Cappers Sports Picks

Tina Charles provides low-post stability and rebounding — she’s averaging 9.6 boards per game in her last four appearances.

Bria Hartley offers mid-range shooting and playmaking, key for keeping Seattle’s defense honest.

Marina Mabrey can push tempo and spark quick scoring runs off the bench.

ATS Trend: Connecticut is 5-1 ATS in their last five games as underdogs — they’ve covered against similar high-paced teams.

If they can control possessions and get key production from Charles and Hartley, they’ve got a legitimate path to stay inside the number.

The Minnesota Lynx are well-positioned to cover the spread against the Atlanta Dream Sunday. First, recent betting trends favor Minnesota: they’re 5-0-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last six meetings with Atlanta and have won all six straight head-to-head matchups. 

Moreover, the Lynx have been dominant recently, going 11–2 SU in their last 13 games while covering in five of their last six outings overall. 

They allow among the lowest opponent field-goal and three-point percentages in the league—especially stifling from deep—which neutralizes Atlanta’s perimeter-oriented offense. Atlanta’s scoring relies heavily on perimeter shooting, something Minnesota contests exceptionally well. Add that the Lynx are playing at home—where they consistently outperform expectations—and the spread looks well within their reach.

Bottom line: with strong ATS history vs. Atlanta, rock-solid team defense, and home-court advantage, the Lynx have the trends and style of play to cover the spread convincingly.

If Connecticut wants this one to turn into a shootout, look no further than Tina Charles setting the tone down low and Olivia Nelson-Ododa cleaning the glass and igniting pace. Charles’ ability to stretch the floor with her touch from mid-range and Nelson-Ododa’s knack for second-chance creation form a dangerous pairing against Golden State’s shaky frontcourt.

With Marina Mabrey drawing defensive pressure off the perimeter, the lane could open up early—and if Golden State responds with tempo from Rivers or Sheldon, this total has legs to climb. This matchup has just enough scoring gravity to push past 156.5, especially if Connecticut controls the flow and finishes through contact.

Despite recent upticks in tempo, both teams have shown vulnerabilities in scoring consistency when facing physical defenses. Seattle’s perimeter shooting has cooled off on the road, and Washington often struggles to maintain offensive flow without strong bench support. If the game skews toward half-court sets and missed perimeter opportunities—as past matchups suggest—the pace alone won’t be enough to push past the total. Combine that with situational unders in similar spots, this one sets up for a drag-it-out under.

Despite being on the road, the Sparks have the offensive tools to push the pace against a Liberty squad that’s recently leaned into high-tempo home sets.

LA’s transition game can spark early scoring bursts, especially if their guards find rhythm off screens and force mismatches.

Meanwhile, New York’s uptick in spacing and three-point volume at home often fuels back-and-forth scoring. If both teams capitalize on first-half momentum and maintain shot efficiency, this one has the potential to cruise past 175.5.

Despite the uphill matchup, LA has the defensive structure to disrupt New York’s rhythm, especially if they can limit transition looks and force the Liberty into half-court sets.

The Sparks are also riding improved ball movement and spacing since Kelsey Plum and Dearica Hamby has become more assertive offensively.

If they avoid early turnovers and control the tempo, this game could stay within single digits, particularly with New York prone to late-game relaxations in blowout scenarios.

The Dallas Wings can cover the +4.5 spread tonight by leveraging their speed, backcourt versatility, and ability to force tempo against a half-court-oriented Valkyries team. While Golden State’s perimeter defense has tightened recently (holding opponents to 32% from deep), they’re still averaging over 14 turnovers per game, which opens the door for Arike Ogunbowale and Paige Bueckers to generate runouts and easy buckets. Dallas thrives in transition-heavy matchups and performs well in games with possession swings, especially when their secondary scorers step up. If they can stay aggressive downhill and bait Golden State into foul trouble, a late-game rally to land inside the number—say 76–73—feels well within reach.

The Las Vegas Aces, though missing some of their veteran playoff core, still have a chance to cover the +10 spread behind A’ja Wilson, who remains one of the league’s most dominant two-way stars. With younger talent like Kierstan Bell emerging and Vegas likely to slow the tempo on the second night of a back-to-back, they could keep the game within striking distance. While the Lynx are plenty experienced—coming off a Finals run in 2024 and owning a perfect 13-0 home record—this matchup may hinge on pace and perimeter shooting. If the Aces can manage a low-possession game and draw fouls early, a final like Lynx 82, Aces 74 keeps the cover in play.

New York’s defense ranks second in the WNBA in opponent field goal percentage, and they’ve been increasingly effective at controlling pace—especially at home, where they allow just 72.1 points per game. Meanwhile, Phoenix has failed to reach 80 points in four straight games, often struggling with efficiency against top-tier defenses. If this turns into a half-court grind with Liberty dictating tempo and the Mercury relying on isolation scoring, we could see a more methodical game finish in the mid-160s range.

Despite recent scoring slumps, tonight’s matchup sets up well for an over 154 total thanks to pace, rebounding, and offensive upside. Chicago has averaged 165.5 total points at home over their last 10 games, and Seattle’s road contests have cleared 158.4 points on average. With Angel Reese and Kamilla Cardoso dominating the glass and generating second-chance looks, and Seattle likely getting Skylar Diggins back to stabilize their offense, both teams should push tempo and capitalize on transition opportunities. If turnovers stay high and shooting efficiency rebounds even slightly, this one could sneak past the number.

The Dream have covered in 7 of their last 10 road games, and their up-tempo style paired with Allisha Gray’s scoring presence makes them a live dog here. Despite Rhyne Howard’s absence, Atlanta’s pace has picked up, and their ability to rebound (37.7 RPG) keeps possessions alive. Phoenix, while solid at home, has been vulnerable in second quarters and late stretches. This number gives you wiggle room for a competitive game that could come down to the final few possessions.

Tonight’s matchup between the Dream and Aces sets up as a sneaky Under spot despite both teams’ offensive reputations. The Aces have quietly leaned into a more methodical pace at home, while the Dream — who average just 80.3 points on the road — tend to get bogged down by defensive-minded teams like Vegas. With both rosters showing fatigue from recent travel and the Aces locking down the paint behind A’ja Wilson, expect longer possessions, fewer transition buckets, and a tempo that favors a final score under 161.5. Sharp bettors will spot the scoring ceiling before tip-off.

The Indiana Fever could sneak inside the number tonight thanks to a balanced attack and a defense that’s quietly improving. Even without Caitlin Clark, they’ve found rhythm behind Kelsey Mitchell and NaLyssa Smith, who combined for over 36 points in their last outing. The Liberty, while dominant, tend to play down to slower-paced opponents and have failed to cover in four of their last seven home games. If Indiana slows the tempo and controls the glass, they can hang around long enough to cash — especially with double-digit cushion on the spread.

The Chicago Sky are a live dog tonight thanks to their recent defensive uptick and a roster that refuses to back down, even on the road. While Minnesota has been dominant, the Lynx tend to allow late runs and have covered just once in their last four games when laying double digits. Chicago’s ball movement and bench depth give them the flexibility to exploit the Lynx’s perimeter rotations, and if Marina Mabrey or Angel Reese catch fire, the Sky can keep it tight deep into the fourth. This spread is hefty — and the Sky have the grit to sneak inside.

The Los Angeles Sparks are primed to cover the +3.5 spread tonight thanks to their renewed energy on defense and a backcourt tandem that’s starting to click. While the Mystics have been solid at home, they’ve struggled to contain perimeter scoring — a weakness the Sparks can exploit with their improved three-point efficiency. Add in LA’s tendency to keep games close, especially in pace-controlled matchups, and this spread becomes more about resilience than dominance. If the Sparks force turnovers and limit second-chance points, they’re well-positioned to stay within the number — or steal it outright.

Tonight’s Sparks-Mystics matchup has all the ingredients for a total to fly over 167.5. Both teams are coming off offensive-minded performances and enter with top-10 pace metrics that favor transition scoring. The Mystics are averaging over 81 points per game in their last five home contests, while the Sparks — despite road struggles — have picked up tempo with their guards pushing early possessions. With limited rim protection and both squads leaning into smaller rotations, expect fast breaks, quick shots, and enough three-point volume to make the Over a very live number.

Team Clark may be short-handed without Caitlin Clark and Satou Sabally, but they’re still stacked with elite scorers and savvy veterans who thrive in showcase settings.

Sabrina Ionescu and A’ja Wilson headline a lineup built for pace and perimeter shooting, while Aliyah Boston anchors the paint with efficiency and grit.

With Sandy Brondello coaching and a chip-on-the-shoulder mentality driving the replacements, Team Clark has the firepower to keep this close—or even steal it late. In an All-Star format where defense is optional and momentum swings fast, +5.5 offers solid value.

With the WNBA All-Star Game’s fast-paced format and offensive rule tweaks, the over 258.5 is well within reach. The introduction of 4-point shot zones, shortened shot clocks, and hockey-style substitutions creates a rhythm that favors scoring bursts and transition buckets. Even with Caitlin Clark and Satou Sabally sidelined, Team Clark still features elite shooters like Sabrina Ionescu and Kelsey Mitchell, while Team Collier boasts Breanna Stewart and Napheesa Collier—both capable of filling it up. Add in minimal defensive intensity and a showcase mindset, and this game has all the makings of a track meet.

The Las Vegas Aces are built to cover against the Dallas Wings thanks to their dominant head-to-head history and elite frontcourt play. They've won 9 of the last 10 meetings, including an 88–84 win earlier this season, and enter tonight with A’ja Wilson in peak form—averaging 22.0 points and 8.8 rebounds over her last five games. Dallas is on a three-game skid, allowing over 100 points in back-to-back losses, and struggling to contain elite scorers. With Vegas pushing tempo and exploiting mismatches in the paint, expect the Aces to control the second half and cover the -5.5 spread with authority

The Seattle Storm are poised to cover the spread against the Golden State Valkyries thanks to their elite trio of Skylar Diggins-Smith, Nneka Ogwumike, and Gabby Williams, who’ve combined for over 50 points per game at home. Seattle is 7–4 at Climate Pledge Arena and hungry for revenge after dropping both previous matchups to Golden State. With the Valkyries struggling on the road (3–7) and showing signs of fatigue after back-to-back heartbreakers, Seattle’s interior scoring and defensive pressure should tilt the game late. Expect a focused effort and a third-quarter surge that breaks it open

The Minnesota Lynx are unbeaten at home this season, sporting a flawless 11–0 record at Target Center, and have consistently covered with double-digit wins. Their defense ranks among the league’s best, holding opponents to just 41% shooting, and they’ve thrived against tempo-driven offenses like Phoenix. With Napheesa Collier, Courtney Williams, and Alanna Smith controlling the pace and dominating the glass, Minnesota is well-equipped to neutralize Phoenix’s strengths. Add in the fatigue factor—Phoenix playing their fourth game in six nights—and the Lynx are built to pull away and cover with authority.

Kelsey Plum has been electric, averaging 20.1 points and 5.8 assists, while Azurá Stevens is fresh off a 21-point, 11-rebound performance that showcased her dominance inside and out. With Rae Burrell injecting energy off the bench and the Sparks shooting 44.5% from the field, they’ve got the firepower to outpace a Mystics squad that’s just 1–4 against the spread in their last five and prone to late-game turnovers. Back-to-back home wins are within reach, and the number gives L.A. room to cash.

Bria Hartley and Marina Mabrey have been heating up, combining for 40+ points in their last outing, while Tina Charles continues to anchor the paint with physicality and rebounding. Despite their record, the Sun have kept games competitive, including a narrow 85–83 win over Indiana earlier this season. With Caitlin Clark still managing lingering injuries and the Fever coming off a high-scoring stretch that could regress, Connecticut’s experience and tempo control make them a live dog with value.

 Indiana enters averaging 84.5 points per game, with Caitlin Clark, Kelsey Mitchell, and Aliyah Boston leading a fast-paced attack that’s dropped 102 and 99 points in recent wins. Meanwhile, Connecticut—despite their record—has shown scoring flashes, with Bria Hartley and Saniya Rivers combining for 45 points in their last outing. With both teams pushing tempo and the Fever’s defense allowing nearly 79.6 points per game on the road, this total has room to climb

The Mercury and Valkyries are trending toward an under due to key offensive absences and defensive efficiency. Phoenix is without Kahleah Copper and possibly Satou Sabally, removing over 35 points of scoring punch. Golden State, meanwhile, ranks first in the WNBA in opponent field goal percentage and second in points allowed per game, anchoring a defense that held Indiana to just 61 points last week. Both teams also average fewer than 18 assists per game, signaling limited ball movement and isolation-heavy possessions. With a total set at 158.5, the matchup leans toward a grind-it-out affair rather than a shootout

Despite missing key players like Kahleah Copper and Satou Sabally, Phoenix has won two straight, including a gritty comeback against Minnesota. Alyssa Thomas and Satou Sabally could continue to anchor a frontcourt that thrives on physicality and second-chance scoring. Meanwhile, Golden State’s defense has shown cracks, allowing 102 points to Las Vegas and struggling to contain interior threats. With Phoenix ranking top three in points per game and boasting a 7–3 road record, they match up favorably and offer strong value as underdogs

The Minnesota Lynx and Chicago Sky are primed for an under on Monday due to a convergence of defensive trends and matchup inefficiencies. Both teams are coming off a physical game where they combined for just 28 fourth-quarter points, and fatigue could slow tempo early. Chicago’s offense leans heavily on Angel Reese and Kamilla Cardoso inside, but Minnesota’s rim protection and rebounding edge neutralize second-chance scoring. Meanwhile, the Lynx have struggled from deep, shooting just 33.3% from three in their game against the Sky, Saturday. With both squads ranking bottom-half in pace and showing signs of regression after a high-scoring affair, the under 161.5 offers strong value.

Despite both teams sitting at 9–10, the Aces and Mystics bring enough offensive firepower to push today’s total over 158. Las Vegas averages 79.6 points per game and shoots 40.8% from the field, while Washington isn’t far behind at 79.1 PPG with a more efficient 43.0% shooting clip. The last time these teams met, they combined for 177 points, and with stars like A’ja Wilson (22.5 PPG) and Brittney Sykes (17.4 PPG) leading the charge, scoring should come in bunches. Add in both teams’ recent over trends — including 5 of the Mystics’ last 7 games — and this matchup sets up well for another high-scoring affair

One note: Make sure to check on the status of A'ja Wilson who left the game against New York with a wrist injury.

The Minnesota Lynx are well-positioned to cover the spread against the Los Angeles Sparks thanks to their dominant two-way play and consistent head-to-head success. Minnesota enters with a 17–3 record, ranking first in the WNBA in both offensive and defensive rating, while the Sparks sit at 6–13 and have lost all three previous meetings by an average of 17.7 points. Napheesa Collier continues to lead the Lynx with 23.9 points per game, and the team’s depth — including Courtney Williams and Kayla McBride — has overwhelmed Los Angeles’ struggling defense, which ranks 11th in points allowed. With Cameron Brink still sidelined and the Sparks just 1–7 at home, Minnesota’s balanced attack and defensive pressure make them a strong play to cover.

The New York Liberty are positioned to cover the -5 spread against the Las Vegas Aces thanks to their superior depth, home-court advantage, and recent dominance in the matchup. New York has won eight of the last ten meetings with Las Vegas and boasts a +7.83 point differential at home, where they’re 7–2 on the season. With Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu leading a balanced attack and Natasha Cloud anchoring the perimeter defense, the Liberty have consistently disrupted the Aces’ rhythm—especially with Chelsea Gray still sidelined. Add in New York’s ability to rotate fresh legs off the bench, and they’re built to wear down a Vegas squad that leans heavily on its starters.

Despite missing key scorers like Kahleah Copper and Satou Sabally, the Phoenix Mercury are still poised to cover the -5.5 spread at home against the Dallas Wings. Phoenix boasts a 7–3 record at Footprint Center and ranks top-five in both offensive and defensive rating, anchored by Alyssa Thomas and Sami Whitcomb’s veteran leadership. Dallas, meanwhile, is without Arike Ogunbowale and DiJonai Carrington, and while rookies like Paige Bueckers have stepped up, the Wings are just 2–7 on the road. With Phoenix eager to avenge their recent loss and the Wings’ depth stretched thin, the Mercury have the edge to pull away late.

Valkyries are well-positioned to cover the +7 spread against the Atlanta Dream. Golden State boasts the third-best defensive rating in the WNBA and has covered in seven of their last ten games, thanks to gritty half-court execution and bench production led by Tiffany Hayes. Atlanta, meanwhile, has dropped three of its last four and may still be without All-Star Rhyne Howard or have her at less than 100%. With both teams playing at a slower tempo and the Valkyries excelling in low-possession battles, this one shapes up to be tighter than the line suggests.

With two of the WNBA’s most dynamic offenses squaring off, the Golden State Valkyries and Minnesota Lynx are primed to push this total over. The Lynx average 85.7 points per game and have cleared 86 in four of their last five, led by Napheesa Collier’s 24.6 PPG and a team shooting clip near 48%. Golden State enters hot as well, averaging 82.8 points over their last 10 and riding a stretch where they’ve topped 83 in three of their last four. Both teams rank top-three in pace and are shooting over 40% from the field, while their defenses—though solid—have shown cracks against high-tempo opponents. With elite scorers on both sides and a projected shootout at Target Center, the over holds strong value.

Despite being heavy underdogs, the Dallas Wings are primed to cover against the Phoenix Mercury tonight thanks to a combination of rebounding dominance and emerging star power. Dallas ranks third in the WNBA in rebounds per game (36.4), giving them second-chance opportunities to stay within the number. Rookie sensation Paige Bueckers is expected to return and brings a dynamic scoring punch (18.4 PPG), while Arike Ogunbowale’s absence opens the door for a more balanced offensive attack. With Phoenix potentially overlooking a 5–13 squad and the Wings covering in five of their last seven, this sets up as a sneaky spot for Dallas to keep it close at home.

The Atlanta Dream are back on their home floor, where they’ve gone 7–2 this season, and that gives them a strong edge to cover against the Seattle Storm. Atlanta already beat Seattle 94–87 on the road earlier this year, and now they return to Gateway Center Arena with momentum after a statement win over the Liberty. With Allisha Gray and Rhyne Howard leading a top-three scoring offense and the Dream holding opponents to just 77 points per game over their last 10, Atlanta’s balance and home-court dominance make them a sharp play to cover the short number tonight.

Despite being double-digit underdogs, the Los Angeles Sparks are in a strong position to cover the spread against the New York Liberty tonight. The Sparks have covered in eight of their last ten meetings with New York, including a stunning outright win as a 12.5-point dog last season. While the Liberty boast elite talent, they’ve dropped seven straight against the spread and are allowing over 90 points per game during that stretch. With Kelsey Plum heating up and Dearica Hamby anchoring the paint, L.A.’s mix of veteran grit and youthful energy could keep this one tighter than the books expect.

The Minnesota Lynx are primed to cover the spread tonight against the Indiana Fever, thanks to a dominant 14-2 record and a perfect 8-0 mark at home. With Napheesa Collier back in the lineup and averaging 24.4 points per game, the Lynx bring both firepower and defensive grit to the Commissioner’s Cup Final. Meanwhile, Indiana enters just 8-8 overall and may be without Caitlin Clark, who’s missed two straight games with a groin injury. With Minnesota’s depth, experience, and home-court advantage, they’re well-positioned to control the tempo and pull away late to cover the number

With both teams coming off high-scoring wins and key offensive players in rhythm, the Storm–Valkyries matchup is primed to go over the 158 total. Seattle has averaged 93 points over its last two games, led by Skylar Diggins and Nneka Ogwumike, while Golden State just dropped 83 on Chicago behind Kayla Thornton’s career-best 29. Despite missing a few international contributors, the Valkyries have maintained pace, and Seattle’s revenge mindset after a prior loss adds fuel to the tempo. With both squads pushing transition and trading buckets, this one sets up to fly past the number. 

The Minnesota Lynx are primed to cover the -20 spread against the Connecticut Sun thanks to a perfect 7–0 home record and a league-best 13–2 overall mark. With MVP frontrunner Napheesa Collier back at full strength and averaging 24.5 PPG, Minnesota’s offense is firing on all cylinders, while their defense has held opponents to just 71.2 points per game at Target Center. Meanwhile, the Sun limp in on an eight-game losing streak, missing key contributors like Marina Mabrey and ranking dead last in scoring at 71.6 PPG. With momentum, depth, and home-court dominance, the Lynx are built to cover big.

Despite a 1–6 home record, the Los Angeles Sparks are poised to cover the -8 spread against the Sky thanks to a rejuvenated core and matchup momentum. Azurá Stevens and Kelsey Plum combined for 44 points in their last outing, and with Chicago surrendering nearly 88 points per game on the road, L.A.’s offense is in a prime spot to exploit defensive lapses. The Sky are just 2–7 away from home and coming off a draining road loss, while the Sparks snapped their skid with renewed energy and better fourth-quarter execution. Expect L.A. to control tempo and pull away late.

With both teams coming off high-scoring performances and defensive depth stretched thin, the over 159.5 is in play for tonight’s Mystics–Wings rematch. Their last meeting totaled 179 points in an overtime thriller, and even in regulation, both squads pushed pace and attacked the paint relentlessly. Dallas continues to lean on Arike Ogunbowale and Paige Bueckers for scoring bursts, while Washington—despite injuries—has found rhythm behind Sonia Citron’s emergence and strong ball movement. Add in the Wings’ tendency to allow big runs at home and the Mystics’ improved offensive efficiency, and this matchup sets up for another shootout that clears the number.

Despite their struggles, the Connecticut Sun are in a strong position to cover the +9.5 spread against the Valkyries today. Tina Charles continues to anchor the offense with 16.6 points per game, and rookie Aneesah Morrow has stepped up with back-to-back double-digit scoring efforts. While Golden State has momentum, they’re missing key contributors due to EuroBasket, thinning their depth. The Sun have kept recent games close—including a narrow 86–83 loss to Dallas—and if they can control the glass and limit turnovers, they’re well-positioned to stay within the number

The New York Liberty are well-positioned to cover the -2 spread against the Seattle Storm thanks to their dominant head-to-head history and elite scoring depth. They've won seven of the last ten meetings, including a 77–70 victory in their most recent clash. With Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu leading a top-tier offense and the Storm struggling to cover in recent matchups against New York, the Liberty’s edge in both talent and execution makes them a strong play to cover on the road.

With the total set at 163, the over looks like a strong play in today’s Liberty–Storm clash thanks to elite offensive firepower and recent scoring trends. New York enters averaging 89.1 points per game, led by Breanna Stewart (21.1 PPG) and Sabrina Ionescu (20.4 PPG), who’s riding a hot streak with back-to-back 34-point performances. Even without Jonquel Jones, the Liberty have maintained pace and spacing, leaning on Natasha Cloud’s playmaking and Nyara Sabally’s energy. On the other side, Seattle is shooting a league-best 38.5% from three and has four players hitting over 43.5% from deep. Skylar Diggins and Nneka Ogwumike anchor a Storm offense that’s averaged 86 points over their last 10 games. With both teams ranking top-five in offensive efficiency and the Storm thriving in transition, this matchup has all the ingredients for a high-scoring shootout that sails past the number.

The Minnesota Lynx are poised to cover the -10 spread against the Los Angeles Sparks thanks to elite depth, home dominance, and recent head-to-head blowouts. Even with Napheesa Collier listed as questionable, Minnesota has won nine of the last ten meetings with L.A., including back-to-back double-digit wins this season (101-78 and 89-75).

 The Sparks, meanwhile, are without Odyssey Sims and rank near the bottom of the WNBA in defensive efficiency, allowing 86.9 points per game. With Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams, and Diamond Miller all contributing at a high level, the Lynx have more than enough firepower to dominate again at Target Center.

Phoenix are in a strong position to cover the spread against the struggling Connecticut Sun tonight. Phoenix enters with an 8-4 record, riding a two-game win streak and averaging nearly 80 points per game, while Connecticut has dropped four of their last five and sits at 2-9 overall. The Sun are also on the second night of a back-to-back, coming off an emotionally draining loss to Indiana that included multiple ejections and visible fatigue. With Kahleah Copper and Natasha Cloud leading a balanced Mercury attack and Connecticut ranking last in the WNBA in both offensive and defensive rating, Phoenix has the firepower and momentum to dominate from tip to buzzer

Washington has struggled offensively, ranking ninth in the WNBA in points per game (77.4), while Atlanta has been inconsistent from beyond the arc, shooting just 31.2% from three over their last five games. Additionally, both teams have emphasized defensive intensity, with the Mystics holding opponents to 79.4 points per game and Atlanta forcing an average of 15 turnovers per contest. With slower-paced possessions and defensive adjustments, expect a gritty battle that stays under the opening total.

The Washington Mystics are in a strong position to cover the +5.5 spread against the Atlanta Dream on Sunday, backed by their recent defensive resurgence and ability to slow down Atlanta’s fast-paced offense. Washington held the Connecticut Sun to just 67 points in their last game, snapping a streak of three straight contests where they allowed 85+ points. Meanwhile, the Dream rely heavily on Rhyne Howard’s scoring, but Washington’s perimeter defense has been effective at limiting star players. With Brittney Sykes averaging 20.6 points per game and leading the Mystics’ offensive push, expect Washington to keep this game competitive and cover the number

Both teams have struggled defensively, ranking last in the WNBA in points allowed per game (89.3). The Sun have given up 100+ points in three of their last five games, while the Sky have allowed an average of 88 points per game during their three-game losing streak. Additionally, Chicago’s Kamilla Cardoso and Angel Reese have been dominant in the paint, creating second-chance opportunities that could push the scoring higher. With both teams struggling to contain opponents and Connecticut looking to bounce back from a 104-67 loss to Washington, expect a fast-paced, offensive showdown that clears the posted total.

Seattle has been one of the best defensive teams in the league, allowing just 79.3 points per game, while Golden State has struggled offensively, ranking third-worst in effective field goal percentage (45.5%). Additionally, the Valkyries will be without three key players, including Janelle Salaun, who contributed 21 points in their last win. With Seattle’s elite perimeter defense limiting Golden State’s three-point opportunities and the Valkyries missing offensive firepower, expect a slower-paced game that stays under the posted total.

The Indiana Fever are in a strong position to cover the +5.5 spread against the New York Liberty today, fueled by the return of Caitlin Clark, who has been sidelined since May 24 with a quad injury. Clark’s presence will boost Indiana’s offensive efficiency, as she was averaging 19 points and 9 assists per game before her injury. Additionally, the Liberty are dealing with key injuries, including Jonquel Jones, who remains questionable. With the Fever playing at home and looking to bounce back from a recent loss, expect them to keep this game competitive and cover the number.

The Liberty have seen the total stay under 170.5 in 7 of their last 9 games, while the Fever have also struggled to hit high-scoring marks, failing to surpass 170.5 in 5 straight contests. Additionally, with Caitlin Clark returning from injury, the Fever may ease her back into action, limiting their offensive explosiveness. Expect a slower-paced game, with the Liberty’s elite defense controlling the tempo and keeping the total under the posted line.

Paige Bueckers is coming off a breakout performance, scoring 35 points in her last game, proving she can be a game-changer. Meanwhile, the Aces have struggled defensively, allowing 89.5 points per game, which plays into Dallas' fast-paced offensive style. Additionally, Las Vegas is dealing with injury concerns, including A’ja Wilson, who is listed as day-to-day. With Dallas pushing the tempo and Bueckers stepping up, the Wings have a solid chance to stay within the number.

Atlanta has been pushing the tempo, averaging 77.0 points per game, while Chicago’s defense has struggled, allowing 82.5 points per game last season. Additionally, Allisha Gray is coming off a 23-point performance, showing her ability to spark Atlanta’s offense. With both teams favoring an up-tempo style and Chicago’s defensive vulnerabilities, this game has all the ingredients for a shootout.

are in a strong position to cover the -10.5 spread against the Chicago Sky on Friday, backed by key advantages. Atlanta has dominated recent matchups, winning four of their last five games, while Chicago has struggled defensively, allowing an average of 82.5 points per game. Additionally, Allisha Gray and Rhyne Howard have been consistent scoring threats, with Gray averaging 16.5 points per game. With home-court advantage and Chicago missing key players like Elizabeth Williams, the Dream have the depth and firepower to secure a comfortable win.

The Seattle Storm are in a strong position to cover the +4.5 spread against the Minnesota Lynx, leveraging their home-court advantage and defensive improvements. While Minnesota remains unbeaten, Seattle has been 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games, showing they can keep matchups competitive. With Skylar Diggins-Smith orchestrating the offense and Ezi Magbegor controlling the paint, the Storm have the tools to slow Minnesota’s attack and keep this game within the number. If Seattle executes defensively and capitalizes on transition opportunities, they have a solid shot at covering.