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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-19-19 | Buffalo v. Akron +17.5 | 21-0 | Loss | -109 | 47 h 36 m | Show | |
My 9* BLOWOUT is on Akron. Akron has a lot of issues at 0-6 clearly, but the Bulls have lost two in a row and four of their last five. Akron ranks among the worst in the country on both sides of the ball, while Buffalo sports respectable marks. However, the Bulls have conceded 55 points over their last two games and I like the Zips to take advantage here at home. Key Trends: - This is a revenge game for Akron after it fell 24-6 in Buffalo last year in this game. - The home team has covered seven straight in this series. The verdict: Buffalo started a new QB in Kyle Vantrease last time out and he had 197 yards and two TD's in his team's 21-20 OT loss to Ohio. Akron has talent at the most important position; QB. Kato Nelson has 1,267 passing yards and an 8:3 TD:INT. I think the stage is set for a more competitive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe; grab the points! |
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10-19-19 | Georgia Tech +18.5 v. Miami-FL | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 43 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* SUPER SHOCKER is on Georgia Tech. Massive upset? Beatdown of epic proportions? Or something firmly in between?! I think the 1-5 Yellow Jackets will keep this one more competitive than what this spread would suggest vs. the 3-3 Hurricanes. I think this sets up as a letdown spot for the Canes after their upset win over then No. 20 Virginia last weekend. The Yellow Jackets on the other hand will be in a foul mood after four straight losses, most recently a 41-23 setback at Duke. Georgia Tech runs the triple-option, but QB James Graham and the Yellow Jackets have struggled on the offensive end so far. But while Miami did look impressive on the defensive side last week vs. the Cavs, the week previous it lost 42-35 to Virginia Tech. The verdict: I think the home side gets caught looking ahead as well to back-to-back tough road games vs. Pittsburgh (leading the Coastal Division right now) and at FSU. The Yellow Jackets have nothing to lose here except another game; I'm grabbing the points! |
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10-18-19 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse +3.5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* play is on Syracuse. 4-2 Pittburgh invades 3-3 Syracuse on Friday night. Outright victory is clearly in the cards, but let's grab the points. Pittsburgh started off the year slowly, but it's since turned thing around with three straight wins. Pitt has looked shaky at times though, especially in a loss to Penn State. The Orange finished 10-3 last year, but so far they've had some troubles adjusting with new QB Tommy DeVito under center. The verdict: But with a much more high-profile game at home vs. Miami next weekend, I think the Panthers get caught looking past this clearly desperate Orange team. This is a season-defining contest for Syracuse and I expect it to play with an extreme sense of desperation in all phases. Also note that Pitt is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after three or ore consecutive SU victories, while Syraucse is 3-1 ATS In its last four afer scoring 14 points or less in its previous game; I'm grabbing the points! |
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10-18-19 | Marshall +5.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 36-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 4 m | Show | |
Key Trends: The Thundering Herd rumble into FAU with a 3-3 record, while the Owls defend at 4-2. FAU has now won four in a row after losses to Ohio State and UCF. Marshall enters having won two in a row, most recently pulling away for a 31-17 victory over Old Dominion. Both teams feature plenty of offensive talent. Marshall QB Isaiah Green has hit 60 percent of passes in conference play. The Herd have been decent defensively as well in conceding 25.8 per contest so far. The verdict: FAU got by MTSU 28-13 in its most recent victory. Owls' QB Chris Robinson has 300 or more yards in three straight games, but FAU's defense is a big question mark, as it allows 459 yards per game average and it's already conceded 24 total TD's. Marshall is 6-1 ATS in its last seven as a road dog and FAU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a home favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range; I'm grabbing the points! |
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10-17-19 | UCLA +7 v. Stanford | Top | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 29 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on UCLA. I got down early and have UCLA at the opening line, but since the Cardinal reported that third-string QB Jack West is going to start, the line has dropped between 3 and 4. Regardless, I believe this one now definitely favors the Bruins. UCLA's offense has come to life of late under QB Austin Burton and with nothing to lose (except another game!), the last place Bruins will be giving the pivot the green light from start to finish. The Cardinal beat the Huskies 23-13 two weeks ago, but the change at QB is going to be difficult in my estimation. Key Trends: - UCLA is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range. - Stanford is just 9-11 ATS in its last 20 after playing a conference game. - The Cardinal are a poor 1-4 ATS in their last five off a home win vs. a confernece rival. The verdict: I believe that an outright upset is possible, but in the end I'm grabbing the points! |
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10-12-19 | USC +11.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 102 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on USC. USC is 3-2 and Notre Dame is 4-1. The Trojans enter off a 28-14 loss to Washington, while the Irish rolled over Bowling Green 52-0 last weekend. USC though has had a week off to digest its latest setback and with Kedon Slovis now directing the show under center, I believe the visitors can keep this one closer than what this spread would suggest (732 yards passing with five TD's and four INTs). USC also has three backs with over 150 rushing yards, so Slovis has help. USC only allows 411.4 yards of total offense per game, so I think Irish QB Ian Book takes a step back this weekend, after last Saturday's "cream puff" matchup. Key Trends: - USC is already 2-0 ATS this year after one or more consecutive losses ATS. - Notre Dame is 0-2 ATS in its last two after two straight home wins by 14 points or more. The verdict: I think the rested home side can keep this one very close. No outright, but definitely grab up all these points! |
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10-12-19 | Iowa State -10 v. West Virginia | 38-14 | Win | 100 | 98 h 25 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Iowa State. Both teams are 3-2, but I think the visitors come prepared today and I look for them to lay a beating on the home side. The Cyclones enter off a convincing 49-24 win over TCU at home and with three of their next four on the road, I think they have to set an early precident here. WVU on the other hand had its win streak snapped in a sloppy 42-31 loss to Texas last weekend. Iowa State has "murderers row" up next, with games at Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma and Texas. But I have a hard time seeing WVU slowing down Iowa State QB Brock Purdy. WVU has been terrible against FSU offenses and I look for that trend to carry over today. Key Trends: - The Cyclones are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 on the road. - WVU is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as an underdog. The verdict: In my opinion, this one has "beatdown" written all over it; lay the points! |
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10-12-19 | New Mexico State +11 v. Central Michigan | 28-42 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 25 m | Show | |
My 8* play on New Mexico State. I think CMU gets caught "looking past" lowly and winless New Mexico State. Central Michigan is 3-3, winning all three at home. But with upcoming road games at Bowling Green and Buffalo, I do indeed feel that this sets up as a natural letdown/look-ahead spot for the home side. I think NMS QB Josh Adkins can keep his team in this one late vs. a Chips' secondary which is allowing an average of 264.2 YPG through the air. Key Trends: - New Mexico State is already 2-1 ATS as a road dog this year. - CMU is only 1-3 ATS in its last four off an upset win as an underdog. The verdict: I think the improving Aggies will at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final quarter; grab up all these points! |
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10-12-19 | Georgia Tech +17.5 v. Duke | 23-41 | Loss | -105 | 95 h 55 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Georgia Tech. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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10-12-19 | Toledo v. Bowling Green +26 | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 94 h 26 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Bowling Green. I believe Toledo will get caught looking past its lowly opponent today. Of course I'm not predicting an outright upset, but I do expect the home side to put up a fight. Last year the Rockets beat the Falcons 52-36. Yes Bowling Green has lost four in a row after winning its opener, but it's had a difficult schedule. It's now or never for the Falcons though if they have any hope of trying to make it to a Bowl. The motivational factors in which I look for when trying to choose one side or another are firmly in place for Bowling Green today (bowl hopes on the line, combined with catching a complacent Toledo team off four straight victories, and last year's revenge factor.) Key Trends: - Toledo is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 on the road (including 0-2 ATS this year.) - Bowling Green is 4-1 ATS in its last five after allowing 37 points or more in two straight games. The verdict: I think this one sets up great from a situational stand point for the Falcons; grab the points! |
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10-12-19 | Michigan v. Illinois +22 | 42-25 | Win | 100 | 94 h 25 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Illinois. Michigan is 4-1 and Illinois is 3-2. After hammering Rutgers 52-0, the Wolverines had to hold on for a tight 10-3 victory over Iowa last week. I'm not calling for an outright upset, but I do think that this absolutely sets up as a classic "trap" for the visitors, as Michigan has Penn State on deck next week. Key Trends: - Michigan is 4-7 ATS in its last 11 on the road. - The Wolverines are only 9-12 ATS in their last 21 after one or more SU victory. - Illinois is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a home dog. The verdict: Illinois has had a difficult conference schedule and while it's not going to get any easier, I also don't expect it to go down without a fight this afternoon; grab the points! |
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10-11-19 | Colorado +20.5 v. Oregon | Top | 3-45 | Loss | -106 | 84 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Colorado. Am I suggesting that you should "sprinkle" a little on the money line in this one? Of course not. But I do think that the Buffs can keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the monster spread they've been afforded here. The Buffs pulled off an upset win on the road over Arizona State, before then losing to Arizona this past weekend. Still, Colorado also has a victory over Nebraska as well. Buffs' senior QB Steven Montez is arguably playing the best of his career thus far, averaging 8.3 yards per passing attempt. Yes Oregon is still the best team in the confernce and Justin Herbert faces a weak Colorado secondary, but I think Montez keeps his team in this one late. Key Trends: - Colorado is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 14.5 to 21 points range. - Oregon is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven off a home win vs. a conference rival. The verdict: The Buffs haven't been an "easy out," as both of their losses have been tight. Expect this one to follow suit and grab the points! |
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10-05-19 | Illinois +14 v. Minnesota | 17-40 | Loss | -109 | 95 h 7 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Illinois. The Fighting Illini come to town 2-2, looking to pull off the upset vs. the 4-0 Minnesota Golden Gophers. Minnesota has been getting exceptional play from QB Tanner Morgan, who has hit over seventy percent of his passes for ten TD’s over four starts. Morgan’s unreal play has covered up the fact that the Gophers have been downright terrible defensively (allowing just under 30 PPG thus far.) This is the window of opportunity that Illinois can exploit and while I don’t think it’ll win SU, I do expect a tight battle. Illinois has been getting great offensive play, led by the rushing attack of Reggie Corbin, who has posted more than 100 yards rushing in two straight games. Key Trends: - Illinois is 5-1 ATS in its last six following a home loss. - Minnesota is only 4-7 ATS in its last 11 as a favorite (including 0-2 ATS this year). - The Golden Gophers are just 4-6 ATS in their last ten as a home favorite. The verdict: I believe the Gophers ineptitude on the defensive end leads to this game being a “nail biter;” grab the points! |
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10-05-19 | Baylor v. Kansas State -2 | 31-12 | Loss | -107 | 95 h 7 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Kansas State. These are the top two defenses in the Big 12. K-State is 2-1 and looking to bounce back in front of the home town crowd after its 26-13 loss to Oklahoma State. The Wildcats come in ranked 17th in the country by allowing 241.5 rushing YPG. K-State is going to have its hands full today with Baylor QB Charlie Brewer, who has ten TD’s and no INT’s so far this season. Despite that though, the Bears barely held on for a 23-21 win over Iowa State last weekend, almost blowing a 20-point lead. Key Trends: - Baylor has allowed five sacks over the last two games. - 45 of the Bears 65 points allowed this year have come in the fourth quarter. - K-State has three RB’s with over 120 yards rushing, including 321 by James Gilbert. The verdict: Note that K-State’s QB Skylar Thompson has four TD’s, 604 yards passing and no INT’s himself. K-State is 6-1 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss, while Baylor is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine following an ATS victory; lay the short points! |
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10-05-19 | Texas v. West Virginia +11.5 | 42-31 | Win | 100 | 95 h 6 m | Show | |
My 8* play on WVU. Both teams enter at 3-1. Texas is a heavy road favorite, but I think that rest is going to lead to “rust” here. The Longhorns last played two weeks ago, beating Oklahoma State 36-30. Texas has been getting great play from QB Sam Ehlinger, who had 281 passing yards, four TD’s and an INT in his team’s latest victory. WVU also enters rested and focused after its bye week. The Mountaineers most recently held on for a 29-24 win over Kansas, with RB Martell Pettaway leading with a pair of rushing scores. Key Trends: - The Mountaineers are 4-0 ATS in their last four following their bye week. - The Longhorns are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight conference contests. - Texas is a poor 0-4 ATS in its last four following a SU victory. The verdict: WVU is 7-1 SU in its last eight at home and it won’t be an “easy out” here whatsoever. Maybe no outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! |
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10-05-19 | Virginia Tech +14 v. Miami-FL | Top | 42-35 | Win | 100 | 96 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on Virginia Tech. The Hokies enter off a loss to Duke, 45-10. VT will be focused on the task at hand here and while I’m not in fact calling for the outright upset, I do think that the stage is set for a very competitive battle. Miami Florida is just 2-2 as well, most recently holding on for a tight 17-12 win over lowly CMU. This is a pivotal game as each team looks to keep their bowl hopes alive. Last week VT QB Ryan Willis was 7 of 8 for 112 passing yards, one TD and one INT last week. Fortunately for Willis and company, the Hurricanes have also looked horrible on both sides of the field. Miami also comes out of its bye week, and I think that rest is going to lead to rust. Key Trends: - Miami is just 1-4 ATS in its last I’ve following a SU win. - The Hurricanes are a poor 4-12 ATS in their last 16 conference games. The verdict: Willis won’t have an easy time moving the ball, but neither will Miami. In what I expect to be a sloppy game, I’m going to grab all the points and expect a “nail-biter!” |
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10-03-19 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama +12 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 74 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on South Alabama. No outright victory, but I expect this one to be a lot closer than what this line/spread would suggest. Both teams are terrible, meaning that the home field advantage can’t be overlooked as very real factor for the Jaguars tonight. The Georgia Southern Eagles are 1-3, while South Alabama is 1-4. Last year Georgia Southern went 10-3 and it beat EMU in its bowl game, but it lost all of its talent to graduation and now the Eagles are grounded. Georgia Southern’s only win this year has come against FCS Maine. Georgia Southern is also allowing 35 PPG thorugh its first three FBS contests. The Jaguars are only 1-4, but they’ve had the much more difficult schedule to this point. Note that South Alabama played Nebraska in its opener and only lost by 14 (put up 21 points of its own!) And the Jaguars other contests came against Memphis and tough road contests vs. UAB and ULM. Key Trends: - South Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with losing records. - The Eagles are only 1-7 ATS in their last eight games played on field turf. The verdict: I think Georgia Southern is on the ropes and I look for the home side to risk life and limb to pull off the upset tonight. That said, let’s grab all these points! |
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09-28-19 | NC State +6 v. Florida State | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -104 | 102 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on NC State. I think the visitors will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. The Wolfpack are 3-1 to start, while the Seminoles are 2-2 after beating Louisville at home last weekend. NC State can score, it averages 34.0 PPG, with RB Zonovan Knight leading the charge with 269 rushing yards and three major scores over three games. The WolfPack are also getting solid play from QB Matthew McKay, who has three TD’s and one INT. The run game is strong for the visitors as well with Ricky Person Jr, who will test FSU’s 91st ranked run defense, which allows 159 yards per game. FSU QB James Blackman has also been a manager for the most part, with the Seminoles offense centred around RB Cam Akers. Note though that NC State is allowing just 76 rushing yards per game this year, ranked 14th in the nation. Key Trends: - NC State is 5-1 ATS in its last six off a no-cover where it won SU as the favorite. - FSU is only 6-10 ATS in its last 16 at home. - The Seminoles are a poor 5-11 ATS in their last 16 after playing a conference game. The verdict: While I do think the outright win isn’t out of the question, in the end I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these two hungry sides has its hands on the ball last! |
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09-28-19 | Minnesota v. Purdue +2 | 38-31 | Loss | -118 | 98 h 6 m | Show | |
My 8* ROUT on Purdue. Purdue is hungry here sitting at 1-2. Minnesota enters at 3-0, but I think it gets caught flat here vs. this desperate Boilermakers side. Both teams enter off their respective “bye weeks.” Last year Purdue got killed by 31 points in Minnesota, so the “revenge factor” is definitely in play here as well (it’s interesting to note that Purdue’s only win in this series over the last six years as come at home with Head Coach Jeff Brohm.) Key Trends: - Look closer at Minnesota’s 3-0 start. The Gophers have been South Dakota State, Fresno State and Georgia Southern. Not exactly murderers row. - Last year the Gophers started 3-0 and then finished the year just 6-6. - Minnesota QB Tanner Morgan has six TD passes and two INT’s vs. poor competition and note that he’s already been sacked 11 times this year. The verdict: The home team is 10-4-1 ARTS the last 15 in this series. The Golden Gophers are a poor 1-4-1 ATS in their last six following a SU win. Play on the home side to expose Minnesota badly today in this revenge bounce back scenario! |
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09-28-19 | USC +10 v. Washington | 14-28 | Loss | -109 | 98 h 40 m | Show | |
My 8* PUNISHER is on USC. The Trojans have nothing to lose this weekend after upsetting Utah last week. Washington is ranked No. 17, while USC is ranked No. 21 after beating the Utes. This line is so large because of the QB issue for USC, as third string Matt Fink, who led the Trojans to victory last weekend, will be getting the start here. Washington lost to Cal, but it’s since beat Hawaii and BYU. Washington has Jacob Eason under center this season and despite winning his last two, I think he’ll have his hands full in Pac 12 action. Key Trends: - Fink had 350 yards and three TD’s vs. Utah’s suffocating defense last week. - Washington head coach Chris Peterson on facing the USC Defensive line: "This is the best defensive line that we've seen, without question. California has good players, for sure, but just talent-wise, that's the strength of USC's defense. It's interesting that a true freshman is one of the guys who flashes and really shows up, and he does that.” The verdict: I think Washington’s stats are skewed due to its recent sub-par competition. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! |
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09-27-19 | Duke v. Virginia Tech -2.5 | Top | 45-10 | Loss | -115 | 83 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* play on Virginia Tech. Both teams are 2-1. The Hokies have looked shaky so far this season, losing to Boston College in Week 1 (five turnovers) and then struggling to get past ODU and FCS Furman. Duke meanwhile has looked a bit better, getting smashed by Alabama in its opener, followed by lop-sided wins over North Carolina A&T and MTSU. The Hokies have a big opportunity today on home field though to reverse their early struggles and I believe they step up and do just that. Note that VT has won three straight in this series. Duke’ QB Quentin Harris has looked sharp in the early going, but his numbers are skewed over the last two games facing such poor competition. The Hokies sport the 88th ranked run defense, which matches up well against Duke, which averages 181 rushing yards per game thus far. Duke has given Harris plenty of protection so far, allowing only one sack to this point, but note that the Hokies rank 17th in the country with 3.33 sacks per game. The home side turns to Ryan Willis to air it out today to Tre Turner and Tayvion Robinson. Key Trend: - Duke has only forced three turnovers this year. The verdict: I’m unconvinced that Duke can keep up this pace and I think that its young QB finally takes a step back today vs. the more experienced home side and in this difficult road venue; lay the short points! |
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09-21-19 | Nebraska v. Illinois +13.5 | 42-38 | Win | 100 | 55 h 47 m | Show | |
My 9* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Illinois. The Fighting Illini come in hungry after suffering their first defeat of the season in a 34-31 set back to EMU on a last-second field goal. Nebraska comes in a tiny bit complacent here in my opinion after its 44-8 drubbing of NIU. Huskers’ QB Adrian Martinez has 725 passing yards to open the year, but I think he’ll have a more difficult time moving the ball on the road in Big Ten play. Illinois beat Akron 42-3 and UConn 31-23 and has looked competitive in every game thus far. Last week QB Brandon Peterson had 297 yards passing with two TD’s and an INT. Also note that Illinois RB Reggie Corbin had 144 yards ion 18 carries. Key Trends: - Nebraska is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 as a favorite, including only 1-2 ATS this year. - Illinois is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog in the 10.5 to 14 points range. The verdict: I’m expecting another dog fight from the Illini today; so grab up as many points as you can! |
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09-21-19 | Old Dominion +29 v. Virginia | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 54 h 38 m | Show | |
My 8* SPECIAL is on ODU. After beating the Seminoles last week, I think that UVA gets caught “looking past” its lowly opponent today. Last year ODU was 4-8, but it’s looked more competitive this season. Last week ODU faced the Hokies and it kept it relatively close. Overall the Monarchs are allowing only 26 PPG, but managing just 20.6. ODU runs the ball twice as much as it passes, but facing a team which does the same helps the visitors here in my opinion. Bryce Perkins has been great in the early going for UVA, but as mentioned off the top I think this sets up as a natural “letdown” spot for the home side after last week’s big upset victory. Key Trends: - ODU is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring three points or less in the first half of its last game. - Virginia is 0-2 ATS in its last two as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points. The verdict: Old Dominion won’t be rolling over here. The Monarchs’ strength on defense makes “the points” the correct call in this matchup; play on ODU! |
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09-21-19 | Central Florida -11 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 34-35 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on UCF. UCF started last year 3-0 and it enters this one with a 3-0 record as well. I believe the Knights keep the foot on the gas here and I have a hard time seeing the Panthers keeping pace down the stretch. And if recent history is any precedence, then UCF has to be loving its chances as it destroyed Pitt last year 45-14. The Knights’ offense has been impressive, averaging 50 PPG so far. Last week the Knights smashed Stanford 45-27. Pittsburgh stumbled down the stretch last year to finish 7-7 and it’s also stumbled out of the gates this season by going 1-2. Last week the Panthers feel 17-10 at Penn State. Key Trends: - The Knights allow only 13.7 PPG The verdict: UCF QB Dillon Gabriel went 22 of 40 for 347 yards, four TD’s and zero INT’s last week. All four TD passes went to four different players. Pittsburgh has gotten decent play from QB Kenny Pickett, but I’m not reading too much into last week’s stats. Look for the Golden Knight’s smothering defensive play to be too much for the home side to handle down the stretch; lay the points! |
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09-21-19 | UL-Lafayette +3 v. Ohio | 45-25 | Win | 100 | 49 h 40 m | Show | |
My 9* BEWARE OF DOG play is on Louisiana Lafayette. Outright victory? Of course it’s not out of the question, but I think that grabbing the points is the savvy move in this one. Ohio enters off back-to-back losses, while the Ragin Cajuns enter off a 77-6 win and average 590.3 YPG of offense (currently fourth in the country). The Cajuns limited FCS opponent Texas Southern to just 236 yards last week, while racking up 748 of their own. The Bobcats posted an easy 41-20 win over Rhode Island in their opener, but they’ve since lost two straight, falling 20-10 to Pittsburgh and 33-31 to the Herd last weekend. QB Nathan Rourke was a stand out in a losing cause for Ohio last week, throwing for 215 yards and three TD’s, while also running for another 118 yards. Key Trends: - Louisiana Lafayette is 5-1 ATS in its last six on the road. - The Cajuns are 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference contests. The verdict: I think this is a tight game. I understand that the Cajuns’ early numbers are skewed, but the offense can unquestionably move the chains; for all the reasons listed above, I’m grabbing the points! |
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09-19-19 | Houston +5 v. Tulane | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -104 | 59 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Houston. It’s the opening of AAC play for both teams. Houston is just 1-2 after back to back losses to two tough opponents in Oklahoma and Washington State. D’Eriq King has been relatively quiet so far, but I think that’s been because of the level of competition to open. The Green Wave have made significant strides and enter at 2-1, but I think they’ll have a hard time containing King and company and this Cougars offense which finished No. 16 in passing in the nation last year. Justin McMillan is a legitimate dual threat back for the Green Wave, but I don’t expect the Cougars to give up as many yards to him as they did to Jalen Hurts. Key Trends: - Houston is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 when playing with six or less days rest. - Tulane is just 1-3 ATS in its last four off a home win by 17 points or more. The verdict: Tulane lacks the scoring punch of Houston and while I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, I think this one comes right down to the wire; grab the points! |
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09-14-19 | Oklahoma v. UCLA +23.5 | Top | 48-14 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* NCAAF GAME OF THE YEAR on UCLA No outright victory obviously, but after starting 0-2 the UCLA Bruins are going to be desperate to pull off an upset here. With nothing to lose and playing with a sense of season ending desperation, I do indeed believe that the home side will keep this one competitive until the final moments. And would anyone fault the Sooners if they were caught “looking past” their lowly opponent in some small way today, especially after easily beating Houston and South Dakota? UCLA has talent on the defensive side of the ball and Sooners’ QB Jalen Hurts will be tested. OU’s D though is still trying to find itself under new coordinator Alex Grinch, so UCLA RB Joshua Kelly and company will have their opportunities. Key Trends: - Oklahoma is a poor 1-5 ATS in its last six as a road favorite. - UCLA is 3-1 ATS in its last four off an upset loss as a favorite. The verdict: UCLA has the size up front to make things difficult for OU. No outright, but expect this one to come down to the wire. Grab the points! |
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09-14-19 | Miami-OH v. Cincinnati -16 | 13-35 | Win | 100 | 115 h 13 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT on Cincinnati. Miami looked poor in its opener vs. Iowa and it lost 21-0 at home to the Bearcats last season. Cincinnati is going to be super motivated obviously after getting spanked by Ohio State last weekend. The Bearcats though haven’t lost a home game since November 2017. Cinncy QB Desmond Ridder will obviously have a much easier time this week vs. the RedHawks, who are allowing 27.5 PPG thus far. Brett Gabbert has been solid early for Miami Ohio, but this is definitely his stiffest test yet. Key Trends: - Miami Ohio is just 2-8 ATS in its last ten non-conference games. - Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last five at home. The verdict: After last week’s national embarrassment, I look for Cincinnati to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this favorable matchup; lay the points! |
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09-14-19 | Kansas State v. Mississippi State -7 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on in Mississippi State. Last year the Bulldogs smashed K-State 31-10 in Manhattan and once the smoke clears at the end of this one, I expect a similar style of blowout. The Wildcats come in with optimism after starting the year 2-0, but a quick look at their competition (FCS Nicholls State and MAC opponent Bowling Green) tells the real story. Mississippi State is 2-0 as well to the start the season, but it’s level of competition has been significantly greater, having beat Louisiana and Southern Miss. K-State QB Skylar Thompson has looked great in the early going, but clearly he facets his stiffest test yet. Key Trends: - The Bulldogs have forced at least one turnover in 18 straight games. - Through two games Mississippi State has recovered four fumbles and posted three INT’s. The verdict: The Bulldogs are also 13-1 vs. non-conference opponents the last three years. Look for the home side’s aggressive defense to prove to be the difference maker and lay the points with confidence! |
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09-13-19 | Kansas +22 v. Boston College | Top | 48-24 | Win | 100 | 100 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on Kansas. Outright victory? Of course not. But I think that BC gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today. BC upset VT 35-28 in Week 1 and then followed it up with a simple 45-13 victory over FCS Richmond in Week 2. KU beat Indiana State 24-17 in its opener, before stumbling 12-7 at home to Coastal Carolina. Kansas has a big bruising back in Khalil Herbert and I believe he’ll be a difference maker today; so far he has 170 rushing yards over the first two games. Key Trends: - KU has played solid defense so far, allowing an average of 4.9 yards per play. - BC has allowed 403 total yards per game so far, so the opportunities for KU will be there tonight. The verdict: BC has a great back in AJ Dillon, but as pointed out above, I think the conditions are right for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest; grab up all those points! |
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09-07-19 | Arkansas v. Ole Miss -6.5 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 123 h 1 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on Mississippi. The SEC Arkansas Razorbacks are 1-0 and the SEC Ole Miss Rebels are 0-1. Arkansas was just 2-10 last year, including 0-8 in league play under Chad Morris, while the Rebels were 5-7 overall last season, including just 1-7 in SEC action. Ole Miss’s lone conference victory came at Arkansas, 37-33, but I expect a more decisive victory this season. Arkansas managed a victory last week, but it was a 20-13 effort over FCS Portland State. The Hogs went a poor 5 of 15 from third down in the more difficult than expected victory. Ole Miss was competitive throughout its 15-10 loss to Memphis after going down 13-0 early. Key Trends: - Arkansas is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine on the road. - Ole Miss is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a loss by six points or less. The verdict: The Hogs were terrible on the road last year and I think they have a big dose of reality this weekend vs. this SEC foe; lay the points! |
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09-07-19 | Coastal Carolina +9.5 v. Kansas | 12-7 | Win | 100 | 123 h 31 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on Coastal Carolina. The CC Chanticleers are out to rebound after falling 30-23 to EMU in their opener last weekend. QB Fed Payton had 304 yards, two TD’s and four INT’s. The Kansas Jayhawks enter off a satisfying 24-17 victory over Indiana State and I believe it’ll suffer a predictable letdown here vs. this dangerous underdog (Carter Stanley was a standout in Kansas win with 241 yards and two TD’s.) Key Trends: - Coast Carolina is 7-3 ATS In its last ten on the road. - The Chanticleers are 7-2 SU in their last nine non-conference games. - Conversely, Kansas is only 7-18-1 ATS in its last 26 non-conference contests. The verdict: I think these teams are more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest and in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I’ll ultimately recommend grabbing as many points as you can; play on Coastal Carolina! |
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09-07-19 | UL-Monroe v. Florida State -21 | 44-45 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 31 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on Florida State. Florida State was upset by Boise State last weekend. But, the Broncos are a good team, so losing to them isn’t the end of the World in my opinion. Does Louisiana Monroe have the ability to take advantage of FSU’s inefficiencies on the defensive side? The Seminoles are loaded with talent, especially on the offensive end and I don’ think that ULM will be able to keep pace down the stretch. Key Trends: - ULM is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 21.5 to 28 points range. - FSU is 4-1 ATS in its last five after playing a non-conference contest. The verdict: Of course there are going to be problems on the defensive side for FSU, but I believe the home side will keep the foot on the gas from start to finish on the offensive end of things; lay the points! |
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09-07-19 | San Diego State v. UCLA -7 | 23-14 | Loss | -105 | 120 h 46 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on UCLA. SDSU beat Weber State, but the offense looked terrible, only managing two field goals. UCLA looked like a deer caught in the headlights in its loss to the Bearcats last week, but with a week to adjust, I believe Chip Kelly will take advantage of this struggling SDSU offense. Aztecs’ QB Ryan Agnew had just 108 yards on 16 completed passes last weekend. SDSU is simply too one dimensional and I think it’s going to struggle on both ends of the field today vs. this now very focused home side. Key Trends: - SDSU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 14 points or less in its previous contest. - UCLA is 5-1 ATS in its last six off a road loss. The verdict: UCLA has the talent advantage. It’s also desperate after last week’s loss. For all intents and purposes this has become a “must win” for Kelly and company; I’m laying the points and expecting a rout! |
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09-07-19 | Old Dominion v. Virginia Tech -28 | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 32 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on Virginia Tech. VT lost at Boston College to open the 2019 campaign, but I believe it’ll bounce back in fine fashion here. ODU comes in off a win in Week 1, but it was far from impressive, holding on for a 24-21 victory over FCS Norfolk State. ODU lost QB Blake LaRussa in the off-season, as well as most of the offensive core and I believe the visitors are going to have a hard time generating much offense here (Stone Smartt was 17 of 23 for 158 yards passing in ODU’s win last week.) Key Trends: - ODU only has four starters back from a defense which last year had difficulties stopping both the pass and run. The verdict: The Hokies gave the ball away a ghastly five times last Saturday and they lost the turnover battle by a five to one margin. Look for VT to clean up its sloppy play and to dominate on both sides of the ball from start to finish; lay the points with confidence! |
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09-07-19 | Ohio v. Pittsburgh -5.5 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 115 h 32 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh stumbled vs. Virginia last weekend, but I think the Panthers make adjustments and bounce back big vs. Ohio. The Bobcats are a legitimate MAC contender, but with a game at Penn State next weekend, clearly Pittsburgh can ill afford to look past its potentially dangerous opponent today. However, I’m not reading too much into any “trap” this weekend. I would have though if Pittsburgh had won last week, but because of the setback, that factor gets thrown out the window completely. Key Trends: - Ohio is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven after a win by 21 points or more. - Pittsburgh is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a loss by ten points or more to a conference rival. The verdict: The Panthers’ offense stalled against Virginia’s aggressive unit, but i think that Pittsburgh gets back on track with a full four quarter effort and before it’s big matchup on the road next weekend; lay the points! |
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09-06-19 | Wake Forest v. Rice +18.5 | Top | 41-21 | Loss | -108 | 100 h 44 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on Rice. Rice didn’t look very good offensively in last week’s 14-7 loss to the Army Golden Knights, but the Owls looked exceptionally good on the defensive end. Wake Forest managed a 38-35 win over Utah State in Week 1, but it pretty much looked horrible on both sides of the ball, especially defensively where it allowed over 410 yards passing. Rice won’t be lacking for confidence today and I believe the visitors are definitely over-rated considering their form last weekend. Key Trends: - Wake Forest is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten as a favorite. - The Demon Deacons are only 4-6 ATS in their last ten non-conference games. - Rice is 5-2 ATS in its last seven off a cover where the team lost as an underdog. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, grab as many points as you can! |
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08-31-19 | Fresno State +13.5 v. USC | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 730 h 35 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* game of the month on Fresno State. Clay Helton managed to keep his head coaching job for the Trojans last year despite finishing just 5-7. It’s a difficult schedule ahead for USC as well, with Stanford coming to town next, then at BYU, Utah, at Washington and at Notre Dame to follow, I believe the home side does in some small way get caught “looking ahead” to its daunting schedule. USC has plenty of offensive talent and great coaches, but it’s inexperience on its offensive line is a clear weakness. And that’s bad news facing this powerful Fresno State defensive front, which isn’t going to concede many yards on the ground and is therefore going to make the Trojans attack extremely one-dimensional. Key Trends: - Fresno State beat UCLA 38-14 last year. - The Bulldog beat Arizona State 31-20 in the Las Vegas Bowl last season. The verdict: USC also has issues in its secondary. I’m expecting a war until the final whistle; grab the points! |
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08-31-19 | Eastern Michigan v. Coastal Carolina +6 | 30-23 | Loss | -115 | 722 h 25 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 9* play on Coastal Carolina. EMU was the better overall team last year, but the Eagles defense is a complete re-haul from last season. EMU also has a new coach in Jamey Chadwell and while while the offense will be “OK,” the difference here is clearly on the defense side for the visitors. The Chanticleers catch a break here facing an EMU team that lacked a run game last year, as Coastal Carolina’s defensive core returns to help a unit which struggled with consistency last year. Key Trends: - EMU is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 as a favorite. - Coastal Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last seven non-conference games. The verdict: These are two well coached teams, but i think the massive turnover on the defensive side of the ball for the Eagles make Coastal Carolina and the points the correct call here; grab the points! |
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08-31-19 | Ole Miss v. Memphis -5.5 | 10-15 | Loss | -110 | 719 h 56 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 9* play on Memphis. The Ole Miss Rebels have won just 16 games over the last three years. Memphis on the other hand has posted five straight winning seasons and the last two years it’s gone to the AAC title game, falling to UCF each time. Ole Miss has been ineligible for a bowl the last two years and while it is this season, I still think the Rebels will have their hands full here. And that’s because Ole Miss returns only three starters to its offense and it also has an entirely new offensive coordinator. Memphis was poor defensively last year, so new Ole Miss QB Matt Corral will have his opportunities, but I still don’t think it’ll be enough to keep up to this high-octane Tigers’ offense. Key Trends: - Memphis is 9-0 in pre-noon starts, averaging 52 points in those match ups. - The Tigers have outscored their opponents 150-93 in the first quarter of games a year ago. The verdict: Brady White had 3,296 passing yards and 26 TD’s for the Tigers last year and I look for him to have a massive game to open the season vs. the Power 5 team; lay the points! |
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08-30-19 | Oklahoma State -15 v. Oregon State | 52-36 | Win | 100 | 706 h 31 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on Oklahoma State. Oregon State hasn’t made a bowl game in over five years. Oklahoma State has been a consistent Bowl program in the Big 12 for a decade now and I look for the new look Cowboys to lay the hammer down in this favorable matchup. That said Oklahoma State has big expectations here after finishing just 7-6 last year. The Beavers are once again projected to finish last in the Pac 12 North. Oklahoma State turns to Hawaii transfer Dru Brown under center. Brown led a resurgent Warriors attack last year. And that’s bad news for an Oregon State defense which allowed a staggering 281.8 YPG through the air last season. Key Trends: - The Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last eight non-conference games. - The Beavers are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine as a home underdog. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, I’m laying the points and expecting a rout! |
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08-30-19 | Wisconsin -10 v. South Florida | 49-0 | Win | 100 | 702 h 1 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 9* BIG TIGER on Wisconsin. Wisconsin won’t be overlooking the dangerous Bulls here. Note that Paul Chryst is 3-1 in his season openers for the Badgers, while USF’s Charlie Strong is 2-0 since being hired as head coach. But Wisconsin returns a big offensive line and I believe it’ll be too much for USF to handle right out of the gates. The Badgers also feature one of the league’s top RB’s in Jonathan Taylor (note that USC allowed 247.54 YPG on the ground last year and it conceded 36 rushing TD’s.) Bulls’ QB Blake Barnett had 12 TD’s and 11 INT’s last year and he’ll be tested by a revamped Badgers defense. Key Trends: - Wisconsin is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three as a road favorite in the 10.5 to 14 points range. - South Florida is only 4-9 ATS in its last 13 at home (and just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a home dog.) The verdict: I think the Badgers control this game in the trenches and I look for them to easily pull away for the comfortable cover as the contest comes down the stretch; lay the points! |
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08-29-19 | Kent State +26 v. Arizona State | Top | 7-30 | Win | 100 | 733 h 12 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on Kent State. Kent State is a train-wreck the last few season and it should once again struggle this year. ASU has to be liking its chances at home after watching Arizona fall on the road in Hawaii in its opener. But the Golden Flashes won’t be going down without a fight. Don’t get me wrong, I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I do think that ASU gets caught looking past its lowly opponent here. The verdict: Kent State returns its entire offensive line, which will benefit QB Woody Barrett. I’m not convinced of this ASU defense, especially all of the new faces up front. Besides, ASU features a new QB in true freshman Jayden Daniels. The Golden Flashes have a golden opportunity here and I’m grabbing the points! |
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08-29-19 | Texas State +34.5 v. Texas A&M | 7-41 | Win | 100 | 732 h 42 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on Texas State. Outright upset? Here’s another big dog I’m backing on Thursday night (my three game report contains all large underdogs.) The Aggies come in off a 9-4 campaign in 2018, including 5-3 in SEC action. A&M went on to destroy NC State 52-13 in the Gator Bowl as well. Texas State was just 3-9 overall last season, including just 1-7 in the Sun Belt. But Texas State has a strong defense and a couple of new additions on the offensive end and I believe it’ll comfortably sneak in through the back door. The verdict: Texas State has a new head coach in the offensive minded Jake Spavital and QB in Gresch Jensen, who transferred over from Montana. But Texas A&M will be susceptible defensively without starting CB Debione Renfro in the line-up, who is out from suspension. Texas State also has experienced receivers, who have an advantage over the young A&M secondary. Also note that A&M gets caught “looking ahead” here to its game at Clemson next week. I’m grabbing the points! |
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08-29-19 | Georgia Tech +34.5 v. Clemson | 14-52 | Loss | -109 | 731 h 12 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on Georgia Tech Outright upset? Of course not. The defending National Champs aren’t going to lose on Opening night, but I do think that the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. Geoff Collins is the new head coach for Georgia Tech, who has made his name because of his defensive prowess. These teams meet up every year despite being in different divisions of the ACC (GT plays with the quadruple revenge factor today. The verdict: GT has three different options at QB as it heads into the new season. Whoever is under center though will benefit from the Tigers defensive line, with all four linemen being new faces, including two at linebacker as well. The Clemson offense for the most part remains the same with Trevor Lawrence directing the show. Admittedly it’s never a good week to face the Clemson Tigers, but I think Week 1 is the best you could possibly have asked for. With GT featuring a new coaching staff that will be doing everything it can to stay competitive, I’m going to definitely recommend grabbing as many points as you can! |
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01-01-19 | Washington +7 v. Ohio State | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 31 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Washington. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Dominant Huskies secondary. Washington just faced the nation’s No. 1 passing attack in the Apple Cup vs. Washington State and it left with a convincing 28-15 victory, allowing just 152 passing yards (beat Utah 10-3 in the Pac 12 Championship as well.) Ohio State is the second ranked passing attack. Key Trends: - Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last five off a close win by seven points or less vs. a conference rival. - Ohio State is just 5-6 ATS as a favorite this year. - The Buckeyes are just 1-3 ATS in their last four when playing with two weeks or more of rest. The verdict: The Huskies have the veteran leadership at QB to keep pace and a defense to slow down the high-flying Buckeyes. Grab the points. |
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01-01-19 | Iowa v. Mississippi State -7 | Top | 27-22 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Mississippi State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Recent history. Mississippi State is playing in its ninth straight bowl game and its 9-2 in its last 11 bowl games overall. Iowa is 15-15-1 all time in bowl games and it’s lost four of its last five. Key Trends: - Iowa is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five neutral site games. - The Hawkeyes are interestingly only 1-7 TS in their last eight games played on grass. - Mississippi State is 5-0 ATS in its last five non-conference games. - The Bulldogs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: Mississippi State has the slight edge on both sides of the ball and I’m predicting an double-digit victory today. Lay the points. |
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12-31-18 | Michigan State v. Oregon -2.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -104 | 32 h 34 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Oregon. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - No offense for MSU. As good as the Spartans are defensively, I just can’t see them keeping pace with the higher-tempo Ducks down the stretch. MSU got the better of Rutgers 14-10 in its regular season finale to finish 7-5, but the win broke a string of two games where it finished in single digits in scoring and would hit the double-digit mark for just the third time in six games. Oregon on the other hand throttled Oregon State 55-15 in the Civil War, rolling up a whopping 510-366 yardage advantage. Key Trends: - Michigan State is just 2-3 ATS as an underdog this year. - The Spartans are just 1-3 ATS in their last four off a home victory. - Oregon is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a favorite. The verdict: Bank on the Ducks running away with this one (quite literally), as the game winds down. Lay the points. |
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12-29-18 | Notre Dame v. Clemson -12 | Top | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 30 h 58 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Clemson. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Suspect run defense for the Irish. This is my “key angle” for this game. The Irish ranked 29th in the country in allowing 113.5 YPG, which is the only opportunity this dynamic Tigers offense will need. Clemson RB Travis Etienne has 1,463 rushing yards and 21 TD’s. Key Trends: - Clemson is 6-2 ATS in its last eight following a SU win. - The Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight bowl games. - The Irish are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site affairs following a three weeks or longer layoff. The verdict: too much QB Trevor Lawrence (2,606 passing yards, 24/4 TD:INT). Too much Etienne. Lay the points. |
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12-29-18 | Florida +7.5 v. Michigan | Top | 41-15 | Win | 100 | 483 h 46 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Florida. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Surging offense. Both teams feature capable offenses and elite defensive units. Florida averaged 34.5 PPG and allowed 20.4, while Michigan averaged 36.8 points and allowed 17.6. But the Gators’ offense was simply on another level down the stretch and I think that momentum gets carried over here and it becomes my “key angle” for this contest (note that Florida posted 46.3 points over its last three games.) Key Trends: - Florida is 4-0 ATS in non-conference games already this year. - Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last skive after its “bye” week. - The Wolverines are a poor 2-9 ATS in their last 11 after scoring 31 points or more in two straight games. The verdict: I’m going to recommend to “sprinkle” a little on the money line as well. That said, grab the points. |
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12-28-18 | Auburn v. Purdue +3.5 | Top | 63-14 | Loss | -114 | 28 h 47 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Purdue. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - “Home Field Advantage.” This is a neutral site game for the Music City Bowl, but the Boilermakers are located just 350 miles from West Lafayette. Purdue has sold out its allotment of tickets heading into this one. Auburn on the other hand got some bad news in that dynamic playmaker Asa Martin is leaving the team, while QB Jarrett Stidham had already previously announced that he’d be forgoing his senior season to enter the draft. The Boilermakers struggled down the stretch defensively, but with three weeks off to prepare, I think Purdue comes to play today. Key Trends: - Auburn is just 2-5 ATS in its last seen neutral site games. - The Tigers are only 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten non-conference games. - Purdue is 7-1 ATS In its last eight non-conference game. - The Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games. The verdict: The stage is set for an upset. That said, grab the points! |
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12-27-18 | Miami-FL v. Wisconsin +3 | Top | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 32 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Wisconsin. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Recent history and inclement weather. Wisconsin beat Miami Florida in the Orange Bowl last year. Note as well that Miami played six road games this year and it lost three of them in “cold” weather (Virginia, Georgia Tech and Boston College.) This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in late December (Pinstripe Bowl). Key Trends: - Miami is just 5-7 ATS as a favorite this year. - Wisconsin is 5-2 ATS in its last seven as an underdog. - The Badgers are 5-2 ATS in their last three off a loss vs. a conference rival. The verdict: This one could come down to the final whistle. Grab the points. |
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12-26-18 | Minnesota +6 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky's 10 play on Minnesota. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Momentum. The Golden Gophers needed a epic win over Wisconsin in their regular season finale to move to 6-6 and to bowl eligibility. I expect the Minnesota to carry that momentum over here into this one. Key Trends: - Minnesota is 5-3 ATS as an underdog this year. - The Yellow Jackets are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: Georgia Tech’s four game win streak to end the season was snapped with a loss to Georgia in its finale. I think the “hungrier” team keeps this one competitive late. Grab the points. |
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12-22-18 | Louisiana Tech v. Hawaii +1 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Hawaii. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Momentum and home field advantage. LT comes in off back-to-back losses to Southern Miss and Western Kentucky. Hawaii comes in off back-to-back wins over UNLV and San Diego State. Key Trends: - Louisiana Tech is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine off a loss vs. a conference rival. - Hawaii is 3-1 ATS this year off a win vs. a conference rival. - The Warriors are 3-1 ATS in their last four when playing with two weeks or more of rest. The verdict: I think Hawaii’s offense wins the day over the Bulldogs’ defense. Play on the Warriors. |
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12-20-18 | Marshall -2.5 v. South Florida | Top | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 40 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Marshall. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Uncertainty at the QB position for the Bulls. Forget the fact that USF lost five straight to end the regular season. The Bulls have plenty of problems on both sides of the ball and I have a hard time seeing them matching pace with this loaded Herd side. But USF is dealing with an injury to starting QB Blake Barnett, who is questionable of this one as well. Backups Brett Kean and Chris Oladokun simply won’t cut it here. Key Trends: - South Florida is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 following a SU loss of more than 20 points. - Marshall is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 after allowing 40 points or more. - The Herd are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 non-conference contests. The verdict: Lay the points, because this one has blowout written all over it! |
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12-19-18 | Ohio -2.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 27-0 | Win | 100 | 34 h 40 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Ohio. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - SDSU is amazingly 13-0-1 lifetime vs. the MAC, but I think Ohio’s relentless rushing attack will prove to be just too much for SDSU to hold up to. This is a classic battle in the trenches, as the Aztecs’ strength on the defensive side is against the run, ranked fourth in the nation. But SDSU is going to have its hands full with the Bobcats’ AJ Ouellette, who had a career high 196 rushing yards in Ohio’s win over Buffalo in its second to last regular season game. Ouellette is my “key angle” for this contest. Key Trends: - Ohio is 3-1 ATS in its last four neutral site games. - The Bobcats are 3-0 ATS in their last three after scoring 42 points or more in back-to-back games. - SDSU already just 1-3 ATS in non-conference games this year. - The Aztecs are only 3-4 ATS in their last seven off an upset loss as a favorite. The verdict: SDSU is healthier than it’s been in a long time, but Ohio is just too strong on both sides of the ball. Lay the points. |
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12-18-18 | Northern Illinois v. UAB -2.5 | Top | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on UAB. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Better offense. Both teams are very adept defensively. Although UAB’s defensive unit is slightly better (the Blazers allowed 17.3 PPG and the Huskies allowed 21.5), the Blazers are significantly better on the offensive side, averaging 29.3 PPG, compared to NIU’s 20.7. Key Trends: - The Blazers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. teams with winning records. - NIU is 0-5 ATS in its last five bowl games. - The Huskies are just 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 neutral site affairs. The verdict: This one has blowout written all over it. Lay the points and expect a rout. |
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12-15-18 | Arizona State +5 v. Fresno State | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 33 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Arizona State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Manny Wilkins. The ASU QB is 4-1 SU this year in games decided by no more than three points. The oddsmakers believe this is going to pretty much be a “nail biter” as evidenced by this spread. I’m banking on the senior pivot once again performing under pressure and I look for him to keep this team in this one late. Key Trends: - ASU is already 3-0 ATS this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. - The Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last five off a close win by seven points or less over a conference rival. - Fresno State is 0-3 ATS in its last three as a neutral field favorite of seven points or less. The verdict: This one has competitive battle written all over it. Grab the points. |
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12-01-18 | Clemson v. Pittsburgh +25.5 | Top | 42-10 | Loss | -110 | 134 h 28 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Pittsburgh. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The Tigers play well at home, but two of their last three games have been decided by 21 points or less and they looked less than spectacular vs. South Carolina last weekend, allowing 510 yards through the air. Key Trends: - The Panthers are 5-3 ATS in their last eight as an underdog. - Pittsburgh is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 vs. the conference. - The Panthers are already 3-0 ATS This year after scoring 14 points or less in their previous game. - The Tigers are already 0-3 ATS this season as a favorite in the 21.5 to 31 points range (and 2-6 ATS long-term.) The verdict: Grab the points. |
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12-01-18 | Georgia +13.5 v. Alabama | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 130 h 29 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Georgia. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The winner of this will go on to not only grab the SEC crown, but also a coveted spot in the Playoffs. “Revenge” is my key angle here after Georgia fell to the Tide in the Championship game last season. Key Trends: - Georgia is already 4-1 ATS this year after having won four or five out of its last six games. - The Bulldogs are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 after a win by 17 points or more. - Alabama is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 off a home win vs. a conference rival. - The Tide are just 3-5 ATS in their last eight after scoring 42 points or more in two straight games. The verdict: Grab the points. |
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12-01-18 | Texas v. Oklahoma -7.5 | 27-39 | Win | 100 | 128 h 34 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Oklahoma. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. Oklahoma was shocked by the Longhorns 48-45 earlier in the season. This is my “key angle” for this play. Key Trends: - Texas is just 3-4 ATS this year after playing two straight conference games. - The Longhorns are just 4-8 ATS in their last 12 after covering the spread in two out of their last three games. - Oklahoma is 4-1 ATS in its last five after falling to cover the spread in three of its last four games. The verdict: These teams are evenly matched, but the Sooners offense has been unstoppable of late. Combined with the revenge factor and these strong trends, I’ll lay the points. |
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11-30-18 | Utah v. Washington -4.5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 112 h 3 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Washington. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Utah doesn’t have either its starting RB or QB playing in this one. - The Huskies have dominated this series, going 11-1 in the last 12, with three straight wins including a 21-7 road victory back on September 15th. Key Trends: - Utah is just 2-3 ATS after two or more SU wins this year. - Washington is still 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: Look for Jake Browning to end his Pac-12 career with one more big victory. Lay the points. |
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11-30-18 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo -3.5 | Top | 30-29 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 44 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Buffalo. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Buffalo plays with revenge after falling 14-13 in this game last year. The Huskies come in with zero momentum with two straight losses. Key Trends: - Northern Illinois is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after two or more SU losses. - Buffalo is 5-1 ATS off a win vs. a conference rival. - The Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last six as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: Lay the points. |
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11-24-18 | Utah State v. Boise State -2.5 | Top | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 62 h 34 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Boise State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - With a win today Boise State can win the Mountain West conference. Utah State’s strength of schedule is called into question here and the home field advantage factor turns into my “key” angle for this matchup. Key Trends: - Utah State is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with winning records. - Boise State is 4-2 ATS in its last six at home. - The Broncos are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 off a win vs. a conference rival. The verdict: Lay the points. |
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11-24-18 | Marshall v. Florida International +3 | 28-25 | Push | 0 | 51 h 21 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Florida International. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - A win today will give hungry FIU the East division title. I simply can’t understate how important I feel that the home field advantage will play in this contest. Key Trends: - Marshall is just 2-5 ATS in its last 17 as a road favorite. - The Thundering Herd are only 4-6 ATS in their last ten off a win against a conference rival. - FIU is 8-2 ATS in its last ten against teams with winning records. - FIU is 4-0 ATS in its last four as home dog in the 3 points range. The verdict: Take FIU. |
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11-24-18 | Syracuse +7 v. Boston College | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 51 h 20 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Syracuse. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Both teams are already eligible, but a win today will help in dramatically increasing the size of bowl the Orange will play in in about a month. With that being fact, I’m expecting a war until the final horn and this is my key “angle” for this contest. Key Trends: - Syracuse is 3-1 ATS as an underdog already this year. - The Orange are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 on the road. - BC is only 1-3 ATS in its last five as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: Grab the points. |
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11-24-18 | Michigan v. Ohio State +5 | 39-62 | Win | 100 | 51 h 20 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Ohio State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. The winner of this contest will head to the Big Ten Championship game. But Ohio State still has National Championship hopes on its mind as well. The Buckeyes have dominated this series of late and did again last year. Ohio State’s high-flying offense is the difference maker for me though (averages 41.6 PPG, compared to Michigan’s 22.6.) Key Trends: - Michigan is just 9-10 ATS in its last 19 off a win against a conference rival. - The Wolverines are only 1-3 ATS on the road this season. - Ohio State is 3-1 ATS in its last four at home. The verdict: Grab the points. |
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11-23-18 | Oklahoma -2.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 59-56 | Win | 100 | 57 h 6 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Oklahoma. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The Sooners will be playing in the Big 12 Championship game regardless of the outcome of this contest, but clearly Oklahoma still has bigger plans in mind sitting at 10-1. WVU needs to win this and have Texas lose (not likely) to be invited to the Championship game. I believe the visitors can smell the blood in the water and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas. Key Trends: - Oklahoma is 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. - The Mountaineers are 0-4 ATS in their last four as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: I simply can’t see Oklahoma faltering again at this point. Lay the points. |
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11-23-18 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati -18.5 | 6-56 | Win | 100 | 53 h 37 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on Cincinnati. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - After losing to division rival UCF last weekend, the Bearcats immediately fell out of the Top 25. At 9-2 though, Cincinnati still has a bigger bowl berth in mind and a bounce back effort on senior night is my “key angle” in this one. Key Trends: - ECU is just 7-19 ATS in its last 26 as an underdog. - The Pirates are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 vs. teams with winning records. - The Bearcats are 3-1 ATS in their last four vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: Lay the points, expect a rout. |
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11-23-18 | Nebraska +10 v. Iowa | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 49 h 8 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Nebraska. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Nebraska comes in on top form, with quality wins over Illinois and Michigan State. A great “situational” angle here, as clearly the Huskers are playing for pride with no chance at a bowl. Iowa on the other hand is 7-4 and win or lose, it’s not going to affect its standings. Key Trends: - Nebraska is already 3-0 ATS this season against clubs with winning records - The Huskers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 on the road. - Iowa is just 2-3 ATS in its last five vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: The Hawkeyes get caught looking past their lowly opponent, leaving the back door open. Grab the points. |
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