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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-24-20 | Iowa State +3 v. Oklahoma State | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
After losing their opening game, the Hokies have stormed back winning 3 straight over me good teams. They beat TCU, Oklahoma and Texas Tech scoring over 30 points in each win. Last week they held Texas Tech to 13 points while getting over 500 yards of offense with over 200 yards on the ground and over 300 in the air. They got over 400 yards of offense in their 2 previous games with a balanced attack that got over 200 yards passing and running against TCU and over 280 yards in the air against Oklahoma. The Cowboys have also won 3 straight but they have beaten some light weight teams like Tulsa and Kansas in 2 of their last 3 wins. Last week against a very poor Kansas team the got over 500 yards compared to getting under 300 yards in their 2 previous wins and against Tulsa were held below 150 yards passing and rushing while soring just 7 points in a 16-7 loss. The Cowboys have a question mark at the QB position and they haven't played a game since their win over Kansas October 3rd so they could be a little rusty in this game. Their passing game is a big question mark as they haven't thrown for more than 250 yards in 9 of their last 10 games. The Cyclones are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a dog and 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 October games. Take Iowa State |
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10-24-20 | Florida Atlantic v. Marshall -16 | 9-20 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
FAU has played just 1 game and face one of the hottest teams in college football when they go on the road and visit Marshall who is ranked 6th defensively allowing only 272 yards a game and ranked 3rd allowing 69 yards a game making them one of the best defensive teams in the nation. Combine that with allowing less than 10 points a game and playing this game at home really has FAU at a huge disadvantage. In their only game they got just 315 total yards including under 100 yards in the air. Meanwhile Marshall has outscored their 4 opponents 149-38 covering the spread in all 4 wins and not allowing a team more than 17 points. They have beaten FAU in 6 of their 7 meetings and covered the spread in 4 of their last 5. Marshall is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 home games vs teams with winning road record. Marshall is playing some of their best football in years so this will be quite a hill for FAU to climb. Take Marshall |
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10-24-20 | Nebraska v. Ohio State -26 | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
For Nebraska it will be all up to returning QB Martinez to try and crack the Ohio State defense. Their offensive line was a problem last year allowing 28 sacks and their receivers have to pick up their game if Martinez has any success this season. Their defense gave up a ton of points averaging 28 a game and in their last 6 losses of the season allowed at least 7 points in 1 game and at least 31 in 5 others. The Buckeyes won 48-7 in last year's game and with Heisman hopeful QB Justin Fields who last season led them to a 47 point scoring average has another great offense to work with. They slammed the Huskers last season for 580 yards while scoring in 8 of their first drives. They lost a few starters defensively but have plenty of talent to get the job done. QB Fields completed over 67% of his passes and has one of the top receiving corps in college football. If Nebraska doesn't protect their QB and get a running game moving this game could be a repeat of last year's matchup. The Huskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games and conference games while also going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 on the road. The Buckeyes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 at home and 9-3 in their last 12 as a favorite. Take Ohio State |
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10-24-20 | Kansas v. Kansas State -19.5 | 14-55 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
Kansas comes in with an 0-4 record in which they allowed at least 38 points in each loss which ranks them 10th worse in the country allowing points. They also give up over 475 yards and over 36 points a game. Their offense has been held to 23 points or less in their last 8 games which were all losses. On offense they have to depend on a running game that has produced at times and if they fall behind early then they will have to pass and that is something they would rather not have to do as their running game is the ir only way to keep opponents offenses on the sideline. They will have to rely on just one RB as their backfield took a hit when Williams opted out of the rest of the season. Since their 4 point loss in their opening game the Wildcats have won 3 straight games and beat Oklahoma, Texas tech and TCU all who are pretty good teams. They won outright as a 28 point dog against the Sooners and covered the spread in 9 of their last 12 games and are 20-8-1 in their last 29 games after a bye week. The Jayhawks are 19-40-1 ATS in their last 60 road games and besides being 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games they are also 3-14 ATS following a bye week. These are teams going in the opposite directions as the Wildcats have won 5 of their last 7 games while allowing just 346 yards of offense a game. Take Kansas State |
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10-23-20 | Dodgers v. Rays +1.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -117 | 33 h 41 m | Show | |
After learning a lesson in the Houston series by letting the Astros come back after being down 3-0, the Rays finally closed it out with a win in game 7. They dropped their 1st game against LA but bounced right back with a win yesterday 6-4. Snell had a great game pitching 4.2 innings allowing 2 runs and 2 hits with 9 strikeouts. Buehler goes for LA in Game 2 and he has pitched well giving up 2 runs or less in 8 straight games. He has also struck out 43 men in 32 total innings and the only knock against him is he pitched into the 6th in just 2 games leaving the bullpen to finish up. LA is 5-3 in post season play and just 2-6 in their last 8 World Series games. They are 13-3 in their last 16 interleague games against righties and 20-7 in their last 27 interleague games as the favorite. The Rays are 10-6 in postseason play with 3 losses against Houston. Morton goes for them and he has also pitched well allowing 3 runs or less in 8 straight games. He has struck out 31 batters in his last 29 innings and allowing just 2 HR's. They are 58-22 in their last 80 game against righties so with the teams and pitchers so close I've decided to go with the run line. Take Tampa Bay +1.5 runs |
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10-23-20 | UL-Lafayette v. UAB +3 | 24-20 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
ULL is 3-1 losing their 1st game last week to Coastal Carolina as a 9 point favorite. Their defense allowed over 200 yards passing and rushing while their last 2 wins were by 5 points total. Their defense has allowed over 400 yards in their last 2 games and over 500 in the previous game. UAB is 4-1 with their 1 loss on the road in Miami. They have a balanced offense that passes for over 200 yards and rushes for 186 yards a game. In their last 2 losses they were held to under100 yards on the ground. They are 3-0 at home winning by at least 8 points in each game. ULL has allowed over 200 yards passing and rushing in 2 of their last 3 games and UAB is very tough at home and their balanced attack will cause breakdowns in the ULL defense. This is a very tough road game for the Cajuns and they need a defense that may not be up for the challenge. Take UAB |
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10-22-20 | Arkansas State v. Appalachian State -13 | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Appalachian St with their running game ranks 5th in the country averaging over 269 yards a game should be able to control the ball which keeps the potent Arkansas passing game on the bench as spectators. Appalachian St is 2-1 when their big running game was held to under 100 yards by a vey good MAC Undefeated Marshall team. Their last game was a win over Campbell 52-21 as they gained over 530 total yards with over 400 on the ground which are both season highs. In their other win they scored 35 points and rushed for over 300 yards. This is the lowest spread they've been asked to cover except against Marshall. They seem to be able to pass when they need to as in the 2 prior games they passed for over 200 yards in both. The Red Wolves are 3-1 and they generate their offense in the air ranked 3rd in the nation averaging 384 yards a game while their running game was held below 60 yards in 2 of their last 3 games. Their defense allows over 480 yards a game which is 12th worse in the country and over 300 is allowed on the ground and last week allowed 269 in their 7 point win over GSU. They are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games vs teams with winning records and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs teams with winning home records. The Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS at home vs teams with a winning record. Take Appalachian State |
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10-21-20 | Rays +140 v. Dodgers | 6-4 | Win | 140 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
 The Rays haven't played well the last week or so of the playoffs. They took 3-0 leas over the Astros and ended up having to win the 7th game to advance and lost to Kershaw in the 1st game of the World Series. The Dodgers were down 3-1 against Atlanta and then won the next 3 to get to play the Rays in the Series and proceeded to win the 1st game behind Kershaw. Blake goes for the Rays and has allowed 2 runs or less in 5 of his last 7 starts and has struck out 45 batters over his last 41 innings but has to be careful of his pitch count as he also walked 10. Gonsolin lasted just 2 innings in his last start allowing 2 runs and 2 hits with a HR and 3 walks. In his 2 prior games he gave up 9 runs and 10 hits in 10.1 innings and hasn't pitched through the 5th inning in 4 of his last 6 starts. The Rays are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a dog and 57-22 ATS in their last 79 against righties. Take Tampa Bay |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals +100 v. Cowboys | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
If Dallas hopes to win they will need a big game out of Dalton who took over for the injured Prescott. He completed 9 of 12 passes with 0 TD's and 0 picks since he took over for Precott who took the Cowboys to 3 wins and 3 losses completing 68% of his passes with 9 TD's and 4 picks. He had 3 straight games of throwing for at least 450 yards throwing 8 TD's and 3 of his picks but Dallas lost 2 of the 3 as their defense allowed at least 38 points in those games allowing87 points in the 2 losses. They allow over 400 yards a game and 36 points and are ranked 28th in stopping the run as they give up over 150 yards a game. The Cards broke a 2 game losing streak and have a 3-2 record winning by double digits in 2 of their 3 wins. QB Murray leads the team completing 70% of his passes and throwing 8 TD's with 6 picks. He threw 3 of his picks in 1 game but in his last 2 games threw 4 TD's and just 1 pick while completing 75% of his passes in those 2 games. Last week he led them to a 30-10 beating of the Jets while 1 of his losses was in the game he threw 3 picks. They are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 road games and 6-2 ATS vs teams with losing records. Dallas is 8-20 in their last 28 games vs teams with winning records and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and incredibly 22-45 ATS in their last 67 games as the home favorite. The Cards are 4-2 SU and ATS in their last 6 meetings. Take Arizona |
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10-18-20 | Packers v. Bucs +2.5 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 147 h 17 m | Show | |
 Green Bay has won all 4 of their games scoring at least 30 points in each win. The combined record of 3 of the 4 teams they beat is 2-12 and all 3 are in the bottom 5 of the NFL in points allowed as they all give up over 30 points a game. The Pack have a steady defense but do allow over 25 points a game. The Bucs had their 3 game winning streak broken with a tough 1 point loss to the Bears on the road where they got both of their losses. At home they scored at least 31 points a game while their defense have played some excellent football. They allowed 20 points or less in 3 of their games and are ranked 2nd in overall defense and 1st at stopping the run. This will probably be their toughest game so far if you look at the teams they played. The Saints were the best team they played and won that game by 7 points. This will not be the easiest place for the Pack to continue their streak as their offense will be tested by one of the NFL's best defenses. Take Tampa Bay                           |
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10-18-20 | Bears +3 v. Panthers | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 144 h 59 m | Show | |
 Chicago visits the Panthers with a 4-1 record and winners of 5 of 7 overall. Without their defense that wouldn't be the case as they haven't let opponents score more than 26 points in any game and under 20 points in 4 of their last 5. They struggled offensively being held to under 275 yards offense in their last 2 games and surpassed 400 yards just once. Last week they held one of the best offense to 19 points in their 20-19 over the Bucs. The Panthers have won 3 straight but last week's 23-16 win was over a troubled Atlanta team who is 0-5. In 3 of their last 4 games they were held to 23 points or less and their winning streak broke a 7 game losing streak. The Panthers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 as a favorite and 1-4-1 ATS as a favorite at home. Take Chicago |
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10-18-20 | Falcons v. Vikings -3.5 | 40-23 | Loss | -105 | 144 h 57 m | Show | |
Atlanta has lost all 5of their games while allowing at least 30 points in 4 of them and in their last 2 games were held to 16 points in their last 2. They are also 1-4 ATS in those 5 games. They haven't got 400 yards in offense in their last 4 games .The Vikings have lost 4 of their 5 games but 2 of their last 3 losses were by a single point and offensively got more than 400 yards while their rushing game has picked up at least 162 yards a game which is 4th in the league average wise. Atlanta is ranked 29th defensively allowing over 32 points a game and almost 450 yards of offense while Ryan hasn't passed for over 250 yards in his last 4 games. They are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 October games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs teams with losing home records. Minnesota is 10-2-1 in their last 13 October games and 38-17 ATS in their last 55 home games and 22-8 ATS in their last 30 at home vs teams with losing road records. Take Minnesota |
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10-18-20 | Browns +4.5 v. Steelers | 7-38 | Loss | -120 | 144 h 53 m | Show | |
 The Browns have won 4 straight since their opening loss to Baltimore scoring at least 32 points in 4 straight and winning by double digits in their last 3. Their offense is very well balanced as they pass for over 198 yards a game and run for 189 more. They are ranked 1st in running and 4th in scoring averaging over 21 points a game. Defensively they have to tighten up their secondary but stop the run well averaging 87 yards a game. They lead the league with 12 takeaways, 6 fumble recoveries and 6 interceptions. The Steelers are also playing well winning all 4 of their games but those teams have a combined 3-15 record as none of them won more than 1 game so far. They have a very good run defense and they will need it against the Browns. Cleveland is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games and the Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs the AFC. Pittsburgh can't take tis team for granted and had better be on their toes. Take Cleveland |
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10-18-20 | Ravens v. Eagles +7.5 | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 144 h 48 m | Show | |
The Ravens come to Philadelphia with a 4-1 record and a 2 game winning streak but 3 of the teams they beat have a combined 3-11 record as none of them won more tan a game each. After putting up at least 281 yards of offense in their first 2 games, they've managed just 350 yards or less of offense in their last 3 games. They are ranked 22nd offensively averaging 340 yards a game and are ranked 29th throwing the ball as they pass for under 180 yards a game and in their loss to KC were held to 228 total yards with just 70 in the air. Philadelphia is 1-3-1 as they lost to Pitt last week 38-29 but were within 2 points until the Steelers scored their last TD with under 3 minutes to go in the 4th quarter. Their defense is ranked in the top half of the league and they have improved since losing their first 2 games and are 1-1-1 in the following 3 games. They were held under 20 points in their first 3 games but have scored over 20 in their following 3 games. They played well in their last 2 games beating SF 25-20 2 weeks ago with a 14 point 4th quarter and last week played well but Pittsburgh scored the game sealing TD with again under 3 minutes to go. Baltimore is 9-24-1 ATS in their last 34 October games and this is a tough road game for them this week. Take Philadelphia |
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10-17-20 | Astros v. Rays -115 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
Today's game decides who represents the AL in the World Series as they are tied at 3 games apiece. Mccullers gets the call for Houston and they haven't don well when he pitches. He hasn't won a game since August 29th and that was 7 starts ago. Since then he is 0-2 including a loss in the playoffs and Houston lost 5 of his last 6 starts. In his last 2 starts which were in the playoffs, he gave up 9 runs [5 earned] and 12 hits in 11 total innings. he allowed at least 3 runs in 4 of his last 6 starts and in 3 of them couldn't get past the 4th inning. Morton goes for the Rays and in his last 10 starts allowed no more than 3 runs as the Rays have won 7 of his last 9 starts. In both his post season starts he pitched 10 total innings allowing just 1 run and 9 hits. Over his last 4 starts he struck out 25 batters and walked just 6. The Rays are 7-3 in their last 10 playoff games as a favorite, 56-22 in their last 78 games against righties and 42-17 in their last 59 games overall. Take Tampa Bay |
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10-17-20 | North Carolina v. Florida State +14 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 58 h 51 m | Show | |
UNC comes in looking for their 4th consecutive win. Their offense had an exceptional day last week getting over 650 yards of total offense with 399 yards from their ground game. They beat Virginia Tech 56-45 and held about a 20 point lead which started in the 1st quarter as they jumped out to a 21-0 lead. By the the middle of the 3rd quarter they had a 42-17 lead and were preparing to coast for the rest of the game but Tech scored 21 unanswered points and what had been a 25 point lead was down to 5 points. Their defense which had been allowing 350 yards of offense and 24 points a game, gave up almost 599 yards of offense to Tech with 260 on the ground and 235 through the air. They struggled the week before just beating Boston College 26-22 as their offense struggled for points being held to 12 in the final 3 quarters of the game as their passing game was held to 225 yards. This is the 3rd time in 4 weeks that the Seminoles will be facing a top 15 team as they are 1-3 with their 1 win coming at home. Their biggest let down has been a defense that was supposed to have one of the best defensive lines in the country but hasn't gotten the job done. Changing QB's has helped their offense as they scored 67 points in their last 7 quarters and just 23 points in their previous 9. Their offensive line has allowed the running game to stand out and they need that to open their passing game. The Tarheels rank 5th defensively in the ACC but were gouged for 45 points and almost 500 yards of offense last week. They will be without some key defensive players who are injured and they need to shut down the Seminoles passing game that did well in their game against the Irish with over 250 yards and were down by just 8 with a little over a minute left in the 1st half against them. This might be a little too much to ask of the Tarheels who might be in for a closer game than expected. Take Florida State |
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10-17-20 | Braves +1.5 v. Dodgers | 1-3 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
It looks good for Atlanta needing a win today to go on to the World Series and having their ace on the mound. Here's what we have--Fried made 14 starts including post season and Atlanta won 13 of those games as he allowed more than 2 runs in a game just twice and gave up no more than 6 hits in any one game. In all 73 of his innings he allowed just 4 HR's all year and wound up 7-0 with a 2.25 ERA going 4-0 at home and 3-0 on the road. So Atlanta couldn't ask for a better scenario. Buehler goes for LA as he started11 games including the playoffs going 1-0 with a 3.44 ERA. LA lost his last start to Atlanta 5-1 which was his 3rd post season appearance having LA winning the other 2. In his previous start he allowed 5 runs for the 2nd time in his last 5 starts. In his last 6 starts he gave up 12 runs and 21 hits in 29 total innings. LA wanted yesterday's game really bad but Kershaw didn't have his usual stuff so now its up to Buehler. Atlanta has the edge in today's game including momentum a very important factor in any sporting event. Take Atlanta +1.5 runs |
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10-17-20 | Texas A&M -6.5 v. Mississippi State | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 54 h 14 m | Show | |
After losing their game against possibly the best team in the country, The Aggies got their 2nd win and are now 2-1. It was a huge victory since it was against the 4th ranked Gators and they had to cone back twice. Once with almost 10 minutes gone in the 3rd quarter down 2817 and again when they scored the last 10 points in the game to erase a 38-31 Gator lead with just over 6 minutes to play. They finished up with 543 total yards and it was the 3rd time in the 3 games they increased their yardage output. They got 372 yards in their opening win against Vanderbilt and then in the loss to Alabama got 450 yards. In the Bulldog's 1st game they put up over 600 yards of offense in their opening win over LSU and went downhill from there losing their next 2 games. They rushed for just 9 yards in their 1st game, 87 yards against Arkansas in a 21-14 loss and then just 20 yards last week in their 24-2 loss to Kentucky. QB Costello threw 3 picks against Arkansas and then 4 more against Kentucky. The Aggies are hoping that their QB Mond can keep it going. He has thrown for 845 yards with 7 TD's with 1 pick while in his last 2 games threw 3 TD's in each for over 650 yards and 1 pick. They have to not forget about a Bulldog defense that even though they lost the game, they held Kentucky to 157 total yards of offense. The Aggies are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games as a favorite, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games against teams with losing home records and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 as a road favorite. The Bulldogs 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 as a dog and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 against teams with winning records. Take Texas A&MÂ Â |
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10-17-20 | Duke v. NC State -4 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 54 h 49 m | Show | |
After 4 straight losses, Duke finally got a win last week with a 38-24 win over Syracuse after losing their first 2 games allowing 38 points in each loss while the Wolfpack won their last 2 in a row after a loss to Virginia Tech when they fell behind 31-10 at the half which put them out of reach. Duke was able to take pressure off their QB by running for 363 yards and getting over 600 yards in total offense. They had better success passing as they threw for at least 271 yards in 4 of their 5 games but were held to 20 points or less in their first 3 losses. The Wolpack do a good job stopping the run allowing 159 yards a game which ranks them 45th and with 12 sacks are tied for 11th nationally. Offensively the average almost 35 points a game which is 25th nationally and generate over 400 yards a game. NC State should benefit from Duke's defense allowing over 160 yards rushing and are 3rd worse in TO margin at -2.20. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a dog and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 after a win. The Wolfpack lost their last 6 games in 2019 but have since won 3 of 4 and also covered the spread in all 3 wins. Take North Carolina State |
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10-17-20 | Louisville v. Notre Dame -16.5 | 7-12 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 50 m | Show | |
Louisville comes in having lost their last 3 games and in 2 of them allowed at least 46 points and in the other loss scored 23 which has them scoring 7 points or less in their last 2 games. The luck of the Irish has them playing their 4th straight game in their home stadium where they won their first 3 by an average of more than 27 points. Last week a 35 point 1st half helped them coast to a 42-26 win over what many consider a tough Seminole team. They outscored their last 2 opponents 94-26 and in 2 of the games held their opponents to 13 points or less. Louisville is heading in the opposite direction losing their last 3 games while allowing at least 46 points in 2 of the 3 losses and losing both of their road games. Last week they were up 21-14 in the 1st half before losing 46-27 allowing 32 points in the 2nd half with 20 in the 4th quarter. They lost a tough game 23-20 to Boston College with their 1 win coming over fcs Western Kentucky. They seem to be able to pick up yards between the 20 yard lines but just can't get into the end zone. The Irish are ranked 8th in the country allowing 13 points a game and are in the Top 20 in total defense allowing 323 total yards. RB Williams is ranked 7th in the nation and 3rd in the ACC averaging 120 yards a game. Louisville allow over 34 points a game which is 4th worst in the ACC and in the bottom 15 in the country. Louisville is 9-21 ATS in their last 20 on turf and 1-8-1 in their last 10 as a dog. The Irish are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 overall and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 at home while going 17-8 ATS in their last 25 October games. Take Notre Dame |
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10-17-20 | Kansas v. West Virginia -22 | 17-38 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 32 m | Show | |
Kansas has not started out the season well. They are 0-3 after getting trashed by the Sooners 47-7 last week and the week before were crushed by Baylor 47-17. They have 1 of the worst offense in college football right now as they average under 300 yards in total offense ranking them 24th in the country and scoring 14.7 points a game which has them ranked 26th. Last week the Sooners held them to 193 total yards which was their lowest total in their last 10 games. Over their last 10 games they are 1-9 and 1-6ATS in their last 7 games. One f their main concerns has been at starting a QB. They have used 3 already in 3 games. They are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 19-39-1 ATS in their last 59 road games. West Virginia is 3-1 after recovering for last weeks loss to the Sooners 27-13 a 56 yard fumble returned for a TD and a 66 yard TD run led to 20 2nd quarter points for the Sooners that West Virginia was unable to recover from even though the held the Sooners to 7 points in the other 3 quarters. They scored 56 points in their opener to FCS Eastern KY and beat Baylor in OT last week as their defense has remained constant and is ranked 8th in the country. They give up less than 250 yards a game and hold opponents below 20 points scoring. They are 4-1-2 in their last 7 games as a favorite and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 as the home favorite. Take West Virginia |
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10-17-20 | Auburn -3 v. South Carolina | 22-30 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 22 m | Show | |
Auburn bounced back from a 27-6 loss to powerful Georgia with a 30-28 win over Arkansas. They are 2-1 and play the Gamecocks who also bounced back after losing their first 2 games to Tennessee and Florida when they trashed Vandy 41-7. After being held to under 120 yards on the ground in their first 2 games they exploded for 289 last week who allow over 200 yards in the air and on the ground while giving up 33 points a game. South Carolina has an edge there as they have allowed less than 100 yards on the ground and Auburn allows 150 and they both allow close to 250 yards in the air but the Tigers allow 22 points a game and the Gamecocks allow over 25. The Gamecocks gave up over 30 points in each loss while Auburn didn't allow more than 28 points and held their 1st opponent Ky. to just 13 points. They scored at least 29 points in both of their wins and last week let their ground game loose for 259 yards and they passed for 187 and was their season high in total yards and rushing yards. The Tigers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 as a road favorite as well as 11-5 ATS in their last 16 overall. The Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS against a team with a winning record and 1-3-1 ATS as both a home dog and a dog overall. They are also 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 at home. Take Auburn |
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10-16-20 | Astros v. Rays -129 | 7-4 | Loss | -129 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
After jumping out to a 3-0 lead in the series. the Rays have let Houston back in and now are within 1 game of tying the series up at 3 games apiece. The last game they won was when Snell was pitching against Valdez the same pitcher going today. The Rays have been better than most teams throughout the season and Snell has led the Rays to wins in 4 of his last 6 starts by allowing 1 run or less in those 4 games. Valdez has also pitched well allowing 2 runs or less in his last 5 starts but had allowed 20 runs and 27 hits in his previous 4 starts over 26 innings. They are too good a team to drop another game with 1 of their best pitchers going for them. Look for the Rays to close out this series with a much needed win and finally move on to the World Series. Take Tampa Bay |
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10-15-20 | Dodgers -210 v. Braves | 2-10 | Loss | -210 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
LA looks to even the series at 2 games each as they play Atlanta in game 5. They Exploded for 11 runs in the 1st inning yesterday to end that game earlier than expected. They have won 6 of 8 postseason games with Kershaw winning 2 as he pitched 14 innings allowing 3 runs and 9 hits with 19 strikeouts 1 walk and 2 HR's both in last game. LA won 10 of his last 11 starts and he hasn't allowed more than 3 runs except in 1 game of those 11 starts. Overall LA is 16-4 in their last 20 games and 6-2 in both their last 8 playoff games and their last 8 games as a playoff favorite. They are also 63-23 in their last 86 games vs righties and 42-16 in their last 58 games following a win. Atlanta has played excellent baseball winning 7 of their last 10 which included winning their first 7 playoff games until yesterday loss to LA. in their previous 13 games they were just 6-7 scoring 3 runs or less in 8 of those games. Wilson started 2 games in 6 appearances and is 1-0 with a 4.02 ERA. Being down 2 games to 1, I don't think nobody needs to tell LA how important 2-2 in compared to 3-1 in a 7 game series so LA will be as ready as they can. I don't like laying a price this big but I have to make and exception in this case. Take Los Angeles |
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10-13-20 | Bills v. Titans +3.5 | 16-42 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
This could be Buffalo's toughest game of the year. They are 4-0 but 2 of their wins were against Miami and the Jets. The Titans have beaten both Minnesota and Denver on the road and in the last 2 weeks scored over 30 points a game and average almost 400 total yards with over360 through the air. Besides their wins over a couple of inferior teams, the Bills also almost blew a 28 point lead in their win over the Rams. The Bills are ranked 27th as they allow over 280 yards a game in the air while Tennessee has allowed 74 total points. In their last 5 meetings the winning team won by 6 or less points and the Bills are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall The Titans are 7-2-1 in their last 10 against the NFC. Their toughest game all year could also be their 1st loss. Take Tennessee |
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10-12-20 | Chargers v. Saints -6.5 | 27-30 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
The Chargers have lost 3 in a row blowing a 21 point lead last week and in their 2 prior games were held below 21 points. Those 2 games were at home and last week allowed 38 points in their loss to the Bucs. Their 1 win was against the Bengals 16-13. The Saints broke their 2 game losing streak with a 35-29 win at Detroit and it was the 3rd time in their 4 games they scored at least 30 points while their 1 loss was in Green Bay after blowing a halftime lead finally losing 37-30. In their last 3 games they averaged 400 yards on offense and outgained their opponents. They are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 against teams with losing records. The Chargers are 2-5-1 in their last 8 games after an ATS win and 7-19-1 ATS after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. The Chargers have defensive standout Bosa and their #1 RB hurting and neither might play. Take New Orleans |
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10-12-20 | Braves +128 v. Dodgers | 5-1 | Win | 128 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
These 2 teams just might be the best 2 teams left in the playoffs. Atlanta is 10-3 in their last 13 including 5 straight wins in the playoffs with 4 shutouts in 4 of the 5 wins. LA has won 10 of 11 and 5 straight in the playoffs. Fried goes for the Braves with a 7-0 record and a 2.25 ERA ad Atlanta has won 12 of his 13 starts as allowed more than 3 runs in a game just once all year and gave up just 2 HR's. Buehler started only 8 games and is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA but only once in his last 5 games has lasted more than 4 innings and like Fried, LA lost just 1 of hi starts. His ERA away from Dodger Stadium is 6.19 as he allowed 15 runs and 16 hits in just 16 innings. In his last 2 away games he gave up 10 runs and 10 hits in only 7-1 innings. Atlanta is 16-5 in their last 21 games vs teams with winning records, 5-0 in their last 5 against righties and 13-4 in their last 17 against the NL West. And today I can get that team as dog. Take Atlanta |
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10-11-20 | Colts v. Browns +1.5 | 23-32 | Win | 100 | 55 h 49 m | Show | |
Cleveland and Indy are both 3-1 but have done so in different ways. Since the Colts opening game 27-20 loss to the Jaguars their defense has made the difference holding their last 3 opponents to 11 points or less. They are in the bottom half of the league offensively averaging 26 points and only 360 yards a game throwing for just 245 yards. Other tan a 36-7 beating of the hapless Jets, even in their 28-11 win over Minnesota passed for only 203 yards and 15 of their points were from FG's. In last week's win they passed for under 200 yards and needed 4 FG's to secure the win. The Browns were crushed 38-6 in their 1st game by Baltimore but have since won 3 straight scoring at lest 34 points a game and broke out for 49 last week in their road win over Dallas. They lead the league in rushing with over 200 yards a game and average 31 points good for 4th in the league. Last week was their best offensive game of the year getting over 500 yards in a balanced attack as they rushed for over 300 yards and passed for over 200. Their offense would be huge if Mayfield starts to put it together. The home team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Take Cleveland                         |
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10-11-20 | Dolphins +9 v. 49ers | 43-17 | Win | 100 | 30 h 19 m | Show | |
Miami has a 1-3 record with their 3 losses against teams with a combined 10-2 record. In those losses the Dolphins were in every game losing by 3 to an excellent Buffalo team and against both New England and Seattle hung around to the very end as Seattle scored 14 4th quarter points and New England scored with 5 minutes to go to to end up winning by 10. Miami's defense gives up under 100 yards on the ground while allowing 24 points a game. Their offense also helps keep them close as they run for over 100 yards a game and throw for over 240. QB Fitzpatrick is pretty consistent but needs to get his numbers up as he's thrown just 4 TD's and 5 picks although 3 of them were in 1 game against the Bills. He completes 69% of his passes but they have had trouble scoring TD's in the Red Zone. SF is 2-2 but the troubling part of that is the wins were against the Giants and Jets who are a combined 0-8 while both losses were at home. Even with Garropolo they are 1-1 and he hasn't had a 300 yard game yet. Miami is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 as a dog and as a road team while also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 as a road dog. SF is 7-20 in their last 27 has a home favorite and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 October games. Take Miami |
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10-11-20 | Bengals +13 v. Ravens | 3-27 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 36 m | Show | |
The Ravens are 3-1 with their most productive games in their first 2 when their offense averaged close to 400 yards in the 2 wins but since then they haven't had more than 350 yards in their last 2 and just 208 total yards in their loss to KC. They are ranked 29th in passing but their running game has been consistent as they are 3rd with a 160 yard average. The Bengals have thrown well averaging over 250 yards a game while scoring at least 30 points in 2 of their last 3 games while last week had their best offensive game of the season. They amassed over 500 yards of offense getting 300 in the air and 200 on the ground in their 1st win of the year. They are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 as the road dog and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games overall. Baltimore is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as the home favorite. Take Cincinnati |
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10-11-20 | Eagles +7.5 v. Steelers | 29-38 | Loss | -120 | 51 h 14 m | Show | |
 The Eagles were held to under 20 points in their first 2 games which resulted in their 2 loses. Then they tied a Bengal team whose 2 losses were by 8 points total. The following week they beat SF a Super Bowl team a year ago 25-20. Their first loss to Washington resulted when the were outscored 13 -0 in the 4th quarter and allowed 8 sacks to their QB. Against the Rams they fell behind quickly but were only trailing 21-16 at the half and then let LA score 13 4th quarter points to make the game not as close as it really was. Pittsburgh hasn't scored more than 28 points in their 3 wins as they were up just 10-9 but scored a TD with 7 seconds left in the half th take a 16-10 lead over the 0-4 Giants wo actually passed for 262 yards to Pittsburg's 208. Big Ben has been effective but hasn't thrown for many yards as he threw for under 220 yards i 2 of their 3 games. Their defense has had to play well for them to come away with 3 straight wins. Philly on the other hand has gained at least 265 yards in each game but Wentz's 7 picks have been their biggest problem but the defense hasn't allowed more than 25 points in their last 2 games, improving on their first 2. They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road dog and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 October games. Pittsburgh is 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 at home as the favorite. Take Philadelphia                         |
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10-10-20 | Miami-FL +14 v. Clemson | 17-42 | Loss | -108 | 59 h 49 m | Show | |
 Two 3-0 tams who are ranked in the Top 10 meet for 1 of the better games being played on Saturday when Miami faces Clemson. Miami has had the tougher schedule so far beating Louisville and Florida St while scoring at least 47 points in each. Clemson is 3-0 but has played much weaker teams as they have been at least a 28 point favorite in each game and not covering the spread in all 3. They allowed Virginia over 400 yards on offense and 23 points. The Hurricanes held 2 of their 3 opponents to 14 points or less and average under 20 points allowed per game. Last week against FSU the ran for 200 yards and passed for over 300 while in their 1st game rushed for over 375 yards while covering the spread in all 3 of their games. This will be the toughest game for either team so far but 2 TD's is asking a lot of Clemson against a Miami team playing a Clemson team far different than those Championship teams we've seen the past few years. Take Miami                      |
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10-10-20 | Oklahoma v. Texas +2.5 | 53-45 | Loss | -102 | 51 h 60 m | Show | |
 Other than post season games this is the biggest game that Texas might play all season. It is 1 of the biggest rivalries in college football. Both teams average over 500 yards a game but Texas leads the nation in points scored. They run for over 190 yards a game and pass for over 300. Texas is 2-1 while the Sooners are 1-2 losing their last 2 games. Their only win was against a weak Missouri St team who they beat 48-0 and were a 47 point favorite. They lost their last 2 games allowing at least 37 points in each including a 38-35 loss to Kansas St as a 28 point favorite. Their running game which has always been a major part of their offense has been held to 123 yards a game and their QB is fresh out of high school and as a rookie playing in this game is a tough ask of him. Their running game will be tested again as Texas allows just 126 yards a game which means the Sooners must be successful in the air. QB Ehlinger is a seasoned veteran who will face the Sooners for the 5th time and he has already thrown 14 TD passes and just 2 picks. With their running game doing their job it opens up the Texas passing game which could cause all kinds of problems for the Sooners. In a game like this I would rather have the seasoned veteran taking the snaps in Ehlinger. Take Texas                     |
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10-10-20 | Florida -6.5 v. Texas A&M | 38-41 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 58 m | Show | |
The Gators are ranked 4th in the country winning both of their games by at least 14 points. They are ranked 12th in offense averaging 495 yards a game and scoring 45 points which is 5th in college football. They scored at least 38 points in both wins while getting over 640 yards in their win over Ole Miss who they beat 51-35. The score is a lot closer than the game as Florida maintained over a 20 point lead throughout with Ole Miss scoring a meaningless TD wit under a minute left in the game. The Gators broke the game open against the Gamecocks opening up a 24 point lead with under 5 minutes left in the 3rd quarter while not allowing the Gamecocks to score more than 7 points in any quarter. The Aggies are 1-1 as they squeaked by 0-2 Vandy 17-12 and then getting hammered by Alabama 52-24 last week. QB Trask for the Gators has already passed for 684 yards and 10 TD.s with 1 pick in his first 2 games showing how strong their QB has the potential to be this season. This could be a huge problem for the Aggies who were burned for 435 passing yards and 4TD tosses by Alabama last week. They score 21 points a game and they will have to do better to defeat the Gators who average 45 points a game. Take Florida |
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10-09-20 | Heat v. Lakers UNDER 216.5 | 111-108 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
The Heat are down 3 games to 1 and face elimination. They play ball whoever they play with defense. That is their strength and you can be sure they will do whatever they can to stop LA from scoring. So far 3 of their 4 meetings have gone under while 4 of their last 5 games that went over had totals of 215 or less. LA would like to win the series today and take home the Trophy but the pressure isn't close to what the Heat are feeling. Miami has surprised a lot of people and they just night have one more for LA. When it's make or break you go to your strength and that is what the Heat will do and that means play a smothering defense. Take the Under |
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10-09-20 | Yankees -149 v. Rays | 1-2 | Loss | -149 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
This game decides who wins the series with both teams winning 2 games each. The 1 thing that seems consistent for NY is that when Cole pitches they win. There a 2week span back in mid August that he lost his 3 games and NY lost 4 of his starts. but in 3 of those games NY scored 3 runs or less in all 4 and 2 runs or less in 3 of them. since then Cole has won 4 straight decisions and NY won all 5 of his starts including both his post season games. The Rays had a chance to close it out yesterday but scored just 1 run and has let NY back in and given them the momentum. Glasnow faced NY in one game in this series and even though the Rays won, he didn't have a good game. He pitched 5 innings allowing 4 runs and 3 hits including 2 HR's which he has done in his last 3 games. Cole has been 1 of the best pitchers in MLB the last few years and with this deciding game in a win or go home situation I have to go with Cole as even though the Rays have been winning with Glasnow he hasn't been as sharp in his last few starts allowing at least 2 HR's in 4 of his last 5 games while the Rays had to score at least 7 runs to win his last 3 starts. I have to go with Cole and NY in this big game. Take New York |
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10-08-20 | Bucs -4.5 v. Bears | 19-20 | Loss | -119 | 60 h 15 m | Show | |
Both teams are playing on a short week with the Bucs rallying for a 38-31 win over the Chargers after being down by 21 while the Bears once again had their offense stalled scoring their lowest point total of the year losing 19-11 to the Colts. They are 3 -1 but their 3 wins were over teams with a combined 1-11 record. The Bucs won their 3rd straight scoring at least 28 points in each and winning 2 by double digits. Brady had his best game throwing for a season high both in TD's with 5 and yards with 369. Chicago had their 3rd game of 4 throwing for under 250 yards even after benching Trubisky in favor of Foles. They average just 232 yards passing and score 21 points a game while in 2 games scoring 17 or less. Together their QB's have thrown 10 TD's and 5 picks with their running game getting a season low 28 yards last week while the Bucs had their best offensive game getting 484 total yards. The Bears can't seem to figure out their offense while the Bucs keep improving as Brady becomes more familiar with the system. Chicago is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs teams with winning records while the Bucs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 as a road favorite. The Bears lost 2 of their last 3 at home. Take Tampa Bay |
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10-08-20 | Tulane +7 v. Houston | 31-49 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 24 m | Show | |
Tulane who is 2-1 will play Houston who has had 5 games canceled due to Covid concerns and hasn't played yet. Tulane has done well on both sides of the ball and are 3rd in defense and 4th offensively gaining almost 450 yards a game. Their last win was a 66-24 beating of So. Miss as they rushed for 430 yards. They lead the AAC with 882 rushing yards getting 14 TD's on the ground. Houston lost their starting QB King who transferred and is playing with Miami but they can also run the ball. Tulane won 3 of their last 4 games while 3 of their last 4 losses were by 14 points total. Houston lost 5 of their last 7 games and this will be quite a test for a team playing their 1st game of the season. Tulane is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games on turf and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 October games. Houston is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 against teams with winning records, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 as the favorite and 0-5 ATS after a bye week. This might be too much to ask of Houston considering they haven't taken a snap all year. Take Tulane |
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10-08-20 | Rays +122 v. Yankees | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay clinches their division with a win today over NY. They have won 8 of their last 9 games and scored at least 5 runs in 6 of the wins. Their only loss to NY was against Cole and they hit him getting 3 runs and 6 hits and in their 4 playoff wins scored at least 7 runs in 3 of them while matching the big NY bats. NY is scoring runs but they need to as they allowed 25 runs in 3 of their last 4 games and are just 4-6 in their last 10 games. Thompson has 1 start in 25 appearances and is 1-2 with a 4.44 ERA. He is 1-1 vs NY but that loss was at NY while he has given up just 4 HR's all year and that is what has kept NY scoring with Stanton hitting 6 since his return. Tampa has also got their share with 7 HR's in their last 2 games. Montgomery is 2-3 with a 5.11 ERA while losing his last 2 decisions and NY losing 4 of his last 6 starts. In his 1 game against the Rays he didn't make it out of the 1st inning giving up 4 runs and 5 hits including 2 HR's. The Rays are 10-3 in their last 13 games against lefties and 38-13 in their last 51 overall while beating up the AL East going 42-17 in their last 59. NY is 7-15 in their last 22 after a loss and 2-7 in their last 9 against teams winning at .600 or better. Take Tampa Bay |
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10-08-20 | Braves -137 v. Marlins | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Atlanta has won 9 of their last 12 games including 4 straight post season wins. Three of the wins were shutouts and have outscored their playoff opponents 17-5. Today they have a chance to clinch their series against Miami who they have a 2-0 advantage over. Miami is 5-7 in their last 12 games and 2 wins were against the light hitting Cubs in the Wild Card games. Wright goes for Atlanta and he started 8 games going 2-4 with a 5.21 ERA. Three of his 4 losses were early in his first 5 starts in July and August with his last loss on September 8th. In his 3 starts since he has won 2 straight decisions and the Braves won all 3. It was his best stretch all season as he pitched 19 innings allowing 5 runs and 11 hits. Sanchez pitches for Miami and hasn't pitched 6 full innings in his last 3. He beat the Cubs in his last start throwing 4 scoreless innings but in his 2 prior games allowed 9 runs and 12 hits in 7 innings including a 9-4 loss to Atlanta. The Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite, 4-0 in their last 4 games against righties and 14-3 in their last 17 against teams with a winning record. Miami is 1-6 in their last 7 against the NL East and 16-46 in their last 62 games against teams with a .600 winning record. Take Atlanta |
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10-07-20 | Rays v. Yankees -116 | 8-4 | Loss | -116 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
The Rays won 21 of 30 games at home but they are playing NY in San Diego. The series is tied at 1-1 as the Rays won yesterday 7-5. They have allowed NY to score 14 runs in their 2 games losing the 1st game 9-3. NY has been scoring in bunches since they got their big bats off the injury list as Stanton has homered in 4 straight playoff games hitting 5 overall. NY has scored at least 5 runs in 14 of their last 16 games and in double digits in 8 of them. Morton pitches for the Rays for the 1st time since September 25th and hasn't pitched 6 full innings in any of his games. He was hit hard allowing 4 runs and 7 hits in his last start and over his last 4 games is 0-1 allowing 10 runs and 22 hits in 19.1 total innings. Tanaka will try and rebound from his last start where he allowed 5 hits and 6 runs but those NY bats won 10-9 anyway. Prior to that outing he allowed 3 runs or less in 6 straight games while NY won 4 of his last 6 starts. He had a 2.33 ERA away from NY and was 1-1 against Tampa Bay. Thee Rays are 4-10 in their last 14 Divisional playoff games. NY is 15-7 in their last 22 overall, 10-4 in their last 14 against righties, and 4-1 in their last 6 divisional playoff games. Take New York |
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10-07-20 | A's v. Astros -114 | 9-7 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Houston needs 1 more win to take the series after winning the first 2. They have won all 4 post season games and held 2 of the best hitting teams in baseball to 2 runs or less in 3 of them. They outscored the A's 15-7 in the first 2 games as the A's haven't been playing their usual very good baseball. They were 22-10 at home and that is where they got most of their wins. They are 5-8 in their last 13 games and lost 9 of their last 13 games played away from Oakland including their last 2 against the Astros. They beat Chicago in the Wildcard round 2 games to 1 as all 3 were at Oakland. Luzardo started 9 games in his 12 appearances and like his team went 3-1 with a 2.40 ERA at home but 0-1 with an 8.15 ERA on the road. In 17.2 road innings he allowed 16 runs and 26 hits including 6 HR's and 7 walks with hitters batting .338 off him. Urquidy started just 5 games this year but pitched well going 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA and allowed 2 runs or less in all 5 starts. In 1 start in the post season he pitched 4.1 innings against the Twins allowing just 1 run and 2 hits in a 3-1 Astros win. Oakland is 2-8 in their last 10 playoff games and 3-8 in their last 11 after losing the first 2 games of a series while going 1-4 in their last 5 against righties. Houston is 9-2 in their last 11 playoff games and 48-19 in their last 67 games against lefties. Take Houston |
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10-06-20 | Astros -101 v. A's | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
Houston took the 1st game 10-5 and have won all 3 of their post season games while Oakland continues to play about .500 baseball and are 5-7 in their last 12 games. They won most of their games in their home park but that's not the case in the playoffs. Valdez has allowed 1 run or less in his last 3 starts and Houston has won his last 4. He is 3-1 since September 1st and over his last 3 starts has struck out 24 batters while walking just 4. Manaea is 4-3 with 3 of his last 4 wins coming in Oakland while in his last 2 games on the road has allowed 6 runs and 3 hits in 11.2 innings. Houston is 8-0 in their last 8 playoff games as a dog and 8-2 in their last 10 Divisional playoff games while Oakland is 2-7 in their last 9 Playoff games and 1-4 in their last 5 Playoff games as a favorite. Take Houston |
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10-05-20 | Yankees -144 v. Rays | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
NY is 14-6 in their last 20 games while scoring at least 6 runs in their last 9 wins and double digits in 10 of their last 12 wins. They are healthy offensively for the 1st time in a while and it is showing. Cole pitches and has won his last 4 decisions as he pitched 7 innings in each win allowing only 4 total runs in the 28 innings. In his last start he allowed 2 runs and 6 hits while striking out 13 and not walking a batter. He has struck out at least 7 batters in his last 10 starts. The Rays are on a streak of their own winning 6 straight but 5 of them were at home where they were 20-9. They had 5 of their last 7 losses on the road. In their last 14 games, they scored 4 runs or less in 10 of them. Snell will pitch and in all 11 of his starts, never pitched a full 6 innings. He is 1-2 since the end of August and throws a lot of pitches because he walks a lot of batters. Over his last 4 starts covering 21.1 innings, he walked 9 batters and allowed 3 walks and 2 HR's in his last game which he lost. He lost both his games at night and hasn't had much success against NY and is 2-5 since 2017 with an ERA close to 5.00. Take New York |
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10-05-20 | Astros +132 v. A's | 10-5 | Win | 132 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Houston broke a 3 game losing streak sweeping the Twins 2-0 in the Wild Card round. They have pitched well over the last few weeks allowing just 13 runs in their last 8 wins with Mccullers allowing 3 runs or less in 7 of his last 8 starts including 2 runs or less in 6 of them. In 4 of his last 5 starts he allowed just 1 run total in 23.2 innings while striking out 31 batters and walking just 5. They are 7-0 in their last 7 playoff games as a dog and 7-2 in their last 9 Divisional Playoff games. They are 58-20 in their last 78 during game 1 of a series. Mccullers is 2-0 with a 2.55 ERA in day games. Oakland has gone 6-5 in their last 11 games and aren't playing their best ball. They were a great home team this year and won 4 of their last 5 in Oakland but this game is in LA. They are playing .500 ball now and that isn't good during playoff time. Bassitt pitches and the A's have won his last 5 starts but all of them were home. His ERA was 0.72 at home and 4.56 on the road and was 3-0 in night games and just 2-2 with a 4.13 during the day. They are 2-6 in their last 8 playoff games and 1-4 both in following a win and following an off day. Take Houston |
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10-04-20 | Eagles v. 49ers -3.5 | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 155 h 3 m | Show | |
The Eagles are 0-2-1 and no secret why. Wentz has 3 TD passes and 6 picks while being sacked 11 times in 3 games. They are ranked 25th in offense and score less than 20 points a game. Their 1st 2 losses were by double digits and they salvaged a tie with the Bengals in their last game as neither team could score in OT. They scored 23 points or less in 5 of their last 6 games and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. They are in the bottom 10 giving up 29 points a game while they haven't passed for over 3oo yards in 5 straight games. After a loss to the Cards in their 1st game. SF has overwhelmed their last 2 opponents outscoring them 67-22. They lost their starting QB but Mullens has filled in nicely as he threw for 343 yards and a TD last week and was 8 for 11 when Garrapolo was hurt the game before. This is the Team that went to the Super Bowl so you can't count them out and against teams like Philadelphia when you are home is a must win if you want to go back. SF is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 5-1 in their last 6 as the favorite. Take San Francisco |
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10-04-20 | Colts -2.5 v. Bears | 19-11 | Win | 100 | 45 h 27 m | Show | |
The Colts dropped their 1st game to a 1-2 Jaguar team then steamrolled both Minnesota and the jets holding each team below 12 points and winning by double digits. They lead the league defensively giving up just 225 yards a game and allowing 15 points a game. Last week they held the Jets to just a 1st quarter TD in a 36-7 beating and the week before shut down the Vikings 28-11 as they held the offense to less than 100 yards running and passing. Rivers has been effective with his new team not making mistakes while their defense picked off Darnold 3 times last week. The Bears needed a 20 point 4th quarter to beat Atlanta last week and a 21 point 4th quarter to beat the Lions in week 1. Their other win was 17-13 over the punchless Giants. They are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 at home and 4-11 ATS in their last 11 overall. The Colts are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs winning teams and average 28 points a game. Take Indianapolis |
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10-04-20 | Saints v. Lions +6 | 35-29 | Push | 0 | 148 h 56 m | Show | |
NO has dropped 2 straight games while allowing each team to score at least 34 points. The damage has been their secondary who gave up at least 275 yards in each loss. and 1 included a 37-30 loss at home to the Pack. They have been outscored in the 2nd half of both which could mean they are wearing down in the 2nd half. They face another good QB on the road as Stafford has thrown for over 800 yards with 5 TD's. They are very even offensively but the Saints have allowed more points per game. NO is 1-3 ATS in their last 3 games while Detroit is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 at home against teams with losing records. Afterv2 straight losses a road game in Detroit is not a place to turn things around. Take Detroit |
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10-04-20 | Ravens v. Washington Football Team +14.5 | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
The Ravens were humbled by the Chiefs 34-20 in their last game after blowing out their 1st 2 opponents. After scoring over 30 points in their first 2 games they were held to 20 in their loss to KC. QB Jackson threw for just 97 yards and totaled just 228 yards in the game after averaging 400 their first 2 games. Now they are on the road against Washington team that played to competitive games but folded in the 4th quarter allowing Cleveland to score 17 unanswered 4th quarter points and the week before gave up 10 to put the game out of reach. Washington has the 6th best defense but have struggled offensively averaging under 300 yards a game and just 17 points scoring but improved the last 2 weeks getting over 300 yards a game. Their 1 win was at home and both losses on the road and they are home this week. The Ravens are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a Monday game and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 following a loss. Washington is 2-1 ATS in their last 3 as a double digit dog. This could be a good spot for them to play well. Take Washington |
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10-04-20 | Chargers v. Bucs -6.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show | |
The Chargers don't have a lot going for them this week. They have to start a rookie QB. they are hurting on defense and they lost 2 straight games both at home. They score just over 17 points a game ranking them 27th in the league while scoring the 2nd fewest points so far. In their last 6 games they scored no more than 21 points while Brady put more points on the board than the Bucs have scored in 5 games. Before Brady they scored less than 23 points in their prior 3 games. Their defense has performed allowing 17 points or less in their last 2 games while holding both opponents below 100 rushing yards. They are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 as a favorite and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs teams with losing records. The Chargers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 and 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 after a loss. They allowed over 600 yards passing in their last 2 games and that is what the Bucs and Brady do best. Take Tampa Bay |
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10-03-20 | Arkansas v. Mississippi State -17 | 21-14 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 47 m | Show | |
Arkansas was hammered by Georgia 37-10 scoring just 3 points in the last 3 quarters of the game. The Bulldogs were able to get over 260 yards passing and over 120 yards running. Arkansas was held to under 300 yards of offense including just 77 on the ground. Even though LSU beat Miss St, the Bulldogs were able to score 27 points in the 2nd half and they passed for over 600 yards and 5 TD's which lead the country. Arkansas has lost 10 straight games and if they can't run their passing game is in trouble as the Bulldog defense got 7 sacks last week. Arkansas is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 as a dog. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 as a home favorite and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. If Arkansas can't put a rush on to stop the pass, then this game could get out of hand quickly. Take Mississippi State |
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10-03-20 | South Florida v. Cincinnati -21 | 7-28 | Push | 0 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
USF has lost 5 of their last 6 games including a 52-0 blowout by Notre Dame in their last game. They are also 2-4 ATS in those 6 games and scored 17 points or less in 5 of them. It won't get much better as the Bearcats are ranked 14th defensively in the country and have a balanced offense that gains over 250 yards in the air and over 170 on the ground. They have won 8 of their last 9 and shut down a very good Army running game to just 69 yards. The strength of USF is their running game but if Cincinnati can shut them down they really don't have a passing game as of yet and they could be in for a long afternoon with their defense spending a lot of time on the field where they will wear down eventually. Take Cincinnati |
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10-03-20 | South Carolina +18 v. Florida | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 27 h 22 m | Show | |
For the past few years it was the Gator defense that anchored the team. They lost a bunch of key defenders an from last season and it showed s they gave up over 600 yards of offense to Ole Miss. Almost 450 yards coming through the air and 170 on the ground. They won that game 51-35. The Gators were able to gain over 600 yards on offense themselves and as a result won the shootout. Only LSU was able to put those kinds of points on the board when they beat Florida 42-28 last season. Besides them the Gamecocks scored the 2nd mot points in a 38-27 Gator win. The Gamecocks were beaten by a very good Tennessee team but were able to put up 27 points in a close 31-27 game. It was the only the 2nd time in their last 9 gams they put up that many points. They are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road dog and in their last 10 meetings each team won 5 games and Florida went 0-1-1 ATS in the 2 games they were double digit favorites. The Spread seems high in this toughly fought series so I'll grab the points. Take South Carolina |
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10-03-20 | Baylor v. West Virginia +2.5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
Baylor lost their last 2 road games while their last 2 wins were against a soft Kansas team. Those were 2 f the 3 games they scored more than 31 points in their last 8. It won't be easier as West Virginia has played tough defense being ranked in the top 10 in the country. They allow 135 yards in the air which is 5th best and have 5 sacks and 15 tackles for losses to boot. They were hurt in their loss last week allowing a 66 yard run and fell behind early 20-7 but toughened up defensively and holding the Cowboys to just 7 2nd half points. The Bears were helped by 2 long kick returns for TD's in their win but had just over 350 yards of total offense with 149 through the air. West Virginia's passing game put up close to 300 yards in their 2 games but need to improve a running game that hasn't had a lot of success. QB Doege has thrown for over 500 yards completing 63% of his passing with 5 TD's. They are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and West Virginia is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings at home. Take West Virginia |
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10-01-20 | Broncos +110 v. Jets | 37-28 | Win | 110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Both teams are 0-3 and the Broncos lost to teams with a combined 8-1 record with 2 of them in 1st place in their divisions. Their best game was against the Titans losing 16-14 and their worst was against one of the best passing teams with Brady and the Bucs who threw for 285 yards. That won't happen with the Jets who are both last in total offense and points scored as they are 0-3 losing by double digits in each loss and are dead last in scoring averaging 12 points a game. Defensively they are 26th allowing over 31 points a game and give up almost 400 yards a gme with 133 on the ground. QB Darnold averages less than 200 yards passing and has thrown 3 TD's an 4 pics which has been his biggest problem as a pro QB. The Broncos played 2 tough teams and played close losing to Tennessee by 2 and Pittsburgh by 5 covering the spread in both. NY is 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games while Denver is 5-2 in both their last 7 road games and last 7 road dogs. Take Denver +110 |
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10-01-20 | Cardinals v. Padres -155 | 9-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
San Diego is 22-10 at home and Davies should be well rested after pitching just 3 scoreless innings in his last start. The Padres have won 6 of his last 8 starts and Davies hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of his 12 starts. The Cards are 3-9 in their last 12 playoff road games and 1-5 in their last 6 playoff games overall. Wainwright has had a good year but age might be catching up to him. He lost 3 of his last 4 decisions and the Cards lost 3 of his last 4 starts. In his last 2 games he gave up 14 hits and 6 runs in 12.1 innings and 2HR's in his last game. Take San Diego |
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10-01-20 | White Sox v. A's -111 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Oakland won is 5-0 at home in their last 5 against the Sox including a 5-3 win yesterday. That should be no surprise as they are 22-10 at home this season. The Sox have lost 8 of their last 10 and are not playing well. As for Oakland they are 7-5 in their last 12 with 4 losses on the road. This is a small price to lay with a good team who is even better at home. When the A's are playing well and are at home they can beat anybody. Take Oakland |
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09-30-20 | Heat v. Lakers -5 | 98-116 | Win | 100 | 59 h 34 m | Show | |
Both the Heat and the Lakers are 12-3 in the playoffs and have beaten 3 teams to get to the 1st game of the Finals. Most people expected LA to be here but the Heat may have been the 3rd or 4th choice in the East behind Milwaukee, Toronto and the Celtics wo all had better records than Miami in the East. The Lakers not only had the best record in the West but the 2nd best record in the NBA. Miami doesn't have that 1 player like a Jordan or Bird or a Shaq that takes over a game to lead their team to a win. They have won playing as a team with 3 or 4 players being the hero in any given game but LA has James who many people argue is as good as or better than Jordan. He only has a few years left and he's won Championships with Cleveland and Miami with only 2 players winning championships with 3 different teams. It's the last great achievement that would help seal his legacy and separate him from other Hall of Famers. The first game in any Finals sets the tone for a Championship series and James and the Lakers want this one bad, As good as Miami has played they might be wearing down as they are 2-2 in their last 4 games and have allowed opponents to score more than in previous games barring OT games while LA has scored over 110 points in 7 of their last 8 wins. Both teams know the 1st game sets the tone in the series so I think LA and James with his surrounding players will be too much for Miami after the tough series the had with Boston as they are 6-3 in their last 9 games and LA is 8-1. Take Los Angeles |
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09-29-20 | Astros v. Twins -156 | 4-1 | Loss | -156 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
Houston is not playing good baseball as the playoffs get underway. They have lost 5 of their last 7 games and over their last 12 have lost 7. The most troubling thing is who they lost to as they played Texas in 7 of them and lost 4 and they lost twice to Seattle and once to Arizona. They lost their last 3 games of the season, all to Texas. In those 7 losses they were outscored 35-15 and in their last 6 wins scored more than 4 runs twice and scored 3 runs or less in the remaining 4. Greinke lost his last 3 decisions and Houston lost his last 4 starts and 5 of his last 7 overall. They also lost all 5 of his road starts and he is 0-2 with a 4.28 ERA while they have a 9-23 road record this year. Minnesota won 5 of their last 7 games and lead MLB with a 24-7 home record. Maeda is 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA and in 11 starts never allowed more than 3 runs in any. The Twins won 6 of his last 8 starts and 5-0 in his home starts where he is 3-0 with a 1.91 ERA. They are 37-14 in their last 51 games as the home favorite and 17-5 in their last 22 at home against righties. Houston is 6-18 in their last 24 as a road dog and 2-10 in their last 12 on the road vs righties. Take Minnesota |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs +155 v. Ravens | 34-20 | Win | 155 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
This game is up for grabs. Both teams are the cream in the NFL and both teams can win any game any time anywhere. They have arguably the 2 best QB's in the league. If any team has an edge anywhere. then Baltimore has it on defense. But as good as they are defensively, KC has an offense that can score on anybody. For my money it's a toss up barring injuries or big mistakes that can happen to either team, I'll go with a modest bet on KC with a very nice return should they win the game. To me the points are irrelevant. Both teams could win this game and I'm going where the money takes me. Take KC on the Money Line |
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09-27-20 | Packers +3.5 v. Saints | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
The Packers lead the league in rushing and are 5th in passing. They are also 1st in scoring and yards per game with over 500. They scored over 40 points in each of their first 2 games and 1 was on the road against the Vikings. Rodgers has thrown over 600 yards and 6TD's without a pick and Jones has rushed for over 230 yards . Their offense is rolling right now. NO is 1-1 beating the Bucs in Brady's 1st game and then lost to Vegas as they gave up 34 points and watched the offense stall in the 2nd half scoring just 7 points. Brees has thrown for under 500 yards and just 3 TD's with a pick. He hasn't been the same for a while as his numbers go down as his age goes up. Green bay won 8 of their last 10 games and both losses were to SF on the road. NO is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 as a home favorite. The Pack is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 overall and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 against teams with winning records. Take Green Bay |
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09-27-20 | Lions v. Cardinals -5.5 | 26-23 | Loss | -102 | 56 h 24 m | Show | |
The Lions can't seem to buy a win. The Pack destroyed them in their 1st game and in their last game allowed the Bears to score 21 points in the 4th quarter to blow a 23-6 lead after 3. Noe they travel to Arizona where the Cards have something going. They beat Super Bowl SF on the road and came home and destroyed Washington. They are 7th defensively and 6th offensively as they average over 259 yards in the air and 170 yards on the ground. The Lions are ranked 27th defensively allowing over 300 yards in the air and on the ground. They are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 overall and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs the NFC. Arizona has been improving offensively scoring at least 24 points in 8 of their last 10 games and are 4-01 ATS in their last 5 games. They seem to be a team on the rise but Detroit looks like the same hapless team they've been, Take Arizona |
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09-27-20 | Cowboys +5 v. Seahawks | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 21 m | Show | |
Seattle may be 2-0 but are ranked last in the NFL defensively. They give up almost 500 yards a game with over 480 yards coming in the air. They have shut down the run to 70 yards a game but numbers like that will come back to haunt you. Offensively they are 2nd in scoring but 1 win was against Atlanta who give up the most points in the league and the other was against the Pats who played their 1st game without Brady and company. They allowed a hobbling Newton just under 400 yards in the air but ended up winning both games. This week it's Dallas on the road who average 500 offensive yards with 400 in the air. The Cowboys put up 40 in their win over the Falcons and barely lost to a very tough Ram squad on the road 20-17 and the Rams are 5th in the league in offense. Prescott is ranked 4th in passing with over 750 yards. Dallas averages 130 yards on the ground and if they can establish a running game Seattle will have their hands full. Dallas is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 as the dog and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 as a road dog. Seattle is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 at home and 2-6 in their last 8 as the home favorite. Take Dallas |
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09-27-20 | Bucs -5 v. Broncos | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Brady seems to be settling in at his new home. He has led the Bucs to a 27 point scoring average and has thrown for over 500 yards, but the Buc defense allowed the Saints 34 points last week but did hold Carolina to 17 in their only win. Brady gets Godwin back which gives him another target and with their offense Brady can put up some big numbers as time goes on. On the other side Denver lost QB Locke who was going to be their new QB and lost another receiver while still dealing with Von Miller being out on defense. They are ranked 28th offensively and are allowing over 270 yards in the air. Normally I like Denver as a home team but... as for the Bucs they are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs teams with losing records. They are moving in opposite directions. Take Tampa Bay |
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09-27-20 | Washington Football Team v. Browns -7 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 53 h 60 m | Show | |
In their 1st game Washington had to score 13 4th quarter points to get the win after falling behind 17-7 at the half. In that game Washington only produced 239 yards of offense with just 80 on the ground. Then last week fell behind again but couldn't catch up losing to Arizona 30-15 and once again just 316Â total offensive yards. They allowed Arizona to run and pass giving up over 430 yards with 160 on the ground which opened up the pass for 278 yards. They lost 4 of their last 5 road games and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 as a dog. Cleveland was hammered by the Ravens on the road but came up big with a 35-30 win over Cinci at home last week. They had over 200 yards rushing and passing as the game wasn't as close as it looked. If they can continue to protect Mayfield he is likely to take over this game as long as Cleveland continues to run as they are 2nd in the league and did run for 138 yards against the Ravens tough defense. Washington's front 7 are hurting so the Browns just might open this game up. Take Cleveland |
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09-27-20 | Rams v. Bills -1 | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 53 h 57 m | Show | |
This will be Buffalo's toughest game so far. After beating The Jets and Miami the face the Rams at home. They scored at least 27 points in each game which is a good sign where last season scoring was tough to come by. QB Josh Allen started his 2nd season with 2 wins and is 2nd in the NFL in passing with over 720 yards, It was their defense that had to win those tough games in the past but if this is what to expect, Buffalo will be a force. The Rams had to squeak by Dallas at home and then beat a bumbling Philadelphia team putting them away in the 4th quarter. Their defense can be had as they gave up almost 400 yards on the ground in their 2 games and Buffalo leads the league running the ball. This is a huge game for Buffalo as they prepare to make a run for the playoffs but to do so means beating good teams like the Rams especially at home. Buffalo is on a mission and the Rams are figuring things out. Take Buffalo |
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09-26-20 | Florida State v. Miami-FL -11 | 10-52 | Win | 100 | 85 h 25 m | Show | |
Last week was a huge win for Miami as the beat up Louisville 47-34 following a 31-14 win over UAB in their 1st game. In both game their offense gained almost 500 yards and they had success running and passing in both games. Louisville was a ranked team and the outcome was never in doubt as Miami led for start to finish. The Seminole lost a game they were 16 point favorites to a toothless Georgia Tech team who held the Seminoles to just 309 yards. They have been disappointing offensively for 2 years and has had to rely on their defense to keep them in games. QB Blackmon is in his 4th year and has never played as well as expected and you could almost blame him as the offensive leader as the problem but the coaching has been just as bad constantly changing but never improving. Miami's transfer QB D'Eriq king seems to have solved an on again off again QB problem and the great thing about him is he can run and pass. With a strong defensive line, Miami should be able to shut down the running which means Blackmon better have a good passing game which has been absent most of the time. Take Miami |
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09-26-20 | Brewers v. Cardinals +108 | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
The Cards have won 2 straight and 7 of their last 10. They have been winning both at home and the road and are now in 2nd place and are playing for a playoff spot, Milwaukee has lost 3 straight and are fading fast for a playoff spot. Woodruff is 2-5 with a 3.43 ERA and has lost his last 3 decisions. The Brewers have lost 4 of his last 5 starts and in his last 2 road games allowed 5 runs and 8 hits in 10 innings. In those games he didn't make it past the 5th inning and walked 6 batters while in his last 3 games allowed 3 HR's. Wainwright is 5-2 with a 3,05 ERA he has allowed 3 runs or less in 8 of his 8 starts while his last 2 losses were the result of the Cards scoring just 1 run in each start. He is 2-1 at home with a 3.09 ERA and is 1-0 vs the Brewers this year. Milwaukee is 4-9 in their last 13 games against righties and 4-10 in their last 14 road games. The Cards are 9-1 in their last 10 against righties and 24-11 in their last 35 home games against teams with losing records. Take St Louis |
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09-26-20 | West Virginia +8.5 v. Oklahoma State | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 26 m | Show | |
The Cowboys barely beat Tulsa 16-7 last week and this is a team known for offense not defense. West Virginia in their opening 56-7 win over FCS opponent Eastern KY was more like a tune up for today's big game. QB Doege was pretty sharp passing for 228 yards and 3 TD's. When it was over WV had amassed over 600 yards of offense with 295 in the air. Offensively for the Cowboys they weren't satisfied at the QB position using 3 QB's last week and breaking in 4 new starters on the front line. Running the ball is what both teams do and the one that establishes the run controls the game. Given the 2 weeks extra time to prepare for this game gives WV an advantage especially time to focus on what's needed to be done. The Cowboys need to figure out what happened last game while WV needs to continue their play. WV is 4-1 ATS in their last 4 on the road and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 September games. The Cowboys are 1-3-1 in their last 5 as the favorite. Take West Virginia |
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09-26-20 | Army +13.5 v. Cincinnati | 10-24 | Loss | -116 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Army outscored their first 2 opponents 79-7 and as usual had a strong running game that amasses 779 yards in the wins. Although their defense gave up less than 44 yards, the competition was weak. The Bearcats didn't have any trouble with FCS Austin Peay in a 55-20 win but they did allow 140 yards on the ground which is where they have to play well today. The key to this game is Army running and controlling the clock. The Bearcats can't score when their offense is on the bench. The Pressure is on Cincinnati to shut down the Army running game and that is no easy task. as army has a tendency to wear down defense. I like their chances against a Cinci team that really hasn't been tested. Army is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs teams with winning home records. Overall they are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 September games. Take Army |
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09-26-20 | Kansas State +28 v. Oklahoma | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Kansas St dropped their 1st game and what we saw was an offense that is inexperienced and the Sooners have a brand new offense as well. Oklahoma came away with a win over an FCS opponent with over 600 yards of offense. That offense will be tested this week against Kansas who struggled on offense but held their opponent tp under 350 yards of offense. Kansas QB Thompson is very capable as he threw for 259 yards and 2 TD's. He is also a runner and last season threw for over 2300 yards and ran for another 400. He scored 11 TD's on the ground and was picked off just 5 times all year. If they can get a revamped defense playing well, they could be trouble for anyone. The Sooners are hurting on their defensive line and have a small secondary that can help Thompson's receivers and keep a passing game open for him without a Sooner rush. This game could be a lot closer than the numbers say. Kansas State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 as a road dog while overall they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21. Take Kansas State |
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09-25-20 | Heat +3.5 v. Celtics | 108-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Miami can close out the series today with a win and my thinking hasn't changed much since we had Miami in the last meeting. This is what I said last time. --"Boston has been vulnerable losing 5 of their last 8 games and 2 of their last 3 against Miami. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals and that must be playing on their minds. The Heat know that a win today is probably the biggest win so far. Boston cannot afford to fall behind 3 games to 1 which is a very difficult deficit. But they have played like that all through the playoffs-- playing come from behind. I don't think the Heat will let them do that in today's game. In their last 10 games the Heat have been the dog twice covering both times" The one difference is Miami takes the series if they win today and what could be more important. Have to do it again! Take Miami |
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09-25-20 | Cubs -143 v. White Sox | 10-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
The Sox have lost 5 straight ad the Cubs 3 straight. Between them they have dropped 11of12 with the Sox losing 7 of their last 10. The Sox have lost 5 of 7 on their current road streak and that might be the edge as the Cubs are playing home and are tied for 2nd with 9 home wins. Cease is 5-3 with a 3.52 ERA and has watched his ERA creep higher in his last 7 starts. The Sox lost 4 of his last 6 starts and he hasn't made it past the 5th in his last 5 which includes 2 starts he allowed 3 runs for the first time all season. In his last 3 road games he gave up 8 runs and 9 hits in 13 innings and is 0-1 against the Cubs. He is 3-3 on the road with a 5.77 ERA which is almost 3 runs higher than at home. The Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 games against both righties and as a dog and 2-8 in their last 10 interleague games vs a rightie. The Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 as a road favorite and 1-4 in their last 5 against righties. Darvish is 7-3 with a 2.22 ERA and won 7 of his last 9 decisions including his last game where he allowed just 4 runs for the 1st time all year. He has given the Cubs a solid starter going at least 6 innings in his last 10 starts allowing 1 run or less in 7 of them. Take the Chicago Cubs |
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09-25-20 | Tigers v. Royals -145 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
KC has won 2 straight and maybe had their best run of the season going 10-5 in their last 15 overall with their last 4 losses on the road. At home they are 6-1 in their last 7 and 6-0 in their lst 6 as a favorite. Against righties they have won 6 of their last 11 and including 5-0 in their last 5 at home against them. Keller is 4-3 with a 2.77 ERA and is having a good year as last year he was 7-14. His last 2 losses were on the road while at home he is 3-0 with a remarkable 0.33 ERA. The Tigers are hitting just .177 off him. Detroit has really faded as dropped 4 straight and 8 of their last 10. They are 20-53 in their last 70 games on the road and 35-100 in their last 135 games as the dog. Against righties they are 15-45 in their last 60 and 21-66 in their last 83 games against the AL East and 3-9 in their last 12 in KC Take Kansas City |
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09-25-20 | Phillies v. Rays -153 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Philadelphia broke a 4 game losing streak with a 12-3 win over the Nats. It was a rare road win as 7 of their last 8 losses were on the road and they have a 9-16 road record this season. Over all they have lost 9 of their last 14 games. Velasquez is filling in for in injured Arrieta with 1-1 record and a5.46 ERA. In 2 road starts he gave up 8 runs and 12 hits in only 8.2 innings which makes him 0-1 with an 8.39 ERA on the road. They scored 3 runs or less in 4 of their last 6 games. The Rays have won 6 of their last 8 games, clinched their division and has a 17-9 home record. They won 7 of their last 10 overall and are at home after playing 7 of their last 8 on the road. Morton is 2-2 with a 4.64 ERA since returning from injury. He allowed 3 runs or less in all 4 and 1 HR but the Rays scored 3 runs or less in 3 of the 4. Tampa is tuning up for the playoffs and Philadelphia is hanging by a thread. Take Tampa Bay |
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09-24-20 | A's +187 v. Dodgers | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
09-24-20 | Orioles v. Red Sox -145 | 13-1 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Baltimore has lost 2 straight and 9 of 12 overall which included 2 four game losing streaks. They scored 3 runs or less in 9 of their last 12 as well. They are 8-17 in their last 25 games in Boston and 15-36 in their last 51 overall. Cobb is 1-5 with a 4.76 ERA and has lost his las 4 decisions while Baltimore lost 4 of his last 5 starts. He is 1-2 with a 5.79 ERA. In his last 2 road games he pitched 8 innings allowing 9 runs and 17 hits. Boston won 3 straight and 6 of 9. In their current win streak they have outscored opponents 27-6 including 17 against Baltimore in the first 2 games of this series. Perez is 3-4 with a 3.88 ERA and hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in 3 of his last 4 starts and in 3 of his last 4 road games and in his last 2 home games pitched 12.2 innings and allowed just 1 run and 6 hits. Take Boston |
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09-24-20 | White Sox v. Indians -120 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
The Sox have dropped into 2nd place thanks to a 4 game losing streak. Overall they lost 6 of 8 and 5 were on the road. Keuchel pitches with a 6-2 record and a 2.04 ERA. He doesn't allow many runs but in 5 of his last 6 starts he made it to the 6th inning once but they have won 5 of his last 6 starts. He is 3-1 with a 2.64 ERA at home which is a run higher than the road but Chicago has lost 5 of their last 6 road games and the Indians are 8-4 in their last 12 at home. With Plesac pitching with a 4-2 record and a 1.85 ERA that trend seems likely to continue. He allowed 1 run or less in 4 of his last 5 starts with Cleveland winning those 4 and he is 1-0 with an 0.60 ERA at home in 2 starts. In this situation the momentum favors the home team. Take Cleveland |
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09-24-20 | Mets +100 v. Nationals | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
NY has been playing .500 baseball for the good part of a month and just can't put together ny kind of long term winning. To be fair their last 4 losses were against Atlanta and Tampa Bay wo are both 1st place teams. The Mets are 11-5 in their last 16 meetings and Peterson goes with a 5-2 record and a 3.85 ERA. He had a great outing in his last game as he pitched 6 innings of 1 run ball giving up 3 hits. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 8 of 9 starts and NY has won 5 of his last 7. He is 3-0 at home where hitters are batting .190 off him. The Nats broke a 4 game win streak with a 12-3 loss yesterday but lost 4 games surrounding that streak. They scored 3 runs or less in 5 of their last 8 and all 5 were losses. Corbin is 2-6 with a 4.76 ERA and his last game was his worst yet pitching 6 innings and allowing 7 runs and 14 hits. He has lost 5 straight decisions and Washington has lost his last 7 starts. He is 1-4 at home with a 6.59 ERA. Take New York |
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09-23-20 | A's +151 v. Dodgers | 6-4 | Win | 151 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
LA has won it all including best record and home field for the playoffs so if it was up to me that is what is important. well rested and healthy players entering the playoffs. I feel LA will be giving more time off to regulars and their intensity level should drop. They haven't done as well interleague play as they are 3-7 vs teams with winning records. Urias is 3-0 in 10 starts where in half of them he pitched 5 innings or less. He is 1-0 away with a 4.67 ERA as 6 of his 10 starts were at home. Oakland is one of the elite teams in the AL capable of beating anyone but besides their stellar record are just 8-6 over their last 14 games. This series with LA will be a sign for them to know how they play against the best so they will be playing some tough baseball. They are 4-1 in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record and 40-18 in their last 58 road games against lefties. They bounce back going 39-15 in their last 54 after a loss. Manaea is 4-3 with a 4.50 ERA and Oakland has won 5 of his last 6 starts allowing 3 runs or less in all 6. Take Oakland |
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09-23-20 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 210.5 | 109-112 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
Miami jumped out to a 2-1 lead in the series led by their defense which has held opponents below their scoring average in 75% of their games. They are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games holding opponents 10 104 points or less in 5 of their last 8 games. They have fallen behind i their games with Boston and had to play catch up. They need to take control of the game in the earlier stages as to not wear at the end. Boston has been vulnerable losing 5 of their last 8 games and 2 of their last 3 against Miami. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals and that must be playing on their minds. The Heat knw that a win today is probably the biggest win so far. Boston cannot afford to fall behind 3 games to 1 which is a very difficult deficit. But they have played like tat all through the playoffs-- playing come from behind. I don't think the Heat will let them do that in today's game. In their last 10 games the Heat have been the dog twice covering both times. Take the Under |
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09-23-20 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
Miami jumped out to a 2-1 lead in the series led by their defense which has held opponents below their scoring average in 75% of their games. They are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games holding opponents 10 104 points or less in 5 of their last 8 games. They have fallen behind i their games with Boston and had to play catch up. They need to take control of the game in the earlier stages as to not wear at the end. Boston has been vulnerable losing 5 of their last 8 games and 2 of their last 3 against Miami. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals and that must be playing on their minds. The Heat knw that a win today is probably the biggest win so far. Boston cannot afford to fall behind 3 games to 1 which is a very difficult deficit. But they have played like tat all through the playoffs-- playing come from behind. I don't think the Heat will let them do that in today's game. In their last 10 games the Heat have been the dog twice covering both times. Take Miami |
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09-23-20 | Orioles +157 v. Red Sox | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
The Sox are sitting 2 games behind the orioles in dead last in the AL East. They are 8-13 in their last 21 games and shoe no signs of winning games consistently. As an example they are 3 -5 in their last 8 games. They are 16-35 in their last 51 vs the AL East, 3-8 in their last 11 at home and 1-5 in their last 6 game 2 of a series. Eovaldi is 3-2 with a 4.25 ERA and has pitched well in his last 3 starts all of which were at home. He is 2-2 with a 4.75 ERA there with hitters batting .286 off him. Baltimore has been unlucky having to play the top hitting clubs in 13 of their last 14 games and didn't fare well. Kremer is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA and allowed just 1 run in each of his 3 starts while batters are hitting .145 of him. On paper not too much separates these 2 clubs except the price. Take Baltimore |
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09-23-20 | Brewers v. Reds -148 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
The Reds have won 8 of their last 10 games and had a 6 game winning streak at the time. They are home where they won all those games and play there again. They send their ace Bauer to pitch with a 4-4 record and a 1.80 ERA. In his last 4 starts he allowed 12 runs or less and 3 of those were at home where hitters are batting .186 off him and his ERA is 2.32. The Reds are 8-0 in their last 8 vs righties and 7-2 in their last 9 as the home favorite. Milwaukee has won recently but 3 of their last 4 wins were against KC and 7 of their last 8 wins were at home. If you take out their 3 game winning streak a week ago they were just 4-7. Houser is 1-5 with a 5.33 ERA and has allowed at least 4 runs in his last 6 straight starts where 5 of the 6 he pitched 5 innings or less. In that stretch he gave up 29 runs and 40 hits. They are 3-8 in their last 11 against righties. 3-8 in their last 11 on the road and 2-8 in their last 10 on the road vs righties. Take Cincinnati |
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09-22-20 | Rockies +136 v. Giants | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
09-22-20 | Angels v. Padres -1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
LA is 8-16 on the road and out of the playoffs. They have been playing about .500 ball lately and Canning pitches with a 1-3 record and a 4.23 ERA. He has allowed at least 3 runs in 5 of his last 7 starts making it past the 5th inning in just 1 game. In his last 2 road starts he gave up 6 runs and 13 hits in 10.1 innings. He didn't go into the 5th inning in 5 of his last 8 starts. He is 0-2 with a 4.82 ERA on the road with batters hitting .286 off him. They are 16-37 in their last 53 road games and 33-71 in their last 104 as a road dog. SD clinched their playoff spot and are one of the best home teams going 21-9. Davies goes with a 7-3 record and a 2.69 ERA. He won his last 5 decisions and SD won 6 of his last 8 starts. Opposing hitters are batting just .206 off him for the year. They are 13-2 in their last 15 home games against righties at home and 21-5 in their lst 26 as the home favorite. Take San Diego -1.5 runs |
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09-22-20 | Rays -128 v. Mets | 2-5 | Loss | -128 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
The Rays have won 7 of their last 10 games winning more games on the rod than at home. They won 5 of 6 and 12-3 in their last 15 as a road favorite and 18-5 in their last 23 on the road overall. Snell is 4-1 with a 3.05 ERA and allowed 2 runs or less in 5 of his last 7 starts. In his last 4 on the road he pitched 20.1 innings and gave up just 6 runs and 10 hits. He is 3-0 on the road with a 3.47 ERA. NY lost 3 of their last 4 and 6 of 9 overall. They scored 2 runs or less in their last 3 games and are 19-39 in their last 58 as a dog and 2-5 in their last 7 at home. Take Tampa Bay |
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09-22-20 | Brewers v. Reds -145 | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Brewers have gone 10-9 in their last 19 games and broke a 4 game win streak with a loss yesterday. Prior to those 4 wins, they had previously lost 5 of 7. Meanwhile the Reds have won 8 of their last 9 and Gray who is pitching is 5-3 with a 3.94 ERA and entering September was 5-1 with a 1.94 ERA. But in his last 2 starts he has been hit for 11 runs in just 4 innings and was placed on the injured list. He admitted he was hurting but says that is all in the past. The Brewers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 against righties, 2-8 in their last 10 road games and 1-4 in their last 5 as the road dog. Anderson is 3-3 with a 4.38 ERA but gave up 10 runs in his last 16 innings, batters are hitting .288 off him and he is 1-2 with a 4.11 era On the road. He is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA during the day. He had an ERA of 5.00 against the Reds last season. Take Cincinnati |
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09-22-20 | Phillies v. Nationals +176 | 1-5 | Win | 176 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Philadelphia has lost 2 straight games and 3 of their last 4 on the road. They are 1-4 in their last 5 vs righties, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 on the road against righties and 7-19 in their 1st game of a double header. Nola is 5-3 with a 2.92 ERA. In his last start he was hit hard allowing 5 runs and 5 hits with 5 walks in 5.1 innings and has allowed at least 5 runs in 2 of his last 3 starts. He is 2-2 with a 3.68 ERA on the road and 0-1 during the day with a 5.06 ERA. Washington has won 2 straight games scoring 20 runs in the 2 wins. Voth is 0-5 with a 7.17 ERA and hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in his last 2 starts which broke a string of games he had allowed at least 5 runs in 4 in a row and prior to those he allowed 3 run or less in 3 straight. Three of those bad games were on the road where his ERA is 8.69. They are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games vs a team with a winning record and 8-2 in their last 10 games in the opening game of a double header. Take Washington |
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09-21-20 | Saints -5.5 v. Raiders | 24-34 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
NO started their year with a big 34-23 over the Brady led Bucs 34-23 including 3 sacks and 2 picks. They know they are able to play with the best making the playoffs last year and are looking to go back. Their defense will be helped by a decimated Buc offensive line so look for that pressure on Brady. They are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 road games and 27-13 ATS against teams with winning records. As stated before they are hurting offensively while they almost blew a 34-15 lead against the Panthers in their last game allowing almost 400 yards on offense of which 269 were through the air. If the Saints get on track offensively, points could be flying for them and their defense got out to a 24-7 lead in their victory over the Bucs who scored 31 points on Sunday. Take New Orleans |
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09-21-20 | Phillies -149 v. Nationals | 1-5 | Loss | -149 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Philadelphia has won 3 of their last 4 all at home and prior dropped 5 of 6 all on the road. They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 as a road favorite and overall 12-4 in their last 16 as a favorite. They are also 7-1 in their last 8 in Game 1 of a series. Wheeler has a 4-0 record with a 2.62 ERA and hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of them. In 1 game o far against the Nats he pitched 6.2 scoreless innings allowing 3 hits. They have won 4 of his last 6 starts and he is 1-0 with a 3.32 ERA on the road where he allowed 5 runs over his last 13 innings. The Nats are hitting .147 off him. Sanchez goes for the Nats with a 2-5 and a 7.38 ERA and over his last 4 starts he pitched 17.1 innings but gave up 17 runs and 28 hits while the Nats have lost 3 straight. Philadelphia is looking to get into the playoffs and Washington is looking toward the end of the year. They lost 5 of his 7 starts and pitched past the 5th inning just once. Take Philadelphia |
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09-20-20 | Jaguars v. Titans -7.5 | 30-33 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Tennessee squeaked out a 16-12 win at Denver last week despite outgaining them 445-221 yards. The score was closer than the game as the Titan kicker misses 3 FG's and an extra pt. QB Rivers should improve as time goes on and that would increase their offensive output. Their defense did their job holding Denver to under 100 yards rushing and just 150 yds through the air and that was a road game. The Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games and 7-3-1 in their last 11 against the AFC West and 5-2-1 in their last 8 as the favorite. The Jags were dead last in their division and 2-6 in their last 8 ATS and the same as the last 8 as dogs. They were also in the bottom 10 in scoring last season while the Titans went to the Super Bowl Take Tennessee |
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09-20-20 | Lions +7 v. Packers | 21-42 | Loss | -140 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Detroit lost to the Bears last week giving up 21 points in the 4th quarter. And now with Stafford back those last 9 losses without him last season is history. In their last 5 meetings Detroit is 3-2 and are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Minnesota allowed the Pack over 500 yards of offense and that is not to be expected in today's game. These teams have played close games with 6 of the last 10 had the winner win by 7 points or less. Detroit is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 September games while the Pack is 1-4 in their last 5 against teams with losing records and 1-5 ATS after a straight up win. They even might have a slight letdown considering the importance of last week's game. Take Detroit |
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09-20-20 | Vikings v. Colts -165 | 11-28 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Rivers was 36-46 for 363 yards last week in his debut with the Colts and led them to 445 yards of offense while the Viking defense was invisible allowing Green Bay to pass for 364 yards and 4 TD's. The Vikings have lost 4 of their last 5 games dating back to last season while going 3-7 ATS in their last 10 as the dog. The Colts last 2 wins were both at home and the way the Vikings played last week there needs to be some real discussion about their defense which allowed the Jaguars to score 27 points. Take Indianapolis |
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09-20-20 | 49ers -7 v. Jets | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
SF has won 10 of 13 against the Jets but both teams have the injury bug. SF went to the Super Bowl last year so a lot is expected. More importantly NY will be without LeVion Bell. For NY Darnold passes for just 215 yards going 21-35 while Garroppolo just had an off day. This is the kind of game SF needs to get their game on track as the NY is dealing with some key injured players. SF is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. This is a game most Super Bowl teams will use to sharpen up their skills for the new season. A solid SF team against a depleted Giant team should be one way. Take San Francisco |
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09-20-20 | Panthers v. Bucs -8 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Playing 1 of the best teams in football to kick off the season, the Bucs did better than expected as they came back from 24-7 in the 3rd quarter to get within 24-17 before losing. It was Brady's 1st game with the Bucs and he was 23-36 for almost 250 yards but the most important stat was holding Brees and NO to 189 yards in the air. The Panthers are both 1-4 ATS as a dog and road dog as well as 0-5-1 ATS in their last 5 overall. Bridgewater lead the Panthers last week but this week wit a more familiar Brady on home turf expect the cream to rise Take Tamp Bay |
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09-19-20 | Celtics -140 v. Heat | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
09-19-20 | Nationals v. Marlins -110 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
The Nats are 2-4 in their last 6 games and haven't scored more than 4 runs in 5 of the 6 games. They are in dead last in the AL East. Miami is 6-3 in their last 9 games and are fighting for a playoff spot for the first time since 2003. Corbin is 2-5 with a 4.10 ERA for the Nats and isn't very good on the road where he is 1-3 with a 5.48 ERA. Lopez for Miami is 4-4 with a 4.02 ERA but at home is 2-1 with a 2.39 ERA. Washington has lost Corbin's last 6 starts while Lopez has allowed 2 runs or less in 7 of his 9 starts and in his last pitched 7 innings of 1 run ball allowing just 3 hits. Take Miami |
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09-19-20 | Syracuse +21.5 v. Pittsburgh | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 52 h 4 m | Show | |
Syracuse played 1 of the best teams in the ACC and by the end of the 3rd quarter were down just 10-6 but NC scored 21 4th quarter points to win 31-6. The Orange QB DeVito doesn't make a lot of mistakes and hasn't been picked off in over 200 straight passes but has had trouble finding his targets because of a porous offensive line. They need to step up their running game to open that up for him. Pittsburgh opened with a 55-3 win over FCS Austin Peay but that's not real competition. They have a decent running game and QB Pickett was 14for 20 and threw for 277 yards. Syracuse forced 3 TO's against NC and with this being a big rivalry game expect them to give Pittsburgh more trouble than they think. It's a big spread and Syracuse could hang around like last week for awhile. Take Syracuse |
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09-19-20 | Navy v. Tulane -6.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -113 | 52 h 43 m | Show | |
Navy has been in the top 5 in NCAFF consistently since 2016. Their biggest concern was ex QB Perry who was their lading rusher in their triple option last year, He rushed for over 2,000 yards and threw for another 1000. In their 1st game QB Morris was held to just 2 of 4 passing for 16 yards and ran just 7 times for 2 yards. Their total offense for the day was 119 yards as they were crushed by BYU 55-3. Their defense allowed over 300 yards in the air as BYU got close to 600 yards of offense. Tulane's defense is 1 of the best in the AAC and held last week's opponent to 83 rushing yards and had 5 sacks to boot. Their offense came back strong scoring 14 points in the 4th to salvage a 27-24 win over a pretty tough So. Alabama team. Tulane's balanced offense produced almost 200 yards in the air and over 200 on the ground. With their rushing defense they should be able to stop Navy rushing pretty good an their offense will do the rest. Take Tulane |
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