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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-11-19 | Miami-OH v. Akron -6 | 51-80 | Win | 100 | 28 h 59 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Akron (8*) Miami Ohio lost its final three games of the regular season. The Redhawks average 71.5 PG and they allow 69.5. Miami Ohio though has allowed an average of 72.6 during its slide and I think it’ll have its hands full again here tonight vs. the Zips. Akron also struggled down the stretch, losing six of eight. Overall Akron averaged 69.2 PPG and it allowed 63.7 PPG. Miami Ohio though is a poor 5-6 ATS this year as a road underdog or pick, while Akron is still 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a home favorite in the 3.5 to six points range. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-60 Zips. |
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03-11-19 | Western Michigan +11 v. Central Michigan | 67-81 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 60 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Western Michigan (8*). WMU plays with the added “double revenge” factor tonight after dropping both regular season games vs. CMU. The Broncos average 70.3 PPG and they allow 76.1. The Chips are the better team no doubt, but complacency sets in my opinion. They’ve already beaten the Broncos twice and they’ve won five of their last seven. I’m not calling for a complete collapse here, but the stage is set from a situational stand point for a much tighter battle than what this spread would suggest in my opinion. Additionally note that WMU is still 10-6 ATS in its last 16 when playing with double revenge, while CMU is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight off a road win vs. a conference rival. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 78-76 CMU. |
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03-10-19 | Houston v. Cincinnati -1.5 | Top | 85-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati (10* BLACK-LABEL) Houston comes in off a 90-79 win over SMU on Thursday, while Cincinnati enters off a 58-55 road loss to UCF. The Bearcats need to win this game though to earn a tie with the Cougars for first place in the AAC. Cincinnati will be the hungrier team here though after its latest loss, but also because it’s out to avenge a 65-58 setback to the Cougars on their home floor in the first meeting this season. Houston is just 1-3 ATS this year after scoring 85 points or more. Cincinnati is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Bearcats. |
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03-09-19 | Michigan v. Michigan State -3.5 | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (8*) This is a big game. Both teams come into a three way tie with Purdue for first place in the conference with 15-4 overall records. Michigan comes in off a 69-62 win over Maryland. The Wolverines average 115.3 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 93.2 points per 100 possessions. MSU enters having won six of its last seven. The Spartans average 121.3 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 97.1 points per 100 possessions. Note though that Michigan is just 3-6 ATS this year after successfully covering the spread in two more consecutive games, while MSU is already 11-4 ATS at home as a home favorite or pick. T.M. Prediction: 75-61 MSU. |
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03-09-19 | DePaul v. Creighton -7.5 | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Creighton (8*) Both teams have been hot of late, but Creighton can pretty much punch its ticket to the Big Dance today with a victory. DePaul comes in off back-to-back victories. But after throttling Georgetown 101-69 on Wednesday, I’m expecting a predictable letdown here. This is and has always been a matchup for DePaul, which has lost nine straight in this series (note that the Blue Demons have been outscored by an average of 16.8 points and have given up 82.8 points per game in those nine losses.) The Blue Jays are the hottest team in the Big East right now and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas. Creighton is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 home games vs. a team with a sub .400 road record, while DePaul is just 11-25-3 ATS in its last 39 following a SU win. T.M. Prediction: 82-70 Creighton. |
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03-09-19 | USC +6.5 v. Colorado | 67-78 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: USC (8*) USC comes in as the “hungrier” team here as it looks to halt a three-game skid and to pull even at 9-9 in conference play in the final regular season contest. Colorado on the other hand looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after consecutive wins over Utah and UCLA. This is a revenge game as well for the Trojans after the Buffs scored the 69-65 road win on February 9th. Many situational factors working in favor of the visitors today. Also note that USC is already 2-0 ATS this year after two or more straight road losses, while Colorado is just 1-4 ATS in its last five off a blwout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 USC. |
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03-09-19 | Louisville +12.5 v. Virginia | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Louisville (8*) Louisville comes in as a sizeable underdog in the season finale for both teams. The Cardinals have looked good under new coach Chris Mack’s direction, finishing 10-7 in ACC play. The Cavs are playing for at least a share of the ACC regular season title, so the Cards are out to play spoiler here. Louisville averages 112.9 points per 100 possessions and it allows 96.0 points per 100 possessions vs. ACC opponents. The Cavs have won seven straight. The Cavs are a slow paced offense, but they make up for it on the other end by sporting the nation’s No. 1 defense. Louisville is also 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog or pick, while UVA is just 1-3 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 18 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 66-60 UVA. |
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03-09-19 | UNLV +2 v. Colorado State | 65-60 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UNLV (8*) The Rebels come in off a win and they also enter with confidence after taking this game vs. the Rams at home 78-76. UNLV got the better of Boise State 85-81 in OT on senior night this past Saturday and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas here after the extended time off. Colorado State comes in on the other end of the spectrum, falling 100-96 to first place Utah State in OT. Can anyone say letdown spot?! Note as well that the Rebels are already 3-0 ATS this year when playing with five or six days rest, while CSU is a terrible 0-3 ATS in its last three as a home favorite of three points or less or pick. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 76-75 UNLV. |
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03-08-19 | Minnesota v. Maryland -6.5 | Top | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 26 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Maryland (10* GAME OF MONTH) Maryland isn’t playing well as the season winds down, having lost two straight. The Terps will be desperate to break the slide on Seniors night in the regular season finale though. The Golden Gophers are coming on strong to end the season, having won two in a row. That includes a huge upset win over Purdue last time out. Minnesota lost in the reverse fixture at home earlier in the year and I think it’s primed for a classic “letdown” here after its emotional upset win last time out. Maryland on the other hand comes in razor focused after back-to-back “duds.” Note as well that the Gophers are just 3-5 ATS in their last eight as a road underdog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Maryland is a near-perfect 4-1 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. T.M. Prediction: 75-60 Maryland. |
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03-08-19 | Bowling Green +14.5 v. Buffalo | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bowling Green (8* MONEY-MAKER) I’m going to stop short in calling for the outright victory, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what this spread would suggest in my opinion. Buffalo’s already wrapped up the East Division of the MAC at 15-2. Bowling Green is 12-5 in conference action and tied for second with Toledo. The Falcons won’t be lacking for confidence here either after they posted the 92-88 upset over Buffalo in the first meeting on February 1st. Bowling Green has lost three straight, so it won’t be lacking for motivation here. Buffalo had to hold on for a tighter than expected 82-79 win over Ohio on Tuesday and it appears to be running out of gas (has won eight straight, but covered in just three of those.) No outright, but grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 83-80 Bulls. |
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03-07-19 | Portland v. San Diego -13 | 47-67 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: San Diego (8*) This is the first round of the WCC Tournament. San Diego fell to BYU last time out, but I expect it to lay the hammer down here vs. the lowly Portland Pilots. Portland lost 24 of 31 regular season games. Not surprisingly the Toreros have taken two straight in this series. Portland average 65.5 PPG and it allows 74.9. San Diego struggled late in the season, losing five of its last seven. The Toreros though will look to make a run in the tournament. Overall they average 72.9 PPG and they allow 69.8. Note as well that Portland is still just 9-15 ATS as an underdog, while SD is a perfect 4-0 ATS this year off a road loss by ten points or more. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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03-07-19 | Hawaii v. UC-Davis -2 | 76-69 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UC Davis (8*). These teams are tied at 7-7 in conference play in fourth place. I can’t understate how important I think that the home floor advantage will play in the outcome of this one. Hawaii is backing its way into the Conference tournament as it enters this one with zero momentum off three straight losses, most recently falling 84-73 to Cal State Northridge. Hawaii averages 103.0 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 107.4 per 100 possessions. UC Davis is suddenly moving in the opposite direction, as it broke a three-game slide with a 65-59 win over Cal State Fullerton last weekend. On offense UC Davis averages 96.5 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 102.8 per 100 possessions. Additionally note that UC Davis is 20-8-1 ATS in its last 29 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. And finally note that the home team has covered the spread in each of the last four in the series. Play on UC Davis. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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03-07-19 | Indiana +2.5 v. Illinois | 92-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indiana (8*) The Hoosiers are 15-14 and they’ll be battling to stay above the .500 mark against an inconsistent 11-18 Illinois Fighting Illini team. Indiana though comes in playing its best ball of the year with back-to-back victories over top 25 teams. This is a big games, as Indiana sits one game back of Illinois in the conference standings. Note that the Hoosiers won the reverse game at home 73-64 earlier in the year. In their win over No. 6 Michigan State last weekend they gave up just 62 points. Illinois broke a three-game slide with an 81-76 win over Northwestern (note that the Wildcats are in the cellar in the Big 10.) The Hoosiers have clear momentum and they’re 4-0-1 ATS in their last five road games facing Illinois. I’m banking on a blowout, play on Indiana. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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03-07-19 | Cincinnati +2.5 v. UCF | 55-58 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati (8*) This is a big game for both teams. The Bearcats need to win this game and their next one at home vs. Houston to wrap up the AAC title and the No. 1 seed. Cincinnati enters on a five-game win streak and it sports one of the top defensive units in the nation. UCF is ranked for the first time in eight years and I think the Knights suffer a predictable letdown here under the weight of expectations. UCF has won three straight since a loss to the Bearcats, but Cincinnati’s defense is a major matchup issue for the Knights and I expect that trend to carry over here. Clearly the outright isn’t out of the question, but grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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03-07-19 | Temple +1.5 v. Connecticut | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Temple (8*) Temple comes in having won six of its last eight and I believe it’ll carry that momentum over here. Overall Temple averages 75 PPG, while allowing 71.2. The Owls have split their last six road games, but they catch a break here facing a Huskies side which has lost seven of its last nine. UConn averages 74.4 PPG, while allowing 70.6. Temple destroyed UConn at home last month and I believe we’ll see a similar result here once it’s all said and done. After beating USC on Sunday, I think UConn takes a step back here. Play on Temple. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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03-06-19 | Providence v. Creighton -6 | Top | 70-76 | Push | 0 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Creighton (10* BLACK-LABEL) Providence is in last place in the standings. Creighton clawed its way out of the cellar to improve to 7-9 in league play with an upset win over Marquette and I think it carries that momentum over into another big performance in their final home game of the regular season. The Friars are poised for a letdown after their 73-67 upset OT win over Butler on Tuesday. Creighton though has won three straight and note that it’s already 3-1 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog. Providence on the other hand is a poor 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing with seven or more days of rest. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Creighton. |
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03-05-19 | Rhode Island +2.5 v. St. Joe's | 86-85 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rhode Island (8*) Rhode Island comes in off an impressive 72-70 road win over Dayton, while the Hawks enter off a 72-62 home win over la Salle. The Rams have won two straight. Overall Rhode Island is averaging 68.2 points on the season, while allowing 67.3. The Hawks average 69.9 points, while allowing an average of 71.7. Note as well that St. Joe’s is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 after an ATS win, while Rhode Island is 4-1 TS in its last five in this series. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-69 Rhode Island. |
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03-05-19 | Nebraska +13 v. Michigan State | Top | 76-91 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nebraska (10*) The Cornhuskers are just 5-13 in league play and they come in off an 82-53 loss to Michigan, but I think it can keep this one competitive as it looks to play spoiler vs. this suddenly reeling MSU side. The Spartans are off a 63-62 road loss to Indiana and I believe they’ll be collectively mentally caught up on that “hiccup” still. Nebraska averages 71.9 PPG and it allows 65.1. MSU averages 79.5 PPG and it allows 65.7. Nebraska is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road underdog of 12.5 points or more, while MSU is 1-4 ATS in its last five as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 18 points range. T.M. Prediction: 73-68 MSU. |
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03-05-19 | Xavier +4.5 v. Butler | 66-71 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Xavier (8*) These teams are moving in opposite directions as the season winds down. The Bulldogs enter off a 75-54 loss to Villanova, while Xavier posted an impressive 84-73 road win over St. John’s last time out. The Musketeers come in other the radar in the Big East as the hottest current team with a five-game win streak on the line. Xavier held on for a 70-69 home win in the reverse fixture this year and I think an outright victory isn’t out of the question here either. The Bulldogs have dropped three straight and look ripe for the picking. Grab all these points. T.M. Prediction: 70-68 Xavier. |
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03-04-19 | Kansas State v. TCU +1.5 | Top | 64-52 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: TCU (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I think the “hungrier” home side finds a way to get the job done here. TCU is on the bubble for The Big Dance and with a chance to cement a spot with a win today, I’m expecting the Horned Frogs to step up and make it happen. K-State is currently tied atop the Big 12 with Texas Tech. Will the visitors get caught looking past their opponent today to their weekend matchup vs. Oklahoma? The possibility is there. TCU though does not have that luxury. Note as well that K-State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after allowing 65 points or less in four straight games, while TCU is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 when playing with one or less days rest. T.M. Prediction: 67-66 TCU. |
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03-03-19 | Marshall v. North Texas -6 | Top | 85-82 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: North Texas (10* BLACK-LABEL) UNT won the first meeting 78-51 and I believe we’ll see a similar final combined score here as well. Marshall is 8-7 and tied for sixth, while UNT is 8-8 and tied for eighth. However, it’s now or never for the Mean Green, who enter having losing five straight. Desperation breeds motivation in this case. Note as well that the Herd are just 3-7 ATS as an underdog this year and only 4-11 ATS on the road, while UNT is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 off a SU home loss. Home floor advantage is a big one here. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-70 UNT. |
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03-02-19 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -10.5 | 69-71 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati (8* BLACK-LABEL) Memphis comes in off an 81-73 home win over Temple, but I think it’ll have its hands full here with a Cincinnati team that held on for a 52-49 road win over SMU last time out. The Bearcats won’t be taking the Tigers lightly either, as they posted the slim 69-64 road win in the first matchup between the schools on February 7th. The Bearcats are tough on opposing offenses wherever they play and that’s led to a near-perfect 15-1 home record. Meanwhile Memphis comes in at just 3-6 in true road games. There’s no way that Cincinnati takes the foot off the gas this close to the finish line. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-66 Bearcats. |
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03-02-19 | Kansas -7 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 72-67 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kansas (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Kansas won the first meeting between the schools this season by a score of 84-72 and I’m expecting a repeat performance here as well. Kansas comes in off a 64-49 home win over K-State to move to 10-5 in conference action, while the Cowboys are off a deflating 84-80 OT loss to Texas Tech to fall to 3-12 in Big 12 play. Kansas has everything to play for, and Oklahoma State is stumbling towards the finish line. Note that Oklahoma State is just 4-12 ATS in its last 16 vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600, while Kansas is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Kansas. |
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03-01-19 | Buffalo -8.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 77-69 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Bulls come in off a 77-64 win over Akron on Tuesday. Buffalo enters on a six-game win streak and with a win today, it’ll cement its spot for the East Division title. With that in mind, I expect the visitors put the foot on the gas from start to finish in this favorable matchup. The Bulls average 87.5 PPG and they’ve won ten of the last 13 in this series. The RedHawks enter off an 82-69 win over Bowling Green, but I think they’ll have their hands full here with the Bulls high-octane offense. Note as well that Buffalo is 14-8 ATS as a favorite this season and 8-4 ATS in its last 12 on the road, while Miami is just 7-8 ATS this year vs. good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per contest. T.M. Prediction: 86-65 Bulls. |
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02-28-19 | Northeastern v. Delaware +5 | Top | 75-64 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Delaware (10* BLACK-LABEL) If recent history is any precedence, then Delaware has to be loving it chances, as it took the first meeting between he schools 82-80 in OT from Boston back on December 30th. Normally “revenge” is a factor I take into account, but it’s a “non-factor” in this one in my opinion. And that’s because the Blue Hens come in having lost five of their last seven. The Huskies are 12-4 in league play and a game behind Hofstra. The Huskies have won two straight at home, but a difficult road challenge spells “upset” in my opinion. Note that NE is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road favorite in the 3.5 to six points range as well. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 69-67 Delaware. |
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02-27-19 | Cincinnati v. SMU +4.5 | Top | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: SMU (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Bearcats come in complacent after their tough 64-60 road win over UConn. SMU comes in desperate to atone for a 95-48 loss on the road to UCF. The home side also plays with “revenge” here after falling 73-68 in the first matchup between the schools back on February 2nd. The Bears are also just 2-3 ATS this year off a road victory, while SMU is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a road loss vs. a conference rival and 9-6 ATS in its last 15 revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Cincinnati. |
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02-26-19 | Miami-FL -4.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 75-76 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Florida (10* BLOWOUT BEST OF BEST) Miami is 0-7 on the road in ACC action. The Hurricanes though come in off an 80-65 home win over Georgia Tech on Saturday and I think they’ll finally carry that momentum over here on the road. A game at impotent Wake Forest is just what Miami needs to get back into the winners circle, as the Deacons are tied for 13th in the conference. Most recently Wake was destroyed 94-74 at NC State this weekend. Note that the Demon Deacons are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 at home and just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games as an underdog, while Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. the conference. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 81-60 Hurricanes. |
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02-25-19 | Oklahoma +9.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 61-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Oklahoma is on the bubble right now, but it comes in with considerable momentum after back-to-back wins, including a confidence building 69-67 home win over Texas on Saturday. During the two-game win skein the Sooner have gone 13 of 30 from range and 49.1 percent from the floor overall. Note that this is a revenge game as well after falling 75-74 to Iowa State on February 4th. The Cyclones enter playing their worst ball of the year as well, with back-to-back losses and three in their last four. Note as well that Iowa State is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven as a favorite in the seven to 12.5 points range, while Oklahoma is 8-1-3 ATS in its last 12 on the road and 11-5-3 ATS in its last 19 as an underdog in the seven to 12.5 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-70 Iowa State. |
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02-24-19 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Illinois-Chicago -8.5 | Top | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Illinois Chicago (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Wisconsin Milwaukee comes to town having lost eight straight. Illinois Chicago may normally get caught “looking past” such a lowly opponent, but the Flames come into this one having lost two straight themselves. With the home side razor focused on the task at hand and looking to take advantage of this favorable spot, I am indeed fully expecting a decisive victory here. Note as well that the Panthers are just 2-5 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest, while the Flames are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. Lay the points, expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Illinois Chicago. |
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02-23-19 | Utah v. Washington State | Top | 92-79 | Win | 100 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah (10* MONEY-MAKER) Utah looks to bounce back after its 62-45 road loss to conference No. 1 Washington, while Washington State looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after its slim 76-74 home win over Colorado on Wednesday. If recent history is any precedence, then Utah has to be loving its chances today as well, as note that the Utes have the 23-3 all time advantage, including an 88-70 home win in the first matchup this year. After back-to-back losses though, Utah can’t take anything for granted here, so I think the “revenge” factor doesn’t work in this case. WSU has won three of four, but I think it’ll come up short against Utah’s depth once again. Note as well that Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a road favorite of six points or less or pick, while WSU is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine as a home underdog of six points or less or pick. For all the reasons listed above, play on the visitors. T.M. Prediction: 84-73 Utah. |
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02-22-19 | Indiana +7 v. Iowa | Top | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Hoosiers are 13-13 and the Hawkeyes are 20-6. Indiana though will be looking to play spoiler here and kick this Iowa team while its down. The Hawkeyes comes in off a heart-breaking 66-65 home loss to Maryland, losing on a last second shot. Iowa now has no chance for a first round bye in the tournament, so a win or loss here doesn’t really effect it. Clearly the home side will be looking to bounce back, but Indiana is desperate for any sort of speak to hang its hat on down the stretch after a poor season (note though that the Hoosiers have won eight of the last ten between the schools and three of its last four in Iowa.) This one has all the makings of a classic. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-72 Iowa. |
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02-21-19 | College of Charleston v. William & Mary +2 | Top | 84-86 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: William & Mary (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) COC is 21-7 overall and 10-5 in conference play, but William & Mary is the “hungrier” team here. The Pride have fought their way back into respectability with a 6-8 conference record, good enough for fifth currently. The home side also plays with a big time “revenge factor” after falling 74-59 on the road in the first matchup between the schools. COC is already just 3-4 ATS this season as a road favorite or pick, while W&M is 12-8 ATS its last 20 after scoring 80 points or more in two straight games. T.M. Prediction: 77-70 W&M. |
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02-20-19 | Utah +9 v. Washington | 45-62 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 18 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Utah (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) I’m not calling for an outright victory, but I think the hungry Utes come in under the radar here. Utah is 14-11 overall and 5-3 on the road. Washington is 20-5 overall and 12-0 at home. Utah had its three-game win streak snapped with a 98-87 loss to ASU last time out, but it plays with the added incentive of “revenge” this evening after falling 69-53 at home to the Huskies on January 10th. This is the opener of a tough three-game road trip of Utah, putting added emphasis on trying to get things started off on the “right foot” this evening. After its narrow 72-70 come from behind win over Washington State last time out and with a game vs. Colorado up next, I think this sets up as a classic “trap” for the home side. Note that the Huskies are just 2-7 ATS In their last nine home games following a two games or more ATS losing streak. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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02-20-19 | Nevada v. San Diego State +8.5 | Top | 57-65 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Diego State (10* MONEY-MAKER) Nevada is 24-1, while SDSU is 16-9. The Wolfpack are 8-1 on the road, while the Aztecs are 12-2 at home. SDSU comes in on top form, having won three straight. With back-to-back road games upcoming, I believe the home side lays everything on the line tonight. Nevada has a “tougher” game at home vs. Fresno State on Friday, so the possibility of a “look ahead” isn’t out of the question here either in my opinion. Note that SDSU is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 home games as an underdog in the 1.5 to 12.5 points range. I think the outright upset is possible, but in the end I’ll grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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02-19-19 | Alabama v. Texas A&M +2.5 | 56-65 | Win | 100 | 27 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Texas A&M (8* BLACK-LABEL). Alabama enters off a deflating 71-53 home loss to Florida. A&M also lost last time out, falling 84-77 to South Carolina. Alabama averages 74.4 PPG and it allows 72.5. A&M averages 71.8 PPG and it allows 72.6. Simply put, these teams are as evenly matched as the bookmakers would like us to think, but I believe that the home floor advantage will win the day for the Aggies. Note that Alabama is just 4-5 ATS on the road and only 13-18 ATS in its last 31 after playing a game as a home favorite, while A&M is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as an underdog and 5-1 ATS after playing a road game this season. T.M. Prediction: 74-70 Aggies. |
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02-19-19 | Kentucky v. Missouri +11 | Top | 66-58 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Missouri (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). I think Kentucky comes in complacent. The Wildcats have won 12 of their last 13 after dropping No. 1 Tennessee in their latest action. With another game upcoming against the Vols, Kentucky also gets caught “looking ahead” here. Missouri has struggled offensively this year, but the Tigers can play defense with the best of them. Missouri is the much “hungrier” team in my estimation. Note as well that the Wildcats are just 10-14 ATS in their last 24 after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, while Missouri is 8-2 ATS in its last ten after allowing 75 points or more in two straight games. T.M. Prediction: 70-64 Kentucky. |
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02-18-19 | Kansas State v. West Virginia +7.5 | Top | 65-51 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: West Virginia (10* MONEY-MAKER) WVU comes in as the “hungrier” team as it looks to break a three-game slide. K-State is starting to slide as it’s only a half game ahead in the Big 12 standings after falling to Iowa State last time out. K-State averages 65.8 PPG and it allows 60.2. The Wildcats though gave up 78 points in the loss to Iowa State and I think they’ll have their hands full here as well in this difficult road venue. WVU averages 71.4 PPG and it allows 75.4. K-State though is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with losing records, while WVU is 3-1 ATS this season as a home dog or pick and 2-1 ATS this year in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. WVU is out of contention, but I expect it to fight until the bitter end in this one. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 65-63 K-State. |
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02-17-19 | Northern Iowa v. Evansville -1.5 | Top | 73-58 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Evansville (10* TRADE-MARK) Evansville comes in as the hungrier team after losing seven of its last eight, including three straight. A date vs. the “on again, off again” Northern Iowa Panthers is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked though in my opinion. Northern Iowa is primed for a letdown here after it snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Illinois State last time out. The Purple Aces are desperate to avoid last place in the conference and with a win today they’ll vault over Indiana State. Northern Iowa is just 6-17-1 ATS in its last 24 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and just 2-6 ATS in its last eight following a SU win, while Evansville is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 74-60 Evansville. |
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02-16-19 | UNLV v. San Jose State +12 | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: San Jose State (10* TRADE-MARK) UNLV gets caught looking past lowly 3-20 San Jose tonight in my opinion. The Rebels are only 13-11, but after taking the first matchup between the schools at home 92-60, would anyone fault the visitors for coming in a tiny bit complacent here? UNLV also comes in off a highly satisfying (and rare) 77-72 home win over Air Force. Can anyone say “letdown spot?!” San Jose State is a train wreck, but it plays with revenge and I believe it can keep this one competitive down the stretch. Note that UNLV is just 5-9 ATS as a favorite this year, while San Jose State is 2-0 ATS in its last two in trying to revenge a road blowout loss vs. an opponent of 30 points or more. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-73 UNLV. |
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02-16-19 | Iowa State v. Kansas State -2 | 78-64 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Kansas State (9* MONEY-MAKER). Iowa State is 18-6. K-State is 19-5. This is a big game, but I don’t think that the home floor advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Iowa State comes in still thinking about its loss to TCU, a setback which snapped a four-game win streak. The Cyclones average 79 PPG and they allow 68.8. K-State is going to have a letdown at some point, but not here. The Wildcats have won five in a row. K-State averages only 65.9 PPG, but it makes up for it on the other end by conceding just 59.5. Note as well that Iowa State is just 5-6 ATS this year after a conference game, while K-State is 7-1 ATS in its last eight as a home favorite of three points or less or pick. For all the reasons listed above, lay the short points. T.M. Prediction: 71-60 K-State. |
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02-16-19 | Missouri +9 v. Ole Miss | 65-75 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Missouri (8* BLACK-LABEL) Ole Miss has won three straight and is 17-7 overall. Clearly the home side is the better team in this matchup, but I believe it’ll get caught looking past its opponent today. Missouri is only 12-11, but it enters as the “hungrier” side. The Tigers snapped a two-game losing streak by defeating Arkansas last time out and I believe they’ll carry that momentum over here. Missouri averages 68.1 PPG and it allows 68.6. The Rebels average 77.2 PPG and they allow 70. In my opinion, these teams are more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest. Note that Missouri is 6-1 ATS in its last seven off a home win vs. a conference rival, while Ole Miss is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight off a road win vs. a conference rival. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-67 Mississippi. |
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02-15-19 | Marist +5 v. Quinnipiac | Top | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marist (10* TRADE-MARK) Marist enters playing its best ball of the year. The Red Foxes have won three of their last four aftter a 79-58 win over Niagara last time out. Quinnipiac comes in “tired” here after three straight wins, pulling away for a tough 98-88 OT win over Rider on Tuesday. Marist plays with revenge here today though and note that it’s 3-1 ATS in its last four this year revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. Note that the Bobcats are still just 2-4 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. The outright isn’t out of the question, but in the end let’s grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 71-70 Marist. |
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02-14-19 | The Citadel +16 v. East Tennessee State | Top | 83-91 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Citadel (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Am I calling for an outright upset here? Of course not. I simply feel that the home side will get caught by looking past its lowly opponent tonight. The Citadel Bulldogs though enter off a big 67-61 road win over Mercer as a 7.5 underdog last time out and I think they can carry that momentum over here. The Buccaneers on the other hand were upended 91-61 by Furman as 2.5 point underdogs in their last outing. The Citadel is 6-2 ATS in its last eight on the road, while East Tennessee State is just 6-7 ATS vs. the conference this year. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 85-75 East Tennessee State. |
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02-13-19 | Richmond +12 v. VCU | Top | 60-81 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Richmond (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Clearly VCU is the better team. The Rams are 17-6, while the Richmond Spiders are only 10-14. Both teams come in on top form though, as VUC has won four straight, while Richmond has won two in a row. I’m not calling for an outright victory here, but I do think that the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing who well Richmond is currently playing at this exact moment, and I think this will lead to this contest being much closer than what this spread would suggest. Richmond is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range, while VCU is just 9-10 ATS in its last 9 after having won four of its last five games. T.M. Prediction: 70-68 VCU. |
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02-12-19 | Michigan v. Penn State +7 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 26 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Penn State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Penn State comes in desperate as it’s just 1-11 in league play. The Wolverines come in complacent after winning 11 of their 13 Big Ten contests. Michigan comes to town off a 61-52 home win over Wisconsin. If the Wolverines have had one clear weakness though it’s been from 3-point land, where they shoot just 32.3 percent, ranked ninth in the conference. The Nittany Lions won their first conference game, but then fell immediately afterwards in a 74-70 loss at Ohio State last weekend. The Lions are also terrible from range, but note that they’re already 2-0 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss of ten points or more vs. an opponent. Note that Michigan on the other hand is a terrible 8-10 ATS in its last 18 as a road favorite or pick. Grab the points in a closer than expected battle. T.M. Prediction: 64-63 Wolverines. |
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02-11-19 | Virginia v. North Carolina OVER 143 | Top | 69-61 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Over Virginia/UNC (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Two hungry teams collide in this big ACC match-up and I think this total will sneak over the number sooner, rather than later. Virginia is 20-2 this year. Its only two losses have come against Duke and its second loss of the year came in its last game, falling 81-71 to the Blue Devils. Virginia is the No. 1 defensive team in the nation, but that unit looked pretty ordinary facing Duke and I think it’ll have its hands full here vs. UNC. The Tar Heels are 19-4 overall and currently in a No. 2 seed. UNC has won seven straight and the last thing it’ll want to do is to “slow this one down” and to play to the Cavs strengths. Everything points to the home side pushing the pace and the for the visitors matching pace. Additionally note that UVA has seen the total go over the number in four of its last seven on the road, while UNC has seen the total go over in six of its last ten at home. This number is low, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 76-75 UNC. |
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02-10-19 | Northwestern +10 v. Iowa | Top | 79-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northwestern (10* MONEY-MAKER) Iowa comes in complacent after huge wins over Michigan and Indiana. Northwestern comes in hungry after three straight losses to Wisconsin, Maryland and Penn State. This is a revenge game as well for the Wildcats are they lost 73-63 at home in the first matchup this season. Note that the Wildcats are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 65 points or less in two straight games, while the Hawkeyes are only 6-8 ATS at home this year and 0-2 ATS after a win by six points or less. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-70 Iowa. |
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02-09-19 | DePaul v. Xavier -3.5 | Top | 74-62 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Xavier (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) DePaul is now 12-9 after its 67-55 win over Providence on Saturday. Xavier comes in as the much “hungrier” team though at 11-12 and off a 76-54 setback to Creighton in its latest matchup. The Musketeers will be risking life and limb today to get off the schneid as they enter having lost five straight. DePaul is a terrible 2-9 ATS in its last 11 when playing with five or six days rest, while Xavier is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in the same position. I expect the more desperate team to pull away down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 78-68 Xavier. |
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02-08-19 | Cornell v. Dartmouth UNDER 140 | Top | 83-80 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Under Cornell/Dartmouth (10* BLACK-LABEL) Cornell comes in hungry as it looks to snap a three-game losing streak. Dartmouth can empathize as it looks to snap a two-game slide of its own. These are two hungry teams desperate for a victory and I think this “desperation” will result in a lower-scoring battle tonight. From a situational stand point, it absolutely sets up as a low-scoring game in my opinion. Also note though that Cornell has seen the total go “under” the number in seven of 12 this season after playing a game as the underdog, while Dartmouth has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last ten as the favorite. This number is high, play the “under.” T.M. Prediction: 67-64 Dartmouth |
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02-07-19 | BYU v. Portland +11.5 | Top | 83-48 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Pilots come in as clearly the “hungrier” team. Portland is 0-9 in league play this year and it’ll look to take advantage of a complacent BYU side which just beat Loyola Marymount 67-49 in its most recent action. The Pilots almost pulled it off last weekend, eventually falling 69-63 to Santa Clara on the road. Take it for what you will as well, but BYU is a a disastrous 6-22 in its last 28 off a win vs. a conference rival, while Portland is 11-6 ATS in its last 17 revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent. No outright upset, but closer than expected. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-72 BYU. |
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02-06-19 | VCU v. George Washington +7.5 | Top | 60-50 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Washington (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Rams have won eight of their last ten. VCU is on the bubble of making the tournament. Overall though VCU has struggled offensively by averaging 70.2 PPG, while allowing 63.5. The Colonials have been terrible over all this year, but they snapped a three-game slide with a win over Fordham last time out and I think they’ll build off that effort again here. Overall George Washington is averaging 65 PPG and allowing 70.5. I’ll point out though that VCU is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games vs. a team with a losing home record and only 2-6 ATS its last eight vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400, while George Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last eight vs. teams with winning SU records. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 VCU. |
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02-05-19 | Vanderbilt +9 v. Arkansas | Top | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vanderbilt (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Vanderbilt comes in hungry after falling 77-67 on the road at Missouri on Saturday. Arkansas comes in complacent after its 90-89 road win over LSU. The Razorbacks took both meetings between the clubs last year, but everything looks like a much more competitive battle this time around as I think the home side gets caught looking past its lowly opponent and off its epic victory. Vandy on the other hand comes in razor focused as it looks to snap a nine game slide. The Commodores are also 8-4 ATS in their last 12 trying to revenge a road loss against a conference rival. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-73 Arkansas. |
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02-04-19 | Penn State +4 v. Northwestern | Top | 59-52 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Penn State (10* GAME OF WEEK) After losing eight straight, clearly the Nittany Lions are going to be desperate to break the slide. The outright win isn’t out of the question, but I’m going to grab the points in a contest which I see being decided by whichever of these evenly matched sides has its hands on the ball last. Penn State comes in off a competitive 99-90 OT loss to Purdue: “I know our record isn’t what we expect or where we want it to be but the kids are competing and playing hard,” head coach Patrick Chambers noted. “The ultimate goal down the stretch here in February is that they continue to progress.” Northwestern comes in off back-to-back losses to ranked teams and I think it gets caught “flat footed” here. Note that Penn State is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 after allowing 80 points or more, while Northwestern is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. T.M. Prediction: 67-65 Penn State. |
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02-03-19 | Wright State +1 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | Top | 79-74 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wright State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Wright State won this game at home 72-64 just before the New Year and I’m expecting a similar final combined outcome here as well. IUPUI looks poised for a classic letdown here though after its big upset win over conference leading NKU on Friday. Can anyone say “letdown” spot? I think the Raiders, who snapped a four-game winning streak by falling 67-53 at Illinois Chicago on Friday, come in focused on the task at hand and take full advantage of this matchup. Additionally note that Wright State is a perfect 4-0 ATS already this year when playing one or less days rest, while IUPUI is just 3-7 ATS in it last ten as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. For all the reasons listed above, play on the visitors. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Wright State. |
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02-02-19 | New Mexico +11.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 70-82 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I think that New Mexico will keep this one competitive until the final moments. The Lobos enter off a tough 68-66 home loss to Utah State last weekend, while Fresno State got the better of Wyoming 75-62 on the road on Wednesday. New Mexico comes in as the “hungrier” team, having lost two straight and five of its last six. The Lobos average 76.7 PG and they allow 76.3. The Bulldogs come in complacent after winning three of their last four. Fresno State averages 76.2 PPG and it allows 66.1. Note though that New Mexico 6-3 ATS in its last nine when playing with five or six days rest, while Fresno State is just 4-6 ATS at home and only 3-5 ATS vs. the conference. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 76-70 Bulldogs. |
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02-01-19 | Northern Kentucky v. IUPU-Indianapolis +3 | Top | 77-83 | Win | 100 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: IUPUI (10* GAME OF MONTH) After winning eight of its last nine and six conference games in a row, I think the Norse finally let the foot off the gas here vs. the hungry Jaguars. Most recently NKU defeated Milwaukee 73-60 this past Saturday. The Norse average 108.9 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 100.1 points per 100. The Jags average 99.8 points per 100 possessions, but make up for it on the other end by allowing 101.3 per 100. IUPUI though has been improving dramatically/quickly, most recently destroying Detroit 80-65 on Saturday to bump them to 5-4 in league play. I think the oddsmaker are slow in recognizing this improvement. The outright is possible, but in the end I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-70 IUPUI. |
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01-31-19 | Delaware v. Elon +1 | Top | 56-57 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Elon (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) It’s an “in season” revenge game for Elon. Delaware is 6-3 in CAA action and the Blue Hens took the first meeting between the schools 77-65 on January 5th. The Blue Hens average 72.5 PPG and they allow 70.9. After a four-game losing streak, Elon will now look to avenge the earlier setback to Delaware and to build off its 89-82 win over UNCW on January 26th. Elon average 70.4 PPG and it allows 76.6. I’ll point out though that the Blue Hens are just 6-8 ATS in their last 14 after playing two consecutive home games, while Elon is already 3-1 ATS this season after allowing 80 points or more. Grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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01-30-19 | Northern Iowa +11.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Iowa (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I think the hungry 9-12 Northern Iowa Panthers will keep this one competitive until the final moments vs. the 13-8 Loyola Chicago Ramblers. Northern Iowa broke a two-game slide with a win over Evansville last time out, while Loyola Chicago has won four of its last five after smashing Southern Illinois this past weekend. The Ramblers come in complacent after six straight home wins. Additionally note that the home side is just 5-6 ATS at home this year, while Northern Iowa is 3-1 ATS in its last four vs. teams with winning records. T.M. Prediction: 63-60 Loyola Chicago. |
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01-29-19 | Eastern Michigan +2.5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 82-86 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Michigan (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Chips opened the season by going 14-3, but CMU comes in having lost three straight. EMU won’t be taking anything for granted here, as it just broke a three-game slide of its own by knocking off WMU 93-67 on the road last time out. Elijah Minnie was a beast in that one with 29 points. These are two evenly matched teams (as evidenced by this spread), but I think the overall conditions favor the visitors. Also note that EMU is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 following an ATS victory, while CMU is just 2-5 ATS in it last seven following an ATS victory and only 1-4 ATS in its last five at home. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 EMU. |
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01-28-19 | Southern Utah v. Northern Arizona -1 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Arizona (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Southern Utah is 9-8 and after its four game win streak was snapped last time out vs. Northern Colorado, I think the Thunderbirds are ripe for a letdown here as well. Brandon Better was a bright spot in a losing cause last time out for SU with 22 points. The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks won’t be taking anything for granted and they won’t be lacking for motivation after staring the year 5-13. Most recently the Lumberjacks fell to Northern Colorado, led by 15 points and five boards from Carlos Hines. But the home floor advantage is significant in this early afternoon contest in my opinion. Further note that the Thunderbirds are a poor 15-33-1 ATS in their last 49 following an ATS loss and just 1-5 ATS in their last six on the road. Northern Arizona on the other hand is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Northern Arizona. |
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01-27-19 | Washington State +14 v. Oregon | Top | 58-78 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington State (10* BLACK-LABEL) I’m not at all suggesting that the lowly Cougars are going to win this one outright, but I do think that the stage is set for a competitive battle. WSU is off a 90-77 loss at Oregon State and it’s now just 1-5 in league play. Oregon enters off a 61-56 home loss to Washington, dropping the Ducks to just 2-4 in Pac 12 action. The Cougars average 78.5 PPG, while allow 77.9. Oregon averages only 71.2 PPG, while allowing 64.7. I believe the Ducks are the better team, but a “two TD favorite?” I don’t see it. Note that Oregon is just 1-4 ATS in its last five at home,. while WSU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine as a 13 points or more road conference underdog after allowing 90 points or more in a loss in its previous outing. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-69 Oregon. |
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01-26-19 | George Washington +14 v. George Mason | Top | 55-62 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Washington (10* TRADE-MARK). The 6-13 George Washington Colonials won’t be lacking for motivation today. George Mason on the other hand comes in complacent in my opinion after winning four straight. GW averages 64.7 PPG, led by DJ Williams with 13.1 points and 4.9 boards per game. The Colonials allow 71.4 PPG overall. George Mason averages 72.1 PPG and it allows 68. Justin Kier averages 15.4 points and 6.7 boards for the Patriots. Note though that GW is 8-2 ATS in its last ten as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in its first six road games, while GM is just 12-13 ATS in its last 25 as a favorite. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-65 George Mason. |
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01-26-19 | William & Mary +10.5 v. College of Charleston | 59-74 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: William & Mary (9* MONEY-MAKER) William & Mary is desperate to break a four game slide. COC on the other hand comes in complacent after smoking Elon 72-53 on Thursday. W&M though looked very competitive in a 93-88 setback at UNCW on Saturday. Nathan Knight leads the Tribe with 19.6 points per game. Overall W&M averages 75 PPG and it allows 78.8. COC had lost four of five previous to the win over Elon. The Cougars average 72.6 PPG and they allow 67.2. On paper this one favors COC, but the Cougars have started to scuffle of late, despite earning a win last time out. Note that Charleston is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following a SU win, while W&M is 5-1 ATS the last six in this series. I’m grabbing the points and expecting a “nail biter.” T.M. Prediction: 72-70 COC. |
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01-26-19 | Detroit +6 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | 65-80 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Detroit (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) Detroit had a difficult go of it in non-conference action to open the year, opening 3-9. The Titans though have been firing on all cylinders since league play though by winning five of their first six. Detroit though will now be eager to return to that form as it has in fact lost two straight to fall to 5-3 in conference action. IUPUI is 4-4 through eight league games. The Titans average 104.3 points per 100 possessions and they allow 108.1 points per 100 possessions. IUPUI averages only 99.4 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 102.1 points per 100 possessions. Note as well that the Jaguars are just 16-37-1 ATS in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while the Titans are still 7-3 ATS in their last ten on the road. T.M. Prediction: 75-74 Detroit. |
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01-25-19 | Rider v. Iona +1 | Top | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iona (10* MONEY-MAKER) After five straight wins, I think the Rider Broncs get caught complacent here. most recently Rider topped Manhattan 60-47. Overall the Broncos average 77.6 PPG. The Iona Gaels have split their last eight games, and they’ll be eager to return to the winners circle after a tight 83-81 loss to Monmouth last time out. Asante Giste was a bright spot in the losing cause with 21 points. As a team Iona verges 80.9 PPG. Note that the Broncs are also just 4-6 ATS on the road this year, while the Gaels are 3-1 ATS at home. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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01-24-19 | Charlotte v. Texas-San Antonio -9 | Top | 43-88 | Win | 100 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas San Antonio (10* MONEY-MAKER) The UTSA Roadrunners come in hungry to stop a two-game slide. After winning seven straight, UTSA has dropped two in a row. The 49ers almost pulled off a huge upset over ODU last time out, but after coming up just short and getting outscored 52-36 in the second half, I think Charlotte comes out flat here. Additionally note that the 49ers are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while the Roadrunners are 4-1 ATS In their last five vs. teams with a losing SU record. I’m laying the points and expecting a blowout. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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01-24-19 | Oakland +5 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | 71-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oakland (8* BLACK-LABEL) Oakland comes in with a ton of momentum after two straight conference wins, most recently a 79-73 victory over Detroit on Saturday. Jaevin Cumberland was a stand out with 24 points. The IUPUI Jaguars look poised for an upset here in my opinion after losing two of their last three. Most recently the Jags fell 64-57 to Milwaukee this past weekend. The numbers/trends support the visiting side as well today, as note that Oakland is already 3-1 ATS this year as a road dog of six points or less or pick, while IUPUI is 3-6 ATS in its last nine as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. Grab the points, expect a battle. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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01-23-19 | East Carolina +20.5 v. Houston | Top | 50-94 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: East Carolina (10* TRADE-MARK) Am I suggesting that the 8-9 East Carolina Pirates are going to take down the 18-1 Houston Cougars on their home court?! Of course not. I simply feel that the home side will get caught looking past their lowly opponent tonight, leaving the back door open for the visitors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. ECU has struggled all season, but it does have a signature win at home over Cincinnati, which is significant in my opinion. Most recently ECU lost its third straight in an 85-74 setback at home to Temple. The Pirates won’t be lacking for motivation today anyways. Houston comes in off the 69-60 win over South Florida in its latest action, but note that it’s just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more. I’m grabbing all the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-62 Houston. |
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01-22-19 | Western Michigan +6.5 v. Ohio | Top | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Western Michigan (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I’m expecting a battle until the end here. WMU comes in hungry at 6-12 overall, including 0-5 in league play. The Broncos have lost five straight, most recently getting rolled 79-48 by Bowling Green. Overall though WMU is averaging 71.5 PPG, led by Michael Flowers with 15.6 points, 4.7 boards and 3.6 assists per game. Defense has been the issue for the Broncos, allowing 74.2 PPG. But a date vs. Ohio is just what WMU needs to get back on track, as the Bobcats come in scuffling as well having lost two straight (75-52 setback to Toledo on Friday most recently.) Overall Ohio is averaging 70.3 PPG, while allowing 71.9. I believe these teams are much more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 69-68 Ohio. |
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01-21-19 | Nebraska v. Rutgers +8 | Top | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 27 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rutgers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Nebraska may win this game, but I’m expecting an all out war. The Huskers only losses have come on the road (plus against MSU at home). Rutgers comes in as the “hungrier” team here after three straight setbacks, most recently to Northwestern. The Huskers had their 20 game home win streak snapped last time out and I think they’re still collectively “caught up” on that one. Check out what head coach Tim Miles said recently: “There are no moral victories and I’m utterly mad and disappointed,” Miles admitted. “We can’t stick around and be too disappointed because we have Rutgers, who just beat a ranked team at home so we need to be ready to go.” Since beating Ohio State 64-61 on Jan. 9th the Scarlet Knights have lost three straight, but I expect them to put up a fight here in this favorable situation. Note as well that Nebraska is just 2-4 ATS already this year following a conference game, while Rutgers is already a perfect 2-0 ATS this season off a home loss vs. a conference rival. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Nebraska. |
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01-20-19 | Duquesne v. George Washington +2.5 | Top | 91-85 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Washington (10* TRADE-MARK) Duquesne comes in off a 74-68 road win over Richmond, but I think it’ll stumble here. George Washington managed a 59-56 road win over La Salle in its latest action and I believe it carries that momentum over here in front of the home town crowd. The Dukes though are just 1-2 on the road. Overall Duquesne averages 73.9 PPG and it allows 70.8. The Colonials are averaging only 63.7 points, while allowing 70.2, but I’ll point out that they’ve been “money in the bank” for bettors in this spot for quite some time, going 9-2 ATS in their last 11 as a home underdog or pick. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-66 GW. |
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01-19-19 | Oregon v. Arizona State -4 | Top | 64-78 | Win | 100 | 29 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona State (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m expecting the home side to put the foot on the gas from start to finish and to comfortably pull away for a convincing SU/ATS victory. Oregon enters off a 59-54 win on the road over Arizona and I believe it’ll suffer a predictable letdown here. ASU enters off a 70-67 home win over Oregon State last time out. To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as well as the Ducks have won seven straight in the series, including a 76-68 home win in the most recent back on February 22nd. Oregon averages 72.5 PPG and it allows 64.2. ASU is averaging 79.2 PPG and it’s allowing 72.9. Oregon though is only 1-7 ATS in its last eight after allowing 60 points or less in two straight games, while ASU is 4-1 ATS in its last five after playing a game as a home favorite. Lay the points and expect a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 ASU. |
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01-19-19 | Rhode Island v. La Salle +5 | 78-67 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: La Salle (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) The La Salle Explorers come in hungry here as they look to break a three-game slide. Rhode Island has alternated wins and losses over its last nine games, but after defeating St. Bonaventure on Wednesday, I think it’ll suffer a predictable letdown here vs. this hungry home side. La Salle almost broke through with a win last time out, but it eventually succumbed 59-56 to George Washington on Wednesday. Note though that the Explorers have posted at least ten steals in six games, which ranks second in the league. Note as well that Rhode Island is already just 5-6 ATS this year as a favorite and only 1-5 ATS in true road games, while La Salle is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three off a close loss by three points or less to a conference rival. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 71-70 La Salle. |
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01-19-19 | NC-Wilmington +13 v. Northeastern | 71-88 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: NC Wilmington (9* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) It’s revenge time for the 7-12 UNCW Seahawks, who would lose all three head-to-head match ups with the Huskies last year. The Seahawks come in with plenty of momentum as well after dispatching Drexel 97-83 at home, shooting 50 percent from the floor collectively. Overall the Seahawks average 77.0 PPG, while allowing 80.4. The Huskies come in complacent after two straight wins. Northeastern averages 75.2 PPG and it concedes 73.6. Note though that the Seahawks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games after scoring 95 points or more in a victory in their last outing, while Northeastern is just 2-4 ATS in its last six home games following a three games or more SU unbeaten streak. I’m grabbing the points and expecting a war. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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01-17-19 | NC-Wilmington +12.5 v. Hofstra | Top | 72-87 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NC Wilmington (10* MONEY-MAKER) Outright victory? Very doubtful. However, I think the hungry 7-11 UNCW Seahawks will keep this one interesting vs. the 15-3 Pride. Could anyone blame Hofstra coming in even a tiny bit complacent here after 12 straight wins? The Seahawks lost six straight, but since then they’ve won three of their last four and I think they can catch the home side a tiny bit complacent. The Seahawks average 77 PPG, while allow 80.4. The Pride average 81.9 PPG, while allowing 68.6. Clearly Hofstra is the better team, but the Seahawks won’t be rolling over and they come in looking much improved after a slow start as well. Additionally note that the Seahawks are already 4-1 ATS this year vs. conference opponents, while the Pride are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after two straight wins vs. conference rivals. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 83-75 Pride. |
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01-16-19 | Utah State v. San Jose State +18.5 | Top | 81-63 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Jose State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I’m clearly not calling for an outright victory, but I think that the lowly Spartans come in “under the radar” here. The Utah State Aggies have been alternating wins and losses in each of their last seven games after a 71-55 win over Wyoming last time out. Utah State averages 78.5 PPG an fit allows 65.3 San Jose State will be desperate to break a six game slide after falling 87-64 to Boise State last time out. The Spartans average 67 PPG and they allow 73. However take note that Utah State is just 4-5 ATS this year after a win by 15 points or more. Also note that SJ State is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a home underdog of 15.5 points or more. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-66 Utah State. |
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01-15-19 | Davidson v. St. Joe's +3.5 | Top | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Joseph’s (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) It’s desperation time for St. Joe’s, which is looking to break a four-game slide. Davidson though looks primed for a letdown after three straight wins in my opinion. St. Joe’s returns home focused and hungry after consecutive road losses to Duquesne and St. Bonaventure. Davidson has the three game win streak, but after going into the half with a lead vs. VSU last time out, the Wildcats nearly stumbled in the second. The Hawks fought tooth and nail on the road vs. the Dukes, but came up short in the 85-84 setback. Charlie Brown was a bright spot in a losing cause with 28 points, four boards, two assists and two blocks. I’ll point out as well that Davidson is just 1-3 ATS in true road games this year, while St. Joe’s is still 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog of six points or less or pick. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 72-69 St. Joes. |
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01-14-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -3.5 | Top | 73-69 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Oklahoma State has lost six straight in this series, but I expect that streak to end tonight. Baylor comes in off a 73-68 loss to Kansas. It was the first time the Bears played without forward Tristan Clark, who was lost to the season to injury. I think Baylor struggles again here without Clark in the line-up. The Cowboys though are moving in the opposite direction. After starting the conference schedule with two straight loss, OKS has won two straight. Note that OKS is 7-3 ATS in its last 12 vs. the conference, while Baylor is a poor 1-5 ATS in its last six away from friendly confines. Lay the points, expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 75-60 Oklahoma State. |
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01-13-19 | Drake v. Northern Iowa | Top | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Iowa (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Drake opened its non-conference schedule by going 12-2. The Bulldogs opened conference play with two straight losses, but they come in off an 82-70 win over Southern Illinois. Drake enters scoring 107.8 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 103.9 points per 100 possessions. However note that since conference play has started the defensive adjustments goes to 108.1 per 100 possessions. NIU has dropped two straight conference contests, so it clearly won’t be lacking motivation tonight in front of the home town crowd. Overall the Panthers are averaging 98.2 points per 100 possessions, while allowing just 102.3 points per 100 possessions. However, the offensive numbers are skewed as the Panthers play at one of the slowest paces in the nation, averaging just 65.6 possessions per game, utilizing a half court offense most of the time. Note that Drake is just 2-4 ATS in its last six as a road dog of six points or less or pick, while NIU is 3-0 ATS in its last three off a close road loss of three points or less. T.M. Prediction: 72-66 Northern Iowa. |
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01-12-19 | Hofstra v. Elon +12 | Top | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Elon (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I’m not predicting that the 5-13 Elon Phoenix will take this one outright over the 14-3 Hofstra Pride, but I do think that the hungry home side can keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Hofstra’s won 11 games in a row and complacency has to be setting in at this point. The Pride were pushed to the breaking point in their last game as well, needing triple OT to knock off William & Mary on Thursday. The Phoenix on the other hand enter off three straight losses, most recently to Northeastern. I think Elon is clearly the “hungrier” team in this matchup. Hofstra comes in exhausted. Note as well that the Pride are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after two straight victories by six points or less, while Elon is 12-5 ATS in is last 17 after allowing 80 points or more in its previous outing. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 78-70 Hofstra. |
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01-11-19 | Purdue +4.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m banking on a minor upset here. This one features two of the best players in the country in Wisconsin’s Ethan Happ and Purdue’s Carsen Edwards. But Purdue won’t be lacking motivation and focus tonight after starting the conference part of its portion with a fourth straight road loss, most recently falling 77-59 at sixth-ranked MSU on Tuesday. The Badgers broke a two-game slide with a 71-52 win over Penn State on Sunday, but I think an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent. Additionally note that Purdue is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 after having won two of its last three games, while Wisconsin is just 1-9 ATS in its last ten after playing a game as a road favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-67 Boilermakers. |
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01-10-19 | Charlotte +9 v. Florida International | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte (8*) I’m not calling for the outright upset, but I do definitely think its the perfect spot to pull the trigger on this hungry 3-10 49ers team. Charlotte’s been poor offensively to this point, averaging only 59.4 PPG. The 49ers though have been decent defensively, allowing 69.4. Clearly that’s not a recipe of long-term success, but after five straight losses, we don’t have to question Charlotte’s focus tonight. FIU is 10-5, but a letdown here looks inevitable to me after a blowout loss to UAB last time out. The Golden Panthers have been fantastic offensively, averaging 90.7 PPG, but they’ve had to be, as they’ve been atrocious defensively in allowing 81.9 PPG. Charlotte benefits here and note that it’s already 2-0 ATS this season following a home loss. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-75 FIU. |
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01-10-19 | Drexel +14 v. College of Charleston | 79-78 | Win | 100 | 26 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Drexel (8*) Drexel is 7-10 and College of Charleston is 13-3. I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I think the Cougars get caught looking past the lowly, but hungry Dragons. COC looks susceptible here after a loss to James Madison last time out. Drexel averages 78.6 PPG and it allows 79. Clearly the margin of error is thing most nights for the Dragons. Charleston averages 73.3 PPG and it allows 66.6. Note though that COC is just 0-3-1 ATS in its last four at home and only 1-3-1 ATS in its last five home games following three or more straight road contests, while Drexel is 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss. This spread is too large. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-73 COC. |
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01-10-19 | Delaware v. NC-Wilmington -3.5 | 82-69 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: NC Wilmington (8*) The UNC Wilmington Seahawks have won two straight and I think they carry that momentum over here. Delaware has been playing well also, as it comes in having won three straight. The Blue Hens average 73 PPG and they allow 71.2. The Seahawks average 76.3 PPG and they allow 80.1. But those numbers are skewed for UNC Wilmington after a tough non-conference start in my opinion. Note as well that Delaware is 0-5 ATS in its last five after successfully covering the spread in three or more straight games, while UNC Wilmington is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after playing a game as the underdog. T.M. Prediction: 80-65 UNC Wilmington. |
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01-09-19 | Rhode Island v. Richmond +1 | Top | 78-67 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Richmond (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Rhode Island looks primed for another letdown here in my opinion after it’s 60-53 road loss to Saint Louis in its previous action. Richmond is looking to bounce back as well after a poor 72-48 loss to Dayton on Sunday. Note that this is a “revenge” game as well for the Spiders after the Rams posted the 85-67 home win in the lone meeting last year. Rhode Island is just 1-3 on the road. The Rams average 70.1 PPG and they allow 65.2. Richmond returns home after two straight on the road and I think it’ll make the most of friendly confines. The Spiders are 4-4 at home and they average 70.6 PPG and they allow 70.1. Note though that the Rams are already just 3-5 ATS as a favorite this season and 0-5 ATS on the road, while Richmond is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 60 points or less in its previous contest. T.M. Prediction: 70-68 Richmond. |
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01-08-19 | Brown v. Canisius +1.5 | Top | 97-90 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canisius (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) After four straight wins, I think that the Brown Bears suffer a predictable letdown here. The Golden Griffins come in on top form as well though, having won back to back games, most recently a come from behind 70-66 victory over Siena on Saturday. Clearly these teams are evenly matched, a sentiment shared by the bookmakers. But the difference comes in the trends/numbers today, as note that Canisius is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 off an upset win as a road dog, while Brown is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after four or more SU wins. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Canisius. |
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01-06-19 | Illinois v. Northwestern -8 | Top | 66-68 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northwestern (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Illini have lost three straight and I think they’ll have difficulty here as well. Northwestern has split its last four games and it’ll be eager to return to form after falling at MSU last time out. Both teams are searching for their first conference victory, which makes home floor advantage this evening even that much more important. The Wildcats three conference losses though come against teams which still all have perfect conference records. Illinois’ offense simply won’t be able to keep pace here, especially considering that the Wildcats allow just 63.0 PPG, which ranks 28th in the country. Additionally note that NW is 4-0 ATS in its last four vs. teams with losing records, while Illinois is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight following a SU loss. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Northwestern. |
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01-05-19 | College of Charleston v. James Madison +8.5 | Top | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: James Madison (10* TRADE-MARK) After nine straight wins, I think College of Charleston comes in complacent. And after four straight losses, I expect James Madison to come in focused and desperate. The outright upset isn’t out of the question, but in the end I’m going to grab the points. The Cougars average 74.3 PPG and they allow 66.5, while the Dukes average 70.1 points, while allowing 71.6. COC though is just 1-2 ATS this year as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range and just 6-9 ATS in its last 15 off a win by ten points or more vs. a conference rival, while JM is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 COC. |
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01-05-19 | Northern Kentucky v. Detroit +4.5 | 95-73 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Detroit (8* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Northern Kentucky enters off a 76-74 road loss to Oakland, while Detroit posted a 79-58 home win over Wright State on Thursday. The Titans play with double revenge here after the Norse took both meetings last year. Northern Kentucky is just 3-3 on the road and it averages 78.3 points, while allowing 66.1. Detroit is averaging 70 points per game, while allowing 74.9. Clearly that’s not a recipe for long-term success, but a date for the Norse, who are just 1-5 ATS on the road and 2-3 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite off the perfect opponent to get back on track against. Additionally note that Detroit is already 5-0 ATS home this year and 3-0 ATS vs. conference opponents. T.M. Prediction: 72-70 Detroit. |
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01-04-19 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Illinois-Chicago -4 | Top | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Illinois Chicago (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The IUPUI Jaguars come in off a 72-64 loss vs. Wright State on Sunday, while the Illinois Chicago Flames fell 73-58 vs. Northern Kentucky in their most recent action. Two teams hungry for a bounce back performance collide, but I think the home floor advantage will prove pivotal in this particular matchup. UIC has to be feeling confident here, as it took both meetings over IUPUI last year. The Jags have lost four straight and they’re 0-2 in conference play. Overall IUPUI averages 78.3 PPG and it allows 73.7. The Flames average 76.3 PPG and they allow 77.9. They have however won six of their last seven at home. Additionally note that IUPUI is just 22-50-1 ATS in its last 73 vs. teams with losing records. T.M. Prediction: 82-70 Illinois Chicago. |
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01-03-19 | Western Kentucky v. Charlotte +9 | Top | 68-50 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte (10* TRADE-MARK) WKU comes in complacent herein my opinion after back-to-back victories, including an upset 83-76 victory over Wisconsin last time out. Overall WKU averages 73.5 PPG . Charlotte only averages 58 PPG, but it’ll be desperate here to break a three-game slide after a 68-53 loss to Colorado last time out. Jon Davis was a bright spot in the setback with 25 points. Note that WKU is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with losing records, while the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six in this series. I like the “hungry” home side to keep it competitive. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-65 ‘Toppers. |
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01-03-19 | Penn State +12 v. Michigan | 55-68 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Penn State (8* MONEY-MAKER) I think the 7-6 Penn State Nittany Lions can comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what I believe to be an ample amount of points afforded to them here. The Wolverines are 13-0 and I think they’ll get caught a tiny bit complacent here. Note that according to the KemPom NCAAB rankings, Michigan’s non-conference schedule was ranked as one of the weakest in the country, No. 308 in terms of strength of schedule. The Nittany Lions only average 105.9 PPG per 100 possessions, but they more than make up for in the defensive end, allowing only 92.7 points per 100 possessions. Michigan is scoring 112.8 points per 100 possessions, and they’re also one of the best on the defensive end. But note that Penn State is 4-0 ATS in its last four as a road underdog in the 9.5 to 12 points range, while Michigan is already only 2-6 ATS at home this year. I’m banking on a competitive affair. T.M. Prediction: 65-60 Wolverines. |
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01-02-19 | Tulane +20.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 61-93 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tulane (10 BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT). Outright upset? Of course not. I just think that the 11-2 Bearcats will leave the door open just wide enough for the hungry 4-8 Green Wave to sneak in through down the stretch. Tulane enters off a 67-59 loss to Alabama A&M, while Cincinnati posted a 77-56 home win over South Carolina in its latest victory. But with conference play up next, I think the Bearcats will indeed get caught looking past the Green Wave today. Overall Tulane averages 68.8 PPG and it allows 73.2, while the Bearcats average 74 PPG, while allowing only 58. Tulane though is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road underdog of 12.5 points or more and 5-2 ATS in its last seven off an upset loss as a favorite, while Cincinnati is already 0-2 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 18.5 to 24 points range. T.M. Prediction: 70-62 Bearcats. |
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01-01-19 | CS-Fullerton +12.5 v. Washington | Top | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cal State Fullerton (10* NON-CONF DOG OF YEAR) I think the Cal State Fullerton Titans sneak comfortably in through the back door down the stretch. Cal State broke a four-game slide with a win over Portland last time out. Washington is 8-4 on the year, but the Huskies have been off since December 21st, so I believe that “rest” will in fact lead to be a bit of “rust” here. Clearly on paper the Huskies are the better team, but I think the situation favors the visitors here as the home side gets caught looking ahead to conference play. Additionally note that Cal State is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 off a home win by ten points or more, while Washington is already only 3-5 ATS as a favorite this year. T.M. Prediction: 70-66 Washington. |
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12-31-18 | Northern Colorado v. Portland State +3.5 | Top | 73-60 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I smell a minor upset on Monday night. Northern Colorado comes in at 7-5, but it also enters having lost four of its last five games. The Bears are averaging 74.9 PPG and they’re allowing 76.9. Portland State is just 5-6 and it comes in as the hungrier side after losing three straight. Overall the Vikings are averaging 68.2 points and allowing 78.4. Northern Colorado though is a horrible 1-3 ATS this year already after playing a game as a road favorite, while Portland State is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home underdog or pick. T.M. Prediction: 85-70 Portland State. |
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12-30-18 | Oakland v. Youngstown State +4 | Top | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Youngstown State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Grizzlies come to town off a satisfying 89-77 road win over Cleveland State, while the Penguins come in off a disappointing 78-66 loss to Detroit on Friday. Note that home floor advantage was crucial between these teams last year, with each winning on its own floor. Oakland averages 78.1 PPG and it allows 80.4. Youngstown State is averaging 75.6 PPG and it’s allowing 81.4. Oakland though is just 14-24 ATS in its last 38 following a conference game, while Youngstown State is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 after having lost eight or more of its last ten games. I think the “hungrier” team gets it done. T.M. Prediction: 85-70 Penguins. |
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12-29-18 | George Mason +15.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 58-59 | Win | 100 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Mason (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The George Mason Patriots come in under the radar here and while I’m not going to call for the outright, I think they can keep this one tight until the final moments. The Patriots have won two straight over Navy and James Madison. K-State comes in complacent vs. its lowly non-conference opponent and after three straight wins itself, most recently a 69-58 victory over Vanderbilt on December 22nd. George Mason averages 73.7 PPG and it allows 72.2, while K-State averages 68.2 points and it allows 57.8. Note though that George Mason is already 3-1 ATS this year following a home victory. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-65 K-State. |
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12-28-18 | James Madison v. William & Mary -7 | Top | 74-79 | Loss | -101 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: William & Mary (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) It’s the first conference matchup of the year for both teams and I think home floor is a big factor. William & Mary will be hungry here after finishing the non-conference part of its schedule at just 4-8. Note though that the Tribes’ schedule so far ranks 43rd in the KenPom rankings, which is one of the most difficult. The Dukes closed their non-conference schedule with a disastrous 75-48 loss to Fordham and I think they’ll struggle to put points on the board here as well. Note as well that the Dukes are 0-5 ATS in their last five vs. teams with a losing SU record, while the Tribe are 8-2 ATS in their last ten after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 85-60 W&M. |
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12-25-18 | Indiana State +12 v. TCU | Top | 69-83 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana State (10* SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT) TCU is 10-1, but Indiana State is no slouch at 8-3. I’m not predicting an outright upset, but I think the talented Sycamores can keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. This is the title game in the Diamond Head Classic in Honolulu. Note that Indiana State leads the nation in three point shooting percentage at 45.5. This is a revenge game as well for Indiana State, who fell to TCU just ten days ago. Note that Indiana State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more, while TCU is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine after scoring 80 points or more in four straight games. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Horned Frogs. |
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12-22-18 | Colorado State v. Long Beach State -4 | 61-64 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LBSU (8* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) These teams met last year and the Rams won 68-66 at home. The 49ers will be looking to take avenge that setback. The Rams enter off a 68-63 home loss to South Dakota, while LBUS is off a 67-66 home win over Pepperdine. Colorado State averages 77.1 PPG, but it allows 77.5. LBSU averages 77.1 PPG and it allows 79.2. Note though that the 49rs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games after holding their previous opponent to 67 points or less in a victory, while Colorado State is a poor 16-37-1 ATS in its last 54 non-conference games and just 5-12 ATS in its last 17 road games vs. teams with a winning home record. T.M. Prediction: 82-70 LBSU. |
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