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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-27-16 | Giants -7 v. Browns | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Take New York Giants. This is my HR play. Game 265. 10:00 am pst. How about them New York football Giants? This team has quietly amassed a 7-3 record, winning five in a row straight up, and missing five straight covers by less than a point. Eli Manning and Odell Beckham jr. have gotten into a groove over the last month, turning the pair into one of the NFL's most dangerous ariel connections. On defense, the Men in Blue have tighten the ship, yielding just 17.2 points per game over the last four outings. I've got a question for everyone... Do you know how many players have played quarterback for Cleveland this season? The answer is six quarterbacks have taken snaps. It doesn't matter who will be calling to plays for the Browns, as they rank amongst the worst of the NFL in both passing and rushing, accounting for a dismal, 16.7 points per game, while their defense, or lack thereof, is 31st, getting whomped for a whopping, 29.5 points per game. They lost 14 in a row straight up and covered just two games in 2016. This game is going to get uglier than Kanye West's career. Take the Giants here guys. Thank you. |
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11-24-16 | Redskins v. Cowboys -6.5 | 26-31 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Take Dallas. Game 110. 1:30 pm pst. The current Dallas hot streak of 9 straight wins and covers began with a 27-23 victory in Washington back on September 18th. Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott have both improved and matured greatly since. Washington has not had to face an offense of this caliber. The Cowboys “under the radar” defense ranks 6th in the NFL, allowing just 18.7 PPG. I side with a Dallas team that has won and covered 3 of the L4 in this series. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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11-20-16 | Dolphins -2 v. Rams | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show | |
Take Miami. This is my PPP. Game 467. 1:05 pm pst. The red-hot, Miami Dolphins didn't have to travel for this game, as they stood in the San Diego area after LW's victory over the Chargers , which was the Dolphins 4th straight win and cover. The Los Angeles offense has mustered just 10, 10, and 9 point over their L3, as they own the worst scoring unit in the NFL, posting a dismal, 15.4 PPG on the season. The Dolphins OL are a big reason why Jay Ajahi heads up the 6th ranked running attack in the League. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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11-20-16 | Titans v. Colts OVER 52.5 | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the Tennessee/Indianapolis game. This is my NFL Total of the Month. Games 451/452. 10:00 am pst. Indianapolis, under Andrew Luck is 9-0 SU against Tennessee, which is a huge confidence-builder here. Marcus Mariota is maturing each week, passing for over 17 TD's the L6 contests. These two team have combined for 15 OVERS and just 4 Unders in 2016 and over their L3 meetings (L14 months) all 3 have flown OVER the Total, averaging 60.6 PPG. Luck will pass the ball with ease against the 24th ranked pass "D" of the Titans while Tennessee's 3rd ranked rushing attack will exploit the 22nd ranked run defense of Indianapolis. The OVER is 12-3-1 in the Titans L16 overall and 5-1 in the Colts L6 overall. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-20-16 | Ravens v. Cowboys -7 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
Take Dallas. This is my HR play. Game 464. 10:00 am pst. The Dallas Cowboys showed me LW, just how good they really are. It's one thing to just dominate teams but, Dallas went into Pittsburgh, a place where they traditionally lose, and came back with just seconds left and won it. This tells me alot about this team. The Cowboys have rattled off 8 straight wins and covers behind the arm of Dak Prescott and the legs of Ezekiel Elliott,...lest not forget a very good OL. Now, let's talk about the Ravens, who sit atop their Division. The AFC North sportsfans, has a combined 12 wins and 24 losses, making it the crappiest Division in the NFL. Baltimore hasn't beaten a winning team this season, own one of the poorest ground games in the League, and their QB, Joe Flacco has the same number of TD's as INT's (9). And here's something interesting...they haven't won yet when surrendering 20 or more points. Well guys, in comes the juggernaut, which is the Dallas 3rd ranked scoring offense, posting a whopping 28.7 PPG. And don't count out the very under the radar, under rated, Cowboys "D", which yields a mere, 18.9 PPG. Dallas continues to win and cover. Lay the touchdown here. Thank you. |
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11-17-16 | Saints v. Panthers OVER 51.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the New Orleans/Carolina matchup. This is my LVSM. Games 309/310. 5:25 pm pst. These two teams played back in mid-October to combine for 79 points. New Orleans will spread the field behind Drew Brees and the #1 passing unit in the NFL. The saints are averaging over 29.4 PPG. But defensively, New Orleans is yielding over 400.6 YPG (29th) and facing the improving and healthy Carolina offense, they will get lit up. The OVER is 4-0 the L4 meetings in this series. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-13-16 | Seahawks v. Patriots -7.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 43 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my SNLB. Game 274. 5:30 pm pst. In a rematch of the Super Bowl 2 years ago, the Sunday Night Late game returns Seattle and New England.Seattle comes off a short week, having played a MNF nail-biter against Buffalo, while New England comes in here well-rested, coming off a bye week. The Patriots are an AFC-best, 7-1 overall, winning and covering all 4 contests since the return of Tom Brady, all wins by DD's. Speaking of "Tom Terrific", he has a League-best, 133.9 passer rating, with 12 TD's and 0 INT's in his 4 performances. Russell Wilson is still hobbled with an ankle issue, which has seriously hampered his running skills. This makes matters worse for the 30th ranked rushing offense of the Seahawks and allows the Pats to key on the passing game. New England owns the #2 ranked stop-unit in the NFL, allowing a mere, 16.5 PPG and will have no problem containing an already low-scoring Seattle offense. I look for RB, LaGarrette Blount and TE's, Gronkowski and Bennett to overwhelm the once-feared Seahawks "D". The Patriots once again get us all paid at Foxborough, where they are riding a 21-8-2 ATS run at home. Take New England here. Thank you. |
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11-13-16 | Cowboys +2.5 v. Steelers | 35-30 | Win | 102 | 27 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Dallas. This is my HR play. Game 271. 1:25 pm pst. Pittsburgh is riding a 3-game skid. Their defense has allowed 78 combined points during their current slide, with 2 of the losses coming at the hands of Miami and Baltimore. Neither offense is known for their scoring. In comes the 4th ranked scoring offense (27.9 PPG) of Dallas that possesses the luxury of having the NFL's top RB, Ezekiel Elliott (891 YR and 7 TD's). Defensively, the Cowboys rank 5th, holding opponents to just 17.5 PPG. Big Ben is back but Roethlisberger was rusty in LW's return with 1 INT and 2 fumbles. The Steelers have no running game at all, which will allow the Cowboys to key on a shaky, passing game. Pittsburgh is 1-7 ATS their L8 games played in the month of November while Dallas is 7-0 ATS their L7 games played overall. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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11-06-16 | Jaguars v. Chiefs -7 | 14-19 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 40 m | Show | |
Take Kansas City. This is my LVSM play. Game 452. 10:00 am pst. With 3 big wins against good teams, Kansas City is rolling. Concussions will sideline Alex Smith, but the experienced and very capable, Nick Foles will be under Center. Jacksonville's defense just isn't containing anyone, while their offense just won't be able to compete here. The Jags are just 1-4 ATS the L5 meetings in this series and 3-7 ATS their L10 overall. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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11-06-16 | Lions v. Vikings UNDER 42 | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 28 h 32 m | Show | |
Take UNDER in the Detroit/Minnesota game. This is my Total of the week. Under in Games 453/454. 10:00 am pst. Minnesota's offense has sputtered (10 PPG their L2, & 19.9 PPG overall) but they still own the #1 stop-unit in the NFL, allowing just 14.9 PPG. Detroit has been hit or miss all season long and have some injuries here at key positions. The Vikings come in here having played to 5 UNDERS on their L6 outings while the Lions are rising a 2-game UNDER run. The UNDER is 4-1 the L5 meetings in this series. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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11-06-16 | Cowboys -7 v. Browns | Top | 35-10 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
Take Dallas. This is my HR play. Game 457. 10:00 am pst. Dallas is playing some solid football behind Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott, winning and covering 6 straight while Cleveland has now dropped 11 in a row (going back to LY), has 19 rookies on the roster, and has used 6 different QB's. The Browns just don't match up well against the #1 rushing team in the NFL with their 31st ranked run defense. Dallas is averaging 164.9 YPG on the ground. Cleveland yields over 143.9 YPG to the run. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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11-03-16 | Falcons -3.5 v. Bucs | 43-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Take Atlanta. This is my TNW. Game 307. 5:25 pm pst. Atlanta bounced back from b-2-b losses (both by 3 points or less) to beat Green Bay on Sunday. The team is looking for revenge as Tampa Bay beat them to open the season. However, the Bucs have just 2 wins since, going 0-3 both SU and ATS at home this campaign. The Falcons are 8-3-1 ATS the L12 meetings in this series. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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10-30-16 | Lions v. Texans -1 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Houston. |
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10-30-16 | Raiders -1 v. Bucs | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay actually traveled more miles coming into this match up then did Oakland, as the Raiders were in Jacksonville last week and the Bucs traveled all the way from San Francisco. Oakland is 4-0 both straight up and against the spread as a visitor this season. Tampa Bay is 18-42-1 against the spread the last 61 games played at home while Oakland is 7-0 against the spread the last seven games played on the road. Take the Raiders. Thank you. |
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10-30-16 | Patriots -5 v. Bills | Top | 41-25 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
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10-27-16 | Jaguars v. Titans OVER 43 | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Tale OVER in the Jacksonville/Tennessee game. This is my LVSM play. Games 101/102. 5:25 pm pst. The last time Jacksonville had their backs to the wall, they came out and beat Indianapolis followed by a victory over Chicago. They now face a Tennessee team they played to a 42-39 loss last December, where Blake Bortles tossed a career-high 5 TD's. The Jags enter this contest having played to 4 OVERS in their 6 outings this season. Marcus Mariota saw the Titans 2-game win streak come to an end to Indy LW, but the QB has 8 TD's and just 1 INT over the L3 games as the team comes in here having played 4 straight OVERS. The OVER is 6-2 in the Jaguars L8 vs. the AFC and 5-0 in the Titans L5 vs. the AFC South. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-24-16 | Texans v. Broncos -7.5 | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Take Denver. Game 478. 5:30 pm pst. Brock Osweiler returns to Denver. Houston is 0-2 both SU and ATS on the road TY, averaging just 6.5 PPG and being outscored by 22.5 PPG. Denver comes of B-2-B losses to Atlanta and San Diego, both passing teams with great QB's. The Texans rank 29th in passing and pose no threat to the #1 pass defense of the Broncos. Houston is 1-7 ATS their L8 MNF games. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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10-23-16 | Seahawks +1 v. Cardinals | 6-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
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10-23-16 | Chargers v. Falcons OVER 54 | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Game 469/470. The Chargers come in well-rested, having a few extra days off and despite some injuries, they own the League's #3 scoring offense, averaging over 28.8 PPG. Their issue... their defense is getting shredded for 25.8 PPG and ranks a dismal, 24th against the pass. Well, in comes the NFL's #1 scoring offense with the #2 ranked passing unit, led by Matt Ryan and his talented receiving corp. The problem here is that the Falcons "D" has got more holes than Sonny Corleone's car in Godfather I, allowing 27.7 PPG and ranking 26th vs. the pass. These 2 teams have combined for 9 OVERS and 3 Unders on the season. Guys, this game is going to be a shootout so much so that they are going to need to replace all the burned out light bulbs on their scoreboard. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-23-16 | Raiders +2.5 v. Jaguars | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Take Oakland. |
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10-20-16 | Bears v. Packers -7.5 | 10-26 | Win | 104 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay. Game 302. 5:25 pm pst. Green Bay comes off their worst home loss with Aaron Rodgers as a starter in LW's, 30-16 defeat to Dallas. They just picked up RB, Knile Davis which will boost their offense. Chicago is going from bad to worse, having blown a 13-point 4th quarter lead in their 17-16 loss to Jacksonville at Soldier Field. This is just 1-5 both SU and ATS overall and is getting outscored by an average of 9.7 PPG as a guest. The Bears are 2-9 ATS the L11 vs. the Packers, 1-4 ATS the L5 on the road, and 7-15 ATS the L22 vs. the NFC North. take the Packers. Thank you. |
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10-16-16 | Ravens v. Giants UNDER 45 | 23-27 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the Balt/NYG game. This is my PPP. Game 253/254. 10:00 am pst. These two teams have combined to play 3 Overs and 7 UNDERS in 2016. Neither offense is lighting up scoreboards as Baltimore is averaging 18.8 PPG while New York is posting 17.8 PPG. However, both stop-units are playing well. The UNDER is 5-2 in the Ravens L7 overall and 8-3 in the Giants L11 games played in October. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-16-16 | Ravens +3.5 v. Giants | 23-27 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 31 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my HR play. Game 253. 10:00 am pst. Baltimore fired their OC this week which will shake up the unit. Defensively, the Ravens rank in the Top-5 in every category, holding foes to a mere, 17.6 PPG. New York has a lot of problems on offense, including a lack of success with the Manning/Beckam jr. connection. Baltimore is 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings vs. New York and 5-1 ATS their L6 games played on the road. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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10-16-16 | Steelers -7 v. Dolphins | 15-30 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my Consensus play. Game 257. 10:00 am pst. Pittsburgh is clicking on all cylinders, as they bounced back from their lone 2016 loss to combine for 74 points while only allowing 27 in b-2-b wins over Kansas City and the New York Jets. Miami hasn't covered since Week 1. Ryan Tannehill's OL has been manhandled, resulting in the QB tossing 7 INT's over the L4 games. The Dolphins are 4-17 ATS their L21 vs. the AFC, 1-5 ATS their L6 vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-6 ATS their L7 at home. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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10-16-16 | Eagles -3 v. Redskins | 20-27 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 8 m | Show | |
Take Philadelphia. This is my No Limit. Game 267. 10:00 am pst. Philadelphia suffered their first loss of the season LW, after winning and covering all 4 of their previous outings. The aggressive Eagles "D" only allows 12.8 PPG. Their offense is rushing for over 118.5 YPG and will control the tempo here against a Washington run defense ranking 30th in the NFL. Carson Wentz gets the team back on track here. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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10-16-16 | Panthers v. Saints OVER 53 | Top | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show |
Take OVER in the CAR/NO game. This is my Total of the Month. Games 255/256. 10:00 am pst. As of print, Cam Newton is listed as probable, but my sources are telling me, he is playing. The Carolina Panthers have lost 3 straight outings, with their once-feared stop-unit springing more leaks than the Titanic, allowing 27 PPG. Drew Brees and the New Orleans offense is posting over 28.5 PPG on the season, and as we all know, Mr. Brees thrives at home (he's got a 29/5 TD/INT ratio, averaging 377 YP over his L9 at the Superdome). The problem is the Saints' defense ranks dead-last in the NFL, getting shredded for 32.5 PPG. |
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10-09-16 | Titans +3 v. Dolphins | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
Take Tennessee. This is my PPP. Game 453. 10:00 am pst. De Marco Murray has ran for 209 yards the L2 weeks and will explode here against the 29th ranked run defense of Miami while Tennessee's solid pass rush will exploit a very weak OL here. The Dolphins are 2-10 ATS their L12 at home. Take the Titans. Thank you. |
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10-09-16 | Jets v. Steelers -9 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
Tale Pittsburgh. This is my HR play. Game 458. 10:00 am pst. The Fitzpatrick/Forte offense has come to a complete stop. The Jets secondary will be without their best cover man in Darrelle Revis which will further allow Big Ben to hook up with his talented wideout, Antonio Brown. The Home Team is 7-3 ATS the L10 meetings in this series. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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10-09-16 | Eagles -3.5 v. Lions | 23-24 | Loss | -104 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
Take Philadelphia. This is my Consensus play. Game 461. 10:00 am pst. Carson Wentz showed me alot of poise and just how talented he is, the way he scrambled, audibled, and ad-libbed 2 weeks ago in Philly's, 34-3 dismantling of Pittsburgh. The Eagles come in here, off a bye week, now 3-0 SU and ATS, and look to avenge LY's, 45-14 beat down at the hands of the Lions on Thanksgiving. This is a team that owns the top defense in the NFL, allowing just 9.0 PPG being equally strong against the run and the pass. Not to mention that this stop-unit is healthy. They face a Detroit team that has lost and failed to cover their L3. Matthew Stafford tossed 2 INT's and gave away LW's contests to a previously unbeaten, Chicago team. The Bears "D" gave Stafford problems and let's be honest, the Bears ain't no Eagles. Philly's RB, Ryan Matthews is a bit banged-up, BUT, has Smallwood and Sproles to fill in and also see's the return of TE, Zach Ertz. The Lions are 3-7 ATS their L10 games played at home, 1-4 ATS their L5 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 0-4 ATS their L4 games played in the month of October. Take the Eagles to soar here guys. Thank you. |
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10-06-16 | Cardinals v. 49ers UNDER 43 | 33-21 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the Ari/SF game. This is my Consensus play. Games 303/304. 5:25 pm pst. With backup QB, calling the plays for both teams and coaching mistakes by both, Bruce Arians and Chip Kelly, I anticipate a very low-scoring contest here. Arizona has mustered just 31 points their L2 outings while San Francisco eked out 35 points in their L2 games. UNDER is 9-3 in the Cardinals L12 overall and UNDER is 20-6 in the 49ers L26 at home. Take the UNDER . Thank you. |
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10-03-16 | Giants v. Vikings UNDER 43 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the NYG/MIN game. Games 277/278. 5:30 pm pst. Somehow, even without Teddy Bridgewater and Adrian Peterson, Minnesota is sporting a 3-0 (both SU and ATS) record. Injuries have also hit New York pretty hard on both sides of the ball. The Vikings defense has been outstanding, holding foes to just 13.3 PPG. Without Bridgewater and Peterson, Minnesota's offense will be very conservative here, trying to make as little or no mistakes as possible. I expect a very low-scoring game here as both teams have played to 4 UNDERS in their 6 contests this season. Take UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-02-16 | Broncos -3 v. Bucs | 27-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Take Denver. This is my HR. Game 267. 1:05 pm pst. Trevor Siemian handled his first road start by stifling naysayers with a 4 TD, 0 INT, 312 yard performance LW to give the Broncos their 3rd win, both SU and ATS, and he did that against a tough, Bengals stop-unit. Vonn Miller leads a ferocious, Denver "D", permitting just 19.0 PPG. There's an argument for Jameis Winston's 929 passing yards, but, the Bucs QB has been picked off 6 times and tends to force plays and make costly errors when facing aggressive defenses. Well, here comes the League's 4th ranked pass rush of the Broncos. The Bucs "D" ranks dead-last in the NFL, allowing 33.7 PPG. They let the Rams, who hadn't accounted for a single TD in their first 2 games, rack up a whopping, 37 points. Tampa Bay is 18-41-1 ATS their L60 games played at home and 1-6 ATS their L7 overall. Denver is 6-2 ATS their L8 games played in the month of October and 5-0-1 ATS their L6 overall. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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10-02-16 | Panthers -3 v. Falcons | 33-48 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
Take Carolina. This is my PPP. Game 259. 10:00 am pst. The defending NFC champion, Carolina Panthers cannot afford to drop to 1-3 and come into this match up extra motivated, as the Atlanta Falcons handed them their only regular-season lost last year. The Falcons offense is tops in the NFL in scoring and are particularly good in the air, however the Panthers once again, have one of the best pass defenses in the League. Where Atlanta falls short is on defense, allowing over 30.3 PPG and have yet to face a unit as deep as the Carolina offense. The Falcons are 2-9 ATS their L11 vs. the NFC. The Panthers are 6-2 ATS the L8 meetings in the series. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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10-02-16 | Titans v. Texans -4 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
Take Houston. This is my Consensus Play. Game 264. 10:00 am pst. to prepare here, coming off their 27-0 loss to New England. Marcus Mariota and the struggling passing game of Tennessee is so poor, they won't even be able to take advantage of the absence of JJ Watt. The Titans are 0-5 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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09-29-16 | Dolphins +8 v. Bengals | 7-22 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Miami. This is my Consensus Play. Game 101. 5:25 pm pst. Cincinnati's offense has been absolutely stagnant, with their OL allowing 12 sacks on Andy Dalton, and the team at 0-3 ATS, with a defense yielding 25.0 PPG. Miami's 2 losses were both solid efforts against very good teams in Seattle and New England, pushing both games to the final minutes (both also as a visitor) and come in off a win over Cleveland. The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS the L4 games at the Bengals and 5-1 ATS the L6 overall vs. the Bengals. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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09-25-16 | Broncos +3.5 v. Bengals | 29-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
Take Denver. This is my Consensus play. Game 461. 10:00 am pst. The scoop here is that this is Denver's first contest away from Mile High this season. Listeners, Denver's defense is all that it's cracked up to be. Now, they did lose DeMarcus Ware for a bit, but this squad is so talented, and so deep it can be confused for an Alabama Crimson Tide unit. This business is all about the numbers. The difference between winning and losing is literally a half point, and with a line of +3 1/2 here, I must side with the Bronco's. The Cincinnati offense felt heavy pressure from the makeshift stop-unit's of New York and Pittsburgh. On top of that, they are having problems in the redzone, and just can't run the ball, which will let the pass rush of Denver get to a limping, Andy Dalton. Trevor Siemian has contradicting stats with a 67.8% CR but just 1 TD against 3 INT's. The offense is gonna' keep the ball on the ground with CJ Anderson, keeping the Cincy "D" on the field, allowing Siemian to hook up with DeMaryius Thomas in the air. The Road Team is 5-1 ATS the L6 meetings in this series. The Bronco's are 5-0 ATS their L5 games played in September while the Bengals are 1-3-1 ATS their L5 games played at home. Take the 3 1/2 with Denver guys. Thank you. |
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09-25-16 | Cardinals -3.5 v. Bills | 18-33 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
Take Arizona. This is my Best Bet. Game 465. 10:00 am pst. Arizona got back on track in LW's, 40-7 demolishing of Tampa Bay. Buffalo is a team in turmoil at 0-2 both SU and ATS, firing their OC, and talk about the Rex and Rob show up next on the hot seat. The Bills "D" allowed Ryan Fitzpatrick to look like vintage, Joe Namath in the team's Week 2, 37-31 loss to the Jets. The Cardinals rank 5th in scoring (30.5 PPG) and 4th in Points Allowed (15 PPG). Carson Palmer and his talented receiving corps will shred the Buffalo secondary here. Arizona is 6-1 ATS their L 7 games played in the month of September and 12-1 ATS their L13 road games vs. teams with a losing home record. Buffalo is 2-5 ATS their L7 games played in the month of September and 6-13 ATS their L19 games played in Week 3. Take the Cardinals. Thank you. |
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09-19-16 | Eagles +3.5 v. Bears | 29-14 | Win | 100 | 35 h 43 m | Show | |
Take Philadelphia. Game 289. 5:30 pm pst. Chicago is sorely missing Matt Forte. The team was unable to run the ball in their Week 1, 23-14 loss to Houston. The offense struggled, committing 1 INT, and 2 fumbles, and allowing 5 sacks and now must face a very aggressive, Philadelphia stop-unit. Carson Wentz showed a lot of poise in his regular-season debut, passing for 278 yards, with 2 TD's, and more importantly, 0 INT's. WR, Jordan Matthews and TE, Zach Ertz are his "go-to" receivers while RB, Ryan Matthews runs the ball very efficiently. Jay Cutler is still a hot-mess, forcing plays and making mistake. he is 13-30-2 ATS as a home fav, including a 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS vs. NFC East opponents. Playing at home doesn't seem to benefit the Bears, who won only once at Soldier Field en-route to a 5-11 record last season. They are 6-19-1 ATS their L26 games played at home, 0-5 ATS their L5 games played in the month of September, and 1-5 ATS their L6 games played overall. The Eagles are money on Monday Night, sporting a 4-1 ATS mark their L5 MNF contests. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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09-18-16 | Packers v. Vikings +2 | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 27 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my Sunday Night Late Bailout. Game 288. 5:30 pm pst. Minnesota has their first official game in their new, very noisy, US Bank Stadium against a Divisional rival. Green Bay had a tough time holding off, League bottom-dweller, Jacksonville, while Minnesota whipped Tennessee. Whether it's Bradford or Hill at the helm, the Vikings will exploit a depleted, Packers defense, missing DT Pennel, CB Dorleant, DT Kuder, CB Goodson, CB Hawkins, and most0likely will once-again be without S Banjo, LB Elliott, and CB Shields. The NFL's premier RB, Adrian Peterson was held to just 31 YR in Week 1 and will break out here. Remember that Minnesota's "D" was the 5th ranked LY. The 'dog is 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. the Vikings are 20-8 ATS their L28 games played as a home team. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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09-18-16 | Bengals +3.5 v. Steelers | 16-24 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
Take Cincinnati. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 269. 10:00 am pst. DeAngelo Williams won't have the same success here as he had in Week 1 against a soft, Washington defense. Cincinnati has one of the toughest and stingiest stop unit's in the NFL. Pitt also doesn't possess a single cover man to answer AJ Green. Andy Dalton and the Bengals had an extra to prepare here. Speaking of Dalton, he beat the Steelers in the only game he started and finished LY. Cincinnati is 18-6-2 ATS theirL26 games played in the month of September, 9-0 ATS their L9 games played on the road, and 15-5-2 ATS their L22 games played overall. Take the Bengals. Thank you. |
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09-18-16 | 49ers v. Panthers -13.5 | 27-46 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
Take Carolina. This is my Consensus play. Game 276. 10:00 am pst. Very simply, favorite that lost outright in Week 1, while San Francisco was an underdog that won outright. On top of that, the Panthers had extra time to prepare , having not played since last Thursday, September 8th, while the 49ers are off a short week, playing not just on Monday Night, but 2 hours later than usual, and having to travel across 3 time zones. No team has come within 28 points of Carolina at home since midpoint of 2015. San Francisco is 2-10 ATS the L12 meetings in this series. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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09-18-16 | Dolphins v. Patriots -6 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
Take New England. This is my AFC East Game of the Year. Game 266. 10:00 am pst. Guys, don't put too much stock into Miami's nail-biter vs. Seattle in Week 1. The Seahawks came in overpriced, Russell Wilson had some ankle issues, and HC Pete Carroll wasn't about to unleash the fury just yet. New England won and covered 4 straight vs. Miami in Foxborough, all by DD's. Jimmy Garropollo is further along than most give him credit for. The defense (as usual) made very few mistakes against a talented, Arizona squad in their opener. They get to face a Miami offense that put up just 10 points and allowed 5 sacks in their first game. Bill Bellichik loves to win and blow up Division foes. the Home Team is 8-0 ATS the L8 meetings in this series. New England crushes here. Take the Pats. Thank you. |
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09-15-16 | Jets v. Bills UNDER 40.5 | 37-31 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the NYJ/Buff game. This is my Thursday Night Winner. Games 101/102. 5:25 pm pst. Buffalo has an anemic offense while New York’s only bright spot is Matt Forte. However, both defenses recorded a combined 11 sacks in Week 1 and these two teams enter this meeting having played to 3 straight UNDERS in the series. Sharing the AFC East, both teams know one another well and a low-scoring game is once again in the cards. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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09-12-16 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | 0-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Take San Francisco. Game 482. 7:20 pm pst. When you share the Division with Arizona and Seattle, it's easy to get lost in the crowd. Los Angeles and San Francisco finished last season with a combined 12 wins and are touted to be around the same number again this season. These two teams were ranked 31st and 32n2 offensively in 2015, with the host winning both games. Considering the QB situation on both squads, I'm looking at this game to be a ground and pound. One thing about Chip Kelly is that he is very strong at game planning preparation so I feel the 49ers LB corps can and will keep Todd Gurley in check. They are 5-0 ATS their L5 games played in Week 1 and 24-6 ATS their L30 MNF games. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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09-12-16 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 42.5 | 0-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the Los Angeles/San Francisco matchup. This is my NFL Total of the Month. Games 481/482. Los Angeles and san Francisco finished last season with a combined 12 wins and are touted to be around the same number again this season. These two teams were ranked 31st and 32n2 offensively in 2015, with the host winning both games. Considering the QB situation on both squads, I'm looking at this game to be a ground and pound. Case Keenum is one side, Blaine Gabbert the other taking snaps. Neither QB is going to want to make any mistakes and lose his starting job. The UNDER is 4-0 in the Rams L4 vs. the NFC West, 38-17-1 in the Rams L56 games played on the road, and 6-1 in the Rams L7 overall. The UNDER is 8-2 in the 49ers L10 vs. the NFC West, 18-5 in the 49ers L23 games played at home, and 7-3 in their L10 games played overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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09-12-16 | Steelers v. Redskins +2.5 | 38-16 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Take Washington. Game 480. 4:0 pm pst.
There is no bigger setting in the regular season than Monday Night Football. Traditionally, Pittsburgh is a good MNF team while Washington is not. BUT, no Le'Veon Bell at RB for Pitt, nor will the Steelers have WR, Martavis Bryant. Their OL is shaky. I mean guys, they are a real mess, Big Ben ain't no kid no mo'. Lest not forget, the team is notoriously slow starters, with a 1-4 ATS mark their L5 season openers. Washington closed strong LY, winning and covering their L4 regular season games (did get knocked out by GB in the playoffs), but did win and cover their final 3 pre-season contests. They are very underrated as far as the NFC East goes. And in this specific matchup, De Sean Jackson will wreak havoc on LY's 30th ranked pass defense. I'll tell you right now, the Redskins at home will surprise everyone, by winning outright on MNF. Take Washington plus the points. Thank you. |
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09-11-16 | Bucs v. Falcons UNDER 48 | 31-24 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Take UNDER in the TB/ATL game. Games 453/454. 10:00 am pst. These Division rivals play each other tough, having the L3 meetings in the series going UNDER THE TOTAL. Atlanta is notorious for going UNDER the Total, entering this contest on a 22-5-1 UNDER the Total run. If Matt Ryan is going to have any success, the offensive unit is going to have to give RB, DeVonta Freeman a heavy load of ball-carrying. Tampa Bay plays a "black n blue" style of football, keying on the ground game to help open up the passing game. The Buccaneers come in here having played to 7 UNDER in their L9 vs. the NFC South, 15 UNDERS in their L20 in Week 1, and 8 UNDERS of their L11 games played in September. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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09-11-16 | Vikings -2.5 v. Titans | Top | 25-16 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Take Minnesota. This is my Best Bet. Game 455. 10:00 am pst. Whether it is Hill or Bradford at the helm, the Titans are going to get a heavy dose of Adrian Peterson. The NFL's best RB will move the chains, keeping the Tennessee defense on the field, allowing the passing game to open up. The Titans have to deal with the LY's 5th rankled "D." HC, Mike Mularkey has both DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry combining to run, run, run the ball. This is a team that had 3 wins a season ago and won't be any better this year. The Vikings are 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings over the Titans and 7-0 ATS their overall L7 games played on the road. The Titans are 16-33-3 ATS their L52 games played at home. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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09-08-16 | Panthers v. Broncos UNDER 41.5 | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER. Game 451/452. 5:30 pm pst. The NFL ain't messing around, matching last season's Super Bowl combatants together in this season's first contest. While some things have changed. Peyton Manning is retired, making Papa John's commercials and ex-Northwestern QB, Trevor Siemian will be taking his first official NFL snaps. And Josh Norman is no longer in the Carolina secondary. Some things have stayed the same. Two of the NFL's stingiest and toughest defenses return. Denver's "D" comes back basically intact and was a stop-unit that forced 4 TO's and had 7 sacks and 1 TD and another score on a 4-yard drive in the Title game. Not to mention being pissed-off about being a home 'dog here. Carolina's QB, Cam Newton led his team to a 15-1 regular season mark, won both the Divisional and Conference Playoff games, only to have a lackluster Super Bowl. You got a freshman QB on one side and an offense that can't afford to make any mistakes on the other. Scoring will be at a minimum. The UNDER is 3-1-1 the L5 meetings in this series, 4-0 in the Panthers L4 games played in Week 1, and 5-1 in the Broncos L6 games played at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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02-07-16 | Panthers -5.5 v. Broncos | 10-24 | Loss | -100 | 55 h 45 m | Show | |
Take Carolina. Game 101. Sunday, February 7, 3:30 pm pst. I like Carolina. They’ve got a big, healthy OL, they are really just as good on defense. Denver doesn’t have the luxury of playing in Mile High where visitors have problems, Come on, the New England secondary is beatable, and in all sincerity, there was a HUGE mismatch on the right side of that line in which Denver (who does have a very good pass rush) basically walked through all game. They won’t be able to have that type of success as Jonathon Stewart and Cam Newton are in the backfield here. Plus, Cam can play-action as good as anybody in the game and that will keep The Bronco’s “D” honest. New England can’t run the ball therefore 3-and-outs and whatnot, kept the Denver “D” fresh. They have to deal with Stewart and Newton eating up clock, and then passing off the run, making them tired. Let's not forget that the Panthers led the NFL with a +28 TO margin as their entire squad is successful because of their defense. Sean McDermott's "D" finished up with 12.4% of opponents possessions ending up with an INT. To be honest with you, Peyton Manning had two weeks to prepare for the Patriots and he was still shaky and will turn the ball over numerous times here or at the very least, throw the ball away a lot. He was never swift afoot and now a month away from 40 years old, Manning will go down like Frazier here. Oh, yeah, the Denver receivers are STILL dropping passes. I don’t feel they can go score for score with Carolina, especially without a very good ground game. The Broncos are 2-5-1 ATS their L9 Playoff games while the Panthers are 9-4 ATS their L13 Playoff games. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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01-24-16 | Cardinals v. Panthers -3 | 15-49 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Take Carolina. Game 314. 3:40 pm pst. Arizona has had problems with powerful run-based offenses this season, of which they have not had to face over their L4 games (Philly, Green Bay twice, and Seattle). Carolina owns the #2 rushing unit in the NFL and with Jonathan Stewart back in top-form (106 YR last week), the Panthers, Stewart-Cam Newton ground attack will succeed and also open up the passing game and allow Newton to hook up with Olsen, Ginn, and company. The Panthers also have the secondary to slow down the Cards passing game while their stellar LB corps get to Carson Palmer, who is known to make costly mistake when on this platform. Carolina is a perfect, 9-0 SU (7-2 ATS) at home where the Home Team is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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01-24-16 | Patriots -3 v. Broncos | 18-20 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Take New England. Game 311. 12:00 pm pst. Tom Brady owns an 11-5 career record over Peyton Manning. In the November loss, Brady was without Edelman and Amendola, while Gronkowski was carted off late in the game. Dropped passes are still an issue for the Denver offense but the 7-game absence of Manning was evident in his 21-for-37 performance LW. The New England defense is very underrated and Belichik will have them go after Manning and force TO’s. The Broncos can not keep pace here offensively. The Patriots add to their 5-2 ATS mark the L7 in this series. Take New England. Thank you. |
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01-17-16 | Seahawks +1.5 v. Panthers | 24-31 | Loss | -100 | 44 h 55 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. Game 305. 10:15 am pst. As the season progressed, Seattle got healthy and became the team they were the L2 years. Carolina got lucky to eke out wins over New Orleans and the New York Giants before eventually losing to Atlanta. The Seahawks have the #2 run defense in the NFL and will neutralize the focal point of the Carolina offense, forcing Cam Newton to throw the ball, an area where the Panthers offense sputters. Marshawn Lynch is expected to play. The workhorse is healthy and well-rested while Russell Wilson (4024 YP, 68.1% CR, and 34 TD's with just 8 INT's) has Baldwin, Kearse, and Lockett. Don't forget the Seahawks IL is big, stout, and now healthy. The Panthers are 1-4 ATS their L5 Playoff games while the Seahawks are 6-2 ATS their L8 overall. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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01-16-16 | Packers v. Cardinals OVER 49 | 20-26 | Loss | -103 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
Take OVER in GB/ARIZ. This is my Playoff Total of the Year. Game 303,304. 5:15 pm pst. These two teams will light up the scoreboard as Arizona has the #2 scoring offense in the NFL, averaging 30.6 PPG while Green Bay has posted 30.0 PPG in their L5 wins. We saw the Cards give up 36 and 32 to the Seahawks and 31 to the Bengals. Aaron Rodgers found his groove LW and even without Davante Adams, it won't matter as James, Cobb, and Rodgers have been the nucleus of the receiving corps while Lacy, Starks, Cobb, and Rodgers are averaging nearly 5.0 YPC on the ground. Carson Palmer has Fitzgerald, Brown, and Floyd (Fitzgerald and Brown each with over 1000 YR) to exploit the inexperienced secondary of Green Bay along with Johnson. This is going to be a shootout. The OVER is 4-1 in Green Bay's L5 Divisional Playoff games and 5-0 in Arizona's L5 overall Playoff games. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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01-16-16 | Chiefs v. Patriots -4 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my Playoff GOY. Game 302. 1:35 pm pst. Yes, Kansas City beat Houston, 30-0 LW. But the Texans were the first playoff/playoff bound team that the Chiefs had faced in two months. Starting center, Mitch Morse and top receiver, Jeremy Maclin are both banged-up and LB, Justin Houston just isn't 100%. Moreover, Houston seemed to hand that game over rather than KC taking it a week ago. Tom Brady and Julian Edelman had an extra week to get in sync, while OT, Sebastian Vollmer has had three weeks to rest. Lest not forget, Steven Jackson has had time to learn the playbook now. Oh yeah, the Pats also have Rob Gronkowski and the best kicker in the game in Stephen Gostkowski. New England's defense matches up well here, ranking 9th vs. the run, while their front-7 is 2nd in the NFL with 49 sacks. Alex Smith and the 30th ranked passing unit is in trouble here. The Chiefs are 1-6 ATS their L7 playoff games while the Pats are 36-17-1 ATS their L54 following a SU loss. Take New England. Thank you. |
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01-10-16 | Packers v. Redskins +1 | 35-18 | Loss | -107 | 91 h 57 m | Show | |
Take Washington. Game 108. 1:40 pm pst. Green Bay enters this matchup on a 4-6 run both SU and ATS, riding a 2-game skid where they mustered a mere 21 total points. Washington comes in 5-1their L6 both SU and ATS. Kirk Cousins has matured this season. Since the teams bad loss to Carolina in November, the QB has amassed 14 TD's with only 1 INT. The team has averaged 32.7 PPG over their L4 outings. Green Bay has a "makeshift" OL that allowed 14 sacks just in the L2 games. It's been a long, tough season for the Packers, consisting of a difficult schedule, injuries, and problems with TO's. Cousins and his quartet of receivers, Garcon, Jackson, Crowder, and Reed will move the chains while Alfred Morris pounds the ground against the 21st ranked run defense of GB while the talented pass "D" of Washington gets to the aging, Aaron Rodgers. The Redskins are 4-1 ATS their L5 vs. the NFC and 5-2 ATS their L7 at home. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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01-10-16 | Seahawks -4.5 v. Vikings | 10-9 | Loss | -106 | 88 h 40 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. This is my WC GOY. 10:05 am pst. Game 103. Seattle has been on a tear, winning 8 of their L10 SU, going 7-3 ATS, including a 4-1 away mark (both SU and ATS, including L3 straight). These two teams met December 6th, with Seattle prevailing, 38-7. The Seahawks owned the line of scrimmage and held Minnesota to just 31 yards on the ground. They have the best rush defense in the NFL and will once again slow down AP and the rushing game, leaving the Minnesota offense up to the 31st ranked passing unit led by the erratic, Teddy Bridgewater. There is a good chance Marshawn Lynch will play but even if he doesn't, the Seahawks have a few solid backups to rely upon. Minny has beaten the teams they were supposed to beat and lost to the better teams they faced this season. Seattle is a far better team right now. Russell Wilson (4024 YP, 68.1% CR, and 34 TD's with just 8 INT's) has a ton of firepower and a solid OL. The favorite here is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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01-09-16 | Steelers -2.5 v. Bengals | Top | 18-16 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 57 m | Show |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my No Limit. Game 105. 5:15 pm pst. Second-year backup, AJ McCarron will be at the helm for Cincy. This doesn't bode well for HC, Marvin Lewis, who is 0-6 in post-season games since taking over the reins and a Bengals team that hasn't won a Playoff game since 2002. McCarron's three starts all came against backup QB's. Big Ben and the Steelers have won 6 of their L8, while the Bengals have split their L8 contests. Pitts "D" has gotten better as they have gotten healthier and rank 3rd in sacks with 43. They will go after the inexperienced, McCarron and force TO's. Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown lead the #3 passing attack in the NFL and will exploit the 20th ranked pass "D" of Cincinnati. The Steelers are 16-4-1 ATS their L21 at the Bengals and 4-1 ATS their L5 meetings overall. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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01-09-16 | Chiefs v. Texans +3.5 | 30-0 | Loss | -113 | 67 h 27 m | Show | |
Take Houston. This is my Consensus play. Game 102. 1:35 pm pst. Kansas City has won 10 straight while Houston has won 7 of their L9 with four different QB's. The Texans come into this game red-hot, winning and covering their last 3 regular season games to give the team the AFC South crown. KC has failed to cover 3 of their L4, all against subpar teams, with their offense sputtering a bit. Now, they enter the post-season, where they have lost 8 straight. Over their L7 games, Kansas City hasn't faced a playoff-bound team. They now have several LB's (Houston and Hali) playing banged-up. If you recall, Houston faced and beat two very good defense in NY and Cincy. The Texans have not allowed a TD in 9 quarters and with Watt and Mercilus on a "manhunt," I see the 30th ranked pass unit of the Chiefs and Alex Smith in trouble here. Hoyer, Blue, and Hopkins make for a well-balanced offense. The Chiefs are 0-6 ATS their L6 Playoffs games and 1-4 ATS their L5 January games. The Texans are 4-1 ATS their L5 home games and 7-2 ATS their L9 overall games. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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01-03-16 | Vikings +3 v. Packers | 20-13 | Win | 104 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my Late Bailout. Game 325 5:30 pm pst. Green Bay had a 9-sack, 4-giveaway performance LW, using a "makeshift" OL made up of mostly backups. Minnesota has the defense to exploit this. The Vikings offense is soaring under Teddy Bridgewater, throwing for 6 TD's and 0 INT's over the L3 outings. AP has beaten up on the Packers, rushing for 455 yard and 2 TD's the L3 at Green bay. Minnesota is 6-0 ATS their L6 road games. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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01-03-16 | Patriots -9.5 v. Dolphins | 10-20 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my Consensus. Game 305 10:00 am pst New England losing LW to NY, means they need to win here to have home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs. The Patriots have lost the L2 at Met Life and Belichik won't take any chances here. Miami is done and won't jeopardize any of their playmakers. The Favorite is 5-1 ATS the L6 meetings in this series. The Patriots are 36-16-1 ATS their L53 following a SU loss. The Dolphins are 0-8 ATS their L8 vs. the AFC East. Take New England. Thank you. |
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01-03-16 | Jaguars v. Texans -6.5 | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Take Houston. This is my AFC South GOM. Game 312 10:00 am pst. The Texans control their own destiny. Brian Hoyer is back at the helm. Houston has won and covered the L3 meetings SU, including a win and cover back in October and enter this game winning and covering their L2 overall while Jacksonville has lost and failed to cover their L2. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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01-03-16 | Steelers -10.5 v. Browns | 28-12 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my No Limit. Game 313 10:00 am pst. With a loss LW to Baltimore, Pittsburgh needs this win today. they need a win here and a Buffalo loss for a WC spot. The Steelers posted 30 or more in six straight before LW's meltdown. Cleveland has lost 5 of 6 in this series, including a 30-9 beating back in November. Their defense has allowed 26.9 PPG (29th) while their offense only musters a mere, 17.7 PPG (29th). Pitt lights this game up. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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01-03-16 | Redskins +4.5 v. Cowboys | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Take Washington. This is my NFC East GOM. Game 319 10:00 am pst. Washington wrapped up the Division LW. But their coaching staff stated they will have all their starters in this contest. Kirk Cousins has a passer rating over 100 for five straight games. The Redskins are 8-3 ATS their L11 in this series. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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12-28-15 | Bengals v. Broncos -3.5 | 17-20 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Take Denver. This is my MNF GOY. Without QB, Andy Dalton and TE, Tyler Eifert, young backup, AJ McCarron will make his second start with an offense that will sputter against the NFL's #1 ranked defense (in total defense and pass defense). If you don't think it's hard to win in Mile High, just ask the Packers and Patriots. I see -3.5 and some -3's. I would suggest buying it down if you can't find it to err on the side of caution. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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12-27-15 | Bears v. Bucs -3 | 26-21 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Take Tampa bay. This is my No limit. Chicago's December losing streak has now hit 9 straight games. They own the 27th ranked rush defense and must face Doug Martin (1305 YR and 6 TD's) and the dangerous Tampa Bay ground game. Jameis Winston is coming off his best pro start and HC, Lovie Smith will have his Bucs up to beat his former team. The Bears are 3-7 ATS their L10 vs. the NFC and 2-7 ATS their L9 in December. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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12-27-15 | Panthers v. Falcons +7 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
Take Atlanta. This is my Consensus play. Carolina has had some scares the last few weeks and despite beating Atlanta, 38-0 a few games ago, HC, Ron Rivera has stated that he will not jeopardize some of his star players the last few games. Atlanta had a good look at what Carolina can do and will come in here prepared and ready to give a solid effort. Lest not forget that Julio Jones is looking for a little redemption against the Panthers. Take the Falcons. Thank you |
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12-27-15 | Browns v. Chiefs -11 | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Take Kansas City. This is my Blowout play. 6 of Cleveland's L7 losses have come by DD's and with LC still having a chance to beat Denver in the AFC West, tells me the Chiefs blow this game up. They have a defense that creates TO's and let's face it, the Browns are already vulnerable to begin with. Cleveland is 0-4 ATS their L4 road games, 0-5 ATS their L5 vs. winners, and 1-7 ATS their L8 overall. Kansas City is 9-4 ATS their L13 at home, 6-1 ATS their L7 vs. the AFC, and 7-1 ATS their L8 overall. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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12-27-15 | Colts +2 v. Dolphins | 18-12 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
Take Indianapolis. This is my 'Dog Outright Winner. Indy has had 3 straight losses but if they win out and Houston doesn't, the Colts take the Division. Miami has dropped 4 of their L5 SU and their L5 ATS. The Dolphins defense is a doormat and just doesn't match up well here. The Colts are 20-6 ATS their L26 vs. losers while the Dolphins are 2-12 ATS their L14 vs. the AFC, 1-8 ATS their L9 at home, and 1-10 ATS their L11 in December. Take Indianapolis. Thank you. |
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12-27-15 | Patriots -2.5 v. Jets | 20-26 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my AFC EAST GOY. New England signed veteran RB, Steven Jackson as a post-season hired gun this week. These two teams met back in October with the pats prevailing, 30-23. New England has rolled off 4 straight wins and covers and needs this victory to ensure all their post-season wants. Rob Gronkowski is back at 100% and he and Brady will light up the scoreboard and take down the erratic Jets here. The Pats are 12-4 ATS the L16 meetings in this series. Take New England. Thank you. |
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12-20-15 | Broncos +7 v. Steelers | 27-34 | Push | 0 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Denver. Cincy's lost last week gives Denver a chance at a first-round bye. Brock Osweiler suffered his first loss as a starter LW, due to dropped passes. HC, Gary Kubiak read the offense the riot act and this will be there strongest game of the season. The Broncos defense tops the League in just about every category and will be, by far, the most-ferocious Ben Roethlisberger has had to face, not to mention that RB, DeAngelo Williams is playing ill. The Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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12-20-15 | Packers -3.5 v. Raiders | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Take Green bay. This is my Consensus play. Green Bay looks to clinch a playoff spot as well as maintaining the top spot in their Division. The Packers have won their L2 road games and with Mike McCarthy taking over play-calling duties, the offense is humming. Oakland has failed to cover 3 of their L5 overall, including their L2 at home. The Raiders are horrible against the pass and with Aaron Rodgers back in a groove, along with owning an OL that can hold off the Oakland pass rush, all adds up to a win and cover here. Green bay is 6-2 ATS their L8 on the road. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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12-20-15 | Bears v. Vikings -5.5 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my NFC NORTH GOM. Minnesota comes off of two losses but still has a solid grasp on the final WC spot and sits one game behind Green Bay in the Division. Chicago just keeps finding new ways to lose and their 26th ranked rush defense can not and will not slow down AP. The Vikings are 19-7 ATS their L26 road games and the Bears are 13-29 ATS their L42 vs. the NFC. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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12-17-15 | Bucs +3 v. Rams | 23-31 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This is my No Limit. Don’t be fooled by St. Louis’ first win and cover in 6 games last week over the last place Lions. This matchup doesn’t favor the Rams as they rank dead last in passing while Todd Gurley has to face the stout and stingy 8th ranked rush defense here. The League’s #2 rusher, Doug Martin will devour the St. Louis “D” and open up the passing game for the maturing, Jameis Winston. Tampa Bay is 9-1 ATS their L10 following an ATS loss. The Buccaneers get the money. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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12-14-15 | Giants +1 v. Dolphins | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Miami’s 22nd ranked pass defense is going to get lit up by the streaking, Manning/Beckham jr. connection. New York thrives on the road (6-2 ATS) and will prolong the Miami 1-7 ATS skid at Sun Life. Take New York. Thank you. |
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12-13-15 | Patriots -3 v. Texans | 27-6 | Win | 100 | 47 h 28 m | Show | |
Play New England. This is my Consensus play. New England has lost 2 games in a row and the #1 seed in the AFC. That doesn't sit well with either Bill Belichik or Tom Brady, whose receiving corps is getting healthy. Houston fell back to Earth LW, in their 31-20 loss at Buffalo. Brady and the #1 passing unit will have the edge here. The Patriots get back on track. Take New England. Thank you. |
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12-13-15 | Falcons v. Panthers -7.5 | 0-38 | Win | 100 | 40 h 19 m | Show | |
Play Carolina. This is my No Limit. Carolina has locked up the NFC South Title and can notch themselves a first-round bye with a win here as they face an Atlanta team that has dropped 5 in a row SU and 8 in a row ATS, while mustering a mere, 17.2 PPG during their current skid. With a close call LW vs. the Saints, the Panthers won't take any chances here and keep their foot on the gas. The line is floating from -7 to -7.5 and I'd prefer to buy it down just to be on the safe side. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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12-13-15 | 49ers +2 v. Browns | 10-24 | Loss | -105 | 40 h 11 m | Show | |
Play San Francisco. This is my High Roller. Johnny Manziel is going to start for a Cleveland team that has dropped 7 in a row SU and their L6 ATS. San Fran has shown signs of life since giving Blaine Gabbert the reins. The Browns are dead-last in rushing which will put Manziel in the cross-hairs. Cleveland is 1-4 ATS their L5 at home. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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12-10-15 | Vikings +11 v. Cardinals | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. Minnesota comes off of their worst loss of the season but the Vikings have covered 5 straight on the road. While the Cards continue to win but haven't covered laying more than 7 points this campaign. AP will run the ball and eat up some valuable clock and without Chris Johnson, the Arizona offense is shaky at times. The 'Dog is 5-1-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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12-06-15 | Panthers -6.5 v. Saints | 41-38 | Loss | -104 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
Take Carolina. This is my Powerhouse play. Carolina returns to New Orleans where their regular season win streak began and has now reached 16 straight. Cam Newton has the offense4 improving every week as he and Jonathan Stewart lead the 4th ranked rushing unit in football. New Orleans has the worst defense in the NFL, allowing, 30.8 PPG, which includes the 31st vs. the pass and the 30th vs. the run. Drew Brees and his offense failed to reach the endzone against Houston LW. The Panthers are 12-2 ATS the L14 games played at the Saints. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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12-06-15 | Texans +3.5 v. Bills | 21-30 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
Take Houston. This is my Shocker play. Houston controls their own destiny and facing this Buffalo defense that has been springing leaks tells me to side with Brian Hoyer here. Especially now that the Texans "D" has stepped it up, allowing a mere, 8.9 PPG during their current 4-game win and cover streak. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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12-06-15 | Cardinals -4 v. Rams | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
Take Arizona. This is my Consensus play. Can you say revenge? Arizona lost the first meeting to St. Louis, 24-22, two months ago in which quite a few strange things happened to result in the loss. The Rams QB issues is ongoing, as it looks like Nick Foles (who has more INT's than TD's 9/7) will take over again. Word is that we might even see rookie, Sean Mannion if Foles can't get it done. St. Louis can't pass the ball, ranking 32nd in the League and must face the Cardinals 4th ranked rush defense. Carson Palmer heads up the top-scoring offense in the game. The Cardinals are 18-7 ATS their L25 vs. the NFCF, 17-6 ATS their L23 vs. teams with a losing record, and 13-6 ATS their L19 on the road. Take Arizona. Thank you. |
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11-30-15 | Ravens +4 v. Browns | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. Baltimore just might be the most injured team in the NFL as Flacco, Forsett, and Smith have joined Suggs and a slew of other starters on the sideline and with another episode of the Manziel soap opera, it looks like Josh McCown will go up against Matt Schaub here. The Ravens still have better defensive personnel and without a running game (ranked 31st), Schaub is vulnerable behind one of the worst OL’s in football. Got to side with Baltimore, who is 4-0 ATS their L4 MNF contests. Take the +3.5 here with the Ravens. Thank you. |
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11-29-15 | Patriots v. Broncos +3 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 55 h 11 m | Show | |
Play Denver. This is my Late Bailout play. Peyton Manning will sit for the second straight game, giving Brock Osweiler the reins. The backup was 20 of 27, 250 YP, 2 TD's and 0 INT"s in last week's , 17-15 victory over Chicago. The New England receiving corps is depleted, with the majority of their WR's injured (check status), leaving the offense to rely upon the 28th ranked, rushing game. The 2nd ranked, Denver defense will keep this game very tight and allow Osweiler the opportunity for a home win. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in Mile High the L5 vs. the Patriots. take the home 'Dogs here. Thank you. |
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11-29-15 | Steelers +3.5 v. Seahawks | 30-39 | Loss | -108 | 51 h 15 m | Show | |
Play Pittsburgh. This is my Best Bet. With a line of +4 here, Pittsburgh is the play as they are the first team with a winning record Seattle has faced this season. Coming off a bye week gave the Steelers time to rest, heal, and prepare. Their speedy LB corps will manhandle the Seahawks OL that has yielded 25 sacks. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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11-29-15 | Vikings +1.5 v. Falcons | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 48 h 59 m | Show | |
Plat Minnesota. This is my Consensus play. Minnesota took their first loss last week, since the beginning of October while Atlanta is riding a 3-game SU losing streak and a 6-game against the spread funk, against all sub .500 teams. Now, Devonta Freeman is doubtful with a concussion, which makes the Flacons offense one-dimensional. The Falcs defense has faced a lot of rookie and backup QB's lately and despite the NFL's top-ranked rush "D", they haven't went up against too many solid RB's. In comes, Adrian Peterson (1006 YR and 6 TD's) and the #2 ground game in the League. The Vikes are 4-1 ATS on the road this season and 23-9 ATS their L32 overall. The Falcs are 0-4 ATS their L4 vs. the NFC and 1-5 ATS their L6 games played in November. Thank you. |
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11-26-15 | Panthers +1.5 v. Cowboys | 33-14 | Win | 100 | 24 h 21 m | Show | |
Take Carolina (Game 107). This is my NFL Game of the Month. This line opened up a pick ‘em and it looks like the oddsmakers are setting a trap. Just as Tony Romo returned to give Dallas a win in Miami last week, he was a bit rusty and RB, Darren McFadden will not have the same success against this very tough Top 10 Carolina “D”. The Panthers are an excellent road team, going 4-0 ATS their L4 as a visitor. I’m not taking the bait. I’m taking Carolina here. Thank you. |
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11-22-15 | Packers v. Vikings | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay (Game 463). This is my NFC NORTH GOM. Green Bay was 6-0 and considered to be the top NFC team in the League. They have lost their L3 and are now in a must-win situation. I know Minny is riding a 5 game win streak SU but Green Bay is money when their back is to the wall, especially now that Minnesota sits atop the Division. The Packers are 39-18 ATS their L57 vs. the NFC North. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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11-22-15 | Redskins v. Panthers -7 | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Take Carolina (Game 452). This is my Best Bet. Washington hasn't won back-to-back games this season and their 30th ranked run defense is no match for the NFL's #3 rushing "O." The Panthers are 4-0 ATS their L4 vs. the NFC and the Redskins are 1-5 ATS their L6 at home. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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11-22-15 | Cowboys -1.5 v. Dolphins | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
Take Dallas (Game 455). This is my TV Game winner. Dallas won their first 2 games under Tony Romo. Then lost the next 7 without him. The QB returns today and faces an erratic Miami defense that is thinned-out with injuries. Cowboys owner, Jerry Jones needs to show season ticket holders and their fans they have something to look forward to. The 'Fins are 1-5 ATS their L6 at home. Take the 'Boys. Thank you. |
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11-22-15 | Colts +5 v. Falcons | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Take Indianapolis (Game 457). This is my Consensus play. Atlanta has lost 3 of their L5 SU and all 5 ATS, with all 3 SU losses coming to sub .500 teams. Indy's, Matt Hasselbeck is 2-0 as a starter and the offense is flourishing since OC, Rob Chudzinski took over. The Colts are 4-1 ATS their L5 meetings in this series. Take Indianapolis. Thank you. |
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11-22-15 | Broncos -1 v. Bears | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Denver (Game 467). This is my Shocker. Denver has dropped their L2 and will be without Peyton Manning here. Brock Osweiler is at the helm. The Broncos own the best defense in football and will force Jay Cutler to revert back to his old ways and turn the ball over. The Bears offense is already limping with Matt Forte being hampered with a knee issue, but he will still play. Chicago only posts 20 PPG and will have problems putting anything on the board here. The Broncos are 10-2 ATS their L12 following a SU loss and the Bears are 6-19-1 ATS their L26 at home. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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