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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-23-18 | Nebraska v. Iowa -9.5 | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 19 m | Show | |
  NEBRASKA @ IOWA Nebraska pulled out a close 9-6 win at home last week over Michigan St. Not only was it their season low scoring game but also their 2nd lowest total yards game. They have had trouble against the elite defenses in the Big 10 as they were also held to 10 points and a season low in total yards in a 56-10 loss at Michigan who has the #1 ranked overall defense. Now they go to Iowa to face the #8 ranked defense who allow 16.5 points a game. They crushed Illinois 63-0 last week and allowed 14 points or less in 4 of their 6 home games. Iowa has beaten Nebraska in their last 3 meetings while also covering the spread in each game. Prior to last week's 9-6 win they had allowed at least 28 points in every Big 10 game they played and at least 34 ponts in all 4 of their Big 10 road games. Take Iowa |
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11-22-18 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss +11.5 | 35-3 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
MISSISSIPPI STATE @ MISSISSIPPI The Battle for the state of Mississippi takes place in the Egg Bowl when the Bulldogs visit the Rebels. The Bulldogs have won 3 of their last 4 games with the 3 of them being at home and are 7-4 overall. They have 1 of the better defenses in the country as they are ranked 8th against the pass and 6th overall. Meanwhile the Rebels have lost 4 straight but the last 2 were road games. They are ranked 2nd overall on offense and QB Ta'amu is 2nd in the nation with over 3800 passing yards and 19 TD's. They also average 37 points a game and have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with 2 of the wins as underdogs. This is senior day and their final home game and at this point in time the biggest game of the year as they are Bowl eligible with a win. It will be offense against defense so I'll go with the home dog. Take Mississippi |
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11-22-18 | Bears v. Lions +3.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
   BEARS @ LIONS Although the Bears have won 4 straight games, 3 of them were at home and 2 were against the Jets and Buffalo who are a combined 6-14. Their offense has scored at least 24 points in all 4 wins BUT QB Trubiskey who threw 7 TD's in the 4 wins is doubtful and probably won't play and his replacement hasn't played all season and hasm't started an NFL game since 2014. The Lions who generally speaking aren't in the hunt this time of the year always have Thanksgiving Day to get up for. They are 4-6 with 3 of the wins at home and last week upset the Panthers 20-19 in Detroit and also have a win over the Pats at home. Tough tough place and time for the Bears to pick up a win. Take Detroit |
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11-17-18 | UNLV v. Hawaii -6.5 | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 38 h 32 m | Show | |
   UNLV @ HAWAII The Rainbow Warriors come out of their bye week looking to snap a four game losing skid, and I think they get it done against a terrible UNLV team. Hawaii picked apart inferior teams at the beginning of the season, but when they ran into a tough stretch in the schedule their offense slowed down. Their losing streak includes losses to the top two teams in the Mountain West Conference in their last two games. They also lost to BYU and Nevada. The Rebels aren't anywhere near the same caliber as any of those teams, ranking 137th in the country in scoring defense. Hawaii's quarterback Cole McDonald ranks #4 in the country in passing yards, and he should put up big numbers against this weak UNLV secondary. Take HAWAII (Game of the Year) |
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11-17-18 | Indiana +28.5 v. Michigan | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 44 h 39 m | Show | |
  INDIANA @ MICHIGAN Indiana broke their 4 game losing streak with a hard fought 34-32 win last week against Maryland. It was the 3rd straight week the offense scored at least 28 points. They average over 400 yards a game balanced nicely with over 250 yards passing while rushing for over 155 yards a game. Their last 2 losses were by 12 points total including a tough 33-28 loss to Penn St where they totaled over 550 yards of offense. They are led by QB Ramsey who has completed over 67% of his passes while throwing for better than 200 yards in each of his last 7 games. Michigan has won 9 straight since their opening game loss to Notre Dame and have held their last 3 opponents to 7 points in each win. Over the years Indiana has played them tough and are 4-0 ATS the last 4 games they were double digit dogs losing by 10 points or less the last 3 meetings where 2 of those went into OT. This is a tough spot for the Wolverines to cover the huge spread as they might be looking ahead to their big game against Ohio St the following week Take Indiana |
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11-17-18 | Syracuse +10.5 v. Notre Dame | 3-36 | Loss | -114 | 41 h 25 m | Show | |
 SYRACUSE @ NOTRE DAME Syracuse has won their last 4 games scoring at least 40 points in each win. They are 8-2 and they lost both games by 11 points total with 1 of them in OT. They are ranked 16th in total offense averaging over 480 yards a game and as well balanced as you can get. They throw for over 260 yards and rush for 216 yards a game while scoring over 44 points a game which is 7th in the country. The Irish are undefeated at 10-0 but have struggled with consistency on offense. Last week against Florida St they were held to 10 points in the 2nd half and the week before scored just 7 points in the 1st half against Northwestern. A few weeks earlier they had to come from behind to beat Pittsburgh 19-14 after being held to 12 points in the first 3 quarters of that game. If they have a scoring drought against this Syracuse team, they could find themselves with their 1st loss of the year. Take Syracuse |
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11-17-18 | Michigan State v. Nebraska +1.5 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 23 h 12 m | Show | |
   MICHIGAN STATE @ NEBRASKA The Spartan's defense has been keeping them from having a bad season. Their offense is ranked 110th overall and in their 4 losses have been held to less than 20 points in each. In their last 2 losses they were held to just 1 TD against Michigan and last week against the Buckeyes had just 2 field goals. They average 22 points and 352 total yards a game. QB lewerke has thrown just 8 TD's with 9 picks and he is dealing with an arm injury. Since they are bowl eligible and won't win the Big 10 East they might rest him and put in the red shit freshman Lombardi. Nebraska got off to a terrible start as they lost their first 6 games but have won 3 of their last 4 as their offense has scored at least 45 points in all 3 wins. They average over 32 points and over 480 yards a game which ranks them 18th in the country. They are very balanced passing for over 250 yards and rushing for over 225 yards a game. This is a game of strength of the Nebraska offense against the strength of the Michigan St defense. I will go with the home team on senior day with the points. Take Nebraska |
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11-12-18 | Giants v. 49ers -3 | 27-23 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
  GIANTS @ 49ERS NY has had offensive problems all season and I don't think it will end in tonights matchup with SF. They haven't scored more than 20 points in 6 of their 8 games. They scored less than 20 in 5 of those 6 games and have lost 5 straight. They are ranked 29th in total offense and average less than 19 points a game. SF is comingboff a big 34-3 win over Oakland in their last game. They have the 4th best rushing offense which sould give them control of the clock and open up their passing game. Their defense has been their biggest concern but they have held their last 2 opponents to 21 total points. This is a game they should be able to control against a bad Giant offense. Take San Francisco |
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11-11-18 | Dolphins +10.5 v. Packers | 12-31 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
   DOLPHINS @ PACKERS Miami won an ugly game against the Jets last week 13-7 and are 5-4 this season. They have lost 4 of their last 6 games after a surprising 3-0 start. Their offense only averages 315 yards and 21 points a game but 2 of their losses were to New England and Houston on the road who are both ranked in the top 10 in the NFL offensively but Miami was only a 7 point dog to both. Today they are a double digit dog to the Packers who are 3-4-1 who are 1-3 ATS as favorites and 1-3 ATS in their last 4 overall. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and needed 10 4th quarter points to barely get by SF 33-30 at home in their last win. Their other 2 wins at home were against hapless Buffalo and a 1 point win over Chicago. Miami hasn't been a double digit dog all year and they have played teams way better than Green Bay. Take Miami |
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11-11-18 | Redskins v. Bucs -2.5 | 16-3 | Loss | -130 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
      REDSKINS @ BUCS Washington had their 3 game winning streak broken in last week's 38-14 trouncing by Atlanta. It was their 4th game out of their last 5 they were held to 20 points or less. It gets worse offensively as they lost 2 more offensive linemen to injury while their defense has allowed their last 2 opponents to pass for over 300 yards. Last week Ryan passed for 350 yards and threw 4 TD's against them and now they are 20th in the league allowing over 250 passing yards a game. The Bucs were beaten on the road for the 2nd straight week but their offense which is ranked 4th overall has the #1 passing game averaging 357 yards a game. They are also 8th in scoring as they average 29 points a game. They have a 3-5 record but are 2-1 at home and lost by 5 points or less in 3 of their last 5 losses while scoring at least 26 points in 7 of their 8 games. Ryan will start at QB this week and he has been very effective having thrown 17 TD's with 7 picks and completing over 66% of his passes. Take Tampa Bay |
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11-11-18 | Patriots v. Titans +7 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
     PATS @ TITANS New England has won 6 straight games with 4 of them at home. In their 2 road games they beat the hapless Bills and gave up 31 points in Chicago before finally winning 38-31 with a last minute TD. They have 2 losses and both were on the road in their 2 previous away games. Last week they had to score 2 4th quarter TD's in their win over the Pack and against the Bears Trubisky threw for over 330 yards and 2 scores. Brady hasn't been as sharp lately and in 3 of his last 4 games has thrown just 1 TD or less. Tennessee broke a 3 game losing streak with an impressive 28-14 win against a good Dallas defense on the road. Mariota completed over 72% of his passes for the 2nd straight week going 21 of 29 with 2 TD's and has thrown just 2 picks over his last 4 games. They have the 5th best defense overall and are 8th against the pass while leading the NFL allowing just 17.6 points a game. This will be a tough spot against a good defense for the Pats to control the game. Take Tennessee |
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11-10-18 | Baylor +18 v. Iowa State | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
BAYLOR @ IOWA STATE Baylor was trounced by West Virginia 2 weeks ago but last week had a huge 4th quarter comeback at home when they beat the Cowboys 35-31 to keep their post season alive. Their last 3 losses have been against the best of the Big 12 as they were also defeated by Oklahoma and lost a tough 23-17 game to Texas. They have a very good offense that averages over 400 yards and 32 points a game. Iowa St has a good defense that held 4 of their last 6 opponents to 17 points or less but their offense is ranked just 123rd overall in the nation relying on a passing game that averages less than 250 yards a game. Baylor were 14 point dogs to both Texas and West Virginia on the road and both have way better offenses than Iowa State. This looks like a big price for Iowa State who have lost 5 of the last 7 meetings with the Bears. Take Baylor |
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11-10-18 | Ohio State -3.5 v. Michigan State | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 49 h 4 m | Show | |
        OHIO STATE @ MICHIGAN STATE The Buckeyes have won 6 of their last 7 games and last week beat a hot Nebraska team 36-31 after falling behind at the half. It was a big win for them after being upset by Purdue the week before even though Haskins threw for over 400 yards. He has led the Buckeye offense that averages over 42 points a game with the 3rd ranked passing attack in the nation that averages over 369 yards a game. He has passed for over 400 yards in 3 of his last 4 games while throwing 21 TD passes and just 5 picks over his last 6 games. The Spartans have won 3 of their last 4 games but have lost 2 of their last 3 home games with both to the better teams in the Big 10. They did beat Penn St on the road but allowed over 200 rushing yards and won with a last second TD. This is another tough game for the Spartans who have struggled against the elite of the Big 10 and have an offense ranked 104th averaging less than 350 yards a game. Take Ohio State |
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11-10-18 | TCU v. West Virginia -13.5 | 10-47 | Win | 100 | 1 h 30 m | Show | |
   TCU @ WEST VIRGINIA TCU has lost 3 of their last 4 games and 5 of 7 overall but squeaked out a 14-13 win at home last week over Kansas St. They have been held to 17 points or less in 4 of their last 6 games as their offense is ranked 73rd overall and just 87th running the ball. They haven't scorerd more than 27 points in their last 6 games as well as going 0-6 ATS in them. West Virginia has a very good offense averaging over 40 points a game and have scored at least 35 points in all but 1 of their games. They average almost 500 yards a game and are 6th in the nation passing for over 330 yards a game. They are 4-0 at home winning each game by at least 16 points with QB Grier leading the way with 28 TD passes and while throwing for over 300 yards in 7 of his 8 games. Take West Virginia |
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11-09-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State +3 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 37 h 43 m | Show | |
FRESNO STATE @ BOISE STATE Fresno has won 7 straight games which sounds very impressive but their last 3 wins were against teams who are ranked from 113th to 129th in the nation in total defense. Each of those 3 teams allows at least 35 points a game while also compiling losing streaks of at least 4 straight games. Boise St has won 4 straight games and 5 of their last 6 including 2 straight wins over a very good Air Force rushing attack and a tough BYU team who has a win over Wisconsin. Their offense averages over 450 yards and 38 points a game led by their 11th ranked passing attack that averages 318 yards a game. Defensively they allow 23 points a game and have wion 3 of their 4 home games while the home team has won their last 6 meetings and 8 of the last 10 overall. Take Boise State |
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11-07-18 | Toledo v. Northern Illinois -3.5 | 15-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
    TOLEDO @ NORTHERN ILLINOIS The Northern Illinois Huskies are still perfect (5-0) in the MAC, and they look good as a small home favorite versus Toledo tonight. The Rockets are coming off a couple wins against two of the weaker teams in the conference (Western Michigan and Ball State). When they have stepped up and faced the tougher teams, they have lost to Buffalo and Eastern Michigan. The Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and the Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Take the HUSKIES. |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys -4.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
       TITANS @ COWBOYS Tennessee brings it's impotent offense that is ranked 31st overall and 30th in points scored (15 points a game) into Dallas for a Monday night match up. They have been held to just 20 points or less in 6 of their 7 games played and 12 points or less in 3 of their last 5. They have lost 3 straight games and are 1-3 on the road with the only road win against a Jacksonville team that is ranked 29th in points scored averaging less than 17 a game. The Cowboys have been alternating wins and losses all season going 3-4. All of their wins have been at home including a 40-7 win in their last home game which was their highest point total all season. They could be 5-2 as their last 2 losses were by 3 points each, Prescott hasn't been overwhelming but has completed over 60% of his passes in his last 4 games throwing 6 of his 8 TD's on the year with just 2 picks. Their defense has been the glue as they lead the league in total yards allowing 314 a game and in points allowed. With the home field and a solid defense against a weak offense the choice is clear. Take Dallas |
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11-04-18 | Rams v. Saints +2 | 35-45 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
         RAMS @ SAINTS Two of the NFL heavyweights meet when the Rams visit the Big Easy to take on the Saints. LA comes in with an 8-0 record but have been a little shaky recently especially on the road. Other than a 39-10 win against a 2-7 49ER team, 4 of their last 5 wins were by 14 points total and they have gone 1-4 ATS in those 5 games. They are 6th in the league allowing 19.4 points a game but allowed at least 27 points in 3 of those 5 games and 2 of their last 3 road wins were by 5 points total. The Saints have won 6 straight since their only loss on opening day and with the help of the 2nd highest scoring offense in the NFL and the 8th ranked offense in yards per game. They have scored at least 30 points in 4 of their last 5 games while their 13th ranked defense has really stepped up allowing 23 points or less in their last 4 games. LA is only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against the NFC while the Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. With the home team going 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings, who am I to argue. Take New Orleans |
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11-04-18 | Texans +1.5 v. Broncos | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
        HOUSTON @ DENVER Houston has turned their season around in a big way winning 5 in a row after losing their first 3. Their offense has performed well and are ranked 10th in the league overall averaging 379 yards and 25 points a game. Their defense is also playing well holding their last 4 opponents to 23 points or less. They are ranked 7th against the rush while allowing less than 20 points a game. Denver is going in the opposite direction and have lost 5 of their last 6 games with their only win against the dismal Cards. They have had trouble scoring points as they have been held to 23 points or less in 6 of their last 7 games. They are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games and 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 overall. Take Houston |
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11-04-18 | Falcons v. Redskins -2 | 38-14 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
                FALCONS @ REDSKINS Atlanta is 3-4 and have won their last 2 games. They beat the Bucs who have lost 4 of their last 5 games and the Giants who are a dismal 1-7 for the season. Their defense has allowed at least 29 points in 4 of their last 5 games and are ranked 30th allowing 420 yards and over 30 points a game. Washington is 5-2 and have won 3 straight games with a defense ranked 2nd in total yards as they allow 322 yards and 18.7 points a game which is 5th in the NFL. They allowed just 17 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games while winning their last 3 home games. Washington is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games while the Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Take Washington |
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11-03-18 | Iowa +2 v. Purdue | 36-38 | Push | 0 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
        IOWA @ PURDUE Iowa is 6-2 after their tough loss at Penn St last week 30-24. Their defense played another great game as they held Penn St who average 460 yards and 41 points a game to just 315 total yards, while McSorley was held to just 167 yards in the air with 1 TD and a pick. Their only other loss was to another top team - Wisconsin. They have the 6th ranked defense in the country that allows 260 total yards and just 16 points a game. All 6 wins were by double digits and have covered the spread to boot. Purdue has a very good passing game but is just 4-4 because the defense allows over 400 yards a game and 300 of that is in the air. They were beaten by a very good Spartan defense last week who shut down their passing game while holding them to 13 points. Iowa just might have a better defense than the Spartans and will hold the Boilermakers in check for most of the game. Take Iowa |
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11-03-18 | Georgia Tech -4.5 v. North Carolina | 38-28 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show | |
       GEORGIA TECH @ NORTH CAROLINA Georgia Tech has won 3 of their last 4 games with the only loss the result of 3 TO's turned into TD's by Duke. The game was tied 7-7 in the 3rd quarter before Duke scored 21 unanswered points as they won the game 28-14. The Yellow Jackets scored at least 49 points as they won by at least 21 points in the 3 wins. Their offense which is ranked 30th in the country averages 39 points and leads the country with over 360 rushing yards a game. Their defense is ranks 38th allowing 360 yards and 28 points a game. The Tarheels are 1-6 and have lost their last 4 games allowing at least 30 points in 3 of them as their defense is ranked 105th allowing 35 points and over 400 yards a game. Their 100th ranked run defense that allows almost 200 yards a game will be on the field a long time as we look for Georgia Tech to control the ball and score points. Take Georgia Tech |
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11-03-18 | Michigan State -3 v. Maryland | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
MICHIGAN STATE @ MARYLAND The Spartans shook off their loss to rival Michigan in a big way as they shut down the 19th best offense in the country that averages over 32 pointss a game when they smothered Purdue 23-13 last week. It was the least amount of points scored by the Boilermakers all season as the Spartan defense held Blough below 300 passing yards for just the 2nd time in his last 6 games while picking him off 3 times without allowing him a TD pass for the 1st time in his last 6 games as well. Their defense leads the country allowing only 77 rushing yards and 21 points a game. The Terps crushed Illinois last week 63-33 and are 3-2 in conference games but all 3 wins were against the worst, as the 3 teams have a combined 2-13 conference record. They are 126th offensively in passing and depend on running the ball which is what the Spartans excel at defensively. Don't expect a lot of offense from Maryland as Michigan St will shut them down. Take Michigan State |
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11-03-18 | Air Force +6.5 v. Army | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
         AIR FORCE @ ARMY Air Force lost a tough game to a tough team last week when they let Boise St score with a 61 yard pass in the 4th quarter to seal the win 48-38 with just 3 minutes left in the game. Their offense averages 32 points and 393 yards a game with most of that the result of the triple option running game. They have had some other tough losses as well losing by 6 poins or less in 3 of thei 4 prior losses to last week. They face another running team with Army who are 2nd in the country averaging over 300 yards a game rushing. The Falcons have a decent passing game where the Army doesn't and is ranked 127th. Both of these teams know the triple option as they both rely on it for their offense. with all the running these teams do and the fact that the Falcons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings at Army, I have to grab the points. Take Air Force |
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10-30-18 | Miami-OH +7.5 v. Buffalo | 42-51 | Loss | -124 | 33 h 2 m | Show | |
MIAMI-OHIO @ BUFFALO The Redhawks visit conference rival Buffalo with a 3-5 record but their last 2 losses were by 1 point each. They are 3-1 in conference play and won their last 2 in conference road games outscoring their 2 opponents 79-40. QB Raglund has completed over 60% of his passes for 1769 yards with 14 Td's and just 3 picks. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games and 5-2-1 in their last 8 meetings with Buffalo. The Bulls won their last game 31-17 over Toledo but needed 24 2nd half points to win that game. They also struggled against a punchless Central Michigan team before winning by 10. They are playing after a bye week but are just 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a bye week. Take Miami-Ohio |
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10-29-18 | Patriots -13 v. Bills | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
   PATS @ BILLS New England has won 5 straight and scored at least 38 points in each win. Their offense led by Brady is 4th in scoring at over 30 points a game. Hr has completed at least 65% of his passes over those 4 games and thrown 10 TD psses. The Bills are last in the leage averaging 11.6 points a game and last averaging 234 yards a game. They have been held to 13 points or less in 5 ganes and scored just 31 total over their last 4 games. They are way below the league standard offensively. Take New England |
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10-28-18 | Packers +8 v. Rams | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
   PACKERS @ RAMS. The Pack got off to a rough start when they were playing with an injured Rodgers but their offense scored 33 points last week and are ranked 14th overall with over 300 yards passing a game. Rodgers threw for at least 425 yards in each of the last 2 games along with 5TD's without a pick. Their defense is ranked 4th in the league allowing just over 325 tards a game wiih only 211 yards passing. LA is undefeated but in 3 of their lst 4 wins they won by 7 points or less and are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games. The Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Take Los Angeles |
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10-28-18 | Colts v. Raiders +3.5 | 42-28 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
    COLTS @ RAIDERS. Indy lost 4 straight before beating up punchless Buffalo last week. In their last 2 road games they allowed at least 38 points and in their last 3 losses allowed at least 37 points in each game. Their defense that is ranked 23rd allows 375 yards a game while last week Luck was held to 156 yards passing against the Bills and he has thrown 5 picks in his last 3 games. The Raiders have won just 1 game and that was at home while 3 of their last 4 losses have been on the road. Their offense averages over 370 yards a game thanks to Carr who has completed over 60% of his passes in every game but their running game has stalled as most of their yards have been between the 20 yard lines. Look for a big home win against a weak defense. Take Oakland |
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10-28-18 | Jets v. Bears -7 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 113 h 28 m | Show | |
      JETS @ CHICAGO NY is 2-4 in their last 6 games with both wins at home while being outgained in total yards in 4 of their last 5 games overall. Last week Darnold had maybe his worst game of the year as he was 17 of 42 for just 206 yards with 1 TD and 3 picks. He has 10 TD passes and 10 picks for the season while throwing for 206 yards or less in 4 of his last 5 games and that ranks NY 27th in passing and 26th in total yards a game. Their defense allowed over 30 points in 3 of their last 4 games. Chicago is having a very good season but are just 3-3 with all 3 losses by 11 points total. Trubisky has led them to at least 28 points in their last 3 games as he passed for over 300 yards in his last 3 games throwing 11TD's and 3 picks as opposed to 2 TD's and 3 picks in their first 3 games. Take Chicago |
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10-28-18 | Ravens v. Panthers +2.5 | 21-36 | Win | 100 | 90 h 3 m | Show | |
   RAVENS @ PANTHERS Baltimore were losers at home to the Saints 24-23 in their last game. It was also their 2nd loss in their last 3 games as their offense has slowed down. They have been held to 23 points or less in their last 3 as opposed to scoring at least 23 points in their first 4 games. They have had to rely on the passing game as their running game is 24th averaging just 96 yards a game. Flacco hasn't thrown for 300 yards in 3 straight games while throwing 3TD's and 2 picks in them. Carolina has won 3 of their last 4 games with the 1 loss on the road. They are 3-0 at home scoring at least 31 points in the last 2 there. Their defense is ranked 7th in the league in total yards and 10th in points allowed. Carolina is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take Carolina |
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10-28-18 | Seahawks v. Lions -2.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 41 m | Show | |
 SEAHAWKS @ LIONS The Seattle offense is ranked 30th in the league averaging just 325 yards a game while scoring about 24. Their passing game nets less than 200 yards a game as Wilson has thrown for less than 200 yards in 3 of their last 4 games and 2 of their last 3 wins were against Oakland and Arizona who are a combined 2-11. They have 3 losses with 2 of them on the road and their 1 true road game win was a 20-17 win at Arizona. The Lions won at Miami last week and have won 3 of their last 4 games including their last 2 by at least 8 points each and a 26-10 win over the Pats at home. Stafford is playing better and has completed at least 75% of his passes in 3 of his last 4 games while throwing 2 TD's in each of the 4, with just 1 pick total. They outscored their last 2 opponents at home 57-23. Take Detroit |
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10-27-18 | Navy +24 v. Notre Dame | 22-44 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
 NOTRE DAME @ NAVY Notre Dame escaped with a last minute win at home las week to beat Pittsburgh 19-14. The week before in a win at Virginia Tech needed 2 TO's in the 2nd half to help them score 28 points in their 45-23 win. They have a well balanced offense averaging over 420 yards a game but you need the ball on offense to score. Navy runs for over 300 yards a game and that means they control the clock Last season in their meeting with the Irish they held the ball for over 42 minutes in a tough 24-17 loss. They have outrushed 6 of their 7 opponents and 4 points seperated them last week late in the 3rd quarter against a very good Houston team. This is a huge rivalry and Navy is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings while the Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against the AAC. Take Navy |
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10-27-18 | Georgia v. Florida +7.5 | 36-17 | Loss | -129 | 104 h 13 m | Show | |
      FLORIDA @ GEORGIA When Florida and Georgia take the field we will have almost identical teams playing each other. Both are 6-1 with Georgia getting their loss at LSU last week 36-16 while the Gators lost to Kentucky their 2nd game of the season Defensively they are both ranked in the top 25 and both allow a bit over 16 points and less than 325 yards a game. Offensively they both average over 400 yards and over 34 points a game. Georgis has a small advantage scoring 5 more points and gaining over 50 more yards a game but both offenses are very well balanced. I have to take the points as Georgia just got whipped scoring the lowest number of points offensively all season while Florida won their 5th straight game. The Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games while the Bulldogs are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games. Take Florida |
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10-27-18 | Kansas State +24.5 v. Oklahoma | 14-51 | Loss | -106 | 29 h 9 m | Show | |
   KANSAS STATE @ OKLAHOMA Kansas St soundly beat the Cowboys last week 31-12 and it was the 2nd straight game they scored over 30 points. It was also the 2nd straight game they got over 400 yards of offense thanks to their running ganme that has run for over 600 yards the last 2 weeks. Defensively they have a bend don't break defense that allows over 400 yards a game but gives up just 25 points. They lost 3 straight before winning last week but 2 of the losses were by 8 points total. Oklahoma has one of the best offenses in the country and scored 52 points against TCU last week but had problems against another running team when they won 28-21 against Army in OT. The road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings and Kansas St is 5-2-1 in their last 8 at Oklahoma as well as 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Sooner defense has had it's problems allpwing over 400 yards and over 28 points a game. Take Kansas State |
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10-27-18 | TCU v. Kansas +15 | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 104 h 26 m | Show | |
  TCU @ KANSAS TCU has lost 4 of their last 5 games including last week 52-27 to the Sooners who amassed over 530 total yards with over 320 rushing, They are also without starting QB Robinson who attempted just 8 passes before being removed because of injury. Their 71st ranked offense only managed 275 total yards and 3 2nd half points against a questionable defense. They haven't scored more than 17 points in the 3 prior games either. Kansas has also struggled as they are losers of 4 straight but 3 were road games with the last 2 against Texas Tech and West Va who have 2 of the best offense and are a combined 6-2 in conference play. Last week Kansas was a 17 point dog on the road at Texas Tech so I have to take almost the same amount of points at home against a much weaker offense. Take Kansas |
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10-27-18 | Wisconsin -6 v. Northwestern | 17-31 | Loss | -120 | 103 h 19 m | Show | |
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WISCONSIN @ NORTHWESTERN Wisconsin shook off their 38-13 loss at Michigan to score a 49-20 win at Illinois in their last game. Their offense cranked out almost 550 yards of offense with over 275 on the ground. They average over 450 yards and 33 points a game while their 4th ranked running game averages over 280 yards a game. Their defense is pretty good as they allowed 24 points or less in 6 of their 7 games while averaging 20 points allowed which is 25th in the nation. Northwestern is one dimensional on offense as they pass for almost 300 yards a game but rush for just 78 which ranks them 128th. They have been held to 17 points or less in 2 of their last 4 home games. They are just 1-3 at home and allowed over 30 points in 2 of their last 3 there. Take Wisconsin |
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10-26-18 | Utah -10 v. UCLA | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 106 h 32 m | Show | |
      UTAH @ UCLA Utah has stepped up their offense as they scored at least 40 points in their last 3 games including wins at Stanford and over USC at home. Their 10th ranked defense leads the country allowing less than 75 yards a game rushing and just 17.7 points a game good for 16th. They allowed 21 points or less in 5 of their 7 games while the offense has outgained their last 4 opponents on the ground by over 120 yards. UCLA won their last 2 games including a big 37-7 win at Cal. They beat Arizona in their last game 31-30 whiloe being outgained in yards in 5 of their last 6 games. Their 96th ranked defense allows over 420 yards and 32 points a game. They allowed almost 300 yards rushing and over 500 total yards in their last game. Utah should be able to score while their defense keeps UCLA impotenet on offense. Take Utah |
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10-25-18 | Toledo v. Western Michigan -5.5 | 51-24 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 44 m | Show | |
  TOLEDO @ WESTERM MICHIGAN Toledo had a 17-7 halftime lead in their last game but were outscored 24-0 in the 2nd half against Buffalo for their 3rd loss in their last 4 games. Their 102nd ranked defense allows over 450 yards and over 34 points a game. They have allowed at least 31 points in 5 of their last 6 games and now face the 10th best offense in the country in Western Michigan. The Broncos have a balanced attack that averages over 220 yards in the air and on the ground while averaging almost 37 points a game. Their defense has played better as of late allowing 24 points or less in 4 of their last 6 games while outscoring opponents at home 95-24. They have outgained 6 straight opponents in total yards a game, outrushing 5 of the last 6. Take Western Michigan |
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10-22-18 | Giants v. Falcons -3.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 35 m | Show | |
   GIANTS @ FALCONS NY has lost 5 of their first 6 games averaging less than 20 points a game and they have done that in 4 of their 5 losses while allowing over 30 points in their last 3 games which they lost. Their 25th ranked run defense allows teams to set up passing and that is what Atlanta does. They have the 7th ranked offense that throws for almost 300 yards a game and averages over 27 points. There is a big issue with Manning at the helm and it has already been stated by many that he is done. The Giants just aren't playing well and have issues, Take Atlanta |
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10-21-18 | Vikings -3.5 v. Jets | 37-17 | Win | 100 | 45 h 16 m | Show | |
  VIKINGS @ JETS Minnesota has put together a modest 2 game winning streak while their offense has crept into the top 10. Cousins has them ranked 8th with over 300 yards passing a game and their defense has stepped up stopping both Philly and Arizona since their disaster against the Rams. The Jets have also won 2 straight but their 23rd ranked defense allowed the Colts over 300 passing yards and 4 TD passes last week. They allow an average of almost 400 yards a game with 273 through the air while offensively they only average 340 yards a game with Darnold passing for less than 200 yards in 3 of their last 4 games and he has 9TD passes and 7 picks. They should be stopped by a better Minnesota defense than we saw earlier. Take Minnesota |
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10-21-18 | Browns v. Bucs -3.5 | 23-26 | Loss | -106 | 45 h 37 m | Show | |
       CLEVELAND @ TAMPA BAY The Bowns offense has really tanked as they were held to 14 points or less the last 2 weeks and 21 points or less in 5 of their 6 games. They are 23rd in passing with less than 230 yards a game just 21 points. Last week Mayfield was sacked 5 times and passed for 238 yards completing just 22 of 46. He was hurt and might not even play. defensively Cleveland is just 27th in the league allowing over 400 yards a game with 270 yards through the air. That isn't good against the 2nd overall offense in the league with the best passing game. The Bucs should be able to take advantage of the Brown defense and enjoy their home field advantage after scoring at least 27 points in 4 of their last 5 games. Take Tampa Bay |
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10-21-18 | Bills v. Colts -7 | 5-37 | Win | 102 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
BILLS @ COLTS Buffalo has scored 13 points or less in 4 of their 6 games and are 2-4 as a result. Their last win was at home 13-12 over a very inept bottom of the barrel Tennessee offense. Their defense has played well but their biggest loss was against the Chargers when Rivers threw 3 TD passes. They haven't played a good passing offense other than them and the Packers and Rodgers lit them up for 298 yards. That is what the Colts do with Luck, they pass. and have the 10th best in the league and while their defense isn't very good they will be facing the worst offense in the league without their starting QB. Take Indianappolis |
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10-20-18 | Bowling Green +17 v. Ohio | 14-49 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 39 m | Show | |
  BOWLING GREEN @ OHIO Bowling Green visits Ohio with a 1-6 record and a 4 game losing streak. They have a capable offense that averages almost 400 yards and 27 points a game which not only ranks them ahead of Ohio but also 55th in the country. Their defense has been more of a problem but their 2 biggest losses were against Power 5 Georgia Tech and Maryland. Those 2 games were the only times they didn't cover the spread as double digit dogs. They are 3-0 ATS in their other 4 games as double digit dogs including 2-0 the last 2 weeks. Ohio is 3-3 with the offense being held to 31 points in 4 of their last 5 games and they have been outgained in total yards in 5 of their 6 games. Defensively they are ranked 110th allowing almost 500 yards and 34 points a game. Bowling Green is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Ohio and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Ohio. This looks like a big spread for a middle of the road team to cover against a conference foe. Take Bowling Green |
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10-20-18 | Oklahoma -7.5 v. TCU | 52-27 | Win | 100 | 71 h 59 m | Show | |
 OKLAHOMA @ TCU The Sooners visit TCU after a tough loss in the Refd River game last week at Texas losing 48-45. It was the mostb points scored on Texas all season and in their prior game scored a 66-33 win over Baylor who had also been playing good defense. They have now scored at least 37 points in 5 of their 6 games and won by double digits in 4 of their 5 wins. They have beaten TCU in 7 of their last 8 meetings winning by at least 18 points in their last 2 meetings. TCU has lost 3 of their last 4 games while being held to 17 points or less in their last 3 games. Two of their 3 losses were by double digits and 2 of their 3 losses were at home. Texas is a much better team than TCU and they were a 7 point dog to Oklahoma at home last week. The books probably missed this one. Take Oklahoma |
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10-20-18 | Maryland v. Iowa -9.5 | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
      MARYLAND @ IOWA Maryland is 2-2 in their last 4 games but in their 1 road game against a ranked in conference foe, were crushed 42-21 by Michigan who gouged them for over 450 yards of offense. Their only 2 conference wins were against Rutgers and Minnesota who are a combined 0-7 in conference play. They are ranked 100th in overall offense with their passing game 125th. Iowa has the 5th ranked defense in the country that allows less than 82 yards rushing and just 200 yards in the air. They are 5-1 with all 5 wins by double digits and are 5-1 ATS. Offensively they are in the top 50 in scoring and passing as they average over 31 points a game. They have scored at least 38 points in 3 of their last 4 games. Take Iowa |
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10-20-18 | Michigan -7 v. Michigan State | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 21 h 44 m | Show | |
 MICHIGAN @ MICHIGAN STATE Michigan has won 6 straight games averaging almost 42 points a game, scoring less than 38 in just 1 game during the run. Averaging over 400 yards a game, they balance it both running and passing for over 200 yards. Defensively they are 6th overall in the nation with the best passing defense in the country and they allow less than 16 points a game. Last week they destroyed a good Wconsin team 38-13. The Spartans are also coming off an upset win over Penn St 21-17 on the road but gave up over 200 yards on the ground but lead the country allowing just over 62 yards rushing a game. They passed their way to victory with over 250 yards and a last second passing TD from Lewerke. This will be their toughest test by far and I don't think they will be ready offensively as they are dealing with injuries. Penn St might have exposed a run defense that wasn't really tested until last week. Take Michigan |
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10-18-18 | Stanford v. Arizona State +3 | 20-13 | Loss | -120 | 36 h 55 m | Show | |
                          STANFORD @ ARIZONA STATE Stanford visits Sun Devil Stadium having lost 2 straight games and being held to 21 points or less in both. Their defense has allowed at least 31 points in 3 straight games and they have been outgained in total yards in 2 of their last 3. They aren't a very good road team and have lost 4 of their last 6 road games dating back to last season. Arizona is 3-3 with all 3 wins at home and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games winning 4 of their last 5 at Sun Devil Stadium. They are 11-5 in their last 16 games overall. Take Arizona State |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | 40-43 | Push | 0 | 105 h 26 m | Show | |
                                CHIEFS @ PATRIOTS KC is undefeated winning at home last week over the Jaguars to bring their record to 5-0. Rookie QB Mahomes has been sensational as he started out the season leading the Chiefs with 13 TD passes without a pick in his first 3 games. All 3 of those wins were over teams that allow at least 26 points a game and 2 of them are in the bottom 10 in the league in points allowed. Over their last 2 games the offense has cooled down and he has thrown just 1 TD with 2 picks in the last 2 games. They needed 14 4th quarter points to beat Denver 27-23 two weeks ago. They won last week but Mahomes threw 2 picks without a TD but Bortles returned the favor and threw 4 picks of his own to offset a 430 yard passing game against the 31st ranked pass defense of KC. Their defense is dead last allowing 462 total yards a game and have to face the Pats who have won all 3 of their home games and scored 38 points in each of their last 2 games which were home wins. Brady has thrown 6 TD's in the 2 wins while passing for his 1st 300+ yard game last week. Their 9th ranked scoring offense (27 points a game) could have a huge game against this KC defense while their capable defense allows 21 points a game. Take New England |
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10-14-18 | Seahawks v. Raiders +3 | 27-3 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 53 m | Show | |
                                SEAHAWKS @ RAIDERS Seattle and Oakland take the NFL to England for their Sunday matchup. Seattle is 2-3 losing 33-31 to the Rams last week while their 2 wins were against Dallas and Arizona who are in the bottom 10 in the league in offense and they both average less than 17 points a game which rank them in the bottom 3 in scoring. They were held to 20 points or less in their last 2 away from Seattle and are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games as the favorite and 1-3 ATS in their last 4 meetings with Oakland. Their offense is 27th in yards per game averaging 316 and they throw for less than 200 yards a game also ranked 27th. The Raiders lost last week to the Chargers 26-10 a week after they torched a very good Cleveland defense for over 550 total yards as Carr passed for 437 yards and 4 TD's in a 45 -42 OT win. This game is on a neutral field and the Raiders with their 5th ranked offense should be able to control a Seattle team without the home field advantage. They lost by 9 points total in their 2 losses before last week. Take Oakland |
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10-14-18 | Bucs v. Falcons -3 | 29-34 | Win | 100 | 99 h 59 m | Show | |
                             BUCS @ FALCONS The Bucs bubble has burst as the league's worst defense allowed their opponent to reach 40 points for the 2nd time in their 48-10 beating from the Bears. They are last in the league allowing 35 points a game and 31st allowing almost 450 total yards. Since winning their first 2 games and Fitzpatrick throwing 8 TD's and just 1 pick. They have lost 2 straight and between Fitzpatrick and Winston they have just 4 TD's and 6 picks in the 2 losses. Their secondary is also at the bottom of the league allowing 358 yards a game and in last week's slaughter allowed Trubisky to throw 6 TD passes. Atlanta hasn't been much better as they were hammered 41-17 by Pittsburgh on the road. But in the 2 losses at home they were beaten by 7 points total while their offense put up 73 total points. In their last 5 home games they have scored at least 28 points a game The Bucs are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games while the favorite is 10-4-1 in their last 15 meetings. Take Atlanta |
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10-14-18 | Chargers +2 v. Browns | 38-14 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
                               CHARGERS @ BROWNS LA won their 3rd game on 4 weeks as Rivers threw for over 300 yards and 2 TD's. He has 13 TD passes and just 2 picks this year while completing at least 60% of his passes in every game. They are ranked 8th in total offense averaging over 400 yards a game while scoring at least 26 points in 4 of their 5 games. Cleveland has won 2 of their last 3 games with Mayfield at QB but have still struggled to score as they haven't scored more than 21 points in 4 of their 5 games. Their defense has been vulnerable allowing almost 400 yards a game ranking in the bottom 10 in the league in both pass and run defense. LA should be able to score enough points against a vulnerable defense to pull out a win as their defense can handle a sluggish Cleveland offense, Take Los Angeles |
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10-14-18 | Bills v. Texans -10 | 13-20 | Loss | -101 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
                                BILLS @ TEXANS Buffalo won their 2nd game squeaking out a 1 point win over a lackluster Titan offense 13-12 last week. Buffalo has the 31st overall ranked offense and ranks dead last scoring less than 13 points a game. They have been held to 20 points or less in 4 of their games and 13 or less in 3 of those. QB Allen has thrown just 2 TD's with 5 picks and passed for less than 200 yards in 3 straight games with just 82 last week against Tennessee. Houston's offense has come alive as Watson threw for at least 375 yards in his last 3 games but they kicked 4 field goals last week against Dallas as they stalled in the Red Zone. Look for their offense to put points on the board at home while their defense has a big day against a bad Bill's offense. Take Houstion |
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10-13-18 | Michigan State +13.5 v. Penn State | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
                              MICHIGAN STATE @ PENN STATE The Spartans are looking to bounce back after a 29-19 loss at home against Northwestern last week as their pass defense allowed over 370 yards and 3 TD passes. To their credit they did have 2 picks and their run defense which is the best in the country allowed just 8 yards in 20 attempts by the Wildcats. Their run defense allows just 34 yards a game and they will have to play well against a Penn St team that averages over 250 yards a game rushing. Penn St is also coming into this game off a tough 1 point loss to Ohio St in their last game. They have played a pretty easy schedule other than the Buckeyes and scored at least 50 points in the 3 previous games. They had a 45-38 win against Appalachian St in their opening game winning in OT. That was the toughest defense they had seen and haven't faced a defense like the Spartans so far. Michigan St has it's problems on offense as they can't keep opposing defenses away from their QB who has been sacked 12 times in the 5 games played. The good news for them is that they have had a lot of success winning after a loss. The Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss. Take Michigan State |
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10-13-18 | Baylor +14 v. Texas | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
                                 BAYLOR @ TEXAS Baylor had a big win last week beating Kansas St on the road 37-34 and are now 4-2. Their offense is 15th overall in the country averaging 500 yards and 36 points a game. They were pounded by the Sooners the week before but Oklahoma had 4 TD's scored on big yardage plays because of mental lapses by the Baylor defense. They will face a Texas team that had their biggest win of the year in a 48-45 victory over Oklahoma in last week's Red River game. Texas had been winning with a steady defense but Oklahoma amassed 532 yards with 322 through the air which included 4 TD passes and the Sooners ran for over 200 yards as well. The Texas offense isn't as overwhelming and are ranked 72nd scoring 24 points a game. The Longhorns could be in for a letdown after that big game last week and the Bears would love to grab a win so they will be ready to play. This is a big spread for the Longhorns to cover after the game they had last week. Take Baylor |
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10-13-18 | Texas A&M -2.5 v. South Carolina | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
                             TEXAS A&M @ SOUTH CAROLINA The Aggies beat an excellent Kentucky team 20-14 to give them their 1st loss. Kentucky who had been averaging 370 total yards and 30 points a game were shut down and had just 178 total yards as their 25th ranked running game which averaged over 220 yards a game were held to 70. They are ranked 3rd against the run and 21st overall while allowing just 20 points a game. They are 3-2 with 1 of the losses to Clemson on the road 28-26 and they held 3 of their last 4 opponents to 17 points or less. The Gamecocks are coming off wild 37-35 win over Missouri where Bentley sat out because of injury and didn't play. He is returning this week but his numbers are below expectations as he has just 3 TD passes and 6 picks. Their defense could be in for a long afternoon against the Aggie running game that averages 226 yards a game which is 3rd in the SEC and 24th in the country as the Gamecock defense allows almost 200 yards a game on the ground. Look for the Aggies to control the clock and wear down the South Carolina defense. Take Texas A&M |
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10-13-18 | Florida -7.5 v. Vanderbilt | 37-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
                             FLORIDA @ VANDERBILT Florida is fresh off a big win over LSU last week where their 6thbranked pass defense held LSU to under 200 yards in the air while forcing 3 TO's to add to their SEC leading 17 takeaways. Their 8th ranked scoring defense held LSU to19 points which is 12 points below their scoring average. But the offense shouldn't be overlooked as they are a top 25 team in the Red Zone scoring 92% of the time with a very balanced offense that averages 380 total yards split almost evenly between the run and pass. They score over 33 points a game while allowing just 15. Vanderbilt has lost 3 of their last 4 games and was pounded 41-13 by Georgia last week. They have allowed at least 27 points in each of their last 3 games while losing by over 20 points in 2 of their last 3 games. Florida has the momentum and is playing great on both sides of the ball so this could be a long afternoon for Vandy. Take Florida |
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10-13-18 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas State +7.5 | 12-31 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
                            OKLAHOMA STATE @ KANSAS STATE The Cowboys have lost 2 of their last 3 games and allowed over 40 points in both losses. Their defense allows almost 400 total yards and 28 points a game with over 270 of those yards in the air. Last week in their 48-42 loss they allowed 325 passing yards and 4 TD passes by Iowa St and trailed by double digits through most of the game. They let Texas Tech amass over 600 total yards with almost 400 in the air 2 weeks prior. Kansas St is also struggling and they have lost 3 straight games but last week played Baylor tough losing 37-34 by a last second FG. They lost their last 2 games by 8 points total as Texas squeaked out a 19-14 win the week before. They have a balanced offense that averages 175 yards a game both running and passing and are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games. The home team has won 7 of the last 10 meetings while in 4 of the last 5 meetings, the margin of victory was by 6 points or less. The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Take Kansas State |
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10-12-18 | South Florida v. Tulsa +7.5 | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 69 h 38 m | Show | |
                             SOUTH FLORIDA @ TULSA Tulsa is 1-4 after blowing a 4th quarter lead and allowing Houston to score 24 4th quarter points. They committed 3 TO's which cost them a win and it was their 13th TO in their last 4 games. In their prior game they committed 5 TO's which led to 2 defensive scores by Temple in a 31-17 loss and fought a good Texas team on the road where 2 more TO's led to a close 28-21 loss. Their defense is ranked 15th overall allowing less than 400 yards a game including less than 200 in the air. They could just as easily be 3-2 if not for the mistakes while 3 of the losses were on the road. Offensively they average just under 400 yards a game led by their 37th ranked running game that averages over 200 yards a game. South Florida is 5-0 with their biggest win over Georgia Tech a month ago 48-38 but needed 21 4th quarter points to win as Tech amassed over 600 total yards including 419 on the ground. They barely beat East Carolina 20-13 as 20 point favorites and needed 18 4th quarter points to beat Illinois 25-19 as a 14 point favorite. Their offense is ranked 31st averaging 37 points a game but were held below that in 3 of their games. Defensively they allow over 300 yards both in the air and on the ground. This is a good spot for the home team to grab another win. Take Tulsa |
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10-11-18 | Texas Tech +7.5 v. TCU | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 46 h 40 m | Show | |
                            TEXAS TECH @ TCU Texas Tech fell behind 35-10 at the half last week then stormed back outscoring West Virginia 24-7 in the 2nd half but lost the game as they were driving downfield for the potential tying score, victims of a pick 6 late in the 4th quarter and they eventually lost 42-34. Their offense is ranked 10th overall as they average 591 yards and over 48 points with their passing game averaging over 400 yards a game good for 2nd in the nation. They had won 3 straight games prior which included very impressive wins over Houston (63-49) and the destruction of Oklahoma St on the road 41-17. TCU won their first 2 games easily over weak opponents before losing by double digits to both Ohio St at home and then Texas on the road. Last week they beat a scrappy Iowa St 17-14 but it was the 2nd week in a row their offense was held 2 TD's below their scoring average. Their QB Robinson is questionable with a shoulder injury and if he can't play then it will be up to Collins who has taken just 14 snaps all year. TCU is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games. Take Texas Tech |
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10-07-18 | Vikings v. Eagles -3 | 23-21 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
                               VIKINGS @ EAGLES Minnesota has lost 2 straight games including an embarrassing 27-6 home loss to the Bills 2 weeks ago. They were also beaten by the Rams last week as their defense allowed Goff to pass for over 450 yards and throw 5 TD's in a road game. In their other road game the were lucky to pull out a tie against a banged up Packer team without a healthy Rodgers who passed for over 275 yards anyway. The Eagles are also playing below their level as they also have 2 losses but they were both on the road by a combined 9 points. Their strength has been at home where they won 9 of their 10 home games last year including the playoffs. Their defense is still tough as they are ranked 11th and allow 20 points a game while their rushing defense leads the league. With Wentz finally looking healthy the Eagles might use this game to get back to the 2017 winning team we haven't seen as of yet. Take Philadelphia |
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10-07-18 | Dolphins v. Bengals -6 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
                             DOLPHINS @ BENGALS Miami was hammered by the Pats 38-7 as their 24th ranked overall defense allowed 450 total yards and their 26th ranked pass defense has allowed over 600 passing yards the last 2 weeks. Even the Jets threw for over 300 yards which was Darnold's best game as he didn't pass for more than 200 in his other 3. Miami has been outgained in total yards in their last 3 games and against Oakland had 3 scores that took less than 4 plays each. The Bengals are 4th in the league scoring points and average over 375 total yards a game while Miami's offense averages less than 200 yards a game ranking them 28th. Cincinnati scored at least 34 points in 3 of their 4 games and even though their defense is in the bottom 10 in the league, if Miami has to match them score for score offensively then it's not even a contest. Take Cincinnati |
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10-07-18 | Packers v. Lions +1 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
                             PACKERS @ LIONS Green Bay has 2 wins and in the 1st had to score 21 4th quarter points to pull out a 1 point win at home and again last week at home with a win over the toothless Bills. Not impressive to say the least and couple that with losing 4 out of their last 5 regular season road games isn't what I would call a good chance to win this game. To make matters worse, Rodgers is not healthy and a hit away from the DL. The Lions have put up at least 24 points in their last 3 games losing 2 of them by 5 points combined and they were on the road. In between is a 26-10 take down of the Pats at home. We know the Lions are defensively inept but when Stafford is on, they can score. This looks like a game that they can take advantage of. The last time the Pack played here, they were hammered 35-11. Take Detroit |
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10-06-18 | Oklahoma v. Texas +7.5 | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 30 h 12 m | Show | |
                           OKLAHOMA VS TEXAS Oklahoma and its overall 8th ranked offense that averages over 500 yards and 49 points a game faces arch rival Texas in the Red River Classic. They are 5-0 and scored a season high 66 points in last week's trouncing of Baylor 66-33. they have been at least an 18 point favorite in all 5 games but are only 1-3 ATS in their last 4. They won by 10 points or less in the 2 preceding games before last week as their defense allows over 400 yards a game. They let Baylor throw for over 400 yards and Iowa St threw for 360 while Army controlled the ball for over 44 minutes and rushed for 339 yards in a close 28-21 win as they had to win in OT. Texas has won 4 straight since their opening game loss to Maryland and they have done it on both sides of the ball. They scored at least 28 points in 3 of their last 4 games while the defense held those 4 opponents to 21 points or less and 16 or less in their last 3. They are 29th against the run allowing 115 yards a game and 31st in points allowed (10.8 points a game). they held Kansas St to just 217 total yards and 14 points and the week before held TCU who average over 31 points a game to just 16. The last 4 meetings between these teams were decided by 7 points or less. Take Texas |
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10-06-18 | East Carolina +11 v. Temple | 6-49 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 4 m | Show | |
                                EAST CAROLINA @ TEMPLE Temple's 106th ranked offense in YPG put up 35 points but their defense allowed a season high 45 points un a 45-35 loss to Boston College. The week before their defense came up with 5 TO's to beat a stubborn Tulsa team 31-14 and they are now 2-3. They average just over 350 yards and 28 points a game and have to face the East Carolina who is ranked 9th in overall defense allowing 308 yards and 25 points a game. They are 2-2 and allowed 23 points or less in 3 games while last week held Old Dominion to 21 rushing yards and under 300 total yards but 2 picks hurt them as they lost 37-35. In the 2 previous weeks the hammered No Carolina 41-19 and just lost to a very good USF team 20-13 and they average 32 points a game. Temple is asked to cover double digits against a very tough defense with an offense that is inconsistent. The Pirate offense is 24th in passing at almost 300 yards a game. Take East Carolina |
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10-06-18 | Northwestern +10.5 v. Michigan State | 29-19 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show | |
                        NORTHWESTERN @ MICHIGAN STATE The Wildcats have lost 3 straight games with the last 2 by 8 points total including a 39-35 loss to Akron after blowing a 21-3 halftime lead. They have the 35th ranked overall defense that allows 26 points and less than 400 yards a game. Last week they lost a tough battle to 15th ranked Michigan 20-17, after blowing a 17-0 halftime lead. That was the 2nd straight week they did that. The Spartans won their 2nd straight game last week over interstate rivals Central Michigan after getting their 1st loss 3 weeks ago. They have a good defense also ranked 15th as they allow less than 350 yards and 22 points a game. Their offense scores 29 points and 380 points a game. They are 1-3 ATS this year and have lost 3 of the last 4 meetings with the Wildcats. They are also dealing with injuries on offense and are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 meetings at home against the Wildcats. Take Northwestern |
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10-04-18 | Tulsa +18 v. Houston | 26-41 | Win | 100 | 37 h 32 m | Show | |
                              TULSA @ HOUSTON Tulsa has lost 3 straight games since winning it's 1st game of the season. They lost to a tough Temple team on the road 31-17 but you can't blame their defense that allowed just 300 total yards and shut down QB Russo who had led the Owls to a big 35-14 upset of Maryland on the road as he completed 60% of his passes while averaging over 9 yards per attempt. Tulsa held him to only 7 of 20 for 112 yards and 2 picks without a TD pass. They also held Texas to 14 points in the final 3 quarters of a 28-21 loss after falling behind 21-0. That defense is ranked 28th overall allowing 28 points a game and could be the difference as they face Houston who leads the nation averaging over 600 total yards and 52 points a game. Most of their stats came in their last 2 games as they amassed over 1300 total yards of offense. Their defense allows over 500 total yards a game and a season high 704 yards against Texas Tech with over 600 yards of that in the air. The Golden Hurricanes have a chance to keep this closer than the spread suggests. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with 3 of those as double digit dogs. Take Tulsa |
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09-30-18 | Ravens +3 v. Steelers | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 35 h 6 m | Show | |
                                RAVENS @ STEELERS Baltimore looks to go 3-1 as they face arch rival Pittsburgh on the road. They have the league's best defense that allows 17 points and 273 yards a game and is especially good against the pass allowing 169 yards a game which is 2nd in the league. Offensively Flacco has them 9th in the league as they pass for 292 yards a game. He has thrown 6TD's with 2 picks and against the Bengals threw for 376 yards as they fell behind early 28-7 and had to fight back before losing 34-23. Pittsburgh will need to tighten up on defense as they are ranked 27th overall and allow over 400 yards and 30 points a game. They allow over 120 yards a game on the ground and that could allow the Raven passing game to put up a lot of points. Pittsburgh could find itself playing catch up against a great defense and that is not what they want. They struggled against a tough Cleveland defense scoring a season low 21 points. Take Baltimore |
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09-30-18 | Bucs v. Bears -3 | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 53 h 43 m | Show | |
                                  BUCS @ BEARS Tampa Bay came down to earth with their 1st loss 30-27 to Pittsburgh. It was inevitable as their defense allows a league worst 363 passing yards a game and over 430 total yards which is ranked 31st. QB Fitzpatrick had thrown 8 TD's with just 1 pick but the Steelers intercepted 3 of his passes and Big Ben tore up their secondary. This week they face a very good Bear defense that ranks 2nd against the run and 8th against the pass. Chicago allows a little over 18 points and less than 300 yards a game. They would be 3-0 if not for a 21 point 4th quarter by Green Bay in their opening game to beat them by a point 24-23. They held their next 2 opponents to 17 points or less while their offense with Trubisky at QB has thrown for over 200 yards in the last 2 games but has only 2 passing TD's They average over 115 yards rushing which should open up their passing game so Trubisky should have a nice day while their defense keeps the Bucs in the middle of the field. Take Chicago |
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09-30-18 | Texans +1.5 v. Colts | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 28 h 56 m | Show | |
                               TEXANS @ COLTS Houston has yet to see their offense catch fire. Last season when Watson took over they went on a scoring binge as they scored over 30 points in 5 straight games. So far they are 0-3 and haven't hit 30 points but their losses have been by a TD or less. They have moved the ball averaging almost 400 yards a game but penalties and TO's have kept them from scoring. They scored only 4 TD's in 11 tries from inside the Red Zone while their defense has kept them close defending well against the pass. The Colts' offense has struggled with Luck passing for just 207 yards a game and in last week's loss they gained just over 220 total yards. This is a game the Houston defense can assert itself and their offense can get on track to getting them a needed win. Take Houston |
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09-30-18 | Jets v. Jaguars -7.5 | 12-31 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show | |
                                  JETS @ JAGUARS NY has looked horrible since their week 1 stunner in Detroit as their offense has been shut down and held to less than 20 points the last 2 weeks. They scored just 16 points total in 7 of the 8 quarters played in their last 2 games. Darnold was held to 169 yards with no TD's and 2 picks last week and he averages 220 yards a game with 3 TD's and 5 picks for the year. The Jaguar offense was held to 6 points and less than 250 total yards in Tennessee last week but their defense has held all 3 opponents to 20 points or less. They won their first 2 games including a 31-20 home win over the Pats and they can probably take control against NY this week and put points up on the board. Bortles threw for 376 yards and 4 TD's against the Pats. They are 3rd against the pass and 4th in overall defense so the Jets could have a long afternoon. Take Jacksonville |
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09-29-18 | Ohio State v. Penn State +4 | 27-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
                         OHIO STATE @ PENN STATE This game is why we love college football as 2 of the best teams in the country face off in a battle of the Big 10. The Buckeyes have steamrolled 3 of their 4 opponents but had to come from behind against TCU after falling behind 21-13 in the 3rd quarter. They have the 17th ranked defense that allows 17 points a game and an offense that averages 54 points a game and over 500 total yards split almost evenly between running and passing. But this week they face a Penn St team that can match them on both sides of the ball and just may have an upper hand. Penn St has outscored 2 Power 5 teams by a combined 114-30 where the Buckeyes did almost all of their damage against weaker division teams. The Nittany Lions also average over 55 points a game which is best in the country and has a defense that allows just 2 more points and just over 20 more yards a game and they played better teams. Penn St has scored over 50 points a game since having to win in OT against Appalachian St in week 1. TCU was able to throw for over 300 yards against the Buckeyes and with McSorley taking the snaps for Penn St and the home field advantage very strong I find it a gift that I can take points. Take Penn State |
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09-29-18 | Baylor +24 v. Oklahoma | 33-66 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
                               BAYLOR @ OKLAHOMA Baylor will need their 48th ranked defense to play a good game as they take on Oklahoma on the road. The Bear's defense allows less than 24 points and under 350 yards a game. Their only loss was to a tough Duke defense that would bend but not break in their 40-27 loss, They passed for 270 yards but couldn't score when they needed to. They won big at home last week beating Kansas 26-7 as they held Kansas to under 300 total yards. The Sooners had to squeak out a 7 point OT win against Army last week as they gave up over 330 yards on the ground while only getting 350 total yards themselves and just over 15 minutes of possession. They have been double digit favorites the last 3 weeks and haven't covered once as their offense hasn't been able to play a full game consistently while the defense has given up at least 3 TD's in 3 straight games. This looks like a lot of points to cover against a team as good as the Bears and a Sooner offense that hasn't really gotten off the ground. Take Baylor |
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09-29-18 | UMass v. Ohio -13 | 42-58 | Win | 100 | 72 h 5 m | Show | |
                              UMASS @ OHIO UMass is 2-3 with all 3 losses on the road by at least 21 points and has a defense ranked 121st in points allowed (39.6 a game). They also allow over 200 yards on the ground and in the air. Their offense averages 34 points a game but most of those points were against 2 lightweights Charlotte and Duquesne. Ohio averages 33 points and 400 yards a game but are just 1-2 as they were beaten by a tough Virginia team and then last week blew a 24-7 lead at Cincinnati before losing 34-30. In the Virginia game they scored 31 points against 1 of the better defenses in the ACC and made a strong comeback after falling behind 35-7 as they outscored Virginia 24-10 before losing 45-31. remember their offense scored 30 points against a Cincinnati team that allowed 24 points total in their other 3 games combined. They should have no trouble scoring points against the UMass team that is ranked 121st allowing almost 40 points and 450 yards a game. Take Ohio |
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09-29-18 | Virginia +5.5 v. NC State | 21-35 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 46 m | Show | |
                            VIRGINIA @ NO CAROLINA STATE Virginia is 3-1 and is ranked 40th in total offense averaging 435 yards a game split almost evenly with both rushing and passing getting over 215 yards a game. Their 3 wins were all at home while their 1 loss was to a very good Indiana team on the road 20-16, who is 3-1 with their only loss to Michigan St. The Hoosiers scored 38 points in each of their other 2 wins and scored 21 points against the Spartans. The Virginia defense held 2 other opponents to 16 points total and are ranked 22nd allowing just 16.8 points and less than 300 total yards a game. NC State is 3-0 but hasn't really been tested yet as they haven't played a Power 5 school. Most of their yards have been through the air and Virginia has allowed less than 200 yards a game. Last week Virginia shut down the Louisville offense in a 27-3 win and held them to 214 total yards. The Wolfpack will have to shutdown QB Perkins who has thrown for over 850 yards with 9 TD's while running for over 300 yards and 3 TD's. The Virginia defense held Indiana to 150 yards in the air and 10 points below their scoring average so the Wolfpack will have their toughest test up until this point. Take Virginia |
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09-29-18 | Syracuse +24.5 v. Clemson | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 71 h 36 m | Show | |
                            SYRACUSE @ CLEMSON Syracuse has started out 4-0 with the 10th ranked offense in the country that averages over 500 total yards a game. They are 9th rushing as they average 278 yards a game and score 49.5 points a game which is ranked 10th. Their most impressive win was a 30-7 beating of Florida St and scored at least 50 points in each of their other 3 games. Their defense allows 20 points a game while allowing 378 total yards. Clemson is also 4-0 with the 20th ranked offense that averages 40 points and over 500 yards a game. Their strength has been their defense over the last few years and is again very good being ranked 5th as they allow 15.3 points a game. They beat Ga. Tech last week 49-21 and had another big win as they held off Texas A&M who scored 13 4th quarter points to erase most of a 15 point deficit before finally losing 28-26. This will be a tough game for the Tigers who were beaten by Syracuse last year and considering the line I have to grab the points. Take Syracuse |
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09-29-18 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech +4 | 42-34 | Loss | -115 | 39 h 36 m | Show | |
                           WEST VIGINIA @ TEXAS TECH West Virginia's defense will be tested when they face the best offense in the country on the road at Texas Tech. They held all 3 of their opponents this year to 17 points or less but haven't really been tested. They lost 4 of their last 6 games last season with 2 of them to the better offense in the Big 12 (Oklahoma and Oklahoma St). Tech has averaged over 600 yards a game while scoring an average of 52. They had a big win last week beating Oklahoma St on the road and scored 63 points in a win over Houston 2 weeks ago and rolled up over 700 total yards of offense. The home field advantage can't be understated here so look for the home side to get up big for this very important early season game. Take Texas Tech |
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09-29-18 | Central Michigan +29.5 v. Michigan State | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
                           CENTRAL MICHIGAN @ MICHIGAN ST Central Michigan has a big road to climb against their instate rival Michigan St but have a defense ranked 36th that allows less than 24 points a game and less than 350 total yards. They haven't let an opponent score more than 30 points in 7 of their last 10 games and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Michigan St. The Spartans have been more than a 20 point favorite just once in their last 16 games and that was 3 weeks ago and they won by 7. Their offense doesn't score a lot of points as they average less than 400 yards and 28 points a game. With interconference play starting next week the Spartans will be looking ahead so expect a slow uninspired game from them. Take Central Michigan |
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09-28-18 | UCLA v. Colorado -10 | 16-38 | Win | 100 | 86 h 51 m | Show | |
                          UCLA @ COLORADO The Bruins are 0-3 while being held to 21 points or less in all 3 losses. Their defense allowed 87 points and over 900 total yards in their last 2 losses while losing by at least 24 points in each game. In 2 of the games they were also held to 306 yards in 1 and just 270 yards in another. They are ranked 128th on offense as they average just 17.3 points a game which ranks them 121st scoring. Colorado is 3-0 and ranked 26th offensively averaging 41 points and 494 yards a game. They are well balanced passing for almost 300 yards a game and running for over 200 yards. They had a big win over Nebraska on the road 33-28 and scored 45 points in each of their other 2 games. Defensively the Bruins allow almost 38 points a game and this is a very tough spot to try and win a road game. Take Colorado |
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09-27-18 | North Carolina +18.5 v. Miami-FL | 10-47 | Loss | -106 | 82 h 49 m | Show | |
                          NO CAROLINA @ MIAMI After losing their first 2 games they came back with an impressive 38-35 win over Pittsburgh last week. They rushed for over 170 yards and passed for over 300 yards in a well balanced offensive game. They were hurt in week 1 when QB Elliot threw 4 picks including 1 that was run back for a TD. In their last 2 games they had at least 395 yards of total offense which was well balanced but their defense was the problem in week 2 allowing 500 yards of offense. Miami has played 3 cupcakes and are 3-0 including last week's 31-17 win over FIU as 26 point favorites. They were outscored 17-7 in the win in the 2nd half as they committed 2 TO's. This is their 1st real test against a Power 5 school as they play the Tarheels who they have gone 3-3 in their last 6 meetings while just 2-4 ATS in those games. They are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Take North Carolina |
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09-23-18 | Cowboys v. Seahawks +1 | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
                            COWBOYS @ SEAHAWKS Dallas got their 1st win last week in a 20-13 home win over the Giants but their offense still struggled as they had less than 300 total yards with just 160 yards in the air. It was worse in week 1 in a 16-8 loss on the road to Carolina as they had less than 250 yards of total offense. They have scored 21 points or less in their last 9 games including preseason and less than 10 points in 3 of their last 4. Seattle lost a back and forth game 27-24 against Denver in week 1 as Wilson passed for 298 yards and 3 TD's but he also had 2 picks and was sacked 6 times. Last week they were within a TD to the bears when Wilson threw a pick 6 to give the Bears a 14 point lead in the 4th quarter. Both of those games were on the road and now they are at home where they beat Dallas 21-12 in their last meeting. They lost by 7 points or less in 5 of their last 7 losses while their last 2 regular season losses at home were by 2 points in each game. Take Seattle |
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09-23-18 | 49ers v. Chiefs -6 | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
                             49ERS @ CHIEFS SF held on to get a win last week at home against Detroit after almost blowing a 30-13 lead before getting a 30-27 victory. They allowed Stafford to pass for over 300 yards and 3 TD's. This follows a loss in their 1st game where they allowed Cousins almost 250 passing yards and 2 TD's. In the loss to Minnesota Garoppolo threw for 260 yards but also had 3 picks. The Chief's offense scored 38 points in week 1 and 42 points last week to stand at 2-0. QB Mahomes threw 4 TD passes in their 1st win over the Chargers and then last week against a pretty decent Pitt defense, threw for over 300 yards and 6 TD's while the running game got an additional 127 yards. Their defense allowed Big Ben to pass for over 400 yards but that's about all they did as he had 60 attempts. If SF doesn't improve their pass defense, then this game could get out of hand very fast. KC is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in September and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall while SF is 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games against a team with a winning record. The home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Take Kansas City |
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09-23-18 | Packers v. Redskins +3 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
                            PACKERS @ REDSKINS The Packers were lucky to win their 1st game after being outplayed by the Bears and falling behind 20-3 after 3 quarters. They needed 3 TD's in the 4th quarter to win and scored on a blocked punt and a 75 yard pass play to win. In 5 red zone attempts, they scored just 1 TD while when an injured Rodgers was on the bench, his replacement Kizer was 4 of 7 for 55 yards and a pick 6. Rodgers is still just 1 hit away from sitting on the bench with a serious knee injury. Last week they blew a 23-14 4th quarter lead to the Vikings and had to settle for a tie. They allowed Cousins to throw for over 400 yards and 4 TD's and now have to go on the road to Washington to try and stop a balanced offense that rushed for over 180 yards against Arizona in a win and then Smith passed for almost 300 yards in a loss last week. The Redskin defense just might be underrated as they held Luck to under 200 yards passing and Indy to less than 300 total yards while in their 1st game, held Arizona to just over 200 yards of total offense. This is a tough spot for the Packers to win with an injured Rodgers. Take Washington |
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09-23-18 | Colts v. Eagles -6.5 | 16-20 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
                            COLTS @ EAGLES Even though the Colts won last week they were held under 300 total yards. They have no running game and Luck was held below 200 yards passing. With the Eagles being the best in the league at stopping the run, it will fall on the passing game to produce. The Eagles lost just 1 game at home and that was their last game with most of their players resting for the playoffs. The Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games and against this Colt defense should put a bunch of points on the board. Take Philadelphia |
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09-23-18 | Raiders +3.5 v. Dolphins | 20-28 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
                              RAIDERS @ DOLPHINS After getting hammered 33-13 in their 1st game, the Raiders had a tough loss on the road to Denver 20-19. Their defense shut Denver out in the 1st half but a last second field goal in the 4th quarter cost them the game. They held Denver to just 222 yards in the air without a TD and had an interception while Carr completed 29 of 32 passes for 288 yards and a TD without a pick. Carr also threw for over 300 yards in their 1st game but 3 picks helped the Rams to the win. The Dolphins are a surprising 2-0 after they beat the Jets last week 20-12 but all of their points were in the 1st half as they were shut out in the 2nd half. They also allowed Darnold to pass for over 300 yards and in the 1st game they almost blew a 24-10 lead in the 4th quarter and needed a 75 yard TD pass for their last 7 points. They will be under the gun with Oakland's passing game and their 2nd half play in both games needs to improve. They have been held to 20 points or less in 6 of their last 9 games while losing 5 of them. Take Oakland |
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09-23-18 | Broncos v. Ravens -5 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
                             BRONCOS @ RAVENS Denver won their first 2 games by 4 points total and had to come from behind to win by 1 point last week on their home field. They allowed almost 300 passing yards while also allowing Carr to complete an amazing 29 of 32 passes. Denver's QB Keenum threw for just over 200 yards without a TD pass and had 1 pick. Baltimore's QB Flacco meanwhile threw for over 370 yards with 2 TD's in a tough loss to the Bengals on the road. Denver is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Baltimore. The Ravens won by double digits in their last 3 games at home. Take Baltimore |
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09-23-18 | Giants v. Texans -6 | 27-22 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
                             GIANTS @ TEXANS NY hasn't scored more than 15 points in their 2 losses to start the season and were shutout in the 1st half last week in Dallas. Their offense was horrible as they ran for just 35 yards and in their 1st game were held to 9 points in the first 3/4 while Manning passed for just over 220 yards without a TD and 1 pick. They have been held to 18 points or less in 7 of their last 10 games including preseason and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Houston has had it's problems also losing their first 2 games but both were on the road. They are trying to bounce back after last season when they lost their QB Watson to injury for most of the year. When he was healthy he led their offense as they scored over 30 points in 5 straight games. Look for Houston to take advantage of a weak Giant offense and the home field advantage in an easy win. Take Houston |
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09-22-18 | TCU -3 v. Texas | 16-31 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
                                 TCU @ TEXAS TCU lost a tough game to Ohio St last week as they allowed the Buckeyes to come back in the 3rd quarter after they had a 21-13 lead. Their offense gained over 500 yards getting over 200 rushing yards against a tough Ohio St defense and over 300 passing yards. The Longhorns took care of USC after falling behind early last week for their 2nd win. TCU won their first 2 games by a combined score of 97-19 while Texas was beaten in their opener by Maryland and then struggled against Tulsa before winning 28-21. TCU has beaten Texas in their last 4 meetings and covered the spread in each game while holding Texas to 10 points or less. Texas will have to protect their QB against a tough pass rush if they expect to have a chance while their defense will have to stop an offense that gave Ohio St all it could handle last week. Take TCU |
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09-22-18 | Akron +19.5 v. Iowa State | 13-26 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
                            AKRON @ IOWA STATE Akron is 2-0 after it's surprise win at Northwestern as they came back after falling behind 21-3 at halftime to win the game 39-34. QB Nelson threw for over 275 yards along with 2 TD's without a pick while the defense held Northwestern to under 100 yards on the ground. Iowa St is 0-2 and their offense was held to 30 points in 2 games total. They have been held to 21 points or less in 6 of their last 8 games dating back to last season. This is a big spread against an improved Akron team bringing back a lot of their starters from last year. Take Akron |
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09-22-18 | Nebraska +18 v. Michigan | 10-56 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
                             NEBRASKA @ MICHIGAN Nebraska should have QB Martinez back after he sat out last week's loss to Troy 24-19. Martinez was 15 of 20 for 177 yards and 2TD's while running for 117 yards and 2 TD's on the ground in the 1st week. Nebraska's defense is going to be tough for a Michigan team to run on as their front line has had it's problems and they are dealing with injuries to RB's Higdon and Evans. This is a big line for Michigan to cover with so many questions on offense with the Nebraska team that hold opponents under 100 yards rushing and just 2.7 yards a rush. Take Nebraska |
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09-22-18 | Boston College -6.5 v. Purdue | 13-30 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 1 m | Show | |
                           BOSTON COLLEGE @ PURDUE Boston College has won their first 3 games including a huge 41-34 win at a pretty tough Wake Forest team. Their offense is ranked in the Top 10 in points scored and points per game and in the top 15 in total yards and yards per game. They have RB Dillon who is ranked 5th and the top rated QB in Anthony Brown. Purdue's defense is ranked 109th in the country as they allow over 400 yards in the air and over 150 yards on the ground. Boston College with the 56th ranked defense will be a tough nut to crack for an 0-3 Purdue team. The Eagles should be able to control this game from start to finish. Take Boston College |
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09-21-18 | Penn State v. Illinois +28 | 63-24 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
                           PENN STATE @ ILLINOIS Penn St won their last 2 games as they scored over 50 points in each while holding their 2 opponents to 10 points or less. They showed they were vulnerable to possibly overlooking a team when Appalachian St took them to OT before losing 35-28 in week 1. That could happen again this week as they play at Illinois who are 2-1. They might have been 3-0 except they allowed USF to score 18 unanswered 4th quarter points but they covered the spread as 14 point dogs. With Ohio State up next, Penn State is in a perfect spot to be caught looking ahead against an Illinois team who scored over 30 points in each of their first 2 games while holding all 3 opponents to 25 points or less. Take Illinois |
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09-21-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Central Florida -13 | 36-56 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
                              FAU @ CFU CFU outscored their first 2 opponents 94-17 while gaining over 1200 total yards. In their game against Connecticut they showed how balanced an offense they had when they rushed for 296 yards and passed for over 350 yards. Their defense forced 6 TO's and held their opponent to 80 yards in the air last week while they rushed for 250 yards and passed for over 300 in another balanced attack. After getting crushed 63-14 by Oklahoma, FAU won their next 2 games against 2 minnows but allowed at least 27 points in each game. They were outgained by 155 yards on the ground by Air Force who rushed for over 200 yards and outscored the Owls 20-14 in the 2nd half. They will have their hands full with CFU and that monster offense on the road and that might be too much to handle. Take CFU |
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09-16-18 | Raiders +7 v. Broncos | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
09-16-18 | Cardinals +13.5 v. Rams | 0-34 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
09-16-18 | Panthers +6 v. Falcons | 24-31 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
                              PANTHERS @ FALCONS Carolina's defense held the Cowboys to just 8 points and less than 250 yards of total offense. Their defense has been the 1 consistent thing for them over the last few seasons. They also had 6 sacks in the game while holding 3 of their last 4 opponents below 20 points. The Falcons were beat up in their 18-12 loss to the Eagles as QB Ryan passed for just 251 yards and 0 TD's along with a pick. Their running game was awful as they totaled just 75 yards and had no answer for the Philly defense. They have now dropped 6 straight games dating back to last year with the offense scoring 14 points or less in all 6 games. Take Carolina |
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09-16-18 | Dolphins v. Jets -2.5 | 20-12 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
                            DOLPHINS @ JETS Miami won 27-20 against the Titans last week but needed 17 4th quarter points to do it. QB Tannenhill passed for just 230 yards along with 2 4th quarter TD's and 2 picks. They have lost 6 of their last 8 games and 6 of their last 7 road games. They scored 20 points or less in 5 of the 6 losses and are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. NY surprised everyone with a 48-17 destruction of the Lions in Detroit last week. Their defense held Detroit to just 39 rushing yards and forced 5 interceptions. The only thing that is consistent about them is their defense as they held 5 of their last 7 opponents to 17 points or less and are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. Take New York |
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09-16-18 | Colts +6 v. Redskins | 21-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
                               COLTS @ REDSKINS The Colts went into the 4th quarter last week with a 6 point lead against a good Cincinnati team until losing the game. QB Luck threw for over 300 yards and had the Colts inside the Bengal 20 but an 83 yard fumble return for TD put the nail in the coffin and kept the Colts from possibly scoring to win the game. Washington scored just 3 points in 3 quarters of play last week but ripped off 21 points in the 2nd quarter to beat the Cards in Arizona. QB Smith didn't have a great day as he passed for 247 yards with 2 short TD passes. They did most of their damage on the ground with 182 running yards and had the ball for over 17 minutes longer than Arizona. This week they have to watch out for Luck and the Indy passing game as the Cards passed for less than 160 yards last week. Indy has won the last 3 meetings while the Skins have lost 4 of their last 6 games and scored 20 points or less in 5 of their last 6. Take Indianappolis |
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09-16-18 | Texans v. Titans +3 | 17-20 | Win | 106 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
                              TEXANS @ TITANS Houston lost 27-20 to the Pats last week but they were down by double digits for most of the game. QB Watson was only 17 of 34 for 176 yards and 1 TD with a pick. It was the 11th straight game dating back to last season they were held to 20 points or less and the 5th loss in their last 6 road games. Watson is suffering from concussion like symptoms and he could see limited action. The Titans their offense stalled last week until the 4th quarter when they scored 17 of their 20 points as their passing game suffered as QB Mariota left with an injury and just 103 yards of passing. The home team has won 8 of the last 10 meetings between these teams. It seems the play on the home team against these struggling offenses is the play. Take Tennessee |
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09-16-18 | Chiefs +5.5 v. Steelers | 42-37 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
                             CHIEFS @ STEELERS KC had a big 38-28 win against the Chargers last week as QB Mahomes threw 4 TD's without a pick and the defense held the Chargers to just 12 points thru 3 quarters while building a 19 point lead with the help of 2 TO's. They have won 3 of their last 4 games with the offense scoring at least 26 points in 7 of their last 10 games. Pittsburgh ended up with just a tie against the Browns and Big Ben passed for over 300 yards but threw 3 picks which aided the Browns to stay close. Their defense allowed 177 rushing yards and gave up at least 3 TD's in 5 of their last 7 games. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games while KC is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the AFC. Take Kansas City |
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09-15-18 | Arizona State -5 v. San Diego State | 21-28 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
                          ARIZONA ST @ SAN DIEGO STATE Arizona's #1 rushing defense held Michigan St to 63 yards as they won their 2nd game to remain undefeated 16-13. In their opening game, they held UTSA to just 3 rushing yards in 33 attempts and to just 221 total yards for the game while their offense gained over 500 total yards and QB Wilkens threw for 237 yards and 4 TD's without a pick in a 49-7 win. He passed for 380 yards with 1 TD and a pick against the Spartans last week and that is good news since they will be facing SD St who has the #6 rushing defense. The Aztecs were hammered by Stanford 31-10 as Stanford passed for over 300 yards which included 4 TD passes. They won last week 28-14 against Sacramento St but didn't look good as a 25 point favorite as they had to score 15 4th quarter points to win. Starting QB Chapman was injured and his replacement Agnew threw for 159 yards and 2 picks without a TD. Their ground game had to perform in the win and against Arizona St's run defense, they might have a rough time getting points. Take Arizona State |
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