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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-17-20 | Michigan v. Iowa -4.5 | Top | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Iowa. I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in the outcome of this game. Michigan is only 2-3 in conference action and it enters off a demoralizing 75-67 road loss to Minnesota. Iowa is only 3-3 in league play, but it comes in off back-to-back victories. In fact note that Michigan is 0-4 in true road games this year. The Wolverines score an average of 77.9 PPG and they allow 68.6, while Iowa averages 79.3 PPG and it allows 68.9. Key Trends: - Michigan is 1-4 ATS on the road this year. - The Wolverines are only 3-4 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per game. The verdict: I look for Michigan's road woes to carry over here vs. this red hot home side; lay the points! |
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01-16-20 | Marist +12 v. Monmouth | Top | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Marist. I think Marist, which comes in off a 69-52 loss at home to Rigers on Sunday, will keep this one closer than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Braden Bell had nine points and three streal in the most recent setback for the Red Foxes. Monmouth enters off an 84-70 loss at Quinnipiac. The Hawks are 5-0 at home this year and are led by Deion Hammond with 15.3 PPG. But with a game at Manahattan on Saturday night, I think the home side gets caught "looking past" its lowly opponent to that much more difficult contest vs. the No. 2 team in the conference standings. Key Trends: - Marist is a strong 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range (including 1-0 ATS this year.) - Monmouth is already just 1-2 ATS this year as a home favorite. The verdict: The stars and the planets have aligned for the Red Foxes tonight; grab up all those points! |
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01-15-20 | George Mason v. George Washington +2 | Top | 67-73 | Win | 100 | 24 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* TOP DOG is on George Washington. I think that 12-4 George Mason takes a step back here vs. this hungry 6-10 George Washington home side. To say this is a "revenge game" would be a bit of an understatement, as George Mason has taken four straight in the series, including all three last year. The Colonials lost to Duquesne last time out, while the Patriots got the better of La Salle. Previous to its latest win though, George Mason had lost three in a row. The Colonial lost 66-61 to the Dukes, led by 14 points from Jameer Nelson Jr. Key Trends: - While the Patriots have been winning SU in this series, they've stumbled badly ATS, going just 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs. George Washington. - George Washington is a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five as a home dog of three points or less. The verdict: Grab the points, but obviously we're expecting an outright win here! |
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01-14-20 | Nebraska +18 v. Ohio State | Top | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Nebraska. The 7-9 Nebraska Cornhuskers storm into the Pacific Northwest looking to pull off the big outright upset vs. the 11-5 Ohio State Buckeyes on Monday night. Ohio State is the better "on paper," but the Buckeyes enter with absolutely no momentum whatsoever, having lost five of their last six. Nebraska beat Iowa, but then stumbled to Northwestern 62-57 last time out. The Huskers rank 22nd in the country with only 11.2 turnovers per game, meaning that they don't usually "beat themselves." Ohio State lost 66-54 to Inidana last time out. Key Trends: - Nebraska is already 2-0 ATS this year off a loss vs. a conference rival. - The Huskers are 4-1 ATS in their last five off a road cover where it lost SU as an underdog. - The Buckeyes are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight off an upset loss as a favorite (including only 1-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: Both teams are hungry. Expect a battle. Also, grab the points! |
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01-11-20 | Long Beach State +13 v. UC-Santa Barbara | Top | 55-52 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG TOP DOG is on LBSU. I like the 5-12 LBSU 49ers to sneak in the under the radar here and catch the 12-4 UCSB Gauchos off guard tonight. I'm not calling for an outright upset, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe in my opinion. UCSB comes in content after six straight wins, most recently a 63-45 victory over Cal Poly. JaQuori McLaughlin averages 15.3 PPG. LBSU enters off a 95-77 loss to Cal State Northridge. Michael Carter III was a bright spot in the setback with 19 points. Key Trends: - LBSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six after failing to cover the spread in three or more straight games. - UC Santa Barbara is already a poor 1-2 ATS this season as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more. The verdict: I think the Gauchos come in complacent and I believe the 49ers will play desperately. Grab the points and expect this one to come down to the wire! |
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01-10-20 | Northern Kentucky v. Illinois-Chicago +1.5 | Top | 68-52 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on Illinois Chicago.  The 10-6 Norse invade 6-11 Illinois Chicago on Friday night and I'm expecting a minor upset. Despite having the better record, NKU has still lost three of its last five games. Same for the Flames. UIC is better at home than on the road and I believe they'll be the hungrier team on the floor as well. NKU got a season-high 21 points from Bryson Langdon in the Norse's most recent 75-64 win over Oakland, but the continued absence of leading-scorer Dantez Walton is significant tonight in my opinion. The Flames though are desperate after three straight losses, including a 64-62 nail-biter to Milwaukee. Darius Roy was a bright spot in the setback with 19 points. Key Trends: - NKU is a poor 9-13 ATS in its last 22 as a road favorite or pick. - Illinois Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home dog of three points or less or pick. The verdict: I think the home side finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night; play on UIC! |
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01-10-20 | Maryland v. Iowa UNDER 146.5 | Top | 49-67 | Win | 100 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Maryland/Iowa. The Terps arrive in town after a 67-55 win over No. 11 ranked Ohio State on Tuesday. Iowa will be cautious here after its 76-70 loss to Nebraska on Tuesday as an 8.5 point favorite. The Hawkeyes are going to have trouble scoring here though in my opinion vs. the Maryland team which just held Ohio State to 31.3 percent shooting (the eighth time this season already the Terps have held a team under 60 points.) Key Trends: - Maryland has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last ten as a favorite. - Iowa has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of nine already this season when the total in the contest is set between 140 and 149.5. The verdict: Both teams play at a "medium" pace and when combined with the above information, I believe it does indeed all add up to a lower-scoring defensive battle; play the under! |
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01-09-20 | College of Charleston v. Elon UNDER 139 | Top | 73-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR is on UNDER Charleston/Elon. The 10-6 Charleston Cougars are going to have their hands full I think with this hungry 4-12 Elon Phoenix team. Charleston won both games last year (72-53 at home and 84-74 at Elon.) This is the first game between the schools this year and I believe it'll produce a final combined score like the first one between them last season. The Cougars have posted five straight double-digit wins and they're 4-0 in league play. Charleston though averages just 71.4 PPG, while conceding only 67.1. Grant Riller leads the nightly charge with 22.2 PPG. The Phoenix have lost five straight. Marcus Sheffield averages 17.1 PPG. Overall the Phoenix average 68.6 PPG, while conceding 72.8. Key Trends: - The Cougars have seen the total go under the number in three of their last four as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 9 points range. - The Phoenix have seen the total dip below the posted number in six straight following a road loss by 20 points or more. The verdict: This is a bit of a trap for the Cougars. The last thing the Phoenix want to do though is to turn this into a "track meet." I believe this one definitely sets up as a lower-scoring defensive battle; play the under! |
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01-08-20 | Northwestern +13 v. Indiana | Top | 62-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on Northwestern. Am I suggesting that Northwestern will pull off the outright upset here? I'm not. But I do think that the hungry Wildcats are going to come out on fire and I look for them to keep this one close down the stretch. The Hoosiers are susceptible right now as well after back-to-back losses. The Wildcats do have one respectable win this year, taking down Providence at the start of the season. Key Trends: - Northwestern is already 6-2 ATS this year as an underdog (and 3-1 ATS as a road dog.) - The Wildcats are 5-3 ATS this season vs. teams with winning records. - Indiana is already 0-2 ATS this year as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 18 points range. The verdict: Clearly Indiana is the better team. But I believe the desperate Wildcats come in under the radar here and cover with the large spread they've been afforded tonight; grab the points! |
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01-07-20 | Iowa v. Nebraska +8 | Top | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE YEAR is on Nebraska. The 6-8 Nebraska Cornhuskers close out a five-game home stand in need of a victory. An upset here over 10-4 Iowa would go a long way in helping turn the season around. Nebraska has won three of the last five in the series, including 93-91 in OT last March. The Hawkeyes look poised for a letdown here though in my opinion after their 89-86 loss to Penn State last time out. There were ten ties and 30 lead changes in that contest, so after that emotional setback, everything points to another letdown tonight. Iowa averages 83 PPG and it concedes 81.3. Nebraska averages 74 and it concedes 77. On paper, clearly the Hawkeyes have the advantage. But situationally and motivationally, I believe the Huskers have the advantage tonight. Key Trends: - Iowa is a poor 6-18 ATS in its last 24 road games. - The Hawkeyes are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after scoring 85 points or more in two straight games. - Nebraska is 18-10 ATS in its last 18 after failing to cover the spread in its last game (including 5-2 ATS this year.) The verdict: CJ Fredrick is listed as questionable for the visitors as well, as he sprained his ankle in the loss to the Nittany Lions. The visitors are the better team on most nights, but not tonight. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a battle until the final horn! |
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01-04-20 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Mississippi Valley State +4.5 | Top | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Mississippi Valley State. These are two very poor teams. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 1-11. Mississippi State Valley is 1-12. That said, I don't think that the home floor advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular contest. Not only that, but the Devils play with revenge here after getting smoked by Arkansas Pine Bluff 91-57 last March. Key Trends: - Arkansas Pine-Bluff is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a road favorite. - Mississippi Valley State is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 as a home dog in the -2 to -5.5 range after a three-games or longer losing streak. The verdict: These teams are evenly matched, but the situational and trend based factors working in favor of the home side today make it the correct call; play on the Devils! |
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01-01-20 | New Mexico v. San Jose State +11.5 | Top | 85-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* CASH-BOMB is on San Jose State. I think 13-2 New Mexico comes into this one complacent vs. hungry 4-10 San Jose State. The Spartans come in off a confidence building 83-68 win over Pepperdine as well, with guar Brae Ivey scoring a career high 23 points. UNM most recently got the better of UC Davis 74-69 on Sunday, anchored by 20 points from Corey Manigault. The Lobos though struggled to pull away and depth is a concern with a couple lingering injuries to two starters. Key Trends: - SJSU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games following a victory in which it won and held its opponent to 70 points or less in. - The Lobos are interestingly 0-5 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400. The verdict: The Spartans only lost to ranked Utah State by 12 points and they come in off their biggest win of the year. The Lobos on the other hand are starting to show "cracks in the armor" after their extended run. I think the "hungrier" team keeps it closer than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe here; grab the points! |
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12-30-19 | NC-Wilmington +8.5 v. Drexel | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on NC Wilmington. UNCW is 5-9 and Drexel is 7-7. The Seahawks though have dominated this mathcup, as they've won seven of the last eight SU, including going 5-2 ATS in the last seven. That said, Drexel won the last game last year by 12 points as a 4.5 point favorite, meaning that the "revenge factor" also comes into play here for the visiting side. UNCW averages 73 PPG The Dragons come in off a loss as wel to Charleston on Friday and I think they're set up for a letdown here as well. Key Trends: - UNCW is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 off a loss vs. a conference rival. - Drexel is just 2-4 ATS at home this year. The verdict: I think the high-flying Seahawks keep this one close down the stretch; grab the points! |
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For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.