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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-09-20 | Patriots -7 v. Jets | 30-27 | Loss | -120 | 78 h 20 m | Show | |
Take NE. Game 475. 5:15 pm pst. Bill Belichick and his Patriots team have dropped four in a row SU. This is a real opportunity for the storied coach and his successful squad to show some pride and give both the team and the fans something to feel good about. New England is 4-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series and 22-7 ATS L29 vs. losers. New York is 1-5 ATS L6 vs. AFC and 1-7 ATS L8 overall. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs OVER 50.5 | Top | 38-3 | Loss | -109 | 52 h 5 m | Show |
Take the OVER in the NO/TB matchup. This is my NFC SOUTH TOM. Games 473/474. 5:20 pm pst. Last week’s win and cover on a windy Cleveland field showed me that Derek Carr and the Las Vegas team has some spunk, my friends. L.A., let’s be honest, they have been competitive in every game this season, every game. Both offenses will pass the ball with great efficiency against each other’s “less than stellar” secondaries. I also see both squads moving the chains on the ground here. Prior to last week, every other outing this season for the Raiders has gone OVER the total, while the Chargers enter this contest riding a four-game OVER streak. Watch this game fly over the total and watch your bankroll get bigger. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -109 | 48 h 18 m | Show | |
Take Arizona. This is my BB. Game 472. 1:25 pm pst. No question, “Tua Time” is exciting for football. But, last week, the Dolphins were outgained, 471-145. The rookie QB now faces the experiences and hungry 9th ranked defense in the NFL. The Cardinals had a bye week last week, so they had time to rest and prepare for Tua here. ‘Zona and their 2nd ranked ground attack will decimate the overmatched Miami “D”. Kyler Murray and Kenyan Drake are an explosive duo. The Cards are 7-1 ATS L8 in week 9, 4-1-1 ATS L6 following a SU win, and 7-2-1 ATS L10 overall. Take Arizona. Thank you. |
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11-08-20 | Seahawks -3 v. Bills | 34-44 | Loss | -100 | 45 h 30 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. This is my HR play. Game 451. 10:00 am pst. If you don’t count their outings against the Jets and Pats, the Bills are giving up 30.2 PPG. In comes the top-scoring team (34-3 PPG) in the NFL. Buffalo has played three good teams in 2020, getting thumped by the Titans, outgained by 260 yards by the Chiefs, and got bailed out by the refs to eke out a win over the Rams. Seattle, which is 5-2 ATS this season, has too much firepower offensively behind Russell Wilson (2,151 YP, 71.5% CR, 26/6). By the way, the team has won 10 in a row SU playing in Eastern Time Zone, going 8-1-1 ATS. Buffalo is 0-4 ATS L4 overall. Take the Seahawks. Thank you. |
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11-08-20 | Bears +6.5 v. Titans | 17-24 | Loss | -100 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my SMP. Game 455. 10:00 am pst. A few weeks ago, these two teams were a combined, 10-1. They are now 10-5. But Chicago covers, going 3-1 ATS L4 games. Tennessee has crushed bettors, covering just twice since mid-January (2-6 ATS run). The Titans offense revolves solely around the running game. The Bears own one of the NFL’s best stop-units. They will contain the rush while their stellar LB corps get to the flat-footed, Ryan Tannehill. Chicago is 5-2 ATS L7 as a ‘dog. Tennessee is 1-5 ATS L6 as a fav. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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11-08-20 | Lions v. Vikings -4 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 45 h 6 m | Show |
Take Minnesota. This is my TD play. Game 458. 10:00 am pst. I feel this line is off several points, folks. The Vikings should be closer to a TD favorite. This game is do-or-die for them to turn their regular-season around and make a run at the postseason. Sure, the Vikings pass defense leaves a lot to be desired. But, with Matthew Stafford’s status up in the air (he’s eligible to play if tests negative five straight days), either way, the Detroit team will be distracted and out of sync. The Vikings are an entirely different team with Dalvin Cook on the field, s the Packers found out last week (3 rushing TD’s, 1 receiving TD). The Lions rank 23rd in run defense and 26th overall in scoring, giving up 29.4 PPG. With Cook in the backfield, it also allows Kirk Cousins to open up the passing game. And he will, guys. Detroit has lost and failed to cover five straight in this series, is 4-1 L14 vs. the NFC, and 5-13 L18 overall Minnesota is 7-3 L10 in November, 19-9-1 L29 vs. losers, and 38-18-1 L57 at home. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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11-02-20 | Bucs -10.5 v. Giants | Top | 25-23 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 25 m | Show |
Take Tampa Bay. This is my MNF GOM. Game 273. 5:15 pm pst. One of the NFL's top-scoring teams faces one of its lowest scoring here. Tampa Bay accounts for over 31.7 PPG as Tom Brady is putting up MVP numbers (1,910 YP, 18/4). He will decimate the New York secondary here. On the flipside, the Giants account for 17.4 PPG and might not touch the end zone here let alone the scoreboard. The road team is 6-0-1 ATS L7 meetings in this series. The Bucs are 5-2 ATS L7 on the road. The Giants are 6-20-1 ATS L27 at home. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Saints v. Bears +5 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 53 h 50 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my TD play. Game 268. 1:25 pm pst. Don't judge New Orleans from last week's performance against a depleted, Carolina secondary. Drew Brees must face one of the NFL's stingiest pass defenses here, Overall, Chicago yields only 20.0 PPG. Coming off a poor showing on MNF, expect Nick Foles and the Bears offense to put up points against a Saints "D" that has gotten scorched for 26, 26, 34, 37, 29, 27, and 24 points. New Orleans is 1-4 ATS L5 vs. winners and 0-4 ATS L4 following a SU win. Chicago is 12-4-1 ATS L17 as a 'dog and 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the NFC. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | 49ers +3 v. Seahawks | 27-37 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 46 m | Show | |
Take San Francisco. This is my NFC WEST MM play. Game 269. 1:25 pm pst. While Seattle sports a 5-1 record, take note that four of their five wins have come by single-digits. As a matter of fact, 15 of their last 17 W's are by single-digits. San Francisco is getting healthier and improving because of it. Jimmy G is one of the best in the NFL at play-action work and the Seattle "D" ranks 24th, yielding 28.7 PPG. The 49ers have a ground attack to keep the Seahawks honest. Defensively, San Fran matches up well here. They are 6-1 ATS L7 on the road, 7-1 ATS L8 as a 'dog, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. winners, and 5-2 ATS L7 vs. the NFC. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Vikings v. Packers -6 | 28-22 | Loss | -106 | 52 h 38 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay. This is my NFC NORTH GOM. Game 254. 10:00 am pst. These two teams aren't heading in opposite directions, they are as far away from one another as the North and South Poles. Minnesota sports a 1-5 SU record, going 3-3 ATS, while Green Bay is 5-1, both SU and ATS. The Packers have dominated the series, taking three consecutive meetings SU and ATS, including a September 13, 43-34 victory in which Aaron Rodgers scorched the Vikings secondary for 364 Yards passing and four TD's. The future Hall of Famer also has something he hasn't had too often in his career, and that's a stable of solid ball-carriers. The ground game will keep the Minny defense honest while Rogers hooks up often with his stellar receiver, Davante Adams. the Vikings (lack of) defense ranks 30th, yielding 32.0 PPG. Well, the Packers "O" ranks 2nd in scoring (32.8 PPG) and doesn't make very many mistakes, ranking 1st in the NFL with only two TO's. Look for the struggling Kirk Cousins to force plays here and add to his whopping 10 INT's. Minnesota is 3-8 ATS L11 in Green Bay, 1-5 ATS L6 on grass, and 7-15 ATS L22 vs. winners. Green Bay is 4-0 ATS l4 at home, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the NFC North, and 5-1 ATS L6 overall. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Titans v. Bengals OVER 52 | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 43 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the Titans/Bengals matchup. This is my CONSENSUS PLAY. Games 257/258. 10:00 am pst. Tennessee enters this matchup having played five consecutive OVERS while Cincy's last two outings have gone OVER the total. The Titans come off their first loss of the season and the NFL's 4th ranked scoring offense (31.3 PPG) will certainly look to exploit a Bengals "D" that has been smoked for 23 or more points in six straight outings. Derrick Henry will run amok here. Joe Burrow set a rookie record last week with 406 YP and three TD's. he's got the talent and the confidence to beat the 26th ranked pass defense of Tennessee. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Jets v. Chiefs UNDER 49 | 9-35 | Win | 100 | 50 h 32 m | Show | |
Take UNDER in the Jets/Chiefs matchup. This is my SMART MONEY PLAY. Games 261/262. 10:00 am pst. At 0-7, the Jets are done for the season and are looking at draft day already. Their offense averages just 12.1 PPG and have mustered a dismal, 20 combined points over the last three weeks. Don't expect too much here as they face a Chiefs "D" that is getting better since their loss to the Raiders. KC also knows that they have this game in the bag and will play conservative as to not make any mistakes or suffer any injuries. The UNDER is 8-3 in the Jets L11 vs. the AFC and two of the L3 meetings in this series have gone UNDER the total. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Steelers v. Ravens -3.5 | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my HR play. Game 282. 10:00 am pst. Baltimore had a bye last week to rest, heal, and prepare. This is a perfect matchup for the superstar, Lamar Jackson to do what he does best, and that's make big plays on the fly. While the Pittsburgh defense is very good, they have given up points to some less than stellar NFL offenses. The league's top-scoring "D" of the Ravens have made a meal out of Steelers QB's in three of the last four meetings. Pittsburgh is 3-7-1 ATS L11 meetings in this series. Baltimore is 5-0 ATS L5 in November, 5-0 ATS L5 vs. the AFC North, and 12-5 ATS L17 overall. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Raiders v. Browns OVER 50.5 | Top | 16-6 | Loss | -102 | 50 h 38 m | Show |
Take OVER in the Raiders/Browns matchup. This is my TOTAL OF THE WEEK. Games 259/260. 10:00 am pst. 20 MPH winds or not, these two teams have combined to play 10 OVERS, two UNDERS, and one PUSH this season. Both offenses are putting up points (57.3 PPG combined). And both defense are among the worst in the NFL, getting burned for a combined, 64.4 PPG. Each defense also possesses two of the poorest and most-beatable secondary's we have seen in 2020. Derek Carr is gaining confidence to continue his success in the air, while Baker Mayfield impressed once again last week, tossing five TD's after OBJ went down. The OVER is 5-0-1 in the Raiders L6 overall and 7-0 in the Browns L7 as a favorite. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-29-20 | Falcons v. Panthers -2 | 25-17 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
Whether Christian McCaffrey is on the field or not, Carolina is still the play here. The Panthers bested the Falcons, 23-16 just a few weeks ago. Teddy Bridgewater will once again (313 YP, 2 TD's in the first game) exploit the lax Atlanta secondary which ranks 31st. The Falcons have found new and improved ways to lose this season and the campaign can't end fast enough for a few big names that are now in trade talks around the league. The Home Team is 11-5 ATS L16 meetings. The Falcons are 0-5 ATS L5 on grass, 1-4 ATS L5 vs. the NFC, and 8-21 ATS L29 in October. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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10-26-20 | Bears +6 v. Rams | 10-24 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. MNF WINNER. Game 475. 5:15 pm pst. Bears QB, Nick Foles rallied Chicago to a 20-26 win against the Falcons in Week 3 and has gone 2-1 as a starter since. The defense, which has held the last three opponents all to 19 points or less, is allowing Foles all the time he needs to get the offense going. All four of the Rams wins this season have come against NFC East foes (Cowboys, Eagles, Giants, WFT), which are a combined, 7-20. Chicago has covered all three road contests in 2020 and has been money against the spread going 4-0 ATS L4 MNF, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the NFC, and 7-3 ATS L10 vs. the Rams. Take The Bears. Thank you. |
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10-25-20 | Panthers +8.5 v. Saints | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 39 h 35 m | Show | |
It's not who wins, it's who covers. And the line here of +7.5 is a gift, sports fans. New Orleans comes off a bye week which will help the aging but still dangerous, Drew Brees. However, the Carolina pass defense is nothing to shake a stick at. They have faced several solid quarterbacks and yet rank 7th, yielding a mere, 218.0 YPG in the air. Teddy Bridgewater ran into a very frustrating, Bears stop-unit last week, however, on the season he has a 70.9 percent completion rate and has tallied 1,676 yards passing. Look for him to bounce back here and produce. These two teams, being in the same division, know each other very well and the Saints are not the team they once were at home, donning a 2-6 ATS mark their L8 games played at Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The Panthers are 15-5 ATS L20 at the Saints and 4-1 ATS overall L5 vs. the Saints. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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10-25-20 | Cowboys -104 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 3-25 | Loss | -104 | 38 h 27 m | Show |
The Dallas Cowboys were humiliated on MNF, getting thumped by the Arizona Cardinals, 38-10. Don't blame Andy Dalton folks. No, he's not the most athletic guy and he has the mobility of a hot air balloon, but he's smart and experienced. Ezekiel Elliott was stricken with "fumbleitis". And the defense, which is the worst in football (36.3 PPG allowed), spent so much time on the field. Dalton couldn't get any rhythm going. You can bet your bottom dollar, your iron lung, and your cowboy hat (no pun intended) that Jerry Jones read the coaching staff and the team the riot act following this debacle. This is the week the team must turn it around and facing the Washington Football Team is just what the doctor ordered to do just that. The WFT just lost to the previously winless, New York Giants to give the team five consecutive losses in which the average margin of defeat is 12.8 PPG. The pushover Dallas "D" will basically phone it in here as there is no threat from the flat, WFT offense (30th, 18.0 PPG). On the flipside, you can expect a heavy dose of mistake-free ball carrying by Elliott to keep the WFT defense honest. This will allow Dalton to move the chains in the air. Dallas has won and covered the last three meetings in this series and are 5-1 ATS L6 at FedExField. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals +1 v. Cowboys | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Take Arizona. Andy Dalton takes over the reins for Dallas. He's a capable QB but understand that Cowboys success on offense comes from Prescott's mobility. Dalton has the mobility of a hot air balloon. Looking at the Arizona offense rank fifth in rushing and face the 30th ranked rush defense in football. They will control the clock and the tempo and do what every other opponent has done to the Cowboys, score points on the worst "D" in the NFL. Understand that Dallas is 0-5 SU and just two plays from also being 0-5 ATS. The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the Cowboys and 8-2-2 ATS L12 on the road. The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS L7 as a favorite and 2-5 ATS L7 at home. Take Arizona. Thank you. |
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10-19-20 | Chiefs -5.5 v. Bills | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Take KC. Yes. KC lost last week at home. They are still a force to be reckoned with and know that Buffalo is also a top-rated AFC team and will make an example of them here. The biggest mismatch is between Patrick Mahomes and the NFL's fourth ranked passing unit going up against the 24th ranked pass defense. The Bills have only face one solid opponent this season in the Titans and got blown up by them, 42-16. Look for more of the same here. The Chiefs are 9-2-1 ATS L12 vs. the AFC, 6-0-1 ATS L7 MNF, and 12-3-1 ATS L16 overall. The Bills are 3-7 ATS L10 as a home 'dog, 2-5 ATS L7 in October, and 14-29-2 ATS L45 home games vs. teams with a winning road record. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Rams -2.5 v. 49ers | Top | 16-24 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 59 m | Show |
Take LA. This is my NFC WEST GOM. Game 273. 5:10 pm pst. This is a chance for LA to gain some ground in the division. A rusty Garoppolo must face the NFL's second ranked pass defense here and will be pressured the entire game. On the flipside, San Francisco lost too many key players on :D" to slow down Goff, Henderson Jr., and Kupp. The road team is 4-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series. LA is 10-3 ATS L13 on the road, 5-0-1 ATS L6 on grass, and 15-5-1 ATS L21 vs. the NFC. take the Rams. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Packers v. Bucs | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
Take Green Bay. This is my ANNIHILATOR play. Game 271. 1:25 pm pst. Penalties, mistakes, pressure, and injuries are hurting Tampa Bay. Their run defense lost one of the best DL in football in Vita Vea. Expect RB, Jones to gain yards here and keep the Bucs "D" honest while Rodgers opens up the passing game as he sees the return of his favorite target, WR, Adams. The Packers are also healthy on the defensive side of the ball and the ever improving stop unit will pressure Brady. Green Bay is 4-0 ATS this season, 4-0 ARS L4 vs. the NFC, and 8-2 ATS L10 vs. winners, and 5-1 ATS L6 in October. Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS L8 following a SU loss, 3-8 ATS L11 vs. the NFC, 0-5-1 ATS L6 vs. winners, and 1-7-2 ATS L10 at home. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Bears v. Panthers UNDER 45 | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show | |
Take UNDER in the BEARS/PANTHERS matchup. This is my LVSM. Games 251/252. 10:00 am pst. Both teams match up well here. Neither Foles nor Bridgewater has the luxury of a true running threat. Both defenses are excellent against the pass while both offenses rank in the bottom third in scoring. The Bears come in here playing two straight UNDERS and the Panthers three straight UNDERS. The UNDER is 18-8 in Chicago's L26 overall and 17-4 in their L21 on grass. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Falcons v. Vikings -4 | 40-23 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 10 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my BB play. Game 256. 10:00 am pst. Dalvin Cook is out. But, Minny backup, Alexander Mattison is solid and will reach the century mark here, allowing QB, Kirk Cousins to open up the passing game against the NFL's 31st ranked pass defense. The Vikings have won four in a row over the Falcons, both SU and ATS. Atlanta is 1-4 ATS L5 vs. the NFC and 7-20 ATS L27 in October. Minnesota is 38-17-1 ATS L56 at home and 10-2-1 ATS L13 in October. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Browns v. Steelers OVER 51 | 7-38 | Loss | -101 | 24 h 3 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the Cleveland/Pittsburgh matchup. This is my AFC NORTH TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 261/262. 10:00 am pst. Both teams are winning at a combined, 9-1 and both offenses are rolling, averaging a combined, 60.7 PPG. Look for the Browns to move the ball on the ground while the Steelers in the air. These two teams are a combined 7-2 in OVERS this season. The OVER is 5-1 in the Browns L6 on grass and 16-5 in the Steelers L21 as a home favorite. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Browns v. Steelers -3 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my HR play. Game 262. 10:00 am pst. Both offenses are starting to roll. Cleveland owns one of the best rushing units in football. However, Pittsburgh ranks second in the NFL vs. the rush and sixth overall in scoring. The ferocious, Steelers stop unit will pressure the mistake-prone, Mayfield (four INT's) and force turnovers. Look for Big Ben and his arsenal of receivers, including his new favorite target, Claypool (four TD's) to shred the 30th ranked pass defense of the Browns. The home team is 4-0 ATS L4 meetings in this series. The Steelers are 7-3 ATS L10 vs. the AFC North. The Browns are 1-7 ATS L8 on the road. take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Ravens -9.5 v. Eagles | 30-28 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my TD play. Game 263. 10:00 am pst. This is the matchup that the depleted Eagles team is going to sorely miss their injured playmakers. The struggling Philly offense is going to be in for a long day here facing the top-ranked, stingy Ravens "D" (15.2 PPG allowed). But without several OL, a real deep threat, and a mediocre running game, this contest is going to get ugly. The Ravens are 6-1 ATS L7 on the road, 17-7-1 ATS L25 on grass, and 12-4 ATS L16 overall. The Eagles are 1-6 ATS L7 at home, 0-5 ATS L5 following a SU loss, and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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10-12-20 | Chargers v. Saints OVER 49.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The Chargers have not been out of any of their three consecutive losses (all by seven points or less). Look for these two teams to light up the scoreboard in a shootout between 22-year old rookie, Justin Herbert and 41-year old, Drew Brees.The over is 5-0 the L5 meetings in this series, 4-1 in the Chargers L5 overall, and4-0 in the Saints L 4 overall. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-11-20 | Vikings v. Seahawks -7 | 26-27 | Loss | -102 | 47 h 9 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. This is my SNLB. Game 476. 5:20 pm pst. A huge mistake in betting is judging a team solely on their last performance. Minnesota got their first win last week at Houston, which is now 0-4. The Vikings once-feared defense is getting steamrolled for 426.5 YPG and 31.3 PPG. They will not be able to stop or even slow down Russell Wilson and the mighty Seahawks "O", which has put up 31 or more points against every opponent this season. One of the few bright spots for Minnesota has been their running game. Bad news for Minny, Seattle is one of the best teams in the league at stuffing the run. The Vikings are 0-4 ATS L4 at the Seahawks and 6-15 ATS L21 vs. teams with a winning record. The Seahawks are 6-2 ATS L8 following an ATS win and 4-0 ATS L4 overall. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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10-11-20 | Panthers +1.5 v. Falcons | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 40 h 11 m | Show | |
Take Carolina. This is my HR. Game 451. 10:00 am pst. Atlanta has found new and improved ways to lose, while their division rivals enter this contest winning and covering their last two outings. Teddy Bridgewater will exploit the NFL's 31st ranked pass defense and further ignite the flame under Dan Quinn's hot seat. Look for the Panthers ball-hawking defense (seven takeaways) to create turnovers. Falcons are 3-7 ATS L10 as a home favorite and 7-19 ATS L26 in the month of October. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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10-11-20 | Raiders v. Chiefs -11 | 40-32 | Loss | -109 | 40 h 6 m | Show | |
Take KC. This is my NL. Game 454. 10:00 am pst. There's going to be some naysayers out there talking about how this matchup is a storied rivalry with two teams that dislike one another, therefore it will be a tight game. Well, the first part is true. It is a longtime rivalry and they don't like each other at all. As far as the second part, this game is going to get uglier than the MNF hit Lawrence Taylor put on Joe Theismann in '85 to end his career. Patrick Mahomes and the well-balanced Chiefs offense (29.3 PPG) is deserving of all their praise. But, it will be their defense (ranked second, yielding just 17.5 PPG) that will shine here against a Raiders "O" that had problems with both the Patriots and the Bills the last two weeks (both losses and no covers). This is the game that will allow KC to truly separate themselves from the rest of the AFC West. Derek Carr has a career, 0-6 record at Arrowhead Stadium. And, the LV defense, which ranks in the bottom third in every major category (only four sacks and two takeaways) won't be able to slow down Mahomes at all. Las Vegas is 0-4 ATS L4 at Kansas City, 2-7 ATS L9 vs. the AFC, and 2-5 ATS L7 overall. Kansas City is 8-0-1 ATS L9 at home, 21-8-1 ATS L30 vs. the AFC West, and 18-7-1 ATS L26 overall. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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10-11-20 | Rams -7 v. Washington Football Team | 30-10 | Win | 100 | 40 h 1 m | Show | |
Take LA. This is my ANNIHILATOR PLAY. Game 457. 10:00 am pst. Kyle Allenwill be making his first start of the season and must face the improving and very hungry, Rams stop-unit here. The Washington Football Team have no ground game whatsoever. So, the eighth-ranked pass defense of Los Angeles can focus solely on the rusty Allen and the passing game. Look for a heavy dose of tandem ball-carriers, Henderson Jr. and Brown (405 YR, four TD's combined) to attack the very lax, WFT run defense here and open up the passing game for quarterback, Jared Goff (72.1% CR, 1,063 YP, 6/2) and his arsenal of receivers, Kupp, Woods, Higbee, and Reynolds (65 receptions and six TD's combined).This is a chance for LA to put themselves in with the NFC elite. The Rams are 14-4-1 L19 vs. the NFC and 9-3 L12 on the road. WFT is 1-4 L5 vs. the NFC and 2-8 L10 at home. Take LA. Thank you. |
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10-11-20 | Eagles v. Steelers -7 | 29-38 | Win | 100 | 40 h 54 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my TD play. Game 466. 10:00 am pst. The 3-0 Steelers come in here well-rested after an unscheduled bye week. Big Ben (777 YP, 7/1) and James Conner (224 YR, 2 TD's) will move the chains with ease. But, it will be the fifth-ranked Pittsburgh defense (19.3 PPG allowed) that will wreak havoc on the depleted Philadelphia offensive line and get to the shaky, Carson Wentz (7 INT's) and force mistakes. This is a pass rush that got the mobile, DeShaun Watson five times in their last outing. Wentz would be smart to take out extra life insurance before kickoff. The Steelers are 5-2 ATS L7 at home and 20-7-1 ATS L28 in the month of October.The Eagles are 1-4 ATS L5 vs. teams with a winning record and 1-4 ATS L5 overall. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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10-08-20 | Bucs -3.5 v. Bears | 19-20 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Take TB. This my TNW. Game 301. 5:20 pm pst. Chicago is the worst 3-1 team in the NFL. Even with the upgrade of Nick Foles replacing Mitch Trubisky, the Bears still have no offense. They rank 21st in passing and 20th in rushing. They also turn the ball over a lot. They have yet to face a solid defense and still average a mere, 21.3 PPG. Tampa Bay is improving with each passing week on both sides of the ball. They are well-coached on "D" and own one of the best stop-units in football against the run. Offensively, they are posting over 30.0 PPG. Tom Brady, who is 5-0 with a 109.2 passer rating lifetime vs. Chicago. He and the offense are brimming with confidence after last week's come from behind win. Look for Brady (65.2% CR, 1122 YP, 11/4) and RB, Jones (253 YR, 1 TD) to keep the Bears defense on the field and pick them apart. The Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS L5 on the road. The Bears are 1-5 ATS L6 vs. the NFC, 0-6 ATS L6 vs. teams with a winning record, 1-8 ATS L9 following a SU loss, and 4-12 ATS L16 overall. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers -6 | Top | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Take GB. This is my NL. Game 280. 5:50 pm pst. Green Bay, at 3-0 both SU and ATS are playing great football. Aaron Rodgers and the top-ranked Packers offense (40.2 PPG) will shred the 31st ranked defense of the Falcons (31st in PA, 36.0 PPG and 31st in PY allowed). Atlanta is 2-11 ATS L13 in October. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS L6 at home. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers OVER 56 | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Take the OVER in the FALCONS/PACKERS game. This is my MNF TOM. Game 279/280. 5:50 pm pst. Two of the highest scoring offenses in the NFL face each other here on MNF. Green Bay (40.7 PPG) and Atlanta (30.0 PPG) have combined to play to six overs this season. The Packers enter tonight on a five-game over streak while the Falcons are riding a four-game over streak. Both Aaron Rodgers and Matt Ryan own top passing units and both defenses are having issues stopping the pass. The over is 5-0 the L5 meetings in this series, 6-0 in Atlanta's L6 vs. the NFC and 5-0 in Green Bay's L5 vs. the NFC. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-05-20 | Patriots v. Chiefs UNDER 49 | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the PATRIOTS/CHIEFS game. This is my TD play. Games 281/282. 4:05 pm pst. Both defenses are playing very well and both coaching staffs are excellent at preparing for opponents. With the absence of Cam Newton, the dynamics change for the Patriots as Brian Hoyer gets the start. The KC stop-unit is one of the best in the NFL defending the pass. Take the under. Thank you. |
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10-04-20 | Saints -4 v. Lions | 35-29 | Win | 100 | 59 h 0 m | Show | |
Take New Orleans. This is my ANNIHILATOR. Game 253. 10:00 am pst. New Orleans, which after opening the season with a big win over Tampa Bay, has dropped their last two outings. They come in here with something to prove. They also should see the return of several key role players. Not to mention, they are about the best ATS road team in football. They face a Detroit team that got a bit of luck last week, stopping an 11-game losing streak. One of the highest scoring offense in the NFL will devour one of its worst scoring defenses here. The Saints are 6-2 ATS L8 meetings with the Lions, 4-0 ATS L4 vs. teams with a losing record, 35-17 ATS L52 on the road, and 11-4 ATS L15 overall. The Lions are 3-9 ATS L12 vs. the NFC, 2-5 ATS L7 at home, and 3-11 ARS L14 overall. Take New Orleans. Thank you |
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10-04-20 | Browns v. Cowboys -4.5 | 49-38 | Loss | -104 | 59 h 53 m | Show | |
Take Dallas. This is my LVSM. Game 200. 10:00 am pst. Dak Prescott and the No. 1 passing unit in the NFL will decimate the depleted Cleveland secondary that is already a league doormat. With the issues Baker Mayfield is having (31st ranked passing unit), the Cowboys can key on Nick Chubb and the ground game. The Browns are 0-7 ATS L7 on the road and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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10-04-20 | Ravens -14 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 31-17 | Push | 0 | 59 h 47 m | Show |
Take Baltimore. This is my BB play. Game 269. 10:00 am pst. The Washington Football Team might want to change their name again. After this matchup, the team, the fans, and the city, are going to want to forget everything about this Sunday. Baltimore, which many feel (including yours truly) are serious AFC contenders, got embarrassed on MNF by the defending Super Bowl champs, Kansas City. Thus ending their 14-game regular season win streak. Facing this opponent six days later will allow the team to take out their frustration and will earn them their redemption. Look for Lamar Jackson and the offense to light up the scoreboard here, while their very angry defense, particularly John Harbaugh's pass rushers to get to the shaky, Dwayne Haskins Jr., and create turnovers. If he tossed three INT'S against the mediocre, Browns "D", the fierce, Ravens stop-unit will definitely take advantage. Baltimore is 5-0 ATS L5 as a road fav, 4-0 ATS L4 vs. teams with a losing record, and 11-3 ATS L14 overall. WFT is 3-8 ATS L11 at home, 1-5 ATS L6 as a 'dog, and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. Take BALTIMORE. Thank you. |
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10-01-20 | Broncos +1.5 v. Jets | 37-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Take Denver. We go from the Chiefs/Ravens MNF matchup to the battle of winless teams here. Brett Rypien gets his first start for Denver here. He looked pretty good last week filling in late for the benched, Jeff Driskel. Word is that RB, Lindsay (check status) will join Gordon in the backfield here. The Broncos defense, even without Von Miller, are still playing decent football. The Jets are a mess on both sides of the ball. they rank 32nd in scoring (12.3 PPG) and 27th on "D" (31.3 PPG allowed). Denver is 5-2 ATS L7 meetings in this series, 6-1 ATS L7 in October, and 10-3 ATS L13 on Thursday. New York is 4-11-1 ATS L16 vs. the AFC, 1-5 ATS L6 as a favorite, and 2-6 ATS L8 overall. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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09-27-20 | Raiders v. Patriots -5 | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 45 h 59 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my BB play. Game 462. 10:00 am pst. Las Vegas comes in here prime for a letdown. they come off a short week, having played on MNF in which they bested a superior New Orleans team. This is also the second trip across the country in just a few weeks for the Raiders. New England returns home after a tough loss in Seattle. No team in football is better at bouncing back from a loss than his team. No head coach is better than Bill Belichick at maximizing his strength and exploiting an opponent's weakness. Look for Cam Newton and the Patriots offense to pad their stats here both in the air and on the ground. This is a mismatch. Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS the last seven vs. the AFC and 8-15-1 ATS the last 23 on the road. Take New England. Thank you. |
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09-27-20 | Rams +2.5 v. Bills | 32-35 | Loss | -114 | 45 h 53 m | Show | |
Take Los Angeles. This is my TD play. Game463, 10:00 am pst. Two 2-0 teams from opposite coasts square off. Both squads seem to be on the rise. But, I wouldn't put too much stock into the fact that LA is traveling through several time zones and playing early here. Sean McVay's Rams are 7-0, both SU and ATS the last three years on doing just that. They also possess a defense that held Dak Prescott and Carson Wentz in check thus far. The Bills are a good team but have had issues defensively with offenses that pass off the run. Enter the Rams and Goff, Kupp, Woods, Brown, and Henderson Jr. Los Angeles is 4-0 ATS the last four as a road underdog, 9-2 ATS the last 11 overall on the road, and 5-1 ATS the last six in September. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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09-27-20 | Bears v. Falcons -3 | 30-26 | Loss | -116 | 45 h 45 m | Show | |
Take Atlanta. This is my GI play. Game 476. 10:00 am pst. Yes, these two teams own mirror image records. But, in all honesty, the Bears have played far inferior foes (Lions and Giants) than did the Falcons (Seahawks and Cowboys). Mitch Trubisky and the pedestrian, Chicago "O" (21.0 PPG) can not go score-for-score with the high-flying, Atlanta offense (32.0 PPG). The Bears are 1-6 ATS the last seven on the road, 2-6 ATS the last eight vs. the NFC, and 1-4 ATS the last five overall. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS the last five following a SU loss, 4-1 ATS the last five vs. the NFC, and 5-1 ATS the last six overall. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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09-20-20 | Patriots +4 v. Seahawks | 30-35 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 10 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my LB play. Game 287. 5:20 pm pst. Cam Newton brings a whole new dynamic to the New England offense. Mind you, Seattle has always had trouble with dual-threat quarterbacks over the years. But, this matchup is all about the Patriots defense. They were one of the best in football a season ago and are even better this season. No way Russell Wilson has the same luck here as he had last week against the very beatable, Falcons "D". Seattle is 2-7 ATS L9 at home and 1-5 ATS L6 in Week 2. New England is 7-3 ATS L10 on the road and 12-3 ATS L15 as an underdog. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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09-20-20 | Ravens -7 v. Texans | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 50 h 20 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my GRIDIRON PLAY. Game 283. 1:25 pm pst. The Ravens, on both sides of the ball are one of the most well-balanced teams in the NFL. They thumped Houston, 41-7 last November, keeping DeShaun Watson and the Texans ground game to some of their lowest stats of the season. Baltimore's "D" will once again keep the lackluster Houston "O" in check, while Lamar Jackson and the explosive Ravens offense show why they are NFL elite. The Ravens are 8-1 ATS L9 vs. the AFC, 5-0 ATS L5 on the road, and 10-2 ATS L12 overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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09-20-20 | Rams +1 v. Eagles | 37-19 | Win | 100 | 47 h 11 m | Show | |
Take Los Angeles. This is my TD play. Game 261. 10:00 am pst. With no fans in the stands, Philly has very little home field advantage here. This on top of the fact that this team is once again banged-up, urges us to side with LA here as they come off a big win over Dallas last week. The Rams pass rush will go through the paper-thin Eagles offensive line that gave up eight sacks in Week 1, like butter. Los Angeles is 8-2 ATS L10 on the road and 13-3-1 ATS L17 vs. the NFC. Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS L5 at home and 1-7 ATS L8 in the month of September. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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09-20-20 | Bills -5.5 v. Dolphins | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 5 m | Show | |
Take Buffalo. This is my CONSENSUS play. Game 271. 10:00 am pst. Ryan Fitzpatrick is going to be in for another long afternoon here against the stout Buffalo defense. The Bills bested the 'Fins in both meetings a season ago and saw Josh Allen have some of his best performances as a pro (458 YP, 5 TD's). Miami has problems with dual-threat quarterbacks. Buffalo is 7-1-2 ATS L10 on the road. Miami is 0-6 ATS L6 in the month of September. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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09-20-20 | Vikings +3 v. Colts | 11-28 | Loss | -100 | 47 h 0 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my DOW. Game 273. 10:00 am pst. Philip Rivers, new uniform, same mistakes. The Colts quarterback had a pair of interceptions in the Week 1 loss to the Jaguars. He now has 25 picks and three fumbles in his last 17 games. I know Minnesota gave up points in their opener, but that was too one of the best teams in the NFC. Expect their defense to come up big here and cause turnovers while Kirk Cousins and the Minny offense devours the mediocre Indy "D". The Vikings are 7-2 ATS L9 following an ATS loss and 11-5 ATS L16 in the month of September.Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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09-14-20 | Steelers -6 v. Giants | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 93 h 37 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my MNF WINNER. Game 479. 4:15 pm pst. This game opened up -3 and quickly soared to -6. I normally do not side with the general public, but sometimes in sports betting, you throw "normal" out the window. Big Ben is back and healthy. Look for him to connect early and often with receiver, Smith-Schuster. New York is without Eli for the first time since 2003. Daniel Jones is back at the helm and is joined by Saquon Barkley in the backfield. However, the offensive line is shaky at best and won't provide enough protection for the quarterback or open up holes for the running back. Throw into the mix that the ferocious, Pittsburgh defense was ranked third vs. the pass and an overall fifth in scoring (18.9 PPG allowed) a season ago. This doesn't bode well for the Giants. New York is 3-12-1 ATS the last 16 games played at home, 1-10 ATS the last 11 games played as a home 'dog, and 2-7 ATS the last 11 games played in Week 1. STEELERS -6 gets you paid. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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09-13-20 | Eagles -5.5 v. Washington Football Team | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 43 m | Show | |
Take Philadelphia. This is my NFC EAST GOW. Game 463. 10:00 am pst. Despite being bitten badly by the injury bug a season ago, Philly still took their division. They are now healthy. The Eagles have taken the last four meetings in this series SU, going 3-1 ATS (5-1 ATS last six meetings). Wentz has the best tight end tandem in football in Ertz and Goedert. They are accompanied by an arsenal of wideouts. This is an offense that is equally talented in the air and on the ground. This doesn't bode well for a Washington defense that will once again be a doormat. Washington has a second year quarterback and a rookie running back. It's going to be a very long and frustrating day for the offense here. Washington is 2-8 ATS the last 10 at home and 0-5 ATS the last five vs. the NFC East. Take the Eagles. Thank you. |
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09-13-20 | Bears +3 v. Lions | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 63 h 37 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my DOW. Game 465. 10:00 am pst. Yeah, yeah, yeah, I know Stafford is back. But what good is it when the Lions have no OL whatsoever to protect him? In comes the Bears and their ferocious "D". Linebackers, Mack and newly acquired, Quinn are going to come at Stafford from both edges and create havoc. Trubisky is at the helm and gets to face the NFL's 32nd ranked pass defense here that he lit up for six TD's in both meetings last year. Both wins for Chicago. As a matter of fact, the Bears are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS the last two seasons vs. the Lions. They are also 9-4 ATS the last 13 vs. the NFC North. Take Chicago. Thank you. |
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09-13-20 | Browns v. Ravens -7 | Top | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 63 h 50 m | Show |
Take Baltimore. This is my AFC NORTH GOM. game 456. 10:00 am pst. After the Ravens lost to the Browns in week 4 last year, they were so motivated, they didn't lose another regular season contest. They did get some payback in a week 16, 31-15 win and cover over the Browns, but they are looking to exact some real revenge here and prove to the rest of the AFC that they are the best team in the conference. Cleveland is 0-6 ATS the last six on the road and 9-19-1 ATS the last 29 vs. the AFC North. Baltimore is 4-0 ATS the last four in Week 1 and 7-1 ATS the last eight vs. the AFC. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | 20-31 | Loss | -103 | 75 h 38 m | Show | |
Take San Francisco. Game 101. 3:30 pm pst.
I feel that the line here is about where it should be to appeal to both sides. I sincerely feel that this game is a true pick 'em. Both teams are very well coached and have had two full weeks to rest, heal, and prepare. Kansas City enters this game winning eight in a row SU and going 7-0-1 ATS. They rank fifth in scoring at 28.2 PPG behind the NFLs fifth ranked passing unit. Patrick Mahomes has been outstanding this postseason, passing for 615 yards with eight TD's and no INT's, adding 106 yards rushing and one score on the ground. The one weakness the offense has is that they don't have a real threat at running back to keep defenses honest and eat away the clock. This specific matchup will be extra difficult as San Francisco owns the No. 1 pass defense in football. They will slow down Mahomes a bit. But, he is capable and dangerous when pressured. The 49ers possess a monstrous ground attack, ranking second in the league. Overall, the "O" accounts for over 29.9 PPG (No. 2). Quarterback, Jimmy Garoppolo, who isn't as polished as his counterpart, has led this team to a 15-3 mark in his first healthy campaign. They will exploit the Chiefs 23rd ranked run defense. There’s an argument for both sides here. But, to win on this stage, you must be able to run the ball with authority, control the clock, and be able to put pressure on the opposing quarterback. All things that San Francisco does well. San Francisco is 5-0 ATS the last five games played as an underdog and 6-1 ATS the last seven games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take the 49ers. Thank you. Below are some of my favorite prop bets for Super Bowl LIV: Shortest Field Goal Of Game 27.5 Yards. UNDER -110. Both coaches are smart and will want any points they can muster, therefore take the under here. Will There Be Overtime? YES +800. In what I feel is going to be a close game, this prop offers huge value. Will The Game Be Tied After 0-0? YES -110. To me, this is one of the smartest of the prop wagers. Total Rushing Yards By Raheem Mostert 73.5. OVER -110. A huge part of the 49ers offense that gained over 278 yards rushing this postseason. Longest Rush By Patrick Mahomes 11.5 Yards. OVER -110. Mahomes has great feet and is facing a fierce pass rush so he will need to run the ball a bit to make plays and at times stay alive. He will gain some yards. Total Touchdown Passes By Patrick Mahomes 3. OVER +200. The Chiefs offense is all about the pass. The QB has 8 TD's this postseason. Total Rushing Yards By Patrick Mahomes 29.5. OVER -110. Mahomes' feet is a big reason why the Chiefs offense is successful. Total Rushing Yards By San Francisco 135.5. OVER -110. The 49ers are a running offense and will need to control the clock to keep the Chiefs "O" off the field. Longest Lead UNDER 14.5 points +110. I feel this is going to be a very tight game therefore no huge leads. San Francisco To Lead After First Quarter. YES -110. As I stated earlier, I feel this is going to be a tough game and the score will seesaw. |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 54 | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 27 m | Show | |
SUPER BOWL LIV Take OVER. Game 101/102. 3:30 pm pst. Both teams are very well coached and have had two full weeks to rest, heal, and prepare. Kansas City enters this game playing three straight OVERS and rank fifth in scoring at 28.2 PPG behind the NFLs fifth ranked passing unit. Patrick Mahomes has been outstanding this postseason, passing for 615 yards with eight TD's and no INT's, adding 106 yards rushing and one score on the ground. bit. the quarterback is capable and dangerous when pressured. The OVER is 4-1-1 in San Francisco's last six outings. The 49ers possess a monstrous ground attack, ranking second in the league. Overall, the "O" accounts for over 29.9 PPG (No. 2). Quarterback, Jimmy Garoppolo, who isn't as polished as his counterpart, has led this team to a 15-3 mark in his first healthy campaign. They will exploit the Chiefs 23rd ranked run defense. The OVER is 4-1 in the 49ers last five playoff games and 7-2 in the Chiefs last nine games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take the OVER. Thank you. Below are some of my favorite prop bets for Super Bowl LIV: Shortest Field Goal Of Game 27.5 Yards. UNDER -110. Both coaches are smart and will want any points they can muster, therefore take the under here. Will There Be Overtime? YES +800. In what I feel is going to be a close game, this prop offers huge value. Will The Game Be Tied After 0-0? YES -110. To me, this is one of the smartest of the prop wagers. Total Rushing Yards By Raheem Mostert 73.5. OVER -110. A huge part of the 49ers offense that gained over 278 yards rushing this postseason. Longest Rush By Patrick Mahomes 11.5 Yards. OVER -110. Mahomes has great feet and is facing a fierce pass rush so he will need to run the ball a bit to make plays and at times stay alive. He will gain some yards. Total Touchdown Passes By Patrick Mahomes 3. OVER +200. The Chiefs offense is all about the pass. The QB has 8 TD's this postseason. Total Rushing Yards By Patrick Mahomes 29.5. OVER -110. Mahomes' feet is a big reason why the Chiefs offense is successful. Total Rushing Yards By San Francisco 135.5. OVER -110. The 49ers are a running offense and will need to control the clock to keep the Chiefs "O" off the field. Longest Lead UNDER 14.5 points +110. I feel this is going to be a very tight game therefore no huge leads. San Francisco To Lead After First Quarter. YES -110. As I stated earlier, I feel this is going to be a tough game and the score will seesaw. |
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01-19-20 | Packers v. 49ers -7.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
Take San Francisco. Game 312. 3:40 pm pst. Giving the experienced and playoff savvy Aaron Rodgers a TD or more seems to be a mistake. This is a team that has rattled off six straight victories, including W's against some strong stop-units (Chicago, Minnesota). But, San Francisco has one of the best and most ferocious front seven's in the NFL. And let's be honest, Rodgers ain't no spring chicken anymore. The 49ers "D" ranks first vs. the pass and yields just 19.4 PPG. Just last week, they sacked Kirk Cousins six times and held Dalvin Cook to a mere, 18.0 yards on the ground. Jimmy Garoppolo has an arsenal of weapons at his disposal, with a talented wide receiving corps, tight end, George Kittle underneath, and the league's second ranked rushing unit, a weakness for the 23rd ranked run defense of the Packers. FYI, the last time meeting resulted in a San Fran, 37-8 win back at the end of November. Green Bay is 2-5 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS the last five in the month of January. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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01-19-20 | Titans v. Chiefs -7 | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show | |
Take Kansas City. Game 314. 10:00 pm pst. Tennessee beat Kansas City (the Chiefs last loss) on November 10th. Derrick Henry has been outstanding as he is the only running back in history to rush for 180 or more yards in three straight games. The KC defense, which ranks 26th overall vs. the run, is going to get a heavy dose of the ballcarrier. BUT, Andy Reid and Steve Spagnulo are pretty sharp guys and over the last six weeks of the regular season, the stop unit got much, much better. Also, after being down 24-0 at the half last week, held Houston to just seven points in the second half. What urges so many to side with Tennessee is the same reason why me must go against them here. Yes, they beat Houston, New England, and Baltimore the last three weeks, but, this is the fourth straight road game for the team. Patrick Mahomes and the potent, Chiefs air assault will exploit the Titans 24th ranked pass defense. They will get up early and the Titans can not catch up as they are not built offensively to play from behind. Kansas City is 5-0-1 ATS the L6 vs. the AFC and 6-0-1 ATS the L7 overall. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Packers | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -109 | 77 h 35 m | Show |
Take Seattle. This is my LI play. Game 307. 3:40 pm pst. The Seahawks play more close games than any other team in football. I am not looking to take away any respect from Aaron Rodgers and a Packers team that won their last five outings. But, Russell Wilson, who is having a career year, has the ability to escape the pocket and make big plays here. The fourth ranked rushing attack of Seattle will shred the Green Bay 23rd ranked rush defense. One more item, Seattle is 8-1 SU as a visitor this season. The Seahawks are 8-1 ATS the L9 as a road underdog and 11-3-1 ATS the L15 overall on the road. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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01-12-20 | Texans +10.5 v. Chiefs | 31-51 | Loss | -135 | 73 h 5 m | Show | |
Take Houston. This is my OM play. Game 305. 12:05 pm pst. I don't normally judge a matchup by a previous meeting, but these two AFC rivals met mid-October when Houston won, 31-24. It's not the win I am judging this release by, it's the difference in the point spread. In the earlier matchup, Kansas City was a 3.5-point favorite. Now, they are laying nearly a TD more. Since then, defensive end, J.J. Watt has returned and seems to be back at 100 percent. He will be headache for Chiefs quarterback, Patrick Mahomes. Hyde, Watson, and Johnson JR. are a devastating threat on the ground and face the lax, 26th ranked run defense here. The road team is 6-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series. The Texans are 5-2-1 ATS the L8 on the road. The Chiefs are 2-8 ATS the L10 playoff games.Take Houston. Thank you. |
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01-11-20 | Titans +10.5 v. Ravens | 28-12 | Win | 100 | 54 h 21 m | Show | |
Take Tennessee. This is my TD play. Game 303. 5:15 pm pst.
On paper, Baltimore is a better team. However, being a better team and covering nearly double digits in the postseason are two entirely different things. Running back, Derrick Henry (1,746 total yards, 18 total TD's) led the NFL in rushing while quarterback, Ryan Tannehill led the league with a 117.5 passer rating. The duo will score points on the third ranked defense of the Ravens. There is another "X" factor that benefits the Titans. Defensive coordinator, Dean Pees spent several years on the Baltimore staff and knows head coach, John Harbaugh and the team well. Tennessee is 6-1-1 ATS the L8 vs. the AFC, 4-0 ATS the L4 on the road, and 6-2 ATS the L8 overall. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
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01-11-20 | Vikings +7.5 v. 49ers | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -130 | 51 h 46 m | Show |
Take Minnesota. This is my TEN STAR. Game 301. 1:25 pm pst. While San Francisco is a solid team, there is a huge disparity ATS when they are playing on the road, compared to playing at home this season. The 49ers are 6-2 ATS away from Levi's Stadium, but just 3-4-1 ATS when playing host. Quarterback, Jimmy Garoppolo has won two Super Bowls, but never as a starter. And, to be honest, there is a lot more pressure on him than his counterpart, Kirk Cousins, who outdueled future Hall Of Famer, Drew Brees in last week's, 26-20 OT win against New Orleans. Winning on the road in the loudest and craziest venue in the NFL says a lot about the play caller. Look for running back, Dalvin Cook (1,654 total yards , 13 total TD's) to eat up the clock and move the chains on the 17th ranked rush defense here. The underdog is 5-2 ATS the L7 meetings. The Vikings are 7-3 ATS the L10 vs. the NFC, 5-2 ATS the L7 on the road, and 4-1 ATS the L5 overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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01-05-20 | Vikings v. Saints -7.5 | Top | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 39 m | Show |
Take New Orleans. This is my NFC WC GOM. Game 146. 10:05 am pst. Normally, getting more than a TD in the postseason with a 10-6 team would be inviting. And it looks like running back, Dalvin Cook will return to the Vikings backfield (check status). However, this game is being played in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome, which is just about the loudest and wildest venue in football. So, laying more than a TD with a Saints team that has averaged 40.0 PPG over the last month and that has covered their last three outings, leaves no doubt. Future Hall-Of-Famer, Drew Brees is on fire, tossing 15 TD's and more importantly, 0 INT's during that four-game span. Running back, Alvin Kamara and tight end, Jared Cook have heated up, while wide receiver, Michael Thomas has set a single-season mark for receptions (149). Minny has one offensive weapon in Cook, who will be compromised here. Even if the ball-carrier is 100 percent, he still must line up against the league's fourth ranked run defense. The Saints are 5-1 ATS the L6 meetings vs. the Vikings and 8-3 ATS the L11 vs. the NFC. The Vikings are 4-14 ATS the L18 vs. winners and 2-5 ATS the L7 road playoff games. Just to err on the side of caution, buy this number down for the extra few pennies. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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01-04-20 | Bills v. Texans UNDER 43.5 | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 55 h 14 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the BILLS/TEXANS matchup. This is my AFC WC TOM. Games 141/142. 1:35 pm pst.
This season, these two teams have combined to play 11 overs and 21 unders. I don't see the Houston offense putting up too many points on the stingy, Buffalo "D" (16.2 PPG allowed). We all know that the Bills "O" is a slow moving unit that doesn't light up the scoreboard. And with defensive end, J.J. Watt back on the field, scoring is going to be a rarity. Both teams have solid running games to eat away the clock. The under is 5-1 in the Bills L6 vs. winners, 19-7 in the Bills L26 on the road, 8-2 in the Texans L10 as a home favorite, and 21-10 in the Texans L31 vs. the AFC. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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01-04-20 | Bills +3 v. Texans | Top | 19-22 | Push | 0 | 55 h 20 m | Show |
Take Buffalo. This is my AFC WC GOM. Game 141. 1:35 pm pst. Both teams took it easy last Sunday, locked into their playoff seeds. When they last met, a little more than a year ago, Houston prevailed, 20-13. And despite Buffalo still in a maturing phase, their defense sacked Deshaun Watson seven times. Well, since then, the Bills stop-unit has gotten better. They rank fourth vs. the pass, 10th vs. the rush, and second overall in scoring, yielding a mere, 16.2 PPG. Yes, offensively, Buffalo hasn't posted better than 17.0 points in over a month. However, they did face the defenses of Baltimore, Pittsburgh, New England, and the improved, New York Jets. They run the ball very well and will move the chains against the NFL's 25th ranked run defense. J.J. Watt is slated to return here. A player of his caliber will always have an impact. But, he hasn't seen action in months and his timing might be a bit off. The Bills are 8-1-2 ATS the L11 on the road. The Texans are 1-6 ATS the L7 as a home favorite. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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12-29-19 | Raiders +3.5 v. Broncos | 15-16 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Take Oakland. Oakland need a lot of help to make the playoffs...a lot. But the team has had success against Denver covering the last four meetings and winning three of the four, including a September, 24-16 victory. The Broncos are 4-11 ATS the L15 vs. the AFC West and 2-7-1 ATS the L10 as a home favorite. Take the Raiders. Thank you. |
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12-29-19 | Chargers v. Chiefs -9 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Take KC. During their current five game SU and ATS win streak, the Kansas City defense has allowed just 9.6 PPG. They face an LA team that is -13 in TO's the last six games. The Chargers are 1-5 ATS the L6 meetings in this series and 0-5 ATS the L5 vs. the AFC West. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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12-23-19 | Packers +5.5 v. Vikings | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay. This is my MNF WINNER. Game 481. 5:15 pm pst. With no Dalvin Cook to keep the Packers defense honest, we must side with the red-hot, Green Bay team which is riding a three-game SU win streak. The Packers have Detroit up next while the Vikings have the Lions on deck. Minnesota is 2-11 ATS the L13 MNF games and 4-13 ATS the L17 vs. teams with a winning record. Green bay is 5-2 ATS the L7 on the road and 6-1 ATS the L7 vs. teams with a winning record. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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12-22-19 | Cowboys -1 v. Eagles | 9-17 | Loss | -123 | 48 h 29 m | Show | |
Take Dallas. This is my NFC EAST GOM. Game 475. 1:25 pm pst. In the battle for NFC East supremacy, we must side with a Dallas team that has won and covered four in a row against Philadelphia. Dak Prescott has presided over the last three, including a 37-10, October dismantling. The Eagles were lucky to get victories the last two weeks against much lesser foes, but are crushing bettors at 1-4 ATS the last five. Look for Prescott to dissect the weak, Philly pass "D". The road team is 11-5 ATS the L16 meetings in this series. The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS the L7 at the Eagles and 16-5 ATS the L21 vs. the NFC East. The Eagles are 4-10 ATS the L14 at home and 3-7 ATS the L10 vs. the NFC. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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12-22-19 | Steelers -3 v. Jets | 10-16 | Loss | -113 | 45 h 13 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my 10 STAR. Game 467. 10:00 am pst. Pittsburgh is clinging to the No. 6 seed in the AFC but needs to win here. New York is out of the postseason and is playing for nothing. They weren't all that good when they had something to play for. The Steelers stingy "D" (18.5 PPG allowed) will completely shut down one of the worst offense in football. After winning three in a row SU and ATS (7-1 SU L8, 9-3 ATS L12), Pitt suffered a tough loss last week and will bounce back here against a NY team that hasn't covered since late-November (0-3 ATS L3). The Steelers are 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series, 4-1 ATS the L5 on the road, and 5-2 ATS the L7 vs. losers. The Jets are 1-6 ATS the L7 vs. the AFC, 3-8-1 ATS the L12 at home, and 0-5-1 ATS the L6 in December. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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12-22-19 | Ravens -9.5 v. Browns | 31-15 | Win | 100 | 45 h 8 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my LIM. Game 473. 10:00 am pst. Baltimore, which has won 10 in a row SU and seven of the last eight ATS, will sew up the top seed and home field in the AFC playoffs with a win here. There is also a huge revenge factor here as the Ravens suffered a 40-25 loss in Week 4 to the Browns. Cleveland is no match for the NFL's No. 1 scoring offense and will be in dire straits facing the league's No. 4 defense. Baltimore is 8-2-1 ATS the L11 at Cleveland, 4-0 ATS the L4 on the road, and 5-0 ATS the L5 vs. the AFC. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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12-21-19 | Rams v. 49ers -6.5 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -106 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
Take SF. This is my NFC WEST GOY. Game 452. 5:15 pm pst. San Francisco can secure the NFC's top seed by wining this week and next week. Look for the 49ers 2nd ranked ground attack to wreak havoc on the Rams 23rd ranked run defense. LA can't run the ball at all and rely solely upon the passing game. This doesn't bode well as San Francisco owns the NFL's #1 pass "D". The Rams are 2-6 ATS the L8 meetings in this series and 4-12-1 ATS the L17 as an underdog. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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12-16-19 | Colts v. Saints -8.5 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Take New Orleans. This is my MNF WINNER. Game 334. 5:15 pm pst. New Orleans need to win here. They must not only get back on track after last week's, 48-46 loss to San Francisco,, but they also are fighting for a better postseason seeding. Indy is on a 3-game SU slide, dropping 5 of the L6 SU and only covering twice in the L7 outings. Look for Drew Brees to pick apart the NFL's 21st ranked pass defense here. The Colts "O" relies solely on the ground game but faces the #2 run defense in football. The Saints are 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. losers and 8-3 ATS the L11 overall. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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12-15-19 | Vikings v. Chargers | 39-10 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my TEN STAR WINNER. Game 331. 5:20 pm pst. Minnesota is just one game behind Green Bay in the race for the NFC North title. They own a very well-balanced team, ranking in the top 10 on both sides of the ball. Don' t put too much stock in LA's, 45-10 romp over Jacksonville last week. That reflects in the short line here, which is to our advantage. Philip Rivers has tossed 20 TD's but has 15 INT's and two fumbles. Kirk Cousins has been significantly more reliable (24 TD's, 4 INT's) and also has the luxury of having a solid ground game on the legs of Delvin Cook (1,108 yards rushing, 13 TD's). There will probably be as many or more Vikings fans in the stands here, as been the case for many of the Chargers home games this season, where they have covered just twice as a host. Overall, Los Angeles is 7-18-1 ATS the last 26 at home. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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12-15-19 | Bucs -5 v. Lions | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
Take Tampa Bay. This is my LI MOVE. Game 305. 10:00 am pst. Tampa Bay has won 3 in a row SU and can in all reality, finish the season winning their final 6 games. Meanwhile, Detroit is on a 6-game SU slide and lost 9 of the L10 SU, only covering once over the L8 outings. Offensively, they face the NFL's #1 rush defense. Defensively, they line up against the league's 2nd ranked pass offense and its 3rd in scoring (29.1 PPG). The road team is 5-1 ATS the L6 meetings in this series. The Lions are 1-6 ATS the L7 vs. the NFC. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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12-15-19 | Texans v. Titans -2.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -130 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
Take Tennessee. This is my AFC SOUTH GOM. Game 314. 10:00 am pst. Outside of Baltimore, no AFC team is playing as well as Tennessee, which is 6-1 SU since Tannehill took over the reins. They have covered 4 straight. The matchup heavily favors the Titans with Derrick Henry's legs while the Texans offense relies upon their ground game, but faces a very tough run defense. Houston is 1-4 ATS the L5 vs. the AFC South and 2-5 ATS the L7 overall. Tennessee is 4-0-1 ATS the L5 vs. the AFC and 3-0-1 ATS the L4 at home. Take the Titans. Thank you. |
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12-15-19 | Seahawks -6 v. Panthers | Top | 30-24 | Push | 0 | 19 h 2 m | Show |
Take Seattle. This is my NFC GOM. Game 315. 10:00 am pst. Coming off an embarrassing, 28-12 loss and no cover to the Rams last week, brought the Seahawks to 10-3. Seattle is one full game behind San Francisco in the NFC West and needs to win here. Ron Rivera has been fired as head coach of the Panthers as the team is riding a five-game SU (1-4 ATS) slide. Carolina's defense is one of the worst in the NFL, particularly against the rush (29th) and will get plowed here as the third ranked run offense in football comes to town. The Seahawks are 10-3 ATS the last 13 on the road. The Panthers are 1-5 ATS the last six vs. the NFC. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks +1 v. Rams | Top | 12-28 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
Take Seattle. This is my NFC WEST GOM. Game 157. 5:20 pm pst. Seattle, at 10-2, is playing some of the best football in the NFL. MVP-candidate, Russell Wilson (3,177 yards passing, 67.4 percent completion rate, 26/4) leads one of the most well-balanced offenses in the league. This is a team that is on a five game SU win streak, while covering four straight. Los Angeles is a far cry from the team that went to the Super Bowl a season ago. Opponents now know how to best the Rams. This is why they beat the teams they should and lose to the better teams. The Seahawks are 4-0 ATS the last four vs. the NFC, 6-1 ATS the last seven on the road, and 25-11-1 ATS the last 37 in the month of December. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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12-08-19 | Steelers -1 v. Cardinals | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my LIM. Game 153. 1:25 pm pst. Arizona got shellacked by LA last week, 34-7, to give the Cardinals their 5th SU loss in a row. QB, Kyler Murray was sacked 6 times and doesn't have the chops to bounce back here, especially against the stingy, Steelers defense that ranks 7th vs. the pass and 6th in points allowed, yielding just 18.8 PPG. Devlin Hodges will continue to shine as he faces the 32nd pass defense in the league. Pittsburgh is 10-3-1 ATS the L14 following an ATS win and 8-2 ATS the L10 overall. Arizona is 1-3-1 ATS the L5 vs. winners and 1-4 ATS the L5 in December. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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12-08-19 | Titans -2.5 v. Raiders | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Take Tennessee. This is my 10 STAR WINNER. Game 155. 1:25 pm pst. Oakland has yet to defeat a team with a current winning record. Tennessee is on a 5-1 SU and ATS streak. Coincidentally, the Titans got hot when Ryan Tannehill took the helm. The offense has since become one of the most well-balanced in football, with the arm of Tannehill and the legs of Derrick Henry. The road team is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings. The favorite is 9-2 ATS the L11 meetings. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
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12-05-19 | Cowboys -3 v. Bears | 24-31 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Take Dallas. This is my TEN STAR WINNER. Game 101. 5:50 pm pst. Dallas, which leads the NFC East at 6-6, has Chicago this week, Los Angeles next, then two division rivals in Philadelphia and Washington. The Cowboys need every win they can get right now. They have the NFL's #1 offense in yards (432.8 YPG) and face a team that owns its 29th offense in the same category (281.8 YPG). The dismal, Bears, which average a mere, 17.7 PPG just won't be able to keep pace here offensively. They have no ground game to control the clock and keep the Cowboys "D" honest. Dallas is 8-3-1 ATS the L12 as a road favorite. Chicago is 2-5 ATS the L7 at home. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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12-01-19 | Patriots -3 v. Texans | 22-28 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my LB. Game 473. 5:20 pm pst. Say what you want about the New England offense but Tom Brady is still piling up "W's". This is the game they get back in sync. Their No. 1 defense (10.6 PPG allowed) will shut down Deshaun Watson and the Houston "O". The Patriots have taken the L8 meetings in this series SU, going 6-2 ATS. They are 7-3 ATS the L10 vs. the AFC, 10-4 ATS the L14 in December, and 6-2 ATS the L8 on the road. The Texans are 1-4 ATS the L5 vs. the AFC, 2-9-1 ATS the L12 in December, and 1-5 ATS the L6 at home. Take New England. Thank you. |
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12-01-19 | Packers -6 v. Giants | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay. This is my LI MOVE. Game 451. 10:00 am pst. Green Bay comes into this contest pissed off after their worst performance of the season, last week's, 37-8 embarrassing loss to San Francisco. They are tied for first in the division with Minnesota and need every win they can get. Meanwhile, New York is on a seven game slide SU, going 2-5 ATS. This is a team that owns 1-4 marks at home both SU and ATS. Look for Aaron Rodgers to have a huge day as he faces the 27th rankled pass defense of the Giants. New York is 0-4 ATS the L4 vs. winners and 5-15-1 ATS the L21 at home. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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12-01-19 | Jets -3 v. Bengals | 6-22 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Take New York. This is my TEN STAR WINNER. Game 465. 10:00 am pst. New York has found a sense of pride, resulting in three consecutive wins and covers, as the offense has accounted for 34.9 PPG during the streak. Winless Cincinnati (0-11 SU) is 0-5 at home, both SU and ATS, being outscored by visitors by 15.8 PPG. The NFL's 31st ranked offense averages a dismal, 14.3 PPG. With issues at quarterback and facing the League's No. 1 ranked defense against the rush, things won't get any better here. The Bengals are 1-10 ATS the L11 at home. Take the Jets. Thank you. |
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11-28-19 | Bears -3.5 v. Lions | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my TEN STAR WINNER. Game 305. 9:30 pm pst. Mitch Trubisky and the Chicago offense are struggling. But, playing Detroit with their 30th ranks pass, 24th ranked run, and 26th ranked scoring defense (26.5 PPG allowed) will remedy this. The quarterback accounted for 173 yards passing and 3 TD's with 0 INT's in the November 10th, 20-13 win and cover. It was the Bears third consecutive win and cover in this NFC North rivalry. Detroit, which has not covered since mid-October (0-6 ATS L6) and has just one victory since mid-September (1-7 SU L8) is done for the eason. With Driskel at the helm and no rushing threat to speak of, the Lions continue to fall on Thanksgiving (4-11 ATS L15). Chicago is 9-1 ATS the L10 vs. the NFC North and 11-5 ATS the L16 vs. losers. Detroit is 0-5 ATS the L5 vs. the NFC and 0-5 ATS the L5 in November. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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11-25-19 | Ravens -3 v. Rams | Top | 45-6 | Win | 100 | 70 h 14 m | Show |
Take Baltimore. This is my MNF GOY. Game 275. 5:15 pm pst. The Rams are a far cry from the team they were a season ago. And now they have to face arguably, the best team in the NFL. The L.A. offense has slowed down quite a bit and does not have the horses to run with the No. 1 scoring unit in football (34.1 PPG). Look for the ever-improving, Ravens pass rush (six sacks last week vs. the Texans) to get to Jared Goff, who does not have the luxury of having a running game to keep them honest. Baltimore is 6-2 ATS the last eight on the road, 10-4 ATS the last 14 on MNF, and 4-0 ATS the last four overall. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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11-24-19 | Cowboys v. Patriots -6 | 9-13 | Loss | -100 | 43 h 35 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my LI Play. Game 270. 1:25 pm pst. Dallas has three wins over their last four games. But, those victories weren't against a single team with a winning record. Any good teams they faced, they folded against (New Orleans, Green Bay, Minnesota). Now, they go up against the #1 defense in the NFL (10.8 PPG allowed), that will get to Prescott and force TO's. The Cowboys "D" is good but coming off two subpar outings, expect Tom Brady to go to work and do what he does best. Dallas is 0-6 ATS the L6 vs. winners. New England is 42-17-2 ATS the L61 at home. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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11-24-19 | Seahawks +1.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 39 h 3 m | Show |
Take Seattle. This is my 10 STAR WINNER. Game 273. 10:00 am pst. Very quietly, Seattle has become a true force in the NFC. Under MVP-candidate, Russell Wilson, the Seahawks offense (10th passing, 6th rushing, 7th scoring) will be too much for the overrated, Eagles "D". Offensively, Philly has looked out of sync and I just don't see them competing with the red-hot, Seattle squad here. Giving a team, which is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS on the road this season, any points is a gift. The road team is 7-3 ATS the last 10 meetings in this series. The Seahawks are 4-0 ATS the last four meetings with the Eagles. The Eagles are 2-5 ATS the last seven vs. the NFC. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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11-21-19 | Colts +3.5 v. Texans | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Take Indianapolis. This is my 10 STAR. Game 109. 5:20 pm pst. The line here urges me to side with an Indy team that has found a way to once again win. This is a team that has won and covered the L3 meetings in this series, including a 30-23 victory back in October. Defensively, the Colts are tighter and can slow down Watson and Hyde. The road team is 8-2-2 ATS the L12 meetings in this series. Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS the L6 vs. Houston and 6-0 ATS the L6 vs. the AFC South. Houston is 1-4 ATS the L5 at home and 2-8 ATS the L10 vs. winners. Take the Colts. Thank you. |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs -4.5 v. Chargers | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Take KC. This is my 10 STAR. Game 475. 5:15 pm pst. Kansas City, at 6-4 is tied with LA in the AFC West. The Chargers will throw a healthy dose of RB, Melvin Gordon at the Chiefs 30th ranked run defense. But this is still an offense that averages just 20.7 PPG. Coming off a loss to Tennessee will motivate KC here. Phillip Rivers has no footwork and faces the ever-improving pass rush of the Chiefs. KC is 6-0 ATS the L6 at LA and 20-8 ATS the L28 vs. the AFC West. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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11-17-19 | Patriots -4.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-10 | Win | 101 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Coming off their first loss of the season and get to face the team that beat them in the Super Bowl the last time they met. New England is 5-0 ATS the L5 following a bye week and 5-2 ATS the L7 on the road. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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11-17-19 | Cowboys -6.5 v. Lions | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
This is the game that sets the pace for Dallas to re-establish themselves. Detroit dropped five of the last six SU, failing to cover four straight. Zeke will be a human highlight reel as he faces the 27th ranked run defense in the NFL. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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11-14-19 | Steelers +3 v. Browns | 7-21 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my GI play. Game 309. 5:20 pm pst. The line here urges me to side with a Steelers team riding a four-game SU win streak while covering six of their lasts seven. Granted, the Browns have faced some tougher opposition, but have been crushing bettors, going 1-5-1 ATS the last seven. Mistake-prone, Baker Mayfield (12 INT's against just 9 TD's) is in trouble here as he lines up against the ball-hawking, Pitt "D" that has tallied 22 takeaways. They are 5-1 ATS the L6 vs. the AFC North and 6-1 ATS the L7 overall. Cleveland is 9-23-1 ATS the L33 at home and 5-21-2 ATS the L28 vs. winners. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks v. 49ers -6 | 27-24 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Take SF. This is my MNF winner. Game 274. 5:15 pm pst. The Seattle defense (29th vs. pass, 13th vs. rush, 23rd in scoring) leaves a lot to be desired. they have allowed every offense to put up points on them except Arizona. Offensively, the Seahawks are sound, however, the 49ers "D" ranks 2nd, yielding a mere, 12.8 PPG. San Fran also enters this matchup with an extra three days to rest, heal, and prepare. The home team is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. The Seahawks are 0-5 ATS the last five following an ATS win. The 49ers are 27-7 ATS then last 34 on MNF. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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11-10-19 | Panthers +5.5 v. Packers | 16-24 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 54 m | Show | |
Take Carolina. This is my TD play. Game 263. 1:25 pm pst. I don't expect the Packers to have another poor outing like last week's, 26-11 meltdown at the hands of the Chargers. However, this matchup is no cakewalk either.The Panthers, with Kyle Allen at the helm, are 5-1 both SU and ATS. The quarterback is posting a better completion percentage (60.7%) through six games than Cam Newton (56.2%) did in two. MVP candidate, Christian McCaffrey (881 yards rushing, 10 TD's) will shred the Green Bay defense (24th vs. the rush). Whether wide receiver, Davante Adams (questionable) is available or not, Aaron Rodgers will be running for his life vs. the NFL's 9th ranked pass defense. Carolina is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series and 4-1 ATS the last five on the road. Green Bay is 6-13-1 ATS the last 20 vs. the NFC and 1-3-1 ATS the last five in November. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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11-10-19 | Bills +3 v. Browns | 16-19 | Push | 0 | 43 h 37 m | Show | |
Take Buffalo. This is my DOW. Game 253. 10:00 am pst. For the life of me, I can't understand how Cleveland can be favored here. The underachieving, Browns (2-6 SU and ATS) are riding a four-game lose and no cover streak and are playing at home where the team is a dismal, 0-3 both SU and ATS, allowing visitors to outscore them by 13.7 PPG. Buffalo, which is one of the healthiest teams in football, is this season's most pleasant surprise (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS). Second year quarterback, Josh Allen has found his rhythm. But it will be never-aging running back, Frank Gore who will take this game on his shoulders (or should I say his legs) and steamroll the NFL's 30th ranked run defense. By the way, I bet you didn't know the Bills own the League's #3 stop-unit (16.4 PPG allowed). Buffalo is 4-0 ATS the last four on the road, 5-2 ATS the last seven vs. the AFC, and 7-3 ATS then last 10 overall. Cleveland is 9-23 ATS the last 32 at home, 7-19-1 ATS the last 26 in November, and 5-21-1 ATS then last 27 vs. winners. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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11-10-19 | Chiefs -6 v. Titans | Top | 32-35 | Loss | -100 | 43 h 43 m | Show |
Take Kansas City, This is my AFC GOM. Game 251. 10:00 am pst. As of deadline, it's looking like Patrick Mahomes will play. But, even if the standout quarterback does not, there is no need for concern. Backup, Matt Moore (21-11 ATS record as a starter) showed just how capable he can be in last week's, 25-of-35, 275 yards passing, 1 TD/0 INT performance to earn the win and cover against a very tough Minnesota defense. Tennessee enters this contest covering only once since September (1-3-1 ATS run) and offensively, to put it very simply, lacks the personnel to compete here (26th in scoring, 18.7 PPG). Look for revenge to motivate Chiefs head coach, Andy Reid after losing a 2017/2018 wild card game to the Titans. Kansas City is 18-7-1 ATS the last 26 on the road and 17-8 ATS the last 25 vs. the AFC. Tennessee is 1-4-1 ATS the last six at home and 0-4 ATS the last four vs. winners. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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11-07-19 | Chargers v. Raiders | 24-26 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Take LA. This is my TNF Winner. Game 107. 5:20 pm pst. LA once again has established a running game which will further allow Philip Rivers and the NFL's 6th ranked passing attack to exploit the worst pass defense in the League (32nd). Meanwhile, Derek Carr is in for another long day (sacked 7 times in 2 losses last season vs. LA) as he faces the swarming, 5th ranked pass "D" of the Chargers. LA is 4-0 ATS the L4 vs. Oakland, 9-2-1 ATS the L12 on the road, and 8-1 ATS the L9 in November. Take the Chargers. Thank you. |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys -6.5 v. Giants | 37-18 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Take Dallas. This is my MNF MONEYMAKER. Game 475. 5:15 pm pst. Dallas did away with New York in the season opener, 35-17. The Cowboys began the campaign at 3-0, only to drop the next three contests, However, the 1st place Dallas team got back on track a few weeks ago, dominating Philly two weeks ago. They are off a bye week and come in here rested and ready to make a run in the NFC. New York has dropped four in a row and got their first cover in a month in last week's, 31-26 loss at Detroit. The Giants don't pose too much of a threat on either side of the ball here (23rd offensively, 28th defensively).Look for Prescott and Elliott to exploit the Blue defense while the cowboys "D" gets to first year QB, Daniel Jones. Dallas is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 13-3 ATS the last 16 vs. the NFC East, and 4-0 ATS the last four in November. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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11-03-19 | Patriots -3 v. Ravens | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 15 m | Show |
Take New England. This is my LB play. Game 473. 5:20 pm pst. Baltimore is a good team. However, they do not get the bettors paid, going 1-5 ATS the L6, while the best team in football, New England is on a 4-game ATS win streak, en route to a 6-2 ATS mark on the season. The Patriots not only own the NFL's #1 scoring offense (31.2 PPG), they also possess the League's #1 scoring defense (7.6 PPG). Lamar Jackson is playing well, but Baltimore's passing unit still ranks 18th while their pass defense ranks 26th. New England is 5-1 ATS the L6 on the road, 7-2 ATS the L9 vs. the AFC, and 46-19 ATS the L65 overall. Baltimore is 0-6 ATS the L6 at home, 0-4 ATS the L4 vs. the AFC, and 1-5 ATS the L6 overall. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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11-03-19 | Browns v. Broncos +4.5 | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 30 h 36 m | Show | |
Take Denver. This is my 'DOW. Game 470. 1:25 pm pst. With three consecutive losses and no covers, and sitting at 2-5, Cleveland is one of this season's biggest disappointments. With all the big names they have on offense, they average a mere, 19.0 PPG. They now must travel to Mile High and face a Denver "D" that yields just 15.0 PPG at home. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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