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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-25-20 | 49ers v. Patriots UNDER 45 | 33-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
In what has been a very strange season, two of the pre-season favorites meet here today in Foxboro as the 49ers take on the Patriots. The Pats had been without QB Cam Newton due to Covid and his return last week was not a good one. The Pats lost at home to the Broncos, 16-18. That was New England's 2nd straight loss and has dropped the team below the .500 mark. The 49ers finally looked like the team that went to the Super Bowl with a dominating performance last week vs the Rams in a 24-16 win. The Pats hope Newton can bounce back this week against a very good 49ers defense. Both these teams still have a lot of injuries. I'm taking the UNDER here today. |
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10-25-20 | Chiefs v. Broncos UNDER 44.5 | 43-16 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
The Kansas City Chiefs make the trek to Colorado's Mile High city to take on their division rivals, Denver Broncos. It's never easy for teams to play in the high elevation. The Broncos welcomed back QB Drew Lock last week and RB Phillip Lindsay from injuries. The Broncos upset the Patriots on the road, 18-16 in an ugly game. The Chiefs bounced back from their loss at home to the Las Vegas Raiders with a nice win over Buffalo, 26-17 to improve to 5-1 on the season. Their defense really came to play last week, holding the very good Bills offense to just 206 total yards. The Broncos defense needs to come up big this week as they cannot afford to get into a shootout with the Chiefs. They can do this against the Chiefs run defense, which is their weak spot. The Broncos will also get back RB Gordon this week so they will have plenty in the tank at RB. I'm not going to take a side here, but I will take the UNDER as I look for Denver to try and take the air out of the ball. Play UNDER. |
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10-25-20 | Steelers v. Titans OVER 50.5 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Two of the last three undefeated teams meet here on Sunday as the 5-0 Pittsburgh Steelers take on the 5-0 Tennessee Titans. The Titans have a balanced offense and are the best Red Zone team in the NFL. Derrick Henry leads the team and the league in rushing with 588 yards and 6TD's. The Steelers have an excellent defense starting with their pass rush. This should be a great game between these unbeatens heavyweights. I'm looking for a high scoring affair here on Sunday. Play the OVER. |
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10-25-20 | Packers v. Texans OVER 57 | 35-20 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers fell from the undefeated last week as they lost at Tampa Bay, 10-38. Aaron Rodgers looked to be on a MVP season until he ran into that buzz saw last week in Tampa. Rodgers threw three pass interceptions last week including a pick-six. They should get a good chance to get back on track vs a reeling 1-5 Houston Texans team. The Texans fired Bill O'Brien and installed Romeo Cronell at HC and it looked to be a winning combo as they went to Tennessee last week and took a 7-point lead late into the 4th quarter. However, a controversial two point try by Houston led to the Titans needing just a TD and extra point to tie, which they did. The Titans forced OT and scored a TD on the opening possession for the win and cover to the dismay of bettors all over who had the Titans. The Texans allow a league worst 5.4 yards per carry and 177.5 yards per game on the ground. The one good thing is the offense is still potent with QB Deshaun Watson and a trio of very good receivers. I look for the Packers to take out some of that frustration from last week here today on the Texans. Look for a high scoring game. Play OVER. |
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10-24-20 | South Carolina v. LSU UNDER 55.5 | 24-52 | Loss | -114 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
The 2-2 South Carolina Gamecocks take on the struggling 1-2 LSU Tigers this week from Baton Rouge. After losing to Tennessee and Florida, the Gamecocks have rebounded with wins over Vanderbilt and No 15 Auburn. Kevin Harris is the star on this team at RB, averaging 5.0 yards per run this year. He's the type of back that can wear down defenses. LSU will be forced to make a change at QB. Myle Brennan has been profilic leading this team to 467.3 yards per game and 38.7 ppg this season. Brennan is expected to miss this game which leave freshman TJ Finley or Max Johnson to run the offense. Brennan is thought to have torn ab muscle. Now LSU will try and get one of the nation's worst rushing attacks going here. With Brennan out, look for a much more conservative offensive approach today. For me, that means an UNDER. |
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10-18-20 | Texans v. Titans OVER 53 | 36-42 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans remained unbeaten despite having to go through some Covid hoops last week that included losing practice time and having their game moved. More than 20 players and staff tested positive and they were without some of their wide receivers in their game, yet they beat the undefeated Bills handily, 42-16. The Texans started 0-4 and then fired HC Bill O'Brien. Romeo Crennel took over and that seemed to give the Texans a shot in the arm as they got their first win over Jacksonville, 30-14. Titans playing on a very short week here today after playing last Tuesday. Both teams put up excellent points last week and with the new coach I expect Houston to continue to roll here this week. This one should be a shoot out on Sunday. Play OVER. |
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10-17-20 | Duke v. NC State OVER 59.5 | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 8 m | Show | |
Duke finally got a win last week at Syracuse, their best offensive production thus far as they scored 38 points in the win. The offense was clicking as they ran 102 plays and rushed for over 300 yards. The NC State Wolfpack are 3-1 on the season and averaging 34.3 ppg. Duke has averaged just 21.6 ppg, but last week's outburst has the offense is starting heat up. I look for both these teams to get plenty on the scoreboard. Take the OVER. |
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10-11-20 | Colts v. Browns UNDER 48.5 | 23-32 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 24 m | Show | |
Week five matchup here of teams that are both on 3-0 win streaks. Both these clubs opened the season with losses and since have gone on to win their next three games. The Colts defense has been excellent this season. Their last three games they have held the Vikings, Jets and Bears to a combined 29 points. The Browns lost to the Ravens in week 1 and since have scored 118 points in wins over Cincinnati, Washington and Dallas. The Colts are playing their second straight road game here this week. The Browns are controlling the ball on the ground, averaging 5.9 yards per carry. The battle in this one is the defense of the Colts vs the offense of the Browns. The Colts defense has been very good and they should control both the offensive and defensive lines here today. I'm taking this game to go UNDER. |
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10-10-20 | Alabama v. Ole Miss UNDER 69.5 | 63-48 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
Huge total here in this game of around 70. I can see why the oddsmaker put up such a big number though. The Alabama Crimson Tide are averaging 45 ppg and Ole Miss coming in at 38.5 ppg. The Rebels are also pretty bad on defense, allowing 46 points per game. I know I'm a bit out of the box on this pick today and I don't have any stats to back it up. But I'm looking at the UNDER. So why is that? They have Georgia up next on October 17th. I don't think we'll see the Alabama first team players long into this game and they might even be looking past this terrible Ole Miss team to the undefeated Bulldogs next week. I'm taking the under and expecting the Tide to have their minds on their next game. Take UNDER. |
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10-08-20 | Tulane v. Houston UNDER 59.5 | 31-49 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
The Covid pandemic has caused many a college teams to shuffle their schedules. None more effected then Houston thus far. The Cougars will just now be playing their first game of the season. Compare that to Tulane, which is playing its fourth game after starting the season 2-1. The Cougars have had five game rescheduled or cancelled thus far. They finally get to play tonight. The Cougars have 33 junior college and other conference transfers after finishing a disappointing 4-8 last season. The Cougars will have their hands full playing Tulane. Not only does the Green Wave have had three games to get their team in order, but they are 2-1 and already won twice on the road. Thus far, Tulane is third in the AAC in total defense. Hard to gauge this Houston team since they have so many changes from last year. Tulane's defense ranking along with the rust factor for this Houston team. Take UNDER. |
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10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers OVER 56 | 16-30 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
I don't know what youth pill Packers' QB Aaron Rodgers has taken, but can we all have some. Rodgers has looked like his old self after a down season in 2019. Rodgers and the Packers are undefeated at 3-0. The Falcons, well they have blown big leads this year and are 0-3 after losing to the Bears last week, 26-30. That loss on the heals of a shocking loss to the Cowboys in week 2 where they blew a 15-point fourth quarter lead. It must seem like Deja Vu for the Falcons after something similar happened in their Super Bowl loss to the Patriots in Super Bowl LI. HC Dan Quinn is in desperate need of a win or face a 0-4 start. The injury plagued Falcons will have to face the NFL best offense that averages 6.9 yards per play and 40.7 ppg. The Falcons do possess a potent passing attack with Matt Ryan. But I don't see this defense stopping this Packers juggernaut of an offense. Take the OVER |
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10-03-20 | Texas A&M v. Alabama UNDER 54.5 | 24-52 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
The SEC plays its second week of the season here on Saturday as Alabama host Texas A&M in Tuscaloosa. Alabama is the favorite in the SEC and opened with a win last week over Vanderbilt, 38-19. With QB Tua Tagovailoa gone to the the NFL it's now up to Mac Jones to lead the team. Jones looked solid in his start last week. Texas A&M will have to clean up its act after last week where they committed way too many penalties and turn overs. A&M scored just 17 points in their opener last week and will not have it any better today against a solid Alabama defense. Texas A&M still looks like a work in progress after their first game. They have a lot of areas to work on and that won't be much easier here today against Alabama. I'm taking UNDER in this game as I expect A&M to be limited in points. Play UNDER. |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs v. Ravens OVER 54.5 | 34-20 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
This looks to be the marquee matchup of the week as the defending NFL Champion Kansas City Chiefs take on the 2-0 Baltimore Ravens. The Chiefs had to come-from-behind last week against the Chargers with a 14-3 fourth quarter to win in OT, 23-20, and start their season 2-0. Meanwhile, the Ravens rushed for 230 yards in their win over the Houston Texans last week, 33-16. It was the Ravens 15th game with at least 200 yards rushing since 2018. The Chiefs are 15-5-1 Over/Under in their last 21 games as a dog. They have also gone over in five of the last seven Monday Night games. Ravens are 5-1 O/U in their last six home games as a favorite and 4-1 o/u their last five overall. This promises to be an exciting game, I'm going to take the OVER here tonight. |
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09-27-20 | Cowboys v. Seahawks OVER 56.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
All you can say is WOW about last week's come from behind win by the Dallas Cowboys over the Atlanta Falcons. The Cowboys can thank their special teams for that win, 40-39. They needed a late TD, then the onside kick and winning field goal all within the last two minutes of the game. Meanwhile, the Seahawks had to hold on until the literally the last second to beat the Patriots last week, 35-30. They stopped QB Cam Newton on the one yard line as time ran out for the win. Russell Wilson has been unbelievable, tossing FIVE touchdowns last week. Not sure how the Cowboys can stop Russell Wilson. Their only hope is to keep the ball out of his hands. I don't see that really happening as this game should have a lot of points. Take the OVER. |
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09-27-20 | Lions v. Cardinals OVER 55.5 | 26-23 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
The 0-2 Detroit Lions take on the 2-0 Arizona Cardinals today at State Farm Stardium in Phoenix. Last time these clubs met was a 27-27 tie to start the 2019 season. The Lions are really kicking themselves because they could easily be 2-0. They blew a 23-6 fourth quarter lead to the Bears in week one and then had a 14-3 lead last wee they couldn't hold. Arizona is 2-0 behind a very good rushing game that has 150+ yards in each of the first two games. The Cardinals also got a boost in the passing game with DeAndre Hopkins coming over from the Texans. Hopkins has 22 receptions this year. A very high total in this at around 55 points. However, the Cardinals are putting up big numbers and the Lions will have to keep pace. I'm taking the OVER. |
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09-27-20 | Rams v. Bills OVER 46.5 | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
Battle of undefeated teams here on Sunday has the 2-0 Rams playing at the 2-0 Buffalo Bills. Long trip East for the Rams, which is never easy on the West coast teams. The Bills, which have been known as a defensive team, have been putting up some big offensive numbers behind QB Josh Allen. The Bills are averaging 29 points per game and 463 yards per game (No 3). The Rams are averaging 28.5 ppg and 435 yards per game (No 5). Allen had four TD's last week vs the Dolphins and over 400 passing yards. Stephen Diggs was a great addition to the team, tied in the NFL with 239 receiving yards. The Rams won at Philly last week, 37-19 as QB Jarod Goff had three TD passes. Both teams are firing on all cylinders on offense. I'm taking the OVER. |
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09-26-20 | Iowa State v. TCU UNDER 44 | 37-34 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
 Iowa State was supposed to be playing Oklahoma here today, but rescheduling due to the Covid virus and the Cyclones will have to settle for a road trip to TCU. Iowa state stumbled in its opener, losing to Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns, 14-31. Big plays killed the ISU team as they allowed a 95-yard kickoff return for a TD, a 78-yard pass play and a 83-yard punt return. TCU saw its opener scrubbed against SMU because of the virus. Brock Purdy returns to QB at Iowa State, but he will have to improve on a lackluster performance in week 1. TCU has many questions yet to be answered. One of which is whether Purdy will return to his form from last year. I'm taking the UNDER here and we'll see what happens with Purdy on Saturday. Play UNDER. |
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09-26-20 | Kentucky v. Auburn OVER 48 | 13-29 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
SEC begins play today in college football as Kentucky takes on Auburn. Kentucky has won 18 games the last two seasons and could be a team to surprise a lot of people in the SEC this year. Auburn just continues to play excellent football under HC Gus Malzahn. Kentucky is led by a ground game that averages 278.8 ypg last year. Auburn returns their starting QB from last year, Bo Nix. Nix had 16 TDs and just 6 int's last year. This offense should be much better this year under Nix. The Kentucky ground game should get their share too. I'm taking the OVER here in this SEC opener. |
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09-24-20 | Dolphins v. Jaguars OVER 47 | 31-13 | Loss | -114 | 69 h 41 m | Show | |
We saw lots of points last week in the NFL as it looks like the offenses are ahead of defenses so far. We also saw lots of big name injuries with 7 ACL injuries sustained by players across the league. The Miami Dolphins showed they can move the ball against one of the best defenses in the league in Buffalo, coming up just short 28-31. The Dolphins fell to 0-2 after that loss. Jacksonville also showing they have some offense as they gave Tennessee all it could handle last week finally losing in OT, 30-33. Jags QB Minshew threw for 339 and 3 TD's in the loss. The Jags also out gained the Titans, 480-354 yards. Both these teams have shown they can score against good defenses and today this one should be an all out offensive battle. I'm taking the OVER. |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
The Raiders begin their era in Las Vegas inside their brand new Allegiant stadium. The Raiders won a high scoring affair last week at Carolina, while the New Orleans Saints upended the Tom Brady led Tampa Bay Bucs. QB Drew Brees will be without his favorite target though as WR Michael Thomas is out indefinitely with a ankle injury. Even though there won't be a stadium full of Vegas fans here on Monday, it will still be an exciting beginning for the city and the Raiders. Both of these teams had little trouble putting up big points last week. Both teams have potent offenses and early on it looks like defenses in the NFL are behind the offenses. I'm taking OVER tonight between New Orleans and Las Vegas. |
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09-20-20 | Falcons v. Cowboys OVER 53 | 39-40 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Dallas lost their opener last week at the LA Rams, 19-22. The Rams Brett Maher hit a 42-yard field goal as time expired to pull out the win for the Rams. New head Coach Mike McCarthy wasn't happy with the outcome last week and will not want to start the season 0-2 with his new club. The Falcons lost a shootout with the Falcons last week, 25-38. QB Matt Ryan threw for 450 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the loss. With Ryan at QB, Julio Jones at Wide Out and Todd Gurley in the backfield, this team should be potent on offense. Dallas lost another one score game, their seventh since last season. I don't look for much defense in this one. I'm taking the OVER and will enjoy the offensive show. |
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09-20-20 | Jaguars v. Titans OVER 44 | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
No one really has given the Jacksonville Jaguars much of a chance heading into this season. They lost star RB Leonard Fortnette and they have arguably the most vanilla QB in Gardner Minshew. however, Minshew shined last week, copleting 19 of 20 passes for 173 yards and three touchdowns. He becomes just one of three QB's all-time to have a completion rate of 95% or more in a game. The Titans pulled out a late win at Denver last week, 16-14. Ryan Tannehill had to throw more than normal and had 249 yards and two touchdowns. The Titans shouldn't have much issues dominating this Jaguars defense here on Sunday. If Minshew can be nearly as efficient as last week then this game will go over. I'm taking the OVER here today. |
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09-20-20 | Lions v. Packers OVER 49.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
Green Bay should be very confident coming into today's clash with the Lions that they can start the season 2-0. They had a score fest last week with Minnesota, winning that offensive battle, 43-34. The Packers racked-up 522 yards, second most ever in one of their division road games. Detroit will have to do better in the 4th quarter then they did last week, getting outscored 0-21. The Bears trailed 6-23, but that unanswered 21 points gave Chicago the win, 27-23. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers threw for 364 yards and four touchdowns. Once again, I see a lot of points in this one as the Packers will pile up the yards and points once again. Play OVER. |
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09-20-20 | Panthers v. Bucs OVER 46.5 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay had a rough time in the debut of QB Tom Brady. Brady and the Bucs jumped out to a 7-0 lead but that was about all the good news they had. Brady even threw a rare pick-six. The Bucs now have a NFL high of 44 turnovers since the start of last year. The Panthers lost at home last week to the Las Vegas Raiders, 30-34. Brady should have an easy time here today against this young Panthers defense that allowed 34 last week to the Raiders. I expect a lot of points in this one and I'm going with the OVER. |
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09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns UNDER 43.5 | Top | 30-35 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 32 m | Show |
This Thursday battle will feature two of the last three Heisman Trophy winners in Joe Burrow and Baker Mayfield. As we have seen numerous times, just because you had success in college doesn't always translate to the NFL field. Burrow started his first game as member of the Bengals last week. Burrow led his team on two drives in the 4th quarter that could have tied or taken the lead from the LA Chargers. However, the first was resulted in Burrow's first interception of his NFL career and the second was a missed 31-yard field goal. Good news though tonight, one of these college standouts will get his team even at 1-1 while the other will drop to 0-2. The Browns were blown out last week at Baltimore, 6-38. This Browns offense needs to get on track early if they hope for success. They have the pieces, Mayfield at QB, Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb in the backfield and Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry at wide out. They just have trouble putting it all together. The Bengals didn't ask much of their young QB, with his longest completion coming in at just 19-yards. The Browns will need to clean up their sloppy play if they hope to do anything tonight. The Bengals will continue to nudge Burrow along. For me, this looks like a big under play. Take the UNDER. |
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09-13-20 | Chargers v. Bengals UNDER 42 | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
Different looks for both these teams as we start the 2020 season. The LA Chargers parted with longtime QB Phillip Rivers as did the Cincinnati Bengals did with Andy Dalton. Cincy will start LSU rookie and top draft choice Joe Burrow. LA is going with Tyrod Taylor, though Taylor will likely give way to Justin Herbert sometime during the season. LA had to make the long trip East, which is never good for the West Coast teams. Taylor is a decent QB, but won't turn any heads as the starter here. For me, I'm looking at the defenses being ahead of the offenses in this one. I expect a close, lower scoring contest. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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09-13-20 | Jets v. Bills UNDER 40 | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills look to build off what was an excellent 2019 season that saw the club go 10-6 overall and a AFC Wild Card slot. The Jets were just 7-9 last season and finished third in the AFC East. The Jets have won two of their last three with the Bills. Sam Darnold had a very good rookie season last year throwing for over 3,000 yards. Le'Veon Bell had his worst season yet and looks to rebound this year for the Jets. Josh Allen was excellent at QB for the Bills. Allen had 17 rushing TD's last year to lead all NFL QB's. For me, I expect a low scoring game here with this excellent Buffalo defense. Take the UNDER. |
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09-03-20 | South Alabama v. Southern Miss UNDER 57.5 | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
College football is back! At least pandemic style and missing some teams. Still, we get football here on Thursday night. This game looks to pit the Southern Miss offense against a suspect South Alabama defense. Southern Miss Golden Eagles averaged just over 26 ppg last year. However, most of that was through the air as the team struggled on the ground (121st ranked rushing). South Alabama did have trouble stopping the run last year (ranked 98th). So we'll see if Southern Miss looks to establish a rushing game here tonight. South Alabama's offense is pretty much all on the ground. They were 54th last year in rushing yards with 171.4 yards per game. Expect these teams to be rusty here in their first game and defense to dominate this game. I'm playing UNDER. |
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01-19-20 | Titans v. Chiefs OVER 52.5 | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 97 h 28 m | Show | |
I got my Playoff Total of the Year winner in easy fashion last week with the Texans and the Chiefs over. They actually went over in the 1st half of the game, scoring 52 combined points. I'm coming right back again here with the over in this game. The Chiefs offense looks like they can score at will once again. You really have to double both Hill and Kelse and that is just too difficult for teams to do. The Titans are a ground and pound team with Derick Henry just grinding out yardage. But beware, he can break the long ones too. Ryan Tannehill has been amazing this year at QB for the Titans after taking over the starting job. The Chiefs have some payback on their minds today. Not only did they lose to the Titans 32-35 back in week 10, but the Titans knocked them out of the playoffs back in the 2017 Wildcard game. The Titans have really been the surprise team of the playoffs with road wins over the Patriots and then last week shocking the Ravens, 28-12. Can they do it again? Don't expect the Chiefs to take those shockers lightly here. They will be ready for this game and I look for the Chiefs to want to start fast and avoid that 0-24 hole they put themselves in last week. I'm taking the OVER here on Sunday. |
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01-12-20 | Texans v. Chiefs OVER 51 | Top | 31-51 | Win | 100 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
Playoff Total of the Year: The Divisional playoffs here on Sunday and Jim Feist has his best total of the playoffs going. Last time these teams met back on Oct 13, it was a 31-24 win by Houston. Deshaun Watson threw for 280 yards in that game. The Texans had to overcome a 0-16 deficit to the Bills last week before coming back for the win and cover 19-16 in OT. JJ Watt returned for that game and had a big sack that sparked the Texans. The Chiefs won their last six games of the season (five after their bye). The big news for Houston today is that WR Will Fuller should play. The Offense is so much better with Fuller to compliment DeAndre Hopkins and take pressure off him. The Chiefs defense has been much improved, but where they lack is the secondary and the return of Fuller could be a big plus here to the Texans offense. Lets face it, this one should be a shootout. I expect both teams to score in the 30's here today. With Fuller's return and a total in the low 50's I expect this game to fly OVER. Play OVER as your Playoff Total of the Year. |
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01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens UNDER 47 | 28-12 | Win | 100 | 54 h 35 m | Show | |
 The Tennessee Titans know they can't get into scoring match here today with the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens just have too many offensive weapons to contend with. So how do the Titans plan to combat that? With ball control. I expect to see Tennessee get into a conservative, ground game here on Saturday with Derick Henry as the battering ram he's been all season long. That along with short passing from Ryan Tannehill and the Titans should keep that vaunted Baltimore offense on the bench. Unders took over the Wild Card round and I expect to see more of that here today. Should be light showers in Baltimore on Saturday with winds around 10-15 mph. Lets take the UNDER here with these two teams. Play UNDER. |
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01-11-20 | James Madison v. North Dakota State UNDER 50.5 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 45 h 20 m | Show | |
It's the FCS Championship game from Frisco, Texas here on Saturday as James Madison takes on North Dakota State. James Madison is 14-1 on the season while N.Dakota State is a perfect 15-0. North Dakota State started the season ranked number one and they finished the season ranked number one. The Bison are now on a 36-game unbeaten streak as they look for a championship here on Saturday. They beat this James Madison teams for the 2017 title, 17-13. The Bison has the league's top scoring defense and is number 2 in total defense. James Madison is Number one in rushing defense while number three in scoring defense. Don't expect many big plays or a high scoring battle between these two defensive juggernauts here today. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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01-05-20 | Vikings v. Saints OVER 50 | 26-20 | Loss | -106 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
The Vikings come into today's Wildcard game at New Orleans riding a two-game losing streak. The Vikings lost to Green Bay, 10-23 and then closed the regular season losing to the Bears, 19-21 - both at home. Meanwhile, the Saints are hitting on all cylinders as they enter the playoffs. The Saints are on a three-game win streak and have scored 34 points or more in four straight and six of their last seven games. I look for the Saints to continue their offensive outburst today and that means the Vikings will have to open the playbook to keep up here today. I'm taking the over in this game. Play OVER. |
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01-04-20 | Bills v. Texans UNDER 43.5 | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 64 h 9 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans both finished the season at 10-6. The Bills winning a AFC Wildcard and the Texans winning the AFC South division. Buffalo did lose their last two games of the season to the Patriots (17-24) and then last week at home to the Jets, 6-13. Though the latter they had no incentive to win that game. The defense has been great for this team, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL behind the Patriots and 49ers. The Houston Texans defense isn't very good, at least statistically as they rank 28th overall in the league. Houston does hold the edge in offense, ranking 13th to the Bills 24th. Buffalo has been good to under bettors, with five of their last six going Under and 12 of their 16 on the season going under. Houston had to rest some of their injured stars in the final game, including QB Deshaun Watson (back) and WR DeAndre Hopkins (illness). They should be fine here today. The big news though is the return of DE JJ Watt who tore his pectoral muscle and has missed about half the season. That could be big to the defensive side of the ball here today. Don't expect a lot of points in this one. The Bills defense is stout and with the return of Watt to the Texans defense they should be improved. I'm playing the UNDER here today. |
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12-30-19 | Virginia v. Florida OVER 55 | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
The Orange Bowl tonight from Miami Florida has the Virginia Cavaliers taking on the Florida Gators. A bit of a home crowd favorite here for Florida, though they are a ways from their home field here in Miami. Florida is 9th ranked wile Virginia comes in as the 24th ranked team. Florida's is in the tough ACC where their only losses came to Georgia and top ranked LSU. On the other side, Virginia lost to a pair of unranked teams and also to Notre Dame. Virginia didn't fair well vs top 10 teams, getting blowout out in both and outscored 37-97. Florida has the 53rd ranked overall offense while Virginia is 82nd. Virginia allowed 92 points to close out their last two games of the season, including that blowout at the hands of Clemson, 17-62. The Cavaliers can score points though, evidenced by their 30 points or more in five of their last seven games. Florida can also score, with 34 or more points in six games this year. They closed the regular season with a win over Florida State, 40-17. The line is a bit big for me here today, but I do like the total. I expect lots of points in this game. Play the OVER. |
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12-29-19 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 37.5 | 10-28 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 42 m | Show | |
This game has no meaning to the Baltimore Ravens as they have already secured home field through the playoffs. As such, QB Lamar Jackson will take a seat and rest for this one. Also, Mark Ingram is hurting and will miss this game so he can rest for the playoffs. That's a good chunk of this Ravens offense that will miss this game. Throw in the fact that the Steelers have a very good offense and we might not see but a few points out of this Ravens team today. Devlin Hodges will be the starter for the Steelers at QB. He has not been too good with just 5 TD's and 8 INT's this year and a 75.8 passer rating. I'm going to take the UNDER in this one as I don't expect many points by either team. |
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12-29-19 | Falcons v. Bucs OVER 47 | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 37 h 17 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons have finished strong at the end of the year with wins over Carolina, San Francisco and last week vs Jacksonville. They have also gone over in two of their last three games. They scored 29 points at San Francisco two weeks ago. Tampa Bay has been a scoring machine most of the year. They have scored 28 points or more in four of their last five games. They have also scored 30 points or more in seven games this year. The defense isn't all that good though and that will make for a high scoring game here on Sunday. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-27-19 | Washington State v. Air Force OVER 67 | 21-31 | Loss | -115 | 252 h 16 m | Show | |
The Cheezit Bowl from Phoenix Arizona has PAC 12 Washington State vs Mountain West Air Force. Air Force returns to a Bowl after missing 2017 and 2018. The Falcons won 10 games this year, covering five of their last six games. The defense was very good, allowing 21 points or fewer in their last four games. Washington State looked like gangbusters out of the gate this year, winning its first three games and outscoring their opponents 148-48. Then came that shoot-out loss to UCLA, 63-67. After that they went 1-4 their next five games. The Cougars ended the regular season ranked 6th in the nation in total offense under HC Mike Leach. They will have to face one of the most prolific rushing offenses in Air Force. The Falcons rushed for an average of 293 yards per game this year. This won't be good for a Washington State team that ranked 113th in total defense and allowed an average of 170 yards on the ground. That being said, Mike Leach is an offensive mastermind and he'll go toe-to-toe with the Falcons running game here in the Cheezit Bowl. I'm taking the over in this on and enjoying the show. Play OVER. |
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12-27-19 | Oklahoma State v. Texas A&M OVER 53.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
The Texas Bowl on Friday has No 25 Oklahoma State taking on Texas A&M. The Ok State Cowboys have won four of their last five games, but lost last time out. The offense was the highlight of this team, averaging 33.6 ppg, with 227 yards passing and 236 yard rushing. The Cowboys have one of the most balanced attacks in the nation. The problem has been defense with the Cowboys, allowing 27 ppg this season. They will have to improve if they hope to beat A&M here today. Texas A&M went from nine wins last season to just seven wins this year as they look to grab that eighth win today. The Aggies averaged 30 ppg and also has an excellent offense. For me, I'm going to pass on a side here today and look for these offenses to light the score board. I'm taking the OVER today. |
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12-22-19 | Cowboys v. Eagles UNDER 46.5 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 27 h 36 m | Show | |
It all comes down to this for the Cowboys and the Eagles. They both come into today's game with 7-7 records and the winner of today's game should win the NFC East. That isn't saying much considering they have both had up and down seasons. Dallas did get a big win last week, beating their first opponent with a winning record in the LA Rams, 44-21. That win broke a three-game losing streak for the Cowboys. Philly also won last week, beating Washington, 37-27, though they were trailing at half. The issue is that both teams have numerous injuries. Dallas has issues at linebacker with Vander Esch and Sean Lee both hurting. Philly is without its two top receivers in Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson. Plus, Nelson Agholor is having knee issues and missing practices. The big one though is Dak Prescot who has a hairline fracture in his finger and a bad shoulder. Presot should start here today, but how effective he will be is yet to be seen. With all the injuries I expect these teams to play this game close to the vest and conservative. I'm taking the UNDER here today. |
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12-22-19 | Panthers v. Colts OVER 46.5 | 6-38 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 12 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers won't play in the postseason, but that doesn't stop them from scoring. The Panthers have seen their last four games go over the total. Their defense has been horrible, allowing 29 or more points in five straight games. They have now gone over in eight of their last 10 games. The Colts just didn't show up to last Monday's game at New Orleans, losing 7-34. That's three straight games that the colts have allowed at least 31 points. Today, they face a Panthers' defense that has dropped to number 26 overall in the league. The Colts defense is now 16th in the league. I expect a high scoring game in here today. Play the OVER. |
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12-20-19 | Kent State v. Utah State OVER 67.5 | 51-41 | Win | 100 | 55 h 29 m | Show | |
Frisco Bowl opens one of the first bowl games of the season. Kent State just did become Bowl eligible at 6-6 overall and 5-3 in the MAC. They will take on Utah State of the Mountain West conference who was 7-5 S/U on the season. The Flashes have not been a good team in recent seasons with a 2-10 records in both 2017 and 2018. They improved this season to get back to a bowl. The Flashes ended the regular season ranked 77th in offense. Utah State was ranked 50th in offense. Kent State ha been a decent over team this year with a 6-4 O/U record and 3 of their last 4 going over. Utah State has gone over in two straight games and four of their last five games. I expect this to be a high scoring game here on Friday. Take OVER. |
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12-16-19 | Colts v. Saints OVER 46.5 | Top | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Both these teams had rough losses last week and look to bounce back here tonight. The Colts are 6-7 and have lost five of their last six games. They had hopes of a playoff spot until this recent bad run. They lost last week at the Bucs, 35-38 and allowed 542 yards of offense. The Saints have clinched the NFC South but have given up the NFC best record. They also came out on the losing end of a shootout last week at home to the 49ers, 46-48. The Saints defense is banged-up, losing two defensive linemen in Sheldon Rankins and Marcus Davenport - both will miss rest of season. Defense probably won't be on display here today. I'm taking the over and enjoying the show. Play OVER. |
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12-15-19 | Bills v. Steelers UNDER 37 | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 53 h 33 m | Show | |
Sunday night action is a big AFC battle between two teams looking for wild card berths as the Steelers host the Bills. The Bills are 9-4 and trail the Patriots by one game in the AFC East. The Steelers are 8-6 and while they have no hope at the AFC North, they are in a fight with Tennessee for that 2nd Wild Card spot. The Bills lost a tough one at home last week to the Ravens, 17-24, narrowly missing the cover as a 6-point dog. The Bills have now gone under in three straight and 10 of their 13 games. This is thanks to a 3rd ranked defense. The Steelers have the 5th ranked defense. I like both these defenses to dominate here today. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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12-15-19 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 45.5 | 3-23 | Win | 100 | 45 h 15 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos have the 27th ranked offense this season, but since they made the move to QB Drew Lock two weeks ago they have looked very good offensively. Lock had missed the season to that point with an injury or this could have been a much different season with all the close games the Broncos have lost. Denver's defense is still good, not great, ranked 12th in the league. They will contend with the 6th ranked offense here in Kansas City. QB Patrick Mahomes should play today, though he has been nursing a bad hand which could impact his performance today. KC has gone under in two of its last three games as the defense has played much better, not allowing more than 17 in any of those three contests. The Chiefs have the division locked up with a 9-4 record and Oakland sitting second at 6-7. That could come into play since Baltimore will have home field with the conference best record at 12-2. I'm going to take the under here today. Play UNDER. |
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12-15-19 | Texans v. Titans OVER 51 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 14 m | Show | |
Huge game here on Sunday in the AFC South as both Houston and Tennessee are tied at 8-5 in the division. The winner takes over the division while the lose could miss the playoffs. Houston had a big letdown last week after beating New England the week before. The Texas lost at home to Denver, 24-38. They have two games left with Tennessee so they have their own destiny in their hands. Same for Tennessee, with two of their last three vs Houston this is a huge game. Tennessee's offense has been great since putting Ryan Tannehill in at QB. The Titans have score 35, 42, 31 and 42 and points with Tannehill. They have also gone over in seven straight games. This one really looks likes a shootout. Both teams have dynamic offenses. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-15-19 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 41 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 45 h 14 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears offense finally looks to be clicking. After a season of misses, QB Mitch Trubisky has been connecting with his receivers, Miller and Robinson. The result was a nice win at home last week over Dallas, 31-24. The defense has been good, not great. They have had injuries on the defense that have hurt what looked like one of the best in the league. Now they face the Packers, who they faced in week 1 of the season when they lost at home 3-10. The Packers have gone under in four of their last five games. The offense has hit over 24 points just once in that span. Last week they beat Washington at home, 20-15, but failed to cover the 12 1/2 point line. Despite being led by future Hall-of-famer Aaron Rodgers, the offense ranks just 23rd in the league. Chicago still ranks just 29th. In reality, both teams are probably better defensively then offensively. I'm taking the UNDER here today as I expect a repeat of a low scoring game. Play UNDER. |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks v. Rams OVER 47 | 12-28 | Loss | -121 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
Seattle and San Francisco both tied in the NL West at 10-2. The difference is that Seattle has just a +36 point differential and the 49ers have a +166. Still. Seattle finds ways to win. Seattle beat Minnesota on MNF last week. 37-30 despite trailing at the half. It was the clubs fourth straight cover. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. Seattle had 444 yards of offense in that game. The Seahawks now have the league's 3rd top offense. Their defense, well it ranks 24th, hence the low point differential. The LA Rams are in desperate need of a win. A loss and any hope of the post season is gone. The Rams have the league's 10th ranked offense and 12th defense. Last week they played great, beating Arizona on the road, 34-7. I think today's game is going to be a shootout. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-08-19 | Titans v. Raiders OVER 47 | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
Not sure what has happened to the Oakland Raiders. They beat Cincinnati three weeks ago, 17-10 for their third win in a row. Then they bot beat at the Jets, 3-34 and then last week Kansas City beat them, 9-40. The Raiders held the Chiefs to just 259 yards, which is great, but gave up 40-point, mainly because of three turnovers. If you just looked at the stats, the Raiders should have been right in that game. Those two losses dropped them to 6-6 as they host the Titans today. The Titans are 7-5 and looking to get a Wild Card. They are battling with Pittsburgh right now, but the Raiders and Colts are both just a game back. That means a loss today by Oakland and the Raiders playoff hopes probably are gone. Since Ryan Tannehill took over the Titans they have been great. They beat the Colts last week on the road, 31-17, despite almost 100 yards fewer than Indianapolis. The Titans have been a great over team since Tannehill took over. They have gone over in six straight games, thanks to an offense that has scored 27 points or more in five of those games. The defense hasn't been great, but the offense has been. Today, I look for a lot of points from both teams. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-08-19 | Steelers v. Cardinals UNDER 43.5 | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show | |
With just four regular season games left, the Pittsburgh Steelers increased their odds of grabbing one of the Wild Card slots with a big win over Cleveland last week, 20-13. The Steelers are 7-5 now and tied with the Tennessee Titans for that last playoff spot. That makes all these game of great importance as they have a huge impact on their postseason chances. The Steelers defense has held three of the last four opponents to 13 points or fewer. Arizona got manhandled last week at home by the LA Rams, 7-34. They never were in that game, failing to come close to the +2.5-point line. Arizona has now allowed 28 or more points in each of their last five games. Arizona is now dead last in overall defense in the NFL. Pittsburgh's defense has climbed to 6th in the league now, though the offense is ranked 28th. This game has a lot more importance to the Steelers. That being said, I don't have a lot of confidence in this Steelers team to get a lot of points. They seem to be content to be conservative and let their defense win them games. Even though Arizona has the worst overall defense, they should be able to keep Pittsburgh from scoring a lot here on Sunday. I look for a low scoring close game. Play the UNDER. |
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12-08-19 | Bengals v. Browns OVER 41.5 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
The return of Andy Dalton to the Bengals starting QB spot seemed to be just the shot in the arm that Cincinnati needed to get their first win of the season. The Bengals beat the NY Jets, 22-6. It was the club's third spread win in a row however. It was also the first time the Bengals cracked the 20-point mark in the last seven games and just the third time all season long. Now they hit the road to play the Browns. Cleveland saw it's playoff hopes take a major hit last week as they lost at Pittsburgh, 13-20. Not sure what to make of this Browns team. They have plenty of talent on both sides of the ball. They have major playmakers at both Wide receive spots and two excellent running backs to go with Baker Mayfield. Yet they continue to underachieve. They do have three somewhat easy games left of their four, with Cincinnati twice, at Arizona and home vs the Ravens. They really need to win out to have a chance at one of those Wild Card slots. I do think today these teams will put some points on the board. Cleveland has shown they can score big and with Dalton back in the saddle the Bengals should do better on offense. Play the OVER today. |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State OVER 56.5 | 21-34 | Loss | -109 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
Big 10 Championship from Indianapolis, IN has Wisconsin taking on the nation's top ranked team in Ohio State. Wisconsin is coming off a win over Minnesota last week, 38-17. It was the team's fourth win since they lost to these Buckeyes back on October 26th, 7-38. The Wisconsin offense is ranked 35th in the country and is predominantly a running team, averaging 244 yards per game. The defense comes in ranked 6th in the country. They will have their work cut out for them today against the 5th ranked offense of Ohio State. Ohio State also has the nation's top ranked defense, holding rushing teams to just 91 yards on the ground. Ohio State scored 38 points last meeting between these teams. In fact, the last three four meetings Ohio State hasn't scored fewer than 27 points. If we can get 14 to 21 out of Wisconsin then this game will go over. That's what I'm playing here on Saturday, the OVER. |
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12-07-19 | Hawaii v. Boise State OVER 65 | 10-31 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Boise State is 19th ranked in the nation as they play the Mountain West Championship here today against Hawaii. Boise gets somewhat home field here today with the game being played in Boise. Hawaii already having to make the long trip East to play here today. The Rainbow Warriors have one of the best offenses in the country, ranked 12th thanks in big part to a passing game that racks up 332 yards per game. Hawaii beat Army last week, 52-31. They trailed most of the 1st half before Army went for a 4th and 1 on it's own 32 yard line late in the half and failed, allowing Hawaii to score a TD. It was all Warriors after that. Hawaii is vulnerable to good defenses though, evidenced by their 14 points against San Diego State two weeks prior. I expect a shootout though in this one as Boise has the 29th ranked offense. They get to face a Hawaii defense ranked 94th in the country. Boise has scored 50 or more points in three games this year and 30 or more in nine games. Here on the mainland this Hawaii team doesn't have that huge home field it possesses back on the island. Boise should have little trouble against this poor defense today. Take Boise State and parlay it to the OVER. |
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12-07-19 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State UNDER 56.5 | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 39 m | Show | |
Early action on Saturday in the Sun Belt Championship from Boone, NC as 21st ranked Appalachian State takes on UL Lafayette. Lafayette didn't get the press that App State did, but they quietly rattled off 10 wins this season. These clubs met back on October 9th, with App State winning, 17-7 and the game going under. Both of last year's meetings also went under and six of the last seven meetings have gone under. App State has seen seven of its last eight games go under thanks in big part to their 19th ranked defense. Lafayette's defense has also been good, holding three of their last five opponents to seven points or fewer. For me, this game is a dead under. I see a repeat of their earlier meeting this year. Take the UNDER. |
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12-06-19 | Oregon v. Utah UNDER 46 | Top | 37-15 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
PAC 12 Championship has 13th ranked Oregon taking on 5th ranked Utah. Oregon beat intrastate rival Oregon State last week, 24-10 as a 18.5 point favorite. The Ducks failed to cover the spread for the 2nd straight game. Utah beat Colorado last week, 45-15 as a 28 1/2 point favorite. It was the 8th straight cover for Utah. Their defense is the backbone of this club, holding five of their last seven opponents to 7 points or fewer. Utah has the 3rd ranked overall defense in the country and a redzone efficiency rating of just 55.7%. They will face the 27th ranked offense in Oregon here tonight. For me, a great defense beats a great offense. Utah actually has the better ranked offense too, ranking 25th in the country. But it's the defense I will look for here tonight. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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12-01-19 | Patriots v. Texans UNDER 46.5 | 22-28 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 60 m | Show | |
Sunday Night NFL here as the new youth QB's in Houston's Watson faces the old dog in the Patriots' Tom Brady. This looks to be one of the best games on the board for Sunday. However, word has it that the illness bug is making its way through the Patriots locker room. As of last count, 17 players have been infected. What does this mean? Likely that we are looking at a low scoring game. The Patriots already have one of the top defenses in the league, now if you throw that illness bug into some offensive players and you have the recipe for a hard-fought, lower scoring game. I'm going to take the direction here in the Sunday Night game. Take the UNDER. |
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12-01-19 | Chargers v. Broncos UNDER 38 | 20-23 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos have to be one of the most snake-bit teams in the NFL. They have held many 4th quarter leads, only to lose all but a couple. The defense has been good, not great by their previous standards, but still good enough to rank 10th overall in the league. Now they face the Chargers, who have the 5th ranked defense in the league and the 13th ranked offense. Denver ranks 26th in offense and is without QB Joe Flacco. The last four meetings between these clubs have all gone UNDER, including this year's meeting in LA that was a 20-13 Chargers win. Denver will be very conservative here and the Chargers rely more on their defense these days then the offense. I'm taking UNDER here today. |
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12-01-19 | Raiders v. Chiefs UNDER 50.5 | 9-40 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
On paper this looks to be shootout with the poor defense of the Raiders and the high flying Chiefs offense. However, mother nature will be raring her ugly head a bit here in the form of some winds. Wind affects totals more than rain or even snow. Winds, especially cross winds can hurt field goals and passing games. That being said, we can throw out all kinds of stats to play this game over. But for me, with this cross wind I'm going to use this high total and take the UNDER. The game opened 54.5 and is now 50 to 50 1/2. Still, that's plenty high enough for me. Play UNDER. |
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12-01-19 | Packers v. Giants OVER 44 | 31-13 | Push | 0 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers offense was embarrassed by the San Francisco 49ers last week, managing just eight points in the blowout loss, 8-37. The offense has not been firing on all cylinders of late, scoring 11, 24 and 8 the last three weeks. QB Aaron Rodgers and crew managed just 198 yards vs the 49ers stout defense. That should change here today against a Giants defense that ranks 27th in the league. I have to feel that the Packers will want to get things moving in the right direction here again today. The Giants have allowed 30 or more points to four of their last six opponents. The Giants should get their own share here today at home. That's why I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-01-19 | Browns v. Steelers UNDER 39.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
It's the rematch here today as the Steelers host the Browns. It was only a few weeks ago that the Browns humiliated the Steelers on the field and then we had that malay on the last play between Mason Rudolph and Myles Garrett that resulted in many suspensions and massive fines to both teams and players. Here today, Rudolph (while not suspended) finds himself riding the bench after another poor performance last week. This is a huge game for both teams. A Cleveland win and they are 6-6 and hold the tiebreaker over the Steelers and sit pretty for a Wild Card slot. With two games against the Bengals left on the schedule, Cleveland can almost write themselves into the postseason with a win here today. Devlin Hodges will start at QB for the Steelrs. But the Steelers offensive woes may go much deeper than just Rudolph. They have scored 40 total points the last three games and seven of those were by the defense. I think Hodges and the Steelers play a very conservative game and look to not make mistakes. This is going to be a low scoring game that could go either way. For me, I'm taking the UNDER. |
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11-30-19 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State OVER 68.5 | 34-16 | Loss | -109 | 31 h 55 m | Show | |
This one promises to be an exhibition in offense today as rivals from the State of Oklahoma face off today in Stillwater. Oklahoma has the nation's top ranked overall offense with Oklahoma State coming in at 13th. Heisman front runner Jalen Hurts has been amazing for the Sooners this year. Hurts has been a more efficient QB than both Kyler Murray and Baker Mayfield were. Oklahoma has won four straight in this series and five of the last six. For me, I'm going to stick with the OVER in this game. I fully expect these teams to be well into the 70's before this one is over. Play the OVER. |
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11-30-19 | Alabama v. Auburn UNDER 50 | 45-48 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 30 m | Show | |
 It's the Iron Bowl, one of the nation's biggest rivalries between Alabama and Auburn. Alabama is ranked 5th in the playoff picture and looking to get back into that top 4. They might need a convincing win here today to just do that. Auburn is 8-3 and while they won't figure in the Final Four, they will be going to a nice bowl game. Starting QB Tua Tagovailoa is done for the year with that hip injury. The defense is young and not as dominant as in the past. Auburn's losses this year, have all come to teams ranked 11th or better. The Tigers have averaged just 18.5 points vs ranked teams this year and in their three losses just 15.7 ppg. The Tigers have struggled against good teams and that's what I'm looking for here today. I'm take the UNDER. |
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11-28-19 | Bears v. Lions UNDER 38.5 | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 31 m | Show | |
Thanksgiving day matchup here to start your Thursday early as the Bears take on the Lions. The Lions likely will be without QB Mathew Stafford again, as the QB has been out for weeks now with a hip injury. Officially Stafford is listed as doubtful for today's contest. The Lions lost last week for the fourth week in a row, this time at Washington, 16-19. The Lions lost the game despite holding the Redskins to just 230 total yards. Turnovers though did them in, with four give aways in the contest.The Chicago offense looked pathetic for the entire first half last week against the Giants, before Mitchell Trubisky finally connected with Robinson in the 2nd half for some big yards and a come from behind win at home, 19-14. Still, the offense hasn't scored more than 20 points in any of their last five games and they have now gone under in five straight. The defense is good, not great like everyone expected. They did hold the Giants to just 243 total yards though. Chicago has the 4th overall ranked defense in the NFL. This won't bode well for Lions QB Keff Driskel who has not looked all that good and is now injured himself with a hamstring problem. Driskel is day-to-day right now and on this short week will have his hands full with this Bears defense if he does play. Considering the Lions haven't signed another QB, I'd say Driskel will give it a go on Thursday. With that I'm looking for this game to go UNDER the total. |
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11-24-19 | Packers v. 49ers OVER 47.5 | 8-37 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Great game here tonight on national television as two of the best in the NFC meet as the 49ers host the Packers. I really love the over in this contest. The Packers had last week off to prepare and when they do that you know Aaron Rodgers and Company will have it dialed up for some points here tonight. The 49ers have the league's 2nd best defense, but lately they have been giving up points. They have gone over in four straight games with 25 points or more allowed to Seattle and Arizona twice. These clubs met last year and they scored 63 points at Green Bay. Green Bay has gone over in 20 of their last 28 road games. In addition, these clubs have eon over in 7 of their last nine meetings. I'm taking the OVER again here tonight. |
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11-21-19 | Colts v. Texans UNDER 45.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
The Colts welcomed back QB Jacoby Brissett and thusly posted an impressive win over Jacksonville, 33-13. The only negative was losing RB Marlon Mack to a broken hand. He will be out indefinitely with that injury. The win snapped a 2-game losing streak while Brissett was nursing his own injury. Now they play a big game here on Thursday at Houston. Houston looked thoroughly confused in their loss at Baltimore last week, 7-41. It was billed as a battle of two of the best, young QB's in the league, but it turned out to be a lopsided Ravens win. The Texans have the Patriots up next, so they might not have full attention here on this game tonight. The Colts have covered the last two and four of five in this series with the Texans. The Colts have already beaten the Texans this year in Indy, 30-23. Houston holds the edge in this game offensively, but the Colts have the edge on defense. This should be a great Thursday matchup. However, both teams have injuries they are dealing with and I expect a much more conservative contest here tonight. Play the UNDER. |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers OVER 52.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The NFL moves to Mexico City tonight for Monday Night football. The problem here is the elevation, which is over 7,000 feet. The Chargers practiced all week in Denver, which at just over 5,000 foot is still well short of the elevation here tonight. Kansas City finally got back QB Patrick Mahomes after his kneecap injury. Still, the Chiefs lost last week with Mahomes, 32-25 at Tennessee. It was the team's second loss in the last three weeks. The Chiefs are also just 2-5 ATS their last seven games. The Chargers are also off a loss last week, at Oakland, 24-26. Despite having more plays and yards then the Raiders, the Chargers three turnovers and no take aways were the difference in that game. It's a wide open AFC West with both KC and Oakland tied right now at 6-4 and the Chargers at 4-6. Chargers can't afford another loss if they hope to make the postseason. I expect a high scoring game with this one going back and forth all evening. I'm taking the points here today and playing the OVER. Play LA Chargers & the OVER. |
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11-17-19 | Texans v. Ravens OVER 51.5 | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
A pair of first place teams meet here on Sunday as the Baltimore Ravens host the Houston Texans. Houston is 6-3 and leads the Colts by one-game in the AFC South. The Ravens are 7-2 and have a 2 1/2 game cushion over the Steelers. Baltimore's offense has been hitting on all cylinders, scoring 30 points or more in each of their last three games, including last week's win over the Bengals, 49-13. Baltimore has the 2nd ranked overall offense in the league. Houston might have something to say in this one, ranking fourth in the NFL in offense. Houston has scored at least 23 points in each of their last five games including two week's ago over Jacksonville, 26-3. The Texans had the week off following their London trip. That should do nothing but help the offense here today. I'm looking for a high scoring game in this one. Play the OVER. |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 47 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
Reason: Maybe our best MNF matchup of the season has the undefeated 8-0 San Francisco 49ers host their division rivals, 7-2 Seattle Seahawks. The 49ers saw the Patriots perfect season go down last week and they had a scare put into them by the Cardinals. Seattle no longer the great defense of year's past. Now, this is QB Russell Wilson's team. He makes this team go. This is going to be a true test of just how good the San Francisco team and their top ranked defense really is. For me, this game comes down to QB's. Yes, Jimmy Garoppolo is coming into his own this season. However, he's up against the top QB in passer rating in Wilson with a 118. Garoppolo isn't far behind though. In looking at the total in this game your first inkling is to the under. You have this excellent 49ers defense. The 49ers have gone over their last two games, though they did score 51 points against Carolina. Last week Arizona with a rookie QB was able to put 25 on the board. Seattle has the 4th rated offensive unit in the NFL and San Francisco isn't far behind at 7th. Two very good offenses here and I look for this to be higher scoring than most think. I'll take the over here tonight. |
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11-10-19 | Ravens v. Bengals UNDER 44.5 | 49-13 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens are 6-2 S/U and 3-4-1 ATS on the season. The Ravens pulled one of the biggest wins of the season last week in beating the previously undefeated Patriots, 37-20. The problem is that this will set up the Ravens for a huge letdown week here. Why would they even care about getting up for a game against the winless Bengals? The Bengals are without a win this year, but have covered three spread. They actually haven't played too poorly giving up points. Even thought Cincinnati has the worst team in allowing yards per game, they have not allowed more than 27 points in any of their last six games. While I won't take the points with the Bengals, I will play the under here today. The Bengals have score more than 17 just once in their last seven games. Look for the Ravens to do just enough to win here today. Play the UNDER. |
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11-10-19 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 39 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show | |
Chicago Bears continue to struggle for some offense this year, scoring just 14 and 16 in their last two games. They have gone under those last two games and under in five of their eight games. Today they take on the Detroit Lions and they might have a great shot today. Lions QB Mathew Stafford is out today with a hip injury and lets face it, Stafford is the Lions offense. Without Stafford the Bears should run rough shot over the Lions offense all day long. I don't trust the Bears offense enough to lay the points, but I will take UNDER. |
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11-09-19 | LSU v. Alabama UNDER 63.5 | 46-41 | Loss | -120 | 51 h 6 m | Show | |
The best game of the season thus far has No 2 LSU playing at No 1 Alabama. Both clubs are a perfect 8-0 and the loser likely will stay in the top 4 for the college playoffs. The big question is whether Alabama QB Tau Taqovailoa will be available for this game. The Heisman hopeful is currently listed as questionable with a ankle injury. Right now I don't think we'll know for sure as he really will be a game time decision. But Mac Jones will get lots of practice this week just in case. The Alabama defense isn't quite as good as year's past. The Tide are currently ranked 16th in overall defense, but have a excellent red-zone efficiency rating of just 60%. LSU has the 23rd ranked defense and also a good red-zone efficiency rating of 64%. Alabama has beaten LSU by double-digits in five of the last six meetings. However, this is a much improved LSU team that has played the much tougher scheduled this year. I'm looking at the UNDER in this game. We see a 63.5 or 64 right now and for me that's just too many points. Yes, both these teams have dynamic offenses that can score a lot of points. However, I think the defenses, which are both excellent, will rise to the top in this contest. The highest total we've seen in this game was a 53.5 and that was last year and they combined for 29-points. The previous four years were all in the mid to upper 40's. I'm taking the under in this and enjoy the game. Play UNDER. |
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11-07-19 | Temple v. South Florida OVER 49 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Temple coming off a loss last week, their second blowout loss in a row. They lost to SMU, 21-45 and then last week lost to UCF, 21-63. In all fairness, those are two of the most prolific offenses that the Owls faced all year. What the Owls do have in their favor is a very uptempo offense. Expect them to run a hurry up offense here tonight on just about every down. That leads to more scoring opportunities. South Florida is coming off a win at home over East Carolina, 45-20. I like these teams to fly over the total here tonight. Play OVER. |
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11-03-19 | Patriots v. Ravens UNDER 45 | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 52 m | Show | |
Sunday Night football has a good one tonight as the Patriots play the Ravens in Baltimore. The Patriots have had one of their best defensive teams in memory. The Patriots have not allowed more than 14 points in any game this season, including 7 or fewer points in four games. Not hard to follow that starting week 9 the Pats were the 2nd best overall defense in the league behind the 49ers. Baltimore has seen it's ranking drop, now down to 16th in the league. As for offense, the Patriots may only be 16th but they don't have to rely on Tom Brady to run up scores with the way the defense has been playing. The Ravens offjavascript:__doPostBack('eAddPickPackage','')ense now ranks 2nd, only behind Dallas. This game comes down to the Patriots defense against the Ravens offense. As for me, I haven't seen any team yet that has solved this problem. However, to be on the safe side, I'll take the UNDER here today and look for a low scoring game. |
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11-03-19 | Lions v. Raiders OVER 50.5 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 31 h 37 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions have been a good over team all season, posting a 5-2 O/U record and having both their last two games going over the total. That's what I'm looking at here today. Detroit has the 2nd worst defense in the league, only Cincinnati is worse. They counter that poor defense with a better than average offense that ranks 10th in the league. Pretty much the same for the Raiders. The Raiders are 26th in defense and 14th in offense. Oakland has seen three of its four road games go over the total. Last week at Houston was their first road under and that was just by one-point and they had the over TD called back. The Raiders lost at Houston last week, 24-27 with both teams gaining nearly 400 yards in offense with no turnovers. The Lions beat the Giants in Detroit last week, 31-26, going over the 49.5 point total. I love this game over here on Sunday with two of the worst defenses in the league on display here. Play the OVER. |
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10-31-19 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 43 | 28-25 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 43 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers look to be one of the favorites in the NFC to win the conference this year after a 7-0 start. The defense has improved so much that's it has overtaken New England for the best overall defense in the league. They have allowed 13 points or fewer in their last four games and no team has scored more than 20 against them this year. The 49ers destroyed the Panthers last week, 51-13. However, the Niners only had 388 yards of offense. They controlled the ball on the ground though, rushing for 232 yards. The Niners allow a league best 224 yards per game now with the offense coming in 6th overall. Arizona will have its work cut out tonight. The Cardinals are the 22nd best offense in the league and the defense is ranked 29th. Arizona lost last week at the Saints last week. 9-31. I won't be laying the big price on the road with the 49ers. Rather, I'll be taking the UNDER here tonight. I don't expect the Cardinals to get much and as long as the 49ers don't go crazy again, this one should stay under. |
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10-27-19 | Packers v. Chiefs UNDER 48 | 31-24 | Loss | -109 | 66 h 6 m | Show | |
The Kansas City Chiefs will have to play at least this week and likely more weeks without start QB Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes hurt his knee against the Broncos last week and is expected to miss some time. Mahomes is back at practice though and may return sooner than many have expected. The starting job will fall to Matt Moore. Moore will face a very good Packers defense that ranks 11th overall in the league. The Packers are now 6-1 after a big win over Oakland last week, 42-24. QB Aaron Rodgers has been red hot, throwing 5 TD's last week and over 400 yards. He will face a Chiefs defense, that while ranked only 25th overall, has yet to allow a 300 yards passing in a single game. The Chiefs are a good under team at home in their very loud stadium, evidenced by a 25-51-1 O/U record their last 77 home games. Without Mahomes here I expect to see a much more conservative effort by the Chiefs. And as such, I'm taking the UNDER here today. |
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10-27-19 | Raiders v. Texans OVER 51 | Top | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 62 h 11 m | Show |
The Oakland Raiders were hit hard last week by Aaron Rodgers who wracked-up the yards and Touchdowns against them in a 42-24 loss. The Raiders had no answer for Rodgers who threw five TD's and over 400 yards. It's not surprising, given the Raiders have the 24th ranked defense. The Raiders also have the third worse pass defense, allowing 289 yards per game. Offensively, the team isn't bad, ranked 13th in the NFL behind QB Carr and a good RB in Jacobs. The Raiders defense will once again be tasked here on Sunday against the league's 4th ranked offense in Houston. The Texans are coming off a loss at Indianapolis, 23-30. These clubs have gone over the last four meetings. Houston has also gone over in 16 of their last 23 vs the AFC. I expect a lot of points in this one. The total is high at around 51, but I don't think these clubs will have any problem going over that. Play the OVER. Â Â Â Â |
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10-27-19 | Giants v. Lions OVER 49.5 | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
The Giants fully expected to win last week. They were at home against a weak Arizona club and they were getting back star running back Saquon Barkley. But, things didn't quite work out as they fell behind early and never could catch up, losing 21-27. Barkley performed well in his return from an ankle injury rushing 18 tim3es for 72 yards and a TD. Barkely has been limited in practice this week, but is expected to play on Sunday.The Giants have now lost three straight games both S/U and ATS. Meanwhile, Detroit is coming off a loss at home to the Vikings, 30-42. The loss snapped a four game spread win streak for Detroit. The Giants offense is now ranked 24th in the league and their defense is ranked 28th. The Lions offense is ranked 8th overall and the defense is 31st. The Giants have gone over in their last five road games, including all three away games this season. Detroit is 4/2 O/U on the season and have gone over in two of their three home games. I expect a lot of points in this one. Take the OVER. |
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10-24-19 | Redskins v. Vikings OVER 42 | Top | 9-19 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Minnesota improved to 5-2 both S/U and ATS with a win last week over the Detroit Lions, 42-30. The Vikings offense was clicking with 166 yards rushing and 337 yards passing by Kirk Cousins. The offense improved to 6th ranked overall in the NFL. The 6th ranked defense didn't perform as well, allowing 352 yards through the air to the Lions and 81 yards on the ground. It was the third straight win and cover for the Vikings, who have scored at least 28 points in four of their five games this year. The Redskins covered the spread last week, but barely. And considering they were shutout by the 49ers 0-9, that's even more amazing. But the 10-point line was their savior. The Skins covered their first game of the season last week against four losses. The managed just 154 total yards of offense in the loss and the ranking dropped to 29th overall. These teams last met in 2017 when the Vikings won in Washington, 38-30. The last three meetings have all gone over the total. That's what I'm sticking with here tonight. If we can get 10 points out of Washington then this one should go over. Play OVER. |
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10-21-19 | Patriots v. Jets UNDER 43.5 | Top | 33-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
New England Patriots look like they are making another run at the NFL Super Bowl as their defense has just been outstanding this year. Last week the Pats beat the other New York team, the Giants, 35-14. The Pats defense held the Giants to just 213 total yards and had four takeaways. The Pats defense is ranked 1st overall in the NFL with the Jets at 19th. The last six games in this series have gone UNDER. The Patriots are 1-7 O/U as a road favorite of seven or more points their last eight games. Meanwhile, the Jets are 1-5 O/U when coming off a S/U home dog win as they did last week vs the Cowboys. I'm going to take the UNDER tonight in this one. Play UNDER. |
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10-20-19 | Saints v. Bears UNDER 37.5 | 36-25 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
Reason: Two teams having to play with backup QB's meet today as The Saints clash with the Bears. The Saints will continue here with Teddy Bridgewater at QB as Drew Brees is still out with a hand injury. The Bears could see QB Mitchell Trubisky back this week as he's listed as questionable right now. The Saints also have their star RB Alvin Kamara listed as questionable with an ankle injury. With all this offensive power sidelined, this looks to be a low scoring game. The Bears have the 6th ranked overall defense but the 30th ranked offense. The Saints have the 10th ranked defense and the 22nd ranked offense. So we can see these teams have suffered offensively this year. The Bears had last week off to stew over their beating by the Raiders in London two weeks ago, 21-24. After falling behind big, the Bears came back to lead 21-17 before losing late. The game was just the club's second over in five games. In addition, it was the most points the Bears have allowed this year. The Saints offense has scored less than 14 points two times in the last three weeks, including last week's win at Jacksonville, 13-6 . The team has covered four straight though with half of their games going under. I'm taking the under here today. Both teams have good defenses and both offenses are hurting. Take the UNDER. |
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10-19-19 | Colorado v. Washington State OVER 71.5 | 10-41 | Loss | -114 | 104 h 53 m | Show | |
Colorado and Washington State meet here in Saturday in a PAC-12 matchup. I'm expecting a big scoring game here on Saturday. Colorado is 3-3 S/U and ATS this season and 3-2-1 Over/Under. Colorado coming off its worse performance of the year at Oregon, losing 3-45. The Buffaloes have not held any of its five opponents to fewer than 30 points this season. Colorado's last week performance dropped their offensive ranking to 58th. The problem here though is their defense, which ranks 123rd in the country. Now they face the 5th ranked offense in Washington State. Colorado has gone over in five of their last seven games and I expect the Buffs to allow a lot of points to the Cougars here on Saturday. If Colorado can keep pace or even close, then this one should easily go over the 70-71 point total. Play OVER. |
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10-13-19 | Seahawks v. Browns UNDER 47.5 | 32-28 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 23 m | Show | |
Trouble brewing in Cleveland after that horrible performance last Monday night at San Francisco. QB Baker Mayfield had a terrible night, getting harassed and sacked by the 49ers tough defense. Mayfield took a seat late in the game he was so ineffective. The Browns managed just 180 total yards and 78 passing yards (20 of those by Beckham). The Browns also had four turnovers to the 49ers zero. Now they have to regroup because it doesn't get any easier tonight against a very good Seattle team. Seattle has the extra rest for this one after playing last Thursday night and beating the Rams, 30-29. Seattle rushed for 167 yards and had 429 total yards.Seattle improved to 7th in the league in total offense while Cleveland dropped to 23rd. Seattle's defense is ranked 14th and Cleveland 18th. This Cleveland franchise has issues from owner James Haslem who is not a good owner, to HC Freddie Kitchens who doesn't know how to coach to Mayfield who acts like a child out of control to Odell Beckham Jr who is just a ego maniac. There might be some higher winds in this game, which will further effect Mayfield and his inconsistency of late. But what I believe winds will really do is have Seattle continue to run the ball as they have done so well this season. Seattle will control the ball on the ground and for me that will lead this game to go under the total. Play UNDER. |
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10-10-19 | Giants v. Patriots UNDER 43 | 14-35 | Loss | -109 | 59 h 45 m | Show | |
Thursday night football has the Patriots hosting the Giants from Gillette Stadium. The first thing that hits me in this game is that there could be some winds over 10 mph in this one. That's significant because at Gillette you can get those winds swirling and that effects QB's and their throwing. This could be an issue for Giants rookie QB Daniel Jones. With both Barkley and Gallman out for this game at Running back, more pressure will be on Jones shoulders to make things happen. And he'll be asked to do it with those winds and against one of the best defenses in the league in the Patriots. The Pats allowing just 78 rushing yards and 160 passing yards per game. None of the Pats five opponents have score more than 14 points and three have scored fewer than 10 points. The Pats are a perfect 5-0 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season with a over/under record of 1-4. The Giants had won two in a row under Jones, but three wasn't to be as they lost at Minnesota last week, 10-28. They have gone under in their last two games and three of their last four. The Patriots have now gone under in five of their last seven home games and 19 of their last 26 against a team with a losing record. The last five meetings between these teams at Gillette Stadium have gone UNDER. I believe the combination of any swirling winds with the Patriots stingy defense will keep this game under. Play the UNDER. |
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10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers OVER 47 | Top | 3-31 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
The San Francisco 49ers look to keep their perfect record in tact here on Monday night football as they host the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland pulled the upset win last week at Baltimore, 40-25. They have now covered both road games and not covered both home games. The Browns are 2-2 S/U and ATS. The entire offense was clicking last week at Baltimore with 337 yards passing and 193 yards rushing. The Browns offense now ranked 12th in the league with the defense ranked 13th. The 49ers had last week off to prepare for this game. Jimmy Garoppolo has a 9-2 record in his starts for the Niners. Shanahan is an offensive specialist and now you give him an extra week to prepare for this game? To me that means we'll be seeing plenty of points here on Monday. I'm expecting to see a high scoring contest in this one. take the OVER. |
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10-06-19 | Bills v. Titans UNDER 39.5 | 14-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Buffalo saw it's perfect season end last week, but they put up a valiant fight and kept Tom Brady and the Patriots frustrated with a very good defense. They held the very good Patriot offense to just 224 total yards and Brady to just 150 yards passing. It was turnovers that killed Buffalo with four in the game as they lost 10-16, but covered the 7-point dog line. The Bills boast the league's 2nd rated overall defense, allowing just 281 total yards per game. Tennessee had a fairly easy time last week at Atlanta, winning 24-10. They got the win despite being out-gained in total yards 365-422. Atlanta threw for 364 yards in the loss. Tennessee has just the 25th ranked offense and the 14th ranked defense this year. The Bills have gone under now in their last four road games and are 0-5 in their last five on grass. I love the defense here in this game. The Bills are the only team in the league that hasn't allowed a 2nd half point this season. And while Buffalo is 10th on offense, I don't see them getting a lot of points on the road after that tough game last week. I'm taking the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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09-30-19 | Bengals v. Steelers UNDER 45.5 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
One of these teams should come away with their first win of the season here on Monday Night (barring a OT tie). Both Cincinnati and Pittsburgh are both 0-3 S/U to start the season. The Bengals looked great in their opener at Seattle, losing 20-21. The defense held Seattle to 72 yards rushing and 161 yards passing. Since the it's been downhill with a blowout loss at home to San Francisco, 17-41, and then a loss at Buffalo, 17-21. The Bengals have gone UNDER in two of their three games. Pittsburgh opened with a loss at New England, 3-33, then lost at home to Seattle, 26-28 and last week lost at San Francisco, 20-24. They have also gone under in two of their three games. Both teams rank near the bottom of the NFL in both offense and defense. Cincy has the 27th ranked defense and the 18th ranked offense. Pittsburgh is ranked 29th in defense and 30th in offense. For me, I'm looking UNDER here on Monday. The Bengals are 0-4-1 O/U in their last five road games. They are also 2-7-1 O/U the last 10 vs the AFC North. Pittsburgh is 2-5 O/U in their last seven games and now without Big Ben that should even be more magnified. The last 10 meetings between these teams in Pittsburgh has seen these teams go under eight time. Poor matchup here, so I'm sticking just with the UNDER. |
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09-29-19 | Patriots v. Bills UNDER 42.5 | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 39 h 39 m | Show | |
 Two undefeated teams matchup here in Buffalo as the Bills take on the defending champion Patriots. The Patriots haven't even been tested at all yet, winning each game very easy. They opened with a 33-3 win over the Steelers, then demolished Miami 43-0 and last week beat the Jets 30-14. They failed to cover the Jets game, but were shutting out New York at the half. They have now outscored their opponents 106-17. Not surprising that the Patriots have the top ranked defense in the league. Buffalo would love to pull the upset here on Sunday and will use their 5th ranked defense to do just that. Buffalo beat the Jets in their opener, 17-16 and then the Giants 28-14 and last week over Cincinnati, 21-17. Both these clubs rank in the top 10 of the league in offense and defense. Personally, I'm going to take the under here and just enjoy this one. I think the Bills defense is good enough to keep the Pats in check here today. Take the UNDER. |
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09-26-19 | Eagles v. Packers UNDER 45 | 34-27 | Loss | -100 | 67 h 48 m | Show | |
Philadelphia looks to rebound from their home loss to the Lions on Sunday with an early turnaround here on Thursday at Green Bay. The Eagles had a chance late to win, but dropped balls played a big part in the Eagles loss. Philly takes to the road for the second time this season. Their first was a road game at Atlanta where they lost 20-24 and went under. That's what I'm looking at here on Thursday, the under. The 3-0 Green Bay Packers have been anything but an offensive juggernaut this year. They have been relying more heavily on their defense holding their three opponents to 16 points or fewer. Meanwhile, the offense has scored 10, 21 and 27 points and they are 0-2-1 O/U on the season. The Packers offense has a high of 335 yards this season, very uncharacteristic of a Aaron Rodgers led team. I'm going to stick with the UNDER here on Thursday. I look for the Packers defense to once again play a big role in this game and not ask as much from Rodgers as year's past. Play the UNDER. |
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09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins UNDER 41 | 31-15 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
To say the Bears were fortunate to escape Denver with a win is an understatement. After leading the entire game, Denver took a 14-13 lead late in the 4th. Chicago got one last chance with just seconds on the clock and was driving when Trubisky was sacked for what looked like the game ending play. However, a very controversial roughing the passer was called on Denver and allowed play to continue and thus a Chicago field goal with just a few seconds on the clock. The Bears defense might not be as good as last year, but they are still very good. They held Green Bay to 47 yards rushing and Denver to 90. The problem has been the offense. The Bears had just 254 yards against Green Bay and 273 against the Broncos. The Redskins are 0-2 S/U and 1-1 ATS to start the season. They looked great the first half against the Eagles, but it's been downhill since. Last week the Redskins were beaten by Dallas, 21-31. The offense hass struggled to run the ball, with just 47 yards and 28 yards respectively. The loss of RB Derrius Guice has been a big blow. Yes, they have Peterson, but he really doesn't fit into this offense that the Redskins have developed. So don't expect many yards today against this Bears defense. That means Case Keenum will feel the pressure to make things happen and again, I just don't see that. The only good news for the Redskins, they should be able to keep this anemic Bears offense in check too. I'm taking the UNDER here on Monday night. |
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09-22-19 | Broncos v. Packers UNDER 43.5 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 88 h 4 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos were the subject of controversy last week after taking a 14-13 late in the 4th over the Bears. Chicago got the benefit of a very controversial roughing the passer call that extended their last second drive and set them up for the game winning field goal with second left in the game. Now Denver has to take its 0-2 S/U and 1-1 ATS mark on the road to undefeated Green Bay. The Packers jumped out to a 21-0 lead over the Minnesota Vikings and had to hold on for the win 21-16. The Packers scored all their points in the first half and then nothing. Both the Packers games have now gone under thanks to a decent defense. Though, the Vikings did rush for 198 yards against them last week. Is there concern for the offense? So far the Packers have scored 31 total points and less than 350 yards in both games. The Broncos Joe Flacco has looked good so far, throwing for 249 yards vs the Raiders and 282 yards against the Bears stingy defense. Today, I like this game under. Both teams have decent defenses and neither offense has shown any kind of explosiveness thus far. I'm taking UNDER. |
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09-19-19 | Titans v. Jaguars UNDER 39.5 | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 42 h 29 m | Show | |
Two teams looking for a big win meetup here on Thursday as the 1-1 S/U Tennessee Titans take on the 0-2 Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags opened the season with a loss to Kansas City, 26-40, and in the process lost their starting QB Nick Foles. Foles had surgery to repair his collarbone after a controversial hit in that game by Chris Jones. Gardner Minshew has taken over now at QB and played very well in that game, going 22-for-25 with 275 yards and two TD's. The timetable for Foles return could be by week 11 vs the Colts. Tennessee is 1-1 S/U & ATS and 1-1 O/U after two weeks. Marcus Mariota is probable with a quad injury. Last week the Titans lost to the Colts, 17-19 as a 3-point favorite. The game went under as both teams had under 300 totals yards of offense. These teams both playing much better defense right now then offense. Because of that, I'm taking the UNDER here on Thursday night. |
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09-15-19 | Bears v. Broncos UNDER 40.5 | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 30 h 40 m | Show | |
Chicago lost their opener and has had plenty of time to stew over the loss with the extra time off. The Chicago defense was outstanding, as we expected. They held the Packers to just 47 yards rushing and 166 yards passing. Still, they lost 3-10. It was the offense that seemed stagnant. The offense had just 46 yards rushing and 208 yards passing with some key turnovers in the red zone. Denver also lost last Monday night and will return on the short week here. The defense wasn't as good as expected, with 259 yards passing allowed and 98 yards rushing. The offense played from behind the entire night and that took them out of their normal rush first game. Still, they had 95 yards rushing and 249 yards passing out of Joe Flacco. For me, this game will be a defensive battle. I don't see the Broncos scoring much against this Bears defense and the the Bears offense will need major improvements. I'm taking the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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09-15-19 | Vikings v. Packers UNDER 45 | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 116 h 27 m | Show | |
Both these clubs opened the season with wins, but what was really impressive was each team's defense. The Vikings beat the Falcons 28-12, but the Falcons scored on a meaningless TD with time running out. The Vikings had the Falcons shutout for a good part of the game. They held Atlanta to 73 yards rushing and 272 yards passing, with most of those passing yards coming in garbage time. The Packers looked very impressive on defense last Thursday in their win over the Bears, 10-3. The offense really only had one good quarter in the 2nd, but that's all they needed because the defense was so good. The Green Bay defense is the best improvement in this year's club. They held a good Bears rushing team to just 46 yards. Today's game, this should be two defenses that will control this game. The team that makes the offensive mistake will likely lose. For me, I'm taking the UNDER. |
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09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers UNDER 50 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 53 h 3 m | Show | |
 Both these clubs opened with losses in week one. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost to the SF 49ers,17-31. The Bucs had issues with turnovers, allowing two pick-6 returns that ended up being the difference in the score. Defensively, the Bucs played well, holding San Fran to 98 yards rushing and 158 yards passing for 256 total yards. Meanwhile, Carolina lost to the Rams, 27-30. This game went over the total, but most of those points came in the 2nd half. Carolina held the Rams to 347 total yards, but had trouble keeping the LA ground game under control with 166 yards. Don't let last week's scores scare you off the under here tonight. Both defenses played well enough to keep the games under. I'm taking this Thursday game UNDER the total. |
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02-03-19 | Patriots v. Rams OVER 56 | 13-3 | Loss | -108 | 153 h 39 m | Show | |
We're talking about four of the best offenses in the league that went into the Championship weekend. The Patriots and Chiefs had a slow first half, but exploded in the 4th quarter to go over. The Rams and Saints didn't come close to their first matchup, but they are both still great offenses. The bottom line for me is that the Patriots with Brady and Bill are 7-1 O/U in their last eight postseason games. They scores points, bottom line. The Rams should be able to stay with them and score too. Super Bowls historically are good over plays and this one maybe one of the best. Play the Super Bowl game OVER. |
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01-20-19 | Patriots v. Chiefs UNDER 56 | 37-31 | Loss | -110 | 141 h 32 m | Show | |
When we first look at these two AFC teams we see two offensively explosive clubs. You have the highest scoring team in the NFL in the Chiefs and the Bill Belichick offense of the Patriots. However, what I am looking at here today is very cold weather. Right now the weather for this game on the 20th is going to be in the low teens, around 14 degrees. The winds should be too bad though, anywhere from 4 to 7 mph. Still, cold weather makes it much more challenging to score points. The total in this game is 56 1/2 so I'm going UNDER with the cold weather. PLAY UNDER. |
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01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints OVER 51 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -108 | 69 h 52 m | Show |
Divisional Series Game of the Year: It wasn't that long ago that these teams met and the Saints pummeled the Eagles, 48-7. So what's different this time? The Eagles are a different team this time around. The Eagles still have the third worst pass defense in the league and now have to face Drew Brees and Company. Even QB Mitchel Trubisky threw for 303 yards in the Bears loss to the Eagles last week. Last time Brees threw for 363 yards vs the Eagles and could easily eclipse that this time. But this time, the Eagles have a rejuvenated Nick Foles. Foles seems to come alive come playoff time. The Saints haven't faced Foles since 2013. Foles has won nine of 10 starts in this late season period. Plus, RB Darren Sproles is going to play this time, something the Eagles lacked last time. So for this game, I'm going to take the OVER. The total is right at 51 or 51 1/2. Last time these teams met the game went under the 56.5 total as they came up just short with 55 points. This time, I expect the Eagles to get much more points the way the team is playing with Foles. And, Brees will still put up points for the Saints with that explosive offense they have. My best play of this round is the OVER. |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys OVER 42.5 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 72 h 36 m | Show | |
 The Seahawks enter today's contest at Dallas winners of six of their last seven games. They are also one of the better covering teams, going 5-2-1 ATS their last eight games and 8-3-1 ATS their last 12 games. The Hawks are also 4-1 ATS in their last five away games. The Cowboys won at the Giants on Sunday in a meaningless game, 36-35. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs a winning road team. This one I'm looking at the OVER. The Hawks are 7-1 O/U in their last eight games; 6-1 O/U in their last seven vs the NFC. They are also 4-1 O/U in their last five playoff road games. The Cowboys have also been a good over team, 5-2 O/U in their last seven home games. These teams have only met three times in the last 10 years and only once with Dak Prescot at QB. This isn't the same defensive team we have seen out of Seattle in recent years, but they are still good. I look for this game to produce some points with the total at 42 1/2. Both teams should be able to score here and that means an OVER. |
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12-30-18 | Chargers v. Broncos UNDER 42 | 23-9 | Win | 100 | 49 h 28 m | Show | |
The Broncos look to close out a tough season here today. Their offense hasn't been much again this season, despite adding a new QB in Case Keenum. This Broncos team hasn't scored above 24 points in any of their last eight games. The 11-4 Chargers sit second in the AFC East despite having tied for the overall best record in the East. A win here today and there are still possibilities depending upon the Chiefs and Raiders outcome. A loss and they will be the 5th seed with likely the 2nd best record. It's highly unlikely that the Raiders can pull the upset, so realistically the Bolts have to figure on that top Wild Card spot and a road game in week one of the playoffs. Don't expect a lot of output here today from either team. LA has to figure they are a Wild Card team and the Broncos, well they are making tee times. Play the UNDER |
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