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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-17-20 | Michigan v. Iowa -4.5 | Top | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Iowa. I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in the outcome of this game. Michigan is only 2-3 in conference action and it enters off a demoralizing 75-67 road loss to Minnesota. Iowa is only 3-3 in league play, but it comes in off back-to-back victories. In fact note that Michigan is 0-4 in true road games this year. The Wolverines score an average of 77.9 PPG and they allow 68.6, while Iowa averages 79.3 PPG and it allows 68.9. Key Trends: - Michigan is 1-4 ATS on the road this year. - The Wolverines are only 3-4 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per game. The verdict: I look for Michigan's road woes to carry over here vs. this red hot home side; lay the points! |
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01-16-20 | Marist +12 v. Monmouth | Top | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Marist. I think Marist, which comes in off a 69-52 loss at home to Rigers on Sunday, will keep this one closer than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Braden Bell had nine points and three streal in the most recent setback for the Red Foxes. Monmouth enters off an 84-70 loss at Quinnipiac. The Hawks are 5-0 at home this year and are led by Deion Hammond with 15.3 PPG. But with a game at Manahattan on Saturday night, I think the home side gets caught "looking past" its lowly opponent to that much more difficult contest vs. the No. 2 team in the conference standings. Key Trends: - Marist is a strong 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range (including 1-0 ATS this year.) - Monmouth is already just 1-2 ATS this year as a home favorite. The verdict: The stars and the planets have aligned for the Red Foxes tonight; grab up all those points! |
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01-15-20 | George Mason v. George Washington +2 | Top | 67-73 | Win | 100 | 24 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* TOP DOG is on George Washington. I think that 12-4 George Mason takes a step back here vs. this hungry 6-10 George Washington home side. To say this is a "revenge game" would be a bit of an understatement, as George Mason has taken four straight in the series, including all three last year. The Colonials lost to Duquesne last time out, while the Patriots got the better of La Salle. Previous to its latest win though, George Mason had lost three in a row. The Colonial lost 66-61 to the Dukes, led by 14 points from Jameer Nelson Jr. Key Trends: - While the Patriots have been winning SU in this series, they've stumbled badly ATS, going just 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs. George Washington. - George Washington is a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five as a home dog of three points or less. The verdict: Grab the points, but obviously we're expecting an outright win here! |
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01-14-20 | Nebraska +18 v. Ohio State | Top | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Nebraska. The 7-9 Nebraska Cornhuskers storm into the Pacific Northwest looking to pull off the big outright upset vs. the 11-5 Ohio State Buckeyes on Monday night. Ohio State is the better "on paper," but the Buckeyes enter with absolutely no momentum whatsoever, having lost five of their last six. Nebraska beat Iowa, but then stumbled to Northwestern 62-57 last time out. The Huskers rank 22nd in the country with only 11.2 turnovers per game, meaning that they don't usually "beat themselves." Ohio State lost 66-54 to Inidana last time out. Key Trends: - Nebraska is already 2-0 ATS this year off a loss vs. a conference rival. - The Huskers are 4-1 ATS in their last five off a road cover where it lost SU as an underdog. - The Buckeyes are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight off an upset loss as a favorite (including only 1-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: Both teams are hungry. Expect a battle. Also, grab the points! |
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01-11-20 | Long Beach State +13 v. UC-Santa Barbara | Top | 55-52 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG TOP DOG is on LBSU. I like the 5-12 LBSU 49ers to sneak in the under the radar here and catch the 12-4 UCSB Gauchos off guard tonight. I'm not calling for an outright upset, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe in my opinion. UCSB comes in content after six straight wins, most recently a 63-45 victory over Cal Poly. JaQuori McLaughlin averages 15.3 PPG. LBSU enters off a 95-77 loss to Cal State Northridge. Michael Carter III was a bright spot in the setback with 19 points. Key Trends: - LBSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six after failing to cover the spread in three or more straight games. - UC Santa Barbara is already a poor 1-2 ATS this season as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more. The verdict: I think the Gauchos come in complacent and I believe the 49ers will play desperately. Grab the points and expect this one to come down to the wire! |
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01-10-20 | Northern Kentucky v. Illinois-Chicago +1.5 | Top | 68-52 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on Illinois Chicago. The 10-6 Norse invade 6-11 Illinois Chicago on Friday night and I'm expecting a minor upset. Despite having the better record, NKU has still lost three of its last five games. Same for the Flames. UIC is better at home than on the road and I believe they'll be the hungrier team on the floor as well. NKU got a season-high 21 points from Bryson Langdon in the Norse's most recent 75-64 win over Oakland, but the continued absence of leading-scorer Dantez Walton is significant tonight in my opinion. The Flames though are desperate after three straight losses, including a 64-62 nail-biter to Milwaukee. Darius Roy was a bright spot in the setback with 19 points. Key Trends: - NKU is a poor 9-13 ATS in its last 22 as a road favorite or pick. - Illinois Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home dog of three points or less or pick. The verdict: I think the home side finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night; play on UIC! |
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01-10-20 | Maryland v. Iowa UNDER 146.5 | Top | 49-67 | Win | 100 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Maryland/Iowa. The Terps arrive in town after a 67-55 win over No. 11 ranked Ohio State on Tuesday. Iowa will be cautious here after its 76-70 loss to Nebraska on Tuesday as an 8.5 point favorite. The Hawkeyes are going to have trouble scoring here though in my opinion vs. the Maryland team which just held Ohio State to 31.3 percent shooting (the eighth time this season already the Terps have held a team under 60 points.) Key Trends: - Maryland has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last ten as a favorite. - Iowa has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of nine already this season when the total in the contest is set between 140 and 149.5. The verdict: Both teams play at a "medium" pace and when combined with the above information, I believe it does indeed all add up to a lower-scoring defensive battle; play the under! |
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01-09-20 | College of Charleston v. Elon UNDER 139 | Top | 73-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR is on UNDER Charleston/Elon. The 10-6 Charleston Cougars are going to have their hands full I think with this hungry 4-12 Elon Phoenix team. Charleston won both games last year (72-53 at home and 84-74 at Elon.) This is the first game between the schools this year and I believe it'll produce a final combined score like the first one between them last season. The Cougars have posted five straight double-digit wins and they're 4-0 in league play. Charleston though averages just 71.4 PPG, while conceding only 67.1. Grant Riller leads the nightly charge with 22.2 PPG. The Phoenix have lost five straight. Marcus Sheffield averages 17.1 PPG. Overall the Phoenix average 68.6 PPG, while conceding 72.8. Key Trends: - The Cougars have seen the total go under the number in three of their last four as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 9 points range. - The Phoenix have seen the total dip below the posted number in six straight following a road loss by 20 points or more. The verdict: This is a bit of a trap for the Cougars. The last thing the Phoenix want to do though is to turn this into a "track meet." I believe this one definitely sets up as a lower-scoring defensive battle; play the under! |
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01-08-20 | Northwestern +13 v. Indiana | Top | 62-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on Northwestern. Am I suggesting that Northwestern will pull off the outright upset here? I'm not. But I do think that the hungry Wildcats are going to come out on fire and I look for them to keep this one close down the stretch. The Hoosiers are susceptible right now as well after back-to-back losses. The Wildcats do have one respectable win this year, taking down Providence at the start of the season. Key Trends: - Northwestern is already 6-2 ATS this year as an underdog (and 3-1 ATS as a road dog.) - The Wildcats are 5-3 ATS this season vs. teams with winning records. - Indiana is already 0-2 ATS this year as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 18 points range. The verdict: Clearly Indiana is the better team. But I believe the desperate Wildcats come in under the radar here and cover with the large spread they've been afforded tonight; grab the points! |
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01-07-20 | Iowa v. Nebraska +8 | Top | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE YEAR is on Nebraska. The 6-8 Nebraska Cornhuskers close out a five-game home stand in need of a victory. An upset here over 10-4 Iowa would go a long way in helping turn the season around. Nebraska has won three of the last five in the series, including 93-91 in OT last March. The Hawkeyes look poised for a letdown here though in my opinion after their 89-86 loss to Penn State last time out. There were ten ties and 30 lead changes in that contest, so after that emotional setback, everything points to another letdown tonight. Iowa averages 83 PPG and it concedes 81.3. Nebraska averages 74 and it concedes 77. On paper, clearly the Hawkeyes have the advantage. But situationally and motivationally, I believe the Huskers have the advantage tonight. Key Trends: - Iowa is a poor 6-18 ATS in its last 24 road games. - The Hawkeyes are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after scoring 85 points or more in two straight games. - Nebraska is 18-10 ATS in its last 18 after failing to cover the spread in its last game (including 5-2 ATS this year.) The verdict: CJ Fredrick is listed as questionable for the visitors as well, as he sprained his ankle in the loss to the Nittany Lions. The visitors are the better team on most nights, but not tonight. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a battle until the final horn! |
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01-04-20 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Mississippi Valley State +4.5 | Top | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Mississippi Valley State. These are two very poor teams. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 1-11. Mississippi State Valley is 1-12. That said, I don't think that the home floor advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular contest. Not only that, but the Devils play with revenge here after getting smoked by Arkansas Pine Bluff 91-57 last March. Key Trends: - Arkansas Pine-Bluff is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a road favorite. - Mississippi Valley State is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 as a home dog in the -2 to -5.5 range after a three-games or longer losing streak. The verdict: These teams are evenly matched, but the situational and trend based factors working in favor of the home side today make it the correct call; play on the Devils! |
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01-01-20 | New Mexico v. San Jose State +11.5 | Top | 85-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* CASH-BOMB is on San Jose State. I think 13-2 New Mexico comes into this one complacent vs. hungry 4-10 San Jose State. The Spartans come in off a confidence building 83-68 win over Pepperdine as well, with guar Brae Ivey scoring a career high 23 points. UNM most recently got the better of UC Davis 74-69 on Sunday, anchored by 20 points from Corey Manigault. The Lobos though struggled to pull away and depth is a concern with a couple lingering injuries to two starters. Key Trends: - SJSU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games following a victory in which it won and held its opponent to 70 points or less in. - The Lobos are interestingly 0-5 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400. The verdict: The Spartans only lost to ranked Utah State by 12 points and they come in off their biggest win of the year. The Lobos on the other hand are starting to show "cracks in the armor" after their extended run. I think the "hungrier" team keeps it closer than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe here; grab the points! |
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12-30-19 | NC-Wilmington +8.5 v. Drexel | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on NC Wilmington. UNCW is 5-9 and Drexel is 7-7. The Seahawks though have dominated this mathcup, as they've won seven of the last eight SU, including going 5-2 ATS in the last seven. That said, Drexel won the last game last year by 12 points as a 4.5 point favorite, meaning that the "revenge factor" also comes into play here for the visiting side. UNCW averages 73 PPG The Dragons come in off a loss as wel to Charleston on Friday and I think they're set up for a letdown here as well. Key Trends: - UNCW is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 off a loss vs. a conference rival. - Drexel is just 2-4 ATS at home this year. The verdict: I think the high-flying Seahawks keep this one close down the stretch; grab the points! |
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12-29-19 | Maine +15.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 51-91 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING is on Maine. This is Maine's biggest road trip in program history and I think it'll make the most of it. The Black Bears come in under the radar here, most recently they lost 74-53 to UMass. Nedeljko Prijovic was a stand out in the setback with 15 points. Hawaii is led by Eddie Stansberry with 16.5 PPG, but with the New Year break coming up, followed by conference play after, I think the Warriors definitely get caught "looking past" their lowly non-conference opponent today. Key Trends: - Maine is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference road games following a 20 points or more loss in its previous outing. - Hawaii is just 2-4 ATS in its last six home games a 15 points or more home favorite vs. a non-conference opponent. The verdict: No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! |
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12-21-19 | North Florida v. Syracuse -12.5 | Top | 70-82 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Syracuse. I like 6-5 Syracuse to lay the hammer down on the North Florida Ospreys today. Elijah Hughes and Joseph Girard III led the way in a 74-62 victory against Oakland in the Dome on Wednesday. Hughes had 23 points, while Girard III added 20 points to go along with seven assists. Note that the Orange are 21st in assist turnover ratio (1.36). North Florida is 7-6 and it enters off a 98-81 loss to FSU last time out. Four players average more than ten points for the Ospreys, but I still think they'll have difficulty keeping pace with the Orange in the Carrier Dome tonight. Key Trends: - Syracuse is 7-3 ATS in its last ten non-conference home games as a 13 point or higher favorite. The verdict: This is a bad matchpu for the Ospreys, who struggle against good three-points shooting teams (note that Hughes is fourth in 3-point field goals made (40) and fifth in 3-point field goals per game (3.64) in the country.) Lay the points! |
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12-19-19 | William & Mary v. St. Joe's +1.5 | Top | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on St. Joes. William & Mary enters at 8-3, while the St. Joseph's Hawks are just 2-9. After winning four of five though, I think the visitors come in complacent. However, the Hawks have lost five straight and I believe they'll be risking life and limb, pulling out all the stops as they try to get off the schneid and back into the winners circle. The bottom line though is that the Tribe have played a very weak schedule, and the Hawks have played a more difficult one. Key Trends: - St. Joe's is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a home dog (including 2-0 ATS this year.) - The Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after allowing 85 or more points (including 2-1 ATS this season.) - W&M is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after having won four of its last five SU. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team finds a way to get the job done at home; grab the short points! |
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12-16-19 | Eastern Illinois v. Western Illinois +2 | Top | 85-47 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on Western Illinois. EIU claimed a 68-66 OT win over WIU last year. Suffice it to say, I think that revenge is a dish best served cold. The Panthers come in a 5-4, while the Leathernecks are 2-7. EIU averages 78.3 PPG, but defense has been a liability. WIU comes in off a hard-fought 90-86 loss to Evansville, but I think it carries that momentum over here as it looks to break the three game slide in this series. Key Trends: - WIU is 4-0 ATS in its last four as an undredog. - WIU is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with a winning SU record. - EIU is only 2-5 ATS in its last seven on the road. The verdict: Clearly I think the outright is going to happen, but let's grab the points! |
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12-14-19 | Fresno State v. Cal Poly OVER 134.5 | Top | 62-37 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the OVER Fresno State/Cal Poly. These are two teams hungry for a win. Fresno State is 2-7 and Cal Poly is 2-8. The Bulldogs come in off a tight 69-63 loss to Cal on Wednesay, led by 21 points from New Williams. For the season the Bulldogs average 70.6 PPG and they allow 70.2. The Mustangs broke a five-game slide with a 70-66 win over Sienna last time out and I think that first year coach John Smith's team can build off that performance at home. Key Trends: - Fresno State has seen the total go over the number in all three games it's played in this year as a favorite. - Cal Poly has seen the total soar over the number in 13 of its last 16 as a home dog. The verdict: This one has the feel of a wide open "shootout," rather than a slower-paced "chess match." Play the over! |
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12-14-19 | Evansville v. Green Bay -2 | Top | 72-62 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Wisconsin Green Bay. Evansville has the better record at 7-3, but 3-6 Wisconsin Green Bay is favored slightly at home in this one. And for good reason in my estimation as I look for the Phoenix to take advantage of familiar surroundings and to post a big and much needed win in front of the home town crowd. The Purple Aces average 80.6 PPG, but they concede 78.1. Yes they're 2-0 on the road, but now they face a Green Bay team that returns home hungry after a four-game road trip. The Phoenix are 2-1 at home so far. Key Trends: - The Purple Aces are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine off a home win by ten points or more. - The Phoenix are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. The verdict: After defeating Kentucky in their second game of the year, I believe that the Purple Aces are vastly over-rated and will continue to be so. They're horrible defensively and I think they stumble here vs. this hungry home side; lay the short points! |
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12-13-19 | Colorado v. Colorado State +5.5 | Top | 56-48 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Colorado State. I think the 7-2 Colorado Buffalos will have their hands full with the 7-5 Colorado State Rams. CSU comes in off a win, while Colorado enters off two straight losses. Most recently the Buffs fell 79-76 to Northern Iowa. Tyler Bey leads the way for Colorado with 13 points, 11 boards and 2.1 assists per game. CSU is led by Nico Carvacho with 13.3 points, 9.9 boards and 2.2 assists per night. Carvacho had 12 points in his team's most recent 72-68 home win over South Dakota State. Key Trends: - The Rams are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600. - The Buffaloes are 13-37-1 ATS in their last 51 road games. The verdict: The Rams are not a push over this year and they come in off a confidence building victory which I believe gets carried over here. The outright is possible, but let's grab up the points! |
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12-11-19 | Cornell +11.5 v. Colgate | Top | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Cornell. The Cornell Big Red are just 1-7 and the Colgate Raiders are 6-4. The Big Red though won't be lacking for motivation as they attempt to snap a seven-game skid, including four losses by three points or less, vs. the reigning Patriot champion. Keep your eyes on Jimmy Boeheim, who is averaging team bests of 19.5 points and 6.8 rebounds for Cornell, numbers that raise to 23.3 ppg. and 12.0 rpg over the last three. Colgate is 5-0 at home, but it comes in off a 93-82 OT loss at Niagara, which snapped a five-game win streak. How will the Raiders respond? I think another letdown is imminent. Key Trends: - Cornell is 7-2 ATS in its last nine following a five games or more unbeaten streak. - Colgate is just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 following an OT loss of ten points or more. The verdict: I think the Big Red match up well here; grab the points! |
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12-10-19 | Louisville v. Texas Tech +7.5 | Top | 57-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on Texas Tech. The mighty 9-0 Louisville Cardinals are going to have a fight from start to finish on their hands here from the 5-3 Texas Tech Red Raiders in my estimation. Texas Tech has lost three straight, so clearly it'll be desperate for a win here and what better opponent to try and pull the upset against? Louisville averages 77.1 PPG and it concedes 57.6. Eight different players hit a three-pointer in the Cardinals most recent win over Pittsburgh. Texas Tech most recently lost 65-60 in OT to DePaul (Terrence Shannon Jr. was a bright spot in a losing cause with 24 points.) Note though that Texas Tech hasn't lost four straight non-conference games since 1991. Overall the Red Raiders average 79 PPG and concede 65.1. Key Trends: - Louisville is just 14-18 ATS in its last 32 non-confernece games (including only 3-4 ATS this season.) - Texas Tech is 21-15 ATS in its last 36 non-conference contests. The verdict: I think the home side matches up well and I think its determination bridges the gaps; that said, grab the points! |
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12-07-19 | Cleveland State +18.5 v. Kent State | Top | 59-81 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* D vs G is on Cleveland State. Am I predicting an outright upset for the 4-5 Cleveland State Vikings vs. the 7-1 Kent State Golden Flashes? I'm not. I simply feel that Kent will get caught looking past this hungry Vikings team. Most recently the Flashes beat Detroit 92-57. Cleveland State won't be rolling over here. Note that the Vikings had won three in a row before losing at home to Toledo 80-65 on Wednesday. The Vikings' offense has been better of late, topping 65 points in their last three games, led by Algevon Eichelberger, who averages in double figures. Key Trends: - Cleveland State is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 off a home loss. - Kent State is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine off a home win scoring 85 or more points in the process. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team keeps this one more competitive that what this spread is suggesting; grab the points! |
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12-05-19 | Oklahoma v. North Texas +6 | Top | 82-80 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on UNT. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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12-02-19 | Miami-FL +8 v. Illinois | Top | 81-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Miami Florida. This is part of the annual ACC-Big Ten Challenge. This is a big game for the Hurricanes who are 0-3 vs. Top 100 teams to open the season. Miami has allowed 79 PPG over its last two losses, but overall the defense has been decent. Overall Miami is averaging 62.3 PPG. The Illini average 88.3 PPG in the earliy going, but that's largely been due to the level of competition. Key Trends: - Miami is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as a road dog or pick - Illinois is just 10-14 ATS in its last 24 as a home favorite or pick. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team will at the very least, find a way to keep this one competitive late; grab the points! |
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11-28-19 | Providence v. Long Beach State +17 | Top | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING is on LBSU. Providence is 4-2, most recently defeating Merrimack 93-56. LBSU enters off a humbling 104-67 loss on the road in Arizona. The Friars average 80 and the 49ers allow 77. Key Trends: - However note that Providence is just 14-24 ATS in its last 28 as a favorite (including only 2-3 ATS this season). - The Friars are also a poor 3-6 ATS in their last nine after scoring 75 points or more in two straight games (including 0-2 ATS this year.) - LBSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six neutral court affairs. The verdict: The 49ers won't be going down without a fight here. LBSU has faced some tough opponents in the early going and I don't think it'll be intimiated here; grab the points! |
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11-25-19 | Alabama State +27 v. VCU | Top | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Alabama State. Alabama State faces its second straight ranked opponent here today, most recently taking on Tennessee, both contests part of the Emerald Coast Classic. Alabama State has also faced Gonzaga this year, so to say its "battle tested" in the early going would be a big understatement. Tobi Ewuosho leads Alabama State in scoring at 14.8 points per game. VCU is 5-0 and it already has a win over then No. 23 LSU by a score of 84-82. The Rams also just posted a 30-point victory over Florida Gulf Coast. However with a game against Purdue on Friday, I think the Rams get caught looking past their opponent today. Key Trends: - VCU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a 25 points or more favorite following a four-games or more unbeaten streak. The verdict: I like Alabama State to keep this one competitive until the final moments; grab the points! |
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11-23-19 | CS Bakersfield +27.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 49-77 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* SPECIAL is on Cal State. Gonzaga is 5-0 overall this year and 4-0 at home, while CSUB is 2-3, losing both of its road games. Clearly I'm not calling for the outright upset, but I do definitely feel that the Bulldogs will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. CSUB is coming off a 100-70 loss to San Francisco on Tuesday. Keep your eyes on Taze Moore, who is averaging 15 points and 3.4 RPG. Gonzaga enters off a tougher than expected 72-66 win over UT Arlington on Tuesday. The 72 points were a season low thus far. Key Trends: - CSUB is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three after failing to cover the spread in three or more straight games. - Gonzaga is interestingly just 27-30 ATS in its last 57 after playing two straight games as a favorite. The verdcit: Clearly I'm not calling for the outright upset, but everything points to a much tighter contest that what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-22-19 | Houston +7.5 v. Oregon | Top | 66-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* play on Houston. The Cougars are 3-1 and the Ducks are 4-0. Houston averages 84 PPG in the early going and I think it'll push Oregon to the brink here. Most recently Houston came back from a 7-point deficit at half time to beat Rice 97-89, led by 32 points from Quentin Grimes. Overall Houston averages 84 PPG and it concedes 72.3. Oregon averages 81.5 PPG and it allows 63.2. Payton Pritchard is averaging 20.2 points per game to lead the Ducks. Key Trends: - Houston is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog. - Oregon is just 13-16 ATS in its last 29 vs. good offensive teams which average over 77 plus points per contest. The verdict: In a game which I see coming down to the wire, I'm grabbing all these points! |
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11-19-19 | Furman v. Alabama -4 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on Alabama. Furman is 4-0 to open the season, but I think it'll have its hands full here with 1-2 Alabama. Furman won its most recent game, 83-81 at home over Southern Wesleyan, but now they face a Tide team in a foul mood after its 93-79 loss at Rhode Island most recently. Kira Lewis Jr. averages 22.3 PPG this year for Alabama and I think he's a big matchup issue for the Mid Major today. Key Trends: - Furman is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven as a road dog. - Alabama is 6-1 ATS in its last seven off an upset loss as a favorite. The verdict: This is a big test for Alabama first year head coach Nate Oates, but I think he has the personel to get the job done here; lay the short points! |
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11-18-19 | SIU-Edwardsville +16.5 v. South Dakota | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on SIU Edwardsville. SIUE came back from an 11-point second-half deficit to post a 57-55 victory away from friendly confines Saturday at Incarnate Word. Mike Adewunmi led the way with 12 points. South Dakota comes in off a relatively easy 88-69 win over Texas Southern, but I think it gets caught looking past its lowly opponent after improving to 4-0. Key Trends: - SIU Edwardsville is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games after holding its previous opponent to 55 points or less. - South Dakota is only 5-10 ATS in its last 15 off a home win by ten or more points. The verdict: I think SIUE matches up better vs. South Dakota than what this spread would suggest; grab the points! |
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11-17-19 | CS-Northridge +13 v. Richmond | Top | 62-90 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING is on CSUN. The 0-4 CSUN Matadors come in under the radar here and steal one comfortably ATS in my opinion vs. the Richmond Spiders. Terrell Gomez led the scoring for CS-Northridge with 23 points in a 116-70 loss to Auburn most recently. The Spiders come in content after an OT win over Vanderbilt last time out. Note that both of Richmond's victories have come in OT, meaning that the team is having difficulties closing out and it could easily be 0-2 right now as well if not for a few lucky bounces. Key Trends: - CSUN is 4-1 ATS in its last five when playing with one or less days rest. - Richmond is a terrible 6-14 ATS in its last 20 as a home favorite or pick. The verdict: I think Richmond is going to have a fight on its hands until the final moments; grab the points! |
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11-16-19 | St Bonaventure +7.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* BEST OF THE BEST is on St. Bonaventure. The Bonnies are 0-3 to open the year, while the Scarlet Knights are 3-0. Note though that Rutgers does not actually have the true "home court advantage" here, as this game is being played in Toronto as part of the James Naismith Classic tournament. The Bonnies enter off a 78-65 oss at Siena, with Dominick Welch a bright spot with 21 points. The Scarlet Knights were 7-13 in conference play last year and only 14-17 overall. Rutgers first three opponents are suspect though (Bryant, Niagara and Drexel.) Key Trends: - The Bonnies are 2-0 ATS in their last two after going 65 points or less in three straight games. - St. Bonaventure is 18-11 ATS in its last 29 after faling to cover the spread. - The Scarelt Knights are only 2-7 ATS in their last nine after conceding 65 points or less in two straight games. The verdict: I think this one comes down to the wire and as such, I'm going to grab the points! |
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11-15-19 | Florida Gulf Coast +5.5 v. Mercer | Top | 68-84 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on the Florida Gulf Coast. The FGCU Eagles won't be lacking for motivation here after they fell 55-49 to Dartmouth last time out. FGCU went into half tied at 29-29 as well. Sophomore Zach Scott leads the nightly charge with 16.3 PPG. Mercer is only 515 miles from the Mercer Campus. Mercer has won two in a row, but over lowly Columbia International and Kennesaw State (the Bears did lose their opener at Saint John's 109-79.) Ethan Stair leads Mercer with 20.3 points and 9.7 rebounds. Key Trends: - FGCU is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games after two or more SU losses. - Mercer is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine home games after back to back SU victories. The verdict: I think the hungry Eagles matchup well here. This spread is low and while I do think the outright is possible, in the end I'll recommend grabbing the points in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last; grab the points! |
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11-14-19 | Alabama A&M +35 v. Cincinnati | Top | 53-85 | Win | 100 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* ATS BLOWOUT is on Alabama A&M. I think that the Bearcats get caught looking past the lowly Bulldogs tonight. Alabama A&M enters off a 74-52 loss to UAB, while Cincinnati comes in off an 81-59 victory over Drake. Key Trends: - Alabama A&M is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a 20 points or more loss in its previous outing and as a 30 or more point underdog. - The Bearcats are a poor 2-7 ATS in their last nine at home. The verdict: With another cream puff vs. Illinois State up next before a game vs. UCLA, I think Cincinnati coasts in this one; grab all these points! |
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11-13-19 | Grand Canyon +10.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 61-86 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Grand Canyon. I think SDSU gets caught looking past its lowly opponent here. The Lopes hit the road for the first time this year after two straight losses at home. Most recently GCU fell to Illinois 83-71: "We just are trying to get better every day," Lopes head coach Dan Majerle said. "It was better (vs. Illinois) but we've still got a long way to go. The schedule doesn't get any easier so we have to find a way." SDSU on the other hand comes in off a satisfying 76-71 win at BYU and a 77-42 victory over Texas Southern. As stated off the top, I think this one sets up as a "letdown/look-ahead" spot for the home side. Key Trends: - GCU is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - SDSU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after a win by six points or less. The verdict: No outright, but closer than expected! Grab the points! |
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11-12-19 | Pepperdine v. CS-Northridge +5.5 | Top | 94-82 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on CS Northridge. This is the Matadors home opener and I expect them to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. CSUN lost 87-67 at Oregon State and then 97-70 at New Mexico. A little home cooking is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked in my opinion though. Terrell Gomez is averaging a team-high 16.5 points so far for the Matadors. But if recent history is any precedence, then CSUN has to be loving its chances as it won this game 90-83 last year. After falling 87-71 at Cal, the Waves bounced back with a 77-73 win over UC Irvine last Saturday, but I believe they'll struggle to contain this determined home side. Key Trends: - Peppderine is just 1-5 ATS in its last six after a win by six points or less. - The Wave are only 1-3 ATS in their last four as a road favorite. - CSUN is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog in the 3.5 to six points range. The verdict: Expect this one to come down to the wire and grab as many points as you can! |
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11-11-19 | DePaul v. Iowa -9 | Top | 93-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Iowa. DePaul is 3-0 and Iowa is 1-0. The Blue Demons started off hot last year as well, before then stumbling and finishing 15-15 overall. Now DePaul is re-working its team after losing most of its core group last year. Charlie Moore was picked up from Kansas and he's averaged 19 PPG, but beyond that the Blue Demons are thin. Iowa went to the NCAA tournament last year and it would advantage to the round of 32 before falling to Tennessee in OT. Luke Garza is now the main man in Iowa, he's put up 20 points and 12 boards in the opening win. Key Trends: - DePaul is just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 as a road underdog or pick. - Iowa is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 non-conference contests. - The verdict: I like Iowa to pull away comfortably in the second half as I look for its depth to ultimatley prove to be too much for DePaul to hang with; lay the points! |
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11-10-19 | Pacific v. Florida A&M +9.5 | Top | 76-54 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Florida A&M. This is the second game for both teams at the Outrigger Resorts Rainbow Classic in Hawaii. The Florida A&M Rattlers will be eager to get off the schneid here after starting 0-2. The Pacific Tigers are 1-1. FAMU lost 77-48 to USC in its opener, before then also losing 65-52 to host Hawaii to open this tournament (Kamron Reaves and Rod Melton had 11 points each in the setback.) Good news though is the face the Tigers, whose only win was a 69-47 victory over Division II Stanislaus State. Pacific then followed that up with a ten point loss to South Dakota to open this tournament. The verdict: FAMU outscored host Hawaii by seven points in the second half of its first game and I look for it to carry that momentum over here; grab the ample points! |
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11-09-19 | CS-Fullerton v. Stanford OVER 139 | Top | 54-70 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST is on the OVER Cal State/Stanford. The three-point line in College Basketball was moved back at the start of the season. Has this truly effected totals early? Also note that the shot clock has been reduced to just 20 seconds on offensive rebounds, which is supposed to hurry the game up. Cal State Fullerton lost in a poor showing to BYU in its opener, so there's no question it'll be pushing the pace from the opening tip until the final horn here. The Cardinal enter off a victory over Montana to start their season. Cal State allowed BYU to shoot 49.1 percent from the field in its opener though, including 45.8 percent from range. Stanford is deep and I think its entire bench can produce today (note the Cardinal bench had 23 points in the season opening victory.) Key Trends: - Cal State has seen the total go over in seven of its last ten road games when the total is set between 135 and 140 points. - Stanford has seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of its last six home games when the total falls between 135 and 140 points. The verdict: The writing is on the wall and a "shootout" is in the cards; play the over! |
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11-09-19 | Utah Valley v. Denver +3 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* MID MAJOR MAULING is on Denver. Denver plays with revenge after allowing the Utah Valley Wolverines to score 98 points in last year's 23 point loss. Denver most recently fell 74-63 to Colorado State, but I expect a bounce back performance in this revenge spot. Key Trends: - Utah Valley is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 on the road. - Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home dog or pick. The verdict: Look for the home side to catch Utah Valley flat-footed here and to avenge last year's humbling setback, with the core of that group on the floor tonight; grab the points! |
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11-08-19 | Florida Atlantic v. Miami-FL -12 | Top | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
FAU is 1-0 and Miami Florida is 0-1. The Hurricanes got thrashed by Louisville on Opening night, while the Owls beat Division II Flagler College. The Hurricanes have dominated this series though, coming in with a 23-1 all time record, which includes a convincing 75-55 decision last season. I expect a similar result here. FAU is coming off its worst season season 2010/11, finishing 17-16 last year and while it does return four starters, it still does not match up well at all here vs. Miami. The Hurricanes finished 14-18 last year, so after the opening day loss, posting a convincing blowout victory here is basically essential for Jim Larranaga's team. Key Trends: - Miami is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss. - FAU is only 8-20 ATS in its last 28 following a SU win. The verdict: Miami has too much size and talent for the Owls to keep up with. Throw in last year's sub-par campaign and the opening night loss and I expect this one to be ugly from start to finish; lay the points! |
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11-06-19 | Florida State v. Pittsburgh +3.5 | Top | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Pittsburgh. Last year FSU was a four seed in the NCAA Tournament and it made it to the Sweet 16. FSU though starts with back-to-back tough road games, tonight in Pittsburgh followed by one at Florida. I think this sets up well for us on Opening Night, as the hungry home side will be risking life and limb here to try and pull off the minor upset. FSU's top two scorers and rebounders left fo the NBA as well. Pitt won two of its final three games to end the season last year and it returns three of its four top scorers. Key Trends: - FSU is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight as a road favorite or pick. - Pittsburgh is interestingly 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games played in the month of November. The verdict: It's opening night for these teams and I believe the situational factors working in favor of the home side are the difference maker; grab the points! |
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11-05-19 | Western Illinois +21.5 v. Indiana | Top | 65-98 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* play on Western Illinois. Western Illinois returns its top scorer in Kobe Webster, who averaged 17 PPG. Western Illinois is small compared to Indiana, but it shot the ball well from thee point range last year. The Hoosiers finished 19-16 last year, so expectations are tempered somewhat this season. Key Trends: - Western Illinois is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 non-conference games. - Indiana is only 10-12 ATS in its last 22 non-confernece contests. - I think the Hoosiers get caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent; grab the points! |
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04-06-19 | Texas Tech v. Michigan State OVER 132 | Top | 61-51 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 7 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the over Texas Tech/MSU. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Underrated offenses. These are two of the best defensive schools in the country going head-to-head here, but each has a capable offense as well. Each has advanced to this point because of its suffocating defensive play, but with a few days off to prepare, I think we’re going to see a faster paced game here, rather than a methodical “chess match.” Key Trends: - The Red Raiders have seen the total go over in four of their last five off an upset win as an underdog. - Michigan State has seen the total go over in 13 of its last 19 after playing a game as an underdog (including in three of four this season.) The verdict: This one sneaks over late. Play the over! |
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04-04-19 | Green Bay v. Marshall -5 | Top | 70-90 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Marshall. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Fatigue. After its thrilling 87-86 OT home win over Texas Southern at home in the semifinals, I believe Wisconsin Green Bay comes out tired and flat here. The Phoenix own a poor 5-12 road record this year (they average 81.6 PPG and they allow 79.6.) Marshall is 15-3 at home (averages 80.2 PPG and allow 79.8.) Key Trends: - Wisconsin Green Bay is just 2-5 ATS this season as a road underdog of six points or less or pick. - Marshall is 5-1 ATS this year off a home no cover where it won straight up as a favorite. The verdict: As mentioned off the top, I believe that the Phoenix are fatigued at this point. Lay the points! |
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04-02-19 | Wichita State v. Lipscomb +1 | Top | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Lipscomb. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Underrated veteran experience. I think it matters at this point of the NIT (semi final round at Madison Square Garden.) The Lipscomb Bison produced a nation best 14 true road wins this year. The Bison also returned 90 percent of its offensive production from a program which had its first NCAA Tournament appearance last year. The Shockers returned only 11.2 percent of their minutes from last season. Key Trends: - Wichita State is just 5-11 ATS in its last 16 as a neutral court favorite or pick. - The Shockers are only 3-4 ATS this year after allowing 65 points or less in two straight games. - The Bison are 11-2 ATS in non-conference games this season. The verdict: I look for the experienced Bison to punch their ticket to the NIT Final! |
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03-31-19 | Auburn +3.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 28 h 10 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Auburn. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. After losing both regular season games the Tigers finally have a shot at revenge. Auburn won the SEC tournament and it comes in on an eight game win streak. It lost the services of forward Chuma Okeke, which is clearly a blow, but the depth and overall pace in which Auburn plays at will be the difference here in my opinion. Key Trends: - Auburn is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. - Kentucky is just 1-3 ATS already this season when playing on one or less days rest. The verdict: It’s difficult to beat a team three times in one season. I look for the Tigers to rally and to pull off the upset! |
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03-30-19 | Texas Tech v. Gonzaga -4 | Top | 75-69 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 50 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Gonzaga. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Lack of offense. I think it finally catches up to the Red Raiders here. Texas Tech is one of the best defensive teams in the nation in allowing only 58.7 PPG, but it has to be because it averages only 72.9. After its big upset win over Michigan, I think the Red Raiders have a hard time containing the explosive Bulldogs, who average 88.2 PPG. Gonzaga held FSU to just 58 points in its Sweet 16 victory and I think its depth on both ends of the court proves to be too much for Texas Tech to keep up to down the stretch. Key Trends: - Texas Tech is still just 3-4 ATS in its last seven as a neutral court underdog or pick. - Gonzaga is still 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a neutral court favorite in the 3.5 to six points range. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, I’m laying the points with confidence! |
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03-29-19 | Houston v. Kentucky OVER 135 | Top | 58-62 | Loss | -115 | 107 h 2 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the over Houston/Kentucky. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Two fresh offenses. These teams have cruised into the Sweet 16 and I look for these well rested and hungry sides to push the pace from start to finish. Note that Houston beat Georgia State 84-55 and Ohio State 74-59, while Kentucky beat Abilene Christian 79-44 and Wofford 62-56. Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go over in three of its last four in a neutral court game where the total in the contest is set between 130 to 135.5. - Kentucky has seen the total go over in three of its last four as a neutral court favorite of three points or less or pick. The verdict: All signs point to a “shootout.” Play the over! |
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03-29-19 | LSU v. Michigan State -6 | Top | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 127 h 40 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Michigan State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Fatigue. At this point of the tournament, it’s a very real factor. LSU stumbled down the stretch in the SEC regular season and Conference Tournament. It also struggled with both Yale and Maryland to advance here. MSU on the other hand has rolled right through both Bradley and Minnesota and I look for the defensive minded Spartans to take advantage of this now “dog tired” Tigers side. Key Trends: - The Spartans are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 vs. teams with a winning SU record. - MSU is 21-7 ATS in its last 28 after a SU win. - The Tigers are still only 1-4-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games. The verdict: LSU has nearly blown back to back massive leads and I think its luck has finally run out here vs. the “cream of the crop” in the Nation right now. The Spartans advance with another convincing effort on both ends of the floor. Lay the points with confidence! |
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03-28-19 | Oregon v. Virginia OVER 119 | Top | 49-53 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 17 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the over Oregon/Virginia. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Underrated offenses. What’s the first thing that comes to mind when you think of these two teams? Certainly with Virginia it’s all about “defense.” The Ducks aren’t bad in that department either. But clearly Oregon is going to need push the pace of this one and not let the Cavs dictate the tempo. The Ducks average 70.6 PPG, while the Cavs average 72.1. Key Trends: - Oregon has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five as a neutral court underdog. - Virginia has seen the total go over in 15 of 25 this season after allowing 60 points or less and in 12 of 18 after allowing 55 points or less. The verdict: Look for a faster paced game from these hungry sides and for this total to sneak over the number as the game comes down the stretch! |
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03-26-19 | Wichita State +4.5 v. Indiana | Top | 73-63 | Win | 100 | 25 h 47 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Wichita State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Proven road winners. The Shockers finished the season 21-14 and the Hoosiers were 19-15. Both teams have very similar numbers, with Wichita State averaging 70.6 PPG and allowing 68.8, with Indiana averaging 71.8 PPG, while allowing 67.7. The Shockers though are 8-0 ATS in their last eight road games vs. a team with a winning road record and they’ll not be pushed around by the fans at Assembly Hall tonight. Key Trends: - Wichita State is 11-6 ATS as an underdog this season. - Indiana is just 7-12 ATS in its last 19 as a favorite. - The Hoosiers are just 11-15 ATS vs. teams with winning records this season. The verdict: While clearly the outright win isn’t out of the question, in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I’m grabbing the points! |
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03-25-19 | Coastal Carolina +9 v. West Virginia | Top | 109-91 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Coastal Carolina. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The numbers don’t add up? WVU plays in the much tougher conference without question, but I still think this spread is much too large. On the year Coastal Carolina averaged 76.4 PP, while allowing 73. The Mountaineers averaged 73.3 PPG, while allowing 76.5. Key Trends: - WVU is just 1-5 ATS in its last six following a SU win. - The Mountaineers are only 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven non-conference games. - Coastal Carolina is 15-6-1 ATS in its last 22 following a SU victory. The verdict: I’m expecting a battle until the end in this CBI quarterfinal matchup. Grab the points! |
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03-24-19 | Cal-Irvine v. Oregon -4.5 | Top | 54-73 | Win | 100 | 31 h 23 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Oregon. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Suspect schedule. UC Irvine has won 17 straight games, but most were against teams that were ranked outside the top-200 of the KenPom rankings. Oregon comes in red hot having won nine straight and I look for its depth on both ends of the court to be a difference maker as well. Key Trends: - Oregon is 6-0 ATS in its last six neutral site affairs. - UC Irvine is only 2-8 ATS in its last ten vs. the Pac 12. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, lay the points with confidence! |
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03-23-19 | Florida +7.5 v. Michigan | Top | 49-64 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 36 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Florida. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Underrated defense. If Florida is going to pull of another upset like it did over Nevada in the first round, it’ll have to lean on its strength. The Gators held Nevada to just 34.5 percent shooting and only 5 of 24 from beyond the arc. The Wolverines annihilated Montana 74-55 in their opening round matchup, but I think they’ll have their hands full with Florida’s aggressive defensive play. Key Trends: - Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last six neutral court games. - Michigan is just 1-3 ATS in its last four vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest. The verdict: Expect this one to come right down to the wire. Grab the points! |
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03-22-19 | Iona +24.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 73-88 | Win | 100 | 105 h 21 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Iona. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Letdown spot. For UNC in my opinion. I’m not calling for the outright victory, but after falling to Duke in the ACC Tournament, I believe that the Tar Heels come in in some small way still caught up on that setback. The Gaels won’t be going down without a fight, as they won the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference. I’m not predicting an outright upset, but from a situational view-point, I think this sets up great for the underdog. Key Trends: - Iona is 5-1 ATS this year off a win by ten points or more over a conference rival. - UNC is just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 when playing with five or six days rest. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, grab the points! |
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03-21-19 | St. Mary's v. Villanova -5.5 | Top | 57-61 | Loss | -107 | 80 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Villanova. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Defending champs. I like Villanova to move confidently past the first round. The Gaels rounded into form late and pulled off the massive upset over Gonzaga in the Conference tournament title game, but Villanova overcame adversity all season to finish 25-9 and it would go on to once again capture the Big East Conference Tourney title over Seton Hall. Key Trends: - Saint Mary’s is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 as an underdog. - Villanova is 6-1 ATS in its last seven as a neutral four favorite of six points or less or pick. The verdict: Sorry Gaels fans, looks like the winds been knocked out of your sails. Lay the points! |
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03-20-19 | Arizona State v. St. John's OVER 151.5 | Top | 74-65 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 49 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the ASU/St. John’s over. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - A chance to make amends. For both teams. Both looked great in non-conference play, but once the heart of the conference action started, each faded and backed their way into this predicament. ASU is back in the NCAA Tournament for a second straight year for the first time since the early 80’s, while Chris Mullin finally has a winning record in St. John’s after his fourth year as head coach. But with a chance to move on and erase a difficult/frustrating campaign, I expect these two hungry and evenly matched sides to push the pace from start to finish. Key Trends: - Arizona State has seen the total go over the number in ten of its last 15 neutral court games. - St. John’s has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 neutral court contests. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, expect a shootout and play the over! |
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03-19-19 | Belmont v. Temple +3.5 | Top | 81-70 | Loss | -105 | 37 h 28 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Temple. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Stronger conference. I think that matters here. Yes Belmont has the betters numbers on paper (the Bruins average 87.4 PPG, while allowing 73.9, while the Owls average 74.8 PPG, while allowing 71.2.), but playing in the OVC is one thing, while playing in the AAC is quite another. The Owls lost to Wichita State in the quarterfinals, but with an opportunity to advance to face Maryland, I think they’ll take advantage of this favorable matchup. Key Trends: - Belmont is just 2-4 ATS in its last four as a neutral court favorite. - Temple is 5-0 ATS in its last five as a neutral court underdog. - The Owls are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 vs. good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest. The verdict: Grab the points, expect a “nail biter!” |
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03-17-19 | Auburn +5.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 84-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Auburn. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Recent history. Auburn closed the regular season with an 84-80 home win over Tennessee on March 9th. The Tigers looked impressive in their 65-62 win over Florida on Saturday. Tennessee upset Kentucky 82-78 yesterday and it could be poised for a bit of a letdown here after that big victory. Key Trends: - Auburn is 4-1 ATS in its last five following a SU win. - The Tigers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last ten neural site games as an underdog. - Tennessee is just 1-3 ATS in its last four vs. conference opponents after scoring 80 or more points in its previous contest. The verdict: In a game which I believe will be decided by whichever of these hungry and evenly matched sides has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to grab the points! |
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03-16-19 | Oregon v. Washington | Top | 68-48 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Washington. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Running out of gas. Both teams come in on top form. The Huskies have won six of seven, while the Ducks, who finished fourth in the standings, enter having won seven straight. I think Oregon though is running out of gas here. The Ducks have punched their ticket to the dance, but Washington is looking to claim both the regular season and conference titles. I like the Huskies to end the Ducks late end of season surge. Key Trends: - Oregon is just 11-12 ATS this season vs. teams with winning records still. - Washington is already 5-1 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest. The verdict: Play on Washington! |
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03-15-19 | Florida State +9 v. Virginia | Top | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Florida State. Key Trends: - FSU is 4-1 ATS in its last five as an underdog. - FSU is 3-0 ATS in its last three as a neutral site underdog. - Virginia is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight tournament games as a favorite in the -8.5 to 10.5 points range. The verdict: I think FSU’s depth on both ends of the floor will take this one right down to the wire. No outright, closer than expected. Grab the points. |
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03-14-19 | Texas +2.5 v. Kansas | Top | 57-65 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 4 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Texas. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Recent history. Both teams looked brilliant at times this year and they also each struggled considerably. Texas lost 69-56 at home to TCU in its regular season finale, while Kansas beat Baylor 78-70 at home in its finale. Texas pulled off the 73-63 home upset on January 29th though and I think it once again matches up well here. Outright victory? Very possible. The Longhorns only allow an average of 67.1 PPG this year. Kansas on the other hand concedes 70.1. Key Trends: - Texas is 7-1 ATS in its last eight off a home loss vs. a conference rival. - Kansas is still only 6-11 ATS vs. the Conference this year. - The Jayhawks are 0-3 ATS this season revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. The verdict: The Jayhawks have difficulty matching up with the Longhorns size down the middle. Expect that to once again be the case today. Grab the points! |
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03-12-19 | Wake Forest v. Miami-FL -7.5 | Top | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Miami Florida. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Impotent offense. The Deacons have lost three straight, scoring fewer than 60 points in each. These teams split a pair of games, but in the Deacons 65-64 win in the second game (after the Hurricanes took the first one 76-65), Miami went cold in the second half of that one, missing its final ten shots while blowing a ten-point lead in the final two minutes. Key Trends: - Wake Forest is 0-5 ATS in its last five as a neural four underdog or pick. - Miami Florida is 3-1 ATS this year revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: I think Miami’s superior defense proves to be too much for this poor Wake Forest offensive attack. Lay the points! |
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03-11-19 | Ohio v. Northern Illinois -4 | Top | 61-80 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Northern Illinois. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Recent history. This is just a bad matchup for the Bobcats, who lost both regular season meetings to the Huskies. Sometimes the “revenge factor,” is crucial, other times though it just doesn’t work. And that’s the case here in my opinion. Key Trends: - Ohio is 3-8 ATS this year as a road underdog or pick. - NIU is a perfect 3-0 ATS this season off a road win vs. a conference rival. - The Huskies are 11-5 ATS this year after after playing a game as an underdog. The verdict: As mentioned off the top, this is just a terrible spot for matchup for the Bobcats. Lay the points! |
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03-10-19 | SMU v. South Florida -3 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 58 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on USF. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Seniors night. The Bulls broke a three-game slide last time out with a 75-70 win over Tulane on Wednesday. USF now looks to take advantage of a SMU team which took its best shot, but still came up short in a 90-79 road loss to Houston on Thursday (the Mustangs fourth straight loss.) Key Trends: - SMU is just 2-8 ATS in its last ten as a road underdog of six points or less or pick. - SMU is a poor 5-12 ATS this year following a conference game. - USF is 5-1 ATS at home this year as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. The verdict: This one has blowout written all over it. Lay the points! |
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03-09-19 | Vanderbilt +15 v. LSU | Top | 59-80 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Vanderbilt. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. Vandy lost this game at home 88-78 on February 20th. The Commodores enter off a humbling 84-48 home loss to Arkansas. This has been the worst season in school history, but I expect it to come in under the radar here. LSU enters off an exhausting 79-78 OT win on the road over Florida and a small letdown here is imminent in my opinion. Outright victory? Of course not. I just think the home side gets caught looking past and leaves the back door open. Key Trends: - Vandy is 18-10 ATS in its last 28 as a road dog or pick. - The Commodores are 6-3 ATS this season off a loss by ten points or more to a conference rival. - LSU is only 7-8 ATS this year as a home favorite or pick. The verdict: Grab the points in a closer than expected war! |
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03-08-19 | Miami-FL +10.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 70-84 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Miami Florida. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. VT posted an 82-70 road win in the first matchup earlier in the year. Both teams enter this final regular season game moving in opposite directions as well. The Hurricanes are off a 76-63 home win vs. Pittsburgh, while VT lost 73-64 at FSU. Key Trends: - Miami Florida is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 in revenging a loss vs. an opponent. - VT is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite or pick. - The Hokies are only 5-10 ATS this season following a conference game. The verdict: Expect the Hurricanes to go down fighting and grab all those points! |
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03-07-19 | Indiana v. Illinois -2 | Top | 92-74 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 28 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Illinois. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. This is an important game for both schools as far as the standings are concerned, so from an overall “motivational” stand point, we’ll call this one a “wash.” However, Illinois clearly plays with the added incentive of “revenge.” Illinois has lost six of the last seven in this series, including the last two. And that includes the first meeting this year on the road, 73-65 on January 3rd. Key Trends: - Indiana is just 4-7 ATS on the road. - The Hoosiers are only 2-3 ATS this year off a win vs. a conference rival. - Illinois is already 4-0 ATS this year in revenging a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: Revenge is a dish best served cold said some one at some point history. Great situational play, lay the points! |
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03-06-19 | LSU +1.5 v. Florida | Top | 79-78 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on LSU. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. LSU lost 82-77 in OT at home to the Gators just last month. Both teams are hungry for a win here, but I think the “revenge” angle works in this one. Key Trends: - LSU is already 4-1 ATS this year as a road underdog or pick. - The Tigers are 11-5 ATS vs. conference opponents. - LSU is 6-2 ATS this season revenging a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: Revenge is a dish best served cold. Play on LSU! |
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03-05-19 | North Carolina v. Boston College +11 | Top | 79-66 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 49 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Boston College. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Role of spoiler. I think the Eagles get motivated to play spoiler here. UNC is in a heated battle for the No. 1 spot in the conference, but an outright loss today would sink those hopes. The Tar Heels have defeated four ranked teams during their six game win streak, so would anyone fault them for having a bit of a mental letdown here?! Great play from a situational stand points. Key Trends: - North Carolina is just 6-10 ATS in its last 16 off three straight victories vs. conference rivals. - Boston College is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 when playing with one or less days rest. - The Eagles are 7-1 ATS this season after playing two consecutive games as an underdog. The verdict: Grab the points and expect a battle until the end! |
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03-04-19 | Virginia v. Syracuse +6.5 | Top | 79-53 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Syracuse. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Still on the bubble. The Orange are likely in, but another signature victory over the No. 1 team would clearly “seal the deal.” Syracuse got back on track this weekend with a 79-54 win over Wake Forest and I think it carries that momentum over here at home. Key Trends: - Virginia is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after two straight covers as a double digit favorite. - Syracuse is 6-2 ATS this year following a road game. - The Orange are 5-2 ATS in their last seven after scoring 75 points or more in two straight games. The verdict: I’m banking on this one coming right down to the wire. Grab the points! |
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03-03-19 | Michigan -1.5 v. Maryland | Top | 69-62 | Win | 100 | 24 h 31 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Michigan. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Recent history. I think the Wolverines keep the foot on the gas here. Michigan bounced back from a tough home loss to MSU to destroy Nebraska 82-53 in its most recent action. The Wolverines come in confident after that win, but also because the first time these teams met they won handily 65-52 at home. Key Trends: - The home teams is just 1-4 ATS in the last five in this series. - Michigan is 21-8-1 ATS in its last 40 vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600. - The Wolverines are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven following a SU win of more than 20 points. The verdict: The Wolverines won’t be taking the Terps (14-2 at home) lightly here. Expect Michigan though to improve upon its 13-5 ATS record in its last 18 on the road. Play on Michigan! |
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03-02-19 | Boise State v. UNLV -2.5 | Top | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 29 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on UNLV. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Recent history. Boise State comes in with zero momentum after four straight losses. The Rebels look to take advantage and they have history on their side as well, as they took the first meeting between the schools by 11 points earlier in the year. Key Trends: - Boise State is just 4-5 ATS as an underdog this year. - The Broncos are 1-8 ATS in their last nine trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent. - UNLV is 4-1 ATS in its last fie off a road loss vs. a conference rival. The verdict: Expect home court to be the difference here. Lay the points, expect a rout! |
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03-01-19 | Marist +2 v. Fairfield | Top | 44-59 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Marist. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Everything to play for. For Marist that is. The Red Foxes had won four in a row, but they come in having lost two straight. Marist is looking to improve upon its seventh place standing and break the slide. A date vs. the Stags, who are next to last in the conference is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track. Key Trends: - Marist is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games. - Marist is 4-1 ATS in its last five following a SU loss. - Fairfield is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. the conference. The verdict: I’m banking on the “hungrier” team getting the job done. That said, grab the points! |
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02-28-19 | Elon v. James Madison -7.5 | Top | 73-58 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 21 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on James Madison. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Momentum. At times it can be a real, almost tangible factor. Especially in sports. James Madison has been a disaster for the most part all year, but it enters of a confidence building 104-99 OT win over conference-leading Hofstra. Elon has won just five of 16 conference games this year. Key Trends: - Elon is only 8-13 ATS as an underdog this year. - James Madison is 4-1 ATS in trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: The Dukes also play with revenge here! Lay the points, this one has blowout written all over it! |
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02-27-19 | UCF v. South Florida +1.5 | Top | 75-63 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on South Florida. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. The Bulls are 17-9 and eager for a win here after falling 71-59 to Houston on the road in their most recent action. The Golden Knights are off a smash down 95-48 victory over SMU, but the home side plays with the added “revenge factor” after losing the first game of the year 78-65 on the road. “Revenge” works in this one. Key Trends: - UCF is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten as a road favorite or pick. - The Knights are just 5-9 ATS in their last 14 off a win by ten points or more vs. a conference rival. - USF is already 10-3 ATS this year in revenging a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: Clearly I wouldn’t be shocked by the outright upset. That said, grab the points! |
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02-26-19 | Akron +13 v. Buffalo | Top | 64-77 | Push | 0 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Akron. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Underrated defense. For the Zips that is. Admittedly Akron has difficulties scoring (averaging just 69.5 PPG), but the Zips are among the best in the country on the other end of the court, limiting the opposition to just 62.6 PPG, which is ranked 15th in the nation. The Bulls come in complacent here after a five-game win streak. Key Trends: - Akron is 6-1 ATS as an underdog this year. - Buffalo is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 15 points range. - The Bulls are just 2-4 ATS this year off a home win vs. a conference rival. The verdict: No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the generous amount of points! |
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02-25-19 | Kansas State v. Kansas -5 | Top | 49-64 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Kansas. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. I think the “revenge” angle does in fact work here (the Jayhawks lost 74-67 on the road in this matchup on February 5th.) It’s a big game for both sides, but home floor advantage, combined with the revenge factor become my “key angles” for this contest. Key Trends: - K-State is a poor 1-5 ATS this year off a home win by ten points or more. - The Wildcats are just 1-3 ATS this season after allowing 50 points or less in their previous outing. - Kansas is 3-1 ATS this year off a loss vs. a conference rival. The verdict: The Jayhawks have been dealing with a slew of injuries, but they’re getting healthier with the recent return of Marcus Garrett. I’m banking on the situational and trend based factors working in favor of Kansas that I’ve listed above to prove to be the difference makers here. Lay it! |
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02-24-19 | Loyola-Chicago v. Southern Illinois -1 | Top | 53-63 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Southern Illinois. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Looking to play spoiler and to avenge an earlier loss. The Salukis play with both motivational factors tonight. The Ramblers will fall into second in the conference behind Missouri State with a loss here today. Southern Illinois would love to play spoiler, but it’s also out to atone for a lacklustre 25 points loss in Loyola Chicago earlier in the year. Key Trends: - Loyola Chicago is just 4-5 ATS this year off a win vs. a conference rival. - The Ramblers are a poor 8-14 ATS this season after playing a game as a favorite. - The Salukis are 5-1 ATS in their last six as a home favorite of three points or less or pick. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play on Southern Illinois! |
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02-23-19 | Georgia v. Ole Miss -11 | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Mississippi. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Out of gas. Georgia that is. The Bulldog almost erased a 17-point second half deficit vs. Mississippi State last Wednesday, but it would fall just short 68-67 in the end. Ole Miss has been one of the biggest surprises in the country after going 12-20 last year. I think the home side takes advantage of the situation. Key Trends: - Georgia is just 1-5 ATS in its last six on the road. - The Bulldogs are just 1-4 ATS in their last five road games vs. teams with winning home records. - The Rebels are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games vs. teams with losing road records. The verdict: The Bulldogs have been terrible on the road during league play and I have a hard time seeing them mustering much of an attack here vs. the Ole Miss swarming defense. Lay the points! |
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02-22-19 | Davidson v. Rhode Island +1 | Top | 75-66 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Rhode Island. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Letdown spot. For Davidson that is. The Wildcats three losses in conference play have come by a combined five points and they’re now likely going to miss the Tournament. They enter off a brutal 74-73 home loss to Dayton last time out and I think they come in still mentally “hung up” off that setback. Key Trends: - Davidson is just 4-5 ATS on the road. - The Wildcats are only 3-4 ATS in their last seven vs. teams with losing records. - Rhode Island is still 22-17 ATS in its last 39 at home. - The Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last six revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. The verdict: No big surprise to learn that Rhode Island lost at Davidson earlier in the year. The Rams won’t be lacking for motivation here though as they look to break a four-game slide and play spoiler at the same time. Grab the points! |
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02-21-19 | Georgia State v. Appalachian State +2 | Top | 80-75 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 48 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Appalachian State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. Both teams come in off victories. Georgia State beat South Alabama 90-81 at home on Friday, while App State got the better of Coastal Carolina 88-79. The Mountaineers though won’t be lacking for motivation tonight as they look to defend home court, to build off their latest victory, and to avenge a 71-58 road loss in the first matchup between the schools back on January 11th. Key Trends: - Georgia State is already just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road favorite of six points or less or pick. - Georgia State is 0-3 ATS this season after two or more straight SU home wins. - App State is 5-1 ATS in its last six after allowing 75 points or more in two straight games. The verdict: Clearly the outright isn’t out of the question. Still…grab the points! |
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02-20-19 | Evansville +11 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 58-70 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 9 m | Show |
It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Recent history. The Purple Aces come in having lost eight of their last ten, including four straight. Loyola Chicago is 16-11 overall, including 11-4 at home. Evansville though scored the 67-48 home win over the Ramblers on January 8th and I don’t think the Purple Aces will go down without a fight tonight either. Key Trends: - Evansville is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after scoring 60 points or less in its previous contest (lost 73-58 to UNI.) - The Purple Aces are 6-1 ATS in their last seven conference road games following a four games or more losing streak. - The Ramblers are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine conference home games following a two games or longer losing streak. The verdict: No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points! |
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02-19-19 | Wake Forest +11 v. Notre Dame | Top | 75-68 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Wake Forest. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. Both teams come in off losses. Wake fell 95-57 at UNC on Saturday, while ND fell 60-54 to Virginia. The visitors play with “revenge” today though after the Irish posted the 76-71 road win in the only meeting this year. I’m expecting a similar final combined score here as well, and will therefore recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Key Trends: - Wake Forest is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after allowing 75 points or more in three straight games. - Notre Dame is just 5-7 ATS this year as a home favorite or pick. - The Irish are only 4-8 ATS vs. the conference. The verdict: Revenge is a dish best served cold. That said (and as noted above), grab the points! |
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02-18-19 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech +6.5 | Top | 64-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Virginia Tech. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. The Hokies play with revenge after falling 81-59 on the road in the first matchup between the schools on January 15th. This one “means more” to the 20-5 Hokies and while the outright isn’t out of the question, I’ll recommend grabbing the points in a contest which I envision being decided by whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last. Key Trends: - Virginia is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after a victory by six points or less. - Virginia Tech is already 3-1 ATS this season trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - The Hokies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, grab the points! |
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02-17-19 | Arizona v. Colorado -4 | Top | 60-67 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Colorado. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. Arizona is in the midst of its longest losing streak in 14 years. The Buffs on the other hand have won four straight. Colorado’s been much better at home this season as well. The Wildcats have been ravaged by injury and I think they’re ripe for the picking vs. this revenge minded home side. Key Trends: - Arizona is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight as an underdog. - The Wildcats are only 3-5 ATS on the road. - Colorado is 7-5 ATS at home. - The Buffs are 3-1 ATS in their last four off a win vs. a conference rival. The verdict: Revenge is a dish best served cold. I’m expecting a blowout from start to finish, so lay the points! |
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02-16-19 | LSU v. Georgia +8.5 | Top | 83-79 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Georgia. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Motivation levels. If you’ve followed me for any length of time, then you know that this often becomes my “key angle” for a contest. But in this case, I do absolutely feel that LSU, who enters off a 73-71 road win over Kentucky to move to 10-1 in conference play, will come in complacent and get caught classically “looking past” the Bulldogs, who fell to 1-10 in SEC action after losing to Texas A&M most recently (also note that the home side plays with the added incentive of “revenge” after falling 92-82 in the first matchup on the road.) Key Trends: - LSU is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Georgia is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. The verdict: I’m not calling for the outright, but this one has “nail biter” written all over it. Grab the points! |
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02-15-19 | Troy State +11 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 51-76 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Troy. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Money in the bank for bettors. Troy is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 off a loss vs. a conference rival. This massively lop-sided “trend” becomes my “key angle” for this contest. Key Trends: - The Trojans are 6-3 ATS in their last nine revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. - The Eagles 11-6 ATS in their last 17 after a win by ten points or more. The verdict: No outright, but closer than expected. Grab all those points! |
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02-14-19 | Houston v. Connecticut +8 | Top | 71-63 | Push | 0 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on UConn. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Motivation levels. If you’ve followed me for any length of time then you know that this often becomes my “key angle” for a contest. But after starting the year 23-1 and coming on off eight straight victories (including a dominating one over No. 25 Cincinnati last time out), I do indeed feel that the Cougars will come in a tiny bit “content” here. The Huskies though clearly don’t have that luxury at 13-11 and fresh off two back-to-back setbacks to Memphis and Temple. Key Trends: - Houston is just 6-9 ATS in its last 15 after covering four out of its last five vs. the spread. - UConn is already 10-4 ATS at home this season. - The Huskies are 7-3 ATS in their last ten vs. the conference. The verdict: No outright upset, but expect this one to go right down to the wire. So grab the points! |
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02-13-19 | Rutgers +5.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 59-56 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Rutgers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Momentum. Neither team has any of it. Rutgers has lost three straight, while Northwestern has lost four straight. But the Scarlet Knights came very close in last Saturday’s 99-94 OT loss at Illinois. The Wildcats are definitely moving in the other direction though, as evidenced by their 80-79 collapse to Iowa last time out (also note that Rutgers plays with revenge after falling 65-57 at home to Northwestern on January 18th.) Key Trends: - Northwestern is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS win. - The Knights are 7-2 ATS in their last nine trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which they scored 58 points or less in. The verdict: Revenge is a dish best served cold. That said, grab the points! |
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02-12-19 | San Diego State v. Colorado State +2 | Top | 71-60 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 3 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Colorado State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Motivation levels. This is often my “key angle,” for a contest and for this one it certainly sets up well. SDSU comes in complacent after winning four of its last five. The home side has admittedly struggled this year, but it comes in as the “hungrier” team after losing two in a row and five of its last seven. Key Trends: - SDSU is just 2-5 ATS on the road this year. - The Aztecs are only 1-4 ATS in their last five after a win by six points or less. - Colorado State is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home underdog of six points or less or pick. The verdict: As stated off the top, I think SDSU gets caught looking past its opponent and I expect the “hungrier” team to find a way in the end. Grab the points! |
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02-11-19 | Virginia v. North Carolina | Top | 69-61 | Win | 100 | 24 h 24 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Virginia. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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02-10-19 | Cincinnati +5 v. Houston | Top | 58-65 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 33 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Cincinnati. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - First place up for grabs. Houston is ranked No. 12 in the country, while Cincinnati is ranked 25th. These teams though are tied for No. 1 in the AAC, making this the biggest game of the year as far as the conference is concerned. With No. 1 up for grabs, I’m expecting the visitors to fight until the final horn. Key Trends: - Cincinnati is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 off a road win vs. a conference rival. - Houston is only 5-12 ATS in its last 17 off a road victory. The verdict: In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, I’m grabbing the points! |
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02-09-19 | Utah v. UCLA -4 | Top | 93-92 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 36 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on UCLA. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Motivation levels. This is often a “key angle” for me. I think Utah comes in complacent and I believe UCLA enters focused. The Utes are off a highly satisfying 77-70 road win over USC on Wednesday, while UCLA fell 84-73 at home to Colorado on Wednesday. The Utes won the last game between the teams 84-78 at home last February 22nd, making this a “revenge” game as well for the hungry Bruins. Key Trends: - Utah is a poor 5-10 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records. - UCLA is already 2-0 ATS this season off an upset loss by ten points or more as a favorite. The verdict: The stage is set for a lop-sided blowout. Lay the short points! |
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02-08-19 | Columbia +11.5 v. Harvard | Top | 96-98 | Win | 100 | 23 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Columbia. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Motivation levels. I won’t try to convince you that Columbia is a good team which has just had some bad breaks this year, as that’s not the case. The Lions aren’t great, but they won’t be lacking for motivation today as they look to break a two-game slide. But after four straight wins, I think that the Crimson come out a tiny bit complacent here and get caught “looking past” their lowly opponent. Key Trends: - Columbia is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range. - The Crimson are just 4-6 ATS as a favorite this year. - Harvard is just 2-3 ATS off a home win this season. The verdict: Expect the hungry Lions to battle tough and keep this one close down the stretch. Grab the points! |
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02-07-19 | Appalachian State +8 v. Texas State | Top | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on App State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - An offense to match. App State is hungry here and it comes in playing its best basketball of the year with three straight wins. The Mountaineers can keep pace with the Bobcats tonight. App State averages 81.7 points, while Texas State averages 75.3. The Bobcats are better defensively, but I think the momentum in which App State comes in with is the difference maker tonight. No outright, but closer than expected. Key Trends: - App State is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as an underdog. - App State is 4-1 ATS in its last five after allowing 75 points or more in two straight games. - Texas State is a poor 8-10 ATS in its last 18 vs. good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest. The verdict: The outright is possible, but in the end I’m grabbing all these points! |
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02-06-19 | Georgia +9 v. Alabama | Top | 74-89 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Georgia. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - On the cusp. Georgia that is. Alabama is currently in a six-way tie for fifth in the SEC standings, but the Bulldogs are in the basement after starting 1-7 in league play. Georgia though looked a lot better in a losing cause to South Carolina last time out, falling 86-80 and having five players scoring in double figures. No outright, but this one looks to be much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Key Trends: - Georgia is 17-10 ATS in its last 27 as a road dog or pick. - The Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS in their last ten after falling to cover four or five of their last six vs. the spread. - Alabama is already a poor 0-3 ATS this season as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. The verdict: No outright, but a “nail biter!” Grab all these points! |
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02-05-19 | Michigan v. Rutgers +10.5 | Top | 77-65 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Rutgers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Letdown spot. Rutgers comes in after having its three-game win streak snapped by Ohio State on Saturday. The Scarlet Knights are now 11-10 overall. But I think this sets up as “letdown spot” for the 20-2 visitors, who suffered just their second outright loss of the year in a poor 74-59 setback to Iowa on Friday. Key Trends: - Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games vs. teams with a winning road record. - Michigan is only 2-5 ATS in its last seven following an ATS loss. The verdict: Since joining the Big 10 Rutgers is 0-6 SU in this matchup and while that likely winless record likely won’t change today, I think that the stage is set for a battle until the end. Grab all those points! |
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