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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-11-18 | A's v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
Kendall Graveman is 0-5 with an 8.90 ERA in six starts for the A's. He's been absolutely abysmal all season long and is not the answer for this Friday night contest. The Yankees are hitting .264 at home where they are averaging 6.5 runs per game. Oakland's bullpen has a 5.20 ERA on the road this season. Sonny Gray is facing his old team. He's 2-2 with a 6.00 ERA in seven starts with four overs so far. He's pitched better as of late, but control has been questionable at times. Oakland is averaging nearly five runs per game on the road. They are not in the best form as an offense right now, but I still believe in the lineup. I think this price for this number is good as I believe it'll be a higher scoring game. |
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05-10-18 | Reds v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
Walker Buehler is facing his third last place team so far this season as the Dodgers get the Reds. Buehler has allowed two runs and 10 hits in 16 innings of work with 19 strikeouts to just seven walks. Cincy's offense is just okay outside of Joey Votto so they could struggle with the starter. He'll be opposed by Tyler Mahle who has 42 strikeouts in seven starts. He's allowed seven runs and 12 hits over his last three starts. The Dodgers lineup is very mediocre especially without some of their stars. The Reds bullpen is alright. To me, this is a lower scoring game with two mediocre offenses and two young starting pitchers. |
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05-10-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9 | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
CC Sabathia is having an incredible season for New York. He's 2-0 with a 1.39 ERA in six games so far. The southpaw has a 4.37 ERA against Boston and has held them to just three runs and 10 hits over his last 18 innings against them. The Sox lineup has been very good this year and is hitting around .268 as a team. He'll be opposed by Eduardo Rodriguez who is 3-0 with a 5.29 ERA in six starts. The southpaw has allowed 10 runs and in his last two starts and is highly mediocre. The Yankees have gone over in 15 of their 21 home games and are averaging over six runs per game there. Craig Kimbrel got rocked on Wednesday night so we'll see if he returns on Thursday. I think this one should see plenty of runs on Thursday. |
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05-08-18 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers OVER 7 | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 23 m | Show | |
Rich Hill is coming off the disabled list for the Dodgers. His last start was at home against these same Diamondbacks and he allowed seven runs and seven hits in five innings. Hill is 1-7 with a 5.61 ERA in 12 career starts against the Diamondbacks. Arizona is averaging 4.7 runs per game on the road where they've gone over in 10 of 15 contests. The Dodgers bullpen has eight losses and nine blown saves so any late leads may be lost. Zack Godley sees the Dodgers for the fourth time this season. He's pitched well against them at home, but allowed six runs and five hits in four innings against them in LA. Injuries have ravaged the Dodgers, but they are hitting .257 against right-handed starters scoring 5.3 runs per contest. These to have played three overs in three games in Los Angeles. I think this one sees a bunch of runs as the Dodgers play well after a rough trip. |
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05-08-18 | Royals v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 15-7 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Two struggling offenses play in Baltimore as the Orioles host the Royals. Baltimore is hitting .208 at home and .220 overall. They have gone over in 10 of their 15 home games. Danny Duffy is 0-4 with a 5.63 ERA in seven starts with three of those going under. He held the Orioles to three runs and 15 hits over 14 innings last year as the O's have traditionally struggled with lefties. Dylan Bundy has been the team's best starter, but has lost his last two starts against the Rays and Angels. The Royals are averaging just 3.1 runs per game against right-handed starters and are 5-10 on the road. Both bullpens could be better, but the starters have a shot to go deeper in games. These two have played nine unders in their last 12 meetings including five of six in Baltimore. I think this one does too. |
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05-07-18 | Astros v. A's OVER 8.5 | 16-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Brett Anderson is making his second start for the A's. He pitched well in his first outing in Seattle holding the Mariners to two runs and five hits in just over six innings. Houston's averaging nearly six runs per game on the road and have plenty of weapons up and down the lineup. Dallas Keuchel is 1-5 with a 3.98 ERA in seven starts. The southpaw has allowed 20 runs and 41 hits in 43 innings. Keuchel got shelled by the A's at home already last month giving up six runs and seven hits in seven innings. Oakland is hitting .275 against left-handed starters and is putting up nearly five runs per contest. Both bullpens are decent, but can allow some runs too. These two have played 11 overs in their last 19 meetings in Oakland. I think this one should go over too. |
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05-06-18 | Tigers v. Royals UNDER 9 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
05-05-18 | Red Sox v. Rangers OVER 9 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Cole Hamels is 0-3 with a 5.19 ERA at home this season. He's struggled to go deep in games and keep runners off the board. Last time out he only lasted five innings in Cleveland against the Indians. Boston is hitting .269 as a team and is averaging 5.6 runs per game. They are hitting .271 in their last seven. The Rangers bullpen has a 5.87 ERA at home. Eduardo Rodriguez may not have lost yet this year, but he's been mediocre. The southpaw has allowed 14 runs and 24 hits in just over 26 innings. The Rangers are averaging 5.4 runs per game over their last seven and have gone over in six of their nine contests against left-handed starters. Arlington is getting back to being a potential over place. I think this one will be as well. |
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05-05-18 | Tigers v. Royals OVER 9 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Jordan Zimmermann has a 5.81 ERA in six starts for Detroit this season. That goes up to 10.12 on the road. He's facing a Royals team that is hitting .282 in their last eight games and is starting to find their groove. The Detroit bullpen has a 5.01 ERA on the road. That's better then KC's group which has a 6.07 ERA overall and is backing Jason Hammel who has allowed 12 runs and 13 hits over his last two starts. This is Hammel's third time seeing Detroit. He's held them to seven runs and 12 hits over 14 innings previously back in April. Detroit's offense is hitting 264 over their last seven games and .280 in the daytime. To me, this is a recipe for an over. |
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05-04-18 | Giants v. Braves UNDER 9 | 9-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Chris Stratton has been a surprise for the Giants. He's got a 1.86 ERA in three road starts so far this season. The righty is coming off a rough outing against the Dodgers, but it was already the third time he's seen them. Stratton has not faced Atlanta who is very hot right now offensively. That's a concern, but I think Stratton can cool them off a bit. Mike Foltynewicz is 2-1 with a 2.53 ERA in six starts for Atlanta with half of them going under the total and two other being pushes. He's got a live arm and has 39 strikeouts to 15 walks in 32 innings. Folty was beaten up a bit by the Giants in San Francisco last year. This year's unit is hitting .222 on the road with 10 unders in 14 games. They're also hitting .221 in night games and don't have too many threats. These two bullpens aren't great, but I think the starters can go deep enough to negate that. |
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05-03-18 | Twins v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Chicago has lost four straight and six of their last nine games. They've gone under in five straight and seven of their last nine as the offense has struggled. Chicago is hitting .227 at home and .224 in night games. Jake Odorizzi is 2-2 with a 3.94 ERA in six starts with four of those going under. Minnesota's problem is the bullpen that has been awful this season. Reynaldo Lopez is 0-2 with a 1.78 ERA in five starts. If he can harness his control issues, then he could be a very good pitcher. Lopez has allowed just six earned runs in his five starts. Minnesota is hitting .228 on the road and .237 in night games. Chicago's bullpen isn't great either so we have to hope that both teams starters can hold down the other offense. |
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05-03-18 | Red Sox v. Rangers OVER 9.5 | 5-11 | Win | 105 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
Mike Minor is 2-1 with a 4.33 ERA for the Rangers. He's actually pitched better at home which is odd considering how tough it is to pitch in Arlington. Boston is hitting .272 this season averaging 5.7 runs per contest. They've tailed off a little bit and are hitting .235 against left-handed starters. The Rangers bullpen has a 5.91 ERA at home so they can be beaten. David Price has allowed 10 runs and 17 hits in his last two starts. Price is 2-3 with a 3.78 ERA. He's 4-9 with a 5.12 ERA in 18 career starts against the Rangers with half of them going over the total. Texas is hitting .261 in their last seven games and have gone over in five of eight left-handed starters. I think this one sees plenty of runs. |
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05-02-18 | Brewers v. Reds OVER 9 | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
Luis Castillo has been awful for the Reds this season. He's 1-3 with a 7.85 ERA in six starts with five of those going over the total. The righty was touched up for five runs and six hits in one inning of work against the Twins last time out. He beat the Brewers in Milwaukee back on April 16th despite allowing four runs in just over six innings. There's talk of the coaching staff noticing Castillo's arm angle on his fastball making it flat in the zone. Milwaukee's lineup has seen better days as they are hitting around .200 in their last eight games. The Reds bullpen has an ERA over six at home. Wade Miley is coming off the DL and to me, that's a good chance to see them not do as well. It's all well and good to make minor league rehab starts, but facing actual hitters is another story. Cincy is averaging 5.2 runs per game against left-handed starters. They are in great form as of late going over in six of their last eight contests. To me, this is a slugfest in the making. |
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05-02-18 | Rays v. Tigers UNDER 8 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
Michael Fulmer has been fantastic this season going 1-2 with a 2.76 ERA in five starts for Detroit with four of those going under the total. He's been involved in two 1-0 games so far. The righty has allowed 12 runs and 30 hits in just over 29 innings. Tampa Bay's lineup came up small on Tuesday night and I think we see a lesser group on Wednesday. Blake Snell has won four straight starts. He's 4-1 with a 2.52 ERA in six outings. The southpaw has gotten rid of his control issues with just 11 walks in just over 35 innings. Detroit's lineup has only seen lefties three times this season. They may continue to be without Miguel Cabrera so it's not really a scary unit either. Both bullpens are bad so let's hope the starters go deep, but I think they do. |
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05-01-18 | Orioles v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Alex Cobb has been a disaster for the Orioles. He's allowed 20 runs and 30 hits over three short starts for Baltimore. The righty has just four strikeouts and three walks. At first people thought it was rust, but it could be more. The Angels offense is slumping terribly right now, but they should be able to touch up a vulnerable Orioles pitching group. Their pen has a 4.79 ERA this season on the road. Nick Tropeano has allowed nine runs and 11 hits in just over 10 innings over his last two starts. Baltimore is also in bad form right now offensively, but the talent is there for them to put it together. I realize both offenses are great right now, but the talent is there and the starters aren't that great. |
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04-29-18 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
It's a battle of solid southpaws on Sunday in DC. Gio Gonzalez has allowed 10 runs and 28 hits over five starts. He has 29 strikeouts to 12 walks. Gio held the DBacks to one run and three hits over five innings last year. Arizona is hitting .238 against left-handed starters and .219 in day games. Robbie Ray has struggled this season with a 5.13 ERA. He has 43 strikeouts to 17 walks. Washington's offense has been terrible against left-handed starters hitting less then .200 against them. In two starts against the Nats last year, Ray pitched in two unders and actually was really solid in DC. Arizona's bullpen has a sub 2.00 ERA this season. I think this one is going to go under the total. |
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04-29-18 | Mariners v. Indians OVER 9 | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Seattle's offense has scored four runs or more in four straight and eight of their last nine entering Sunday. Trying to slow them down is Josh Tomlin who is 0-2 with a 10.03 ERA. He's allowed eight HR's in just over 11 innings and has only seven strikeouts. Marco Gonzales goes for Seattle. He's 2-2 with a 4.37 ERA in five starts. Cleveland's offense is starting to pull out of the doldrums with some solid efforts as a group. They've gone over in three straight and five of their last seven. I think this one does as well. |
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04-28-18 | A's v. Astros UNDER 9 | 0-11 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
I think the under is worth a look here. Lance McCullers is 3-1 with a 4.67 ERA in five starts. He's in good form allowing two runs and nine hits over his last two starts. McCullers is a better pitcher at home and should be able to have some success against a hit or miss Oakland team. Daniel Mengden is also in good form allowing six runs over his last three starts. He's harnessed his control with just one walk over that span as well. Houston is hitting just .223 at home with nine unders in 13 games there. The two teams have played 12 unders in their last 20 meetings in Houston. I think this one is another under. |
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04-27-18 | Braves v. Phillies UNDER 8 | 3-7 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Aaron Nola and Julio Teheran are facing off for the third time this season. The Braves won both games, but both pitchers for the most part pitched pretty well. Aaron Nola is 5-2 with a 2.04 ERA in nine career starts against Atlanta. In just over 11 innings this season he's held them to three runs and seven hits. Teheran has held the Phillies to five runs and nine hits in just over 11 innings as well. The Phillies are hitting .224 against right-handed starters and feature a bullpen with an ERA of 1.79 at home. Atlanta's pen is nowhere near as good, but their offense is better. I think this one goes under the total. |
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04-27-18 | Rangers v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Marcus Stroman has been horrific this season so far for the Jays. He's allowed 21 runs and 23 hits in 20 innings of work. The ace has had control issues and is just struggling to get any of his pitches located. Stroman gave up five runs and six hits in just over four innings in Arlington back on April 7th. The Rangers lineup is averaging four runs per contest over their last seven. Mike Minor is very mediocre for Texas. He did beat the Jays at home on April 7th giving up one run and two hits in six innings. Toronto is averaging six runs per game at home, but they are hitting .173 over their last seven games. The Rangers bullpen has a good ERA on the road, but I don't trust them. To me, I think there will be plenty of runs in this one. |
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04-26-18 | Tigers v. Pirates UNDER 8 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
There was a rare explosion from both teams on Wednesday but I don't think it carries over on Thursday afternoon. Entering Wednesday night, Detroit was hitting .193 on the road and .234 against right-handed starters. I also don't think we see a full strength lineup on a quick turnaround. Pittsburgh is hitting around .200 in their last eight games. The lineup has been underwhelming as of late. Michael Fulmer is 1-2 with a 3.47 ERA in four starts while Ivan Nova is 2-1 with a 4.20 ERA. Both pitchers should be able to go deep and the offenses should struggle in this early afternoon game. |
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04-25-18 | Twins v. Yankees OVER 9 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
Sonny Gray is 1-1 with a 8.27 ERA in four starts for New York. His control has been awful and he's not going deep in ballgames. The righty has allowed 14 runs and 16 hits in his last 12 plus innings. Minnesota's offense is averaging around four runs per game and is trying to get into form as they play games without weather delay. Lance Lynn has allowed 10 runs and 13 hits in his three starts and has put up 15 walks as well. The Yankees are averaging over six runs per game this season and have gone over in 11 of their 14 home games. Minnesota's bullpen has some ugly numbers. This one should see plenty of runs on Wednesday. |
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04-24-18 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -125 | 1 h 33 m | Show | |
Rick Porcello has been great for the Red Sox so far this season. He has allowed four runs and one walk in his four outings. Porcello has a 4.98 ERA in 20 career starts against the Jays with 11 of them going over the total. Toronto is hitting .268 at home where they are averaging 6.7 runs per contest. They in good form right now offensively. JA Happ has a 5.62 ERA in three home starts. To me, he's highly mediocre as a starter. Happ does have a 3.24 ERA in 16 career starts against Boston, but this Red Sox lineup is a beast. They are hitting .277 as a team and are averaging nearly six runs per contest. Toronto's bullpen doesn't scare me either. I think Boston does a lot of the heavy lifting and we get some help from the home team. |
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04-23-18 | Twins v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | 1-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Masahiro Tanaka has allowed 13 runs and 15 hits in his last two starts and has not been that sharp for the most part this season. Tanaka has traditionally struggled a bit more at home then he does on the road. Minnesota is averaging 4.2 runs per game and 4.5 against right-handed starters. New York's bullpen has five losses and two blown saves. Jake Odorizzi is 5-7 with a 4.60 ERA in 13 starts against the Bronx Bombers. Last year he lost twice to them giving up nine runs and 10 hits in around 10 innings. New York's offense is averaging over six runs per game at home. This is an awesome offense to watch. Minnesota's bullpen has a 5.12 ERA on the road and has four losses and three blown saves. I think this one sees a ton of runs. |
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04-22-18 | Giants v. Angels UNDER 9 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
Jaime Barria makes his second start of the season for the Angels on Sunday. He held the Rangers to one run and one hit over five innings in Arlington back on April 11th. Barria hasn't pitched too poorly in the minors either and he'll get a light hitting Giants team. San Francisco entered Saturday hitting .213 on the road and .215 over their last seven games. Johnny Cueto has allowed just one run and 11 hits over 20 innings. He's been great with 16 strikeouts to just two walks. The Angels are hitting around .215 at home as a team. Both teams have decent bullpens so I think runs will be at a premium in this one. |
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04-21-18 | Astros v. White Sox OVER 8 | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Lucas Giolito has a very bright future, but not if he doesn't fix his control. He's given up 12 runs and 13 hits as well as 12 walks in 18 innings. The Astros are the wrong lineup to put plenty of runners on base. They average 5.3 runs per game on the road and should tee off on Giolito and the Sox bullpen. Dallas Keuchel has not won in four starts. He's putting runners on allowing 24 hits and 10 walks in 23 innings. Keuchel lost both starts to the White Sox last year. Chicago is hitting .259 in their four games against left-handed starters. I think they can score a run or two to help out, but Houston will do most of the heavy lifting. |
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04-21-18 | Indians v. Orioles OVER 9 | 4-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Chris Tillman is 0-3 with a 11.91 ERA in three starts for the Orioles. He's allowed 15 runs and 22 hits in just over 11 innings. Even worse the starter has just three strikeouts to 10 walks. The Indians offense is improving hitting .266 over their last seven games. Baltimore's bullpen has a 4.54 ERA and has blown five saves in nine chances. Mike Clevinger has not lost yet this season, but he's struggled at times. In his last start he allowed four runs in four innings and the one before that he gave up 10 hits in just over seven innings. The Orioles offense is putting up ugly numbers, but the talent is there to turn it around. To me, this one should go over the total, because Cleveland gets the top of the ninth to tack on against bad pitching and Baltimore probably won't get shut out. |
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04-20-18 | Red Sox v. A's OVER 9 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
Kendall Graveman has been awful for the A's this season. The righty has allowed 19 runs and 28 hits in just over 17 innings. He's not striking batters out and he's not missing that many bats either. Boston's offense is smoking hot and should tee off on this awful pitcher. Oakland's bullpen has a 4.09 ERA and figures to see a lot of innings. Drew Pomeranz is making his season debut and is cleared to throw 100 pitches. Oakland is 1-5 against left-handed starters, but they are hitting .288 in those games. In their last series against the White Sox, they scored 30 runs so their offense is in good form as well. To me, this one should see plenty of runs. |
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04-20-18 | Twins v. Rays OVER 7.5 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
There's something wrong with Chris Archer who is 1-1 with a 7.84 ERA in four starts this season. The righty has allowed 15 runs and 20 hits over his last three starts. He's getting strikeouts, but he's also putting plenty of runners on base. Minnesota is averaging 4.2 runs per game despite a poor batting average. Tampa's bullpen has seven losses and four blown saves so late runs could occur as well. Lance Lynn has allowed five runs and six hits in nine innings. The bigger problem is probably the 10 walks that he's given up as well. Tampa Bay is hitting .243 in their last seven games and they've gone over in 11 of their 18 contests. Minnesota's bullpen has a 3.16 ERA. These two have gone over in five of their last six in Tampa. I think this one does as well. |
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04-20-18 | Pirates v. Phillies OVER 8 | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
The Phillies offense has scored three runs or more in three straight and five of their last six. They have found the sticks and should continue to do so against Ivan Nova who I'm not that impressed with. Pittsburgh's bullpen is alright so i'm not too scared of them. The Buccos offense has been very hit or miss which we cannot say about Ben Lively who has allowed eight earned runs and 16 hits over his last two starts. The Philly bullpen is alright themselves. To me though, these two teams should see plenty of runs against mediocre starting pitching. |
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04-19-18 | Red Sox v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
Two of the better lineups in baseball are playing Anaheim and there are two mediocre pitchers on the mound. Nick Tropeano pitched well in his first start in Kansas City but the Royals are very light hitting. The Red Sox are a whole lot better and are hitting over .300 in their last eight games. This team is smoking hot and will want to send a message in this series. They have sent a great one so far, but I think they keep the offensive pressure up. So will Anaheim against Eduardo Rodriguez who has been alright and mediocre in two starts. He gave up three runs and five hits to the Rays at home back on the 8th. The Angels are hitting .270 against left-handed starters averaging over five runs per contest against them. Both bullpens have good numbers, but man, I think they struggle on Thursday. To me, this seems like a good value with these offenses. |
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04-18-18 | Indians v. Twins UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
The Indians beat the Twins 6-1 in game one of their two game set in Puerto Rico. Now they send Carlos Carrasco to the mound and he's allowed eight runs and 15 hits over 20 innings and change. He's got a 3.97 ERA in 14 career starts against Minnesota with nine of them going under the total. Carrasco has held the Twins to two runs and 15 hits over his last three starts against them. Jose Berrios has been fantastic for Minnesota. He's allowed no runs in two of his starts and only has one ugly outing against Seattle sandwiched in between those. Cleveland's offense has been pretty bad this season. They entered Tuesday night hitting just .200 as a team. Both teams have pretty good bullpens so I think this one will go under the total. |
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04-17-18 | Astros v. Mariners OVER 8 | 4-1 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Ariel Miranda comes up to make the start for Seattle as they host the Astros on Tuesday. Miranda has had one good start and one poor one in the minors entering this one. He's 1-2 with a 4.42 ERA in six career starts against Houston. The Astros lineup is very deep and is hitting left-handed starters pretty well for the most part this season. Entering Monday night, they were hitting .272 in five games against them. Lance McCullers has allowed 13 runs and 18 hits in 14 innings of work. The righty traditionally has had some issues on the road and last time out he had six walks and eight runs allowed in Minnesota. He has struggled in his last two starts against Seattle last season. The Mariners offense is hitting around .260 as a team and is averaging nearly five runs per contest. Both teams have decent bullpens who may have to cover a lot of innings. I think this one goes over the total. |
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04-17-18 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 7.5 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Bryan Mitchell has been absolutely awful for the Padres and the worst of it has come at home. The former Yankees starter has a whopping 14 walks in just over 13 innings. He's allowed eight runs and 12 hits in eight innings at home and now faces a Dodgers lineup that has potential. Alex Wood is looking for his first win of the season. The southpaw has allowed 10 runs and 13 hits over his last two starts. He has had some velocity issues this season and hasn't looked the same since facing the Giants. Wood has a 2.88 ERA in eight career starts against the Padres with half of them going over the total. San Diego's offense is averaging over four runs per game against left-handed starters. The Dodgers bullpen has sprung some leaks this season at times. I think this one should go over the total. |
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04-17-18 | White Sox v. A's OVER 8.5 | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Miguel Gonzalez has allowed 10 runs and 16 hits in just over nine innings of work for the White Sox. He's been absolutely abysmal yet Chicago has no one to turn to. Gonzalez has a 4.25 ERA in five career starts against Oakland losing both times against them last year. Oakland's lineup is hitting around .260 this season and has been hard to pin down all year. The Sox bullpen has an ERA over seven on the road and has had their issues as a group. Trevor Cahill made two starts in the minors and was alright as he tried to build his arm up for this outing. Cahill gave up four runs and eight hits in six innings against Chicago last year. Chicago's offense is scoring, but they are not hitting well. Entering Monday night, they were hitting .232 as a team but were averaging 4 runs per game. Oakland's bullpen has several losses and several blown saves. These two pitchers are powder kegs and the over should hit easily. |
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04-15-18 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 8 | 1-10 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
Joey Lucchesi has been fantastic so far. He's allowed five runs and 12 hits in just over 15 innings of work. The southpaw is facing a Giants lineup that is hitting around .228 against left-handed starters this season and just don't scare me very much. What does scare me is the bad Padres pen that is 0-5 on the season, but maybe they show up in this one. Tyler Beede is making his second major league start. In his first one he gave up two runs and three hits in four innings, but was undone by five walks. He'll go up against a light hitting San Diego squad that is hitting around .223 as a group this season. San Francisco's bullpen is alright. I think this one is an under though as both lineups don't scare me. |
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04-14-18 | Rockies v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -111 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
The Nats offense continues to sputter as they host the Rockies once again. Washington has gone under in five straight and six of their last seven games as they've scored just 11 runs over their last five. Jon Gray has seen the Padres twice and the DBacks once. He's pitched alright on the road allowing three runs and 10 hits in 11 innings. Gray lost to Washington in DC last year but held them to three runs and four hits in seven innings. Gray will be opposed by Max Scherzer who has allowed just two earned runs and 13 hits in 20 innings. He's got bad numbers against Colorado, but a lot of that is on the road. The Rox still aren't at full strength with Charlie Blackmon still out. Colorado has gone under in four straight and seven of their last nine. Both bullpens aren't that bad so I think the late innings will be covered. Give me the under in this one. |
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04-13-18 | Blue Jays v. Indians UNDER 9 | 8-4 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
Mike Clevinger has been fantastic for the Indians giving up one run and 14 hits in just over 12 innings of work. He has nine strikeouts and four walks and has not faced Toronto. The Jays are hitting .233 as a team and have gone under in eight of their 13 contests. Marcus Stroman has been pretty bad so far this season. He's allowed nine runs, nine hits and eight walks in just over nine innings. The righty struggled in Texas and against the Yankees. Cleveland entered Thursday's games hitting .170 overall and .180 in home games. They had their first over there yesterday, but I'm not ready to believe in this lineup yet. The bullpens are alright with Cleveland's being stronger. I think this one has under written all over it as Stroman gets back to his ace status. |
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04-12-18 | Giants v. Padres OVER 8 | 7-0 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
Bryan Mitchell is making his third start for the Pads. He's allowed five runs and 11 hits in just over 10 innings of work. The problem has been with his control with nine walks and one strikeout. San Fran's lineup has been underwhelming so far, but they should be able to hit this mediocre pitching group. Chris Stratton is making his first start against someone other then the Dodgers. The righty allowed six runs and nine hits in just over 10 innings against them. He's got mediocre stuff. The Padres found some offense in Coors and have a mediocre lineup themselves. To me, this one should see some offense with a lot of mediocre pitchers on both sides. |
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04-12-18 | Tigers v. Indians UNDER 8 | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
Detroit has gone under in five straight games as their offense has managed just nine runs over that span. The group has struggled on this road trip that will end on Thursday. Trevor Bauer is looking for his first win, but the righty held the Royals and Mariners to three runs and eight hits over 13 innings. Bauer has been torched by the Tigers over his career, but this is a lighter hitting Detroit lineup. He's also backed by a fantastic bullpen. Michael Fulmer beat the Indians last year in Cleveland. He's held the White Sox and Pirates to one run and 10 hits in just over 13 innings. Cleveland has gone under in seven straight games as their offense has cracked the three run mark just once over that span. The unit has been terrible and has managed double digit hits just once. I think we get good pitching efforts and another under. |
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04-10-18 | Angels v. Rangers OVER 9 | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Martin Perez is a pretty bad pitcher and he'll try to slow down the Angels. The southpaw is making his second start of the season after allowing three runs and 10 hits to the A's in just over five innings. Perez had one strikeout in that outing. The lefty is 4-4 with a 3.31 ERA in 11 starts against the Angels. The Angels lineup is averaging around six runs per game and have taken care of business a lot this season. I think the Rangers bullpen is pretty bad too. Tyler Skaggs has put up good numbers so far, but has struggled against Texas. He's got a 6.57 ERA in eight career starts against Texas. His last time starting there was a bad one giving up six runs and five hits in two innings. The Rangers offense is putting up less then good numbers, but I think they can score off the southpaw. This one should go over the total. |
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04-09-18 | Brewers v. Cardinals OVER 8 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
Miles Mikolas gets his second straight crack against the Brewers on Monday. He beat them despite allowing four runs and seven hits in just over five innings. Mikolas is a mediocre pitcher who is facing a Milwaukee lineup that has hit well for a lot of the season. They have plenty of weapons and have now seen him a second time. Jhoulys Chacin gets the Cardinals for his second straight start. He allowed six runs and seven hits in just over five innings to them last time out. He also looked pretty bad in San Diego back in late March so I'm not scared of him. Chacin is 0-6 with a 5.35 ERA in six career starts against the Cards. St. Louis' lineup is hit or miss, but they have started to hit better as of late. Both teams have bullpen issues despite decent numbers. Milwaukee is filling a hole at closer while the Cards middle relief has been an issue. I think this one is an over. |
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04-08-18 | Marlins v. Phillies OVER 7.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
Trevor Richards makes his second major league start as the Marlins play in Philly. Richards gave up five runs and eight hits in just over four innings at home to the Red Sox. He'll face a Phillies offense now that is starting to find themselves after a 20 run output on Saturday. It'll be interesting to find out Gabe Kapler's lineup for Sunday as he's mixed things up a lot this season. The Marlins bullpen will figure to have to cover a lot of innings and I do not trust those guys. On the other side it's Jake Arrieta making his start for the first time as a Phillie. Who knows how long he'll be able to go after the team stretched him out. Arrieta has had a fantastic history against Miami, but if he doesn't go deep then a bad Philly bullpen comes into play as well. To me, these two pitchers will give way to bad pens and the offenses should find some success. |
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04-08-18 | Reds v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Tyler Mahle and Jameson Taillon faced off twice in 2017 with both of those going under the total. Mahle looked really good against the Cubs holding them to one hit and two walks over six innings of work. The righty was very good against Pittsburgh last year giving up three runs and nine hits in 11 innings of work. The Pirates offense has been fantastic this season, but I'm not completely buying it so far. Jameson Taillon struck out nine Twins in just over five innings giving up two runs and four hits. He's pitched well against the Reds in his last two outings against them which came late last season and has been improving his stuff over his career. The Cincy lineup has struggled at times putting up runs. I think we see some regulars sit for both teams as well. This one should go under. |
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04-07-18 | Dodgers v. Giants OVER 7.5 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
The first time Rich Hill and Chris Stratton faced off, I had the over and it hit. Stratton now has to make adjustments after starting last game against LA. He allowed three runs and five hits in just over five innings of work. It was the Giants bullpen that allowed the rest of the runs. Neither offense is all that scary right now, but both teams pens are pretty bad right now. Rich Hill held the Giants in check in that start allowing five hits and three walks in six innings. The southpaw is facing a San Fran offense that found its bats at home as of late. They've gone over in three straight since going under in the first three. I think this one should go over as well. |
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04-07-18 | Tigers v. White Sox UNDER 8 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Lucas Giolito will be on my card a lot this year in some sort of fashion. He pitched alright in his first start of 2018 holding the Royals to three runs and four hits in six innings. Of concern is the four walks, but he's been trying to cut down on those. Giolito pitched well against Detroit last year holding them to three hits and three walks over seven innings. Miguel Cabrera is dealing with a hip injury so he may not be available for this one. Michael Fulmer lost a 1-0 game to the Pirates last time out giving up one run and four hits in eight innings. He's 1-1 with a 4.41 ERA in five career starts against the White Sox. Chicago's lineup is putting up good numbers, but I think it's more a product of facing bad pitchers so far. I'm going to need both starters to go deep in order to not have the bullpens factor in. I think we can get 7 from each and then hope the pens don't ruin it over the eighth and ninth. |
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04-06-18 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 9 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Kevin Gausman was his usual roller coaster self last time out giving up six runs and seven hits in four innings to the Twins. He's lost his last two starts against the Yankees giving up 12 runs and 13 hits in just over six innings against them. Gausman's control was an issue last year, but the Yankees lineup is a lot tougher this season. For some reason they struggled against mediocre Andrew Cashner, but don't expect that to be a constant. CC Sabathia was effective in his first start of the year going his usual five innings while holding the Jays to two runs and five hits in five innings. CC has struggled with the Orioles a bit as of late. He gave up 12 runs and 17 hits in his last 11 innings and change against them. Baltimore's offense can be a lot better then they have been as evidenced by Thursday night. I think this one is an over with plenty of fireworks. |
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04-04-18 | Nationals v. Braves UNDER 8 | 1-7 | Push | 0 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Washington and Atlanta put up a boatload of runs on Tuesday, but I don't see that on a getaway day early afternoon contest on Wednesday. Max Scherzer struck out 10 Reds on Opening Day on his way to six scoreless innings. He's got a 4.09 ERA in 15 career starts against the Braves but ironically has actually pitched worse against them at home then down in Atlanta. Color me unimpressed by Atlanta's lineup and I'm seeing an appearance of the law firm for Washington to lock down this one if Scherzer doesn't go all nine. Mike Foltynewicz held the Phillies to three runs and five hits in five innings, striking out seven. He had a mixed bag season against Washington last year, but the majority of those starts came in DC. Once again, I feel like both lineups may feature some bench guys and I feel like both teams will be ready to move onto their next series. |
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