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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-25-19 | Celtics -3.5 v. Raptors | 118-102 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Boston Celtics. I like Boston to find a way to get the job done here. The C's come in focussed after their 119-93 destruction of the Hornets on Sunday, while the Raptors enter off a tough 120-115 OT loss on the road in Indiana. Boston already beat the Raptors 112-106 at home earlier in the year and I expect a similar result here as well. Overall the C's are averaging 111.2 PPG and conceding 103.2. THe Raptors are averaging 112.1 PPG and conceding 106.4. The Raptors though are playing with injuries to key players, including Paskall Siakam and Marc Gasol. Key Trends: - Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last eight as a favorite. - Toronto is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. a team with a win percentage above .600. The verdict: The Celtics have had a couple days off to prepare for this game and I look for the surging visiting side to deliver the goods on the national stage; lay the points! |
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12-23-19 | Pelicans v. Blazers -6 | Top | 102-94 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Portland Trail Blazers. Portland is quietly dominating right now and I think it'll keep the foot on the gas for at least one more game. The Blazers enter having won four in a row and five of their last six. Damian Lillard has scored 27 or more in his team's five straight victories, while big man Hassan Whitesite has double double efforts in ten straight games. The Pelicans are coming off a loss to Golden State on Friday and with an X-Mas day matchup which was supposed to showcase their dynamic rookie up next, I believe they suffer a predictable letdown here as well. Key Trends: - Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a win percentage bleow .400. - New Orleans is a poor 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven as a road underdog. The verdict: The Blazers last six victories have come by at least seven points or more; expect that strong trend to continue tonight vs. the hapless Pels! |
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12-21-19 | Bucks v. Knicks +12.5 | Top | 123-102 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the New York Knicks. The Knicks fell 129-114 in Miami, but I think the offer great value here to push the Bucks to the limit here. Milwaukee enters off a highly satisfying win at home over LeBron James and the Lakers and with a game the following night at home vs. Indiana, before their X-Mas day game at Philadelphia, would anyone fault the Bucks for having a letdown/look-ahead?! Key Trends: - Milwaukee is only 4-7 ATS this year after a non-conference game. - New York is 7-2 ATS already this season in revenging a blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more. The verdict: It's a "trap game" for the Bucks in my opinion and I like the hungry home side to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the sizeable spread that it's been afforded tonight; grab the points! |
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12-21-19 | North Florida v. Syracuse -12.5 | Top | 70-82 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Syracuse. I like 6-5 Syracuse to lay the hammer down on the North Florida Ospreys today. Elijah Hughes and Joseph Girard III led the way in a 74-62 victory against Oakland in the Dome on Wednesday. Hughes had 23 points, while Girard III added 20 points to go along with seven assists. Note that the Orange are 21st in assist turnover ratio (1.36). North Florida is 7-6 and it enters off a 98-81 loss to FSU last time out. Four players average more than ten points for the Ospreys, but I still think they'll have difficulty keeping pace with the Orange in the Carrier Dome tonight. Key Trends: - Syracuse is 7-3 ATS in its last ten non-conference home games as a 13 point or higher favorite. The verdict: This is a bad matchpu for the Ospreys, who struggle against good three-points shooting teams (note that Hughes is fourth in 3-point field goals made (40) and fifth in 3-point field goals per game (3.64) in the country.) Lay the points! |
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12-20-19 | Mavs v. 76ers -8 | Top | 117-98 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the 76ers. I base my picks on many different things. This one has to do primarily with common sense. Dallas won its first game over the Bucks without star player Luka Doncic in the line-up, but the team has predictably struggled since. I believe that trend continues here in this difficult non-conference venue. The Mavs are fresh off a 109-103 loss at home to Boston. And the 76ers come in focussed, as after a five-game win streak, they enter having lost two straight. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record. - Dallas is interestingly just 5-7 ATS in non-conference games this year. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, lay the points! |
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12-19-19 | Rockets v. Clippers -5 | Top | 122-117 | Loss | -101 | 27 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the LA Clippers. The Rockets got out to an 11-3 start, but they've since fallen off, going just 1-5 ATS in their last six. Russell Westbrook is struggling to find chemistry with James Harden as he's averaging only 22.8 percent shooting. Also note that the visitors come to town with significant injuries to key players (Eric Gordon and Gerald Green.) Houston's defense has been atrocious this year and I think that the home side is going to go for the jugular tonight. The Clippers are 21-8 and they play with revenge here after falling to the Rockets in Houston earlier in the year. Paul George didn't play in that one and LA has had to deal with several injuries to open the season. But all key players are back and available to go in this contest. Key Trends: - LA is 4-0 ATS in its last four at home. - Houston is a poor 1-4 ATS in its last five following a SU win. The verdict: Chemistry issues, poor defense and injuries come back to haunt the Rockets tonight; lay the points! |
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12-19-19 | William & Mary v. St. Joe's +1.5 | Top | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on St. Joes. William & Mary enters at 8-3, while the St. Joseph's Hawks are just 2-9. After winning four of five though, I think the visitors come in complacent. However, the Hawks have lost five straight and I believe they'll be risking life and limb, pulling out all the stops as they try to get off the schneid and back into the winners circle. The bottom line though is that the Tribe have played a very weak schedule, and the Hawks have played a more difficult one. Key Trends: - St. Joe's is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a home dog (including 2-0 ATS this year.) - The Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after allowing 85 or more points (including 2-1 ATS this season.) - W&M is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after having won four of its last five SU. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team finds a way to get the job done at home; grab the short points! |
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12-17-19 | Kings v. Hornets +4.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Charlotte Hornets. The Kings have been playing better, winning for of their last five. They beat the Warriors in Golden State last time out, but I think they'll have a difficult time maintaining that momentum vs. this hungry home side. The Hornets do allow 111.1 PPG, but the Kings are only averaging 104.8 per contest. Charlotte's three-game win streak came to an end last time out vs. the Pacers. The Kings allow 106.9 PPG and the Hornets average 104.5. Key Trends: - Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last seven after allowing 90 points or less. - The Kings are only 6-7 ATS this year vs. clubs with losing records. - Charlotte is already 4-1 ATS this year after playing three straight road games. The verdict: With two whole nights off before back-to-back games at Indiana and Memphis to end this trip, I believe the visiting side gets caught "looking ahead" as well. Grab the points! |
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12-16-19 | Spurs +10.5 v. Rockets | Top | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the Spurs. The Spurs have struggled with defensive consistency this season. SA comes in off an OT win over the Suns and I think it takes a run at the Rockets here on the road as well. Houston comes in off a 115-107 loss to Detroit. Key Trends: - San Antonio is interestingly 7-4 ATS in its last 11 road games following an OT ATS victory. - Houston is only 10-12 ATS in its last 22 off a home loss (including only 1-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think San Antonio's depth and resolve keeps it in this game late; grab the points! |
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12-16-19 | Eastern Illinois v. Western Illinois +2 | Top | 85-47 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on Western Illinois. EIU claimed a 68-66 OT win over WIU last year. Suffice it to say, I think that revenge is a dish best served cold. The Panthers come in a 5-4, while the Leathernecks are 2-7. EIU averages 78.3 PPG, but defense has been a liability. WIU comes in off a hard-fought 90-86 loss to Evansville, but I think it carries that momentum over here as it looks to break the three game slide in this series. Key Trends: - WIU is 4-0 ATS in its last four as an undredog. - WIU is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with a winning SU record. - EIU is only 2-5 ATS in its last seven on the road. The verdict: Clearly I think the outright is going to happen, but let's grab the points! |
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12-15-19 | 76ers -4.5 v. Nets | Top | 89-109 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Philadelphia 76ers. I almost never "flip flop" on a team, where I play on them one night, and then against them the next. There are some cases though where I throw that factor out the window and in this case, I believe it's absolutely warranted. The Nets came up short in Toronto last night and I believe they'll have their hands full with a 76ers team that beat the Celtics at home, handing them their first loss there and then continued to push with a convincing home victory over the Pelicans. Tobias Harris is averaging 24.4 PPG in December, while Joel Embiid had 38 points in the victory at Boston. Key Trends: - Brooklyn is a terrible 5-12 ATS in its last 17 when playing the second game of a back to back. - Philly is 8-4 ATS vs. clubs with winning records this season. - The 76ers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten off a home victory. The verdict: The 76ers got the monkey off their back in a big way in dispelling the myth that they can't win on the road and I believe this early December momentum (4-1 ATS so far this month) continues; lay the points! |
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12-14-19 | Nets +7.5 v. Raptors | Top | 102-110 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Brooklyn Nets. Brooklyn's won eight of its last 11 games, seemingly playing a lot better without Kyrie Irving in the line-up. However after winning three in a row, the Nets come to Canada off a loss at home to Charlotte. A date vs. the suddenly floundering Raptors is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked as well, as the defending champs have lost four of their last five. Spencer Dinwiddie led the Nets with 24 points, game-high six assists, and five rebounds in a losing cause vs. the Hornets last time out. The Raptors have only allowed 105.5 PPG, but the Nets are averaging 112.4 PPG this season. Key Trends: - Brooklyn is 7-1 ATS in its last eight after a SU loss. - Toronto is a terrible 0-5 ATS this season when playing with two days rest. The verdict: Teams are throing everything they have at the defending champs, who continue to slide back into mediocrity. Outright upset? Possible, but in the end I'll recommend to grab the points! |
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12-14-19 | Evansville v. Green Bay -2 | Top | 72-62 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Wisconsin Green Bay. Evansville has the better record at 7-3, but 3-6 Wisconsin Green Bay is favored slightly at home in this one. And for good reason in my estimation as I look for the Phoenix to take advantage of familiar surroundings and to post a big and much needed win in front of the home town crowd. The Purple Aces average 80.6 PPG, but they concede 78.1. Yes they're 2-0 on the road, but now they face a Green Bay team that returns home hungry after a four-game road trip. The Phoenix are 2-1 at home so far. Key Trends: - The Purple Aces are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine off a home win by ten points or more. - The Phoenix are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. The verdict: After defeating Kentucky in their second game of the year, I believe that the Purple Aces are vastly over-rated and will continue to be so. They're horrible defensively and I think they stumble here vs. this hungry home side; lay the short points! |
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12-13-19 | Colorado v. Colorado State +5.5 | Top | 56-48 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Colorado State. I think the 7-2 Colorado Buffalos will have their hands full with the 7-5 Colorado State Rams. CSU comes in off a win, while Colorado enters off two straight losses. Most recently the Buffs fell 79-76 to Northern Iowa. Tyler Bey leads the way for Colorado with 13 points, 11 boards and 2.1 assists per game. CSU is led by Nico Carvacho with 13.3 points, 9.9 boards and 2.2 assists per night. Carvacho had 12 points in his team's most recent 72-68 home win over South Dakota State. Key Trends: - The Rams are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600. - The Buffaloes are 13-37-1 ATS in their last 51 road games. The verdict: The Rams are not a push over this year and they come in off a confidence building victory which I believe gets carried over here. The outright is possible, but let's grab up the points! |
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12-13-19 | Lakers v. Heat +5.5 | Top | 113-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Miami Heat. The Lakers have won three straight vs. Miami, including a victory at home by 15 points as 8 point favorites earlier this season. Miami has also lost two in a row at home to LA. Enough is enough and revenge is definitely a dish best served cold. Clearly it wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for The King and AD to win this contest, as the Lakers rank among the best on both ends of the court. But Miami is 11-0 SU on its home floor, including 9-2 ATS. A visit from LBJ will have everyone on high alert here. I think the Heat's depth and their home floor advantage will at the very least, keep them in this one until the final moments. Key Trends: - LA is still just 14-20 ATS in its last 34 as a road favorite. - Miami is 25-15 ATS in its last 40 after allowing 115 points or more in its previous contest (including 2-0 ATS this season.) The verdict: This is going to be a battle until the final horn; grab the points! |
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12-12-19 | 76ers +1.5 v. Celtics | Top | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* U of the U is on the Philadelphia 76ers. The Celtics are 10-0 at home, but I think that run of success finally gets derailed here by division leading Philadelphia. The Celtics played (and lost) in Indiana just last night and while they also suffered a loss in Philly earlier in the year, I think that Kemba Walker and the home side come in "gassed." The C's are also likely to be without Gordon Hayward in the line-up after he was injured last night. Philadelphia on the other hand has admittedly been much better at home than on the road this year, but what better opportunity than right now to turn that around? Off a 97-92 win at home over the Nuggets, I think Philadelphia is going to find a way here. Key Trends: - Philly is 21-10 ATS in its last 31 as a road dog of six points or less (including 3-2 ATS this year.) - The C's are only already just 3-5 ATS this year after covering in threee of their last four ATS. The verdict: An injured Hayward. A tired Kemba Walker. A 76ers tam that's desperate to shake its label of unable to perform on the road. If not now, when for Philly? Grab the points! |
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12-11-19 | Pelicans +13.5 v. Bucks | Top | 112-127 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG play is on the New Orleans Pelicans. New Orleans has talent and potential, but so far that hasn't translated into too much for the team. Milwaukee continues to roll along, but I think the home side will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. Yes the Bucks are 11-1 SU at home this season, but note that they're just 12-12 ATS overall this year. Milwaukee comes in off a 110-101 win over Orlando. The Pelicans came into the season injured, with rookie phenom Zion Williamson shelved because of a knee injury. The impact of his loss is still felt, as role players are being asked to do something they weren't originally expected to. New Orleans enters on a nine-game losing streak and it's led by Brandon Ingram, with 24.9 PPG. The Pelicans are coming off a heart-breaking 105-103 loss at home to the Pistons. Key Trends: - New Orleans is 27-15 ATS in its last 32 following a SU home loss. - Milwaukee is only 11-12 ATS as a favorite. - The Bucks are just 12-15 ATS in their last 27 after two or more consecutive home wins (including only 1-3 ATS this season.) The verdict: On paper and on the floor the Bucks are the better team. But a nine game losing streak is a big motivating factor and playing the team's best will only bring out the best in this underdog side in my opinion. No outright, but closer than expected; grab all these points! |
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12-11-19 | Cornell +11.5 v. Colgate | Top | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Cornell. The Cornell Big Red are just 1-7 and the Colgate Raiders are 6-4. The Big Red though won't be lacking for motivation as they attempt to snap a seven-game skid, including four losses by three points or less, vs. the reigning Patriot champion. Keep your eyes on Jimmy Boeheim, who is averaging team bests of 19.5 points and 6.8 rebounds for Cornell, numbers that raise to 23.3 ppg. and 12.0 rpg over the last three. Colgate is 5-0 at home, but it comes in off a 93-82 OT loss at Niagara, which snapped a five-game win streak. How will the Raiders respond? I think another letdown is imminent. Key Trends: - Cornell is 7-2 ATS in its last nine following a five games or more unbeaten streak. - Colgate is just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 following an OT loss of ten points or more. The verdict: I think the Big Red match up well here; grab the points! |
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12-10-19 | Nuggets +4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 92-97 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Denver Nuggets. Denver won this game at home 100-97. I think the Nuggets matchup well vs. the 76ers overall and I expect another contest which comes right down to the wire. The revenge factor gets thrown out the window here in my opinion, as Denver simply won't be taking anything for granted after a two-game skid. Philly's a bit satisfied as well at 17-7 and on a two-game win streak. But not only does it set up as a "letdown" spot in my opinion, but how could it also not be viewed as a "look-ahead" spot as well, with a game vs. the Celtics in Boston up next, the team with a .5 game lead in the Atlantic Division. A "letdown/look-ahead" = trap in my books. Key Trends: - Denver is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 after two or more SU losses. - Philadelphia is already only 1-3 ATS this year after scoring 110 points or more in two straight games. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, grab the points! |
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12-10-19 | Louisville v. Texas Tech +7.5 | Top | 57-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on Texas Tech. The mighty 9-0 Louisville Cardinals are going to have a fight from start to finish on their hands here from the 5-3 Texas Tech Red Raiders in my estimation. Texas Tech has lost three straight, so clearly it'll be desperate for a win here and what better opponent to try and pull the upset against? Louisville averages 77.1 PPG and it concedes 57.6. Eight different players hit a three-pointer in the Cardinals most recent win over Pittsburgh. Texas Tech most recently lost 65-60 in OT to DePaul (Terrence Shannon Jr. was a bright spot in a losing cause with 24 points.) Note though that Texas Tech hasn't lost four straight non-conference games since 1991. Overall the Red Raiders average 79 PPG and concede 65.1. Key Trends: - Louisville is just 14-18 ATS in its last 32 non-confernece games (including only 3-4 ATS this season.) - Texas Tech is 21-15 ATS in its last 36 non-conference contests. The verdict: I think the home side matches up well and I think its determination bridges the gaps; that said, grab the points! |
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12-07-19 | Cleveland State +18.5 v. Kent State | Top | 59-81 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* D vs G is on Cleveland State. Am I predicting an outright upset for the 4-5 Cleveland State Vikings vs. the 7-1 Kent State Golden Flashes? I'm not. I simply feel that Kent will get caught looking past this hungry Vikings team. Most recently the Flashes beat Detroit 92-57. Cleveland State won't be rolling over here. Note that the Vikings had won three in a row before losing at home to Toledo 80-65 on Wednesday. The Vikings' offense has been better of late, topping 65 points in their last three games, led by Algevon Eichelberger, who averages in double figures. Key Trends: - Cleveland State is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 off a home loss. - Kent State is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine off a home win scoring 85 or more points in the process. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team keeps this one more competitive that what this spread is suggesting; grab the points! |
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12-06-19 | Lakers v. Blazers +3.5 | Top | 136-113 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Blazers. LA lost at home to the Mavericks, but it comes in off back-to-back road victories. I think The King and company come up short here though vs. a suddenly red hot Blazers team which has won four of five, behind some great play from Carmelo Anthony. Key Trends: - The Lakers are a poor 12-20 ATS in their last 32 as a road favorite (including 3-5 ATS this season.) - Portland is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 as a home dog. The verdict: I like Portland's depth at home to be the difference. Outright? Very possible, but in the end let's grab the points! |
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12-05-19 | Oklahoma v. North Texas +6 | Top | 82-80 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on UNT. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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12-05-19 | 76ers v. Wizards +7 | Top | 113-119 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* ANNIHILATOR is on the Washington Wizards. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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12-04-19 | Kings +3 v. Blazers | Top | 116-127 | Loss | -104 | 30 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on the Sacramento Kings. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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12-04-19 | Tulane v. Southern Miss | 61-56 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 22 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Southern Miss. USM returns from the Bahamas hungry for a win in this rivalry game. The Golden Eagles though return home battle tested, having already played heavyweights No. 7 Gonzaga, No. 13 Seton Hall and Alabama in consecutive nights. One player to watch out for for the home side is LaDavius Draine, who had back-to-back double digit games to open the Bahama tournament. Tulane was only 4-27 last year, but first year head coach Ron Hunter has the Green Wave looking like a completely different team in the early going, thanks in large part to some key transfers. That said, I think Tulane will get caught off guard here from this hungry home side. Key Trends: - Tulane is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road favorite. - The Green Wave a terrible 1-6 ATS in their last seven off a home win by ten points or more. - Southern Miss is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog of three points or less or pick. The verdict: Clearly the outright is in the cards here, but let's grab the points! |
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12-04-19 | VMI +18 v. Duquesne | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on VMI. I think the 6-0 Duquesne Dukes get caught looking past their lowly opponent tonight. The VMI Keydets though come in under the radar here, as they've quietly won three of their last four. These teams haven't played since 2017 and the Dukes scored the 77-61 win. Duquesne is riding high after big wins over Indiana State, Air Force and Loyola Marymount in the Junkanoo Jam in Bihimi.  Key Trends: - VMI is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the +18.5 to +24 points range. - Duquesene is only 9-13 ATS in its last 22 as a home favorite. The verdict: VMI had three losses by three or fewer points in its first five games, so its win/loss record could in fact be a lot better. No outright, but considering everything I believe that this is far too many points to be giving up to the Keydets; grab the points! |
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12-04-19 | Western Illinois +10.5 v. Evansville | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Western Illinois. Western Illinois' two-game win streak came to an end vs. KC last time out, falling 68-67. That was after being down by as many as 18 in the firs thalf. Ben Pyle scored a game-high 21 points in a losing cause. I think the Leathernecks carry that momentum over here though as they try to score their five ever SU victory over Evansville. Four starters are averaging double figures for the visitors though: Kobe Webster (16.3 PPG), Zion Young (15.4), Ben Pyle (12.7), C.J. Duff (10.8) Key Trends: - Note that five of WIU's games have been decided by seven points or less this year. - The Purple Aces are just 2-4 ATS this season as a favorite. - Evansville is only 1-3 ATS this season vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: I believe the Purple Aces are going overlook their lowly, but hungry opponent today; grab the points! |
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12-03-19 | Magic v. Wizards -1 | Top | 127-120 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Washington Wizards. The Magic are 8-11 this year and the Wizards are 6-12. I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a deciding factor in this particular contest though. Orlando comes in off a rare/tough win at home over the rudder-less Warriors. Washington ended its road trip with a blowout loss to the Clippers. The Wizards though have been much better at home this season, led by guard Bradley Beal, who is averaging 28.0 points and 7.3 assists per game. Orlando has been better at home as well. Big man Nikola Vucevic is still slowly working his way back from a severe sprained ankle as well. Key Trends: - Orlando is just 16-21 ATS in its last 36 as a road dog of six points or less (including only 1-4 ATS this year.) - The Wizards are 4-2 ATS in their last six at home. - Washington is a perfect 2-0 ATS vs. the division this season. The verdict: The high-scoring and defensively inept home side catches a break here facing this "on again, off again" Magic offense; lay the short points! |
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12-02-19 | Miami-FL +8 v. Illinois | Top | 81-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Miami Florida. This is part of the annual ACC-Big Ten Challenge. This is a big game for the Hurricanes who are 0-3 vs. Top 100 teams to open the season. Miami has allowed 79 PPG over its last two losses, but overall the defense has been decent. Overall Miami is averaging 62.3 PPG. The Illini average 88.3 PPG in the earliy going, but that's largely been due to the level of competition. Key Trends: - Miami is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as a road dog or pick - Illinois is just 10-14 ATS in its last 24 as a home favorite or pick. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team will at the very least, find a way to keep this one competitive late; grab the points! |
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11-29-19 | Mavs v. Suns +2 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Phoenix Suns. The Suns come in off a 140-132 loss to the Wizards and they're just 1-5 in their last six. Clearly the home side is going to be ultra motivated here to break the slide. Keep your eyes on Devin Booker, who leads the way for Phoenix with 24.9 PPG. Dallas looks better on paper, but after winning five straight, the Mavs' lack of depth was exposed as well recently in a humbling 114-99 setback to the Clippers. I believe another letdown is imminent here vs. this desperate home side. Key Trends: - The Mavs are interestingly already 0-3 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest. - Phoenix is 4-1 ATS this season following a SU home loss. The verdict: While the outright win is obviously not out of the question, let's grab the points! |
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11-28-19 | Providence v. Long Beach State +17 | Top | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING is on LBSU. Providence is 4-2, most recently defeating Merrimack 93-56. LBSU enters off a humbling 104-67 loss on the road in Arizona. The Friars average 80 and the 49ers allow 77. Key Trends: - However note that Providence is just 14-24 ATS in its last 28 as a favorite (including only 2-3 ATS this season). - The Friars are also a poor 3-6 ATS in their last nine after scoring 75 points or more in two straight games (including 0-2 ATS this year.) - LBSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six neutral court affairs. The verdict: The 49ers won't be going down without a fight here. LBSU has faced some tough opponents in the early going and I don't think it'll be intimiated here; grab the points! |
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11-27-19 | Wolves v. Spurs -2 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the Spurs. The Wolves beat the Hawks last time out, while the Spurs fell to the Lakers. Minnesota broke the two-game slide with the 125-113 victory over ATL, but it was behind 65-64 at half time. The Spurs though are desperate for a win, as they've now lost nine of ten. Long story short here, I'm not going to over-react. The Spurs are loaded with vetrean talent and I expect this core to rally at home here today. The Wolves have not been playing great ball of late and I think they'll predictably stumble here. Key Trends: - Minnesota is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten vs. clubs which score more than 106 plus points per contest. - San Antonio is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. The verdict: Enough is enough! Look for Popovich and company to get the job done with a decisive effort; lay the short points! |
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11-27-19 | Kings +9.5 v. 76ers | 91-97 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Sacramento Kings. This is the Kings third game in their last four days, the final of their four-game swing. Sacramento will be fired up here to finish up strong in my opinion and take down a vulnerable looking 76ers side which comes in off a humbling defeat in Canada. Most recently Sacramento fell 103-102 to Boston on Monday. Buddy Hield had 11 3-pointer in the setback. 76ers star Joel Embiid was held scoreless in his team's loss in Toronto. Key Trends: - Sacramento averages 105.3 PPG. - Philadelphia averages 109 PPG. The verdict: Sacramento is also 7-0 ATS in its last seven vs. non-conference opponents, while Philly is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with losing records. Sacramento is playing a lot better of late and it has five players averaging in double figures. This one has "battle" written all over it, grab the points! |
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11-26-19 | Clippers -2 v. Mavs | Top | 114-99 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the LA Clippers. Both teams have won five in a row. Dallas has been riding the hot play Luka Doncic, while the Clippers have been getting the job done by committee. I believe Dallas is going to suffer a letdown here from the vastly "deeper" visiting side. Overall the Clippers average 114.2 PPG, while Dallas allows 109.9, while the Mavericks average 119.1, with the LA conceding 107.3. Key Trends: - LA is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 as a road favorite. - Dallas is only 4-5 ATS at home this season. The verdict: Doncic is unreal, but I think his supporting cast is in for a rude awakening here vs. LA's bench and tough defensive play; lay the short points and expect a decisive victory! |
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11-25-19 | 76ers +1 v. Raptors | Top | 96-101 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Philadelphia 76ers. So far Toronto has surprised me at how well its played this year without Kawhi Leonard. Philadelphia though would have had this game circled on the calendar for a long time though and I think the visitors depth and skill will prove to be just too much for Toronto to overcome here. Both teams sport similar win/loss records and offensive and defensive numbers. But after losing two of three in the regular season last year and also getting ousted in seven games in the Eastern Conference Finals, I look for the revenge minded 76ers to finally get off the schneid in this series. Key Trends: - Philly is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with winning records. - Toronto is a poor 31-37 ATS in its last 68 after scoring 110 points or more in three straight games. The verdict: "Revenge" is a dish best served cold; play on Philadelphia! |
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11-25-19 | Alabama State +27 v. VCU | Top | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Alabama State. Alabama State faces its second straight ranked opponent here today, most recently taking on Tennessee, both contests part of the Emerald Coast Classic. Alabama State has also faced Gonzaga this year, so to say its "battle tested" in the early going would be a big understatement. Tobi Ewuosho leads Alabama State in scoring at 14.8 points per game. VCU is 5-0 and it already has a win over then No. 23 LSU by a score of 84-82. The Rams also just posted a 30-point victory over Florida Gulf Coast. However with a game against Purdue on Friday, I think the Rams get caught looking past their opponent today. Key Trends: - VCU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a 25 points or more favorite following a four-games or more unbeaten streak. The verdict: I like Alabama State to keep this one competitive until the final moments; grab the points! |
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11-25-19 | Wright State v. Weber State +8.5 | 72-57 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
My 8* ANNIHILATOR is on Weber State. The Weber State Wildcats are 1-2 to open the year. Weber State lost to a couple of pretty good schools though in Utah State and San Diego, before then bouncing back with a 130-50 destruction of West Coast Baptist. This is the team's sixth straight seaosn in a preseason tournament. Wright State comes in off a less impressive 81-55 win over Urbana on Wednesday. I think Wright State will have its hands full here vs. a Weber State team picked to finish second in the Big Sky by the media this year. Key Trends: - Wright State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a favorite. - Weber State is 8-2 ATS in its last ten after playing two straight at home. The verdict: I think these teams are more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest; grab the points! |
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11-23-19 | CS Bakersfield +27.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 49-77 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* SPECIAL is on Cal State. Gonzaga is 5-0 overall this year and 4-0 at home, while CSUB is 2-3, losing both of its road games. Clearly I'm not calling for the outright upset, but I do definitely feel that the Bulldogs will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. CSUB is coming off a 100-70 loss to San Francisco on Tuesday. Keep your eyes on Taze Moore, who is averaging 15 points and 3.4 RPG. Gonzaga enters off a tougher than expected 72-66 win over UT Arlington on Tuesday. The 72 points were a season low thus far. Key Trends: - CSUB is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three after failing to cover the spread in three or more straight games. - Gonzaga is interestingly just 27-30 ATS in its last 57 after playing two straight games as a favorite. The verdcit: Clearly I'm not calling for the outright upset, but everything points to a much tighter contest that what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-23-19 | Heat +4 v. 76ers | Top | 86-113 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on Miami. Miami jumped out to an early lead in Chicago last night and then never looked back. In fact, the Heat took the foot off the gas in the second half after amassing such a huge lead, eventually pulling away for the 116-108 vicotry. The 76ers had a bit more of a back and forth battle with the Spurs, but they eventually won and covered with a 115-104 victory. The Heat are now 11-3, but they've had a light schedule so far. But with a chance to finally test itself, I believe the Heat push the pace and take this one down to the wire. Key Trends: - Miami is 52-37 ATS in its last 89 as an underdog. - The Heat are 22-15 ATS in their last 37 off a road victory. - The 76ers are a terrible 10-18 ATS in their last 28 when playing the second game of a back-to-back. The verdict: All signs point to this one being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, so in case I like that, let's grab the points! |
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11-22-19 | Montana +13.5 v. Washington | 56-73 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 19 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Montana. The Montanta Grizzlies are 1-3 and the Washington Huskies are 3-1. Montana comes in off a shocking loss to Montana Tech, so it'll be extra focussed here after that embarrassing performance. Senior guard Sayeed Pridgett leads the Grizzlies with 18.5 points per game. UW comes in off a 72-53 victory over Maine. Freshman forward Jaden McDaniels averages another 12.3 points per game. Key Trends: - The Huskies are just 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games. - The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU loss. The verdict: After its wake up call in its last game, expect Montanta to press the pace of this one from start to finish. And also expect that to result in a comfortable ATS cover for the underdog; grab the points! |
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11-22-19 | Rockets +5 v. Clippers | Top | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* play on the Houston Rockets. The Rockets beat the Clippers at home already this year. Houston comes in focussed after a loss in Denver. Russell Westbrook had 25 points in the setback. The Clippers are back to full strength now with Paul George back in the line-up, but I don't think they'll have an easy time of it here vs. James Harden and this taletned Rockets team. Key Trends: - Houston is 8-2 ATS in its last ten vs. good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per contest. - LA is just 4-5 ATS this year vs. teams which average over 106 points per contest. The verdict: In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these two teams has its hands on the ball last, I'll recommend grabbing as many points as you can! |
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11-22-19 | Houston +7.5 v. Oregon | Top | 66-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* play on Houston. The Cougars are 3-1 and the Ducks are 4-0. Houston averages 84 PPG in the early going and I think it'll push Oregon to the brink here. Most recently Houston came back from a 7-point deficit at half time to beat Rice 97-89, led by 32 points from Quentin Grimes. Overall Houston averages 84 PPG and it concedes 72.3. Oregon averages 81.5 PPG and it allows 63.2. Payton Pritchard is averaging 20.2 points per game to lead the Ducks. Key Trends: - Houston is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog. - Oregon is just 13-16 ATS in its last 29 vs. good offensive teams which average over 77 plus points per contest. The verdict: In a game which I see coming down to the wire, I'm grabbing all these points! |
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11-22-19 | Hornets v. Wizards -5.5 | 118-125 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Washington Wizards. This is the Hornets fourth straight on the road and they come in having lost two in a row, most recently at Brooklyn. Washington will look to take advantage and I think it comes in under the radar here after winning two of three. Charlotte's offense looked particualry horrible last time out, scoring just 40 points in the second half vs. Brooklyn. Washington on the other hand exploded for 75 points in the second half of its most recent victory over San Antonio. Key Trends: - Washington has the best offense in the NBA, averaging 119.7 PPG. - Charlotte is just 1-5 ATS in its last six vs. teams which average over 106 PPG. The verdict: Washington is just as hungry and desperate as Charlotte is here for a victory and I think it's playing much better on both sides of the ball that its opponent today; lay the points! |
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11-22-19 | Utah State v. LSU +1 | 80-78 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on LSU. Utah State comes in off a relatively easy victory over UTSA, but I think it'll have its hands full with this Power 5 team. LSU comes in off a blowout victory over UMBC in its most recent matchup, its second straight win. Sam Merrill paces the Aggies with 17.4 PPG. LSU is led by SKylar Mays with 17 points and 6.8 boards per game. Key Trends: - Utah State is only 12-16 ATS in its last 28 vs. good offensive teams which average over 77 plus points per game. - LSU is 2-0 ATS this year already off a home victory. The verdict: This final game of the opening day of the Jamaica Classic favors the high-powered offense of the Tigers in my opinoin. Grab the points! |
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11-21-19 | Green Bay +18 v. Wisconsin | 70-88 | Push | 0 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Wisconsin Green Bay. This is a second round matchup of the Legends classic and note that both teams will be moving on to the next round despite the outcome of this contest. The Phoenix have been off since a competitive 93-78 loss to New Mexico in the first round. Green Bay forced 18 UNM turnovers. Note that PJ Pipes averages 13.3 PPG. Wisconsin posted a 77-61 win over Marquette in its last outing. Brevin Pritzl led the way with 15 points in the victory. Note though that the Badgers are getting uneven production on both ends of the court to open the 2019/20 campaign, shooting 40 percent fro the floor and 33 percent from range. Key Trends: - Wisconsin Green Bay is 9-1 ATS in its last ten as a road dog of 12.5 or more points. - The Badgers are only 1-3 ATS in their last four after two straight victories by 15 or more points. The verdict: No outright, but look for the Phoenix to post another solid effort and comfortable cover; grab the points! |
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11-21-19 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff +21 v. Pittsburgh | 41-66 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Arkansas Pine Bluff. This is the second of four games as part of the Rocket Mortgage Fort Myers Tip-Off. Pittsburgh comes in off a relatively easy win over Monmouth on Monday, but I think it gets caught looking past lowly 0-4 Arkansas Pine Bluff in this one. After this game the Panthers travel to Fort Myers Florida for the championship rounds of this tournament and I think it's the foot in the door that Pine Bluff needs to pull off the comfortable cover. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine non-conference home games as a favorite of 19.5 points or more. - Arkansas Pine Bluff is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after three or more SU losses. The veridct: Expect this one to be competitive well into the second half and grab up all these points! |
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11-21-19 | Duquesne v. Indiana State +6 | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Indiana State. Duquesne is 3-0, but I think it'll have its hands full with the 0-3 Indiana State Sycamores tonight. This is the opening round of the Junkanoo Jam. The Dukes are allowing 53 PPG in the early going and averaging 72.7. Baylee Steele averages 12.7 PPG for the Dukes. Indiana State has so far averaged only 68 PPG, while conceding 82.0. Jordan Barnes has been a bright spot by averaging 12.7 PPG. Key Trends: - Duquesne is just 1-5 ATS in its last six neutral court games. - Indiana State is 4-0 ATS in its last four after scoring 60 points or less in its previous game. The verdict: Competition for each side has skewed these team's early offensive and defensive numbers. In a contest which I see coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points! |
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11-20-19 | Troy State +18 v. Texas A&M | 52-56 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Troy. Troy is 1-3 and it comes in off its first win of the season, an 84-57 victory over Carver. While I'm clearly not expecting an outright upset, I do think the Trojans will keep this one close till the end. The Aggies come in off a terrible performance, getting destroyed 79-49 by Gonzaga. Key Trends: - Troy is 4-1 ATS in its last five off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. - Texas A&M is 0-8 ATS in its last eight as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points. The verdict: I think the Aggies come in dejected and still caught up on that performance and I look for Troy to take advantage; grab the points! |
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11-20-19 | Warriors v. Mavs -13.5 | Top | 94-142 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the Dallas Mavericks. The Warriors come in off a rare straight up win, beating Memphis 114-95 last night. Dallas will look to take advantage here and build off its two game win streak. I wish I had the Warriors last night, but I did not see that one coming at all. But Golden State is now definitely tired as it comes to town in the second game of the back to back scenario. The Mavericks on the other hand have bounced back nicely from a scuffling stretch and I think they'll lay the hammer down from start to finish here. Key Trends: - The Warriors are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs. teams which average over 106 plus points per contest. - The Mavericks are interestingly 5-1 ATS in their last six after playing a game at home. The verdict: Expect Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis to lead the charge and for the home side to hold on to a big lead until the finish; lay the points! |
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11-20-19 | Cornell +20.5 v. Syracuse | 53-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Cornell. I like three big underdogs in CBB on Wednesday night, including this play on 1-3 Cornell at 2-1 Syracuse. The Big Red lost to DePaul by 21 points, but I think they'll put up more of a fight here. Keep your eyes on Jimmy Boeheim, who is averaging 15.3 PPG for Cornell in th eearly going. Elijah Hughes and Buddy Boeheim lead the way for the Orange. Four players average in double-digit for Syracuse and while it most recently beat Seattle by 22 points I think it gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today. Key Trends: - Cornell is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a blowout loss by 20 points or more in its previous outing. - Syracuse is a poor 1-6 ATS in its last seven after a home blowout win by 20 points or more. The verdict: The Orange have one more "cream puff" after this before it gets into the meat of its regular season. I think the home side takes the foot off the gas and I expect the hungry Big Red to cover comfortably; grab the points! |
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11-20-19 | Columbia +9.5 v. St. John's | 63-82 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Columbia. St. John's comes in with a 3-1 record and Columbia enters with a 1-3 record. The Scarlet Knights come in off their first loss of the year though in an upset setback to Vermont. Columbia has already faced some stiff competition, most recently falling to the defending National champs in their last outing. The battle tested Lions have also faced Lafayette and Wake Forest: "Obviously, I'm not happy with the result, but this was a great experience for our guys to go up against the defending national champions," said coach Jim Engles. Suffice it to say, I believe this early experience is going to help in keeping this game competitive until the final moments. Key Trends: - Columbia is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range. - St. John's is just 15-23 ATS in its last 38 as the favorite (including only 1-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think that this one sets up very well for the Lions and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much closer battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to belive; grab the points! |
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11-19-19 | Montana State v. Grand Canyon -6.5 | 56-69 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
My 9* DESTROYER is on Grand Canyon. Carlos Johnson and the Grand Canyon Lopes are just 1-3, while Montanta State is 4-1. But overwhelming ATS trends/numbers lead me to believe that Johnson and the home side are about to break out in a big way tonight. Key Trends: - Montana State is 0-2 ATS in its last two after scoring 55 points or less. - Grand Canyon is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after allowing 60 points or less. The verdict: I'm banking on the hungrier team finding a way to get the job done at the end of the night; lay the points! |
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11-19-19 | Furman v. Alabama -4 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on Alabama. Furman is 4-0 to open the season, but I think it'll have its hands full here with 1-2 Alabama. Furman won its most recent game, 83-81 at home over Southern Wesleyan, but now they face a Tide team in a foul mood after its 93-79 loss at Rhode Island most recently. Kira Lewis Jr. averages 22.3 PPG this year for Alabama and I think he's a big matchup issue for the Mid Major today. Key Trends: - Furman is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven as a road dog. - Alabama is 6-1 ATS in its last seven off an upset loss as a favorite. The verdict: This is a big test for Alabama first year head coach Nate Oates, but I think he has the personel to get the job done here; lay the short points! |
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11-18-19 | Blazers +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 108-132 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Blazers. Portland's lost three of its last five, but it comes in off a convincing full four quarter effort vs. the Spurs and I look for that momentum to get carried over here. Note that the Rockets will not have star Russell Westbrook in the line-up tonight. Overall the Blazers average 112.8 PPG. The Rockets continue to get unreal play from James Harden, but Houston gets rather thin after that. Key Trends: - Portland is already 3-0 ATS this year as a road underdog. - The Blazers are 62-47 ATS in their last 109 after one or more SU victories. - The Rockets are already 0-2 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team finds a way to get the job done here; grab the points! |
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11-18-19 | SIU-Edwardsville +16.5 v. South Dakota | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on SIU Edwardsville. SIUE came back from an 11-point second-half deficit to post a 57-55 victory away from friendly confines Saturday at Incarnate Word. Mike Adewunmi led the way with 12 points. South Dakota comes in off a relatively easy 88-69 win over Texas Southern, but I think it gets caught looking past its lowly opponent after improving to 4-0. Key Trends: - SIU Edwardsville is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games after holding its previous opponent to 55 points or less. - South Dakota is only 5-10 ATS in its last 15 off a home win by ten or more points. The verdict: I think SIUE matches up better vs. South Dakota than what this spread would suggest; grab the points! |
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11-17-19 | Nuggets -6.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 131-114 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGERS is on the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets come in off a win over the Nets at home and I think they'll get the better of the home side in this one. Memphis has won three straight, but it doesn't match up well at all here vs. Denver. Nuggets' center Nikola Jokic is averaging 17.1 points, 9.1 boards and 5.8 assists per game this season. Ja Morant has been great for Memphis during this win streak, but I believe the rookie will have his hands full with Denver's Jamal Murray. Key Trends: - The Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five vs. teams with a losing straight up record. - Memphis is still only 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: I think Memphis comes back down to Earth here after its big upset win; lay the points! |
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11-17-19 | CS-Northridge +13 v. Richmond | Top | 62-90 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING is on CSUN. The 0-4 CSUN Matadors come in under the radar here and steal one comfortably ATS in my opinion vs. the Richmond Spiders. Terrell Gomez led the scoring for CS-Northridge with 23 points in a 116-70 loss to Auburn most recently. The Spiders come in content after an OT win over Vanderbilt last time out. Note that both of Richmond's victories have come in OT, meaning that the team is having difficulties closing out and it could easily be 0-2 right now as well if not for a few lucky bounces. Key Trends: - CSUN is 4-1 ATS in its last five when playing with one or less days rest. - Richmond is a terrible 6-14 ATS in its last 20 as a home favorite or pick. The verdict: I think Richmond is going to have a fight on its hands until the final moments; grab the points! |
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11-16-19 | Hawks +13 v. Clippers | Top | 101-150 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the Atlanta Hawks. Paul George is out for this one for the Clippers, so the Kawhi Leonard/George first game together is going to have to wait a little longer. The Clippers are only 7-5 and the Hawks are just 4-7. The Hawks are short-handed, but they still have Trae Young and I look for desperate Atlanta to try and take advantage of a Clippers team which also enters without key pieces. Key Trends: - Atlanta is 50-30 ATS in its last 80 after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. - LA is just 7-13 ATS in its last 20 off an upset loss as a favorite. The verdict: I expect a hard-fought game which gets decided in the closing moments. As such, grab as many points as you can! |
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11-16-19 | St Bonaventure +7.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* BEST OF THE BEST is on St. Bonaventure. The Bonnies are 0-3 to open the year, while the Scarlet Knights are 3-0. Note though that Rutgers does not actually have the true "home court advantage" here, as this game is being played in Toronto as part of the James Naismith Classic tournament. The Bonnies enter off a 78-65 oss at Siena, with Dominick Welch a bright spot with 21 points. The Scarlet Knights were 7-13 in conference play last year and only 14-17 overall. Rutgers first three opponents are suspect though (Bryant, Niagara and Drexel.)Â Key Trends: - The Bonnies are 2-0 ATS in their last two after going 65 points or less in three straight games. - St. Bonaventure is 18-11 ATS in its last 29 after faling to cover the spread. - The Scarelt Knights are only 2-7 ATS in their last nine after conceding 65 points or less in two straight games. The verdict: I think this one comes down to the wire and as such, I'm going to grab the points! |
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11-15-19 | Florida Gulf Coast +5.5 v. Mercer | Top | 68-84 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on the Florida Gulf Coast. The FGCU Eagles won't be lacking for motivation here after they fell 55-49 to Dartmouth last time out. FGCU went into half tied at 29-29 as well. Sophomore Zach Scott leads the nightly charge with 16.3 PPG. Mercer is only 515 miles from the Mercer Campus. Mercer has won two in a row, but over lowly Columbia International and Kennesaw State (the Bears did lose their opener at Saint John's 109-79.) Ethan Stair leads Mercer with 20.3 points and 9.7 rebounds. Key Trends: - FGCU is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games after two or more SU losses. - Mercer is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine home games after back to back SU victories. The verdict: I think the hungry Eagles matchup well here. This spread is low and while I do think the outright is possible, in the end I'll recommend grabbing the points in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last; grab the points! |
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11-14-19 | Bulls +12 v. Bucks | Top | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* TOP DOG is on the Chicago Bulls. I like the hungry Bulls to put up a fight and to take this one down to the final moments. The Bulls are actually playing their best ball of the year so far, having won two of their last three, including a 113-93 road victory over the Hawks in their most recent. I think this is a "trap" for the Bucks, who return home for their first game after a four-game trip, most recently barely holding on for the 121-119 victory over the lowly Grizzlies. Key Trends: - Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after a home win by ten points or more (just hammered the Knicks.) - Milwaukee is interestingly only 6-11 ATS in its last 17 after three consecutive non-conference contests. The verdict: Chicago is dealing with a couple injury issues, but the Bucks get caught looking past their lowly opponent. Grab the points and expect a competitive affair! |
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11-14-19 | Alabama A&M +35 v. Cincinnati | Top | 53-85 | Win | 100 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* ATS BLOWOUT is on Alabama A&M. I think that the Bearcats get caught looking past the lowly Bulldogs tonight. Alabama A&M enters off a 74-52 loss to UAB, while Cincinnati comes in off an 81-59 victory over Drake. Key Trends: - Alabama A&M is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a 20 points or more loss in its previous outing and as a 30 or more point underdog. - The Bearcats are a poor 2-7 ATS in their last nine at home. The verdict: With another cream puff vs. Illinois State up next before a game vs. UCLA, I think Cincinnati coasts in this one; grab all these points! |
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11-13-19 | Raptors v. Blazers -3 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 22 m | Show | |
My 9* BEATDOWN is on the Portland Trail Blazers. The Blazers got caught "looking ahead" to this game last night in Sacramento, falling 105-94 to the surging Kings. But I think that Damian Lillard and company will rebound here and take advantage of a depleted Raptors side. After beating the Lakers, the Raptors wound up losing 98-88 to Kawhi Leonard and the Clippers. Both Serge Ibaka and Kyle Lowry were out with injury and each is questionable here as well. Key Trends: - Toronto is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 90 points or less in its previous game. - The Blazers are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. The verdict: I think the desperate home side lays everything on the line and I believe that effort will be more than enough to cover the handful of points tonight; play on Portland! |
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11-13-19 | Grand Canyon +10.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 61-86 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Grand Canyon. I think SDSU gets caught looking past its lowly opponent here. The Lopes hit the road for the first time this year after two straight losses at home. Most recently GCU fell to Illinois 83-71: "We just are trying to get better every day," Lopes head coach Dan Majerle said. "It was better (vs. Illinois) but we've still got a long way to go. The schedule doesn't get any easier so we have to find a way." SDSU on the other hand comes in off a satisfying 76-71 win at BYU and a 77-42 victory over Texas Southern. As stated off the top, I think this one sets up as a "letdown/look-ahead" spot for the home side. Key Trends: - GCU is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - SDSU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after a win by six points or less. The verdict: No outright, but closer than expected! Grab the points! |
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11-13-19 | Spurs +1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 114-129 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* TOP DOG is on the Spurs. The Wolves barely held on for a 120-114 win over the Pistons on Monday and I think they're going to have their hands full here vs. this Spurs team which has dropped two in a row. In fact note that San Antonio has lost four of its last five. San Antonio has looked shaky of late, but I think the visitors match up well today vs. Minnesota and I like DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge to bounce back tonight. Anthony Wiggins and Karl Anthony Townes have been bright spots for the Wolves, but Minnesota gets pretty thin after them. Key Trends: - The Spurs are 21-12 ATS in their last 33 after two or more consecutive SU losses. - The Wolves are only 3-7 ATS in their last ten off an upset win as a road underdog. The verdict: I expect San Antonio to finally "show up" tonight in this very winnable game; grab the points! |
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11-12-19 | Pepperdine v. CS-Northridge +5.5 | Top | 94-82 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on CS Northridge. This is the Matadors home opener and I expect them to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. CSUN lost 87-67 at Oregon State and then 97-70 at New Mexico. A little home cooking is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked in my opinion though. Terrell Gomez is averaging a team-high 16.5 points so far for the Matadors. But if recent history is any precedence, then CSUN has to be loving its chances as it won this game 90-83 last year. After falling 87-71 at Cal, the Waves bounced back with a 77-73 win over UC Irvine last Saturday, but I believe they'll struggle to contain this determined home side. Key Trends: - Peppderine is just 1-5 ATS in its last six after a win by six points or less. - The Wave are only 1-3 ATS in their last four as a road favorite. - CSUN is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog in the 3.5 to six points range. The verdict: Expect this one to come down to the wire and grab as many points as you can! |
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11-12-19 | Nets +6.5 v. Jazz | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show | |
My 9* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Brooklyn Nets. I think the Nets matchup well against the Jazz here and I think the visitors have a real shot at pulling off the outright upset. That said, in the end I'll grab the points. This is going to be Donovan Mitchell vs. Kyrie Irving and in that matchup, I give Irving the big advantage. Key Trends: - Brooklyn is 21-10 ATS in its last 31 as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Utah is just 38-39 ATS the L2 years as a home favorite. The verdict: The Nets defense is its weak point, but the Jazz aren't known for running up the score. This is a great matchup and situational play in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-12-19 | Cavs v. 76ers -11 | Top | 97-98 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Philadelphia 76ers. The Cavs broke a three-game losing slide by responding with back-to-back victories. Cleveland's wins though have been over the Wizards and Knicks. The 76ers struggled on their Western road swing, doing half of it without big man Joel Embiid in the line-up. Philly then returned home to bea the Hornets. Now fifth in the East, the 76ers won't be taking anything for granted here. Key Trends: - The Cavs average 107.1 PPG and the Sixers allow 106.2. - The 76ers average 111.00 PPG and Cleveland concedes 108.0. The verdict: Cleveland is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after two or more consecutive upset victories as an underdog and I'm not reading too much into its minor win streak here. After their sub-par road trip, look for the 76ers to keep the foot on the gas at home vs. this "lesser" competition; lay the points! |
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11-11-19 | DePaul v. Iowa -9 | Top | 93-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Iowa. DePaul is 3-0 and Iowa is 1-0. The Blue Demons started off hot last year as well, before then stumbling and finishing 15-15 overall. Now DePaul is re-working its team after losing most of its core group last year. Charlie Moore was picked up from Kansas and he's averaged 19 PPG, but beyond that the Blue Demons are thin. Iowa went to the NCAA tournament last year and it would advantage to the round of 32 before falling to Tennessee in OT. Luke Garza is now the main man in Iowa, he's put up 20 points and 12 boards in the opening win. Key Trends: - DePaul is just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 as a road underdog or pick. - Iowa is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 non-conference contests. - The verdict: I like Iowa to pull away comfortably in the second half as I look for its depth to ultimatley prove to be too much for DePaul to hang with; lay the points! |
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11-10-19 | Pacific v. Florida A&M +9.5 | Top | 76-54 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Florida A&M. This is the second game for both teams at the Outrigger Resorts Rainbow Classic in Hawaii. The Florida A&M Rattlers will be eager to get off the schneid here after starting 0-2. The Pacific Tigers are 1-1. FAMU lost 77-48 to USC in its opener, before then also losing 65-52 to host Hawaii to open this tournament (Kamron Reaves and Rod Melton had 11 points each in the setback.) Good news though is the face the Tigers, whose only win was a 69-47 victory over Division II Stanislaus State. Pacific then followed that up with a ten point loss to South Dakota to open this tournament. The verdict: FAMU outscored host Hawaii by seven points in the second half of its first game and I look for it to carry that momentum over here; grab the ample points! |
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11-09-19 | Rockets v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 117-94 | Loss | -103 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Chicago Bulls. Chicago is coming off its best performance of the year in beating the Hawks on the road in Atlanta. After a lacklustre start to the season, Chicago's young and extremely talented pieces are finally starting to figure things out. Houston has two dynamic talents itself in Russell Westbrook and James Harden, but the Rockets have already struggled with consistency on the road this year (a 155-154 OT loss in Washington.)Â Key Trends: - Houston is a poor 7-13 ATS in its last 20 after a cover as a double-digit favorite. - Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last ten after a win by ten points or more. The verdict: The Bulls will view this as a real test and they'll be eager to build off their last performance. Their efforts tonight may not result in a SU victory, but I do think the stage is set for a battle until the end; grab the points! |
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11-09-19 | Utah Valley v. Denver +3 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* MID MAJOR MAULING is on Denver. Denver plays with revenge after allowing the Utah Valley Wolverines to score 98 points in last year's 23 point loss. Denver most recently fell 74-63 to Colorado State, but I expect a bounce back performance in this revenge spot. Key Trends: - Utah Valley is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 on the road. - Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home dog or pick. The verdict: Look for the home side to catch Utah Valley flat-footed here and to avenge last year's humbling setback, with the core of that group on the floor tonight; grab the points! |
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11-08-19 | Heat v. Lakers -8 | 80-95 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
My 8* BEATDOWN is on the LA Lakers. Miami won three in a row before dropping a game in Denver in the first game of its trip. The Nuggets were desperate for a win in that one, but the Heat bounced back nicely in Phoenix last night, destroying the Suns 124-108. The Lakers are dominating themselves, leading the Western Conference at 6-1. LA is playing with a chip on its shoulder this year as it tries to bury last season's disappointing effort. LeBron James is going to be playing with a chip on his shoulder as well tonight as he faces his former team which he won two championships with. I believe that Miami does come in tired and I absolutely expect the Lakers to have no mercy in this one. Key Trends: - Miami is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 off a win by ten point or more as an underdog. - LA is 53-40 ATS in its last 93 vs. good offensive teams which average over 106 points per game. The verdict: The conditions and the trends/numbers all point to a home side rout here in my opinion; lay the points! |
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11-08-19 | Cavs +5 v. Wizards | Top | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. A couple of hungry 2-5 teams battle it out on Friday night and in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever side has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to recommend to grab the points. Cleveland is desperate for sure after losing three in a row. The Wizards on the other hand look poised for a letdown after they broke a three-game skid with a win over the Pacers last time out. The Cavs got smoked at home by Dalls, but they looked much better even in defeat to the Celtics, eventually succumbing 119-113. I think they carry that momentum over here vs. this "on again, off again" Wizards side. Key Trends: - Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last eight off two or more consecutive home losses. - Washington is a terrible 16-21 ATS in its last 35 as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: I think these teams are evenly matched, but I believe the Cavaliers are "hungrier." Grab the points! |
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11-08-19 | Florida Atlantic v. Miami-FL -12 | Top | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
FAU is 1-0 and Miami Florida is 0-1. The Hurricanes got thrashed by Louisville on Opening night, while the Owls beat Division II Flagler College. The Hurricanes have dominated this series though, coming in with a 23-1 all time record, which includes a convincing 75-55 decision last season. I expect a similar result here. FAU is coming off its worst season season 2010/11, finishing 17-16 last year and while it does return four starters, it still does not match up well at all here vs. Miami. The Hurricanes finished 14-18 last year, so after the opening day loss, posting a convincing blowout victory here is basically essential for Jim Larranaga's team. Key Trends: - Miami is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss. - FAU is only 8-20 ATS in its last 28 following a SU win. The verdict: Miami has too much size and talent for the Owls to keep up with. Throw in last year's sub-par campaign and the opening night loss and I expect this one to be ugly from start to finish; lay the points! |
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11-07-19 | Celtics v. Hornets +6.5 | Top | 108-87 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Charlotte Hornets. Boston has won five straight and I think it'll have a predictable letdown here as it takes to the road to face the lowly Hornets. Charlotte however has quietly been playing much better of late, coming in having won three straight, most recently an OT victory over the Pacers. Key Trends: - The Celtics average 110.3 PPG, and they allow 104.7. - The Hornets average 107.9 PPG, and they allow 113.6. The verdict: Note though that Charlotte is 7-2 ATS in its last nine following an ATS victory and 7-1 ATS in its last eight vs. the Eastern Conference, while Boston is only 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine after scoring 100 points or more in its previous contest. This is Kemba Walker's first game played in Charlotte since he abandoned the team and I expect him to struggle in this hostile environment; grab the points! |
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11-06-19 | Long Beach State +16.5 v. UCLA | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
My 8* BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT is on LBSU. Both teams are looking to rebuild. UCLA has new faces and a new head coach after a down year. LBSU finished strong, but it also have for the most part an entirely new line-up. I think UCLA has some growing pains under new coach Mick Cronin and with nothing to lose, I expect the 49ers to take this one down to the wire. Key Trends: - LBSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a road dog in the 12.5 to 18 points range. - UCLA is just 8-16 ATS in its last 24 non-conference contests. The verdict: I think chemistry is an issue for UCLA early; grab the points! |
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11-06-19 | Florida State v. Pittsburgh +3.5 | Top | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Pittsburgh. Last year FSU was a four seed in the NCAA Tournament and it made it to the Sweet 16. FSU though starts with back-to-back tough road games, tonight in Pittsburgh followed by one at Florida. I think this sets up well for us on Opening Night, as the hungry home side will be risking life and limb here to try and pull off the minor upset. FSU's top two scorers and rebounders left fo the NBA as well. Pitt won two of its final three games to end the season last year and it returns three of its four top scorers. Key Trends: - FSU is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight as a road favorite or pick. - Pittsburgh is interestingly 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games played in the month of November. The verdict: It's opening night for these teams and I believe the situational factors working in favor of the home side are the difference maker; grab the points! |
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11-05-19 | Lakers v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Chicago Bulls. I think the hungry home side takes the Lakers down to the wire in this one. LA comes in off a win vs. the Spurs. Chicago enters off a loss to the Pacers. Anthony Davis and LeBron James have been great in the early going for LA, but after the fantastic duo, the Lakers are kind of thin due to continued injuries. Chicago has six players averaging in double figure and its disappointing start to the year gives the home side an added sense of urgency. Key Trends: - The Lakers are still just 1-4 ATS in their last five as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - The Bulls are 15-10 ATS in their last 25 as a home dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: Expect Chicago to come in focussed and to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points! |
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11-05-19 | Appalachian State +18.5 v. Michigan | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Appalachian State. Both teams have new head coach's as we open the season. I think the transition will effect the Power 5 school more than the mid major though. Michigan is now led by Juwan Howard, while App State is led by Dustin Kerns. App State does return four starters though, which is a major advantage to open the season. Michigan has three returning starters. Key Trends: - App State is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a road dog in the 12.5 to 18 points range. - Michigan is only 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite in the same points range. The verdict: I like th experience that App State brings to this one and on Opening Night, I believe that's the difference maker in this matchup; grab the points! |
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11-05-19 | Western Illinois +21.5 v. Indiana | Top | 65-98 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* play on Western Illinois. Western Illinois returns its top scorer in Kobe Webster, who averaged 17 PPG. Western Illinois is small compared to Indiana, but it shot the ball well from thee point range last year. The Hoosiers finished 19-16 last year, so expectations are tempered somewhat this season. Key Trends: - Western Illinois is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 non-conference games. - Indiana is only 10-12 ATS in its last 22 non-confernece contests. - I think the Hoosiers get caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent; grab the points! |
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11-05-19 | Louisville v. Miami-FL +7 | 87-74 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Miami Florida. Outright win? Probably not. But I do think that Miami Florida has enough firepower to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Miami is coming off its first losing season under head coach Jim Larranaga, who enters his tenth year as boss. Louisville went 20-14 last year and it was ousted in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. The Cardinals have an awesome line-up this season and they've been ranked as No. 5. Note though that it starts the year without junior forward Malik Williams and highly touted freshman David Johnson. Miami has new faces in the line-up, but it returns the ACC's second leading scorer from a year ago in Chris Lykes. Key Trends: - Louisville is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road. - Miami Florida is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five at home. The verdict: Miami lost to Louisville by 17 last year, so the revenge factor also comes into play; grab as many points as you can! |
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11-04-19 | 76ers v. Suns +1.5 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Phoenix Suns. I like the under-rated home side to push the pace and to take care of business vs. Philadelphia, which narrowly escaped in its first road game of the year in Portland. The Suns are already 5-0 ATS this year. Joel Embiid is once againg out for Philly though as he serves the final game of his suspension for fighting. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is the seventh worst in the NBA in defending the three point shot, allowing 37.6 percent. - The Suns score 19.5 percent of their points off turnovers, tied for the third most in the NBA. - Phoenix allows the second least 3-pointers in the league (9.1 PG). The verdict: With games at Utah and Denver upcoming, I think this Eastern Conference power house that's already down its main offensive weapon, comes in and "looks past" this vastly improved Suns side; grab the point/s! |
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11-03-19 | Mavs v. Cavs +5 | Top | 131-111 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. I think the Mavericks come to Cleveland still "hung over" after their 119-110 OT loss at home to the Lakers. Luke Doncic had a huge night, but I think he'll be gassed and disinterested in this one vs. the perceived "lowly" Cavaliers. Note that Dallas onyl has three players averaging in double-digit points, so road trips and OT contests have an effect on team's like this. The Cavs enter off a 102-95 road loss to Indiana, a contest in which they held the lead for most of. Kevin Love was exceptional in a losing cause with 22 points and 17 boards. Jordan Clarkson was also impressive with 20 points off the bench. Key Trends: - Dallas is only 5-7 ATS in its last 12 as a road favorite of six points or less. - The Mavericks are only 19-23 ATS in their last 42 following a SU home loss. - Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a road loss vs. a division rival. The verdict: The Cavaliers have experienced big men which can challenge Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis and I think the deeper bench of Cleveland is the difference in the end; grab the points! |
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11-02-19 | Wolves v. Wizards | Top | 131-109 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* BEST OF THE BEST is on the Wizards. Many handicappers are purely "situational" handicappers. Others use power numbers or other systems and don't deviate from their process or method. And I think that's great. I've always thought though that being "flexible" with your approach is the best way to handicap sports. Clearly Minnesota is the "better" team, but after losing star player Karl-Anthony Towns to suspension for fighting in its previous outing, I think the hungry home side is the correct call here. Minnesota also can't help but get caught "looking ahead" to its home game vs. the Bucks on Monday. Washington comes in off a 159-158 loss to the Rockets and it won't be lacking for motivation or confidence after that close setback. Key Trends: - Minnesota is just 14-21 ATS in its last 35 as a road dog of six points or less. - Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last six after two straight losses by six points or less. The verdict: I love Washington to battle tooth and nail here and take advantage of this temporarily "rudderless" Wolves team! |
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11-01-19 | Cavs +8 v. Pacers | Top | 95-102 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Without Victor Oladipo, the Indiana Pacers are only an average team. Cleveland is at 100% health and it has veteran players performing at a high level right now. Most recently the Cavs beat the Bulls 117-11 at home, with six players scoring in double figures. Indiana comes in off its first win of the year, a 118-108 road victory over the Nets. Note though that the Indiana bench scored just 11 points in that victory. Key Trends: - Indiana is a poor 1-5 ATS in its last six following a SU victory. - The Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last five at home. - The Cavs are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU victory. The verdict: Tristan Thompson and Kevin Love are both playing well for the Cavs and while I would not in fact be shocked by an outright upset here, in the end I'm going to grab all these points! |
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10-30-19 | Pacers +3.5 v. Nets | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 27 h 44 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers are still without Victor Oladipo, but I think the 0-3 visiting side finds a way to get the job done vs. the 1-2 Nets. Indiana enters off a 96-94 loss at Detroit, while the Nets come in off a poor 134-133 OT road loss to the Grizzlies. There are reports from Nets' officials that star Kyrie Irving's off-court antics and "mood swings" are very real and a major distraction. I believe the "hungrier" and more focussed side finds a way to get the job done tonight. Key Trends: - Indiana won't be lacking for confidence here as it's 8-2 ATS in its last ten in this series. - Brooklyn is 34-38 ATS in its last 72 vs. teams with losing records, including 0-2 ATS already this season. The verdict: Look for the more desperate team to deliver the goods, but in a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to grab the points! |
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10-30-19 | Knicks +9 v. Magic | Top | 83-95 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the New York Knicks. The Knicks are 1-3 and the Magic are 1-2. New York comes in off its first win of the year and I think the hungry visiting side will carry some of that momentum over here vs. a Magic team that's struggling with consistency in the early going. New York got the better of Chicago 105-98, while the Magic fell 104-95 in Toronto on Monday. RJ Barrett has been a stand out for the Knicks early an dhe had 19 points and 15 boards in the victory over the Bulls. Orlando opened the year with a win over the Cavaliers, but since then it's struggled and it's the only team in the league which hasn't scored 100 points in a game thus far. Key Trends: - New York is already 2-0 ATS this year vs. clubs with losing records. - Orlando is 30-39 ATS in its last 69 vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: I think New York is finally figuring things out and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one being extremely competitive throughout; grab the points! |
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10-29-19 | Mavs +6 v. Nuggets | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Dallas Mavericks. Denver comes in off a 101-94 win at Sacramento just last night, while Dallas had a night off after suffering its first loss of the year in a 121-119 home setback to the Blazers. Dallas will look to push the pace here vs. this tired Nuggets side; note that the Mavericks average 116.7 PPG. Denver averages 108. Key Trends: - The Nuggets are interestingly only 9-21 ATS in their last 30 vs. the Southwest division. - Dallas is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six on the road. The verdict: Dallas is a vastly improved team with two dynamic European players which are difficult to stop. While the situation could even give the visitors an outright win here, in the end I'm going to grab the generous amount of points; play on the Mavericks! |
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10-28-19 | Cavs +15.5 v. Bucks | 112-129 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 13 m | Show | |
My 10* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Both teams are 1-1. Am I calling for an outright upset here? I definitely AM NOT. That said, I do think that Kevin Love and the hungry Cavaliers can keep this one a lot closer than what this monster spread would suggest. So far the Cavs average 98 PPG and they concede just 97. The Bucks have scored 122 PPG in the early going and allowed 121. Key Trends: - Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last five off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. - The Bucks are just 13-14 ATS in their last 27 after a loss by six points or less. The verdict: I think the Cavs' tough defensive plays keep them in this contest late; grab the points! |
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10-28-19 | Magic +5 v. Raptors | 95-104 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Orlando Magic. This is a revenge game of sorts for the Magic, who got bounced in the first round by the Raptors in the playoffs last year. Orlando is 1-1 after hammering Cleveland at home, before then falling to the Hawks on the road. So far Orlando is averaging 96.5 PPG and it's conceding 94.1. Toronto has so far averaged 114.0 PPG, while allowing 116.0. Those early numbers are skewed from a couple high-scoring contets, including an OT affair though. Key Trends: - Orlando is 10-5 ATS in it slast 15 off a loss to a division rival as a favorite. - Toronto is just 9-11 ATS in its last 20 after allowing 90 points or less in its previous outing. The verdict: So far Toronto has looked pretty good without Kawhi Leonard in the line-up, but I think that the depth that Magic bring here, along with the motivational factors working in their favor, proves to be too much for the defending champs to handle tonight; that said, grab the points! |
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10-28-19 | Pacers -1.5 v. Pistons | 94-96 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers are 0-2 and the Pistons are 1-2. Indiana is playing without Victor Oladipo again, but it plays with revenge here after falling 119-110 at home to Detroit in its opener. The Pacers come in desperate and revenge minded and I believe those motivational factors will be more than enough to take out the "on again, off again" Pistons, who are playing without their star Blake Griffin. Key Trends: - Detroit is 0-7 ATS In its last seven when playing on one days rest. - The Pistsons are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games. - The Pacers are 17-10 ATS in their last 27 after two or more consecutive losses. The verdict: Look for the above situational and trend based factors to be more than enough for Indiana to get the job done tonight; lay the short points! |
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10-28-19 | Bulls v. Knicks +1 | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the New York Knicks. The Bulls are 1-2 and are coming off a disappointing loss at home to the Raptors. The Knicks are 0-3 and they'll be desperate to get off the schneid here. If not now, when? This is the perfect opponent to get untracked against and I expect the desperate home side to deliver the goods. So far on the year the Bulls are averaging 104.9 PPG and conceding 113.8. New York is averaging 104.6 and allowing 113.4. Key Trends: - The Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. - The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four after a double-digit loss at home. The verdict: The Bulls have lost eight of their last 11 at MSG and I think that strong trend carries over here vs. this hungry home side; grab the point/s! |
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10-27-19 | Heat +6 v. Wolves | Top | 109-116 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONF BEST OF THE BEST is on the Miami Heat. Miami went to OT with the Bucks in Milwaukee last night and it left with a 131-126 victory. If this was even one month from now, I'd definitely be going against Miami here as the second game of a back-to-back vs. a red hot Wolves team which returns home after a 2-0 road trip to play its first in Minnesota is clearly not an easy task. But we're still in the first week of the season and these are the top athletes in the World. I'll argue that the victory yesterday will in fact help Miami in this one and while the outright victory may not happen, I'm definitely expecting a war until the final bucket. Conversely, I think the Wolves have a letdown here in their first game in front of the home town crowd. Key Trends: - Miami is 14-10 ATS in its last 24 when playing on back-to-back days. - Minnesota is only 3-5 ATS in its last eight after a blowout victory of 20 points or more. The verdict: I like Miami's depth to carry the team to another solid cover at the very least in this one; grab the points! |
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10-25-19 | Raptors v. Celtics -2.5 | Top | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Boston Celtics. Toronto played from behind on Opening Night vs. the Pelicans, managed to take it to overtime and then managed to cover the large 8 point spread. The Raptors got the job done on their own floor vs. a horrible team, but I think they're going to predictably struggle here on the road vs. a good team, which is out for its first win of the season after falling 107-93 in Philadelphia on Opening night. Yes Kemba Walker struggled for Boston in that one, but a small adjustment period is fully expected. With a night off to absorb the loss, I look for the home side to risk life and limb here vs. its divisional opponent. Key Trends: - Boston is 5-0 ATS at home the last five in this series. - Toronto is only 2-11 ATS in its last 13 after scoring 125 points or more in its previous game. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, I'm banking on Boston bouncing back and laying a beating on the defending champs; lay the short points! |
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10-24-19 | Hawks +1.5 v. Pistons | Top | 117-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Atlanta Hawks. Detroit upset Indiana 119-110 last night, but I think it'll have a hard time keeping pace with the Hawks this evening, who come in focussed and fresh for the new season. Detroit is without the services of star player Blake Griffin for the first few weeks and after Andre Drummond's career performance in last night's victory, I think this one definitely has "letdown" written all over it. I like Trae Young and hungry Hawks to push the pace from start to finish. Key Trends: - ATL is 43-30 ATS In its last 73 as a road dog. - Detroit is 0-2 ATS in its last two off an upswet win over a division rival as an underdog. The verdict: I expect the Hawks to roll to a sizeable victory; play on Atlanta! |
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10-23-19 | Grizzlies +7.5 v. Heat | 101-120 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies now belong to Jonas Valanciunas and No. 2 overall pick Ja Morant. Jae Crowder and Grayson Allen have a lot of potential in the back-court as well. Jimmy Butler is in Miami, but the Heat lost Hassan Whiteside and Josh Richardson. Key Trends: - Memphis is 15-10 ATS in its last 25 as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Miami is only 8-13 ATS in its last 21 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: I think the opportunity is here for the underdog to win outright, but in a game which should be a full on war until the final horn, I'm going to grab the points! |
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10-23-19 | Wolves +3.5 v. Nets | 127-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Wolves. The Nets are without Kevin Durant, but they still have Kyrie Irving, DeAndre Jordan and Taurean Prince. How will the Nets perform with all of these new faces? And without Durant? That's yet to be seen of course. While the Wolves lost a couple faces (Derrick Rose, Taj Gibson), their core of star players remains in tact. I believer Karl Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggis can keep their team competitive in this one. Key Trends: - Minnesota is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 as road dog of five points or higher. - The Nets are only 38-43 ATS the last two years on their own floor. The verdict: Outright victory? Possibly. But in a game which I seeing being a competitive war until the final horn, I'm grabbing the points! |
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10-23-19 | Celtics +5 v. 76ers | Top | 93-107 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Boston Celtics. Last season the Celtics finished 49-33 and finished fourth in the conference. With new point guard Kemba Walker in place to "steady the ship" off the court, I think Boston can improve on that record this year. Boston's Marcus Smart is expecting an all out war: "It's gonna be a dog fight," Smart said. "You can't come in looking pretty, you can't come in scared to get hit. You gotta be ready to get in there, get your nose bloodied a little bit." Boston has plenty of talent and clearly has the ability to win this one outright. Philadelphia went seven games with the Raptors last year in the playoffs, only to be outdone by Kawhi Leonard's last second shot. I think these teams are very evenly matched and while the 76ers obviously have the home court advantage, I do definitely expect a war until the end. Key Trends: - Boston won this series 3-1 last year. Every game in that series was close as well, except the first one. The verdict: Look for these two Eastern Conference contenders to battle tooth and nail until the final horn; grab the points! |
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