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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-23-18 | Steelers v. Saints UNDER 53 | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
The Steelers looking to keep their playoff hopes alive this week. They had that big home win last week against the Patriots 17-10, doing so without starting RB James Conner. This coming after that road loss the prior week against Oakland, 21-24. With just two games left this one is important if they hope to stay ahead of the Ravens. The defense stepped it up last week, holding Tom Brady and the Pats to just 10 points. The Saints had to hold on last week to beat the Panthers, 12-9. The Saints offense continued to struggle as Drew Brees has thrown only two TD's and three INT's combined in his last three games. The Steelers are now 15-36 O/U in their last 51 road games and 1-4 O/U their last five overall. The Steelers defense has looked much better while the Saints offense seems to have lost that swagger. I'm taking the UNDER here today as the Saints will have to struggle on offense again. Take the UNDER. |
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12-23-18 | Rams v. Cardinals UNDER 44 | 31-9 | Win | 100 | 21 h 60 m | Show | |
What in the world has gone wrong with the LA Rams? The Rams where cruising through the NFL for the most part until they ran into the Bears defense two weeks ago and looked all out of sync. The Rams scored a season-low six points in their loss at Chicago. Then last week at home they once again looked out of sync, losing to the Eagles 23-30. At one point they trailed 13-30 in the game. QB Jaret Goff does not look like the sharp QB we saw for most of the season. The Rams still have the second ranked offense in the league. They will face the worst offense in the league today in Arizona. The Cardinals have not scored more than 21 points in any of their last nine games and only one time this entire season have they score more than that. Their highest score of the year, a 28-18 win in week five against San Francisco. It's not hard to figure that the Cardinals have been a UNDER team. They are 7-20 O/U their last 27 at home and 6-15 O/U their last 21 vs the NFC. With the Rams offense looking out of sorts and the worst offense here in Arizona, I'm playing UNDER today. |
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12-22-18 | Ravens v. Chargers UNDER 42 | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 30 h 25 m | Show | |
Late Saturday game here on Saturday as the Baltimore Ravens make the long trip West to take on the LA Chargers. The Ravens in a fight for the AFC North with Pittsburgh. The Steelers lead the division by just a half game over the Ravens. Steelers have to play at New Orleans so there's a real chance the Ravens take over first place with a win here today. The Ravens have the top ranked NFL defense with just 290 yards allowed per game. The Chargers are known for their offense, but also have a good defense, ranked 8th allowing 329 yards per game. Baltimore held a very good Tampa Bay offense to just 12 points last week in their 20-12 win. The only team the last four weeks to score more than 17 points vs the Ravens was the Chiefs. The Chargers had that dramatic win at Kansas City last week. LA scored a last second touchdown and opted for a two-point try to win outright. They connected and stole a win at Kansas City, 29-28. Despite being tied for the best record in the AFC at 11-3, the Chargers are in 2nd place in the AFC West behind the Chiefs. That means right now they hold the top Wild Card spot. I'll be looking at the UNDER in this game. The Chargers have been a good under team. They are 1-5 O/U their last six at home; 6-15 O/U the last 21 vs the AFC; 6-19-1 O/U their last 26 in December and 3-11-1 O/U their last 15 at home vs a team with a winning record. The Ravens defense should keep them close here today. Play the UNDER. |
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12-21-18 | BYU v. Western Michigan OVER 51.5 | 49-18 | Win | 100 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
Both of these teams have very good offenses. BYU has scored 27, 45 and 35 points in each of their last three games. Western Michigan has scored 40 or more points in five games this season. Their defense isn't all that good either, allowing 35 or more in seven games this season. Western Michigan Broncos are 4-0 O/U their last four games and 4-0 O/U their last four on fieldturf. It will be cold tonight in Boise, ID with the temps in the 20's but with a light wind and no precipitation the conditions should be good for both offenses. I like the OVER here tonight. |
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12-08-18 | Navy v. Army UNDER 40 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 87 h 31 m | Show | |
Army having a very good year with eight wins. THey also were the only team to hold Oklahoma under 30 points this year. The Cadets have won seven in a row since that seven-point loss at Oklahoma. Navy is off a loss at Tulane, 28-29, covering the 7-point line. The Middies have lost eight of their last nine games with their only win coming two weeks ago at home vs Tulsa. Navy has been a good under team in December, going 4-14 O/U. The Midshipmen are also 6-13 O/U in their last 19 games on grass. Army has also been good under team in December with a 3-13 O/U mark. Army also was off last week and when they have had the week off they are 5-21 O/U their last 26. These teams have gone under in 16 of the last 21 meetings and that's what I look for here today. Play the UNDER. |
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12-03-18 | Redskins v. Eagles UNDER 45 | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
 The Redskins look to get back on the winning track after back-to-back losses to Houston and then last week at Dallas, 23-31. The Skins have been a good under team this year, evidenced by their 5-6 O/U mark. Washington is 1-6 O/U in their last seven against a team with a losing record and 3-9 O/U their last 12 on grass. In addition, the Resksins are 2-5 their last seven road games. Philly has gone under in its last two games, a 7-48 loss at New Orleans and then last week in a 25-22 win at home against the Giants. The Eagles are now 1-5 O/U in their last six home games. With Alex Smith gone at QB for the Redskins, I look for a more conservative approach from Washington tonight. I'm going with the UNDER here. |
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12-02-18 | Chargers v. Steelers OVER 51.5 | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
Expect to see the Chargers throw a lot in this game with RB Melvin Gordon out. The Chargers scored 45 points last week at home against Arizona. That broke a string of four straight games where they scored between 20 and 25 points. The Steelers lost at Denver, 17-24 despite their 527 yards to Denver's 308 yards. It was four critical turnovers that did Pittsburgh in for that contest. Pittsburgh has the 4th ranked offense in the league while the Chargers have the 6th ranked offense. Four of the last five meetings between these teams in Pittsburgh have gone OVER. That's what I look for today. Play the OVER. |
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12-02-18 | Browns v. Texans OVER 47.5 | 13-29 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm looking at the over in today's game between the Browns and Texans. The Browns have scored 63 points their last two games. The defense looked pretty good early, but they are now ranked 30th in the NFL in total yards. The Texans beat Tennessee last week at home, 34-17. It was the team's third over in their last four games. These teams played last year here in Houston and the Texans won that game, 33-17, going over the 46-point total. Browns have been a very good over team on the road, evidenced by their 14-6 O/U mark their last 20 away games. They are also 6-1 O/U their last seven games on field turf and 4-0 O/U their last four vs the AFC. I look for lots of points in this one today. Play the OVER. |
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12-02-18 | Rams v. Lions OVER 54.5 | 30-16 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
The Rams have been a very good over team. They are 9-4 O/U their last 13 road games, 9-4 O/U their last 13 vs a team with a losing record and 6-0 O/U their last six in December. The Rams have the 2nd ranked offense in the league. The Rams have scored at least 29 points in each of their last five games and over 35 in four of those. The defense has taken its lumps though, allowing 51, 31 and 45 in the last three games. Detroit will have to try and keep pace with this Rams offense today. The Lions scored 16 last week at home against a very good Bears defense. The Lions are 7-2 O/U in their last 9 home games against a team with a winning record. These teams are 5-2 O/U n their last 7 meetings. I like this game to go over here on Sunday. |
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11-25-18 | 49ers v. Bucs OVER 54.5 | 9-27 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
The Bucs are the 2nd to worst defense in the league, allowing 444 yards per game and 377 through the air. The only worst team is Kansas City. However, the Bucs offense is the best in the league, averaging 483 yards per game. So you can expect high scoring affairs when this team is involved. San Francisco ranks in the bottom third in both categories. The 49ers lost two weeks at home to the Giants, 23-27. The team has now gone over in six of their 10 games this season. Tampa Bay has gone over in eight of their 11 games this season including last week vs the Giants, 35-38. Expect another shootout when the Bucs are involved. Play the OVER. |
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11-23-18 | Washington v. Washington State OVER 49.5 | 28-15 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Top 20 battle here as No 8 Washington State host their intra-state rivals and No 16 Washington. Washington State is 10-1 on the season and has covered nine of their 11 games this season. They are coming off a 69-28 win over Arizona last week. Washington has gone over in two straight after last week's win at home over Oregon State, 42-23. Should be a good one here tonight. I'm taking the OVER. |
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11-23-18 | Oklahoma v. West Virginia OVER 85 | 59-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Not sure how either of these offenses will be stopped here today. These are two of the best offensives in the country. Two big top 10 teams clash here on Friday as No.6 Oklahoma takes on No 13. West Virginia. Oklahoma plays its last regular season game today after a 55-40 win against Kansas last week. OU has gone over in seven straight games and 10 of the last 11. OU has also scored at least 40 or more points in all but two of their games. West Virginia is also a offensive powerhouse, going over in four straight games and scoring at least 35 points in all but one game this year. Oklahoma has the top ranked offense in the country and a redzone efficiency of 82.1%. West Virginia has the 10th ranked offense and a 75.1% redzone efficiency. Sit back, enjoy the show in this one and take the OVER. |
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11-23-18 | Oregon v. Oregon State OVER 69 | 55-15 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
This was a lopsided Oregon win last year, with the Ducks pummeling the Beavers 69-10. Oregon ran up 577 total yards and a plus-3 turnover ratio. The 7-4 Ducks will be bowl eligible either way after today's regular season finale. Oregon State has the 129th worst defense in the country. The Beavers allow 539 average yards on the season. Looks like another Oregon romp here today. I'm going OVER again. |
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11-23-18 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati OVER 50 | 6-56 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Last year these clubs put up 68 points in a East Carolina blowout win. Carolina had 464 yards of offense to just 326 by Cincinnati. East Carolina ends its season today and it looks like they will have to settle for a 3-8 mark. Cincinnati is 9-2 on the season and wants some payback for last year's beating. The Bearcats can score as they have the 36th ranked offense in the country and a redzone efficiency of 73%. East Carolina has one of the worse redzone defenses, allowing a scoring efficiency of 90%. Cincinnati will look to run up the score as ECU did to them last year. Play the OVER here. |
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11-22-18 | Falcons v. Saints OVER 59.5 | 17-31 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 48 m | Show | |
 With all respect to the Rams, the Saints look to be the best team in the NFC and the NFL right now. They just continue to pummel teams. They did it again last week, beating the Super Bowl Champion Eagles, 48-7. What is most impressive about the Saints is that they not only have what I believe is the best QB in the league, but they have excellent rushers in Kamira and Ingram. The Saints rush the ball with both backs very well and then you add Drew Brees to the mix and this is one potent offense. The Falcons have the 6th ranked offense and while they should get some points here today, the defense has been a problem. The Falcons have the 29th rated defense and that is bad, especially against this Saints team. The Saints are now 19-8-1 ATS their last 28 home games and 7-3 ATS their last 10 vs the NFC. The Falcons have gone over in 16 of their last 21 on the field turf. Look for a lot of points in this one. Take the OVER. |
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11-08-18 | Panthers v. Steelers OVER 51.5 | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
The Panthers continue to play well after trouncing the Bucs last week at home, 42-28. It was the team's second win in a row and fourth in their last five games. Carolina has climbed to 13th in the league in offense and and 11th in defense. The Steelers are the 4th ranked offense in the league and the 12th ranked defense. Pittsburgh has won three straight since losing to Baltimore. They have also been scoring points, with 41, 28 and 33 in each of the last three weeks. These teams have met just once in the last five years and that was 2014 where Pittsburgh won 37-19. The Panthers are 11-5 O/U in their last 16 road games vs a winning home team. The Steelers have gone over in seven of their last 10 games. I think we'll see lots of points tonight. Take the OVER. |
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11-04-18 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 47.5 | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 68 h 5 m | Show | |
 Have to wonder how the broken finger in the non-throwing hand of Steelers QB Ben Roethlesberger is going to affect him here today. He's going to have to face the top ranked defense in the league on the road. The Ravens allow just 196 passing yards per game, which is 2nd best in the league. The Steelers now have the 4th best offense with 318 yards passing per game. Pittsburgh is coming off that home win over Cleveland last week, 33-18. It was the club's third straight win and cover. The Ravens looks to snap their two game losing streak after losses to New Orleans and the Carolina Panthers. Pittsburgh has been a solid UNDER team on the road, with 24 of the last 32 away games going under. The Ravens, by virtue of their top ranked defense, have gone under in five of their last six games. They are also 4-10 O/U in their last 10 against the AFC North. The last four meetings between these teams in Baltimore have gone under and they are 2-5-1 O/U the last eight overall. I like the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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11-04-18 | Bucs v. Panthers OVER 55 | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 68 h 4 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay has been giving up points in bunches this year and it happened again last week. The Bucs allowed 37 points to the Bengals and almost rallied from way down to win, but a last second Bengals field goal won it, 37-34. The Bucs have not allowed fewer than 21 points all season. Three of their last four opponents have scored 34 points or more. The Panthers are coming off a blowout over the Ravens, 36-21. The Panthers scored 36 against the top ranked defense, so what will they do here against one of the worst defenses? Add to this the fact that Jameis Winston is benched and Fitzpatrick is back and this game has all the markings of a shootout. The Bucs have gone over in seven of their last eight games while the Panthers are 10-4 O/U in their last 14 after a straight up win. I'm looking for a lot of points in this game, so take the OVER. |
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10-28-18 | Packers v. Rams OVER 56.5 | 27-29 | Loss | -112 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
Never in the career of Aaron Rodgers has he come into a game this big an underdog. The Packers got a much needed week off last week. That gave Rodgers another week to rest his knee and also maybe get back one of his wide receivers in Randal Cobb. The Packers had a tough game before the break against a stubborn 49ers club that nearly beat them, 33-30. This is a big game for Packers as they trail the Vikings in the NFC North by just one game. The LA Rams looks to keep their unbeaten streak alive today. The Rams are 7-0 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a blowout win over the 49ers, 39-10. The spread win snapped a two-game spread losing streak. The Rams have the 2nd best offense in the league and the best team in the NFL. The Packers defense isn't bad, ranked 8th in total yards. But that will be put to the test today. The Packers have the 4th ranked offense. We get to see two of the best on display here this afternoon. I am going to take the OVER in this one. |
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10-28-18 | Bucs v. Bengals OVER 54.5 | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay coming off a OT win vs the Browns last week, 26-23. The win snapped a two game losing streak for the Bucs. The Tampa Bay defense is now ranked 29th in the league in total yards. The Bucs allow 328 yards per game passing and will face one of the better passing offenses here in Cincinnati. The Bengals rank just 25th offensively, but that is because of a rushing offense that averages just 86 ypg. The Bengals also have a poor defense, ranked 31st in the league and also giving up over 300 yards per game passing. The Bucs have now gone over in six of their last seven road games. They are also 20-8 O/U in their last 28 games in October. The Bengals are 4-1 O/U in their last five home games. With two of the worst defenses on display here today, I'm going OVER the total. |
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10-25-18 | Dolphins v. Texans UNDER 45 | 23-42 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
Looks like the Miami Dolphins will be without starting QB Ryan Tannehill again here on Thursday, as he is not expected to play with a shoulder injury. That leaves the duties up to Brock Osweiller, who led the team last week in their loss at home to Detroit, 21-32. Houston pulled off the win last week at Jacksonville, 20-7, the club's fourth straight win. The Texans are also 2-5 O/U on the season after three straight unders. Houston ranks 9th defensively in the league and 16th on offense. The Dolphins are both 27th in offense and defense. The Dolphins are now 1-8-1 O/U in their last 10 Thursday games and 0-4 O/U in their last four road games. Houston is 2-7 O/U in its last nine overall games and 1-4 O/U in their last five home games. I like the UNDER here tonight, especially with Tannehill no playing once again. Go UNDER. |
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10-22-18 | Giants v. Falcons OVER 52.5 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -104 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
Monday night matchup here has the Atlanta Falcons hosting the Giants. The Giants seem to be that one piece away from a winning team. Many are saying it's Eli Manning and his poor play is the reason. It surely isn't the play of rookie Saquon Barkely who continues to impress everyone or that of Odel Beckham. The Giants defense has given up 34, 33 and 33 points in each of their last three games. The offense isn't bad, but Eli is making too many mistakes. Today they face the 30th ranked defense in Atlanta. The Falcons offense is ranked 8th, but the defense has lost them games. I like the over here tonight. Both defenses give up lots of points. Both offenses can strike and strike quickly. Play the OVER here tonight and enjoy the show. Play OVER. |
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10-21-18 | Bengals v. Chiefs OVER 58 | 10-45 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
Don't expect to see a lot of defense in this game today. You have Kansas City, who has the fifth rated offense and the last ranked defense against the Bengals who are ranked 29th in defense. Kansas City lost its first game of the season last week at New England, but it took 43 points by the Patriots to do so. Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes had another fantastic game and kept bringing his team back, though they came up just short in the loss, 40-43. The Chiefs have now gone over in four of their six games this season. Meanwhile, the Bengals lost at home to the Steelers, 21-28. Like the Chiefs, the Bengals have gone over in four of their six games this year. There is a big total on this game, but if that Patriots game was any indication, we know the Chiefs will shoot it out with the best of them. Play the OVER. |
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10-21-18 | Cowboys v. Redskins OVER 41.5 | 17-20 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
Classic matchup and rivalry here today as the Redskins host the Cowboys. No one is out of it in the NFC East this year so this is a big game for both teams. The Cowboys offense has struggled this year, ranked just 29th in total offense while Washington ranks 25th. However, word is that that the reigns are coming off Dak Prescot today for the Cowboys. Couple that with Ezekiel Elliot and the Cowboys look poised to do what they did last week, score points. The Cowboys put up 40 points last week against one of the best defenses in the league in Jacksonville. It was their highest offensive output of the season. Washington has scored at least 23 points in three of their five games this year. The last five meetings between these teams have gone OVER and six of the last seven meetings have gone OVER. I expect to see these teams put up the points today. I'm playing the OVER. |
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10-21-18 | Saints v. Ravens OVER 49 | 24-23 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
New Orleans has won four straight games after their opening week loss to Tampa Bay. The Saints have scored 43, 33 and 43 their last three games. They also had last week off to rest and prepare their offensive plan for the Ravens today. Baltimore has one of the best defenses in the league, but it will be tested here today against Drew Brees and company. This matchup will be the third ranked offense of the Saints against the top ranked defense of the Ravens. The Ravens offense is not bad, ranked 9th in total yards and 12th in scoring. Brees has never beaten the Ravens so you know he will want to put their notch on his belt here today. Usually I look for a good defense to beat a good offense, but not today. I think both teams will get plenty of points in this one. Take the OVER. |
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10-21-18 | Browns v. Bucs OVER 52 | 23-26 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns are coming off a loss at home to the Chargers, 14-38. The Browns lost a key component of their rushing game when they traded away Carlos Hyde. That means likely the club will have to rely more and more on the arm of QB Baker Mayfield. The Browns will have to have their offense in high gear today against the NFL's second ranked offense in Tampa Bay. Both these teams have terrible defenses, with Tampa ranked 31st and Cleveland ranked 28th. The Browns are 12-5 O/U their last 17 road games and 15-6 ATS int heir last 21 games on grass. Tampa Bay is 9-4 O/U the last 13 at home. I look for a shootout today. Play the OVER. |
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10-21-18 | Vikings v. Jets OVER 45.5 | 37-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
The Vikings have been a very good road over team, especially of late where they are 7-3 O/U their last 10 games. The Jets are no slouch at going over, posting a 10-1-1 O/U mark their last 12 times in week 7 and 4-0 in October. The Jets are also 6-2 O/U in their last 8 home games and 8-3 O/U their last 11 on fieldturf. Both of these teams can put up points and I expect to see that here on Sunday. Play the OVER. |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots OVER 59.5 | 40-43 | Win | 100 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
Huge matchup here as the 5-0 Kansas City Chiefs take on the New England Patriots. The Chiefs have had an amazing first quarter of the season, covering all five games and going over in three of the five. The Chiefs offense has scored at least 27 points in each game. As good as their offense is, the defense is ranked last in the NFL in yards with 462 per game. That will be tested here this week against Tom Brady and Company. The Patriots started the season 1-2, but since then have beaten Miami 38-7 and last week the Colts 38-24. The offense has scored 76 points over the last two weeks and should do well again here vs the last place defense of the Chiefs. The Chiefs have gone OVER in four of their last five road games. The Chiefs also will be missing some key cogs on defense, including CB Eric Berry (heel) who has downgraded to doubtful, LB's Justin Houston (doubtful) and Tanoh Kpsassognon (questionable). Not sure how the Chiefs, with one of the worst defenses, will stop the Patriots here. Their only hope as I see it is to outscore New England. I'm taking the OVER. |
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10-14-18 | Jaguars v. Cowboys UNDER 40 | 7-40 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Both of these teams are offensively challenged. Jacksonville is 1-4 O/U in their last five road games and 1-5 O/U their last six following a straight up loss. Dallas is 0-5 O/U following a straight up win, 0-4 O/U last four vs a winning team and 2-12 O/U their last 14 games overall. Defense will be the ruler in this matchup. Play UNDER. |
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10-14-18 | Seahawks v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | 27-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
The Seattle offense looked very good last week at home vs the Rams, scoring 31 points and coming close to the big upset. Seattle rushed for 190 yards against a very good Rams defense and also added 183 passing yards by Russel Wilson. Today they face a Raiders defense that got torched last week by the Chargers, 10-26. The Raiders were never in that contest and allowed 333 yard passing to Phillip Rivers. Oakland continues to struggle this season, winning just one game in their five and that could have easily been a loss. Jon Gruden has to be shaking his head as to what is wrong with this team. Maybe it all stems back to not signing Khalil Mack. Seattle has been a good over team on grass, going 5-2 their last seven. These teams have also gone over 13 of the last 18 times they have met. I don't see the Raiders defense stopping anyone at this point. I'm taking the OVER here today. |
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10-14-18 | Bucs v. Falcons OVER 57 | 29-34 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
Atlanta has now gone over in their last four games this season after getting trounced in Pittsburgh last week, 17-41. The defense has been horrible, ranked 28th in the NFL in yards allowed. Now the Falcons defense will have to face the 2nd ranked offense in the league in Tampa Bay. The Bucs also have a terrible defense, ranked 31st in the league. So what we have here today are two terrible defenses that really can't stop anyone. And it's not like these teams can't score, they both have done so in bunches this year. These teams have gone over in four of the last five meetings in Atlanta. That's just what I like here today. Both these teams should score plenty of points. Take the OVER. |
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10-14-18 | Panthers v. Redskins OVER 44 | 17-23 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
Carolina's offense has gotten better with each week, opening with 16 vs the Cowboys, 24 against the Falcons, then 31 against both the Bengals and Giants last week. It's a bit surprising that the Panthers' defense is ranked just 20th in the NFL, with 376 yards per game allowed. The Panthers have now gone over in four of their last five games and 4 of their last five road games also. Washington is 6-2 Over/Under in their last eight overall and 22-9 O/U in their last 31 vs the NFC. I look for both these teams to put up plenty of points here on Sunday and go OVER the total. |
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10-09-18 | Appalachian State v. Arkansas State OVER 59.5 | 35-9 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
 Appalachian State has covered all four games so far this season and in big fashion. They opened with a tough game at Penn State, giving the Nittany Lions all they could handle in a 38-45 loss as 23.5 point dogs. Then they proceeded to outscore their next three opponents 169-23! Conversely, Arkansas State is 1-4 ATS and has a 3-2 S/U mark. They are coming off a loss at Georgia Southern, 21-28, as 3.5 point road favorites. Ark State will have its hands full with the 11th ranked offense in the country today. Not only that, but their offense will have to face a Appalachian State squad that also has the 6th ranked defense in the country. Sure, you can take that with a grain of salt since they play a weaker than FBS schedule. Still, this is not a good FBS team in Arkansas State. Appalachian State should have no trouble getting tons of points here again tonight. If we can get 14 or more out of Arkansas State, this gone should go over. |
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10-07-18 | Falcons v. Steelers OVER 57 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
Atlanta is in desperate need of a win here today as they have fallen to 1-3 S/U and ATS on the season. The Falcons have given up 80 points in their last two games. Atlanta does have the 7th ranked offense in the NFL with 411 yards per game. But when you have the 27th ranked defense, you can't always outscore the opposition, as they have found out the last two games. Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in their last six games and 1-8 ATS in their last nine on grass. Pittsburgh also could use a win here after losing at home to Baltimore last week, 14-26. The Steelers are 1-2-1 on the season and 1-3 ATS. I'm looking at the OVER here today, two very bad defenses on display here. The Steelers are 7-2 O/U in their last nine home games. Expect both teams to put up plenty of points in this one. Take the OVER. |
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10-07-18 | Packers v. Lions OVER 51 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
Green Bay has had to play with QB Aaron Rodgers and his hurt knee all season. Still, Rodgers continues to produce wins as the Packers are now 2-1-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS. If not for that controversial call on Mathews in the Vikings contest, the Pack would be 3-1. The offense has been good, not great, but with Rodgers hurting I'm not surprised they have played more conservatively. The Lions have the 11th ranked offense. The offense is led by Mathew Stafford and once again they have almost no running game to speak of. Detroit has gone over in three of their four games. The Packers have gone over in 21 of their last 27 games, 20 of the last 26 vs the NFC and are 37-17 O/U their last 54 road games. The Lions are 8-3 O/U in their last 11 home games and 8-2 O/U last 10 vs the NFC. The over is 5-0 the last five meetings between these teams. Even though the offenses aren't as good as previous years, I'm taking the OVER here today. |
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10-05-18 | Utah State v. BYU UNDER 55.5 | Top | 45-20 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
Utah State had last week off. The Aggies are 3-1 S/U and 4-0 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Air Force, 42-32. BYU is 3-2 S/U and ATS and is coming off a loss at Washington, 7-35. The Cougars were looking for that second stunning win after they won at Wisconsin a few weeks ago, 24-21. The BYU defense has been solid, holding four of their five opponents to 23 or less points. BYU ranks 57th defensively allowing 358 yards per game. Utah St ranks 56th with 357 yars per game. In addition, Utah State has just a 64.7 defensive redzone efficiency as they have allowed just eight TD's in 17 red zone trips. Six of the last 10 meetings between these teams have gone under. This is big Intrastate rivalry and I like the under with a pair of above average defenses. Play UNDER. |
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10-01-18 | Chiefs v. Broncos OVER 54 | 27-23 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 20 m | Show | |
Key AFC west battle here on Monday night as the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs go to Mile High stadium to face the 2-1 Broncos. The Broncos hung in there at Baltimore last week, at least in the first half. The problem was that the Broncos couldn't score in the second half, falling to the Ravens, 14-27. Denver had just 293 totals yards of offense. The Kansas City Chiefs are the talk of the NFL right now with red-hot Patrick Mahomes lighting up the scoreboard. Mahomes threw an NFL record 10 TD's the first two weeks of the season and another record through the first three weeks with 13 TD's. The Chiefs beat the 49ers at San Francisco last week, 38-27. That means the Chiefs have scored 38, 42 and 38 points in their first three games this season - all OVERS. The Chiefs just have too many offensive weapons for the Broncos to stop them all. I look for another high scoring game here on Monday. Play the OVER. |
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09-30-18 | Jets v. Jaguars UNDER 38.5 | 12-31 | Loss | -100 | 53 h 60 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville Jaguars were one of those double-digit favorites last week that lost out right. The Jags lost at home to Tennessee, 6-9. Jacksonville had just 232 yards of offense and while the defense did it's job, QB Blake Bortels looks bad, completing 21-of-34 for just 145 yards. In addition, the Jags rushed for just 87 yards on the ground. The NY Jets looked in control at Cleveland last Thursday. However, when Browns QB Baker Mayfield came into the game, everything changed, including the score. The Browns rallied to beat the Jets, 21-17. Sam Darnold was just 15-of-31 for 161 yards and they rushed for just 107 yards. The Jets and Darnold have not really clicked since their opening win at Detroit. Now the Jets have to go on the road at Jacksonville. They face the 4th best defense in the league. The Jets defense has played well too, ranked 8th in the league. I don't expect Darnold and the Jets to do much here against this Jags defense. The Jets defense will need to play well to keep them in this game. Play the UNDER. |
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09-30-18 | Lions v. Cowboys UNDER 44 | 24-26 | Loss | -109 | 53 h 60 m | Show | |
 What in the world is going on with the Dallas Cowboys offense. They lost two of their top receivers from last year and look awful so far on offense this year. The Cowboys lost at Seattle last week, 13-24, scoring just one touchdown. They managed just 53 plays and 137 yards through the air. QB Dak Prescott just doesn't have the targets to throw to anymore. RB Ezekiel Elliot still is excellent, as the running game garnered 166 yards. Now they return home to face the Lions. Detroit shut down Tom Brady and the Patriots last week, 26-10. It was the best showing this year by the Lions who held Brady to just 120 yards through the air and the Patriots to just 89 rushing yards. Defensively, the Cowboys are third in the NFL, allowing just 281 yards per game. Detroit is 7th, allowing 301 yards per game. I look for this game to go under this week with two good defenses and offenses that right now are just one dimensional. Take the UNDER. |
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09-30-18 | Bengals v. Falcons OVER 53 | 37-36 | Win | 100 | 53 h 59 m | Show | |
NFL Total of the Month: The Cincinnati Bengals lost last week to the Panthers, 21-31. The Bengals rushed for just 66 yards in that game but did pass for 330 yards. They also turned the ball over four times while having no take aways. The Falcons were involved in a shootout with the Saints, having to go into OT before losing to New Orleans, 37-43. The Falcons had a huge day out of QB Matt Ryan who tossed five TD's and threw for 359 yards. You can expect another big weekend here against the Bengals as two hot QB's square off again. The Bengals have gone over in three straight games while the Falcons are 2-1 Over/under. The Falcons have now gone over in 15 of their last 21 home games. I like these two QB's as both have been hot this year. Look for this game to go OVER the total. |
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09-27-18 | Vikings v. Rams OVER 48.5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
I think we have to really discard last week's lackluster effort by the Vikings. They were clearly looking past the inept Bills to tonight's game with the Rams. Only problem was, the Bills showed up and kicked their behinds to the tune of 27-6. In fact, the Vikings didn't even score until late in the 4th quarter. Minnesota had three turnovers to no takeaways and rushed for a paltry 14 yards. The Rams, they cruised to victory over their intra-city rivals, the Chargers, 35-23. The Rams offense continues to thrive, however their much anticipated defense took some hits last week.The Rams lost CB Marcus Peters (calf) who will not likely play tonight. They also lost CB Aqib Talib to an ankle injury and the IR list. That's a big loss at both starting corners. The Vikings should get their running game back tonight with the return of Dalvin Cook who returns from a hamstring injury. All in all the Vikings are still one of the best in the NFC and the Rams can score at will. I'm taking this game over and I'll just sit back and enjoy the show. Play the OVER. |
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09-24-18 | Steelers v. Bucs OVER 54 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
 Neither of these teams have played much defense. Then again they both have been offensive juggernauts, so why play defense. Recent stats show that over 50% of NFL QB's are rated at 100 or more. Direct reflection of the new rules? I think so. We see so many defensive penalties anymore, between all the roughing the QB penalties to the targeting or late hits by the secondary. It's no wonder the NFL is a scoring machine this year. The Steelers had that opening day tie with the Browns, 21-21 and then lost in a shootout to the Chiefs in week 2, 37-42. The Bucs have gone crazy under veteran QB Ryan Fitzpatrick. Fitz has been tossing touchdowns like snacks to dog. The Bucs scored 48 in their opening week win and then scored 27 vs a very good Philly defense last week for a 2-0 record and two overs. I like the OVER tonight. The rules are favoring the offenses and quarterbacks and both these QB's tonight should have a field day. Play the OVER. |
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09-23-18 | Patriots v. Lions OVER 51.5 | 10-26 | Loss | -117 | 83 h 57 m | Show | |
 We get to see new Lions HC Matt Patricia play against his old team here as they host the Patriots. Patricia was the defensive coordinator for Bill Belechick for 10 years before taking over as HC of the Lions this year. The Lions offense is ranked 11th in the NFL so far, despite being 0-2. The Lions average 315 yards behind QB Mathew Stafford. Once again it's the lack of a running game that hurts the Lions, as they average just 69 yards this season. They have to solve this issue if they are ever to be a winning team. The Patriots lost last week at Jacksonville, 20-31. They allowed 377 yards to QB Blake Bartels and the Jaguars, something I believe Stafford and the Lions can exploit this week. The Patriots did steal WR Josh Gordon from the Browns, which will add another target for QB Tom Brady. Don't expect a lot of defense in this game as both teams have quick strike ability. I'm taking the OVER here today. |
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09-23-18 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 55.5 | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 76 h 36 m | Show | |
What all can you say about Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes thus far. Mahomes set an NFL record with 10 TD Passes in the first two games of the season. The Chiefs have the 6th best offense so far. The one problem? The defense, it's ranked dead last in the NFL with 508 yards per game average. They have allowed the most passing yards by far of any team. Now of course they have played from ahead and that means teams must throw to catch up to them. The 49ers lost in week one at Minnesota, giving the Vikings all they could handle. Then last week, the Niners returned home where they beat the Lions, 30-27. San Francisco rushed for 190 yards vs the Lions, and easily went over the 48 posted number. Can Mahomes continue his hot streak? I don't see why not. He's back home here today. The 49ers should also be able to put up plenty of points in this one. I'm taking the OVER and enjoying the offensive show. Play OVER. |
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09-20-18 | Jets v. Browns OVER 40 | 17-21 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns haven't won a game since Jets QB Sam Darnold was a freshman QB at USC. Still, they are the favorite tonight and expert computers give them a 60% chance of winning tonight. A win might be what HC Hue Jackson needs to keep his job. A loss here and he could be in real trouble of being the first coach fired this season. For me, I'm looking at the OVER tonight. The Jets opened the season in fine fashion, scoring 48 points at Detroit. They did drop last week with a loss at home to Miami, 12-20. The Jets still got a good game out of Darnold, who threw for 320 yards on 25-of-41 passing. The Browns could easily be 2-0 instead of 0-1-1. They had New Orleans on the hot seat for most of last week, in fact never trailed until the last seconds of the game, losing 16-18 on a last second Saints field goal. I look for the Jets to continue their passing ways here tonight and the Browns, well hopefully they don't turn into the Browns of old. I'm taking the OVER. |
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09-16-18 | Giants v. Cowboys UNDER 42 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 89 h 39 m | Show | |
The under has cashed in each of the past four meetings in this series. G-Men also 10-23 O/U their last 33 during the regular season since 2016. Offensive line woes on the Giants and the Cowboys issues at both QB and WR will slow down offensive production in this game. Play the UNDER. |
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09-16-18 | Patriots v. Jaguars UNDER 45 | 20-31 | Loss | -106 | 85 h 43 m | Show | |
 Patriots 12-4-1 UNDER in the regular season on the road since late 2015. In addition, they are 5-11 O/U in their last 16 overall games and 7-19 in their last 26 on the grass. Jacksonville is 1-4 O/U in their last five games and 2-9 O/U their last 11 vs the AFC. Expect to see a lot of emotion in this game off what occurred in the AFC Championship game from 2017. The Jaguars defense will be up to the task today to stop Brady and Co. Take the UNDER here. |
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09-16-18 | Lions v. 49ers OVER 47.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 84 h 23 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions defense was non existent last week vs the NY Jets. Detroit has gone OVER in seven of their last 10 games overall and 6-2 O/U in their last eight vs the NFC. 49ers OVER 9-5 their last 14 at Levi Stadium. Matt and Jimmy G have a lot more to show off after last week's efforts. Neither D is going to stop many this season and today they should both put up plenty of points. Play the OVER. |
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09-16-18 | Chargers v. Bills UNDER 44 | 31-20 | Loss | -125 | 139 h 17 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills showed us in the regular season debut at Baltimore just what we saw in the preseason, lots of problems, especially with their offensive line. They had almost not rushing attack and no passing game. The Bills didn't even get their first first down until the second half of the game. The Ravens rolled to a 47-3 easy win over Buffalo. Josh Allen replaced Peterman in the game and it looks like going forward Allen will be the starter. The Chargers had their problems with the Chiefs offense that was let by Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs jumped out early and never looked back in a 30-13 win over the Chargers. I'm not putting too much into that opening game by the Chargers. This team has a very good defenses. The Bolts were without one of their best defensive players in DE Joey Bosa. Melvin Gordon was good as usual, gaining 166 yards in rushing and passing. The Bills were just embarrassing last week and will that change here today? I don't think so. The Chargers defense is very good, despite what we saw last week and they will take advantage of this Bills offense that just isn't clicking with anything right now. I like this game to go under this week as the Chargers defense does to the Bills just what the Ravens did last week. Play UNDER. |
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09-16-18 | Panthers v. Falcons UNDER 44.5 | 24-31 | Loss | -106 | 81 h 28 m | Show | |
 When these teams get together it's usually a defensive battle, as the under is 8-1-1 in the past 10 meetings in this series. Moreover, they are 1-4 O/U in their last five meetings at Atlanta. Falcons OC has effectively muted their offense. Meanwhile, Panthers QB Cam Newton and company are grinders. Don't expect a lot of points in this one. Play the UNDER here. |
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09-15-18 | LSU v. Auburn OVER 44.5 | 22-21 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
Auburn opened its season with that marquee matchup vs Washington, winning 21-16 as a 2.5 point home favorite. Then last week the Tigers got a softball tossed to them in the name of Alabama State. The Tigers cruised to a 63-9 win. LSU opened with that big win over Miami Florida, 33-17 as a 2.5 point home dog. They also had a softball game last week at home vs Southeastern Louisiana, winning 31-0. Now that both teams had an easy week off, they play one of their biggest games of the season here today. Auburn has seen seven of its last nine conference games go over. They have also gone over 15 times in 22 tries when playing a team with a winning record. Both teams have solid defenses, but with a few weeks of offensive explosions, I look for these offenses to be up to the task here today. I'm going OVER. |
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09-15-18 | Boise State v. Oklahoma State OVER 64.5 | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
Boise State has had little trouble in their first two games, beating Troy 56-20 and then last week defeating U Conn, 62-7 as a 33.5 point home favorite. The Broncos return to the road this week to face Oklahoma State. The Cowboys opened with a 58-17 win over Missouri State and then beat South Alabama last week, 55-13. They are 1-1 ATS, covering the 30.5 point line last week. This should be an interesting matchup between two teams with explosive offenses who really face their first challenge of the season. This is the bigger game for Boise, because they know that Oklahoma State might be their real only obstacle to a 12-0 season. The Broncos have looked forward to this game since Spring and will have everyone ready. Boise has been a very good road over team, posting a 11-5 O/U mark their last 16 vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 4-1 O/U in their last five road games. Ok State is 7-1 O/U in their last eight games and 21-7 O/U their last 28 on their fieldturf. Expect the points to fly in this one. Play the OVER. |
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09-15-18 | SMU v. Michigan OVER 51.5 | 20-45 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
 Michigan opened their season with a loss at Notre Dame, 17-24. They rebounded last week with a win at home over Western Michigan, 49-3 as a 27.5 point favorite with the total going over the 51.5 total line. SMU opened with a loss at North Texas, 23-46 and then lost at home last week to TCU, 12-42. The Horned Frogs defense can't stop anyone, but the offense has showed some promise. SMU had more offensive plays last week then did TCU, they just had trouble getting the ball in the end zone. SMU is now 7-3 O/U in its last 10 road games and 11-5 O/U in the last 16 games when they scored 20 points or less. Michigan is 14-5 O/U in its last 19 at home vs teams with a losing record and 24-11-1 O/U in their last 36 overall games. The Wolverines are also 13-6-1 O/U in their last 20 home games. I don't see SMU stopping anyone again this week. Expect Michigan to put up plenty of points and get this game OVER. |
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09-13-18 | Ravens v. Bengals OVER 44.5 | Top | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
 Two AFC North rivals meetup here to begin Week 2 of the NFL as the Bengals host the Ravens. Both teams won last week. The Ravens dismantled the Bills, 47-3 and the Bengals used a big 2nd half to win at the Colts, 34-23. The Bengals offense shot itself in the foot in the first half with turnovers. However, they fixed that in the second half and scored the points they should have early on. The Ravens have gone over in five of their last seven road games and are 9-4 O/U in their last 13 games overall. Both these QB's are playing well after week 1 and both offenses have generated plenty of offense. I like tonight's contest to go OVER the total. |
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09-10-18 | Rams v. Raiders UNDER 47.5 | Top | 33-13 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
 The Rams open the season and will debut their new defense under Wade Phillips. The Raiders get to debut new head coach Jon Gruden and a defense without their top player from last year in Khalil Mack. The Rams defense was bolstered during the offseason with the addition of All-Pro corners Aqib Talib and Marcus Peters plus Ndamakong Suh on the defensive line. While it was the offense last year that grabbed headlines, this defense has the ability to be one of the best in the NFL this season. The Rams didn't play any of their offensive stars during the preseason. This game should be exciting, but early on I do like defenses ahead of the offenses and I think the Rams unit will be on display here tonight. I'm taking the UNDER as I don't see the Raiders getting many points. Play UNDER. |
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09-09-18 | Chiefs v. Chargers OVER 48 | Top | 38-28 | Win | 102 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
The Chiefs have dominated the Chargers in recent times, winning eight straight dating back to 2014. QB Patrick Mahomes begins his tenure as the Chiefs starting signal-caller. The Chiefs will be without star defensive players Joey Bosa. Charger's QB Phillip Rivers begins his 15th season in the NFL. Combined with Melvin Gordon at running back and the Chargers have a potent offensive attack. The Chiefs are 8-3 Over/Under in their last 11 road games. I'm playing the OVER here on Sunday in this game as both teams should be able to put up plenty of points. The Chiefs won't be the same run team we've seen the in past. Play OVER. |
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09-09-18 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 44 | 21-21 | Win | 100 | 49 h 12 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers will begin the season without one of their best offensive weapons in RB Le'von Bell who is holding out in a contract dispute. His absence could linger much further into the season, which is very bad for the Steelers. The Steelers have beat the Browns 9 of the last 10 meetings. However, the Steelers are just 5-4-1 ATS during that time with seven of those games going UNDER. James Conner will look to be the man with Bell gone for the time being. The Browns have lots to be optimistic about this year with two new QB's including first round pick Baker Mayfield. The Browns defense looked very good in the preseason, not allowing more than 19 points to any opponent. Tyrod Taylor will start at QB and he looked very good in the preseason. I like this game to go under. The Browns defense is much improved and the Steelers won't have all their offensive weapons here today. Play UNDER. |
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09-09-18 | Jaguars v. Giants UNDER 42.5 | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 49 h 11 m | Show | |
The Giants have plenty of NEWs in their lineup heading into the season with new HC Pat Shurmur and OC Mike Shula preparing the team. First round pick Shaquon Barkley is the new workhorse at running back. This Giants teams will not have to rely on QB Eli Manning as much with Barkley in the backfield. The should be much more balanced. Shurmur ran the ball more than anyone when he was with the Vikings, so expect Barkley to get a lot of work. The Jags will once again be a running team with Leonard Fournette the workhorse. The defense was very good last year and will be so again this year. The Giants have been a good under team to close out last year, going under in six of their last seven games and going under in nine of their last 12 home games. The Jags defense will be good as usual, but I think we'll see a much better Giants defense here today. Defenses always seem to be ahead of offenses early in the season. That being said, I'm going UNDER here on Sunday. |
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08-31-18 | Colorado State v. Colorado UNDER 66 | 13-45 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
This rivalry has gone to Colorado the last three years, with the Buffaloes taking those games. The Rocky Mountain Showdown finds Colorado in flux as it has to replace three of its top receivers. The CSU Rams where shocked at home last week by Hawaii, 34-43, falling behind by 30 points in the third quarter. Last year was a low scoring game, with Colorado winning 17-3 in Denver. CSU has to replace RB Phillip Lindsay, who went to the Denver Broncos. Both these defenses have had major problems in recent years and the Rams showed that again here in game one. However, with both offenses in rebuild mode, I look for a game similar to last season, low scoring. Play the UNDER. |
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02-04-18 | Eagles v. Patriots OVER 48 | 41-33 | Win | 100 | 201 h 19 m | Show | |
One big question surrounding Super Bowl 52 is the status of Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski. Gronk took a helmet-to-helmet hit in the AFC Championship and never came back. His loss didn't seem to hamper the Patriots comeback win however. Defense edge here goes to the Eagles. They have a very good defensive line, though they only got to Minnesota QB Case Keenum one time. Philly's defense can definitely put pressure on the Pats and Brady. Eagles QB Nick Foles rose to the occasion, tossing three TD's and passing for 352 yards in the win over Minnesota. Still, offense goes to Brady who will make his eight Super Bowl appearance. Foles makes just his fourth playoff appearance. I think the Patriots will start this game throwing and throwing a lot. They will want to take the Eagles offense and put it on its heals. What I like most about this game is playing the OVER. I think both clubs will score a lot and this game will go OVER. |
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01-14-18 | Saints v. Vikings OVER 45 | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 139 h 48 m | Show | |
The Vikings really needed that week off to help with some injuries, especially center Pat Elfein who missed two of the team's last four games. He's back and should be ready this week. QB Sam Bradford who has been out since early in the season should also be available here today. The Saints have to be concerned with their running game after the Panthers held Kamara and Ingram to virtually nothing last week, just 68 total yards. That being said, when the Saints have less than 90 yards the previous game, their next game has gone over six straight times. In addition, they are 13-3 O/U the last 16 times they have had 350 or more yards the previous game. The Saints have also been a excellent OVER team in the playoffs, evidenced by their 9-3-1 O/U mark their last 13 playoff games. This series has been a good over play in recent times, with a 5-0-1 O/U mark the last six meetings in Minnesota and a 7-2 O/U record the last nine overall. I'm taking the OVER here on Sunday. |
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01-14-18 | Jaguars v. Steelers UNDER 41.5 | Top | 45-42 | Loss | -108 | 38 h 58 m | Show |
 You could tell the Jags plan of attack last week was to play defense and not get QB Blake Bortles into any problems. Bortles made most of his passes behind the line of scrimmage or on short pass plays. These teams met back in week five with the Jags defense dominating Pittsburgh with five INT's and two pick-six touchdowns in a 30-9 win. I don't expect this Steelers team to play like that today, but I also don't expect this Jaguars team to get many points against a very good Steelers defense. I look for a low scoring game here today with Bortles again being asked to not do too much and let the defense take over. Play the UNDER. |
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01-13-18 | Titans v. Patriots UNDER 48 | 14-35 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
The Titans looked like their season was over last week at Kansas City until KC Tight End Travis Kelce went out with a game-ending injury. After that, the entire contest turned around. They may just have to do the same here today as they face another of those great tight ends in Rob Gronkowski. The Titans realize they can't get into a scoring match here with the Pats. They can't fall behind like they did last week either. So what to do? They have to play ball control and grind out the yards on the ground and keep the Pats offense off the field. The Titans are a physical team and that can give the Pats problems. I don't see the Titans scoring a lot here today and that means they need to keep this game lower scoring. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles UNDER 41.5 | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 51 h 52 m | Show | |
 The Eagles find themselves in the rare position of a home dog this season. Mainly because of QB Nick Foles. With Foles at the helm, bettors have lost confidence in the Eagles and thus the oddsmakers is a basically asking you to take Philly with this line. The Falcons got the big road win in LA last week over the Rams. However, it was Rams return man Cooper who almost single handed gave them the game with his turnovers. What was expected to be high scoring in the Falcons/Rams game ended up not being so. Both teams had good defenses and they dominated. That is what I see here today. The Eagles still have a very good defense and the Falcons defense has been playing excellent. I look for this game to go UNDER. |
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01-08-18 | Alabama v. Georgia UNDER 45.5 | 26-23 | Loss | -115 | 103 h 55 m | Show | |
Two totally different games last week in the final four matchups. Georgia and Oklahoma went at it like two heavyweight champions. We had a high scoring team that literally came down to the last possession in OT to determine the winner. In the Alabama vs Clemson contest we got a great defensive effort by Alabama. Both of these club's have great defenses. Alabama has held five of their last seven opponents to 10 points or less. Georgia has held five of their last seven opponents to 13 points or less. I'm looking at today's Championship game to be a hard fought defensive effort by both clubs. Play the UNDER |
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01-07-18 | Panthers v. Saints UNDER 49 | 26-31 | Loss | -115 | 89 h 37 m | Show | |
Carolina limps into the playoffs after a terrible game at Atlanta in week 17, losing 10-22. Cam Newton looked horrible and the office just didn't produce. The Saints also lost in week 17, but the game didn't have much meaning in their loss to the Bucs, 24-31. The Saints defense has been very good all season, holding their last three opponents to (other than the Bucs), to 13, 19 and 20 points. The Saints have the 10th best scoring defense (20.4 ppg allowed). While this game on paper might look like an over, I'm going with the UNDER. The Saints defense has been better than expected and I'm just not impressed with this Panthers' offense. Play the UNDER. |
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01-07-18 | Bills v. Jaguars UNDER 39.5 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 41 h 3 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills return to the playoffs for the first time since 1999. However, they might have to be without star RB LeSean McCoy who missed Wednesday and Thursday's practices with a ankle injury. He did participate in limited practice Friday, but his status remains uncertain. Really, it all came down to one fourth down play by Cincinnati to keep the Ravens out of the playoffs and get Buffalo in. Of course now they have to face a very aggressive Jaguars defense. The Jags had the 2nd best scoring defense in the league. If McCoy doesn't play or even if he does and isn't near 100%, then this makes an even bigger play for me and that's the UNDER. |
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01-06-18 | Falcons v. Rams OVER 48.5 | 26-13 | Loss | -102 | 68 h 2 m | Show | |
When these teams get together, the points usually pile up. The last 21 meetings between the Falcons and Rams have seen 16 games go OVER the number. The Rams have been a great over team this year evidenced by their 11-5 O/U mark on the season. The Rams have scored at least 26 points in their last five games (if you toss out their game vs the 49ers). Atlanta had the highest scoring offense last year, but the addition of offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian seemed to disrupt the teams's offensive flow this year resulting in a 15th place finish in points. The Falcons may also have to pass more in this game as RB Devonta Freeman suffered a knee injury last game and may not be fully healed for today's game. Either way, I like the Rams to get lots of points and force the Falcons to keep pace. Play the OVER. |
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12-31-17 | Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 38.5 | 26-24 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
It's been a rough year for the Arizona Cardinals and it all started going downhill back in week 1 when they lost star running back Johnson for what turned out to be the season. While Arizona can't wait for the season to finish, the Seahawks need a win here today. A Seattle win coupled with a Carolina win and they can still make the playoffs. The offense still is not good for Seattle. In their win at Dallas they had more penalty yards (142) then they did offensive yards (136). I don't look for many points here on Sunday from either team. Take the UNDER |
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12-31-17 | Browns v. Steelers UNDER 37.5 | 24-28 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Steelers still have something to play for today as they can still get a first round bye. Seeding is the stake for Pitt here today. The Steelers need a win and a Jets win over the Patriots to get home field advantage and a first round bye. Problem is, they are depending on the Jets and that might just be enough for the Steelers to say heck with it and rest players. The Browns are still looking to get that goose egg off their win column. This might just be the spot to do so if the Steelers rest all their stars. I'm taking the UNDER here as the Steelers rest offensive players and well, the Browns are still the Browns. Play UNDER. |
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12-31-17 | Bears v. Vikings UNDER 38 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
 The end has mercifully come for the Chicago Bears. The Bears have lots of questions to answer in the offseason if they wish to be competitive next year. The Vikings defense will be up for a big game here today as they play for seeding in the playoffs. I don't expect many if any points out of the Bears here today and therefore I will be taking the UNDER. |
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12-25-17 | Steelers v. Texans UNDER 45 | 34-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
 The Steelers have had to stew after that bitter loss to the Patriots last week. The loss also saw the club lose their best receiver in Antonio Brown who is out. The Steelers are playing anywhere from home field throughout to third place in the AFC. The Texans are just playing out the season after losing four straight games. The Steelers have been a great road under team, posting a 6-22 O/U mark their last 28 away games. They are also 9-20 O/U in their last 29 vs the AFC. The Texans will be hoping for a return from QB Watson next season as they realize that neither Yates nor Savage is the answer to this team. I don't expect a lot of points here on Monday with Brown out of the lineup and the Texans playing with backup QB's. Take the UNDER. |
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12-24-17 | Seahawks v. Cowboys OVER 46.5 | 21-12 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Big news today is the return of Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliot. This is great news for a Cowboys team that has struggle since his suspension. The Seahawks completely melted down last week against the Rams, losing 7-42. In addition, there were some bad tweets between Seahawks defensive players Bobby Wagner and Earl Thomas, causing some tension among the team. Elliot comes into today's game with fresh legs and I believe we'll see the Cowboys keep feeding him the ball against this beleaguered Seahawks defense. I look for Dallas to score a lot of points here today and therefore I'm going with the OVER. |
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12-23-17 | Texas Tech v. South Florida OVER 65.5 | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Texas Tech just barely became bowl eligible with their 6-6 record. Now they take on ranked South Florida at 9-2. The main S.Florida weapon is QB Quinton Flowers. Flowers is primarily a running QB who rushed 182 times for 972 yards and 10 TD's. Both of these teams average well over 30 points per game with Tech at 34.3 and S.Florida at 38.3 ppg. One big difference is on defense, where Tech ranks just 98th and S.Florida is 28th. Tech has been a very good over play in Bowl games with a 7-1 O/U mark their last eight. Tech is also 19-9 O/U in their last 28 non-conference games. SFU is 7-3-1 O/U in their last 11 non-conf games. I expect an all out offensive showcase here on Saturday. Take the OVER and enjoy the show. |
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12-17-17 | Patriots v. Steelers OVER 53.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -118 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
This could be our preview of the AFC Championship Game. The Steelers defense has been on its heals with injuries. They might get back CB Joe Hayden here, but how effective he will be after being out is unknown. Of course the heart of this defense, Ryan Shazier is out with that spinal injury as is Keion Adams. The Patriots looked horrible last week against a poor Miami team. They didn't have Rob Gronkowski, who was serving a suspension. Gronk returns today though and that will make a big difference. Pitt QB Ben Roethlisberger has thrown for two or more TD's in each of his last five games. Rather than get involved in a side here, I'm looking at the OVER. With Gronk back and the Steelers defense showing it's holes, I look for each of these clubs to get plenty of points. Play the OVER. |
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12-17-17 | Packers v. Panthers OVER 47 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show | |
The Packers are on life support in the NFC playoff picture. They MUST win out to even have a remote chance at making the postseason. The good news is that QB Aaron Rodgers returns today and just how rusty he will be is yet to be determined. You really cannot underestimate just how important Rodgers return to the lineup is for the Packers. Plus, his legs will be fresh with the time off. Carolina is coming off that big win over the Vikings last week, 31-24. It was the Panthers fifth win in their last six games. Carolina's offense has been very good too, scoring at least 26 points in their last three games. QB Cam Newton has only one INT in his last five games. I look for both of these teams to score points in bunches today. I'm playing the OVER. |
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12-11-17 | Patriots v. Dolphins OVER 48 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
 The New England Patriots (10-2 S/U, 8-4 ATS) take on the Miami Dolphins (5-7 S/U, 4-6-2 ATS) on Monday Night football. The Patriots beat up on these teams, going 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs a losing team. Miami, for a low scoring team, is 4-1 O/U at home this year, 8-1 O/U last 9 vs the AFC East and 8-2 O/U in their last 10 Monday Night games. The Pats scored 35 last time these teams met in New England with the game going over the 49 point line. Miami held a poor scoring Denver team to just nine points last week. However, before that they gave up 35 to NE, 30 to TB, 45 to Car, 27 to Oak and 40 to Baltimore. In fact, the Dolphins have gone over in their last seven games. With these clubs going over in five of their last six meetings, that's what I'm going with here on Monday. Play the OVER. |
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12-10-17 | Seahawks v. Jaguars OVER 40 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks got a huge win last week against the NFC's top ranked team, Philadelphia. The issue here is that the Seahawks maybe in a look ahead spot as they play the Rams next week. The Jaguars are a favorite here, but they need to play a little more conservative than they have in the past. The Jags can prove they belong in the playoff run with a win today. I'm looking at the OVER here. Both of these teams average right at 24 ppg this season. The Jags are 4-1 O/U in their last six games and the OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings in this series. If QB Blake Bortels can take advantage of a depleted Seattle secondary, this game goes OVER. |
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12-10-17 | Raiders v. Chiefs OVER 48 | 15-26 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
It's difficult to imagine that at one point this year the KC Chiefs were 5-0 and looking like they would run away with the division. Now, they are in serious trouble as they are tied with both the Chargers and Raiders for the AFC West lead. The only win for the Chiefs in the last seven weeks was a win over the broken Broncos, 29-19. Points haven't really been too big an issue, with KC scoring 31 in their loss to the Jets last week. The last time these teams locked-up in Oakland, they scored 61 points. I'm looking at the OVER here, not only because neither of these teams have good defenses, but also because the Chiefs will be without All-Pro corner Marcus Peters. Peters was suspended by the Chiefs for his incident at the end of last week's loss to the Jets. Take the OVER today |
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12-10-17 | 49ers v. Texans OVER 44.5 | 26-16 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers have won two of their last three games after a last second field goal got them the win at Chicago last week. 15-14. The addition of QB Jimmy Garoppolo has given some life to this club. Garappolo got his first start against the Bears. The Niners will take on the 4-8 Texans with QB Tom Savage at the helm. The Texans have lost two straight games, both on the road. They return home where they have had lots of success this year. I like the OVER today, mainly because Houston has struggled on the road, but flourished at home. They shouldn't have trouble putting the ball in the end zone today against the 49ers. Take the OVER. |
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12-09-17 | Army v. Navy UNDER 47 | 14-13 | Win | 100 | 50 h 43 m | Show | |
Army has a chance to win the Commander-in-chief trophy here today with a win over the Middies of Navy. Army won last year in Baltimore, 21-17, snapping a 14 year losing streak in this annual matchup. Don't expect to see many passes in this game as both these option teams will ground and pound this game. This game is run by the QB's, but not through the air, through the ground. Ahmad Bradshaw of Army has rushed for 1,472 yards and 11 TD's while Navy's Zach Abey has 1,322 yards and 14 TD's. Expect another hard-nosed effort here by both clubs. These games are usually low scoring (38 points the last two years and 27 the year before). Can't believe there is a 46 point total on this game. Play the UNDER. |
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12-03-17 | Giants v. Raiders UNDER 41.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
Looks like NY QB Eli Manning will see his record string of starts come to an end today as the Giants have decided to bench the veteran. Too bad for Eli as the Raiders have just one interception all season long. The Giants now will start Davis Webb. This could be very detrimental to this Giants team. They are benching a player that has led them for 210 straight games and won Super Bowls. Many think this is a pathetic move by HC McAdoo. The Raiders welcome this change since they are still fighting for a playoff spot in the wacky AFC East. The Raiders will be without a key offensive cog in WR Amari Cooper, who will sit with a concussion. With Eli on the bench and the Raiders missing some key players, I am sticking with the UNDER here tonight. |
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12-02-17 | North Texas v. Florida Atlantic OVER 73 | 17-41 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Battle for the Conference USA Championship here on Saturday. This is a game North Texas would like to forget from early this season. The FAU offense scored on their first 11 drives en route to a 69-31 pummeling of NT. The FAU defense was second in the nation in interceptions (18)with two being brought back for TD's. The Owls have a very good QB in Jason Driskel, but he's helped immensely by the rushing game that ranks No 6 in the country. This game will be another monster high scoring affair. Play the over and enjoy the show. |
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11-26-17 | Saints v. Rams OVER 53 | 20-26 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
The LA Rams look to distance themselves in the West standings as they sit atop the division with a 7-3 record. The Rams have dropped from the highest scoring team in the NFL to 2nd (30.3 ppg). They are top 10 in the NFL in rushing yards and passing yards. The Saints are 8-2 and in first place in the South. New Orleans is 3rd in scoring (30.2 ppg) and 2nd in passing yards and third in rushing yards. The last 10 meetings in LA between these teams has seen them go over eight times. They are 8-3 O/U their last 11 meetings over. I like these teams to go over here today despite the high total. |
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11-26-17 | Titans v. Colts OVER 45.5 | 20-16 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
The 6-4 Titans play the 3-7 Colts here today. Both these clubs have been good over plays. The Titans are 7-3 O/U on the season while the Colts are 6-4. In addition, the Titans are 10-2 O/U last 12 vs the AFC South. Neither team has much defense, with Tennessee allowing 25.3 points per game and the Colts 28 ppg. Four of the last five in this series has gone OVER and I look for another OVER here on Sunday. Play OVER. |
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11-23-17 | Chargers v. Cowboys UNDER 48 | 28-6 | Win | 100 | 50 h 33 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers may only be 4-6 on the season, but they have played much better. The Chargers are coming off a shellacking of Buffalo last week, 54-24. The Chargers lost the previous two weeks by eight at New England at three at Jacksonville. They have now covered five of their last six games. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are struggling to score and fantasy owners are losing their patience. With Ezekiel Elliot suspended the club has scored 16 points in two games, both lopsided losses to Philly (9-37) and Atlanta (7-27). The offense and defense has both been horrible. The good thing is that the Chargers are not a high scoring team. Throw out that Buffalo game where they intercepted five passes. Before they they scored 17, 13, 21 and 17 points. In fact, this team has scored over 24 points just one time prior to their explosion over the Bills. I like today's game to go UNDER. Neither team should score much here especially the Cowboys who are in real trouble. Play UNDER. |
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11-20-17 | Falcons v. Seahawks OVER 46 | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
The Seahawks got some extra rest with four days off after playing early last week. The bad news is they lost corner Richard Sherman for the season with a ruptured Achilles. In addition, the Seahawks may be without safety Earl Thomas too. That is not good against a high powered Falcons throwing attack. Yes, the Falcons are not scoring near their 32 point average of last year. Part of that problem lies in the OC of Steve Sarkisian, who just hasn't gelled with the offense yet. The 6-3 Seahawks have scored more than 24 points just one time in their last five games. With Sherman out and possibly Thomas too, they may have to ramp that up a bit. The Seahawks are just 3-8 ATS their last 11 following a straight up win. Without their "Legion of Boom" I look at this game as being wide open in scoring. I'm taking the OVER tonight. |
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11-19-17 | Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 48.5 | 37-9 | Win | 100 | 58 h 58 m | Show | |
Have to wonder if the loss of RB Ezekiel Elliott isn't effecting the Dallas club more than they want to let on. Last week at Atlanta, they scored early and that was it. Of course even bigger is the loss of blind side tackle Tyron Smith. Smith could play this week, but if he doesn't, it will be a big hardship on Dak Prescot. The Cowboys can't afford to lose this game to the NFC leading Eagles. And they surely can't get into a shootout, they just don't have the offensive weapons at this point. The Eagles have the best record in the NFL at 8-1, a franchise QB in Carson Wentz and now have added Jay Ajayi who they acquired from Miami. This gives the club a very balanced attack now. I am taking the UNDER here on Sunday evening, mainly because I don't see Dallas putting many points on the board. Take UNDER |
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11-19-17 | Patriots v. Raiders OVER 55 | 33-8 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 3 m | Show | |
I am taking the over here because I expect the points to pile up with these offenses. This game will be played in Mexico, so no home field advantage. It's taken a bit of time, but the Patriots once again look to be the class in the AFC. QB Tom Brady has had multiple TD's and/or 300+ passing yards in each of his last eight games. Now he faces a Oakland defense ranked 26th in the league in defense. Brandon Cooks and Rob Gronkowski should have a field day against this secondary. This is the same secondary that allowed a mediocre Jay Cutler to pass for over 300 yards and three TD's their last games. If you think the super high elevation of 7280 feet will affect the Patriots, they weren't effected last week in Denver, which is a mile high. I fully expect the Patriots to score 40+ in this one. Take the over as your NFL Total of the Year! |
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11-19-17 | Redskins v. Saints OVER 51 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 123 h 48 m | Show | |
The Saints get to return home here on Sunday to host the Redskins. The 7-2 Saints have now won seven in a row after a pair of losses. The defense, much maligned early in the year has been under rated and excellent, holding opponents to less than 17 points in each of the last four games. The Redskins had that improbable win at Seattle two weeks ago (17-14) but that has been the highlight of their recent play as they are just 1-3 their last four games and 1-5 ATS their last six. In addition, the defense has been giving up point in bunches, evidenced by their 38, 33 and 34 allowed in three of their last four games. Only the conservative Seahawks scored less than 20 points against them. The Redskins are now 10-1 O/U following an ATS loss, 13-3 O/U their last 16 aways games and 23-7 O/U their last 30 overall. The Saints are 11-3 O/U against a losing team, 12-5-1 O/U their last 18 at home and 4-0 O/U their last four against the Skins. I like the Saints to get a lot of points here, play the OVER. |
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11-19-17 | Bucs v. Dolphins UNDER 42 | 30-20 | Loss | -107 | 51 h 37 m | Show | |
This is for bragging rights in Florida, though neither of these teams have much to brag about this year. This is the matchup that was scheduled for week 1, but got pushed back because of Hurrican Irma. That should have been an omen for these teams that this wasn't going to be either of their seasons. The Bucs beat the Jets last week as a home dog behind QB Ryan Fitzpatrick. One bit of good news for the Bucs is that they get WR Mike Evans back from his suspension. The Bucs are 2-8-1 their last 11 games on grass. The 4-5 Dolphins have a bad offense, 29th in passing yards, 30th in rushing yards and 32nd in points (15.2 ppg).The Bucs are 28th in rushing and 22nd in points (19.2). Don't expect either of these teams to find much offensive output here today. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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11-13-17 | Dolphins v. Panthers UNDER 39 | 21-45 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 18 m | Show | |
The 4-4 Dolphins travel to Carolina to take on the 6-3 Panthers here on Monday Night Football. The Dolphins have lost their last two games to the Raiders and the Ravens. The latter they were shut out 40-0. The Panthers have won two straight games with wins over the Falcons and the Bucs. They have allowed just 20 points combined in their last two games. Miami has the 32nd ranked scoring offense in the league with a 14.5 ppg average. They are 29th in passing yards (192.6) and 30th in rushing yards (77.6). Yet they think they could afford to trade their top running back a few weeks ago, Jay Ajayi. Meanwhile, Carolina has the 4th rated scoring defense in the league (17.7 ppg), the 24th scoring offense in the league (18.7 ppg) and the 24th best passing (204.0 ypg). The Panthers should be able to keep the Miami offense from scoring much. The question is whether the Carolina offense will do much either. I don't think either team will score in bunches here on Monday. Therefore, I'm taking the UNDER. |
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11-12-17 | Giants v. 49ers UNDER 42 | 21-31 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 8 m | Show | |
Neither of these two struggling teams will light up much of the scoreboard here on Sunday. The Giants have gone UNDER in nine of their last 13 away games, while the Niners are 8-19 O/U in their last 27 home games. The 49ers still looking for their first win of the season as they sit at 0-9. This is a winable game against a struggling Giants team. Giants HC Ben McAdoo is on the hot seat as the team is just 1-7. Two such bad teams is a toss up as to who wins. SF might just got that monkey off their back, but I'm not risking it. Instead, I'll play the UNDER here as I expect both these offenses to spin their wheels for most of this game. Play UNDER |
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11-12-17 | Saints v. Bills UNDER 48 | 47-10 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 33 m | Show | |
The Saints have rattled off six straight wins as they head to Buffalo. One thing you usually don't have in the same sentence is Saints and defense. However, the Saints have played very good defense. Buffalo has seen the UNDER in 12 of their last 21 games as a dog. The Saints are 5-9 O/U in their last 14 games against winning teams. Bills are tough at home, especially defensively. I look for this contest to go UNDER the total. |
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11-09-17 | Seahawks v. Cardinals UNDER 41.5 | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 34 h 21 m | Show | |
 The 5-3 Seattle Seahawks take on the 4-4 Arizona Cardinals tonight in Phoenix. The Seahawks are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games. Arizona is 3-12 O/U in their last 15 home games while Seattle is 3-7 O/U in their last 10 vs the NFC West. Seattle is coming off a loss at home to the Redskins , 17-14. The offense failed to score as it had the prior week against the Texans where they put up 41 points. Arizona is coming off a road win at San Francisco, 20-10. The Cardinals offense has been stagnant since losing starting QB Palmer to injury. The offense has relied heavily on veteran Adrian Peterson, who rushed for over 170 yards last week and has been used a lot. Neither one of these teams have much in the way of offensive explosiveness. I look for a ground and pound game here by both clubs. I'm going with the UNDER. |
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11-05-17 | Raiders v. Dolphins OVER 44.5 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
 Doesn't get much more embarrassing for the Dolphins then their blowout loss to the Ravens on national Tv, 40-0. Out is QB Matt Moore and back in is Jay Cutler tonight. The Miami offense is dead last in scoring in the NFL. Oakland would also like to forget this season up to now after starting 3-5. The Raiders have yet to intercept a football, the first team in NFL history to do this. Marshawn Lynch is back today, though he hasn't been all that effective this season. The Raiders have been a very good OVER team in November, going 19-5-3 O/U. In addition they are 6-2 O/U in their last eight away games. Despite their offensive woes, the Dolphins have gone over in six of their last eight home games. The OVER is also 4-0 in the last four meetings between these teams. With players returning today I look for more scoring. Play the OVER. |
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11-05-17 | Redskins v. Seahawks OVER 45 | 17-14 | Loss | -105 | 101 h 10 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks had a dramtic win at home last week to come from behind and beat the Texans, 41-38 on a late Wilson TD toss. Despite having top 10 pass defenses, the Seahawks and Texans combind for over 800 yards passing in that game. Seattle now hosts a Redskins team that has a 5-2 O/U mark coming into this game, including four straight OVERs. The Washington defense has allowed 33, 34, 24 and 29 points in their last four games. The Seattle offense has now averaged 30.8 ppg their last five contests. The Skins are 22-6 O/U their last 28 overall games and 19-7 O/U in their last 26 away games. Seattle's offense is hitting on all cylanders right now and that spells problems for Washington. I'm going with the OVER here on Sunday. |
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11-05-17 | Colts v. Texans OVER 49 | 20-14 | Loss | -130 | 98 h 55 m | Show | |
The 2-6 Colts visit the 3-4 Texans here on Sunday. The Texans offense caught fire against the Seahawks in a slugfest that Houston lost, 41-38. Houston QB Deshaun Watson was 19-for-30 for 402 yards and four TD's. Houston has now scored 38, 22, 34, 57 and 33 in their last five games (ALL OVERS). The Colt defense will be hard pressed to shut down this Houston offense, having allowed 24, 27, 36, 23, 46 and 28 in their last six games. Historically the Colts have been a very good road OVER team, posting a 45-22 O/U record their last 67 away games. These clubs have gone OVER in their last four meetings in Houston. I don't see how Houston doesn't get over 30 again this week. I'm taking the OVER. |
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11-05-17 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 42.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
The Panthers have battled injury problems this year and that may be why they go through such ups and downs against the total spread. They have now gone two straight games where they have combined with their opponent for just 20 points. Before that, they have four weeks in a row going OVER the total. They face an Atlanta team that has also gone through much the same this season. The Falcons started off hot offensively, scoring 23, 34 and 30 in their first three games. However, since then, they have just 17, 17, 7 and then 25 last week against the Jets. The problem also may be with OC Steve Sarkasian, who has taken a lot of the heat for the poor Atlanta production. Last year when Atlanta was red hot offensively, they had a +11 turnover ratio at this point in the season. Now, it's a minus-5! I think the problems this Falcons team is having in their Super Bowl letdown season will continue here on Sunday. Both these clubs have struggled and I think will continue to struggle to produce points the way we have seen in the past. As such, I'm going to go with the UNDER here on Sunday in what might be a pretty boring game |
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11-05-17 | Ravens v. Titans UNDER 42 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans are rested and off their bye week. Both teams have identical 4-3 records this season. Baltimore is coming off a 40-0 shellacking of the Miami Dolphins last Thursday. But it was more of the Ravens defense that generated the points with five takeaways and a pair of Pick-Sixes. QB Joe Flacco (Concussion) left that game, but should return today. The Titans do get their #5 pick, Corey Davis back for this game. Davis hasn't played since week 2 and provides a deep threat for this Tennessee offense. Even with Flacco playing today, he's the 31st ranked QB in the league this year. The Ravens have no run offense and if not for their defense, they would never have scored the 40 points last week. Don't expect much out of this Baltimore team today as this game goes UNDER the total. |
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