Free Week 5 Prediction: Blue Raiders vs Mean Green Odds
Looking for MTSU Blue Raiders vs. North Texas Mean Green free picks? Week 5 College football betting sees the Blue Raiders taking on the Mean Green Saturday October 1st at Apogee Stadium in Denton, Texas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
(3-1) MTSU Blue Raiders vs. North Texas Mean Green (2-2)
Date: Saturday, October 1st
Time: 7:00 pm EST
Venue: Apogee Stadium in Denton, Texas
NCAA Football Spread: Middle Tennessee State -15.5
NCAA Betting Total: 62.0
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After finishing with just 53 yards of total offense against Florida two weeks ago, North Texas responded with 439 in a double overtime road win over Rice.
Middle Tennessee State overcame a 20 point second half deficit to beat Louisiana Tech last week to win their CUSA opener.
This conference matchup was very lopsided last season as Middle Tennessee State rolled 41-7 over North Texas in Tennessee.
MTSU Blue Raiders
Quarterback Brent Stockstill is leading the way for a Blue Raider offense that is averaging 40 points per game through 4 weeks.
They are averaging 541 yards of total offense and will look to keep rolling over a weak Mean Green team before heading into the bye week.
The Blue Raider defense gave up some big plays last week that put them into a 20 point hole. They also were exploited by Trent Taylor who totaled 17 receptions for 210 yards and 2 touchdowns.
But it was Stockstill who led the way as the Blue Raiders put 31 second half points and scored with 2:38 remaining to complete the comeback.
Stockstill has thrown for 1362 yards and 13 touchdowns through 4 games and has teamed with I’Tavious Mathers to form a very scary backfield.
Mathers has rushed for 447 yards and 7 touchdowns thus far at an exceptional rate of 6.6 yards per carry.
The Blue Raider defense hasn’t been good – there are no two ways around it. They gave up 47 points to Vanderbilt – one of the worst
offenses in the nation.
They also gave up 21 to Bowling Green who has failed to get more than 10 points in two of their games.
With some confidence after their win last week, North Texas could come up swinging. But they stand no chance at slowing down the Blue Raider dynamic attack.
North Texas Mean Green
After going 1-11 last season, it must feel nice for North Texas to have surpassed their 2015 win total this early on.
However, it won’t get much easier now as they face Middle Tennessee State, Marshall, and Army in their next 3 games.
Last season against the Blue Raiders, North Texas gave up 494 yards of total offense and turned the ball over 3 times on their way to a 34 point loss.
The offense got into a little bit of rhythm last week after their horrendous performance at Florida.
Jeffrey Wilson rushed for 157 yards and 3 touchdowns while Will Ivery added two more TDs on the ground.
They forced Rice into 3 turnovers and picked up a huge stop on 4th and 1 to end the game in double overtime.
To beat the Blue Raiders, they are going to need to force turnovers again. Stockstill will likely pick apart their secondary and Mathers development at running back makes their offense very difficult to defend.
I would expect the Blue Raiders to try to get going early after the slow start last week nearly cost them. Wilson will have to be effective to slow the game down to keep the Mean Green alive.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- North Texas is 6-11 ATS in their last 17 conference games.
- Middle Tennessee State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an away favorite.
- North Texas is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win.
- Over is 5-1 in North Texas’s last 6 games following a SU win.
Free Week 5 NCAA Football Prediction
I like Stockstill and Mathers to put up lots of points against the Mean Green. The duo is gaining steam going into conference play and they could do a lot this season to make up for the holes in the Blue Raider defense.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Middle Tennessee State -15.5
The Blue Raiders will get going early and often. The defense may give up some points but it won’t be enough to keep this one close. I like the Blue Raiders to cover the full game and the first half.
BONUS Pick: Middle Tennessee State -10 First Half
Week 5 Free Score Prediction: Middle Tennessee State 56 – North Texas 25
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