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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-28-16 | Towson v. Drexel +3.5 | Top | 77-70 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on DREXEL. The Tigers had their way with the Dragons when these teams met at Towson two weeks ago. I expect a much different result for tonight's rematch at Philadelphia. The Dragons have played a tough slate of games lately. Including the game at Towson, their last four games have come against the top four teams in the Colonial Athletic Conference. Three of those games were on the road, too. The lone home game was against UNC Wilmington. The Dragons were competitive (leading at halftime but lost by 6) but came up short. The result notwithstanding, it was encouraging that the offense "woke up" and topped the 70 point mark. The Tigers are no slouches either and are actually 3-1 on the road in conference play. That said, they've been inconsistent with their effort. They've also ost five times away from home, compared to just twice at home. Note that three of their road/neutral wins have been by four points or less and that they've also lost a pair of road games by two points or less. In fact, with the exception of a few blowout losses, all their road games have been quite close. Note that the Tigers are just 1-3 SU/ATS off a conference win. Last time they were coming off a victory, they managed only 37 points their next game. Drexel leads the series, 48-18, and has won 23 of the 30 meetings here in Philadelphia. The Dragons won by four here last season. I like their chances of an upset here. However, with a real possibility of this being another close one, I'll happily grab the points. 10* Best Bet |
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01-27-16 | California v. Utah -5.5 | Top | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on UTAH. I won with the Bears when these teams met at Cal a few weeks ago. However, I'm expecting a much different result for tonight's rematch. |
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01-27-16 | Hornets v. Jazz -5.5 | Top | 73-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on UTAH. These teams met just over a week ago at Charlotte. While it took them two overtimes to do it, the Hornets managed to win that one. With this evening's rematch being played at Salt Lake City, I expect a much different result. |
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01-27-16 | Massachusetts +14 v. St. Joe's | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on MASSACHUSETTS. The Hawks are rolling. The Minutemen are slumping. Those results have led to a very high line. I believe that it will prove to be a little too high. |
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01-26-16 | Magic v. Bucks -5 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. I successfully played against the Bucks in each of their last two games, road losses at Houston and New Orleans. Returning home to face a struggling Orlando team, I like their chances of getting back on track here. |
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01-25-16 | Kansas +2.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 72-85 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on KANSAS. The Cyclones have won three of the last four in this series. However, prior to that, Kansas had won 18 of 19. I expect things to return to "normal" tonight. |
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01-25-16 | Celtics v. Wizards -2 | Top | 116-91 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. If they can get this game in, I feel that it will favor the home team. The Wizards have had plenty of time off. The Celtics played last night and will now be playing their third game in the past four days. Going back further finds that Boston will be playing its 9th game in the past 14 nights. This will just be Washington's sixth game, during the same period. |
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01-24-16 | Cardinals +3 v. Panthers | Top | 15-49 | Loss | -103 | 134 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. With 30 victories between them, these teams are obviously both extremely capable. That said, I really like how this one sets up for the visitors. |
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01-24-16 | Clippers +2 v. Raptors | Top | 94-112 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on the LA CLIPPERS. The Raptors upset the Clippers at LA earlier this season. I believe that they caught the Clippers at the right time for that one and that they'll find they're facing a far more formidable opponent in Sunday's rematch. |
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01-23-16 | Bucks v. Pelicans -5.5 | Top | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on New Orleans. Situation favors the home team here. Off back to back double-digit wins and winners of four of their last five, the Pelicans are arguably playing their best basketball of the season. Prior to yesterday, one could have said the exact same thing about the Bucks. The Bucks were off b2b double-digit wins and had won four of their previous five. Milwaukee lost a hard-fought game at Houston last night though. The fact that they battled all the way back, only to still fall short, makes it hard to take. Off that close loss and now playing the final leg of a 4-game road trip, I feel that they may not have enough left to contend with Davis and co. A look ahead to the return trip home - and the expected return of coach Jason Kidd - may also be in order. |
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01-23-16 | UCLA v. Oregon -7.5 | Top | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on OREGON. I won with the Ducks when they knocked off #25 USC on Thursday. This afternoon, I'm expecting more of the same against the Bruins. |
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01-23-16 | Georgetown v. Connecticut -3.5 | Top | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on UCONN. This is a huge game for both teams. For starters, they're all excited about getting to renew their old rivalry against each other. More importantly, they could both really use the win to help their Big Dance resume. That said, I believe the Huskies need it a little more and I expect them to be a little hungrier. |
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01-22-16 | Bucks v. Rockets -2.5 | Top | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on HOUSTON. The Bucks come in as the hotter team. However, I believe the Rockets will be the "hungrier" team this evening. |
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01-22-16 | Jazz v. Nets +5.5 | Top | 108-86 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on BROOKLYN. Admittedly, the Nets are pretty brutal. I won with them when they beat the Knicks here on 1/13 though and I believe they're offering plenty of value again tonight. |
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01-22-16 | St. Peter's v. Iona -6 | Top | 58-64 | Push | 0 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on IONA. The Gaels recent struggles at the betting window have helped to play a part in bringing this line down. I feel that this will be a good spot for a break-out game. Note that Iona was laying -9 points in this matchup here last season and -12 the year before. In fact, this is the lowest line, when the Gaels were the host in this series, since back in 2007. |
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01-21-16 | USC v. Oregon -4.5 | Top | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on OREGON. The Trojans come in with an impressive record and a lofty ranking. Clearly, they're a much improved team from the one that Oregon swept (again) last season. I still believe that the Ducks are favored for good reason though. Lets not forget that Oregon hasn't lost on this floor for more than a year. |
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01-20-16 | Warriors v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 125-94 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. Clearly, the Warriors are an elite team. Betting against them each game so far this season would have resulted in significant losses. They've shown some chinks in their armor recently though. Prior to Monday's blowout win at Cleveland, the Warriors had actually dropped two of three games outright and had gone 0-1-3 ATS their previous four. I believe this will be another good spot to go against them. |
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01-20-16 | Indiana State v. Southern Illinois -3 | Top | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 23 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. With a 16-3 record (5-1 in conference) the Salukis are starting to believe that they're an NCAA Tournament team. True, the schedule has been pretty soft. However, that doesn't change the fact that winning builds confidence. |
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01-19-16 | UNLV v. Utah State +3.5 | Top | 80-68 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Utah State Aggies as my 10* Best Bet. |
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01-19-16 | Clemson v. Virginia -9.5 | Top | 62-69 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Virginia Cavaliers as my 10* Personal Favorite. |
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01-18-16 | Blazers v. Wizards -4.5 | Top | 108-98 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Washington Wizards as my 10* Personal Favorite. |
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01-17-16 | Oregon State v. Utah -8.5 | Top | 53-59 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Utah Utes as my 10* Personal Favorite. |
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01-17-16 | Seahawks +3 v. Panthers | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -116 | 146 h 19 m | Show |
*10 ROAST on Seattle Seahawks. |
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01-16-16 | Packers +7.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 130 h 49 m | Show |
*10 DIVISIONAL RND. GAME OF THE WEEK on Green Bay Packers. |
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01-16-16 | Blazers v. 76ers +5.5 | Top | 89-114 | Win | 100 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Philadelphia 76ers as my 10* Best Bet. |
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01-15-16 | Cavs v. Rockets -1.5 | Top | 91-77 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Houston Rockets as my 10* Main Event. |
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01-15-16 | Monmouth v. Iona -1 | Top | 110-102 | Loss | -106 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Iona Gaels as my 10* MAAC Game Of The Month. |
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01-14-16 | Lakers +17 v. Warriors | Top | 98-116 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Los Angeles Lakers as my 10* Main Event. |
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01-14-16 | Pepperdine v. Santa Clara +1.5 | Top | 60-62 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Santa Clara Broncos as my 10* Best Bet. |
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01-14-16 | BYU v. Gonzaga -6.5 | Top | 69-68 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Gonzaga Bulldogs as my 10* Personal Favorite. |
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01-13-16 | Georgia Tech v. Notre Dame -6.5 | Top | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish as my 10* Personal Favorite. |
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01-13-16 | Knicks v. Nets +3 | Top | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Brooklyn Nets as my 10* REVENGE ANNIHILATOR. |
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01-12-16 | Minnesota +8 v. Nebraska | Top | 59-84 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
I am playing on MINNESOTA. Minnesota is simply getting too many points from oddsmakers to ignore in this spot and I think the Gophers keep it close in this Big Ten matchup on Tuesday. |
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01-12-16 | Providence v. Creighton -2 | Top | 50-48 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
I am playing on CREIGHTON. Blue Jays head coach Greg McDermott is calling this game against No. 9 ranked Providence one of the biggest games for the Jays since they've entered the Big East and I think home court will help propel them for the victory. |
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01-12-16 | Celtics +2 v. Knicks | Top | 114-120 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
I am playing on the CELTICS. I fully expect to see a huge effort from Boston Tuesday night after losing a heartbreaker on Sunday to Memphis after holding a 21-point lead in that game. |
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01-11-16 | Alabama v. Clemson +7.5 | Top | 45-40 | Win | 100 | 225 h 2 m | Show |
I am playing on CLEMSON. Sharp action offshore has been hammering Clemson leading up to this game - even though the public is largely on Bama - and I have to agree with the wiseguy money here. |
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01-11-16 | Spurs v. Nets +14 | Top | 106-79 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 47 m | Show |
I am playing on BROOKLYN. This is simply a case of the Nets getting way too many points with the advantage of home court and I like them to cover the number on Monday. |
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01-10-16 | Thunder v. Blazers +7.5 | Top | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Portland Trail Blazers as my 10* Best Bet. |
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01-10-16 | Mavs v. Wolves +4 | Top | 93-87 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 41 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Minnesota Timberwolves as my 9* Afternoon Annihilator. |
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01-10-16 | Packers v. Redskins | Top | 35-18 | Win | 104 | 154 h 32 m | Show |
I am playing on the GREEN BAY PACKERS. This spread is rightly a close one but I believe the Packers hold the edge here with the better quarterback and better defense statistically. |
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01-09-16 | Raptors v. 76ers +9 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Philadelphia 76ers as my 10* Best Bet. |
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01-09-16 | Bulls v. Hawks -2 | Top | 105-120 | Win | 100 | 24 h 35 m | Show |
I am playing on the Atlanta Hawks. Sports betting is all about catching spots where are you are ahead of the oddsmakers' adjustments and I feel we have a perfect opportunity like that Saturday night when the visiting Bulls come to town. |
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01-09-16 | Pittsburgh v. Notre Dame -4 | Top | 86-82 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish as my 10* GAME OF THE MONTH. |
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01-08-16 | Buffalo v. Kent State -6.5 | Top | 76-67 | Loss | -102 | 23 h 45 m | Show |
I’m playing on Kent State as my 10* Personal Favorite. |
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01-07-16 | Arizona v. UCLA +2.5 | Top | 84-87 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on UCLA. Off back-to-back losses to start Pac-12 play, the Bruins figure to be in a foul mood tonight. Granted, they'll be facing a far more formidable opponent - but they'll also be doing it at home. They haven't started off 0-3 in conference play for as long as I can remember (last time was 34 years ago) and I expect their very best effort tonight. Before panicking about the winless conference start - or about a visit from the #7 Wildcats - keep in mind that UCLA has already defeated the likes of Gonzaga and Kentucky. Lets also not forget that last year's team, which advanced to the Sweet 16, also lost its first two conference games. Even with the loss at WSU, the Bruins are still a healthy 10-5 SU/ATS the last 15 times that they were off a Pac-12 setback. The Wildcats won both meetings last season. Neither of those were here at Westwood though. Payback time at Pauley Pavilion. 10* Best Bet |
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01-07-16 | Celtics v. Bulls -5 | Top | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. Bulls lost a close one at Boston last month. They weren't playing well at the time, as that was their third straight SU loss and fourth straight ATS loss. What a difference a month can make. The Bulls enter tonight's game off five straight wins, having covered the spread in four of those, each of the last three. While that streak figures to come to an end in the relatively near future, I don't expect it to be tonight. The Bulls had last night off while the Celtics are off a hard fought and disappointing loss vs. the Pistons. This will be their third game in the past four nights. The Bulls are 9-1 SU the last 10 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier loss. I expect them to improve on those stats, covering the small number along the way. 10* Main Event |
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01-06-16 | Nuggets v. Wolves -3 | Top | 78-74 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. Both these teams have struggled of late and both view tonight's game as an opportunity to earn a rare victory. Playing at home, I believe the T-Wolves will have the edge. This will already be the fourth meeting of the season. The teams split the first two at Denver. Then, the Nuggets won the most recent game, a 112-100 "upset" here at Minnesota. Note that the T-Wolves were favored by -6.5 points for that one, so we're getting a far more favorable line tonight. The fact that they lost that the most recent meeting, and that it was here, puts the T-Wolves in one of their best roles. The Wolves check in at a profitable 38-20 ATS their last 58 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. They skipped Tuesday's regular practice to instead "discuss strategy" and I expect it pay dividends on the court tonight. 10* Personal Favorite |
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01-06-16 | Missouri v. Georgia -11 | Top | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 24 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on GEORGIA. Off a loss to begin conference play, the Bulldogs are chomping at the bit to get back at someone. The Tigers should represent the perfect opponent as Georgia is 3-0 SU/ATS against Missouri the past couple of seasons. The two most recent meetings, both here at Georgia, saw the Bulldogs win by scores of 68-44 and 71-56. I expect another double-digit victory for the home team tonight. The Tigers have only played two true road games and they lost those by an average of 24 points each. Factoring in neutral court games, they're 0-5 on the road. The Bulldogs are stingy defensively and capable offensively. Yante Manten (16.6, 7.5) has emerged as a bigtime force inside while Frazier, Gaines and Mann form a strong backcourt, one which combines for 39+ points per game. That should be more than enough to take care of business against a young Missouri team playing its first SEC game of the season. 10* Personal Favorite |
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01-05-16 | Kings v. Mavs -5 | Top | 116-117 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS. |
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01-05-16 | Clemson v. Syracuse -5 | Top | 74-73 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on SYRACUSE. |
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01-04-16 | Spurs v. Bucks +9 | Top | 123-98 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. |
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01-04-16 | North Carolina -3 v. Florida State | Top | 106-90 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on NORTH CAROLINA. |
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01-03-16 | Vikings v. Packers -3 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -119 | 149 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on GREEN BAY. |
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01-03-16 | Utah v. California -3.5 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALIFORNIA. |
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01-03-16 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 36-6 | Win | 100 | 144 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on SEATTLE. |
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01-03-16 | Jets v. Bills +3.5 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 141 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. |
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01-03-16 | Eagles +3.5 v. Giants | Top | 35-30 | Win | 100 | 141 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. |
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01-02-16 | Pistons v. Pacers -4.5 | Top | 82-94 | Win | 100 | 24 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on INDIANA. |
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01-02-16 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma -8 | Top | 83-87 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on OKLAHOMA. |
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01-02-16 | TCU -1 v. Oregon | Top | 47-41 | Win | 100 | 124 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on TCU in the Alamo Bowl. |
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01-01-16 | Ole Miss v. Oklahoma State +7.5 | Top | 48-20 | Loss | -120 | 101 h 25 m | Show |
I’m playing on OKLAHOMA STATE in the Sugar Bowl. |
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01-01-16 | Iowa +7 v. Stanford | Top | 16-45 | Loss | -120 | 98 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on IOWA in the Rose Bowl. |
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01-01-16 | Florida +4 v. Michigan | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -104 | 94 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA in the Citrus Bowl. |
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01-01-16 | Notre Dame v. Ohio State -6.5 | Top | 28-44 | Win | 100 | 94 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on OHIO STATE in the Fiesta Bowl. |
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12-31-15 | BYU +5.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 74-85 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on BYU. |
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12-31-15 | Michigan State +10 v. Alabama | Top | 0-38 | Loss | -110 | 408 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on MICHIGAN STATE in the Cotton Bowl Classic. |
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12-31-15 | Clippers v. Pelicans -3 | Top | 95-89 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEW ORLEANS. |
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12-31-15 | Oklahoma v. Clemson +4 | Top | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 404 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on CLEMSON in the Orange Bowl. |
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12-30-15 | Wisconsin v. USC -3 | Top | 23-21 | Loss | -115 | 387 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on USC in the Holiday Bowl. |
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12-30-15 | Utah State -7 v. San Jose State | Top | 80-71 | Win | 100 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on UTAH STATE. |
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12-29-15 | Texas Tech v. LSU -7 | Top | 27-56 | Win | 100 | 362 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on LSU in the Texas Bowl. |
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12-29-15 | Hawks v. Rockets -2.5 | Top | 121-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on HOUSTON. |
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12-29-15 | Purdue v. Wisconsin +6 | Top | 61-55 | Push | 0 | 24 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on WISCONSIN. |
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12-29-15 | Baylor -3 v. North Carolina | Top | 49-38 | Win | 100 | 358 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on BAYLOR in the Russell Athletic Bowl. |
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12-29-15 | Air Force v. California -7 | Top | 36-55 | Win | 100 | 355 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALIFORNIA in the Armed Forces Bowl. |
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12-28-15 | Cavs v. Suns +8.5 | Top | 101-97 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHOENIX. |
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12-28-15 | Bengals v. Broncos -3.5 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -100 | 134 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on DENVER. |
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12-28-15 | Valparaiso v. Belmont +3 | Top | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
I'm taking the points with BELMONT. |
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12-28-15 | Central Michigan v. Minnesota -5 | Top | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 335 h 55 m | Show |
I am playing on MINNESOTA (vs Central Michigan) as my *10 CFB Blowout *Game of the Week* on Monday, December 28th @ 5 PM ET |
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12-28-15 | Pittsburgh +3.5 v. Navy | Top | 28-44 | Loss | -106 | 332 h 10 m | Show |
I am playing on PITTSBURGH (vs Navy) as my *10 MILITARY BOWL *ROUT* on Monday, December 28th @ 2:30 PM ET |
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12-27-15 | Giants v. Vikings -5.5 | Top | 17-49 | Win | 100 | 110 h 57 m | Show |
I am playing on MINNESOTA (vs NY Giants) as my *10 SNF Game of the Year on Sunday @ 8:30 PM ET - With the Eagles falling to the Redskins on Saturday night, the Giants are eliminated from post-season contention as Washington locked up the NFC East. It's tough to see the Giants offense having a lot of push tonight with the disappointing result of last night's game. That said, I don't look for the Giants to be able to match the intensity that the Vikings bring into this game. Minnesota is still locked in a dogfight in the NFC North and will be bringing their "A game" tonight. The Vikings last five games against teams with a losing record have seen them allow just 15.8 points per game and all 5 games resulted in Minnesota victories. The Vikes are an incredible 11-3 ATS this season and the Giants are limping into this game with straight-up losses in 4 of their last 5 games. In week 14 the Giants played on Monday night while the Vikings played on Thursday night. The physical toll for New York of now playing their 3rd game in 14 days is a tough one compared to a Vikings team playing their 3rd game in 18 days. In addition to the physical toll, the emotional toll of the recent losses and knowing your season is over is a tough one for the Giants (after Redskins wrapped up NFC East last night) while the Vikings got a big boost with their huge 38-17 win over Chicago last week. This one should be ALL Minnesota on Sunday night. |
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12-27-15 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -11 | Top | 96-112 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
I am playing on MEMPHIS (vs LA Lakers) as my *10 Personal Favorite on Sunday @ 6:05 PM ET - Of course it goes without saying that the Lakers are one of the worst teams in the league but they have gone 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings with Memphis. That said, the Grizzlies certainly won't overlook the Lakers as they don't want another tight victory here; Memphis wants a blowout. The Grizzlies are coming off of back to back losses at Washington before Christmas and then at Charlotte yesterday. As a result, there is no doubt that Memphis will bring plenty of intensity to the floor Sunday against the Lakers. Only once this entire season has Memphis had a lost streak go further than two games. That said, they will be ready to pound LA on Sunday. The Lakers come into this game with a 2-5 ATS mark as a road dog set in a range of 9.5 to 12 points. The Lakers are also 0-5 ATS against Southwest Division opponents this season. Look for ATS loss #6 to come in on Sunday as the Lakers are in the wrong place at the wrong time. It's the perfect spot for Memphis to impose their will |
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12-27-15 | South Carolina State v. Ohio State -24.5 | Top | 57-73 | Loss | -106 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
I am playing on OHIO STATE (vs South Carolina State) as my *10 Blue Marlin on Sunday @ 6 PM ET - South Carolina State comes from the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference (MEAC). Not only is that one of the weakest conferences in the nation, the Bulldogs also are among the bottom half of the teams in the conference. Last season South Carolina State went 11-22 on the year and this season, despite playing a weak schedule, they are off to another rough start with a 5-8 mark thusfar. Last season the Bulldogs had trouble with their offense. Though the offense has improved early this season, South Carolina State is not defending well and they will have all sorts of trouble trying to stop the talented players a Big Ten team like Ohio State has. The Buckeyes are only 7-5 on the season but they've played some tough opposition early this season. Also, five of Ohio State's seven wins have come by a margin of at least 20 points. This is another game that has blowout written all over it for the Buckeyes. This is Ohio State's final tune-up before Big Ten conference action gets underway (they face Minnesota Wednesday) and the Buckeyes will make sure they're ready to go by giving the full 40 minute performance against an overmatched Bulldogs team Sunday. Ohio State is 3-0 ATS this season and 9-3 ATS the last three seasons combined in home games with a total set in a range of 135 to 139.5 points. |
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12-27-15 | Rams v. Seahawks -13 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -115 | 106 h 53 m | Show |
I am playing on SEATTLE (vs St Louis) as my *10 Blue Marlin on Sunday @ 4:25 ET - The Seahawks have not only won five straight games, Seattle has simply been dominating opponents. In the five game win streak, Seattle has won games by an average margin of 20.4 points per victory. Needless to say, St Louis is in trouble here. The Rams are off of back to back wins but those victories came at home. On the road, the Rams are 1-5 straight-up (and 1-4-1 ATS) this season. St Louis, before the back to back home wins, had lost five straight games and averaged scoring only 10.8 points per game in those contests. This is also a revenge game for the Seahawks because they lost their season opener at St Louis by a field goal. That 34-31 defeat is a loss that Seattle will want to avenge in a big way on Sunday afternoon. Seattle's last two home games against the Rams were victories by an average margin of 16 points per win and the Hawks should easily take Sunday's game by at least 3 TD's. In games played in the last four weeks of the regular season, Seattle is on a 9-1 ATS run. As a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points, the Seahawks are on a 6-2 ATS run. In a road game with a total set in a range of 38.5 to 42 points, the Rams are on an 0-8 ATS run. This one is ALL Seattle on Sunday as they get their revenge in a big way. |
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12-27-15 | 49ers v. Lions -9 | Top | 17-32 | Win | 100 | 102 h 29 m | Show |
I am playing on DETROIT (vs San Francisco) as my *10 Breakfast Club on Sunday @ 1 PM ET - The 49'ers are simply ready to fade into the off-season. San Francisco hasn't put up much of a fight lately with 6 losses in their last 8 games. The average margin of defeat in those six losses was 14 points per defeat. The Lions are likely to put another big loss on the Niners here. Detroit is still playing with fire. The Lions got a 35-27 win over the Saints last week and that game was on the road. Detroit is back home for this week 16 match-up and the Lions have averaged 28.4 points per game in their last 5 home games. The Lions got good news on the injury front too as Calvin Johnson (ankle) is listed as probable for Sunday's game. Johnson has had some huge games at home and another one is likely against a Niners defense that ranks among the worst in the league. San Francisco's offense is also a concern here as they have been held to 17 points or less in 6 of their last 7 games. The 49'ers won't be able to match the potent Lions offense score for score in this one and that's why it's only a matter of time before Detroit has amassed a double digit lead in this one. The Lions, since the midway point of this season, have started to impose their will against weaker foes as Detroit is on a 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS run against teams with a losing record. The Niners are 2-5 ATS in road games this season and are also known for "mailing it in" at the end of a season with a 2-8 ATS mark the last three seasons combined in games played in the final four weeks of the regular season. This game has the perfect ingredients for a Lions blowout win. |
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12-26-15 | Nebraska v. UCLA -6.5 | Top | 37-29 | Loss | -112 | 291 h 6 m | Show |
I am playing on UCLA (vs Nebraska) as my *10 Main Event on Saturday, December 26th @ 9:15 PM ET - The Bruins won each of the last two regular season meetings between these teams. Head coach Mora (UCLA) last faced head coach Riley (Nebraska) back in 2012 and Riley's Oregon State team knocked off the Bruins. That makes this a revenge game as far as Mora is concerned as it's the first time these coaches have met since then. The Bruins are going for a 3rd straight win in bowl action while Nebraska has lost four of their last five bowls. The Cornhuskers only went 5-7 this season and, in that regard, are fortunate to even be in a bowl game. Though the Huskers made some headlines this season with their upset of Michigan State and the fact they outgained Iowa by nearly 200 yards, those two big games came at home for Nebraska. Now the Cornhuskers are in a venue (Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA) that clearly favors the Bruins. That, in addition to the fact that UCLA is a solid 8-4 team and that Mora seeks revenge against Riley all combines to make this a great spot for a big Bruins win. UCLA played the much tougher schedule in comparison with Nebraska. The Bruins have a significantly stronger pass defense in comparison with the Cornhuskers. UCLA is on a 7-3 ATS run as a favorite in a range of 3.5 to 10 points and the Bruins are on a 4-0 ATS run when entering a game with two or more weeks of rest. |
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12-26-15 | Clippers v. Jazz | Top | 109-104 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
I am playing on UTAH (vs LA Clippers) as my *10 NBA Game of the Week on Saturday @ 9:05 PM ET - The Jazz catch the Clippers in a tough scheduling spot here as the Clips battled with the Lakers in the late game on Christmas Day yesterday. Utah definitely has the edge in terms of being rested for this game while the Clippers had to travel from LA to Salt Lake City for this tough back to back game. The Jazz already defeated the Clippers in LA earlier this season and are 24-11-2 ATS in their last 37 home games against the Clips. Utah comes into this game on a 4-2 straight-up and ATS run in home games. The Jazz are 3-0 ATS this season in home games with a total set in a range of 195 to 199.5 points. Utah's most recent game was a loss by a margin of 18 points at Golden State on Wednesday. The Jazz are 3-1 ATS this season when off of a loss by a margin of 10 points or more. The Clippers are off of a win against the Lakers last night but they did fail to cover the spread and are now 4-8 ATS this season in road games. As a road favorite of 3 points or less, the Clippers are on a long-term 31-53 ATS run. Look for the Jazz to improve to 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in Saturday games this season with another big home win as they take advantage of a scheduling situation that is very favorable for Utah. |
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12-26-15 | Redskins v. Eagles -3 | Top | 38-24 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 50 m | Show |
I am playing on PHILADELPHIA (vs Washington) as my Saturday NFL *Game of the Year* on Saturday @ 8:25 ET - This is the Eagles season Saturday night. Last year in Week 16 of the season these teams also met on Saturday night and a Redskins team with just 2 wins on the year got the upset win even though Philly outgained Washington by nearly 200 yards. The Eagles haven't forgotten that loss nor the loss at Washington earlier this season where a late Redskins TD pass with under a minute to go did the Eagles in. This is a do or die game for the Eagles while Washington can clinch the NFC East with a win. Look for the Eagles to bounce back after last week's tough result where Philly was done in by four turnovers in their ugly loss against Arizona. The Redskins have struggled on the road this season with a 1-5 straight-up record and 2-4 ATS mark this season. This is nothing new as the Skins are 7-15 ATS in road games the last three seasons combined and that includes an 0-3 ATS mark as a road dog of three points or less. The Eagles are on a long-term 60-41 ATS run when playing with revenge. The Redskins gave up over 450 yards of offense to the Bills last week so Washington was fortunate to get the win thanks to a rare, strong performance on offense. Prior to scoring 35 points against the Bills, the Redskins had averaged 19 points per game in their four previous games. The Redskins will struggle to keep up with an Eagles team piling up the yardage with Sam Bradford at QB. Done in by turnovers last week, the Philly offense limits mistakes and resumes their long-term series dominance of the Redskins after suffering rare, back to back losses to Washington in the last two meetings. |
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12-26-15 | Southern Miss +9 v. Washington | Top | 31-44 | Loss | -110 | 287 h 50 m | Show |
I am playing on SOUTHERN MISS (vs Washington) as my *10 CFB *Game of the Week* on Saturday, December 26th @ 2:20 PM ET - A lot of value here with Southern Miss considering that the Golden Eagles went 9-4 straight up this season and also 10-3 ATS. Washington only went 6-6 on the year. The Huskies did face a tougher schedule but the Washington offense is truly a liability in this match-up. The Golden Eagles average over 500 yards and 40 points per game. The Huskies averaged less than 400 yards and 30 points per game. The value in the Heart of Dallas Bowl is with Southern Miss and the big points. The Huskies improved this season but they are still a young team that could struggle in a bowl setting. Last year was head coach Petersen's first bowl as the Huskies coach and all the success at Boise State did not translate over immediately as Washington lost 30-22 in the Cactus Bowl last year. With only 9 returning starters this season, the youth of this team will be an issue in this year's bowl. Southern Miss went a perfect 4-0 ATS in non-conference games this season. The Golden Eagles averaged 52 points per game in their last four games this season. The Huskies were held to 23 points or less in two of their last four games this season. Look for Southern Mississippi's potent offense to keep them in this game all the way through. |
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12-25-15 | Harvard v. Oklahoma -14 | Top | 71-83 | Loss | -108 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
I am playing on OKLAHOMA (vs Harvard) as my *10 Personal Favorite on Friday @ 9 PM ET - With Oklahoma off of a tight win over Hawaii (by just 3 points), there is some line value created here. The line on the Sooners for Christmas Day has been kept lower than it should be. Oklahoma is undefeated on the season and, prior to the win over Hawaii, the Sooners prior 8 wins came by an average margin of 26.4 points per victory. That said, covering 14 against an over-matched Harvard team should not be a problem. The Crimson lost an 'all-everything player' with the loss of Wesley Saunders from last season's team. It's evident this has impacted Harvard as they are only 5-6 this season. The Crimson just don't have the offensive firepower to keep up with Oklahoma. While Harvard is averaging 67 points per game this season, the Sooners are averaging 87 points per game this season. Harvard is 3-5 away from home this season while Oklahoma comes into this one undefeated. Don't be fooled by the Crimson allowing just 51 points to Auburn. In their four prior games, Harvard allowed 76.5 points per game. The Crimson won't be able to stop Oklahoma and this one will be all Sooners as Harvard continues to show they are below the level of the teams here that recently produced 5 straight Ivy League titles and four straight appearances in the Big Dance. Oklahoma got their "wake-up call" against Hawaii and that means the Sooners won't take Harvard lightly. |
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12-25-15 | Spurs v. Rockets +7 | Top | 84-88 | Win | 100 | 28 h 10 m | Show |
I am playing on HOUSTON (vs San Antonio) as my *10 Main Event on Friday @ 8:05 PM ET - The Rockets host the Spurs with a shot at revenge in this heated rivalry. These teams are separated by less than 200 miles and, as a result, there is certainly "no love lost" between these rivals. The Spurs managed to win each of the last three meetings between the clubs last season and that means payback is the order of the day for Houston on Christmas Day. The Rockets are off of a loss at Orlando but had won 10 of their 14 prior games. As strong as the Spurs have been this season, it is still difficult to justify San Antonio being favored by a big margin on the road against a tough rival. In the Rockets current 10-5 run their last 15 games only 2 of the 15 games was a Rockets loss by a margin of more than 6 points. San Antonio is on an 18-25 ATS run in divisional games. The Rockets are on an 8-4 ATS run this month and have covered 44 of 69 games the past three seasons when their prior game was a non-conference game. After playing very solid defense for three straight games (all wins) Houston really let up on the defensive end in their loss at Orlando. Look for the solid D to resume on their home floor on Christmas Day and the Rockets should absolutely be in this game all the way Friday evening. That means great line value is being offered with the points in this one. |
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12-24-15 | Chargers +6 v. Raiders | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 50 h 52 m | Show |
I am playing on SAN DIEGO (@ Oakland) as my *10 NFL Game of the Week on Thursday @ 8:25 ET - San Diego is unlikely to have a letdown here as the revenge-minded Chargers play loose and build momentum from last week's emotional team win over the Dolphins. San Diego dominated Miami with edges of 26 to 13 in first downs and 442 to 231 in yardage. The Chargers are seeking revenge here for the 37 to 29 home loss to the Raiders in late October. Oakland comes into this game off of an ugly home loss to the Packers last week as early Raiders turnovers led to 14 quick points for Green Bay. That defeat officially eliminated Oakland from playoff contention and they are simply putting the wraps on another disappointing season while the Chargers are trying to "save face" here at the end of the season and that started with how hard they played in last week's big win over Miami. The Raiders are a very poor 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite and they appear to very over-priced in this spot. Take advantage with the underdog Chargers in this one. |
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12-24-15 | Cincinnati v. San Diego State +1.5 | Top | 7-42 | Win | 100 | 245 h 52 m | Show |
I am playing on SAN DIEGO STATE (vs Cincinnati) as my *10 BEST BET on Thursday, December 24th @ 8 PM ET - QB Gunner Kiel is out for Cincinnati and QB Maxwell Smith is out for San Diego State. The key difference of how these teams are impacted by the injury situation at QB is that the Bearcats rely heavily on their passing attack while the Aztecs rely much less on the pass and much more on their ground game. The potent San Diego State rushing attack is led by RB Donnel Pumphrey who is the Offensive Player of the Year for the Mountain West Conference. The Bearcats allow nearly 200 rushing yards per game and an average of 5 yards per carry and I expect the weak Cincy run defense to be exploited by San Diego State in this game. The Aztecs have the much better defense in this match-up as they allowed just 17 points per game this season while Cincinnati was rolled for 30 points per game. Off the loss in last year's bowl game against Air Force, San Diego State wants to make the most of the opportunity this season and I look for them to roll to the solid victory here as a power ground game and the better defense is the perfect combo to back a team especially when they are in this fantastic price range! |
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12-24-15 | Middle Tennessee State v. Western Michigan -3 | Top | 31-45 | Win | 100 | 237 h 6 m | Show |
I am playing on WESTERN MICHIGAN (vs Middle Tennessee State) as my *10 ANNIHILATOR on Thursday, December 24th @ Noon ET - The Broncos, coming from the Mid-American Conference, played a tougher schedule than did Middle Tennessee State, coming from the SunBelt Conference. Western Michigan got a big upset win on the road at Toledo in their regular season finale. Knocking off a solid team like the Rockets on the road gives the Broncos a huge boost of confidence heading into the season finale. The Blue Raiders come into this game on a strong season-ending run but faced some ultra weak competition to wrap up the regular season with games against the likes of Florida Atlantic, North Texas, and UT-San Antonio. That could leave the Middle Tennessee State ill-prepared for the challenges they will face with a solid MAC team Thursday. Western Michigan is 8-4 ATS when off of a win against a conference rival while MTSU is 6-9 ATS when off of a win over a conference foe. Also, the Blue Raiders are 2-4 ATS when off of a bye week and 2-5 ATS as an underdog when the line is set in a range of +3.5 to +10 points. Western Michigan averages nearly 500 yards of offense per game and has the better rushing attack in this match-up. Look for that to be the difference as the Broncos grind out the bowl win in the Bahamas. |
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12-23-15 | Nuggets v. Suns -8.5 | Top | 104-96 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
I am playing on PHOENIX (vs Denver) as my *10 Blue Marlin on Wednesday @ 10:05 PM ET - The Suns host Denver in the perfect spot for a blowout. The Nuggets hosted the Lakers last night and then had to travel west for one final game before a Christmas break. It's more than just a back to back as it's also a lookahead to some time off for Denver. The Phoenix situation is different as they were off yesterday and that game the Suns even more time to think about the bad loss they had at Utah on Monday. in that game Phoenix got drilled by 21 points. The Suns are 5-2 ATS this season when off of a loss by 10 points or more. Phoenix also is 21-10 ATS the past three seasons combined when off of a defeat by a double digit margin. The Suns are 26-16 ATS in their last 42 games against teams from the Northwest Division. Denver has lost 5 of 6 (and gone 2-4 ATS) in their games against teams from the Pacific Division this season. The Nuggets are only 2-4 SU in the 2nd night of back to backs this season. Also, Denver has lost 3 of 4 in the 2nd night of a back to back when the first game is at home (thin air in Denver) and the 2nd game is on the road (always tough to travel for a back to back). Situation is great here for a Phoenix win by a double digit margin. |
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12-23-15 | New Mexico State v. Baylor -12 | Top | 70-85 | Win | 100 | 24 h 7 m | Show |
I am playing on BAYLOR (vs New Mexico State) as my *10 CBB *Game of the Month* on 8 PM ET - The Bears are a surprising 0-4 ATS on the season and that is certainly helping to keep this line lower than it should be. That, plus the fact that Baylor is off of a rare straight-up loss (just their 2nd of the season) has me going with a very strong play here. The Bears are a solid 8-2 on the season but they are angry as they are coming off of an ugly loss at Texas A & M by a 19 point margin. Now Baylor is back home and ready to get the bad taste out of their mouth after being embarrassed by the Aggies. The Bears go from facing one Aggies to team to hosting another Aggies team. New Mexico State visits Waco Wednesday night. The Aggies are off of back to back wins but the recent road win they had was their first of the season as they are 1-3 SU and ATS in road games this season. New Mexico State is on a 4-9 ATS run against Big 12 opponents and also an 8-14 ATS run as a road dog of 9.5 to 12 points. Baylor, coming into this season, had gone 4-1 ATS when they entered a game having to failed to cover each of their last three games. The Bears also are 3-1 SU and 2-1 ATS when they are off of a game where they allowed 80 points or more. Baylor is not happy at all with what transpired at College Station and the Bears will respond in a huge way Wednesday. New Mexico State came into this season having lost four of their top six scorers from last season's team. It shows as the Aggies already have 5 losses on the season. |
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12-22-15 | California +12 v. Virginia | Top | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 22 h 9 m | Show |
I am playing on CALIFORNIA (@ Virginia) as my *10 ESPN2 Main Event on Tuesday @ 9 PM ET - The Golden Bears, based on this line, certainly are not getting the respect they deserve as a solid Pac-12 team is off to a 9-2 start to the season. Of course Virginia is 9-1 on the season and certainly ranks among the top teams in the country so far this season. However, Cal is a formidable foe that can challenge the Cavaliers in this one. The Golden Bears entered this season projected by some to be a Sweet Sixteen level team. Cal has tremendous talent and is well-coached. The Bears come into this game having won 5 straight games. One of their two losses this season came by just four points. The Golden Bears are shooting the ball very well this season. On the other end, the California defense has been exceptional ever since the aforementioned 4 point loss. That defeat followed Cal's only other loss this season and those back to back defeats seemed to be a wake-up call for the team. The Golden Bears are on a long-term run of 8-4 ATS as a road dog of 9.5 to 12 points. The Cavaliers are off of a big win over Villanova by a final count of 86-75. The Cavs are 2-5 ATS the last three seasons when they are off of a game where they scored 80 points or more. After that big win, it is hard for Virginia not to be a little "flat" here and the Golden Bears have the talent to be dangerous underdog in this situation. |
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12-22-15 | Pennsylvania v. Drexel -4 | Top | 52-53 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 8 m | Show |
I am playing on DREXEL (vs Pennsylvania) as my *10 Blue Marlin on Tuesday @ 7 PM ET - Nice contrarian angle here as the 1-8 Drexel Dragons face a 5-5 Pennsylvania team. The quick reaction here would of course be to go against the team that has such a poor record so far this season, especially considering that the Dragons are laying points here. However, Drexel has played the much tougher schedule early this season and there is a lot of value with the Dragons in this spot. Penn is off of a win but previously had lost 5 of their last 6 games. The Quakers also have a lookahead in effect here as it is hard to get excited about playing a 1-8 team when you have a big game on deck with Villanova up next. All of these are Philly-area teams but the Wildcats are the top team in the area of course. The Quakers defense has faded lately with weak performances and that is a concern heading into a match-up with a Drexel team that is so hungry to get back into the win column. While Penn comes into this game off of a win, the Dragons have lost back to back games and are suffering through an ugly 1-8 start to the season. Penn is on a 10-15 ATS run in road games. Drexel has played mostly neutral site games and road games early this season so they are happy to be back on their home floor here and I look for that to show up with a big home win for the Dragons Tuesday. |
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12-22-15 | Akron v. Utah State -6.5 | Top | 23-21 | Loss | -106 | 193 h 46 m | Show |
I am playing on UTAH STATE (vs Akron) as my *10 ANNIHILATOR on Tuesday, December 22nd @ 3:30 ET - Certainly the location of this game (in Idaho) favors the Aggies. Utah State surprisingly did lose 6 games this season and, sitting at 6-6, the Aggies are hungry for a win here to make sure they have a winning season. The Zips are coached by Bowden and, with Auburn, he went to 3 bowls and compiled an 0-3 ATS record. Akron is a sizable dog here and they should be. Utah State played the much tougher schedule. Though both defenses look strong, the Aggies performance on that side of the ball is much more impressive as they have faced the tougher opposition. Utah State is coached by Wells and he's got a 2-0 ATS mark in bowls heading into the Idaho Potato Bowl. The Aggies might have had a better regular season were it not for QB Chuckie Keeton having some injury issues. With getting in some important late season action and now having extra time to rest prior to this game, look for Keeton to be back in top form and that will help key what should be a blowout win for Utah State. The Aggies will be focused on shutting down an offense that is one of the weakest in the MAC. Wells two bowl appearances saw his teams allow an average of just 10 points per game and I expect another dominating effort from his Aggies defense on Tuesday afternoon. |
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12-21-15 | Pepperdine v. Gonzaga -10.5 | Top | 73-99 | Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
I am playing on GONZAGA (vs Pepperdine) as a *10 Main Event on Monday @ 9 PM ET - These teams have similar records with Pepperdine at 7-4 while Gonzaga is at 8-3. However, that is where the similarities start and stop with these teams. The Bulldogs are a powerful team in a good spot ready to dominate on their home floor. Gonzaga is off of a win Saturday but they were not happy about their perimeter defense in that game as they allowed Tennessee to hit nearly 50% of their threes. Look for a stronger defensive effort tonight from a Bulldogs team that had given up just 64 points or less in 7 of their first 10 games this season. Gonzaga is hosting a Pepperdine team that is only 3-4 away from home this season. Also, the Wave have faced a much weaker schedule so far this season. Pepperdine is off of a strong defensive effort in their most recent game but they are 0-3 ATS this season when they are off of a game where they allowed 60 points or less. Even though Gonzaga is on short rest here they have gone 19-9 ATS the last 3 seasons combined when they are playing with one day or less of rest. The Bulldogs blasted the Wave by 18 points the last time they met and that was on a neutral floor last March. At home, this one gets even uglier in terms of a blowout win for Gonzaga. |
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