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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-04-18 | Jets v. Dolphins -3 | Top | 6-13 | Win | 105 | 50 h 21 m | Show |
Taking the DOLPHINS. So - I was looking at the under in this game and saying how the Jets, barring that 48 spot at Detroit opening night, have scored 17-12-10 their other 3 road games. 20-12 back in September when these guys played. Brock, Tannehill. I mean for me, it doesn't matter. I have seen Brock put 23-21-28 up in his 3 games. NYJ missing some key guys. Powell gone for year. WRs Enunwa down and Anderson banged up. CB Johnson limited. Stills is probably out for Miami. I just think we see a big RB attack from Gore and Drake from the Dolphins. That keeps the pressure to a minimum on Brock. Miami with the extra rest of the loss at Houston. Can't discount that time to brush up on a rookie QB and his habits. 10* AFC East GOY MIAMI DOLPHINSÂ |
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11-03-18 | Alabama -14 v. LSU | 29-0 | Win | 100 | 54 h 11 m | Show | |
Taking ALABAMA. I know that there are a of 'sharps' or other 'touts' all over LSU. And I can understand that. This is a big number. Talking 2 TDs here. LSU played much better teams. So I get who has Bama really played. I know the defense isn't as good as years past. But LSU QB play isn't at an elite level either. Have we really seen a full Tide game this year? They maul people from kickoff. Saban needs any type of motivation for his club. Being #1 in Playoff is big. Crushing the #3 team would be huge. Looking over the past games. 1 game would have been by this amount of points. Every one in the last 10, Under this total. Heck, 6 of the last 10 haven't gotten to 40. Last year, Tide were 20.5 at home - Won 24-10. That being said. Tua is not Hurts. This is a passing team. Tua is 20 yards from Hurts total yardage from last year. 25-0 TD/INT (17/1 Hurts LY) He isn't the runner that Hurts is. He doesn't have to be. LSU is going to want to grind. Not sure if people realize their QB has 6 TD passes (3 INTs) on the year. Can't see Tigers shutting down this pass attack. And barring multiple TOs, I can't see them scoring more than 24. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA |
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11-03-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International -3 | Top | 49-14 | Loss | -100 | 53 h 13 m | Show |
Taking FIU - Had these guys last week. We faded FAU last week. Team Lane a ship without a rudder. Big revenge spot as FAU walloped FIU last year 52-24. Shoe on the other foot this season. FIU top dogs right now in CUSA - 10* Money Bomb FLORIDA INTERNATIONALÂ |
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11-03-18 | Louisiana Tech +23.5 v. Mississippi State | 3-45 | Loss | -103 | 33 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking LA TECH. Last year, State rolled this guys 57-21. Not saying our guys get revenge, but getting 3+ TDs, - I'll take the bait. I can see a bit of a let-down per say though from MSU. Lose to LSU. Beat A&M. Alabama on deck. This is a game where they want to win and get out. We had Louisiana Tech way back vs LSU and they delivered a cover for us. Skip Holtz is nice in a 32-14 ATS as a road dog. They have a decent defense and MSU isn't a high-powered offensive machine. Step up in class for sure. But this is too many points not to take. 4* Money Maker LA TECH |
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11-03-18 | Missouri v. Florida -6 | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -106 | 50 h 53 m | Show |
Taking FLORIDA. Gators in off getting blasted in their game vs Georgia. But it wasn't anything like the way Missouri went down. Oh the humanity in losing on a TD pass as time expires. Tough to get over that. Now, in The Swamp. Florida lost last year 45-16. HC Mullen wasn't here for the Gators - But I am sure his players getting smacked like that. Lock 0-9 in his starts for MizzU vs 'ranked' teams. Can't see a let-down here as Gators in a position to win out and get 10 wins. 8* Sure Shot FLORIDA GATORSÂ |
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11-03-18 | Penn State v. Michigan -10.5 | Top | 7-42 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN. 42-13 last year as PSU crushed the Wolverines. Pay-Back time. Defense will be able to contain McSorley. This will be a blood-bath. Michigan in off their bye week. Not going to overthink things here. Michigan the better team. 10* Money Bomb MICHIGAN WOLVERINESÂ |
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11-03-18 | Georgia -8 v. Kentucky | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 50 h 37 m | Show |
Taking GEORGIA. Yeah. In off big win over Florida. Hangover game- Doubt it. This is for the SEC East. And they won't overlook a team a couple spots behind in the Playoff Ranking and a team 'ranked' 15 overall. Kentucky somehow pulled a rabbit out of the hat last week over Missouri (We had MizzU) - Punt return TD and that end of game TD pass. Brutal loss for those Tigers. And a huge win for Kentucky. Stoops doing nice job. But Kirby Smart is from Bama. And there are no let down games or look aheads in this coaching tree. Talent prevails and Bulldogs should win this one by double digits going away in the 2nd half. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA BULLDOGSÂ |
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11-03-18 | Kansas State +8 v. TCU | 13-14 | Win | 100 | 50 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking KANSAS STATE. I think it is safe to say that the train is off the tracks or the wheels have fallen off the bus. Whatever you want to use. TCU has hit tough times. Injuries have sapped what could have been a nice little year. Wildcats, well coached, should be able to stay inside this number. KST will look to grind it on the ground. TCU lost to Kansas last week. You can think, oh, they will be pissed. Big bounce-back. We haven't seen anything close to that so far. Not going to happen as their bowl hopes slip away. 4* Money Maker KANSAS STATEÂ |
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11-03-18 | Iowa State -14 v. Kansas | Top | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 47 h 51 m | Show |
Taking IOWA STATE. Kansas just won their Super Bowl. A last second win over TCU. Now - Yes, Kansas now has 3 wins on the year. It wasn't like they were win-less. But TCU had been a pretty good program before falling apart this year. That is a huge win for Kansas. A literal last second FG with 1 second left on the clock propels them to the W. Out-yarded by 200 yards. TCU fumbled at the Kansas 7 and was stopped on the Kansas 1.. 2 TOs help the home dog cause also. That is a lot of mojo working in your favor. Two weeks in a row? Doubt it - 45-0 last year. Iowa State had put up at least 40 in 2 of their last 3. 5* Best Bet IOWA STATE |
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11-03-18 | Louisville v. Clemson -38.5 | 16-77 | Win | 100 | 47 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking CLEMSON today. Will lay the giant number here. After the Tigers win this by 50, I will go out a limb and say that UL says adios to Bobby Petrino. Cards gave up 56 to Wake and 66 to G-Tech. Clemson in off of 59 on Florida State, 41 vs NC State and 63 at Wake. Wake! Who scored 56 on UL had 3 vs the Tigers. Let's get one thing out of the way. No way Clemson will be sleepwalking, going through the motions here. They are #2 in the Playoff Poll. They will want to be playing 'statement game' football for the next couple weeks. They can't be in any dog fight or lackluster games. If this is a close game and LSU upsets Bama, LSU will leap-frog these Tigers. 4* Money Maker CLEMSON TIGERSÂ |
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11-02-18 | Wolves v. Warriors -11 | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the WARRIORS. Now - I don't like GS. And I sure as heck don't like laying double digits. But here we are. I think GS can beat anyone by 20 every time they play. But nowadays, we have players taking nights off. I just don't see TWolves having the ammo to shoot with this bunch. Rose isn't getting 50 tonight. He might not get 50 his next 3 games combined. I have GS scoring 130 here. I don't think Minny gets past 110. 4* Money Maker GOLDEN STATEÂ |
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11-02-18 | Western Kentucky v. Middle Tennessee State -13.5 | 10-29 | Win | 100 | 55 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking MID TEN STATE. Fade the Hilltoppers last week. Will do the same tonight. Triple revenge spot for the Blue Raiders. WKU is down, way down this season. Last conference road game saw them get blitzed 40-14 by Charlotte. I'll lay it and expect the similar score. 4* Money Maker MID TENN STATEÂ |
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11-01-18 | Pelicans v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 119-132 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
Taking the BLAZERS. Nice spot for Portland. Well, coming back from a road trip isn't ideal, but what makes this so appealing is New Orleans off Golden State. Every team, especially a team that is trying to show it will be a playoff team, will bring the proverbial 'A' game against the Warriors. There will always be a let down when a good team plays GS, then is on the court the very next day. Then we add in that the Trailblazers are also a team that plays with the old disrespected chip on it's' shoulder. Siding with the home faves here. 4* Money Maker PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERSÂ |
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11-01-18 | Raiders +3 v. 49ers | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS. Ugh.. Glutton for punishment. Had these guys last week. So they battled back from down 10-0 in the first. Took a 14-10 lead. A 21-13 lead. A 28-21 lead. They just couldn't hold on. Luck is better than whoever the Niners trot out behind center. SF defense nothing to smile about. The rebuild is on for Oakland. But I don't think we see any quit in these guys - Especially on a stand alone game where the entire league is watching. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERSÂ |
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11-01-18 | Temple v. Central Florida -10 | 40-52 | Win | 100 | 31 h 7 m | Show | |
Taking CENTRAL FLORIDA. One of just 4 remaining unbeatens, Knights need a big win tonight. Playoff rankings did them no favors. With or without Milton, I will back the home faves. Backup QB Mack after a decent game now has a week + of practice to get up to speed. Temple a tough foe. And double digits in conference, especially a mid-week stand a lone spot makes the dog look inviting. That being said- Back up QB laying 10. Might seem a bit to easy to grab the Owls. Home team gets it done. 4* Money Maker UCF KNIGHTSÂ |
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11-01-18 | Nuggets v. Cavs +5.5 | 110-91 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the CAVS. Had them the other night in Game 1 with the new HC. Will grab them in this spot as home dogs. Nuggets play down to teams. Nearly lost last night. Now in Cleveland. Coach wants a better a deal. How do you get that? By beating teams. This team isn't that good, we know that. But I think they can stick around with Denver who needed everything break to win last night. Trail by 6 with 2 minutes to go - Force OT - .01 seconds left tip in to win in OT. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND CAVALIERS |
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11-01-18 | Jets -1.5 v. Panthers | 4-2 | Win | 215 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking Jets on the PUCK LINE. Going to take a flyer on this game. Early in Europe. Will take the better team and go for the bigger pay-day. 4* PL Money WINNIPEG JETS |
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10-31-18 | Pacers -5.5 v. Knicks | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the PACERS. Had Indiana at home the other night and the Trailblazers rolled them. I look for a bounce back spot here vs the Knicks. You know we aren't high on NY. Pacers are a decent team. Not a top East team, but, and this isn't saying much, a playoff team. Again. This is more fade spot of NY off their win over the Nets. Indiana better than that last showing. Pacers a team that I have high hopes for on the year - One of the better scoring defenses in the league right now, I think they grind out a 10pt win tonight. 4* Money Maker INDIANA PACERS |
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10-30-18 | Golden Knights v. Predators -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 185 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking NASHVILLE and going PL. Not going to lay -160, though that is probably the top out of what I will lay with a favorite. Preds just the better team. Everything went right for Vegas last year. Not catching teams by surprise this season. I think they come back to Earth in a big way and will continue to look for spots to go against them. 4* PL Money NASHVILLE PREDATORSÂ |
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10-30-18 | Hawks v. Cavs -4.5 | 114-136 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking the CAVS. Thought this team wouldn't be terrible - probably one of the only people who though that. And you know that I never liked their HC. So with him getting canned, that can only help these guys. Look- We know the Hawks are young. Have some exciting players. But they were going to a be a low end win team. Have to think Cleveland players come out strong at home. Win-less on the year. Included in those L's, a 22pt loss in Atlanta. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND CAVS |
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10-29-18 | Patriots -13.5 v. Bills | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 70 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking the PATRIOTS. Laying 2 TDs, on the road, is far from a recipe of success in NFL sports betting. But I will bite the ugly sandwich tonight. So, we cashed NE last week as we held off a hail-Mary prayer. Are the Pats a team that are going to be pumped about a 1-1 road trip. Bills first MNF game in 10 years. Is Derek Anderson!! Derek Anderson putting up 20 points today? Nate Peterman! Pats last 4 games here. 23-3 last year. 41-25 2016. 40-32 2015. 37-22 2014. Let's look at the Bills points scored their last 4 games 5-13-13-0.. Honestly. Maybe this is a total sucker play. And I like to fancy my self a bit of sharp, or pro player as I love my dogs. And I have taken ugly dogs most of my life. But if you are saying that Brady, even without Sony Michael can't put up 24-30 points tonight, I will humbly disagree. Under should be looked at also. 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTSÂ |
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10-29-18 | Blazers v. Pacers -4.5 | 103-93 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking the PACERS tonight. So third straight road game for Portland. Big game on the road vs the Rockets. Maybe they mail it in after their big come back fell short at Miami. This Indiana team is pretty solid. Trail Blazers 1-5 ATS last 6 on the road while Pacers 8-2 ATS last 10 at home. 4* Money Maker INDIANA PACERSÂ |
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10-28-18 | Saints -1 v. Vikings | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 47 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Yes. Tough taking a team in back to back to roadies. Especially they won they battled back. How much do they have in the tank? Well. I don't ever sell Brees short. Guy is a beast. No way in hell do these forget that miracle playoff win for Minny last year. (I had Minny!) But this Vikings team as well as they have played of late, to me, a paper tiger. 3 INTs of rookie Darnold. 1 INT from rookie Rosen. And I love this HC. You know this. Had them both of those weeks. But the injury bug has me concerned here. Brees is going to put points up even on good defenses. And he has a RB combo that alleviates a lot of pressure. Minny missing Joseph is tough. Barr adds to it. Rhodes is whipped cream on top. Normally, missing a guy won't really have anything to do with my thought process (unless it is a QB). But the collective of those 3 hurt the defense. And New Orleans, coming in with bad memories, is not a team you want to come in under manned against. Tough road coming from Baltimore and with Rams on deck. But I am siding with the road team to win this thing. 5* Best Bet NO SAINTSÂ |
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10-28-18 | Colts v. Raiders +3 | 42-28 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS and will sprinkle ML +150ish on these guys. Off their bye week. They are done right? Trucked in London by Seattle. Traded Cooper. Carr crying. Heck. Who wouldn't be crying getting mauled every week. This is just their 3rd 'home' game. 33-13 losers to Rams. They looked good out of the gate! - 45-42 over the Browns in that wild game. And that Seattle-London game was a home game. Colts defense nothing pretty. I'll tell you what you should already know. Cooper wasn't doing much here. I think TE Cook really gets things going now. Can we get a Jordy Nelson TD this year? As we always say. No team is as bad, or good as they look the week before. The look ahead number was I think 1 or 1.5 Raiders favorite. Now they are a full 3 and in some spots you can get 3.5. Colts were laying 7 to the Bills last week. Would you be laying 9 or 10 with Indy at home in this spot? Clear overreaction. Doggy outright possible. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERSÂ |
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10-28-18 | Jets v. Bears -7 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 99 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. Faded both of these guys last week and it paid off. Will take Chicago based on their defense and facing a rookie QB on the road. Bears have their own young QB. But we have seen him score at home - On the road as a fave, a bit different for Chicago. But at home vs a team that is a little banged up. This is a big number when you think the Jets put up 48 on the road at Detroit and then 42 and 35 at home vs Colts and Broncos. Bears defense a bit better though in my opinion. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARSÂ |
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10-28-18 | Redskins +1 v. Giants | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 98 h 24 m | Show |
Taking the REDSKINS. The sell off is on for the Giants. Now, I did have them ML on Monday night. Put a fork in them. ODB is going to have a tantrum. Eli will be hitting the bench. Sitting at 1-6, the life has been sucked out of the season. Send in the clowns. Washington off a win because Jason Garrett still doesn't know how to coach. Skins have to smell blood in the water against their hated rivals. I can't see New York 'circling the wagons' to save the season. Not happening. All in on the Redskins Sunday afternoon. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON REDSKINSÂ |
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10-28-18 | Seahawks v. Lions -3 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -100 | 39 h 36 m | Show |
Taking the LIONS. Cashed these guys last week as our Top 10* Money-Bomb - Will roll with them as a Best Bet today. Detroit has been in the money the last 5 weeks. We have been all over with this team. Faded them vs Jets, NE, Dallas. Backed them vs GB and Miami. And here we are again. This is quietly a decent team. Seattle gets a lot of love. Yes, they are off their bye week. Last we saw them beating up the Raiders in England. I am not sold. Russell Wilson is great. I give that guy a lot of crap, but man, he is an excellent player. By himself, makes this team competitive. What I have liked as the season has progressed from Detroit is the run game. And the fact they are finally using it to help Stafford. Lions have to be confident that they can make a move in the division. I know there are many on Seattle. Matt Patricia stole a Super Bowl from Carroll with that INT. Cowboys lucked into a win over these guys or Detroit would have 4 straight wins. Buying on the small home fave. 5* Best Bet DETROIT LIONS |
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10-28-18 | Ravens v. Panthers +2.5 | 21-36 | Win | 105 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking the PANTHERS. You can lay the -120 for +3. But I will grab +105. Heck. ML should be sprinkled in. I am not betting on Carolina to lose when I am getting 2 points. So two teams in off drastic outcomes. Panthers rally for huge win over defending Champs. Ravens blow lead late and then score TD to tie things up. But their automatic HOF kicker misses! Oh the humanity. Look. 4th road game in 5 games for Baltimore. Steelers on deck for them. Winning is important. But next week is the 'bigger' game for the Ravens. Panthers have covered 6 of their last 8 at home. And those 2 were them as faves. I'll back my tough home dog every time. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERSÂ |
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10-28-18 | Eagles v. Jaguars +3.5 | 24-18 | Loss | -115 | 95 h 7 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. Well. Could be easy to say - Oh, Bortles stinks. He was benched last week. Team is in turmoil. I think this is just what they need. Escape to London where they have played 5 straight years, wining 3 in a row. Scoring a grand total of 28 points in 3 straight losses some may say we are nuts for backing Jax. But do the Eagles really deserve to be faves here on a neutral? What would the line be at Philly? Are they THAT much better than the Jags? 2-5 ATS for Philly. Jax as a dog much better bet than when they are faves. Won't be shocked by an outright win. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
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10-27-18 | Florida International -3 v. Western Kentucky | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 30 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking FIU tonight. Lost a few times on these guys last year. Maybe I was a year to early to the Butch Davis party. What I am sure of is that Western Kentucky is struggling big time this year. Tough to lay points on the road. And FIU mauled WKU last year 41-17. Just the Hilltoppers mail it in- Havent' been able to do much offensively on the year barely scoring 20 a game. And FIU comes in averaging 36. Plus FIU with the better defense. 4* Money Maker FIU PANTHERSÂ |
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10-27-18 | Texas A&M +2 v. Mississippi State | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 4 m | Show |
Taking TEXAS A&M tonight. Now. Normally- I am taking the home 'unranked' team over the 'ranked' team. That's in CBB or CFB. But we have to look a bit deeper into this besides the 'rankings'. First - State came into College Station last year and spanked the Aggies 35-14 last year and have won the last 2 meetings. So a little double revenge in place. A&M of a tough win at South Carolina. But to counter that, we have Bulldogs coming in off 19-3 loss at LSU. (I had MSU) - Now. Somehow, State put up 23 points vs Auburn. Which, I guess shows how terrible the Tigers are. If we look at the 3 losses in their last 4 games, we see 3 points at LSU. 6 points at home vs Florida. 7 at Kentucky. This offense is putrid. And honestly, it kinda scares me a bit to see them favored here. That being said. I am grabbing the low hanging fruit with the road dog. Aggies do have a decent defense and can, and have scored - both at home, and on the road. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS A&MÂ |
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10-27-18 | Kentucky v. Missouri -7 | Top | 15-14 | Loss | -106 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
Taking MISSOURI. So. I always say things like 'ranked' team getting points catches my eye. Well. When the ranked team is a 7pt road dog to an unranked team - Let's just say my ears perk up. Sign me up all day on MizzU today. UK has won 3 straight in the series to boot and are getting points like this! I think the Tigers run away with this one. 10* Money Bomb MISSOURI TIGERSÂ |
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10-27-18 | Iowa +6 v. Penn State | Top | 24-30 | Push | 0 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
Taking IOWA today. Penn State slide continues. Lost to Ohio State who they had dead to rights. Off that brutal loss, lose to Michigan State - Then, as 14pt road faves, let Indiana hang around with a chance to steal a win late. Now vs this team. A streaking Hawkeyes bunch. A bad loss to Wiscy the only blemish on the record. They are just playing good football. And catching points like this. Sign me up. Oh, PSU also has big, bad Michigan on deck. They know they are out of the Playoffs. If Iowa gets up early, this could get ugly. 8* Sure Shot IOWA HAWKEYESÂ |
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10-27-18 | Purdue +2 v. Michigan State | Top | 13-23 | Loss | -108 | 132 h 6 m | Show |
Taking PURDUE. I know we have them off huge win over Ohio State. But Boilermakers looking good last few weeks. 49 on Ohio State, 46 at Illinois, 42 at Nebraska - 4 straight wins. Sparty comes in off loss to Michigan (we cashed a 8* on big brother). That was a tough, physical game. And lets keep things real here. Michigan State was off a big win at Penn State. That wasn't an easy task. Battling the Wolverines is a rough assignment. Just think with Purdue peaking, and Sparty in a terrible flat spot, dog outright in my eyes. 5* Best Bet PURDUEÂ |
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10-27-18 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +5 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking NORTHWESTERN here. So, last week we told you to take Rutgers ML +900 vs the Cats. If you didn't have the stomach for that, maybe you grabbed them and the points in a narrow 18-15 Northwestern win. Well here is part 2 of that look ahead spot. They are a nice home dog - Wiscy has not impressed all year with the hype they received. I am really shocked to see them favored at all. Home team 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS last 11 in the series. Dogs on 7-0 ATS run in Northwestern games. Sign me up. 4* Money Maker NORTHWESTERNÂ |
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10-26-18 | Clippers +4 v. Rockets | 133-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the CLIPPERS. Oh, the Rockets are 1-3. They must win tonight. And the Clippers beat them already this year. Easy revenge spot for Houston. - Stop. Houston sluggish out the gate. First CP3 was out. Now Harden. They will get into the flow soon enough. But I will grab any points with this feisty bunch from LA. 4* Money Maker LA CLIPPERSÂ |
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10-26-18 | Warriors -12 v. Knicks | 128-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Will lay the dozen with the WARRIORS. Look. First game of a road trip. GS will probably want to come out fast and bury NY at home. Knicks not a very good team. I think Warriors win this by like 20. I don't even see NYK getting to 100 points tonight. 112-95 or something along those lines is what I think. Or GS drops 130+ and run NY out of MSG. 4* Money Maker GS WARRIORSÂ |
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10-26-18 | Louisiana Tech +3.5 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 28 h 23 m | Show |
Taking LA TECH tonight. Almost went ML here. But didn't want to end up like MNF where the Giants cover but don't win outright. So in this revenger (48-23), we will grab the points. FAU not looking like last years version. 1-6 ATS run for Lane's crew. La Tech comes in ready having this game circled. Holtz with a solid 32-14 ATS number when his team are dogs and 14-5 his last last 19 in that spot. LT brings a the better defense to the field today. How about FAU giving up a full TD more than they score on the year. Barking Dog. 8* Sure Shot LOUISIANA TECHÂ |
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10-25-18 | Appalachian State v. Georgia Southern +10 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking GEORGIA SOUTHERN. So these two guys are the class of the Sun Belt East, along with Troy. Getting 10 at home, vs a RANKED Sun Belt team. I'l take it. Appy lone loss to Penn State. GaSo lone loss to Clemson. So not bad losing to that kind of talent. But we can't over look that the Southern DC was at Appy the last 8 years. That's a bit of knowledge that could keep us in this number. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA SOUTHERNÂ |
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10-25-18 | Cavs v. Pistons -8 | 103-110 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the PISTONS. I gotta be honest. I look at this line say Ugh.. I had the Cavs opening night thinking, they can't be as bad as everyone says they are. They got us a miracle cover. But this team is bad. I already knew their HC was garbage. But man oh man - Give me the home team. Pistons get it done. Casey's first year after coming over from Raptors. So he couldn't get over the hump. But he piles up wins. His teams beat the teams they should. 4* Money Maker DETROIT PISTONSÂ |
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10-25-18 | Blazers v. Magic +3 | 128-114 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking the MAGIC. Grabbing this solely based on perception. Everyone can name the stars on Portland. Orlando a young team. Clearly building. Everything I see is pointing to money on the Trailblazers. Yet, the line has come down. Sign me up for the home dog. 4* Money Maker ORLANDO MAGICÂ |
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10-25-18 | Toledo v. Western Michigan -6.5 | 51-24 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Taking WESTERN MICHIGAN. Cliche time. The ole 2 teams going in opposite directions. WMU, after dropping first 2 games vs Syracuse and Michigan have reeled off 6 straight. And on the other side of the spectrum, we have Toledo. In off a loss to Buffalo. Up 17-7 at the half and get outscored 24-0 in the 2nd, at home, and you pull your QB. That is now 5 straight games they have been outyarded. 2 straight losses and 3 of their last 4. 1-5 ATS run. I am not counting a -48 cover over VMI. One of the worse defenses in yards allowed now gets a Top 25 offense. Rockets whacked them last year 37-10. Revenge served for the home favorites. 4* Money Maker WESTERN MICHIGAN |
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10-24-18 | Wizards v. Warriors -9.5 | 122-144 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the WARRIORS. Will grab GS in this spot. Wizards, who I backed at home in b2b spots didn't help me at all. They did just win in OT at a pretty decent Portland team. But in this spot. I think the Warriors have too much for Washington. GS should get it done by about 15. 4* Money Maker GOLDEN STATE WARRIORSÂ |
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10-24-18 | Jazz +2.5 v. Rockets | 100-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Taking the JAZZ. Sluggish start for both clubs. No CP for the Rockets. I will take the better defensive team. Never sell short the Carmelo angle either. +120 ML should also be sprinkled in. 4* Money Maker UTAH JAZZ |
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10-23-18 | Kings v. Nuggets -11 | 112-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking the NUGGETS. Big number, and to be honest, I am not a fan of laying big points with NBA faves. But something about this Denver team. We have seen some crazy scores, yet these guys have been playing some defense. I think they are a good team (31-10 at home LY) and the Kings are young and rebuilding. Can't under-estimate the Mile High air. Kings will want to push it, but I think that goes nowhere fast. 4* Money Maker DENVER NUGGETSÂ |
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10-21-18 | Rams -8.5 v. 49ers | 39-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. Will admit that SF has not been kind to me this year. I cashed fading them in Week 1 vs Minny. I lost backing them in KC. I had the Chargers and SF came out with firing. I had the Cardinals as a dog outright winner. I had GB on MNF. And I will again lay a large number fading the home dog. Look. These guys have shown fight as big dogs. But that was a tough loss to swallow in Lambeau as time expires. I guess they will be pumped to face a division foe. Rams playing their 3rd straight road game coming out of Mile High. But they pretty much cruised in that game. I can see a big effort here as SF did win last year when LA sat guys in a New Year's Eve home loss. Rams have been in some close games lately and appear to be just going through the motions at times. With GB at home and trip to New Orleans coming up, I think McVay is going to want to see a complete game from both units for an entire 60 minutes. 4* Money Maker LA RAMSÂ |
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10-21-18 | Saints +3 v. Ravens | Top | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 42 h 20 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Almost went +135 on the ML here. NO comes in off their bye week. Ravens home after 3 tough road games. Now normally, I am fading the Saints outside, especially in the cold weather cities. But we aren't in the bad weather or the extreme cold yet. And in case you haven't noticed, the Saints have a pair of RBs so their HOF QB does not need to throw for 450 yards a game. Ravens defense, stingy, to say the least. But this is a tough assignment to come home to. 7-1-1 ATS off their bye week are the New Orleans Saints. Mariota, Mayfield, Keenum, Allen/Peterman. Not exactly elite QBs of the league. Cincy on the short week doesn't really rate into my thinking. Saints clicking right now and have to grab the points. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTSÂ |
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10-21-18 | Patriots -2.5 v. Bears | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 40 h 55 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. So NE has lost at the Jags (revenge spot their Super Bowl) and at Detroit (vs old DC in a desperate spot). Oh. Patriots also didn't have much at the WR position. Yes, they are off a wild one against KC. But this Bears team is not in that offensive level. But the defense is elite. Or it was until facing the Brocketman in Miami. Bears blew a win at Green Bay. Eked by the Cardinals. Walloped Tampa, and beat a Seattle team that I really don't what to think of. I know that the Patriots take zero games off. NE was up 24-9 before over KC. I see a trendy Bears 8-1-1 ATS home dog run. But some of those lines were easily double this number. Are the Patriots not winning on the road this year? NE 14-5 ATS last 19 on the road. I know that the trendy, and 'wise guy' move will be to play on the Bears. But like the spot we took NE at home over the Dolphins, if the dynasty is truly over, then I will go down with it in this game. 5* Best Bet NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTSÂ |
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10-21-18 | Vikings -3.5 v. Jets | 37-17 | Win | 100 | 40 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. Will the real Minnesota Vikings please stand up? Look. I like the Jets. They are in my own backyard. I like the HC even though people hate him. I think the QB will be good. This is an exciting team. That being said, I had Minny as one of the top 2,3 teams in the NFC to get to the Super Bowl. I didn't have the Jets in that conversation. Back to Bowles. The guy is 7-1-1 ATS as a home dog with 5 outright wins. 2 nice home wins over Indy and Denver as this is their 3rd straight home game. Again. As a big dog guy this hurts fading a money making home puppy. But Minny has had their hiccups. Better defense. Better QB. And, I love the HC. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGSÂ |
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10-21-18 | Lions -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 39 h 22 m | Show |
Taking the LIONS. So Detroit HC was a DC for Pats in the AFC East and may have a bit of insight to Miami. Brock behind center again. And listen. Somehow, we cashed Miami last week as a home dog with him starting. And I will gladly take that. But we have Detroit, off their bye week in town. So after they edged out GB at home on some missed FGs, they got to relax and in the process the 'let-down game' to follow is pushed aside. Instead, they get film on a guy, a QB, who got a 72 MILLION Dollar contract from the Texans. Who benched him that same year for, Tom Savage! Then was traded to the Browns, who released him!! 5 teams (Denver twice) in 5 years. That alone has me fading the Dolphins. I think Miami has a decent defense. But the Lions will do enough to get us out of here with the cover this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb DETROIT LIONSÂ |
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10-21-18 | Titans +7 v. Chargers | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. We are also on the UNDER in this game. But the more I think of this, the more I have to jump in just for a small play on Tennessee. They looked absolutely brutal last week vs the Ravens. And we all now that nobody is as good or bad as they appeared the week before. I have been on both sides of Chargers games this season. This just seems like a flat spot for them 5447 miles from home. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANSÂ |
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10-20-18 | Mississippi State +6.5 v. LSU | 3-19 | Loss | -112 | 53 h 0 m | Show | |
Taking MISSISSIPPI STATE. So LSU off huge win over Georgia while Bulldogs come in off their bye. Revenge card for LSU after Miss State blitzed them 37-7 last year. But the 2 games before that, 23-20, 21-19. And 34-29 back in 2014. So we do see close games most of the time. Dogs bring a tough defense, an FBS best 12.7 ppg to the table. This is not an easy place to play either. But I can see this being a FG game. 4* Money Maker MISSISSIPPI STATEÂ |
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10-20-18 | Raptors v. Wizards -1 | 117-113 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the WIZARDS. So we lost with these guys against the Heat. Will gladly grab them in this spot. We have the Raptors off the Celtics on Friday night. As I write this at about 845EST. I see the Boston up 25-18. This will be a tough game vs heated foe. Now they step down to the Wizards who lost against their home opener. Off a hard fought win, or a tough loss, have to fade Toronto. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON WIZARDSÂ |
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10-20-18 | Memphis v. Missouri -9.5 | 33-65 | Win | 100 | 29 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking MISSOURI. Memphis in off their Super Bowl. A loss to UCF. The season is over. It isn't like MizzU is some huge SEC team where they will be extra pumped to face. Missouri comes in off playing Alabama. It was 13-10 in the first, then Bama did their thing. So it isn't like Tigers are all depressed and out of it after a near miss. Let's lay it as I think Memphis has nothing in the tank. 4* Money Maker MISSOURIÂ |
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10-20-18 | Northwestern v. Rutgers +20.5 | 18-15 | Win | 100 | 61 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking RUTGERS -- You can grab 20.5 but I am going MONEY LINE +900. I know it is a big, ballsy bet. We have Northwestern coming in. They are off a huge come from behind win. Down 10 late 4th. 99 yard drive to tie. Win it in OT. I guess they can come in riding high. They get to face Rutgers who has been an absolute joke of a program this year. 2-17 5 INTs last week . 8 yards passing! Northwestern with margin of wins at 3,4,10 -- Granted. No team has been as bad as this Rutgers team. It really can't get any worse than last week can it? With Wisconsin on deck, off that late win, and with Rutgers as bad as they have been, Wildcats can easily be not focused and going through the motions looking for an easy win. 4* Money Maker RUTGERS |
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10-20-18 | Miami-OH v. Army -7.5 | Top | 30-31 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 39 m | Show |
Taking ARMY. Also like the OVER in this game. I know this line has moved down from 11. But I am still on the Black Knights. For all intention purposes, Army with a bye week last week as they won 52-3 over San Jose. This team just improves every week. Miami O playing for the 8th straight week. Redhawks haven't faced the option in years. You think a few days will have the ready for this. All you need to know about Army is this. - They took Oklahoma to the wire only to lose in OT. That is impressive enough. I mean, covering and losing by 20-29, ok, Sooners just overlooking them. But play to OT. Then, to top it off. Coming to Buffalo, a good Bulls team, off said heart breaker. Falling behind 7-0 a minute 10 into the game. And I had Buffalo!! - Falling behind 7-0 a minute into the game and winning 42-13! Army to the races. 45-17. 5* Best Bet ARMY BLACK KNIGHTSÂ |
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10-20-18 | Michigan -7 v. Michigan State | Top | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 61 h 32 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN here. We have Wolverines favored here - But lo and behold, the Spartans, 10-0 ATS and 8-2 SU in this series last 10 game. MSU 17-5 ATS last 22 as dogs overall. Last year, as 13 faves at home, Wolverines fall 14-10 as O'INT, oops O'Korn tosses 3 INTs and Michigan gets nothing going on offense. Not so much of a problem this season. We have Michigan in off of crushing a decent Wiscy team. Michigan State in off a road upset of a good Penn State team. What is the difference for me is the Sparty offense, or lack of - 13 points vs Arizona State, 19 vs Northwestern - Heck, only 21 vs Penn State. Michigan has a pretty good defense themselves. Harbaugh finally getting some wins vs better Big 10 teams. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGANÂ |
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10-20-18 | Oklahoma -7.5 v. TCU | Top | 52-27 | Win | 100 | 60 h 24 m | Show |
Taking SOONERS here. Yes, TCU with double revenge as Oklahoma picked them off twice last year. But Oklahoma in off their bye. Done licking wounds from last second FG by Texas to lose Red River Rivalry. They fire their DC so things can only get better on that side of the ball. Murray is a beast at the QB position. TCU is just having a bad year. I get the defense is still solid. The offense is down right anemic. 16-17-14 points scored their last 3 games. Sooners should win this one by double digits going away. 8* Sure Shot OKLAHOMA SOONERSÂ |
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10-20-18 | Tulsa v. Arkansas -7 | Top | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 46 h 4 m | Show |
Taking ARKANSAS. Ok. At first glance, this line does look a bit short. SEC only minus a TD vs AAC Tulsa squad. But the Hogs themselves just 1-6 with new HC Chad Morris enduring a tough run. Can't discount Tulsa coming in off a brutal loss against South Florida last week. Up 14 in the 4th, allow 15pt on USF final 3 drives for the loss. Ouch. Back to SEC vs AAC. I know Tulsa will want to play up to the big conference. But I can't see it happening. It isn't like we are laying double digits here. QB situation for visitors is rough. Skipper out after tossing 6 INTs to just 4 TDs and 716 yards. Enter Boomer who has been better? just 1 INT but 19 of 52 for 37% Completions. Yikes. Arkansas was competitive in 24-17 loss at Texas A&M. The put up 31 against Alabama for a cover 65-31 (+35). They did choke away a 27-10 lead over Ole Miss last game. But this is probably their last chance at a win. Chad Morris won't have his team overlooking a smaller school especially when his own school has just 1 win. Vandy, LSU at home up next, then 2 road games at Miss State and Missouri to end things. I look for a big win for the Razorbacks today. 10* Money Bomb ARKANSAS RAZORBACKSÂ |
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10-19-18 | Celtics +3 v. Raptors | 101-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking the CELTICS. Rolled with these guys Tuesday in Game 1, will back them nice and rested in their Game 2. Toronto is suppose to be a top team with Boston and Philly - But I am going to hold back a bit and wait to see how their new star gels. For Boston, they are deep. They clearly have a huge edge with their HC on the bench. He knows this team, and how to use his players. Celts get it done. 4* Money Maker BOSTON CELTICSÂ |
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10-19-18 | Hornets v. Magic +2 | 120-88 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking the MAGIC. So, I lost when I had the Heat opening night, and the Miami came back to bite me in the butt again as I had the Wizards. Note to self, stay off the Miami Heat. Tonight though, we will back the home dog. Orlando rebuilding. We get that. But the kids are going to play hard. Charlotte not really one of the better teams in my rankings. I don't think they should be favored on the road. 4* Money Maker ORLANDO MAGIC |
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10-18-18 | Sabres v. Sharks -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 131 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Going SHARKS on the PUCK LINE. Again, won't lay the huge number. And although I think Buffalo is an improved team, this is a tough spot for them. San Jose well rested and will be playing first home game since dropping a 5-2 game opening night. After a 5 game road trip they get the Sabres in game 3 of their own road trip, just lost in Vegas. I think San Jose takes care of the home ice and notch the win. 4* PL Money SAN JOSE SHARKSÂ |
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10-18-18 | Broncos -1 v. Cardinals | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 31 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the BRONCOS here. A rough NFL last week. Still at 61% on the year. And quite frankly, normally I am hovering around .500 this time of year as the dogs really don't come out to play for me until December (hello 76% 31-10 last December!!) 76% !! - So, as good as the start of the season has been, it will only get stronger and better as we move forward. Ok - onto Denver. For me. This is it for the Broncos. A couple feel good home loss moral victories to KC and the Rams don't have HC's keep their jobs. Joseph, I think, will be canned if he loses this one tonight. No reason to wait till a bye week or end of the year. So this will it for him. I expect a no holds barred totally effort tonight. Offense letting loose. Risky, ballsy play calling all over the place for the Broncos. - Now, for Arizona. They cost me a win in the Super Contest as they manage to lose by 10 for a push in the contest. A defensive TD hurts. And you can look, and say, hey, this team is playing tough. They are in these games. And yes. We have cashed with Rosen and the Cards as a home dog vs the Bears, and on the road vs San Fran. I just look at this anemic offense and can't see them doing much. I think Von Miller terrorizes Rosen tonight. At least Arizona is breaking in not only a rookie QB, but a rookie HC. Can't see them firing Wilks this season, even as bad as he has made this team look. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
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10-18-18 | Heat v. Wizards -5 | 113-112 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking the WIZARDS. Heat in off b2b. They were a fave last night over the Magic. Rallied back after being down 11 in the 4th, but couldn't seal the win. Washington with Wall and Beal will want to jump out to a fast start. I think this guys can surprise this season. Boston, Philly and to a lesser extent Toronto, the top dogs in the east. But I think the Wizards could have a nice little season. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON WIZARDSÂ |
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10-18-18 | Red Wings v. Lightning -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA on the PUCK LINE. I said in yesterday (loss) Washington PL play, we don't lay 250,3-1 with teams. Detroit comes in having given up 7-8-5 goals in their last 3 games. TB has won 11 straight regular season games vs the Red Wings. Tampa should ring up at least 4 goals, minimum tonight. Can't see Detroit getting 3. 4* PL Money TAMPA BAY LIGHTNINGÂ |
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10-17-18 | Red Sox v. Astros -1.5 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Taking the ASTROS and going RUN LINE. Yesterday, we went both dogs. Today, both faves and going RUN LINES. Backs to the wall for Houston. I don't like Porcello. Just think in this spot, it is their season, they take care of business. Defending champs live to fight another day. 4* RUN LINE Money HOUSTON ASTROSÂ |
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10-17-18 | Rangers v. Capitals -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking the CAPITALS on the PUCK LINE. Not ever going to lay 3-1 on a fave. Not on the ice. Not in MLB. Not going to happen. Washington should win this one something along the lines of 5-2. 4-0. Rangers in a B2B, and in off a win. So they have to feel good about that. Probably a back up goalie spot for NY. Caps might get the Over 6 on their own. 4* PL Money WASHINGTON CAPITALSÂ |
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10-17-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 135 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the DODGERS and going RUN LINE. So we had both dogs yesterday in MLB, and today, both home teams on the RUN LINE. Dodgers pulled it out last night in extra innings. Series now tied at 2-2 and frankly, I think the Brewers have let LA off the hook. You can't give a good team chances like this. Kershaw is not the elite HOFer he was of past years - but, an decent edge on the hill when facing Wade Miley. Dodgers head back to Milwaukee with a 3-2 series edge. 4* RL Money LA DODGERSÂ |
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10-16-18 | 76ers v. Celtics -5 | 87-105 | Win | 100 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking the CELTICS. Everyone will be loving the Sixers and 'The Process.' They are a talented team. Not going to hear me argue that. I just think that Boston is the team to beat in the east. Boston 7-2 vs Sixers last year and 4 games they won by double digits. 4* Money Maker BOSTON CELTICSÂ |
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10-15-18 | 49ers v. Packers -9.5 | 30-33 | Loss | -109 | 101 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. Do you think this makes me happy? Laying big numbers like this in the NFL - after having our Top GOW on the Lions fading this Green Bay team? - Well, that week is behind. New week. New teams playing. I think Rodgers is getting ready to bring his fury done on the HC. McCarthy probably on the way out after this season. Favre and Rodgers for 20 years and you get 2 Super Bowl wins. What a disgrace. Cousins, Alex Smith, Stafford all a bit better than CJ Beathard. The defense should be able to do something here at home on Monday Night. Bye week up next so GB must exhibit some kind of life. Last time here, they beat up the Bills pretty good. Should see more of the same vs a banged up San Fran team. I took NE a couple weeks ago laying points at home to Miami. Said, if it's over, I will go down with one last swing on a legend. So, I say again. If Rodgers and this GB is officially on the outs, I will go down with a last swing when they know everyone thinks they are down and out on MNF. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERSÂ |
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10-15-18 | Wild v. Predators -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 175 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking NASHVILLE and going PUCK LINE. Not going to lay the huge number. Would rather shoot for the nice payday on the PL. Tough travel spot for Minny here - Played at home Saturday. Sunday afternoon flight in. Lose tonight 4-1. Then fly home for tomorrow night vs Arizona. 4* PL Money NASHVILLE PREDATORSÂ |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | Top | 40-43 | Push | 0 | 78 h 41 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. Not going to jump on the trending dog in this spot. Going with the veteran HOFer to win this one by 10. I'm not saying KC isn't a decent team or Mahomes isn't good. But beating the Chargers who find new ways to lose every week, a struggling Steelers team, the Niners, pulling out a late win at Denver and getting 5 TOs from the Jags isn't putting them to the top of my charts. Especially with the worse defense in the league giving up over 460 yards a game. Patriots with extra rest last covering for us on Thursday night vs Colts. Also with revenge from opening day loss last year. 8* Sure Shot NE PATRIOTSÂ |
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10-14-18 | Hurricanes v. Jets -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 157 | 20 h 23 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS and going PUCK LINE. Won't lay 2-1 here. Winnipeg home while Carolina comes in fresh from a wild OT win in Minnesota where they launched 56 shots on goal! Fatigue will set in for them after that kind of game. Also, can't be happy, or we should be happy with the Hurricanes goalie play giving up 3 goals in the 3rd period and 4 goals on 27 shots. You out-shoot a team nearly 2-1 and you end up in OT. We will look for a 5-2 win here on Sunday night. 4* PL Money WINNIPEG JETSÂ |
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10-14-18 | Jaguars v. Cowboys +3.5 | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS, again. Got a win with these guys last week by a hook. I hate Garrett. You already know this from previous write ups. Draft Zeke and don't go for a win on the road in short yardage. Unbelievable. I nearly put this out +150 on the ML. Because that is what is going to happen. Dallas will be up late. And maybe Garrett pulls a Garret and they lose by 1 on a late FG. But how can you back Bortles laying points. I know he can't be worse than last week. But KC has no defense. At least Dallas has some guys to pressure the QB. Maybe they will get some INTs in the secondary eventually. Dak mobile enough not to be a sitting duck vs this defense. We need him to produce at least 1 TD in the air today. I get it. At first look, you have to play the Jags off that terrible game. But this is a back to back road game, out of conference. Big home game vs Houston up next. We either steal this or keep it close enough to cover. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYSÂ |
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10-14-18 | Cardinals v. Vikings -10 | 17-27 | Push | 0 | 63 h 23 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. Have we finally the real deal from these guys yet? A nice road win over Philly hopefully gets them on track. Having a shot to tee off at home vs a pasty like Arizona should really get this team humming. We did have Arizona last week as a nice win at San Fran. I don't see them scoring like that today. 26 points in the final 7 minutes? Minny will not overlook the Cards. Hello. They got trucked here by a terrible Buffalo team 27-6. You think they are taking things for granted? They beat San Fran in Week 1 in a miracle cover for us. A tie at Green Bay. Tough spot short week vs Rams, loser 38-31, before last weeks win 23-21 that seemed closer than it was with a late Eagles TD. At home today, I expect for the defense to finally show some teeth vs a rookie QB. Rosen, and his Arizona teammates in an early time slot. How about 0-10 ATS run at this hour of the day? I had Minny pegged as a Super Bowl contender. Time for them to right the ship. Can't see Arizona getting to 17 points. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGSÂ |
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10-14-18 | Bears v. Dolphins +4 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 63 h 16 m | Show |
Taking the DOLPHINS. So, wasn't that long ago we faded the Bears on the road against Arizona. Will do the same today. Can't trust Mitch as a favorite on the road. This Miami team has been pretty good as we try to forget blowing a 17-0 lead on the road last week. Yes, Bears off their bye week. But I think that hurts them as they looked unstoppable in that 48-10 destruction of Tampa. People love what they see. They see Miami blowing leads and the Bears scoring 40+. Have to grab the home dogs. 5* Best Bet MIAMI DOLPHINSÂ |
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10-14-18 | Panthers v. Redskins +1.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. Public love what is fresh in their minds. And what is fresh is Drew Brees and his record breaking performance last week. Skins walked into a buzz saw on Monday night. We knew that. We had the Saints. That game is what people think of Washington. They don't remember the Panthers sleepwalking against the Giants. We backed the Panthers last week with extra prep time and they need a 63 yard FG to walk out of their home stadium with a win. Giants are bad. I know that. I had them on Thursday night. Washington is a tough team. They knocked off GB (we had Skins) here already. Last game on the road, the Panthers gave the Falcons their lone win on the year. I think Alex Smith leads Washington to victory this afternoon. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINSÂ |
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10-14-18 | Colts +2.5 v. Jets | 34-42 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. I am kicking myself for not taking the Jets last week over Denver. But I will easily fade NY off that game. Colts with extra rest since we faded them in that Thursday night game vs New England. Have to love any defense getting any extra prep time facing a rookie QB. And as much as I like the pick for NY, and think he is a franchise QB, the kid has a long way to go. Yes, Jets rushed for over 300 yards last week - 200+ from Cromwell. He is a 'questionable' with an ankle problem that kept him out of practice until Friday. Darnold 10-22 for 198. 76 on 1 play. So that is 9-21 for 122 - That won't win many games as a favorite. I'm not a fan of the Colts or Luck. But I think they are a decent play on team as the season progresses and he gets back in the swing of things. In this spot, just have to fade NY as small home faves. You know I don't like backing home teams giving less than 3. Being on the road 4 times in 5 weeks is tough for Indy. But the extra time off from the last game I think off-sets some of that. 4* Money Maker INDY COLTSÂ |
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10-14-18 | Bills v. Texans -10 | 13-20 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the TEXANS. Not trying to make a habit of taking double digit faves in the NFL. That isn't healthy for long term bankroll. But I will fade the Bills here. So we Houston win last Sunday (had Dallas +3.5) in a game that both coaches appear to try to lose. I know the Bills somehow knocked off Minny at home. We saw what happened last time they traveled. 22-0 at Green Bay. A defense nothing like this one. Texans still bring the defense. And the Bills sure don't bring much offense. 47-3 in that Ravens win over Buffalo we had in Week 1. I can see something like that today. Same kind of defense. Back to Back OT games is not what the doctor ordered for sure. Add in Jaguars on deck and this good be like Minny looking ahead to the Rams. Rookie Josh Allen is just too erratic with zero NFL quality receivers. 53% completions. 2 TD 5 INTs. 23-10 gets us a cover. I see plenty of short field opportunities for Texans today. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANSÂ |
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10-13-18 | Colorado v. USC -7 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 84 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking USC. Ok. So one of my odd gambling angles is this. When I see a 'ranked' team getting points I like to take the fave. There are little things I do to tweak this with CBB and CFB, but in most cases, this is a play that really doesn't make us sweat when we play it. Colorado, undefeated at 5-0 catching a full TD from an under-performing 3-2 USC bunch. But we have a nice week of rest under out belts. How about USC on a 2-11 ATS runs last 13? Which is why this line is even more shocking! Now, I guess the easy thing to do would just be to grab the dog that appears to be the better team. Washington - Stanford - Alabama - Utah - Texas. Those are the teams USC has lost two recently. Not exactly upstart programs. The ATS number is bad when you historically lay double digits to schools. In this spot, we aren't laying double digits. I like the Buffs. Thought they would be decent this year. And yes, this is a big 'circle the wagon' type game as Trojans have won 8 straight in the series. But I see this being a 10pt win for the home team. Like I always say when we take an ugly dog, or in this case, an ugly favorite. If it looks to easy, it won't be. 4* Money Maker USC TROJANSÂ |
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10-13-18 | Miami-FL v. Virginia +6.5 | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 76 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking VIRGINIA. I do like the Hurricanes. Think of myself as a fan of The U. But this is a terribly spot for the 'Canes. Off a huge, 27-7 comeback win over Florida State - How much do they really have in the tank here? Last year, Va had these guys down 28-14 on the road before Miami rallied back. Cavaliers a better team this year. Plus, off their bye week. This is a big game for the home dogs tonight. And let's be honest with ourselves here. How many regular Joe's right now are saying. Oh man. Who is Virginia- Hurricanes can easily win this by a touchdown. Give me Bronco and the points against Perry making his first road start at QB. 4 TDs last week yes, but 13-32 throwing the ball is a bit uneven for me. Home pups as live dogs. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA CAVALIERSÂ |
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10-13-18 | UNLV v. Utah State -27 | 28-59 | Win | 100 | 50 h 9 m | Show | |
Taking UTAH STATE. So this opened near 20 and has gone up a bunch. But that should be expected with UNLV having zero QB play. Aggies will get their 50 points tonight. I don't think the Runnin' Rebels crack 20. 4* Money Maker UTAH STATEÂ |
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10-13-18 | Iowa v. Indiana +5 | Top | 42-16 | Loss | -110 | 110 h 17 m | Show |
Taking INDIANA here. Ok. first thing. College hasn't been as great as our NFL. Depending on the site, we are either 36-35 or 34-36-1. Again. Sites and lines are different where one game I could get at a better ML price and a site I might take +2. Doesn't matter. Being .500 isn't putting money on our pockets- 2nd week of October, we have plenty of time to get on track - it start here with this High Noon BEST BET - Home dog, sign me up. This is a tough little team. Off an Ohio State loss. On the road at Penn State next. Iowa is a big team for them yes. But I think they believe this is a game they can win. Like I said PSU next. Michigan down the road. Those are games they won't win. Maryland, Minnesota, Purdue are not gimmies. This team wants to go bowling. 2nd year HC Allen has a talented QB/RB combo. Back to back conference road games are tough no matter what program you are. Facing a hungry underdog doesn't help. Might have to sprinkle some ML +170/175 on these guys. 5* Best Bet INDIANA HOOSIERSÂ |
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10-13-18 | Rutgers v. Maryland -25.5 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 73 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking MARYLAND. Terps, home with revenge in this spot. Rutgers is rarely competitive on the road. Even against a low-level Big 10 team like Maryland, Scarlet Knights just don't have the bodies to compete. Would maybe think this as a flat spot off Michigan. But, it is home-coming. So I can see the Terps really running it up for their fan base especially since they have last years loss hanging over them. 4* Money Maker MARYLAND TERPSÂ |
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10-13-18 | Florida v. Vanderbilt +7.5 | 37-27 | Loss | -115 | 73 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking VANDY today. So Florida 2-7 ATS off their LSU game including 6 Straight Up losses. Gators now with 3 straight SEC wins and play in their 3rd road game in 4 weeks. Now, I don't think Vandy is a good team by any stretch of the imagination. Simply a spot-play for me with the home dog and the visitor in a flat-spot. 4* Money Maker VANDERBILTÂ |
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10-11-18 | Eagles v. Giants +3 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 19 m | Show |
Taking the GIANTS tonight. Now. I know you are wondering why we aren't just getting some +130 ML with the G-Men. Well, you should already know that I hate both of these teams. But I don't let my heart or feelings really get in the way of backing teams that make me ill. Plus, these are the Giants. I crashed and burned with them in home dog spot vs the Saints where they failed to show up. Then they rip my heart out last week as they put up a fight vs Carolina. What I am 100% certain of is fading the Eagles. I said this last year after Wentz went down. How could they say he would be ready by the start of the season. It's now mid-October and he still looks out of sync. Their WR situation doesn't help. Nor does the depleted RB field. Home dogs I believe are along the lines of 16-7 so far this NFL season. We have cashed with them plenty of times. Eagles now 1-6-1 ATS last 8 as faves. NYG 6-3 ATS last 9 as division home puppies. Both teams in the proverbial 'must win' spot. But only 1 is the home dog in this bitter rivalry. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS |
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10-11-18 | Avalanche -1.5 v. Sabres | 6-1 | Win | 255 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Taking COLORADO. I am all for the Sabres being an improved club. And I think they are. But them being a small fave or even money tonight? Not something I am comfortable with right now. Avs took 5-2 loss last time out. I think they take care of business and flip that score. 4* PUCK LINE Money COLORADO AVALANCHEÂ |
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10-09-18 | Appalachian State v. Arkansas State +9.5 | 35-9 | Loss | -101 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking ARKANSAS STATE. Both teams off byes. I will side with the home dog and might grab +300 on the ML for a bit of change. Appy State will get a lot of love since everyone saw them hang with Penn State and lose in OT on the road. They see 72 points, 49, 52. The offense is shiny. I am not disputing that Appy State is a good team. Probably best in Sun Belt. They should win the East if they beat Troy at home. But the Red Wolves are my pick in the West. This is a lot of points and I have to side with the home dogs. 4* Money Maker ARKANSAS STATEÂ |
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10-08-18 | Redskins v. Saints -6 | 19-43 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking the SAINTS tonight. Have to say, and you should know this with me by now. Hate, hate hate, laying less than a TD with the home team. Cause all I used to here from every day sports bettors was, oh man, Saints win by a TD no problem. Now, after sitting in a sports book in Jersey for 14 hours, it is 100 times WORSE!! That being said, I still think New Orleans gets it done tonight. Brees should be able to set some records tonight. The dome will be rocking. As good as the Redskins defense appears on paper (3rd in total defense), facing Arizona, the Colts, who they lost to at home, and then beating GB (and lets be honest people. GB is not that good this year - Top 10* on Lions yesterday and had Redskins over them) is a lot different than Brees at home. I do like Alex Smith. The guy doesn't make mistakes, and we also know that the Saints defense gives up points. I just think we have too many horses out of the stable tonight in what should be a high scoring affair. Also like the Over tonight - 2 winners 1 great price! 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTSÂ |
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10-07-18 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Texans | Top | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 54 h 16 m | Show |
Taking DALLAS. A battle for Texas. With arguably the 2 worse coaches in NFL. Though fans of the Browns, Chargers, Broncos and Cardinals might chip in their two cents. Garrett plays scared and what should have been a Cowboys cover for us turns into a loser. But for the Texans, well O'Brian really takes the cake. I will be on the Under 45 here also. Since I think we see a steady diet of Elliot from Dallas. When he isn't pounding the ball, I think we see him catch about 10 passes out to he backfield. Cowboys have a decent defense. Better than the Texans clinging to their history. After their OT win snapped a 9 game slide, Houston now a 2-12 run their last 14. 2-12! (4-10 ATS) I know Watson is suppose to be the savior for the Texans. They need OT at Indy to get to 1-3 this year. Can't trust them as a fave. We are catching a hook which helps the cause. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYSÂ |
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10-07-18 | Rangers v. Hurricanes -1.5 | 5-8 | Win | 145 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Taking CAROLINA on the PUCK LINE. Tough spot for Rangers after losing last night in Buffalo. 0-2 on the year. Rest and home edge to a tough Carolina team. 4* PL Money CAROLINA HURRICANESÂ |
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10-07-18 | Cardinals +4 v. 49ers | 28-18 | Win | 100 | 51 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA. Going ugly in late action. I'll grab a rookie QB on the road. How do you trust the Niners in this spot? Oh you say. They nearly beat the Chargers last week. CJ Beathard is not going to salvage this season for San Fran. SF with some OL injuries starting to mount. Arizona has actually won 6 straight in this series. Best player on the field, Card RB David Johnson. Rosen gets his first win. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALSÂ |
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10-07-18 | Raiders v. Chargers -4.5 | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 50 h 19 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. So typical Chargers they nearly lose as double digit faves vs SF and a back up QB in his first start of the year. Now they face a familiar foe in division rival Raiders. Oakland got a huge OT win in what should have been a home loss to Cleveland. If an NFL game was 1 quarter, Raiders would be a perfect 4-0. But it's not. They look terrible at times. Chargers 4-1 ATS last 5 in the series. Probably will see a bunch of points as both defense have to make a stop this season. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERSÂ |
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10-07-18 | Titans v. Bills +5 | 12-13 | Win | 100 | 62 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Ok. Have to be honest. This line scares me a bit. I was all in ML on Buffalo when they were getting 3. Now it has risen to 5. That isn't Joe Public money coming in. But that edge is gone for Titans backers at a FG. It was a what I thought, and probably many others, a prime let down spot. Upsetting Super Bowl Champs at home in OT. That was a very nice win while the Bills were out getting drilled again. Will probably be on the Under 40 also. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLSÂ |
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10-07-18 | Giants v. Panthers -6 | Top | 31-33 | Loss | -108 | 62 h 39 m | Show |
Taking the PANTHERS. Had the Giants last week and they laid an egg at home. Now they face Carolina off their bye week. Give me the rested team. Not happy with the line, but will still back Cam and friends. This NYG team has had trouble now for the last couple years scoring. Panthers always bring defense to the party. Should be a 10pt win for the home team today. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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10-07-18 | Falcons v. Steelers -3 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
Late add here at about 930 Sunday morning. Taking the STEELERS. Yeah, we are going 10*. I was tossing and turning on this all week. Simple cause both teams 'need' a win was one of the reasons I chose to try and avoid it. But as I get ready for my sons football game today, I think of his teams advantages. And I just can't not think of how Big Ben has the WRs to destroy this leaky Falcons secondary. We saw it last week in their home loss. We saw it the week before in their home OT loss. Now a dome team is outside vs an always physical bunch coming off being humiliated at home on SNF. 10* Money Bomb PITTSBURGH STEELERSÂ |
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10-06-18 | Notre Dame v. Virginia Tech +7 | 45-23 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking VIRGINIA TECH. Will grab the home dogs here. Notre Dame off the Stanford win. Hokies 11-3 ATS last 14 as home dogs. This will be a close one. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA TECHÂ |
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10-06-18 | New Mexico +8.5 v. UNLV | 50-14 | Win | 100 | 27 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking NEW MEXICO. Big line move since UNLV lost it's QB. Can't see the new guy coming in and lighting things up in his first start. New Mexico should be able to keep it close. Won't be shocked if they pulled the outright win. 4* Money Maker NEW MEXICOÂ |
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10-06-18 | San Diego State v. Boise State -14 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -106 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
Taking BOISE. Just think this an big mismatch for San Diego State. They are banged up coming to the Smurf Turf. I get they are off a bye week. But when you are down your starting QB, RB and FB, you are walking into a tough atmosphere. This is a good Boise team this year. I know they have terrible ATS numbers as home favorites. Looking back a few years, I see several home non covers in between 4 game road trips, and some early games vs non-con foes. This number just seems high as if they are begging you to grab Rocky Long's bunch. Something tells me Rypian tosses 5 TDs and he climbs the conference all-time passing leader board. 10* Money Bomb BOISE STATEÂ |
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10-06-18 | Syracuse -3 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 37-44 | Loss | -115 | 37 h 30 m | Show |
Taking SYRACUSE today. Yeah. Could be a bit of let-down spot for Syracuse who had Clemson on the ropes. They just couldn't close the deal. But a good coach will have these guys ready to take out that frustration on the next opponent. Orange can't take teams for granted. 5* Best Bet SYRACUSEÂ |
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