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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-30-20 | Nuggets v. Jazz UNDER 221 | Top | 119-107 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets/Jazz UNDER (9* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). The Nuggets will look to defend the perimeter and play to their strengths as they try to avoid defeat in this series. Denver will look to establish big man Nikola Jokic early and often today. Last time out the Nuggets held on for a 117-107 win and I think the extra time off here helps the Nuggets game-plan. Utah has been shooting the ball incredibly well to this point, but I think the extra few days off will in fact be a detriment to its chemistry. This one has "under" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 108-106 Denver. |
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08-30-20 | Clippers v. Mavs +10.5 | Top | 111-97 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* TOMAHAWK!). The deck is stacked against Luca Doncic and the Mavericks here. And that's because Kristaps Porzingis is out, sidelined with injury. Doncic is capable of winning this game on his own, but he'll need his role players to step up and have their biggest contribution thus far. I don't think Doncic is going to pull off another outright miracle here, but the extra time off to heal up his ankle will help and I do expect the desperate Mavs to at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the large spread they've been afforded. Note that the Mavs are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine after allowing 150 points or more in a loss in their last outing. I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: 122-118 LA. |
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08-30-20 | Celtics v. Raptors OVER 216 | Top | 112-94 | Loss | -102 | 27 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raptors/Celtics OVER (10* TRADE-MARK). Yes these are two of the top defenses in the league, but I expect a wide open affair here. Toronto put up some big offensive numbers in their sweep over the Nets and I expect the defending champs to push the pace from start to finish. Boston can't sit back and hope to "out defense" the Raptors in this series, the Celtics will instead have to also try to dictate the tempo. I expect a wide open affair. Finally note that the Raptors have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last ten playoff games following a three days or longer break. This number is a little low, play the over! T.M. Prediction: 116-110 Toronto. |
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08-29-20 | Thunder v. Rockets -5 | Top | 80-114 | Win | 100 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockets (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Whether Russell Westbrook plays or not for Houston, I like the Rockets to find a way to get the job done here after losing the last two games of this series. Houston annihilated the Thunder in Game's 1 and 2, but OKC has won the next two in two very tight affairs, in OT and then by three points in Game 4. Dennis Schroeder has been key in the Thunder's two wins, but I have a hard time seeing lightning strike a third time. And note that the Rockets are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after back-to-back ATS/SU losses. I'm laying the points and expecting a rout! T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Houston. |
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08-25-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets +3 | Top | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets (10* TRADE-MARK). Honestly, I'm surprised at how well Utah has played against Denver. Donovan Mitchell has been the best player on the floor in this series, but the Nuggets' Jamal Murray has also been fantastic. So far Rudy Gobert has done a great job on guarding Nikola Jokic, but with their backs against the wall, I think that the Nuggets will perform their best thus far on both ends of the court and find a way to extend this series another game. The numbers/trends/stats support that theory as well, as note that the Nuggets are still 5-2 ATS the last seven in this series, while the Jazz are a terrible 4-16-2 ATS in their last 22 when playing the role of favorite? Outright victory?! Of course, but why not grab the points as insurance! T.M. Prediction: 114-107 Denver. |
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08-24-20 | Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 220.5 | Top | 114-117 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockets/Thunder UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). The Thunder are down 2-1 in this series after winning Game 3 by a score of 119-107. OKC looked a lot better on the defensive end and I believe the team will now "double down" with its effort in that department as it looks to duplicate that with another blue-print performance here. The Rockets were just 15 of 50 from three-point range, a testament to the perimeter adjustments that the Thunder made after Game 2. OKC also looked to establish its players in the pain, as it went to the free-throw line for 34 attempts, making 23. This is a "must win" for OKC again, so I look for it to try and slow this one down and mirror its game-plan from the Game 2 victory. This number is definitely high, I'm playing the under! T.M. Prediction: 107-104 Houston. |
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08-23-20 | Raptors v. Nets UNDER 217 | Top | 150-122 | Loss | -103 | 26 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raptors/Nets UNDER (10* TRADE-MARK). Down 3-0 and completely demoralized, I believe the Nets are going to simply "go through the motions" this evening. The Raptors have a 3-0 lead and I think that they'll go up big early and then clamp down defensively. If Brooklyn had even won a single game to this point, I may like the over in this fourth game, but with zero hope of winning this series, all signs point to the Raptors controlling and dictating, rather than pushing the pace. I'm hammering the under! T.M. Prediction: 112-100 Raptors. |
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08-22-20 | Pacers +5 v. Heat | Top | 115-124 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (10* MONEY-MAKER). Miami went 3-1 vs. Indiana in the regular season and now it's up 2-0 in this series. The Heat are playing at a very high level right now and a "letdown" is about imminent in my opinion. The Blazers also appeared unbeatable until their eventual letdown in their Game 2 vs. the Lakers and I think an identical situation is going to occur here for the Heat as well. Miami is also a poor 2-5 ATS in its last seven when playing on just one days rest and only 7-20 ATS in its last 27 after an ATS victory, while Indiana is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight following an ATS loss and 12-4 ATS in its last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in its previous outing. Outright win?! Of course! That said, let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Pacers. |
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08-21-20 | Clippers v. Mavs +5 | Top | 130-122 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mavericks (10* PLAYOFF GOY). Dallas has both of its super stars performing at a very high level now, much better than what LA is getting out of Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. The Clippers have injuries. Patrick Beverely is listed as questionable for this one and if he does play, one has to wonder what his form will be? I think it's also interesting to note that the Clippers committed 15 turnovers in Game 2 and they were unable to take advantage of Luca Doncic being hampered with foul trouble and only playing 28 minutes. I think Dallas is the better team right now. T.M. Prediction: 117-113 Mavericks. |
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08-21-20 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 216 | Top | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 23 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics/76ers UNDER (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). Philadelphia looked competitive in its Game 1 loss to Boston, but it got slaughtered in its Game 2 setback. The 76ers are struggling with offensive consistency right now and I think that'll again be the case today. Without Ben Simmons running the show for the 76ers, it's going to be impossible for Philly to climb out of this one. This series is about to turn very ugly as far as the sportsmanship and I believe that's going to translate into a slower-paced affair in Game 3. This number is high, play the under! T.M. Prediction: 108-100 Boston. |
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08-20-20 | Blazers v. Lakers OVER 229 | Top | 88-111 | Loss | -107 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
TT.M. Selection: Blazers/Lakers OVER (10*). The Lakers were one of the best defensive clubs in the regular season. Clearly LA doesn't lack scoring power, but after its humbling Game 1 loss, clearly it's going to have to get out and push the pace from start to finish in this contest. Expect the Lakers to go to big man AD early and often, which will in turn open things up for the King to operate. The Blazers on the other hand are 7-2 so far in the bubble and they've been adaptable so far, a big reason behind their success in my opinion. This one has the feel of a "run and gun shootout," rather than a grind it out defensive affair again; this number is way to low! T.M. Prediction: 126-120 Lakers. |
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08-19-20 | Mavs +6.5 v. Clippers | Top | 127-114 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* SITUATIONAL MONEY-MAKER). If your'e wagering on this game, you know the strengths and weaknesses of each team. The Clippers have a couple of key players out(Harrel and Beverely) and now they face this revenge minded Mavericks team, which will definitely be playing with a chip on its shoulder here after the controversial ejecting of star player Kristaps Porzingis near the end of the game. The Mavs had the lead when Porzingis went out, but then stumbled mentally down the stretch. I'm expecting an outright victory for Dallas here, but in the end I'll recommend to grab up as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 117-110 Mavericks. |
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08-18-20 | Heat v. Pacers +3.5 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 53 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers. Miami took three of four from Indiana in the regular season, but the Pacers looked great over their first eight games. Yes, the Pacers beat the Heat in their final regular season game 109-92 when Miami was resting most of its playres, but I think Indiana will once again be very competitive here. Jimmy Butler is a menace for any team to deal with, but I think the pieces around him are just not experienced enough (Nunn, Herro and Robinson.) Last year Indiana was swept in four games by the Celtics, so it'll feel extra pressure here to get out to a quick start in this series. I like the depth and experience Indiana brings to the table in Game 1. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 115-107 Indiana. |
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08-17-20 | Nets +9.5 v. Raptors | Top | 110-134 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn (10* TRADE-MARK). Do I think that the Nets are going to win this game and this series? No I do not. However, I do think that the conditions are right in Game 1 for Brooklyn to keep this one a lot closer than what this spread is suggesting. The Nets won five of eight games in the bubble, losing 134-133 to the Blazers in their finale, getting 37 points from Caris LaVert. Toronto also looked great in its first eight games and it's difficult to say anything negative about it, I simply believe it's going to get caught looking past its opponent in Game 1. Note that the Nets are 8-3 SU in their last 11 overall, while the Raptors are interestingly 0-5 ATS in their last five vs. the Atlantic. T.M. Prediction: 115-112 Raptors. |
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08-15-20 | Grizzlies +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 122-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Grizzlies (10* RIM-RIPPER). I think the Blazers come in a bit dejected here. Damian Lillard and Portland have been one of the hotter teams in the bubble, but all of their hard work over their first eight games has resulted in a weird "play in" series with Memphis. If the Blazers win this game, they earn the eighth seed and play the Lakers. The Grizzlies need to win two games though in this series to advance. Can Ja Morant break out of his funk here and extend this one to a Game 2? I think the Grizz do match up well vs. Lillard and company and I wouldn't at all be shocked by an outright upset, but in the end I'll grab the points and expect this one to come right down to the wire! T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Grizz. |
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08-14-20 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams are locked into their respective playoff spots, so this game is meaningless. So how are you supposed to handicap a contest like this? For me it comes down to the fact that I expect Denver to be working on a few things, especially giving its bench some assignments to work on in prepartion for the upcoming tournament. The Raptors came from behind to knock off the 76ers 124-121 in their last game and they've proven to everyone that they're up to the task of defending their title. I look for Toronto to "go through the motions" this evening. That said, let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Nuggets. |
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08-13-20 | Pelicans v. Magic -4 | Top | 127-133 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic (10* BANKROLL BUILDER!) The Pelicans were picked by many to make the playoffs, but the chemistry they had the regular season vanished and now New Orleans is hoping to leave the bubble without any significant injuries. The Magic haven't done too well either, but they have locked down the eighth spot and while their reward is a date vs. the Bucks, I still believe the team will put the hammer down here as it looks to gain a small amount of momentum befor the playoffs begin. It's a great overall situational play. Both teams are likely to rest a few starters here, but I'll give the upper-hand to the Orlando bench. I look for the playoff bound Magic to pull away down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Magic. |
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08-12-20 | Clippers v. Nuggets +4.5 | Top | 124-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Clippers are now locked into their playoff spot. They're 3-3 in the bubble, looking brilliant at times and pretty pedestrian in others. The Nets just upset them 129-120. Kawhi Leonard was a bright spot with 39 points. The Nuggets are looking ahead to the post-season as well as they come in having split their first six games as well. The Nuggets enter off a 124-121 loss to the Lakers. The Nuggets do match up well against LA though. Denver is in fact 2-5 ATS in its last seven in this series and I believe it will be the "hungrier" dog in this fight. Look for the Nuggets to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and grab the ample points! T.M. Prediction: 116-112 Denver. |
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08-10-20 | Mavs -2.5 v. Jazz | Top | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). If the NBA and NHL restarts have taught us anything, it's that to expect the unexpected. The Pandemic really has evened the playing field in both sports, as the lower-seeded teams in each sport seem to be playing at an extremely high level right now. In such a chaotic atmosphere, "situational" capping is critical in my opinion. Dallas is right behind Utah in seventh place. Both come off OT contests, but there's a big a difference in that Dallas won 136-123 over the Bucks in single OT, while the Jazz fell 134-132 in double OT to the Nuggets. I like the Mavs to build off that inspiring win and to take advantage of this tired and dejected Jazz side; lay the short points! T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Mavs. |
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08-09-20 | Spurs v. Pelicans -3 | Top | 122-113 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Orleans Pelicans (10* MONEY-MAKER). This is a pivotal game for both of these bottom feeders in the bubble as each tries to run down a playoff spot. The Suprs are 3-2 in the bubble and the Pels are 2-3. With a loss here, the Pelicans will be eliminated from post-season contention though and with that massive motivating factor working in their favor, I think the more desperate club will indeed play with a sense of urgency from the opening tip until the final horn. I'll point out as well that the Spurs are just 7-13 ATS in their last 20 in this series, while the Pels are interestingly 5-2 ATS in their last seven vs. the Southwest division. For all the reasons listed above, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Pelicans. |
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08-09-20 | Grizzlies v. Raptors UNDER 222 | Top | 99-108 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raptors/Grizzlies UNDER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). This is a huge game for the Grizzlies, who are still fighting for a playoff spot. The Bucks have claimed the top spot in the East, meaning that win or lose the rest of the way, the Raptors can not better their second place spot in the East. Toronto is playing well, but at this point it's now about planning for the off-season in a week or two and trying to avoid any serious injuries. The Raptors though have held their three opponents thus far to 103 points or fewer, including the Lakers to just 92. Everything points to a very defensive affair in my opinion; play the under! T.M. Prediction: 108-106 Grizz. |
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08-08-20 | Bucks v. Mavs +5.5 | Top | 132-136 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). The Bucks have earned top spot in the East after starting 2-2 in the Bubble. Milwaukee would have seen Toronto take the foot off the gas last night as well, so with nothing to play for here, I believe the Bucks will indeed simply "go through the motions" this afternoon. The Mavericks will also be in the playoffs, but they so far haven't played up to expectations and I think they are the much more motivated dog in this fight. Dallas is just 1-3 so far in the bubble, but it can still improve its positioning with a few more wins. I'm grabbing the points, but wouldn't be shocked by an outright! T.M. Prediction: 116-114 Mavs. |
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08-07-20 | Jazz v. Spurs -1.5 | Top | 111-119 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* MONEY-MAKER). Here's a great situational play. The Spurs desperately need some victories, while the Jazz are already assured a playoff spot. This line opened as the Jazz as -2.5 point favorites, but that line has since swung the other way because of the news that Utah is expected to sit many of its starters today. Whether you got down early, or later, I love the Spurs to take advantage of this spot and to easily pull way for a comfortable cover. It's do or die for San Antonio here as it looks to avoid a third straight defeat, most recently coming off a close 132-126 setback to the Nuggets on Wednesday. This one has ATS "BLOWOUT" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Spurs. |
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08-06-20 | Clippers v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 126-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* U OF THE U). The Clippers are 1-2 in the Bubble, most recently coming off a last second loss to the Suns. LA lost a key piece in the setback as well as Patrick Beverely injured his leg. Also note that Montrezl Harrell remains out as well with a family issue. The Mavericks have been struggling somewhat as well since the return, but they come off a come from behind 114-110 win over the Kings on Tuesday and I believe Luca Doncic and company will keep the momentum rolling here. The Clippers have struggled defensively and with Beverely out, I have a hard time seeing them contain this explosive Mavs offense. Outright win is obviously possible, but let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 118-114 Dallas. |
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08-04-20 | Rockets v. Blazers +4.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blazers (10* TRADE-MARK). This game without question "means more" to the Blazers and while clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end I'll recommend that you grab as many points as you can. The Blazers are 1-1 in the NBA re-set and they went 2-1 vs. the Rockets in the regular season. Portland had time to heal up some injuries, especially to its big men, which I think will play a big part in this particular matchup. The Rockets are always going to put up a fight with James Harden and Russell Westbrook in the line-up, but I like Portland's size and determination to neutralize them this evening. I'm grabbing the points, but as mentioned off the top, I wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset! T.M. Prediction: 114-112 Houston. |
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08-03-20 | Lakers -6 v. Jazz | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lakers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). After a 107-92 loss to Toronto, I believe LA will come out and easily handle the Jazz. The Raptors were on a mission in their first game, while the Lakers were coming off an emotional Opening Night win over rival Clippers. The Jazz barely held on to beat the Pelicans, before then stumbling 110-94 to the Thunder on Saturday. The Lakers have the better and more skilled players and they're also deeper. Look for these two key factors to be the difference maker once the final horn blares! T.M. Prediction: 118-108 Lakers. |
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08-02-20 | Kings +2.5 v. Magic | Top | 116-132 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kings (10* NON-CONF ELITE OF THE ELITE). The Kings come in as the more motivated club here in my opinion after falling 129-120 to the Spurs in their opening game. The Magic on the other hand look poised for a predictable letdown after their 128-118 win over the short-handed Nets in their first game back. De'Aaron Fox had 42 points for the Kings and I think he'll be a difference maker here as well. The Kings are 3.5 games back of the Grizzlies, who also lost their opener. That make this a crucial spot for Sacramento, basically "do or die." The Magic are locked into seventh spot, as they sit eight games back of the sixth spot with no chance of moving up. I'm expecting the hungrier side to deliver here! T.M. Prediction: 114-110 Kings. |
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08-01-20 | Heat v. Nuggets -140 | Top | 125-105 | Loss | -140 | 581 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* TRADE-MARK). It's going to be interesting to see how teams play over the first eight games. Take the Miami Heat for example. Miami is 42-24 and they have an 11 game lead over the Magic for the Southeast crown. The Heat's strength is their depth, but with little to play for at the start of this "re-start," I believe the team will simply "go through the motions" this evening. Denver is 43-22 and atop the Northwest, but the Nuggets play in a much more competitive division and Conference. Denver can ill afford to get out to a slow start and as such, I look for it come fully mentally prepared to play on Opening Night! T.M. Prediction: 103-94 Nuggets |
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07-31-20 | Grizzlies v. Blazers -131 | Top | 135-140 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers Justise Winslow will not be suiting up for the Grizzlies in this one. Ja Morant is a sublime talent, but I think he lacks the experience to get his team over this deeper and more veteran Blazers side. Portland is in ninth spot, so it has to hit the ground running over these final eight games. Damian Lillard is a big X factor overall and I look for the All Star to be a main focal point in this contest. That said, in a contest that could come right down to the wire, I'll recommend to lay the money line here for the straight up victory! T.M. Prediction: 117-102 Blazers |
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07-30-20 | Clippers v. Lakers -1 | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 727 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). Both teams are still vying for top spot in the Western Conference, but the Lakers only need to go 1-7 to secure their position. Clearly the Lakers though won't want to lose to the Clippers, who are their next closest competitor in that race. All teams will be looking to hit the ground running and to keep that momentum rolling through the tournament, so I don't anticipate the Lakers to "roll over" and be satisfied over the first eight games. It wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for either side and clearly the oddsmakers agree with that sentiment. Let's be straight, the playoffs have essentially begun and I think Anthony Davis will prove to be a big matchup issue for teams early. I'm banking on a blowout, so play the Lakers! T.M. Prediction: (Coming shortly) |
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03-11-20 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -2.5 | Top | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clemson (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams have some big signature wins this year, but for the most part each was pretty poor. The Hurricanes finished 15-15 and the Tigers ended up 15-15 as well. Clemson does play with revenge here after falling 73-68 in OT to Miami Florida in late December. Miami Florida comes into this game though without the services of leading scorer Chris Lykes, who was injured in a loss to Virginia last Wednesday. The Tigers are still ranked 39th in the entire NCAA on the defensive end as well. Expect the Tigers to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. T.M. Prediction: 70-60 Clemson. |
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03-10-20 | Celtics v. Pacers OVER 214.5 | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pacers/Celtics OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK) The Celtics lost to the Thunder last time out. They can't be happy, as they were actually favored by 6.5 points. Jason Tatum is averaging 23.4 PPG and the overall depth of the Celtics remains a strength for the team. Indiana is a deep team as well and now that Victor Oladipo has slowly worked his way into "game shape," the Pacers have not surprisingly won eight of their last ten. Indiana has posted more than 110 points in three of its last five games, and Boston has seen the total eclipse the number in six of its last seven as a road favorite of six points or less. This one has "shootout" written all over it, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 Boston. |
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03-10-20 | North Carolina -3.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 78-56 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Obviously it's been a horrible season for the Tar Heels, who have endured several long losing streaks this season. UNC has the best player on the floor in this one though in Cole Anthony and I believe the dynamic player will be a difference maker in this one. UNC did lose to Duke in its finale for a second time this season, but it did play much better down the stretch. The Tar Heels play with revenge here too after a 79-77 double OT loss to the Hokies on January 22nd (previous to the loss to Duke, UNC had won four straight). VT lost in its finale to Notre Dame. The Hokies only average 69 PPG and they're a terrible 2-12 ATS in their last 14 overall. UNC averages 72 PPG and it's 4-2 ATS in its last six overall. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout of epic proportions! T.M. Prediction: 80-60 UNC. |
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03-09-20 | St. Mary's v. BYU OVER 145.5 | Top | 51-50 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BYU/Saint Mary's OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). I think this total is a little low. Saint Mary's is 24-7 and BYU is 24-7. Each team was victorious against the other on its home floor. The Cougars won 81-79, while the Gaels prevailed 87-84. Both of those contests would have finished well above tonight's posted total and I aboslutely expect that to happen. The Cougars score 118.1 points per 100 possessions, while the Gaels average 114.9 points per 100 possessions. Both teams are super effecient from the floor and I expect this to once again translate into offensive production. This number is indeed low. T.M. Prediction: 80-75 BYU. |
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03-09-20 | Hornets v. Hawks -4 | Top | 138-143 | Win | 100 | 25 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks (10* MONEY-MAKER). Atlanta destroyed the Hornets 122-107 in Charlotte back in December and I think a similar final result is on deck here in this one as well. The Hornets have been playing better of late, but after finishing a four-game homestand with an upset win over the Rockets, can anyone say "letdown spot" here?! Atlanta returns home on a three-game losing streak and I expect it to get the job done here. Charlotte has struggled in this spot for bettors as well, interestingly going just 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games vs. the Southeast Division. Atlanta on the other hand is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 home games vs. teams with losing road records. After three straight losses, look for the Hawks to push the pace from the opening tip, until the final horn. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-108 Atlanta. |
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03-09-20 | Eastern Michigan +8.5 v. Kent State | Top | 76-86 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Michigan (10* SUPER-DOG). The Golden Flashes are at home for this one after finishing sixth seed. EMU is the No. 11 seed in the tourmanent. If recent history is any precedence though, then EMU has to be liking its chances for an upset here, as it annihilated Kent State 70-49 at home back on February 18th. EMU has admittedly struggled down the stretch, but now that the conference tournament is here, the Eagles have new hope. The Golden Flashes completely underwhelmed this season as well, finishing with a 9-9 conference record and note that it was favored in seven of those nine games. EMU only allows an average 63.4 PPG, which ranks 31st in the country. No outright, but expect an all out battle until the final moments. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 67-63 Kent State. |
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03-08-20 | Heat -4.5 v. Wizards | Top | 100-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* TRADE-MARK). The Heat had won four in a row before their most recent loss to the Pelicans last time out. Miami is still 40-23 though and it's led by Jimmy Butler, who averages 26 PPG. Atlanta is coming off a 118-112 win over Washington, but a return to mediocrity is imminent in my opinion. Washington was able to exploit Atlanta's week defense, but I think it'll have a much more difficult time here. The Wizards however are the worst defensive club in the NBA, allowing 120 PPG. After the loss to New Orleans last time out, look for Miami to come in focused on the task at hand this evening. T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Miami. |
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03-08-20 | Lipscomb +12.5 v. Liberty | Top | 57-73 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lipscomb (10* BLOWOUT). This is the Championship Game in the ASUN Conference and a trip to the NCAA Tournament is on the line. Liberty is likely going to punch its ticket to The Big Dance after the final buzzer sounds, but I definitely think the Bison can keep it interesting until the final moments. Lipscomb has experience on its side here, as this is the Bisons third straight appearance in the Championship Game, which includes a loss to these very Flames last year. These teams split their regular season series, eaching winning on its own floor. The Flames are hosting this one at home, but I think they'll have a battle on their hands from start to finish. Outright upset? Anything's possible, but I'm going to grab the points in the end. T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Lipscomb. |
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03-07-20 | 76ers v. Warriors +2.5 | Top | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors (10* MONEY-MAKER). I think this is a perfect spot for the Warriors to steal a game. The 76ers come to town without stars Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid, who were also both out for their team's big win over the Kings on the road last time out. The Warriors welcomed back Stephen Curry to the line-up in their last game and while they fell to Toronto at home, Golden State is healthier than its been all season and I think it can take advantage here. Note as well that Philly is also just 4-9 ATS this year as a road favorite, while the Warriors are 10-5 ATS this season revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Clearly I like the outright win, but in the end I'm going to grab the handful of points. T.M. Prediction: 116-112 Golden State. |
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03-07-20 | North Carolina +11.5 v. Duke | Top | 76-89 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (10* BEST OF THE BEST). UNC lost this game at home 98-96 and I expect another all out war between these rivals. Duke has plenty to play for here as it's currently tied with UVA for the third place in the ACC. UNC though enters not only trying to play spoiler, not only trying to avenge the earlier loss, but also playing its best ball of the entire season in having won three in a row (note that UNC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games after a three-games or longer SU unbeaten streak.) I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-75 Duke. |
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03-07-20 | Louisville v. Virginia | Top | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Virginia (8* MONEY-MAKER). I think the defending champs grinding defensive play will once again be the difference maker for UVA tonight. Louisville won by seven at home in the reverse fixture, which sets this up as a revenge spot for the home side side as well. Note that it was the Cardinals first win out of the last ten in this series. Louisville's weakness this year has been its play on the road and on Seniors Night, I'm banking on the Cavs unrelenting defensive pressure to once again "win the day" here. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 60-54 UVA. |
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03-07-20 | Seton Hall v. Creighton OVER 151.5 | Top | 60-77 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Seton Hall/Creighton OVER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). I expect each team to play at a frenetic pace in this huge game. The top seed in the Big East is on the line tonight. Note that Creighton won this game at Seton Hall 87-82 on February 12 and in my opinion, all signs once again point to a high-scoring shootout. Seton Hall comes in hungry here to avenge that setback, but also because they fell 79-77 at home on Seniors Night to Villanova on Wednesday. Seton Hall averages 75.2 PPG and it allows 67.9, while Creighton averages 78.4 PPG, while allowing 70.1. The Blue Jays hammered Georgetown 91-76 on Wednesday and clearly it'll be keeping the foot on the gas here. This one has "shootout" written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 83-80 Creighton. |
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03-07-20 | Kentucky +3 v. Florida | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kentucky (10* TRADE-MARK). Kentucky has already earned the SEC regular-season title, but the last thing it'll want to do is to enter the tournament off a loss. Yes, Florida has a lot to play for here, but I simply don't see any sort of letdown here from Kentucky on the National stage. The Wildcats earned the hard-fought 65-59 win over the Gators in mid February and I expect a simialr result here as well. In fact, Kentucky is coming off a hugely disappointing loss at home to Tennessee, falling 81-73 on seniors night. Clearly the Wildcats will be eager to atone for that mess here (Kentucky is also 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. The Gators on the other hand are just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 at home. T.M. Prediction: 73-64 Kentucky. |
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03-06-20 | Bucks v. Lakers +1 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 28 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* SHOWDOWN). Is this a possible preview of the NBA Championships? The Bucks are favored to come out of the East and while the Lakers still have the best record in the West, they'll have their hands full with the Clippers once it's all said and done. Honestly, it wouldn't be too hard to write a convincing argument for either team to win this game. And with a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers agree. The Lakers opened as an underdog and the line continues to go back and forth ever since. So why do I think the Lake Show will pull off a big win here? Because the Bucks are just 1-5 ATS this season off a home win vs. a division rival, while the Lakers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. I think the Lakers' big men shut down Bucks' star Giannis Antetokounmpo this time around. T.M. Prediction: 119-109 Lakers. |
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03-06-20 | Missouri State v. Indiana State +1.5 | Top | 78-51 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana State (10* TORTURER). I like Indiana State to pull of the slight upset here. This is the quarterfinals of the Missouri State Conference Tournament. The Sycamores finished 11-7 in league play, while the Bears were 9-9. Missouri State may have hammered Southern Illinois 84-59 on Seniors Night, but I expect it to get overwhelmed in this matchup. Indiana State is the deeper and more consistent team and it enters the Tournament having won four straight. Indiana State is also 3-0-1 ATS in its last four overall, while Missouri State is only 3-13 ATS in its last 16 as an underdog. I'm banking on a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 70-65 Indiana State. |
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03-05-20 | Clippers v. Rockets -1 | Top | 120-105 | Loss | -102 | 22 h 24 m | Show |
Selection: Houston Rockets (10* TRADE MARK). Off a double-digit road win over OKC, I think the Clippers are going to stumble in this difficult road venue. Houston comes in as the "hungrier" team, as it stumbled badly in a loss to the lowly Knicks in its final game of a long Eastern swing. With a couple of days off to digest the stench of that failure, I look for the Rockets to come out and play with a chip on their shoulder tonight. Las is also just 3-6 ATS this year as a road dog, while Houston is 7-3 ATS this season when playing with two days rest. This one has "BLOWOUT" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 125-115 Houston. |
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03-05-20 | Nebraska +17.5 v. Michigan | Top | 58-82 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nebraska (10* MONEY-MAKER). I believe that in some small way the Wolverines are going to get caught "looking past" their lowly 7-22 opponent today to the upcoming Conference Tournament and that's going to be more than enough for the hungry Huskers to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Huskers are the worst team in the Big Ten, but they'll be eager to try and reverse their fortunes vs. a Wolverines team which has dropped two in a row. Note that they've given up an average of 79 PPG over their last two losses (Wisconsin and Ohio State). With a game at conference leading Maryland to end the regular season, this also sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the home side. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Michigan. |
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03-04-20 | Pacers v. Bucks OVER 222 | Top | 100-119 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pacers/Bucks OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). Yes, these are two of the better defensive teams in the league, as Indiana allows just 107.2 PPG (while averaging 109.4), while Milwaukee gives up just 106.8 PPG (while averaging a league-best 119.1 per contest.) And while Milwaukee enters having won four of its last five (Indiana has won four of five too), it certainly can't be happy with its performance of late, winning but barely covering vs. Charlotte, before then getting crushed in Miami the next night. The Bucks also play with revenge here after they lost to the Pacers in each team's respective final game before the All Star break. I look for the home side to push the pace of this one from the outset and I expect this total to fly well over once the final horn blares. T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Milwaukee. |
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03-04-20 | St. Louis -2 v. George Mason | Top | 69-57 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Saint Louis (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Saint Louis enters the final regular season game off a big win over Rhode Island and it won't want to take the foot off the gas now that it's so close to the finish line. With that victory the Billikens are now in the talk for an NCAA Tournament spot (as long as they can now run the table throughout the conference tournament). George Mason started 11-1, but it then went 4-13. Most recently it comes in off a heart-breaking 81-78 setback to Duquesne. These teams met at Saint Louis earlier in the year and the Billikens posted the 81-71 victory. Expect a similar (or even larger!) victory for the visiting side tonight. T.M. Prediction: 72-60 Billikens. |
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03-03-20 | Wizards v. Kings OVER 232.5 | Top | 126-133 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kings/Wizards OVER (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams have been playing a lot better since the All Star game. Both are still on the outside of the playoff picture looking in, but they still each have a chance at squeezing into the postseason if it can continue to win. This is a big game for both teams and I expect a faster paced contest. Sacramento does play at a slower pace than Washington, but its numbers are skewed in my opinion due to the slow start in the first half. Neither team has been impressive on the defensive end and I believe that trend of futility continues for each here. Look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later in this one! T.M. Prediction: 125-120 Sacramento. |
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03-03-20 | Purdue +5.5 v. Iowa | Top | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (10* TRADE-MARK). Iowa is 20-9 overall, but Purdue annihilated it 104-68 at home last month. Clearly that's not going to happen again here and while I do believe the outright upset is in the cards tonight as well, in the end I'll be recommending for everyone to grab the ample points. Purdue also has wins over VCU, Virginia and Michigan State. The Boilersmakers have gone just 1-3 in their last four though and they'll need a few miracles to make it back into the NCAA Tournament at this point. And a victory here would certainly go a long away in helping their cause. The Hawkeyes have looked better of late, but note that they're just 2-5 ATS in their last seven in trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent of 30 points or more. In the end, let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 73-72 Iowa. |
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03-02-20 | Idaho State v. Weber State -6.5 | Top | 78-70 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Weber State (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Idaho State is 6-20, while Weber State is 11-17. Idaho State comes in with zero momentum, as it's lost 12 straight and failed to cover in three straight as well. Weber State fans can empathize though, as the Wildcats enter hungry here after having lost three of their last four. The Bengals are horrible in every offensive and defensive category, but particularly in the rebounding department, pulling only 32.8 per game. And if recent history is any precedence, then the Wildcats have to be loving their chances today, as they already beat the Bengals 76-68 on the road. This is a big opportunity for the Wildcats after a scuffling stretch and with just a couple of games remaining in the regular season. The stage is set for an explosive home victory here. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Weber State. |
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03-02-20 | Blazers +7 v. Magic | Top | 130-107 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BLAZERS (10* TRADE-MARK). The panic button has been hit in Portland. It's basically "do or die" for the visitors now, who enter off three straight losses, including a humbling double-digit setback to the Hawks on the road. The Magic have been playing a bit better lately. They also need as many victories as they can get. Orlando's offense has been a lot better, but it's strong defensive play which has defined the team for most of the season has taken a back seat during that stretch. Off a loss to San Antonio, I think the Magic will have their hands full with this now desperate Portland team. Outright is possible, but let's grab these points! T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Orlando. |
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03-01-20 | 76ers v. Clippers -12.5 | Top | 130-136 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10*) GAME OF THE WEEK. I think the Clippers come in angry and even with Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid in the line-up, I believe LA would have had a chance at covering this large spread anyways. But neither Simmons or Embiid will be playing tonight and because of that, I expect the home side to take full advantage and to win big once the final horn blares. The Clippers faced a fully prepared Nuggets team at home last time out and they annihilated them 132-103. Seven LA players scored in double figures in that one, including 43 points from Paul George. I expect a similar final outcome here as well, so lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-100 LA. |
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03-01-20 | St. Louis v. Rhode Island -6 | Top | 72-62 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rhode Island (10* TRADE-MARK). Saint Louis is 20-7 and Rhode Island is 20-8. Overall the Billikens average 71.8 PPG and they allow 66.1. Saint Louis though is just 4-4 in true road games this year. Rhode Island won't be taking anything for granted here after a slim road win over Fordham last time out. The Rams average 74.7 PPG and they allow 68.4. Rhode Island is also 4-0 ATS in its last four following an ATS loss, while Saint Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last five following a SU victory. I'm laying the points as all signs point to a big time home victory in the A-10 reg. season finale. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Rhode Island. |
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03-01-20 | Cincinnati v. Houston OVER 135.5 | Top | 55-68 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincy/Houston OVER. The Bearcats are in a race for first place with three games remaining. Clearly the visitors will have to try and push the pace and keep up with the home side. Cincinnati beat Wichita State last time out by a score of 67-64, but the Bearcats are definitely going to have their hands full here with a Memphis team also looking to lock down top spot in the conference and which enters off a tough 60-59 loss to Memphis in its last outing. Finally note that the Bearcats average 73.5 PPG and the Cougars average 72.8. Considering all of the above factors, I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. T.M. Prediction: 77-70 Houston. |
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02-29-20 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Cal-Irvine UNDER 137.5 | Top | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 10* UNDER Santa Barbara/UC Irvine. I think this will be a battle from start to finish vs. the 19-9 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. the 20-10 UC Irvine Anteaters. The Gauchos come to town red hot, winners of five of their last six. Their only loss came to UC Davis recently. UC Irvine is No. 1 in the Big West and it won't want to falter here so close to the finish line. UC Irvine though plays with revenge here as well after stumbling at Santa Barbara eariler in the year (the teams combined for just 124 points in that one.) Look for a similarily hard-fought affair and for this total to stay well under once the final horn blares. T.M. Prediction: 68-65 UC Irvine. |
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02-29-20 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +8.5 | Top | 88-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER). Yes LA has won seven straight and covered in five of those contests, but I believe that Memphis is going to find a way to get the job done here. The Grizz are WITHOUT QUESTION the "hungrier" team here after four-straight losses on the road. This is also a BIG TIME "revenge" spot for the Grizz, who have lost all three SU and two of the three ATS in this season series thus far. And would anyone fault LA for "looking ahead" here with a game at red hot New Orleans tomorrow night? Memphis is off a disappointing loss at home to Sacramento just last night, but I believe that's going to just add "fuel to the fire" for the home side here as it looks to snap the five-game losing streak. Outright win? Very possible! However, let's grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-112 Lakers. |
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02-29-20 | Michigan State +2.5 v. Maryland | Top | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* TRADE-MARK). This is a big game, with big conference tournament implications and I'm calling for the minor upset. Michigan State comes to town off two straight wins. Maryland has won ten of 11, but I think it'll have difficulty here vs. this MSU team which plays with revenge after falling at home to Maryland a couple of weeks ago. Both teams have excellent defenses, but the overall experience that Michigan State brings to the table can't be underestimated as big factor working in its favor here. Michigan State has found its groove again and I believe the "revenge factor" DOES matter in this one (that said, let's grab the points!) T.M. Prediction: 71-69 Michigan State. |
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02-28-20 | Wolves +7.5 v. Magic | Top | 125-136 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wolves (10* MONEY-MAKER). The Wolves are in full rebuild mode, but they enter off an impressive win over the Heat in Miami, led by D'Angelo Russell, who continues to play with a chip on his shoulder and who has averaged 24.4 points and eight assists in five game since being aquired by Minnesota. The Magic have won four of five and they're coming off a big win over the Hawks, but with a tough road game in San Antonio tomorrow night, I think the stage is set for them to finally have a bit of a letdown here. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but all the pieces are in place for a much more competitive affair (in my opinion), than what this spread would suggest. T.M. Prediction: 118-117 Orlando. |
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02-28-20 | Davidson v. Dayton OVER 140.5 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Davidson/Dayton OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). In my opinion, this one sets up as a shootout, not a defensive battle. The Flyers have won 17 straight and with just a hand full of games left to go before the Tournaments start, I have a hard time seeing Dayton taking the foot off the gas at this point. Especially at home. Davidson though would love nothing more than to play spoiler and it enters having won four of its last five. Both teams average over 70 PPG on the season and with what I expect to be a frantic pace from start to finish, we can expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Dayton. |
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02-28-20 | Kent State +1.5 v. Ohio | Top | 69-76 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kent State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Yes 14-14 Ohio is going to be "hungry" here, but I don't think that's going to matter vs. the vastly superior Kent State Flashes. These teams met two weeks ago and the Golden Flashes pulled away for a relatively simple 87-72 victory. Ken State is averaging 76 PPG and it's allowing 69.3, while Ohio is averaging 71.1 PPG and allowing 68.5. Kent State though is 5-0 ATS this year as a road dog of six points or less, while Ohios is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite of three points or less or pick. I'm grabbing the points, but expecting an outright. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Kent State. |
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02-27-20 | San Diego +26.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 59-94 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Diego (10*). San Diego is a putrid 9-20 overall and 2-12 in WCC action. Gonzaga though is going to get classically caught "looking past" its lowly opponent in my opinion though. The Bulldogs are 27-2 and 13-1 overall and they have their sights set on a National title right now, not on the lowly Toreros. SD also catches Gonzaga off a disappointing loss to BYU and I think it's collectively still caught up on that monster letdown. I definitely think that the conditions are correct for a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. So grab the points! T.M. Prediction: (80-70 Gonzaga). |
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02-27-20 | Blazers +10 v. Pacers | Top | 100-106 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER). Portland comes in "hungry" after losing four of its last five games. The Pacers were blown out badly in Toronto, and then they bounced back big with a lop-sided win over Charlotte at home in their most recent tilt. However when these teams met in the Pacific Northwest earlier in the season, it was the Blazers that posted the 139-129 victory. Suffice it to say, I think the "on again, off again" Pacers are going to once again struggle with consistency here vs. this unbelievably determined Blazers side, which is currently in ninth place in the Western Conference. An unreal situation sets us up nicely for this 10* pick. T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Indiana. |
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02-26-20 | Grizzlies +11 v. Rockets | Top | 112-140 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER). Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: (Coming shortly) |
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02-26-20 | Furman v. NC-Greensboro -4.5 | Top | 81-67 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UNC Greensboro (10* TRADE-MARK). This is a big game for both 23-6 teams. Both teams enter off victories as well. The bottom line is though is that I can't stress how important I feel that the home court advantage will be in this particular matchup. The Furman Paladins got destroyed by the Spartans 86-73 at home back January 11th and I expect an even bigger lop-sided blowout here. Sometimes the revenge angle works and other times it's completely overrated. I believe the latter is definitely the case in this one. Lay the points, but expect a big blowout! T.M. Prediction: (75-60 UNC Greensboro). |
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02-25-20 | Missouri State v. Valparaiso -2 | Top | 74-89 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Valparaiso (10* BEST OF THE BEST). Missouri State is 14-15 and Valparaiso is 15-14. Both teams though come in having won three of their last four. Missouri State's only loss in that time though came against Bradley on the road, 83-79. The Crusaders though most recently come in off a win at home over Bradley, cruising to a 90-78 win. The Bears score 69.4 PPG and they allow 67.2, while the Crusaders average 72.3 PPG and allow 71.3. Valparaiso though is a near-perfect 6-1 ATS this year vs. teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and I expect that strong to get carried over here in this difficult road building. Lay the short points. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Valpo. |
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02-25-20 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 231 | Top | 108-97 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucks/Raptors OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). Did Milwaukee get caught "looking ahead" to this game in its victory in the Nation's capital last night? The Bucks had a sizeable lead at half vs. the Wizards, but they'd need OT in the end to squeak by. Clearly the Bucks did in some small way get caught looking ahead to this big matchup. The defending champs are going to be feeling disrespected here as they're actually a slight dog in this matchup at home. The Raptors come in with plenty of momentum as well, after posting their biggest point differential victory in franchise history by annihilating the Pacers 127-81. Granted these are two of the best defensive clubs, but I expect a frantic pace. If the Bucks are going to get over the hump this year, they have to find a way to win in Toronto and take the confidence out of the Raptors. This one SCREAMS "shootout."Â T.M. Prediction: 120-119 Toronto. |
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02-24-20 | Magic v. Nets OVER 212.5 | Top | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Magic/Nets OVER (*10* MONEY-MAKER). The East is not nearly as competitive as the West and despite both teams coming into this one with sub-par records, each still legitimately has a shot at making the post-season. One game at a time. The Nets are playing better now that Kyrie Irving has been shelved for the remainder, coming in having gon 7-3 in their last ten. Orlando on the other hand is just 3-7 in its last ten. The Magic though have seen the total go over the number in four of their last five after playing four straight at home, while Brooklyn has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of 12 already this season after playing two straight games on the road. This number is a tad low in my professional opinion. T.M. Prediction: (115-112 Brooklyn) |
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02-24-20 | Louisville v. Florida State -2.5 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida State. These are two of the top teams in the country, but bottom line is that I don't think we can overlook the home floor advantage as being a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Louisville comes in off a 72-55 win over UNC, but FSU is an entirely different animal, especially at home. And especially on the defensive side of the ball. FSU already smashed Louisville on its home court the last time these teams played and I expect a similar result here as well. This one has double-digit destruction written all over it in my professional opinion. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 FSU. |
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02-23-20 | Indiana State -3.5 v. Evansville | Top | 64-62 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana State (10* MONEY-MAKER). Indiana State ended a three-game slide with a big 67-64 win over Northern Iowa last time out, getting 18 points and seven boards form Jake Laravia. Evansville though is a complete disaster and I expect it to continue to struggle here, most recently coming off a listless 70-53 loss to Southern Illinois, its 15th setback in a row. The Sycamores need to keep the foot on the gas here and after beating the No. 1 team in the league, I don't think there's any reason not believe that they can't in fact do that. Evansville is just 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 at home and I look for that record to get even worst after tonight. No trap here, look for Indiana State to instead take advantage! T.M. Prediction: (76-60 Sycamores). |
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02-22-20 | 76ers +8.5 v. Bucks | Top | 98-119 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (10* MONEY-MAKER). There's no way that the 76ers are going to roll over here. Does Milwaukee have the motivaion to try and blow out its opponent today? I don't think so. This one has "battle" written all over it. 76ers' big man Joel Embiid had 39 points in a 112-104 win over the Nets last time out and I think he carries that momentum over. While the Bucks come in off a relatively simple 126-106 win over the Pistons in their latest outing, note that they're just 2-7 ATS this year off a win by ten points or more vs. a division rival. Let's grab up the points, but also not be shocked if the outright occurs either. T.M. Prediction: 114-112 Bucks. |
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02-22-20 | Florida State -1 v. NC State | Top | 67-61 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). North Carolina State admittedly comes in off an impressive 88-66 win over Duke last time out, but I think it's poised for a classic letdown here. FSU is 12-3 in ACC play after its 82-67 win over Pittsburgh. The Wolfpack are just 8-7 in league play. NC State lost to Boston College previous to this big upset last time out, so I'm not reading too much into this most recent result. FSU's size and depth will prove to be too much for the home side to keep pace with down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 76-70 FSU. |
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02-22-20 | Tennessee v. Auburn OVER 135 | Top | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tennessee/Auburn OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). This is a big game. These two teams will also meet in their regular season finales in Knoxville. The Vols have four players averaging in double-figures. Overall Tennessee averages 66.8 PPG, while allow 62.1. Auburn comes home eager to shake off consecutive road losses. Expect the home side to push the pace from start to finish. Tennessee averages 79 PPG and it allows 70.9. Auburn has scored 80 or more points in six of its last seven conference home games and Tennessee is going to have to match pace. This total is low. T.M. Prediction: 77-73 Auburn. |
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02-21-20 | Pacers -5.5 v. Knicks | Top | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers 10* MONEY-MAKER. The Knicks looked decent for about two weeks prior to the All Star break, but perhaps predictably they then fell apart in the final two games, lowing to the Hawks and the Wizards. Indiana won its final game over Milwaukee before the break. These teams have split two games this year, but New York won the most recent one. That sets this up as a revenge game for Victor Oladipo and the home side. The Knicks have failed to score 100 points in three of the last five in this head-to-head matchup and I think the home side once again strugglest. T.M. Prediction: 111-100 Indiana. |
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02-21-20 | Princeton v. Harvard -7.5 | Top | 60-61 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Harvard (10* IVY-LEAGUE). The bottom line on this one is, I don't think you can overlooked the "home court advantage" as being a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Harvard won't be taking anything for granted here after the Tigers snuck by the Crimson 70-69 in Princeton on February 1st. Both teams come in off less that impressive wins, but in this big contest, where the winner will take over the No. 1 spot, I think the revenge minded home side gets the job done vs. a Tigers team which just gave up 88 points to Yale. Lay the points here. T.M. Prediction: 80-62 Harvard. |
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02-19-20 | Michigan v. Rutgers -2.5 | Top | 60-52 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rutgers The Wolverines have owned this matchup, winning all 12 games. That changes tonight. Wolverines are 1-5 ATS as road underdogs. Rutgers is 6-1 ATSÂ When The Total Is 130 To 139.5. Knights are also a perfect 5-0 ATSÂ As A Home Favorite Of 6 Points Or Less Or Pick. Knights haven't lost here all season. They'll stay perfect at home! T.M. Prediction: 69-63 Rutgers |
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02-18-20 | Ole Miss v. Missouri -1.5 | Top | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Missouri. These two teams are in the middle of the pack in the conference, but Missouri comes in off a bit 85-73 win over Auburn last time out and all signs point to this confidence and momentum carrying over into this one in front of the home town crowd. The Rebels on the other enter off a deflating 67-62 loss to Kentucky and I believe they have another letdown here as well. And that numbers/trends support my theory, as note that Ole Miss is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a road underdog or pick, while Missouri is a sharp 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite of three points or less. In this particular case, "home floor" means EVERYTHING! Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-64 Missouri.
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02-17-20 | Idaho v. Portland State -10.5 | Top | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland State 10* Portland State. Analysis to come. T.M. Prediction: 82-65 Portland State |
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02-16-20 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +11 | Top | 70-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: EAST CAROLINA Cincinnati was -17 here last season and East Carolina won the game. Did you know that Bearcats are 1-6Â when the total is 140 to 149.5. Thats both SU and ATS. Pirates 8-3 ATS last 11Â as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points. This game will be close. Grab points. T.M. Prediction: 75-71 Cincinnati |
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02-14-20 | Yale -3.5 v. Princeton | Top | 88-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: YALE The Bulldogs are the better team here but just because they're playing on the road we get them at a value price. This is been a great role for Yale. Bulldogs are 3-0 ATS as road favorites of 6 or less and 10-2 ATS last 12. Princeton 0-2 ATS as home underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points. Yale won here 81-59 last visit and that was expected to be a close game. Thats 4 straight in the series all the wins coming by at least 4. Go with the Bulldogs to take down the Tigers again tonight. T.M. Prediction: 74-65 YALE |
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02-13-20 | Thunder v. Pelicans -2 | Top | 123-118 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NEW ORLEANS OKC has won all 3 meetings this season. Those games were all B.Z. though. That's "before Zion." Williamson is now here and he's just getting better by the game. Wednesday he got 31 points, 9 boards and 5 assists. New Orleans smoked Portland 138-117. Thats 3 wins in a row. Off two losses in a row, the Thunders are going the other way. Pelicans 16-9-1 against the number their last 26, when off a home win. Revenge will be theirs. T.M. Prediction: 117-108 New Orleans |
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02-13-20 | Old Dominion v. Rice | Top | 73-70 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: RICE OK. This isn't the most exciting Thursday game. Doesn't matter to me. I just want winners! For this one, we essentially have no pointspread. ODU is 7-13 last 20 games and 1-8 SU its last nine on the road. Monarchs score 59.6 points per road game. The Owls score 81.6 points per game at home. Rice is starting to roll and is off 3 straight wins. They keep rolling for another day! T.M. Prediction: 74-66 RICE |
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02-12-20 | Michigan -5.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 79-54 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: MICHIGAN Wildcats may have homecourt advantage but the Wolverines have too many other advantages. Michigan is 16-1 SU its last 17 against a team with a losing record and that includes a 4-0 SU + ATS record last 4. Wildcats are in freefall and this is not the team to get better against. Last meeting? A 20-point win for the Wolverines. Sorry NW fans, this one will also turn ugly! T.M. Prediction: 75-62 MICHIGAN |
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02-11-20 | Celtics v. Rockets UNDER 231 | Top | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 23 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics/Rockets UNDER People may think that with teams that are this talented, the score will be massive, but I believe that this game will find a much lower final score. Coming into this game, the total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 16 games against opponents in the Western Conference. The Celtics have also seen the total stay UNDER in 7 of their last 10 games this season. For the Rockets, they just traded C Clint Capela to the Hawks who privided lots of success for them. Since then, they have really slowed down in scoring. They still have a lot of talent, but they won't be getting dunks from their big guy that often. For them, they have seen the total go UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games played in the month of February. The total has also stayed UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games this season. Expect both coaches to be heavy on the defensive side in this huge game for both teams. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 113-111 Rockets |
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02-11-20 | Air Force v. Boise State -12 | Top | 57-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boise State This is a huge mis-match, in everyones opinion. Air Force is a terrible 0-6 SU/ATS in their last 6 games this season. The Falcons are also a sad 0-5 in their last 5 games on the road. Even worse, they are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference (MVC.) For the Broncos, they have been dominant. Although they may have lost their previous match, they still bring in an underated 16-9 record. Not only that, but they have done an excellent job in covering the spread as well. Entering this game, Boise State is a perfect 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the Mountain West Conference. Enough said. Take the Broncos. T.M. Prediction: 81-57 BSU |
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02-11-20 | Fordham v. Davidson OVER 120.5 | Top | 49-79 | Win | 100 | 20 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Fordham/Davidson OVER Fordham has played some very low scoring games this season, as their season average is only 57.95 points per game. But, I believe that even if they manage to score that many, the total will still go OVER. In the last meeting between these two teams, they reached 136 points which was an easy win for the OVER. The Wildcats have seen some very high scoring games, on the other hand. They average 71+ points per game and I expect them to reach 70 with ease today. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Davidson's last 7 games played in February as well. The number is very low. Take the OVER and expect a winner with room to spare. T.M. Prediction: 76-59 Davidson |
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02-10-20 | Florida State +8.5 v. Duke | Top | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida State Both of these two teams have been excellent in the 2019-20 season. They are both at 20-3 and they are expected to do extremely well in March Madness. Florida State enters with a sweet 9-1 record in their last 10 games this season. The Seminoles are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played in February. Even better, they are 13-1 in their last 14 games played. For Duke, they are only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. The Blue Devils are also a sad 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games played in February. The line is too large. Take Florida St and expect an easy cover. T.M. Prediction: 86-83 FSU |
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02-09-20 | Grizzlies -132 v. Wizards | Top | 106-99 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (MoneyLine) Coming into this game, Memphis is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against opponents from the Southeast Division. The Grizzlies are also 6-2 SU in their last 8 games this season. Even better, they are a dominant 13-4 in their last 17 games. On the other hand, Washington is a terrible 0-7 SU in their last 7 games played on a Sunday. I like the Grizzlies point spread in this one, but I'm happy to take the moneyline for some easy ca$h. T.M. Prediction: 119-109 Grizzlies |
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02-09-20 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin OVER 123.5 | Top | 57-70 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ohio St/Wisconsin OVER With the total be quite low, I believe that these two teams will have no trouble reaching that mark. Coming into today's game, the total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 6 games against Ohio State. Take the OVER and expect an easy winner. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Wisconsin |
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02-08-20 | Grand Canyon v. California Baptist -6.5 | Top | 103-98 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cal Baptist Cal Baptist over Grand Canyon? You might be thinking to yourself, what kind of GOTM play is that Tim? They can't all be Duke against Kansas though. If you can bet on it, I'm looking at it. The fact is, this one's a clear cut mismatch. This is Cal Baptist's second season in the Div 1. so they aren't eligible for the Tournament. Thats lucky for the other teams. Led by Milan Acquaah's 17.3 points-per-game, the Lancers have flat out been getting it done. They already beat the Antelopes at Phoenix and they complete the series sweep tonight! T.M. Prediction: 78-61 Cal Baptist |
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02-08-20 | Nets +6 v. Raptors | Top | 118-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets The Raptors just keep winning and winning. It ends today. You heard it right here. The Nets don;t have Kyrie or KD but they've got a big scheduling advantage. Toronto is 3-5 against the spread, 4 losses outright, In A Home Game Where The Total Is Greater Than Or Equal To 220. T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Nets |
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02-08-20 | Virginia v. Louisville OVER 114 | Top | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Virginia/Louisville OVER Everyone knows about Virginia's defensive tendencies. This is such a low number though. Too low! Louisville is a top tier team and isn't going to go down without scoring. Cardnals averaging 79.4 points L5 games. The last meeting? A 73-68 final. Game had a total of 125. This one goes way over too. T.M. Prediction: 66-63 Louisville |
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02-08-20 | DePaul v. Georgetown -4 | Top | 72-76 | Push | 0 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Georgetown The Georgetown Hoyas may not be doing so well as of late, but they can still win at home. Coming into today's game against DePaul, the Hoyas are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games at home. Georgetown is also 7-3 in their last ten meetings against the Blue Demons. On the other hand, DePaul is a terrible 0-5 SU in their last 5 games. DePaul is also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played in February. Even worse, they are 1-9 in their last 10 games this season. At home, expect an easy Georgetown win. T.M. Prediction: 76-64 Georgetown |
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02-07-20 | Raptors v. Pacers UNDER 218.5 | Top | 115-106 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raptors/Pacers UNDER These two teams met on Wednesday. They went way OVER the total. Expect that to be different here. At home this season, the Pacers have been great. Especially on the defensive end. As of right now, they are only allowing 105.20 ppg with their home crowd behind them. The total has also gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto. For the Raptors, they play great defense everywhere. They are only allowing 104.60 points per game on the road this season. That's insane. Off a higher scoring affair in their last matchup, I believe that both teams will be much better on the defensive end in this one. Take the UNDER and expect an easy winner. T.M. Prediction: 101-99 Pacers |
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02-07-20 | Iona v. Quinnipiac -5 | Top | 73-52 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Quinnipiac Quinnipiac is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home. They are also a dominant 6-1 SU in their last 7 games played on a Friday. On the other hand, Iona is a terrible 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road. Iona is also only 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Expect a crushing performance by the home team in this one. Take Quinnipiac. T.M. Prediction: 78-51 Quinnipiac |
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02-05-20 | East Tennessee State -5 v. Chattanooga | Top | 80-64 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: East Tennessee St Coming into this game, East Tennessee State has been red hot. They ae now e 6-1 in their last 7 games after last games' blowout. East Tennessee State is also a perfect 9-0 (7-2 ATS) in their last 9 games against Chattanooga. For the Mocs, they are off a tough loss last time out, against Western Carolina. That makes them only 2-3 in their last 5 games this season. The Buccaneers may be on the road, but expect them to be the much better team in this one. Take ETSU. T.M. Prediction: 78-61 ETSU |
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02-02-20 | Nuggets -120 v. Pistons | Top | 123-128 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (Moneyline) This game has "beatdown" written all over it. The Nuggets come into this one with a sweet 6-3 record in their last 9 games against opponents in the Eastern Conference. Denver is also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. On the other hand, Detroit is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games this season. The Pistons are also 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when facing opponents in the Northwest Division. Even worse, they are a terrible 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games at home. Take the Nuggets and expect a "Beatdown". T.M. Prediction: 116-99 Nuggets |
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02-01-20 | Bradley v. Loyola-Chicago -5.5 | Top | 51-62 | Win | 100 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Loyola Chicago These two teams may not look too different, but I see a huge skill gap between each other. Loyola Chicago is 9-4 SU in their last 13 games against opponents in the Missouri Valley Conference. The Ramblers are also 11-4 in their last 15 games. For Bradley, they are a sad 2-7 SU in their last 9 games on the road. Even worse, the Braves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Loyola-Chicago. At home, expect an easy Ramblers win. T.M. Prediction: 76-51 Ramblers |
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02-01-20 | Heat v. Magic OVER 205.5 | Top | 102-89 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat/Orlando Magic OVERÂ Coming into this game, the total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games on the road. The Heat have also seen the total go OVER in 11 of their last 16 games on the road against the Magic. The total is low, expect it to go OVER with ease. T.M. Prediction: 111-107 Heat |
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