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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-26-19 | Yankees v. Royals OVER 9 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show |
At 2:15 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (969) and the Kansas City Royals (970) listing both starting pitchers Domingo German and Danny Duffy. THE SITUATION: New York (34-17) has won seven straight games in a row after sweeping yesterday’s double-header — winning Game One by a 7-3 score before winning the nightcap by a 6-5 score. Kansas City (17-34) has lost three straight games. |
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05-19-19 | Cubs v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday. we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (913) and the Washington Nationals (914) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Jeremy Hellickson. THE SITUATION: Washington (18-26) has won three of the last four games after winning the second game of this series last night by a 5-2 score. Chicago (26-16) has lost three of their last four games. |
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05-13-19 | Brewers v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -112 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (901) and the Philadelphia Phillies (902) listing both starting pitchers Freddy Peralta and Aaron Nola. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (24-18) has lost two straight games after their 4-1 loss in Chicago last night against the Cubs. Philadelphia (23-16) has won two straight games with their 6-1 victory in Kansas City yesterday. |
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04-26-19 | Rockies v. Braves UNDER 9 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -113 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:20 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (957) and the Atlanta Braves (958) listing both starting pitchers Antonio Senzatela and Max Fried. THE SITUATION: Colorado (11-14) enters this series having won eight of their last ten games with their 9-1 victory over Washington on Wednesday. Atlanta (12-11) has lost two of their last three games after a 4-2 loss at Cincinnati yesterday. |
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04-21-19 | Braves v. Indians OVER 8 | Top | 11-5 | Win | 101 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (929) and the Cleveland Indians (930) listing both starting pitchers Max Fried and Shane Bieber. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (10-10) snapped a four-game losing streak yesterday by defeating Cleveland (12-8) by an 8-7 score. |
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10-28-18 | Red Sox v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -102 | 1 h 19 m | Show |
At 8:09 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (909) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (910) listing both starting pitchers David Price and Clayton Kershaw. THE SITUATION: Boston (118-57) seized a 3-1 lead in the World Series last night with their come-from-behind 9-6 victory over the Dodgers. |
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10-24-18 | Dodgers v. Red Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
At 8:09 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (903) and the Boston Red Sox (904) listing both starting pitchers Hyun-Jun Ryu and David Price. THE SITUATION: Boston (116-56) won Game One of the World Series last night by an 8-4 score over the Dodgers. |
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10-17-18 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 8 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
At 8:39 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (913) and the Houston Astros (914) listing both starting pitchers Rick Porcello and Charlie Morton. THE SITUATION: Boston (112-56) took a 2-1 lead in this series last night with their 5-2 victory over the Astros in the American League Championship Series. |
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10-15-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
At 7:39 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (953) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (954) listing both starting pitchers Jhoulys Chacin and Walker Buehler. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (4-3) evened this series at 1-1 on Saturday with their 4-4 victory over the Brewers in the second game of the National League Championship Series. This series moves to Los Angeles for the next three games. |
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10-09-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (921) and the New York Yankees (922) listing both starting pitchers Rick Porcello and C.C. Sabathia. THE SITUATION: Boston (110-55) seized a 2-1 lead in this ALDS last night with their 16-1 beatdown against the Yankees. The Red Sox have the opportunity to close out this series tonight. |
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10-08-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 16-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:40 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (913) and the New York Yankees (914) listing both starting pitchers Nathan Eovaldi and Luis Severino. THE SITUATION: New York (102-65) evened this series at 1-1 on Saturday with their 6-2 victory over the Red Sox in Game Two of this series. |
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10-08-18 | Astros v. Indians OVER 8.5 | Top | 11-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show |
At 1:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (915) and the Cleveland Indians (916) listing both starting pitchers Dallas Keuchel and Mike Clevinger. THE SITUATION: Houston (105-59) has taken a 2-0 lead in this ALDS with their 3-1 victory over the Indians in the second game of this series on Saturday. |
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10-07-18 | Dodgers v. Braves OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
At 8:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (957) and the Atlanta Braves (958) listing both starting pitchers Walker Buehler and Sean Newcomb. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (94-71) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Friday with their 3-0 victory over the Braves in the second game of this NLDS. |
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10-04-18 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
At 8:37 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (903) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (904) listing both starting pitchers Mike Foltynewicz and Hyun-Jin Ryu. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (90-72) enters the postseason having lost four of their last five games after their 3-1 loss in Philadelphia on Sunday. Los Angeles (92-71) has won four straight games after they won their 163rd game tie-breaker on Monday with their 5-2 win over Colorado. |
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10-03-18 | A's v. Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
At 8:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oakland A’s (939) and the New York Yankees (940) (do not list the starting pitchers — I will explain below). THE SITUATION: Oakland (97-65) begins the postseason coming off a 5-4 loss in Los Angeles to the Angels on Sunday. New York (100-62) looks to rebound from a 10-2 loss in Boston on Sunday to close out their regular season. It will all be on the line for both teams in this single-elimination showdown of the American League Wildcard Playoffs. |
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10-01-18 | Rockies v. Dodgers OVER 7 | Top | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 2 h 49 m | Show |
At 4:09 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (953) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (954) listing both starting pitchers German Marquez and Walker Buehler. THE SITUATION: These two teams need a 163rd game to determine the winner of the National League West. Colorado (91-71) has won nine of their last ten games after they ripped Washington by a 12-0 score yesterday. Los Angeles (91-71) has won six of their last eight contests with their 15-0 victory in San Francisco yesterday. The loser of this game goes on the road in the National League Wildcard game tomorrow while the winner will host Atlanta in a National League Divisional Series. |
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09-12-18 | Braves v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
At 3:45 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (905) and the San Francisco Giants (906) listing both starting pitchers Anibal Sanchez and Derek Holland. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (81-64) has won four straight games after they won Game Two of their series with the Giants last night by a 4-1 score for the second straight day. |
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09-09-18 | Astros v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -120 | 1 h 28 m | Show |
At 8:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (977) and the Boston Red Sox (978) listing both starting pitchers Dallas Keuchel and Rick Porcello. THE SITUATION: Houston (89-53) has won seven straight games after winning the second game of this series last night by a 5-3 score against the Red Sox. |
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08-30-18 | Cubs v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (955) and the Atlanta Braves (956) listing both starting pitchers Mike Montgomery and Mike Foltynewicz. THE SITUATION: Chicago (78-54) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped last night with their 10-3 loss to the Mets yesterday. Atlanta (74-58) looks to rebound from an 8-5 loss to Tampa Bay yesterday. |
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08-30-18 | Brewers v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
At 12:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (951) and the Cincinnati Reds (952) listing both starting pitchers Wade Miley and Cody Reed. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (73-60) outlasted the Reds in the second game of this series by a 13-12 score in 10 innings last night. |
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08-28-18 | Diamondbacks v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
At 10:15 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Diamondbacks (959) and the San Francisco Giants (960) listing both starting pitchers Clay Buchholz and Madison Bumgarner. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (66-67) has won three straight games with their 2-0 shutout win over the Diamondbacks in the opening game of this series last night. |
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08-25-18 | Braves v. Marlins UNDER 8 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (905) and the Miami Marlins (906) listing both starting pitchers Anibal Sanchez and Wei-Yin Chen. THE SITUATION: Miami (52-78) rebounded from a 5-0 loss on Thursday to shutout the Braves on Friday with their 1-0 victory. |
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08-19-18 | Mets v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Mets (913) and the Philadelphia Phillies (914) listing both starting pitchers Jason Vargas and Nick Pivetta. THE SITUATION: These two teams have split the first four games of this series after New York (53-69) defeated Philadelphia (68-55) yesterday by a 3-1 score. This series travels south to Williamsport, Pennsylvania for ESPN’s second annual Little League Classic to be played at Bowman Field (with Major League dimensions). |
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08-17-18 | Brewers v. Cardinals OVER 8 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:15 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (911) and the St. Louis Cardinals (912) listing both starting pitchers Freddy Peralta and Jack Flaherty. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (68-55) has lost four of their last six games after their 8-4 loss in Chicago against the Cubs on Wednesday. St. Louis (66-56) saw their eight-game winning streak snapped won Wednesday with their 5-4 loss to Washington yesterday. |
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08-15-18 | Red Sox v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (921) and the Philadelphia Phillies (922) listing both starting pitchers Nathan Eovaldi and Vincent Velasquez. THE SITUATION: Boston (86-35) has won eleven of their last twelve games with their 2-1 win over the Phillies yesterday in the opening game of this series. |
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08-13-18 | Mets v. Yankees OVER 7 | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (921) and the New York Yankees (922) listing both starting pitchers Jacob DeGrom and Luis Severino. THE SITUATION: The Mets (49-66) has won three of their last four games after their 4-3 win in Miami yesterday. The Yankees (74-43) has won six of their last seven games with their 7-2 win over Texas on Sunday. |
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08-07-18 | Orioles v. Rays OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 35 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (915) and the Tampa Bay Rays (916) listing both starting pitchers Alex Cobb and Tyler Glasnow. THE SITUATION: Baltimore (34-78) snapped their three-game losing streak on Sunday with their 9-6 win in Texas. Tampa Bay (56-56) has lost three straight games with their 8-7 loss to the White Sox on Sunday. After a travel day yesterday, these two teams begin their series tonight. |
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07-29-18 | Cubs v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (963) and the St. Louis Cardinals (964) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and John Gant. THE SITUATION: St. Louis (53-51) has won three of their last four games after winning the second game of this series yesterday by a 6-2 score over the Cubs. |
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07-27-18 | Phillies v. Reds OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Phillies (953) and the Cincinnati Reds (954) listing both starting pitchers Nick Pivetta and Anthony DeSclafani. THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (58-44) won the opening game of this series last night over Cincinnati (45-58) by a 9-4 score. |
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07-22-18 | Cardinals v. Cubs OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
At 2:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (909) and the Chicago Cubs (910) listing both starting pitchers Miles Mikolas and Jose Quintana. THE SITUATION: St. Louis (50-48) won the second-game of their double-header with the Cubs yesterday with a 6-3 score that avenged a 7-2 loss to Chicago (57-40) in the afternoon. These NL Central rivals have split the first four games of this series. |
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07-21-18 | Cardinals v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 1 h 54 m | Show |
At 7:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (961) and the Chicago Cubs (962) listing both starting pitchers John Gant and Mike Montgomery. THE SITUATION: Chicago (57-39) won the opening game of their double-header with St. Louis (49-48) by a 7-2 score this afternoon. |
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07-15-18 | Cubs v. Padres OVER 8 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
At 4:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (911) and the San Diego Padres (912) listing both starting pitchers Jon Lester and Eric Lauer. THE SITUATION: Chicago (54-38) has won five of their last seven games with their 11-6 victory over the Padres. |
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07-14-18 | Yankees v. Indians OVER 9 | Top | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (973) and the Cleveland Indians (974) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Mike Clevinger. THE SITUATION: Cleveland (51-42) has won two of their last three games with their 6-5 victory over the Yankees on Friday. |
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07-13-18 | Nationals v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (903) and the New York Mets (904) listing both starting pitchers Tanner Roark and Noah Syndergaard. THE SITUATION: Washington (47-46) won the opening game of this series with their 5-4 win over the Mets yesterday. |
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07-11-18 | Reds v. Indians OVER 9 | Top | 4-19 | Win | 100 | 1 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds (925) and the Cleveland Indians (926) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Mahle and Carlos Carrasco. THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (41-51) has won the opening two games of this series with their 7-4 victory over the Indians. |
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07-10-18 | Mariners v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
At 10:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Mariners (973) and the Los Angeles Angels (974) listing both starting pitchers Mike Leake and Garrett Richards. THE SITUATION: Seattle (57-34) enters this series coming off a 6-4 win over Colorado on Sunday. Los Angeles (46-45) enters this series after they defeated the Dodgers by a 4-3 score for ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball. |
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07-09-18 | Nationals v. Pirates UNDER 9.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (901) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (902) listing both starting pitchers Jefry Rodriguez and Ivan Nova. THE SITUATION: Washington (45-44) saw their three-game winning streak snapped yesterday with their 10-2 loss to Miami. Pittsburgh (41-48) snapped their five-game losing streak with a 4-1 win over the Phillies yesterday. |
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07-08-18 | Reds v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show |
At 2:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds (957) and the Chicago Cubs (958) listing both starting pitchers Luis Castillo and Jon Lester. THE SITUATION: Chicago (50-36) has won seven of their last eight games with their 8-7 win over the Reds yesterday where they rallied from a 7-4 deficit in the bottom of the 8th inning to score four runs and pull out that comeback victory. |
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07-06-18 | Red Sox v. Royals UNDER 8 | Top | 10-5 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:15 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (973) and the Kansas City Royals (974) listing both starting pitchers Chris Sale and Jason Hammel. THE SITUATION: Boston (59-29) has won eight of their last ten games with their 3-0 win in Washington on Wednesday. Kansas City (25-61) has lost six in a row with their 3-2 loss to Cleveland on Wednesday. |
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06-22-18 | Yankees v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (965) and the Tampa Bay Rays (966) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Ryne Stanek. THE SITUATION: New York (50-22) has won seven of their last eight games with their 4-2 win over Seattle yesterday. Tampa Bay (34-40) has lost five of their last seven contests with their 5-1 loss at Houston on Wednesday. |
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06-17-18 | Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (907) and the St. Louis Cardinals (908) listing both starting pitchers Jose Quintana and Jack Flaherty. THE SITUATION: Chicago (40-27) snapped their three-game losing streak last night with their 6-3 victory over the Cardinals. |
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06-12-18 | Mets v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -120 | 2 h 40 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Mets (955) and the Atlanta Braves (956) listing both starting pitchers Zack Wheeler and Mike Foltynewicz. THE SITUATION: New York (28-34) snapped their eight-game losing streak on Sunday with their 2-0 win over the Yankees. Atlanta (37-28) has lost three of their last four games with their 7-2 loss in Los Angeles to the Dodgers on Sunday. |
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06-04-18 | Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
At 10:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Arizona Diamondbacks (953) and the San Francisco Giants (954) listing both starting pitchers Zack Godley and Derek Holland. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (29-30) has won four straight games with their 6-1 win over Philadelphia yesterday. Arizona (31-27) has won five of their last six games with their 6-1 win in Miami yesterday. |
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05-31-18 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 8-10 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 13 m | Show |
At 7:15 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Pirates (953) and the St. Louis Cardinals (954) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Williams and Jack Flaherty. THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (29-26) snapped their four-game losing streak yesterday with their 2-1 win over the Cubs. St. Louis (29-24) has lost two of their last three games with their 3-2 loss in Milwaukee yesterday. The Cardinals return home to host this series. |
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05-30-18 | Mets v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -103 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (907) and the Atlanta Braves (908) listing both starting pitchers Jason Vargas and Julio Teheran. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (32-22) won the third game of this series on Tuesday with a 7-6 victory over the Mets. The series concludes with a fourth game tonight. |
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05-23-18 | Royals v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
At 1:15 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Royals (975) and the St. Louis Cardinals (976) listing both starting pitchers Jakob Junis and Michael Wacha. THE SITUATION: Kansas City (15-33) won the second game of this series last night by a 5-1 score. This three-game series concludes this afternoon in this getaway game in St. Louis (26-20). |
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05-22-18 | Red Sox v. Rays UNDER 7 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 105 | 1 h 55 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (915) and the Tampa Bay Rays (916) listing both starting pitchers Chris Sale and Jake Faria. THE SITUATION: Boston (32-15) has won four of their last five games after their 5-0 win over Baltimore on Sunday. Tampa Bay (22-23) hosts this series after seeing their six-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with a 5-2 loss in Los Angeles against the Angels. |
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05-20-18 | Indians v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (927) and the Houston Astros (928) listing both starting pitchers Carlos Carrasco and Lance McCullers. THE SITUATION: Cleveland (22-22) won the second game of this series yesterday with their 5-4 victory over the Astros. The series concludes tonight in Houston for Sunday Night Baseball on ESPN. |
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05-16-18 | A's v. Red Sox OVER 8 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 105 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oakland A’s (915) and the Boston Red Sox (916) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Cahill and Chris Sale. THE SITUATION: Oakland (21-21) won the second game of this series last night with their 5-3 victory in Boston. |
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04-25-18 | Nationals v. Giants UNDER 7 | Top | 15-2 | Loss | -110 | 0 h 25 m | Show |
At 3:45 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (953) and the San Francisco Giants (954) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Jeff Samardzija. Washington (10-14) has lost four straight games after their 4-3 loss in Game Two of this series against the Giants. The Nationals are swinging cold bats right now as they are scoring only 3.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .211 batting average along with a .285 On-Base Percentage and a .589 OPS over that span. These cold bats have helped Washington play four straight Unders — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing their last two games Under the Total. The Nationals have not committed an error in the field in five straight games — and they have then played 39 of their last 63 games Under the Total after not committing an error in at least two straight games. Washington has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing as a road favorite with double-revenge on their minds. They send out Scherzer who is 4-1 with a 1.36 ERA and a 0.76 WHIP in five starts this season. The right-hander was more effective on the road last year where he enjoyed a 1.82 ERA along with a 0.81 WHIP and .156 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 3.25 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and .200 opponent’s batting average when at home. Scherzer was also better in day games where he sported a 1.90 ERA, 0.77 WHIP and .140 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 2.72 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and .191 opponent’s batting average at night. Washington has seen the Under go a decisive 31-14-6 in their last 51 games on the road. The Nationals have also seen the Under go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games with Scherzer on the mound on the road. He should fare well against this San Fran team that has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Under is also 15-5-1 in the Giants’ last 21 games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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10-27-17 | Dodgers v. Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (905) and the Houston Astros (906) listing both starting pitchers Yu Darvish and Lance McCullers. Los Angeles (112-60) evened this series at 1-1 on Wednesday with their 7-6 win in extra innings in what became a game for the ages in World Series history. The Dodgers have played 5 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Under is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after an off day. Now they go on the road where the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games away from home. They give the ball to Darvish who is 10-12 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP this season. The right-hander was been more effective on the road during the regular season where he had a 2.44 ERA with a .206 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 5.25 ERA along with a .246 opponent’s batting average at home with Texas and then the Dodgers after being traded to LA. The right-hander has been outstanding in this postseason where he has a 2–0 record with a 1.59 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in two starts. Darvish’s teams have played 11 of their last 12 road games Under the Total when priced in the +/- 125 price-range. He faces an Astros team that is hitting just .201 over their last seven games with a .280 On-Base Percentage and .638 OPS over that span. Houston has played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Astros have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. |
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10-20-17 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -122 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (913) and the Houston Astros (914) listing both starting pitchers Luis Severino and Justin Verlander. Houston (106-65) returns home having lost all three games in Yankee Stadium after their 5-0 loss on Wednesday. The Astros have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss. Houston has not scored more than four runs in five straight games — and they have then played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total after not scoring more than four runs in at least four straight games. Furthermore, the Under is 15-5-1 in the Astros’ last 21 home ames against teams with a losing record on the road. They give the ball to Verlander tonight who has been outstanding for them since being acquired from the Tigers at the trade deadline. In his five regular season starts wearing an Astros uniform, Verlander had a 5-0 record with a 1.06 ERA and a 0.65 WHIP. In his two regular season starts in Houston, Verlander had a 0.64 ERA, 0.50 WHIP and 0.93 WHIP. The right-hander has been outstanding in the postseason with a 3-0 record along with a 2.04 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP with 16 strikeouts in 17 2/3 innings of work. In his 116 innings in his career in the playoffs, Verlander has a 10-5 record with a 3.18 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Verlander comes off a complete game where he allowed only one earned run against the Yankees in Game Two of this series — and not only am I not worried about the carry over from the pitch count from that effort with him pitching on his normal four days of rest but his teams have played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total when he is following up a start where he allowed one earned run or less. Furthermore, the Astros have played 5 of their 7 games Under the Total with Verlander on the mound for them. He faces a Yankees lineup that is hitting only .227 with a .301 On-Base Percentage and .688 OPS over their last seven games. Additionally, the Under is 3-0-1 in New York’s last 4 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. |
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10-18-17 | Dodgers v. Cubs UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
At 9:01 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (967) and the Chicago Cubs (968) listing both starting pitchers Alex Wood and Jake Arrieta. Chicago (95-75) finds themselves on the brink of elimination tonight after their 6-1 loss to the Dodgers last night. The Cubs have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss. Chicago has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Furthermore, not only have the Cubs played 4 straight home games Under the Total but they have also played 24 of their last 36 games Under the Total at home when a money-line favorite in the -100 to -150 price range. I was a little surprised to the see the Total listed at 9.5 (as of this writing) when it opened — but Chicago has played 29 of their last 46 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 9 to 9.5 range. They give the ball to Arrieta who is 14-10 with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.90 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP and .206 opponent’s batting average in ten starts. Arrieta has been good in the playoffs throughout his career given his 3.33 ERA along with a 1.07 WHIP in 46 innings of work. Additionally, the Under is 4-1-1 in the Cubs’ last 6 games with Arrieta facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Dodgers team that has seen the Under go 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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10-08-17 | Indians v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (953) and the New York Yankees (954) listing both starting pitchers Carlos Carrasco and Masahiro Tanaka. New York (92-73) finds themselves on the brink of elimination tonight after falling behind by a 2-0 margin in this series on Friday with their 9-8 loss to the Indians. The Yankees have then played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a loss. New York has also valued 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Furthermore, the Yankees have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Now New York returns home to Yankee Stadium where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. The Yanks have also played 7 of their last 9 games in the playoffs at home Under the Total. They give the ball to Tanaka who is 13-12 with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP this season. But the right-hander has been much better at home where he owns a 3.22 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and .223 opponent’s batting average in fifteen starts as compared to his 6.48 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and .292 opponent’s batting average in fifteen starts on the road. The Under is 6-2-1 in the Yankees’ last 9 home games with Tanaka on the hill. He should pitch well against this Cleveland team that is hitting just .220 over their last seven games with a mediocre .324 On-Base Percentage and a .703 OPS over that span. The Indians have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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10-03-17 | Twins v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Twins (931) and the New York Yankees (932) listing both starting pitchers Ervin Santana and Luis Severino. We have a strong technical situation here. New York (91-71) hosts this AL Wildcard game tonight as a heavy money-line favorite — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games Over the Total as a money-line favorite priced at least at -200. The Yankees enter this game having allowing 2 runs, 1 run and zero runs in their last three games. But New York has then played 20 of their last 30 games Over the Total after allowing three runs or less in their last two contests — and they have played 8 straight home games Over the Total after allowing no more than three runs in three straight games. And in their last 10 games after an off day, the Yankees have played 7 of these games Over the Total. They give the ball to Severino who is 14-6 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.04 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been less effective at home where he owns a 3.71 ERA in sixteen starts as compared to his 2.24 ERA in fifteen starts on the road. New York has played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with Severino on the mound — and that includes playing four straight Overs at home with Severino facing a team with a winning record. Furthermore, while Severino comes off a strong outing where he allowed just one earned run in 6 innings against the Rays — and not only have the Yankees played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total with Severino following up a Quality Start but they have also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total with Severino following up a start where he allowed only one earned run. |
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09-29-17 | Tigers v. Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:10 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (925) and the Minnesota Twins (926) while listing both starting pitchers Matthew Boyd and Kyle Gibson. Detroit (63-96) snapped their nine-game losing streak last night with their 4-1 win in Kansas City. The Tigers have then played 12 of their last 15 Over the Total after allowing two runs or less in their last game. Furthermore, not only has Detroit played 34 of their last 46 games Over the Total after losing three of their last four games but they have played 26 of their last 35 games Over the Total after losing four of their last five contests. This team has not scored more than four runs in eight straight games — but they have then played 19 of their last 25 games Over the Total after failing to score more than four runs in three straight games. And while the Tigers are looking to avenge getting swept at home in a four-game series against this Minnesota team, they have then played 16 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing with revenge after being swept in at least a three-game series against their opponent. Additionally, Detroit has played 6 of their last 7 opening games to a new series Over the Total. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record, the Over is 3-0-1. They give the ball to Boyd who is 6-10 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.54 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been less effective on the road where he owns a 5.86 ERA, 1.870 WHIP and .328 opponent’s batting average in twelve starts as compared to his 4.52 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and .256 opponent’s batting average in thirteen starts at home. The Tigers have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with Boyd on the hill. He faces a red-hot Minnesota offense that is scoring 7.3 Runs-Per-Game in their last three games with a .296 batting average along with a .350 On-Base Percentage and .815 OPS. The Over is 3-1-1 in the Twins’ last 5 games against starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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09-28-17 | Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
At 7:15 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (957) and the St. Louis Cardinals (958) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Lance Lynn. Chicago (89-69) won the third game of this series yesterday with their 5-2 victory yesterday. The Cubs have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against an opponent that allowed at least five runs in their last game. Chicago has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 28 of their last 39 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. They give the ball to Hendricks who is 7-5 with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 3.07 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and .235 opponent’s batting average in ten starts as compared to his 3.20 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .248 opponent’s batting average in thirteen starts at home. The Cubs have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total with Hendricks on the mound. He faces a Cardinals team that has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total at home against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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09-27-17 | Nationals v. Phillies UNDER 9 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (905) and the Philadelphia Phillies (906) listing both starting pitchers Tanner Roark and Mark Leiter. Philadelphia (63-95) has won two of their last three games with their 4-1 victory over the Nationals last night. The Phillies have now seen the Under go 6-2-3 in their last 11 games at home. That was just the second time in their last six games where they managed to score four runs — and they have then played 29 of their last 43 games Under the Total after playing at least four straight games where they scored no more than four runs. Additionally, the Under is 5-0-2 in Philly’s last 7 games Under the Total against NL East opponents. They give the ball to Leiter who is 3-6 with a 4.69 ERA and 1.27 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics call for immediate improvement with both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.10 or 4.12 moving forward. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.36 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and .207 opponent’s batting average in eleven starts as compared to his ugly 7.35 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and .281 opponent’s batting average in fifteen starts on the road. The Under is 4-0-1 in the Phillies’ last 5 home games with Leiter on the hill. He should fare well against this Washington team that is scoring just 3.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .192 batting average, .259 On-Base Percentage and .626 OPS over that span. Furthermore, the Under is 21-7-3 in the Nationals’ last 31 games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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09-26-17 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
At 9:40 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (961) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (962) listing both starting pitchers Matt Moore and Robbie Ray. San Francisco (62-95) exploded for nine runs last night in their 9-2 victory over the Diamondbacks in the opening game of this National League West series. The Giants have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. San Francisco has also played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams that allowed at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 48 games at night on the road, the Giants have played 30 of these games Over the Total. They give the ball to Moore who is 6-14 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.50 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been particularly ineffective on the road where he has been saddled with a 6.51 ERA, 1.69 WHIP and .306 opponent’s batting average in fourteen starts (sixteen games) on the road as compared to his 4.21 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and .260 opponent’s batting average in fourteen starts (seventeen games) at home. San Francisco has seen the Over go 7-0-1 in their last 8 road games with Moore facing a team with a winning record. He faces a hot-hitting Diamondbacks team that is scoring 5.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with an OPS of .802 over that span. |
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09-25-17 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Blue Jays (917) and the Boston Red Sox (918) listing both starting pitchers Brett Anderson and Drew Pomeranz. Boston (91-64) begins this series coming off a 5-4 win at Cincinnati yesterday afternoon. The Under is then 21-8-2 in the Red Sox’s last 31 games after a victory. Boston has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 51 games at home, the Under is 33-16-2 for the Red Sox — and this includes playing twenty-one of their last thirty home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. They give the ball to Pomeranz who is 16-5 with a 3.15 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 3.11 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and .241 opponent’s batting average in fifteen starts at home as compared to his 3.19 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and .255 opponent’s batting average in fifteen starts on the road. The Red Sox have played 4 of their las 5 games Under the Total with Pomeranz pitching on grass. He should fare well again this Blue Jays team that is hitting only .201 over their last seven games with a .274 On-Base Percentage and .636 OPS. The Under is a decisive 46-19-5 in Toronto’s last 70 games against left-handed starting pitchers. And in their last 27 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher, the Under is 18-8-1. |
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09-24-17 | Angels v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Angels (971) and the Houston Astros (972) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Skaggs and Lance McCullers. Houston (95-59) has won eight of their last nine games with their 6-2 victory in the second game of this series. The Astros have now played 5 straight games Under the Total after a victory. Houston has also seen the Under go 15-5-1 in their last 21 games at home — and that includes playing 6 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. They give the ball to McCullers making his first start since the beginning of the month after dealing with arm fatigue. He was fine in his last bullpen session and will be motivated to prove himself in this audition to be included in the team’s playoff rotation. For the season, McCullers has a 7-3 record along with a 3.97 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. The deeper sabermetrics are bullish with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.39 and 3.15 moving forward. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.87 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and .217 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 4.78 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and .265 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Astros have played 17 of their last 22 home games Under the Total with McCullers on the mound. He should fare well against this LA team that has played 4 straight road games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. This is a slumping Angels’ team playing out the string. Over their last seven games, this team is scoring only 2.1 Runs-Per-Game with a .186 batting average along with a .272 On-Base Percentage and .576 OPS. |
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08-30-17 | Giants v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
At 9:10 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (911) and the San Diego Padres (912) listing both starting pitchers Ty Blach and Travis Wood. San Diego (58-74) snapped their four-game losing streak last night with their 6-3 win over the Giants. The Padres have then seen the Over go 13-4-1 in their last 18 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 19-7-1 in San Diego’s last 27 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. They give the ball to Wood who is 3-4 with a 6.67 ERA and 1.63 WHIP this season. Since being picked up by the Padres after being waived by the Royals, the left-hander has struggled at home where he has a 1.85 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .355 as opposed to his more mild 1.77 WHIP and .283 opponent’s batting average on the road. Wood’s teams have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when he is making the start. He faces a Giants team that has played 4 straight games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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08-24-17 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (907) and the Cincinnati Reds (908) listing both starting pitchers Jake Arrieta and Sal Romano. Cincinnati (53-74) has lost three straight games after their 9-3 loss to the Cubs . The Reds’ pitching is just getting clobbered right now as they have surrendered at least eight runs in four straight games. Cincinnati has then played 7 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least seven runs in three straight games. The Reds have also played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a loss. Furthermore, Cincy has played 8 of ther last 11 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. And this Reds team has played 20 of their last 26 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a loss by at least six runs. Additionally, Cincinnati has played 7 straight home games Over the Total at home. They give the ball to Romano who is 3-5 with a 5.32 ERA and 1.58 WHIP this season. The right-hander has particularly struggled at home where he has been saddled with a 6.63 ERA along with a 1.74 WHIP and .296 opponent’s batting average in four starts as compared to his 4.39 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .282 opponent’s batting average in five starts on the road. He faces a red-hot Cubs team that is scoring 6.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games along with a .297 batting average with a .380 On-Base Percentage and .864 OPS during that span. Chicago has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Cubs have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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08-21-17 | Dodgers v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (951) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (952) listing both starting pitchers Alex Wood and Gerrit Cole. Los Angeles (87-35) suffered a rare loss yesterday in a 6-1 loss to the Tigers and Justin Verlander. The Dodgers have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a loss. Los Angeles has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road. They give the ball to Wood who is 14-1 with a 2.30 ERA and 1.01 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been particularly tough on the road where he enjoys a 1.72 ERA along with a 1.01 WHIP and .201 opponent’s batting average in nine starts as compared to his still strong (but not filthy) 2.77 ERA along with a 1.02 WHIP and .211 opponent’s batting average in ten starts (twelve games) at home. Furthermore, while Wood comes off another strong start where he allowed only one run at home against the White Sox — and the Dodgers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Wood looking to follow up a Quality Start. |
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08-11-17 | Indians v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (969) and the Tampa Bay Rays (970) listing both starting pitchers Carlos Carrasco and Jacob Faria. Tampa Bay (59-57) won the opening game of this series last night with their 4-1 win over the Indians. The Rays have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a win. Tampa Bay has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games at home, the Rays have played 6 of these games Under the Total. They give the ball to their Faria who is 5-2 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.14 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he enjoys a 2.56 ERA along with a 1.07 WHIP and .207 opponent’s batting average in five starts at home as compared to his 3.03 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and .221 opponent’s batting average in six starts on the road. Faria comes off a tough-luck loss in his last start where he allowed just one earned run in 6 innings of work against the Brewers — and Tampa Bay has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Faria looking to follow up a Quality Start. He should fare well against the cold Cleveland bats that are scoring only 3.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .176 batting average along with a .238 On-Base Percentage and .527 OPS over that span. The Indians have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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08-06-17 | Dodgers v. Mets OVER 9 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (903) and the New York Mets (904) listing both starting pitchers Hyun-Jin Ryu and Steven Matz. New York (49-59) has lost three straight as well as six of their last seven contests with their 7-4 loss to the Dodgers yesterday afternoon. The Mets have now seen the Over go 9-1-1 in their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Over is 15-4-3 in New York’s last 22 third games of a series. They give the ball to Steven Matz who is 2-4 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.51 WHIP this season. The left-hander is struggling — he has not recorded a Quality Start since June 3rd. Matz has been particularly ineffective when pitching at home where he has been saddled with a 9.69 ERA, 2.08 WHIP and a rough .413 opponent’s batting average in three starts as compared to his 4.12 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and .265 opponent’s batting average in seven starts on the road. Additionally, the Over is 24-9-5 in the Mets’ last 38 games at home. |
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08-05-17 | Brewers v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
At 6:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (979) and the Tampa Bay Rays (980) listing both starting pitchers Zack Davies and Alex Cobb. Milwaukee (57-53) has won three of their last four games after taking the opening game of this series last night by a 2-0 score. The Brewers are surviving despite swinging cold bats right now. They have not scored more than four runs in each of their last eight games — and they managed to plate for runners four times just once during that span. Not only has Milwaukee then played 15 of their last 17 games Under the Total after failing to score more than four runs in at least three straight games but they have also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after failing to score more than four runs for at least five straight contests. Additionally, the Brewers have played 26 of their last 39 games Under the Total after a game where four or less combined runs were scored. Furthermore, Milwaukee has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in Interleague play. The Brewers have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Davies tonight who is 12-5 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.42 WHIP this season. After surviving a horrible April, the right-hander has settled down to pitch quite well albeit under the radar of many. Over his last seven starts, he has not allowed more than three earned runs in five of those occasions — posting a sparkling 2.74 ERA along with a 1.13 WHIP over that span. Davies has also been much better away from home for the entire season given his 2.80 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and .256 opponent’s batting average in eleven starts on the road as compared to his 6.15 ERA, 1.62 WHIP and .304 opponent’s batting average in eleven starts at home. The Brewers have played 9 of their last 12 games on the road Under the Total. |
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07-30-17 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (961) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (962) listing both starting pitchers Madison Bumgarner and Hyun-Jin Ryu. Los Angeles (77-31) has won seven straight games with their 2-1 win over the Giants yesterday. The Dodgers finish out their ten-game home stand tonight — and they have played a decisive 38 of their last 59 home games Under the Total after playing at least five straight games at home. Los Angeles has also played 26 of their last 36 home games Under the Total as a money-line favorite in the -100 to -150 price range. They give the ball to Ryu who is 3-6 with a 4.17 ERA and 1.42 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 4.10 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and .268 opponent’s batting average in seven starts (eight games) at home as compared to his 4.25 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and .293 opponent’s batting average in seven starts on the road. The Dodgers have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total with Ryu pitching on five days of rest. He should fare well against this Giants team that is scoring only 3.6 Runs-Per-Game against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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07-30-17 | Braves v. Phillies OVER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 7 m | Show |
At 1:35 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (953) and the Philadelphia Phillies (954) listing both starting pitchers R.A. Dickey and Vince Velasquez. Atlanta (48-54) has lost six of their last seven games with their 4-3 loss to the Phillies last night. The Braves have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss. Atlanta has also played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total on the road. They give the ball to Dickey who is 6-7 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.40 WHIP this season. The right-handed knuckleballer has not been as effective on the road where he has been saddled with a 5.68 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and .267 opponent’s batting average in nine starts as compared to his 3.33 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and .258 opponent’s batting average in eleven starts at home. The Over is 4-1-1 in the Braves’ last 6 road games with Dickey pitching as an underdog. Dickey faces a red hot Phillies’ offense that is scoring 5.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .275 batting average along with a .333 On-Base Percentage and .807 OPS during that span. |
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07-26-17 | Cubs v. White Sox UNDER 10 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
At 8:10 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (977) and the Chicago White Sox (978) listing both starting pitchers Jake Arrieta and James Shields. The Cubs (52-47) are playing much better baseball having won nine of their last eleven games with their 7-2 victory over the White Sox last night. The Under is then 13-5-1 in the Cubs’ last 19 games after a win. The Cubbies have also played 12 of their last 16 games on the road Under the Total — and this includes playing eight of their last eleven road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Much of the defending World Series’ success as of late can be attributed to improved starting pitching with Arrieta being one of the key contributors. In his four starts this month, the right-hander has a 2.13 ERA. And over his last two starts on the road, Arrieta has allowed only one earned run in 13 2/3 innings of work. The Cubs have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total with Arrieta on the hill. He should fare well against this slumping White Sox team that is scoring only 2.6 Runs-Per-Game with a low .251 batting average along with a .290 On-Base Percentage and .656 OPS over their last seven games. |
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07-24-17 | Orioles v. Rays OVER 9 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (963) and the Tampa Bay Rays (964) listing both starting pitchers Kevin Gaussian and Blake Snell. Baltimore (47-51) looks to build off their 9-7 victory over the Astros yesterday afternoon. The Orioles have then played 6 straight games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, Baltimore has played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They send out Gausman who is 6-7 with a 6.11 ERA and 1.75 WHIP this season. The right-hander has particularly struggled on the road where he has been saddled with a 7.98 ERA, 2.01 WHIP and .351 opponent’s batting average in nine starts on the road as compared to his 5.05 ERA, 1.60 WHIP and .291 opponent’s batting average in twelve starts at home. The Orioles have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total with Gausman pitching as a money-line favorite in the -100 to -150 price range. And while Gausman comes off a nice outing where he allowed just one earned run in 6 innings of work at home against the Rangers, Baltimore has then played 4 of their lease 5 games Over the Total with Gausman on the hill looking to follow up a Quality Start. He faces a Rays team that scores 4.9 Runs-Per-Game at home and who have played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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07-22-17 | Tigers v. Twins OVER 10.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (969) and the Minnesota Twins (970) listing both starting pitchers Jordan Zimmermann and Kyle Gibson. Detroit (43-51) has won five of their last seven games with their 6-3 victory in the first game of this series. The Tigers are swinging hot bats: over their last seven games, they are scoring 7.0 Runs-Per-Game with a .313 batting average along with a .382 On-Base Percentage and an .884 OPS. The Tigers have played 28 of their last 45 games on the road Over the Total. And in their last 18 games against fellow AL Central opponents, the Over is 11-5-2. They send out Zimmermann who is 6-7 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.49 WHIP this season. The right-hander has particularly struggled on the road where he has been saddled with a 6.29 ERA, 1.62 WHIP and .307 opponent’s batting average in ten starts as compared to his 4.75 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and .280 opponent’s batting average in eight starts at home. The Over is 3-0-1 in the Tigers’ last 4 road games with Zimmermann on the mound. He faces a Twins team that has scored 4.9 Runs-Per-Game this season against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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07-21-17 | Padres v. Giants OVER 7 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
At 10:15 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (913) and the San Francisco Giants (914) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Cahill and Jeff Samardzija. San Diego (41-54) won the opening game of this series last night by a 5-2 score. The Padres have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also a decisive 19-5-2 in San Diego’s last 26 games against fellow NL West opponents. And in their last 4 road games against teams with a losing record at home, the Over is 3-0-1. They give the ball to Cahill who is 4-3 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.24 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been outstanding at home where he has a 0.72 ERA, 0.88 WHIP and .169 opponent’s batting average in four starts — but those numbers explode to a 5.01 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and .279 opponent’s batting average in six starts on the road. That is not a good sign when facing this Giants team that has seen the Over go 4-1-2 in their last 7 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Furthermore, the Padres have played a decisive 29 of their last 43 games as an underdog in the +110 to +150 price range. |
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07-19-17 | Padres v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 4-18 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
At 3:10 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (905) and the Colorado Rockies (906) listing both starting pitchers Clayton Richard and Jon Gray. Colorado (55-41) has won three straight games after their 9-7 victory over the Padres yesterday. The Total is elevated to the 11.5 range for this afternoon Getaway Game — but the Rockies have still played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total at home in Coors Field. Colorado has also played 26 of their last 39 games Under the Total in the month of July. Additionally, the Under is 4-1-1 in the Rockies’ last 6 games against NL West opponents. They send out Gray who is 2-1 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.81 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics do call for immediate improvement in Gray’s numbers with a drop of more than 1 1/2 earned runs allowed per outing with his SIERA and xFIP of 4.47 and 4.03. The right-hander has been much better at home where he enjoys a 2.45 ERA as compared to his 9.00 ERA when on the road. The Rockies have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total with Gray on the mound. He should fare well against this Padres team that has played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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07-18-17 | Dodgers v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:10 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (975) and the Chicago White Sox (976) listing both starting pitchers Clayton Kershaw and Miguel Gonzalez. Chicago (38-52) has lost four straight games after their 7-6 loss to Seattle on Sunday. The White Sox are slumping with their bats — over their last seven games, they are scoring just 3.4 Runs-Per-Game with a .211 batting average along with a .259 On-Base Percentage and a .628 OPS. That is not a good sign when having to face Kershaw tonight. As it is, Chicago is hitting only .198 over their last five games — and they have then played 13 of their last 14 home games Under the Total after not hitting at least .200 in their last five games. The White Sox have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Additionally, the Under is 3-1-2 in Chicago’s last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. They give the ball to Gonzalez who is 4-8 with a 5.15 ERA and 1.50 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.98 ERA along with a 1.26 WHIP and .242 opponent’s batting average in five starts at home as compared to his 5.94 ERA, 1.66 WHIP and .313 opponent’s batting average in eight starts on the road. The White Sox have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Gonzalez facing a team with a winning record. Los Angeles has played 4 straight games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. And in their last 11 games against a right-handed starting pitcher, the Under is 7-2-2. |
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07-04-17 | Red Sox v. Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (969) and the Texas Rangers (970) listing both starting pitchers David Price and Yu Darvish. Boston (48-35) has won five games in a row with their 7-5 victory over the Rangers last night. The Red Sox are swinging hot bats right now: over their last seven games, they are scoring 7.4 Runs-Per-Game with a .308 batting average along with an On-Base Percentage of .401 and an OPS of .859. Boston has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total on the road. The Red Sox have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. They send out Price who is 3-2 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.27 WHIP this season. The left-hander has not been as effective on the road where he has been saddled with a 5.32 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and .244 opponent’s batting average in four starts on the road as compared to his 3.79 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and .222 opponent’s batting average in three starts at home. Boston has played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the Total with Price on the mound. And while Price comes off a solid outing where he allowed three earned runs in 7 innings of work against the Twins, the Red Sox have played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total with Price looking to follow up a Quality Start. |
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06-25-17 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Pirates (907) and the St. Louis Cardinals (908) listing both starting pitchers Chad Kuhl and Mike Leake. Pittsburgh (35-40) has won the opening two games of this series after their 7-3 victory yesterday. The Pirates have then played 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a victory. Furthermore, Pittsburgh has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road. And despite looking to secure the sweep tonight, this Pirates team is hitting just .158 over their last three games. Pittsburgh has played a decisive 33 of their last 48 games Under the Total when hitting no better than .175 in their last three games. They give the ball to Kuhl who is 2-6 with a 5.46 ERA and 1.55 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective when pitching on the road where he owns a 3.45 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and .267 opponent’s batting average in six starts as compared to his rough 7.36 ERA, 1.76 WHIP and .299 opponent’s batting average in eight starts at home. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last season where he enjoyed a 2.72 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and .231 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 7.03 ERA, 1.93 WHIP and .330 opponent’s batting average when at home. The Pirates have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total with Kuhl pitching with four days of rest. |
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06-24-17 | Tigers v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
At 10:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (979) and the San Diego Padres (980) listing both starting pitchers Anibal Sanchez and Dinelson Lamet. San Diego (30-44) won the opening game of this series last night by a 1-0 score. The Padres have not allowed more than four runs in five straight games — but they have then played 19 of their last 25 games Over the Total after not allowing more than four runs in at least four straight contests. San Diego has also played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total when priced in the +/- 125 price range. Furthermore, the Over is 6-2-1 in the Padres’ last 9 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 7 games in Interleague play, the Over is 5-1-1. They send out their 24-year old rookie Lamet who is 2-2 with a 7.50 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP this season. Lamet has not been as effective at home in Petco Park where he has been saddled with a 8.10 ERA and .262 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 7.07 ERA and .222 opponent’s batting average when on the road. |
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06-21-17 | Astros v. A's OVER 9 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
At 10:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (925) and the Oakland A’s (926) listing both starting pitchers Mike Fiers and Sean Manaea. Houston (48-24) has won two straight games after their 6-2 victory over the A’s last night. The Astros have then seen the Over go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a win. The Over is also 10-4-3 in Houston’s last 17 games on the road. They send out Fiers who is 4-2 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been even less effective in his seven starts on the road where he has been saddled with a 5.40 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .268 as compared to his 2.68 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and .250 opponent’s batting average when at home. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last season where Fiers had a 4.99 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .289 opponent’s batting average on the road as compared to the modest improvements of a 4.09 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .273 opponents batting average when he was pitching at home. The Over is 3-0-1 in the Astros’ last 4 road games with Fiers facing a team with a losing record. He faces an Oakland team that has seen the Over go 10-4-1 in their last 15 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Over is also 5-1-1 in the A’s last 7 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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06-17-17 | Red Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (925) and the Houston Astros (926) listing both starting pitchers Rick Porcello and David Paulino. Boston (38-29) has won four of their last five games with their 2-1 win over the Astros last night. The Red Sox have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Furthermore, after Chris Sale’s complete game shutout on Thursday, Boston’s bullpen has pitched only 2 1/3 innings over the last two days — and they have then played 15 of their last 18 games Under the Total after not having their bullpen pitch more than 3 innings of work in each of their last two games. And with the Red Sox having won six of their last eight games, they have then played 22 of the last 30 road games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eighth games. The Under is also 3-1-1 in Boston’s last 5 games on the road. They send out Porcello who is 3-8 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.51 WHIP this season. It has been a disappointing start for the reigning AL Cy Young Award winner — but the deeper sabermetrics strongly suggest that better times are coming. The right-hander’s BABIP (Batting Average for Balls In Play) of .366 is the highest of all qualifying pitchers and should drop (along with his opponent’s batting average). Porcello is enjoying his best strikeout rate in his career. His SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.09 and 4.23 moving forward. Porcello has been more effective on the road where he has a 3.76 ERA as compared to his 5.40 ERA when at home. The under is also 3-0-1 in the Red Sox’s last 4 games with Porcello pitching with four days of rest. |
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06-11-17 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
At 4:10 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (911) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (912) listing both starting pitchers Chase Anderson and Robbie Ray. Arizona (37-26) has won four of their last five games with their 3-2 victory over the Brewers yesterday. The Diamondbacks have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a victory. Additionally, the Over is 23-9-2 in Arizona’s last 34 games against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Over is a decisive 50-22-3 in the Diamondbacks’ last 75 games at home — and that includes playing twenty of their last twenty-seven home games Over the Total with the number set in the 8.5-10 range. They send out Ray who is 6-3 with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. The right-hander has allowed only one earned run in his last 30 1/3 innings of work — but the deeper sabermetrics call for regression. Both Ray’s SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.48 and 3.44 respectively moving forward. Ray has also not been as effective at home where he has a 5.67 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and .250 opponent’s batting average in six starts as compared to his microscopic 0.64 ERA along with a 0.76 WHIP and .134 opponent’s batting average in six starts on the road. The Diamondbacks have played 16 of their last 21 road games Over the Total with Ray on there mound. That bodes for trouble when facing this Brewers team that has played 13 of their last 16 road games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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06-02-17 | Indians v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:15 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (973) and the Kansas City Royals (974) listing both starting pitchers Josh Tomlin and Jason Vargas. Cleveland (28-24) has won four of their last five games with their 8-0 victory over the A’s yesterday. The Under is then 26-10-2 in the Indians’ lat 38 games after a victory. The Under is also 17-6-3 in Cleveland’s last 26 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 10 road games against teams with a losing record, the Under is 7-2-1. They send out Tomlin who is 3-6 with a 5.79 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics project better times for the right-hander with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.04 and 3.75 respectively moving forward. Tomlin has been more effective on the road where he owns a strong 1.13 WHIP as compared to his 1.44 WHIP along with a 6.19 ERA and an opponent’s batting average of .321 when pitching at home. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Tomlin had a 4.31 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and .257 opponent’s batting average on the road as compared to his 4.50 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and .283 opponent’s batting average when at home. The Under is 6-1-2 in the Indians’ last 9 games on the road. He should fare well against this Royals’ team that has played 8 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Tomlin also loves to pitch against Kansas City — he is 10-4 with a 3.94 ERA in 23 career appearances which includes 19 starts against the Royals. |
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05-26-17 | Mets v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 32 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (903) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (904) listing both starting pitchers Jacob DeGrom and Chad Kuhl. Pittsburgh (22-26) has seen their bats awaken over the last two games as they have scored 21 runs over that span while belting six home runs in their four-game series against the Braves. The Pirates have won two straight games with their 9-4 win in Atlanta last night. Pittsburgh has then seen the Over go 9-4-2 in their last 15 games after a victory. The Over is also 5-1-1 in the Pirates’ last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. And in their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record on the road, the Over is 6-2-1. They send out Kuhl who is 1-4 with a 5.85 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP in nine starts this season. The right-hander has been hit hard in his five starts home this year where he has been saddled with an 8.20 ERA, 2.09 WHIP and .329 opponent’s batting average as compared to his solid 3.80 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and .259 opponent’s batting average when on the road. These disparate home/road splits are entirely consistent with last season where Kuhl had a 7.03 ERA, 1.93 WHIP and .330 opponent’s batting average at home but a strong 2.72 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and .231 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Pirates have played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total with Kuhl on the mound. |
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05-24-17 | Marlins v. A's OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -130 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
At 3:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (923) and the Oakland A’s (924) listing both starting pitchers Edison Volquez and Sonny Gray. Miami (16-28) opened this series with a 10-8 victory over the A’s last night. The Marlins have then seen the Over go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have seen the Over go 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. The Over is also 18-7-2 in Miami’s last 27 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And in their last 15 road games against American League opponents, the Marlins have played 12 of these games Over the Total. They send out Volquez who is 0–6 with a 4.87 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been less effective on the road in five starts where he has a 5.26 ERA and a rough opponent’s batting average of .303 as compared to his 4.20 ERA and .222 opponent’s batting average in three starts at home this season. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last year where Volquez had an uninspiring 5.11 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and .285 opponent’s batting average at home with all those numbers even worse on the road to a 5.71 ERA, 1.65 WHIP and .287 opponent’s batting average. That does not bode well when facing this Oakland team that has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Furthermore, the A’s have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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05-21-17 | Rangers v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 109 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas Rangers (965) and the Detroit Tigers (966) listing both starting pitchers Yu Darvish and Matthew Boyd. Detroit (21-20) closes out this series tonight after their 9-3 win over the Rangers in the second game of this series. The Tigers have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a victory. Detroit has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road, the Under is 18-5-3. They send out Boyd who is 2-3 with a 5.18 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP this season. The left-hander is looking to redeem himself from a bad outing where he allowed seven earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work against the Orioles on Tuesday. Boyd has been respectable at home where he has a 1.30 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .241 — it is on the road where he has really struggled with a 1.98 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .329. Detroit has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Boyd pitching with four days of rest. He should pitch better tonight against this Rangers team that has played 4 straight games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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05-18-17 | Blue Jays v. Braves OVER 8 | Top | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Blue Jays (919) and the Atlanta Braves (920) listing both starting pitchers Marcus Stroman and Julio Teheran. Atlanta (16-21) has won three straight games — as well as five of their last six — with their 8-4 win versus the Blue Jays in the first game in Atlanta of this two-game home-and-home series with Toronto. The Braves have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 20-7-1 in Atlanta’s last 28 home games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 5 games in Interleague play, the Braves have played 4 of these games Over the Total. The team received bad news this afternoon with the announcement that Freddie Freeman would miss 8-12 weeks after being beaned in the wrist last night in this heated series. But this team will need to score runs tonight with Julio Teheran taking the hill after surrendering six home runs, 22 hits and seven bases-on-balls in his last three starts in Atlanta. For the season, the right-hander is 3-3 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP this year — but he sees those numbers explode at home with an 8.14 ERA, 1.86 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .310 in four starts. The Braves have played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total with Teheran on the hill. That is not a good sign against this Toronto team that has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Blue Jays have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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05-06-17 | Marlins v. Mets OVER 9 | Top | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (907) and the New York Mets (908) listing both starting pitchers Odrisamer Despaigne and Robert Gsellman. New York (13-15) has won five of their last seven games with their 8-7 win last night in the opening game of this series. The Over is 4-0-1 in the Mets’ last 5 games after a win — and the Over is a decisive 9-1-1 in their last 11 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. And in their last 32 games after allowing at least five runs, the Over is 21-8-3. Additionally, the Over is 16-5-2 in New York’s last 23 games at home — and they have played thirteen of their last sixteen games Over the Total at home against teams with a losing record. Furthermore, the Over is 19-4-3 in the Mets’ last 27 games against fellow NL East opponents. They send out Gsellman who is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP this season. The right-hander has not been as effective at home so far as he owns a 1.76 WHIP and .329 opponent’s batting average in three starts at home as compared to his 1.15 WHIP and .263 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Mets have played 5 straight home games Over the Total with Gsellman on the mound. Miami has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Marlins have also seen the Over go 17-5-4 in their last 26 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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04-29-17 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 3 m | Show |
At 8:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (959) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (960) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Anderson and Zack Greinke. Colorado (15-9) won the opening game of this series last night by a 3-1 score. The Rockies have now played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They send out Anderson who is 1-3 with a 7.11 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in five starts this season. Zero of these five starts qualified as Qualified Starts for Anderson as his lack of an effective breaking pitch has significantly reduced his reliability. Last season, the left-hander had a 5-6 record with a 3.54 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP — but those numbers rose to a 4.71 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP when on the road. The Rockies have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Anderson pitching with four days rest as he does tonight. That is not a good sign when facing this Diamondbacks team that has seen the Over 20-7-2 in their last 29 home games against a left-handed starting pitcher. |
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04-29-17 | Cubs v. Red Sox OVER 10.5 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
At 4:05 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (979) and the Boston Red Sox (980) listing both starting pitchers John Lackey and Steven Wright. Chicago (12-10) looks to bounce-back from a 5-4 loss to the Red Sox last night. The Cubs have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a loss. Chicago has also played 7 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Cubbies have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They send out Lackey who is 1-3 with a 4.88 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP this season. There were signs last season that the 38-year old was about to experience some series regression in his effectiveness. His 34.4% hard contact rate last season was the worst of his career. Lackey was not as effective on the road last year where he had a 4.37 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and .234 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 2.62 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and .206 opponent’s batting average at home at Wrigley Field. This season, Lackey has a rough 6.00 ERA and 1.33 WHIP when on the road. Chicago has played 5 straight road games Over the Total with Lackey on the hill. |
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04-25-17 | Mariners v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-19 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Mariners (971) and the Detroit Tigers (972) listing both starting pitchers Felix Hernandez and Jordan Zimmermann. Seattle (8-12) enters this series coming off an 11-1 win at Oakland on Sunday which was a nice win for Mariners’ bettors who were getting +115 on the money line. The Mariners have then played 20 of their last 29 games Over the Total after an upset win over a divisional rival. Seattle has also played 13 of their last 18 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They send out Hernandez who is 2-1 with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP so far this season. The aging right-hander has seen his effectiveness drop as he has been losing velocity. His 3.8 walk rate per 9 innings was the worst of his career. The King was not as effective on the road last year where he was saddled with a 1.49 WHIP and .253 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 1.19 WHIP and .228 opponent’s batting average when at home. This season, Hernandez has a 4.09 ERA along with a dangerous .333 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Mariners have played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Seattle has also seen the Over go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games in Detroit with Hernandez on the mound. That spells trouble when facing this Tigers’ team that has seen the Over go 9-1-1 in their last 11 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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04-23-17 | Nationals v. Mets OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (963) and the New York Mets (964) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Zack Wheeler. Washington (12-5) has won six straight games after their 3-1 win over the Mets yesterday. The Nationals have then played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total against an opponent that failed to score more than two runs in their last game. The Over is also 8-2-1 in Washington’s last 11 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game. And in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Nationals have played 10 of these games Over the Total. They send out Scherzer who is 2-1 with a 1.37 ERA and an 0.86 WHIP this season. The right-hander was very tough at home last year where he had a 2.56 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .193. However, those numbers rose to a 3.28 ERA along with 1.00 WHIP and .203 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Washington has played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total with Scherzer facing a team with a losing record. Furthermore, the Over us 3-0-1 in the Mets’ last 4 games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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10-28-16 | Indians v. Cubs UNDER 8 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (901) and the Chicago Cubs (902) listing both starting pitchers Josh Tomlin and Kyle Hendricks. Chicago (111-62) evened this series at a game apiece with their 5-1 win over the Indians on Wednesday. The Cubs have then played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after an off day. The Under is also 8-2-1 in their last 11 games at home against teams with a winning record. They turn to Hendricks who is 16-8 with a 2.13 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP this season. BEST ARGUMENT: Hendricks is nearly unhittable when pitching at home where he owns a 1.32 ERA along with an 0.86 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .201. The Under is 4-0-1 in the Cubs’ last 5 games at home with Hendricks on the hill. He should fare well against this Indians team quite used to low-scoring contests. Cleveland has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total in the playoffs. The Indians have played 6 straight games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Cleveland has also played 5 straight games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. |
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10-18-16 | Cubs v. Dodgers OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (953) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (954) listing both starting pitchers Jake Arrieta and Rich Hill. Los Angeles (95-74) evened this series at a game apiece on Sunday with their 1-0 victory. The Dodgers have then played 5 straight games Over the Total when scoring two runs or less in their last game. Additionally, Los Angeles has played 5 of their last 7 games at home. They send out Hill who is 12-5 with a 2.12 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP this season. The left-hander has not been as effective at home where he has a 2.42 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and and an opponent’s batting average of .215 as compared to his 1.89 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .179 when on the road. Hill has not completed 5 full innings of work in either of his postseason starts this year — and he has a 6.43 ERA and a 1.86 WHIP this season. Those are appealing numbers — and the Over is 7-3-1 in the Cubs’ last 11 road games against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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10-17-16 | Indians v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (951) and the Toronto Blue Jays (952) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Bauer and Marcus Stroman. Cleveland (99-67) has seized a 2-0 lead in this series after their 2-0 win in the second game of this series. The Indians’ strong bullpen and outstanding defensive play have held the Blue Jays to just one run — but they have scored only four times in these first two games themselves. Cleveland has played 4 straight games Under the Total following a win. The Indians have also seen the Under go 16-6-2 in their last 24 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. They send out Bauer who is 12-8 with a 4.28 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been a bit better on the road where he has a 3.61 ERA — and that helps explain why the Under is 19-3-4 in the Indians’ last 26 games on the road with Bauer on the hill. He should pitch well against this Blue Jays team that has played 4 of their last 5 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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10-04-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (931) and the Toronto Blue Jays (932) listing both starting pitchers Chris Tillman and Marcus Stroman. Toronto (89-73) won their last game of the season in Boston by a 2-1 score on Sunday in preparation of this one-game Wild Card Playoff. The Blue Jays have then played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total after allowing no more than one run against a Divisional rival. Toronto has also seen the Under go 12-4-1 in their last 17 games after an off-day. And in their last 7 games at home, the Blue Jays have played 6 of these games Under the Total. They send out Stroman who is 9-10 with a 4.37 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 1.26 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .259 as compared to his 1.32 WHIP and .269 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Both his SIERA* and xFIP* expect more from Stroman with their projections of an ERA of 3.62 and 3.41 moving forward respectively. Stroman made some adjustments after a rough June with very good results as he posted a 3.28 ERA with 65 strikeouts in 68 2/3 innings of work. * SIERA and xFIP: Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average is a metric developed by Baseball Prospectus. They define SIERA as an estimate ERA through walk rate, strikeout rate and ground ball rate, eliminating the effects of park, defense and luck. SIERA accounts for how run prevention improves as ground ball rate increases and declines as more whiffs are accrued, while grounders are of more materiality for those who allow a surplus of runners. xFIP: Expected Fielding Independent Pitching was developed by The Hardball Times to measure what a pitcher's ERA should like assuming that defensive performance on balls in play was the league average; it differs from the FIP metric in that actual home runs allowed is replaced by expected home runs allowed given a pitcher's fly ball rate. |
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09-28-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 60 m | Show |
At 7:07 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (919) and the Toronto Blue Jays (920) listing both starting pitchers Chris Tillman and Francisco Liriano. Toronto (87-70) has won four of their last five games with their 5-1 win over the Orioles last night. The Blue Jays have then played 8 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Toronto has also played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing no more than two runs or less in their last game. Additionally, the Blue Jays have played 4 of their last 5 games at home Under the Total. They send out Liriano who is 8-13 with a 4.88 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been better at home where he has a 4.28 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .232 with his split time between Pittsburgh and Toronto. Liriano has been good in a Blue Jays’ uniform where he has a 3.35 ERA in seven starts and two relief appearances with the club. He also comes off his best start with the team where he allowed no earned runs in 6 innings of work against the Yankees. The Blue Jays have played 6 of their 7 games Under the Total with Liriano making the start. |
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