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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-06-23 | Joaquin Niemann v. Justin Rose -130 | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Augusta National Golf Course for the first major championship of the year with The Masters. This a Par 72 event consisting of 7545 yards. The average round last year at this tournament was 73.951. Despite the length of Augusta National which plays even longer given the elevated greens on many of the holes, this remains a second-shot course where shot-shaping and placement remain a priority. The Bentgrass greens average 6500 square feet and play ultra-fast measuring up to 13 feet on the stimpmeter. The tournament features 88 professionals including 18 players from the LIV Tour. The top 50 players will make the weekend cut. Rain is expected on the weekend which will amp up the winds while the temperatures are expected to drop into the mid-50s. Money Management advice: I like to consider the three "to win" prop bets as lottery tickets. If your typical bet is X, then I am fine if you wager 10-30% of X into each golfer to win - -just be consistent with that method from week-to-week. I am also fine if you are more ambitious with these bets and wager up to X on each golfer-per-week. Over the course of the season, we have been profitable -- so I preach consistency with the investments each week. I am also OK with a slow uptick in the initial investment if the bankroll warrants -- maybe go from 20% of X to 25%. For the head-to-head prop bets, treat them as either 10* or 20* bets (if you choose to invest in them) -- and stay consistent from week-to-week. |
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04-06-23 | Rory McIlroy v. Jon Rahm +1.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Augusta National Golf Course for the first major championship of the year with The Masters. This a Par 72 event consisting of 7545 yards. The average round last year at this tournament was 73.951. Despite the length of Augusta National which plays even longer given the elevated greens on many of the holes, this remains a second-shot course where shot-shaping and placement remain a priority. The Bentgrass greens average 6500 square feet and play ultra-fast measuring up to 13 feet on the stimpmeter. The tournament features 88 professionals including 18 players from the LIV Tour. The top 50 players will make the weekend cut. Rain is expected on the weekend which will amp up the winds while the temperatures are expected to drop into the mid-50s. Money Management advice: I like to consider the three "to win" prop bets as lottery tickets. If your typical bet is X, then I am fine if you wager 10-30% of X into each golfer to win - -just be consistent with that method from week-to-week. I am also fine if you are more ambitious with these bets and wager up to X on each golfer-per-week. Over the course of the season, we have been profitable -- so I preach consistency with the investments each week. I am also OK with a slow uptick in the initial investment if the bankroll warrants -- maybe go from 20% of X to 25%. For the head-to-head prop bets, treat them as either 10* or 20* bets (if you choose to invest in them) -- and stay consistent from week-to-week. |
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04-06-23 | Cameron Young v. Sungjae Im +1.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Augusta National Golf Course for the first major championship of the year with The Masters. This a Par 72 event consisting of 7545 yards. The average round last year at this tournament was 73.951. Despite the length of Augusta National which plays even longer given the elevated greens on many of the holes, this remains a second-shot course where shot-shaping and placement remain a priority. The Bentgrass greens average 6500 square feet and play ultra-fast measuring up to 13 feet on the stimpmeter. The tournament features 88 professionals including 18 players from the LIV Tour. The top 50 players will make the weekend cut. Rain is expected on the weekend which will amp up the winds while the temperatures are expected to drop into the mid-50s. Money Management advice: I like to consider the three "to win" prop bets as lottery tickets. If your typical bet is X, then I am fine if you wager 10-30% of X into each golfer to win - -just be consistent with that method from week-to-week. I am also fine if you are more ambitious with these bets and wager up to X on each golfer-per-week. Over the course of the season, we have been profitable -- so I preach consistency with the investments each week. I am also OK with a slow uptick in the initial investment if the bankroll warrants -- maybe go from 20% of X to 25%. For the head-to-head prop bets, treat them as either 10* or 20* bets (if you choose to invest in them) -- and stay consistent from week-to-week. |
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03-30-23 | Tyrrell Hatton v. Corey Conners +1.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 0 h 4 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to TPC San Antonio for the Valero Texas Open this week. The Oaks Course is a Par 72 consisting of 7438 yards. Three of the four Par 5s are at least 590 yards in length. The professionals will once again have to contend with gusty winds that are not uncommon for this event. Last year, only 56% of their drives off the tee landed in the fairway, a drop from the 62% PGA Tour average. The average score was 71.763 per round last year. The Bermuda greens are overseeded with Poa trivilias grass that will register up to 11 1/2 feet on the stimpmeter. The winner of this event earns automatic qualification to the Masters at Augusta National next week. |
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03-30-23 | Si Woo Kim -112 v. Rickie Fowler | 0-1 | Loss | -112 | 0 h 11 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to TPC San Antonio for the Valero Texas Open this week. The Oaks Course is a Par 72 consisting of 7438 yards. Three of the four Par 5s are at least 590 yards in length. The professionals will once again have to contend with gusty winds that are not uncommon for this event. Last year, only 56% of their drives off the tee landed in the fairway, a drop from the 62% PGA Tour average. The average score was 71.763 per round last year. The Bermuda greens are overseeded with Poa trivilias grass that will register up to 11 1/2 feet on the stimpmeter. The winner of this event earns automatic qualification to the Masters at Augusta National next week. |
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03-30-23 | Alexander Noren v. Cameron Davis +0.5 | 70-80 | Loss | -125 | 0 h 23 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to TPC San Antonio for the Valero Texas Open this week. The Oaks Course is a Par 72 consisting of 7438 yards. Three of the four Par 5s are at least 590 yards in length. The professionals will once again have to contend with gusty winds that are not uncommon for this event. Last year, only 56% of their drives off the tee landed in the fairway, a drop from the 62% PGA Tour average. The average score was 71.763 per round last year. The Bermuda greens are overseeded with Poa trivilias grass that will register up to 11 1/2 feet on the stimpmeter. The winner of this event earns automatic qualification to the Masters at Augusta National next week. |
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03-16-23 | Matthew Fitzpatrick v. Justin Rose +0.5 | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 1 h 33 m | Show | |
The Florida swing of the PGA Tour concludes its four-week run by moving to Northwest Tampa in Pearl Harbor, Florida for the Valspar Championship at the Copperhead Course at the Innisbrook Resort. This is a Par 71 tournament consisting of five Par 3s, four Par 5s, and just nine Par 4s. The course consists of 7340 yards with tree-lined fairways that average a narrow 22 yards. The rough is as high as 3 3/4 inches. The TifEagle Bermuda greens average 5800 square feet and measure up to 12 1/2 inches on the stimpmeter. |
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03-16-23 | Tommy Fleetwood -120 v. Brian Harman | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 0 h 25 m | Show | |
The Florida swing of the PGA Tour concludes its four-week run by moving to Northwest Tampa in Pearl Harbor, Florida for the Valspar Championship at the Copperhead Course at the Innisbrook Resort. This is a Par 71 tournament consisting of five Par 3s, four Par 5s, and just nine Par 4s. The course consists of 7340 yards with tree-lined fairways that average a narrow 22 yards. The rough be as high as 3 3/4 inches. The TifEagle Bermuda greens average 5800 square feet and measure up to 12 1/2 inches on the stimpmeter. |
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03-16-23 | Nick Taylor -120 v. Tyler Duncan | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 0 h 15 m | Show | |
The Florida swing of the PGA Tour concludes its four-week run by moving to Northwest Tampa in Pearl Harbor, Florida for the Valspar Championship at the Copperhead Course at the Innisbrook Resort. This is a Par 71 tournament consisting of five Par 3s, four Par 5s, and just nine Par 4s. The course consists of 7340 yards with tree-lined fairways that average a narrow 22 yards. The rough can be as high as 3 3/4 inches. The TifEagle Bermuda greens average 5800 square feet and measure up to 12 1/2 inches on the stimpmeter. |
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03-09-23 | Viktor Hovland -147 v. Jordan Spieth | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 0 h 2 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour continues its Florida swing with the PLAYERS Championship at the TPC Sawgrass Stadium Course in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida. The so-called “fifth” major championship is a Par 72 event on a course consisting of 7275 yards. The average score last year was 72.619 per round. The challenges are numerous with 88 bunkers' water impacting all but one of the holes. This is a Pete Dye-designed course — and his tracks tend to twist and turn to privilege ball-shaping versus pure distance. The greens are TifEagle Bermuda grass oversewed with Poa trivialis. The smaller greens average 5500 square feet that can measure off to 13 inches on the stimpmeter. |
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For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.