For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL | CFB | MLB | NBA | CBB | NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-30-16 | Northeastern -2 v. Cornell | Top | 77-80 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northeastern as they take on Cornell in CBB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Northeastern will win this game by more than 3 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 80-43 since 1997 good for 65% winners and made a nice 32.7 units/unit wagered. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NORTHEASTERN) - attempting 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season, in November games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Northeastern is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Cornell is a poor 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Fundamental Discussion Points Through 6 games for both teams they are scoring 73.5 PPG (NE) and 66.5 PPG (Cornell) and defensively allowing 70.5 PPG (NE) and 76.3 PPG (Cornell). They have the edge so take the Northeastern Huskies. |
|||||||
11-30-16 | James Madison +5 v. Charlotte | Top | 56-65 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on James Madison as they take on Charlotte in CBB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that JMU will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a good chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 70-36 over the last 5 seasons good for 66% winners and made a nice 30.4 units/unit wagered. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 45% or more on the season, poor rebounding team - outrebounded by opponents by 4+ per game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. JMU is a solid 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts since 1997; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons; 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons; 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win; 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games as a road underdog. Fundamental Discussion Points Charlotte is very poor defensively giving up 83.6 PPG so JMU will certainly have chances, especially considering they rebound better. JMU also has the advantage in off the bench scoring and contributions. Take James Madison Dukes. |
|||||||
11-29-16 | Cavs -7 v. Bucks | Top | 101-118 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
50* graded play on Cleveland as they take on Milwaukee in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game by more than 9 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-16 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.9% winners and made 29.4 units/unit wagered. Play on any team (CLEVELAND) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a top-level team (>75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Milwaukee is a poor 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons; 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons; 7-19 ATS in their last 26 vs. Eastern Conference; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central. The Cavs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Cleveland is the better team in all the categories. In their last game multiple teammates were in a slump shooting while James stepped it up to dominate the game. Those teammates are due to go off in this game. Take Cleveland Cavaliers. |
|||||||
11-29-16 | Princeton v. VCU -5.5 | Top | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
25* graded play on VCU as they take on Princeton in CBB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that VCU will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-3 over the last 5 seasons good for 88.5% winners. Play against a road team (PRINCETON) - after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. VCU is a solid 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons; 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games; 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Princeton is a poor 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games; 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog; 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall; 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Fundamental Discussion Points The VCU Rams are ranked 25 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 49.4% while Princeton is ranked 211 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 42.4% from the field. VCU only allows 63.3 PPG against. VCU is the better team and will show that in the final score. Take VCU Rams. |
|||||||
11-28-16 | 76ers v. Raptors -14.5 | Top | 95-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Philadelphia in NBA Atlantic action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game by more than 16 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philly is a poor 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win; 8-21 ATS in their last 29 vs. NBA Atlantic; 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Raptors are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win; 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win; 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall; 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. NBA Atlantic.Favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Joel Embiid won't be playing in this game for the Sixers and with his presence on offense and defense missing in this game, Toronto will rack up on points. Toronto has captured seven in a row at home against Philadelphia. Philly is 0-5 (1-4 ATS) on the road and have a -20 point differential on the road. Take Toronto Raptors. |
|||||||
11-28-16 | Appalachian State v. Charlotte -9 | Top | 72-80 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
25* graded play on Charlotte as they take on Appalachian State in CBB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Charlotte will win this game by more than 10 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Charlotte is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons; 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Fundamental Discussion Points Charlotte is posting an 89.5 PPG at home while App State is only posting 74 PPG on the road. That'll be close to the score to expect since both team's defenses allow around 86 PPG to opponents. Take Charlotte 49ers and lay the points. |
|||||||
11-25-16 | Warriors v. Lakers +13 | Top | 109-85 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Lakers as they take on Golden State in Western NBA action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Lakers will lose this game by less than 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-17 since 1996 (6-4 L10 seasons) good for 73.8% winners and made 29.3 units/unit wagered. Play on underdogs of 10 or more points (LA LAKERS) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 or less free throws/game, terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or less on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Lakers are 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons; 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. GS is a poor 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and they are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific. Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The last time the Golden State Warriors lost a game was at the Los Angeles Lakers on Nov. 4. The Lakers are 5-3 overall and ATS at home. This spread is far too wide. Take the Los Angeles Lakers. |
|||||||
11-25-16 | North Dakota v. North Florida +2 | Top | 75-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
25* graded play on North Florida as they take on North Dakota in CBB action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that N Florida will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 102-56 over the last 5 seasons good for 64.6% winners and made a HUGE 58.2 units/unit wagered. Play on neutral court teams (N FLORIDA) - after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. North Florida 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. North Dakota is a poor 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Jones is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season as the coach of N Dakota. Fundamental Discussion Points Stats show UNF has advantages in PPG, FG %, FT %, rebounding, and bench scoring. Take North Florida. |
|||||||
11-24-16 | Temple +10 v. Florida State | Top | 89-86 | Win | 100 | 2 h 60 m | Show |
25* graded play on Temple as they take on Florida State in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Temple will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a reasonable chance to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Temple is a solid 76-51 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game; 90-51 ATS (+33.9 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. |
|||||||
11-23-16 | Thunder +2.5 v. Kings | Top | 101-116 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oklahoma City Thunder as they take on the Sacramento Kings in NBA action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OKC will win this game by more than 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-3 ATS mark good for 90% Winners since 2010. Play on road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kings are just 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when they allow 105 to 109 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. OKC is a solid 74-40 ATS (+30.0 Units) when they score 105 to 109 points in a game. Further, we extract from our vast 30-year DB that the Kings are just 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points OKC dominates the stat boards against Sacramento in basically every single category. They want to turn things around and want to rack up points against the Kings here. Take Oklahoma City Thunder. |
|||||||
11-23-16 | Raptors +4 v. Rockets | Top | 115-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Houston tin NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game. Toronto is installed as a 3.5 dog. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 61-27 since 1996 good for 69.3% winners and made a nice 31.3 units/unit wagered. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - off a road win by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. Another proven system supports this play posting a 44-20 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.8% winners and made 22 units/unit wagered. Play on road teams (TORONTO) - after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record; 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game; 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 Wednesday games. Rockets are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 Wednesday games. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Raptors. Harden, like DeRozan, is one of the best in the league at getting to the free-throw line and converting his chances into points, but he missed five free throws down the stretch on Monday and finished 14-of-19 from the line. The key here will be turnovers where Toronto has the huge edge outranking Houston by 24 teams (2nd and 26th respectively in turnovers/play). Take Toronto Raptors. |
|||||||
11-23-16 | St. John's +7.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 62-73 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on St. Johns as they take on Michigan State in Round 1 of the Battle for Atlantis Tournament taking place at the Imperial Arena at Atlantis Resort, Nassau and set to start at 7:00 PM ET SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given the current line of ST. Johns installed at + 7, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 177-107 over the last 5 seasons good for 62.3% winners and made a HUGE 59.3 units/unit wagered. Play against neutral court teams (MICHIGAN ST) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 85 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. St. John's is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997. MSU is a poor 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Fundamental Discussion Points St. John's ranks among the nation's leaders with seven blocks per game, getting most of that production from a pair of sophomores in Tariq Owens and Kassoum Yakwe, each of whom is averaging 2.7 rejections. They block and steal more than double per game than the Spartans. St. John's play very clean ranking 66th in turnovers/play while MSU ranks 294th. Also as evidenced above MSU doesn't win against the spread very often. Take St. John's. |
|||||||
11-23-16 | Colgate v. Penn State -10 | Top | 59-72 | Win | 101 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Colgate in NCAAM action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game by more than 14 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a solid 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus pathetic teams - shooting 42% or less with a defense of 45% or more since 1997; 45-23 ATS (+19.7 Units) after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds since 1997; 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Wednesday games; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more with Chambers as their coach. Colgate is a poor 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Nittany Lions. |
|||||||
11-23-16 | Michigan v. South Carolina +4.5 | Top | 46-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
25* graded play on South Carolina as they take on Michigan in NCAAM action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SC will win this game. Given the current line of SC + 3, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-3 over the last 5 seasons good for 88% winners. Play against a road team (MICHIGAN) - after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Gamecocks are a strong 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Ten. Wolverines are a poor 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win and 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. SEC. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Gamecocks. South Carolina can overcome the Michigan defense and get enough second chances with their superior rebounding. Take South Carolina Gamecocks. |
|||||||
11-22-16 | Wyoming v. Pacific -2.5 | Top | 65-73 | Win | 101 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on Pacific a as they take on Wyoming in NCAAM action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pacific will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wyoming is a poor 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons; 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1997; 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Pacific is a solid 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997; 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Tigers. Their lone win was also at home when they scored 76 points and held their opponent to 58 points. Take Pacific Tigers. |
|||||||
11-22-16 | Indiana -14 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | Top | 68-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on Indiana as they take on Indiana-Ft. Wayne in NCAAM action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Indiana will win this game by 15 or more points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-6 ATS for 84.2% winners since 1997. Play on road teams as an favorite or pick (INDIANA) in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams attempting more than 20/game, after a game shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower to that opponent. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Indiana is a solid 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games; 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games; Coach Crean is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) in November games in all games he has coached since 1997. Fort Wayne is a poor 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten. Fundamental Discussion Points Fort Wayne lost 90-65 at Indiana last season in the first meeting between the programs. Fort Wayne is 0-9 all-time against ranked opponents, with each loss coming by double digits. The Hoosiers average 11.7 3-pointers per game – second-most in the nation – with Blackmon leading the way with 4.7 per contest. Take Indiana Hoosiers. |
|||||||
11-22-16 | Yale +10.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
25* graded play on Yale as they take on Pittsburgh in NCAAM action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Yale will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Yale is a solid 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game since 1997; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers with Jones as their coach; 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Pitt is a poor 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons; 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Fundamental Discussion Points Yale had just 17 turnovers total in their two wins. They slow the game down and can use their defense to do that against Pitt. Combining their defense and limiting turnovers they can easily stay within the spread. Take Yale. |
|||||||
11-21-16 | South Dakota State v. Idaho -5.5 | Top | 89-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
25* graded play on Idaho as they take on South Dakota State in NCAAM action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Idaho will win this game by at least 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 159-102 over the last 5 seasons good for 60.9% winners and made a nice 46.8 units/unit wagered. Play on a favorite (IDAHO) - with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Idaho is a strong 22-3 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games when playing only their 3rd game in a week since 1997; 65-32 ATS (+29.8 Units) after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less since 1997; 2-0 against the spread versus S Dakota ST since 1997; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Jackrabbits are a poor 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall; 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Sky conference teams; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Take Idaho Vandals. |
|||||||
11-21-16 | Northwestern +2 v. Texas | Top | 77-58 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northwestern as they take on Texas in the Semifinals of the Legends Classic being held at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn and action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NWU will win this game. They are installed as 2.5 point dogs and we expect this line to rise to possibly 3.5 by game time. We also would not be surprised if this becomes a public ‘steam’ move and the line does have the potential to shoot up to 5. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Northwestern is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall; 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Texas is a poor 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Wildcats. |
|||||||
11-21-16 | Celtics -2 v. Wolves | Top | 99-93 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
25* graded play on Boston as they take on Minnesota in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game by at least 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-20 mark good for 71% winners since 1996. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) terrible defensive team allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 85 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is a solid 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Minnesota has been a money burning 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games in games where they commit 13 to 17 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Boston. |
|||||||
11-21-16 | George Washington v. Georgia -6 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play on Georgia as they take on George Washington in the Semifinals of the CBE Hall of Fame Classic, in Kansas City, MO, and set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Georgia will win this game by 10 points or more. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-14 over the last 5 seasons good for 73.1% winners and made 22.6 units/unit wagered. Play against any team (GEORGE WASHINGTON) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 5 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Georgia is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 3 seasons; 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game since 1997; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. George Washington is a poor 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games against SEC opponents since 1997; 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bulldogs. |
|||||||
11-21-16 | Columbia v. Quinnipiac +3.5 | Top | 86-78 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
25* graded play on Quinnipiac as they take on Columbia in NCAA action action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Quinnipiac will win this game. They are installed as 4.5 point dogs. So, given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-16 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.4% winners and made 24.4 units/unit wagered. Play against any team (COLUMBIA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Quinnipiac is 3-0 straight up against Columbia since 1997 and the Bobcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Columbia is a poor 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400; 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bobcats. |
|||||||
11-21-16 | Kent State v. South Dakota +2.5 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on South Dakota as they take on Kent State In the First Round of the Florida Gulf Coast Tournament and set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that South Dakota will win this game. They are installed as 2.5 point dogs. So, given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kent ST is a poor 12-48 ATS (-40.8 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997; 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half since 1997; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. South Dakota is a solid 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite since 1997; 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Take South Dakota. |
|||||||
11-20-16 | Raptors v. Kings +3.5 | Top | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Sacramento as they take on Toronto in NBA action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Sacramento will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 37-11 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 2010. Play on underdogs (SACRAMENTO) after allowing 105 points or more three straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Raptors are a money burning 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs. opponent as a favorite over the last three seasons; 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs. opponent as a home favorite over the last three seasons. |
|||||||
11-20-16 | Wake Forest v. College of Charleston +3 | Top | 78-61 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on Charleston as they take on Wake Forest in Final Round action of the Charleston Classic set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Charleston will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. COC is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making >=41% of their attempts. Wake Forest is just 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Charleston and expect them to win this Final Round game in the Charleston Classic. |
|||||||
11-19-16 | South Dakota State v. Wyoming -3 | Top | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Wyoming as they take on S Dakota ST in CBB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Wyoming will win this game by more than 4 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 157-102 over the last 5 seasons good for 60.6% winners and made a HUGE 44.8 units/unit wagered. Play on a favorite (WYOMING) - with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wyoming is 81-36 ATS (+41.4 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Jackrabbits are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record; 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall; 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Fundamental Discussion Points S Dakota ST rank 100 spots below Wyoming in shooting percentage (250-349) with an awful 28.7%. S Dakota ST is 0-2 on the road while Wyoming is 1-0 at home. Everything stats wise is in favor of Wyoming, so take the Cowboys and lay the points. |
|||||||
11-19-16 | Idaho State +11.5 v. Utah State | Top | 51-85 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Idaho State as they take on Utah State in CBB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Idaho ST will lose this game by less than 9 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Idaho ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons; 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons; 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games; 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up loss. Utah ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons; 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. Fundamental Discussion Points Idaho State has the advantage of an inflated spread and that they outrebound Utah State. The Bengals are solid in Saturday games as the Aggies are horrible in Saturday games (as evidenced above). Take Idaho State Bengals. |
|||||||
11-19-16 | Western Kentucky v. Belmont -7 | Top | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
25* graded play on Belmont as they take on Western Kentucky in College Basketball action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Belmont will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 157-102 over the last 5 seasons good for 60.6% winners and made a HUGE 44.8 units/unit wagered. Play on a favorite (BELMONT) - with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. W Kentucky is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Ohio Valley conference. Fundamental Discussion Points The last 2 years in November Belmont has won this matchup. Although the season is young, we can use stats to see an obvious deficiency in W Kentucky's turnovers giving up 15 per game. Belmont will be playing with more fire after opening their season with a loss. Take Belmont Bruins. |
|||||||
11-19-16 | Heat +4.5 v. Wizards | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Miami as they take on Washington in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-14 over the last 5 seasons good for 75.4% winners and made 27.6 unit/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - good defensive team (41.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%). Another proven system supports this play posting a 61-23 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.6% winners and made a nice 35.7 units/unit wagered. Play against home teams (WASHINGTON) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, on Saturday games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast; 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400; 20-8-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings in Washington. Spoelstra is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the coach of Miami. Washington is 103-145 ATS (-56.5 Units) in November games since 1996. Fundamental Discussion Points Miami will use their defense to win this game with Hasaan Whiteside leading the NBA in rebounding (16 per game) and ranking second in blocks (2.73). He'll make it very difficult for John Wall or any Wizard to score in the paint or get offensive rebounds. The Heat outrebound, turnover less, and have the better bench. Take Miami Heat. |
|||||||
11-18-16 | Clippers v. Kings +7.5 | Top | 121-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Sacramento Kings as they take on the Los Angeles Clippers in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Kings will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and have a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-15 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.7% winners and made 23.5 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Clippers are 73-109 ATS (-46.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game since 1996; 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Rivers is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers as the coach of the Clippers. The Kings are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Kings. Cousins scored 26 points and posted season bests of 17 rebounds and six assists in the loss against the Spurs but it wasn't enough to deliver a victory. The big man has 10 20-point outings - including five in a row. Take the Sacramento Kings. |
|||||||
11-18-16 | Ball State +8 v. Alabama | Top | 59-77 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ball State as they take on Alabama in NCAAB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Ball State will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win SU. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Ball ST is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997 and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Alabama is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite since 1997; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games; 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Fundamental Discussion Points Tayler Persons is off to a sizzling start for the Cardinals, scoring more than 20 points in each of the first two games - 26 on 9-of-16 shooting last time out. Franko House was the other star of the game for the Cardinals, scoring 21 to go along with 14 rebounds, and he has drained 5-of-7 attempts from long range overall. Cardinals F Tahjai Teague has had two steals and two blocks in both games this season, adding averages of 7.0 points and 7.5 rebounds. I think bettors are too high on Alabama coming off a close loss to Dayton. Take Ball State Cardinals. |
|||||||
11-16-16 | Grizzlies +12 v. Clippers | Top | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
25* graded play on Memphis as they take on the LA Clippers in Western NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Memphis will lose this game by less than 8 points and have an outside shot to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 73-34 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.2% winners and made a nice 35.6 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rivers is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a game committing 10+ less turnovers than opponents as the coach of Los Angeles. Clippers are 32-56 ATS (-29.6 Units) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1996. Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. Grizzlies are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The one weakness that can hinder the Clippers so far this season is their 25th ranked free throws of 73.5%. For some reason they seem to always play down to Memphis and let them beat the spread a ton in this match-up. Take Memphis Grizzlies. |
|||||||
11-16-16 | San Francisco v. UC-Santa Barbara -8.5 | Top | 75-63 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on UC-Santa Barbara as they take on San Francisco in NCAAB action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCSB will win this game by at least 12 poits. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 153-95 ATS mark good for 62% winners since 2010. Play on a favorite (UC-SANTA BARBARA) with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SF is a money burning 19-45 ATS (-30.5 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game; 31-84 ATS (-61.4 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game; UCSB is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 29-9 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game; 45-14 ATS (+29.6 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game. |
|||||||
11-16-16 | Warriors v. Raptors +6 | Top | 127-121 | Push | 0 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Golden State in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a good chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall; 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest; 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. GS is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons; 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in road games after 2 straight games making 85% of their free throws or better since 1996; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 2-8 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game; 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game; 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Raptor's shooting guard DeMar DeRozan leads the NBA in scoring (33.2) and has recorded 30 or more points in eight of Toronto's 10 games. GS can score but also give up over 108 PPG to opponents. Toronto at home is a very solid defensive team only allowing 96.2 PPG to opponents. Take Toronto Raptors. |
|||||||
11-16-16 | Wizards -4 v. 76ers | Top | 102-109 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on Washington as they take on Philadelphia in Eastern NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by more than 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-13 over the last 5 seasons good for 76.4% winners and made a nice 27.7 units/unit wagered. Play against home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, in November games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic; 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Philly is 7-17 ATS in their last 24 vs. NBA Southeast. Fundamental Discussion Points Starting point guard Sergio Rodriguez and backup T.J. McConnell combined for six points in Monday's loss and neither did much on the defensive end while going up against Harden. Rodriguez scored in double figures in each of the first four games but went for 10 or more one in the last six contests. Washington took the last six in the series, including three in Philadelphia. Take Washington Wizards. |
|||||||
11-15-16 | Bulls +3.5 v. Blazers | Top | 113-88 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Chicago as they take on Portland in NBA action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Chicago will win this game outright. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 73-34 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.2% winners and made a nice 35.6 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (PORTLAND) - an excellent offensive team (over 102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Portland is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons; 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games with Stotts as the coach; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game; 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest; 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win; 10-4 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points The visiting team took both meetings last season, with Chicago earning a 93-88 victory in Portland on Nov. 24. Chicago can win this game with their defense. They are ranked 9th only allowing opponents just over 100 PPG, while the Blazers are 28th letting 111 PPG. The Bulls are best in the NBA in two interesting categories that can play a factor: opponents FTM/game (12) and FTA/game (17). There will not be many free points for Portland. Take the Chicago Bulls. |
|||||||
11-15-16 | Hawks -6 v. Heat | Top | 93-90 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Miami in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-12 over the last 5 seasons good for 77.8% winners. Play against home underdogs (MIAMI) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, in November games. another proven system supports this play posting a 24-5 over the last 5 seasons good for 82.8% winners. Play on road teams (ATLANTA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a bad team (25% to 40%). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is a poor 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons; 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Fundamental Discussion Points The Hawks are outscoring foes by 11.2 pts per 100 possessions and are giving up only .958 points per possession. The Heat really figure to struggle to score against Atlanta, not only because of the Hawks' defensive prowess, but also due to their own offensive ineptitude as they are 29th in offensive efficiency. All signs and research point to an easy ATS win for the Atlanta Hawks. |
|||||||
11-15-16 | Raptors +5.5 v. Cavs | Top | 117-121 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Cleveland in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a solid chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-19 over the last 5 seasons good for 69.8% winners. Play on any team vs the money line (TORONTO) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, playing with 2 days rest. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons; 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games with Casey as the coach; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall; 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Cavaliers are a poor 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall; 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games; 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win; 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points The Raptors were within 3 points in their last meeting on October 28th. These two teams rank next to each other in many categories, but Toronto stands out only allowing opponents 99.2 PPG. Toronto C Lucas Nogueira is 15-of-17 from the floor in the last four games. J.R. Smith may not play or if he does will be hindered by his injury. Take Toronto Raptors. |
|||||||
11-14-16 | Thunder v. Pistons -3 | Top | 88-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
25* graded play on Detroit as they take on OKC in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Detroit will win this game by more than 4 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons; 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Northwest. OKC is a poor 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games; 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Detroit. Fundamental Discussion Points Detroit has been balanced in the scoring department all season with point guard Reggie Jackson still recovering from a knee injury. Tobias Harris led the way with 19 points on Saturday and tops the Pistons at 16.5 overall while Morris is next at 15.2 and inside force Andre Drummond averages 14.9 points to go along with 14.3 rebounds, which rank him second in the league. The Pistons rank fourth in points allowed (97) while OKC allowed an average of 113.7 points in their last 3 games. Take Detroit Pistons. |
|||||||
11-11-16 | Indiana +6.5 v. Kansas | Top | 103-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
25* graded play on Indiana as they take on Kansas in Armed Forces Classic action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Indiana will lose this game by less than 4 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Crean is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in November games as the coach of Indiana. Indiana is 9-1 (+8.1 Units) when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponent over the last 2 seasons. Hoosiers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Jayhawks are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 vs. Big Ten. Fundamental Discussion Points Indiana has a pretty darn good team coming back from an excellent 2015 campaign led by center Thomas Bryant and guard James Blackmon Jr. Sophomore forward OG Anunoby had 25 points in an exhibition and could be a breakout player for the Hoosiers. Take the Indiana Hoosiers. |
|||||||
11-11-16 | Pacers v. 76ers +5 | Top | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on Philadelphia as they take on Indiana in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Philly will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philly is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a game where they made 50% of their free throws or worse since 1996. Brown is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after a game where they made 50% of their free throws or worse as the coach of the Sixers. 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Indiana is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games after scoring 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Fundamental Discussion Points The 76ers left Joel Embiid at home to rest and instead got a standout performance from another belated rookie in Dario Saric, who was drafted along with Embiid in 2014, made his NBA debut this season and recorded his first double-double with 14 points and 12 rebounds on Wednesday against Indiana. Philadelphia SF Robert Covington is 8-of-13 from beyond the arc in his last two games. We are looking for improvement from the last game on the side of the Sixers which they beat the spread and will now have Embiid. Take Philadelphia 76ers. |
|||||||
11-08-16 | Hawks v. Cavs -8.5 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cleveland as they take on Atlanta in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-4 ATS mark good for 85% winners since 1996. Play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) good shooting team making between 45.5 to 47.5% against an average defensive team allowing between 43.5-45.5% shooting, and is a dominant rebounding team posting a +5.5 or more reb/game differential and is now facing an average rebounding team posting a differential of +/-3 reb/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is a solid 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games. Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central. Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Howard hasn't exactly given James or his teams in the past problems before. Cleveland is scoring 3.4 more fastbreak points a game than Atlanta. They can also take advantage of turnovers as Atlanta has 14.6% (23rd) turnovers/play and the Cavs boast an 11.4% (4th) turnovers/play. Take King James and the Cleveland Cavaliers. |
|||||||
11-07-16 | Rockets v. Wizards -1.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
25* graded play on Washington as they take on Houston in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by more than 3 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-11 over the last 5 seasons good for 80% winners and made 31.9 units/unit wagered. Play against road underdogs (HOUSTON) - good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Brooks is 100-67 ATS (+26.3 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days in all games he has coached since 1996 and he is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) after a close loss by 3 points or less in all games he has coached since 1996. Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast. Wizards are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points A rejuvenated John Wall will be back in the lineup for the Wizards. The Rockets rank in the mid 20s in both forcing opponents fouls and fouls per game, while the Wizards rank in the high teens in both those categories. Early season NBA games can be a toss up, but this is a contrarian pick with the SIM Algo matching this win perfectly. Take Washington Wizards. |
|||||||
11-06-16 | Suns +2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 108-119 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Phoenix Suns as they take on the Los Angeles Lakers in NBA action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Phoenix, currently lined at +2 ½) will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-6 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2010. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Lakers are a miserable 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) when they make 25% to 31% of their three-point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. |
|||||||
11-05-16 | Clippers +4.5 v. Spurs | Top | 116-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Clippers as they take on the Spurs in NBA action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Clippers will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-15 since 1996 good for 72.7% winners. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days. Another proven system supports this play posting a 101-56 over the last 5 seasons good for 64.3% winners and made a nice 39.4 units/unit wagered. Play against home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, on Saturday games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rivers is 29-10 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or more of their shots in all games he has coached since 1996. Rivers is 160-108 ATS (+41.2 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game in all games he has coached since 1996. Popovich is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game as the coach of San Antonio. Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Clippers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Clippers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Southwest. Spurs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Clippers. Los Angeles has held three of its last four opponents to 88 or fewer points and leads the NBA by allowing just 90.4 per outing.Los Angeles C DeAndre Jordan collected a season-best 21 rebounds against Memphis and is averaging 13.2 per game. San Antonio PG Tony Parker (knee) missed Friday’s game and coach Gregg Popovich said he will be “out for a week or so.” Take Los Angeles Clippers. |
|||||||
11-04-16 | Heat +7.5 v. Raptors | Top | 87-96 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on Miami as they take on Toronto in NBA action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons; 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Toronto is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. Spoelstra is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of Miami. Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Heat are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 Friday games. Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Raptors are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Friday games. Fundamental Discussion Points Tyler Johnson was injured and then buried behind Joe Johnson and Wade in the playoffs last season but is getting a chance as the sixth man this season and scored in double figures in each of the first four games, including 22 points on 7-of-11 shooting in 32 minutes on Tuesday. Heat G Dion Waiters had his first 20-point outing since joining the team with 20 against the Kings. Take the Miami Heat. |
|||||||
11-04-16 | Hawks +2 v. Wizards | Top | 92-95 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Washington in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 62-29 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.1% winners and made 30.1 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs (ATLANTA) - horrible foul drawing team from last season - attempted under 21 free throws/game. Another proven system supports this play posting a 309-213 since 1996 good for 59.2% winners and made a huge 74.7 units/unit wagered. Play against home favorites (WASHINGTON) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, first half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Atlanta is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 3 seasons. Budenholzer is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) on Friday nights as the coach of Atlanta. Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Wizards are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss. Wizards are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Wizards are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. Hawks are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Washington. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Dwight Howard played his best game of the early season against LA while posting a team-high 31 points to go along with 11 rebounds. Howard is averaging 15.5 points per game and was tied for fifth in the NBA in rebounding (12.0) through Wednesday. Atlanta leads the league in steals per game (11.3) and ranks second in assists (28.3) entering Thursday. Washington is last in the NBA in opponents’ field-goal percentage (49.8 percent). Take Atlanta Hawks. |
|||||||
11-01-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +5.5 | Top | 127-104 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
25* graded play on Portland as they take on Golden State in Western Conference action set to start at 10:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Portland will lose this game by less than 4 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-5 over the last 5 seasons good for 82.8% winners. Play against any team (GOLDEN STATE) - off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Golden State is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Portland is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after allowing 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday games. Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Trail Blazers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 2 days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Portland will take the floor with some extra motivation after losing to the Warriors in the Western Conference semifinals last spring in five games despite Lillard averaging 31.8 points and 7.6 assists. C.J. McCollum is a strong second scoring option and the Blazers are getting more from center Mason Plumlee in the early going. Portland handed Golden State one of its nine regular-season losses last year with a 137-105 home triumph on Feb. 19 in which Lillard scored 51 points. Take Portland Trailblazers. |
|||||||
10-31-16 | Nuggets +7 v. Raptors | Top | 102-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
25* graded play on Denver as they take on Toronto in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Denver will lose this game by less than 6 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Denver is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons; 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) where both teams score 98 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Malone is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more in all games he has coached since 1996. Raptors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference. Raptors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Toronto. Nuggets are 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings. Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Kyle Lowry is having some trouble finding his form with an 8-of-29 effort in the first two games this season and only four assists and six turnovers on Friday at home against the Cleveland Cavaliers. The bright spot for the Nuggets is the young frontcourt pairing of 22-year-old Jusuf Nurkic and 21-year-old Nikola Jokic. Nurkic took the lead with 23 points and nine rebounds in the opener and Jokic stepped up to deliver 23 points and 17 boards on Saturday. Take Denver Nuggets. |
|||||||
10-27-16 | Spurs v. Kings +8.5 | Top | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on Sacramento as they take on San Antonio in Western Conference action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Sacramento will lose this game by less than 7 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Spurs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Spurs are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 Thursday games. Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Kings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. Kings are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Kings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference. Fundamental Discussion Points Sacramento built a 19-point halftime lead and was never threatened while throttling Phoenix in the opener. All-Star center DeMarcus Cousins scored 24 points and small forward Rudy Gay added 22 to provide the offense while Gay had four of the Kings' five blocked shots. I feel this line is way too inflated because of who these teams just played and that the Kings just played last night. As shown above, the Kings are better with no rest and the Spurs are worse with 1 day of rest. Also C Pau Gasol had just two points in 18 minutes against Golden State in his San Antonio debut. Take the Sacramento Kings. |
|||||||
10-26-16 | Rockets v. Lakers +6.5 | Top | 114-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Lakers as they take on Houston in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Lakers will lose this game by less than 5 and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Houston is 124-181 ATS (-75.1 Units) when they allow 99 to 104 points in a game since 1996. Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Rockets are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 Wednesday games. Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference. Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Los Angeles added veterans in center Timofey Mozgov, forward Luol Deng and point guard Jose Calderon. Second-year point guard D'Angelo Russell (13.2 points) experienced a star-crossed season as a rookie while young power forward Julius Randle (11.3 points, 10.2 rebounds) displayed that he's ready to take on a bigger role. For the Lakers it's no longer the Kobe show and they can get to play ball. Take LA Lakers with the points. |
|||||||
10-26-16 | Thunder v. 76ers +9 | Top | 103-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on Philadelphia as they take on Oklahoma City in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Philly will lose this game by less than 7 points and have a small chance to pull off the upset. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philly is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons and they are 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Thunder are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Atlantic. Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. 76ers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Northwest. 76ers are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 vs. Western Conference. Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings head-to-head. Fundamental Discussion Points The Sixers have surprised the betting public over the past few years with how close other teams let them play and by how well they play despite tanking. They always fight hard as a team. Take Philadelphia 76ers. |
|||||||
10-26-16 | Nuggets v. Pelicans -2 | Top | 107-102 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on New Orleans as they take on Denver in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that New Orleans will win this game by more than 5 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. New Orleans is 41-20 ATS (+19.0 Units) when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Pelicans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games. Pelicans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Fundamental Discussion Points The Pelicans won the last two meetings after the Nuggets won five of the previous six encounters. Even with an injured roster, the Pelicans can come out on top, as they are still favored in this matchup. Take New Orleans Pelicans. |
|||||||
10-25-16 | Spurs +9.5 v. Warriors | Top | 129-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on San Antonio as they take on the Golden State Warriors in NBA action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Spurs will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a nice shot at upsetting the Warriors on opening night. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 58-27 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.2% winners and made 28.3 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - horrible foul drawing team from last season - attempted less than 21 free throws/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. San Antonio is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Spurs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Tuesday games. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games. Fundamental Discussion Points Just a few years back a high prize free agent joined a team and they didn't mesh well until the end of the season (Cavs). I believe the same will happen with Durant joining the Warriors this season especially when it comes to against the spread. San Antonio is always a good team and likes to play close with Golden State. Take San Antonio Spurs. |
|||||||
06-19-16 | Cavs v. Warriors -4.5 | Top | 93-89 | Loss | -115 | 34 h 17 m | Show |
50* graded play on Golden State as they take on Cleveland in GAME 7 of the NBA Finals set to start Sunday, June 19, 2016 at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Golden State will win this game by 10 or more points and subsequently win the NBA Championship. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-3 mark using the money line for 91.2% winners since 1996. Play on home favorites of -165 to -500 using the money line (GOLDEN STATE) after 2 or more consecutive losses, a top-level team winning over 75% of their games and is now playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland has been a money burning 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games when they allow 105 to 109 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 19-63 ATS (-50.3 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons; GS is a solid 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when they make 39% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season; 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Cavaliers are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Golden State. We've seen in these finals what it takes for Cleveland to win a game-which is for Lebron James to go off and carry his team. That's why he doesn't have a winning record in the finals. The Warriors are the better team with a deep quality bench and the best backcourt in all of basketball. They can return to how they won last year's championship with their defensive pressure on James. There have been 18 Game 7's played in the NBA Finals with the home team going 15-3 (83%) in those contests. All 4 home teams won in game 7's since 1994. Yes, James was on the winning end of the most recent one, but he had two stars with him on that team and he was the home favorite. This game 7 James is on the road with one star on his team against the MVP of the league and the best team in the NBA with a record-breaking regular season record. The Warriors just proved against OKC that they can close out in a game 7. Take Golden State Warriors. |
|||||||
06-16-16 | Warriors +2 v. Cavs | Top | 101-115 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on Golden State as they take on the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 6 action set to start at 9:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Golden State will win this game by at least 5 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 72-35 over the last 5 seasons good for 67% winners and made 34 units/unit wagered. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GS is a solid 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when they make 39% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season; 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game this season: 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game this season. Cleveland is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) when their opponents make 39% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Only two of 32 teams down 3-1 in NBA Finals have managed to take the series to seven games, the last time in 1966. Draymond Green is back on the court for the Warriors. They still have the better team and depth on the bench. The Warriors will try to win on the road, just the way they did last year and in their only other championship season out west in 1975. Take Golden State Warriors. |
|||||||
06-13-16 | Cavs v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 112-97 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on Golden State as they take on Cleveland in the Finals set to start at 9:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Golden State will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GS is a solid 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games when they attempt 18 to 22 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game this season; 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making over 36% of their attempts this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Even with Green out, the Warriors are the better team with the deeper and more quality bench. MVP Curry and company have been way more consistent as a team this year than Cleveland. Lebron James will have to stop being a facilitator to win, but Golden State knows that and can easily defend him as they have this year and last year in the finals. James' supporting cast have only stepped up once in the finals, which was when they won. However it's unlikely they will again based on how they've looked since. Take Golden State Warriors to become back-to-back champs. |
|||||||
06-10-16 | Warriors +2 v. Cavs | Top | 108-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Golden State Warriors as they take on the Cleveland Cavaliers in NBA Game 4 action set to start at 9:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Warriors will win this game by at least 7 points. . Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 75-48 over the last 5 seasons good for 61% winners. Play on road underdogs (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a home win. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Golden State is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game this season; 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) after a non-conference game this season; 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The Golden State Warriors proved in last year's finals they are the better team and until game 3 had 7 consecutive winning performances against the Cavs. They have a very quality deep bench that produces for them and have the MVP Curry. Being injured for the final five games of last year's finals, Kyrie Irving has little finals experience. Now Kevin Love may be in a similar situation this finals, as the Cavs won't make a decision if he plays tonight until midday. Even if he plays I'd still take the best shooting back court in the NBA and the reigning MVP led 2015 champs. Pick Warriors. |
|||||||
06-05-16 | Cavs v. Warriors -6.5 | Top | 77-110 | Win | 100 | 34 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play on Golden State as they take on Cleveland in Game 2 action of the NBA Finals set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Golden State will win this game by at least 10 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 71-10 mark good for 88% winners using the money line since 2010. Play on favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, playing with 2 days rest. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. CLV is just 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) in road games when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-38 ATS (-28.8 Units) in road games when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons; GS is a solid 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when they make 39% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season; 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are a money line player, I see no reason preventing you from taking on the added risk, especially given what we witnessed in Game 1. Thompson and Curry were essentially not needed in their Game 1 domination. The GS bench is vastly superior and deeper than Cleveland’s sparse bench players and that added depth means that the ‘splash’ guys will be fully rested during the second half action. So, even though Cleveland is the larger and more physical team, GS, with their depth, will wear them down with a very fast pace of play. If it ain’t broke don’t fix it. |
|||||||
06-02-16 | Cavs v. Warriors -6 | Top | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
25* graded play on Golden State as they take on Cleveland in Game 1 of the NBA Finals set to start at 9:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Golden State will win this game by 10 or more points. I also like Golden State in the series to win their second straight World Championship. I also like Thompson to be the MVP. He certainly was the MVP in Game 6 when he and only he was pouring in shots from beyond the galaxy limits. He plays quietly and unassuming and rarely, if ever, displays large amounts of emotional self-praise during games. His focus was immense in the last three games against the Thunder and that character trait will be a dominant cause to GS winning again. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is just 13-38 ATS (-28.8 Units) in road games when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. GS is a solid 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when they make 39% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season; 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games when they attempt 18 to 22 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game this season; 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Fundamental Discussion Points The Warriors have the best back court shooting in the league that even Lebron and company cannot match. Overall the Warriors have improved defensively. GS also won last year's finals in part due to their ability to defend James with Iguodala. Golden State has the better bench by far in this matchup. Don't out-think yourself with this pick. Take Golden State Warriors. |
|||||||
05-30-16 | Thunder +7 v. Warriors | Top | 88-96 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oklahoma City as they take on Golden State in Game 7 of the Western Conference Finals set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OKC will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at winning the game. So, consider making a combination wager comprised of a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OKC is a solid 104-67 ATS (+30.3 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game; 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams making >=36% of their attempts during the 2nd half of this season. Revenge suits OKC just fine as they are a strong 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. GS is just 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Finishing a series for teams attempting the feat for the first time can be incredibly difficult and OKC fell victim to that task in Game 6. However, if not for the ‘in the zone’ shooting of Thompson, this game would not be taking place. Further, OKC knows and has high confidence to play against the Warriors and will not be intimidated by the moment. In fact, I think the hostile environment will inspire them and they will play their best game of the series tonight. The rebounding edge has been huge for the Thunder and that will not change in Game 7. The scoring will come naturally for the Thunder and by minimizing the Warriors second chance scoring opportunities will be the dominant reasons they get to the Finals. |
|||||||
05-28-16 | Warriors v. Thunder -3 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oklahoma City Thunder as they take on Golden State in NBA Western Conference Game 6 action set to start at 9:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OKC will win this game by at least 5 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting an amazing 32-8 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 1996. Play on home teams (OKLAHOMA CITY) good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), dominant rebounding team (>=+5.5 reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OKC is a stout 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) when they grab more than 58 rebounds in a game this season; 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they grab 10+ more rebounds than their opponents in a game this season. GS is a very weak money burning 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. Fundamental Discussion Points No doubt rebounding has been the story of this series and OKC has a tremendous advantage in that category. GS two wins had them with a modest rebounding edge. However, OKC has out-rebounded GS by a total of 40 boards in their three wins and I fully expect them to have at least a 10 board advantage in this game. The greater the rebounding differential advantage for OKC, the greater the margin of victory. Take OKC. |
|||||||
05-25-16 | Raptors +10.5 v. Cavs | Top | 78-116 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
50* graded play on Toronto as they take on Cleveland in Game 5 Eastern Conference action set to start at 8:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will lose this game by fewer than 8 points and has a shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I like making this a combination wager using a 41* play on the line and a 9* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-15 mark using the money line making 23.8 units/unit wagered averaging a +130 dog play since 2010. Play against home teams using the money line (CLEVELAND) after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is a solid 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in games where they attempt 77 to 83 shots this season; 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game this season. Further, they are 30-13 against the money line (+14.3 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 10 or less offensive rebounds this season; 29-10 against the money line (+18.7 Units) after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers this season. |
|||||||
05-18-16 | Thunder +8.5 v. Warriors | Top | 91-118 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oklahoma City as they take on Golden State in Game 2 of the Western Conference Championship set to start at 9:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OKC will lose this game by fewer than 8 points and has a great shot at taking game 2 and a commanding 2-0 series lead. Given this favorable projection I like making this a combination wager just as we did in Game 1. This time we will play a 20* amount on the line and a 5* play using the money line. The current ML is a whopping +380 and may get to +400 as the public bets the money line thinking there is no way GS goes down 2-0. They may end up being right, but they are also paying a huge premium to undertake that risk. I would rather be on the book side an assume that risk from them always. OKC is an amazing 43-10 SU when scoring 105 or more points. OKC has a tremendous rebounding edge and this more than offsets the 3-point sharp shooting that GS possesses. Strong rebounding against an excellent team serves to minimize second chance scoring opportunities and also controls the pace of the game. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OKC has tremendous length and they don’t have to chase the perimeter as Toronto did last night in their poor effort against Cleveland. Further, OKC does well against all three-point shooting teams noting they are 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams making >=36% of their attempts in the 2nd half of this season. Further, Warriors have been a money burning 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Pick is OKC. |
|||||||
05-16-16 | Thunder +7.5 v. Warriors | Top | 108-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oklahoma City as they take on Golden State in Western Conference Game 1 Finals action set to start at 9:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will OKC will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great opportunity to win the game. We had OKC in their stunning win against SA in Game 5 where they were also installed as 7 ½ point dogs. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. The money line will get inflated for this game with wagers thinking that there is no way GS will lose Game 1 at home. So, look for +300 for your money line portion. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 50-18 mark good for 74% winners since 1996. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) good offensive team scoring 99+ points/game on the season and is now facing an opponent after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Needless to say GS can shoot extremely well from beyond the arc. However, OKC has the length to defend the 3 better than any other team in the Western Conference. Note too that they are 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams making >=36% of their attempts in the 2nd half of this season. Moreover, the Thunder are Thunder are a solid 90-56 ATS (+28.4 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game; 72-38 ATS (+30.2 Units) when they score 105 to 109 points in a game. Warriors are just 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. |
|||||||
05-15-16 | Heat v. Raptors -4.5 | Top | 89-116 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Miami in Game 7 Conference semifinal action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game by at least 9 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is a money losing 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. They are also 35-48 ATS (-17.8 Units) in games where they force 12 or fewer turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Toronto is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when they allow 93 to 98 points in a game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Toronto grabs more rebounds, more steals, and have a better 3 point shooting percentage than Miami. In a lot of other stats they are very close, however, Toronto doesn't turn the ball over as much as Miami. Miami may have the edge in fastbreak points, but Toronto's strongest stats are the things that prevent fast breaks (listed above). The Raptors are more fundamentally sound team and also can grab more free points because of how good they are at forcing personal fouls against them. Pick Toronto Raptors. |
|||||||
05-10-16 | Thunder +7 v. Spurs | Top | 95-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oklahoma City as they take on the San Antonio Spurs in NBA Western Conference semifinals action set to start at 9:35 PM ET SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OKC will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SA is just 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game - 2nd half of the season this season; 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Fundamental Discussion Points OKC is 13-8 against the spread versus San Antonio over the last 3 seasons. The Thunder dominate the boards in this statistical matchup which allows them to take advantage of the few weaknesses the Spurs have. OKC dominates in fastbreak points and points in the paint based on the stats. How do you beat a strong defense like the Spurs? You run on them and grab more rebounds for more possessions. Pick Oklahoma City Thunder. |
|||||||
05-08-16 | Cavs v. Hawks +5 | Top | 100-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Atlanta as they host Cleveland in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference playoff series set to start at 3:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a solid shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection involving DOGS projected to have a solid chance to win the game I like using what I have coined a ‘Combination wager’ that is validated by some traditional Wall Street measures like ROI and risk-reward profiles. In this case, make a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is just 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons; 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games when they allow 99 to 104 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when they score 99 to 104 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; Atlanta is a solid 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Have to admit, this play was a bit surprising when the Algorithm graded it as a very strong wagering opportunity. Pride certainly has to be a factor and not wondering how players will clean out their lockers. The Cavs have suddenly reinvented their offensive flow to look somewhat like a Warriors attack. Yet, the levels they are executing simply are not sustainable even for them. I like Atlanta to show up, play hard again, and this sometime find a way to win. |
|||||||
05-07-16 | Warriors -3 v. Blazers | Top | 108-120 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Golden State as they take on Portland in NBA Game Western Conference semifinal action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Golden State will win this game by at least 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-21 over the last 5 seasons good for 70% winners. Play on favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Golden State is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game this season. They are 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game this season; 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season; 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making more than 36% of their attempts this season; 36-16 ATS (+18.4 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Golden State is 10-3 against the spread versus Portland over the last 3 seasons. GS dominates the offensive statistical categories in this matchup. Shooting better causes them to have a lower rebound count, however they are less than half a rebound per game away from Portland in this matchup. They also block more, steal more, commit less personal fouls, and allow a significant less 3% less effective FG percentage. They are the better team and will win convincingly. Pick Golden State Warriors. |
|||||||
05-07-16 | Raptors +6 v. Heat | Top | 95-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
50* graded play on Toronto as they take on Miami in NBA Eastern Conference playoff action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these plays combination wagers. In this situation, consider making a 40* play using the line and a 10* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is a solid 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in games where they attempt 77 to 83 shots this season. Note that the following situations are based on the money line and underscore the SIM Algorithm grading. Toronto is a solid 30-9 against the money line (+16.4 Units) in games where they attempt 77 to 83 shots this season; 19-8 against the money line (+9.1 Units) when they attempt 23 to 28 free throws in a game this season. Miami is just 7-14 against the money line (-20.4 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Toronto grabs more rebounds, more steals, and create more free throws attempted per field goals attempted than Miami. The Raptors rank 5th in committing turnovers per game compared to the Heat who are ranked 14th. Toronto is the better team overall that fights hard which is why they've made it this far. Pick Toronto Raptors. |
|||||||
05-06-16 | Spurs v. Thunder +2.5 | Top | 100-96 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oklahoma City as they take on San Antonio in NBA action set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OKC will win this game. I like making these DOGS combination wagers with the majority of the 25* play using the line and a smaller portion using the money line. In this case, I like making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. However, to validate the ROI and risk-reward profile based on the SIM projections, you must get a minimum of +140 from the money line portion. If it is less than that level, then simply wager a 25* play using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-11 over the last 5 seasons good for 71% winners. Play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Spurs are a money losing 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over 2nd half of this season and 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over 2nd half of this season. San Antonio is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) when they grab 43 to 47 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. OKC is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games in games attempting around the same number of free throws as opponents over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points OKC at home is 6-2 against the spread versus San Antonio over the last 3 seasons. The Thunder are fourth ranked in fastbreak points per game, scoring 7 more fastbreak points than the Spurs. The Spurs weak spot is defending fastbreak points as they are ranked 11th in allowing them per game. The Thunder also have the significant advantage in outrebounding the Spurs by more than 6 per game on average this season. OKC has other advantages on the offensive side, but San Antonio matches with their advantages on the defensive side. This is the traditional offense versus defense, young versus old, but OKC can outrebound and focus on their fastbreak scoring to win. Pick Oklahoma City Thunder. |
|||||||
05-06-16 | Cavs v. Hawks +3 | Top | 121-108 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Cleveland in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game. I like making these DOGS combination wagers with the majority of the 25* play using the line and a smaller portion using the money line. In this case, I like making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. However, to validate the ROI and risk-reward profile based on the SIM projections, you must get a minimum of +140 from the money line portion. If it is less than that level, then simply wager a 25* play using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-8 over the last 5 seasons good for 80% winners. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games when they allow 99 to 104 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. They are also 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more this season and 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. Atlanta is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season and 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Atlanta has revenge on their mind while Kevin Love is only probable with a possibility his injury could effect his play. The Hawks have several advantages in statistical categories. They score 3 more points in the paint, 3 more fastbreak points, make 3 more blocks a game, steal over 2 more times a game, and commit less personal fouls per game than the Cavs. Despite what happened last game, Atlanta has a significant advantage in defense. They are 3rd best in the NBA allowing only 47.8% effective FG percentage this season. Atlanta has to come back with that proven defense this game. Pick Atlanta Hawks. |
|||||||
05-03-16 | Blazers +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 99-110 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
25* graded play on Portland as they take on Golden State in Game 2 of their Western Conference semifinal series set to start at as they take on the action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Portland will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a 28% probability of winning the game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager comprised of 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-15 ATS good for 73% winners. Play against home favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - when leading in a playoff series, a top-level team (>75%) playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Portland is a solid 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in road games where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Steph Curry will still be out for this game. Portland does have a few advantages in statistical categories. They grab more rebounds overall and have a way higher offensive rebounding percentage than GS. The Trailblazers also commit less turnovers than the Warriors do. Pick Portland Trailblazers. |
|||||||
05-02-16 | Hawks +8 v. Cavs | Top | 93-104 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Cleveland in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference semifinals set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will lose the game by fewer than 6 points and has a 42% probability of winning the game. Given this favorable projection, I like making these wagers involving DOGS into combination wagers. For this game, the ROI is maxed out placing a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 62-29 ATS since 1996 good for 68% winners. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - off a road win by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Atlanta is a solid 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game this season; 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season; Cleveland has been a money burning 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Kevin Love is only probable with his shoulder injury for this game. That will limit his ability and play in this game. Atlanta does have the statistical advantage in a few categories. They have 3 more points in the paint and fastbreak points per game. In effective FG percentage offensively Cleveland outranks Atlanta by 3 (3rd-6th), but defensively Atlanta outranks Cleveland by 10 (3rd-13th). In fact, the Hawks are the BEST at defending opponents in two point shooting. The Hawks are ranked 2nd blocking the ball over 6 times a game compared to the Cavs who are ranked 28th in the NBA. Cleveland is an eye-poppingly bad 27th rank in scoring 4th quarter points matching up against Atlanta who's ranked 6th in scoring 4th quarter points and fourth in allowing 4th quarter points. The Hawks steal the ball 9 times a game good for 2nd ranking, compared to the Cavs who rank 27th with 3 less steals a game. Atlanta is ranked 5th in creating turnovers which will add several more possessions in this game. Atlanta also outranks Cleveland by 17 positions in committing personal fouls per play. They won't give up free points easily. Pick Atlanta Hawks. |
|||||||
05-01-16 | Pacers v. Raptors -5.5 | Top | 84-89 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they host Indiana in NBA playoff action set to start at Noon Sunday, May 1, 2016. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game by at least 10 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-17 since 1996 good for 71% winners. Play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - in a game involving two good FT shooting teams (76-79%) after 42+ games, after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Raptors are a money winning 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they allow 93 to 98 points in a game this season. Indiana is a money losing 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making over 76% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in road games after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Toronto at home is 6-2 against the spread versus Indiana over the past 3 seasons. The Raptors have that history, the home crowd, and being the better team to their advantage. They have a better effective FG percentage, more points in the paint, a significant 2 more rebounds a game, and more blocks. The biggest differences are in the fundamental categories of personal fouls and turnovers. Toronto commits less in both of those categories than Indiana. Indiana is 20th ranked in committing turnovers while Toronto is 5th best. Toronto is 3rd best in the NBA and great at causing opponents personal fouls per game. They shoot better from the free throw line than Indiana does as well, so look for them to take full advantage of the free points they create. Pick Toronto Raptors. |
|||||||
04-30-16 | Thunder +6.5 v. Spurs | Top | 92-124 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
50* graded play on the Oklahoma City Thunder as they take on the San Antonio Spurs in NBA Game 1 Western Conference semifinals action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OKC will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager comprised of a 40* play using the line and a 10* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 53-26 over the last 5 seasons good for 67% winners. Play on uderdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, playing with 3 or more days rest. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OKC is a solid 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better; 89-56 ATS (+27.4 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game. The Spurs are a money losing 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Fundamental Discussion Points OKC is 11-6 against the spread versus San Antonio over the last 3 seasons. In 12 career playoff games against the Spurs Russell Westbrook averages 22.5 points, 7.3 assists and 5.8 rebounds per game. The Thunder do have an edge in several statistics. They grab a huge 6 more rebounds a game, 4 more points in the paint, 7 more fastbreak points, and get way more free throws attempted per field goals attempted than the Spurs. OKC can take these advantages and run with them to victory to start this series. Pick Oklahoma City Thunder. |
|||||||
04-29-16 | Heat v. Hornets -2 | Top | 97-90 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on Charlotte as they host Miami in Game 6 playoff action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Charlotte will win this game by at least 7 points. 82% of teams that win Game 5 in the NBA playoffs win the series. We saw Charlotte win in Miami in Game 5 by a score of 90-88 and were 5 ½ point dogs. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-8 since 1996 good for 80% winners. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Charlotte is a money winning 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) when they score 99 to 104 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Miami has lost three straight to Charlotte and their offense is struggling against Charlotte’s defense. In the first two games, Miami shot 57% and in the last 3, they shot a dismal 42% or less. This has turned into a defensive physical style of series and that certainly favors Charlotte to finish the Heat off tonight. Pick Charlotte Hornets. |
|||||||
04-26-16 | Pacers v. Raptors -7 | Top | 99-102 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Toronto Raptors as they host the Indiana Pacers in NBA action set to start at 6:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will will win this game by at least 10 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a remarkable 23-3 ATS mark good for 89% winners since 1996. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points, off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in games where they attempt 77 to 83 shots this season; 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they allow 93 to 98 points in a game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Toronto is 12-3 against the spread versus Indiana over the last 3 seasons and an even better 6-1 at home. Toronto grabs 2 more rebounds a game, scores 1 more PPG, allows opponents 2 less PPG, and have a 1% better effective FG percentage than Indiana. The Raptors also have a 1% edge in three pointers and free throw shooting. Indiana ranks a low 20th in committing turnovers when Toronto ranks 5th best in the NBA. The Raptors and Pacers are ranked 10th and 11th respectively in personal fouls per game, but the Raptors are 3rd best in forcing opponents into committing 22 personal fouls a game. They can get more free points that way with their better free throw shooting. Toronto having the edge by 1 unit is nothing to sniff at, since they have the edge in practically ever category, which will add up into a victory. Pick Toronto Raptors. |
|||||||
04-25-16 | Clippers -3 v. Blazers | Top | 84-98 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
25* graded play on LA Clippers as they take on Portland Trailblazers in NBA action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Clippers will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 63-26 over the last 5 seasons good for 71% winners. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road loss. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Clippers are a solid 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games in games where they attempt 77 to 83 shots over the last 3 seasons; 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. Portland is a poor 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when they attempt 23 to 28 free throws in a game this season; 32-61 ATS (-35.1 Units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers since 1996. Fundamental Discussion Points Chris Paul has been a bright spot for Los Angeles in this series, averaging 26.3 points, 8.3 assists and 5 rebounds. The Clippers are ranked 5th in the NBA with over 52% effective FG percentage and they're ranked 4th in defending opponents effective FG percentage. The Trailblazers are ranked a middle of the road 11th and 15th in those categories respectively. The Clippers are ranked 3rd in the NBA in limiting their turnovers, while Portland is ranked 17th in committing turnovers. Los Angeles is better than Portland in most categories, but these are the most glaring differences. Clippers are the better team and will show up this game. Pick Los Angeles Clippers. |
|||||||
04-25-16 | Heat v. Hornets -2.5 | Top | 85-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
10* graded play on Charlotte as they host Miami in NBA playoff action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Charlotte will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making these dogs combination wagers comprised of a 8* play using the line and a 2* play using the money line. However, the one caveat is that the money line portion must be a line level of at least +140. If not, then simply wager a straight 10* amount using the line available. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is just 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) when they allow 105 to 109 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game this season; Charlotte is a solid 26-8 ATS (+17.2 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Needless to say, Charlotte will look to push the pace of this game knowing it is to their advantage to stay alive in this playoff series. They are a solid 3-point shooting team ranking 4th in the NBA averaging 10.4 made 3-point shots per game and 4th attempting an average of 29 3-point shots per game. I expect these numbers as well as the percentage made to be higher than these season averages tonight. |
|||||||
04-24-16 | Cavs v. Pistons +6.5 | Top | 100-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
25* graded play on Detroit as they take on Cleveland in NBA Game 4 action set to start at 8:35 PM ET SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Detroit will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and have a great shot at winning the game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 49-17 mark good for 74% winners since 2010. Play on any team (DETROIT) off a home loss against a division rival against opponent off a win against a division rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. CLV is a money losing 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games when they allow 99 to 104 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) when they grab 48 to 52 rebounds in a game this season. Further, Cleveland is just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season. |
|||||||
04-19-16 | Grizzlies +18.5 v. Spurs | Top | 68-94 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on Memphis as they take on San Antonio in NBA playoff action set to start at 9:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Memphis will lose this game by fewer than 15 points. Minimal probability of the upset win, but if you do have a money line, then add no more than 1.5* amount using the money line above the 25* amount used on the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-14 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 1996. Play against home favorites (SAN ANTONIO) when leading in a playoff series, a top-level team (more than 75%) playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Memphis is a solid 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season. The Spurs are a poor 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season; 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making more than 76% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season; 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Fundamental Discussion Points There are some statistical categories Memphis has an edge against San Antonio. Memphis scores more points in the paint and are ranked #1 in defending opponents points in the paint to San Antonio ranking 4th in that same category. The Spurs are ranked 2nd in defending opponents FG made per game, however, Memphis is 3rd and allow only .3 more FG made per game. They both turn the ball over at the same clip-12.3%, but Memphis is BEST in the NBA at forcing opponents turnovers (Spurs are 8th). Memphis can keep it much closer than everyone expects. Pick Memphis Grizzlies. |
|||||||
04-18-16 | Mavs v. Thunder -13 | Top | 85-84 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
25* graded play on OKC as they host Dallas in Game 2 of their playoff series set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OKC will win this game by 15 or more points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 64-20 over the last 5 seasons good for 76.2% winners. Play against road underdogs (DALLAS) - good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Dallas is a money losing 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good shooting teams - making more than 46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season and a poor 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. OKC is a strong 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The Mavericks haven't had much success defending Oklahoma City all season, allowing an average of 111.6 points on 48.4 percent shooting while dropping five meetings. It is a bad matchup for the Mavs that came to fruition in the first game of the series being an easy rout. On paper OKC dominates the statistical categories in this matchup. The Thunder grab 7 more rebounds a game, 10 more points in the paint, shoot 2.4% better effective FG percentage, and defensively allow a 2.4% less effective FG percentage against. OKC is clearly the better team and will win this second game of the series. Pick Oklahoma City Thunder. |
|||||||
04-17-16 | Pistons +11 v. Cavs | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
25* graded play on Detroit Pistons as they take on Cleveland Cavaliers in NBA Game 1 playoff action set to start at 3:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Detroit will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has an outside shot at posting a shocking win. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of graded DOGS into combination wagers comprised of a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. I am seeing +500 to +530 money lines and that offers and opportunity to win more than 50*based on a 25* graded risk. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven MONEY LINE system posting a 45-28 mark good for 62% winners and has made 26 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play against any team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is a solid 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. |
|||||||
04-16-16 | Celtics +5 v. Hawks | Top | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 35 h 51 m | Show |
50* graded play on Boston as they take on Atlanta in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game. Given this favorable projection with Boston installed as a 5-point dog and a +185 money line I like making these DOG wagers into a combination wager comprised of a majority of the wager placed on the line and a smaller portion placed on the money line. For this play I like making it a 40* play using the line and a 10* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-19 mark good for 70% winners since 1996. Play on road teams (BOSTON) explosive offensive team scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. Here is a second system that has gone 57-23 for 71% winners since 1996. Play against any team (ATLANTA) off a double digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning record team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is a solid 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Stevens is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging more than 23 assists/game as the coach of the Celtics. Fundamental Discussion Points Boston has an edge in a number of statistical categories in this matchup. Boston is #2 and Atlanta is #3 in steals per game, however, Boston is ranked 14th in allowing opponents to steal from them, while Atlanta is ranked a poor 23rd in opponents steals against them. Turnovers are key in any game, but especially this one as the Celtics are 2nd best in the NBA in causing opponents turnovers, while the Hawks are 5th best. Again, Atlanta ranks a lowly 22nd in turnovers committed per play going against a strong Boston team who is ranked 4th in the same category. The Celtics also edge out the Hawks with fast break points per game and in defending opponents fast break points per game. They also outrank Atlanta by 9 positions in getting points in the paint. The most significant difference though is rebounds with Atlanta ranking 30th grabbing 49 a game and Boston ranking 6th grabbing over 53 a game. So the Celtics will easily outrebound, score more in the paint and on fast breaks, limit their turnovers and force more turnovers of their opponents, and also shoot better from the free throw line in this matchup. Pick Boston Celtics. |
|||||||
04-12-16 | Grizzlies v. Clippers -7.5 | Top | 84-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Clippers as they take on the Grizzlies in NBA action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Clippers will win this game by more than 10 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Memphis is a horrid money losing 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games when they make 39% to 42% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in road games when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. The Clippers are 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. Fundamental Discussion Points With the Clippers expected to rest players in their finale against Phoenix on Wednesday, Griffin, Redick, Paul and DeAndre Jordan are likely to play in this one. Griffin wasn't around in the first matchup with Memphis as he was in the midst of a 45-game absence due to multiple injuries and a four-game suspension. Even without Griffin for a bulk of the season, the Clippers dominate the statistical categories in this matchup. They grab more rebounds, and shoot a 5% better effective FG percentage. Clippers are more fundamentally sound committing less turnovers and less fouls per game. They're also best in the NBA in forcing opponents to foul them 22.6 times a game. Pick LA Clippers. |
|||||||
04-10-16 | Warriors v. Spurs -5.5 | Top | 92-86 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on San Antonio as they host the Golden State Warriors in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Spurs will win this game by more than 10 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Spurs are a solid 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game this season; 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games in games where they commit 12 or fewer turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Just a few days ago, GS defeated the Spurs 112-101 and covered as 6 point favorites. Revenge works well with this Spurs team noting they are 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. I also believe that the Spurs will have a ‘not in our house’ mantra playing this game tonight. |
|||||||
04-08-16 | Lakers +2 v. Pelicans | Top | 102-110 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Lakers as they take on the New Orleans Pelicans in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Lakers, installed as a + 2-point dog, will win the game. will win this game. I like making these plays combination wagers comprised of a 21* wager using the line and a 4* play using the money line. However, for the ROI to be validated, we need to see +140 on the money line. If you do not get +140, which equates to approximately a -3 or -3 ½ line, then simply wager 25* play using the line only. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this play is a proven system posting a 82-41 over the last 5 seasons good for 67% ATS. Play Against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a loss against a division rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Lakers struggle in many facets of the game, especially from the perimeter. However, Pelicans are just 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) facing poor 3 point shooting teams making less than 33% of their attempts this season. Further, the Lakers are 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a game with 15 or less assists this season. Lakers are a solid 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) where both teams score 98 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The Lakers grab over 1 rebound more than the Pelicans. New Orleans struggles and is ranked a lowly 20th in personal fouls committed per game. The Lakers can capitalize well off of the Pelicans' struggle making 77.7% of their free throws good for the 12th rank. So the Lakers can win this game with free points from the line and more second chance rebounds. Pick LA Lakers. |
|||||||
04-07-16 | Raptors v. Hawks -6.5 | Top | 87-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
50* graded play on Atlanta as they host Toronto in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game by at least 9 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Atlanta is a solid 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game this season; 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season; 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons; 73-52 ATS (+15.8 Units) after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons. Toronto is a poor 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Atlanta has a 1.5% better effective FG percentage and are 1% better opponents effective FG percentage than Toronto. Atlanta is ranked best in the NBA only allowing 43.1% shooting percentage while Toronto's offense is middle of the pack 14th in shooting percentage. The Hawks also steal the ball 2 more times a game than the Raptors. The Hawks also have the edge in the fourth quarter ranking 4th best in fourth quarter points for and 3rd best in defending opponents fourth quarter points. Atlanta will shoot better, defend shots better, and turn it up in the 4th quarter. Pick Atlanta Hawks. |
|||||||
04-06-16 | Nets +15 v. Wizards | Top | 103-121 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Brooklyn as they take on Washington in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Brooklyn will lose this game by fewer than 12 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting 37-9 mark good for 80% winners since 1996. Play against favorites (WASHINGTON) -off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Brooklyn is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) when they score 99 to 104 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Washington is a money losing 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after playing a game as a road underdog this season. Brooklyn is a solid 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points There's no incentive for the Nets to tank with their lottery pick headed to Boston, so they might as well relish the opportunity to play spoiler against some likely East playoff teams starting with Washington. Brooklyn gets 5 more points in the paint per game this season than the Wizards. These teams turn the ball over at the same rate and rebound at the same rate, however, the Nets grab more on the offensive end. The Nets are BEST in the NBA with only 16.6% fouls per play this season. When the Wizards get to the line the few times they will this game they are a poor 25th rank in sinking the free points for free throws. Brooklyn can beat this massive spread by taking more free points and limiting their own mistakes. Pick Brooklyn Nets. |
|||||||
04-05-16 | Pelicans v. 76ers -2.5 | Top | 93-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
25* graded play on Philadelphia as they host Charlotte in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the 76ers will win this game by more than 5 points. Perhaps, and not related to the grading, is the fact that Villanova’s historic and incredible NCAA Tournament win just might get the 76ers ramped up more than normal. The fans sure will be looking to propel their team to their 10th win and avoid typing the 1973 Sixers, who hold the dubious honor of worst season record at 9-73. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-8 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2010. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. New Orleans is just 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. Despite their SU record, the 76ers are a solid 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in non-conference games this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Without Davis and Anderson playing (both out for the season) the 76ers will have opportunities to pound the paint with posts and guard penetration throughout this game. Wonder why a 9 win NBA team would ever be favored as they are tonight, but there are advantages for the 76ers at both ends of the court. Take the 76ers. |
|||||||
04-04-16 | Villanova +3 v. North Carolina | Top | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
50* graded play on Villanova as they take on UNC in the NCAA Championship game set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game and are currently installed as a 2 ½ point dogs. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 41* play using the line and a 9* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 62-25 ATS mark good for 71.3% winners since 1997. Play on an underdog (VILLANOVA) after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. These are Money Line situations as well reflecting the upset. Villanova is a near-perfect 12-1 against the money line (+11.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 14-2 against the money line (+11.8 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 10-1 against the money line (+8.9 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game this season; 18-1 against the money line (+15.5 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 19-3 against the money line (+14.3 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points UNC has had an easy route to this Championship game while Villanova has played the most difficult schedule any No. 2 seed as had to faced in at least the past 10 Tournaments. UNC wins against Florida Gulf Coast, Providence, Indiana, Notre Dame, and Syracuse. Only Indiana was a test since they are the second best shooting team in the nation. Villanova has had to defeat UNC-Ashville, IOWA, Miami (Fla), KANSAS, OKLAHOMA – and I certainly meant the BOLD type. This ‘seasoning’ will more than make Villanova fully prepared for the size and length of UNC. Plus, they already defeated Kansas, the no.1 overall seed in the Tournament. Enough already. Take Villanova. |
|||||||
04-03-16 | Blazers v. Warriors -12 | Top | 111-136 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
25* graded play on Golden State as they take on the Portland Trailblazers in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Golden State will win this game by at least 15 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-9 ATS mark good for 76% winners since 2010. Play on home teams (GOLDEN STATE) off a close home loss by 3 points or less, on Sunday games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GS is a solid 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) when they make 39% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons; 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) when they score 110 or more points in a game this season. Further, we see that GS is a solid 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Portland coming off a strong 110-93 win installed as 6 ½ point home favorites against Miami last night where they shot 52% and allowed 39% shooting. Generally, teams coming off games with both offensive and defensive measure extremes have a strong tendency to perform below average metrics in the next game – especially on B2B nights. GS coming off their first home loss in 56 games and had a horrid 22 turnovers. GS will take much better care of the ball in this matchup and resume their dominant play. |
|||||||
04-02-16 | Pacers v. 76ers +11 | Top | 115-102 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Philadelphia 76ers as they host the Indiana Pacers in NBA action set to start 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability the 76ers will lose this game by fewer than 9 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. This is a great dog money line where I am seeing a range of +500 to +553. Should the 76ers pull off their 10th win of the season that 4* play will return more than 20* amount in profit. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-16 ATS mark good for 72.4% winners since 1996. Play on underdogs of 10 or more points (PHILADELPHIA) after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Vogel is just 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite as the coach of Indiana. Fundamental Discussion Points Philly is 2-2 ATS at home versus Indiana over the past 3 seasons. Philadelphia gets 3.5 more points in the paint than Indiana. They also block the ball more times a game, and are only 2 rebounds a game behind the Pacers. Philly is actually ranked 11th in threes made per game which is higher than Indiana's 20th place ranking. Also defensively Philly is ranked 6th in allowing opponents threes a game, while the Pacers are 13th. Playing Philadelphia usually merits the opponents to rest some starters in the 4th quarter as Philly continues to play hard making their ATS numbers much better than you'd expect. Philly will use these things to their advantage and surprise most people. Pick Philadelphia. |
|||||||
04-02-16 | Villanova -2 v. Oklahoma | Top | 95-51 | Win | 100 | 57 h 21 m | Show |
50* graded play on Villanova as they take on Oklahoma in FINAL 4 action set to start at 6:05 PM ET, Saturday April 2, 2016. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Villanova is a solid 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game this season; Oklahoma is just 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season; 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. ‘Nova is an excellent ball handling team and the Sooners have struggled against these fundamentally sound teams. Sooners are 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) facing excellent ball handling teams committing less than 12 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Villanova is historically 2-1 SU and ATS versus Oklahoma since 1997. Villanova is a good matchup for Oklahoma. Nova allows 7 less PPG than Oklahoma. The Sooners may be 11th in 1st half PPG and 44th in 2nd half PPG, but Nova is 8th in preventing opponents 1st half PPG and 39th in opponents 2nd half PPG. Villanova does have the better effective FG percentage this season. Everytime Nova has shot under 49% this year, the next game they shoot over 52% which is what will be expected this game as they beat Kansas only shooting 40.4%. Turnovers are in their favor too, being ranked 36th in committing them against Oklahoma's 209th and ranking 77th in forcing opponents turnovers to Oklahoma's 158th. Nova is 3rd best in the country in two point percentage and outranks Oklahoma in opponents two point percentage by a high margin. Villanova is absolute money from the free throw line ranking 2nd best in the country. Villanova is more sound defensively, commit less turnovers, shoot better, are more fundamentally sound, and will take their free points from the line to advance to the championship. Pick Villanova. |
|||||||
04-01-16 | Wizards -7 v. Suns | Top | 106-99 | Push | 0 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
25* graded play on Washington as they take on Phoenix in NBA action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability Washington will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-7 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 1996. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) an explosive offensive team scoring more than 102 PPG against an offensive team scoring 98-102 PPG after 42+ games, after allowing 110 points or more. This system has gone 10-2 ATS for 83% ATS winners this season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Phoenix is a money burning 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when they make 25% to 31% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons; 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when they attempt 23 to 28 free throws in a game this season; 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers this season; 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when they score 93 to 98 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, we note that Phoenix is not in a good matchup with a 11-32 ATS (-24.2 Units) facing poor foul drawing teams attempting less than 24 free throws/game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Washington dominates practically all the statistical categories in this matchup. The Wizards shoot over 2% more effective FG percentage, and defend allowing 1% less opponents effective FG percentage than the Suns. Most importantly Washington is the better fundamental team here, committing 3 less turnovers a game and 2 less fouls per game. The Wizards are 3rd best in causing opponents turnovers and capitalize on these mistake ranking 2nd in the NBA in fastbreak points. Just in average first halves this year Washington scores 6 more points in the 1st half per game than Phoenix. Washington will capitalize on Phoenix's poor play and mistakes to easily cover. Pick Washington. |
|||||||
04-01-16 | Morehead State +4 v. Nevada | Top | 82-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
25* graded play on Morehead State as they take on Nevada in Game 3 of the CBI best-of-three Championship series. SIM algorithm shows a high probability Morehead State will win this game. Given this favorable projection with MS installed as a 4 ½ point dog I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. MS is a solid 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game this season; 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, we note several positive reinforcing matchups. MS is a strong 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons; 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. |
|||||||
04-01-16 | Mavs +5.5 v. Pistons | Top | 98-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Dallas as they take on the Detroit in NBA action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dallas will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Dallas is a solid 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game this season. Detroit is a money losing 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Detroit is a poor 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Carlisle is 74-43 ATS (+26.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of more than 46% - 2nd half of the season as the coach of DALLAS. He is also 79-46 ATS (+28.4 Units) in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 as the coach of DALLAS. Fundamental Discussion Points Dallas has lost the last two matchups but has won a franchise-best four in a row at Detroit. Dallas was caught in a bad losing streak last time these teams faced, but now they are resurging gathering 2 wins in the last few days. The Mavs score more PPG and outrank Detroit by 10 positions in effective FG percentage. Dallas does rank 2nd best in the NBA in committing few turnovers a game and also create more opponents turnovers than Detroit does. As both teams commit the same number of fouls per game, the edge is to the Mavs who rank 3rd shooting basically 80% from the free throw line, while the Pistons are ranked 30th sinking less than 67% free throws. In most other categories these teams are neck and neck. The Mavs can take advantage of their better shooting, especially from the line, recent history at Detroit, and better fundamentals to win this game. Pick Dallas. |
|||||||
03-31-16 | Clippers +15 v. Thunder | Top | 117-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
25* graded play on LA Clippers as they take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action set to start at 9:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Clippers will lose this game by fewer than 8 points and has a decent probability of winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-8 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2010 and is a perfect 3-0 ATS this season. Play on underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Clippers are a solid 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; Clippers are a stout 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. OKC is just 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points OKC is only 4-4 at home versus the Clippers over the past 3 seasons. These two teams are less than a unit away from each other in effective FG percentage, assists, and fouls per game. The Clippers have an edge in opponents effective FG percentage against. LAC gives up 4 less points in the paint and commits very few turnovers as they are 3rd best in the NBA in that category. They're second best in getting to the foul line forcing opponents 22.8 fouls a game. The Clippers can force OKC mistakes and not commit as many themselves to keep this game close. Pick LA Clippers. |
|||||||
03-31-16 | George Washington v. Valparaiso -2 | Top | 76-60 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on Valparaiso as they take on George Washington in the NIT Championship game set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Valpo will win this game by at least 5 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Algorithm shows a high probability that GW will not score more than 70 points. In games where Valpo has held opponents to less than 70 points they are a sizzling 23-2 and when holding an opponent to less than 54 points a perfect 10-0. GW defeated San Diego State 65-46 and had SDST very confused and frustrated on offense. However, GW is just 2-8 ATS after a game where they held the opponent to less than 50 points. Fundamental Discussion Points During this season GW and Valpo have scored the same amount of points per game, however, Valpo holds their opponents to 5 less points a game. Valpo grabs 3 more rebounds, and has more blocks and steals than GW. Valpo has a slight edge in effective FG percentage, but again they are ranked 6th in the country in preventing opponents effective FG percentage. GW is only ranked 108th in that same category. Valpo is the better team here, especially on the defensive end which is how championships are won. Pick Valparaiso. |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.