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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-11-12 | NY Giants v. Cincinnati Bengals +5 | Top | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
Some games throughout an NFL season can be tough spots for a team and this has the look of one right here for the New York Giants in this one. The Giants come in off a very hard fought game against the Pittsburgh Steelers last weekend. Typically we have seen that a team doesn't play well the game following playing Pittsburgh the last few years in the NFL because of the physical battle. The Cincinnati Bengals have dropped four straight games coming into this one. They were just beat last Sunday against one of the top teams in the NFL, the Denver Broncos. The week before that loss was another 'close but no cigar' defeat to another tough team, the Pittsburgh Steelers. Keep in mind this a team that did make the playoffs last season and have their core group back from that team this season. Play Cincinnati here as I expect a FG type game and the Bengals to get the cover in this contest. 5*
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11-11-12 | Denver Broncos v. Carolina Panthers +4.5 | Top | 36-14 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 32 m | Show |
There are many signs that point to Carolina being a much better team than its 2-6 record would indicate. First and foremost, it is outgaining opponents 344.9 to 343.0 on the season, which is a number more indicative of a .500 team rather than one that is 2-6. The Panthers have simply had some tough breaks all season. Five of their six losses have come by 6 points or less, and they could easily be a 5-3 team right now. The Panthers have been playing tremendous pass defense in recent weeks, which is the key to stopping Manning and the Broncos. They held Jay Cutler and the Bears to just 131 passing yards in Week 8. Last week, they limited Robert Griffin III and the Redskins to 186 passing yards. Denver is 1-10 ATS after scoring 30 points or more in 3 straight games since 1992 and we'll back Carolina at home as the Broncos are playing their 2nd straight road game.
10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH |
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11-10-12 | South Alabama Jaguars +7.5 v. North Texas | Top | 14-24 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
The Mean Green like to run the ball and the strength of South Alabama is stopping the run. . The visitors have exhibited a definite home/road dichotomy in their inaugural FBS campaign as the road team stands a perfect 8-0 ATS in USA games this season. Were not about to mess with that, not with a bunch whose 7-3 ATS ledger against losing teams looks good until you notice the losses have all occurred this season! Bottom line is we cant lay more than a touchdown with a North Texas team that's clearly headed south. Lets back the better defense with S Alabama getting 8 points on Saturday evening. 5*
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11-10-12 | Iowa State v. Texas -10 | Top | 7-33 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show |
Texas is clearly the more talented team, and it hasn't forgotten about the loss it suffered the last time Iowa State visited Austin in 2010. The Longhorns won last season's meeting 37-14 at Iowa State, and I expect them to roll again here. Texas is the far more explosive offensive team, and it should be able to move the football at will on an Iowa State defense that is minus its best player - Jake Knott. The Cyclones haven't been able to defend the pass to save their lives in recent weeks as they've given up over 400 yards passing in each of their last three games. Texas should score early and often here and get a big win!
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11-10-12 | Northwestern +8.5 v. Michigan | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 1 h 6 m | Show |
Northwestern has been off since their 28-17 win and cover at home over Iowa, as the Wildcats improved to 8-1 versus the line for the season, while also improving to 7-2 overall for the season.
The Wolverines were able to pull away from Minnesota last week despite the absence of QB Denard Robinson, and while Robinson is expected to be back for this one, you have to wonder if that right hand won't give him problems as the game moves on? Michigan is just 4-5 overall against the spread this year, and this impost seems a few points too high for them to cover against a rested and capable pup playing with revenge from last years loss. Take Northwestern plus the points. 10* |
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11-08-12 | Florida State -12.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 28-22 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
This is not your normal Hokies squad. they are inconsistent on offense, their defense is not doing good and they have had plenty of breakdowns in special teams. Not good when your about to face a Florida State team that has one of the better defenses in the Nation, has had a week off before this one and is seeking revenge for a 44-33 loss to these Hokies back in 2010. Florida State has a Top 5-ranked run defense and I expect a big game from them tonight! The FSU offense has been very good all year, but even more special in their last 3 games, averaging 552 ypg and 44 ppg. They will be taking on a struggling Hokie defense that has allowed 32.6 ppg in their last 5 games. T Florida State is the better team in all phases of this game and should with this one big! 10*
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11-06-12 | Toronto Raptors v. Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5 | Top | 88-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
The loss of James Harden has already hurt Oklahoma City. They lost a close one to the Spurs to kick off the season, beat a hungry Portland team behind 55 from Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant and then were a minus 10 in turnovers when losing to Atlanta when they played without their best player in Josh Smith. Look for Kevin Martin Sefalosha and the BIG 2 to come up big and the Thunder to get a double digit win on Tuesday night! 5*
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11-05-12 | Philadelphia Eagles +3 v. New Orleans Saints | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
I like the Philadelphia Eagles over the Saints, plus the 3 points. The Saints defense has been awful and just too many distractions for them lately. They ARe also hurt with injuries on both sides of the ball. The Saints are at the bottom in rushing the ball and also defending the pass.
Mike Vick loves to play on turf and they'll have the advantage with all of their team speed in the dome on Monday night. The Eagles sit at 3-4 heading into this game and its a must win to keep their season alive. DeSean Jackson and Eagles running back LeSean McCoy should enjoy playing at New Orleans, as both have fared well in dome games. Jackson has averaged 100.6 receiving yards in seven career indoor games, while McCoy has averaged 104.2 yards rushing in five such games since 2010. It |
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11-05-12 | Indiana Pacers +8.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 79-101 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Last years games were both close between these 2 teams and the Spurs played two close games to kick off the season and then hosted Utah on Saturday where they let Utah back in the game allowing 35 points in the third quarter but righted the ship in time to win the game by 10. The Pacers are a very good rebounding team and David West had 18 points and 18 boards helping the Pacers will the battle of the glass by 20 rebounds. Look for West and Roy Hibbert to keep the Spurs big men in check and this to be a very close game on Monday night. 5*
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11-04-12 | Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 v. NY Giants | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
A lot of people are making a big deal of Pittsburgh traveling to the Meadowlands the day of the game against the NY Giants. The fact is this is only a 45 minute flight and wont afffect the team at all. Actually I think it helps the Steelers as they get to sleep in their own beds instead of a hotel. The Steelers are healthy on the offensive line, all 3 RB's are back in action and I like the resolve of Mike Tomlin, Big Ben, and the rest of this group with their speedy WR's going against this Giants secondary. I'll take the points with Pittsburgh as I believe they have a great chance to win this game outright. 10* Underdog Game of the Week
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11-04-12 | Buffalo Bills +11 v. Houston Texans | Top | 9-21 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 6 m | Show |
Play Buffalo plus the points versus Houston. I see this as a great spot to take the big dog in the NFL as Houston is still riding their high of beating up on the Ravens and have the Bears on deck, no way can they be emotionally into a game against the Bills. The Bills have enough offensive power to be able to hang with the Texans as they are scoring 24.5 PPG, the leagues 12th ranked offense. 5*
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11-03-12 | Oregon -8 v. USC | Top | 62-51 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
10* OREGON
Both teams are allowing 19.5 points per game but Oregon has the more explosive offense and quicker players. USC |
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11-03-12 | Syracuse +5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 24-35 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
10* Syracuse has won 3 of their last 4 and playing great ball. Syracuse
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11-02-12 | Washington +4 v. California | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
Pick on WASHINGTON U. Cal quarterback Zach Maynard looked good in a few games, but now back to ugly play for him. The strenght of Washington is their defense and strong cornerbacks. Wash's QB led the team to 31 points and a win against the Bears last season, 19-for-25, 11.7 yards per attempt with 3-0 TD-INT. Look for a very close game here and I love Washington plus the points on Friday night. 5*
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11-01-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder +2 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 84-86 | Push | 0 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
The Spurs played last night at New Orleans, and escaped with a narrow 4 point win, and that game was very tight the whole game. NO Manu for the Spurs and the Spurs travel back home to play a very strong Thunder team who is lying in wait, as tonight will be their season opener. Lots of "noise" over Harden being traded to Houston, due to him wanting a few more million dollars than Ok City was offering. This Thunder team is still very good on both ends of the court. As long as they have Durant and Westbrook, the other pieces they have compliment their 2 superstars, and I really like the Thunder in this spot tonight. 5*
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11-01-12 | Virginia Tech -1.5 v. Miami (Florida) | Top | 12-30 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
VTech aren't happy with 4 losses so far this season with four games to play. But as we keep saying, Tech will probably still win the ACC Coastal, which 3-2 Duke leads, tied with 3-2 North Carolina and Miami-FL, with Va. Tech 2-2. There
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10-31-12 | Golden State Warriors +2.5 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 87-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
Golden State had a terrific preseason, finishing up tops in the Pacific division with a winning record. The Warriors are one of my sleeper teams this year behind 2nd year coach Mark Jackson. David Lee is good for a double-double each night and rookie Harrison Barnes has impressed. The Warriors are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. the NBA Pacific. I also expect a big year from Curry shooting for Golden St. The Suns lost their floor general and leader with Nash and the Warriors get the win tonight! 5*
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10-30-12 | Boston Celtics +7 v. Miami Heat | Top | 107-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
I always like to fade the defending champ on opening night. The Heat have always struggled with Rondo and I expect him and Jason Terry off the bench to come up big along with Garnett and Pierce.
The Celtics will be sitting around in their locker room waiting for the defending champs to get their rings, to see their smiles, jumping around, your probably going to be motivated to come out and do well. This is what typically happens and the public of course will take the bait on the relatively short line here on the Heat at home. The Heat, with Lebron, Wade, Bosh, the new faces that are the sharp shooters etc..., but still, it comes down to Chemistry. And, with this new lineup, it will take some time for this team to mesh as well whereas Boston has been playing together for a while and they are a bit deeper this year and more athletic. The Celtics are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings against the Heat. 10* |
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10-28-12 | NY Giants v. Dallas Cowboys +3 | Top | 29-24 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
The Giants beat Dallas twice last season, yet the Cowboys could have easily won both. The Giants lost to the Redskins twice last season, and barely beat them last Sunday without covering the spread. The Giants are the only 4-3 base defense in their division, and they have not demonstrated the ability to gain dominant scoreboard separation against the other three who all play 3-4s. The new Dallas cornerbacks who foiled New York
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10-28-12 | New England Patriots v. St. Louis Rams +7.5 | Top | 45-7 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 40 m | Show |
There is some pressure in New England, as the fan base decries the apparent weaknesses on what seems to be a paper giant that ranks in the bottom of the league in defending the pass and struggles against teams they should be dominating. STL is well coached on both sides on the ball and catching 7.5 points is too much to pass up. It
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10-27-12 | Baylor v. Iowa State -2.5 | Top | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
The Cyclones are on their home field, with the better defense, against an opponent that hasn
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10-27-12 | Texas Tech +7.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 24-55 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
K-State was out-gained in Lubbock 580 to 339 last season, but was 4-0 in turnovers, returned one of them for a touchdown, returned a kickoff for a touchdown, and won 41- 34. After 2 straight road games, Kansas St returns home, but Texas Tech is very dangerous and this line is way too high. I like TEXAS TECH plus the points here on Saturday afternoon. 10*
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10-26-12 | Cincinnati +4 v. Louisville | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
The Bearcats are coming off their first loss on the season last week at Toledo but the final score was not indicative as to how the game was played. Toledo scored 29 points but two touchdowns were on special teams and there was an interception scores. Cincinnati dominated in yardage and lost with a negative turnover differential. Because of that outcome we have an extremely motivated underdog here who has won the last four meetings in this rivalry. This is the game the Bearcats have circled on their schedule, especially since the Cardinals enter play undefeated.
Louisville has beaten just a single team with a winning record, North Carolina, and they almost blew a huge lead in that contest. Louisville is 7-0 on the season but even in victory they have been less than impressive. A 28-21 win at Florida International when the Panthers QB didn't play the entire game, a 21-17 win at Southern Miss who has been a disaster this season, and last week they needed a late rally to beat South Florida 27-25, as S FLA was coming off a BYE in that game and we had them. I think Cincy is the better team and I expect them to play much better tonight in this primetime game. 5* |
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10-25-12 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 v. Minnesota Vikings | Top | 36-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
The Vikings offense that isn
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10-21-12 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals +1 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh Steelers are banged up and are 0-3 on the road this season. The Steelers, though, likely won't have safety Troy Polamalu (calf), linebacker Chris Carter (hamstring) and right tackle Marcus Gilbert (ankle). Rookie nose tackle Alameda Ta'amu was suspended two games Tuesday following his arrest over the weekend. Running backs Rashard Mendenhall (Achilles) and Isaac Redman (ankle), meanwhile, are questionable. Mendenhall scored four touchdowns in last season's two matchups with Cincinnati.
The Bengals (3-3) will try to take advantage of those absences to regain some momentum and I look for Andy Dalton and Green-Ellis to both have big games at home and the Bengals to get the win on Sunday night. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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10-21-12 | Arizona Cardinals v. Minnesota Vikings -7 | Top | 14-21 | Push | 0 | 2 h 5 m | Show |
I expect a tough game from start to finish in this one. Minnesota, with
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10-20-12 | Kansas State +3 v. West Virginia | Top | 55-14 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
5* Kansas St. Kansas State is simply good this year - really good. West Virginia has received a lot of attention for their offense, and QB play rightfully so, but the Mountaineers
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10-20-12 | South Florida +6 v. Louisville | Top | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
10* Underdog on South Florida The Bulls are 5-4 in this all-time series, including a 24-21 overtime win in 2010 when the programs last met in Louisville. S Florida is hungry and off a very intense bye week. Bridgewater is coming off one of the best performances of his career. The sophomore completed 17 of 26 passes for 304 yards with a 75-yard touchdown to DeVante Parker and no interceptions last Saturday. 'Opening up the Big East schedule with a win is a big confidence boost for us,' Bridgewater said. 'Hopefully it will send a message to the rest of the Big East.' The Bulls offense is led by senior quarterback B.J. Daniels. He's thrown for 1,504 yards and 10 TDs while ranking second on the team with 277 rushing yards and four scores. 'If you look at South Florida, they have anywhere from 20-23 seniors and a lot of those seniors are fifth-year guys, so the talent is there,' Strong said. 'Their quarterback, B.J. Daniels, runs and throws the ball very well, but what's key for them is playing and coming together.' The Bulls are coming off their bye week, and one thing they may have worked on is taking better care of the ball. They have 14 giveaways and rank 115th in the country in turnover margin. With 2 solid weeks to prepare for this senior led team, S Florida will be focuses as they take on this ranked opponent.
10* Underdog Shocker |
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10-20-12 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -13.5 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
Oklahoma State's No. 1 ranked offense and strong revenge motive have pushed this line past the two-touchdown mark. Oklahoma State just slipped past Kansas, 20-14, last week as 26 1/2-point road favorites and most likely looking ahead to this revenge game.
The Cowboys have fancy offensive numbers such as a nation-best 601.4 yards per game and scoring 48.6 points per game. Last year the Cowboys were 13-1 and that loss was to this Iowa State team that were 27 point dogs! Oklahoma State has way to much offense, and are a better balanced team than this Cyclones unit. This time, not only is Iowa State off a loss but Oklahoma State is playing its homecoming game. In other words, the situation is entirely different from what it was last season. Even with last week's ATS loss, the Cowboys are a terrific 7-2 ATS (8-1 SU) in October the past few seasons. Oklahoma State had this game circled all year and while they were game-planning for this game last week against Kansas they didn't want to show them any new looks or formations. I expect the revenge-minded Cowboys, who destroyed the Cyclones in the last meeting here at home, by a 59-17 score and should have no problems on Saturday in a big blowout win on Senior Day. 10* College Game of the Year! |
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10-15-12 | Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers | Top | 35-24 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
The Chargers gave the Saints a win last week with a typical mistakes and San Diego has once again fallen back to the pack after a promising start to the season. I expect the Chargers to make the corrections and bounce back tonight on MNF. Defensively San Diego allows 20.4 points per game and with the Vegas Over/Under at 50 points, the margin of covering the spread is certainly there. San Diego is 4-0 against the spread following a loss, and 7-0 against the spread in their last seven games against AFC teams. PLAY THE SD CHARGERS here in a pick'em situation. 5*
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10-14-12 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 2 h 28 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs losing Matt Cassel hurts the team in the passing game. Even though he wasn
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10-14-12 | Dallas Cowboys +3.5 v. Baltimore Ravens | Top | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 2 h 26 m | Show |
The Cowboys have had almost two weeks to prepare for this game and get their running game back on track. Last year, they scored a ton and couldn't stop anyone. This year, their defense is very good, but their offense has struggled. Jason Witten said, "This has to be a wake-up call for us." And Dallas has always performed well off blowout losses, in the past, so I expect Romo and his WR's to be on the same page tonight and the Cowboys running game to get going with Murray to have a big day. 10*
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10-13-12 | Florida v. Vanderbilt +10 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
I like Vanderbilt as the home dog +9.5 points in an SEC showdown with Florida, in what we like to call a "sandwich game". Florida is fresh off a huge emotional upset win at home over LSU, and the Gators have a home clash with Top-5 South Carolina up next, not to mention their annual "cocktail party" with Georgia the weekend after. All the hype and national attention this week, I beleive they get caught looking ahead here today at Vandy
Vandy just pulled the upset win over Missouri last weekend, and the Commodores are a perfect 9-0 against the spread at home under head coach John Franklin, including their opening night underdog cover against South Carolina in a game they surely could have won outright. Look for Vandy to hang tough at home in this Saturday night prime spot. 10* Diamond in the ROugh play. |
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10-13-12 | Alabama v. Missouri +22.5 | Top | 42-10 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Nick Saban believes Alabama faces a unique challenge with a visit to SEC-newcomer Missouri on Saturday. The test seems far greater for the Tigers, however, as they face the nation's No. 1 defense, but a closer look reveals that Alabama really hasn't played a very difficult schedule.
Alabama, which is coming off a bye week, lost backup running back Dee Hart and wide receiver DeAndrew White to season-ending injuries against the Rebels, but seems to have enough other weapons on offense.This is just too many points to a tough Missouri team playing at home. I dont think they will win, but 22 poins is too much to pass up. 5* |
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10-13-12 | Auburn +6 v. Ole Miss | Top | 20-41 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 46 m | Show |
AUBURN has owned old Miss the last 3 years and 7 of the last 8 meetings. Auburn has the talent and players and will put it all together this week. Auburn had 5 turnovers last week including a pair of INT's in the endzone which hurt. The play at quarterback has been about as bad I have seen in some time. Keihl Frazer and Clint Mosely would be lucky to find a starting job in the Sun Belt Conference. These two have combined to throw 10 interceptions with just three touchdowns. Ole Miss has been the laughing stock of the SEC West for a few years now and and dont see them winning here today. A lot of people don't realize how much talent the Tigers have on the offensive side of the ball. It was only the second time in 4 years that they were held to less than 10 points in a game. This is a FG type of game and I love Auburn PLUS THE points on Saturday afternoon. 10* Underdog Game of the Month
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10-11-12 | Western Kentucky v. Troy +2.5 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
I like the Troy Trojans plus the small number at home vs. Western Kentucky. I believe the wrong team is favored. The Trojans are 8-1-1 all-time versus Western Kentucky including a 4-0-1 mark at Veterans Memorial Stadium.
This one should be extra fun because it pits two strengths against each other... Troy's passing attack vs. W. Kentucky's pass defense and (more importantly) pass rush. Quanterus Smith is an absolute beast at defensive end. He leads the nation averaging 1.62 sacks per game. Conversely, Troy |
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10-07-12 | Philadelphia Eagles +3.5 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 14-16 | Win | 100 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
This really is a must-win game for the Steelers, but the oddsmakers know that. The Eagles are 3-1 but have their three wins by a total of just four points. They haven't played their best ball, yet they continue to win. Andy Reid and the Eagles always do well on the road and their last road game was an embarrassment in Arizona. The Steelers get a few defensive players back, but they aren't in game shape. The Eagles defense is flat-out nasty and I see at least 5-7 sacks from them in this one. At the end of the day both QB's are playing behind offensive lines that just are not very good. Right now the Eagles pass rush is a bit better than the Steelers and so are the Eagles Special Teams. Look for the Eagles to get the cover and possibly the outright win, but 3.5 points is just too much to pass up here. TAKE THE EAGLES as a 10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH!
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10-06-12 | Nebraska +3.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 38-63 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Since the UCLA debacle, the Huskers defense has came together. The Husker offense is the story here. OSU one demsional with a running QB in Miller and running QBs do give NU trouble, but Huskers can trade points with QB Martinez throwing to WR Stills and RB's Burkhead and Abdullaha are one of the best 1-2 punches at RB in the nation, and Nebraska is a much better tackling team. Nebraska is 4-1 behind their powerful running game, that's gained 259 rushing yards or more in each of their first 5 games. And the way Ohio St has trouble tackling Big Red should be able to move the ball throughout the game. Both teams won their Big 10 openers last Saturday, with OSU winning at Michigan State by a point, 17-16. Ohio State may be undefeated, but they've played a terrible schedule, beating teams like Miami-OH, UCF, and UAB and this will be their toughest opponent by far this season- and their first loss! I like Nebraska's experience and veteran offense that is clicking here. 5*
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10-06-12 | Georgia v. South Carolina -1.5 | Top | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Overall the Gamecocks defense as a whole has been extremely impressive this year giving up just 11.2 points per game (6th in FBS). South Carolina has also yielded just 288 yards per game this season which ranks 13th overall in total defense. Georgia has 2 young RB's and will be without their best WR.
QB Connor Shaw is a guy that can make plays with his feet and is one of the most under rated passers in the SEC. Shaw completed 20 straight passes in the 31-10 victory over Missouri two weeks ago in one of the best performances in the SEC in recent memory. Shaw missed some playing time earlier this season with a banged up shoulder, but he has completed an impressive 78% of his passes this season resulting in 5 scores and 2 picks. South Carolina has the passing game to make some plays but the Gamecocks offensive success will most heavily ride on the legs of Marcus Lattimore. Lattimore is without a doubt one of the best tailbacks in the country. SC had 2 weeks to prepare and I expext a huge performance from them tonight to win by 4-10 points. 10* |
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10-06-12 | LSU -2.5 v. Florida | Top | 6-14 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
The LSU defense, which is only allowing 217.8 yards and 12.6 points per game, will be the difference in this one. Florida is 0-6 ATS since the beginning of the 2010 season when matched up against good defensive teams that allow 4.5 yards or less per play. The Gators have lost to these teams by an average of 14.2 points. Everyone is doubting LSU, but they will be focused against a young Florida team. Plus, LSU 5-1 as a road favorite the last 3 seasons. Florida 3-12 versus teams with a winning record the last 3 seasons.Florida is 1-7 the last 3 seasons as an underdog. Look for LSU to pull away in the 2nd half.
10* LSU |
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10-04-12 | USC -14 v. Utah | Top | 38-28 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
This is a prime spot for Matt Barkley and USC on ESPN. I watched the replay of when Utah went down to Tempe and got abused by the Sun Devils and frankly guys, that offensive line was a joke. I have a difficult time seeing Kiffin's kids coming out flat here because let's face it, those kids like the spotlight of prime time just as much as the Utah kids do. I would like to see Lane Kiffin step out of his comfort zone some on offense and open up the playbook some. Last years game was close and I just don't see that here. USC holds huge athletic and skills advantage on the play making and the Trojans will breeze here. 5* USC
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10-04-12 | Arizona Cardinals -1 v. St. Louis Rams | Top | 3-17 | Loss | -123 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Arizona has a great defense and they have beat some very good teams. Whisenhunt hopes that belief and his team's collective confidence extends to the prime-time stage. Arizona has won 10 of 11 against the Rams (2-2), and seven straight at the Edward Jones Dome. Arizona also has the specials teams advantage and the Rams are banged up. Stephen Jackson will play but he isn't 100%. The Rams have gotten many breaks with turnovers, but Arizona protects the ball and Kolb is playing great for them. 5* ARIZONA CARDS/
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10-01-12 | Chicago Bears v. Dallas Cowboys -3 | Top | 34-18 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
The 2-1 Bears have two big wins at home against weak opponents (Indy and St. Louis) and then got beat big on the road in Green Bay. Jay Cutler has struggled in the last two games, failing to exceed 183 yards passing and tossing for just one score. He was intercepted four times in Green Bay and once by the visiting Rams. Worse yet, Cutler has been sacked 11 times this season while being hit hard far more times than that. The offensive line continues to be a major issue and facing the Cowboys in Dallas is not going to do anything to improve the blocking.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has been outstanding and now they |
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09-30-12 | NY Giants +2.5 v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
I like the NY GIATNS plus the points on Sunday as they had 3 extra days to prepare for this game. The Eagles have struggled with protecting their QB Mike Vick, allowing 9 sacks so far on the season. Now facing a team that has recorded 6 sacks so far is going to be troublesome. The Eagles have been turning the ball over an average of 4/game, which is never a good thing, and Vick hasnt been accurate with his passes. The Giants have a monstrous pass rush and also a huge passing game behind Eli, , going against miserly pass coverage in Philly, who haven
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09-30-12 | New England Patriots v. Buffalo Bills +4.5 | Top | 52-28 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 28 m | Show |
New England did not look good versus Baltimore as they allowed over 500 total yards. This truly is a huge game for the Patriots as they could fall to 1-3 if they lose here. All I heard all week was NO WAY The Pats start 1-3.
New England is lucky to be in the weakest division in football and even with a loss here would still have time and the ability to come back and capture the AFC East. Buffalo has added confidence after posting their second straight win at Cleveland and the Bills look to be clicking on both sides of the ball and have a very big and fast defense. I think Buffalo has the weapons to compete this year and as long as they don't have numerous turnovers, this one comes down to the final gun and the points will come into play. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK |
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09-29-12 | UCLA Bruins -20 v. Colorado | Top | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
5*
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09-29-12 | Arizona State v. California +3 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
CAL has played a very difficult schedule so far and has hung tough with all opponents. Look for a tight game throughout, but the home team to use the home field and their speed to pull away late. 5*
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09-29-12 | Tennessee v. Georgia -13.5 | Top | 44-51 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
The Bulldogs (4-0, 2-0 Southeastern Conference) have scored more than 40 points in each of their first four games. Georgia has also won two straight games in the series, including a 41-14 decision in Athens two years ago and a 20-12 victory at Tennessee last year. Georgia's attack has good balance. Freshman tailback Todd Gurley has 406 yards rushing and six touchdowns. Gurley is averaging 9.2 yards per carry. Keith Marshall, another freshman, has 264 yards rushing with three touchdowns. Tenn already struggled and lost to Florida, whose offense isn
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09-27-12 | Stanford v. Washington +7 | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
First road start for Stanford QB Nunes, who's completed only 53.9% of his passes. Cardinal was outgained in narrow 20-17 win over San Jose State, but then beat USC in last game- they've won six of last seven tilts with Washington, crushing Huskies 41-0 and 65-21 last two years but that was with Luck at QB and his top tight ends on the field.
The Stanford Cardinal is off the big upset win over USC and has been celebrating for 2 weeks now. Washington had last weekend off after rebounding with a 52-13 win over Portland State on Sept. 15, but coach Steve Sarkisian is well aware of the challenge that awaits his team in its Pac-12 opener.Look for Sarkisian to have his team ready for this Thursday night National TV game. |
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09-23-12 | Philadelphia Eagles -3 v. Arizona Cardinals | Top | 6-27 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
The Eagles are the first team ever in the history of the NFL to start the season 2-0 while turning the ball over 9 times. Vick led the futility charge with 7 TOs himself (6 INTs). He knows he has to be better Sunday at securing the ball and odds are he will. The Eagles offense is as explosive as any in the league, and they have a ton of speed. Just imagine a game with 2 or fewer turnovers. On defense, the Eagles strength is in the secondary with arguably the best 1-2 punch in the league with Asomugha and Rodgers Cromartie. Considering the Cardinals rely heavily on the passing game with little of a running attack, this scenario bodes well for the Eagles. Look for the former Cardinal Rodgers Cromartie to be a factor in this game going against the former Eagle with Kevin Kolb. Andy Reid knows him best. The Cardinals offense is the lowest ranked in the league after two games with a 250 ypg average. In the two games the Eagles offense has accumulated an average of 471 ypg while the defense has allowed an average of 268 ypg for a +203 differential. The Cardinals offense has accumulated an average of 250 ypg while the defense has allowed an average of 320 ypg for a -70 differential and the team is 2-0. Take the Eagles to get a big win on the road behind Michael Vick. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK
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09-22-12 | Fresno State v. Tulsa -5.5 | Top | 26-27 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Fresno State was jumping around like a cage of monkeys at the zoo about winning by 54 points last Saturday have to realize that Colorado State is pretty horrible, and that Tulsa can steamroll the visitors on the ground as well as frustrate QB Derek Carr with an overloaded secondary playing nickel from the outset. TULSA has too many weapons and playing at home, they will pull away in the 2nd half.
10* College Blowout Burial! |
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09-22-12 | San Jose State +3.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 38-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
San Jose St is a much improved team this year and getting no respect. Their defense is very tough and if can stand tall, they
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09-22-12 | California v. USC -15 | Top | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
The last thing the Trojans want to do is let Cal beat them after just losing to Stanford. The season is still young, and they aren't about to quit after one loss. I expect USC to be motivated, and it will take its frustrations out on a Cal team it has owned. The Trojans have won 8 straight against the Golden Bears by an average of 18.5 points and have gone 6-2 ATS in these contests. USC has won the last 3 meetings by 27, 34 and 21 points, respectively. The Trojans are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games following a loss. The season is early so USC needs to win and win big in the remainder of their conference games if they want to get back in the BCS picture. 5*
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09-22-12 | Temple +8.5 v. Penn State | Top | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
Temple seems to play better on the road and this is a HUGE in-state battle. Temple has a BYE next week, so they would love to get this one. The Temple defense is tough and had 2 weeks to prepare for Penn St. Temple was more competitive in each of the last 3 games against Penn St and I like them to battle right to the end here today.
10* College Game of the Week |
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09-17-12 | Denver Broncos +3 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 21-27 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Denver QB Peyton Manning looked great against the Steelers last week and now goes on the road, when the Broncos travel down to the Georgia Dome for a week two NFL clash with the Atlanta Falcons in primetime on ESPN
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09-16-12 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Buffalo Bills -3 | Top | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 2 h 23 m | Show |
Yes, the Bills looked terrible in the first week. Simply terrible. But, I do like them to bounce-back here at home as I think they took the Jets too lightly from the Jets pre-season numbers and I don't see them getting blindsided here at home.
The Bills were down 41-7 at one point last week and they are a much better team than that. Fitzpatrick will bounce back with a much better game at home and the Bills defense is much better than they showed last week. Look for a much more synchronized effort here as the Bills likely click better offensively and defensively this week after an offseason of major upgrades to its defense. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK |
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09-15-12 | Notre Dame +6 v. Michigan State | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
This is a huge Saturday night Prime-time college match-up as two national rivals put it one the line as Michigan State host Notre Dame. ND's defense will limit the Michigan St offense this evening. The ND Irish have been rejuvenated by defensive minded Brian Kelly and his in-game decision making. Last week replaced starting quarterback Everett Golson for senior Tommy Rees who lead the game winning scoring drive. ND has strong linebackers and defense and are strong enough up from to repeat last's year run defense against Le'Veon Bell keeping him to 70 yards. Michigan St is very one-dimensional and their secondary is suspect. I expect a very tight game here so I am taking the +6 points with Notre Dame on Saturday night! 10* College Game of the Week!
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09-15-12 | USC -8 v. Stanford | Top | 14-21 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
USC senior quarterback Matt Barkley leads the nation with 10 touchdown passes through two games. Barkley has two dangerous targets in receivers Robert Woods and Marqise Leeand the passing game is complemented by two strong runners in Curtis McNeal and Penn State transfer Silas Redd who had his first 100-yard rushing game as a Trojan last week. The Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last four conference games and the road team is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. USC has also scored at least 30 points in 10 consecutive games. 5*
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09-15-12 | Texas A&M -10.5 v. SMU | Top | 48-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
SMU won 52-0 last week against Stephen F Austin while Texas A&M blew a halftime lead against Flroida in their SEC Opener, a game they dominated for almost 3 quarters before losing a tight one. SMU's score is very skewed as they were given 10 turnovers in that game. Also bear in mind that Kevin Sumlin played SMU the past 5 years as Houstons head coach and know this team well enough to have a 5-0 SU and ATS record against them!
The Aggies are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 versus C-USA while the Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 versus the SEC. I love Texas A&M here with a QB who can run and pass the ball, by far the better team here and should cruise. 10* COLLEGE BURIAL! |
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09-15-12 | Navy v. Penn State -7 | Top | 7-34 | Win | 104 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
This will be Penn St's breakout game. They have the defense and linebackers to stop and control Navy's rushing attack. I also think Penn St will move the ball easily through the air and on the ground. I realize they have a kicker issue,but that means they'll probably go for it on 4th downs more and convert TD's instead of FG's and help us cover this 7 pt number. PLAY ON PENN ST here at home to get their first win and I expect them to pull away in the 2nd half. 5*
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09-10-12 | Cincinnati Bengals +7 v. Baltimore Ravens | Top | 13-44 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
Cincinnati
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09-09-12 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Denver Broncos -1 | Top | 19-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
The Broncos defense was great last year and kept them in every game. They have two great playmakers in Elvis Dumervil and Von Miller.
Now Denver has Peyton Manning on offense to go with the tough defense Steelers running back Rashard Mendenhall will not be ready for Sunday |
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09-08-12 | Nebraska -5 v. UCLA | Top | 30-36 | Loss | -101 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
Last week Nebraska put up 600 yards on offense on S Miss and dominated from start to finish. UCLA won last week too big but were only 2-11 on third down conversions against a weak Rice team and 3 of their TD's were for 70 yards or more on defensive meltdowns. QB Taylor Martinez worked all offseason on his throwing and the early returns do look promising. The talent is there and this will be the best team Coach Bo Pelini has had and they are senior led against a UCLA team with a freshman QB and new head coach. UCLA has questions on the offensive line with a really young squad. UCLA is just 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games. Nebraska QB Taylor Martinez will play well here as a homecoming in his home state of CA. BIG RED by 13 HUGE Saturday Night 10* play.
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09-08-12 | Toledo v. Wyoming -2.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -113 | 17 h 16 m | Show |
Lets jump on this Wyoming team as the line is at 2.5. This is a terrible spot for Toledo this week as they had to travel to Arizona last Saturday and play in 100 degree temps in a game that went into OT. Then again this week its a long travel to the high altitude of Wyoming and play a senior led team who is very agressive and played Texas very tough last week and well coached.
Wyoming played a very impressive game, as the Cowboys averaged 6.1 yards per play against a very good Texas defense while allowing 6.0 yppl to the Longhorns. Wyoming did have an 82 yard pass play that skewed their yards per play average but they certainly played much better than expected offensively thanks to the effective passing of sophomore quarterback Brett Smith, who completed 57% of his passes and 9.2 yards per pass play. Smith would have averaged an impressive 6.9 yppp even without the 82 yard play, so his numbers were very good against one of the best defenses in the nation. Wyoming |
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09-08-12 | Air Force v. Michigan -21 | Top | 25-31 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
Michigan will bounce back this week against a very poor AF team who only returns 5 starters this year. ALL purpose player Tim Jefferson is gone and this Air Force squad will struggle to score this Saturday! Michigan will be able to score at will after facing the huge Alabama defense last Saturday. Look for Robinson to have a monster game rushing and passing and Michigan to romp in the big house by 35+ points 5*
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09-02-12 | SMU +8.5 v. Baylor | Top | 24-59 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
The SMU Mustangs got Texas transfer QB Garrett Gilbert a ND he'll help keep this game close. The Baylor Bears lost five players from last year's offense to the NFL draft, and that also includes all-time leading receiver Wright, and RB Terrance Ganaway who accounted for over 1,500 yards rushing last season! Some mighty big holes to fill if you ask me, and my thinking is this impost will be a little bit difficult for the Bears to cover. SMU does have some firepower in their arsenal - Zach Line and Darius Johnson to name a pair - that should be able to take advantage of Baylor's leaky defense that allowed 40-points per game last season.
5* |
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09-02-12 | Kentucky v. Louisville -13 | Top | 14-32 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
The Louisville Cardinals are picked to win the Big East and host their arch rival the University of Kentucky Wildcats Sunday afternoon. Louisville is expected to dominate the weak Big East while the Cats are picked to struggle thru the very tough SEC. It shows how confident the UK fans are in that they passed and only bought 2000 of their 5000 ticket allotment. L-Ville comes in with big expectations, while UK comes in with real questions in their secondary, while the Cards have a veteran very strong defense. Louisville QB Teddy Bridgewater appears to have some upside while being further along than any of the Kentucky quarterbacks who have proven to be different shades of lousy. Louisville had bowl practices in December; Kentucky
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09-01-12 | Clemson -2.5 v. Auburn | Top | 26-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Auburn, without Newton, dropped from 14-0 to 8-5 last fall and brought plenty of off season changes. Offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn left to become Arkansas State's head coach and Chizik brought in Steve Loeffler to take over. National championship defensive coordinator Ted Roof moved to Central Florida and eventually Penn State in the same position and Auburn hired Brian VanGorder of the Atlanta Falcons. There are a lot of changes on this team and it takes players time to get used to the new style. Auburn quarterback Kiehl Frazier will make his first start Saturday night and the backfield won't include its top rusher the past two years in Michael Dyer, who left after he was suspended indefinitely by Chizik for violating team rules. Clemson's record-breaking offense from a year ago -- the Tigers posted the most yards and points in its long history -- will be minus All-American receiver Sammy Watkins, serving the first of a two-game suspension for an off season drug arrest. Clemson center Dalton Freeman knows facing Auburn early is a perfect opportunity to build on last year's championship season and Clemson gave up 70 in their last game in the Bowls and defense has been the focus all summer.
10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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09-01-12 | Northwestern v. Syracuse | Top | 42-41 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
Syracuse front 7 is going to be scary good this year, returning all 3 starting LBs and have the biggest D-line in Marrone's tenure...including Defensive player of the year at JUCO Markus Pierce-Brewster(who has been dubbed the next freeney by coaches) add in Goggins, Sharpe and Bromley and this D-line is going to be awesome. Senior led QB facing a Northwestern secondary who was one of the worst in the country last year. Northwestern in its history, has struggled against the Orange, going 1-5 SU. And the Wildcats haven't beaten Syracuse in the Carrier Dome in their last three tries. Syracuse will love to win this game because next week they have to play the USC Trojans, and I do not believe the Orange will beat the Trojans. Northwestern is 2-7 ATS as a road favorite and the Syracuse Orange are 9-4 ATS in the month of September. Syracuse Freshman RB Ashton Broyld is one of the top recruits in the country and I'll back the bigger, faster, and more athletic home team here with Syracuse. 10* College Game of the Week
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08-30-12 | UMass v. Connecticut -21.5 | Top | 0-37 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
4*
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08-30-12 | Eastern Michigan +3 v. Ball State | Top | 26-37 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
Anytime you get a proven winning coach like Ron English getting points versus a team that is only 2-9 at home the last 3 seasons that is just too good to pass up. Eastern Michigan continues to surprise and has a ton of returners. Last year they went 6-6 for the first time since the 1995-96 season, and may have turned the corner. They have a lot back from that team, including QB Alex Gillet who passed for over 1500 yards, and ran for another 700+. He also cut down his INTs from 13 to 7. He should continue to improve.
The Ball St Cardinals have no magic at home where they are 5-16 ATS in their last 21. Take Eastern Michigan with bigger,faster,and stronger athletes than they have had in their painful decades of football with a senior quarterback to kickoff your college football season with an underdog win. 5* |
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08-25-12 | Houston Texans +3 v. New Orleans Saints | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
The best news about the Texans' 20-9 beatdown of the 49ers last week was that Andre Johnson saw his first game action since aggravating a groin in one of the first days of training camp, and he seemed fully healthy on a 43-yard reception. With Johnson and quarterback Matt Schaub both now healthy after injury plagued 2011 campaigns, it gives Houston amazing balance as it now has a very good passing offense to go with the best running game in football led by Arian Foster and Ben Tate. And don't forget about the defense, which improved by leaps and bounds after hiring Wade Phillips as the defensive coordinator last year and that has continued to impress this season, as the Texans suffocated one of the best offenses in the NFL on the road in Carolina 26-13 before last week's second stellar defensive showing. Yes, Houston lost sack specialist Mario Williams to Buffalo in free agency, but you must remember he was lost for the season fairly early last year and there was no noticeable drop-off in the Houston defense, and that has continued this preseason. This is Houston's best team in Texans franchise history and with their starters expected to play into the 2nd half, I like the Texans here +3 Saturday night.
5* |
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08-24-12 | Atlanta Falcons -3 v. Miami Dolphins | Top | 23-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
I believe we have a sure preseason winner tonight, as I side with the Falcons -3 over the Fish. Both squads are looking for their first win of the pre- season, but it will be the Falcons who get off the schneid this Friday night. Simply put, Atlanta is a little further along than Miami at this point and has much more talent on both sides of the ball. The Falcons starters have actually outplayed the opposition in their first two games, leaving with the lead in both games before a porous back-up defense has let those leads slip away. Not tonight, as Mike Smith has said his starters will play deep into the second half in this one. Miami is still working on installing their new offense, and of course rookie Ryan Tannehill trying to run it is going to take time and there will be many mistakes. I like the team with the better starters here as long as they dont have 5 turnovers like our Arizona pick last night who dominated the entire game. 10* ATLANTA FALCONS Friday night.
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08-23-12 | Arizona Cardinals +3 v. Tennessee Titans | Top | 27-32 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
The Cardinals are the only team with three losses against the spread in the preseason so far. (The Saints are the only other team to have played three games.) The Cards are going to play their starters into the second half on Thursday and we
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08-20-12 | PHILADELPHIA v. New England Patriots +1.5 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 7 m | Show |
Head coaching empirical trends can be a very valuable resource in handicapping preseason football since these metrics may reveal how different coaches utilize exhibition contests. Andy Reid and Bill Belichick have vastly different track records in the preseason. New England (1-0) has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 home preseason games in the Belichik era. Philadelphia (1-0), on the other hand, has failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 31 preseason games under Reid with the point spread in the +/- 3-point range. The Eagles enter this game after a 24-23 win over Pittsburgh where rookie quarterback Nick Foles impressed by completing 6 of 10 passes for 140 yards. The former Arizona signal caller will be given plenty of snaps in this contest -- but look for him to not enjoy as much success now playing in his first road game. The Patriots' offense did little in their 7-6 victory over New Orleans last week. With ten days of practice since that contest, look for the New England offense to be much closer to regular season form here. Take New England as a pick'em spot here on MNF. 5*
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08-18-12 | Kansas City Chiefs v. St Louis Rams | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Last week the KC Chiefs' first-teamers dominated a Cardinals team that already had one preseason game under their belt.
Going to ride KC again today tonight laying 1-pt at St. Louis versus a Rams squad that was drubbed 38-3 by Indianapolis last weekend. With Jeff Fisher not caring much about winning games in August as he looks to rebuild a down-in-the-dumps franchise, I'd rather back a Kansas City squad that's 3-1 SU since Romeo Crennel took over late last season. Big difference between Fisher being conservative and having his starters play one or two series tonight as opposed to a Chiefs team that's out to make it two straight impressive preseason victories while continuing to build positive momentum. 5* |
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08-17-12 | Detroit Lions +2.5 v. Baltimore Ravens | Top | 27-12 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
Detroit has long been one of the best preseason teams the last few years before losing to Cleveland last week. The Lions had won 7 straight preseason games (7-0 ATS), and are 10-3 SU in the preseason under coach Jim Schwartz since he took over in 2009 (and 14-3 SU and 12-4-1 ATS stretching back to 2008). The Lions are looking at depth at the RB position, so expect a good rushing effort tonight from the Lions as they had 198 total rushing yards last week. Detroit plans on resting most starters in the 3rd and final pre-season game, so expect Jim Schwartz to play to win on Friday night. With Detroit off a home loss to the Cleveland Browns, and Baltimore off a 31-17 victory over the Falcons in which Atlanta had 4 turnovers and 120 penalty yards in handing them the game, we'll fade Baltimore on Friday, and grab the points with the Detroit Lions plus the points.
10* |
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08-10-12 | NY Giants v. JACKSONVILLE -1.5 | Top | 31-32 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Playing 1st year head coaches in their preseason home opener is a tried and true NFLX system and we'll gladly back it here as the Jags have the added advantage of the Giants probably looking ahead to the annual preseason clash with the Jets next week. The G-Men were not impressive on offense away from home last year in the preseason, averaging only 14 PPG, and under Coughlin have gone just 3-6 SU when getting three points or less in preseason play. Besides Eli Manning, who won't be doing much of anything Saturday, no other NY QB played in this offense last year. That means a whole lot of mistakes. Jacksonville cares about this one far more than the Giants. Look for them to get Mularkey his win.
Jaguars new head coach Mike Mularkey is excited about the pre-season and said this 1st game is very important to him and this Jacksonville team. Mularkey plans to play the healthy starters 17 to 20 plays, but still wants to win. Gabbert struggled in his rookie year, but Mularkey said, |
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08-09-12 | NEW ORLEANS v. New England Patriots -3 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -130 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS here as NE likes to win early in the pre-season. He is 8-4 SU in week 1 of the pre-season. The Saints just played on the road Sunday night and now the short week and another road game in New England.
The Pats have a solid QB rotation and Ryan Mallet is expected to see most of the time. I will lay the FG with confidence on Thursday night. 5* |
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06-21-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5 v. Miami Heat | Top | 106-121 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Russell Westbrook scored 43 points for the Thunder in Game 4 and they still lost. I expect another strong effort from Westbrook and Durant tonight. Its difficult for the home team to sweep the 3 games at home and I don't expect the Thunder to roll over. While this is an elimination game, in a way, the pressure is off the Thunder. I expect them to be loose. Let's not forget that every game has basically came down to the last few minutes. The Thunder are a perfect 5-0 ATS the last five times that they'd lost three games in a row. The only time that they were in that situation this season, they responded with a convincing 16 point win. Lets back the OKC Thunder to steal game 5 here in Miami. 10*
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06-14-12 | Miami Heat v. Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 | Top | 100-96 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
Thabo Sefolosha did a great job on LeBron when he got a chance and that was just one of the reasons the Thunder started the Finals in the right fashion. Harden was off and the Thunder still won. Miami only won on quarter and they were losing ground at the end of that first stanza. Whatever it is, D. Wade just doesn
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06-07-12 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics +2 | Top | 98-79 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
The Heat have dropped three in a row to the Celtics and now have to play this one on the road in Boston, where Miami has lost 15 of its past 16 trips here and seven of eight since Miami
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06-06-12 | San Antonio Spurs +5.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | Top | 99-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
After winning 20 in a row, the Spurs have now dropped 3 straight.
This is a veteran team with a great coach. They'll make the adjustments tonight and the Spurs wont go down without a fight. The closeout games are always the toughest for a young squad and I expect Duncan, Gilobli, and Parker to come up big Wednesday night. Take the +5 points with the Spurs. 10* DIAMOND IN THE ROUGH PLAY. |
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06-05-12 | Boston Celtics v. Miami Heat -7.5 | Top | 94-90 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
The Celtics are tired after playing so many minutes.
Rondo is still young at 26 years old, but its not the case for Garnett (36), SG Ray Allen (36) or SF Paul Pierce (34), who played 43, 46 and 39 minutes on Sunday night's OT WIN. This team has to be tired. Miami plays excellent at home and they have outscored their opponent by 11.5 ppg on this floor this year, plus Boston does come in having lost their last 4 on the road by an average of 8.5 ppg and Boston did shoot lights out at home and I just dont see that happening tonight. The Heat may also have the added bonus of getting Bosh back in this one as well. The Heat has lost just 6 times on this floor and after coming out flat in their last 2 games they will look to put the Celtics away early and I dont expect LeBron James to be in foul trouble. 5* PLAY OF THE DAY |
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06-04-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder +5 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
I know the Spurs have outscored their foes by 12 ppg at home, but I believe the season is starting to take its toll on this team, especially on the defensive side as the Spurs have now allowed 103.8 ppg in their last 5 games. The Thunder have a great flow offensively and the Thunder really push tempo
Thunder coach Scott Brooks put Thabo Sefolosha on Tony Parker to slow him down and stop easy penetration. He did a great job on Kobe in the prior series and unlike anybody |
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06-03-12 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics +2 | Top | 91-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Wade scored only 18 points Friday in the Heat's 101-91 loss in Game 3, snapping his streak of 12 straight 20-point playoff games against Boston. The Celtics are playing as a team and really playing solid defense too. Kevin Garnett is playing out of his mind and the Heat have no answer for Rondo. Garnett scored 24 points, the Celtics taking advantage of an undersized Heat lineup without Bosh by repeatedly throw it into their center near the rim. With Rajon Rondo adding 21 points and 10 assists, it's becoming clear they've found two matchups they can exploit. Yet they were far from satisfied just by taking a game. They were in this same spot last year in the second round, losing two in Miami before winning Game 3 at home. But they dropped Game 4 in their building in overtime and were sent into the summer in Game 5. The Celtics' veterans all said they remembered nothing about it - more likely ignoring it than a case of old guys suddenly losing their memories. But Ray Allen did say the Celtics seem to have a better idea of what it takes to beat the Heat this year. The Celtics have many more offensive options and playing at home as a small underdog I really like them on Sunday night.Home team is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings. And the Heat are 1-9 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Boston. 10* BOSTON CELTICS
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05-29-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. San Antonio Spurs -5 | Top | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
In the last 10 NBA Playoff Games the favorite has gone 9-1 ATS. On Sunday Coach Popovich demanded his players give him
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05-27-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 98-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
I love getting 5
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05-26-12 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Boston Celtics -5.5 | Top | 75-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
The home crowd is greatly help the Celtics along with all of their veteran experience.
Look for Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett to get the ball where they want and come up big in this game 7 at home. Rajon Rondo needs to step up after getting outplayed in game 6. Look for the BIG 3 to come up big and the Celtics to pull away in the 2nd half of this one. |
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05-24-12 | Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers +3.5 | Top | 105-93 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
Miami will be without Udonis Haslem, who was suspended a game for the hack job against Tyler Hansbrough. It should have been a Flagrant 2 and he should have been tossed. The Heat are very short on big men. Danny Granger did not practice on Wednesday with his sprained left ankle. He needs to step up tonight as the Pacers are coming off their worst loss in Pacers playoff history. They'll play much better on defense and shoot better at home. Play on the PACERS to send this series back to Miami for a game 7. 5*
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05-23-12 | Boston Celtics v. Philadelphia 76ers -1 | Top | 75-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Look for a strong offensive effort and the crowd to help the 76ers in game 6 tonight. This is a backs against the wall game for these Phi 76ers, while the Celtics can always return to Boston for game "7". The odds are against the Celts, as when they have been in a 3-2 lead they have only won game #6 2 times in "6" tries! The closeout game is the toughest to win, and over the last five years the Celtics have succeeded only once. The 76ers have responded for their head coach and are 4-0 in playoff games following a loss. 5*
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05-22-12 | Indiana Pacers +6.5 v. Miami Heat | Top | 83-115 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
The Heat have trailed in every game so far in the 4th quarter of this series. Indiana has really played them well and I like them plus the points on Tuesday night. Wade and LeBron played great and I'm not sure they can do it again. The Pacers lost by 35 in Miami in January, and have been outscored by a total of eight points in three games there since. Pacers coach Frank Vogel said. 'We still have a great deal of belief. They haven't beaten our best.' Roy Hibbert finished with 10 points and nine rebounds on Sunday, but the 7-foot-2 center also was slowed by foul trouble, as was forward David West. That, and Indiana's defense slipped at the absolute worst time: The Pacers entered Sunday having allowed only nine 30-point games all season, but by day's end, that list had 11 entries with James and Wade both getting there.As long as the Pacers can stay out of foul trouble, I'll take them tonight with the 6.5 points. 5*
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05-19-12 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers +5.5 | Top | 96-86 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
You best believe the minor injuries to Chris Paul and Blake Griffin aren't gonna slow them at home and their effectiveness. Game 3 on Saturday afternoon is particularly crucial for the Clippers because no team in NBA history has ever rallied from a 3-0 deficit to win a series. LA is at home where they played very good this season I believe in Clippers head coach Vinny Del Negro as his team will fight hard this afternoon.
Chris Paul will be much better at home as he only had 16 points and 13 turnovers in the first two games of this series. I expect him and the rest of the Clippers to bounce back here and the Clippers to get us the money. 10* NBA PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE YEAR! |
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05-18-12 | Boston Celtics v. Philadelphia 76ers -1.5 | Top | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
The Sixers will make adjustments from their previous game and get a win here in game 4. In game 3 they looked totally lost after the first quarter. The Sixers weren't hitting shots and the defense couldn't bail them out with key stops. Key Starters- Brand, Hawes and Evan Turner combined for only 11 points. They will play must better tonight! Collins showed the Sixers game film from the first half on Thursday and the reviews weren't pretty. What they saw was a team that never had a grip on their defensive assignments. The Sixers offered little resistance once Garnett got hot in the second quarter (13 points) with a flurry of 10- to 16-foot fadeaways and open jumpers. 'I never considered them old,' Collins said. 'They sure looked pretty young to me. Garnett's playing great.' Look for the Sixers at home to even up the series with a big win on Friday night. 5*
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05-17-12 | Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers +2 | Top | 75-94 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
The public thinks the HEAT will bounce back, but I like the Pacers at home. While the Heat have LeBron and Wade, the Pacers have the better 3-10 players and will use home court to steal game 3.
The Pacers seized the opportunity to take control of this series with an outright win in Game 2, in Miami, the overwhelming favorite to win the Eastern Conference now that the Chicago Bulls are out-of-the-way. The Pacers are well-rounded, more balanced team than the Heat, believe that, as they've had five players average double figures, with George Hill and Tyler Hansbrough close behind, contributing 9.6 and 9.3 points, respectively. And with Miami minus the services of Bosh |
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05-15-12 | Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat -6.5 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
Even without Chris Bosh I like the Miami Heat here. They played terrible in game 1 and still won by 9 points. The Heat didn't make a 3-point shot in that game and I expect a big shooting night for the Miami Heat on Tuesday from behind the arc. Look for big games from LeBron James and Dwyane Wade, who can get to the FT line whenever they want. Miami Heat coach Erik Spoelstra will make adjustments and the Heat at home should have no problem winning by 10+ here and they MUST WIN at home and go up 2-0 because the Pacers are tough in their building. 10* HEAVY HITTER!
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05-14-12 | Philadelphia 76ers +5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 82-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
The 76ers had the Celtics by the throat in game one but a late meltdown prevented Philly from gaining home court advantage. Jrue Holiday was 3-13 shooting and I expect a much better game from him tonight! Rondo and Garnett had huge games and I just dont see that again tonight!
During the regular season the Celtics finished 24th in offensive efficiency and dead last in field-goal attempts. Similar issues have continued into the playoffs too. In terms of rebounding, the 76ers have a huge advantage and a much better bench as well. The 76ers are a young, talented and energetic team that was better than Boston in game one outside of about a 6-minute stretch in the 4th. Play the 76ERS +4.5 to pull the upset on Monday in game 2. 10* NBA Diamond in the Rough. |
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05-13-12 | Indiana Pacers +8.5 v. Miami Heat | Top | 86-95 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
Miami won the regular-season series 3-1 but the Pacers got better each time, losing by 35, losing by 15, losing by just 2 in overtime on a buzzer-beater by Dwyane Wade, and finally winning outright by 15. Don
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05-11-12 | Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 90-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Los Angeles tries to close out the pesky Grizzlies and they may have to attempt to do it when not at full strength. Chris Paul aggravated a pulled groin and Blake Griffin just suffered a hyper flexed left knee. Both will likely play though. The Clippers only won one stanza in the loss on Wednesday and Memphis went back to what makes them tough, the down low guys. With their backs against the wall Memphis will goto their bigs as they were a plus 22 in points in the paint and Marc Gasol got the shots he needs to be effective as he was 8 for 14 and had a good all-around game. If O.J. Mayo has a bounce back game, he only had 6 points on Wednesday, Memphis should get the road win on Friday night as my UPGRADED 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK!
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05-09-12 | New York Knicks v. Miami Heat -10.5 | Top | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
New York saved a little face winning the last game to avoid a series sweep but that morale victory will lull them to sleep tonight. Losing Baron Davis, who played hard and well despite being banged up, is huge as his career may be over. There are too many injuries with the Knicks right now. Mike Bibby is old and his weaknesses at defense hurt the Knicks his advanced age. Miami covered the other two games in Florida in the series and expect a much better game from the Miami bench players this time. If Shane Battier again has problems guarding Carmelo, don
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