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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-23-21 | Canadiens v. Canucks +1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -180 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Vancouver Canucks PUCK LINE (8* BEST OF THE BEST). I think that wise move here is to lay the steeper price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. The Canucks won in a shootout in the first game 6-5, and then the Habs won 7-3 in the second. I expect a very competitive affair like we saw in the first game. This three-games in a row dynamic is leading to intense short rivalries and I expect that to be the case today; lay the price for the Canucks on the PUCK-LINE! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Vancouver. |
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01-22-21 | Sabres v. Capitals +120 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 120 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Capitals (10* BLOWOUT BEST OF THE BEST). Washington comes in having lost two straight, the first game in OT to the Pens and then in a shootout to Pittsburgh. In the most recent loss to the Pens Tom Wilson scored twice and Lars Eller and Evgeny Kuznetsov also found the back of the net. Washington will be without a few key pieces due to COVID protocol, including Alexander Ovechkin, and that's the reason why this price has swung so dramatically. The Sabres play with "double revenge" after losing the first two games of this season at home to the Capitals, but they're just 1-3 and in no position to take advantage here. Despite Washington being down those key players, it's still the better team here in my opinion. Often in cases like this where main players go down, the rest of the team will step up in that first game and that's going to be the case here in my opinion. Also note that Washington is still 15-6 in its last 21 vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. Look for the home side to dig deep and find a way to get the job done! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Washington. |
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01-21-21 | Jets -122 v. Senators | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Jets (10* TRADE-MARK). Winnipeg has won two of three after taking the first game off the Senators in OT. The Jets turn to Connor Hellebuyck in net, he lost 3-1 to the Leafs in his last outing, allowing two goals on 37 shots. Matt Murray allowed four goals on 28 shots to the Jets and I think the home side is overmatched once again tonight. Finally note that Ottawa is a poor 2-9 in its last 11 vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600, while the Jets are 5-1 in their last six vs. a club with a losing record. All things considered, this is the very definition of "great line value." Play on the Jets! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Jets. |
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01-20-21 | Canadiens v. Canucks +110 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 110 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canucks (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). Montreal has done well to open up the year, but I think that Vancouver will find a way to get the job done here in the opener of this three-game series. MOntreal has plenty of talent up front and in the back. So too does Vancouver and after losing three in a row, the Canucks are for sure the much hungrier team in this fight. Vancouver has to be feeling confident though, as it's performed well in this spot (especially for bettors!), going 7-0 in its last seven vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600 and 9-4 in its last 13 when playing on one days rest. Conversely, the Habs have done poorly in this position by going just 3-7 in their last ten after allowing two or less goals in their previous outing. In my opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value; the play is the Canucks! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Vancouver. |
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01-19-21 | Capitals v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 102 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Penguins/Capitals OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). The Penguins have played to three straight "overs." They came out flat and lost their first two games to the Flyers, but they then dug deep and beat Washington 4-3 in OT in the first game between these hated rivals. Washington is now 2-1, as it took two straight in Buffalo to open. The Caps have seen the total go 2-1 to the over so far and I expect another high-scoring affair here as well. Both teams are going through major transition in net, and note that the Capitals have seen the total go over the number in eight of their last 12 road games off an OT road loss in which they allowed four or more goals in. This one has "o-v-e-r" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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01-18-21 | Sabres v. Flyers -146 | 6-1 | Loss | -146 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Flyers (8* MONEY-MAKER). There's no question that Buffalo will be "hungry" here after going 0-2 against the Capitals to begin the season, but I simply can't see them competing here against the high-flying Flyers, who are simply better right now over the Sabres in every single category. Honestly, this play is all about "line value" for me. I think Philadelphia should be well over a -200 favorite, so that's the difference here, as I can't turn down what I feel to be the very definition of "great line value." Expect the better home side to come in focussed and to lay the hammer down start to finish; the play is Philly! T.M. Prediction: 5-1 Flyers. |
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01-17-21 | Blackhawks v. Panthers -148 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Panthers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Chicago just got destroyed in two games in Tampa, and now it travels to face a Panthers team which sees its first action of the season. The Blackhawks are dealing with injury issues right now, most notably to Jon Toews, which is obviously big for this overall younger and rebuilding Chicago team. Dallas had a COVID outbreak, so now the Panthers finally get to take the ice. Note that Florida is 5-1 in its last six vs. teams with a winning percentage below .600. The Blackhawks are also just 1-6 in their last seven now as an underdog. Even without top goaltender Sergei Bobrvosky in net, I like the home side to dig deep here and deliver; lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Panthers. |
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01-16-21 | Blue Jackets v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Jackets/Preds UNDER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). Columbus lost this game 3-1 on Thursday and I expect a similar hard-fought and lower-scoring affair here as well. Columbus was one of the best defensive teams last year, but it struggled offensively, tied for fourth-fewest in the league. The Jackets had 30 pucks on net in that opening game, but managed only the one goal. Nashville's Juuse Saros stopped 29 of 30 shots for the Predators. While Nashville scored the victory in its opener, note that it's seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 11 home games after holding its previous opponent to one or less goals in a victory. This one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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01-15-21 | Blues v. Avalanche -137 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Avs (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). I played on Vancouver in its upset win in Edmonton to open the season. Then last night I played the Oilers to bounce back and win in the second contest. Here we have an identical situation, where the Blues blew out Colorado in the first game, but where I believe the Avs will make adjustments and come out flying here in the second. St. Louis has absolutely accomplished what it's wanted to on this road trip. The Avalanche though will be risking everything here to try and avoid an 0-2 start. Considering the circumstances, I believe we're getting unreal value on the home side in this one! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Colorado. |
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01-15-21 | Blackhawks v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 109 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lightning/Hawks OVER (10* TOTAL ELITE OF ELITE). Chicago lost 5-1 in this game two nights ago. The Blackhawks are opening up the year without Jon Toews in the line-up. They also have a trio of rotating goaltenders. Chicago is going to struggle again in containing the defending champs, who got better as the game progressed. Now that the Bolts have their legs underneath them, I look for them to pour it on again here from start to finish. That said, I expect a better overall effort from the Hawks as well. This one has "OVER" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 6-4 Lightning. |
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01-14-21 | Ducks v. Golden Knights -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 125 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Las Vegas PUCK LINE (8*). Vegas won three out of four of these games last year and I like the deeper and more talented home side to lay the hammer down on Opening Night. The Ducks allowed 3.17 GPG last year and they're just 2-6 in their last eight against the conference. The Knights have excelled in this spot for bettors by going 14-5 in their last 19 home games as the favorite. Look for the Golden Knights dominant play on both ends of the ice to prove to be too much for this rebuilding Ducks' team to hang with down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 5-1 Knights. |
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01-14-21 | Canucks v. Oilers -120 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oilers (8*). The NHL season is going to be a different one. Teams are going to see each other upwards of ten times per year. Most times they're going to play back-to-back in the same building. It might not be on back-to-back nights, but teams are going to regularly play each other twice this year. And that's the case here. Vancouver managed the 5-3 upset win last night, but I expect the home side to respond here. Edmonton is too deep offensively to be held down and it now has a clear motivational edge as well. All things considered, a great price on the Oilers. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Edmonton. |
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01-14-21 | Flames -113 v. Jets | 3-4 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Flames (8*). Calary has won two straight in this series. Of course, that was last year. The Flames got eliminated by Dallas in the playoff bubble last season. Calgary brought in Jacob Markstrom between the pipes from Vancouver though and he is a big improvement. Calgary averaged 2.91 GPG last year. Winnipeg averaged 3.00 GPG last season, but it allowed 2.83. Home ice advantage means little during the Pandemic. Look for the Flames to score the slight upset on Opening night! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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01-13-21 | Canucks +117 v. Oilers | 5-3 | Win | 117 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Canucks (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Canucks finished with the better record last year. Vancouver has had some turnover in its roster, including in net, as Braden Holtby is now the No. 1 netminder. The Oilers have one of the best players in the league in Connor McDavid, but the big knock against the Oilers has been their depth and defensive play. Will those issues be resolved this year? Vancouver does have depth, and it does have experience. I like the Canucks here to pull off the minor upset on the road here against a team that they're going to be come very familar with this season. T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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01-13-21 | Penguins v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 104 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pens/Flyes OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). These are two teams which enter the season with big expectations. The Penguins have a new starting goaltender this year in Tristan Jarry. The Pens have a top-heavy roster, but on Opening night, Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin will have fresh legs under them and will be able to log the majority of the quality minutes. Carter Hart is a great goaltender, but the Flyers are also stacked offensively with goal scorers like Claude Giroux and Sean Couturier. Look for this total to fly over the number sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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09-28-20 | Lightning v. Stars +1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -178 | 26 h 20 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Stars PUCK LINE (6* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Stars pulled off the 3-2 OT win in Game 5 and I think they have a legitimate shot at taking this series to a Game 7 as well. Both teams are exhausted and you can tell that each is now waiting for the other to make the first mistake. But this plays directly into the Stars' strength, who do like to sit back and then plan their attack based off their opponents play. Note as well that Dallas is 6-2 in its last eight after allowing two goals or less in an OT victory in its previous outing. In a game which I think'll be decided late or even in extra periods, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals in our back pocket! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Dallas. |
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09-25-20 | Lightning v. Stars +1.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Stars PUCK LINE (6* TRADE-MARK). The Stars have their backs against the wall here. Not entirely yet, but a 3-1 hole would clearly like to be avoided here. Dallas looked great in its Game 1 win, but the Lightning have been the better team over the last two. These teams are evenly matched and I think that the Stars are going to come out here with adjustments and at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. I'll point out as well that Dallas is 7-2 in its last nine after back-to-back losses and in which it allowed five or more goals in the latest setback. I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Stars. |
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09-23-20 | Lightning v. Stars +1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -192 | 29 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Stars (6* TRADE-MARK). Las Vegas still has the Lightning favored considerably in Game 3, but I think these teams are much more evenly matched than what this line would suggest. Goaltending is a "wash." Each team has looked brilliant at times and poor in other so far in the playoffs, but I simply feel that the Lightning are over-priced here. But in a contest which I think'll be decided in the closing moments (or maybe even in extra time), I still love the value by laying the larger price for the extra 1.5 goals in our back pockets! That's the play, Dallas on the puck-line! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Stars. |
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09-21-20 | Stars v. Lightning UNDER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Stars/Bolts UNDER (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). Game 1 landed on right on the total in the Stars 4-1 victory. Dallas believes that it now has the "blue print" to beat the Lightning and I expect an identical game-plan here, to slow down and clog up the middle and not allow these talented Lightning players any room to skate. These two teams feature two of the best goaltending units in the league and combined with their already top notch defensive tendencies, I expect Game 2 to be an even more defensive affair than Game 1. This number is high, the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Lightning. |
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09-15-20 | Islanders v. Lightning UNDER 5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 124 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lightning/Isles UNDER (10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST). I think this is going to be an extremely defensive affair. The Islanders on the brink of elimination and if they're going to get back into this series, they're going to have to do what they do best and that's play a very tight, disciplined defensive game and wait for the Lightning to make the first mistake. Tampa is getting unreal goaltending and won't be pressing anything here, it now has the luxury to sit back and wait for New York to falter. Finally note that the Lightnign have seen the total go under the number in 14 of their last 22 after allowing one goal or less in a three goals or greater victory against an opponent in their previous outing. This one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Lightning. |
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09-14-20 | Stars +1.5 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Stars +1.5 (10* PUCK LINE GAME OF THE WEEK). The Knights are down 1-3 and they're still heavily favored as we head into Game 5. The Stars are Kryptonite to the Knights and I think that trend carries over here. Anton Khudobin and this Dallas defense has completely taken the wind out of Las Vegas's offensive attack and I don't think anything's going to change here. This is simply a bad matchup for the Knights. Note that Las Vegas is a poor 2-5 in their last seven as a playoff favorite, while the Stars are 5-1 in their last six after scoring two goals or less in their previous outing. I'm going to lay the price though here and get 1.5 goals just in case! T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Stars. |
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09-12-20 | Golden Knights -1.5 v. Stars | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Las Vegas PUCK LINE (10* TRADE-MARK). I think Vegas is going to win large in Game 2. These teams have been "flip flopping" with victories throughout this series and I look for that to continue here. The Stars have done extremely well defensively against the Knights, but the Dallas power play and offense hasn't been great. Las Vegas has also looked great defensively (despite being down 1-2), but I expect its high-powered offense to once again wake up here and deliver. Note that the Knights are 7-1 in their last eight after allowing three or more goals in an OT loss in their previous outing. I'm going to lay the 1.5 goals for the huge plus money return! T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Vegas. |
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09-11-20 | Lightning v. Islanders +1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 27 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Islanders PUCK LINE (8* MONEY-MAKER). Tampa looked great in Game 1, winning 8-2. The Lightning though didn't look as good in Game 2, with New York taking an early 1-0 lead, before then once again falling apart down the stretch and allowing the Bolts to score the regulation winner with only a few ticks left on the clock. It was a crushing defeat for the Islanders, but most importantly I think its effort in Game 2 give us the blue-print on what to expect in Game 3 as well. This is the Islanders most important game of the entire season and I look for this team to fight until the death. Note that New York is 7-2 in its last 9 after back-to-back defeats as well. Of course I believe the outright is possible (I don't think the Isles get swept in this series and I expect their best "shot" tonight), I'm going to lay the price and grab the 1.5 goals on the puck line! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Islanders. |
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09-10-20 | Golden Knights v. Stars +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 44 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Stars PUCK LINE (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). This series is all tied up and I expect another hard-fought contest in Game 3, one which I envision being decided late in the third period (or perhaps even in extra time.) The Stars were uncharacteristically sloppy in Game 2, spending 14 minutes in the bos in the second period alone. This isn't going to happen again. The Stars were one of the best defensive clubs in the league in the regular season and it entered this series as the highest scoring team in the playoffs. Outright win?! Of course, but in the end let's lay the price and get the extra goal-and-a-half! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Stars. |
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09-09-20 | Islanders +1.5 v. Lightning | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Islanders +1.5 (10* PUCK-LINE MONEY-MAKER). We've seen some crazy lop-sided scores in both the NBA and NHL Playoffs this year and we've seen those teams on the losing end bounce back in the next game quite a few times as well. There's countless examples. Either way, after getting blown out 8-2 in Game 1, I absolutely expect New York to make adjustments and to come out fired up on the defensive end. Tampa is the better team in this fight, but New York is deep and won't be rolling over. The Islanders are also 7-2 in their last nine after a five goals or larger setback in their previous outing. I think this one gets decided late, or even in an extra period and therefore I'm going to lay the price on the PUCK LINE for New York! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Isles. |
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09-08-20 | Stars v. Golden Knights -1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 170 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Las Vegas PUCK LINE (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). 1-0. Wow. I didn't expect to see that score in Game 1. It was odd as well, as Dallas scored that goal in the first two minutes. Somehow the Stars then were able to clog up the middle and the Knights were never able to find any rythym at all. Do I think this will happen again in Game 2? I absolutely don't. The Knights are simply too talented and too well coached to let that happen again. Dallas surprised Vegas in Game 1, but no way that's going to happen again. Note that the Knights are 7-2 in their last nine after getting blanked in their previous outing. I'm laying the 1.5 goals and expecting a big bounce back effort from the hungry Knights! T.M. Prediction: 4-1 Vegas. |
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09-07-20 | Islanders +136 v. Lightning | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Islanders (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Much like the Dallas Stars did to the Vegas Knights last night, I think that New York is going to surprise the Lightning. I think the goaltenders in this series are a "wash," for all intents and purposes these guys are all playing so well that any of them can outplay the other on any given night. Goaltending is a "wash" in this series in my opinion. New York is going to catch a Lightning team which has had a few extra days off and which I think will come out flat and slow because of that. This is the perfect situation to pull the trigger on this under-rated underdog in Game 1! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Islanders. |
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09-06-20 | Stars v. Golden Knights -157 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -157 | 27 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Las Vegas (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). I think the Golden Knights should be a significantly larger favorite here. I think Dallas is gassed. Las Vegas should have wrapped up its series in five or six games vs. the Canucks, but it ran into a super hot goaltender. The Knights had 130 shots on net over the final three games of that series and I beleive they're also the better defensive club in this series as well. The Stars blew a 3-1 series lead as well, before then finding a way to deliver in OT in Game 7. I think a classic "letdown" is in store for Dallas and because of that, I have no issues at all in laying this larger price! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Vegas. |
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09-05-20 | Islanders v. Flyers UNDER 5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Isles/Flyers UNDER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). The NHL playoffs in general have been great and not always predictable. That's been the case in this series, as the Isles seemed to have a dominant hold on it, but they've since regressed and allowed Philly to somehow get back into it and push it to a Game 7. These were two of the stingiest clubs in the regular season, but that's not been the case of late. That changes in Game 7 though I think, as I expect fatigue to play a major factor for both sides. I expect each to double down defensively as they patiently wait for the other side to make the first mistake, much like Game 7 between the Canucks and Knights. A great situational play, I'm all over the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Isles. |
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09-04-20 | Stars v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Avs/Stars UNDER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). This has been a wild, back and forth series, but I think that Game 7 sets up as a defensive battle. I think both teams are fatigued and when that happens, teams will often double down defensively and wait for the other team to make the first mistake. These teams are better known for their tough defensive play and while that hasn't been evident as much during this series, in this all important Game 7, I think that's definitely going to be the case. This one has "goaltenders battle" written all over it; play the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Avs. |
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09-03-20 | Golden Knights v. Canucks +1.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 31 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canucks PUCK-LINE (10* MONEY-MAKER). The Canucks are not going to go down quietly in this game or series. Vancouver could have easily rolled over in Game 5 after a 3-1 deficit, but the Canucks played their best hockey to date adn dominated in their 5-2 victory. These teams are almost identical really. Both teams have plenty of offensive firepower and each is backed by an above average goaltending unit. It's interesting to note though that the Knights are just 4-7 in their last 11 after scoring one or less goals in a two-goals or greater setback. With the outright win a possibility, I still believe the puck-line is the correct way to go here! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Vancouver. |
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09-02-20 | Avalanche v. Stars OVER 6 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -107 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Avs/Stars OVER (10* U OF THE U). Colorado scored five goals in the first period in Game 5 and now it'll look to duplicate that success with another big effort here as it once again tries to stave off elimination. These goaltenders have been a disaster in this series and so have the defenses. Many will say the under is "due," to hit, but I don't this so. Colorado could have easily rolled over if it wanted to give up last time out, but clearly the Avs think they can get back into this one. To do that though Colorado will have to open things up like it did before and I definitely expect that to once again translate into offensive production. This number is low, play the over! T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Colorado. |
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09-01-20 | Canucks +1.5 v. Golden Knights | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canucks (10* PUCK-LINE PUNISHER). Las Vegas is favored to win the West and move onto the Stanley Cup Finals, but I think it'll have its hands full here vs. this desperate Vancouver side. Clearly it's been a very successful season for Vancouver, but it won't be going down quietly. The Canucks won Game 2 by blocking 40 shots and I expect a similar effort here. I think the value here lies in laying a very reasonable price for 1.5 extra goals in our pocket! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Canucks. |
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09-01-20 | Islanders v. Flyers UNDER 5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Isles/Flyers UNDER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). Philadelphia is down 3-1. The Isles aren't going to try and do anything fancy here, instead they'll be able to calmly sit back and wait for the Flyers to make the first mistake. New York has been incredibly disciplined throughout the bubble and that's not going to change here. Philadelphia's offensive chances will be limited as well. I expect a hard-fought, lower-scoring under at the end of the night! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Flyers. |
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08-31-20 | Stars v. Avalanche -135 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Avalanche (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). I like Colorado to fight tooth and nail here and extend this series after last night's 5-4 loss to the Stars. Dallas has exceeded everyone's expectations to this point, and I'm sure even its own. The Stars are primed for a classic letdown here in my opinion (note that Dallas is a poor 2-7 in its last nine after a four-games or longer unbeaten streak and just 3-6 in its lats nine after allowing four or more goals in a victory in its last outing. Expect the desperate Avlanche to take advantage and find a way to deliver at the end of the night! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Avs. |
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08-30-20 | Avalanche v. Stars +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Stars PUCK LINE (6* TRADE-MARK). Colorado earned a 6-4 win in Game 3, but I like Dallas to at the very least, take this contest to extra time. The Stars had won five straight previous to that setback and I think they'll dig deep here and rebound. Losing Phillip Grubauer to injury isn't going to help the Avalanche over the long-term (or short) either. So as stated above, in a contest which I see being decided late, or even in extra time, I have no issues at all in laying this larger price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Stars. |
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08-29-20 | Golden Knights v. Canucks +1.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -147 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canucks PUCK LINE (10* PUCK LINE PLAY OF MONTH). After Game 2's 5-2 victory, I think the Canucks have the "blue print" now to take out the Golden Knights. Vancouver blocked 40 shots in the victory and Knights' netminder Robin Lehner looked very shaky. Vancouver also won 66.2 percent of its playoffs in Game 2. Additionally note that Vancouver is interestingly 22-11-0 when outshot by its opponent, while the Knights are interstingly just 4-9-3 in their last 16 when their opponent scored first in their last outing. Vancouver is second in the bubble in power play goals and I think it keeps the pressure on again here. Outright win? Maybe, but in a contest which I do see being decided late or in extra time, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Canucks. |
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08-26-20 | Islanders v. Flyers OVER 5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 115 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Isles/Flyers OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). Philadelphia came out and laid an egg in its Game 1 vs. the Islanders, losing 4-0. Philadelphia has struggled with this matchup all season and if it doesn't make adjustments immediately, this series is going to quickly get away from it. The Flyers are a well coached team which was one of the best on both ends of the ice this season. The Islanders have arguably been the best team in the playoffs to this point, but mental regression at some point is going to happen. From a situational stand point, I absolutely believe this one sets up as a higher-scoring affair, but also note that the Flyers have seen the total go over in eight of their last 12 after allowing four or more goals in a shutout loss in their previous game. All signs do indeed point to the "over" as the right call in Game 2! T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Flyers. |
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08-25-20 | Bruins v. Lightning -104 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lightning (10* BODY-CHECK). These teams are evenly matched. Tampa looked better as Game 1 went on and now it's out for revenge as it looks to avoid an 0-2 hole. The goaltenders are a wash in this series, so let's throw that factor out the window completely. Tampa went 4-1 against Boston in the regular season and despite nothing having Steve Stamkos in the line-up, I'll point out that the Bolts are still 7-2 in their last nine after a one goal defeat. I'm banking on the "hungrier" team getting the job done in Game 2! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Bolts. |
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08-24-20 | Stars v. Avalanche -158 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -158 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Avalanche (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Stars shocked the Avs in Game 1, but I believe that Colorado will make the necessary adjustments here and even this series up at 1-1. Colorado actually outshot Dallas in that one, 31-30. But after four straight victories, I believe the Stars finall stumble here. And despite losing to Dallas last time out, I'll point out that the Avs are still 5-1 in their last six vs. the Central division. Colorado has averaged more goals than any team since the re-start and it's already followed up its previous two defeats with victories immediately after. Look for this trend to continue and lay the price with confidence! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Avs. |
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08-23-20 | Bruins -104 v. Lightning | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruins (10* MONEY-MAKER). Boston has gone 4-4 in the bubble, including its seeding games. The Bruins didn't take their first three games all that seriously though, so that record is skewed. The Bolts are 6-2 in the bubble, but I think the Presidents Cup Trophy winners will find a way to get the job done tonight. Pastrnak is back for the Bruins and in just the one game he's played he's already made an impact. The Lightning made it past Columbus without Hedman and Stamkos, but I can't see them getting past Boston tonight, who appears to now be trending in the correct direction. This is a great price! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Bruins. |
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08-21-20 | Flyers v. Canadiens +116 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canadiens (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). I think the Habs will bounce back here and force this series to a decisive Game 7. The Flyers have been terribly inconsistent in this series and I expect that trend to continue here. I think Carter Hart and Carey Price are a "wash." Note though that the Habs are 14-7 in their last 21 after scoring five or more goals in a two goals or larger victory. Hold onto your hats boys, this series is heading for an exciting Game 7! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Habs. |
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08-20-20 | Stars -122 v. Flames | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Stars (10* TRADE-MARK). The Stars have slowly been playing a lot better of late. Dallas domianted in the regular season, not with its offense, but with its tight and gritty defensive play. The Flames are starting to get worn down here and I think they'll stumble after losing Game 5. Dallas' goalie Anton Khudobin is 3-3 with a 2.41 GAA and I think he'll get the better of his counterpart Cam Talbot, who is just 3-6-1 with a 3.64 GAA lifetime vs. Calgary. Lay the short price! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Dallas. |
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08-19-20 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -140 | 23 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Coyotes (10* PUCK-LINE BEST OF BEST). The Avalanche have a chance to close out this series, but I think the veterans on Arizona won't go down quietly here. In a game which could very well see extra time, I'm going to lay this reasonable price for an extra 1.5 goals of insurance. Arizona actually outshot the Avs last time out. I expect a very tight game, the play is the COYOTES PUCK LINE! T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Yotes. |
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08-18-20 | Capitals +102 v. Islanders | Top | 3-2 | Win | 102 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Capitals (10* TRADE-MARK). I admit that I'm a little surprised at how well the Islanders have played in this series. The oddsmakers priced this series pretty evenly, but I definitely never expected Washington to be down 0-3 at this point. And I definitely don't think the Capitals will go down quietly here. Washington was among the league's best on both ends of the ice this season and it's loaded with proud, veteran talent (I'll point out as well that Washington is 7-2 in its last nine after three or more straight losses.) I say, NO SWEEP FOR YOU Islanders! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Capitals. |
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08-18-20 | Flyers v. Canadiens +118 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canadiens (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). This has been an extremely even, back and forth series. Philly leads 2-1 after its 1-0 win last time out. Montreal won 5-0 previous to that. I think this back and forth pattern continues though on Tuesday as I look for Carey Price and the Canadiens to dig deep here and find a way to get the job done. Carter Hart looked good in Game 3, but he looked poor in Game 4 in net for the Flyers. The Canadiens though have been extremely consistent on the defensive end of the ice and I believe that will once again be the case here vs. this now stuttering Flyers offense (interesting to note that Montreal is 10-6-0 when outshooting its opponent on the road in its previous outing.) I'm banking on Montreal responding in Game 4! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Habs. |
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08-17-20 | Bruins -123 v. Hurricanes | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruins (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Boston is going through some adversity off the ice with goaltender Tuuka Rask leaving the team due to Covid reasons, but it still has a 2-1 lead in this series. I think the Bruins are the better team in this matchup and I like them to take a strangle-hold here. Jaroslav Halak is 1-1 with a 2.59 GAA in the playoffs for Boston and he's 6-6-1 with a 2.61 GAA lifetime vs. the Hurricanes. Hurricanes' netminder Petr Mrazek is 4-2-1 with a 3.09 GAA lifetime vs. Boston, but note that the Canes are a poor 1-4 in their last five playoff games as an underdog and only 8-17 in their last 25 vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Bruins on the other hand 7-1 in their last eight when playing on one days rest. Great value on the "better" team! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Boston. |
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08-16-20 | Blues v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blues/Nucks UNDER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). While the first two games of this series have blasted past the number, Game 3 of this first round Western Conference series has "under" written all over it I think. St. Louis needs to get "back to basics" here if it has any hopes of getting back into this series. The Canucks have looked great up to this point, but they're in unchartered territory, led by players who are experiencing this stage for the first times in their careers. I believe St. Louis will try to grind out a victory here, and that means bodying up on the Canucks and aggressively back-checking. This total is too high in Game 3, I'm playing the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Blues. |
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08-16-20 | Capitals -107 v. Islanders | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Capitals (10* TRADE-MARK). The Capitals have been competitive throughout this series, but the Islanders now have a two-game lead. Washington is on the ropes here, as a 3-0 hole will clearly be too much for this team to climb out of. If the Capitals are going to make a move and get back into this series, they have to find a way to get the job done here. The Isles took out the Panthers in four games and a letdown definitely now seems inevitable to me at this point. I think the now desperate Capitals offer great value in Game 3! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Capitals. |
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08-15-20 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets +1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jackets (10* PUCK-LINE PLAY OF THE YEAR). Tampa won Game 1 of this seven game series in five OT's, but then Columbus bounced back in Game 2 and dominated from start to finish. The Lightning could easily be 0-2 right now and the Blue Jackets continue to get little respect from the public or oddsmakers. Columbus has four very strong lines and arguably the better goaltending here. It's also 7-2 in its last nine after a two goals or larger victory in its previous outing. I think this one could see extra periods, so that's why I'll recommend to lay this slightly larger price for the extra 1.5 goals (puck-line!) T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Jackets. |
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08-15-20 | Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canes/Bruins UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). This series is tied at one game a piece, but Boston is "lucky" as it won Game 1 in OT. Carolina then made some necessary adjustments and locked down defensively in Game 2 and I think we're going to see a very similar game plan by the Hurricanes in Game 3 as well. Why turn this into a faster-paced "shootout," when you can slow it down and grind out a victory here? That's going to be the mentality for Carolina moving forward for sure. Will that result in victory here? The Bruins have some of the best defensive numbers in the league, so a slower paced game plays into their strengths as well. The defenses are going to tighten up and this one stays well below the posted number! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Bruins. |
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08-14-20 | Islanders v. Capitals -120 | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 56 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Capitals (8*). Washington led this game 2-0, until the Isles exploded for four goals in a span of 13 minutes in the third period. It was a little unexpected, considering how well Washington looked up till that point. But the Caps are an experienced team and they've been through adversity and a little "hiccup" like that won't deter this veteran laden squad in my opinion. The Isles' strength is their depth across the four lines and comptent goaltending. But with their backs against the wall, I believe Alexander Ovechkin and the stars on Washington "steal the show" in Game 2. Lay the short price! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Caps. |
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08-14-20 | Canucks v. Blues -134 | 4-3 | Loss | -134 | 26 h 18 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Blues (8*). I think the defending champs will bounce back here. St. Louis has been here before and it's still loaded with veteran talent that has been through the grinder and knows how to bounce back. The Canucks are largely in unchartered territory here and I do think that their inexperience will hurt them in trying to close out their opponent here. Also note that Van is a poor 3-8 in its last 11 after a three goals or more victory in its previous outing. All things considered, I believe this line could/should in fact be a lot larger, swinging the value in favor of the home side here! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Blues. |
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08-14-20 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Avalanche | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Coyotes PUCK-LINE (8*). Game 1 of this series was in fact very evenly matched, but the Avs managed to score three goals mid-way through the third period to seal the deal. Arizona got by Nashville in five games in its opening round, and I think it has a very legitimate shot at bouncing back here. The Avs have been red hot since the re-start, but I believe they'll have their hands full with this Coyotes team, which features plenty of veteran talent that's been here and done that. In this evenly matched contest, which I think gets decided late, I'll lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Yotes. |
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08-13-20 | Flames v. Stars -103 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 31 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Stars Game 1 was very entertaining and really the Stars had their chances to win, but in the end the Flames pulled away for the 3-2 victory. The Stars looked poor in their three round robin games, but they looked considerably better in Game 1, especially as the contest went on. The reverse though could be said for the Flames, who seemed to struggle as the contest progressed. Dallas is 7-3 in its last ten after a one goal loss in which it scored two or less goals in as well. Dallas is filled with veteran talent, which I expect to make the necessary adjustments to pull out a victory in Game 2! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Stars |
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08-12-20 | Canucks +135 v. Blues | Top | 5-2 | Win | 135 | 53 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canucks (10*) The defending champs come into this years playoffs as the #4 seed as they will face the flaming hot Canucks for a trip to the Quarter Finals. The Blues come into this game winless, since returning from the global pandemic with a 0-2-1 record. They will rely mostly on goalie, Jordan Binnington, to step up his game, just like last playoffs if they want to have a chance at another Stanley Cup. Also, they will need strong performances out of Vladimir Tararesenko and captain Ryan O’Reilly. On the other hand, the Canucks beat out the Minnesota Wild, in a very high scoring Qualifying Series. They will look to continue their success into this round and further. Brock Boeser (Canuck Forward) wasn’t at his best in the Opener, but has certainly stepped up his game in the last 3 games. They will rely on GK Jacob Markstrom to back them up as he played every single minute of the last series. He’s been rock solid, so they might as well ride the wave. I expect some low scoring games, but at least one or two high scoring ones here. Canucks take out the champs in Game 1. Prediction: 4-3 Canucks. |
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08-12-20 | Canadiens v. Flyers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 50 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Habs/Flyers UNDER (10*). How did Montreal pull off the upset over heavily favored Pittsburgh? Clearly star goaltender Carey Price played a big part, as he looked in vintage form. But the Habs did benefit from the long lay off to heal up and to formulate during the pandemic break. Philly went 3-0 in its round robin games and it looks really good on both ends of the ice. The strength of the Flyers this year to me has been their ability to adapt their style of game play to counter their opponent and in this case, I believe Montreal will be out to slow the pace of this one down and look for Philadelphia to make the first mistake. I think in this first game these heavy weight opponents "feel each other out" to begin with. When you add it all up, this one has UNDER written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Flyers. |
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08-12-20 | Islanders v. Capitals -129 | 4-2 | Loss | -129 | 46 h 15 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Capitals (8*). I think the Isles will come out a bit flat here after their four-game series win over the Panthers. The Capitals only won one of their three round robin games, but much like Tampa Bay, I believe Washington was just "going through the motions" as it got ready for the playoffs. Tampa was 0-3 in its round robin games, but it held on for the 3-2 win in five OT's last night. Washington has no significant injuries like the Lightning though. I like the veteran super stars on the Caps to help Washington take Game 1! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Caps. |
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08-11-20 | Blue Jackets +155 v. Lightning | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jackets (10* MONEY-MAKER). Columbus took two of three from the Lightning in the regular season. The Blue Jackets also knocked out Tampa in the first round last year. The extra time off to heal up and address a few issues has absolutely benefited Columbus, as evidenced by its 3-2 series win over the Toronto Maple Leafs. Tampa is built almost identically to Toronto, however it's now missing both its top defenseman in Hedman and its top scorer in Stamkos as well. I love the depth of the Jackets top four lines and its defense and goaltending is likely better as well. This one has upset written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Jackets. |
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08-09-20 | Blue Jackets v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Leafs/Jackets UNDER (10*Â This has been a very back and forth series. Columbus had a 3-0 lead going into the third period of Game 4, but somehow the Leafs managed to score four goals in that frame. Those type of "outlier" style of contests of course happen over the course of the playoffs, but I don't expect "lightning to strike twice" in this all important Game 5. Both teams have exceptional goaltending and blue lines and in this highly competitive affair, I believe this one falls under (just like the first two games of this series did.) This number is a tad high! T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Toronto. |
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08-09-20 | Stars v. Blues -133 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -133 | 17 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Louis Blues (10* ANNIHILATION). This is the last game of the round-robin stage of the Western Conference and the winner of this gets the 3rd seed, while the loser gets the 4th. These teams are similar in many regards, as evidenced by the money line that Las Vegas has set. The Stars though have completely looked terrible in their two games, conceding a total of eight unanswered goals. Stars' goalie Anton Khudobin is 0-1 with a 4.00 GAA. The Blues are 0-2 as well, but they've looked more competitive to this point, losing 2-1 to Colorado and 6-4 to the Golden Knights. Blues' goalie Jordan Binnington is the more experienced netminder in this matchup and I think that matters here. Also note that the Blues are 6-1 the last seven in this series, while Dallas is 0-8 in its last eight overall. I'm laying the very reasonabel price on what I believe to be the much better overall team right now. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Blues. |
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08-08-20 | Golden Knights +113 v. Avalanche | Top | 4-3 | Win | 113 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden Knights (10* MONEY-MAKER). These two teams play out their final round robin contest before the real playoffs start and I think it favors the Golden Knights. Las Vegas enters off a 6-4 win over the Blues. Note that Knights' netminder Marc Andre Fleury is 11-5-2 with a 2.50 GAA lifetime vs. the Avs. Colorado comes in off a 4-0 win over Dallas. Pavel Francouz is 1-0 with a 3.00 GAA liftime vs. Vegas. These teams are very similar, but the Knights' superior offense wins the day in this matchup in my opinion! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Knights. |
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08-07-20 | Maple Leafs -140 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Maple Leafs (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). It's do or die for Toronto here, who was the favorite to win this series going into the five game event. The Jackets erased a 3-0 deficit in Game 3 to win, but I don't see lightning "striking twice" in this case, as I think Toronto will go up early again, except this time I expect it to keep its foot on the throat of Columbus today. Even though Columbus has scored more goals at 5-on-5, Toronto has attempted more shots, created more expected goals and generated more high-danger scoring chances. I'm rolling with the more desperate team! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Leafs. |
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08-06-20 | Canucks +107 v. Wild | Top | 3-0 | Win | 107 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vancouver Canucks (10* MONEY-MAKER). This series is tied 1-1, but I think that Vancouver will build off its most recent 4-3 Game 2 victory. JT Miller was big in Game 2, posting a goal and an assist for Vancouver. Canucks' netminder Jacob Markstrom has been solid as well with a 2.54 GAA thus far. Eric Staal has been leading the way for Minnesota with four points in this series so far and Alex Stalock does have a 2.03 GAA, but note that the Wild are just 2-7 in their last nine after allowing four or more goals in a loss in their previous game. The Canucks on the other hand are 8-4 in their last 12 after scoring four or more goals in a one goal victory. I'm banking on these trends continuing! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Canucks. |
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08-05-20 | Islanders v. Panthers +113 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 113 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida Panthers (10* MONEY-MAKER). It's DO OR DIE time for the Panthers, who lost 2-1 and 4-2 to the Isles over the first two games of this five-game "play in" series. It's difficult to beat any team three times in a row. Yes the odds are completely against the Panthers to come back here in this series, but I also don't expect them to get swept. The Isles have generated ten power plays in two games, but note that they'd finish 31st in power-play opportunties during the regular season. These teams are in fact very evenly matched (a sentiment still shared by the oddsmakers, despite the Isles being up 2-0 in this series!), but I look for the "hungrier/more desperate" one to prevail. Great value on the Panthers this afternoon! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Panthers. |
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08-04-20 | Blue Jackets v. Maple Leafs -143 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Leafs (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Edmonton was a favorite in its Game 1 matchup vs. Chicago and lost, but the Oilers rebounded to win their Game 2 matchup 6-3 last night. Same thing happened to Pittsburgh vs. Montreal, as the Pens fell in their opener, only to recover and win 3-1 last night. This is a similar case, as the Leafs were one of the true clear cut "favorites" in their opening round matchup this year, with many teams sitting closer to the "pick em" range. However, just like the Pens and the Oilers, I absolutely expect this deep and talented Toronto side to bounce back here. Note that the Leafs are interestingly 10-3 in their last 13 when their opponent scores two goals or less in their previous game, while Columbus is only 2-6 in its last eight vs. the Eastern Conference. Look for the Leafs to respond in Game 2! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Toronto. |
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08-03-20 | Capitals v. Lightning -125 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lightning (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Lightning play with "triple revenge" here after losing all three games to the Capitals in the regular season. The last time these teams met in the playoffs, the Caps won 4-3 in the Eastern Conference Finals en route to their Stanley Cup win in 2018. Both teams have a plethora of talent at every position, this one comes down to the pure "revenge factor" for me and that's what I'm rolling with. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Bolts. |
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08-02-20 | Wild v. Canucks -116 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -116 | 174 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vancouver Canucks It's the youth and skill of Vancouver vs. the experience of Minnesota in this first round matchup. The Wild took two of three from the Canucks in the regular season. The Wild were injured for most of the year and they endured a tough start to the campaign, but the long lay off has given the team time to heal. Despite that though, I don't think that Minnesota will be able to keep pace with the high-flying and much "hungrier" Canucks in my opinion. Elias Petterson leads a young group of Canucks, who actually finished top 5 on the power play. This is the first time in the playoffs for Petterson and for most of the young guns that he leads and that just adds fuel to the fire. I think these goaltenders are a "wash," but I'll give a major advantage to Vancouver's talent level over its first two lines. Look for that to be the difference maker (in Game 1 anyways!). T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Canucks. |
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08-01-20 | Blackhawks v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -130 | 142 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blackhawks/Oilers UNDER These teams played three times in the regular season, with the Hawks winning 3-1 in October, the Oilers winning 5-3 in February and the Hawks winning 4-3 in March. Two of these three games went "over" tonight's posted number, but for a number of different reasons, I look for this total stay well under once it's all said and done. And that's mainly because I believe that "rest" will indeed lead to "rust" to open things up in the Playoffs. The Oilers are the "better" team, and they no reason to push the pace from the outset. I believe Edmonton clamps down and controls this game and series from the outset. This number is much too high! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Oilers |
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03-11-20 | Senators v. Kings OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -130 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sens/Kings OVER (10* TOTAL BEST OF BEST). The Senators enter off a 5-2 loss in Anaheim last night and I think this defensively challenged club is once again going to have its hands full with his hungry home side. The Kings are actually 18-13-2 at hoem this year and they enter this one on a six-game win streak. That's bad news for a Sens' team which is ranked a terrible 30th in the league in goals allowed per game when on the road. Expect LA to push the pace from start to finish and then look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Kings. |
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03-10-20 | Bruins -110 v. Flyers | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bruins (10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST). The Bruins had won four in a row before a loss at home to the Lightning last time out. Boston still leads the East, but it's out for revenge here as it's lost two straight to Philly this year, both in the shootout. They say "all good things have to come to an end at some point," and after winning nine straight, I think the Flyers do indeed stumble here. It wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either team, but the value on Boston is just too great here in my opinion, as I believe that it is a great overall situational play on the "better team."Â T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Boston. |
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03-09-20 | Coyotes v. Jets -120 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Winnipeg Jets (10* BEST OF THE BEST). The Jets are 6-3-1 in their last ten and they're 19-13-3 at home this year. The Coyotes are 5-5 in their last ten and they're 16-16-4 on the road. After four straight wins though, I think the Coyotes finally take a step back here (note that they average just 2.36 GPG on the road.) The Jets have been tough at home this season, entering ranked ninth in the NHL in goals allowed per game in Winnipeg. The Jets are slo 4-0 in their last four as the favorite, while the 'Yotes are just 3-13 in their last 16 on the road. I'm banking on a blowout, great price here! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Jets. |
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03-08-20 | Lightning v. Red Wings OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bolts/Wings OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). Tampa enters off a 5-3 win over Boston just last night and I look for it to keep the foot on the gas here as it tries to run down the Bruins with just over a month left in the regular season. Detroit broke a six-game slide with a 2-1 win over Chicago on Friday. Yes it's true that the Wings are one of the worst offensive teams in the league, but they'll be trying to take advantage of this tired Lightning team and build off their latest victory (note as well that Detroit has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 12 of its last 18 after a non-conference contest.) The stage is set for a wide open affair, I'm hammering the over! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Tampa Bay. |
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03-06-20 | Golden Knights v. Jets +120 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 120 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Winnipeg (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). I like the home side to dig deep here and to get the job done once the final horn sounds. After going 9-1 in their last ten, I think the Knights do indeed finally stumble here in this difficult arena. The Jets are 5-4-1 in their last ten Las Vegas is ranked 17th in the league in goals scored per game while on the road, while ranked ninth in goals allowed. Winnipeg? It's ranked 25th in goals scored per game at home and 11th in goals allowed per game at home. Las Vegas though has been downright terrible in this spot for bettors all year, going 6-9 (-8.8 units) when playing with two days rest and 6-9 (-8.6 units) in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent. I think this one sets up beautifully for the home side. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Jets. |
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03-05-20 | Wild v. Sharks +103 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: San Jose Sharks (10* SLAP-SHOT). I'm expecting a slight upset in this one. The Wild have been all over the map as far as their game to game consistency is concerned and they've been consistently poor on the road this year but going 14-15-2 on the road. San Jose got off to a terrible start this year, a combination of injury and other off ice issues. The Sharks have looked better of late though and they come in with a still respectable 17-15-1 home record. Minnesota is also a TERRIBLE 6-12 (-4.6 units) this season after a win by two goals or more, while San Jose is 23-17 in its last 40 after a three-games unbeaten streak. Look for the surging home side to take advantage. Great value overall. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Sharks. |
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03-04-20 | Coyotes v. Canucks -118 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vancouver Canucks (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Arizona is 5-4-1 in its last ten, while Vancouver is 4-5-1 in its last ten. The Canucks though are the hungrier team in this fight in my professional opinion though, as they've lost three in a row. Arizona averages only 2.32 GPG on the road this year, while Vancouver is ranked second in the league in goals scored per game on home ice. Arizona ranks fifth in goals allowed per game on the road, but Vancouver ranks eighth in goals allowed per game at home. The Canucks are also still 12-3 in their last 15 at home while the Coyotes are interestingly just 1-4 in their last five vs. the Pacific. All things considered, I believe this is great value on the hungry home side. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Vancouver. |
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03-03-20 | Maple Leafs v. Sharks +1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sharks PUCK LINE (10* GAME OF WEEK). I think the Leafs are poised for a letdown here. San Jose won't be rolling over despite it's poor overall season. The Sharks play with revenge here and they'll be extra hungry facing a Leafs team that I beleive is finally set up for a letdown tonight after winning three straight. San Jose is playing some of its best hockey of the season as well after two straight victories in which it's posted eight goals. In a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra time, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Toronto. |
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03-02-20 | Oilers v. Predators OVER 6 | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Preds/Oilers OVER (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). This one has high-flying "shootout" written all over it in my opinion! Edmonton is dangerous on the road this year as evidenced by its 18-13-3 record. The Oilers are coming off a big victory and they're 5-3-2 in their last ten games. Nashville is 16-13-4 at home. Nashville is desperate to string some wins together here as its playoff hopes are on the bubble. Note as well that the Predators have seen the total soar over the number in eight of their last ten after playing three straight at home. Nashville hits the road for a difficult road trip after this, putting added importance onto this contest. As mentioned off the top, I fully expect this contest to be a very "wide open" affair. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Predators. |
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03-01-20 | Flyers v. Rangers -107 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rangers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). This is the second game of a home and home set and the Flyers won the first one. Both teams have been hot of late and I think New York will return the favor here. Previous to the loss vs. the Flyers, the Rangers had won five straight. Philadelphia is poised for a letdown here after five straight wins and in this difficult road venue. Additionally take heed that Philly is just 10-12 (-2 units) in its last 22 after playing three straight at home, while New York is 11-6 (+7.7 units) already this season after a loss by two goals or more in its previous game. A great price here. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 New York. |
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02-27-20 | Capitals v. Jets +131 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 131 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Winnipeg Jets (10* TRADE-MARK). I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the hungrier home side. Washington remains one of the top teams in the NHL and it comes in on a two-game win streak. It's difficult to poke too many holes in the Capitals, but I simply feel that they're in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one. Overall Washington sits 13th in the league in goals allowed per game while on the road. The Jets are also 8-3 (+5.6 units) in their last 11 after three or more consecutive losses. It's "gut check" time in Winnipeg. I'm grabbing the more motivated home in this one. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Jets. |
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02-25-20 | Blackhawks v. Blues UNDER 6 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawks/Blues UNDER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). The last thing St. Louis wants to do is to turn this one into a "track meet." That'd just play into Chicago's hands, as a faster paced game would help in it pulling off an upset here. St. Louis has slowly turned things around by winning three straight and I have a hard time seeing the Hawks mustering much of an offensive attack tonight. Chicago is ranked 17th in the NHL in goals scored per game while on the road, while St. Louis ranks fifth in goals allowed per game while at home. As mentioned off the top, I think the conditions are definitely right for a lower-scoring goaltenders battle tonight. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Blues. |
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02-24-20 | Senators v. Blue Jackets -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jackets PUCK LINE (GAME OF MONTH 10*) It's now or never for Columbus. The Blue Jackets need to turn things around immediately, or their playoff hopes are going to now be over quickly. Indeed, Columbus comes into this one having lost eight straight. The Senators are the perfect opponent to get untracked against though! Ottawa is a poor 3-8 (-4.4 units) this year already after playing three straight at home. The Blue Jackets?! Note that they're still 61-39 (+9 units) in their last 100 vs. clubs with losing records. I expect Columbus to finally show up tonight and to not only find a way to win this game, but to win convincingly. T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Jackets. |
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02-23-20 | Blackhawks +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blackhawks (10* PUCK-LINE PUNISHER). In a game which I expect to be decided late or even in extra time or shootout, I'm going to lay the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. This is the third game of a four-game season series between the clubs. Last time out the Hawks won 3-0, ending a seven-game skid in the series. Interestingly Chicago is 8-4 (+4.5 units) in all "Sunday" games this year, while Dallas is just 1-5 (-5.8 units) in the same position. T.M. Prediction: (3-2 Stars). |
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02-22-20 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 132 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Las Vegas (PUCK-LINE 10*). Florida stinks on the road and I believe the Panthers will indeed struggle in this difficult venue, vs. this surging Knights team. THe Panthers are in poor form, just 3-6-1 in their last ten, while the Golden Knights are 7-2-1 in their last ten. Florida is 0-4 in its last four as an underdog as well. Look for Las Vegas to to up early and to win by a decisive margin after it's all said and done. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Vegas. |
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02-19-20 | Wild +1.5 v. Canucks | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Wild (puck-line) Minnesota has a great chance of winning this game but having an extra +1.5 insurance goals never hurts. Two of Minnesota's last 3 defeats were losses by 1 goal. Three of 5 games overall decided by 1 goal. Canucks off 5-1 loss and have now dropped 5 of 7. Minnesota's last game in Vancouver was a 3-2 win for the Wild. Deja Vu tonight. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Wild |
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02-19-20 | Islanders +1.5 v. Avalanche | 1-3 | Loss | -175 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Islanders (puck-line) Colorado is tough but the Islanders are going to really want this game. They have only scored 1 goal in their last 3 games and will be ready to explode. Last 3 times these teams have played have all gone to the Islanders. Scores of 1-0, 4-3 and 4-1. The 4-1 win was here, in Denver. I have the Islanders winning another close one. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Isles. |
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02-17-20 | Islanders +116 v. Coyotes | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: NYI Islanders have beaten Coyotes 3 straight times. Last time here in Phoenix, Isles won 3-1. Coyotes won last game but still 3-10 last 13. Isles 8-4Â after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game. Coyotes 3-8Â when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Islanders |
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02-15-20 | Capitals -129 v. Coyotes | 1-3 | Loss | -129 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: WASHINGTON Coyotes won at Washington earlier and that doesnt bode well for them today. Capitals are 8-3 when avenging home loss and 61-39 last 100 in revenge role. Coyotes 2-8 last 10 against winning teams. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Capitals |
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02-12-20 | Canadiens v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OVER 5.5 boston/montreal These longtime rivals have faced each other 3 times this season. Those games saw a total of 22 goals scored, an average of more than 7 per game. We'll see more offense tonight! The Bruins have gone over the total 8 of 11 times when playing with 2 day's rest. Montreal usually sees totals of 6 when playing on the road. This one is 5.5 and the Over is 2-1 when they played a road game with a total of 5.5. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Bruins |
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02-11-20 | Hurricanes v. Stars -120 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Stars Entering today's game, both teams are off wins. They both come in with nearly identical records as well. But, I believe that the home team will get the best of the battle tonight. Carolina is only 2-9 in their last 11 games played on the road against the Dallas Stars. For the Stars, they are a dominant 10-5 in their last 15 games against opponents from the Eastern Conference. They have also played excellent defense this season, as they are only allowing 2.56 goals per game. With the home crowd behind them, expect Dallas to get the job done here on Tuesday. Take the Stars. T.M. Prediction: 4-1 Stars |
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02-09-20 | Avalanche v. Wild +125 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Wild Enterining today's matchup, Minnesota is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games this season. The Wild are also 5-2 in their last 7 games at home. For the Avalanche, 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against Minnesota. Colorado is also a sad 2-5 in their last 7 games against opponents in the Central Division. At home, expect an easy win for Minnesota. Take the Wild. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Wild |
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02-08-20 | Coyotes v. Bruins -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 132 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Bruins -1.5 This one has all the ingredients of a multi-goal win for the B's. Vastly superior team. Playing better currently, on both sides of the puck. At home. A nice plus-money payout for the big win. T.M. Prediction: 4-1 Bruins |
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02-07-20 | Sabres v. Rangers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NY Rangers/Buffalo Sabres UNDER Coming into this game, the Sabres haven't really been playing too good. They have only scored 2 goals or less, in 5 of their last 6 games this season. The Rangers have been playing stellar defense as of late too. They have held their opponent to less than two goals in five of their last eight games. Expect a low scoring game on Friday. T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Rangers |
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02-05-20 | Maple Leafs -134 v. Rangers | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -134 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Maple Leafs The Toronto Maple Leafs may be off a loss, but they are by far the better team in this matchup. Toronto is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games on the road. They are also a dominant 8-3 in their last 11 games against opponents in the East Conference. On the other hand, the NY Rangers are a sad 2-4 in their last 6 games played in February. The Leafs may be on the road, but I expect them to dominate from start-to-finish in this one. Take Toronto. T.M. Prediction: 4-1 Maple Leafs |
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02-01-20 | Blue Jackets -108 v. Sabres | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Columbus Blue Jackets The Columbus Blue Jackets may be on the road, and even though they have not scored too many goals this season, I expect them to shut the Sabres out here in this one. Coming in, CBJ is a perfect 6-0 in their last 7 games. They are also a dominant 5-1 in their last 6 games on the road. For Buffalo, they are a sad 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against opponents in the Metropolitan Division. The Sabres are also only 2-9 in their last 11 games against opponents in the East Conference. Take Columbus. T.M. Prediction: 3-0 CLB |
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01-31-20 | Bruins v. Jets OVER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Winnipeg Jets/Boston Bruins OVER Long layoff will lead to defensive sloppinesss. Last 4 games between these teams had scores of 5-4, 4-3, 4-3 and 5-4. Over is 15-7 in Winnipeg non-conference games. Over is 9-6 in Boston non-conference games. This one sails over! T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Jets |
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01-31-20 | Capitals -1.5 v. Senators | Top | 5-3 | Win | 130 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Capitals -1.5 This is an obvious mismatch. The Capitals lead the entire NHL with 73 points. The Senators are near the bottom with 45. The Capitals score about a goal more per game and they allow less too. In 51 games, they have 185 goals, a +34 goal differential. Ottawa has 138 goals and a -31 goal differential. Last two games between these teams have had scores of 6-1 and 7-2, both in favor of Washington. T.M. Prediction: 6-1 Capitals |
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01-30-20 | Predators -132 v. Devils | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nashville Predators As a road favorite, you know that Nashville is the better team. If the game was played in the state of Tennessee, the Predators would be huge favorites. Line was -255 in earlier game. Here's the deal though. Both these teams are actually better on the road than they are at home. Nashville is 11-14-4 at home but 12-12-3 on road. NJ is 7-16-7 at home but 11-15 on the road. So, throw home ice advantage out the window. What are we left with? The better team wins! T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Preds |
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01-29-20 | Flames v. Oilers -118 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: EDMONTON You gotta love the Battle Of Alberta. Tonight the home team Oilers will have a score to settle. The Flames have taken both this season's games, one on December 27 and another on January 11. You know Edmonton doesnt want to lose again to its most hated rival. The Flames lost last night and they are 2-4 after playing the day before. Edmonton 2-1 with 3 or more day's rest. This time, the battle goes to the Oilers! T.M. PREDICTIONÂ 4-3 Oilers |
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01-28-20 | Senators +1.5 v. Sabres | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OTTAWA +1.5 goals Conventional wisdom tells us that the Sabres will have the advantage due to the fact that the Senators played last night. Conventional wisdom doesnt apply right after the All Star Break though. The Sabres long layoff leads to rust. The Senators second game in two nights isnt too bad after the long break, arguably even a good thing. Ottawa won 3-1 last meeting. Another upset wont surprise. T.M. PREDICTION 4-3 OTTAWA |
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