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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-17-19 | Kings v. Hornets +4.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Charlotte Hornets. The Kings have been playing better, winning for of their last five. They beat the Warriors in Golden State last time out, but I think they'll have a difficult time maintaining that momentum vs. this hungry home side. The Hornets do allow 111.1 PPG, but the Kings are only averaging 104.8 per contest. Charlotte's three-game win streak came to an end last time out vs. the Pacers. The Kings allow 106.9 PPG and the Hornets average 104.5. Key Trends: - Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last seven after allowing 90 points or less. - The Kings are only 6-7 ATS this year vs. clubs with losing records. - Charlotte is already 4-1 ATS this year after playing three straight road games. The verdict: With two whole nights off before back-to-back games at Indiana and Memphis to end this trip, I believe the visiting side gets caught "looking ahead" as well. Grab the points! |
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12-16-19 | Spurs +10.5 v. Rockets | Top | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the Spurs. The Spurs have struggled with defensive consistency this season. SA comes in off an OT win over the Suns and I think it takes a run at the Rockets here on the road as well. Houston comes in off a 115-107 loss to Detroit. Key Trends: - San Antonio is interestingly 7-4 ATS in its last 11 road games following an OT ATS victory. - Houston is only 10-12 ATS in its last 22 off a home loss (including only 1-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think San Antonio's depth and resolve keeps it in this game late; grab the points! |
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12-15-19 | 76ers -4.5 v. Nets | Top | 89-109 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Philadelphia 76ers. I almost never "flip flop" on a team, where I play on them one night, and then against them the next. There are some cases though where I throw that factor out the window and in this case, I believe it's absolutely warranted. The Nets came up short in Toronto last night and I believe they'll have their hands full with a 76ers team that beat the Celtics at home, handing them their first loss there and then continued to push with a convincing home victory over the Pelicans. Tobias Harris is averaging 24.4 PPG in December, while Joel Embiid had 38 points in the victory at Boston. Key Trends: - Brooklyn is a terrible 5-12 ATS in its last 17 when playing the second game of a back to back. - Philly is 8-4 ATS vs. clubs with winning records this season. - The 76ers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten off a home victory. The verdict: The 76ers got the monkey off their back in a big way in dispelling the myth that they can't win on the road and I believe this early December momentum (4-1 ATS so far this month) continues; lay the points! |
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12-14-19 | Nets +7.5 v. Raptors | Top | 102-110 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Brooklyn Nets. Brooklyn's won eight of its last 11 games, seemingly playing a lot better without Kyrie Irving in the line-up. However after winning three in a row, the Nets come to Canada off a loss at home to Charlotte. A date vs. the suddenly floundering Raptors is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked as well, as the defending champs have lost four of their last five. Spencer Dinwiddie led the Nets with 24 points, game-high six assists, and five rebounds in a losing cause vs. the Hornets last time out. The Raptors have only allowed 105.5 PPG, but the Nets are averaging 112.4 PPG this season. Key Trends: - Brooklyn is 7-1 ATS in its last eight after a SU loss. - Toronto is a terrible 0-5 ATS this season when playing with two days rest. The verdict: Teams are throing everything they have at the defending champs, who continue to slide back into mediocrity. Outright upset? Possible, but in the end I'll recommend to grab the points! |
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12-13-19 | Lakers v. Heat +5.5 | Top | 113-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Miami Heat. The Lakers have won three straight vs. Miami, including a victory at home by 15 points as 8 point favorites earlier this season. Miami has also lost two in a row at home to LA. Enough is enough and revenge is definitely a dish best served cold. Clearly it wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for The King and AD to win this contest, as the Lakers rank among the best on both ends of the court. But Miami is 11-0 SU on its home floor, including 9-2 ATS. A visit from LBJ will have everyone on high alert here. I think the Heat's depth and their home floor advantage will at the very least, keep them in this one until the final moments. Key Trends: - LA is still just 14-20 ATS in its last 34 as a road favorite. - Miami is 25-15 ATS in its last 40 after allowing 115 points or more in its previous contest (including 2-0 ATS this season.) The verdict: This is going to be a battle until the final horn; grab the points! |
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12-12-19 | 76ers +1.5 v. Celtics | Top | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* U of the U is on the Philadelphia 76ers. The Celtics are 10-0 at home, but I think that run of success finally gets derailed here by division leading Philadelphia. The Celtics played (and lost) in Indiana just last night and while they also suffered a loss in Philly earlier in the year, I think that Kemba Walker and the home side come in "gassed." The C's are also likely to be without Gordon Hayward in the line-up after he was injured last night. Philadelphia on the other hand has admittedly been much better at home than on the road this year, but what better opportunity than right now to turn that around? Off a 97-92 win at home over the Nuggets, I think Philadelphia is going to find a way here. Key Trends: - Philly is 21-10 ATS in its last 31 as a road dog of six points or less (including 3-2 ATS this year.) - The C's are only already just 3-5 ATS this year after covering in threee of their last four ATS. The verdict: An injured Hayward. A tired Kemba Walker. A 76ers tam that's desperate to shake its label of unable to perform on the road. If not now, when for Philly? Grab the points! |
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12-11-19 | Pelicans +13.5 v. Bucks | Top | 112-127 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG play is on the New Orleans Pelicans. New Orleans has talent and potential, but so far that hasn't translated into too much for the team. Milwaukee continues to roll along, but I think the home side will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. Yes the Bucks are 11-1 SU at home this season, but note that they're just 12-12 ATS overall this year. Milwaukee comes in off a 110-101 win over Orlando. The Pelicans came into the season injured, with rookie phenom Zion Williamson shelved because of a knee injury. The impact of his loss is still felt, as role players are being asked to do something they weren't originally expected to. New Orleans enters on a nine-game losing streak and it's led by Brandon Ingram, with 24.9 PPG. The Pelicans are coming off a heart-breaking 105-103 loss at home to the Pistons. Key Trends: - New Orleans is 27-15 ATS in its last 32 following a SU home loss. - Milwaukee is only 11-12 ATS as a favorite. - The Bucks are just 12-15 ATS in their last 27 after two or more consecutive home wins (including only 1-3 ATS this season.) The verdict: On paper and on the floor the Bucks are the better team. But a nine game losing streak is a big motivating factor and playing the team's best will only bring out the best in this underdog side in my opinion. No outright, but closer than expected; grab all these points! |
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12-10-19 | Nuggets +4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 92-97 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Denver Nuggets. Denver won this game at home 100-97. I think the Nuggets matchup well vs. the 76ers overall and I expect another contest which comes right down to the wire. The revenge factor gets thrown out the window here in my opinion, as Denver simply won't be taking anything for granted after a two-game skid. Philly's a bit satisfied as well at 17-7 and on a two-game win streak. But not only does it set up as a "letdown" spot in my opinion, but how could it also not be viewed as a "look-ahead" spot as well, with a game vs. the Celtics in Boston up next, the team with a .5 game lead in the Atlantic Division. A "letdown/look-ahead" = trap in my books. Key Trends: - Denver is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 after two or more SU losses. - Philadelphia is already only 1-3 ATS this year after scoring 110 points or more in two straight games. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, grab the points! |
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12-09-19 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 212.5 | Top | 104-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Thunder/Jazz. Oklahoma City comes in off a 108-96 win at Portland just last night, so I think it'll predictably struggle to put up much of a fight in this difficult road venue and in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Would anyone blame the Thunder for having a letdown here either after winning four of five? The Jazz have taken a step back on the defensive side of the ball of late, but they're still conceding only 106 PPG on average. Utah got back on track after a three-game slide with a win over the Grizzlies last time. With three whole days off to prepare for this one, I like the Jazz to come out and lock down on the defensive side. Key Trends: - The Thunder have seen the total go under the number in six of their last seven as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - The Jazz have seen the total go under in all three games vs. division opponents already this year. The verdict: The numbers and the overall situation all point to the "under" as the savvy call here in my opinion! |
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12-07-19 | Suns v. Rockets UNDER 241.5 | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Suns/Rockets. These teams play little defense and each gets out and pushes the pace. That said, I still believe this number is too high. The Suns come in off a high-scoring OT win over the Pelicans in New Orleans, but they're still only 2-3 in their last five. After the marathon last time out, I think Phoenix takes a predictable step back here. The Rockets' James Harden is averaging 38.7 PPG this year. Russell Westbrook is coming off a triple double in a victory at Toronto. After the big win over the defending champs on the road, this does also potentially set up as a bit of a trap. Key Trends: - Phoenix has seeen the total go under in four of five thi syear when the total is greater than or equal to 230. - Houston has seen the total go under in nine of its last 12 in the same position. The verdict: Addmitedly, these two teams are trash on defense. But I think the situation that each finds itself in coming into this one will help in contributing it to finally being a bit more of a defensive battle; play the under! |
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12-06-19 | Lakers v. Blazers +3.5 | Top | 136-113 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Blazers. LA lost at home to the Mavericks, but it comes in off back-to-back road victories. I think The King and company come up short here though vs. a suddenly red hot Blazers team which has won four of five, behind some great play from Carmelo Anthony. Key Trends: - The Lakers are a poor 12-20 ATS in their last 32 as a road favorite (including 3-5 ATS this season.) - Portland is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 as a home dog. The verdict: I like Portland's depth at home to be the difference. Outright? Very possible, but in the end let's grab the points! |
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12-05-19 | 76ers v. Wizards +7 | Top | 113-119 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* ANNIHILATOR is on the Washington Wizards. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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12-04-19 | Kings +3 v. Blazers | Top | 116-127 | Loss | -104 | 30 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on the Sacramento Kings. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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12-03-19 | Magic v. Wizards -1 | Top | 127-120 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Washington Wizards. The Magic are 8-11 this year and the Wizards are 6-12. I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a deciding factor in this particular contest though. Orlando comes in off a rare/tough win at home over the rudder-less Warriors. Washington ended its road trip with a blowout loss to the Clippers. The Wizards though have been much better at home this season, led by guard Bradley Beal, who is averaging 28.0 points and 7.3 assists per game. Orlando has been better at home as well. Big man Nikola Vucevic is still slowly working his way back from a severe sprained ankle as well. Key Trends: - Orlando is just 16-21 ATS in its last 36 as a road dog of six points or less (including only 1-4 ATS this year.) - The Wizards are 4-2 ATS in their last six at home. - Washington is a perfect 2-0 ATS vs. the division this season. The verdict: The high-scoring and defensively inept home side catches a break here facing this "on again, off again" Magic offense; lay the short points! |
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12-02-19 | Suns v. Hornets UNDER 225.5 | Top | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Suns/Hornets. From both situational and trend based stand points, I think this sets up great for a lower-scoring defensive battle. The Suns are dire need of a victory here as they've lost three straight. The Hornets had won two in a row before falling 137-96 to the Bucks on Monday. Charlotte shot just 36% vs. Milwaukee. Key Trends: - Phoenix has seen the total go under in four of its last five on the road. - Charlotte has seen the total dip under in five of its last six as a home dog. The verdict: Two teams hungry for a victory battle tooth and nail and this one stays WELL under the number once the final horn sounds! |
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11-30-19 | Hornets v. Bucks UNDER 228.5 | Top | 96-137 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is the UNDER Hornets/Bucks. Charlotte only averages 105.7 PPG this year as it looks to find an identity after guard Kemba Walker left. Note that the Hornets have failed to score over 102 points in three of their last five. Devonte' Graham has been a bright spot by averaging 13.3 PPG. The Bucks average a league-leading 119.4 PPG, but note that forward Khris Middleton is expected to sit this one. Key Trends: - Charlotte has seen the total dip under in four of five off an upset win as an underdog. - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in interestingly its last five games after back-to-back no ATS cover where it won SU as the favorite. The verdict: Considering all of the above information, I do indeed feel this number is a tad high; play the under! |
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11-29-19 | Mavs v. Suns +2 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Phoenix Suns. The Suns come in off a 140-132 loss to the Wizards and they're just 1-5 in their last six. Clearly the home side is going to be ultra motivated here to break the slide. Keep your eyes on Devin Booker, who leads the way for Phoenix with 24.9 PPG. Dallas looks better on paper, but after winning five straight, the Mavs' lack of depth was exposed as well recently in a humbling 114-99 setback to the Clippers. I believe another letdown is imminent here vs. this desperate home side. Key Trends: - The Mavs are interestingly already 0-3 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest. - Phoenix is 4-1 ATS this season following a SU home loss. The verdict: While the outright win is obviously not out of the question, let's grab the points! |
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11-27-19 | Wolves v. Spurs -2 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the Spurs. The Wolves beat the Hawks last time out, while the Spurs fell to the Lakers. Minnesota broke the two-game slide with the 125-113 victory over ATL, but it was behind 65-64 at half time. The Spurs though are desperate for a win, as they've now lost nine of ten. Long story short here, I'm not going to over-react. The Spurs are loaded with vetrean talent and I expect this core to rally at home here today. The Wolves have not been playing great ball of late and I think they'll predictably stumble here. Key Trends: - Minnesota is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten vs. clubs which score more than 106 plus points per contest. - San Antonio is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. The verdict: Enough is enough! Look for Popovich and company to get the job done with a decisive effort; lay the short points! |
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11-27-19 | Pistons v. Hornets OVER 216.5 | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -107 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the OVER Pistons/Hornets. The Pistons beat the Magic last time out, allowing a season-low 88 points. Orlando was in a bad spot there though with a recent injury to star player Nikola Vucevic. Charlotte won't be resting on its laurels here though as it looks to break a five-game slide. Note that the Pistons play with revenge here as well afer a 109-106 loss to Charlotte at home at the start of the year. Key Trends: - Detroit has seen the total go over in four of five this year in revenging a loss vs. an opponent. - Charlotte has seen the total go over nine of its last 14 as a home underdog. The verdict: I think the overall situation finally points to more of a "shootout" between these two clubs which normally struggle to put points on the board; play the over! |
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11-26-19 | Clippers -2 v. Mavs | Top | 114-99 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the LA Clippers. Both teams have won five in a row. Dallas has been riding the hot play Luka Doncic, while the Clippers have been getting the job done by committee. I believe Dallas is going to suffer a letdown here from the vastly "deeper" visiting side. Overall the Clippers average 114.2 PPG, while Dallas allows 109.9, while the Mavericks average 119.1, with the LA conceding 107.3. Key Trends: - LA is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 as a road favorite. - Dallas is only 4-5 ATS at home this season. The verdict: Doncic is unreal, but I think his supporting cast is in for a rude awakening here vs. LA's bench and tough defensive play; lay the short points and expect a decisive victory! |
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11-25-19 | 76ers +1 v. Raptors | Top | 96-101 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Philadelphia 76ers. So far Toronto has surprised me at how well its played this year without Kawhi Leonard. Philadelphia though would have had this game circled on the calendar for a long time though and I think the visitors depth and skill will prove to be just too much for Toronto to overcome here. Both teams sport similar win/loss records and offensive and defensive numbers. But after losing two of three in the regular season last year and also getting ousted in seven games in the Eastern Conference Finals, I look for the revenge minded 76ers to finally get off the schneid in this series. Key Trends: - Philly is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with winning records. - Toronto is a poor 31-37 ATS in its last 68 after scoring 110 points or more in three straight games. The verdict: "Revenge" is a dish best served cold; play on Philadelphia! |
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11-23-19 | Heat +4 v. 76ers | Top | 86-113 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on Miami. Miami jumped out to an early lead in Chicago last night and then never looked back. In fact, the Heat took the foot off the gas in the second half after amassing such a huge lead, eventually pulling away for the 116-108 vicotry. The 76ers had a bit more of a back and forth battle with the Spurs, but they eventually won and covered with a 115-104 victory. The Heat are now 11-3, but they've had a light schedule so far. But with a chance to finally test itself, I believe the Heat push the pace and take this one down to the wire. Key Trends: - Miami is 52-37 ATS in its last 89 as an underdog. - The Heat are 22-15 ATS in their last 37 off a road victory. - The 76ers are a terrible 10-18 ATS in their last 28 when playing the second game of a back-to-back. The verdict: All signs point to this one being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, so in case I like that, let's grab the points! |
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11-22-19 | Rockets +5 v. Clippers | Top | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* play on the Houston Rockets. The Rockets beat the Clippers at home already this year. Houston comes in focussed after a loss in Denver. Russell Westbrook had 25 points in the setback. The Clippers are back to full strength now with Paul George back in the line-up, but I don't think they'll have an easy time of it here vs. James Harden and this taletned Rockets team. Key Trends: - Houston is 8-2 ATS in its last ten vs. good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per contest. - LA is just 4-5 ATS this year vs. teams which average over 106 points per contest. The verdict: In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these two teams has its hands on the ball last, I'll recommend grabbing as many points as you can! |
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11-22-19 | Spurs v. 76ers UNDER 224.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* play on the Spurs/76ers UNDER. What do you base your Over/Under picks on? Is it different for every sport? I use a number of different handicapping methodolgies when making my selections, but I think the overall "situation" that each of these teams finds itself in coming into this contest is going to lead to more of a defensive affair. The Spurs have lost seven straight and they'll be doing everything they can to try and get off the schneid. Clearly getting into a "shootout" with the home side is NOT what Greg Popovich and company will want though. San Antonio is thin after LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan, so instead the visitors will have to control the pace of this one throughout. And for the 76ers, they have the Heat coming to town tomorrow, followed by a game vs. the Raptors. This is a "trap game" for the home side and I do think it'll get caught looking ahead here. Key Trends: - SA has seen the total dip under in 21 of its last 34 after scoring 110 points or more in two straight games. - Philly has seen the total dip under in 14 of its last 22 off a win vs. a division rival. The verdict: This one has the feel of a "chess match," rather than a wide open "shootout." Play the under! |
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11-21-19 | Pelicans v. Suns OVER 233 | Top | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 16 h 0 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the OVER Pelicans/Suns. New Orleans is finally starting to find its footing after having to start the campaign with Zion Williamson. New Orleans comes in off an upset win at home over Portland and I like it to keep the foot on the gas here as it looks to take advantage of a suddenly struggling Suns side which has dropped three of five. Brandon Ingram has been playing strong offensively for the Pelicans, as he averages a team-best 25.4 PPG. Note though that NO's still allows an atrocious 118.9 PPG on average. The Suns' once rosey start to the 2018/19 campaign is gone. Phoenix will be leaning heavily on guard Devin Booker to help them break the slide here; so far Booker leads the nightly charge with 25.4 PPG. Key Trends: - NO's has seen the total go over in three of its last four as a road underdog. - Phoenix has seen the total soar over in six of its last seven home games. The verdict: This one has wide open "shootout" written all over it; play the over! |
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11-20-19 | Warriors v. Mavs -13.5 | Top | 94-142 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the Dallas Mavericks. The Warriors come in off a rare straight up win, beating Memphis 114-95 last night. Dallas will look to take advantage here and build off its two game win streak. I wish I had the Warriors last night, but I did not see that one coming at all. But Golden State is now definitely tired as it comes to town in the second game of the back to back scenario. The Mavericks on the other hand have bounced back nicely from a scuffling stretch and I think they'll lay the hammer down from start to finish here. Key Trends: - The Warriors are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs. teams which average over 106 plus points per contest. - The Mavericks are interestingly 5-1 ATS in their last six after playing a game at home. The verdict: Expect Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis to lead the charge and for the home side to hold on to a big lead until the finish; lay the points! |
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11-19-19 | Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 222 | Top | 114-95 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Warriors/Grizzlies. The Warriors have lost seven straight, most recently a 108-100 loss to the Pelicans on Sunday. The Grizz have been better than expected this year, but they come in off a terrible 131-114 home loss to Denver. There's nothing positive to say about Golden State, as all of its star players are injured. The Warriors are terrible on both ends of the court, but especially on the offensive side. Memphis has also struggled defensively this year, but the hungry Grizz clearly catch a break here facing this terrible Warriors' offense. Key Trends: - Memphis has seen the total go under in 18 of its last 24 as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: With each side doubling down defensively, expect this total to stay well below the posted number; play the under! |
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11-18-19 | Blazers +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 108-132 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Blazers. Portland's lost three of its last five, but it comes in off a convincing full four quarter effort vs. the Spurs and I look for that momentum to get carried over here. Note that the Rockets will not have star Russell Westbrook in the line-up tonight. Overall the Blazers average 112.8 PPG. The Rockets continue to get unreal play from James Harden, but Houston gets rather thin after that. Key Trends: - Portland is already 3-0 ATS this year as a road underdog. - The Blazers are 62-47 ATS in their last 109 after one or more SU victories. - The Rockets are already 0-2 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team finds a way to get the job done here; grab the points! |
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11-17-19 | Nuggets -6.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 131-114 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGERS is on the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets come in off a win over the Nets at home and I think they'll get the better of the home side in this one. Memphis has won three straight, but it doesn't match up well at all here vs. Denver. Nuggets' center Nikola Jokic is averaging 17.1 points, 9.1 boards and 5.8 assists per game this season. Ja Morant has been great for Memphis during this win streak, but I believe the rookie will have his hands full with Denver's Jamal Murray. Key Trends: - The Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five vs. teams with a losing straight up record. - Memphis is still only 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: I think Memphis comes back down to Earth here after its big upset win; lay the points! |
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11-16-19 | Hawks +13 v. Clippers | Top | 101-150 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the Atlanta Hawks. Paul George is out for this one for the Clippers, so the Kawhi Leonard/George first game together is going to have to wait a little longer. The Clippers are only 7-5 and the Hawks are just 4-7. The Hawks are short-handed, but they still have Trae Young and I look for desperate Atlanta to try and take advantage of a Clippers team which also enters without key pieces. Key Trends: - Atlanta is 50-30 ATS in its last 80 after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. - LA is just 7-13 ATS in its last 20 off an upset loss as a favorite. The verdict: I expect a hard-fought game which gets decided in the closing moments. As such, grab as many points as you can! |
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11-15-19 | Spurs v. Magic UNDER 212.5 | Top | 109-111 | Loss | -106 | 27 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the under Spurs/Magic. The Magic did much better than everyone expected last year and Orlando had high hopes coming into this season. But the Magic haven't looked good to open the 2019/20 campaign. That said, Orlando enters off its best performance of the year in pulling away for a 112-97 win over the 76ers. Nikola Vucevic posted a double-double of 25 points and 12 rebounds. The Spurs come in off back-to-back terrible efforts, allowing 135 points in a loss to Boston, before then falling 129-114 to the Wolves. DeMar DeRozan led San Antonio with 27 points, five rebounds, and a couple of blocks. Key Quote: Spurs' coach Gregg Popovich clearly frustrated by his team's lack of defensive effort of late and said this after his team's last loss: "They executed, they were unselfish, and they made 3s. They had a lot of guys that played well, and they were aggressive. From our end, I think we were very challenged defensively, another poor outing." The verdict: I think both teams double down on the defensive end and I look for this competitive match to fall well below the posted number once it's all said and done; play the under! |
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11-14-19 | Bulls +12 v. Bucks | Top | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* TOP DOG is on the Chicago Bulls. I like the hungry Bulls to put up a fight and to take this one down to the final moments. The Bulls are actually playing their best ball of the year so far, having won two of their last three, including a 113-93 road victory over the Hawks in their most recent. I think this is a "trap" for the Bucks, who return home for their first game after a four-game trip, most recently barely holding on for the 121-119 victory over the lowly Grizzlies. Key Trends: - Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after a home win by ten points or more (just hammered the Knicks.) - Milwaukee is interestingly only 6-11 ATS in its last 17 after three consecutive non-conference contests. The verdict: Chicago is dealing with a couple injury issues, but the Bucks get caught looking past their lowly opponent. Grab the points and expect a competitive affair! |
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11-13-19 | Spurs +1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 114-129 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* TOP DOG is on the Spurs. The Wolves barely held on for a 120-114 win over the Pistons on Monday and I think they're going to have their hands full here vs. this Spurs team which has dropped two in a row. In fact note that San Antonio has lost four of its last five. San Antonio has looked shaky of late, but I think the visitors match up well today vs. Minnesota and I like DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge to bounce back tonight. Anthony Wiggins and Karl Anthony Townes have been bright spots for the Wolves, but Minnesota gets pretty thin after them. Key Trends: - The Spurs are 21-12 ATS in their last 33 after two or more consecutive SU losses. - The Wolves are only 3-7 ATS in their last ten off an upset win as a road underdog. The verdict: I expect San Antonio to finally "show up" tonight in this very winnable game; grab the points! |
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11-12-19 | Cavs v. 76ers -11 | Top | 97-98 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Philadelphia 76ers. The Cavs broke a three-game losing slide by responding with back-to-back victories. Cleveland's wins though have been over the Wizards and Knicks. The 76ers struggled on their Western road swing, doing half of it without big man Joel Embiid in the line-up. Philly then returned home to bea the Hornets. Now fifth in the East, the 76ers won't be taking anything for granted here. Key Trends: - The Cavs average 107.1 PPG and the Sixers allow 106.2. - The 76ers average 111.00 PPG and Cleveland concedes 108.0. The verdict: Cleveland is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after two or more consecutive upset victories as an underdog and I'm not reading too much into its minor win streak here. After their sub-par road trip, look for the 76ers to keep the foot on the gas at home vs. this "lesser" competition; lay the points! |
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11-10-19 | Raptors v. Lakers UNDER 215 | Top | 113-104 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ROAST is on the UNDER Raptors/Lakers. The Lakers face a stretch of "easy" competition after the Raptors tonight. Toronto comes to town with star Kyle Lowry injured as well. After this LA faces the Suns in Phoenix, followed by home games vs. Golden State, Sacramento and Atlanta. The Lakers aren't even at full health, but clearly the biggest difference from last year's team to this seasons is the tough defensive play. LA's defense is being vastly under-rated here vs. this under-manned Raptors side in my opinion. Toronto's road ahead is MUCH more difficult. After this they're vs. the Clippers in the same arena, followed by contests in Portland and Dallas. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total dip under the number in four of its last five as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - LA has seen the total go under in 13 of its last 16 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: Toronto is also without the services of big man Serge Ibaka due to injury. I have a hard time seeing the visitors adjusting and I believe they're going to get shutdown; play the under! |
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11-09-19 | Mavs v. Grizzlies UNDER 218.5 | Top | 138-122 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL TOMAHAWK is on the UNDER Mavs/Grizz. Dallas lost outright at home to the Knicks last night and I think the offense will struggle to score here as well. If you can't score againt the Knicks, then who can you score on? The Mavs get really thin after Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis and playing the second game of a back-to-back just doesn't bode well for the Mavericks already struggling offense. The Grizzlies don't have many offensive weapons either behind Ja Morant (Jaren Jackson Jr. averages 11 PPG.) If Memphis is going to pull off the slight upset here, it's going to because they clamped down and grinded it out. Key Trends: - Dallas has seen the total go under in 57 of its last 90 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. - Memphis has seen the total dip under in 21 of its last 31 vs. division opponents. The verdcit: I expect a lot of half court sets from the home side while its on offense and when taking into account the rest of the above information, I'm absolutely expecting a hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring defensive affair. Play the under! |
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11-09-19 | Rockets v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 117-94 | Loss | -103 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Chicago Bulls. Chicago is coming off its best performance of the year in beating the Hawks on the road in Atlanta. After a lacklustre start to the season, Chicago's young and extremely talented pieces are finally starting to figure things out. Houston has two dynamic talents itself in Russell Westbrook and James Harden, but the Rockets have already struggled with consistency on the road this year (a 155-154 OT loss in Washington.) Key Trends: - Houston is a poor 7-13 ATS in its last 20 after a cover as a double-digit favorite. - Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last ten after a win by ten points or more. The verdict: The Bulls will view this as a real test and they'll be eager to build off their last performance. Their efforts tonight may not result in a SU victory, but I do think the stage is set for a battle until the end; grab the points! |
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11-08-19 | Cavs +5 v. Wizards | Top | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. A couple of hungry 2-5 teams battle it out on Friday night and in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever side has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to recommend to grab the points. Cleveland is desperate for sure after losing three in a row. The Wizards on the other hand look poised for a letdown after they broke a three-game skid with a win over the Pacers last time out. The Cavs got smoked at home by Dalls, but they looked much better even in defeat to the Celtics, eventually succumbing 119-113. I think they carry that momentum over here vs. this "on again, off again" Wizards side. Key Trends: - Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last eight off two or more consecutive home losses. - Washington is a terrible 16-21 ATS in its last 35 as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: I think these teams are evenly matched, but I believe the Cavaliers are "hungrier." Grab the points! |
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11-07-19 | Celtics v. Hornets +6.5 | Top | 108-87 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Charlotte Hornets. Boston has won five straight and I think it'll have a predictable letdown here as it takes to the road to face the lowly Hornets. Charlotte however has quietly been playing much better of late, coming in having won three straight, most recently an OT victory over the Pacers. Key Trends: - The Celtics average 110.3 PPG, and they allow 104.7. - The Hornets average 107.9 PPG, and they allow 113.6. The verdict: Note though that Charlotte is 7-2 ATS in its last nine following an ATS victory and 7-1 ATS in its last eight vs. the Eastern Conference, while Boston is only 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine after scoring 100 points or more in its previous contest. This is Kemba Walker's first game played in Charlotte since he abandoned the team and I expect him to struggle in this hostile environment; grab the points! |
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11-05-19 | Lakers v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Chicago Bulls. I think the hungry home side takes the Lakers down to the wire in this one. LA comes in off a win vs. the Spurs. Chicago enters off a loss to the Pacers. Anthony Davis and LeBron James have been great in the early going for LA, but after the fantastic duo, the Lakers are kind of thin due to continued injuries. Chicago has six players averaging in double figure and its disappointing start to the year gives the home side an added sense of urgency. Key Trends: - The Lakers are still just 1-4 ATS in their last five as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - The Bulls are 15-10 ATS in their last 25 as a home dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: Expect Chicago to come in focussed and to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points! |
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11-04-19 | 76ers v. Suns +1.5 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Phoenix Suns. I like the under-rated home side to push the pace and to take care of business vs. Philadelphia, which narrowly escaped in its first road game of the year in Portland. The Suns are already 5-0 ATS this year. Joel Embiid is once againg out for Philly though as he serves the final game of his suspension for fighting. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is the seventh worst in the NBA in defending the three point shot, allowing 37.6 percent. - The Suns score 19.5 percent of their points off turnovers, tied for the third most in the NBA. - Phoenix allows the second least 3-pointers in the league (9.1 PG). The verdict: With games at Utah and Denver upcoming, I think this Eastern Conference power house that's already down its main offensive weapon, comes in and "looks past" this vastly improved Suns side; grab the point/s! |
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11-04-19 | Bucks v. Wolves UNDER 230.5 | Top | 134-106 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Bucks/Wolves. I believe the Wolves struggle with their offense here without Karl Anthony Townes in the line-up, who is serving a three-game suspension for fighting. The Bucks are 4-2, while the Wolves are 4-1. When making my O/U picks (in all sports), for the most part I look at the overall "situation" that each team finds itself in coming into the contest. The Wolves won their first game without Townes, but the last thing they can do here is turn this one into a "shootout" and expect to hang with the Bucks. Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in five of its last six vs. clubs with winning records. - Minnesota has seen the total dip under in interestingly 23 of its last 30 contests played in the month of November. Does this stat matter? Probably not...but it doesn't hurt! The verdict: I expect the home side to try and slow the pace of this one down and as such, I'm on the "under!" |
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11-03-19 | Mavs v. Cavs +5 | Top | 131-111 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. I think the Mavericks come to Cleveland still "hung over" after their 119-110 OT loss at home to the Lakers. Luke Doncic had a huge night, but I think he'll be gassed and disinterested in this one vs. the perceived "lowly" Cavaliers. Note that Dallas onyl has three players averaging in double-digit points, so road trips and OT contests have an effect on team's like this. The Cavs enter off a 102-95 road loss to Indiana, a contest in which they held the lead for most of. Kevin Love was exceptional in a losing cause with 22 points and 17 boards. Jordan Clarkson was also impressive with 20 points off the bench. Key Trends: - Dallas is only 5-7 ATS in its last 12 as a road favorite of six points or less. - The Mavericks are only 19-23 ATS in their last 42 following a SU home loss. - Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a road loss vs. a division rival. The verdict: The Cavaliers have experienced big men which can challenge Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis and I think the deeper bench of Cleveland is the difference in the end; grab the points! |
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11-02-19 | Wolves v. Wizards | Top | 131-109 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* BEST OF THE BEST is on the Wizards. Many handicappers are purely "situational" handicappers. Others use power numbers or other systems and don't deviate from their process or method. And I think that's great. I've always thought though that being "flexible" with your approach is the best way to handicap sports. Clearly Minnesota is the "better" team, but after losing star player Karl-Anthony Towns to suspension for fighting in its previous outing, I think the hungry home side is the correct call here. Minnesota also can't help but get caught "looking ahead" to its home game vs. the Bucks on Monday. Washington comes in off a 159-158 loss to the Rockets and it won't be lacking for motivation or confidence after that close setback. Key Trends: - Minnesota is just 14-21 ATS in its last 35 as a road dog of six points or less. - Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last six after two straight losses by six points or less. The verdict: I love Washington to battle tooth and nail here and take advantage of this temporarily "rudderless" Wolves team! |
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11-01-19 | Spurs v. Warriors UNDER 225 | Top | 127-110 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Spurs/Warriors. The Spurs struggled to score points in their 103-97 setback at the Clippers just last night. The Warriors are now without star Steph Curry after he broke his hands in their last game. The Spurs will try to take advantage, but the home side is going to have to go through some adjustments here as it looks to find an identity. This one has the feel of more of a "chess match," with a lot of "half court sets" being run on the offensive end. Key Trends: - San Antonio has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 21 as a road favorite of six points or less. - Golden State has seen the total dip below the posted number in 14 of its last 21 as an underdog. The verdict: San Antonio is tired and Golden State is "shell shocked." For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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11-01-19 | Cavs +8 v. Pacers | Top | 95-102 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Without Victor Oladipo, the Indiana Pacers are only an average team. Cleveland is at 100% health and it has veteran players performing at a high level right now. Most recently the Cavs beat the Bulls 117-11 at home, with six players scoring in double figures. Indiana comes in off its first win of the year, a 118-108 road victory over the Nets. Note though that the Indiana bench scored just 11 points in that victory. Key Trends: - Indiana is a poor 1-5 ATS in its last six following a SU victory. - The Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last five at home. - The Cavs are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU victory. The verdict: Tristan Thompson and Kevin Love are both playing well for the Cavs and while I would not in fact be shocked by an outright upset here, in the end I'm going to grab all these points! |
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10-31-19 | Heat v. Hawks OVER 216.5 | Top | 106-97 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Heat/Hawks. Despite the Hawks not having star Trae Young in the line-up, I think we'll see a faster paced, higher-scoring shootout in this particular matchup. The Hawks lost to Miami on Tuesday 112-97 and they'll be out for some immediate revenge. The Heat though will be looking to take advantage and to build on their 3-1 start to the season. Overall Miami is averaging 118 PPG, while conceding 110. Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total go over in seven of its last ten after scoring 105 points or more in four straight game. - Atlanta has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 61 of its last 100 following a SU loss. The verdict: I like Atlanta to push the pace from start to finish as it looks to avenge the loss to the Heat on Tuesday; play the over! |
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10-30-19 | Knicks +9 v. Magic | Top | 83-95 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the New York Knicks. The Knicks are 1-3 and the Magic are 1-2. New York comes in off its first win of the year and I think the hungry visiting side will carry some of that momentum over here vs. a Magic team that's struggling with consistency in the early going. New York got the better of Chicago 105-98, while the Magic fell 104-95 in Toronto on Monday. RJ Barrett has been a stand out for the Knicks early an dhe had 19 points and 15 boards in the victory over the Bulls. Orlando opened the year with a win over the Cavaliers, but since then it's struggled and it's the only team in the league which hasn't scored 100 points in a game thus far. Key Trends: - New York is already 2-0 ATS this year vs. clubs with losing records. - Orlando is 30-39 ATS in its last 69 vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: I think New York is finally figuring things out and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one being extremely competitive throughout; grab the points! |
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10-30-19 | Wolves v. 76ers UNDER 225 | Top | 95-117 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the UNDER Wolves/76ers. Minnesota is 3-0. Philadelphia is 3-0. Two teams enter with a perfect record, but only one will leave with that mark in tact. Whoever comes out on top, I think the competitive nature of this one will help in driving this total well under the posted number once it's all said and done. Key Trends: - The Wolves have seen the total go under in 11 of their last 17 as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - The 76ers have seen the total dip uner in 20 of their last 32 home games as a favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: Both teams are in the middle of the pack in scoring, but in the bottom half in three-point percentage. Expect this "war" to fall under at the end of the night! |
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10-29-19 | Mavs +6 v. Nuggets | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Dallas Mavericks. Denver comes in off a 101-94 win at Sacramento just last night, while Dallas had a night off after suffering its first loss of the year in a 121-119 home setback to the Blazers. Dallas will look to push the pace here vs. this tired Nuggets side; note that the Mavericks average 116.7 PPG. Denver averages 108. Key Trends: - The Nuggets are interestingly only 9-21 ATS in their last 30 vs. the Southwest division. - Dallas is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six on the road. The verdict: Dallas is a vastly improved team with two dynamic European players which are difficult to stop. While the situation could even give the visitors an outright win here, in the end I'm going to grab the generous amount of points; play on the Mavericks! |
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10-28-19 | Nuggets v. Kings OVER 218 | Top | 101-94 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* play on the OVER Nuggets/Kings. I think the 0-3 Kings push the pace from start to finish in this one. The Kings average 96 PPG and they concede 120. The Nuggets average 108 PPG and they allow 104. Key Trends: - Denver has seen total go over in 20 of its last 30 after a win by six points or more. - Sacramento has seen the total go over in nine of its last 13 after scoring 90 points or less in its previous contest. The verdict: I expect a faster paced, higher-scoring shootout in this one! |
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10-27-19 | Heat +6 v. Wolves | Top | 109-116 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONF BEST OF THE BEST is on the Miami Heat. Miami went to OT with the Bucks in Milwaukee last night and it left with a 131-126 victory. If this was even one month from now, I'd definitely be going against Miami here as the second game of a back-to-back vs. a red hot Wolves team which returns home after a 2-0 road trip to play its first in Minnesota is clearly not an easy task. But we're still in the first week of the season and these are the top athletes in the World. I'll argue that the victory yesterday will in fact help Miami in this one and while the outright victory may not happen, I'm definitely expecting a war until the final bucket. Conversely, I think the Wolves have a letdown here in their first game in front of the home town crowd. Key Trends: - Miami is 14-10 ATS in its last 24 when playing on back-to-back days. - Minnesota is only 3-5 ATS in its last eight after a blowout victory of 20 points or more. The verdict: I like Miami's depth to carry the team to another solid cover at the very least in this one; grab the points! |
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10-26-19 | Raptors v. Bulls UNDER 223 | Top | 108-84 | Win | 100 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Raptors/Bulls. The Bulls came from behind to knock off the Grizzlies 110-102 last night. Toronto had the lead for most of the game in Boston, but it then fell flat in a 112-106 setback. While still only the start of the season, I think each team comes in "gassed" after their respective decisions last night and because of that, I'm absolutely expecting much more of a defensive battle than what this large O/U line would suggest. This one sets up great for the under from a situational stand point. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go under the number in nine of its last 11 off a loss to a division rival. - Chicago has seen the total dip below the posted number in 14 of its last 22 home games when the total in the contest is greater than or equal to 220. The verdict: The situation and the numbers/trends both point to the under as the correct call in this one! |
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10-25-19 | Raptors v. Celtics -2.5 | Top | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Boston Celtics. Toronto played from behind on Opening Night vs. the Pelicans, managed to take it to overtime and then managed to cover the large 8 point spread. The Raptors got the job done on their own floor vs. a horrible team, but I think they're going to predictably struggle here on the road vs. a good team, which is out for its first win of the season after falling 107-93 in Philadelphia on Opening night. Yes Kemba Walker struggled for Boston in that one, but a small adjustment period is fully expected. With a night off to absorb the loss, I look for the home side to risk life and limb here vs. its divisional opponent. Key Trends: - Boston is 5-0 ATS at home the last five in this series. - Toronto is only 2-11 ATS in its last 13 after scoring 125 points or more in its previous game. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, I'm banking on Boston bouncing back and laying a beating on the defending champs; lay the short points! |
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10-24-19 | Hawks +1.5 v. Pistons | Top | 117-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Atlanta Hawks. Detroit upset Indiana 119-110 last night, but I think it'll have a hard time keeping pace with the Hawks this evening, who come in focussed and fresh for the new season. Detroit is without the services of star player Blake Griffin for the first few weeks and after Andre Drummond's career performance in last night's victory, I think this one definitely has "letdown" written all over it. I like Trae Young and hungry Hawks to push the pace from start to finish. Key Trends: - ATL is 43-30 ATS In its last 73 as a road dog. - Detroit is 0-2 ATS in its last two off an upswet win over a division rival as an underdog. The verdict: I expect the Hawks to roll to a sizeable victory; play on Atlanta! |
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10-23-19 | Celtics +5 v. 76ers | Top | 93-107 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Boston Celtics. Last season the Celtics finished 49-33 and finished fourth in the conference. With new point guard Kemba Walker in place to "steady the ship" off the court, I think Boston can improve on that record this year. Boston's Marcus Smart is expecting an all out war: "It's gonna be a dog fight," Smart said. "You can't come in looking pretty, you can't come in scared to get hit. You gotta be ready to get in there, get your nose bloodied a little bit." Boston has plenty of talent and clearly has the ability to win this one outright. Philadelphia went seven games with the Raptors last year in the playoffs, only to be outdone by Kawhi Leonard's last second shot. I think these teams are very evenly matched and while the 76ers obviously have the home court advantage, I do definitely expect a war until the end. Key Trends: - Boston won this series 3-1 last year. Every game in that series was close as well, except the first one. The verdict: Look for these two Eastern Conference contenders to battle tooth and nail until the final horn; grab the points! |
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10-22-19 | Pelicans +7 v. Raptors | Top | 122-130 | Loss | -107 | 54 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the New Orleans Pelicans. Yes New Orleans is without Zion Williamson, but guess what? The Raptors are without possibly the best player in the entire World in Kawhi Leonard to open the season. You'd better believe that Jrue Holiday and company are going to be out to prove that they can still win without their star rookie on the floor. Toronto has plenty to prove as well this year after the departure of Leonard, but I believe Toronto will have difficulites with chemistry to start. New Orleans' combination of Holiday and Lonzo Ball give New Orleans the best defensive combo in the NBA on paper. That doesn't bode well for Kyle Lowry in my opinion. Key Trends: - Toronto was just 3-5 ATS last year in games without Leonard and in which the opposing team was able to limit Lowry to under 40 percent shooting. The verdict: Outright victory? Anything is possible on Opening Night, but in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab up all these points! |
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06-13-19 | Raptors v. Warriors -3.5 | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -105 | 62 h 24 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Golden State Warriors. I had a three game report in Game 5 as well and I played the exact same three plays. The Warriors for the FIRST HALF, Golden State for the game and the “over.” What more can be said about these two teams which hasn’t literally been said a million times by every talking head out there? These team’s strengths and weaknesses are well know to even the most casual basketball fan and if you’re wagering on this contest, you don’t need me to break down individual player match ups or to tell you how many rebounds Draymond Green had in Game 5. I like Golden State in Game 5 whether KD played or not, and I do here as well. I simply can’t see Toronto taking all three games from the Stephen Curry in his own building. The improved play of DeMarcus Cousins in Game 5 is big heading into Game 6. I like the Warriors for the FIRST HALF, Golden State for the game and the OVER in Game 6. Key Trends: - The Raptors are inexplicably just 9-13 ATS this season when playing with two days rest. - Golden State is a perfect 3-0 ATS the L2 years when facing elimination in a series. The verdict: Toronto’s opportunity to put this series away is going to have to wait until Game 7. Lay the points! |
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06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors OVER 211.5 | Top | 106-105 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over. This is the third pick of my 3-game NBA Game 5 report. I’m also taking the Warriors for the FIRST HALF and for the entire game as well. And if you read my analysis on those selections, you know what I’m expecting the desperate visiting champs to push the pace from the “get go.” Clearly the Warriors can’t just sit back and hope that things work out, they’re going to have to dictate the pace of this one and with the home side matching pace, from a situational angle, this one definitely sets up as more of a “shootout” than “chess match” in my opinion. Key Trends: - Golden State has seen the total go over in four of its last five in trying to revenge two straight losses vs. an opponent of the points or more. - Toronto has seen the total go over in nine of 11 this year after two or more straight road victories. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the over! |
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06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -103 | 39 h 43 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. Stephen Curry couldn’t get the job done by himself in Game 3, as sharp-shooter Klay Thompson was sidelined with injury. While KD still won’t be in the line-up tonight, Thompson is back. I think this is going to prove to be a major difference for the Warriors as I look for Golden State to push the pace from start to finish. The Raptors are deep in unchartered territory now and having already earned the split, I believe a letdown is imminent. Key Trends: - The Raptors are still just 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight playoff games as an underdog in the four to 10.5 points range. - Golden State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 following a SU loss. - The Warriors are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with an above-.600 road record. The verdict: Toronto seemed to be in control of this series after Game 1, but Game 2 was all Golden State. With their backs once again against the wall, I look for the Warriors to bounce back. Lay the points! |
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06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 215.5 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 46 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play is on the over in Game 4. I took the over in Game 1, the under in Game 2 and then the over in Game 3. With their backs against the wall and with Klay Thompson returning though (after missing Game 3), I believe the Warriors push the pace as they look to avoid the dreaded 1-3 hole. Golden State can ill afford to rest on its laurels, instead it’s going to have to play frantic and with purpose. Everything points to a a bunch of points being put on the board tonight! Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total soar over the number in eight of its last 13 playoff road games following an ATS road victory. - Golden State has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 14 following a home ATS/SU playoff loss. The verdict: The Warriors were just fine without KD in the line-up vs. the Blazers, but without Thompson in the line-up, they just couldn’t keep pace with Toronto in Game 3. Thompson’s back and I expect the “Splash Brothers” to try and set the tone early. This number is low, play the over! |
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06-05-19 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 213 | Top | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 61 h 45 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over. I had a play on the over in Game 1 and the under in Game 2. Both have been close, but in Game 3 I’m expecting more of a wide-open shootout. Golden State looked great defensively in the second half of Game 2 and it was the primary reason it was able to tie this series up. Toronto had success in Game 1 because it pushed the pace and dictated the tempo. The visitors can’t let Golden State do what it wants and expect to win obviously, so I’m expecting them to push the pace from start to finish. Golden State as well seems to shoot better at home and I expect head coach Steve Kerr to give Stephen Curry the “green light.” From a situational point of view I think this one definitely sets up great as a higher-scoring shootout. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go over in seven of its last 11 road playoff games following an ATS/SU home loss. - Golden State has seen the total fly above the posted number in 12 of its last 20 after a five points or more road playoff victory. The verdict: Toronto’s role players were a “no show” in Game 2 after the big Game 1 performance, but a return to form is imminent with that veteran core. I think this one sets up as a “shootout” in Game 3, play the over! |
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06-02-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 215 | Top | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Warriors/Raptors. I had a play on the “over” in Game 1, but in Game 2 I expect much more of a defensive affair. The Raptors got a huge effort from Paskal Sikiam, which turned out to be the difference in Toronto’s victory. A repeat performance is likely out of the question though. Draymond Green was torched in Game 1 defensively for the Warriors, but I think he and the Golden State bench/role players make the necessary adjustments to be much more competitive in Game 2. The Raptors continued their strong defensive play in Game 1 and I don’t think there’s any reason not to believe that trend won’t carry over in Game 2 as well. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go under in seven of its last nine home games after a two games or more unbeaten streak. - The Warriors have seen the total go under in eight of their last 12 road games after losing by five or more points in a playoff contest. The verdict: I think the Warriors double down defensively today. This number is high, play the under! |
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05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors OVER 214.5 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 106 h 4 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Warriors/Raptors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Rest. Sometimes it leads to rust. Other times though it has the opposite effect. And that’s exactly what I expect here. The Warriors won’t be playing with Kevin Durant, but they still come in off the 4-0 sweep of the Blazers and are very well rested. Toronto has also had a couple extra days off after taking care of the Bucks in six. I’m expecting a very fast pace from start to finish. Key Trends: - Golden State has seen the total go over in three of four already this year when playing with three or more days rest. - Toronto has seen the total sail over in eight of its last 12 when playing with three days rest. The verdict: Golden State lost both regular season games to the Raptors. This is going to be an interesting Final and in Game 1, all signs point to a shootout. Play the over! |
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05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 212.5 | Top | 94-100 | Loss | -101 | 35 h 23 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. I think that the fact the Bucks are facing elimination will push the visitors to push the pace from the opening tip until the final horn. The Raptors have been exceptional defensively over the last three games, but if Milwaukee has any hopes of pushing this series to a decisive Game 7, it’ll have to take Toronto out of its “comfort zone.” I think Game 6 finally sets up as a “shootout.” Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last nine road games following a two games or more SU losing streak. - The Raptors have seen the total go over the number in ten of their last 16 home games following a two games or more SU/ATS win streak. The verdict: With the visitors setting the early tone, I definitely am expecting a faster paced, higher-scoring affair in Game 6. Play the over! |
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05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 217 | Top | 105-99 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 43 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Raptors/Bucks. The Raptors will try to break the “home court advantage” trend in Game 5. So far it’s meant everything in this series. Toronto star Kawhi Leonard was able to rest for a big part of the fourth quarter and I think he’s going to be a difference maker here again. Milwaukee is suddenly on the ropes as it’s high-powered offense has hit the wall. Clearly the Bucks are going to be looking to reverse their fortunes and with the prolific home side pushing the pace from start to finish, I definitely feel that Game 5 sets up as a “shootout.” Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go over in three of four already when tied in a playoff series. - Milwaukee has seen the total go over in 17 of its last 27 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: As stated off the top, I think the home side pushes the pace of this one from start to finish. All signs point to the over as the correct call in Game 5! |
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05-21-19 | Bucks v. Raptors +2.5 | Top | 102-120 | Win | 100 | 35 h 15 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. Despite the Bucks taking three of four in the regular season series, I think that home floor is going to matter in this series. So far over the first three games that pattern has held true and in my opinion, I think the Raptors can now build off their dramatic double overtime Game 3 victory. Key Trends: - The Raptors are 6-3 ATS in their last nine home playoff games following an OT SU/ATS victory. - Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS in its last seven after allowing 115 points or more in a SU/ATS loss in its previous outing. The verdict: Toronto has made major adjustments defensively and with Kawhi Leonard playing at such a high level, I have a hard time seeing the visitors matching pace in Game 4. While the outright is clearly possible, I’m grabbing the points! |
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05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers +4 | Top | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 32 h 14 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Blazers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. I believe I’m one of the best around when it comes to using “motivation” when trying to uncover value handicapping. These teams split four regular season meetings and it appeared that the Blazers would have a legitimate shot at pulling for an upset against the Kevin Durant-less Warriors, but down 3-0, that would now appear to be nothing more than a “pipe dream.” I don’t think that Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum have enough left in the tank to pull off a series upset, but I definitely think that Portland has enough pride left to take a single game. Key Trends: - Golden State is already only 4-6 ATS this year when leading in a playoff series. - Portland is 5-1 ATS as home underdog this year. - The Blazers are already 3-1 ATS this season when trailing in a playoff series. The verdict: While the outright victory is clearly not out of the question, in the end I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can! |
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05-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers -2.5 | Top | 110-99 | Loss | -102 | 36 h 9 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play is on the Portland Trail Blazers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. These teams split four regular season games, but so far it’s been all Golden State to open the WCF. And the Warriors are doing it without star Kevin Durant as well. But I think home court will prove to be the difference maker for the Blazers in Game 3. Game 1 was a blowout, but Portland had every chance to take Game 2. Now on its home floor, I look for it to redeem itself finally. Key Trends: - Golden State is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 following a SU win. - The Blazers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home game vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. - Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last five following a SU win. The verdict; With their backs against the wall, I look for the Blazers to finally step up and answer the bell. Lay the short points! |
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05-16-19 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 218 | Top | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 35 h 4 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Blazers/Warriors. While Game 1 went under the number in Golden State’s 116-94 win, I expect a much more wide-open offensive affair in Game 2. Portland was definitely sluggish after its Game 7 series win in Denver only 48 hours previous. But with that difficult game out of the way, I expect to see a much livelier Blazers team tonight. Golden State will be going for the jugular and it’s offense has in fact looked better since Kevin Durant went out with injury in the series win over the Rockets. No question this one sets up great for a higher-scoring “shootout” in Game 2. Key Trends: - Portland has seen the total go over in 17 of 29 already this year in trying to revenge a loss where its opponent scored 100 or more points. - Golden State has seen the total go over in 23 of its last 34 when leading in a playoff series. The verdict: Damian Lillard has struggled over his last three games, and I don’t expect that trend to continue at all for the Blazers’ All Star. Look for Portland to come out and push the pace. This number is low, play the over! |
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05-15-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 56 h 8 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The regular season results between the clubs. Kawhi Leonard’s Game 7 winner over the 76ers was awesome, but I think the visitors, who went just 1-3 vs. the Bucks in the regular season, will come out flat here in Game 1. The Bucks are well rested after their demolition of the Celtics and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here. Key Trends: - Toronto is just 8-10 ATS this year when playing on two days rest. - The Raptors are only 10-11 ATS in revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. - Milwaukee is 27-18 ATS at home this season. - The Bucks are 8-1 ATS in the playoffs thus far. The verdict: At some point Milwaukee is going to slide ATS, but not here in my opinion. Look for the Bucks to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points! |
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05-14-19 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 219 | Top | 94-116 | Win | 100 | 33 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Blazers/Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - No Kevin Durant. I think the All Star’s absence catches up to the Warriors here. Portland is deceivingly good on the defensive end I believe and the last thing the visitors will want to do is to turn this one into a “track meet.” From a situational stand point, I think Game 1 of the WCF’s definitely sets up as more of a lower-scoring defensive battle. Key Trends: - Portland has seen the total go under in five of its last seven as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Golden State has seen the total go under in 18 of 28 this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: While filled with offensive talent, I believe the circumstances and trends clearly point to the under as the correct call in Game 1! |
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05-12-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -6 | Top | 90-92 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 50 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is just 5-12 ATS in its last 17 following a SU win of more than ten points. - Toronto is 6-0 in its last six following a SU loss of ten or more points. - The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS loss. The verdict: Note that the home team has taken four of the six games in this series (it’s also interesting to note that the home team is 105-28 in Game 7 situations in the history of the league.) It’s difficult to win Game 7 on the road and the 76ers achilles heel all year has been their performance away from friendly confines. The numbers/trends and the overall situation both point to the Raptors as the correct call tonight. Lay the points! |
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05-10-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 211.5 | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 35 h 35 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Warriors/Rockets. Will home floor prove to be the difference again for the Rockets? So far the home side has won every game on its home floor and while Game 5 went “under” the number, I look for Game 6 to be a much more wide-open affair. Key Trends: - Golden State has seen the total go over in six of seven already this year when leading in a playoff series. - The Rockets have seen the total go over in all three games that it’s played in so far in the playoffs when trailing in a series. The verdict: Despite Kevin Durant sitting, I’m expecting the defending champs to pour it on here. It’s do or die for the Rockets, who will also clearly have the foot on the gas from start to finish. With each team pushing the pace, I expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! |
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05-09-19 | Nuggets +4 v. Blazers | Top | 108-119 | Loss | -107 | 33 h 28 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Denver has looked like the better team over the last two games and I believe that trend continues in the Pacific Northwest tonight. Outright victory? Not out of the question obviously, but in a contest which I see coming down to whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I’ll recommend grabbing the points. Key Trends: - Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after a blowing win by 20 or more points. - Portland is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more (including just 1-3 ATS this year.) The verdict: Denver is too deep and it’s bench is now playing better than Portland’s. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked if an outright occurs! |
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05-08-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 99-104 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. Sometimes it means nothing and sometimes it means everything. Golden State destroyed the Rockets at home in Game’s 1 and 2, before Houston returned the favor on its home floor in Game’s 3 and 4. I believe this strong trend continues here. Key Trends: - Houston is just 19-25 ATS on the road this year. - Golden State is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 when playing with double revenge vs. an opponent. The verdict: Expect Steph Curry and Klay Thompson to finally come out firing tonight and lay the points with confidence! |
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05-07-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 35 h 13 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Trends: - Portland is just 11-14 ATS as a six points or less road dog this year. - The Blazers are a poor 1-3 ATS this season off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. - The Nuggets 13-6 ATS in their last 19 as a home favorite of six points or less. - Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last six off an upset win as a road dog. The verdict: As this series winds on, I think that home floor will prove to be significant. The Nuggets dominated this series in the regular season and while they’ve had issues at points, they have the home floor advantage with three games remaining after hanging tough for the Game 4 victory. Look for that momentum to roll and lay the points with confidence! |
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05-06-19 | Warriors +2 v. Rockets | Top | 108-112 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Uneven numbers. For the Warriors sharp-shooters. Despite Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson missing at least two-thirds of their three-point attempts in each of the last four games, Golden State almost took a 3-0 lead in this series. I expect these numbers to start getting corrected quick fast in a hurry. Look for Curry and Thompson to be pivotal in tonight’s game. Key Trends: - Golden State is 37-25 ATS in its last 62 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - Houston is just 3-9 ATS this year after allowing 120 or more points in its previous contest. - The Rockets are a dismal 9-17 ATS this season after scoring 120 points or more. The verdict: Look for the defending champs to start hitting some shots in this series. Grab the points! |
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05-05-19 | Nuggets +3 v. Blazers | Top | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 32 h 60 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. After losing in four OT’s in Game 3, I think the desperate Nuggets once again leave everything on the floor and find a way to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Clearly these two teams are very evenly matched, but I think the “revenge” angle works here. Key Trends: - Denver is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 in trying to revenge a close loss of three points or less to an opponent. - Portland is just 2-5 ATS this season off a home win vs. a division rival. - The Blazers are only 1-4 ATS this year after a close win by three points or less. The verdict: I think the home side stumbles after its big Game 3 win. While the outright win is clearly not out of the question, let’s grab the points! |
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05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets -4 | Top | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 82 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Houston Rockets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. Clearly for the Rockets that is. Houston can ill afford to go down 3-0 to the defending champs in this series. The Rockets need to change the tone of this one right away and I expect to come in the form of a high-intensity “push” from start to finish in Game 3. The Warriors won’t be going down without a fight, but their inconsistencies on the road can’t be ignored either. Key Trends: - Golden State is just 21-23 ATS on the road this season. - Houston is 22-15 ATS as a home favorite this season. - The Rockets are a near-perfect 8-1 ATS this year when playing with double revenge. The verdict: I like James Harden and Houston to lay it all on the line tonight and to comfortably pull away down the stretch. Lay the points! |
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05-03-19 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Blazers | Top | 137-140 | Win | 100 | 37 h 48 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Bad matchup for the Blazers. It has been of late despite the Game 2 victory. The Blazers have been better at home than on the road, but they’ve had their difficulties with the Nuggets as Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last seven played in Portland and 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine between the clubs overall. This series has the feeling of being a very “back and forth” one. Key Trends: - Denver is 18-10 ATS in its last 28 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - Portland is just 3-7 ATS this year off a win vs. a division rival. - The Blazers are 0-4 ATS this season off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. The verdict: In a contest which I see coming down to whichever one of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to grab the points! |
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05-03-19 | Bucks +2 v. Celtics | Top | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 58 h 7 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Boston rolled to victory in Game 1, but Milwaukee was prepared in Game 2 and I think it’ll carry that momentum over on the road tonight (note that Milwaukee was 26-15 ATS on the road this season.) Key Trends: - Milwaukee is already 10-6 ATS this year when playing with two days rest. - The Bucks are 23-10 ATS in their last 33 after scoring 120 points or more. - Boston is a poor 14-18 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: Milwaukee got caught off guard by Boston’s defensive intensity in Game 1, but minor adjustments in Game 2 allowed the Bucks to hit 20 three points in their absolute destruction of the Celtics. I expect the visitors to employ an identical game plan in Game 3. Grab the points! |
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05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers OVER 214 | Top | 95-116 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 27 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the over Raptors/76ers. Both teams have looked impressive in their victories and poor in their defeats. With the shift in venue, I think we’re going to see a “shootout” here. The Raptors have bodied up well against the high-flying 76ers so far, but the numbers/trends point to much more of an offensive affair in Game 3. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go over the number in 12 of 17 this year in revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent. - Philadelphia has interestingly seen the total fly over the number in 15 of 21 this year after a win by six points or less. The verdict: This has been an interesting series so far and I predict another intestine game here. With each team expected to push the pace, look for this one to fly over sooner, rather than later. Play the over! |
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05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 97-90 | Loss | -109 | 34 h 17 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. This was my “key angle” in Game 1 as well, as I’d go on to state that: It’s mattered in this series. Denver has won six of the last seven in this series overall, but note as well that the home side has won eight of the last ten in the series also. Key Trends: - Portland is just 11-18 ATS as a road dog this year. - Denver is 13-5 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less. - The Nuggets are 22-16 ATS this year after two or more SU victories. The verdict: I think this is a bad matchup for the Blazers and I like the home side to take advantage again here. Lay the points and expect a blowout! |
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04-30-19 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 219 | Top | 109-115 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 13 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Rockets/Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Recent history. The Rockets looked good defensively in Game 1 despite the loss. The Warriors looked good defensively as well in the victory. I expect an identically hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring affair in Game 2 as well. Will the shift in venue to Houston lead to a higher-scoring shootout? Perhaps. But for this one, everything points to another “under.” Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go under in 11 of 16 this year as a road dog. - The Rockets have seen the total go under in 18 of 29 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent this season. - Golden State has seen the total go under in nine of its last 12 after a win by six points or less. The verdict: All signs point to a “ground hog day” from Game 1 on the total. Play the under! |
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04-29-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 35 h 2 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. It’s mattered in this series. Denver has won six of the last seven in this series overall, but note as well that the home side has won eight of the last ten in the series also. Key Trends: - The Blazers are a poor 11-17 ATS this year as a road dog. - Portland is just 2-4 ATS this season off a home win vs. a division rival. - Denver is 12-5 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: I think Denver’s depth proves to be the difference in Game 1 at home. Lay the points! |
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04-28-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -6 | Top | 100-104 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Finally something to prove. For the Warriors that is. It would be easy to write an argument for the Rockets, as they come in off a relatively easy series victory, while Golden State struggled at times vs. the Clippers. The Warriors also came out on top of the Eastern Conference Finals vs. the Rockets last year after being down 3-2. Golden State won the West, but it struggled with issues all year. Golden State also lost big man DeMarcus Cousins in the win over LA. But the core of the Warriors remains and I still think that it’ll be more than enough to take care of James Harden and company again. At least in Game 1. Chris Paul has been a shell of his former self all season and I think he’ll struggle slowing down Steph Curry and crew. Key Trends: - Houston is just 5-7 ATS this year as a road dog of six points or less. - The Rockets are only 1-3 ATS this season when playing with three or more days rest. - The Warriors 17-10 ATS in their last 27 after scoring 110 points or more in four straight games. The verdict: I think Golden State plays with a chip on its shoulder here. Lay the points! |
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04-28-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 224.5 | Top | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 121 h 53 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Celtics/Bucks. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Rest leads to rust. Both teams looked impressive in their first round series victory. The Celtics averaged 99.3 PPG and they allowed just 91.8. The Bucks averaged 121.8 PPG and they conceded only 98. I think each doubles down on the defensive end after a few extra days off between series. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go under in all three of its games this year as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Milwaukee has seen the total dip under in 23 of its last 36 off a road win by ten points or more. The verdict: Everything points to a defensive battle in my professional opinion. Play the under! |
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04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 209.5 | Top | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 34 h 41 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Spurs/Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Fatigue. The Spurs laid it all on the line in Game 6, which went “over” the number. I had a play on San Antonio in that one. This has been a difficult and back and forth series and I believe each team is “gassed.” Expect these two defensive minded clubs to play to a classic defensive affair in Game 7. Key Trends: - San Antonio has seen the total go under in eight of 12 this year after a blowout win by 15 or more points. - Denver has seen the total dip under in nine of 12 this year after allowing 120 points or more in its previous contest. The verdict: This number is a little high in my opinion. Play the under! |
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04-26-19 | Warriors v. Clippers +10 | Top | 129-110 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 28 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the LA Clippers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die for the Clippers. Down 3-1, LA has now pushed this to a Game 6 at home and if you’re a Warriors fan, you should probably be worried. Clearly the Warriors are still going to win this series, but Golden State looks ripe for the picking down the road. LA doesn’t have a letdown this time around and once again pushes the defending champs to the brink! Key Trends: - Golden State is just 20-23 ATS on the road this year. - The Warriors are only 8-13 ATS vs. division opponents. - The Clippers are now 4-1 ATS in their last five when trailing in a playoff series. The verdict: I’d love to see another upset, but am not calling for that. Grab as many points as you can though in a contest which I see coming right down to the wire! |
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04-25-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs -2.5 | Top | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 34 h 17 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Spurs. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. I think it’s going to matter here. The Nuggets have been anything but dominant in this series, but after back-to-back victories, I think Denver will come up short here. San Antonio finished 32-9 at home this year. Coach Gregg Popovich has coached in 281 playoff games, while the Nuggets head coach Mike Malone coached his very first postseason game in Game 1. Denver is the youngest team in the NBA playoffs and it hasn’t even been in the postseason since 2013. I think the visitors struggle to close out this series on the road. Key Trends: - Denver is a poor 21-22 ATS this year after playing a home game. - San Antonio is 7-2 ATS this year when playing with “double revenge” vs. an opponent this season. The verdict: Do or die, now or never. Use whatever phrase you want, but I expect the Spurs to step up and deliver the goods. Lay the short points! |
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04-24-19 | Clippers +14 v. Warriors | Top | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 59 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the LA Clippers. Key Trends: - LA is 24-18 ATS on the road this year. - The Clippers are 17-10 ATS this season revenging a loss vs. an opponent. - LA is 19-11 ATS this year after allowing 110 points or more in three straight games. - GS is just 17-25 ATS at home. - The Warriors are a poor 13-14 ATS this season off a road victory. The verdict: The Clippers covered at home in Game 4 and I think they’ll take Game 5 down to the wire as well. Golden State comes in complacent here in my opinion and while I’ll stop short in calling for the outright win, I think that all signs point to a very competitive battle. Grab the points! |
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04-23-19 | Spurs +5.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 90-108 | Loss | -100 | 59 h 38 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Even numbers. I do indeed feel that these teams are more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest. The Spurs have led in all four games and have for the most part controlled the pace. San Antonio has already won in Denver in this series and I while the outright victory is clearly not out of the question here, I will in the end recommend grabbing the points in a game which I see coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last. Key Trends: - San Antonio is 10-6 ATS this year when playing on two days rest. - Denver is only 10-18 ATS this year after scoring 115 points or more. The verdict: Expect a battle until the end and grab as many points as you can! |
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04-22-19 | Rockets -2 v. Jazz | Top | 91-107 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Houston Rockets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Smell the blood in the water. James Harden and the Rockets split their season series with the Jazz, but they’ve raced out to an insurmountable 3-0 series lead and with a chance to end it here and now and get rested up for the next round I expect them to make the most of it. Houston’s defense has been the difference maker so far in this series, as the Rockets have won 122-90, 118-98 and 104-101. Key Trends: - Houston is still 11-5 ATS this season after covering three of its last four vs. the spread. - Utah is only 14-16 ATS this year revenging a loss vs. an opponent which scored 100 points or more. The verdict: I think the Jazz have run out of gas. The writing is on the wall, lay the short points! |
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04-21-19 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 235 | Top | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 52 h 12 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Warriors/Clippers under. Key Trends: - Golden State has seen the total go under in 23 of its last 36 vs. good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per game. - LA has seen the total dip under the number in four of five already this year in revenging a home blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more. The verdict: I think both teams are fatigued at this point. The Clippers did rally from the massive come from behind victory in Game 2, but clearly the home side can’t get into a “shootout” with the Warriors and expect to win. I believe the home side doubles down defensively in Game 4. Play the under! |
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04-20-19 | Bucks v. Pistons +8.5 | Top | 119-103 | Loss | -105 | 57 h 35 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Detroit Pistons. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Nothing to lose. Well, they’ve already lost the first two games of this series and they’ve already lost their super star Blake Griffin, so at this point its pretty safe to say that the Pistons have little to lose today. I like the home side to come out fired up and to ride the wave of emotion to a much more competitive outcome than what this spread would suggest. And the numbers support that theory. Key Trends: - As note that Milwaukee is already 0-2 ATS this year off two consecutive wins vs. division rivals. - The Bucks are also a mine-burning 3-5 ATS this season after playing four consecutive home games. - Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last six off two straight road losses by ten points or more (including 2-0 ATS this season.) The verdict: Whether Griffin plays or not, look for the Pistons to go down fighting. Grab the points! |
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04-19-19 | Blazers +7.5 v. Thunder | Top | 108-120 | Loss | -105 | 57 h 48 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Blazers (CLASH OF TITANS) Key Trends: - Portland is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 on the road. - The Blazers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five when playing on two days rest. - OKC is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a winning road record. The verdict: Russell Westbrook is a liability defensively. The Blazers Damian Lillard is averaging 30 points over the first two games and is outplaying everyone on the floor right now. OKC has allowed 109 points over its first two postseason games and I think it’ll have its hands full here again vs. this surging Blazers team. Grab the points! |
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04-18-19 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 237 | Top | 132-105 | Push | 0 | 58 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Warriors/Clippers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Fatigue. Game 1 went under the number in the Warriors victory, while Game 2 went well over the number in the Clippers historic come from behind win. I’m expecting a much slower-paced Game 3 though after the Game 2 shootout. The O/U trends below support that as well. Key Trends: - As note that GS has seen the total go under in five of six already this season in trying to revenge a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite of seven points or more. - LA has seen the total go under in seven of ten this season off an upset win as a road underdog. The verdict: Expect an all out way from the opening tip until the final horn and for this total to ultimately fall under once it’s all said and done! |
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04-17-19 | Pacers +7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 91-99 | Loss | -105 | 75 h 43 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Indiana Pacers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Evenly matched. I think these teams are more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest. Yes the Pacers looked poor in their 84-74 Game 1 loss, but the good news is, the Celtics barely looked much better. It won’t take much for Indiana to play better on the offensive end and I expect another strong defensive performance as well. Outright win? Not out of the question, but in the end I’ll recommend grabbing up all these points! Key Trends: - The Pacers are 22-11 ATS in their last 33 in trying to revenge a road loss vs an opponent of ten points or more (including 7-3 ATS this season.) - Boston is still only 7-12 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - The Celtics are still only 15-18 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: Do or die. Now or never. Use whatever term you want, but Indiana has officially hit the panic button. Grab the points! |
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04-16-19 | Magic v. Raptors OVER 209.5 | Top | 82-111 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 46 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* TOTAL OF WEEK over Magic/Raptors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die for Toronto. Toronto can ill afford to go down 0-2 to the surging Magic heading back to Orlando. The Raptors achilles heel over the years has been their play on the road in the postseason, and home court was supposed to be their major advantage. The Magic have been playing exceptionally well defensively, but I expect a much faster paced, wide open affair in Game 2 as the home side pushes the tempo from the opening tip, until the final buzzer. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up well as a high-scoring shootout in my opinion. Key Trends: - Orlando has seen the total go over the number in 17 of 23 this year off an upset win as an underdog. - Toronto has seen the total go over in nine of ten this year in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: Expect Kyle Lowry and company to get back on track with a full four-quarter effort. Play the over! |
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