loss. Lay the points with Santa Clara. NCAA Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-29-17 | Warriors -12.5 v. Lakers | Top | 127-123 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Los Angeles. The Warriors lost at home to Sacramento on Monday, 110-106, as a 12.5-point favorite. And that dropped their point spread record this season to 9-12 ATS. But I love them to rebound tonight, as NBA road favorites, with a losing ATS record, have cashed 71% dating back to 1991 if they were upset as a 9-point (or greater) favorite in their previous game. Take the Warriors to blow out L.A. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-29-17 | Northern Colorado +4.5 v. UC-Davis | Top | 51-56 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears + the points over Cal Davis. The Bears and Aggies actually met earlier this season, in Greeley Colorado. And the Aggies upset the Bears, 74-59, as a 7-point underdog. We'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Bears, as they fall into 59-18, 19-2 and 92-53 ATS revenge systems of mine. Additionally, the Aggies are a poor 7-19 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes, including 1-5 ATS when going into revenge. Take Northern Colorado. |
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11-29-17 | Duke v. Indiana +11.5 | Top | 91-81 | Win | 100 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over Duke. The Hoosiers have won 69 of their last 71 home games vs. non-conference foes, straight-up, and gone 36-16 ATS in those games, including a perfect 11-0 ATS when priced from -12.5 to +12.5 points! And they're 27-13 ATS as a home underdog since 1990, if they owned a win percentage greater than .415. Take the Hoosiers + the points. |
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11-29-17 | Evansville v. New Mexico -3 | Top | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos minus the points over Evansville. The Lobos have dropped their last four games (though three of the four were on the road). But they're back home this evening, where they've gone 113-9 straight-up and 51-33-2 ATS vs. non-conference foes since Dec. 8, 2003 (including 20-5 ATS as a favorite of -8 points or less). We'll lay the points with the Lobos, as they've also cashed 71% over the last 28 years as a home favorite off 3+ losses. Take New Mexico. |
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11-29-17 | Long Beach State v. Arizona -23 | Top | 56-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Long Beach State. The Wildcats are off to a miserable 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS start this season, and come into tonight's game off three straight upset losses, at the hands of North Carolina State, SMU and Purdue. But those three upsets have triggered very strong systems of mine, with records of 77-33, 93-44, 21-6 and 69-22 ATS. Moreover, those three upsets were on the road. The Wildcats are back home tonight, where they're a perfect 3-0 SU, with all three wins coming by 25+ points. I look for the Wildcats to bounce back strong tonight. Lay the points with Arizona. NCAA Basketball Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-29-17 | Thunder -6 v. Magic | Top | 108-121 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Orlando. The Magic are mired in a 9-game losing streak. But don't expect the Thunder to be complacent tonight, as OKC will be coming into this game off back to back upset losses to Detroit and Dallas. And the Thunder are just 8-11 on the season, so they need to string together some wins to get back into the Playoff picture. OKC is a super 140-93 ATS in the regular season off a straight-up loss, when not favored by 10+ points (including 62-31 off back to back losses). Take the Thunder minus the points. NBA High Roller Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-28-17 | South Dakota State v. Ole Miss -8.5 | Top | 99-97 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over South Dakota State. The Rebels are 4-1 on the season, while the Jackrabbits are 6-2. It's true that Ole Miss has failed to cover its last four games, but it's a solid 52-28 ATS at home, or on a neutral court, when it was on a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak (and 9-0 ATS its last nine when it was on a 4-game (or worse) ATS losing streak). Additionally, Ole Miss falls into a 64-22 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off ATS defeats. Take Mississippi. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-28-17 | Heat +4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 97-108 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Cleveland. The Cavaliers won their 8th straight game last night, when they upset the 76ers in Philly. But they now have to return home to Cleveland, without any rest, and play the rested Miami Heat. Cleveland falls into a negative 20-57 ATS system of mine which goes against certain unrested home teams vs. rested foes off a win. Even worse for the Cavs: they're 0-11-1 ATS their last 12 games as a home favorite, dating back to last season. And Miami is 16-3 its last 19 as a road underdog. Take the Heat. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-26-17 | Portland State v. Stanford -6 | Top | 87-78 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 35 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal minus the points over Portland State. The Vikings are 4-2 SU and 5-0 ATS this season, while Stanford is 3-4 SU and 1-6 ATS. This will be the final round of the PK80 Invitational Tournament, held in Portland. And both Stanford and Portland State lost their two previous games in this tournament. Let's lay the points with Stanford, as Winning teams (like Portland State) off 4+ covers have cashed just 2 of 28 games as an underdog vs. non-Winning opponents, if both they and their opponent are off SU losses. Take Stanford. NCAA Hoops Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-26-17 | St. Joe's -15 v. CS Sacramento | Top | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the St. Joe's Hawks minus the points over Sacramento State. The Hawks come into this game off back to back losses to Washington State and Harvard, so they'll be thrilled to go up against an outclassed team like Sacramento State this afternoon. St. Joe's has been installed as as double-digit favorite, which bodes well for Phil Martelli's Hawks, as they've gone 34-8 ATS when priced from -12 to -19 points, including a perfect 14-0 SU/ATS away from home. St. Joe's also falls into 54-14 and 83-34 ATS systems of mine. Lay the points with the Hawks. NCAA Hoops Road Warrior! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-24-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Wisconsin -16.5 | Top | 49-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Wisconsin-Milwaukee. The Badgers are in the midst of a rare 3-game losing streak. And they were favored to win in each of those three games! But I love Wisky to bounce back, as it's 5-0 its last five when playing off 3+ losses; 3-0 ATS off three upset losses; and it's also 12-5-1 ATS at home since 1990 on a 3-game (or worse) losing streak. Meanwhile, College Basketball favorites have covered the spread more often than not off three or more upset losses, including 67% if they're a losing team favored over a winning team. Take Wisconsin minus the points. NCAA Game of the Month! Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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11-22-17 | Detroit v. St. Louis -11 | Top | 72-70 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the St Louis Billikens minus the points over Detroit, as St. Louis falls into a 129-59 ATS system of mine. I look for the Billikens to blow out Detroit, as the Titans have given up 100+ points in three of their four games this season. It's true that Detroit did win its last game, against Houston Baptist, 116-109. But College Basketball underdogs of +7.5 (or more) points have covered just 32.6% off a win in which they scored 112+ points. Take St. Louis. NCAA Hoops High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-17 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 98-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Boston. The Celts have now won 16 straight games. But since 1990, NBA teams on an 11-game (or greater) win streak have gone just 51-63 straight-up and 46-67-1 ATS if they weren't favored by more than four points. And Boston also falls into a negative 8-33 ATS system of mine which similarly fades certain teams on long win streaks. Finally, these two teams met earlier this season, and the Celtics came away with a six-point win. But the Heat are 16-3 ATS their last 19 when playing with revenge, including a perfect 10-0 ATS when not favored by more than 4 points.. Take Miami on Wednesday. NBA Underdog of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-17 | Raptors v. Knicks +4.5 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Toronto Raptors. These two teams met last Friday at Air Canada Centre, and the Raptors blew out New York, 107-84. They then followed up that victory with a win vs. the Wizards, and have won four straight, overall. Thus, the Knicks will seek to avenge that defeat on this Wednesday. And New York's currently riding a 10-3 ATS run. That bodes well for New York tonight. As does the fact that Toronto is an awful 16-45 ATS off 4+ wins, if it also owned a win percentage of at least .550. Take New York. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-17 | NC State v. Arizona -14 | Top | 90-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over NC State. Both of these teams enter this game with undefeated records. NC State is 4-0, while Arizona is 3-0. But the Wolfpack has faced a soft schedule thus far, as none of its four victories came against a school from a major conference (and just one from a mid-major conference). NC State is an awful 5-16 ATS its last 21 as an underdog, including 1-9 ATS off a straight-up win. And it's covered just 19 of 56 off 4+ wins. Meanwhile, Arizona is a solid 75-42 ATS vs. non-conference foes with an .800 (or better) record, provided the game is played at Arizona, or on a neutral court. Lay the points. NCAA Hoops Game of the Week! Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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11-20-17 | Cavs -2 v. Pistons | Top | 116-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers over the Detroit Pistons. We're one-fifth of the way through the regular season, and the surprising Detroit Pistons are 11-5, and atop the NBA's Central Division. But lurking just two games behind Detroit are LeBron James' Cavaliers, who have quietly won four straight games. Certainly, one of the problems for Cleveland -- after reaching the NBA Finals the past three seasons -- is motivation. But they'll be extremely motivated tonight, given that Detroit is ahead of them in the standings. The Cavs will also greatly benefit from the fact that they had the previous two days off, while Detroit had to play the Timberwolves on the road last night. So, Detroit will not only have to play this game without rest, but they also had to travel from Minneapolis back to Detroit overnight. Finally, Cleveland falls into a super 55-20 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams off back to back wins. Take the Cavaliers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-19-17 | Warriors -12.5 v. Nets | Top | 118-111 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Brooklyn. The Nets blew out Utah, 118-107, in their last game to move to 6-9 this season. But the Nets were favored to win that game, and they're 4-1 ATS as a favorite this season. Unfortunately, they're 4-6 ATS as an underdog. And they also fall into a negative 46-105 ATS System of mine which goes against certain losing teams off wins. Lay the points with the Warriors. High Roller Winner. Good luck as always....Al McMordie. |
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11-19-17 | Marshall v. Illinois -13.5 | Top | 74-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Marshall. Illinois is off to a 3-0 start this season, and it's offense has hummed, with 102, 77 and 82 points scored (on 46% FG shooting) thus far. Meanwhile, Marshall has allowed 91, 74 and 86 points (on 46% FG shooting) against teams that average 70 ppg and 39.4% from the floor. That doesn't bode well for the Thundering Herd against Illinois. And neither does the fact that the Illini are 39-21 ATS at home after scoring 80+ in their previous game. Finally, the Herd is a poor 82-119 ATS as a road underdog. Take Illinois. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-19-17 | South Carolina v. Western Michigan +9 | Top | 79-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos + the points over South Carolina. This is a tough situational spot for the Gamecocks, as they actually played (and defeated) these Broncos just six days ago, at home, in Columbia, South Carolina. So, the motivational edge seemingly would rest with the Broncos, who no doubt would like to avenge that 18-point defeat on this Sunday. Western Michigan falls into 69-36 and 33-13 ATS revenge systems of mine Take the Broncos + the points. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-18-17 | Warriors -8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 124-116 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors over Philadelphia. Both teams are playing really well: Philly is 8-6, and off back to back SU/ATS road wins over the Clippers and Lakers, while Golden State is 11-4, but did get upset by Boston on Thursday. We'll take Steve Kerr's men to rebound off that defeat, as the Warriors are 20-1 ATS off an upset loss, if they're playing an opponent off a win, and the Warriors are favored by at least 6 points. Take Golden State. NBA Road Warrior. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-17-17 | Fresno State v. Arkansas -12.5 | Top | 75-83 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Fresno State, as Arkansas falls into 119-70, 99-46 and 139-65 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine based on its two previous games -- wins by 28 and 39 points. Also, the Razorbacks are 67% ATS over the last 28 years at home vs. non-conference foes off an ATS loss, and have covered their last 6 at home (and 19 of their last 31). Meanwhile, Fresno's 19-35 ATS off a straight-up win, if they're playing a non-conference foe off back to back wins. This will be a rout. Lay the points. |
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11-16-17 | Warriors -7 v. Celtics | Top | 88-92 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Boston. This is a match-up of the NBA's two best teams. The Celtics have been the league's best team, record-wise. Boston is 13-2 straight-up, and 12-2-1 ATS on the year. It also owns the league's #1 adjusted defensive efficiency rating (99.13), and the #2 adjusted net rating (7.68). But the #1 net rating (13.07) is held by the league's defending Champs, Golden State. The Warriors also have the best adjusted offensive rating (117.99) and the 2nd best W/L record. So, clearly, this game will be a measuring stick for both teams. It's true that Boston has won 13 straight. Unfortunately, teams on an 11-game (or better) win streak are a soft 45-67 ATS if they're not favored by more than four points. Also, the Warriors will be well-rested, as they had Tuesday and Wednesday off. And Golden State's 62-40 ATS with at least two days' of rest. Lay the points. NBA GAME OF THE MONTH. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-16-17 | Illinois State v. South Carolina -10 | Top | 69-65 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 22 m | Show |
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11-14-17 | NC-Wilmington v. Davidson -11 | Top | 81-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over NC Wilmington. The Seahawks won the Colonial Athletic Association the past two years, but this will be a "down" season for them, as they only returned one starter to go along with returnee, Devontae Cacok, who was the CAA Defensive Player of the Year. And they also have a new head coach, as CB McGrath moved over from his assistant's job at North Carolina to take the reins from Kevin Keatts, who left for the greener pastures of North Carolina State. McGrath's goal is to push the pace, but I believe that will play into the hands of this perimeter-oriented Davidson team. Meanwhile, Davidson returned four starters from last year's squad. And it opened up this campaign with a 110-62 win over Charleston Southern. Davidson falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 138-65 ATS since 1990. And the Wildcats are also 36-19 ATS after scoring 80+ points in their previous game. Lay it. NCAA Hoops High Roller. |
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11-13-17 | Wolves -3.5 v. Jazz | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Utah Jazz. The Timberwolves are off back to back losses at Golden State and Phoenix. So, they'll look to salvage their 3-game road trip with a win tonight in Salt Lake City. Certainly, Minnesota is certainly not a good defensive team. It ranks 28th in adjusted defensive efficiency. But the good news for the T-Wolves is that Utah's hardly a good offensive team (it ranks 27th in adjusted offensive efficiency), so I don't believe it will take advantage of Minny's shortcomings tonight. Now, Utah is a very good defensive team, but it won't have its very best defensive player -- Rudy Gobert -- on the court tonight, as he is out with a tibia injury. The Timberwolves had won five straight, and gone 4-0-1 ATS immediately prior to its current 2-game SU/ATS losing streak. And they fall into a 126-77 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams off upset losses. I look for the T-Wolves to get back on track tonight. Lay the points. NBA Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-12-17 | Raptors -2.5 v. Celtics | Top | 94-95 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Boston. The Celts have won 11 straight, but they'll be missing their top three players today (Al Horford, Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward). Thus, they're not even favored at home vs. Toronto. The Celtics fall into a negative 44-67 ATS system of mine which goes against certain "hot" teams that have won more than 10 games in a row. And Boston's also a poor 5-18 ATS off back to back home wins. Take Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-11-17 | Nets v. Jazz -8.5 | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Brooklyn. The Nets pulled a big upset last night in Portland, and that was their third straight ATS win. Unfortunately for the Nets, they're 8-22 ATS on the road after three straight covers. And they'll also be facing a rested Jazz team tonight which is looking to rebound off 4 straight losses! Utah's 120-81 ATS at home after failing to cover its two previous games. And the Jazz also fall into a super 84-47 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested home teams vs. unrested foes. Take Utah. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-11-17 | Grizzlies v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets over the Memphis Grizzlies. Houston's lost just three times this season. And it's been Memphis which has been Houston's thorn in its side, as the Grizzlies handed the Rockets two of those three defeats. But I love Houston to deliver a measure of PAYBACK on Saturday night, as the Grizzlies are 17-40 ATS vs. teams playing with double-revenge, provided that opponent isn't off back to back losses. Lay the points with the Rockets. And Houston also falls into a 129-62 ATS revenge system of mine. Lay the points. NBA Division Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-10-17 | Hornets +3.5 v. Celtics | Top | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over the Boston Celtics. No team is hotter than Brad Stevens' Celtics, who have won their last 10 games. Tonight, they're matched up against the Charlotte Hornets, who are on a 3-game losing streak. Unfortunately for Boston, no less than three starters (Gordon Hayward, Al Horford and Jayson Tatusm) will be out of action for tonight's game. And a fourth -- Marcus Morris -- is questionable. We'll grab the points with the Hornets, as they fall into a 55% ATS system of mine which plays on certain road teams off a SU/ATS loss vs. foes off a win, as well as a 65.7% ATS angle which plays on certain road underdogs off a SU/ATS loss. Take Charlotte. NBA ROAD WARRIOR! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-10-17 | Hawks +9 v. Pistons | Top | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Detroit Pistons. The Hawks have gotten off to a 2-9 start this season, so it's likely that their 10-year run (2nd in the NBA to the Spurs' 20-year run) of making the Playoffs will end this season. But if Mike Budenholzer's men can upset the 8-3 Pistons tonight, in Motown, he should send a 'thank you note' to the league office. After all, Atlanta has a big scheduling advantage tonight, in that it has had the last three days off, while Detroit will play with just having had Thursday off. And NBA road teams, off a loss, that had at least the three previous days off, have gone 60.8% ATS the last 24 seasons vs. foes that had just the previous day off. Additionally, Detroit's a poor 4-16 ATS off back to back wins (and 0-5 ATS its last five off three or more wins). Take Atlanta. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-09-17 | 76ers v. Kings +7 | Top | 108-109 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. Philly comes into this game off ATS wins in its last seven contests, and a 6-1 SU record in those seven games. But they're now in unfamiliar territory, as they haven't been this big of a road favorite since April 23, 2012 -- a span of 436 games!  The Kings come into this game off a huge upset win over Oklahoma City, as a 10.5-point home underdog. And the Kings are also 8-2 ATS their last 10 as home dogs of more than 6 points vs. .600 (or better) foes. I look for Sacramento to get the cash again tonight vs. this overpriced Sixers team. Take the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-09-17 | Cavs +5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over the Houston Rockets. The Rockets come into this game off three straight double-digit wins and three straight covers, including a 137-110 blowout of the Utah Jazz their last time out. Unfortunately for Houston coach Mike D'Antoni, his teams have gone 26-46 ATS off back to back double digit wins. And the Rockets are also a poor 2-12 ATS off three straight covers. Take Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-08-17 | Knicks v. Magic -5 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over New York. The Knicks won their 3rd straight game (and sixth of their last seven) with a 118-113 triumph at home last night vs. Charlotte. But this will be a tough task for them tonight to take down Orlando, as the Magic are well-rested, having not played for the past two nights following their loss to Boston on Sunday. Even worse for New York, NBA teams off three straight wins (both SU and ATS) that scored 117+ points in their previous game are 11-31 ATS in the regular season vs. foes off a loss. Take Orlando. NBA Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-06-17 | Nets +1 v. Suns | Top | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, on NBA TV, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over the Phoenix Suns. The Nets are 3-6 SU and 4-5 ATS on the season, while Phoenix is 4-6 SU and 5-5 ATS. The Nets have a scheduling advantage tonight, as Brooklyn was off on Saturday and Sunday, while Phoenix had to play the Spurs in the Alamo City last night. Even worse for the Suns: this will be their fifth game in seven days. Phoenix has been installed, on the opening number, as a small favorite. But the Suns are a dreadful 9-23 ATS their last 32 as a favorite (or PK), including 0-12 ATS if they owned a .500 (or better) record against the spread on the season. Take Brooklyn. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-05-17 | Celtics v. Magic +3.5 | Top | 104-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic over the Boston Celtics. Boston's won and covered its last seven games, while Orlando's in off a 22-points upset home loss to Chicago. But I look for the Magic to snap Boston's win streak on Sunday. Indeed, the Magic are a perfect 3-0 this season vs. the three best teams that they've played (Spurs, Cavaliers, Grizzlies) and defeated San Antonio and Cleveland by 27 and 21 points, respectively. Moreover, winning home teams off a SU/ATS loss are 110-81 ATS vs. non-division foes off 3 ATS wins, provided our home team isn't favored by more than 5 points. Take Orlando. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-05-17 | Wizards +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 107-96 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Toronto, as Washington falls into a 285-203 ATS system of mine, based on its season statistics to date. It's true that the Wizards' John Wall won't suit up tonight after hurting his shoulder in Washington's last game, but I'm still comfortable backing the Wizards this evening with the added points to compensate for his absence. And, in that last game, the Wizards were upset, at home, 130-122, by the Cleveland Cavaliers. But NBA teams generally bounce back from upset losses at home, if they scored a lot of points in that upset loss. Indeed, teams off a home upset loss have cashed 67% since 1990 if they scored 120+ points, and are now matched up against an opponent off a SU/ATS win. Take the Wizards. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-05-17 | Heat +5.5 v. Clippers | Top | 104-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Clippers. We played on Miami on Friday, and got the cash when they lost, but covered against Denver. And that pointspread win extended Miami's record to 27-13 its last 40 as road underdogs! The Clippers were upset here at home yesterday by Memphis. And, unfortunately for Los Angeles, unrested home teams, with a winning record, off an upset home loss, have cashed just 29.4% since 1990 vs. losing teams. And the Heat are a fantastic 25-13 ATS on the road when rested, and playing against an unrested foe. Take Miami + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-04-17 | Kings +8.5 v. Pistons | Top | 99-108 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Detroit. The Kings have a big scheduling advantage tonight, as they've been off the past two nights, while Detroit is playing without rest after its 9-point win vs. Milwaukee yesterday. We'll grab the points with Sacramento, as underdogs of +7 or more points, off 3 SU/ATS losses, that had (at least) the two previous nights off, are 94-55 ATS since 1980 vs. foes that didn't have the previous two nights off. Take the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-03-17 | Heat +5 v. Nuggets | Top | 94-95 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Denver Nuggets. Miami won, but failed to cover the pointspread, in its previous game -- a 6-point victory over Chicago. And it was upset by the New York Knicks in its game before that. But the Heat are a super 106-79 ATS on the road under coach Erik Spoelstra if they lost against the spread in their previous game. And they're also 10-0 ATS on the road in their last 10 off back to back ATS defeats, and 26-13 their last 39 as road underdogs! Finally, the Heat fall into a 284-203 ATS system of mine. Take the points with Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-02-17 | Warriors v. Spurs +7 | Top | 112-92 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Golden State Warriors. The Spurs have played this season without Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker. After winning their first four games, they've dropped their last three (all on the road). They now return home to the Alamo City, where they have gone 70-13 straight-up and 46-35-2 ATS at home in the regular season off a loss. Last year, these two teams met in the Playoffs, and the Spurs were swept 4 games to none by the Warriors. But one of the things I love to do is play on certain teams with revenge from a Playoff series defeat the previous year. And the Spurs fall into my very best Playoff revenge angle, which is 30-1 ATS since 1991. Moreover, San Antonio lost its last game by 14 points to Boston. But it's 37-18 ATS in the regular season at home off a loss by 14+ points, including 17-3 ATS when not favored by more than 5 points. Take San Antone. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-01-17 | Kings +13 v. Celtics | Top | 86-113 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Boston. After covering their first two games to kick off the season, the Kings have lost their last five games -- both SU and ATS. But the Kings now fall into a 284-200 ATS system of mine. Meanwhile, the Celts are on a 5-game win streak, but are a poor 3-18 ATS when they've won their previous four games. Take Sacramento. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-01-17 | Pacers v. Cavs -10 | Top | 124-107 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Indiana. The Cavaliers have dropped three straight games, and now own a losing record, at 3-4 on the season. I love them to bounce back tonight, as LeBron James' teams have cashed 72% in his career as home favorites off back to back losses when matched up against foes off back to back wins. Take Cleveland. |
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11-01-17 | Hawks +8 v. 76ers | Top | 109-119 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over Philadelphia. The 76ers have not been favored by this many points since March 30, 2013 (a span of 344 games), so it's virgin territory for the Sixers under coach Brett Brown. Philly is a poor 178-228 ATS when favored at home vs. foes not off SU/ATS wins. Take Atlanta. |
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10-31-17 | Pistons v. Lakers +4 | Top | 93-113 | Win | 100 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the LA Lakers + the points over the Detroit Pistons. We're two weeks into the NBA season, and the league's two best records belong to the Memphis Grizzlies (5-2) and Detroit Pistons (5-2). Detroit also owns the best pointspread mark, as it is 6-1 ATS, including back-to-back upset wins on the weekend over the Clippers and Warriors. And Detroit was installed as an underdog of +8.5 and +14.5 in those two games! Tonight, the Pistons will finish their West Coast road trip with a game against Lonzo Ball's Lakers at Staples Center. And this game is a fantastic spot to fade the Pistons, especially given that the Lakers will enter the contest off blowout losses to the Raptors and Jazz. Since 1990, NBA teams, like Detroit, off back to back upset wins as an underdog of +8 or more points, are a poor 22-41-1 ATS, including 1-11 ATS vs. foes off back-to-back SU/ATS losses. Take the Lakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-31-17 | Kings +5 v. Pacers | Top | 83-101 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Indiana Pacers. Sacramento opened the season with two straight ATS wins, but is 0-4 SU/ATS over its last four games. But I love them to get the $$$ vs. Indiana, as Sacramento falls into a 200-131 ATS system of mine, which plays on certain road teams off SU/ATS losses. In their last game, the Pacers upset the San Antonio Spurs, as 6.5-point underdogs, to level their record at 3-3 on the year. Unfortunately, this season, .500 (or better) NBA teams have gone just 3-19-1 ATS off an upset win, including 0-11-1 ATS vs. opponents with a losing record. Take the points with the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-17 | Pistons +7 v. Clippers | Top | 95-87 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. Blake Griffin nailed a 3-pointer as time expired to upset the Trail Blazers, 104-103, in Rip City on Thursday. But off that huge win, I look for a letdown tonight, at home, vs. Stan Van Gundy's Pistons. And even though Detroit isn't undefeated like the Clippers, it has played even better than its 3-2 record would indicate, as it's 4-1 ATS. Meanwhile, the Clippers are an atrocious 26-48 ATS off four straight covers, and also fall into a negative 31-65 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams on a win streak. Finally, .500 (or better) teams off an upset win are a poor 1-16 ATS this season. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-17 | Thunder -1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 116-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder over the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Thunder were upset, at home, 115-113, earlier this week by the T-Wolves. But I look for Billy Donovan's men to turn the tables on Minnesota tonight, as OKC falls into a 64.4% ATS revenge system of mine. Moreover, OKC is an awesome 65-34-1 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset defeat. And the T-Wolves are a poor 24-40 ATS at home when playing a revenge-minded foe whom the T-Wolves upset in the previous meeting. Take Oklahoma City. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-25-17 | Grizzlies v. Mavs +5 | Top | 94-103 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the Memphis Grizzlies. David Fizdale's crew is 3-0 this season, including upset wins over Golden State and Houston in their last two games. And Memphis was an underdog of 8+ points in each of those two games. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the Grizzlies tonight, especially given that Dallas has lost its last two games by double-digits. But NBA teams off back to back upset wins as 8-point (or greater) underdogs have covered just 35.4% since 1990, including 1-10 ATS since January 6, 2014. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-24-17 | Bulls +14.5 v. Cavs | Top | 112-119 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavs are just 1-2 ATS this season, and come into this game off an upset loss -- at home, no less -- at the hands of the Orlando Magic. Cleveland was favored by 11.5 points in that ballgame, so its ATS loss lowered its regular season record as a favorite by more than 10 points to 15-24 ATS its last 39. And, yes, it's true that many teams often bounce back from upset losses, or blowout losses. But this current edition of the Cavs isn't one of those teams. Indeed, they're 0-9 ATS their last nine off an upset home loss! And they're also just 15-34-1 ATS off a loss by more than 7 points (including 1-10 ATS their last 11). Finally, Chicago falls into one of my favorite NBA systems, which plays on certain teams off losses, which is 68-19 ATS since 1990. Take the Bulls + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-23-17 | 76ers +3.5 v. Pistons | Top | 97-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over Detroit. The Pistons have the best pointspread record (along with the Utah Jazz) in the league, as they're 3-0 ATS. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS after getting blown out, 128-94, on Saturday in Toronto. But this is a great spot to go against Detroit, as NBA teams that are undefeated ATS (with a 3-0 or better ATS record) are a soft 30-63 ATS when not getting more than three points, including 3-17 ATS against an opponent off a double-digit loss. And Philly is 22-8 ATS off a defeat on the road. Take the points with the 76ers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-17 | Blazers v. Bucks -3 | Top | 110-113 | Push | 0 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Portland Trail Blazers. This is tough situational spot for the Blazers, who have been saddled with three straight road games to start the season. And they have to play tonight's game without rest, as they were in Indiana yesterday to play the Pacers. Meanwhile, Milwaukee will be at home for the 2nd straight night, as it was upset by Cleveland, 116-97, on Friday. We'll fade Portland, as the Blazers fall into negative 20-62 and 18-47 ATS systems of mine that go against certain unrested teams off wins. Additionally, Milwaukee's 10-2 ATS its last 12 vs. Portland. And the Bucks are also 64.7% ATS over the past 28 years off an upset loss, if they're matched up against unrested winning teams off back to back wins. Take Milwaukee. NBA HIGH ROLLER! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-20-17 | Lakers v. Suns -3 | Top | 132-130 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 20 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. The Suns stunk up the joint on opening night, as they lost by 48 points to the Portland Trail Blazers. Not surprisingly, it was the worst loss in the Suns' 50-year franchise history, and also the worst opening night loss by any team in the 72-year history of the NBA. Of course, one of the things I love to do is play on teams off blowout losses, and especially when our team is favored by 7 points or less (or PK). Such teams have cashed 76.9% since 1990. Even better: the Suns are 21-10 ATS the last 31 meetings between these two clubs, including 13-4 ATS at home. Take the Suns. NBA High Roller Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-18-17 | Rockets v. Kings +8 | Top | 105-100 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Houston. This situation is similar to one from last season. The San Antonio Spurs upset Golden State on Opening Night, as an 8.5-point underdog, and then traveled to play Sacramento in Game 2. The Spurs were favored by 9 points vs. the Kings and won the game (but failed to cover). Sacramento (by virtue of its proximity to Golden State) often played teams immediately after they played the Warriors, and the Kings were 6-2 ATS in those games last season, including a perfect 4-0 ATS when their foe was unrested. That, of course, is the situation tonight, as Houston upset the Warriors in Oakland, 122-121, as a 9.5-point underdog last night. And what clinches this play tonight is the fact that single-digit favorites are 0-13 ATS off an upset win in their opener, if they scored 105+ points in that Game 1 victory. Take Sacramento. NBA Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-17-17 | Celtics +3.5 v. Cavs | Top | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 43 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over the Cleveland Cavaliers. Last year, the Cavs ousted Boston from the Playoffs. But we'll play on the Celts to avenge that defeat, as they fall into a 60% ATS NBA Playoff revenge angle of mine. Even better: our particular Playoff revenge angle zooms to 16-1-1 ATS if the game is Early in the season, and is competitively priced with a pointspread of 5 points or less! Boston's 5-1-1 ATS the last seven meetings in Cleveland. Take the points. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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06-12-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -9 | Top | 120-129 | Push | 0 | 66 h 10 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Warriors. Analysis to follow. |
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06-09-17 | Warriors v. Cavs +6.5 | Top | 116-137 | Win | 100 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Golden State. The Cavs put up a valiant effort in Game 3, but fell apart in the game's late stages to fall by five points, 118-113. That puts LeBron James & Co. in a "do-or-die" situation tonight. It's true that many teams "roll over" when they're down 3-games-to-none (which is why this pointspread is significantly higher than Game 3's line), but I believe the Cavs will fight just as hard in this game as they did on Wednesday (which is all one can ask for in an elimination game). Also, consider that .750 (or better) teams are an awful 0-16 ATS since 1995 as favorites of -8 or less points vs. .530 (or better) teams when our favored team is up 3-0 or 3-1 in a Playoff series (including 0-5 ATS in an NBA Finals). Take the Cavaliers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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06-07-17 | Warriors v. Cavs +4 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 48 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Golden State. It's true that I've been predicting for the past 11 months, in interviews, articles, and via twitter, that Golden State would go 16-0 in these Playoffs. But the pointspread for this instant game confers value on the side of the underdog. Indeed, just six days ago, the advance pointspread for this Game 3 was Cleveland -2 points. However, following Golden State's wins in Games 1 + 2, that pointspread has shifted 5.5 or 6 points. In my estimation, that shift has been too great. And for those who might be concerned that the line is still too short, given Golden State's current 15-game win streak (including 14 Playoff games), then consider that NBA teams that have won 11+ games in a row are a poor 43-67 ATS when not favored by 4.5+ points. Take Cleveland. NBA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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06-04-17 | Cavs +9 v. Warriors | Top | 113-132 | Loss | -105 | 53 h 4 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Golden State. We played on the Warriors in Game 1 as our NBA Game of the Month, and were rewarded with a 113-91 victory. The Warriors were favored by 7 points in Game 1, but the line has ticked up much higher for Game 2. Admittedly, there are reasons for that (e.g., Golden State was just 21-for-49 on uncontested shots, so it can play better on offense). Of course, Cleveland can execute better as well, and I believe it will. Indeed, road teams off a loss by 22+ points in the NBA Finals are a perfect 8-0 ATS since 1991. That bodes well for a more competitive game on Sunday. As does the fact that LeBron James' teams are 5-1 ATS in the Playoffs off Blowout losses by 22+ points, and 21-7 ATS in the Playoffs off a game where they failed to cover by more than 11 points. Finally, at the quarterfinal round forward, underdogs of more than 7 points off a loss to start a Playoff series are a stellar 63.4% since 1991. Take Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -7 | Top | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 68 h 49 m | Show |
At 9:00 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Cleveland. I've been on record (both in articles and in interviews) for the last 11 months saying that Golden State was going to go 16-0 in this season's playoffs. For the entire season, people told me I was nuts. Admittedly, it was a longshot (an initial 1000 dollar bet on the Warriors to sweep each of their four Playoff series would profit $179,000 if it does indeed happen). Even now, Golden State rates just an 11.1% chance to sweep Cleveland (though I would place the percent chance much higher). But we're now just four games away from the Warriors pulling off the improbable. This first game should set the tone of the series. It's true that Cleveland has rolled through the Eastern Conference, and won its last two games by 13 and 33 points. Unfortunately for the Cavaliers, road teams are a dreadful 0-9 ATS off a win by 9+ points to clinch their Conference Finals. It also must be noted that Cleveland was the beneficiary of a very week Eastern Conference this season. So much so that coach Tyronn Lue rested his best players late in the season since he could not have cared less about securing home court advantage through the Eastern Conference. He knew it would not make a whit of difference. But where it has made a difference is in the NBA Finals. And Eastern Conference teams are an awful 0-9 SU/ATS in Game 1 of the NBA Finals, if they started the series on the road! Golden State blew out Cleveland by 35 points here in Oakland in the previous meeting this season. More of the same on Thursday. Lay the points. NBA Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 226 | Top | 91-113 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 48 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors to go 'over' the total, as it falls into a Totals system of mine that's cashed 82% over the past 26 years. The Warriors come into this NBA Finals off back to back series sweeps over Utah and San Antonio. And what's especially noteworthy is that the Spurs and Jazz (along with the Warriors) constituted the three best defensive teams in the NBA (Spurs #1, Warriors #2, Jazz #3). Utah and San Antonio also were among the four slowest-paced teams (Utah #1, San Antonio #4). Yet Golden State averaged 117.75 ppg against those two teams. Admittedly, the Spurs and Jazz were without some of their players. But the fact remains that they were unable to control the pace or contain Golden State. Likewise, Cleveland will be unable to do either. The Cavs ranked 21st in defensive rating this season, a fact obscured by their 12-1 run through the pathetic Eastern Conference (none of Boston, Toronto and Indiana were in the NBA's Top 10 in defense this season). And they ranked among the top half of the fastest-paced teams (the Cavs are 52-31 'over' the total their last 83). I look for a very fast-paced game, and for it to go 'over' the total. NBA Finals Total of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-22-17 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 217 | Top | 129-115 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 43 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in game 4 between the San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors. The Warriors have taken a commanding 3-0 lead in this series, and will go for the series-clincher tonight. The last two games were both double-digit wins (136-100; 120-108), so I expect the Spurs to come out with maximum effort tonight. I look for a relatively low-scoring game as teams (like Golden State) which scored 120+ points in their two previous playoff games have gone 'under' 70 percent since 1992. Also, games involving teams facing elimination tend to go 'under' the total, as well. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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05-22-17 | Warriors v. Spurs +12 | Top | 129-115 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on San Antonio. The Spurs are down 3-0 in the series, and have failed to cover the spread in the last two games. But home dogs (or PK) that are down 3-0 in a 7 game series, from the quarterfinal round forward, have covered 90% since 1991 if they also failed to cover the spread in Games 2 + 3. Take the Spurs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-20-17 | Warriors v. Spurs +6.5 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -102 | 82 h 44 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Golden State. San Antonio was blown out in Game 2, 136-100. Unfortunately for Golden State, teams not off a straight-up and ATS loss are an awful 0-18 ATS at San Antonio since 1990, if they're not getting more than 5 points, and the Spurs are off a 15-point (or worse) defeat. Look for San Antone to bounce back on Saturday. Take the points with the Spurs. NBA Western Conference Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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