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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-28-20 | Bills v. Patriots OVER 46 | Top | 38-9 | Win | 100 | 108 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bills/Pats OVER (10* TOTAL MAYHEM). Despite being eliminated, I don't think the proudful Patriots will simply roll over here. The Pats hate the Bills, no matter who is under center. New England plays with revenge here as well after a low-scoring loss in Buffalo at the start of the season. Buffalo could care less about New England's issues. The Patriots have crushed the Bills for well over a decade, so Buffalo will have no mercy on this organization ever. The Bills have averaged over 33 points over their last four games and I expect that offense to lay the hammer down here as well. Buffalo allows 24.3 PPG, so Cam Newton and the home side will have some opportunities. This one has over written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 34-27 Bills. |
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12-27-20 | Titans v. Packers UNDER 56 | Top | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 84 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Packers/Titans under (10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE YEAR). These are two of the highest-scoring teams in the league (in fact, Tennessee is the highest-scoring club in the league at just under 32 points per game average.) Each also comes in in the middle of the pack on the defensive side of the ball. Many may think this will be a high-scoring shootout, but I definitely am not expecting that whatsoever. Each team is in the playoffs, but still looking to cement a better spot. This is a non-conference game, so the emotion levels are always a little less in those situations. It's going to be a cold and blustery day in Green Bay and I expect the Titans to run with Derrick Henry, and then run some more. It's interesting to note as well that Tennessee has seen the the total dip under in 11 of its last 15 non-conference road games when the total in the contest is set between 53.5 and 57.5 points; this number is definitely too high in my opinion, the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-26-20 | 49ers v. Cardinals OVER 48.5 | Top | 20-12 | Loss | -116 | 57 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Niners/Cards OVER (10* NFC West TOTAL OF THE YEAR). Arizona enters on top form and in such a pivotal contest, I believe it continues to build momentum. Arizona averages 27.9 PPG and at 8-6, it now controls its own destiny as far as a playoff spot is concerned. I don't expect Arizona to sit on a lead or "try to play it safe." Even if the Cardinals have a big lead, I believe they'll continue to keep the foot on the gas now at every opportunity as they try to continue to build offensive chemistry. San Fran's a mess, but it gets TE George Kittle back from injury. The 49ers are out to play spoiler today and I think that motivation helps in driving up this score as well. This one has "shootout" written all over it; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-25-20 | Vikings v. Saints -6.5 | Top | 33-52 | Win | 100 | 33 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Saints (10* TRADE-MARK). The Saints have lost three straight, while Minnesota has dropped two in a row. The big difference between these teams heading into Week 16 though is that New Orleans has clinched a playoff spot and still has an opportunity to impove its standings, while the Vikings have been all but eliminated. Where is the motivation going to come from the Vikings today, who let a crucial and late lead slip away in last weekend's crushing loss to division rival Chicago? I like Drew Brees to bounce back from last week's loss to the defending champs and to lay the hammer down from start to finish. A great "common sense" selection; I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: 33-21 Saints. |
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12-21-20 | Steelers v. Bengals +13 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 152 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bengals (10* MONEY-MAKER). The Steelers have lost two in a row. They're coming to town without starting running back James Conner as well, which turns the offense extremely one-dimensional. Big Ben has reached the point of the season where fatigue is a major factor, and without his star RB to keep the Bengals pass rush honest, I think the veteran is going to be in for a long day here. Pittsburgh definitely has zero motivation here to run up the score if it does in fact have a lead, instead it'll be looking to kill the clock and avoid any further injuries. But for Brandon Allen and the Bengals, this is a big game to prove themselves and to try and solidify their job for next season. I love the Bengals here, but I won't call for an outright upset; grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Pittsburgh. |
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12-20-20 | Browns -4 v. Giants | Top | 20-6 | Win | 100 | 128 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Browns (10* ELITE OF THE ELITE). If the Browns had actually beaten the Ravens last weekend, then I'd likely be going the other way, but the fact that Cleveland lost makes me love the visiting side in this situation. The Browns have no reason to look past the Giants today, as they'll stay in the Big Apple to play the Jets next weekend, before a regular season thriller at home vs. the Steelers. Cleveland has to be looking at the Steelers' recent slide and thinking that it has a golden opportunity here to win these next two games, and take out the Steelers in the finale. If so, and if Pittsburgh continues to struggle the next two games, the Browns have a shot at moving up in the playoff standings. One game at a time. Cleveland's depth on offense and its above par defense are the differences today for me; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 31-24 Cleveland. |
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12-19-20 | Panthers +10 v. Packers | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 104 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Panthers (10* CASH-COW). Sorry, I'm dealing with power/technical issues due to a severe storm in the Pacific Northwest right now, so I'm not able to properly give my usual extremely detailed analysis today. Carolina comes in off a tough 32-27 home loss to Denver. Carolina didn't give up as well, as it scored 17 points in the fourth quarter in the near come back. Clearly Green Bay is the better team, I just think it'll get caught looking past the Panthers today to its home game vs. the Titans next weekend. Finally note as well that Green Bay is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after scoring 30 or more points in a SU victory in its last outing. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-17-20 | Chargers v. Raiders UNDER 53.5 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chargers/Raiders UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). The Chargers finally covered a spread last weekend, managing to come from behind to knock off the Falcons 20-17. Maybe that's not such a big surprise though considering how many times the Falcon's have given up late leads. The Chargers are banged up and they only average 22.8 PPG at the best of times. The Raiders just fired their defensive coordinator, as head coach Jon Gruden puts his foot down with one last effort/push to close out the season. It's basically do or die for the Raiders today, who will look to control this one from the outset and to limit mistakes. Note that over the last ten games between these teams the average score has been 42.6. I think today's will be even less than that. I'm banking on a lower-scoring defensive battle! T.M. Prediction: 17-13 Vegas. |
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12-14-20 | Ravens -110 v. Browns | Top | 47-42 | Win | 100 | 152 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ravens (10* MAYHEM). This is just a bad matchup for Cleveland. It has been for a long time. Cleveland lost this game 38-6 in Baltimore in Week 1. The Browns have won four straight, but the 7-5 Ravens are the hungrier team in this fight. Baltimore's offense has taken a small step back this year, but its defense remains elite. It was able to contain both the pass and run in Week 1 and I think the Ravens' defensive unit is in line for another big day here as well. The Ravens had lost three in a row before finally hammering the Cowboys last weekend. Sure, it was just Dallas, but it was an important victory against a desperate team. Baltimore is desperate to keep pace in the division and I love it to do more than enough to come away with the win and cover on Monday night! T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Baltimore. |
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12-13-20 | Steelers v. Bills UNDER 47.5 | Top | 15-26 | Win | 100 | 128 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Steelers/Bills UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH). This one has "under" written all over it in my opinion. Pittsburgh is now 11-1 after suffering its first loss of the yar last week in a 23-17 setback to Washington. Buffalo enters off a second straight win, beating San Francisco on the road last weekend. Pittsburgh has the No. 1 defense in the NFL, and I think that Josh Allen will have a difficult time getting set this evening. The Steelers will look to establish the run throughout as well. THe last thing Pittsburgh wants to do is to turn this into a shootout. The Steelers want to control the tempo of this one, win the field position battle and special teams play. Considering all of the above circumstances, I do indeed feel this number is a little high; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-10-20 | Patriots v. Rams UNDER 45 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 59 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rams/Pats UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK.) These are two of the best defensive clubs in the league. New England allows 21.3 PPG and LA allows 20.3. Both teams come in off high-scoring victories, but the short week will turn this one into more of a "chess match" than a "run and gun shootout" in my opinion. New England got the job done last week with 180 rushing yards and some great special teams play. Expect these two teams to go well under once it's all said and done! T.M. Prediction: 21-13 Rams. |
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12-07-20 | Washington Football Team v. Steelers UNDER 44 | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 124 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Steelers/Washington UNDER (10* MAYHEM). Washington has become a "run first" team behind the great play of rookie running back Antonio Gibson, who has 645 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns. Alex Smith has lost a step. The last thing he'll want to do is to turn this into a shootout. The Steelers excel at stopping the run, ranked 8th overall in that department. Pittsburgh's perfect record is on the line here after barely holding on for the 19-14 win over Baltimore last time out. Pittsburgh is ranked third overall defensiely and Washington is ranked fourth. This one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 21-9 Pittsburgh. |
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12-06-20 | Broncos v. Chiefs -13.5 | Top | 16-22 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chiefs (10* TRADE-MARK). Denver is 4-7 overall and 1-3 over its last four. Kansas City is 10-1 and while the Chiefs have a tricky game in Miami next weekend, a 15-1 regular-season record is now very possible, with a game at New Orleans after that, followed by home games against Atlanta and the Chargers to finish off. Denver had to have practice squad wide receiver Kendall Hinton take over at quarterback in last week's 31-3 home loss to , because starter Drew Lock, backup Brett Rypien and practice squad player Blake Bortles were designated as close-contact risks after third-string quarterback Jeff Driskel tested positive for COVID-19. Royce Freeman had 50 yards on eight carries for the Broncos in the loss. Noah Fant caught the only pass for 13 yards. Now, I do expect Denver to have a much better offensive game today with one of their starters back under center, but how could they not? It was an overall disappointment last week that the NFL even allowed that Denver game to be played, but now with little hope at making the playoffs, I think the Broncos will simply go through the motions today. The Chiefs are 10-1 and they're clearly the "better" team in every respect. I don't foresee a letdown here, rather I look for Kansas City to go up early and then to control the clock after that, limit mistakes and injuries and get ready for next week's road contest. This one has "b-l-o-w-o-u-t" written ALL over it! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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12-02-20 | Ravens v. Steelers OVER 42 | Top | 14-19 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ravens/Steelers OVER (10* DOMINATION). This is a weird game and weird circumstances. Baltimore has its running backs available, but starting QB LaMar Jackson is out with COVID. Several other defensive players are also out for Baltimore. I think the Ravens fight hard in the second half, but I expect Pittsburgh to lay it on hard out of the break and I look for this total to sneak over the number once the smoke clears at the end of the night! T.M. Prediction: 31-21 Pittsburgh. |
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11-30-20 | Seahawks -4.5 v. Eagles | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 127 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Seahawks (10* MADNE$$). Seattle comes in off a big win over Arizona and I think it'll keep the foot on the gas here in Prime Time in this favorable matchup. Both the Cardinals and the Rams lost yesterday, so with a win today, the Hawks will have a firm grasp on the log-jammed NFC West. Seattle's defense has looked dramatically better of late, last week it held the Cardinals to just 314 yards. The Eagles come in off a 22-17 loss to Cleveland, their second straight setback. Philadelphia is now on the ropes. Who is getting the start today for the Eagles? Whether it's the rookie or Wentz, I can't see either keeping pace with Russell Wilson and this Hawks' offense which has averaged over 31.0 PPG this year. Note as well that Philly is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten at home, while Seattle is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 Monday Night Football contests; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 31-19 Seattle. |
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11-23-20 | Rams v. Bucs OVER 47 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 131 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rams/Bucs OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). The Buccaneers bounced back from a humbling defeat to the Saints to smash the Panthers 46-23 last weekend. The Rams came out of their bye-week and beat Seattle 23-16. Tampa will look to push the pace from the outset though as it tries to get the defensive-minded Rams out of their comfort zone. Despite the low-scoring victory last week though, I'll point out that Rams' QB Jared Goff posted his second-straight 300-plus yards passing game. This one is going to be centered around these two red-hot QB's; look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 33-30 Tampa. |
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11-22-20 | Chiefs v. Raiders UNDER 57 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -105 | 107 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chiefs/Raiders UNDER FIRST HALF (10* BLOWOUT). The Raiders won a high-scoring thriller in Kansas City a couple of weeks ago. Both teams come in off wins, but while the first game went over the number, I believe the second affair between these two AFC leading clubs with fall well under once the smoke clears at the end of the night. And I believe this will in fact pay immediate dividends for us in the first half (note as well that the total has gone under in seven of these teams last ten vs. each other). With each team looking to establish the run early, the savvy call is the under in the first half! T.M. Prediction: 13-7 KC. |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals +3.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 21-28 | Loss | -121 | 37 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Cardinals. Arizona knocked off Seattle 37-34 at home in overtime as a 3.5 point underdog earlier in the season and I believe it has a legitimate shot at a repeat performance here. Arizona lost 34-31 to Miami two weeks ago, but it bounced back with a big win over Buffalo on Sunday and it's now won four of its last five. Seattle has dropped three of its last four. Arizona averages 29.6 points per game and it allows 23.3. Seattle averages 32.2 PPG, but it concedes a league worst 29.6. The Cards are also 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 as a road underdog, while Seattle is a poor 1-5 ATS In its last six vs. the division. Russell Wilson's early numbers are because of the competition he faced. Look for the "better" team to domiante this one from start to finish and while I do think the outright is possible, let's grab the points in the end! T.M. Prediction: 29-28 Arizona. |
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11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears OVER 44.5 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -109 | 156 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vikings/Bears OVER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUIILDER). Minnesota averages 27.1 PPG and it allows 29.3. Dalvin Cook has been unstoppable of late though and I think he'll be a difference maker here in Chicago as well. Cook had 858 rushing yards and 13 total TDs so far. The Bears will be leaning on QB Nick Foles to snap a three-game slide. Foles looked good in defeat to Tennessee in the Bears last game, going 36 of 52 for 335 yards and two TDs. Minnesota desperately needs a win here to keep its slim playoff hopes alive and the Bears are on the cusp of falling out of second after three straight losses. With both teams pushing the pace from start to finish, look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Minnesota. |
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11-15-20 | Ravens -7 v. Patriots | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -105 | 132 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ravens (10* GAME OF THE YEAR). No upsets here. I believe that LaMar Jackson is going to take it upon himself to decimate Cam Newton on the National stage. The Ravens enter off a big 24-10 win over Indianpolis, while New England barely broke its four-game slide with a 30-27 win over the Jets. Jackson has 12 touchdown passes and three more rushing, with just four interceptions. The Ravens' defense though is about to have a feast here on this suspect Patriots' O-line; note that Baltimore has already posted 24 sacks, four interceptions, and made ten fumble recoveries. Newton has eight rushing TD's and just two through the air. Baltimore's strength on defense though is against the run, so expect Newton to have another long night. Additionally note that NE is just 2-6-1 against the spread in its last nine at home, while Baltimore is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after allowing ten or less points in a SU/ATS victory in its last outing. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout from start to finish! T.M. Prediction: 30-13 Baltimore. |
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11-12-20 | Colts v. Titans -125 | Top | 34-17 | Loss | -125 | 61 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Titans (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Colts are ranked third in the league in defense. They're great at stopping the run, which is Tennessee's strength. The Titans broke a two-game slide with a win and cover over the Bears and I expect them to carry that momentum over here. Tennessee will still try to pound the ball, but this is a big moment for Ryan Tannehill to step up. The Colts' Philip Rivers looked poor in the second half of his team's 24-10 home loss to Baltimore, throwing for 227 yards and an interception. Tennessee's secondary is getting healthier and I think it's getting vastly underrated at home here. I expect a decisive Titans win and cover, so lay the points, or grab the points, it doesn't matter! T.M. Prediction: 28-21 Tennessee. |
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11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs UNDER 52 | Top | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 127 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Saints/Bucs UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH). These defenses are both underrated. I think these units will absolutely become the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries. The first game between these clubs went over, but this one has under written all over it. Tampa's run game is strong and the last thing the home side wants to do is to turn this into a "track meet" with Drew Brees. Note as well that the under has hit in nine of these teams last 12 against each other on this field. This number is too high! T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Tampa. |
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11-05-20 | Packers v. 49ers UNDER 50.5 | Top | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Niners/Packers UNDER FIRST HALF (10* SUPER TOTAL). San Francisco has struggled this year, mainly due to injuries. Last week it's two-game win streak was snapped in a 37-27 setback at Seattle. The 49ers though lost the services of their two best offensive players in QB Jimmy G and TE George Kittle. Green Bay was upset at home to the Vikings last weekend, getting torched by Dalvin Cook for 187 rushing yards and three TD's on the ground. The 49ers will look to duplicate that same success vs. Green Bay here, as it looks to avoid putting the ball into Rodgers hands as long as possible. Look for these two teams to battle tough in the opening half and for this total to fall well under the number. T.M. Prediction: 13-7 Green Bay. |
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11-02-20 | Bucs v. Giants +11 | Top | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 156 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Giants (10* MONEY-TRAIN). Let's be honest, it would be A LOT easier to write a convincing argument for the Bucs to win and cover this game. Tom Brady is on fire and Tampa is off back-to-back big victories over the Packers and on the road last week at the Texans. New York has lost its last three games by three-points or less. The Giants won't be in the playoffs, but they remain competitive. First year coach Joe Judge won't be rolling over and playing dead, he'll continue to try and find ways to help his team win and a big upset at home over Tom Brady and company would be huge. That may not happen, but I think the Giants can keep this one very close. In what I expect to be a "nail-biter," I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Tampa. |
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11-01-20 | Saints -2.5 v. Bears | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 154 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NO Saints New Orleans won this game 36-25 last October and I expect a similar final result here as well. New Orleans is coming out of a 27-24 win over Carolina in its last game. Drew Brees had 287 passing yards and two touchdowns. The Saints offensive line has been big this year, allowing just 1.3 sacks per game. That's also given Alvin Kamara room to operate on the ground. Chicago has now lost back-to-back games, most recently a listless 24-10 setback at the Rams last weekend. The Bears offense struggled and I expect that to continue here. Chicago's defense has been its strength in the early going, but I expect that unit to struggle to contain Brees and company. Note that New Orleans is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 games on the road when facing a team with a winning record at home, while Chicago is a poor 2-8 ATS in its last ten following a loss. I love New Orleans to run the score up early, but never take the foot off the gas. Lay the points, expect a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 31-21 Saints |
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10-26-20 | Bears v. Rams UNDER 46 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 150 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rams/Bears UNDER (10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE). The Bears are out for their third straight win today, most recently beating Carolina 23-16. The Rams are off a 24-16 loss at San Francisco. Both teams only ask their quarterbacks to manage the game, instead relying on strong run games and elite defensive units to wear their opponents down. Chicago only averages 21.3 PPG, but makes up for it on the other end by conceding just 19.3. The Rams average 25.3 PPG and they allow only 19. Chicago has held three of its last four opponents to under 20 points. The Bears have a similar defense as San Francisco, so I look for a similar final combined score as what LA posted in its last game. This one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 21-14 Chicago. |
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10-25-20 | Bucs -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 45-20 | Win | 100 | 122 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucs (10* BEST OF THE BEST). I got down on this one early and have a favorable line, but regardless, I think that Tom Brady and the Bucs will handle their business on the road here and build off their impressive win at home over the Packers last weekend. Brady was great, but Tampa's defense was even better, forcing Aaron Rodgers into two interceptions and no touchdowns. Tampa's run game looks great and it catches this Las Vegas side which enters off its bye week after a huge upset on the road in Kansas City. I think the momentum off that big win is now gone and I expect the home side to come out flat here. Tampa is rolling and expect it to go up early and to keep the foot on the gas until the final whistle sounds! T.M. Prediction: 30-22 Tampa. |
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10-22-20 | Giants v. Eagles -3.5 | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eagles (10* TRADE-MARK). Both teams have struggled this year, mainly due to untimely early injuries. The Eagles though have been much more competitive each week and after nearly pulling off the upset over the heavily favored Ravens last weekend, I look for them to lay a beating on this disastrous Giants team, which is destined for a letdown here after is 20-19 win over Washington at home last weekend. Daniel Jones has struggled for the Giants, he has just three TD's and six INT's. Carson Wentz has too for the Eagles, but that's mainly due to his injured offensive line and lack of talent. But as mentioned above, despite that the Eagles have been competitive of late and on the short week and playing a division rival at home, I like them to go up early, keep the foot on the gas and then never look back. Lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 31-20 Philadelphia. |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys UNDER 55 | Top | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 175 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cards/Cowboys UNDER (10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE). The Cowboys have put up some unreal offensive numbers this year. Their defense has been terrible and Dak Prescott has had to play from behind several times this year to try and furiously make a come back. But now Prescott is injured and out for the season and Andy Dalton will be forced into the spotlight. As good as Dalton is, it's hard to imagine this Dallas offense operating at the same level moving forward. The Cowboys have been atrocious on the defensive end, so they'll be eager to try and improve in that department as well, to alleviate the pressure from Dalton. The Cards only allow 22 PPG and I think the last thing they want to do here is turn this into a "shootout." This number is high, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Arizona. |
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10-18-20 | Rams v. 49ers +3.5 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 151 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 49ers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). At 2-3, San Francisco is still in contention. Other than the Jets, no team has gone through as much turmoil as the 49ers have in the early going, mostly due to untimely injuries. Last week the Dolphins slapped Jimmy Garopolo by a score of 43-17. Garopolo left at half time of that blowout, but he's going to get the start here. San Francisco's strength in the early going has been its defensive play. The unit catches a break this weekend facing the Rams, who aren't an "explosive" offense, albeit a very effecient one. LA has been great defensively, conceding only 18 PPG, but I think it'll have its hands full with this determined home side on the national stage. Grab the points, expect a nail-biter! T.M. Prediction: 27-25 San Francisco. |
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10-13-20 | Bills -3.5 v. Titans | Top | 16-42 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo (10* THROWDOWN). The Titans are 3-0, but they've had to deal with plenty of off-field issues over the last three weeks and I think the team will come out flat here. The Bills are 4-0 and while their defense has taken a bit of a step back here from last season, the offense behind Josh Allen has exploded, having scored at least 30 points in three straight games. The Titans playbook isn't vast, so look for Tennessee to pound the ball with Derrick Henry. However, as stated above, the weird covid scheduling is going to throw a monkey-wrench into the Titans chemistry in my opinion. Also note that Buffalo is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU victories in a row. I'm laying the points and expecting a comfortable SU/ATS victory. T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Buffalo. |
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10-12-20 | Chargers +7 v. Saints | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chargers (10* BLOWOUT BEST OF THE BEST). The Saints had to come from behind in their 35-29 road win in Detroit. New Orleans is allowing an average of 30.8 PPG, while LA is conceding only 23.8. Brees has several receivers banged up, including top WR Michael Thomas. Justin Herbert was great in defeat last weekend, throwing for 300 yards and three TD's. The Saints are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven at home, while the Chargers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four on the road. I think the Saints issues on the defensive end continue and now their offense has taken a hit as well. Outright is possible, but in the end grab as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 26-24 Saints. |
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10-11-20 | Vikings v. Seahawks -7 | Top | 26-27 | Loss | -105 | 106 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawks (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). Seattle won 31-23 in Miami last weekend and I like it keep the foot on the gas in Week 5 at home. The Vikes have been poor this year and they are primed for a letdown after their 31-23 win at Houston, their first victory of the season. I don't trust Kirk Cousins of Dalvin Cook in this difficult road venue. Hawks' QB Russell Wilson has 16 touchdowns and just two interceptions and his offense is firing on all cylinders right now. It's also interesting to note that the Hawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games played in Week 5, while the Vikes are only 1-5 ATS their last six in this series. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 37-20 Seattle. |
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10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears UNDER 44.5 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 55 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucs/Bears UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). Note that the under has hit in 17 of Chicago's last 25 games overall and in six of its last seven at home. Tampa has seen the total go under in eight of its last 11 after scoring 35 points or more in a victory in its previous outing. Nick Foles and this Bears offense looked out of sync last week vs. the Colts and I they'll have a difficult time as well here vs. this improved Tampa unit. And after slinging five TD's in a come from behind win last weekend, I think that old Tom Brady comes out flat and tired on the short week. This one has "u-n-d-e-r" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Tampa. |
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10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers OVER 57.5 | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -110 | 157 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Packers/Falcons OVER (10* TOP TOTAL). Green Bay is 3-0, but it'll have a fight on its hands here as Atlanta looks to get off the schneid with a victory here. The Falcons have given up sizeable leads in all three of their setbacks (which they've lost by a combined 12 points.) Atlanta is getting great production from its offense, but it's conceding 38 PPG. That's brutal and great news to the ears of Packers' red hot veteran QB Aaron Rodgers, who already has 887 yards passing, nine touchdowns and zero interceptions. The Green Bay defense has done just enough, but it's issues have been masked over by the great play of Rodgers and the offense. The over has hit in Green Bay's last four following a SU win and all signs point to this trend continuing in a big way this evening; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 37-27 Green Bay. |
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10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets UNDER 40 | Top | 37-28 | Loss | -107 | 61 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Broncos/Jets under (10* O/U MONEY-MAKER). These defenses are terrible, but each unit catches a big break this week facing these terrible offenses. Both teams are equally as hungry to get off the schneid. Obviously neither is dillusional in thinking that they'll actually make the playoffs, rather these clubs need a victory to calm down their respective fan bases. I don't expect a high-scoring "shootout," rather I expect a "chess match." Sam Darnold needs to get back to basics for the Jets, so expect a lot of crossing routes and dumps. The Broncos are down to their third-string QB, so don't expect the visitors to be asking much of Rypien here either. I expect a boring, low-scoring affair once the final whistle sounds! T.M. Prediction: 17-13 Denver. |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs v. Ravens OVER 53.5 | Top | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 154 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chiefs/Ravens OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). I think that both defenses will have trouble containing these high-powered offenses. Patrick Mahomes and LaMar Jackson would have had this game circled on their calendars before the season started. This is a prime-time matchup that the entire NFL is hoping will have huge ratings and as such, I definitely expect these two offenses to take center stage. Each is capable on the defensive end as well, but mostly any inefficiences on that end are masked by each side's dynamic offense. Baltimore has revenge on its mind after losing 33-28 at Arrowhead last year and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. This number is low, the play is the OVER! T.M. Prediction: 33-30 Ravens. |
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09-27-20 | Bucs -6 v. Broncos | Top | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 127 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucs (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Broncos are an interesting case, as they're 0-2 SU, but 2-0 ATS. Last week they lost starter Drew Lock under center, but back-up Jeff Driskel was excellent by throwing for two TD's. But note, besides Lock, both DT Dre'Mont Jones and WR Courtland Sutton were placed on the IL this week (along with several others.) The Bucs are loaded with talent and I think this is the week that Tampa dominates on both sides of the ball. Leonard Fournette had a big game last week for the Bucs and now Brady has a real back to keep opposing defenses honest. I expect Tampa to go up early and to keep the foot on the gas until the final whistle. Lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 28-14 Tampa. |
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09-27-20 | Panthers v. Chargers UNDER 44 | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 126 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Panthers/Charges UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH). The Panthers are 0-2 and the Chargers are 1-1. LA looked decent in its loss to the Chiefs last time out, but it wasn't particularly spectacular in its Week 1 win over the Colts. Carolina is averaging 23.5 PPG, but clearly it'll be out to clean up its play on the defensive end after allowing 32.5 in the early going. However, Carolina catches a bit of a break here facing this Chargers offense. LA is only average 18 PPG, but the good news is it's only allowing 18 as well. With Christian McCaffrey out for the Panthers, their offense becomes even more one-dimensional. This one has UNDER written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 20-13 LA. |
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09-24-20 | Dolphins +3 v. Jaguars | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 59 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dolphins (10* TRADE-MARK). Jacksonville has been competitive, upsetting the Colts in Week 1, before then falling at Tennessee last time out. Gardner Minshew wno't roll over, but neither will Miami, who enters desperate after an 0-2 SU/ATS start. It's almost impossible for teams to even make the playoffs after starting 0-3 and note that the Fish are in fact 7-2 ATS in their last nine after losing two more SU in a row. The Jaguars on the other hand are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after back-to-back ATS victories. I'm grabbing the points, although won't be shocked by the outright win! T.M. Prediction: 25-23 Miami. |
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09-21-20 | Saints -5.5 v. Raiders | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -106 | 131 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Saints (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). I look at these two teams and I look at what each did in Week 1 and I just can't get a firm read immediately on the Raiders. Oakland won 34-30 in Carolina in Week 1, but that was against a very weak Panthers team. The Saints beat the Bucs 34-23 in Week 1 and Tampa just went on to hammer Carolina 31-17. The Panthers are like an expansion team this year. New Orleans is the deeper and more talented team and I like Drew Brees and company to fire against this suspect Raiders' secondary early and often. Las Vegas is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven overall, while the Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last five overall. I like the better in form team to deliver on the National stage; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 29-19 New Orleans. |
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09-20-20 | Patriots v. Seahawks OVER 44.5 | Top | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 107 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawks/Pats OVER (10* TRADE-MARK). Seattle CRUSHED the Falcons by a score of 38-25 last weekend. The only issue was, the Hawks allowed 500 yards of offense. Seattle will once again look to keep the foot on the gas in prime time on Sunday night with the New England Patriots coming to town. The Pats looked decent in their 21-11 win over the Fish, but the pressure is going to be on to match pace with the high-flying Hawks today. Cam Newton will be given the green light here to test his suspect Hawks secondary and when the smoke does finally clear at the end of this one, I look for this total to sail well over the posted number. Play the over! T.M. Prediction: 31-27 Seattle. |
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09-20-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cardinals -6.5 | Top | 15-30 | Win | 100 | 103 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cardinals (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Cardinals thumped the 49ers on the road in Week 1 and I like this young and dynamic team to lay the hammer down at home here as well in Week 2 in this favorable matchup. Washington beat Philadelphia 27-17, behind eight sacks, but I think it'll be a step behind today in trying to slow down Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins. Arizona is interestintly 7-2 ATS in its last nine Week 2 contests, while note that Washington is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 in the same position. I'm laying the points and so should you! T.M. Prediction: 30-17 Arizona. |
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09-20-20 | 49ers -7 v. Jets | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: SF 49ers The 49ers are coming off a home loss to the Cardinals and they travel across the country to play an early morning contest without a few key players on both sides of the ball. Despite that though, I think that Jimmy G and company will have more than enough to easily destroy the hapless Jets. Sam Darnold and company looked pathetic in their loss in Buffalo. Darnold's entire receiving corps is in shambles right now and Le'Veon Bell was held to just six yards rushing. The 49ers' defense is going to have a field day in New York today. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout of epic proportions! T.M. Prediction: 37-13 Niners. |
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09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns -6 | Top | 30-35 | Loss | -103 | 36 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Browns (10* TRADE-MARK). Cincinnati looked "OK" in its 16-13 loss to the Chargers. LA looked poor though. The Bengals defense looked good, but the offense wasn't impressive at all, with rookie QB Joe Burrow missing five open receivers on long balls, overthrowing his targets. Burrow did have a good fourth quarter, but the sample size is still too small. The Browns were poor in their loss to the Ravens, but I am not going to read too much into their Week 1 setback. The NFL is about making adjustments week to week and if we're going to "forgive" the Bengals with their performance last week, then we must also do so for Cleveland. I think the quick turn-around benefits the home side here and I love the Browns' defense to dominate as well. I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: 27-13 Browns. |
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09-14-20 | Steelers -3.5 v. Giants | Top | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 293 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Steelers (10* TRADE-MARK). The Steelers were competitive last year despite finishing 8-8. Pittsburgh lost the services of QB Big Ben Roethlisberger in Game 2 though and it was an uphill battle after that. Big Ben is now back though and I expect this veteran Pittsburgh offensive unit, to take advantage of this re-building New York defensive unit. The Giants have talent at QB and RB, but they have a new coach in Joe Judge and a new system across the board. Neither team has had much practice time, but I think that benefits Pittsburgh's offense here, which has been together for a long time. Daniel Jones is working with a lot of new faces and I think that'll be reflected in this score once it's all said and done. I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: 30-15 Steelers. |
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09-13-20 | Eagles v. Washington Football Team OVER 43 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 263 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philly/Washington OVER (10* NFC NORTH TOY). Carson Wentz and the Eagles will look to push the pace and take advantage of this Washington team under first year head coach Ron Rivera. Philadelphia was just 9-7 last year, but the addition of DeSean Jackson is a signficant one for this offense. The Eagles' secondary was a joke last year, and while it did make some upgrades, the unit still has question marks coming in. Dwayne Haskins will also be playing with a chip on his shoulder for Washington (completed 59 percent of his passes for seven TD's and seven INT's last year.) Like its counterpart today, Washington's weakness last year and coming into this season is on the defensive side of the ball. I think this will be a highly competitive game which blasts past the number sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Philadelphia. |
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09-10-20 | Texans v. Chiefs -9.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 1730 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kansas City Chiefs Last year the Chiefs went 1-1 against Houston. Both DeShaun Watson and Patrick Mahomes signed massive contracts in the off-season and each will have something to prove again this year. I like Mahomes and I don't think he'll be taking anything for granted. Watson is a spectacular talent, but he has a new head coach, a new system and new faces in the line-up and I just can't see this Texans side, which has more questions than answers on both sides of the ball, will be able to keep up with this potent Chiefs' offense. Note as well that the Texans are a poor 2-8 ATS in their last ten "Thursday night" games, while the Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in thier last five Week 1 contest and 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight as the favorite. Despite no fans being in the crowd, I'm still giving a big nod to the Chiefs for home field advantage as well. This one has "blowout" written all over it, so lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 31-14 Chiefs. |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kansas City Chiefs Most can agree that the Chiefs have the better offense and that the 49ers have the better defense. More often than not, that'll find me on the side of the better defense. The Chiefs offense is "MUCH" better than the 49ers offense though and the SF defense is only "better" than the KC defense. No team can stop the Chiefs. They score 27 or more every game. The 49ers can be slowed though. The last time they faced an AFC team they only scored 17 points! At the end of the day, Mahomes will be the better QB and the Chiefs will be the better team. T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Chiefs |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: KC/SF UNDER San Francisco has an excellent defense, that I believe, is the best in the NFL. Richard Sherman, Nick Bosa, Arik Armstead, DeForest Buckner and many more are why they are so talented. So far this season, the 49ers defense have held opposing quaterbacks to an average of only 174.28 passing yards per game. That's incredible! After a 2 game home stand, San Fran has seen the total stay UNDER in 7 of their last 9 games the past three years (2 of 2 this season.) For the Chiefs, they have had another stellar year as well. Their defense may not be as talented, but they sure have shut the door this playoffs. They have held opposing offenses to an average of 20.17 points per game. In the end, Patrick Mahomes is going to get his touchdowns, but I believe that both defenses will start out strong and for this game to stay well under the number. Take the UNDER and you'll be glad you did. T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Chiefs |
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