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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-11-15 | Indianapolis Colts v. Denver Broncos -7 | Top | 24-13 | Loss | -100 | 71 h 59 m | Show |
I am playing on DENVER. Sometimes you wonder whether a playoff bye is good for a team or not but in this case there should be no wondering for the Broncos – it was definitely a good thing. |
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01-10-15 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Chicago Bulls -7.5 | Top | 87-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Chicago Bulls as a 10* Personal Favorite Saturday. The Bulls have a bad taste in their mouths after getting rolled by the Washington Wizards Friday night. Chicago is a resilient team and will take out those frustrations on the lowly Milwaukee Bucks inside the United Center Saturday. The Bulls couldn’t slow down the Wizards' attack, which fired 47.7 percent from the field and knocked down eight of its 15 looks from beyond the arc. Chicago also committed 16 turnovers in the loss. Nights like those often leave players eager to get back on the court and erase the poor showing. Luckily, for the Bulls and us, they don’t have to wait long to do so, and present great value as a home side Saturday. Milwaukee brings a bit of momentum into this matchup, which trims the spread a touch, earning back-to-back wins over Minnesota and Philadelphia – the Bucks’ fellow basement dwellers. Milwaukee is very small inside right now, with center Larry Sanders in limbo, forward Ersan Ilyasova out with a concussion, and rookie Jabari Parker lost for the year. Chicago’s backcourt combo of Derrick Rose and Jimmy Butler continue to struggle from the floor so expect the Bulls to get on the backs of their big men in this matchup, and exploit a thin Milwaukee forward corps. Joakim Noah is working his way back to health and has some talented forwards around him in Pau Gasol and reserve center Taj Gibson. Chicago often dominates inside when playing at home, averaging 45.1 points in the paint in the Windy City, compared to just 38.3 on the road. The Bulls’ anxiousness to erase Friday's poor performance and their dominance inside against a thin Bucks frontcourt is why I’m playing on Chicago as a 10* Personal Favorite Saturday. |
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01-08-15 | San Francisco +22.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 57-88 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
I am playing on SAN FRANCISCO. This series has a history of Gonzaga laying too many points against an inferior San Francisco team and I think we have the same situation tonight. |
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01-07-15 | Seton Hall v. Xavier -7 | Top | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
I am playing on XAVIER. After upsetting two ranked teams last week, Seton Hall has completely lost its element of surprise and I like Xavier to be fully prepared tonight and I really like them to cover the number. |
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01-05-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Los Angeles Clippers -5 | Top | 107-98 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
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01-05-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Brooklyn Nets +6.5 | Top | 96-88 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
I am playing on BROOKLYN. I like that Brooklyn is getting a small pile of points at home here tonight in a matchup where both teams are playing on zero rest. |
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01-03-15 | Gonzaga v. Portland +12 | Top | 87-75 | Push | 0 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Portland Pilots as my 10* Main Event Saturday. The Pilots are one of the hottest bets in college basketball heading into this weekend, riding a five-game ATS winning streak and have covered in nine of their 12 lined games this season. Portland is getting plenty of points at home to the Gonzaga Bulldogs Saturday. The Pilots’ potent offense has lifted it over the oddsmakers’ expectations in those games. They’re putting up 73.3 points a night with one of the best perimeter games in the WCC. Portland is shooting 38.6 percent from beyond the arc but has been especially hot from distance the last three games, knocking down 47.4 percent of its looks from long range – averaging nine 3-pointers per contest in that span. That ability to stretch the defense with that outside shooting touch lines up perfect against Gonzaga. The Bulldogs depend on their size inside to push around teams. However, with the Pilots bringing those big men outside the key, and returning to friendly rims after playing the last two games away from home, Gonzaga’s biggest strength could be neutralized. This will technically be Gonzaga’s four straight road game after playing Cal Poly on a neutral court and traveling to BYU and San Diego before the New Year. The Bulldogs will find some size challenging them inside on the offensive end of the floor, and won’t dominate the boards like they have most opponents. Portland had outrebounded 12 of its 14 opponents and ranks 28th in rebounding margin at plus-7.6. The Pilots' sharp shooting from beyond the arc and their toughness on the glass is why I’m playing Portland as my 10* Main Event Saturday. |
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01-03-15 | Connecticut v. Florida -9.5 | Top | 63-59 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Florida Gators as a 10* Saturday. |
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01-02-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Utah Jazz +4.5 | Top | 98-92 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Utah Jazz as my 10* Non-Conference Game of the Week Friday. The Jazz play hosts to the Atlanta Hawks, one of the hottest teams in the NBA. The Hawks have won eight of their last 10 contests, including a statement win against the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last outing. The market is jumping on Atlanta’s success and this spread is puffed up a bit to reflect that shift in betting action. That opens up value on Utah, especially with this being the first stop of a three-game Western Conference road run for the Hawks, who could get caught looking ahead to matchups in Portland and in Los Angeles. The Jazz are playing some of the best basketball of their season so far, with wins coming in five of their last seven games. In fact, Utah has been a solid wager with ATS victories in seven of its previous 10 outings, including back-to-back home wins over Philadelphia and Minnesota. The Jazz have tightened up their defense during this stretch, allowing just under 92 points during that seven-game span – a sharp decline from their season defensive average of 100.0 points per game. Utah has trimmed that number to 88.7 points over its last three, with foes shooting just 41.8 percent. The Jazz playing solid defense at home against a Hawks squad hitting the highway with some inflated odds if why I’m playing on Utah as my 10* Non-Conference Game of the Week Friday. |
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01-02-15 | UCLA -1.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 40-35 | Win | 100 | 88 h 29 m | Show |
I’m playing on the UCLA Bruins as my 10* Bowl Game of the year Friday. |
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12-31-14 | Georgetown v. Xavier -5 | Top | 53-70 | Win | 100 | 26 h 10 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Xavier Musketeers as my 10* Personal Favorite Wednesday. |
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12-31-14 | Georgia Tech v. Mississippi State -7 | Top | 49-34 | Loss | -100 | 462 h 23 m | Show |
I am playing on MISSISSIPPI STATE. Bulldogs head coach Dan Mullen said if his team could pick its bowl prior to the season, the Orange Bowl would’ve been their No. 1 choice and I think we’re going to see the best effort of the season from Mississippi State in Miami. |
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12-31-14 | Ole Miss +3 v. TCU | Top | 3-42 | Loss | -100 | 455 h 16 m | Show |
I am playing on OLE MISS. I know a lot of folks are paying attention to the fireworks offense of TCU but there are a lot of reasons I like the Rebels in this one. |
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12-30-14 | Notre Dame +8 v. LSU | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 435 h 40 m | Show |
I am playing on NOTRE DAME. I like the Irish here largely because they’ve decided to change up their game plan, a much needed move after they lost their last four games to close out the regular season. Coach Brian Kelly announced he’ll be playing both Everett Golson and Malik Zaire at QB in Nashville for the Music City Bowl. Golson was the starter for all 12 games this year and is no doubt a talented QB, but he became a turnover machine and coughed the ball up 22 times season including eight lost fumbles. That’s just way too often to be handing the ball over to the opposition and many of those decisions came from poor decision making with Golson trying to manufacture too much under pressure or on broken plays. Zaire brings an added rushing threat and that’s good because the Irish will need to find ways to keep an LSU defense guessing. LSU ranks eighth this season in total defense. The Tigers don’t, however, have a fabulous offense and that’s another big reason I think Notre Dame can keep this one close. The Tigers rely almost completely on running the football and own the 114th ranked passing attack in the nation. Notre Dame doesn’t have the best defense in the country but if it can focus on one dimension, the Irish can load the box and slow LSU enough to cover the spread. The Domers possess an opportunistic secondary and they picked off 16 passes this year and may be able to get a couple more if LSU starts forcing throws. I don’t expect this one to be the prettiest of bowl games and in those cases I tend to really like the underdog and that’s no different here, especially with the number of points Notre Dame is getting. 10* Music City Bowl Best Bet |
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12-30-14 | Illinois v. Michigan -1.5 | Top | 65-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Michigan Wolverines as my 10* Main Event Tuesday. |
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12-29-14 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Charlotte Hornets -3 | Top | 104-94 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Charlotte Hornets as my 9* Personal Favorite Monday. The Milwaukee Bucks visit the Hornets, picking up their busy road schedule Monday night. The Bucks seem to be hitting the wall with three losses in their last four games and key players on the sidelines. |
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12-28-14 | St. Louis Rams +13 v. Seattle Seahawks | Top | 6-20 | Loss | -123 | 147 h 36 m | Show |
I’m playing on the St. Louis Rams as a 10* Sunday. The Rams aren’t going to the tournament but have plenty of motivation versus the defending Super Bowl champs in the season finale. |
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12-28-14 | San Diego Chargers v. Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 | Top | 7-19 | Win | 100 | 143 h 2 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Kansas City Chiefs as a 10* Sunday. Kansas City hosts the San Diego Chargers in the season finale. The Bolts have a clear shot at the postseason while the Chiefs need a win over San Diego and a lot of help from other teams in the playoff mix. There’s no shortage of motivation here for the home side. |
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12-28-14 | Indianapolis Colts v. Tennessee Titans +7.5 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -140 | 143 h 57 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Tennessee Titans as a 10* Sunday. The Titans are playing for pride in the regular season finale, getting a handful of points from the Indianapolis Colts Sunday. The Colts are coming off a rough loss to Dallas last weekend and can’t improve their playoff standing with a win in Week 17, having already clinched home field for a Wild Card Weekend matchup next weekend. While head coach Chuck Pagano told the media he plans to play his starters, that playing time could diminish with a postseason matchup lurking the next week. Indianapolis has won four of its last five games heading into Week 17 but has been anything but dominant in those victories, with a 2-2-1 ATS mark in that span. The Colts have been terribly careless with the football, turning the ball over 15 times in that five-game span including three giveaways in the loss to the Cowboys. Tennessee has a respectable pass rush with 38 sacks on the season and was able to get to the quarterback four times in last Thursday’s loss to Jacksonville. The Titans can go for broke in the season finale and try to get Andrew Luck moving around in the pocket, hopefully making some mistakes. Indianapolis is going with second-year center Khaled Holmes again, so there's a glaring weakness in this Colts' protection. The Colts have also been beaten up on the ground in recent games. They allowed Dallas to plow the road for 127 yards rushing and have given up an average of 126.3 rushing yards in the last three outings. Tennessee will attempt to control the football and pace of the game after possessing the pigskin for just 17:39 in the first meeting between these AFC South rivals. The Titans actually dominated time of possession versus Jacksonville, at 34:52, so they know how to hog the ball and milk the clock. With the Colts focused on the postseason and not playing solid football recently, I’m playing on Tennessee as a 10* Sunday. |
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12-27-14 | Tennessee State v. Tennessee -21.5 | Top | 46-67 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
10* Tennessee. Analysis before 7am PST |
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12-27-14 | Nebraska +7 v. USC | Top | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 368 h 60 m | Show |
I am playing on NEBRASKA. I think the Cornhuskers are getting a few extra points here because their coach, Bo Pelini, was fired at the end of the year. But I see two pretty evenly matched squads here and I think that storyline is a little overvalued so I’m taking the points. Nebraska will turn to Barney Cotton in the interim to coach the team before Mike Riley takes over after leaving Oregon State to take the job. Cotton has been coaching with the team for eight years and was previously an offensive lineman there and I think he’ll have this team inspired to beat USC. It wasn’t a graceful split between Pelini and Nebraska and several players spoke out in support of their coach on social media. I believe they’ll be determined to finish the year with a win as Pelini’s team. The Huskers have a versatile QB in Tommy Armstrong Jr., whom I feel will give USC fits. The Trojans suffered their worst loss of the season against UCLA’s Brett Hundley, a dual-threat QB who threw for three TDs and rushed for another against USC. Armstrong passed for 2,314 yards and 19 touchdowns this year and rushed for 664 yards and five more TDs and led Nebraska to being the No. 13 scoring offense in the nation this year. USC can score too but what I like that the strength of the USC offense - it’s passing game - will go up against the strength of Nebraska’s defense. USC has the 15th best passing attack in the nation but Nebraska owns the third-best passing efficiency defense in the country. I believe oddsmakers have set this one too high and it’s definitely possible that the Huskers could win this game in their third trip to the Holiday Bowl since 2009. 10* Saturday Main Event |
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12-27-14 | Duke v. Arizona State -7 | Top | 31-36 | Loss | -115 | 231 h 22 m | Show |
I am playing on ARIZONA STATE. The Sun Devils own the higher scoring offense, they have a much shorter trip to the Sun Bowl, they play in the better conference and they’ll have the best playmaker on the field for this game. |
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12-26-14 | San Antonio Spurs +3.5 v. New Orleans Pelicans | Top | 90-97 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
I am playing on SAN ANTONIO. The Spurs looked flat in a loss to Oklahoma City on Christmas Day and I believe they’ll bounce back today against the Pelicans. |
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12-26-14 | North Carolina State +2 v. Central Florida | Top | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 358 h 45 m | Show |
I am going with the better quarterback in this game and in this case it also happens to be one of the best in the nation in Jacoby Brissett for the Wolfpack. Brissett is one of three quarterbacks in the nation with 20 or more passing touchdowns, 300 or more rushing yards and five interceptions or fewer. The junior also ran for three touchdowns and I think his dual threat ability will keep this UCF defense on its heels. The Pack finished the season with three wins over their final four games and they lined bettors' pockets with four covers over their last five games. They allowed just 20 points combined in their final two games, both wins, and won the yardage battles in both those games by over 200 yards. For UCF, this bowl game isn't just a step down from the Fiesta Bowl it played in and won last year, it's a whole flight of stairs down, and you have to wonder a little about the motivational factor. I can't help but think the Knights already reached the apex of their season when they beat ECU on a now infamous last-second Hail Mary to claim a share of the AAC title. NC State has shown flashes of brilliance this year – like owning a 24-7 lead over Florida State before ultimately losing that game – and I think we’ll see more of that Wolfpack team the day after Christmas in the Bitcoin St. Pete’s Bowl. 10* Best Bet |
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12-26-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Detroit Pistons +3 | Top | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
I am playing on DETROIT. Despite a four-game losing streak, the Pistons are showing some signs of coming together as a team and I like them to take a win from the sub-par Pacers today. |
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12-25-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers -2.5 | Top | 86-100 | Win | 100 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
10* Clippers. Analysis before 10am PST |
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12-25-14 | Ohio v. Nebraska -6 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
I am playing on NEBRASKA. The Cornhuskers are coming off their lowest scoring game of the season after a 50-42 win over Loyola-Marymount, but they finished the game on a high note and I think they’ll carry that momentum into this Christmas Day game against Ohio. Junior Terran Pettaway has been a shining offensive bright spot for the Huskers and he hit two three pointers and went 7-for-8 at the free throw line in overtime to lead Nebraska to the win. Nebraska also came up with two big stops in OT to seal the deal. “(The offense) is going to come. One thing we pride ourselves on is defense, and that’s what got us through the Big Ten (last year),” Pettaway said after the game. Nebraska’s defense held LMU to just 16 points in the first half, a record for futility in a half in the Diamond Head Classic in Hawaii Ohio might be just the team to be facing to get some scoring going. The Bobcats have allowed an average of 74.2 points against over their last five games and they're allowing opponents to shoot 43.6 percent from the field during that span. Nebraska is allowing super stingy 60.4 points per game over its last five, which isn't far away from the team's season average of 61.9. I feel the Huskers' suffocating defense, along with the generous defense of Ohio, will propel the Huskers to a win and cover on Christmas Day. 10* Personal Favorite |
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12-23-14 | Boston Celtics v. Orlando Magic -2.5 | Top | 95-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Orlando Magic as my 10* Personal Favorite Tuesday. Orlando plays host to a Boston Celtics team trying to find a new identity after dealing away point guard Rajon Rondo last week. The Magic are getting solid value at home Tuesday. Boston’s up-tempo attack was missing that extra gear in a 100-84 road loss to the Miami Heat Sunday. The Celtics, who play one of the fastest paces in the NBA, scored a season-low 84 points on 39.8 percent shooting. Marcus Smart took over the point guard duties and Jameer Nelson came off the bench, failing to fill the scoring punch Rondo provided. This Celtics team has plenty of work to do to plug those gaps but hitting the road won’t help the cause. Orlando is a solid defensive team, giving up 99.3 points per outing, and plays one of the more methodical paces in the game – averaging 94.6 per 100 possessions. It could drag this game into a snail's pace and force Boston to play a halfcourt set. The Magic remain one of the better outside shooting teams in the NBA, knocking down 37.4 percent of their looks from beyond the arc. That number bumps up to 38.6 percent inside the Amway Center. Orlando is getting terrific production from reserve guard Evan Fournier, who has knocked down 40.7 percent of his 3-point attempts and comes into Tuesday with the hot hand, hitting seven of his 12 shots from distance. If Orlando continues to knock down 3-point buckets, that could put some serious space between them and Boston on the scoreboard – a gap that the Celtics offense may not be able to close with the rotation a mess and the offensive identity in flux. A Boston offense in turmoil and the Magic’s sharp shooting from outside is why I’m playing on Orlando as my 10* Personal Favorite Tuesday. |
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12-22-14 | Denver Broncos v. Cincinnati Bengals +4 | Top | 28-37 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Cincinnati Bengals as my 10* Main Event Monday. The final Monday Night Football of the season is shaping up to be an instant classic. The Bengals welcome the Denver Broncos to Paul Brown Stadium, fighting for their playoff lives on the NFL’s primetime stage. |
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12-21-14 | Minnesota Vikings v. Miami Dolphins -6.5 | Top | 35-37 | Loss | -115 | 97 h 48 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Miami Dolphins as my 10* Personal Favorite Sunday. The Dolphins’ playoff hopes are thinning but this game versus the Minnesota Vikings is still a huge must-win situation. Miami is at home to a team coming off a crushing defeat last Sunday. |
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12-20-14 | Utah v. UNLV +8 | Top | 59-46 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
I am playing on UNLV. The Rebels play on the Strip for the first time in the school's history in this Coaches vs. Cancer matchup at the MGM Grand Arena and I love that they're getting a pile of points. |
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12-20-14 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Los Angeles Clippers -10 | Top | 102-106 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
I am playing on the CLIPPERS. Los Angeles is laying a bunch of points but that doesn't bother me much here and I think they'll handily take care of the Bucks tonight. |
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12-19-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Detroit Pistons +8 | Top | 110-100 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
I am playing on DETROIT. Despite Detroit’s troubles this season, the team is showing some positive signs and I believe the Pistons are in a good spot to take the points Friday night. |
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12-17-14 | Dallas Mavericks v. Detroit Pistons +6.5 | Top | 117-106 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
I am playing on DETROIT. The Pistons have shown signs of playing better recently with two wins in their last three games and I believe we’ll see a team hungry for a win tonight after failing to give the Motor City faithful a victory on home court in their last 10 games at the Palace. Detroit went 2-1 on its recent West Coast road trip that ended with a 22-point drubbing at the hands of the Clippers. I think we can throw that last game out for what was likely a weary Pistons squad that was playing its third game in four nights in the Pacific Time Zone. The good news in that blowout is that Jodie Meeks had a chance to see some floor time and he scored 20 points in 29 minutes. I think that could be just what he needed in his third game since returning from injury and I believe Detroit will start to see a much-needed contribution from him from 3-point range, where Detroit has struggled all season. Trade rumors are swirling around the Pistons these days and that’s another reason I like them right now. It’s reasonable to think some players may want out of this losing squad that seems desperate for answers and sometimes we see teams elevate their play with potential trades in the works. I like that Detroit is getting a handful of points at home here also. The Mavs are coming off a win over the Knicks last night and they tend to scrape out wins, but not cover in the second game of back-to-backs. They are 4-1 straight up in that spot this season but just 1-4 against the spread. 10* Best Bet |
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12-14-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Atlanta Falcons +3 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -118 | 121 h 49 m | Show |
I am playing on an ATLANTA team that I feel is playing its best football of the season. The Falcons are also a strong bet at home, while Pittsburgh’s scoring numbers show the Steelers typically play a step below their capabilities on the road more often than not this season. The Falcons are 4-2 against the spread at home and a perfect 3-0 as a home underdog, the spot they are in against the Steelers this week. Home dogs in general have been a solid spot for bettors most of the season at 34-30-2 against the spread and an incredible 16-10 ATS over the last month (61.5 percent). Atlanta has looked like a new team the last two weeks with a win over the Arizona Cardinals (tied for top record in the league) and a respectable 6-point loss in Green Bay against the current Super Bowl favorites on Monday night. The Steelers are 2-3 straight up and against the spread in their last five road games and they’re scoring average drops by close to a touchdown from 27.8 to 21.7 points when they hit the road this season. I believe that may not be enough to keep up with an Atlanta passing attack that’s been on fire its last two games. Matt Ryan has passed for a combined 736 yards and six TDs against two interceptions over his last two games while Julio Jones has been the best receiver in the NFL for two straight weeks. A Pittsburgh defense, meanwhile, has struggled to make plays this season with just 24 sacks (24th in the NFL) and eight interceptions (also 24th in the NFL). I feel Ryan will stay in his groove this weekend against this defense and the Falcons will hold their place atop the fledgling NFC South as a team that continues on the rise. 10* Best Bet |
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12-13-14 | Gonzaga v. UCLA +5 | Top | 87-74 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
I’m playing on the UCLA Bruins as my 10* Main Event Saturday. The Bruins take a four-game winning streak into the weekend but face a huge test in the Gonzaga Bulldogs inside Pauley Pavilion. Oddsmakers aren’t giving UCLA much respect and there is value in a very talented Bruins team. |
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12-13-14 | Northern Iowa v. VCU -6 | Top | 87-93 | Push | 0 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
I’m playing on the VCU Rams as my 10* Personal Favorite Saturday. Virginia Commonwealth is one the mid-major gatekeepers, having shown its dominance in past NCAA tournaments. The Rams host a fellow mid-major star in No. 24 Northern Iowa Saturday. |
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12-12-14 | Detroit Pistons +10 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 105-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
I am playing on DETROIT. I believe the Pistons are going to play with a little desperation tonight as they aim to avoid tying a franchise-worst 14-game losing streak. I believe that, along with a few other elements, will help them cover against the Suns tonight and I anticipate it happening with room to spare. |
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12-12-14 | Iowa State v. Iowa -6 | Top | 90-75 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
I am playing on the IOWA HAWKEYES. Home court has been the ultimate factor in this bitter in-state rivalry with 10 of the last 11 victories going to the home side. It’s the biggest reason I like the Hawkeyes tomorrow, with this game being held in Iowa City. |
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12-11-14 | DePaul v. George Washington -9 | Top | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
I am playing on GEORGE WASHINGTON. Home court is one of the biggest reasons why I love the Colonials to win and cover the number in this home-and-home series with DePaul that will finish next year in Chicago. |
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12-10-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Minnesota Timberwolves +10.5 | Top | 82-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* T-Wolves. Analysis before 10am PST. |
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12-10-14 | Boston Celtics v. Charlotte Hornets -2.5 | Top | 87-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Charlotte Hornets as my 10* Personal Favorite Wednesday. The Hornets have enjoyed an extended break following a win over New York that snapped a 10-game losing skid. That’s given Charlotte time to focus on what’s working and bring some important bodies back before taking on a Boston Celtics squad that’s already had a busy week. |
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12-08-14 | Atlanta Falcons +13 v. Green Bay Packers | Top | 37-43 | Win | 100 | 173 h 26 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Atlanta Falcons as my 10* Super Play Monday. The Falcons are finding their form just in time for a postseason push, and ride that momentum to Lambeau Field for a Monday Night Football showdown with the Green Bay Packers. |
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12-07-14 | New England Patriots v. San Diego Chargers +3.5 | Top | 23-14 | Loss | -105 | 143 h 55 m | Show |
I’m playing on the San Diego Chargers as my 10* Best Bet Sunday. The Bolts host the New England Patriots Sunday night, hoping to catch Tom Brady & Co. in a tough spot. New England, off a loss to Green Bay, travels across the country for this primetime game. |
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12-07-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 24-14 | Loss | -120 | 139 h 1 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Philadelphia Eagles as my 10* Personal Favorite Sunday. The Eagles are coming off a huge divisional win on Thanksgiving and host the defending Super Bowl champs, crossing the country for a showdown between a high-powered offense and a hard-nosed defense in Week 14.
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12-07-14 | Houston Texans v. Jacksonville Jaguars +5 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 135 h 12 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Jacksonville Jaguars as my 10* Divisional Best of the Best Sunday. Jacksonville is in a rare spot, bringing momentum into Sunday’s action after defeating the Giants last week. The Jaguars try to keep it rolling against the Houston Texans, who have split wins and losses in their last six games. |
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12-06-14 | Florida State -3 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 37-35 | Loss | -125 | 124 h 7 m | Show |
I am playing on FLORIDA STATE. All the Seminoles ever seem to do is win and their winning streak is now at a legendary 28 games. I believe their streak will continue on Saturday in the ACC Championship game and they’ll grab the money at the betting window to go along with it. |
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12-06-14 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Detroit Pistons -9 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Detroit Pistons as my 10* Personal Favorite Saturday. The Pistons take on the Philadelphia 76ers playing the second night of back-to-back games after a hard-fought contest against the Thunder Friday night. |
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12-06-14 | Temple v. Tulane +4 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -106 | 124 h 32 m | Show |
I am playing on TULANE. At first it may appear like Tulane doesn’t have much to play for, but this will be Senior Day for the Green Wave and all signs are pointing to a strong effort. |
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12-06-14 | Gonzaga v. Arizona -3.5 | Top | 63-66 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Arizona Wildcats as my 10* Game of the Week Saturday. The Wildcats put their unbeaten record up against the unblemished Gonzaga Bulldogs and can boost their national ranking with another win over one of biggest mid-major powers in the country. |
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12-06-14 | Iowa State +33 v. TCU | Top | 3-55 | Loss | -106 | 116 h 10 m | Show |
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12-04-14 | Central Florida v. East Carolina -5.5 | Top | 32-30 | Loss | -106 | 76 h 45 m | Show |
I am playing on EAST CAROLINA. The Pirates have the benefit of playing on home field on Senior Night for this nationally televised contest on ESPN and I think the crowd will help ECU maintain its perfect record on home soil this season. |
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12-03-14 | Creighton v. Tulsa -1 | Top | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
I am playing on TULSA. I believe the Golden Hurricane are undervalued in this spot tonight and we can thank an incredibly tough schedule to date for that. |
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12-03-14 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Washington Wizards -9 | Top | 95-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* Wizards. Analysis before 10am PST |
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12-02-14 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Detroit Pistons -1 | Top | 106-96 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 16 m | Show |
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12-01-14 | Miami Dolphins v. NY Jets +7 | Top | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 59 h 2 m | Show |
I’m playing on the New York Jets as my 10* Best Bet Monday. The Jets are back home in the Meadowlands after a bad loss to Buffalo last Monday, hosting a Miami Dolphins team playing its third road game in the past four weeks for another Monday Night primetime matchup. |
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11-30-14 | Washington v. UTEP -1.5 | Top | 68-65 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
I’m playing on the UTEP Miners as my 10* End of Month Blowout Sunday. The Miners battle the Washington Huskies in a showdown between undefeated programs in the final of the Wooden Legacy in Anaheim. UTEP has already added two big non-conference wins to its NCAA resume, with victories over Xavier and Princeton in this tournament. The Miners also knocked off the Huskies’ rival, Washington State, in their opening game of the year. UTEP won’t be intimidated by this major conference opponent Sunday in California. Washington’s 5-0 mark to start the schedule doesn’t boast many big-name opponents. The Huskies knocked off Long Beach State and San Jose State to grab a spot in the championship game and have yet to play a member of a major conference. Washington has puffed up its early-season stats against this weak slate of games and collides with a tested UTEP team still trying to prove its place in the rankings. The Miners are an aggressive team that gets to the paint, draws fouls and crashes the boards. UTEP averages 16.8 free throws per game, drawing 21.2 fouls an outing. On the glass, the Miners pulled down 38.5 rebounds a night – 11 of those on the offensive end. They don’t give back much in return, allowing an average of only seven offensive boards. The Miners’ impressive non-conference calendar and their ability to get to the line and control the boards is why I’m playing on UTEP as my 10* End of Month Blowout. |
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11-30-14 | New England Patriots v. Green Bay Packers -3 | Top | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 122 h 29 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Green Bay Packers as my 10* Personal Favorite Sunday. We get a possible Super Bowl preview when the Packers host the New England Patriots at Lambeau Field in Week 13. The Cheeseheads are dominant at home and will look to flex their muscle for the Green Bay faithful Sunday. |
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11-30-14 | Arizona Cardinals v. Atlanta Falcons +2.5 | Top | 18-29 | Win | 102 | 120 h 3 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Atlanta Falcons as my 10* Best Bet Sunday. The Falcons are home to the Arizona Cardinals in Week 13 trying to stay atop the NFC South. Arizona finds itself outgunned on the road against a desperate team. The Falcons won back-to-back games before being upended by the Cleveland Browns last weekend. Atlanta is first in the division despite a lousy record but has the offensive explosiveness to compete each week. The Falcons have a dominant passing game, ranked seventh in the NFL with 269.5 yards through the air per outing. Atlanta will be tested against a blitz-happy Arizona defense, which thrives on pressuring the passer. However, the Falcons offensive line does a good job keeping quarterback Matt Ryan clean. Atlanta has allowed just 23 totals sacks all season and Ryan has only thrown nine interceptions. If the Falcons can weather the storm on offense, they will be able to outgun a Cardinals attack that has mustered only 17 points in the past two weeks. With backup QB Drew Stanton under center and some missing pieces in the passing game, Arizona has totaled just 455 yards passing with two touchdowns and three interceptions in the last two contests. The Falcons defense is at the bottom of the barrel in terms of yards allowed but this stop unit has also made big plays, with 12 interceptions on the year. Atlanta had three picks against the Browns last Sunday and two against the Panthers the week before. A Falcons offense with plenty of pop and a defense that can take advantage of the Cardinals' QB troubles is why I’m playing on Atlanta as a 10* Best Bet. |
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11-29-14 | Auburn v. Alabama -9.5 | Top | 44-55 | Win | 100 | 101 h 26 m | Show |
I am playing on ALABAMA. If I were to run down all the impressive numbers the Crimson Tide possess, you’d have to clear your evening schedule, pull up a couch and get comfortable. |
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11-29-14 | Albany NY v. UNLV -7 | Top | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show |
I’m playing on the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels as my 10* Game of the Week Saturday. The Rebels host the Albany Great Danes at the Thomas & Mack Center Saturday, back home after a showing in the Coaches vs. Cancer Classic tournament in New York. |
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11-29-14 | Florida v. Florida State -7 | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -115 | 118 h 8 m | Show |
FLORIDA at FLORIDA STATE |
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11-28-14 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Atlanta Hawks -2.5 | Top | 91-100 | Win | 100 | 21 h 44 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Atlanta Hawks as my 10* Personal Favorite Friday. The Hawks host the New Orleans Pelicans, who are in a grueling stretch of games in which they play nine of 11 contests away from the Big Easy. |
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11-28-14 | Stanford +5 v. UCLA | Top | 31-10 | Win | 100 | 73 h 19 m | Show |
I am playing on STANFORD. The Cardinal have had UCLA’s number recently with wins in the last six meetings while they covered the spread in five of those. |
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11-27-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. San Francisco 49ers | Top | 19-3 | Loss | -120 | 83 h 24 m | Show |
I’m playing on the San Francisco 49ers as my 10* Game of the Week Thursday. The Niners are hitting their stride at the right time and welcome the rival Seattle Seahawks to Levis Stadium for what is the biggest game of the year for San Francisco and its new digs on Thanksgiving Day. |
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11-24-14 | Baltimore Ravens v. New Orleans Saints -3 | Top | 34-27 | Loss | -130 | 172 h 44 m | Show |
I’m playing on the New Orleans Saints as my 10* Monday Main Event. The Saints have dropped back-to-back games inside the Superdome – an almost unheard of feat in recent seasons. New Orleans is out to stay in the division hunt in the log-jammed NFC South and host a Ravens team struggling away from Baltimore. This Monday Night Football showdown is setting up nicely for the Saints, who play their best football at home on the primetime stage. New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last six Monday nighters and has outscored opponents 160-70 in its last four home Monday night games – an average difference of 22.5 points per game. Baltimore has lost two straight road games – at Pittsburgh and Cincinnati – and is 1-3 SU away from home in its last four outside of Maryland. The Ravens defense is allowing 379.4 yards per road game – compared to just 292 yards against at home – with those gains translating into 25.6 points against – compared to only 10.6 at home. On offense, Ravens QB Joe Flacco has faded in the second half of the schedule. He’s completed under 60 percent of his passes and has a touchdown-to-interception count of 5-5 in the last four games. Flacco has been flustered by blitz packages and will see plenty of bodies coming after him with Saints defensive coordinator Rob Ryan unleashing his dogs Monday night. A desperate Saints squad that shines on the MNF stage and a rough road record for the Ravens is why I’m playing on New Orleans as my 10* Monday Main Event. |
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11-24-14 | Phoenix Suns +5 v. Toronto Raptors | Top | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
I am playing on PHOENIX. The Raptors are getting more attention than just about anyone would have projected at this point in the early season and as a result we're going to start seeing their lines inflate. I feel that's the case Monday night at home when they're laying a handful against the smoking-hot Suns. The Suns have won four in a row and I expect them to pour everything they have into their final game of a six-game road trip in Toronto. Phoenix is playing fantastic team basketball right now and using a deep bench to stay fresh during the club's travels. Head coach Jeff Hornacek said "There is something about being on the road" after Saturday's win over Indiana and talked about how his team is finding its groove. Gerald Green scored a game-high 23 points against the Pacers while Isaiah Thomas chipped in with 16 with both players coming off the bench. No player saw more than 26 minutes on Saturday night, which is why I fully expect the Suns to maintain top speed tonight. Phoenix is the fourth leading scoring team in the NBA with 105.3 points per game and they are the best free throw shooting team. They also hold the edge in rebounding margin over the Raptors, who are one of the worst rebounding squads in the league with a margin of -2.31. I like the Suns to get it done against a slightly overvalued Raptors team and I'll take the points while I can get them. This is just the third time all year Phoenix has been an underdog. 10* Best Bet |
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11-24-14 | NY Jets +3 v. Buffalo Bills | Top | 3-38 | Loss | -120 | 57 h 7 m | Show |
I’m playing on the New York Jets as a 10* Monday. It’s been a rough week for the Buffalo Bills, who lose their home-field edge thanks to a massive snow storm that pushed this AFC East showdown from Sunday to Monday in Detroit. The weather issues in Western New York took the focus off football for the Bills, who were left up in the air about practice and game schedule until the middle of the week. Instead of having a decisive home-field advantage with the winter weather in Week 12, Buffalo is on a neutral field when it faces the Jets, who have had two weeks to prepare for this game after enjoying a bye in Week 11. New York’s ground game will love the fast track inside Ford Field, giving solid footing to a rushing game that ranks fourth in the NFL – averaging 140.8 yards per game. New York rumbled for 150 yards in their stunning win over Pittsburgh two weeks ago, handing the ball off 36 times. The Bills gave up 125 yards on 24 carries in their loss to Miami – an average of 5.2 yards per run. Buffalo was able to put up big passing numbers against the Jets defense in Week 8, with Kyle Orton connecting for four touchdowns. New York is eager to get a second shot at Orton, who has regressed in recent outings. He’s completed just over 58 percent of his passes and has only one touchdown in his last two games – both of them losses. Buffalo’s bad week and the Jets rushing game enjoying a clean neutral site is why I’m playing on the New York Jets as a 10* Monday. |
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11-23-14 | Dallas Cowboys v. NY Giants +3 | Top | 31-28 | Push | 0 | 119 h 28 m | Show |
I’m playing on the New York Giants as my 10* Best Bet Sunday. New York is coming off a miserable showing against San Francisco, but despite Eli Manning’s five interceptions the G-Men actually had a chance to win the game in the dying minutes of the fourth quarter. The Giants stay home for this Sunday Night showdown with the Dallas Cowboys, and would love to throw a wrench in Big D’s playoff plans. New York gave Dallas a good fight in their first meeting, never letting the Cowboys feel comfortable in that Week 7 clash in Arlington. The Giants have a decisive home edge versus Dallas Sunday night, with rain in the forecast making for some slick field conditions and temperatures dipping into the low 40s. The Cowboys have shown in the past that they’re not used to playing in the elements. The Giants also catch the Cowboys looking ahead to next Thursday’s Thanksgiving Day showdown with the Philadelphia Eagles. That matinee meeting will go a long way in deciding the division. Dallas has a short week to prepare for that matchup, so focus could be split between Sunday night and what lies ahead on Turkey Day. New York’s defense did a good job limiting San Francisco’s passing game in Week 11. Colin Kaepernick completed just 15 of 29 passes for 193 yards, and the Niners converted on third down just six of 14 times. The Giants are in the top half of the league in third down defense, allowing opponents to convert on just 39.53 percent of third down tries. That should stump the Dallas offense, which is among the best in the NFL at keep the chains moving, boasting a third down conversion percentage of 50.77. A tough road spot for the Cowboys and a Giants defense looking to build off a underrated performance is why I’m playing on New York as my 10* Best Bet Sunday. |
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11-23-14 | Arizona Cardinals v. Seattle Seahawks -6.5 | Top | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 98 h 51 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Seattle Seahawks as my 10* Best of the Best Sunday. The defending Super Bowl champs don’t have time to lick their wounds after losing to the Kansas City Chiefs last Sunday. That’s a good thing for Seattle backers, as this team is chomping at the bit to get back on the field and prove they’re still top dog in the NFC against the conference-leading Arizona Cardinals. |
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11-22-14 | USC v. UCLA -3.5 | Top | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 101 h 54 m | Show |
I am playing on UCLA. The Bruins control their own destiny in winning their first conference championship since 1998 and I believe they’ll get the win and cover at home against USC on Saturday. |
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11-22-14 | Oklahoma State +27 v. Baylor | Top | 28-49 | Win | 100 | 122 h 8 m | Show |
OKLAHOMA STATE at BAYLOR I am playing on OKLAHOMA STATE. I believe oddsmakers have inflated this spread way too much for a Baylor team that’s trendy to cheer for right now against an Oklahoma State team that many are loving to criticize right now. While the Cowboys have been underdogs this season, they haven’t been underdogs of within two touchdowns of this week’s number and I feel they’re going to give Baylor an effort that may surprise some. What I like is that there is no panic in the Cowboys, which is essential because head coach Mike Gundy knows many of his team’s offensive challenges come from a young offensive line that will take time to develop. “I’m not sure anger and frustration is a positive resource for improvement,” a calm Gundy told reporters after his team’s fourth straight loss last week. Gundy has managed to keep the focus on him this week also, which has turned some attention away from his struggling units on the field. Oklahoma State legend Boone Pickens said this week that he cheers for the Cowboys and “I don’t care who coaches ‘em”. That has everyone in Stillwater talking about an inferred snub of their coach and it means his players aren’t reading about how bad they are in every local news story. Gundy has been a master in the past of getting his players to pull for him and I believe that’s what will happen on Saturday in a spot where oddsmakers are being very generous with the points. 9* Saturday Shocker |
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11-22-14 | Arizona +4 v. Utah | Top | 42-10 | Win | 100 | 118 h 1 m | Show |
I am playing on ARIZONA. The Wildcats still have hopes of winning the Pac-12 South and I like that motivator, among other things, to propel them to a win on Saturday while preventing them from looking ahead to state rival Arizona State in their season finale. |
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11-22-14 | Louisville v. Notre Dame -3.5 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -106 | 99 h 20 m | Show |
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11-20-14 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Oakland Raiders +8 | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 69 h 46 m | Show |
10* Analysis to come before 7AM on game day |
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11-20-14 | North Carolina +6.5 v. Duke | Top | 45-20 | Win | 100 | 76 h 13 m | Show |
I am playing on NORTH CAROLINA. Last week I successfully faded Duke by releasing a play on Virginia Tech and I believe the Blue Devils are laying too many points once again this week in their annual Tobacco Road showdown. Besides having a dangerous offense that ranks 23rd in the nation in scoring, UNC is a team that causes turnovers and I feel that turnovers are going to be a huge factor in this game. The Tar Heels have recovered nine fumbles and picked off 11 passes this season and have forced at least one turnover in every game they’ve played. Duke, meanwhile, is coming off its worst turnover performance of the season after coughing the ball up three times against Virginia Tech. The Blue Devils seemingly fell apart in every aspect against the Hokies including missing two field goals by a perfect field goal kicker this season and they gave up four sacks after giving up just four all season combined. They won’t get away with more sloppy play against a UNC team that is playing its best football of the year with three wins in its last four games. The Heels also have a ton of motivation for this game. A win Thursday night would secure bowl eligibility for them and end arch rival Duke’s hopes of winning the ACC Coastal Division. 10* Thursday Best Bet - UNC |
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11-20-14 | Kansas State v. West Virginia -2 | Top | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 40 m | Show |
I am playing on WEST VIRGINIA. I feel the Mountaineers are being a little undervalued here by oddsmakers Thursday night after two straight losses. Those losses were to a Big-12 leading TCU squad on a last-second field goal and to a vastly improved Texas team that faced the Mountaineers while I believe they were facing a bit of a hangover from the TCU loss. WVU is still a very good team despite the losses and I believe they’ll be propelled by an incredible home atmosphere on Senior Night in front of a national TV audience. The Mountaineers have used a bye week to shake off the sting of the two-game slide and to get healthy while preparing for another tough opponent. One of the key matchups that has me liking West Virginia here is its outstanding passing game against a so-so pass defense for K-State. WVU ranks 12th in the country with 318 passing yards per game and the team has five receivers with at least 200 yards this year. One of the few weaknesses on this Wildcats team is its pass defense where it ranks 56th in the nation in passing yards allowed and 63rd in the nation in passing efficiency defense. I expect this game to be another exciting one for West Virginia but the determining factor for me is the Mountaineers’ top strength is playing against what I feel is K-State’s biggest weakness. That adds up to what I believe is a very strong play. 10* Thursday Personal Favorite |
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11-19-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Denver Nuggets -6.5 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Denver Nuggets as my 10* Revenge Best of the Best Wednesday. The Nuggets get a chance to even the score with the Oklahoma City Thunder Wednesday, hosting OKC after losing to the Thunder 102-91 on the road earlier this month. |
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11-18-14 | New York Knicks +3.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks | Top | 113-117 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 38 m | Show |
I am playing on NEW YORK. The Knicks finally snapped their streak of futility after seven games with a win over the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. I like the Knicks to continue their winning ways Tuesday night in Milwaukee and they even have a few points to work with as the underdog. New York is finally showing signs of life in its new and much talked about triangle offense implemented by coach Derek Fisher this season. The Knicks managed 100 points or more in each of their last two games, which were the first games they reached triple digits all season. “Every game I'm starting to become a little bit more comfortable with my role,” Carmelo Anthony said after the game. Anthony poured in 28 points and had just 14 field goal attempts on Sunday and he’s made 20 of his past 27 shots over his last six quarters for 58 points. With Anthony playing more effectively, J.R. Smith had his best game of the year Sunday also with 28 points of his own. I don’t feel oddsmakers quite believe the Knicks have sorted out their woes yet, which is why we’re getting a good number on New York here on Tuesday. I expect the cat to be out of the bag in another game or two and every NBA bettor will soon know the Knicks have found their offensive rhythm. 10* Best Bet - Knicks |
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11-17-14 | Houston Rockets v. Memphis Grizzlies -4 | Top | 93-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
I am playing on MEMPHIS. The Grizzlies have won 19 straight games at home and catch Houston in a great spot on home court on Monday. The Rockets are playing the second game in a back-to-back situation after facing Oklahoma City last night and this is their third game in four nights. Houston did try to use its bench at OKC in a game in which they scored just 69 points, but their two stars James Harden and Dwight Howard each played over 37 minutes apiece. I believe that’s an especially tough spot for Howard, who will face his toughest post challenge of the season with the Grizzlies’ duo of Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph. The pair have helped lead Memphis to a 9-1 start to the season and are a huge reason why they lead the NBA in points allowed at 91.3 and rank fourth in defensive efficiency. Memphis is also getting fantastic back court play right now from point guard Mike Conley, who’s average six assists and almost 17 points per game. The return of Courtney Lee on Nov. 5 has been a huge help also. He’s averaging 15.5 points on 53.3 percent shooting in the six games since his return. A defensive stalwart on the road is a brutal matchup for the Rockets during this grinding stretch of their schedule. I believe Memphis will continue its winning ways at home and cover the small number set by oddsmakers. 10* Personal Favorite |
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11-16-14 | New England Patriots v. Indianapolis Colts -2.5 | Top | 42-20 | Loss | -120 | 128 h 12 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Indianapolis Colts as a 10* Sunday Night Football Main Event. Indianapolis can get some revenge on the New England Patriots at home in this marquee matchup Sunday night and also stake its claim as the team to beat in the AFC. The Colts bowed out of the playoff last season, losing 43-22 to the Patriots at Gillette Stadium in the AFC Divisional Round this past January. Indianapolis hasn’t forgotten that loss and will be looking at Sunday as a true test of where it stands in the conference picture. Andrew Luck hasn’t had much success against the Patriots in the past, especially when it comes to limiting his turnovers. However, both head-to-head meetings came in New England. This time around, Luck is peaking and playing inside the comfortable domed confines of Lucas Oil Stadium. Both of these offense are going to try and chew up as much time off the clock in order to freeze out the other. And while both have the potential to dominate time of possession, the Colts have a much better running game than the Patriots do at this point. Ahmad Bradshaw is a threat to run or catch for gains and Trent Richardson can punishing opposing tacklers with his smash-mouth style of running. A revenge-fueled Colts side dominating the football with plenty of weapons is why I’m playing on Indianapolis as a 10* Sunday Night Football Main Event. |
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11-16-14 | Denver Broncos v. St. Louis Rams +10 | Top | 7-22 | Win | 100 | 121 h 55 m | Show |
I’m playing the St. Louis Rams as my 9* Breakfast Club Sunday. The Rams have shown a tendency to play up to their competition, hanging with the NFL’s elite in those tough games. St. Louis faces just that in Week 11, playing a Denver Broncos club taking to the road for the third straight week. The Rams had the Arizona Cardinals on their heels last week, jumping out to a 14-10 lead before succumbing to the Cardinals defense and losing a lopsided game. However, that fight is nothing new for St. Louis, which has taken wins over NFC powers San Francisco and the defending champion Seattle Seahawks in recent weeks. The Broncos come to St. Louis weary from the road. This will be their third straight away game, after losing at New England on Sunday night three weeks ago and rolling Oakland in the Bay Area last Sunday. Denver hasn’t been that sharp away from Mile High, suffering their two losses on the road. The Broncos are putting up 28.2 points per road game – nearly a touchdown less than at home – and QB Peyton Manning is completing 64.5 percent of his passes in enemy territory, compared to 71.2 percent inside Sports Authority Field. Five of his seven total interceptions have come on the road as well. He’ll go up against a Rams pass rush that has unleashed hell in the last four games after a very slow start to the year. St. Louis has 16 sacks in that span, including an eight-sack effort in the win over the 49ers three weeks ago. Pro Bowl DE Robert Quinn was held without a sack through the first five games but has erupted for six sacks in the last four contests. A hard-nosed Rams team ramping up the pass rush versus a road-weary Broncos side is why I’m playing on St. Louis as my 9* Breakfast Club Sunday. |
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11-16-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. NY Giants +4.5 | Top | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 46 m | Show |
I’m playing on the New York Giants as my 10* Best Bet Sunday. The Giants are back home hosting a San Francisco 49ers team bound for a letdown after pulling off a come-from-behind overtime victory in New Orleans last week. On top of that, the Niners have to cross the country for this early 1 p.m. ET kickoff Sunday. The 49ers needed some magic and help from the officials in their much-needed win over the Saints. San Francisco’s offense sputtered again late in the game, managing only three points in the second half versus New Orleans. On the year, the Niners are averaging only 6.2 points in the final two quarters – last in the NFL – including just 2.9 points per fourth quarter. This will be San Francisco’s second straight road game, a situation that cost them a head-turning loss to the Denver Broncos in Week 7. The Niners not only deal with that schedule spot but also an early start time on the East Coast. This 1 p.m. ET kickoff is at 10 a.m. back in the Bay Area against a Giants team that has won five of the last six encounters with San Francisco, including the last two meetings in East Rutherford. New York has its back against a wall after a loss in Seattle last week. The Giants have dropped four straight games but three of those have come away from MetLife Stadium. The G-Men are happy to be home, where they average more than five points more per game and QB Eli Manning has passed for 793 yards, six touchdowns and zero interceptions in his last three home stands. A sputtering Niners offense making a cross-country trip to face a home-happy Giants squad is why I’m playing on New York as my 10* Best Bet Sunday. |
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11-16-14 | Minnesota Vikings v. Chicago Bears -3 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 121 h 44 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Chicago Bears as my 10* Personal Favorite Sunday. Chicago is coming off an embarrassing loss to the Packers on Sunday Night Football and desperately needs a win. Enter the Minnesota Vikings, who have struggled in recent trips to Soldier Field. The Bears have been backed into a corner after Sunday’s beatdown at the hands of the rival Packers. They’ve lost three straight and five of their last six going back to Week 4. This Chicago team was supposed to compete for the NFC title and its running out of time to make a run at the wild card. The Bears’ biggest problem has been their slow starts, digging an early hole that they’re unable to claw out of. After Sunday’s loss, in which Chicago allowed 42 first-half points to the Packers, the Bears have been outscored 94-7 through the first two quarters during their current three-game slide. Luckily, for Chicago, the Vikings have been ice cold in the opening quarters, averaging just 8.1 points per first half this season. Minnesota has been slow out of the blocks even in their last two games – both wins – scoring a combined 10 points in the first halves of those outings. Overall, the Vikings offense ranks 26th in the NFL - 18.7 points per game. Minnesota has lost five in a row in the Windy City, going back to 2009, and has managed to cover in only one of those trips. Mother Nature could be playing into those woes for the Vikings, with the forecast calling for cold and a chance of snow in Chicago Sunday. A desperate Bears team at home taking on a slow-starting Vikings side is why I’m playing on Chicago as my 10* Personal Favorite |
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11-15-14 | Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Clippers -6.5 | Top | 107-120 | Win | 100 | 29 h 8 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Los Angeles Clippers as a 10* Situational Best of the Best Saturday. The Clippers have enjoyed an extended break, with their last game coming five days ago. That’s a much-needed hiatus after an inconsistent start to the year. Los Angeles will have fresh legs against the Phoenix Suns, who are playing the second half of back-to-back games Saturday night. The Suns roll into L.A. fresh off a home loss to the Charlotte Hornets Friday night. Phoenix, which will be playing its third game in four nights Saturday, crumbled in the fourth quarter after having a one-point lead, giving up 29 points to the Hornets in the final frame. The Suns have allowed opponents to top the 100-point plateau in six of their last seven games and rank 24th in the league in defense. The Clippers hope the time off worked out the kinks in their offense. Los Angeles is shooting 44.9 percent from the field and averaging just over 100 points per game, after posting 108 points per outing in 2013 – tied for tops in the NBA.The Clippers won’t need too much extra in the points department to edge a weary Suns team, about to tip off a six-game road trip which will send them East for most of the month. This situational matchup, with the Clippers well rested and the Suns going back-to-back nights, is why I’m playing on Los Angeles as a 10* Situational Best of the Best Saturday. |
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11-15-14 | LSU v. Arkansas -2.5 | Top | 0-17 | Win | 100 | 125 h 19 m | Show |
I am playing on ARKANSAS. Every SEC team that played the Razorbacks this season left the field wiping its brow and letting out a humongous sigh of relief. |
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11-15-14 | Utah v. Stanford -7.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -105 | 123 h 9 m | Show |
I am playing on STANFORD. The Cardinal need one more win to become bowl eligible, they are seeking revenge after losing to Utah last season, and Saturday marks their last home game of the season. |
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11-15-14 | Mississippi State v. Alabama -7 | Top | 20-25 | Loss | -100 | 121 h 59 m | Show |
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11-14-14 | Utah Jazz v. New York Knicks -3 | Top | 102-100 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
I’m playing on the New York Knicks as a 10* Personal Favorite Friday. The Knicks welcome a road weary Utah Jazz team to Madison Square Garden and try to snap a six-game losing slide in what is shaping up to be a must-win game for New York. The Knicks have stumbled out of the blocks, falling back in the Eastern Conference standings. New York’s offense has struggled to find its form in head coach Derek Fisher’s new triangle offense, coming into Friday ranked among the bottom of the league in scoring. However, star forward Carmelo Anthony is starting to heat up – scoring 27 points on 10-of-17 shooting in the loss to Orlando - and can spark this offense if he finds his stroke. The Jazz may be the perfect opponents to help New York end this slide. Utah’s defense is giving up 102.2 points per game to start the season, and allowed Atlanta to shoot better than 51 percent from the field in their loss to the Hawks Wednesday. On the other side of the floor, the Jazz don’t pose much of an offensive threat to the Knicks, managing just 90.5 points per game over their last four contest. New York has owned Utah in recent meetings, having covered the spread in 20 of their previous 26 head-to-head battles, including a 9-0 ATS winning streak against the Jazz inside MSG. A desperate Knicks teams and a road-weary Jazz side is why I’m playing on New York as a 10* Personal Favorite Friday. |
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11-13-14 | California +14 v. USC | Top | 30-38 | Win | 100 | 79 h 50 m | Show |
I am playing on CAL. The Golden Bears haven’t beating USC since 2003 and at I believe the Trojans should be nervous about this year’s game even though it is at Los Angeles Coliseum. The reason is Cal brings one of the best quarterbacks and overall passing games in the nation and it will face a USC secondary that is neither incredible nor entirely healthy. USC ranks 101st in the nation in passing yards allowed per game Freshman starting safety John Plattenburg has a Charlie horse and is expected to be a game-time decision on Thursday. Outside linebacker/safety and arguably the team’s best defensive standout, Su'a Cravens, is expected to play but he suffered an MCL sprain in the last game against Washington State. I feel Bears quarterback Jared Goff will be able to keep Cal in this game and maybe even give them a shot at winning it. He ranks fourth in the nation with 3,119 passing yards and is four passing TDs away from tying a single-season record at Cal. Goff has only four interceptions compared to 10 last year and what makes him so dangerous is the way he spreads the ball around. Cal has six receivers with at least 20 catches this season. The Golden Bears are 4-0 against the spread on the road this season and I feel oddsmakers are being far to nice to them once again for this Pac-12 showdown. 10* Thursday Best Bet |
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11-13-14 | East Carolina -2 v. Cincinnati | Top | 46-54 | Loss | -106 | 77 h 57 m | Show |
I am playing on EAST CAROLINA. I like the Pirates to come away from Cincinnati with a win on Thursday for two main reasons. The first is that just about anywhere you look, the Pirates stack up better statistically. The second is that ECU is coming off one of its most baffling losses in recent school memory and I believe the Pirates will be extra hungry for a win against the Bearcats. There’s no real need to go through every statistic but ECU’s numbers are better than Cincy’s when you stack them up in just about every category on offense and defense. The Pirates have the No. 4 total offense and the No. 3 passing offense in the nation but the number I feel might have the biggest impact on Thursday is the Pirates’ rush defense. ECU’s rush defense ranks eighth in the country and allows just 96.8 yards per game. That will be key against a Cincy offense that used a run game to propel the team to a win over Tulane last week. The Bearcats had two 100-yard rushers in that contest for the first time in a game since 2003, which was a huge benefit for QB Munchie Legaux. Legaux is now the starting QB in place of Gunner Kiel, who has been bothered by a rib injury for several weeks. I don’t believe Legaux will have the comfort level he did against Tulane where a running game opened up the field and made passing easier. I expect ECU to stall the rush and put a tighter squeeze on executing an air assault. ECU is coming off a tough 20-10 loss to Temple and the baffling part is the Pirates never really threatened to win the game despite outgaining the Owls by 293 yards. Five turnovers in sloppy weather killed ECU in the end and I expect the Pirates to take better care of the ball against Cincy. The Pirates are 11-0 ATS following a straight up loss and they have outgained their opponents in yards in all eight of their games this season. 9* Thursday Roast |
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11-12-14 | Orlando Magic v. New York Knicks -6 | Top | 97-95 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
I am playing on the KNICKS. While New York is still struggling to find any sort of rhythm, the good news is that the Knicks are catching the right team at the right time to get back on track. The Magic are coming off an excruciating loss to the Raptors last night during which they held a double-digit lead at one point. Orlando collapsed in the final quarter and was outscored 32-17 to lose 104-100. “It’s very hard, but it’s basketball,” guard Evan Fournier said after the loss. “I feel like I’m saying the same stuff for five games: We play good and we have a little stretch where we just don’t pay attention to the details, and that’s basically where we lose the game.” Magic coach Jaque Vaughn had to play his starters more than he likely would’ve wanted to in a back-to-back situation with four of his starting five playing at least 39 minutes each. But the Magic were desperately trying to salvage the win and managing for tonight’s game against the Knicks went out the window. I believe the Knicks will be able to take advantage of a fatigued and demoralized Magic squad on home court tonight. Orlando went 5-13 in the second game of back-to-backs last season and the Knicks have won and covered nine of the last 10 meetings with Orlando. 10* Personal Favorite |
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11-11-14 | Orlando Magic +11 v. Toronto Raptors | Top | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 28 h 59 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Orlando Magic as my 10* Best Bet Tuesday. The Magic head north of the border to face the Toronto Raptors Tuesday night. Toronto has jumped out to a strong start to the season but has built that record against some softer opponents. The Raptors added another tick to their win column with a blowout over Philadelphia Sunday. Toronto is surprising some with its 6-1 record to open the year but a quick glance at who those victories have come against will make you think twice about Toronto’s elite status. The Raptors have puffed up their odds with wins over the hapless Sixers, Celtics, Hawks and Tuesday’s opponents the Magic, and taken advantage of teams missing key players – Wizards and Thunder. Those six clubs have a combined record of 14-25 and Washington is currently the only one over .500. Unlike the overvalued Raptors, the Magic have been very undervalued in their recent outings. Orlando has covered in three of its last four games – all of those ATS wins coming as an underdog. The Magic have done a good job defending in that span, giving up just over 96 points in regulation in those four contests. That’s a major improvement on Orlando’s season average of 101 points against. The Raptors’ soft opening schedule and the Magic’s new-found defense is why I’m playing on Orlando as my 10* Best Bet Tuesday. |
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11-10-14 | Carolina Panthers +6 v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 21-45 | Loss | -103 | 176 h 37 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Carolina Panthers as my 10* MNF Main Event Monday. The Panthers are hungry for a win after going without a victory since early October. They clash with a Philadelphia Eagles team putting a backup QB under center against one of the NFL’s toughest defenses. Mark Sanchez is the man in the City of Brotherly Love, whether Eagles faithful like it or not. An injury to starter Nick Foles has the former Jets QB in the spotlight. Sanchez looked brilliant at moments in relief of Foles last weekend but was picked off twice in the win over Houston. This Chip Kelly offense is all about timing, something Sanchez and his first-team targets haven’t worked on much. Add to that poor chemistry and Carolina team that will bring pressure to put Sanchez on his heels. The Panthers have gone up against three top teams – Green Bay, Seattle and New Orleans – the last three weeks, facing three Super Bowl winning quarterbacks in three straight losses. Carolina actually did a good job against New Orleans QB Drew Brees and takes a major step down versus Sanchez. The Panthers have the patience and ground game to slow down the Eagles’ up-tempo attack. This rushing attack has been limited in recent games with Carolina playing from behind and forced to abandon the run at times. However, the Panthers combo of RBs DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart is finally healthy and, along with Cam Newton’s ability to scramble, should allow them to chew up the turf – and clock – icing Philadelphia’s offense on the sideline. The Eagles’ QB issues and a Panthers team hungry for a win is why I’m playing on Carolina as my 10* MNF Main Event Monday. |
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11-09-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Phoenix Suns +1 | Top | 95-107 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Phoenix Suns as my 10* Best Bet Sunday. Phoenix is at home hosting a Golden State Warriors side coming off a huge game against the Houston Rockets Saturday night. Golden State will be ripe for a letdown after mixing it up with the Western Conference-leading Rockets. Back-to-back games will have the Warriors up-tempo offense a step slower, which will benefit a Phoenix side rested up and motivated after a crushing loss to Sacramento in two overtimes Friday night. The Suns are planning on picking up the pace with their offense – perfect timing to put Golden State on its heels. Phoenix opened that loss to Sacramento with a 36-point first quarter before pumping the breaks the rest of the game. Head coach Jeff Hornacek liked what he saw in that opening frame and is telling his backcourt to pick up the pace instead of walking into the offense. The Suns have the horses to match the Warriors' pace, scoring an average of 103.2 points per game to start the season. Phoenix has covered in four of its previous five meetings with Golden State and has come away as an ATS victor in six of its last eight games versus the Warriors inside US Airways Center. A letdown spot for the Warriors and the Suns' commitment to pushing the pace is why I’m playing on Phoenix as my 10* Best Bet Sunday. |
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11-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Buffalo Bills +1.5 | Top | 17-13 | Loss | -104 | 143 h 16 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Buffalo Bills as my 10* Breakfast Club Sunday. Buffalo is coming off the bye week and hosts a streaking Kansas City Chiefs team that could get caught looking ahead to next week’s date with the defending Super Bowl champs. The Bills took back-to-back wins into the bye and roll into this game at 5-3 SU, smack in the middle of the postseason wild card hunt in the AFC. Buffalo QB Kyle Orton, who took over as the starter four games ago, has had the extra week to work with his receivers and that should add some punch to this offense, which is trying to overcome injuries to the rushing corps. Kansas City has had its own issues on offense. The Chiefs are putting up just 22.8 points per game on the road with the passing game struggling to move the chains. Away from Arrowhead, Alex Smith is managing an average of only 196 passing yards and meets a Buffalo defense among the most underrated in the league. The Bills, under new defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz, have done a tremendous job limiting opponents’ chances. Buffalo is giving up just 326 yards per game – eighth in the league – and has forced rival offenses to settle for field goal attempts on 45 percent of their trips inside the red zone at Ralph Wilson Stadium. The Bills have been especially stingy against the run, budging for only 3.6 yards per carry – seventh lowest in the NFL – and can put the breaks on Kansas City’s ground game. That defense could crack an unfocused Kansas City team in the mouth, with the Chiefs riding high on their current three-game streak and looking ahead to Week 11’s showdown with the Seattle Seahawks back in Arrowhead. An underrated Bills stop unit and an improving passing game is why I’m playing on Buffalo as my 10* Breakfast Club Sunday. |
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11-09-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. NY Jets +6 | Top | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 69 h 0 m | Show |
Jets. 10* best bet. Analysis before game day |
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11-09-14 | Miami Dolphins v. Detroit Lions -2.5 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 68 h 13 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Detroit Lions as my 10* Personal Favorite Sunday. Detroit took a three-game winning streak into the bye week and takes on a Miami Dolphins team that isn’t as good as its own three-game winning run would lead bettors to believe. The Lions offense is usually the squad getting the headlines but the stop unit is the talk of the town in the Motor City. Detroit ranks No. 1 in yards allowed, giving up only 290 yards per game, and has a dominating front four that is pressuring opposing passers for 23 sacks on the season. Miami has struggled with protection at times and this Lions pass rush can disrupt a Dolphins offense that is finding it form. Not to be outdone, Detroit offense returns its top weapon in WR Calvin Johnson, who has sat out the previous three games with an ankle injury. Johnson is the lifeblood of this offense, which has struggled without him drawing defenders to his side of the field. Detroit has averaged just over 19 points since he went down. The Lions are also getting dynamic RB Reggie Bush back on the field, another weapons the Miami defense must account for. The Dolphins come into Week 10 on a three-game tear but have taken those wins over some teams in tough situations. Miami took advantage of a reeling Bears squad with locker room issues, then beat up on the toothless Jaguars, before hosting a Chargers team that traveled cross country for an early kickoff last Sunday. The Lions defense and its ability to pressure the passer and an offense getting its top target back is why I’m playing on Detroit as my 10* Personal Favorite Sunday. |
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11-08-14 | Alabama -6.5 v. LSU | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 52 h 12 m | Show |
I am playing on ALABAMA. The Crimson Tide have perhaps their best and most balanced offense we’ve seen in years, which is a little scary for LSU and confidence boosting for this pick. |
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11-08-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Los Angeles Clippers -3.5 | Top | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Los Angeles Clippers. Los Angeles is try to erase a bad loss to Golden State when the Clippers host the Portland Trail Blazers Saturday. Los Angeles has stumbled to open the schedule and head coach Doc Rivers ripped into this players, hoping to light a fire for this game. The Clippers have been terribly inconsistent to start the year, following wins with losses in their last four contests. Los Angeles’ defense isn’t where it needs to be, allowing more than 104 points per game, but Saturday offers a chance to make a statement against a hungry team trying to leapfrog L.A. in the Western Conference. Portland is coming off two straight wins over Cleveland and Dallas, and is bound for a letdown on the road Saturday. The Blazers offense depends a lot on PG Damian Lillard to create chances, and when he struggles so does Portland. Los Angeles will throw a lot of bodies at Lillard Saturday, using Chris Paul, Jordan Farmar and Chris Douglas-Roberts to disrupt his night. The Clippers frontcourt duo of Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan match up well with Blazers versatile big man LaMarcus Aldridge and have the athletic ability to stay with him inside and out. Aldridge put up just 16 and 20 points in the past two games and will have limited looks Saturday. The Clippers getting a wake-up call and bad matchups for the Blazers is why I’m playing on Los Angeles. 10* |
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