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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-04-24 | Wolves v. Nuggets OVER 207.5 | Top | 106-99 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wolves/Nuggets OVER (MONEY-MAKER) Two of the best teams in the West collide here in Game 1 of this second round Western Conference game and I'm expecting some offensive fireworks to say the least. Minnesota rolls in with a ton of confidence here after dispatching the Suns in four straight. They combined to score 248 points over the final two games and everything points to this offensive momentum getting carried over here. Yes, this is in the thin air of Denver, but the Wolves will be rested and pushing hard to earn a split. Look for this faster-paced affair to fly well over. T.M. Prediction: 116-112 Denver. |
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05-03-24 | Clippers +8 v. Mavs | Top | 101-114 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clippers (WEST-CONF GOW) Yes, Dallas blew out LA 123-93 on the road in Game 5, but I think that the Clippers are too talented and too deep to go down without a fight here in Game 6. They're well coached as well. Also note that the Clippers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. Dallas has been inconsistent with its effort and its hard to imagine it looking past LA or anything like that, but the stage is definitely set for a much tighter affair than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe in my opinion. So I'm going to grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 105-104 Dallas. |
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04-27-24 | Cavs v. Magic -2 | Top | 89-112 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Magic. The bottom line here is that I think that the home court advantage will prove crucial in this series. That's so far been the case, with Cleveland winning big in each of the first two games, before Orlando answering in the 121-83 Game 3 victory. I often find that oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying "momentum" into a line, and that's the case here for sure, as I do indeed look for the Magic to build off their recent blowout performance. T.M. Prediction: 104-96 Orlando. |
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04-26-24 | Wolves v. Suns -4 | Top | 126-109 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Suns (MONEY-MAKER) Just not counting out Phoenix yet. This is the Suns most important game of the year so far and while they were a complete disaster in Minnesota over the first two games, I believe they can get their act together here now at home in Game 3 and not only win this game, but do so by a sizeable margin. This series very much has the same feeling to me as the Cavs/Magic series. Home court advantage clearly was big for Cleveland for Orlando after the Magic blew out the Cavs in Game 3, after dropping the first two on the road. Look for this series here out on the West Coast to take a similar path. T.M. Prediction: 109-98 Phoenix. |
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04-24-24 | Pelicans +7.5 v. Thunder | Top | 92-124 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pelicans. The Pelicans almost won Game 1 without Zion outright and I believe they have a legit shot to, at the very least, duplicate that performance and make this Game 2 another "nail biter" for the fans. The Thunder looked poor overall in my opinion, as the Pelicans shot horribly. I'd say that OKC's defensive numbers from Game 1 are skewed, and that it was the Pels just having a really poor shooting game, despite Williamson being sidelined. The Thunder have little experience at this level and I think they'll struggle to put New Orleans away in this series. Maybe no outright, but definitely it's going to be closer than what this spread is suggesting. T.M. Prediction: 106-104 OKC. |
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04-22-24 | Lakers +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 99-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers. The Lakers had a three-point lead at half-time in Game 1, but then fell 114-103. LA has responded well in this spot for bettors though by going 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. a Western Conference opponent though. This has been a terrible matchup for LeBron and AD, but I think they'll be more efficent here, especially from range. Look for the sense of urgency in which the Lakers play with to be enough to earn the comfortable cover. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Denver. |
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04-21-24 | Pelicans v. Thunder -8 | Top | 92-94 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Thunder. No need to overthink or overanalyze this release in my opinion. The Pels did great to get by the Kings to advance without Zion Williamson, as New Orleans has gone 6-0 vs. Sacramento this season. But now I fully expect the Pels to come up short here in the opener of this contest vs. the fresh Thunder. OKC finished No. 1 and will look to make quick work of this series. Look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and to take full advantage of this situation. T.M. Prediction: 116-99 OKC. |
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04-20-24 | 76ers +3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 104-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 76ers. I think this is a bad matchup for the Knicks. Philly finished averaging 114.6 PPG, while allowing 111.5, while New York averaged 112.8 and conceded 108.2. New York just doesn't have an answer for Philly big man Joel Embiid. While I do think an outright is possible, I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 106-103 Philly. |
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04-19-24 | Bulls +2.5 v. Heat | Top | 91-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bulls (MONEY-MAKER) Just giving this one the "eye test" here. Chicago is playing without Zach Lavine, but has already made that adjustment. The Heat losing Jimmy Butler last time out is really signficant. Chicago is out to avenge a loss to the Heat in last year's Play in as well. While I clearly think an outright is possible, I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 106-100 Chicago. |
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04-17-24 | Heat v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 104-105 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 76ers. With Joel Embiid back in the line-up, the 76ers enter the playoffs as the hottest team in the league after eight straights wins. I really love both of these coaches and understand that experience that Miami brings to the table. But this Philly defense is 100% capable of slowing down Jimmy Butler, and without their star being able to create space for himself, this Miami offense is going to be limited on the road in this diffcult venue. I smell a blowout in Philadelphia this evening! T.M. Prediction: 110-98 Philly. |
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04-16-24 | Lakers v. Pelicans OVER 224.5 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lakers/Pels OVER. This will be a highly-competitive battle. LA has seen the total go over in four straight coming into this one, scoring 120 or more points in three straight, and I believe this offensive surge continues here. The Pels have also seen the total go over in three straight after falling here 124-108 to the Lakers in the final regular season game. Note though that New Orleans has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 116-115 New Orleans. |
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04-08-24 | Purdue v. Connecticut -6.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Connecticut. The two best team's in the nation collide here, but I believe that the defending champs experience, and overall better defensive play will prove to be too much for the Boilermakers to handle in crunch time, and because of that I expect the Huskies to pull away not only for the win, but also the comfortable cover in the process. Edey is countered by Clingan. Dan Hurley will have a plan to counter anything Edey can do. Look for UConn's defense to be the differnce in the end. T.M. Prediction: 80-65 UConn. |
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04-06-24 | Hawks v. Nuggets -11.5 | Top | 110-142 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets. I'm not expecting any upsets here, as this one sets up well for Denver to blowout the visiting Hawks in my opinion. Atlanta is off the 109-95 loss at Dallas, but with three whole nights off after this before a home game vs. Miami, I believe the visitors will get caught flat-footed here in the thin air of Denver. The Nuggets won't be lacking motivation here after falling 102-100 at the Clippers as 3.5-point favorites last time out. Look for Denver, who has two nights off after this, to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 121-100 Denver. |
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04-04-24 | 76ers v. Heat -140 | Top | 109-105 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Heat moneyline. While I do think Miami will both win and cover the spread here, my official call will be to lay the price and just bypass the spread option all together. A great "situational" play here. Off B2B wins, and with games at Memphis and San Antonio upcoming, I say the visitors get caught looking ahead here. Miami is playing its best basketball of the season, having won three in a row and four of its last five, expect the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and to find a way to get the "W" when the final buzzer sounds. T.M. Prediction: 109-100 Miami. |
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04-02-24 | Georgia +4.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 67-84 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Georgia (MONEY-MAKER) While I clearly feel an outright victory is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Seton Hall is coming off a 9168 win over UNLV, while Georgia advanced by taking care of Ohio State 79-77. Georgia has covered in 11 of 12 away contests this year, while Seton Hall is just 4-7 ATS away from friendly confines. Georgia continues to get undervalued and that's once again going to be the case here. Outright victory?! That's possible of course, but my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: 77-76 Georgia. |
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03-31-24 | Tennessee +3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 66-72 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tennessee. These teams met in Maui at the start of the year, and Purdue won 71-67. While I anticipate another tight affair here, I do believe the Vols will get their revenge this time around. That said, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. The Vols average 79.1 PPG, while conceding 67.3, while Purdue averages 78.3 PPG, while allowing 72.9. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever of these evenly matched sides has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 76-74 Tennessee. |
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03-30-24 | Clemson +3.5 v. Alabama | Top | 82-89 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clemson (SWEET 16 GOY) In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Tigers simply keep getting underestimated, both by their opponents and the bookmakers in my opinion. Their recent win over Arizona highlights that fact. I really like Alabama, but it's weakness is its defensive play, and I say that finally comes back to haunt it here. These teams played back at the start of the year, and it was Clemson tha twon 85-77 in the ACC/SEC Challenge. While an outright is possible again, I'm grabbing the points as my official call. T.M. Prediction: 83-82 Clemson. |
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03-30-24 | Celtics -6 v. Pelicans | Top | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics. After back-to-back losses to ATL, I like Boston to push the pace here and get back on track in this challenging matchup. Conversely, after winning three of their last four, including a 107-100 win over Milwaukee here last time out, I suspect a letdown here from the Pels. They lost 118-112 in Boston back on January 29th, and this is just a poor matchup for New Orleans. And that's especially true considering how "locked in" I believe the visiting side will be today. So lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 123-100 Boston. |
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03-29-24 | Mavs v. Kings -1 | Top | 107-103 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings. Dallas has won five straight SU and gone 4-1 ATS over that span. That includes a 132-96 win here at Sacramento three nights ago. Note that the Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 99 or less points in. This is an important little three-game home stretch for Sacramento right near the end of the regular season and I believe it'll regroup here and avenge that setback. T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Sacramento. |
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03-29-24 | Gonzaga v. Purdue UNDER 155.5 | Top | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Gonzaga/Purdue UNDER. It's the No. 1 seed vs. the No. 5 seed. The Bulldogs rolled over an injured Kansas team 89-68, while the Boilermakers steamrolled Utah State 106-67. Each team was extremely impressive on each end of the court. I think whoever steps up and plays defense here will come out on top. Fatigue is now an issue for both sides as well, and public perception has helped in pushing this O/U line higher than it really should be in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Purdue. |
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03-28-24 | Alabama +4.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 89-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Alabama. These are the two highest scoring teams left in the Tournament. North Carolina has the slightly better oveall defense, but the Tide have looked great here over the first two games of this tournament. The Tide have extremely efficient outside shooting and it's the toughest offense that UNC has faced yet. Bama and the points is the correct call in my opinion in this matchup. T.M. Prediction: 87-86 UNC. |
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03-28-24 | Celtics -16 v. Hawks | Top | 122-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics. Boston is 57-15 while Atlanta is 32-39. The Celtics play with revenge after a 120-118 loss to the Hawks last time out, and note that the C's are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an oppponent. The Hawks will likely be in the "play in," but the Hawks have several injuries which makes Boston the correct call here. The revenge factor is the difference for me. T.M. Prediction: 127-100 Boston. |
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03-27-24 | Suns +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Suns. Phoenix is 41-30, including 19-16 on the road. Denver is 51-21, including 29-6 at home. The Nuggets have won four straight, but they fell 117-107 in OT to the Suns on March 5th, and I think they'll have their hands full here too at home. Phoenix had its three-game win streak snapped in a 104-102 loss at San Antonio, two nights after beating the Spurs 131-106 on the road and clearly getting caught "looking ahead" to this matchup. Phoenix is hungry to improve here and I suspect a very competitive affair in this one. So grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Denver. |
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03-27-24 | UNLV +5.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 68-91 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UNLV. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Rebels are off the 79-70 home win over Boston College, while Seton Hall beat UNT here 72-58. The Rebels' superior offense will keep them this game late. And with 70% of the public money on the home side, the contrarian in me is also pleased with this wager. While I wouldn't be shocked by an outright, my official call is to grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 71-69 Seton Hall. |
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03-25-24 | Hornets v. Cavs -11.5 | Top | 92-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cavaliers. After three straight losses, including a humbling 121-84 loss at Miami just last night, I like the Cavaliers to finally bounce back here at home in this favorable matchup and to take out their frustrations on the lowly Hornets. Note that Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more SU/ATS setbacks in a row. This is the opener of a home and home set between the clubs, so look for Cleveland to send the early message. T.M. Prediction: 115-90 Cleveland. |
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03-25-24 | Chicago State +4.5 v. Fairfield | Top | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago State. Fairfield advanced by beating UALR 82-75 yesterday, but I feel that it'll be "gassed" here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Chicago State though enters off a 77-75 win over San Diego State as a 9.5-point dog to advance and I think it keeps that momentum rolling here, as it's had an extra days rest. The outright is possible, but let's grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-71 Chicago State. |
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03-24-24 | Yale v. San Diego State OVER 128.5 | Top | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yale/SDSU OVER. I like Yale to push SDSU to the brink. The Bulldogs are coming off a 78-76 win over Auburn as 14-point dogs, and there's no reason not to think they can't carry that offensive momentum over here. The Aztecs edged UAB 69-65, but the Bulldogs looked great from range in their win over the Tigers and I expect this offense to stretch the Aztecs' perimeter defense. This isn't a very high total obviously and this can still be a lower-scoring overall game and easily eclipse this super low number, and that's exactly what I'm expecting. This number is MUCH too low in my estimation. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 SDSU. |
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03-24-24 | Cavs +4.5 v. Heat | Top | 84-121 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cavaliers. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points. Cleveland is in fact 21-13 on the road, while Miami is just 17-16 at home this season. The Cavs are off B2B SU/ATS losses, so will clearly be motivated. And they also play with the added-incentive of "revenge" after falling 107-104 as 3-point favs at home to the Heat earlier in the week, and note that they're 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a fav. vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 103-102 Cleveland. |
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03-23-24 | Oakland +6.5 v. NC State | Top | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oakland. I think that 14th seeded Oakland has a legit shot at winning this one outright. NC State enters as the 11th seed. Oakland upset Kentucky 80-76, while the Wolfpack beat Texas Tech 80-67. These teams offensive and defensive numbers are super similar. They've very evenly matched teams and matchup well. Momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor that the oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying into a line at times, and in my opinion, whichever team has its hands on the ball last is going to come out on top, that's how evenly matched it really is. T.M. Prediction: 74-72 Oakland. |
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03-23-24 | Michigan State +4 v. North Carolina | Top | 69-85 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State. While I do think that an outright victory is definitely not out of the realm of possibility obviously which such a small spread (and while I do think "sprinkling" a little on they money line is a wise move as well,) my official call is to grab as many points as you can in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last. Michigan State and Tom Izzo cruised to a 69-51 wiin over Mississippi State and I'm expecting them to carry that momentum over here. The Tar Heels had little problem with a tired Wagner, winning 90-62. But, while I'll admit this is a big step up in competition for the Spartans, it's also a huge step up in competition for the Tar Heels. Everything points to a "nail-biter," so I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 72-68 Michigan State. |
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03-22-24 | Grambling State v. Purdue UNDER 139 | Top | 50-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Grambling/Purude under. Grambling moved out of the First Four by defeating Montana State 88-81 in OT, but I think it'll be "gassed" here and overwhelmed by the size of the Boilermakers, who fell 76-75 to Wisconsin in the Big Ten Tournament semifinals. Purdue will dicate the pace and tempo and not allow the Tigers many second chances. This one appears to be a much more defensive-battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 83-57 Purdue. |
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03-22-24 | Stetson +26.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 52-91 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Stetson. Do I think that UConn is going to win this game?! Yes, I do. Do I believe the Huskies will win this game by essentially four TD's?! No, I don't! The Hatters finished 22-12, while UConn was 31-3. This is Stetson's first ever trip to the Big Dance, and clearly they've drawn a tough opponent. But Stetson looked good in its 94-91 conference tournament win over Austin Peay, and I expect it to carry that momentum over here. Dan Hurley's Huskies may very well repeat as Champion, but I think this one will be a lot closer than what this spread is suggesting. This Hatters offense can score with anyone in the nation. Look for the strong/easy/comfortable backdoor cover as this one comes down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 80-65 UConn. |
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03-21-24 | Drake v. Washington State +1.5 | Top | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington State. Drake finished 28-6 and Washington State was 24-9. Washington State earned a spot by finishing second in the Pac 12 with a 14-6 record, losing to Colorado in the semi-finals of the Tourney. Drake advanced by beating the Top seed in the MVC (Indiana State), to advance. Drake averages 80.3 PPG, while allowing 70.6, while Washington State averages 74.3, while conceding only 66.3. Drake lacks the depth that the Cougars bring to the table and that's the difference-maker for me. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 72-68 Washington State. |
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03-21-24 | Kings v. Wizards +11.5 | Top | 102-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wizards (NON-CONF GOM) The Wizards are in full on tank mode, but there are still plenty of spots where it makes sense to wager on them and grab up all the points, and this is one of those spots in my opinion. The Kings are coming off two straight victories, but after beating Toronto 123-89 last night, I'm expecting a predictable letdown here. Note that the Kings are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after a SU/ATS road win in which they held their opponent to 89 or fewer points in. The Kings have a much more high-profile game at Orlando after this and I think they get caught looking ahead. T.M. Prediction: 119-116 Sacramento. |
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03-21-24 | Long Beach State v. Arizona -20 | Top | 65-85 | Push | 0 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona. I believe Arizona will not only win this game, but do so in blowout fashion. LBSU averages 76.5 PPG, while the Wildcats average 88. Yes, Arizona stumbled down the stretch, but the longer lay-off to prepare for this one will be the difference. Look for Arizona to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 96-67 Arizona. |
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03-20-24 | Colorado v. Boise State OVER 140.5 | Top | 60-53 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado/Boise State OVER. These teams are looking to move on, and whoever does will face the seventh seeded Gators. Colorado was 24-10, and Boise State finished 22-10. The Buffs lost 75-68 to Oregon in the Pac 12 Tournament, while the Broncos fell 76-66 to New Mexico in the Mountain West tournament. Both sides are off disappointing low-scoring losses, but with time off to prepare, I believe we'll see a wide-open pace here. More shots = more points! Previous to losing, the Buffs had won eight straight! Colorado averages 79.3 PPG, and I believe it'll be the one to set the pace here. This number is low in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 75-73 Colorado. |
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03-20-24 | Appalachian State v. Wake Forest -6.5 | Top | 76-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wake Forest. I think the 27-6 Appalachian State Mountaineers won't be able hang down the stretch with the 20-13 Wake Forest Demon Deacons in the first round of the NIT. App Stae lost 67-65 to Arkansas State in the Sun Belt Championship, led by 15 points from Terence Harcum. Wake lost 81-69 to Pitt in the ACC Tournament quarterfinal, led by 23 points from Cameron Hildreth. Wake Forest is the more motivated team here in my estimation. It averages 78.2 PPG and the home floor advantage will be huge down the stretch. Look for App State to stumble in the second half and for the home side to extend with a big win and cover. T.M. Prediction: 80-65 Wake. |
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03-20-24 | Bucks v. Celtics -10.5 | 119-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Celtics. I base my picks on many different factors. This particular one is based on the revenge factor. The Celtics are playing well right now as they enter having won six straight. They lost 135-102 at Milwaukee in January, and note that the C's are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which they were held to 105 or fewer points in. T.M. Prediction: 120-107 Boston. |
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03-19-24 | Richmond +5.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 58-74 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Richmond. Both teams lost to lower-seeded teams in their conference tournament openers, so each saw its NCAA Tournament hopes dashed. Now they face off here in Virginia Tech in the NIT. The Spiders finished 23-9 and the Hokies were 18-14. Richmond's loss to St. Joe's was the bigger upset clearly, as it was the No. 1 seed in the A-10 Tournament. "I think that a postseason appearance, more than ever before, is a great accomplishment," 19-year coach Chris Mooney said Monday. "We've already had a tremendous accomplishment, winning the regular-season championship. This is another opportunity to play in the postseason, to play at an ACC school we greatly respect." While I do think an outright is possible, my call is to grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: 73-71 Richmond. |
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03-19-24 | Rockets v. Wizards +9.5 | Top | 137-114 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wizards. I think Houston will likely win this game outright, but it won't even come close to covering the spread. Yes, the Wizards are terrible, but Houston, despite winning five in a row, is still just 9-24 on the road. The Rockets return home for three straight after this, so this is a natural "letdown" spot vs. the lowly Wizards. Who do in fact play with revenge after a 135-119 loss at Houston just last week. Look for Washington to be much more competitive here here on Tuesday. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Houston. |
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03-19-24 | Wagner +3.5 v. Howard | Top | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wagner. These two teams got hot at the right time and won their conference tournaments. Wagner finished 16-15, while Howard was 18-16. The Bison though have a terrible defense and struggle with defending the rim. Something that Wagner does well. I think the Seahawks have a chance of winning this one outright. You may want to consider sprinkling a little on the moneyline here. Whoever wins, they're journey in the Big Dance will end in the next round, but this one has the "feel" of whichever team has its hands on the ball last is going to come out on top. And so because of that, I'm grabbing the points for sure! T.M. Prediction: 65-64 Wagner. |
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03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois -155 | Top | 87-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Illinois. The Badgers finished 22-12. They've had to win three games to reach the Championship game. That included a win over No. 1 seed Purdue, to reach the Championship game for the first time since 2016. The Badgers are exhausted and contents, while the Illinois will be all business after dispatching Nebraska. We already have a "blue print" as well of how this game will play out, as Illinois beat Wisconsin 91-82 on March 2nd. I believe this game will be lower-scoring overall, but the discrepany of winning margin will be even greater for the Illini. This is just a bad matchup for the Badgers; lay the price and take Illinois on the money line! T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Illinois. |
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03-15-24 | East Carolina +7.5 v. South Florida | Top | 59-81 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: East Carolina. I like ECU to build off its 84-79 win over Tulsa yeterday. Rest leads to rust for the Bulls in my esimtation, who actually lost 76-70 to Tulsa in their regular-season finale. Off that recent common opponent matchup to compare, I think ECU has a legit shot at winning this one outright. That said, let's grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 USF. |
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03-14-24 | Suns +6 v. Celtics | Top | 112-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Suns. I really do see this one coming right down to the wire. Phoenix is a respectable 17-13 on the road. The Suns have won three of their last four, including a 117-111 win at Cleveland last time out. The only loss in that time came against the Celtics at home just last week, falling 117-107, and note that the Suns are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a straight-up and against-the-spread home loss as a dog versus an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Boston. |
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03-14-24 | NC State v. Duke -11.5 | Top | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Duke. NC State is the tenth seed, and Duke is No. 2. The Wolfpack finished 19-14, while the Blue Devils were 24-7. But after taking down Louisville and Syracuse, I say NC State's run in the Tournament comes to a resounding close tonight. The Blue Devils fell to UNC in their final regular season game by a score of 84-79, so they'll be extra pissed in this one (LOL!) Duke beat NC State in Raleigh back on March 4th by a score of 79-64, and all signs point to an even bigger blowout this time around. T.M. Prediction: 85-65 Duke. |
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03-14-24 | Minnesota v. Michigan State -6.5 | Top | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State. Both teams finished 18-13, but this is one that favors the Spartans here now in the Conference Tourney in my opinion. These teams played twice in the regular season and they went 1-1. The Gophers got smashed 90-66 by Northwestern in their final regular season game, while Michigan State fell just short in a 65-64 setback to Indiana. Look for the Spartans to carry over that momentum here and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 75-60 Michigan State. |
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03-14-24 | Arizona State v. Utah -5.5 | Top | 57-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah. I'm expecting a decisive victory for the Utes in this one. ASU finished 14-17, while Utah finished 18-12. Arizona State comes in with zero moment after three straight losses to end the season. Utah also closed with two straight losses, but the difference is that the Utes have a chance to "right a wrong" here in the opener of the Tournament. Utah lost 85-77 at home to ASU on February 10th as 13-point favorites. Note though that the Utes are a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss vs. an opponent. In my opinion, this spread should or could in fact be a lot larger, so that swings the value in favor to Utah for sure in this one. T.M. Prediction: 80-66 Utes. |
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03-13-24 | Lakers -2 v. Kings | Top | 107-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers. No need to overthink this one. The Lakers are playing their best basketball of the year right now arguably. They catch the Kings off a satisfying home win over the Bucks just last night. LA's only loss in its last four games game against Sacramento at home last week, and note that the Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread home loss against an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 124-116 LA. |
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03-13-24 | Rice +3.5 v. Wichita State | Top | 81-88 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rice. While I do think an outright is very possible, my official call is to grab the points. The Owls finished 11-20, while the Shockers were only slightly better at 13-18. On the season Rice averaged 71.7, while allowing 75.3, while Wichita State averaged 72.8, while allowing 73.1. These teams squared off two weeks ago and the Shockers managed a 21-point home victory as 5.5-point favorites. But the Owls let that one go early, and now here in this neutral location, I think that the tean that has its hands on the ball last will win. So I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 72-68 Rice. |
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03-12-24 | Celtics v. Jazz +6.5 | Top | 123-107 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah Jazz. While only 28-36 overall, the Jazz are a much more respectable 19-12 at home thi syear. The Celtics are 50-14 overall and 21-11 on the road, but I say they get caught looking ahead to their home game vs. the Suns next, as this is the finale of their road-trip. The Jazz play with revenge after a 126-97 loss at Boston in early January. They're off B2B losses, but I expect Utah to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door in this revenge-scenario. Grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: 117-115 Boston. |
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03-12-24 | Canisius +4.5 v. Mt. St. Mary's | Top | 77-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canisius. Canisius finished 13-17, while Mount St. Mary's was 13-18. These teams played very recently, and for the most part I'm basing this selection off the results of that contest. It was very recent, so we don't have to look back to far to get our comparisons. In that game Canisius won 61-56 as a two-point fav. Granted, it was a thome and the Golden Griffins play much better at home, but because this is a neutral site affair, I actually feel that these two sides are much more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. I feel the outright is possible as well. T.M. Prediction: 69-68 Canisius. |
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03-10-24 | Texas State +13 v. James Madison | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas State. I'm expecting a super tight battle here between these teams. Yes, James Madison did finish 28-3 SU this year, but it was consistently overvalued in my opinion. Texas State finished 17-17, but it's coming in off three straight victories to reach this point of the tournament and I believe it carries that momentum over here. The Dukes beat Marshall yesterday, but I believe they'll have difficulty covering this large spread on the second game of the B2B scenario. No outright, but closer than expected. T.M. Prediction: 72-70 James Madison. |
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03-10-24 | Grizzlies v. Thunder -14.5 | Top | 93-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC Thunder. No reason not to believe we'll see a complete blowout here. Memphis is off the 99-92 home loss to Atlanta, but it fell 116-97 to the Thunder here back in mid-December, and I'm expecting a similar final outcome here as well. The Thunder have won B2B games and with three "winnable" home contests here, starting with this one, I do expect the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 120-100 OKC. |
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03-09-24 | Spurs v. Warriors -10 | Top | 126-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors. The Warriors are off the 125-122 home loss to the Bulls as 8.5-point favorites, one night after hammering the Bucks 125-90. With Spurs' star "Wemby" expected to be sidelined for this one though, look for Golden State to bounce back here in this favorable spot, as note that the Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their L9 off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. Everything points to a blowout here for sure in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: Golden State 127-100. |
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03-08-24 | Bucks v. Lakers +1.5 | Top | 122-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers. I think it's "all hands on deck" for the Lake Show tonight! The Bucks are a mediocre 16-15 SU on the road this year, while the Lakers are an above average 23-11 at home. The Bucks JUST had their big win streak snapped in a 125-90 loss at Golden State. They've played without star Giannis the last couple games and if he DOES suit up tonight, I think he'll be a "non-factor" as he continues to work through his injury. The Lakers have been trading wins/losses over their last four games and off a listless 130-120 setback to the Kings here last time out, I think this pattern continues. Grab the points though. T.M. Prediction: 122-110 Lakers. |
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03-07-24 | Celtics -115 v. Nuggets | Top | 109-115 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics. Denver just had its six-game win streak come to an end last time out, falling 117-107 in OT at home to Phoenix. Now the Celtics come to town. Boston just had its 11 game win streak come to an end in a 105-104 setback at Cleveland. But now the Celtics will look to avenge a 102-100 loss at home to the Nuggets back in mid January which snapped their 21-game home win streak at the time. note that the C's are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Look for the Celtics to avenge the earlier loss with a big win in prime time vs. the defending champs. T.M. Prediction: 118-113 Boston. |
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03-07-24 | UAB v. Temple +3 | Top | 100-72 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Temple. UAB is 18-11, including 6-5 on the road, while Temple is 11-18, including 5-8 at home. The Blazers though are playing terribly righ tnow, loser of two straight. With a home game vs. 20-10 SMU to end the season up next, I say the visitors get caught looking ahead. The Owls are off a tight 72-67 home loss to Tulsa as six-point favs, but note that Temple is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-70 Temple. |
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03-06-24 | Bucks v. Warriors -165 | Top | 90-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors. Milwaukee hasn't lost since the All Star break, but Giannis isn't at 100%, and with another big game vs. the Lakers upcoming, I'm expecting a letdown here finally. Golden State plays with revenge as well after a loss at Milwaukee earlier in the season. The Warriors had won three straight before their most recent humbling loss at Boston, but note that the Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 89 or less points in. T.M. Prediction: 121-106 Golden State. |
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03-05-24 | Pistons v. Heat OVER 217 | Top | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pistons/Heat over. Detroit has nothing to play for here right? That's true in the big picture, as the Pistons are just 9-51 overall. They've lost two straight after their most recent 113-91 setback at Orlando. They're in tank mode for the most part looking for draft picks, but there will be moments in the season where it makes sense and the value is there to back Detroit. And here I'm expecting them to play Miami tight. They did the last time they were here, losing 103-102 as 9.5-point dogs back in October. That total went under the number, but with Miami pushing the pace like I suspect here on Tuesday, I believe the final combined score will fly well over the posted total. The Heat have had two whole nights off after a 126-120 win over Utah here, and I expect a similar final combined score in this one as well. T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Miami. |
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03-05-24 | Holy Cross +4.5 v. Army | Top | 84-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Holy Cross. Two bad teams. Holy Cross finished 9-22 and Army was 10-21. But this pick is based entirely on "revenge," and specifically the "double revenge" factor. Army won both meetings between the tams this year, 70-57 at home on January 6 and 59-53 on the road on February 17. Holy Cross is 8-2 ATS (that's 80% of the time it's cashed in this spot) in trying to avenge two straight SU/ATS losses in a row vs. a conference opponent. In a contest that I see coming right down to the wire, I'm grabbing the points (but don't be afraid to sprinkle a little on the moneyline here as well!) T.M. Prediction: 65-64 Holy Cross. |
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03-03-24 | UAB v. Memphis OVER 158 | Top | 87-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UAB/Memphis OVER. UAB is 18-10, which includes a 6-4 road record. Memphis is 21-8, including 12-2 at home. UAB is off the 74-66 home loss to Wichita State as an 8-point fav though and the Blazers have seen the total go over in eight of 12 after a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. They beat Memphis 97-88 in January at home, and note that the Tigers have seen the total eclipse the number in seven of ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss as a fav. Yes, both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games, but all signs point to a shootout here finally on Sunday. T.M. Prediction: 90-75 Memphis. |
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03-03-24 | Warriors v. Celtics -10.5 | Top | 88-140 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics. The Warriors have injuries and other issues with their line-up hence the large line. Golden State has won three straight SU/ATS on the road, all as a fav, but note that the Warriors are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU/ATS road wins in a row. Golden State gets caught "looking ahead" as well to a few nights off, before three straight at home starting with the Bucks. Boston plays with revenge as well after a 132-126 OT loss at Golden State in December. Look for the Celtics, who have won ten straight, to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 130-100 Boston. |
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03-02-24 | Stephen F Austin v. Grand Canyon OVER 141 | Top | 58-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OVER SFA/GRC. I'm expecting a really high-scoring game here finally. Theses two teams played at Stephen F. Austin back in January, and GRC won 53-51 as a 1.5-point favorite. That's the basis of this entire play though, as the Lumberjacks have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last ten (that's 80% of the time over the L10 times this exact scenario has occured!), in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss vs. an opponent. And for the Antelopes? They broke a two game slide with a 72-43 win over Texas Rio Grand Valley, but clearly they're going to have their hands full with this revenge-minded visiting side. With each team pushing the pace like I anticipate, the play for sure here is the over. T.M. Prediction: 90-70 GRC |
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03-02-24 | Jazz +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah Jazz. The Jazz have lost the first two games of their road trip, but they catch the Heat at a good time here. Utah actually beat Miami at home at the start of the season. I'm not predicting an outright win here or anything for the visitors, but it does set up well for the underdog. The Heat return home after going 5-1 on their road trip. They went 6-0 ATS. They lost their final game at Denver. First game back at home = letdown spot! Let's take advantage, I'm grabbing the points in this one and rolling with the Jazz. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Miami. |
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03-01-24 | Blazers +1.5 v. Grizzlies | 122-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Blazers and the points. While I clearly believe the outright win is a possibility, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Portland has lost nine straight, but it plays with revenge here after a 112-100 loss to the Grizz back in November and note that the Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. This is the first of two straight between the clubs, but this one favors the visitors; grab the points, the play is Portland! T.M. Prediction: 105-103 Portland. |
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03-01-24 | Arkansas State +7 v. Appalachian State | Top | 57-80 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arkansas State. Arkansas State is 16-14, while App State is 25-5. The Red Wolves though are playing extremely well with six straight wins and with the final game of the year here, I'm expecting the back door to be wide-open as App State gets caught "looking ahead" to the conference tournament. App State has won six in a row, but this spread is just too large in my opinion. No outright, but right down to the wire. T.M. Prediction: 125-124 App State. |
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02-29-24 | Northern Colorado v. Weber State -5 | 81-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Weber State - ATS I like the Weber State Wildcats to win this game against the Northern Colorado Bears on Thursday, February 29th. At home this season, the Wildcats have been good. Even though they are coming off a blowout loss, they should have plenty of confidence as they are playing a team which they beat by 20 on the road earlier this month. The Bears are also off a loss and head on a mini road trip to finish the regular season. Home court should play a role here tonight and I've got Weber State covering the short line. T.M. Prediction: 84-72 Weber St. Line: -5.0 Line Parameter: play until -6.0.. |
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02-29-24 | Hawaii v. UC-Davis UNDER 138.5 | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Hawaii / UC Davis - UNDER I am on the UNDER in the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors @ UC Davis Aggies on Thursday, February 29th. Both of these two teams have seen more UNDER's than OVER's this season. Yes, their first meeting had 157 combined points. However, I expect this one to be much lower scoring. UC Davis have been struggling to score as of late, averaging only 65.4 points over their last five games. Hawaii have been apart of some very low scoring games already this season. I'll take the UNDER here. T.M. Prediction: 68-64 UC Davis. Line: O/U 138.5 Line Parameter: play until 137.5.. |
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02-28-24 | Southern Miss v. South Alabama -158 | Top | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: USA - ML I like the South Alabama Jaguars to win this game against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles on Wednesday, February 28th. The Jags are coming off a loss. But, that was on the road and now they are back at home where they've been solid this season. Less than a week ago now, these teams met @USM. The Jaguars crushed them and never looked back. Now, USM is on the road and they are just 4-7-1 ATS on the road this year. I believe that South Alabama should be able to win this game convincingly again. Hammer the Jaguars. T.M. Prediction: 81-71 South Alabama. Line: -158 Line Parameter: play until -190.. |
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02-28-24 | Stetson v. Jacksonville +1.5 | 86-73 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Jacksonville - ATS I like the Jacksonville Dolphins to win this game against the Stetson Hatters on Wednesday February 28th. Although it's been very rough sledding for the Dolphins on the road, home games have been particularly kind to them this season. They own a tremendous 11-1 home record and they are also 7-2 ATS in those games (when lines avail.) Stetson also happens to be quite mediocre on the road. Their 5-9 record is nothing special considering that they have a good overall record. Jacksonville should win this game. T.M. Prediction: 71-62 Jacksonville. Line: +1.5 Line Parameter: play until PK.. |
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02-27-24 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 229 | Top | 99-117 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: PHI @ BOS - OVER I am on the OVER in the Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics game on Tuesday February 27th. Without Joel Embiid, the Celtics definitely hold the talent edge between these two teams. Having said that, I believe that they'll come out strong looking for a win against their so-called “rivals” on Tuesday night. The Celtics have gone OVER the total in seven of their ten games this season when playing on two days rest. On the flip side of things, Philly have gone OVER the total in 16 of their 26 road games this season so they are definitely competing even if they don't have their best lineup right now. I believe that we'll see another high scoring game which will result in them going OVER the total on Tuesday evening. *Max Play on full game OVER* - (I also like 1H OVER) T.M. Prediction: 130-119 Celtics. Line: O/U 229.0 Line Parameter: play until 232.0 .. |
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02-25-24 | Lakers v. Suns -160 | Top | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: PHX - ML I like the Phoenix Suns to win this game against the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday, February 25th. Coming off back to back road losses, the Suns are finally back at home where they've been great this season. The Lakers have been quite bad on the road so I'm surprised that the line is as small as it is. Even though LAL have been playing well as of late, they still sit in just 9th in the West. Phoenix is slipping so a win here would go a long way. Expect a big game from both Durant and Booker en route to a Suns win. T.M. Prediction: 121-113 Suns. Line: -160 Line Parameter: play until -190.. |
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02-25-24 | American v. Colgate -11.5 | Top | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colgate - ATS I like the Colgate Raiders to win this game against the American Eagles on Sunday, February 25th. It's been 12 straight games now for the Raiders without a single loss. American, on the other hand, have lost back to back games now. They've also lost four of their last six games. American's offense isn't great and shouldn't be able to keep up with Colgate's ability to score. They hammered them earlier this season and I expect them to hammer them again. T.M. Prediction: 81-61 Colgate. Line: -11.5 Line Parameter: play until -12.5.. |
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02-24-24 | Weber State -145 v. Idaho State | Top | 62-80 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Weber State - ML I like the Weber State Wildcats to win this game against the Idaho State Bengals on Saturday, February 24th. Weber State is coming to play today. Having won six games in a row, this team knows how to win. IDST beat them when WEB was at home so this game has revenge factor written all over it. The Wildcats have a very strong road record compared to an average home record of Idaho State. The Bengals have lost back to back games and could be in trouble here. Expect a really good performance from the road team here today. T.M. Prediction: 76-64 Weber State. Line: -145 Line Parameter: play until -175.. |
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02-24-24 | West Virginia v. Iowa State UNDER 144.5 | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: WVU @ ISU - UNDER I am on the UNDER in the West Virginia Mountaineers @ Iowa State Cyclones game on Saturday, February 24th. Coming off a defensive battle against Houston, ISU proved that their defense is top tier. They should be able to hold WVU to around 60 in this game as they try and finish the year with a bang. WVU may have pulled off some shocking upset this season, but this is not a good team. ISU will be content to put up 75 and call it a day. Give me the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 74-58 ISU. Line: O/U 144.5 Line Parameter: play until 143.0.. |
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02-24-24 | Missouri v. Arkansas -4.5 | 73-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: ARK - ATS I like the Arkansas Razorbacks to win this game against the Missouri Tigers on Saturday, February 24th. Arkansas picked up a much needed road win against Texas A&M in their last game. They need to do whatever they can to win so they can jump up in the SEC standings as every win counts right now. Since the clock hit 2024, the Tigers have been dreadful. In fact, they've lost every single one of their 13 games so far this season. Don't expect them to pick up their first against this hungry Arkansas group. T.M. Prediction: 84-72 Arkansas. Line: -4.5 Line Parameter: play until -5.0.. |
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02-23-24 | Suns -155 v. Rockets | 110-114 | Loss | -155 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns - ML I like the Phoenix Suns to win this game against the Houston Rockets on Friday, February 23rd. Both these teams are coming off a loss yesterday. Yes, that might help the home team more in a back to back situation. But, I'm on the Suns here. Phoenix is still battling to avoid the play in tournament. Winning games like this is a must. They on the only meeting this season so far back in December. I've got 'em again tonight. T.M. Prediction: 121-108 Suns. Line: -155 Line Parameter: play until -195.. |
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02-22-24 | CS Sacramento v. Montana -13 | Top | 61-68 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Montana - ATS I like the Montana Grizzlies to win this game against the Sacramento State Hornets on Thursday, February 22nd. Coming off a huge blowout win against their rivals Montana State, the Grizzlies are looking to close out the season with a bang. This one should be easy for them as the Hornets have lost ten straight games. One of those losses came against this very Montana team. It was a battle, with the Grizzlies squeaking out the tight victory in the end. This time, I believe that Montana will show them no mercy, especially at home. CSUS is a sad 1-12 on the road and they are just 8-16-1 ATS in all games this season. Montana, on the other hand, are 14-9 ATS. This should be an easy win for Montana. T.M. Prediction: 81-58 Montana. Line: -13.0 Line Parameter: play until -15.0.. |
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02-21-24 | James Madison -6.5 v. Marshall | Top | 84-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: JMU - ATS I like the James Madison Dukes to win this game against the Marshall Thundering Herd on Wednesday, February 21st. It's been an amazing season so far for JMU. They've been crushing it in the Sun Belt and could very well finish as the top seed in this conference heading into the tournament. But, a win here is crucial if they want to have a shot. Marshall have lost three straight games and don't look like they are at their best. I believe that JMU is better both offensively and defensively. Expect a huge win for the Dukes. T.M. Prediction: 85-72 JMU. Line: -6.5 Line Parameter: play until -8.0.. |
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02-17-24 | Texas State v. Southern Miss -145 | 74-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Southern Miss - ML I like the Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win this game against the Texas State Bobcats on Saturday, February 17th. After watching the Bobcats play on Thursday, this team isn't very strong. This is also a quick turn around after that game as this will be their second road game in three days. Southern Miss played on Thursday as well. But, they have stayed at home and they should be fully recharged. TXST struggles on the road. Hammer the Golden Eagles. T.M. Prediction: 71-55 USM. Line: -145 Line Parameter: play until -165.. |
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02-15-24 | Wolves -9 v. Blazers | Top | 128-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: MIN - ATS I like the Minnesota Timberwolves to win this game against the Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday, February 15th. After beating the Blazers by 12 just the other day, the TWolves look to win by even more tonight. Minnesota have now won three straight games and are feeling it again. Portland have lost five in a row. Although Portland kept the last game close throughout, I don't believe that they'll have much luck today. Minnesota was on a back to back and now have had a days rest. Hammer Minnesota tonight. T.M. Prediction: 120-100 TWolves. Line: -9.0 Line Parameter: play until -10.5.. |
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02-14-24 | Spurs v. Mavs OVER 242 | 93-116 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: SAS @ DAL - OVER I am on the OVER in the San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks game on Wednesday, February 14th. Not long ago did we never see totals in this range. In 2024, we've now seen plenty. SAS is coming off one of their biggest blowout wins in a very long time and should be filled with confidence. They play at a very high pace and should be able to put up some points against this very bad Mavs defense. Talk about bad defense, the Spurs also have one. This game had 263 total points when they've played back in December. I'll gladly take the OVER here today. T.M. Prediction: 135-120 Mavs. Line: O/U 242.0 Line Parameter: play until 243.0.. |
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02-14-24 | South Carolina v. Auburn -11 | 61-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Auburn - ATS I like the Auburn Tigers to win this game against the South Carolina Gamecocks on Wednesday, February 14th. The Gamecocks may have the best record in the SEC right now. But, they are extremely overrated. Yes, they've played well and have proven that they can be a threat. But, this Auburn team is simply better. The Tigers have yet to lose at home and have been very solid against the spread this season. This line is where it's at for a reason and therefore I'm hammering the Tigers to cover the big spread at home. T.M. Prediction: 86-67 Auburn. Line: -11.0 Line Parameter: play until -12.5.. |
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02-13-24 | Thunder -135 v. Magic | Top | 127-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC - ML I like the Oklahoma City Thunder to win this game against the Orlando Magic on Tuesday, February 13th. OKC was able to get back in the winning column with last games win against the Kings. They currently sit in 2nd place in the West and still look to be a real threat come playoffs. Orlando has surpassingly continued to win as well. But, I still believe that they don't have what it takes to go very far. They were having trouble scoring against OKC back in January so I like the Thunder to keep them limited again. T.M. Prediction: 116-104 Thunder. Line: -135 Line Parameter: plat until -160.. |
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02-12-24 | Alcorn State v. Mississippi Valley State +10.5 | 72-55 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Mississippi Valley State - ATS I like the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils to cover the spread in this game against the Alcorn State Braves on Monday, February 12th. Yes, I'm taking the 0-23 team. Now, although MVSU has yet to win a game, they've actually been better than you'd expect covering games. They've been a really bad team for a few years now and this is a perfect opportunity to grab their first win of the season. Off a loss against a conference opponent, MVSU have actually gone 25-12 ATS over the past three seasons combined. Alcorn State is just 5-9 ATS after allowing 60 or fewer points in their last game. I'll grab the points with the home team today. Don't be shocked if this is an upset. T.M. Prediction: 73-70 Alcorn St. Line: +10.5 Line Parameter: play until +10.0.. |
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02-10-24 | Tennessee v. Texas A&M +2.5 | Top | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas A&M I like the Texas A&M Aggies to win this game against the Tennessee Volunteers on Saturday, February 10th. This is a massive game for both teams. A & M need to keep winning games to secure a spot in the dance. Tennessee doesn't want to lose to teams that aren't ranked. Looking at this game, the home team should be the favorite. They are very strong on this court and this is one of the hardest conferences to win on the road. This is a massive play on the Aggies to take care of business. T.M. Prediction: 78-67 Aggies Line: +2.5 Line Parameter: play until -1.0 (can play ML..) |
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02-10-24 | 76ers -4 v. Wizards | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: PHI - ATS I like the Philadelphia 76ers to win this game against the Washington Wizards on Saturday, February 10th. Entering this game off four losses in a row, this line is very low. Yes, the Wizards competed against the Celtics last night in a very close game. But, this is a Wizards team that still aren't very good. Philly hammered them by 45 points back in December. I'm expecting another dominating performance from the 76ers to get back in the winning column as they do not want to slip any further in the standings. T.M. Prediction: 129-105 76ers. Line: -4.0 Line Parameter: play until -5.5.. |
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02-10-24 | Toledo +6.5 v. Appalachian State | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Toledo - ATS I like Toledo Rockets to win this game against the Appalachian State Mountaineers on Saturday, February 10th. Toledo are the underdogs for a reason. But, they are more than capable pulling off this upset. The Rockets just won a road game which should give them plenty of confidence for this game. App State just lost their first game in a long time and might be slightly down on themselves. I'll gladly take the points with a skillful team like Toledo, even on the road. T.M. Prediction: 81-78 Toledo. Line: +6.5 Line Parameter: play until +5.5.. |
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02-09-24 | San Diego State +2 v. Nevada | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: SDST - ATS I like the San Diego State Aztecs to win this game against the Nevada Wolfpack on Friday February 9th. As much as home-court advantage means in a game like this, I believe that the skill of SDST won't let that matter in this game. We saw the Aztecs take care of business with a double digit win a week ago against these guys. They held Nevada to only 59 points. Even though Nevada is coming off a very impressive double digit win on the road themselves against USU, they've been in and out recently, losing four of their last three. Give me the Aztecs to win this game on the road. T.M. Prediction: 74-62 Aztecs. Line: +2.0 Line Parameter: play until -1.0.. |
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02-08-24 | Pistons v. Blazers -6.5 | Top | 128-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: POR - ATS I like the Portland Trail Blazers to win this game against the Detroit Pistons on Thursday, February 8th. with two bad teams, it's hard to pick a winner sometimes. Having said that, I don't believe that the Blazers are that bad. Yes, their record is pretty sub-par. But, they've got talent on their roster. Detroit just lost Burks and Bogdanovic in a trade with the Knicks. It's going to be a struggle for a team that's already struggling. On the back-end of a back to back, I don't see Detroit competing much tonight. Give me Portland against the spread. T.M. Prediction: 119-104 Trail Blazers. Line: -6.5 Line Parameter: play until -8.0.. |
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02-07-24 | Loyola Marymount -3 v. San Diego | Top | 77-79 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LMU - ATS I like the Loyola Marymount Lions to win this game against the San Diego Toreros on Wednesday, January 7th. After starting the season quite strong, the Lions have became slightly inconsistent. The losing record should not deceive you though. This is a team that can matchup well against most teams, with two 7footers. The Toreros don't even have one of those. San Diego is playing well right now, having won three of their last four games (each on the road.) But, they've lost four games in a row at home. San Diego have also gone 3-13 in their last 16 games played in the month of February. Hammer the Lions on Wednesday to get revenge from last years loss. T.M. Prediction: 83-67 LMU. Line: -3.0 Line Parameter: play until -5.0 (can play ML until -180..) |
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02-06-24 | BYU +110 v. Oklahoma | 66-82 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: BYU - ML I like the Brigham Young University Cougars to win this game against the Oklahoma Sooners on Tuesday, February 6th. Coming off back to back wins, this Cougars team is hot. They are the best 3pt shooting team in the country, led by Trevin Knell. Oklahoma may play good defense, but it's not going to be enough against a Cougars team that will also be able to pick up stops against OU. The Sooners are struggling right now and I expect them to struggle again today. Hammer the Cougars. T.M. Prediction: 82-73 BYU. Line: +110 Line Parameter: play until -120.. |
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02-06-24 | Rockets v. Pacers OVER 241.5 | 129-132 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: HOU @ IND - OVER I am on the OVER in the Houston Rockets @ Indiana Pacers game on Tuesday, February 6th. Coming into this game, the OVER has been seeing some inconsistencies in Pacers games. But, Indiana has still seen a lot more OVER's this season than UNDER's. The Rockets can score the rock. They should be able to score today against one of the worst defenses in the Association. I've got the OVER in a game that could be very very high scoring. T.M. Prediction: 133-129 Pacers. Line: O/U 241.5 Line Parameter: play until 243.0.. |
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02-05-24 | Bethune-Cookman -120 v. Alabama A&M | Top | 68-72 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bethune Cookman - ML I like the Bethune Cookman Wildcats to win this game against the Alabama A&M Bulldogs on Monday, February 5th. Even though Alabama A&M is coming off a win, they still only have had four of those all season long. This is a team that isn't good on either offense or defense and it shouldn't matter if they are at home or not as they've only won two of six home games this season. Bethune Cookman is off a road victory themselves and will look to make it back to back here. I expect them to get it done against one of the worst teams in the country. T.M. Prediction: 86-73 COOK. Line: -120 Line Parameter: play until -150.. |
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02-04-24 | Clippers v. Heat +4.5 | Top | 103-95 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat - ATS I like the Miami Heat to win this game against the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday, February 4th. According to many, the Clippers are the favorites to win the championship this season. But, I believe that they still have their problems that they need to resolve before the playoffs start. Winning on the road hasn't been necessarily easy for them this season. Off back to back wins, I've got the Heat upsetting the Clippers on Sunday. T.M. Prediction: 111-105 Heat. Line: +4.5 Line Parameter: play until +2.0.. |
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02-03-24 | Auburn -3 v. Ole Miss | Top | 91-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Auburn - ATS I like the Auburn Tigers to win this game against the Mississippi Rebels on Saturday, February 3rd. Ole Miss is overrated. They may have a better record than the Tigers, but I believe that they are most definitely not as strong. When the Rebels have played good competition, they've folded and lost by a ton. In this very matchup when Auburn was at home, it was a complete destruction. As we switch venues, Auburn remains the favorite, as they should. But, the line has dropped a ton. I think it's dropped way too much and I believe that this one could get ugly as well. Even though MISS has yet to lose a home game, I believe that this is the game they'll taste defeat. Auburn is the better overall team and I believe that they'll get the job done on Saturday. T.M. Prediction: 81-66 Auburn. Line: -3.0 Line Parameter: play until -6.5.. |
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02-02-24 | Kings -140 v. Pacers | 133-122 | Win | 100 | 17 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: SAC - ML I like the Sacramento Kings to win this game against the Indiana Pacers on Friday, February 2nd. After blowing a big lead last night and having it played hard fought until the end, I expect the Pacers to be tired for this matchup. Sacramento had a day off to recover after their defeat against Miami and now they look to take advantage against a team that's averaging the third most points allowed per game. This is also a “revenge” spot for Sac Town as they lost at home to these guys back in January. Hammer the Kings to get their revenge. T.M. Prediction: 132-122 Kings. Line: -140 Line Parameter: play until -170.. |
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02-02-24 | Columbia v. Harvard -5.5 | Top | 59-62 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Havard - ATS I like the Harvard Crimson to win this game against the Columbia Lions on Friday, February 2nd. Both teams come in with identical records. However, home court advantage has been key in both teams success so far. Having said that, it hasn't really mattered who's home or away when these teams meet. Harvard has won nine straight meetings between these teams and they've covered the spread in back to back. Expect them to win a 10th in a row on Friday. Let's go Crimson. T.M. Prediction: 84-70 Harvard. Line: -5.5 Line Parameter: play until -7.5.. |
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02-01-24 | Hawaii v. CS-Fullerton UNDER 129.5 | Top | 76-68 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawaii/CS Fullerton - UNDER I am on the UNDER in the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors @ Cal State Fullerton Titans game on Thursday, February 1st. When these two teams played back in December, it was an overtime game that failed to even reach this number. Over the past three meetings, they've all stayed UNDER the total quite easily. Both teams lack heavily in the scoring department and rank very well defensively. This one should be one of the lowest scoring games on the board today. T.M. Prediction: 64-54 CS Fullerton. Line: O/U 129.5 Line Parameter: play until 128.0.. |
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01-31-24 | Florida v. Kentucky -5.5 | 94-91 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Kentucky - ATS I like the Kentucky Wildcats to win this game against the Florida Gators on Wednesday, January 31st. Even though they are very young, Kentucky has one of the best backcourts in the nation. Their explosiveness and ability to knock down the jump-shot is second to none. That is why they've been nearly perfect at home this year. Yes, the Gators have been strong as well, but this is one of the toughest crowds they'll face all season long and I don't believe that they are ready for it. Hammer the Wildcats. T.M. Prediction: 94-77 UK. Line: -5.5 Line Parameter: play until -7.0.. |
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