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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-02-19 | South Dakota v. Washington -13 | Top | 55-75 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Huskies Washington come in with a ridiculous 19-1 SU record in their last 20 games at home. They are also 5-1 in their L6 games. They'll play the South Dakota Coyotes who are only 1-5 ATS in their L6 games played in December. South Dakota is also 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games. Washington is by far the better side in this one and I expect them to dominate with their home crowd behind them here. Take the Washington Huskies. T.M. Prediction: 82-61 Huskies |
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12-01-19 | Rhode Island +9 v. West Virginia | Top | 81-86 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: URI Both teams have started their season off on the right foot. URI has been solid, and have looked confident in their first seven games. Now, they'll play the West Virginia Mountaineers who are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in December. Rhode Island are 12-4 SU in their L16 games played in December. I expect the URI Rams to win this game outright. But I'm glad to take the point as well. Take Rhode Island. T.M. Prediction: 74-71 URI |
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11-30-19 | CS Sacramento v. Colorado UNDER 128.5 | Top | 45-59 | Win | 100 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado/Sacramento St UNDER Both of these teams come in with undefeated records. They have both been playing stellar basketball especially on the defensive end. Coming into this game, neither averages over 57 points allowed. For Sacramento St, the total has gone UNDER in each of their L6 games against an opponent in the Pacific-12 conference. The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's L12 games as well. I expect great defense on Saturday Night. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 57-41 Colorado |
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11-29-19 | Tennessee v. Florida State -119 | Top | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: FLORIDA STATE Tennessee scored 58 points last game. FSU scored 113. Nearly twice as many! Of course, the Seminoles were playing a bad team. But the Volunteers were also. FSU was a 40 point favorite, UT was a 20 point favorite. The Noles are a perfect 5-0 SU their last five against SEC teams. Venue is Niceville, Florida which favors FSU. They're better than people think and they'll prove it here. T.M. Prediction: 72-64 Noles |
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11-28-19 | Davidson v. Marquette -3 | Top | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marquette On Thanksgiving, the Golden Eagles will play the Wildcats in the first round of the Orlando Invitational. Entering this game, Davidson is 2-3, while the Golden Eagles are 3-1. Davidson is 0-5 SU in their L5 games against an Big East Conference opponent. Marquette is 5-1 ATS in their L6 games vs. an opponent in the Atlantic 10 conference. I expect Marquette to dominate, as they have yet to lose as a favorite this season so far. Take the Golden Eagles. T.M. Prediction: 73-59 Marquette |
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11-26-19 | Wichita State -3 v. South Carolina | Top | 70-47 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
v T.M. Selection: Wichita St On Tuesday evening, the Shockers will play the Gamecocks in the CanCun Challenge. Coming into this game, Wichita St is 5-0 and has looked dominant. They averaged 18.4 more points per game than their opponent. On the other hand, South Carolina has failed to cover the spread in their last two games. I expect the Shockers to be extremely good in the Cancun Challenge Opener. Take Wichita St. T.M. Prediction: 75-67 Wichita St |
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11-25-19 | Colorado State v. New Mexico State -4 | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico State On Monday, the Aggies will play the Rams in the Cayman Islands Classic in-season tournament. Coming into this game, New Mexico St is 8-1 SU in their L9 games vs. opponents in the Mountain West Conference. I expect them to take it to the Rams on Monday Morning. Take New Mex State. T.M. Prediction: 76-63 Aggies |
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11-20-19 | Rider v. Massachusetts -6 | Top | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UMASS The Minutemen have started the new season perfect, with four wins and no losses. They have looked extremely confident coming in to this game. Rider enters with a 2-1 record. In their previous matchup, the Broncs lost by 37 points. Rider is also 4-13-1 ATS in their L18 games. I believe that UMASS will get the job done, with their home fans behind them, on Wednesday Night. Take the Minutemen. T.M. Prediction: 76-56 UMASS |
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11-18-19 | SMU v. Evansville -2 | Top | 59-57 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Evansville Both of these two teams enter this game with a perfect 3-0 record. Although they are 3-0, SMU is only 1-4 ATS in their L5 games (dating back to last season.) On the other hand, Evansville is off one of thier biggest wins in school history. On Tuesday, the Aces upset the #1 team in the nation in Kentucky. I expect them to feel like the best team, play like the best team, and win like the best team in america tonight. Take Evansville. T.M. Prediction: 78-65 Evansville |
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11-11-19 | Kent State v. Towson OVER 140 | Top | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Towson/Kent St OVER Both of these two teams are undefeated to start the season. Towson is 2-0 while the Golden Flashes are 1-0. In Kent State's game, they scored 97 points against a weak opponent. That should motivate them to do it again on Monday against the Tigers. Towson scored lots in their last matchup as well. I expect both teams to be scoring buckets all over the place tonight. Take the OVER T.M. Prediction: 81-75 Towson |
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11-08-19 | Illinois -6.5 v. Grand Canyon | Top | 83-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Illinois (First Half) The Fighting Illini come into this game 1-0, and Grand Canyon enters with an 0-1 record. Illinois has one of the best backcourts in all of the Big Ten and Grand Canyon gave up 82 poinyts in their first matchup against a weak Davenport team. I expect the Fighting Illini to come out with lots of confidence as they look to continue their success. Take Illinois. T.M. Prediction: 34-24 (1st Half) |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech v. Virginia OVER 117 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 35 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas Tech/Virginia over (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) If you’re wagering on this game, then you almost assuredly already know the story lines for both teams, how they got here, their strengths and weaknesses, their coaches and their star players. Texas Tech finished with the No. 3 defense, while Virginia owns the No. 1. Writing a play on the “under” wouldn’t be too difficult obviously, but for the National Championship Game, I think these teams push the pace offensively from start to finish. Each can play defense, but it’s going to be the team which can execute on the offensive side of the ball that wins the title. With each side putting an added emphasis on that side of the ball in this one, I look for this total to fly over as it comes down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 65-60 Cavaliers. |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech v. Virginia -117 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 35 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Virginia (10* GAME OF MONTH) If you’re wagering on this game, then you almost assuredly already know the story lines for both teams, how they got here, their strengths and weaknesses, their coaches and their star players. Texas Tech finished with the No. 3 defense, while Virginia owns the No. 1. Writing a play on the “under” wouldn’t be too difficult obviously, but for the National Championship Game, I think these teams push the pace offensively from start to finish. Each can play defense, but it’s going to be the team which can execute on the offensive side of the ball that wins the title. Virginia’s offensive numbers are slimly better than the Red Raiders. So are its defensive numbers. The Cavaliers also have the experience advantage. While Virginia has yet to put forth a solid cover in this tournament to date, I expect it to finally do so here. These teams are mirror images of each other, but the Cavs’ experience and superior offensive numbers are the difference. T.M. Prediction: 65-60 Cavaliers. |
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04-06-19 | Texas Tech v. Michigan State -2.5 | Top | 61-51 | Loss | -109 | 106 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* BLOWOUT BEST OF BEST) With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are very evenly matched. And they are. Both have used smothering defensive play to reach this point, but MSU’s offense is better and in this situation, I think that’ll be enough to put the Spartans over the top. Tom Izzo has an advantage over his counterpart Chris Beard as well. Michigan State’s experience and superior offensive numbers make it the correct call in my opinion. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-60 MSU. |
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04-05-19 | South Florida +2.5 v. DePaul | Top | 77-65 | Win | 100 | 30 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: South Florida (10* WINNER). I had the Bulls in Game 1, the Blue Demons in Game 2 and for Game 3 I’m coming back with USF (each game has been razor sharp, some may have won, pushed or lost depending on when you got down. I was admittedly fortunate both times so far). Game 2 was a 100-96 OT DePaul win, but I think the Game 3 pace, which I predict will be “slow” due to the high-scoring extra-frame shootout on Wednesday, absolutely favors the defensive minded Bulls here. DePaul has not looked like the better team and home court was not really an advantage at all in Game 2. Note that DePaul is still just 1-7 ATS in its last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while USF is still 12-3 ATS in its last 15 on the road. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked by an outright upset. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Bulls. |
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04-04-19 | Lipscomb +1.5 v. Texas | Top | 66-81 | Loss | -104 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lipscomb (10*) I had Lipscomb in their victory over Wichita State last time out and I think they’re not getting nearly enough respect here as well. The Longhorns looked impressive in their 58-44 win over TCU, but I think they’ll have their hands full with this deep and experienced “Cinderella” side. The Bison average 83.6 PPG and they allow 69.9. Texas averages only 70.8 PPG, while allowing 66.4. The numbers don’t add up to me here. I think the Bison get out to an early lead and I don’t think the offensively challenged Longhorns are going to be able to keep up. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Bison. |
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04-03-19 | South Florida v. DePaul -4 | Top | 96-100 | Push | 0 | 33 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: DePaul (10* BLOWOUT) I had a play on USF and it would hold on for the 63-61 home victory in Game 1 of the CBI Tournament Championship on Monday. With a chance to take the title here, the defensive minded Bulls are going to be out to duplicate their performance, holding the Blue Demons to just 38.5 percent from the floor in the victory. In Game 2 though I’m expecting the high-flying Blue Demons to push the pace from start to finish and to ride the wave of emotion in front of the home town crowd to solid SU/ATS victory here. USF is one of the best defensive teams in the nation, but at nearly 79 PPG average offensively for the Blue Demons, I think the Bulls’ unit gets pushed to the brink in Game 2. From a situational stand point I think this one sets up great for DePaul to bounce back in. USF is also just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 after scoring 65 points or less in two straight games, while DePaul is 5-2 ATS in its last seven off a road loss. T.M. Prediction: 85-67 Blue Demons. |
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04-02-19 | Hampton +5.5 v. Marshall | Top | 78-80 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hampton (10* BLACK-LABEL) This is one of the semi-finals of the CIT. The Hampton Pirates have won eight of their last nine games. Overall the Pirates average 81.4 PPG, while allowing 76.1. The Thundering Herd have won eight of nine as well. Overall Marshall averages 80.2 PPG, while allowing 80.9. These number don’t matchup. Hampton has experience as well. Additionally note that the Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last five on the road, while the Herd are only 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games and just 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. I think the outright upset is very possible obviously, but in the end I’ll grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 88-86 Hampton. |
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04-01-19 | DePaul v. South Florida -1 | Top | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: USF (10* CBB GAME OF WEEK) This is Game 1 of the best of three for the CBI title. DePaul enters off win over CMU, Longwood, Coastal Carolina, while USF beat Stony Brook, Utah Valley and Loyola Marymount. DePaul has looked good so far in this tournament having scored at least 90 points in all three victories, but note that it’s still just 3-8 on the road this year. Overall the Blue Demons average 78.6 PPG, while allowing 76.2. USF has gotten this far because of its unreal defense and I believe it’ll be the difference maker in Game 1 as well (most recently beating Loyola Marymount 56-47 at home.) USF is 17-5 on its home floor and it averages 71.9 PPG, while allowing 66.5. I’m banking on home floor mattering here. T.M. Prediction: 80-71 Bulls. |
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03-31-19 | Michigan State v. Duke -1.5 | Top | 68-67 | Loss | -109 | 31 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Duke (10* TRADE-MARK) After back-to-back near upsets, I look for the Blue Devils to come out and play their finest game to this point of the Tournament. These are two of the most storied College Basketball schools in history, so a re-cap of their Hall of Fame coaches or the programs themselves is unnecessary obviously. What doesn’t break you, makes you stronger. The Blue Devils have survived and I believe they’ll come in confident here vs. a Spartans team which has rolled through its competition to this point. But now MSU is in for a fight and I think it’s one that it’s not matched up well for. I like the big stars (Barrett, Williamson) of Duke to be the difference once again. Lay it. T.M. Prediction: 80-68 Blue Devils. |
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03-30-19 | Purdue +4.5 v. Virginia | Top | 75-80 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (10*) Virginia has an unrelenting defense. The Cavs are the No. 1 defense in the country, but Purdue comes in on top form and I believe the Boilermakers will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Purdue had a 14 point lead over the Vols in the Sweet 16, but eventually the Boilermakers pulled away for the 99-94 OT victory. Virginia got the better of Oregon 53-49. As stated off the top, clearly the Cavs are a power-house on the defense side. However, clearly their lack of offensive consistency has been their weak point as well and it’s one which I think the Boilermakers can exploit today as they look to pull off another SU upset. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Purdue. |
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03-29-19 | Auburn v. North Carolina UNDER 165.5 | Top | 97-80 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Under Auburn/UNC (10* TOTAL BLACK-LABEL) I’m expecting an all out war between these two evenly matched teams. Both teams easily beat their first two opponents to get to this point, but clearly the competition for each goes up considerably here. Auburn continues to get disrespected here though after winning the SEC. Auburn averages 79.8 PPG and it allows 68.5. The Tar Heels average 86 PPG and they allow 72.5. Note though that the Tigers have seen the total go under the number in nine of their last 12 after scoring 75 points or more over two straight games, while UNC has seen the total go under in its last seven neutral court games in which the total in the contest is set between 160 to 169.5. This number is a little high. T.M. Prediction: 80-75 Tar Heels. |
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03-29-19 | LSU +6 v. Michigan State | Top | 63-80 | Loss | -109 | 128 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LSU (10* MONEY-MAKER) LSU has had its difficulties over the last month and a half. The Tigers faded down the stretch of the regular season and then faltered in the SEC Tournament. LSU has gotten past Yale and Maryland though and I think it won’t go down without a fight here either vs. Michigan State, which has beaten Bradley and Minnesota. LSU averages 80.9 PPG and it allows 72.9. MSU averages 78.5 PPG and it ranks third in the country in field goal percentage defense. These numbers are comparable. I look for this one to come right down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-74 MSU. |
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03-28-19 | Florida State v. Gonzaga -6.5 | Top | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 104 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Gonzaga (10* SWEET 16 BEST OF THE BEST) It’s a big time revenge game for the Bulldogs as Florida State laid a 75-60 beatdown on them in the Sweet 16 last year. Both teams have advanced relatively easily to this point. The Noles average only 44.4 percent form the floor, including 33.7 percent from range, making up for it on the other end by conceding only 67 PPG. Gonzaga comes in on top form as well though, most recently destroying Baylor 83-71 on Saturday. “They’re a really good team,” Gonzaga forward Corey Kispert said of the ‘Noles. “They’re going to demand our best. But it’s exactly what we wanted. We wouldn’t want it any other way.” Note that the Bulldogs have been even better on the defensive side this year, allowing just 64.8 PPG. I think the revenge angle works and is the difference. Lay it. T.M. Prediction: 80-68 Zags. |
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03-25-19 | Brown v. Loyola Marymount -4 | Top | 63-81 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Loyola Marymount (10* BLACK-LABEL) This is the quarterfinals of the CBI Tournament. Brown posted an 83-78 win over UAB to advance to face the Lions. Overall the Bears averaged 73.9 PPG, while allowing 68.5. Loyola Marymount lost to Pepperdine in the WCC Tournament, but it bounced back with a victory over California Baptist to reach this point. The Lions averaged only 67.2 PPG, but they made up for it on the end of the court by allowing only 62.7. Note that Brown is 0-3 ATS in its last three as a road underdog of 3.5 to six points, while Loyola Marymount is 9-4 ATS this season after failing to cover in two of its last three vs. the spread. I think the Lions aggressive defensive play proves to be too much for the Bears tonight. T.M. Prediction: 74-63 Loyola Marymount. |
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03-24-19 | Ohio State +6 v. Houston | Top | 59-74 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ohio State (10* TRADE-MARK) Ohio State enters off a 62-59 win over Iowa State, while Houston rolled to an 84-55 win over Georgia State to advance to the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The Buckeyes had a poor shooting game last time out, but their tough defensive play was the difference. Ohio State also collected 38 boards, compared to just 31 for Iowa State. Houston rolled to victory in Round 1, but I think the Cougars, who only average 75.6 PPG, will have a much more difficult time today vs. the buzz saw of an Ohio State defense right now. Additionally note that Ohio State is 5-0 ATS in its last five neutral site affairs. Outright is possible, but I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 67-65 Houston. |
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03-23-19 | Minnesota v. Michigan State -9.5 | Top | 50-70 | Win | 100 | 31 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10*) These teams are familiar with each other, both hailing from the Big Ten. This is a matchup which does not bode well for the Gophers. These teams played once this season and the Spartans administered a severe 79-5 beatdown on February 9th. Richard Pitino got some sort of mild revenge for his father in yesterday’s upset win over Louisville, but MSU is an entirely different animal. Minnesota is just 1-3 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest, while Michigan State is 3-0 ATS in the same position. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-62 MSU. |
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03-22-19 | UCF v. VCU -1 | Top | 73-58 | Loss | -105 | 109 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: VCU (10* GAME OF WEEK) UCF is back in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2005. The Knights lost their final two games of the year. UCF averages only 72.1 PPG, but makes up for it on the other end by allowing only 64.3. VCU returns after a one-year absence. The Rams had a 12 game win streak snapped by Rhode Island in the A-10 Tournament. The Rams average only 71.4 PPG, but like their counterparts today, they make up for it on the other end by conceding only 61.6 PPG. Note as well that VCU is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 tournament games and 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600, while UCF is only 2-5 ATS in its last seven following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 67-60 Rams. |
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03-21-19 | Montana +15.5 v. Michigan | Top | 55-74 | Loss | -106 | 85 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Montana (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I’ll stop short in calling for the outright victory, but with nothing to lose, I think that the hungry Montana Grizzlies can keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. I think that Michigan is still “shell shocked” after losing to rival MSU in the Big Ten Championship Game. Montana won’t be going down without a fight. It’s filled with experienced players as it just captured its second straight Big Sky tournament title. This is a revenge game of sorts as well after Montana fell to Michigan in a 3 vs. 14 matchup last year, 61-47 in Wichita. No outright, but the table is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. T.M. Prediction: 69-62 Michigan. |
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03-20-19 | Arizona State v. St. John's +1.5 | Top | 74-65 | Loss | -115 | 61 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. John’s (10* TRADE-MARK) These teams are evenly matched. Both teams looked great at times this year and each struggled down the stretch of the season. Hence the reason they find themselves in The First Four. St. John’s plays with “revenge” here though after falling to the Sun Devils 82-70 in Los Angeles last year. Chris Mullin entered his fourth year as head coach of St. John’s this season and for the first time since taking over, he’d finish with a winning regular season record. Winning has come slower than expected for Mullin, but at the end of the day, he has gotten his team to this point: “The fact of the matter is it does not matter,” Mullin said about the fact the selection committee confirmed the Red Storm was the last at-large team in the field. “So it’s kind of quite factual. And so it’s a true new beginning. No. 1, No. 16, 12, there’s no advantage. You gotta go out and play good basketball. You play good basketball, you move on; if you don’t, your season’s over. “I was part of the team that was the last team in the NBA playoffs on the last day of the season. And we upset the No. 1 team with the most wins in the NBA. So it truly does not matter. You don’t have to make that up. That’s not something you have to tell stories about; that’s the fact.” Ultimately I think that ASU’s issues down the stretch can’t be ignored. Look for St. John’s to finally live up to expectations. At least for one night. T.M. Prediction: 77-75 Red Storm. |
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03-19-19 | Belmont v. Temple UNDER 155.5 | Top | 81-70 | Win | 100 | 38 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Belmont/Temple under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) The victor moves on to face Maryland in the first round. Belmont is a very high-scoring team (averages 87.4 PPG), but it’s defense is underrated, allowing 73.9. The Bruins are going to have their hands full with this seasoned AAC defense though. The Owls average just 74.8 PPG, but they allow only 71.2. Belmont lost in the title game of the OVC, while Temple fell in the quarterfinals of the AAC. I’m expecting full court pressure from start to finish and for this one to fall under once it’s all said and done. T.M. Prediction: 73-70 Belmont. |
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03-17-19 | Michigan v. Michigan State +1 | Top | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* MONEY MAKER) Michigan finished 15-5 in Big Ten lay, while MSU was 16-4. This is simply a bad matchup for Michigan though. These teams met twice in the regular season, and the Spartans won each time (by 12 at home on March 9th and by 7 on the road on February 24th.) It’s difficult to beat any team three times in one season. But MSU is a pretty good team. And sometimes certain “match ups” give teams issues. I had a play on Old Dominion last night and it had beaten WKU twice in the regular season (by a combined seven points.) I stated in that write-up the exact same thing, that certain “match ups” are just difficult for some teams, and that’s definitely the case here in my opinion as well. I think the Spartans’ depth on both ends of the court once again proves to be too much for the Wolverines to overcome. T.M. Prediction: 70-60 MSU. |
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03-16-19 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion -1 | Top | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Old Dominion (NCAA TOURNEY GAME OF YEAR) Clearly these teams are very evenly matched as evidenced by this spread. These teams have played twice this year and ODU came out on top both times. The games were decided by a total of seven points. Both teams come in on top form, but this is a matchup which has confounded WKU this season. I think that’ll again be the case here. ODU is the top seed in the tournament for a reason. Also note that WKU is 0-4 ATS in its last four off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, while ODU is 3-0 ATS in its last three after two straight close wins by three points or less. T.M. Prediction: 70-53 ODU. |
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03-15-19 | Florida v. LSU -1.5 | Top | 76-73 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LSU (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think LSU lays the hammer down here. Florida played well in its 66-50 win over Arkansas on Thursday, but I believe the Gators come in tired here. Florida went just 1-8 vs. AP Top 25 teams, the lone victory coming against LSU. Now the rested Tigers, who won five straight to end the regular season, come in rested and ready to avenge that setback. LSU is 3-1 ATS in neutral court games this year and 7-3 ATS in its last ten when playing with five or six days rest. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-60 LSU. |
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03-14-19 | Penn State v. Minnesota OVER 135.5 | Top | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 32 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Penn State/Minnesota OVER (10* TOTAL OF YEAR). I’m expecting a wide open affair in this one. The Nittany Lions finished 7-13 in Big Ten play so they’ll need to win the title for a chance at The Big Dance. Minnesota finished 9-11 in conference play and it’ll have to make the finals for its opportunity to go dancing. These teams fought to a 65-64 contest at Minnesota, a low-scoring game that the Gophers came out on top of. This time around I’m expecting a much more wide-open affair. And the numbers support that, as note that Penn State has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last nine trying to revenge a close road loss vs. a conference opponent of three points or less, while Minnesota has seen the total fly over in eight of its last 11 conference tournament agates as an underdog in the +2.5 to +3.5 points range. T.M. Prediction: 75-73 Minnesota. |
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03-14-19 | Indiana v. Ohio State +1.5 | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ohio State (10* TRADE-MARK) The Buckeyes beat the Hoosiers 55-52 on February 10th and I expect a similar hard-fought, but final score here as well. Ohio State lost four of five down the stretch, including a 73-67 OT loss to Wisconsin at home in its finale. Ohio State is out to play spoiler here, as a loss and Indiana is clearly out of contention for The Big Dance. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Ohio State. |
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03-12-19 | Notre Dame -2.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Notre Dame (10* TRADE-MARK) The Irish have lost seven straight and GT may have won three of its final five, but I think the Irish have more than enough talent to get past the first round this year. ND finished 13-18 and GT ended up 14-17. These teams split a pair of games this season. The Irish put up a good fight vs. Pittsburgh last time out, eventually succumbing 56-53. The Yellow Jackets upset NC State 63-61 on the road on Wednesday, but I think an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent here. I’ll point out as well that GT is just 1-3 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog, while ND is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 after allowing 60 points or less. Despite the losing streak and the current form of each, I think ND matches up well here. Lay the short points. T.M. Prediction: 67-60 Irish. |
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03-10-19 | Houston v. Cincinnati -1.5 | Top | 85-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati (10* BLACK-LABEL) Houston comes in off a 90-79 win over SMU on Thursday, while Cincinnati enters off a 58-55 road loss to UCF. The Bearcats need to win this game though to earn a tie with the Cougars for first place in the AAC. Cincinnati will be the hungrier team here though after its latest loss, but also because it’s out to avenge a 65-58 setback to the Cougars on their home floor in the first meeting this season. Houston is just 1-3 ATS this year after scoring 85 points or more. Cincinnati is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Bearcats. |
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03-08-19 | Minnesota v. Maryland -6.5 | Top | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 26 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Maryland (10* GAME OF MONTH) Maryland isn’t playing well as the season winds down, having lost two straight. The Terps will be desperate to break the slide on Seniors night in the regular season finale though. The Golden Gophers are coming on strong to end the season, having won two in a row. That includes a huge upset win over Purdue last time out. Minnesota lost in the reverse fixture at home earlier in the year and I think it’s primed for a classic “letdown” here after its emotional upset win last time out. Maryland on the other hand comes in razor focused after back-to-back “duds.” Note as well that the Gophers are just 3-5 ATS in their last eight as a road underdog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Maryland is a near-perfect 4-1 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. T.M. Prediction: 75-60 Maryland. |
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03-06-19 | Providence v. Creighton -6 | Top | 70-76 | Push | 0 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Creighton (10* BLACK-LABEL) Providence is in last place in the standings. Creighton clawed its way out of the cellar to improve to 7-9 in league play with an upset win over Marquette and I think it carries that momentum over into another big performance in their final home game of the regular season. The Friars are poised for a letdown after their 73-67 upset OT win over Butler on Tuesday. Creighton though has won three straight and note that it’s already 3-1 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog. Providence on the other hand is a poor 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing with seven or more days of rest. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Creighton. |
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03-05-19 | Nebraska +13 v. Michigan State | Top | 76-91 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nebraska (10*) The Cornhuskers are just 5-13 in league play and they come in off an 82-53 loss to Michigan, but I think it can keep this one competitive as it looks to play spoiler vs. this suddenly reeling MSU side. The Spartans are off a 63-62 road loss to Indiana and I believe they’ll be collectively mentally caught up on that “hiccup” still. Nebraska averages 71.9 PPG and it allows 65.1. MSU averages 79.5 PPG and it allows 65.7. Nebraska is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road underdog of 12.5 points or more, while MSU is 1-4 ATS in its last five as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 18 points range. T.M. Prediction: 73-68 MSU. |
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03-04-19 | Kansas State v. TCU +1.5 | Top | 64-52 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: TCU (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I think the “hungrier” home side finds a way to get the job done here. TCU is on the bubble for The Big Dance and with a chance to cement a spot with a win today, I’m expecting the Horned Frogs to step up and make it happen. K-State is currently tied atop the Big 12 with Texas Tech. Will the visitors get caught looking past their opponent today to their weekend matchup vs. Oklahoma? The possibility is there. TCU though does not have that luxury. Note as well that K-State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after allowing 65 points or less in four straight games, while TCU is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 when playing with one or less days rest. T.M. Prediction: 67-66 TCU. |
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03-03-19 | Marshall v. North Texas -6 | Top | 85-82 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: North Texas (10* BLACK-LABEL) UNT won the first meeting 78-51 and I believe we’ll see a similar final combined score here as well. Marshall is 8-7 and tied for sixth, while UNT is 8-8 and tied for eighth. However, it’s now or never for the Mean Green, who enter having losing five straight. Desperation breeds motivation in this case. Note as well that the Herd are just 3-7 ATS as an underdog this year and only 4-11 ATS on the road, while UNT is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 off a SU home loss. Home floor advantage is a big one here. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-70 UNT. |
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03-02-19 | Kansas -7 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 72-67 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kansas (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Kansas won the first meeting between the schools this season by a score of 84-72 and I’m expecting a repeat performance here as well. Kansas comes in off a 64-49 home win over K-State to move to 10-5 in conference action, while the Cowboys are off a deflating 84-80 OT loss to Texas Tech to fall to 3-12 in Big 12 play. Kansas has everything to play for, and Oklahoma State is stumbling towards the finish line. Note that Oklahoma State is just 4-12 ATS in its last 16 vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600, while Kansas is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Kansas. |
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03-01-19 | Buffalo -8.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 77-69 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Bulls come in off a 77-64 win over Akron on Tuesday. Buffalo enters on a six-game win streak and with a win today, it’ll cement its spot for the East Division title. With that in mind, I expect the visitors put the foot on the gas from start to finish in this favorable matchup. The Bulls average 87.5 PPG and they’ve won ten of the last 13 in this series. The RedHawks enter off an 82-69 win over Bowling Green, but I think they’ll have their hands full here with the Bulls high-octane offense. Note as well that Buffalo is 14-8 ATS as a favorite this season and 8-4 ATS in its last 12 on the road, while Miami is just 7-8 ATS this year vs. good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per contest. T.M. Prediction: 86-65 Bulls. |
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02-28-19 | Northeastern v. Delaware +5 | Top | 75-64 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Delaware (10* BLACK-LABEL) If recent history is any precedence, then Delaware has to be loving it chances, as it took the first meeting between he schools 82-80 in OT from Boston back on December 30th. Normally “revenge” is a factor I take into account, but it’s a “non-factor” in this one in my opinion. And that’s because the Blue Hens come in having lost five of their last seven. The Huskies are 12-4 in league play and a game behind Hofstra. The Huskies have won two straight at home, but a difficult road challenge spells “upset” in my opinion. Note that NE is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road favorite in the 3.5 to six points range as well. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 69-67 Delaware. |
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02-27-19 | Cincinnati v. SMU +4.5 | Top | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: SMU (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Bearcats come in complacent after their tough 64-60 road win over UConn. SMU comes in desperate to atone for a 95-48 loss on the road to UCF. The home side also plays with “revenge” here after falling 73-68 in the first matchup between the schools back on February 2nd. The Bears are also just 2-3 ATS this year off a road victory, while SMU is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a road loss vs. a conference rival and 9-6 ATS in its last 15 revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Cincinnati. |
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02-26-19 | Miami-FL -4.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 75-76 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Florida (10* BLOWOUT BEST OF BEST) Miami is 0-7 on the road in ACC action. The Hurricanes though come in off an 80-65 home win over Georgia Tech on Saturday and I think they’ll finally carry that momentum over here on the road. A game at impotent Wake Forest is just what Miami needs to get back into the winners circle, as the Deacons are tied for 13th in the conference. Most recently Wake was destroyed 94-74 at NC State this weekend. Note that the Demon Deacons are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 at home and just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games as an underdog, while Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. the conference. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 81-60 Hurricanes. |
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02-25-19 | Oklahoma +9.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 61-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Oklahoma is on the bubble right now, but it comes in with considerable momentum after back-to-back wins, including a confidence building 69-67 home win over Texas on Saturday. During the two-game win skein the Sooner have gone 13 of 30 from range and 49.1 percent from the floor overall. Note that this is a revenge game as well after falling 75-74 to Iowa State on February 4th. The Cyclones enter playing their worst ball of the year as well, with back-to-back losses and three in their last four. Note as well that Iowa State is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven as a favorite in the seven to 12.5 points range, while Oklahoma is 8-1-3 ATS in its last 12 on the road and 11-5-3 ATS in its last 19 as an underdog in the seven to 12.5 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-70 Iowa State. |
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02-24-19 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Illinois-Chicago -8.5 | Top | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Illinois Chicago (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Wisconsin Milwaukee comes to town having lost eight straight. Illinois Chicago may normally get caught “looking past” such a lowly opponent, but the Flames come into this one having lost two straight themselves. With the home side razor focused on the task at hand and looking to take advantage of this favorable spot, I am indeed fully expecting a decisive victory here. Note as well that the Panthers are just 2-5 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest, while the Flames are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. Lay the points, expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Illinois Chicago. |
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02-23-19 | Utah v. Washington State | Top | 92-79 | Win | 100 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah (10* MONEY-MAKER) Utah looks to bounce back after its 62-45 road loss to conference No. 1 Washington, while Washington State looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after its slim 76-74 home win over Colorado on Wednesday. If recent history is any precedence, then Utah has to be loving its chances today as well, as note that the Utes have the 23-3 all time advantage, including an 88-70 home win in the first matchup this year. After back-to-back losses though, Utah can’t take anything for granted here, so I think the “revenge” factor doesn’t work in this case. WSU has won three of four, but I think it’ll come up short against Utah’s depth once again. Note as well that Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a road favorite of six points or less or pick, while WSU is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine as a home underdog of six points or less or pick. For all the reasons listed above, play on the visitors. T.M. Prediction: 84-73 Utah. |
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02-22-19 | Indiana +7 v. Iowa | Top | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Hoosiers are 13-13 and the Hawkeyes are 20-6. Indiana though will be looking to play spoiler here and kick this Iowa team while its down. The Hawkeyes comes in off a heart-breaking 66-65 home loss to Maryland, losing on a last second shot. Iowa now has no chance for a first round bye in the tournament, so a win or loss here doesn’t really effect it. Clearly the home side will be looking to bounce back, but Indiana is desperate for any sort of speak to hang its hat on down the stretch after a poor season (note though that the Hoosiers have won eight of the last ten between the schools and three of its last four in Iowa.) This one has all the makings of a classic. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-72 Iowa. |
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02-21-19 | College of Charleston v. William & Mary +2 | Top | 84-86 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: William & Mary (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) COC is 21-7 overall and 10-5 in conference play, but William & Mary is the “hungrier” team here. The Pride have fought their way back into respectability with a 6-8 conference record, good enough for fifth currently. The home side also plays with a big time “revenge factor” after falling 74-59 on the road in the first matchup between the schools. COC is already just 3-4 ATS this season as a road favorite or pick, while W&M is 12-8 ATS its last 20 after scoring 80 points or more in two straight games. T.M. Prediction: 77-70 W&M. |
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02-20-19 | Nevada v. San Diego State +8.5 | Top | 57-65 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Diego State (10* MONEY-MAKER) Nevada is 24-1, while SDSU is 16-9. The Wolfpack are 8-1 on the road, while the Aztecs are 12-2 at home. SDSU comes in on top form, having won three straight. With back-to-back road games upcoming, I believe the home side lays everything on the line tonight. Nevada has a “tougher” game at home vs. Fresno State on Friday, so the possibility of a “look ahead” isn’t out of the question here either in my opinion. Note that SDSU is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 home games as an underdog in the 1.5 to 12.5 points range. I think the outright upset is possible, but in the end I’ll grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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02-19-19 | Kentucky v. Missouri +11 | Top | 66-58 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Missouri (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). I think Kentucky comes in complacent. The Wildcats have won 12 of their last 13 after dropping No. 1 Tennessee in their latest action. With another game upcoming against the Vols, Kentucky also gets caught “looking ahead” here. Missouri has struggled offensively this year, but the Tigers can play defense with the best of them. Missouri is the much “hungrier” team in my estimation. Note as well that the Wildcats are just 10-14 ATS in their last 24 after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, while Missouri is 8-2 ATS in its last ten after allowing 75 points or more in two straight games. T.M. Prediction: 70-64 Kentucky. |
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02-18-19 | Kansas State v. West Virginia +7.5 | Top | 65-51 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: West Virginia (10* MONEY-MAKER) WVU comes in as the “hungrier” team as it looks to break a three-game slide. K-State is starting to slide as it’s only a half game ahead in the Big 12 standings after falling to Iowa State last time out. K-State averages 65.8 PPG and it allows 60.2. The Wildcats though gave up 78 points in the loss to Iowa State and I think they’ll have their hands full here as well in this difficult road venue. WVU averages 71.4 PPG and it allows 75.4. K-State though is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with losing records, while WVU is 3-1 ATS this season as a home dog or pick and 2-1 ATS this year in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. WVU is out of contention, but I expect it to fight until the bitter end in this one. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 65-63 K-State. |
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02-17-19 | Northern Iowa v. Evansville -1.5 | Top | 73-58 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Evansville (10* TRADE-MARK) Evansville comes in as the hungrier team after losing seven of its last eight, including three straight. A date vs. the “on again, off again” Northern Iowa Panthers is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked though in my opinion. Northern Iowa is primed for a letdown here after it snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Illinois State last time out. The Purple Aces are desperate to avoid last place in the conference and with a win today they’ll vault over Indiana State. Northern Iowa is just 6-17-1 ATS in its last 24 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and just 2-6 ATS in its last eight following a SU win, while Evansville is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 74-60 Evansville. |
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02-15-19 | Marist +5 v. Quinnipiac | Top | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marist (10* TRADE-MARK) Marist enters playing its best ball of the year. The Red Foxes have won three of their last four aftter a 79-58 win over Niagara last time out. Quinnipiac comes in “tired” here after three straight wins, pulling away for a tough 98-88 OT win over Rider on Tuesday. Marist plays with revenge here today though and note that it’s 3-1 ATS in its last four this year revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. Note that the Bobcats are still just 2-4 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. The outright isn’t out of the question, but in the end let’s grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 71-70 Marist. |
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02-14-19 | The Citadel +16 v. East Tennessee State | Top | 83-91 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Citadel (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Am I calling for an outright upset here? Of course not. I simply feel that the home side will get caught by looking past its lowly opponent tonight. The Citadel Bulldogs though enter off a big 67-61 road win over Mercer as a 7.5 underdog last time out and I think they can carry that momentum over here. The Buccaneers on the other hand were upended 91-61 by Furman as 2.5 point underdogs in their last outing. The Citadel is 6-2 ATS in its last eight on the road, while East Tennessee State is just 6-7 ATS vs. the conference this year. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 85-75 East Tennessee State. |
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02-13-19 | Richmond +12 v. VCU | Top | 60-81 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Richmond (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Clearly VCU is the better team. The Rams are 17-6, while the Richmond Spiders are only 10-14. Both teams come in on top form though, as VUC has won four straight, while Richmond has won two in a row. I’m not calling for an outright victory here, but I do think that the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing who well Richmond is currently playing at this exact moment, and I think this will lead to this contest being much closer than what this spread would suggest. Richmond is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range, while VCU is just 9-10 ATS in its last 9 after having won four of its last five games. T.M. Prediction: 70-68 VCU. |
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02-12-19 | Michigan v. Penn State +7 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 26 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Penn State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Penn State comes in desperate as it’s just 1-11 in league play. The Wolverines come in complacent after winning 11 of their 13 Big Ten contests. Michigan comes to town off a 61-52 home win over Wisconsin. If the Wolverines have had one clear weakness though it’s been from 3-point land, where they shoot just 32.3 percent, ranked ninth in the conference. The Nittany Lions won their first conference game, but then fell immediately afterwards in a 74-70 loss at Ohio State last weekend. The Lions are also terrible from range, but note that they’re already 2-0 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss of ten points or more vs. an opponent. Note that Michigan on the other hand is a terrible 8-10 ATS in its last 18 as a road favorite or pick. Grab the points in a closer than expected battle. T.M. Prediction: 64-63 Wolverines. |
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02-11-19 | Virginia v. North Carolina OVER 143 | Top | 69-61 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Over Virginia/UNC (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Two hungry teams collide in this big ACC match-up and I think this total will sneak over the number sooner, rather than later. Virginia is 20-2 this year. Its only two losses have come against Duke and its second loss of the year came in its last game, falling 81-71 to the Blue Devils. Virginia is the No. 1 defensive team in the nation, but that unit looked pretty ordinary facing Duke and I think it’ll have its hands full here vs. UNC. The Tar Heels are 19-4 overall and currently in a No. 2 seed. UNC has won seven straight and the last thing it’ll want to do is to “slow this one down” and to play to the Cavs strengths. Everything points to the home side pushing the pace and the for the visitors matching pace. Additionally note that UVA has seen the total go over the number in four of its last seven on the road, while UNC has seen the total go over in six of its last ten at home. This number is low, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 76-75 UNC. |
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02-10-19 | Northwestern +10 v. Iowa | Top | 79-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northwestern (10* MONEY-MAKER) Iowa comes in complacent after huge wins over Michigan and Indiana. Northwestern comes in hungry after three straight losses to Wisconsin, Maryland and Penn State. This is a revenge game as well for the Wildcats are they lost 73-63 at home in the first matchup this season. Note that the Wildcats are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 65 points or less in two straight games, while the Hawkeyes are only 6-8 ATS at home this year and 0-2 ATS after a win by six points or less. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-70 Iowa. |
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02-09-19 | DePaul v. Xavier -3.5 | Top | 74-62 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Xavier (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) DePaul is now 12-9 after its 67-55 win over Providence on Saturday. Xavier comes in as the much “hungrier” team though at 11-12 and off a 76-54 setback to Creighton in its latest matchup. The Musketeers will be risking life and limb today to get off the schneid as they enter having lost five straight. DePaul is a terrible 2-9 ATS in its last 11 when playing with five or six days rest, while Xavier is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in the same position. I expect the more desperate team to pull away down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 78-68 Xavier. |
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02-08-19 | Cornell v. Dartmouth UNDER 140 | Top | 83-80 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Under Cornell/Dartmouth (10* BLACK-LABEL) Cornell comes in hungry as it looks to snap a three-game losing streak. Dartmouth can empathize as it looks to snap a two-game slide of its own. These are two hungry teams desperate for a victory and I think this “desperation” will result in a lower-scoring battle tonight. From a situational stand point, it absolutely sets up as a low-scoring game in my opinion. Also note though that Cornell has seen the total go “under” the number in seven of 12 this season after playing a game as the underdog, while Dartmouth has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last ten as the favorite. This number is high, play the “under.” T.M. Prediction: 67-64 Dartmouth |
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02-07-19 | BYU v. Portland +11.5 | Top | 83-48 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Pilots come in as clearly the “hungrier” team. Portland is 0-9 in league play this year and it’ll look to take advantage of a complacent BYU side which just beat Loyola Marymount 67-49 in its most recent action. The Pilots almost pulled it off last weekend, eventually falling 69-63 to Santa Clara on the road. Take it for what you will as well, but BYU is a a disastrous 6-22 in its last 28 off a win vs. a conference rival, while Portland is 11-6 ATS in its last 17 revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent. No outright upset, but closer than expected. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-72 BYU. |
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02-06-19 | VCU v. George Washington +7.5 | Top | 60-50 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Washington (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Rams have won eight of their last ten. VCU is on the bubble of making the tournament. Overall though VCU has struggled offensively by averaging 70.2 PPG, while allowing 63.5. The Colonials have been terrible over all this year, but they snapped a three-game slide with a win over Fordham last time out and I think they’ll build off that effort again here. Overall George Washington is averaging 65 PPG and allowing 70.5. I’ll point out though that VCU is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games vs. a team with a losing home record and only 2-6 ATS its last eight vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400, while George Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last eight vs. teams with winning SU records. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 VCU. |
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02-05-19 | Vanderbilt +9 v. Arkansas | Top | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vanderbilt (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Vanderbilt comes in hungry after falling 77-67 on the road at Missouri on Saturday. Arkansas comes in complacent after its 90-89 road win over LSU. The Razorbacks took both meetings between the clubs last year, but everything looks like a much more competitive battle this time around as I think the home side gets caught looking past its lowly opponent and off its epic victory. Vandy on the other hand comes in razor focused as it looks to snap a nine game slide. The Commodores are also 8-4 ATS in their last 12 trying to revenge a road loss against a conference rival. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-73 Arkansas. |
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02-04-19 | Penn State +4 v. Northwestern | Top | 59-52 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Penn State (10* GAME OF WEEK) After losing eight straight, clearly the Nittany Lions are going to be desperate to break the slide. The outright win isn’t out of the question, but I’m going to grab the points in a contest which I see being decided by whichever of these evenly matched sides has its hands on the ball last. Penn State comes in off a competitive 99-90 OT loss to Purdue: “I know our record isn’t what we expect or where we want it to be but the kids are competing and playing hard,” head coach Patrick Chambers noted. “The ultimate goal down the stretch here in February is that they continue to progress.” Northwestern comes in off back-to-back losses to ranked teams and I think it gets caught “flat footed” here. Note that Penn State is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 after allowing 80 points or more, while Northwestern is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. T.M. Prediction: 67-65 Penn State. |
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02-03-19 | Wright State +1 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | Top | 79-74 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wright State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Wright State won this game at home 72-64 just before the New Year and I’m expecting a similar final combined outcome here as well. IUPUI looks poised for a classic letdown here though after its big upset win over conference leading NKU on Friday. Can anyone say “letdown” spot? I think the Raiders, who snapped a four-game winning streak by falling 67-53 at Illinois Chicago on Friday, come in focused on the task at hand and take full advantage of this matchup. Additionally note that Wright State is a perfect 4-0 ATS already this year when playing one or less days rest, while IUPUI is just 3-7 ATS in it last ten as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. For all the reasons listed above, play on the visitors. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Wright State. |
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02-02-19 | New Mexico +11.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 70-82 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I think that New Mexico will keep this one competitive until the final moments. The Lobos enter off a tough 68-66 home loss to Utah State last weekend, while Fresno State got the better of Wyoming 75-62 on the road on Wednesday. New Mexico comes in as the “hungrier” team, having lost two straight and five of its last six. The Lobos average 76.7 PG and they allow 76.3. The Bulldogs come in complacent after winning three of their last four. Fresno State averages 76.2 PPG and it allows 66.1. Note though that New Mexico 6-3 ATS in its last nine when playing with five or six days rest, while Fresno State is just 4-6 ATS at home and only 3-5 ATS vs. the conference. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 76-70 Bulldogs. |
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02-01-19 | Northern Kentucky v. IUPU-Indianapolis +3 | Top | 77-83 | Win | 100 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: IUPUI (10* GAME OF MONTH) After winning eight of its last nine and six conference games in a row, I think the Norse finally let the foot off the gas here vs. the hungry Jaguars. Most recently NKU defeated Milwaukee 73-60 this past Saturday. The Norse average 108.9 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 100.1 points per 100. The Jags average 99.8 points per 100 possessions, but make up for it on the other end by allowing 101.3 per 100. IUPUI though has been improving dramatically/quickly, most recently destroying Detroit 80-65 on Saturday to bump them to 5-4 in league play. I think the oddsmaker are slow in recognizing this improvement. The outright is possible, but in the end I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-70 IUPUI. |
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01-31-19 | Delaware v. Elon +1 | Top | 56-57 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Elon (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) It’s an “in season” revenge game for Elon. Delaware is 6-3 in CAA action and the Blue Hens took the first meeting between the schools 77-65 on January 5th. The Blue Hens average 72.5 PPG and they allow 70.9. After a four-game losing streak, Elon will now look to avenge the earlier setback to Delaware and to build off its 89-82 win over UNCW on January 26th. Elon average 70.4 PPG and it allows 76.6. I’ll point out though that the Blue Hens are just 6-8 ATS in their last 14 after playing two consecutive home games, while Elon is already 3-1 ATS this season after allowing 80 points or more. Grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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01-30-19 | Northern Iowa +11.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Iowa (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I think the hungry 9-12 Northern Iowa Panthers will keep this one competitive until the final moments vs. the 13-8 Loyola Chicago Ramblers. Northern Iowa broke a two-game slide with a win over Evansville last time out, while Loyola Chicago has won four of its last five after smashing Southern Illinois this past weekend. The Ramblers come in complacent after six straight home wins. Additionally note that the home side is just 5-6 ATS at home this year, while Northern Iowa is 3-1 ATS in its last four vs. teams with winning records. T.M. Prediction: 63-60 Loyola Chicago. |
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01-29-19 | Eastern Michigan +2.5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 82-86 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Michigan (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Chips opened the season by going 14-3, but CMU comes in having lost three straight. EMU won’t be taking anything for granted here, as it just broke a three-game slide of its own by knocking off WMU 93-67 on the road last time out. Elijah Minnie was a beast in that one with 29 points. These are two evenly matched teams (as evidenced by this spread), but I think the overall conditions favor the visitors. Also note that EMU is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 following an ATS victory, while CMU is just 2-5 ATS in it last seven following an ATS victory and only 1-4 ATS in its last five at home. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 EMU. |
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01-28-19 | Southern Utah v. Northern Arizona -1 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Arizona (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Southern Utah is 9-8 and after its four game win streak was snapped last time out vs. Northern Colorado, I think the Thunderbirds are ripe for a letdown here as well. Brandon Better was a bright spot in a losing cause last time out for SU with 22 points. The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks won’t be taking anything for granted and they won’t be lacking for motivation after staring the year 5-13. Most recently the Lumberjacks fell to Northern Colorado, led by 15 points and five boards from Carlos Hines. But the home floor advantage is significant in this early afternoon contest in my opinion. Further note that the Thunderbirds are a poor 15-33-1 ATS in their last 49 following an ATS loss and just 1-5 ATS in their last six on the road. Northern Arizona on the other hand is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Northern Arizona. |
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01-27-19 | Washington State +14 v. Oregon | Top | 58-78 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington State (10* BLACK-LABEL) I’m not at all suggesting that the lowly Cougars are going to win this one outright, but I do think that the stage is set for a competitive battle. WSU is off a 90-77 loss at Oregon State and it’s now just 1-5 in league play. Oregon enters off a 61-56 home loss to Washington, dropping the Ducks to just 2-4 in Pac 12 action. The Cougars average 78.5 PPG, while allow 77.9. Oregon averages only 71.2 PPG, while allowing 64.7. I believe the Ducks are the better team, but a “two TD favorite?” I don’t see it. Note that Oregon is just 1-4 ATS in its last five at home,. while WSU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine as a 13 points or more road conference underdog after allowing 90 points or more in a loss in its previous outing. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-69 Oregon. |
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01-26-19 | George Washington +14 v. George Mason | Top | 55-62 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Washington (10* TRADE-MARK). The 6-13 George Washington Colonials won’t be lacking for motivation today. George Mason on the other hand comes in complacent in my opinion after winning four straight. GW averages 64.7 PPG, led by DJ Williams with 13.1 points and 4.9 boards per game. The Colonials allow 71.4 PPG overall. George Mason averages 72.1 PPG and it allows 68. Justin Kier averages 15.4 points and 6.7 boards for the Patriots. Note though that GW is 8-2 ATS in its last ten as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in its first six road games, while GM is just 12-13 ATS in its last 25 as a favorite. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-65 George Mason. |
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01-25-19 | Rider v. Iona +1 | Top | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iona (10* MONEY-MAKER) After five straight wins, I think the Rider Broncs get caught complacent here. most recently Rider topped Manhattan 60-47. Overall the Broncos average 77.6 PPG. The Iona Gaels have split their last eight games, and they’ll be eager to return to the winners circle after a tight 83-81 loss to Monmouth last time out. Asante Giste was a bright spot in the losing cause with 21 points. As a team Iona verges 80.9 PPG. Note that the Broncs are also just 4-6 ATS on the road this year, while the Gaels are 3-1 ATS at home. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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01-24-19 | Charlotte v. Texas-San Antonio -9 | Top | 43-88 | Win | 100 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas San Antonio (10* MONEY-MAKER) The UTSA Roadrunners come in hungry to stop a two-game slide. After winning seven straight, UTSA has dropped two in a row. The 49ers almost pulled off a huge upset over ODU last time out, but after coming up just short and getting outscored 52-36 in the second half, I think Charlotte comes out flat here. Additionally note that the 49ers are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while the Roadrunners are 4-1 ATS In their last five vs. teams with a losing SU record. I’m laying the points and expecting a blowout. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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01-23-19 | East Carolina +20.5 v. Houston | Top | 50-94 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: East Carolina (10* TRADE-MARK) Am I suggesting that the 8-9 East Carolina Pirates are going to take down the 18-1 Houston Cougars on their home court?! Of course not. I simply feel that the home side will get caught looking past their lowly opponent tonight, leaving the back door open for the visitors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. ECU has struggled all season, but it does have a signature win at home over Cincinnati, which is significant in my opinion. Most recently ECU lost its third straight in an 85-74 setback at home to Temple. The Pirates won’t be lacking for motivation today anyways. Houston comes in off the 69-60 win over South Florida in its latest action, but note that it’s just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more. I’m grabbing all the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-62 Houston. |
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01-22-19 | Western Michigan +6.5 v. Ohio | Top | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Western Michigan (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I’m expecting a battle until the end here. WMU comes in hungry at 6-12 overall, including 0-5 in league play. The Broncos have lost five straight, most recently getting rolled 79-48 by Bowling Green. Overall though WMU is averaging 71.5 PPG, led by Michael Flowers with 15.6 points, 4.7 boards and 3.6 assists per game. Defense has been the issue for the Broncos, allowing 74.2 PPG. But a date vs. Ohio is just what WMU needs to get back on track, as the Bobcats come in scuffling as well having lost two straight (75-52 setback to Toledo on Friday most recently.) Overall Ohio is averaging 70.3 PPG, while allowing 71.9. I believe these teams are much more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 69-68 Ohio. |
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01-21-19 | Nebraska v. Rutgers +8 | Top | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 27 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rutgers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Nebraska may win this game, but I’m expecting an all out war. The Huskers only losses have come on the road (plus against MSU at home). Rutgers comes in as the “hungrier” team here after three straight setbacks, most recently to Northwestern. The Huskers had their 20 game home win streak snapped last time out and I think they’re still collectively “caught up” on that one. Check out what head coach Tim Miles said recently: “There are no moral victories and I’m utterly mad and disappointed,” Miles admitted. “We can’t stick around and be too disappointed because we have Rutgers, who just beat a ranked team at home so we need to be ready to go.” Since beating Ohio State 64-61 on Jan. 9th the Scarlet Knights have lost three straight, but I expect them to put up a fight here in this favorable situation. Note as well that Nebraska is just 2-4 ATS already this year following a conference game, while Rutgers is already a perfect 2-0 ATS this season off a home loss vs. a conference rival. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Nebraska. |
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01-20-19 | Duquesne v. George Washington +2.5 | Top | 91-85 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Washington (10* TRADE-MARK) Duquesne comes in off a 74-68 road win over Richmond, but I think it’ll stumble here. George Washington managed a 59-56 road win over La Salle in its latest action and I believe it carries that momentum over here in front of the home town crowd. The Dukes though are just 1-2 on the road. Overall Duquesne averages 73.9 PPG and it allows 70.8. The Colonials are averaging only 63.7 points, while allowing 70.2, but I’ll point out that they’ve been “money in the bank” for bettors in this spot for quite some time, going 9-2 ATS in their last 11 as a home underdog or pick. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-66 GW. |
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01-19-19 | Oregon v. Arizona State -4 | Top | 64-78 | Win | 100 | 29 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona State (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m expecting the home side to put the foot on the gas from start to finish and to comfortably pull away for a convincing SU/ATS victory. Oregon enters off a 59-54 win on the road over Arizona and I believe it’ll suffer a predictable letdown here. ASU enters off a 70-67 home win over Oregon State last time out. To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as well as the Ducks have won seven straight in the series, including a 76-68 home win in the most recent back on February 22nd. Oregon averages 72.5 PPG and it allows 64.2. ASU is averaging 79.2 PPG and it’s allowing 72.9. Oregon though is only 1-7 ATS in its last eight after allowing 60 points or less in two straight games, while ASU is 4-1 ATS in its last five after playing a game as a home favorite. Lay the points and expect a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 ASU. |
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01-17-19 | NC-Wilmington +12.5 v. Hofstra | Top | 72-87 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NC Wilmington (10* MONEY-MAKER) Outright victory? Very doubtful. However, I think the hungry 7-11 UNCW Seahawks will keep this one interesting vs. the 15-3 Pride. Could anyone blame Hofstra coming in even a tiny bit complacent here after 12 straight wins? The Seahawks lost six straight, but since then they’ve won three of their last four and I think they can catch the home side a tiny bit complacent. The Seahawks average 77 PPG, while allow 80.4. The Pride average 81.9 PPG, while allowing 68.6. Clearly Hofstra is the better team, but the Seahawks won’t be rolling over and they come in looking much improved after a slow start as well. Additionally note that the Seahawks are already 4-1 ATS this year vs. conference opponents, while the Pride are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after two straight wins vs. conference rivals. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 83-75 Pride. |
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01-16-19 | Utah State v. San Jose State +18.5 | Top | 81-63 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Jose State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I’m clearly not calling for an outright victory, but I think that the lowly Spartans come in “under the radar” here. The Utah State Aggies have been alternating wins and losses in each of their last seven games after a 71-55 win over Wyoming last time out. Utah State averages 78.5 PPG an fit allows 65.3 San Jose State will be desperate to break a six game slide after falling 87-64 to Boise State last time out. The Spartans average 67 PPG and they allow 73. However take note that Utah State is just 4-5 ATS this year after a win by 15 points or more. Also note that SJ State is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a home underdog of 15.5 points or more. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-66 Utah State. |
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01-15-19 | Davidson v. St. Joe's +3.5 | Top | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Joseph’s (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) It’s desperation time for St. Joe’s, which is looking to break a four-game slide. Davidson though looks primed for a letdown after three straight wins in my opinion. St. Joe’s returns home focused and hungry after consecutive road losses to Duquesne and St. Bonaventure. Davidson has the three game win streak, but after going into the half with a lead vs. VSU last time out, the Wildcats nearly stumbled in the second. The Hawks fought tooth and nail on the road vs. the Dukes, but came up short in the 85-84 setback. Charlie Brown was a bright spot in a losing cause with 28 points, four boards, two assists and two blocks. I’ll point out as well that Davidson is just 1-3 ATS in true road games this year, while St. Joe’s is still 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog of six points or less or pick. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 72-69 St. Joes. |
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01-14-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -3.5 | Top | 73-69 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Oklahoma State has lost six straight in this series, but I expect that streak to end tonight. Baylor comes in off a 73-68 loss to Kansas. It was the first time the Bears played without forward Tristan Clark, who was lost to the season to injury. I think Baylor struggles again here without Clark in the line-up. The Cowboys though are moving in the opposite direction. After starting the conference schedule with two straight loss, OKS has won two straight. Note that OKS is 7-3 ATS in its last 12 vs. the conference, while Baylor is a poor 1-5 ATS in its last six away from friendly confines. Lay the points, expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 75-60 Oklahoma State. |
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01-13-19 | Drake v. Northern Iowa | Top | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Iowa (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Drake opened its non-conference schedule by going 12-2. The Bulldogs opened conference play with two straight losses, but they come in off an 82-70 win over Southern Illinois. Drake enters scoring 107.8 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 103.9 points per 100 possessions. However note that since conference play has started the defensive adjustments goes to 108.1 per 100 possessions. NIU has dropped two straight conference contests, so it clearly won’t be lacking motivation tonight in front of the home town crowd. Overall the Panthers are averaging 98.2 points per 100 possessions, while allowing just 102.3 points per 100 possessions. However, the offensive numbers are skewed as the Panthers play at one of the slowest paces in the nation, averaging just 65.6 possessions per game, utilizing a half court offense most of the time. Note that Drake is just 2-4 ATS in its last six as a road dog of six points or less or pick, while NIU is 3-0 ATS in its last three off a close road loss of three points or less. T.M. Prediction: 72-66 Northern Iowa. |
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01-12-19 | Hofstra v. Elon +12 | Top | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Elon (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I’m not predicting that the 5-13 Elon Phoenix will take this one outright over the 14-3 Hofstra Pride, but I do think that the hungry home side can keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Hofstra’s won 11 games in a row and complacency has to be setting in at this point. The Pride were pushed to the breaking point in their last game as well, needing triple OT to knock off William & Mary on Thursday. The Phoenix on the other hand enter off three straight losses, most recently to Northeastern. I think Elon is clearly the “hungrier” team in this matchup. Hofstra comes in exhausted. Note as well that the Pride are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after two straight victories by six points or less, while Elon is 12-5 ATS in is last 17 after allowing 80 points or more in its previous outing. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 78-70 Hofstra. |
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01-11-19 | Purdue +4.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m banking on a minor upset here. This one features two of the best players in the country in Wisconsin’s Ethan Happ and Purdue’s Carsen Edwards. But Purdue won’t be lacking motivation and focus tonight after starting the conference part of its portion with a fourth straight road loss, most recently falling 77-59 at sixth-ranked MSU on Tuesday. The Badgers broke a two-game slide with a 71-52 win over Penn State on Sunday, but I think an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent. Additionally note that Purdue is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 after having won two of its last three games, while Wisconsin is just 1-9 ATS in its last ten after playing a game as a road favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-67 Boilermakers. |
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01-09-19 | Rhode Island v. Richmond +1 | Top | 78-67 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Richmond (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Rhode Island looks primed for another letdown here in my opinion after it’s 60-53 road loss to Saint Louis in its previous action. Richmond is looking to bounce back as well after a poor 72-48 loss to Dayton on Sunday. Note that this is a “revenge” game as well for the Spiders after the Rams posted the 85-67 home win in the lone meeting last year. Rhode Island is just 1-3 on the road. The Rams average 70.1 PPG and they allow 65.2. Richmond returns home after two straight on the road and I think it’ll make the most of friendly confines. The Spiders are 4-4 at home and they average 70.6 PPG and they allow 70.1. Note though that the Rams are already just 3-5 ATS as a favorite this season and 0-5 ATS on the road, while Richmond is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 60 points or less in its previous contest. T.M. Prediction: 70-68 Richmond. |
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01-08-19 | Brown v. Canisius +1.5 | Top | 97-90 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canisius (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) After four straight wins, I think that the Brown Bears suffer a predictable letdown here. The Golden Griffins come in on top form as well though, having won back to back games, most recently a come from behind 70-66 victory over Siena on Saturday. Clearly these teams are evenly matched, a sentiment shared by the bookmakers. But the difference comes in the trends/numbers today, as note that Canisius is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 off an upset win as a road dog, while Brown is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after four or more SU wins. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Canisius. |
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01-06-19 | Illinois v. Northwestern -8 | Top | 66-68 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northwestern (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Illini have lost three straight and I think they’ll have difficulty here as well. Northwestern has split its last four games and it’ll be eager to return to form after falling at MSU last time out. Both teams are searching for their first conference victory, which makes home floor advantage this evening even that much more important. The Wildcats three conference losses though come against teams which still all have perfect conference records. Illinois’ offense simply won’t be able to keep pace here, especially considering that the Wildcats allow just 63.0 PPG, which ranks 28th in the country. Additionally note that NW is 4-0 ATS in its last four vs. teams with losing records, while Illinois is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight following a SU loss. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Northwestern. |
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01-05-19 | College of Charleston v. James Madison +8.5 | Top | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: James Madison (10* TRADE-MARK) After nine straight wins, I think College of Charleston comes in complacent. And after four straight losses, I expect James Madison to come in focused and desperate. The outright upset isn’t out of the question, but in the end I’m going to grab the points. The Cougars average 74.3 PPG and they allow 66.5, while the Dukes average 70.1 points, while allowing 71.6. COC though is just 1-2 ATS this year as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range and just 6-9 ATS in its last 15 off a win by ten points or more vs. a conference rival, while JM is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 COC. |
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01-04-19 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Illinois-Chicago -4 | Top | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Illinois Chicago (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The IUPUI Jaguars come in off a 72-64 loss vs. Wright State on Sunday, while the Illinois Chicago Flames fell 73-58 vs. Northern Kentucky in their most recent action. Two teams hungry for a bounce back performance collide, but I think the home floor advantage will prove pivotal in this particular matchup. UIC has to be feeling confident here, as it took both meetings over IUPUI last year. The Jags have lost four straight and they’re 0-2 in conference play. Overall IUPUI averages 78.3 PPG and it allows 73.7. The Flames average 76.3 PPG and they allow 77.9. They have however won six of their last seven at home. Additionally note that IUPUI is just 22-50-1 ATS in its last 73 vs. teams with losing records. T.M. Prediction: 82-70 Illinois Chicago. |
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01-03-19 | Western Kentucky v. Charlotte +9 | Top | 68-50 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte (10* TRADE-MARK) WKU comes in complacent herein my opinion after back-to-back victories, including an upset 83-76 victory over Wisconsin last time out. Overall WKU averages 73.5 PPG . Charlotte only averages 58 PPG, but it’ll be desperate here to break a three-game slide after a 68-53 loss to Colorado last time out. Jon Davis was a bright spot in the setback with 25 points. Note that WKU is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with losing records, while the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six in this series. I like the “hungry” home side to keep it competitive. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-65 ‘Toppers. |
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01-02-19 | Tulane +20.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 61-93 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tulane (10 BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT). Outright upset? Of course not. I just think that the 11-2 Bearcats will leave the door open just wide enough for the hungry 4-8 Green Wave to sneak in through down the stretch. Tulane enters off a 67-59 loss to Alabama A&M, while Cincinnati posted a 77-56 home win over South Carolina in its latest victory. But with conference play up next, I think the Bearcats will indeed get caught looking past the Green Wave today. Overall Tulane averages 68.8 PPG and it allows 73.2, while the Bearcats average 74 PPG, while allowing only 58. Tulane though is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road underdog of 12.5 points or more and 5-2 ATS in its last seven off an upset loss as a favorite, while Cincinnati is already 0-2 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 18.5 to 24 points range. T.M. Prediction: 70-62 Bearcats. |
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01-01-19 | CS-Fullerton +12.5 v. Washington | Top | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cal State Fullerton (10* NON-CONF DOG OF YEAR) I think the Cal State Fullerton Titans sneak comfortably in through the back door down the stretch. Cal State broke a four-game slide with a win over Portland last time out. Washington is 8-4 on the year, but the Huskies have been off since December 21st, so I believe that “rest” will in fact lead to be a bit of “rust” here. Clearly on paper the Huskies are the better team, but I think the situation favors the visitors here as the home side gets caught looking ahead to conference play. Additionally note that Cal State is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 off a home win by ten points or more, while Washington is already only 3-5 ATS as a favorite this year. T.M. Prediction: 70-66 Washington. |
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