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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-26-13 | Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers +1.5 | Top | 114-96 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
Take Indiana plus the points here at home on Sunday night. The Bulls gave the Heat problems and this Pacers team is 3X better and healthier. Look for the Pacers to start strong on their homecourt and use their size advantage in the paint. Indiana gave up a ton of offensive rebounds to the Pacers and still won game 2. Indiana is a picture of great health with size and tall guards who can shoot, play physical and defend. Take the Pacers to get a win here at home in game 3. 5*
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05-24-13 | Indiana Pacers +7.5 v. Miami Heat | Top | 97-93 | Win | 100 | 2 h 6 m | Show |
5*
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05-19-13 | Memphis Grizzlies +4.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 83-105 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
Memphis Coach Lionel Hollins has his Grizzlies playing great basketball on both the offensive and defensive sides of the ball. The No. 5 seed in the West ousted first the Clippers, then the Thunder by winning eight of its last nine games, including three of four on the road. They have the 2 big guys inside and point guard Mike Conley doing it all as well. Conley is averaging a career-best 17.6 points while handing out 7.6 assists a game.
Memphis held teams to an NBA-low 89.3 points during the regular season, and the Spurs tied for third in defensive efficiency. The Grizzlies also were second defending the 3, which could slow down Parker and Ginobili. The Spurs took 3 of 4 during the regular season, but Memphis is playing their best ball right now and playing with confidence. I'll take the 5.5 pts with the Griz on Sunday afternoon. 5* |
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05-16-13 | Indiana Pacers v. New York Knicks -5 | Top | 75-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Carmello has shot and played awful in this series, but I expect the Knicks to show up tonight in this big game at home. The New York Knicks head coach Mike Woodson has talked extensively about how the Knicks have to start scoring more points. Look for Anthony, JR Smith, Jason Kidd, Novak to start hitting some shots and playing more aggressively. It's obvious that playing faster and making this more of an offensive contest is New York's game plan coming into this must-win game on Thursday night. Lets back the NY Knicks to get a double digit win here at home tonight! 10*
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05-13-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies | Top | 97-103 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
OKC didnt shoot well for the game from the field, FT line, or 3-pt land so I expect a much better performance from them tonight. Oklahoma City outrebounded Memphis 51-44 with a 14-5 edge on the offensive boards in game 3, and the Thunder also had a 44-30 edge on points in the paint so the Thunder have that edge and just have to shoot better. A team that ranked third in the NBA scoring at 105.7 points a game shot only 36.4 percent Saturday with Durant joining teammates in missing wide-open shots. Thunder coach Scott Brooks doesn't want his players worrying about the shots they missed and only about what they put up next.I expect Durant and OKC to bounce back in a big way tonight. 5*
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05-12-13 | San Antonio Spurs v. Golden State Warriors +2.5 | Top | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
Golden St did not shoot the ball like they normally do at home in game 3. Also, Klay Thompson, Curry, and Jack all shot the ball poorly in that game. Curry & Thompson combined to shoot 12-37 in that last game. The Warriors are 11-1 vs spread in last twelve games overall and I expect them to even up the series here on Sunday afternoon. Golden St is young and Mark Jackson will have his boys ready here today. 5*
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05-11-13 | New York Knicks v. Indiana Pacers -4 | Top | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
The Pacers had some intense practices this week after getting outscored 30-2 in the 2nd half of game two in NY. Its was the most lopsided playoff game since April 24, 1992. I expect them to be fully focused offensively and defensively. Amare Stoudemire hasn't played in an NBA game in more than two months and will now try to work his way back into game shape which I don't expect much from him.
Game 1 was not a fluke. The Pacers outworked and out-hustled the Knicks and clearly played better defense. Now the Pacers get to come back home where they play a lot better and catch a team that needed a HUGE, late 4th quarter run to win their last basketball game. The Pacers won their three home games in the first round by 18.3 points and have proven all regular season that they are one of the best home teams in the league. The Pacers team led the NBA in rebounding during the regular season and has been the best in the playoffs, too. Indiana head coach Frank Vogel said they will be focused on Saturday night and they will heighten their alertness on those guys. 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK |
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05-07-13 | Indiana Pacers +6 v. New York Knicks | Top | 79-105 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
The Indiana Pacers have a size advantage, youth, and speed in this matchup. Also NY is without big man Amare and also sharp shooter Steve Novak. The Pacers outrebounded the Knicks 44-30 on Sunday in their 102-95 victory in the opener of the second-round series and Indiana is one of the best teams in the league at guarding the perimeter and they have the big guys inside to stop the Knicks penetration. The Knicks are tough as home, but I expect a very tight game and I'll take the 6 pts with the Pacers here on Tuesday night.
5* |
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05-05-13 | INDIANA GM1 v. NEW YORK GM1 -5.5 | Top | 102-95 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
I'm backing the Knicks today as they are dominant at home, losing just 10 times at home this season while the Pacers aren't that great on the road. It wasn't until Game 5 that Indiana got back on track where they used that momentum to finally win a road game vs. A team they hadn't beaten the previous 13 times at their place. That might have changed the outcome, but it didn't change my opinion of Indiana. I still believe they have some holes and the Knicks are the type of team that can cause them fits if they don't play up to par. In the end, New York has the better scorers and is deeper and better overall, and they should win this game going away. Take the Knicks on Sunday afternoon. 5*
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05-02-13 | Brooklyn Nets +1.5 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 95-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Kirk Hinrich may not play again tonight for the Bulls and we have heard about Deron Williams' improved numbers when Hinrich is not on the floor. Jokim Noah is also banged up and the Bulls cannot stop Brook Lopez. The Nets have the better guard play and also the inside presence to score and rebound. Look for the Nets to send this game to a deciding 7th game in Brooklyn. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK!
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04-27-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Houston Rockets +1.5 | Top | 104-101 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
I am backing the Houston Rockets tonight because without Russell Westbrook the Thunder will be lost without their point guard on the floor tonight and a key defender. He constantly gets bashed in the media for taking too many shots, but the fact of the matter is the Thunder are better when he's being aggressive. Without Westbrook, the Thunder are going to get much fewer fast break opportunities. They will look to slow it down and run their offense through Kevin Durant almost every time down the floor. The old man Derek Fisher will be running the point guard mostly tonight, and he doesn't have the ability to push the tempo nor is he is game shape to play a lot of minutes. Houston is 11-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons and we'll take them tonight. 5*
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04-27-13 | INDIANA GM3 v. ATLANTA GM3 -2.5 | Top | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
The Atlanta Hawks are a much better team at home and they'll also play tougher defensively this evening.The Hawks are going to use 7-footer Johan Petro at center, which would have the ripple effect of moving Al Horford to power forward and Josh Smith to small forward, allowing 3-point specialist Kyle Korver to come off the bench. I think they'll play much better tonight and get the victory. 5*
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04-26-13 | New York Knicks v. Boston Celtics -2.5 | Top | 90-76 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
The Celtics are down 0-2 and finally getting to play at home where they are much better. In the first 2 games in NY the Celtics fell apart in the 2nd half of both games and Kevin Garnett was in early foul trouble. The Celtics are a terrible road team. They are much different and better at home. No team had more of a home-court advantage during the regular season than Boston, which had 13 more wins at home than on the road. The emotional aspect couldn't be higher for the Celtics and the people of Boston having gone through the traumatic bombing at the Boston Marathon and dealing with the aftermath. Look for a HUGE effort tonight for the home squad and the Celtics to get the win and cover.
10* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH! |
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04-25-13 | Brooklyn Nets +3.5 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 76-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
I love the Brooklyn Nets to win this game outright! The Bulls are banged up with no Rose still and Noah is very banged up. The Nets have the size inside and and Deron Williams and Joe Johnson are coming off an awful performance. I expect the both of them to be ready and focused tonight and the Nets to get us the money.
10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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04-23-13 | Milwaukee Bucks +14.5 v. Miami Heat | Top | 86-98 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
2 of the 3 meetings in Miami have been decided by 9 points or less so I like the Bucks here tonight to shoot the ball much better. This Milwaukee team cannot rebound well but either can the Heat. Look for this game to stay within 10 points so take the Bucks with the 14.5 points on Tuesday night. 5*
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04-22-13 | Chicago Bulls +5 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 90-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
NJ got out to a quick lead in game 1 and the Bulls had to change up their gameplan. The Bulls played horrible defense in that game and you can bet that they will be ready to play at that end of the floor tonight. This is a bulls team that ranked 3rd in scoring defense (92.9 ppg) and 9th in defensive FG% (44/3%), yet the Nets continued to get easy basket after easy basket. The Bulls WILL play much better defense in this one.
Chicago has covered the spread in 19 of the last 26 road games when the total posted is between 180 and 184.5 points and Chicago has covered the spread in 9 of the last 11 games after allowing 60 points or more in the 1st half of their previous game. TAKE THE BULLS plus the points in game 2 on Tuesday night. 10* NBA PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE WEEK |
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04-20-13 | Boston Celtics v. New York Knicks -7 | Top | 78-85 | Push | 0 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Melo needs this series more than anyone else out there on the court, and I expect him to light it up. Boston is a horrible team on the road, and not a very good team as it is with their injuries. Over their last 10 games on the road, they have only won 3 of their last 10, scoring less and defending even worse. The Knicks are a better team, without Amare, Melo can just be Melo, and the Knicks are a well oiled machine right now and especially at home. I'm going to lay the points here and back the Knicks. Ball control will be key here, and if New York can avoid turnovers, as I predict they will have no problem in Game 1 against Boston. 10*
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04-17-13 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Sacramento Kings +6.5 | Top | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
Sacramento's Mayor Kevin Johnson has done a tremendous job of building a team of ownership willing to give the fans their team back, yet the NBA leadership continues to drag their feet in the decision to permit the team to relocate in Seattle. Keith Smart has done a solid job with SAC and they have covered 4 of 5 and playing good ball. Sacramento is a respectable (8-10) in the last (18) games and this squad does own a winning record at home on the season. In the last month, the Kings have wins over the Bulls, Clippers, and Warriors. Sacramento can do two things really well: It runs a fast-paced offense and when the shots are falling, it is incredibly difficult to beat. The Kings also have one of the best rebounding teams in the league and that prowess allows them to hang around in games against superior teams. When both of those areas are on, the Kings are a tough out. This may be the final home game and regular season game for the KINGS and I expect them to play hard while the Clippers will be resting for the playoffs which begin this weekend. 10* NBA GAME OF THE YEAR!
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04-13-13 | Phoenix Suns +5 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | Top | 93-105 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
The Suns have been playing good ball over their last 6 games. The Wolves, are banged up and a terrible team and I expect the Suns to take advantage. I think the Suns have a major advantage with Morris and Scola inside along with Goran Dragic playing like he believes hes the best player on the team now. The T-Wolves played late last night in Utah plus had to travel and Minn doesnt have much of a home court advantage and there wont be many fans here tonight. Look for the SUNS to win outright on Saturday night.
10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK |
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04-08-13 | Michigan v. Louisville -4 | Top | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
The Michigan Wolverines and Louisville Cardinals will play for the NCAA Basketball Championship on Monday night. Louisville likes to push the tempo, but the Cardinals also have what is arguably the best defense in college basketball. Russ Smith and Peyton Siva are defensive pests on the perimeter, and there isn't a better defensive center in the nation than Gorgui Dieng. Dieng should make it tough for Mitch McGary to score down low in this one, and he'll cut down on Trey Burke's ability to penetrate. Louisville has won 15 straight games going 11-4 ATS in those games. They also have the nation's top defense, and 5th best offense. I like the Louisville Cardinals as I just don't see Michigan playing a perfect game like they did against Syracuse on Saturday.5*
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04-06-13 | Michigan -1.5 v. Syracuse | Top | 61-56 | Win | 100 | 22 h 58 m | Show |
Our 10* TOurnament Game of the Year is on MICHIGAN.
I think Michigan has the quick guards and inside presence to penetrate their matchup zone and score on them. Michigan is also a very good offensive and defensive rebounding team and will be able to break the Orange press. Look for Trey Burke to have a monster game as Syracuse hasn't faced a scorer quite like him. SYR hasn't played a great offensive team yet in the tournament facing MARQ- IND-CAL-Montana. Look for Michigan to get the win and get us the cash on Saturday night! |
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04-06-13 | Wichita State +10 v. Louisville | Top | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show |
Two teams those aren't afraid to hit the boards, especially the Shockers, with Carl Hall hitting the glass for 7 rpg. He can be a game changer and keep things close. The Shockers do not allow a lot off the offensive glass, which will keep things moving in their favor. . Malcolm Armstead will push the ball for the Shockers and keep Louisville on their heels. The Shockers are not here by accident, they took down the likes of Gonzaga and Ohio State, both games they dominated and they also defeated a good Pitt team in a tough first round draw. The Shockers are BETTER in these categories, 3 Point Shooting, Rebounding, Free Throws.
I'll take the underdog value with Wichita St here on Saturday evening. 5* |
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04-02-13 | Brigham Young +3.5 v. Baylor | Top | 70-76 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
This is a good opportunity for BYU to take it to the next level. This is a team that has been undervalued and given its Brandon Davies finishing out his career at BYU, this team is looking to send him out in style. Dave Rose's team won 26 games last year and 24 games this year, this team has trounced their opponents coming into this game. They beat Washington at home by 11, beat Mercer by 19 at home, went on the road to beat Southern Miss the number one seed in the tournament by 17 and now feature a top 25 team that takes care of the ball when it comes to turnover margin. On Tuesday night look for BYU to quite possibly win this game outright by frustrating the potent Baylor offense by slowing this game down and taking care of the ball. 5*
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03-31-13 | Michigan +2.5 v. Florida | Top | 79-59 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
Michigan will ride their momentum to another win here on Sunday. Michigan's McGary is averaging 19.3 points and 12.3 rebounds in three NCAA tournament games. Trey Burke is the leading candidate for Michigan and I expect another big game for him this afternoon. Burke went scoreless in the first half of Friday's overtime win over Kansas before erupting for 23 points after intermission.
Florida is 0-6 in games decided by single digits. And I expect this game to be tight, and for the Gators to panic down the stretch similar to their games against Butler and Louisville. Florida has not been challenged by anybody in this tournament playing a 14, 11, & #15 seed so far. Look for the Wolverines to advance behind Trey Burke, the Big Ten player of the Year and the big play from freshman McGary for Michigan with his hustle and rebounding. 5* |
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03-30-13 | Wichita State +4.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 70-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
Wichita State will try to force a speedy tempo on Ohio State, using its pressing defense and stellar rebounding to push the Buckeyes into uncomfortable situations. The Shockers are big and tough under the basket, and I think they get the upset here on Saturday. Wichita State has won three times impressively with wins over Pittsburgh, No. 1 seed Gonzaga and La Salle as have already proven they can play with the big boys. Take the underdog shockers here on Saturday night. 5*
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03-30-13 | Syracuse v. Marquette +4.5 | Top | 55-39 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
Fading a squad the next game after they just knocked off a #1 seed has been one of the strongest angles in this tournament over the years and it applies here with the Orange. Indiana missed their shots and Cody Zeller played his worst of the season. They had the same open shots they
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03-29-13 | Michigan +2 v. Kansas | Top | 87-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
10*
Michigan does not turn the ball over and I don't think Kansas matches up well aginast Michigan. Ball control will be domineering dominated in this game and Michigan as the better ball handlers. Both teams can put points up quickly as Michigan has been playing brilliant defense so far in the tournament. The Michigan Wolverines represent my strongest release of the entire 2013 NCAA Tournament Friday when they take on the Kansas Jayhawks in the Sweet 16. Kansas barely escaped with a 64-57 win over Western Kentucky as a 21-point favorite in the opening round and had erase a 9-point first half deficit against NC. Michigan is 7-1 ATS in all tournament games this season and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12 opponents. Lets play Michigan here on Friday night. |
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03-28-13 | Marquette v. Miami (Fla) -5.5 | Top | 71-61 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
This Marquette team indeed has some limitations offensively, partly caused by season-long spotty three-point shooting (still only 29.9% this season and a very so-so 9 for 27 in the Dance), which contributes to the stop/start appearance of its often tortured offensive sets. Now, the Golden Eagles are facing their most difficult Big Dance defensive challenge yet in Jim Larranaga
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03-27-13 | Brigham Young v. Southern Miss -5 | Top | 79-62 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
Southern Miss will be up to play BYU much more than BYU up to play Southern Miss. Southern Miss is the one seed in this tournament and rightfully so as this team is a top 60 team coached by Donnie Tyndall and they were basically a bucket away from playing in the NCAA Tournament giving Memphis all they can handle. This team has won 27 games this year and is highly athletic which is why they lost to Memphis in double overtime, lost to Arizona by 8 on the road and lost to New Mexico State by 8 on the road. This team is still very young outside of Davies who is their key senior. Southern Miss has a veteran team of upperclassman that are seniors and juniors such as Dwayne Davis, Michael Craig, Boardingham, Carey, Watson, Brooks and others. This game means something for this team to increase the visibility of this squad going to Madison Square Garden and to help in recruitment. We had them on Monday and I love them again tonight behind a solid crowd at home here with about 8,000 fans in a relatively tight gym that will be loud to cheer on their Eagles. The BYU Cougars have shown they can struggle on the road and they are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games. 5*
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03-25-13 | Louisiana Tech v. Southern Miss -7 | Top | 52-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
This Southern Mississippi team is a quality squad that is a top 40 offensive team that can really score the ball. S Miss is very good as they've won 26 ballgames this year. They were essentially in the tournament but gave up a lead to Memphis and lost to them in the conference championship in double overtime. They did not let that phase them too much as they have been able to produce a good result in the first game of their postseason birth by winning by 7 over Charleston Southern.
This is the same team that beat Georgia in overtime earlier this year, lost to Wichita State by 7 on the road, beat Western Kentucky, lost to Arizona by 8 on the road and lost to New Mexico State by 8 on the road. Louisiana Tech comes off a huge win over Florida State and I suspect they will not get up as much if you will to face Southern Miss on the road. Louisiana Tech is the same team that lost by 24 to Denver on the road, 18 to New Mexico State, 8 to McNeese State and 12 to Texas A&M. I like the fact that I like them to keep it rolling on Monday night! 10* NIT GAME OF THE YEAR! |
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03-24-13 | Creighton +6 v. Duke | Top | 50-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Doug McDermott does it all for Creighton. I dont think Duke will have an answer for him. Creighton proved against Cincinnati that more than one player can score on this team but if the Bluejays are going to beat Duke, they need McDermott to do what McDermott does with 24 pts and 12 rebounds. McDermott scored 27 points, grabbed 11 rebounds and made all 11 free throws to help Creighton beat Cincinnati 67-63 on Friday. This team plays well as a team and also plays solid defense. Creighton is 27-6 ATS in its last 33 Sunday Games and also 6-0 both SU and ATS in its last 6 games. In the final college game of the day, I am taking the points with the BlueJays. 10*
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03-24-13 | Fla Gulf Coast +7.5 v. San Diego St | Top | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
This Florida Gulf Coast team is the real deal having beaten Miami back in November- they have a cockiness about them, and San Diego State is fairly similar to Georgetown- athletic team that struggles to score, and I look for another close game here on Sunday evening. Take the points with Florida Gulf Coast. 5*
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03-24-13 | Minnesota v. Florida -7.5 | Top | 64-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
Minnesota's 83-63 win over crippled UCLA ended Gophers' losing skid at three games; they're 6-11 in last 17 games, after starting season 15-1, but are also #1 offensive rebounding team in country. Florida's FG% is 55.7%, #5 in country, so they're deep, athletic, get good shots. UCLA couldn't buy a bucket to save their lives, and that hurt them. Florida is a different team and should win here by dobule digits. Gators won last four games in second round, by 22-7-8-34 points. Florida beat Wisconsin by 18, only game they played vs Big Dozen squad. Take Florida here on Sunday evening. 10*
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03-23-13 | Wichita State v. Gonzaga -6.5 | Top | 76-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Take the Gonzaga Bulldogs over the Shockers. Gonzaga only has been giving up 59 points to opponents on a regular basis, which will likely be a chore against a team that can put points up on the board. Head coach Mark Few, will have the Dogs ready to show what they have in the tank after many doubters saw them almost fall to Southern. Gonzaga played awful on Thursday and their 3 bigguys struggled inside. I expect a much better effort today and Gonzaga to shoot much better. Look for GONZAGA to win by 10+.
5* |
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03-23-13 | Butler +1.5 v. Marquette | Top | 72-74 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
Rotnei Clarke is a one man wrecking crew who shoots the ball lights out adn can creating his own shot whenever he wants. Marquette will also have to maintain Andrew Smith of Butler who has quietly been a major story. He grabbed 16 board and scored 14 points against Bucknell. Butler is the more rounded team and can also knock down their FT's. As long as they don't turn the ball over, they should get a comfortable win here.
10* UNDERDOG SLAMMER |
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03-23-13 | Oregon v. St. Louis -3.5 | Top | 74-57 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
I am backing the ST Louis Billikins over the Ducks. STL is 16-1 their last 17 games and probably the hottest team in the country. They have size and length with their players and have a great passing game of both of these teams is tremendous, behind speedster, Domenic Artis and Jordair Jett for each team respectfully. They have very fundamental teams that get everyone involved. Dwayne Evans battling against Arsalan Kazemi will be exciting as both can hit the glass very well. With Kazemi keeping a close on the defensive boards, the Billikins will have some problems getting the shots up they want, but I believe in the adaptable play of Dwayne Evans and for St. Louis continue their hot play and get another win and cover. 5*
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03-23-13 | Virginia Commonwealth +3.5 v. Michigan | Top | 53-78 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
Fourth-seeded Michigan meets No. 5 Virginia Commonwealth on Saturday in an NCAA Tournament third-round game at Auburn Hills, Mich., that features two up-tempo, guard-oriented teams. VCU is very athletic and plays a great press defense and presses full court all game. VCU rattled Akron in its second-round matchup, forcing 21 turnovers and holding the Zips to 34.9 percent shooting and 1-of-13 from long range en route to an 88-42 rout. Coach Shaka Smart
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03-23-13 | Stanford v. Alabama -3.5 | Top | 54-66 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show |
Stanford did win it all last season in this tournament, but the schedule-makers did not do them any favors this season, as the Cardinal need to make the long trek to Tuscaloosa and they must also play this game at 9:00 am pacific coast time - which I feel will be pretty hard on their body clocks in the early stages of this contest. Anthony Grant's team looked pretty solid in their opening round win and cover over a tough Northeastern team, as the Tide beat back Northeastern by a 62-43 count which was good enough for the cover as the -11 point chalk. That win pushed 'Bama's home court record to a stellar 15-3 straight up. Look for the early start for the west coast team to take its toll somewhere along the line in this one, as Alabama moves on to the next round with the win and the cover. 5*
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03-22-13 | Minnesota v. UCLA +3 | Top | 83-63 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
Minny is not an elite team by any stretch but getting favorable treatment on this line because of their conference. You saw what Oregon did to Okie St last night. The PAC 12 is better than you think. The No. 6 UCLA Bruins should not be an underdog to the No. 11 Minnesota Golden Gophers. This is another case where the Big Ten is being overvalued simply because almost everyone is proclaiming it as the best conference in the country. Minnesota went just 8-11 in all Big Ten games this season and still made the NCAA Tournament. This team was so inconsistent all year with losses to the likes of Northwestern, Iowa, Nebraska and Purdue within the conference. UCLA was solid on the road and is a tough team. They have plenty of talent as the Bruins went 25-9 this season, including 13-5 in the improved Pac-12 to capture the regular season title. This is a team that beat Missouri out of conference, and other NCAA Tournament contenders Cal, Colorado, and Arizona (three times) within the Pac-12.
Some trends to consider that Minnesota is 1-14 ATS in road games after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less since 1997. The Gophers are 0-6 ATS in road games after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season. The Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. These three trends combine for a 24-1 system backing the Bruins. 10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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03-22-13 | Iowa State v. Notre Dame +1 | Top | 76-58 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
The Cyclones average only 13 turnovers per game but they do not shoot the ball well from the outside. The Irish average 10 takeaways per game, have a better rebounding team and knock down their FT's/ Look for ND to notch the win here on Friday night! 5*
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03-22-13 | Cincinnati v. Creighton -3 | Top | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
The 10th-seeded Bearcats are in trouble when they face Creighton and Doug McDermott. He is one of the best pure shooters in the nation. McDermott has busted out of the mostly unknown mid-major sharp shooters to lead the Bluejays (27-7) into the national rankings and a No. 7 seed in the NCAA tournament. Creighton's opponents have tried to design defenses to curb his production but haven't had much success. He won Missouri Valley Conference player of the years honors for the second straight season and became Creighton's career leading scorer. He scored 41 points on 15 of 18 shooting against fellow tournament team Wichita State and is averaging 23.1 points. McDermott is creative when it comes to working for position in the post, and he's always among the first players down the court in transition. Overall the defenses are similiar here, but Creighton is the much better offensive team. 10* ODDSMAKER MISTAKE!
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03-21-13 | New Mexico State +10 v. St. Louis | Top | 44-64 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
Besides Bhullar, a freshman from Canada who is 7-foot-5 and 355 pounds, the two-time defending Western Athletic Conference champion Aggies (24-10) also have forwards Renaldo Dixon (6-foot-9) and Bandja Sy (6-foot-8). Together the trio has helped New Mexico State pile up a school-record 186 blocked shots. New Mexico St is a very big and physical team who matches up well with STL. New Mexico State will keep this one close throughout and I'll gladly take the 9.5 points in the underdog spot here on Thursday afternoon.
10* |
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03-20-13 | Detroit +4 v. Arizona St | Top | 68-83 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
The Titans (20-12) are an outstanding offensive team that is 23rd in the nation in Offensive Efficiency. Point guard Ray McCollum runs the show and he does a great job of protecting the basketball as Detroit turns the ball over in only 15.3% of their possessions which is 3rd best in the nation. This translates into effective play on the road. Arizona State is 15-4 on their home court this season but the Titans have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Wildcats limp into the NIT having lost five of their last six games. Take the points with the more motivated Titans team on Wednesday night. 5*
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03-18-13 | New York Knicks v. Utah Jazz -10 | Top | 90-83 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
This has been a more than miserable road trip for the New York Knicks. At least it's one game from being over. With their Atlantic Division lead dwindling, the injury-riddled Knicks will play again tonight without Carmello and Tyson Chandler. On this road trip they are averaging only 81.8 points -- 17 below its season average and now face a Utah Jazz team who they just played 10 days ago and were showing off and running up the score with dunks and 3-pointers. New York also is still without Amare Stoudemire, who will be sidelined at least six more weeks after recently undergoing surgery on his right knee.
The Jazz have bounced back to win two of three -- both at home -- since losing in New York and continue to battle the Los Angeles Lakers for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Gordon Hayward led five players in double figures with 17 points in his first start since November, helping Utah to a 90-84 victory over Memphis on Saturday. Mo Williams had 13 points and six assists in his sixth game since missing 32 with torn ligaments in his shooting hand. Look for UTAH to get their revenge tonight with a monster win over the punchless Knicks. 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK |
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03-17-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Dallas Mavericks +5 | Top | 107-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
I have had some tremendous success backing the Dallas Mavs this year. The last time I gave them to you they were getting eight points at San Antonio and nearly won the game as a three-point attempt by Vince Carter rolled around and out as the Mavs lost by one. They covered vs. Milwaukee a few nights earlier. Tonight they face another top team in the west, but they are more than familiar with the OKC Thunder... their brothers to the north. OKC has won all three games vs. Dallas this year so they are playing with triple revenge today, but the first two went to overtime with OKC eventually winning but Dallas covering.
Tonight's season finale in Dallas is a HUGE game for the Mavs if they want to keep their slim playoff hopes alive. Dallas has been playing their best basketball of the season by getting some great minutes from their bench. Even if Shawn Marion doesn't play tonight, the Mavs will be deeper than OKC and with the urgency of a playoff berth on the line, I expect the Mavs to challenge for the outright win here at home and I'll back Dallas +5 on Sunday evening. |
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03-16-13 | Butler v. St. Louis -4 | Top | 56-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
Saint Louis is red hot as is evident by having won 13 of their L/14 games. They owned Butler in two meetings this season, winning 75-58 at home then coming in as road dog and taking out a Bulldogs team that was playing with revenge by a 65-61 count! Here on a neutral court, environment nothing is likely to change and STL will have too much size and power inside in the paint. STL Billikens are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 I like STL this afternoon. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK
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03-15-13 | UTEP +3 v. Southern Miss | Top | 67-85 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
I really like the miners here on Friday afternoon. UTEP is the bigger and more experienced team, and it is easier to slow a game down rather than speed one up, and I beleive they'll get the outright win in this one. They only scored 39 points in their first meeting and I expect a much stronger effort here today! 5*
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03-15-13 | Tennessee -1.5 v. Alabama | Top | 48-58 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 38 m | Show |
5*
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03-15-13 | Butler v. La Salle +1.5 | Top | 69-58 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
I like LaSalle this afternoon. The Butlers starters played a ton of minutes yesterday and also shot the ball ver well to sneak out a 6 pt win. La Salle is a hot and focused ball club who is very fast and these type of teams give Butler problems. These Explorers are 21-8, 11-5 A-10 AND ARE VERY WELL COACHED. La Salle shoots the 3 ball & defends the three point field goal percentage defense @ (.303). In addition, the Explorers come in with a 3.17 turnover margin, good for 22nd nationally. Take LaSalle here on Friday. 5*
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03-14-13 | Arizona St +5 v. UCLA | Top | 75-80 | Push | 0 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
Arizona State freshman Jahii Carson is averaging 18.3 points for the season -- and posted a career-high 34 points in his team's tournament opener against Stanford. Although the Sun Devils limped into the postseason, losing their last four regular-season games, they match up well against the Bruins. ASU routed UCLA 78-60 in Tempe in January. And the Bruins needed overtime to prevail at Pauley Pavilion last month. Arizona St is hungry and this is their only hope to make the Big Dance. Take ARZ ST plus the points here Thursday afternoon. 10*
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03-14-13 | Dayton +4.5 v. Butler | Top | 67-73 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
4*
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03-13-13 | Marshall +3 v. Tulane | Top | 64-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
3*
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03-13-13 | Mississippi State +6 v. South Carolina | Top | 70-59 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
Mississippi State has been playing a lot better coming into this tournament. Rick Ray's team has come around lately as after two horrendous losses to Kentucky and Vanderbilt this team showed a great deal of pride in their last several games. This includes a big win over top 50 Ole Miss at home which was a monster win for a team that is outside the top 200falling short to South Carolina on the road by 7 points (after beating them by 2 points at home) and beating Auburn at home in overtime.
SC is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games when facing teams with a winning percentage of less than 40% and the Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when they face teams with a straight up losing record. Look for a tight game here and I'll take the points with MISS ST on Wednesday night. 5* |
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03-13-13 | Oregon State +6 v. Colorado | Top | 68-74 | Push | 0 | 2 h 25 m | Show |
4*
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03-12-13 | Seattle -3 v. Texas State | Top | 56-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Seattle U has a balanced attack and plays better defense here. Its very hard to beat a team 3 times in a season as Texas State won the 2 previous games this year. Seattle is a team that has good senior leadership and it is very difficult for a team to lose to another team 3 straight times without a cover. I like Seattle here on Tuesday night minus the 3 points.
5* |
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03-11-13 | South Carolina State +13 v. Morgan State | Top | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
South Carolina State is a 6-23 team coached by Tim Carter. They are led by Chasen Campbell who is a junior and a slew of other upperclassman in Toombs, Hezekiah and Adams. Given that senior leadership is always important in tournament play, it is worthwhile to have that as they face a good Morgan State team. The last time these two teams hooked up, South Carolina State hung in there and lost by 16 points on the road. This is a team that comes off a win against Delaware State and they will use that as a catalyst as they move into the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Tournament.
I like South Carolina State here on a neutral court to hang tough with the 13.5 points. |
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03-10-13 | Indiana v. Michigan -1.5 | Top | 72-71 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
The Wolverines, who shared the regular-season title with the Buckeyes and Spartans last season, are a PERFECT 17-0 at home this season. Michigan is very good at home led by Trey Burke (19.1 points, 6.9 assists) is averaging 24 points and shooting 52.1 percent from the floor over his last five games. He became only the fourth Wolverine to post more than 200 assists in a season in last Sunday
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03-09-13 | Portland State +3.5 v. Idaho State | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
5*
These Idaho State Bengals are a 3.5 chalk and they are a poor prop as a home favorite .... #'s are Bengals are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 & Bengals are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Port Vikings are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. PORTLAND STATE WINS OUTRIGHT! |
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03-09-13 | South Carolina v. Vanderbilt -8.5 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 0 m | Show |
4*
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03-08-13 | Indiana St +2.5 v. Evansville | Top | 51-50 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
Indiana St just lost to Evansville in their last game by 16 points and now have revenge fresh on their minds. Manny Arop is back and he makes a HUGE difference for them. They are a very talented team and always play well as the underdog. Indiana St wins this one this afternoon. 5*
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03-07-13 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State -4.5 | Top | 43-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
After watching Wisconsin somehow find a way to lose AT HOME vs. Purdue over the weekend, I have to wonder how focused they'll be in this tough road game at Michigan State who is also off a loss. In fact, Michigan State has dropped their last three conference games after playing some of their best basketball in early February. After beating Michigan, Purdue, Illinois and Minnesota all by double digits in convincing fashion, the Spartans have dropped decisions at home vs. Indiana, at Ohio State and at Michigan... yet they still find themselves in solid position for a top 4 seed in the Big 10 tourney.
Defense, rebounding, and free throws seem to be the key to the Spartans success again this year, and when they put those three things together, they're hard to beat especially at home. With conference tourney time right around the corner, I expect both teams to come out swinging, but in the end the Mich St Spartans are too tough at home and should win this one by 8-12 points. 5* |
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03-05-13 | Denver Nuggets v. Sacramento Kings +5 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
I think Sacramento probably wins this game Outright and we are getting 5 points here. Having said that, I think they will be an Outright underdog as Sac is very tough at home and Denver likes to run and gun and struggles on the road. Denver is 26-3 at home and, they are a 13-19 away from home and this includes a series of losses of late to Brooklyn, Washington, Toronto and Boston. But, if the Kings can push Denver here and I think they can, given the revenge they have from losing 121-93 earlier this year on the road, given that Denver comes off a revenge win against Atlanta and could be in for a let down here along with the public 80% on the Nuggets. Play the KINGS! 5*
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03-04-13 | Orlando Magic +9.5 v. New Orleans Hornets | Top | 105-102 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
Even with a key piece of their frontcourt out due to injury, the New Orleans Hornets remained competitive at home in their latest victory. The Hornets have also lost Jason Smith for the rest of the season with a torn labrum in his right shoulder. The reserve center was averaging 8.2 points and 3.6 boards off the bench. I think these 2 teams are evenly matched and the Magic will have an edge inside and on rebounding.
Arron Afflalo and E'Twaun Moore each had 12 points in a 108-82 loss to Memphis on Sunday, while trade-deadline acquisition Tobias Harris finished with just six on 3-of-14 shooting. Harris had averaged 20.0 points on 69.6 percent shooting in his first four games with Orlando. Jameer Nelson, meanwhile, is a game-time decision after missing his sixth straight on Sunday with a bruised knee. In their last visit to New Orleans last year they were held to a franchise low 67 points in the game and I expect them to be ready tonight! Take the points here with the Magic on Monday night. 5* |
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03-04-13 | New York Knicks v. Cleveland Cavaliers +3 | Top | 102-97 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
4*
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03-03-13 | Virginia Cavaliers -4 v. Boston College | Top | 52-53 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Joe Harris is averaging 22.6 ppg over the last 9 for Virginia and playing great ball right now. Virginia is off a HUGE win over Duke, but I think they'll be focused today and already beat BC this year. Virginia is playing their best ball of the season and they will make a strong push into March Madness and I like Virginia to sweep the season series and you can watch and win with this TV Winner. I look for another BC loss by 10+ at home in front of very few fans or family members. Donahue is terrible and very little talent at on this BC team. 10* SLAMMER!
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03-03-13 | Manhattan +7.5 v. Loyola Md | Top | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 1 h 53 m | Show |
This is a game that Manhattan could win Outright. Manhattan has reeled off 7 of 9 victories in conference play and that have done with a stifling defense that ranks top 60 in the nation in most categories. This is the same team that held Fairfield to 31 points at home. Look for Manhattan to hang tough here on the road with this early tipoff on Sunday. 5*
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03-02-13 | Vanderbilt -1.5 v. Auburn | Top | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
It took Kevin Stallings a while, but Vandy finally looks like a respectable outfit, with SU wins in four of its last six after being strafed by graduation and early defections from LY
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03-02-13 | Memphis -7 v. Central Florida | Top | 76-67 | Win | 100 | 1 h 55 m | Show |
Memphis is a solid all around team and is 24-4 on the season this year. They are one of the best mid-major teams in the country, and I think they are going to win this game going away. Memphis beat Central Florida by 22 points at home back on Feb. 13. Just because UCF is home, I don't think the result is going to be all that much different. Memphis is coming off a tough loss at Xavier. Memphis will press them the entire game and get some easy buckets. 5*
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02-26-13 | Memphis v. Xavier +5 | Top | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
Xavier can play pretty loose, knowing they're expected to lose and having nothing to lose. I can see a potential letdown for Memphis after beating Southern Miss on the road, and cannot see where they've really beaten (OTHER than Southern Miss) a decent opponent on the road. We all know the Tigers will play fast, but what's interesting is that Xavier has had success against up-tempo teams, such as Duquesne, Dayton, and Temple, so winning here is not at all out of the question. They've got the height advantage, and this one comes down to turnovers and pace. BOTH teams have struggled to protect the ball, and if Xavier can handle the pressure defense Memphis will throw at them, they have every reason to win the game. Xavier does offensive rebound well which may limit the fast break points the Tigers are used to getting, and neither team is all that sharp from the FT line. Xavier as the home dog gets my call. 5*
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02-25-13 | Villanova -4.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 65-66 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
This is a game that Villanova can win going away. This is a team desperately in need of this win for a Big Dance bid and these are the type of contests that they have to win heading into March. This team still plays in arguably the best college ball conference in America and stands tall at 18-10 and 9-6 in conference play. Getting double-digit wins in Big East play is a big deal and this puts them at 10-6. These two teams have not met this year but do note that this team is now 5-1 of late in conference play and this team has not lost to a team outside the top 100 since December 1st. So, the contests such as Rutgers, Depaul, Delaware, South Florida are all comparable games to this contest against Seton Hall. Combine that with big wins against UConn, Syracuse, Louisville and Marquette and you have a fairly dynamic team playing well as they hook up against Seton Hall today who is outside the top 100. Seton Hall has lost 9 straight conference games and it seems that they very well might have packed it in for the season and with Villanova with much to play coming into this game, don't be surprised to see Villanova pick off this game on the road and win handily by double digits. 5*
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02-23-13 | Missouri +2.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 83-90 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
Saturday night I play the Missouri Tigers minus the low number against the Kentucky Wildcats. I know the Gameday crew is in Lexington, and this game is being hyped pretty big, but the 'Cats are struggling and could suffer an embarrassing home loss here. I know Missouri (19-7, 8-5 SEC) is making its first-ever trip to Rupp Arena, with it being just one win from its 20th victory of the season, I think we're going to see the Tigers out to make a statement tonight. This one is going to be won in the paint, as Mizzou continues to be one of the country
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02-21-13 | Utah v. Colorado -12.5 | Top | 50-60 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Look for Colorado to step-up and in particularly coming off a loss as well look for them to step at home. Tad Boyle's team is 17-8 and the last time they lost, they went on the road to defeat Oregon Outright by a point. This team beat Arizona by 13 and Stanford by 21 so they are certainly capable of beating Utah by double-digits. I have them winning by 18+ this evening for the cover. Utah is still a very young team and if they can lose by 18 to Oregon State, they can certainly look to lose by a similar margin here against Colorado who has revenge. 5*
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02-20-13 | Kansas +1 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
Grab Kansas on the road here tonight. I like Kansas who plays the better Defense and rebounding better to make a STATEMENT tonight. In their last meeting OKL ST players were celebrating and showing off after defeating Kansas. We don't usually factor in the revenger play but the Jayhawks have this one circled. Oklahoma State ended Kansas' 33-game home-court winning streak with an 85-80 win Feb. 2 in Allen Fieldhouse. They will be motivated and fired up and KU also leads the league in rebounding margin at +6.0 and scoring over their opponents by 13ppg. TAKE KANSAS here. 10* GAME OF THE MONTH!
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02-18-13 | Hofstra v. Drexel -12.5 | Top | 54-63 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
The Dragons (10-15, 6-7 CAA) are coming in looking to avenge a Valentine's Day loss in the DAC, as they dropped a 68-62 decision to George Mason last Thursday. And I think Drexel will be coming in pissed off after it held a slim margin for a majority of the game, but couldn't extend the lead past eight points, eventually handing the lead over to Mason midway through the second half. The game, which featured nine ties and seven lead changes, was back and forth until the Patriots went ahead for good on a late 3-pointer with 1:57 left in the game. Tonight won't even be half as close, as the Dragons take on a struggling Hofstra team that will be playing its third road game in its last four outings. I like Drexel here at home tonight is get a big comfortable win. 5*
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02-17-13 | Louisville -14 v. South Florida | Top | 59-41 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
Sunday's 5* play is the Cardinals over the Bulls. The Bulls are a team that lacks a large amountof scoring and an offensive punch. Their poor play has been consistent, and it won't be stopping here against the Cardinals. Louisville can put up pts and they will hang a ton on the Bulls, Russ Smith is a tough issue, although a volume SCorer, he will get his shots and will eventually put points on the board. Look ofr Louisville to use their size and speed to force turnovers and Louisville to pull away in the 2nd half.
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02-17-13 | Ohio State +4.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 49-71 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
With Indiana and Michigan State seemingly in the driver's seat in the conference, it's a three-team race for the #3 seed... and while Michigan (8-4 in Big 10) is expected to pummel Penn State today, the winner of this game will stay in a tie with the Wolverines for third place and the loser will drop down to a possible tie for fifth. To beat the Badgers, Ohio State knows they must dictate the tempo and never relinquish it. In their 58-49 win over Wisconsin in Columbus a few weeks ago, Ohio State fell into Wisky's pace for much of the game, and found themselves in a back-and-forth affair much of the night. But when they started pressing and then pushing the pace in the final few minutes, the Buckeyes were able to open up an 11-point lead in less than two minutes. Deshaun Thomas is also a key for this offense, as he's proven in the past that he isn't bothtered by Wisconsin's defense, averaging 14 PPG against them. OSU coming off some tough losses to top end teams, will drive them harder. They are a top notch team with great scoring ability. They also don
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02-16-13 | Duke v. Maryland Terrapins +4.5 | Top | 81-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Duke is clearly one of the top teams in the country, but little has come easy on the road for the No. 1 team in the land. The Blue Devils have losses by 8 and 27 points at NC State and Miami. They won easily at Florida State but were fortunate to escape with wins at Wake Forest and Boston College, defeating them by 5 points and one-point, respectively.
Maryland has been dominant at home where it is 14-2 this season and a 20-point loss to the Dukies at Cameron in the season's first meeting can't be sitting well. The Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-11 ATS in their last 16 versus ACC foes. The Terrapins are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home. Look for Maryland to give Duke all it wants and more today so we'll take the 5.5 points here with Maryland on Saturday night. 10* Underdog Game of the Month |
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02-16-13 | Notre Dame v. Providence -1.5 | Top | 54-71 | Win | 100 | 1 h 38 m | Show |
It was seven days ago that Notre Dame locked horns with Louisville in a five-overtime classic that saw the Irish come back from the dead to win outright as the home underdog. Notre Dame is just 3-7 versus the number overall their last ten games.
Providence is just 13-11 for the year, but the Friars are proving to be a "tough out" in conference play as we head down the stretch, winning and covering their last three, while going 8-4 versus the number in Big East play thus far this year. They are very tough at home and I like them in this early tip-0ff Saturday. Series history shows the Friars having covered the last pair and four the last six overall versus the Irish. Take Providence here. 5* |
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02-12-13 | Houston Rockets v. Golden State Warriors -4.5 | Top | 116-107 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
The Warriors have lost 4 in a row (3 of those were ugly) but all 4 were on the road and were played in a 5 day span. They have had 2 days to regroup and will be lacking no motivation as an embarrassing 140-109 loss at Houston started their skid. In that game Houston kept firing up 3-pt shots while being up by 30 points trying to break a record. Mark Jackson was not happy at all with them. Golden State is 22-11 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. It is also on a 42-24 ATS run in home games when out for revenge for a road blowout loss of 20 points or more to an opponent. The Rockets had 9 different players make a 3-pt shot in that game and Golden St will be focused tonight! The Rockets are 0-8 ATS this season in road games after allowing 100 points or more in 2 straight games. They have lost by an average of 12.3 points in this spot. 10* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH
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02-10-13 | UL - Monroe v. UL - Lafayette -8 | Top | 66-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Today we will lay it here as these Cajans were embarrassed by the Troy squad last outing. The Rajin Cajuns are winners of 46 of the first 65 meetings, including a 28-3 record in games played in Lafayette. Louisiana leads the Sun Belt this year in scoring with an average of 70.5 points per game and Ul Monroe just a very weak ball club. Expect a major double digit win for UL LAFF here. 5*
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02-09-13 | Louisville -5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 101-104 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
I have watched the slow-footed Irish this season, and they just don't matchup well when they take on teams that like to get after it, and Louisville surely qualifies as a team that likes to "get after it" Louisville just crushed Rutgers on Wednesday night by 20 points to improve to 11-4 against the spread on the road their last 15 away games. Since their 3 game losing streak, the Cardinals have come back to win their last 3, covering in their last pair.
Notre Dame is off a road loss at Syracuse that snapped their 3 game winning streak, but they Irish are just 5-8 versus the spread in their lined home games this season, and they have dropped 5 of the last 8 series meetings versus the Cardinals. I fully expect the Redbirds to be too much for the Irish when this one is completed. Strong play on Louisville here as they'll cause turnovers and get a lot of easy baskets. 10* College Game of the Week |
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02-09-13 | Georgetown v. Rutgers +5.5 | Top | 69-63 | Loss | -106 | 1 h 47 m | Show |
4*
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02-08-13 | Brooklyn Nets v. Washington Wizards | Top | 74-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
Washington, though, has proven plenty formidable against stiff competition, with nine of its wins against teams currently over .500 and four victories over division leaders. Having gotten the best of Miami and Oklahoma City earlier this season, the Wizards beat the Los Angeles Clippers 98-90 on Monday. Washington then snapped New York's five-game winning streak two nights later with a 106-96 victory. The Wizards went a combined 18 for 32 (56.3 percent) from 3-point range in those back-to-back wins and are averaging 101.5 points -- 10.2 more than their NBA-worst overall mark -- during their 7-1 stretch at home. Washington scored a season-high 36 points in the fourth quarter against the Knicks. Head coach Randy Wittman has the team playing well on both ends of the court.
Washington is playing great ball right now behind John Wall, Nene and Trevor Ariza. The Wizards play defense too and have a balanced attack. They are also 7-1 their last 8 at home and looking to make a run here in the 2nd half of the season. I like Washington here at home Friday night. 10* SLAMMER |
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02-06-13 | UAB v. Tulsa -3 | Top | 70-63 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
Tulsa is led by former Kansas great Danny Manning. He served as an Assistant Coach at Kansas for quite some time and finally got a shot at Tulsa. His team is 4-4 in conference play and as they come off getting routed by Memphis on the road by 30 points and losing a tight game to Southern Miss by 3 points, this is an opportunity for this team to bounce-back at home. This team just faced two teams in the top 50 in the power rankings and that is why they come off those losses but as they return to face a team outside the top 170 that should work to their favor for the win today.
UAB lost to Houston by 5 points on the road who is outside the top 200 so as they face a team who is essentially top 150 when considering the splits not a bad opportunity for us to take Tulsa coming off one of the worst losses of the year and I like them to rebound here at home on Wednesday night. 5* |
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02-06-13 | Houston Rockets v. Miami Heat -8 | Top | 108-114 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
Houston is coming off a monster game in which they shot lights out and scored 140 points. They also made 23 three-pt shots in that game tying a record as 8 players scored in double figures and 9 different players made a 3-pt FG in the game. Look for the Miami Heat to put the clamps down and take care of business tonight as it wouldn't surprise me if Houston is ice cold shooting tonight and the Heat win by 20.
10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK |
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02-05-13 | Villanova v. DePaul +3 | Top | 94-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Oliver Purnell's team is 1-7 in conference play and although that looks disappointing, if you look at the actual games and the splits you can tell this team is improving. This is a team that lost in overtime to Notre Dame, lost to overtime against St. John's and lost to Cincinnati by 5 points. Villanova had a pair of huge wins over Syracuse and Louisville both at home but have lost their last two games to Notre Dame and Providence. This is one of the bigger public fades on the board as well and though Villanova is a very good team they are outside the top 300 when it comes to turnover percentage and Depaul is top 160 in turnover margin and also a decent defense at top 120. If Depaul can keep this a half-court game, I suspect the edge goes to the home team here who could win this game outright. 5*
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02-05-13 | Youngstown State -2 v. Cleveland State | Top | 60-66 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Youngstown State is a team that is top 70 in turnover margin which is one of my favorite categories to keep tabs with. This team comes off a tough loss to Detroit on the road but still sits at 5-4 in conference play. State is a squad that does well against teams outside the top 200 on the road including beating Bowling Green 58-49 earlier in the year and Bethune Cookman 67-51. I like the small favorite to do well here on the road and pull away in the 2nd half. 5*
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02-03-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. San Francisco 49ers -3.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -109 | 53 h 52 m | Show |
In the SUPER BOWL I am going with the SF 49ers over BALTIMORE.
The Niners have been building this team for this very moment that fell apart late last year vs the NYG. Don |
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02-02-13 | Michigan +4.5 v. Indiana | Top | 73-81 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
I believe that Michigan is the best team in the country and worthy of its No. 1 ranking. That's why I'll back them as an underdog against Indiana Saturday night in a game I believe they should be favored in. Michigan's only loss this season came at Ohio State by a mere 3 points. Indiana has already been beaten on its home floor by Wisconsin, while also losing to Butler on a neutral court. Michigan is 8-0 ATS versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The Hoosiers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. 5*
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02-02-13 | Chicago Bulls v. Atlanta Hawks -7 | Top | 93-76 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
10* NBA Game of the Week:
Atlanta is very good at home with a 16-7 record and are also playing with 40 point revenge from an earlier beatdown just last month against the Bulls where they were embarrassed on offense and defense! Expect a HUGE effort tonight from the home Atlanta Hawks and with Rose still outalong with Noah and Boozer doubtfulthe Hawks should blast the Bulls in a big way. |
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02-02-13 | Rhode Island v. Butler -15.5 | Top | 68-75 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Butler will be one angry team when it hosts Rhode Island in Atlantic 10 play on Saturday afternoon. The No. 10 Bulldogs were routed 75-58 by Saint Louis on Thursday in an extremely one-sided contest with 20 turnovers and they shot poorly.
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01-31-13 | Dallas Mavericks +3 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 97-100 | Push | 0 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Golden St returns home after a road trip and with this line it appears to me that oddsmakers don't expect Stephen Curry to play, which is a huge loss for Golden State. The Warriors could also be without a couple other key rotation players in Harrison Barnes and Carl Landry, who are both listed as questionable. Dallas has been playing much better of late with Dirk back, but they continue to fly under the radar due to their poor start. Without Curry I really like Dallas to win this game outright and if it becomes official that he is out, this will be a much stronger play than a 5*.
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01-31-13 | Connecticut v. Providence +1.5 | Top | 82-79 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
Providence is not getting much love from the public besides being a small home underdog and having some quality players. Ed Cooley's team is 10-10 this year and 2-6 in conference play thus far. But, Providence has been able to show some bite at home including beating a very good Villanova team by 4 points at home, only losing to Syracuse by 6 points at home and losing to Pitt by 4 points at home. This is a team that has great size and is top 40 when it comes to offensive rebounding. Providence has the size inside and is more aggressive on the rebounding end. 10*
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01-30-13 | Kent State v. Northern Illinois +6 | Top | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Northern Illinois is pissed as they set a record and only scored 4 pts in the first half of their last game and was 1/31 shooting from beyond the arc. Now they return home after getting embarrassed and I expect a much better effort tonight here at home and to bounce back with an outright win.
10* Small School Game of the Year |
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01-29-13 | NC State v. Virginia Cavaliers -3 | Top | 55-58 | Push | 0 | 1 h 32 m | Show |
NC State just faced NC and won, but NC doesn't play defense. NC State is in a fairly tough scheduling spot. They're off a rivalry game win over North Carolina, and a trip to Miami for a clash with the conference-leading Hurricanes is on deck. Virginia plays a style that we've already seen can frustrate what is a high octane Wolfpack squad that wants to play at a fast pace. Very athletic teams often get overly impatient when facing deliberate squads like the Cavaliers, and that's especially so on the road. The style and the spot both look to be favoring Virginia tonight, as they'll want to knock off the Nationally ranked NC St squad on ESPN. I like Virginia by 8-13 points here at home.
10* |
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01-28-13 | Pittsburgh +6.5 v. Louisville | Top | 61-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
Pitt doesn't turn the ball over and they are playing their best ball of the year right now. Its a punch in their face that they aren't even ranked. Pittsburgh ranks among the nation's leaders with only 10.4 turnovers per game even after finishing with a season-worst 18 on Saturday. Even though they had 18 turnovers, they still won by 38 points.
The Panthers use a balanced scoring attack, with no one averaging more than forward Talib Zanna's 11.5 points. Trey Zeigler scored a season-high 18 off the bench Saturday. Look for a very close game and Pittsburgh with a great chance to pull the upset win on the road so take the +6.5 with the Panthers. 10* ESPN TV GAME OF THE MONTH |
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01-26-13 | Maryland Terrapins v. Duke -11.5 | Top | 64-84 | Win | 100 | 1 h 0 m | Show |
I've never seem DUKE play like that in all my years of watching college basketball. They were routed, 90-63, at #25 Miami, and didn't look anything like the #1 team in the country. But you ask Coach K or the players and you'd think they have completely forgotten about it. They didn't play well, Miami played nearly perfect, and it was nearly a 30-point beatdown. Believe it or not, the Devils shot a season-low 27% from the field in the loss and have done nothing but shoot the basketball over the last 24-48 hours. And today is the perfect prescription for what ails Duke... Maryland.
Maryland is not only bad on the road, they're flat out terrible at Duke. They've lost 14 of 16 true road games overall and have dropped 17 straight away from home againsst Top 25 teams. Duke is 10-0 in home games, and believe it or not, they have won 9 of those 10 by 13 points or more. Look for DUKE to win and win big on Saturday afternoon. 10* GAME OF THE MONTH! |
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01-25-13 | San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks +1 | Top | 113-107 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Dallas is 5-1 their last 6 and have Dirk back in their lineup while the Spurs will be without Tim Duncan tonight who is OUT with a sore knee. The Mavs have 5 days to prepare for this game and also playing with double revenge this year and also healthy. Expect Dirk, Marion, Mayo and Carter to all come up big tonight on this ESPN National TV GAME. 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK
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01-24-13 | Virginia Commonwealth v. Richmond +8.5 | Top | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
Richmond has won three of five, including a 81-61 rout over a 15-win Charlotte team on Saturday, since leading rebounder and second-leading scorer Derrick Williams went down with an ankle injury on Dec. 29. Darien Brothers has helped carry the load, leading the team in scoring (16.2) and ranking near the top of the nation in 3-point percentage (50.9) after scoring a career-high 39 against the 49ers. The senior guard made 10 of 14 from the field - including a school record-tying 8 of 11 from beyond the arc. It was the most points by a Richmond player since Bob McCurdy had 54 in 1976. Richmond leads the A-10 in 3-point percentage (38.0) and ranks second in the league in 3s per game (8.3) behind only the Rams (8.7).VCU doesn't play much defense and I like Richmond plus the points here on Thursday night. 5*
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01-22-13 | Kansas v. Kansas State +3.5 | Top | 59-55 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
4*
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