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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers OVER 46.5 | Top | 3-31 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the OVER Browns/49ers Cleveland started off the year with a blowout loss at home to the Titans. The Browns offense was out of sync and it had to play from behind the whole game. They also committed well over 100 yards in penalties. Last week Baker Mayfield and company destroyed the Ravens 40-25 though and now the Browns' offense is starting to fire on all cylinders. RB Nick Chubb had three rushing TD's and Mayfield had over 350 yards passing. The 49ers enter at 3-0 after having last week off. Previous to that they destroyed the Steelers at home. Jimmy Garoppolo and the San Fran offense is also firing on all cylinders. From a situational stand point, I do absolutely believe that this one sets up as a high-scoring "shootout." Key Trends: - Cleveland has seen the total go over the number in three of its last four off an upset win as an underdog. - San Francisco has seen the total soar over in four of its last five as a home favorite of seven points or less. The verdict: I do expect these two young QB's to push the pace from start to finish. This is a big game for both teams and I'm expecting a classic "shootout" on PRIME TIME! |
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10-06-19 | Jets v. Islanders UNDER 6 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the under Jets/Isles. The Jets are 1-1, falling 5-4 to the Rangers, before then coming from behind to knock off the Devils 6-5 in a shootout. The Isles are 0-1 after they lost 2-1 at home to the Capitals in their opener. New York was the stingiest team in the league last year and now they have Thomas Greiss between the pipes this evening; note that he was 23-14-2 last year with a 2.28 GAA. The verdict: Off two straight high-scoring affairs, the Jets now have to deal with the slogging pace of the Islanders, who will look to control the pace of this one and grind out their first win of the season; this one has under written all over it! |
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10-06-19 | Patriots v. Redskins OVER 43.5 | Top | 33-7 | Loss | -107 | 118 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the over Pats/Skins. Yes New England has the best defense in the league. Statistically speaking anyways. The Patriots haven’t been truly tested by a great offense yet this year though and once again they won’t be this weekend either. That said, the 0-4 Redskins have nothing to lose here and will be given the green light to open up the offense from start to finish. This will of course give ample opportunity for this talented and opportunistic Pats’ defense to score as well. Washington has been poor on both sides of the ball this year, but especially defensively. Note that the Redskins’ defense ranks last in the NFL in third-down conversion prevention. Also note that Washington’s best player Josh Norman is questionable for this one. Key Trends: - NE has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. - Washington has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five after failing to cover the spread in three out of its last four games. The verdict: Colt McCoy broke his leg on the first play of the National Championship game while he was in College. The Texas alum will be looking to break a leg here as well as he tries to pull of the monumental upset. Tom Brady continues to shine for the Patriots and I expect the veteran to take full advantage of this suspect Skins’ secondary. When you add it all up, this one has high-scoring shootout written all over it; play the over! |
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10-05-19 | San Diego State v. Colorado State OVER 51.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -109 | 102 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER SDSU/Colorado State. SDSU is 3-1 and Colorado State is 1-4. The Aztecs enter focused and hungry after suffering their first loss of the season last week, falling against Utah State. Colorado State’s season lies in the balance after three straight losses. This team needs to start winning immediately, as another loss will be the nail in the coffin for any bowl aspirations. The Aztecs have been impressive defensively early, but I think the team opens up the playbook today as it looks to jump-start an offense which is averaging only 19 PPG. The Rams are averaging 32 PPG, led by QB Collin Hill, who has 837 passing yards and eight TD’s. Defensively though the Rams are conceding 40 PPG. Key Trends: - SDSU has seen the total go over the number in three of its last six vs. teams with losing records. - CSU has seen the total soar over in three of its last four as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: SDSU has the perfect opponent today to get its offense untracked. The home side has nothing to lose and I expect it to push the pace from start to finish. This number is a little low, play the over! |
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10-05-19 | Red Wings v. Predators OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the over Wings/Predators. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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10-04-19 | Central Florida v. Cincinnati UNDER 60.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 98 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER UCF/Cincinnati. UCF is 4-1, while Cincinnati is 3-1. The Knights are already 1-0 in Conference play, but this is the Bearcats vs. league game. After last week’s 56-21 home smoke job of UConn, I think the high-powered visiting side plays a bit more conservatively in this difficult AAC road venue. Cincinnati returns home after smashing Marshall 52-14 last week. While each sides’ opponent featured a weak defense last weekend, that’s not the case this Friday night, as note that the Bearcats allow only 130.6 rushing yards and 167 passing yards per game and they’ve already posted ten sacks and two INT’s (an average of only 20.8 PPG). UCF concedes just 324.8 total YPG and it’s recorded 11 sacks, four INT’s and one pick six. Key Trends: - UCF has seen the total go under the number in six of its last seven off a home blowout win by 28 points or more - Cincinnati has seen the total dip under in nine of its last 13 as an underdog. The verdict: Yes it’s true that both sides can score at a prodigious rate, but I think it’s the under-rated and under the radar defensive units which will ultimately be the main story line’s in tomorrow’s summaries; play the under! |
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10-03-19 | Flames v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the under Flames/Avs. This is going to be a competitive affair and because of that, I’m expecting a lower-scoring contest once it’s all said and done. Colorado surprised the Flames in the opener of last year’s playoffs, winning in five games. The Avs then lost in seven games to the Sharks in the conference semis. Calgary welcomes back David Rittich between the pipes and last year he was 27-9-5 with a 2.61 GAA. Last year he beat the Avs both times, allowing 2.49 goals per game. The Flames allowed just 2.72 GPG last year, while the Avs allowed 2.98. Avs’ net minder Philipp Grubauer was 18-9-5 with a 2.64 GAA last year. The verdict: I think the stage is set for a more of a grind it out defensive affair, rather than a wide-open “shootout.” Play the under! |
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10-03-19 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Cards/Braves. This should be an interesting series. This is also an interesting matchup on the mound to open this series, as neither Miles Mikolas nor Dallas Keuchel has had a great season and neither enters in good form. The winner of this series could very well hinge upon which of these two starters can regroup the quickest. Both teams have plenty of starting talent, but overall Mikolas and Keuchel have been huge disappointments. Each though has plenty of experience and both will be highly motivated. And I think this does indeed set up nicely from a situational stand point to be a classic “duel” to open this series. Key Trends: - Mikolas is in fact 2-1 with a 3.03 ERA over his last six starts, striking out 35 in his last 35 2/3’s innings of work. - Keuchel is 5-3 with a 2.87 ERA over his last eight starts, but enters having lost three in a row. The verdict: I think these two hungry starters fight deep into the latter frames, which is going to help in keeping this total well under the number; play the under! |
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10-01-19 | Brewers v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -113 | 35 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the OVER Brewers/Nationals. Both Brandon Woodruff and Max Scherzer are coming off victories to end the year and each has put together a fine campaign. But I think that the extra time off between starts for Scherzer (an entire week), will actually be a detriment here as I believe he comes out flat to start. The Brewers are without some key offensive players in the line-up today, but Milwaukee was the hottest team in the league down the stretch and I think that momentum gets carried over here. Washington hasn’t won a playoff game in 38 years. I’m expecting a fight from start to finish in this one. Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total go over the number in 11 of its last 16 when playing with a day off. - Washington has seen the total go over the number in 14 of 22 already this season at home when the total is set between 7.5 and 8.5. The verdict: "We're going into a hostile environment, playing against a hot team with one of the best pitchers in the league," Milwaukee left fielder Ryan Braun told reporters. "Certainly, it will be a challenge, but we've had our backs against the wall all month. We've been counted out many times. We kind of like being in that position." With neither side backing down, I look for this total to sneak over this number in the latter frames; play the over! |
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09-29-19 | Vikings v. Bears OVER 38 | Top | 6-16 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the over Vikes/Bears. Two hungry division rivals collide on Saturday afternoon and I think that points are going to be plentiful. Chicago is 2-1 and the Vikes are 1-2. Both division rivals are equally as “hungry” for a victory here and I think it’s that sense of enormous focus and competition which will ultimately help in pushing this total above this very low number. Key Trends: - Minnesota is averaging 193.7 rushing yards per game, which is second in the league. - Chicago’s offense finally got untracked last week in the 31-15 road victory in the nation’s capital. The verdict: I think the Bears’ offense continues to progress and I believe the Vikes are going to be forced to match the pace of the home side tonight. This one has “shootout” written all over it in my opinion; play the over! |
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09-28-19 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin OVER 46 | Top | 15-24 | Loss | -109 | 95 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the over Northwestern/Wisconsin. Northwestern is hungry here sitting at 1-2 and it knows it’ll have its hands full trying to hang with 3-0 Wisconsin. Northwestern was humbled by Michigan State last week, but it’ll have to keep the foot on the gas if it has any hope to keep up with surging Wisconsin, which just upset Michigan last week. Hunter Johnson has struggled under center for the Wildcats and his ineptitude has put added pressure on an already overtaxed Wildcats defense. And that’s bad news facing the Badgers, who won their first two games by a combined score of 110-0. Key Trends: - Northwestern has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last nine on the road. - The Wildcats have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 as a dog. - The Badgers have seen the total go over the number in eight of their last ten when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49 points. The verdict: I expect a wide-open affair from start to finish; this number is a little low, play the over! |
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09-27-19 | Astros v. Angels OVER 10 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -120 | 32 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* TOAL BLOOD-BATH is on the over Astros/Angels. I think these suspect starting pitchers get the hook early and as a result, I believe this total is going to fly over the number sooner, rather than later. Houston sees Jose Urquidy (1-1, 4.63 ERA) toe the slab and he’s faced the Angels twice this year, including a start in July in which he conceded five runs off eight hits over two innings. Urquidy will be opposed by the erratic Patrick Sandoval (0-3, 5.25) who gae up three runs over three innings in his lone start vs. the Astros this season. Key Trends: - The Astros have seen the total go over the number in 13 of its last 21 on the road when the total is set between 9 and 10.5. - The Angels have seen the total go over the number in 11 of their last 17 home games when the total is between 9 and 10.5. The verdict: Look for these two confirmed “gas cans” to get the hook early and as mentioned off the top, then look for this total to fly over the posted number sooner, rather than later! |
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09-27-19 | Penn State v. Maryland UNDER 60.5 | Top | 59-0 | Win | 100 | 84 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* play on the under Penn State/Maryland. I think Penn State comes out a bit flat to open after its bye week and because of that, I look for this total to sneak below the number once it’s all said and done. Back on Sept. 14th the Nittany Lions escaped a low-scoring 17-10 battle with Pitt and while this one might produce a bit more offense, I’m not expecting by much. And that’s because Maryland ALSO comes out of its bye week and it’s looking to rebound though after it fell 20-17 to Temple. The home side will also be out to avenge a 38-3 loss to the Nittany Lions last year. When I make my pick on a total (in all sports), I like to look at the overall “situation” that each team finds itself in coming into that contest and in my opinion, from a situational stand point I believe this one definitely sets up as more of a “chess match,” than a wide-open shootout. Key Trends: - Penn State has seen the total go under the number in nine of its last 14 vs. the conference. - Maryland has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: Penn State contained Maryland’ RB Anthony McFarland Jr. last season and I predict a duplicate performance here as well. This number is just a shade high, play the under! |
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09-26-19 | Eagles v. Packers OVER 46 | Top | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 84 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR is on the over Eagles/Packers. So far every Thursday night NFL game has fallen well below the posted number. That includes on Opening Night as well when the Packers played. But I believe that trend finally changes this week, as I believe the desperate 1-2 Philadelphia Eagles will be out to push the pace from start to finish. Yes Green Bay’s defense has been fantastic to this point (allowing just 11.7 PPG thus far) and yes the Eagles have injuries on the offensive side of the ball, but I still don’t think that’s going to matter. Philadelphia’s season is on the line tonight and I expect Carson Wentz to open things up early and often. Of course, Green Bay has also looked fantastic on the offensive side of the ball this year and I think it’s balanced attack is going to run roughshod over this suspect Eagles’ defense. Key Trends: - Philly has seen the total go over the number in five of its last six road game when the total is between 45.5 and 49 points. - Green Bay has seen the total go over the number in three of its last four off a home victory by ten points or more. The verdict: Green Bay is desperate to move to 4-0 and the Eagles are desperate to avoid a 1-3 hole. This one has “shootout” written all over it! |
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09-26-19 | Navy v. Memphis OVER 55 | Top | 23-35 | Win | 100 | 60 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* NCAAF TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the over Navy/Memphis. After scuffling the last couple of season, the Midshipmen are out to prove the doubters wrong this year. Navy is averaging nearly 380 yards per game on the ground and while the defense has looked good early, that’s mainly due to the level of competition. Memphis has also looked good on the defensive side of things, but once again that’s been because of early competition in my opinion. Now that AAC play is here, I think these defensive units have a much more difficult time. Each has looked good on the offensive end in the early going and there’s no reason not to think that won’t carry over in my opinion either. Key Trends: - Navy has seen the total go over the number in 13 of 19 this year as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range. - Memphis has seen the total go over the number in 11 of its last 16 at home. - The Tigers have seen the total soar over in four of their last five off a road victory. The verdict: A great situational play as I’m expecting a wide-open affair from start to finish; play the over! |
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09-25-19 | Astros v. Mariners UNDER 9 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 32 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the UNDER Astros/M’s. I think that runs will be at a premium in this one, due mainly to the fact that I have a hard time seeing the home side mustering much of an offensive attack vs. the Astros Zack Greinke (17-5, 3.05 ERA). Greinke is 7-1 with a 3.48 ERA since coming over from Arizona and he’s 6-1 with a 2.05 ERA in 13 career appearances vs. the M’s. Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total dip under in 15 of 24 already this season on the road when the total is either 9 or 9.5. - Seattle has seen the total go under the number in 12 of its last 20 as a home dog of +125 or higher. The verdict: The Astros won 3-0 in yesterday’s series opener and everything points to a similar final outcome here as well in my opinion. As stated off the top, based entirely on the recent form of Greinke and his long-term dominance he’s had vs. the M’s, I’m playing the under! |
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09-24-19 | Twins v. Tigers UNDER 9.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the under Twins/Tigers. I have a hard time seeing the anemic Tigers mustering much of an offensive attack today vs. Twins starter Jake Odorizzi (14-7, 3.59 ERA). The home side sees Spencer Turnbull (3-15, 4.66) toe the slab. Odorizzi most recently allowed two runs over six innings in an unfortunate 3-1 loss to the White Sox (note that in 11 career starts he’s 5-1 with a 3.05 ERA vs. the Tigers.) Turnbull earned a no-decision vs. the Tribe in his last start despite allowing only one run over five frames of work. Key Trends: - Minnesota has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four after allowing seven runs or more over two straight games. - Detroit has seen the total dip below the posted number in 17 of its last 27 at home when the total in the contest is set at either 9 or 9.5. The verdict: I think these starters battle deep, which will in turn help in keeping this total under the number; play the under! |
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09-23-19 | Marlins v. Mets OVER 8 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER Marlins/Mets. The Mets’ wildcard hopes are dwindling, but they can only play one game at a time. This is a favorable matchup to open the new week obviously. The Marlins won’t be rolling over here as they’ll be looking to play spoiler. The visitors go with Caleb Smith (9-10, 4.24 ERA), while the home side counters with Steven Matz (10-9, 4.16.) Matz was crushed in his most recent outing, allowing seven runs over four innings in a 9-4 loss to the Rockies. Smith earned a victory his last time out despite not being at his best, allowing four runs over five frames in his team’s eventual 12-6 win over the D-Backs. Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total go over the number in 23 of its last 33 vs. southpaws. - New York has seen the total go over the number in 40 of 63 vs. division opponents this season. The verdict: I think these suspect starters get chased early; play the over! |
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09-22-19 | Broncos v. Packers OVER 42.5 | Top | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 71 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the OVER Broncos/Packers. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up beautifully as a higher-scoring “shootout.” Denver is 0-2 and it’s defense has looked suspect. The offense has struggled as well. Joe Flacco and company won’t be holding anything back here though as they try to salvage their season and avoid the dreaded 0-3 hole to open the season (no team in NFL history has won the Super Bowl after starting 0-3.) Green Bay has looked impressive on the defensive side of the ball during its 2-0 start, but I think the unit gets tested today by this now desperate Broncos team. Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers and company appear to be firing on all cylinders offensively early as well. As stated off the top, from a situational stand point, this one has high-scoring shootout written all over it. Key Trends: - Denver has seen the total go over the number in three of its last four after scoring 14 points or less in its last game. - GB has seen the total soar over in its last four home games as a favorite in the 3.5 to 7 points range. The verdict: Expect a wide open affair from start to finish in this one; play the over! |
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09-21-19 | Colorado v. Arizona State OVER 48.5 | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 57 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the OVER Colorado/ASU. Both teams are hungry for a victory and I believe each is going to push the pace from start to finish. ASU is fresh of a monumental upset for the Spartans and it has to be feeling confident here as well as the last time these team’s met in Tempe, ASU picked up the 41-30 victory. That said, Colorado posted the seven point victory in this matchup last year at home, with three passing TD’s from its QB Steven Montez. Colorado won’t be lacking for motivation here either after coming up short to Air Force last time out. From a situational stand point, I absolutely believe that this one sets up as a high-scoring “shootout,” rather than a low-scoring “chess match.” Key Trends: - Colorado has seen the total go over the number in 12 of its last 15 off an upset loss as a home favorite. - ASU has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 11 of its last 17 off an upset win as a road underdog. The verdict: The opener of Pac 12 play for both and I expect some fireworks; play the over! |
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09-20-19 | Air Force v. Boise State OVER 55 | Top | 19-30 | Loss | -109 | 82 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the over Air Force/Boise State. These are two teams “firing on all cylinders” to open the season and I look for that momentum to translate into offensive production on the field of play this evening. Both teams are undefeated with victories over Power 5 programs already on their resumes. These are two very productive offenses, but each gets the job done differently. The Broncos are going to have a hard time slowing down the Falcons’ rushing attack, which ranks second in the country at 353.5 YPG (it has 22 runs of ten or more yards.) Boise State QB Hank Bachmeier has a stiff task tonight facing this revamped Air Force defense, but he has a pair of solid backs in Robert Mahone and George Holani to keep the visitors honest. I see both sides pushing the pace and from a situational stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up as more of a high-scoring “shootout,” than a low-scoring “chess-match.” Key Trends: - The Falcons have seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of their last six as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. - The Broncos have seen the total go over the number in six of their last eight off a SU home victory. The verdict: As mentioned off the top, I expect a wide open pace from start to finish; play the over! |
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09-20-19 | Phillies v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 101 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the under Phillies/Indians. The Phillies playoff hopes are on the line and the Indians are still vying for position. For a number of different reasons, I believe that the opener of this interleague contest will fall under the number once it’s all said and done. The visitors go with Drew Smyly (4-6, 6.22 ERA), while the home side sees Shane Bieber (14-7, 3.26) toe the slab. The Phillies offense lost Jean Segura to injury in yesterday’s 5-4 setback to the Braves. But while Smyly’s overall record isn’t anything to write home about, the Phillies have to be feeling decent about a bounce back here as Smyly has been sharp since coming over to his new team, going 3-1 with a 4.14 ERA since the All Star break. Bieber has been a steady bright spot for the Tribe all year and I expect him to go deep as well. Key Trends: - Philly has seen the total go under in three of four already this year as a road dog in the +175 to +250 range. - The Indians have seen the total go under the number in 21 of 34 at home when the total in the contest is set between 9 and 9.5. The verdict: I think these starters battle deep; play the under! |
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09-18-19 | Phillies v. Braves UNDER 10 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 103 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the under Phillies/Braves. Considering the circumstances, I think this number is a little high. The visitors hand the ball to Zach Eflin (8-12, 4.20 ERA), while the home side counters with Julio Teheran (10-9, 3.50). Eflin has admittedly struggled vs. ATL this year, going 0-3 with an 11.57 ERA. But I’m of the belief that such unbelievably lop-sided trends/numbers have a way of naturally “correcting” themselves, even over the short-term. Note though that in six career starts, Eflin is now 2-3 with a 4.45 ERA (and he’s conceded only four runs over 23 frames worked in Atlanta.) Same thing for Teheran funnily enough, as he’s 0-2 with an 8.00 ERA in two starts vs. Philadelphia. But like his counterpart today, overall Teheran has fared well vs. the PHillies throughout his career, going 9-8 with a 3.92 ERA in 25 appearances. Key Trends: - Philly has seen the total go under the number in 30 of 50 as an underdog this season. - ATL has seen the total dip under in 21 of its last 34 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: Look for these two hungry starters to be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries; play the under! |
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09-17-19 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 12-6 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the under Marlins/D-Backs. A couple of capable hurlers go head-to-head in this one and in my opinion, runs are definitely going to be at a premium after yesterday’s 7-5 win by the D-Backs. The visitors go with Caleb Smith (8-10, 4.13 ERA), while the home side counters with Alex Young (7-4, 3.38). Smith already has 160 K’s over 139 1/3’s innings of work this season, while rookie Young has 61 K’s over 69 1/3’s innings. Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total go under the number in 20 of 29 this year as a road dog in the +150 to +200 range. - Arizona has seen the total dip under the number in nine of 14 this year as a home favorite in the -150 to -200 range. The verdict: Look for these two hungry starters to battle deep into the latter frames and for this total to stay well under once it’s all said and done! |
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09-16-19 | Mets v. Rockies OVER 13.5 | Top | 4-9 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 1 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the over Mets/Rockies. For a number of different reasons, I look for this total to fly over the number sooner, rather than later. The visitors hand the ball to Steven Matz (10-8, 3.84 ERA), while the home side goes with Antonio Senzatela (9-10, 6.87). This is a big series for the Mets following a tough 3-2 loss to the Dodgers last night. The verdict: Matz has been awesome in The Big Apple by going 7-1 with a 1.94 ERA, but he’s a terrible 3-7 with a 6.08 ERA on the road. Clearly that doesn’t bode well for the southpaw playing in the thin air of Coors Field tonight. Senzatela has had success vs. the Mets in his career, but he owns a terrible 6.79 ERA at home this year. Taking into account the suspect starting pitching, as stated off the top, all signs point to this one flying over the number early! |
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09-16-19 | Browns v. Jets UNDER 45 | Top | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 34 h 49 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Browns/Jets. Cleveland played terribly in Week 1. It’s first drive of the game looked brilliant, but then a penalty cost it a TD and the Browns settled for the FG to open things up. And after that it was all downhill, as several penalties resulted in 187 yards lost. At that point, Baker Mayfield and company were forced to play from behind and the dynamic back threw three picks. I don’t think that the Titans offense is as good as it looked in Week 1 and I don’t think that the Browns defense is as bad as it looked either. What we do know is that the Jets blew a 16 point lead late to the Bills and lost in Week 1. They also lost starting QB Sam Darnold to mono. These are two teams looking to limit mistakes and control the tempo. From a situational stand point, I absolutely believe that this one sets up as a lower-scoring battle. Key Trends: - Cleveland has seen the total go under in its last four after allowing 35 points or more in its previous outing. - New York has seen the total go under in its last two off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, I expect this one to stay well below the posted number; play the under! |
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09-15-19 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 10 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the over Braves/Nationals. The Braves won 10-1 yesterday and with the victory they’ve punched a ticket to the post-season. Atlanta though has its eyes on a bigger prize and it won’t be taking the foot off the gas today as it looks to still run down the best overall record in the NL. The Nationals though are looking to avoid the series sweep and back into the win column themselves. Max Fried (16-5, 4.02 ERA) and Anibal Sanchez (8-8, 4.04) have both been better than advertised for their clubs this year, but the overall situation lends itself to another high-scoring slug-fest in my opinion. Note the Fried was destroyed in his last start, getting rocked for five runs off seven hits over five innings vs. the Phillies (while 8-2 on the road, the beneficiary of the Braves’ explosive offense, note that Fried only has a 4.91 ERA on the road.) And unfortunately for Sanchez, he’s been better on the road (6-6, 3.36 ERA) this season, than at home (2-2, 4.96). Key Trends: - Atlanta has seen the total go over the number in all three of its games this year in which it enters off a victory of eight runs or more vs. a division rival. - Washington has seen the total go over the number in three of four this season after scoring two runs or less in two straight games. The verdict: I believe the starters get chased early and as a result, I look for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later! |
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09-14-19 | White Sox v. Mariners UNDER 9.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 55 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS on the under White Sox/M’s. Clearly neither starter instills much confidence whatsoever. That said, neither Dylan Cease (3-7, 6.53 ERA) nor Felix Hernandez (1-6, 6.96) will be lacking for motivation and each benefits from facing a line-up which struggles at the plate at times. After last night’s 9-7 explosive White Sox’ victory, I think the Saturday night contest sets up as more of a “duel.” Hernandez has been atrocious since returning from injury over two starts, but he’ll take confidence in the fact that he’s posted a very respectable 3.82 ERA in 21 career starts vs. the White Sox. Cease gave up one run over four innings vs. the Angels in his last outing. Key Trends: - Chicago has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last ten after scoring nine or more runs in its previous contest. - Seattle has seen the total go under the number in 13 of its last 21 vs. clubs with losing records. The verdict: For all the reason listed above, expect this total to sneak under once it’s all said and done! |
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09-14-19 | Alabama v. South Carolina UNDER 60.5 | Top | 47-23 | Loss | -120 | 119 h 48 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the under Alabama/South Carolina. Alabama comes to town off wins over Duke and New Mexico State, while South Carolina was shocked in a 24-20 loss to UNC in its opener, before then annihilating FCS opponent Charleston Southern 72-10. Alabama will be out to establish the run early and often vs. its first SEC opponent this year, so far it’s ranked 31st in the country in that department. But South Carolina has looked much better on the defensive side of the ball this year, especially up front. Imposing their will in the trenches is the trademark of the Tide and I look for offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian to stick to the run throughout, despite having mobile QB Tua Tagovailoa. Key Trends: - UNC gouged USC for 238 rushing yards, so as mentioned off the top, look for the visitors to try and establish the run game while on offense from start to finish. - South Carolina lost its QB Jake Bentley in the loss to UNC. Ryan Hilinski was 24 of 30 for 282 yards and two TD’s in last week’s blowout win, but obviously he’s being thrown to the Wolves here vs. the best potential defense in the conference. The verdict: How can the Gamecocks help their backup QB today? Clearly by protecting him and by running the ball effectively. And so with both teams firmly committed to establishing the run and assert itself in the trenches, all signs do indeed point to the under as the correct call here! |
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09-13-19 | Astros v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 106 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Astros/Royals. The Astros have been playing to some high-scoring affairs of late, but when the smoke clears at the end of this one, I believe it’ll be the starting pitchers who are the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Gerrit Cole (16-5, 2.73 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, while the home side counters with Danny Duffy (6-6, 4.71). Cole has won 12 straight decisions, posting a 1.97 ERA in the process. Note that Cole struck out 15 in his team’s 21-1 win over the Mariners last Sunday. Duffy returned from the IL to starts ago and he’s looked great, most recently allowing on run and two hits in a 7-2 victory over the Marlins. Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go under the number in 30 of 47 this year when the total in the contest is set between 8 or 8.5. - KC has seen the total go under in 19 of 31 this year in the same position. The verdict: I have a hard time seeing the Royals’ anemic offense mustering much of an attack here; this number is high, play the under! |
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09-13-19 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest UNDER 66 | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 98 h 55 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under UNC/Wake Forest. After starting 2-0, the Tar Heels will be looking to carry that momentum over here. Most recently Mack Brown’s guys beat Coastal rival Miami. The Demon Deacons enter off victories over Utah State and Rice. UNC has gotten better than expected QB play from Sam Howell, but the offense still revolves around the run game and Javonte Williams, who has 178 rushing yards thus far. Wake has gotten exceptional play from its dual threat QB as well in Jamie Newman, who has six TD’s and no INT’s so far. Key Trends: - Despite struggling against the pass in the early going, the Deacs do already have five sacks this season. - Look for Wake Forest to utilize the run game tonight, as UNC just gave up 179 yards on the ground to Miami. The verdict: This is a big game and on the short week, I believe these under-rated defensive units become the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries; play the under! |
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09-12-19 | Diamondbacks v. Mets OVER 8 | Top | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 21 h 20 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the over D-Backs/Mets. For a number of different reasons, I think this one sets up perfectly as a high-scoring slug-fest on Thursday afternoon. Alex Young (7-3, 3.38 ERA) has been sharp for the D-Backs of late, most recently striking out 12 in a 2-0 win over Cincinnati. After having won three of four though, I think Young finally takes a step back here in this pressure filled situation. The home side goes with Marcus Stroman (7-13, 3.42), who looked poor in his last start, allowing five runs off ten hits over four innings in a 5-0 loss to Philadelphia. Since coming over from Toronto Stroman has posted a horrible 1-2, 5.05 ERA record. Key Trends: - Arizona has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 12 National League road games as an underdog in the +125 to +175 range. - New York has seen the total dip under the number in seven of its last 11 day home games as a favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: This is a big game/series and I believe these hungry line-ups chase these starters early; play the over! |
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09-11-19 | Brewers v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Brewers/Marlins. I have a hard time seeing the offensively challenged Marlins mustering many runs in this matchup. The Brewers hand the ball to Zach Davies (9-7, 3.69 ERA), while the home side counters with Reynaldo Lopez (5-8, 4.75.) Milwaukee is going for its sixth straight win here. Note though that last night’s victory came with a major cost after slugger Christian Yelich injured himself in the first inning. He won’t be in the line-up this evening either. Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in ten of its last 15 on the road when the total is set at either 8 or 8.5. - Miami has seen the total dip under in 13 of its last 21 vs. right-handed starters. The verdict: I like Davies to go deep and without Yelich in the line-up, there’s no question in my mind that this one definitely sets up as a “duel,” rather than a high-scoring slug-fest; play the under! |
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09-10-19 | Diamondbacks v. Mets OVER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the over D-Backs/Mets. Zac Gallen (3-4, 2.50 ERA) gets the nod for the D-Backs and he’ll be opposed by the Mets’ Zach Wheeler (10-7, 4.33) in this one. Both have looked good this season, but I believe each will get the hook early and I expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. Both teams are still in the wildcard hunt and neither will be taking anything for granted tonight. Key Trends: - Arizona has seen the total go over in 12 of its last 18 in revving a loss where the team scored one or less runs. - New York has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 16 of 25 this year already at home with a money line in the -100 to -150 range. The verdict: From a situational stand point, this one absolutely sets up as a “slug-fest;” play the over! |
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09-09-19 | Brewers v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Brewers/Marlins. Neither of these starting pitchers instills a ton of confidence, but neither will be lacking for motivation here. The Brewers go with Jordan Lyles (10-8, 4.46 ERA), while the home side counters with Robert Dugger (0-1, 4.00). The Brewers beat the Cubs 8-5 yesterday afternoon to get them back into the Wild Card race, but I’m expecting much more of a “duel” today. The verdict: Note that in seven starts for the Brewers since coming over from Pittsburgh, Lyles is 5-1 with a 2.56 ERA spanning seven starts. Dugger was rocked for six runs in his debut, but since then he’s allowed just two runs over his last 13 innings of work. Look for these two hot hurlers to battle deep and expect this total to stay well below the posted number; play the under! |
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09-08-19 | Falcons v. Vikings UNDER 47.5 | Top | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 215 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the under Falcons/Vikings. It’s a big game for both teams right out of the gate. Minnesota has a 19-11 all time lead in this series, which includes back-to-back victories, including 14-9 win in 2017. Both teams took big steps backwards last year, but each has big expectations heading into this season. While the offense stalled for Minnesota last year, the Vikings return ten starters on the defensive side of the ball to a unit which is once again expected to be one of the bed tin the league. Atlanta was plagued by injury last year. The Falcons’ offense isn’t in question ever with Matt Ryan running the show, but Atlanta’s success in 2019/20 will once again be decided on what its defense is capable of doing. Key Trends: - Atlanta has seen the total go under in 11 of its last 16 on the road. - Minnesota has seen the total go under in nine of its last 12 as a home favorite. The verdict: I can’t see the Vikes turning this into a “shootout” with Ryan and company, so I believe we’ll see a much more methodical pace from the home side. When you add up all of the above factors I believe that the under is definitely the correct call! |
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09-07-19 | Rutgers v. Iowa OVER 49.5 | Top | 0-30 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 32 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Rutgers/Iowa. Rutgers got 340 passing yards and two TD’s from McLane Carter in its blowout win over UMass last weekend. He did however also throw three picks. Iowa only allowed 14 points in its victory last week, but it got 252 yards and three TD’s from QB Nate Stanley and the team would also go on to post 213 rushing yards. Key Trends: - The Scarlet Knights were horrible on third-down defense vs. the lowly Minutemen last week, allowing seven third-down conversions out of 16 attempts. - Iowa had the nation’s best third-down offense last week, converting nine of 14 attempts. The verdict: Rutgers has seen the total go over in six of its last seven when the total in the contest is set between 42. and 49 points. This one has “shootout” written all over it in my opinion; play the over! |
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09-06-19 | Marshall v. Boise State UNDER 55 | Top | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 101 h 43 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Marshall/Boise State. Marshall cruised to victory with a blowout win over FCS opponent VMI. No big surprise there. Boise State though roared out to an early lead vs. FSU and then it continued to hold on for the eventual upset victory. Can anyone say “letdown” spot? For both teams! I think Marshall struggles in this difficult road venue and I believe the Broncos take a step back after last weekend’s emotional victory. This is a big game for both teams though, with a run at the Group of 5’s top spot in the New Year’s Six. Marshall is going to see a much stiffer test this time around, as Boise State registered four sacks last week vs. the Seminoles. Key Trends: - Marshall has seen the total go under the number in ten of its last 14 when playing with six or less days rest. - Boise State has seen the total dip under in four of its last five as a home favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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09-05-19 | Mariners v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | Top | 9-11 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Mariners/Astros. For a number of different reasons, I believe this number is a little high. The visitors hand the ball to Marco Gonzales (14-11, 4.30 ERA), while the home side counters with Wade Miley (13-4, 3.06). Gonzales comes in off a shaky start vs. the Rangers on Friday, but he still sports a sharp 128/44 K/W this season (he’s also 10-6 with a 3.99 ERA in all “night” contests this season.) Miley has posted the 3.06 ERA and 1.22 WHIP to go along with 134 K’s over 152 frames this year (he’s 10-6 with a 3.89 ERA in all “night” contests YTD.) Key Trends: - Seattle has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 22 vs. clubs with winning records. - Houston has seen the total dip below the posted number in 12 of its last 20 vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: I look for these two hungry veterans to battle deep; play the under! |
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09-04-19 | Phillies v. Reds OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL SUPER-BLOWOUT on the over Phillies/Reds. I’m expecting some offensive fireworks between these two explosive clubs on Wednesday night. The visitors see Aaron Nola (12-4, 3.45 ERA) toe the slab for the home side, while the the home side goes with Trevor Bauer (10-12, 4.53). The Reds are out to play spoiler here vs. the Phillies, who are still in the wild card hunt after three straight victories. Bauer is the issue here though for Cincinnati, who was 9-8 with a 3.79 ERA before being traded to Cincinnati, but who has since gone 1-4 with an 8.40 ERA. Key Trends: - Philadelphia has seen the total go over in seven of its last ten after three or more straight victories. - Cincinnati has seen the total soar over the number in 13 of its last 21 home games after back-to-back losses. The verdict: I think Bauer’s struggle continue here, but I also don’t expect the home side to go down without a fight. This one has “slug-fest” written all over it; play the over! |
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09-03-19 | Mets v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 10-11 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 47 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Mets/Nats. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The starting pitchers. This is a classic “ace off.” The Mets hand the ball to Jacob deGrom (8-8, 2.66 ERA), while the home side goes with Max Scherzer (9-5, 2.46). deGrom gave up four run over seven innings in a 4-1 loss to the Cubs last time out, but he’s got to be feeling confident here as he’s a sharp 5-3 with a tiny 2.30 ERA on the road. Scherzer gave up two run and struck out eight over five innings in a no-decision to the Orioles on Wednesday. Key Trends: - New York has seen the total dip under in 25 of its last 40 when the money line in the contest is set between -125 and +125. - Washington has seen the total go under the number in 11 of its last 17 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: Expect deGrom and Scherzer to fight deep into this one; play the under! |
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09-02-19 | Notre Dame v. Louisville UNDER 55 | Top | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 35 h 0 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* BLOOD-BATH on the under Notre Dame/Louisville. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Ian Book put up big numbers after taking the reins in Week 4 for the Irish last year and he’s expected to take another big step forward this season. Book’s team this year though looks different from last year’s squad and I think he’ll have some difficulties with chemistry coming out of the gate. The Notre Dame defense also lost many key players, but its top pass rushing duo in Khalid Kareem and Julian Okwara are poised to give Jawon Pass fits for the Cardinals tonight. Pass will obviously be improved from a decent season a year ago, but he’ll be leaning heavily on his other players for support tonight in this difficult matchup. Key Trends: - Notre Dame has seen the total go under in three of its last four as a road favorite in the 17.5 to 21 points range. - Louisville has seen the total go under in six of its last seven non-conference contests. The verdict: Turnover for both teams on both sides of the ball leads to this total staying well below the posted number in Week 1; play the under! |
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09-02-19 | Mets v. Nationals UNDER 9.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -114 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the under Mets/Nationals. The visitors go with Noah Syndergaard (9-7, 4.14 ERA), while the Nationals counter with Joe Ross (3-3, 5.36). The Mets took two of three from the Phiilies over the weekend and they still have a shot at the post-season. Syndergaard has to be feeling confident here though as he’s a respectable 1-1 with a 3.33 ERA in four starts vs. the Nationals this year (note, Syndergaard gave up a career-high ten runs in his last start, after posting eight straight quality efforts. Time to hit the panic button? Of course not. All starters have nightmare outings like that at some point. Syndergaard is true pro and I expect him to have a very short memory here.) Ross has struggled in his limited time this year, but fortunately he’s facing a Mets team which has struggled with offensive consistency all season. Key Trends: - New York has seen the total go under in 24 of its last 40 when the money line in the contest is set between -125 and +125. - Washington has seen the total dip under in 16 of 22 already this season when the total in the contest is either 9 or 9.5. The verdict: I believe the starters go deep and I look for this total to sneak under once it’s all said and done! |
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09-01-19 | Houston v. Oklahoma UNDER 80 | Top | 31-49 | Push | 0 | 35 h 21 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL CASH-BOMB on the under Houston/Oklahoma. Both teams enter the 2019 campaign looking vastly different than they did a year ago. Both have new coaches and each has lost significant talent (Kyler Murray is now the starting QB in Arizona and Ed Oliver has gone to the NFL as well.) The Sooners went out and got defensive guru Alex Grinch to try and bring back some respectability to that side of the ball this season. Houston has D’Eriq King back under center after he suffered a knee injury last year. Oklahoma has a talented QB transfer in Jalen Hurts this season and while he has plenty of weapons around him, I think chemistry will be an issue to start (note as well that Hurts loves running the ball, is big and can take a beating no problem.) Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go under in six of its last ten on the road. - Oklahoma has seen the total dip under in four of its last six non-conference games. The verdict: I expect these teams to come out a little “flat” to open the game and that “lull” will help in keeping this total under this sky high number; play the under! |
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09-01-19 | Marlins v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -114 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the under Marlins/Nationals. I expect this one to fall under the total once it’s all said and done. The visitors hand the ball to Caleb Smith (8-8, 4.05 ERA), while the home side goes with Patrick Corbin (10-6, 3.15). Washington has the best record in the major since mid May and it’s out for the the three game sweep this afternoon. Miami on the other hand has lost 14 straight on the road. Caleb Smith (8-8, 4.05 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors and while he’s only 2-5 on the road, he does own a respectable 3.99 ERA in those contests. Patrick Corbin (10-6, 3.15) goes for the home side and he’s dominated the Fish this season, going 2-0 with a 0.78 ERA in three starts. Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total dip under the number in 13 of its last 19 as a road dog of +200 or more. - Washington has seen the total go under in three of four as a home favorite in the -250 to -330 range. The verdict: I expect these two competent starters to battle deep and for this total to fall under the number once it’s all said and done; play the under! |
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08-30-19 | A's v. Yankees UNDER 11 | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under A’s/Yanks. Brett Anderson (10-9, 4.08 ERA) has struggled somewhat of late, but I think he’ll be able to match his counterpart CC Sabathia (5-8, 4.99) inning for inning. These two veterans have seen better days, but I expect them to fight deep into the latter frames tonight. Sabathia has thrown twice since returning from injury and he’s worked into the seventh inning in each contest. The veteran is now gearing up for one last playoff push and I expect him to carry over his recent form. Anderson got out to an unreal start and he’s since predictably come back down to Earth, but note that he’s still a sharp 6-3 with a 3.42 ERA on the road this season. Key Trends: - Oakland has seen the total go under the number in 16 of 19 of its “Friday Night” games this year. - New York has seen the total go under in five of its last six at home when the total in the contest is set between 11 and 11.5. The verdict: Clearly these teams have plenty of pop in the lineup, but the overall situation lends itself to more of a lower-scoring affair in my opinion; play the under! |
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08-30-19 | Rice v. Army OVER 47.5 | Top | 7-14 | Loss | -125 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* total of the month on the over Rice/Army. Every team has “big” expectations coming into a new season and these two are no different. The Army Golden Knights though come in off a historic 2018 campaign, one which was capped by a 70-14 win over Houston in the Armed Forces Bowl (11-2 overall for the Cadets last year.) The Owls will be eager to prove themselves against the up-tempo Knights. Rice finished its season with a 27-13 upset victory over Old Dominion though (just 2-11 overall though.) Rice turns to Wiley Green, who was the QB in the ODU victory and who had 621 passing yards and three TD’s, to go along with 34 rushing yards and two more scores in four appearances last year. The Army offense welcomes back seven starters, including senior QB Kelvin Hopkins Jr. Key Trends: - Rice has seen the total go over in eight of its last nine non-conference games. - Army has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 as a favorite. The verdict: Rice has to open up the playbook here if it has any shot at pulling off the upset; look for this one to fly over early! |
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08-28-19 | Pirates v. Phillies OVER 10 | Top | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS on the Pirates/Phillies over. Neither of these starters instills much confidence. I believe runs are going to be plentiful as the Pirates try to play spoiler and the Phillies push for a playoff spot. The visitors see Mark Keller (1-2, 7.24 ERA) toe the slab, while the home side goes with the volatile Vince Velasquez (5-7, 4.93). Last Friday Velasquez saw a 7-0 lead in Miami go away in his team’s eventual 19-11 loss. Unfortunately a date vs. the Pirates isn’t what the doctor ordered for Velasquez to get back on track, as he’s 0-1 with a 7.15 ERA over 11 1/3’s innings opposed. Keller has been hit or miss this year and I think he’ll predictably struggle in this difficult road venue. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh has seen the total go over in seven of nine already this year when on the road and the total in the contest is set at either 10 or 10.5. - Philly has seen the total go over in 27 of its last 47 as a favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: Look for these two erratic starters to get the hook early and for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! |
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08-27-19 | Cubs v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 45 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Cubs/Mets. Chicago sees Yu Darvish (4-6, 4.34 ERA) toe the slab tonight, while the home side counters with Marcus Stroman (7-11, 3.18). I think runs are going to be hard to come by as I expect these two starters to battle deep into the latter frames. Stroman most recently allowed one run over four innings vs. the Indians, while Darvish enters off an outing to forget, allowing seven runs over six innings in a 12-11 win over the Giants (Darvish has been solid overall this year though and note that he’s 1-0 with a 3.51 ERA in four starts vs. the Mets.) Key Trends: - The Cubs have seen the total go under in 12 of 17 already this year when playing with a day off. - New York has seen the total dip under in 14 of 23 this year following a loss by two runs or less. The verdict: I think Darvish gets back on track after his anomalous poor outing last time out. Stroman continues to throw decently for his new team as well and I expect that trend to carry over in this important matchup; play the under! |
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08-26-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 9.5 | Top | 12-2 | Loss | -101 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the under Cards/Brewers. This is an important game and when the smoke does finally clear at the end, I believe these competent starting pitchers will be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. The visitors hand the ball to Adam Wainwright (9-9, 4.51 ERA), while the home side goes with Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.64). Gonzalez faced these very card on Tuesday and allowed one run over five innings (he’s 3-4 with a respectable 3.11 ERA in 11 career starts vs. St. Louis.) Wainwright lost to the Brewers last week, but overall he’s 16-10 with a 2.48 ERA vs. them, including 7-4 with a 2.60 ERA in 19 career appearances in Milwaukee. Key Trends: - St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in 34 of of 52 games this year when the total is 9 or 9.5. - Milwaukee has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 21 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: I expect these veteran hurlers to throw deep into the latter frames; this number is a little high, play the under! |
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08-25-19 | Steelers v. Titans UNDER 40.5 | Top | 18-6 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL SUPER BLOWOUT on the under Steelers/Titans. The Titans beat the Eagles in Week 1, but they came up short at home vs. the Patriots in Week 2. Overall Tennessee is 2-8 SU/ATS in its last ten in the preseason. The Titans have a bit of a QB controversy going on right now with Marcus Mariota and Ryan Tannehill. Pittsburgh is 2-0 in the preseason and 8-2 SU/ATS in its last ten. Ben Roethlisberger sees his first action of the season for Pittsburgh and last year in Week 3 vs. these very Titans he was 11 of 18 passing in the 16-6 win. The verdict: These teams employ a similar game plan, with short crossing routes combined with a bruising running game; expect that to translate into another low-scoring battle between these clubs in their 2019 Week 3 preseason contest; play the under! |
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08-25-19 | Braves v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Braves/Mets. A couple of veteran starters go head-to-head in this important National League contest on Sunday afternoon. I believe that they’ll battle deep into the latter frames and I look for that to indeed help in keep this total under the number once it’s all said and done. Dallas Keuchel (4-5, 4.14 ERA) goes up against Steven Matz (8-7, 4.18) of the Mets. Keuchel earned a win last time out, giving up one run over six innings vs. the Fish, while Matz allowed two runs over seven innings vs. the Indians. The verdict: Atlanta’s taken the first two games of this series, including last night’s 9-5 victory. With these two surging starters squaring off, all signs do indeed point to the under as the savvy call here! |
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08-24-19 | Florida v. Miami-FL OVER 50.5 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -108 | 730 h 27 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Florida/Miami Florida. Key Trends: - It’s interesting to note that UF finished with a 1-3 record last year when it scored less than 20 points, but it was 9-0 when scoring over 20. - Also note that the Hurricanes were 0-5 last year when scoring less than 20 points, while going 7-1 when eclipsing the 20 points plateau. The verdict: Florida was 10-3 last year under Dan Mullen’s first year as head coach and I believe it has a chance to duplicate that record. The home side won’t be going down without a fight though under Miami first year head coach Manny Diaz. When you add it all up, I think this one flies over the number sooner, rather than later! |
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08-23-19 | Browns v. Bucs UNDER 42.5 | Top | 12-13 | Win | 100 | 35 h 51 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Browns/Bucs. The Browns seem to be playing with a chip on their respective shoulders and I expect that momentum to be carried over in Week 3. So far Cleveland has beaten the Colts and Skins. The Bucs won 16-14 over the Dolphins in Week 1, but then fell 30-28 to the Steelers in Week 2. In last week’s win Cleveland QB Baker Mayfield was 5 of 6 for 77 yards and a TD. RB Nick Chubb is also expect to see a lot of time. But even more impressive that Cleveland’s offense to this point has been its defense, conceding only 14.0 PPG. The verdict: Tampa QB’ Jameis Winston was just 2 of 4 for 24 yards in last week’s loss. The defense though struggled, allowing three passing TD’s to the Steelers. I think Tampa struggles to put any points on the board and I look for Cleveland to dominate throughout all three phases; play the under! |
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08-23-19 | Braves v. Mets OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -114 | 28 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS on the OVER Braves/Mets. Clearly Jacob deGrom (8-7, 2.61 ERA) has been exceptional this year, but his counterpart Mike Foltynewicz (4-5, 6.09) has had a hell of a time this season. But it’s the gravity of the situation for New York, combined with how hot each club is overall that makes me believe this total is going to fly over the number sooner, rather than later. ATL leads the season series 8-5, but New York is a major league-best 27-10 since the Mid Summer Classic, including going 13-1 in their last 14 at home. Key Trends: - Atlanta has seen the total go over the number in all four games it’s played in this year as an underdog of +150 or higher. - New York has seen the total go over the number in 12 of 20 as a home favorite of -150 or higher this season. The verdict: While both teams come in off low-scoring victories last night (New York 2-0 over Cleveland and the Braves 3-2 in Miami), I think the situation and the trends both point to the “over” as the correct call in this one! |
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08-22-19 | Panthers v. Patriots OVER 42 | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -107 | 32 h 36 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Panthers/Patriots. New England has who seven of the past ten preseason games vs. Carolina, but it fell 25-19 in Charlotte last year. The Panthers won 23-13 in Chicago in Week 1, before then falling 27-14 at home to Buffalo. Carolina is finally going to start QB Cam Newton and RB Christian McCaffrey in this one. Carolina is expected to play most of its starters for at least half the game, as it tries to get a true judge of where it’s at vs. the defending champs and in this difficult road venue. The verdict: New England continues to roll as it hasn’t lost since Week 15 last year. So far it’s 2-0 in the preseason. Whether Tom Brady plays or not, I think New England pushes the pace here as well in front of the home town crowd (note that rookie QB Jarrett Stidham was 14 of 19 for 193 yards and a TD vs. the Titans.) The Pats are also expected to start Julian Edelman at receiver for the first time this year. When you add it all up, this one has “shootout” written all over it in my opinion; play the over! |
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08-19-19 | 49ers v. Broncos UNDER 42 | Top | 24-15 | Win | 100 | 35 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under. Both teams looked shaky in their respective openers. Denver returns home after a 22-14 setback in Seattle. It’s interesting to note that the Broncos are just 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 preseason games at Mile High. 49ers’ QB Jimmy Garoppolo threw five INT’s in practice this week and suddenly San Francisco has more questions than answers on the offensive side of things (note that there 49ers scored a total of just 30 points in two preseason games a year ago.) Key Trends: - Denver has seen the total go under in three straight preseason games. - San Francisco has seen the total go under in four of its last six preseason contests. The verdict: I don’t think that a shift in venue to the thin air of Denver is going to help either of these scuffling offensive units; play the under! |
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08-19-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals UNDER 9.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the under Brewers/Cardinals. These teams are embroiled in a wild card hunt and while each has plenty of firepower to put runs at the board at any given moment, I believe it’ll be the starting pitchers of tonight’s game who become the main story line’s in tomorrow’s summaries. The visitors see Zach Davies (8-5, 3.74 ERA) toe the slab, while Dakota Hudson (11-6, 3.82) gets the nod for the home side. Davies faltered in the second half, but he now returns refreshed after a stint on the DL (note that Davies has been at his best on the road this season as well, going 4-2 with a very respectable 2.97 ERA.) Hudson comes in off a gem, holding the Royals scoreless over six innings, allowing only five hits, two walks, while also striking out five (note that Hudson has been at his best at home this year as well with a 4-2, 3.60 ERA record to this point.) Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total dip under the number in eight of its last 11 National League road games in which the total is set between -135 and +135. - St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in five of its last seven National League night home contests in which it’s a favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: I’m expecting these staters to throw deep and for this total to stay well below the number once it’s all said and done; play the under! |
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08-18-19 | Seahawks v. Vikings UNDER 42 | Top | 19-25 | Loss | -108 | 151 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Hawks/Vikes. I think the Vikes take the foot off the gas here after their high-scoring 34-25 road win in New Orleans. Certainly Minnesota is going to face a much better defense in the Seahawks. Last year the Vikes won this game 21-20, but I’m expecting a much lower-scoring “battle” this time around. Seattle has already said that Chris Carson is going to the be the No. 1 RB, so now it’s a battle at that position for the rest of the preseason. The Hawks have their QB, but a strong run game is essential for Russell Wilson obviously. The top spots are filled in Minnesota, so the team is just trying to fill in some weak spots at this point. The verdict: With Seattle committed to focusing on its run game in the preseason and with the expected letdown here from the home side after last week’s road offensive explosion, all signs point to this one sneaking below the posted number once it’s all said and done! |
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08-17-19 | Cowboys v. Rams OVER 42 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -140 | 129 h 19 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Cowboys/Rams. This game is being played in Hawaii. I believe both teams keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and I look for this total to fly over the number sooner, rather than later. The Rams lost 14-3 in Oakland last week, electing to sit their entire starting line-up. Dallas will be out to get things turned around on the offensive end as well after its 17-9 setback at San Francisco. The verdict: Both teams aren’t expected to play their starters much, or at all in this one either. But that won’t mean there won’t be an extreme sense of competition and urgency on the field of play today. After each team “laid an egg” offensively last week, I expect each to “open up the playbook” on Saturday; this number is low, play the over! |
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08-16-19 | Dolphins v. Bucs UNDER 43.5 | Top | 14-16 | Win | 100 | 103 h 53 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the UNDER Dolphins/Bucs. Tampa Bay hired Bruce Arians in the offseason and he’ll be hoping that Jameis Winston will be on top form this season, as the controversial QB is in the final year of his contract. The Dolphins also have a new coach in Brian Flores, after Adam Gase went 7-9 in 2018. These teams are very familiar with each other because of the proximity and while last year’s 26-24 Tampa victory flew well above the total, I think this year’s contest sets up as much more of a defensive battle. The verdict: Miami comes in off a 34-27 home win last Thursday, but I expect to see a much more vanilla unit hit the field in Week 2. The Bucs lost 30-28 in Pittsburgh last Friday. With both sides putting more of an added emphasis onto the defensive end of the field, look for this total to stay well under once it’s all said and done! |
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08-15-19 | Jets v. Falcons OVER 41 | Top | 22-10 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the over Jets/Falcons. Falcons’ starting QB Matt Ryan will see his first action of the preseason. So far the Falcons are 0-2 in the preseason, after losing in the Hall of Fame Game as well. Amazingly Atlanta is 0-10 in its last ten preseason games. The Falcons clearly won’t be lacking for motivation here. The Jets fell to the Giants last week, but starter Sam Darnold looked great in his only drive of the game, finishing 4 of 5 for 68 yards and a TD. The Jets’ defense took a couple of major hits, with top CB Trumaine Johnson out with a hamstring injury and his back-up Kyron Brown also going down with a leg issue. The verdict: With each team seeking its first victory, I’m expecting a wide-open affair; this number is a little low, play the over! |
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08-14-19 | Cardinals v. Royals UNDER 10 | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS on the under Cards/Royals. I had a play on the Cardinals last night and they ended up winning 2-0. I think that runs are going to once again be at a premium here as well. The visitors see Dakota Hudson (10-6, 4.01 ERA) toe the slab, while the home side counters with Brad Keller (7-12, 4.09). Hudson has conceded more than three earned runs only once in his past 20 starts. Keller enters having lost three straight, most recently getting shelled for five runs off ten hits over six frames in a loss in Detroit last week. Keller clearly won’t be lacking for motivation today and note that he’s 1-0 with a 2.00 ERA lifetime vs. the Cards. Key Trends: - St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 12 as a road favorite of -110 or higher. - Kansas City has seen the total dip under the number in seven of its last ten interleague games. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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08-13-19 | Rays v. Padres OVER 8 | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 27 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Rays/Padres. Two suspect hurlers collide in this one and I expect runs to be plentiful. The Rays hand the ball to Brendan McKay (2-2, 4.55 ERA) who gave up three runs over five innings in a loss to the Jays on Wednesday. McKay has impressive strikeout numbers in the early going, but clearly the book is still out on the rookie to this point. The home side sees Eric Lauer (6-8, 4.51) toe the slab for the home side and he most recently allowed three runs off ten hits over four innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Rockies on Thursday (note that Lauer has been particularly ineffective in this spot all year as well, going just 4-6 with a 4.64 ERA in all “night” games. Key Trends: - Tampa has seen the total fly over in seven of its last 11 interleague road games when the total in the contest is set at either 8 or 8.5. - San Diego has seen the total fly over the number in 15 of its last 25 interleague home games as a favorite. The verdict: Look for these starters to get the hook early and look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! |
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08-11-19 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 10 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -130 | 21 h 28 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the over Yanks/Jays. These are two decent starting pitchers, but I still think this game is going to fly over the number sooner, rather than later. The visitors go with Masahiro Tanaka (7-6, 4.93 ERA), while the home side goes with Trent Thornton (4-7, 5.55). Tanaka is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA in two starts vs. Toronto this year, while Thornton is 0-0 with a 9.72 ERA in two starts vs. New York. Key Trends: - New York has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed five or more runs in. The verdict: New York last two of three at Toronto from June 4-6th and after dropping yesterday’s contest 5-4, I believe the heavily favored visiting side “comes to play” today. I think these starting pitchers get the hook early; play the over! |
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08-10-19 | Cowboys v. 49ers OVER 36 | Top | 9-17 | Loss | -105 | 244 h 10 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Boys/49ers. These NFC clubs are familiar with each other. Neither team though has been given much of a chance to earn a Super Bowl championship by the oddsmakers this year. Each will be out to prove them wrong and both have plenty of issues on both sides of the ball to work through. The verdict: These teams met in last year’s pre-season opener as well and San Fran won 24-21. I’m expecting a similar final combined score here as well. At some point Ezekiel Elliot will sign with Dallas, but even if he was officially on the roster at this point, he wouldn’t be suiting up today anyways. Both teams have plenty of key position battles going on and I believe this is going to lead to a higher-scoring shootout once it’s all said and done; play the over! |
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08-10-19 | Everton v. Crystal Palace UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 264 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Everton/Crystal Palace. Marco Silva came over to Everton via the transfer market in order to bring the glory days back to Goodison Park. Crystal Palace star player Wilfried Zaha was reportedly sent him on Thursday with personal issues and he’s not expected to be in the line-up here. ames Tomkins (groin), Jeffrey Schlupp (ankle) and Mamadou Sakho (knee) are all out of contention for Palace as well. Everton will be missing Cenk Tosun and Tom Davies. The verdict: Everton has gotten strong over the three month window, but the home side won’t be going down without a fight. This one has the feel of a “chess match,” not a “shootout.” Play the under! |
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08-09-19 | Bucs v. Steelers OVER 37 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 219 h 57 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Bucs/Steelers. There’s no more meaningless game the Game 1 of the preseason. Neither side’s star players are expected to see much (if any) playing time today. Tampa Bay debut’s its new coach Bruce Arians though, who will be eager to try and make a statement early. Pittsburgh got rid of Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown, meaning that there’s going to be some serious competition at these offensive skill positions throughout the pre-season. When you add up all these situational factors for both teams, I believe it points to more of a high-scoring “shootout,” than a lower-scoring “chess match.” The verdict: Both teams come in off disappointing campaigns and each has a lot to work through over these first four preseason games. I think each open up the playbook; play the over! |
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08-08-19 | Patriots v. Lions UNDER 37.5 | Top | 31-3 | Win | 100 | 195 h 10 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Pats/Lions. Tom Brady won’t be playing in this one. Neither will any of the starting offensive line or the starting RB’s. Bill Bellichick is expected to start try-outs and wannabe’s on both sides of the field today. While most of Detroit’s star players will also obviously be sitting this one out, the difference is that this one clearly “means” much more to Detroit after its sub-par season a year ago. Lions head coach Pat Patricia used to be the defensive coordinator of the Patriots and he’s reportedly on the “hot seat” coming into this season. The Lions have plenty of new faces auditioning for a role on the starting line-up and I believe this is a big difference maker in Week 1 as well. The verdict: Additionally note that when New England did come to Detroit last year, the Lions won 26-10, as Patricia masterfully dominated the play-calling. This one sets up as a defensive “under” in my opinion! |
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08-08-19 | Braves v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-9 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF MONTH on the UNDER Braves/Marlins. A couple of capable hurlers go head-to-head in this one and in my opinion, everything points to runs being at a premium. Dallas Keuchel (3-4, 3.86 ERA) toes the rubber for the Braves, while the home side counters with Elieser Hernandez (1-4, 5.66). Hernandez comes in confident after his best start of the year, holding the hard-hitting D-Backs to one run off three hits with two walks over four innings on Sunday. Keuchel most recently allowed three runs off four hits and a walk over seven innings while striking out four in a no-decision to the Reds. Over 56 innings Keuchel has a 42/19 K/W. Key Trends: - The Braves have seen the total go under in eight of their last ten vs. teams with a losing record. - Miami has seen the total dip under in five of six this year after two straight losses by four runs or more. The verdict: I think that the Fish have a difficult time posting any offense here; this number is a little high, play the under! |
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08-05-19 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the under Jays/Rays. Jacob Waguespack (2-1, 4.80 ERA) comes in off a victory over the Royals on Wednesday, allowing one run off three hits with two K’s over six frames. Over 30 innings the 25 year old has a sharp 24:9 K:BB and he continues to improve with each outing. Charlie Morton (12-3, 2.78) gave up four runs to the Red Sox on Tuesday, but he’ll be feeling confident that he can bounce back here as he’s 6-1 with a 2.55 ERA at home. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go under the number in eight of 11 American League road games in which it’s an underdog in the -175 to -225 range. - Tampa Bay has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last 11 home AL contests as a favorite in the -150 to -200 range. The verdict: This one has “duel” written all over it; play the under! |
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08-04-19 | Reds v. Braves UNDER 9 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 46 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Reds/Braves. Sonny Gray is 6-6 for the Reds, while Julio Teheran is 6-7 for the Braves. Gray though sports a respectable 3.45 ERA and 1.13 WHIP, while Teheran has a 3.38 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Gray got an early lead vs. the Pirates in his last start and then cruised to the victory on Monday after allowing four runs off six hits. Overall Gray enters August on fire, having posted a 2.24 ERA and a 39/7 K/W in July. Teheran enters off a gem as well, giving up two runs off seven hits over seven innings, striking out six and walking two. Over his last six starts Teheran has posted a 1.87 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP and a sharp 33/10 K/W. Key Trends: - Cincinnati has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 12 National League road games in which the total in the contest is either 9 or 9.5. - The Braves have seen the total dip below the posted number in 13 of their last 21 at home when the total in the game is set at either 9 or 9.5. The verdict: All signs point to a classic “duel” in this one; play the under! |
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08-02-19 | Mets v. Pirates OVER 9 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Mets/Pirates. Two suspect starters go head-to-head in this one and I believe that runs are going to be plentiful. Steven Matz (6-6, 4.32 ERA) gets the all for the Mets and he’ll be opposed by Trevor Williams (3-4, 4.77) of the Pirates. Pittsburgh got swept in New York just last weekend and it’s now firmly in the basement of the NL. The Mets come in with plenty of momentum after winning seven straight. Matz dominated the Pirates at home last weekend, but note that while he’s 4-0 with a 2.06 ERA at home, he’s a poor 2-6 with a 6.40 ERA on the road this season. Williams looked sharp against the Mets last week, but note that he’s a poor 1-1 with a 5.71 ERA at home this season. Key Trends: - The Mets have seen the total go over in eight of 12 already this year on the road with a money line in the -100 to -150 range. - The Pirates have seen the total fly over in 16 of 21 already this season when the total is set between 9 and 9.5. The verdict: All signs point to a high-scoring slug-fest in my opinion; play the over! |
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08-01-19 | Astros v. Indians OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -113 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Astros/Indians. It’s Gerritt Cole (12-5, 2.94 ERA) of the Astros, vs. Danny Salazar (0-0, 0.00) of the Indians in this one. Houston made some moves at the deadline to acquire sluggers Yasiel Puig and Franmill Reyes and each is expected to make his debut tonight. Cole’s been phenomenal, but the book is out on his counterpart obviously. Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go over in nine of its last 12 as a road favorite of -175 or higher. - Cleveland has seen the total soar over in seven of its last ten as an underdog go +150 or higher. The verdict: I believe we’re going to see an explosive finish in the finale of this important American League contest; play the over! |
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07-30-19 | Mets v. White Sox OVER 9 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 28 h 3 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Mets/White Sox. Noah Syndergaard is 7-5 with a 4.33 ERA this year, while Reynaldo Lopez is 5-9 with a 5.52 ERA. Neither starter can be happy with their overall record, but each has admittedly looked a lot better over the last month or so. Despite that though, I think this interleague contest sets up as a slug-fest and I expect each of these guys to “get the hook” early. Key Trends: - As note that New York has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 12 interleague night road games in which it’s a favorite in the -140 to -160 range. - Chicago has seen the total eclipse the posted number in nine of its last 16 home games as an underdog in the +140 to +160 range. The verdict: I think this interleague contest eclipses the posted number sooner, rather than later; play the over! |
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07-29-19 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins OVER 8 | Top | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the over D-Backs/Marlins. Neither of these starters instills a ton of confidence and in my opinion, this line is going to fly over sooner, rather than later. Caleb Smith (6-4, 3.30 ERA) goes for Miami, while Arizona turns to Merrill Kelly (7-10, 4.22). Miami won the opener of this four-game series 3-2, while Arizona took the second game 9-2. Miami then won 5-1 on Sunday. I believe all signs point to a higher-scoring affair here though. Smith has never faced the D-Backs in his career and while he’s been solid overall, it’s interesting to note that he has a poor 5.06 ERA in the first inning this year. Kelly has allowed 19 homers in 21 starts. Key Trends: - Arizona has seen the total go over the number in 31 of 54 on the road already this year. - The D-Backs have seen the total soar over in 18 of 27 vs. southpaws. - Miami has seen the total go over in 12 of 17 already this year at home when the total is between 8 and 8.5. The verdict: Note as well that Kelly has been much worse on the road (4.98 ERA) than at home (3.57). This one has “slugfest” written all over it, play the over! |
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07-27-19 | Cubs v. Brewers OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Cubs/Brewers. Cubs’ starter Jon Lester (9-6, 3.87 ERA) comes in struggling, having allowed four or more runs in six of his last 12 starts. These teams are fighting for positioning and after yesterday’s 3-2 Milwaukee victory, I’m expecting much more of a “slug-fest” on Saturday. The Brewers go with Chase Anderson (5-2, 3.90) to toe the slab. Anderson has been sharp of late and while both pitchers have enjoyed success over their respective opponent today in the past, I believe that the situation and the numbers point to a higher-scoring affair this time around. Key Trends: - Chicago has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 14 as a road dog in the +100 to +150 range. - Milwaukee has seen the total go over in 12 of its last 20 overall. The verdict: I think these normally steady starters get chased early; play the over! |
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07-26-19 | Dodgers v. Nationals UNDER 9 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 104 | 28 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Dodgers/Nationals. I’m expecting an all out “duel” here between these capable hurlers. Hyun-Jin Ryu (11-2, 1.76 ERA) gets the call for the Dodgers, while the home side counters with Anibal Sanchez (6-6, 3.80.) The Nationals come in off an 8-7 loss to the Rockies on Thursday, but it was just its fourth setback in its last 17 home games. Ryu though has dominated the Nats throughout his career, going 2-1 with a 1.35 ERA and a 0.71 WHIP in four career starts vs. them. Sanchez though has been equally as hot of late, going 6-0 with a 2.70 ERA over his last nine starts. While just 1-3 vs. the Dodgers, note that Sanchez does own a very respectable 3.69 ERA in eight career match ups vs. LA. Key Trends: - LA has seen the total dip under in 12 of 18 already this season when the total is set between 9 and 9.5. - Washington has seen the total go under the number in 15 of 23 this year when the total is set between 9 and 9.5. The verdict: Ryu comes in on fire across the board as he is 2-0 over his last three starts, giving up one run off our hits over seven innings in a 2-1 win over Miami on Friday. As mentioned off the top, I expect these red hot hurlers to battle deep and as such, I look for this total to stay well below the posted number! |
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07-25-19 | Cardinals v. Pirates UNDER 9 | Top | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* BIG TIGER on the under Cards/Pirates. A couple competent hurlers go head-to-head in this one, with Miles Mikolas (6-10, 4.17 ERA) getting the nod for the visitors and Joe Musgrove (7-8, 4.08) toeing the slab for the home side. Mikolas comes in off a decent start vs. the Reds on Saturday, but still took the loss despite allowing three runs over six frames, while also striking out four. Overall Mikolas owns a respectable 82:19 K:BB over 114.1 innings of work this year. Musgrove also enter off a strong start, giving up one run with two walks and eight K’s over six innings in a win over Philadelphia on Saturday. Key Trends: - Note that St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in 14 of its last 23 National League day road games in which the total is set at either 9 or 9.5. - Pittsburgh has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last 11 at home when the money line in the contest is set between -135 and +135. The verdict: Both Mikolas and Musgrove come in off strong performances and neither will be lacking for motivation here after a poor first half. When you add it all up, this number is a high in my opinion; play the under! |
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07-23-19 | Padres v. Mets OVER 8 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Padres/Mets. These teams are a combined 14 games below .500. Neither has given up, meaning this is a very important series. Each had yesterday off. I believe the situation points to a higher-scoring affair between two clubs who often struggle at the plate. The visitors go with Chris Paddack (6-4, 2.70 ERA) to toe the slab, while the Mets go with Jason Vargas (4-5, 4.25.) Key Trends: - San Diego has seen the total go over the number in nine of 13 this year as a road favorite. - New York has seen the total go over in nine of 11 this year when playing with a day off. The verdict: As mentioned off the top, I think this one sets up as a “slug-fest.” Play the over! |
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07-20-19 | Marlins v. Dodgers OVER 8 | Top | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 31 h 11 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the over Marlins/Dodgers. LA Dodgers’ starter Clayton Kershaw (8-2, 3.00 ERA) is enjoying another solid year, but he’s just 5-5 vs. Miami in 11 career match ups. LA won’t be taking anything for granted here either in my opinion after it’s lacklustre 2-1 victory last night. And that’s bade news for Marlins’ starter Sandy Alcantara (4-9, 3.94), who has lost three straight and posted a ballooned 6.11 ERA (Alcantara was most recently shelled for four runs off nine hits over six innings in a loss to the Mets.) Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total go over the number in 9 of its last 14 after allowing three runs or less in three straight games. - LA has seen the total soar over in 20 of its last 32 as a home favorite of -150 or higher. The verdict: The situation and the numbers point to a “slug-fest” in my opinion; play the over! |
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07-13-19 | Calgary v. Hamilton OVER 52.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 48 h 10 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* CFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR is the over Stamps/Ti-Cats. This is a big game for both teams. Hamilton opened the year 3-0, holding its first three opponents to just 41 total points, but it got caught looking past the Alouettes last weekend, falling 36-29. Calgary got back on track last weekend with a rout of Saskatchewan and I believe it carries that momentum over here (note that the Stamps posted 43 points on Hamilton the last time these teams met in September of 2018.) But the Ti-Cats offense has been downright awesome so far this year, producing 151 points through four games. Key Trends: - Calgary has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 non-conference games. - Hamilton has seen the total go over in eight of its last 12 as a home favorite. The verdict: Calgary’s offense finally got untracked last weekend and I think it keeps the foot on the gas here vs. a Ti-Cats offense which was exposed in its loss last week. Hamilton’s offense has been “Firing on all cylinders” all year long and I don’t think there’s any reason not to expect it to produce here as well. Expect this one to fly over sooner, rather than later! |
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07-11-19 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 10.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 33 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Astros/Rangers. The Astros have a 7.5 game lead in the American League West, but I think they come out flat here to open the second half. Houston faces a tough opponent in veteran Lance Lynn (11-4, 3.91 ERA) as well, as he’s 4-2 with a 2.20 ERA in eight career appearances vs. Houston. Houston counters with Framber Valdez (3-4, 4.57) who has struggled in the big leagues this year for the most part, after going 4-1 with a 2.19 ERA last season. Key Trends: - Note though that Houston has seen the total go under the number in 27 of 44 this year vs. teams with winning records. - Additionally note that Texas has seen the total dip under in both contests it’s played in this season in which trying to revenge two straight losses where opponent scored eight or more runs in. The verdict: Based primarily upon Lynn’s recent form, look for this total stay well under once it’s all said and done; play the under! |
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07-09-19 | National League v. American League UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 104 | 53 h 42 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under All Star Game. The AL has won six straight in this series. Both line-ups feature plenty of home-run power, but I think that after last night’s historic home run derby battle, that the Mid-Summer Classic will be dominated by the pitchers. Hyun-Jin Ryu and Justin Verlander square off to open things up and they’ve been nearly untouchable over the first half. The “pitchers” on both sides come in with a chip on their collective shoulders after Verlander blasted the league yesterday about what he feels to be “juiced balls.” The home run rate over the first half is at 2.74 per game, which ranks the highest since the “steroid era.” The verdict: But while most are probably reckoning on a higher-scoring slug-fest, I’m going the other way and expecting the men on the mound to dominate tomorrow’s summaries. This number is just a little high, play the under! |
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07-04-19 | Angels v. Rangers UNDER 11 | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Angels/Rangers. Both the Angels and Rangers are known for their prowess at the plate, but I think it’ll be the starting pitchers who will grab the headlines in tomorrow’s summaries. Griffin Canning (3-4, 3.79 ERA) toes the slab for the Angels, while the Rangers counter with Lance Lynn (10-4, 4.00). Canning got back on track in his last outing with a 8-3 win over the A’s, allowing two runs off three hits with six K’s over six innings of work. Lynn though is the difference maker overall here, as he arguably comes in as the hottest pitcher in all of MLB, going 4-0 with a 2.90 ERA in June, most recently throwing eight shutout innings in a 5-0 victory over Tampa Bay on Friday. Key Trends: - LA has seen the total go under in 22 of its last 37 following a victory. - Texas has seen the total go under in 13 of its last 19 as a home favorite of -110 or higher. The verdict: I expect these two hot hurlers to continue their recent form. Play the under! |
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06-30-19 | Braves v. Mets OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Braves/Mets. Max Fried (9-3, 3.96 ERA) gets the call for the Braves, while Noah Syndergaard (5-4, 4.55) gets the nod for the Mets. Atlanta’s taken the first two games of this series after rallying for a 5-4 win last night. New York won’t be lacking for motivation either as it comes in on a seven-game losing streak. The Mets’ bullpen has been a disaster, as set-up man Seth Lugo has allowed seven runs over his last 3 1/3’s innings of work. Syndergaard is being thrown to the wolves here after a two week stint on the DL (just gave up three runs over five innings in Triple-A re-hab.) Key Trends: - Atlanta has seen the total go over in 28 of 43 vs. teams with losing records. - New York has seen the total go over the number in 26 of 42 this year vs. clubs with winning records. The verdict: I expect Syndergaard to get the hook early and for the Mets bullpen to continue to get exposed. When you add it all up, the “over” is definitely the correct call here in my opinion! |
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06-28-19 | Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 60 | Top | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 99 h 48 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Als/Ti-Cats. It would be easy to write my analysis on the “over” here, as Hamilton has been “on fire” so far on the offensive end to open the 2019 campaign. But I think the Ti-Cats are going to have a more difficult time moving the ball vs. the focused and rested Alouettes team. Montreal had a Week 2 “bye,” so it does indeed come in focused and fresh. Montreal lost its starting QB Antonio Pipkin in its Week 1 loss to Edmonton, so Vernon Adams Jr. will make the start this week. Key Trend: - In these team’s last five vs. each other, Hamilton has gone 4-1 and in its victories it’s allowed a total of just 42 points, which works out to an average of only 10.5 PPG conceded. The verdict: Hamilton doesn’t need to run up the score to win this game. Montreal will be doing everything it can to slow the pace of this one down. I think when you add up all of the above factors, that the under is indeed the savvy call on Friday night! |
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06-26-19 | Rangers v. Tigers UNDER 9 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 60 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Rangers/Tigers. The home side turns to ace Matt Boyd (5-5, 3.61 ERA), who looks to bounce back after giving up three home runs in a loss to the Indians on Friday. Boyd though posted six K’s and he’s now recorded at least six in each of his past seven starts. The rangers look to build off yesterday’s 5-3 win by handing the ball to Mike Minor (7-4, 2.52) who is a sharp 3-2 with a 3.04 ERA on the road this year (Minor’s won back-to-back starts and has a tiny 1.93 ERA over his past four outings.) Key Trends: - The Rangers have seen the total go under the number in 18 of 23 already this season after two or more consecutive victories. - The Tigers have seen the total dip under in 25 of their last 40 following a loss. The verdict: I think these hungry starters battle deep; all signs point to the under as the savvy call in this one! |
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06-22-19 | Rockies v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Rockies/Dodgers. Clearly this pick isn’t based up on the Dodgers’ Hyun-Jin Ryu (9-1, 1.26 ERA), who is 6-0 with a 0.87 ERA over his last seven starts (it’s interesting to note though that Ryu is just 4-6 with a 4.97 ERA in ten starts vs. the Rockies lifetime.) I think that Rockies’ rookie right-hander Peter Lambert (2-0, 6.00) though will struggle in this difficult road venue. This is just Lambert’s fourth career start. Key Trends: - The Rockies have seen the total go over the number in 17 of 28 vs. the division already this season. - The Dodgers have seen the total fly over the number in 16 of their last 26 vs. clubs with winning records. The verdict: Look for this one to sneak over this tiny number; play the over! |
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06-17-19 | Astros v. Reds UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 27 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Astros/Reds. This is an interesting interleague series and an interesting head-to-head matchup on the mound in the opener. The Astros’ Wade Miley (6-3, 3.14 ERA) will be opposed by the Reds’ Luis Castillo (6-1, 2.20). Houston has been getting production at the plate of late despite key injuries to its line-up. Miley has been “on point” of late as well, most recently going six scoreless vs. the Orioles on Monday. The Reds won’t be lacking for motivation here after losing six of their last nine. Cincinnati though has hope with Castillo on the hill; he most recently allowed one run over six innings in a 2-1 loss to the Indians. Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go under the number in five of its last seven interleague road games as an underdog in the -105 to -145 range. - The Reds have seen the total dip below the posted number in five of their last seven at home as a favorite in the -105 to -150 range. The verdict: I think Miley and Castillo will fight deep into the latter frames and as a result, I look for this total to stay well under once it’s all said and done! |
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06-15-19 | Ottawa v. Calgary UNDER 52.5 | Top | 32-28 | Loss | -115 | 104 h 50 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* total of the month on the under Ottawa/Calgary. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Missing many key pieces on offense. For Ottawa that is. This is a rematch of the Grey Cup in which the Stamps won. But this season, while the Stamps welcome back many familiar faces, including QB Bo Levi Mitchell, the Redblacks lost their top QB, a top WR and a star offensive line-man. Dominique Davis makes his first start in the CFL for Ottawa and clearly he’ll be facing one of the best defenses he’s ever seen in his life tonight. Key Trends: - Ottawa has seen the total go under in four of its last five on the road. - Calgary has interestingly seen the total go under in 21 of its last 26 games played in the month of June. The verdict: The Stamps are favored to win the West and the entire thing again and while they’ve had some turnover on the defensive side, I still expect the unit to put up some big numbers vs. this suspect RedBlacks offense. This number is high, play the under! |
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06-15-19 | Brewers v. Giants OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Brewers/Giants. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Suspect starting pitching. The Brewers hand the ball to Jimmy Nelson (0-1, 12.00 ERA), while the Giants go with Madison Bumgarner (3-6, 3.83). Nelson gave up five runs off four hits over three innings in a home loss to Miami in his lone start this year. Nelson is a poor 2-2 with a ballooned 5.28 ERA in five career outings vs. SF (Nelson has a shot at a victory today though based entirely upon his team’s offense though, which puts up 5.09 RPG.) Bumgarner is an unremarkable 1-2 with a 4.01 ERA in seven starts at home this year. Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total go over in three of four already this year in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent when it was a favorite. - San Francisco has seen the total eclipse the posted number in ten of its last 14 after a win by two runs or less. The verdict: I’m expecting these veteran hurlers to get the hook early and I believe that will help result in pushing this total well above the posted number! |
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06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors OVER 211.5 | Top | 106-105 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over. This is the third pick of my 3-game NBA Game 5 report. I’m also taking the Warriors for the FIRST HALF and for the entire game as well. And if you read my analysis on those selections, you know what I’m expecting the desperate visiting champs to push the pace from the “get go.” Clearly the Warriors can’t just sit back and hope that things work out, they’re going to have to dictate the pace of this one and with the home side matching pace, from a situational angle, this one definitely sets up as more of a “shootout” than “chess match” in my opinion. Key Trends: - Golden State has seen the total go over in four of its last five in trying to revenge two straight losses vs. an opponent of the points or more. - Toronto has seen the total go over in nine of 11 this year after two or more straight road victories. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the over! |
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06-09-19 | A's v. Rangers UNDER 11 | Top | 9-8 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under A’s/Rangers. Texas won 10-5 and 3-1 in yesterday’s double header. I think that Sunday’s game sets up as more of a “duel” as well. The visitors hand the ball to Frankie Montas (7-2, 2.83 ERA), who has gone 3-0 over his last six starts, most recently going six scoreless in a 4-2 win over the Angels on Tuesday (note as well that all three victories have been on the road.) Overall Montas is a solid 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA in five games, including two starts, vs. Texas in his career. Drew Smyly (1-4, 7.93) has been a disaster for the Rangers this year, but he catches a break here facing this “on again, off again” A’s offense. Key Trends: - Oakland has seen the total dip under the number in 11 of 17 vs. teams with winning records this season. - Texas has seen the total go under in 16 of 19 this year after two or more consecutive victories. The verdict: I like Montas to go deep and for this total to sneak under the number once it’s all said and done! |
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06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 215.5 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 46 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play is on the over in Game 4. I took the over in Game 1, the under in Game 2 and then the over in Game 3. With their backs against the wall and with Klay Thompson returning though (after missing Game 3), I believe the Warriors push the pace as they look to avoid the dreaded 1-3 hole. Golden State can ill afford to rest on its laurels, instead it’s going to have to play frantic and with purpose. Everything points to a a bunch of points being put on the board tonight! Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total soar over the number in eight of its last 13 playoff road games following an ATS road victory. - Golden State has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 14 following a home ATS/SU playoff loss. The verdict: The Warriors were just fine without KD in the line-up vs. the Blazers, but without Thompson in the line-up, they just couldn’t keep pace with Toronto in Game 3. Thompson’s back and I expect the “Splash Brothers” to try and set the tone early. This number is low, play the over! |
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06-05-19 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 213 | Top | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 61 h 45 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over. I had a play on the over in Game 1 and the under in Game 2. Both have been close, but in Game 3 I’m expecting more of a wide-open shootout. Golden State looked great defensively in the second half of Game 2 and it was the primary reason it was able to tie this series up. Toronto had success in Game 1 because it pushed the pace and dictated the tempo. The visitors can’t let Golden State do what it wants and expect to win obviously, so I’m expecting them to push the pace from start to finish. Golden State as well seems to shoot better at home and I expect head coach Steve Kerr to give Stephen Curry the “green light.” From a situational point of view I think this one definitely sets up great as a higher-scoring shootout. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go over in seven of its last 11 road playoff games following an ATS/SU home loss. - Golden State has seen the total fly above the posted number in 12 of its last 20 after a five points or more road playoff victory. The verdict: Toronto’s role players were a “no show” in Game 2 after the big Game 1 performance, but a return to form is imminent with that veteran core. I think this one sets up as a “shootout” in Game 3, play the over! |
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06-05-19 | White Sox v. Nationals UNDER 10 | Top | 4-6 | Push | 0 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Sox/Nats. Despite both Dylan Covey (1-4, 4.73 ERA) and Anibal Sanchez (1-6, 4.47) having gotten out to such inconsistent starts to the 2019 campaign, I still think that this number is a little high. The Nationals have now won three straight, but they had to rally from a 5-0 deficit to win yesterday’s opener 9-5. Note as well that Sanchez comes in off his best start of the season, going six shutout innings in a win over the Braves on May 29th (note that Sanchez has a 2.53 ERA over his last five starts.) Covey was 0-10 with a 5.99 ERA over his previous 14 starts dating back to last season, but he also comes in off a “gem,” walking one and striking out five and allowing one run over six innings in a win over the Indians on Friday. Key Trends: - Chicago has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last 11 interleague contests when the total in the contest is 10.5 or higher. - Washington has seen the total dip under the posted number in 12 of its last 19 home games when the total is 10.5 or higher. The verdict: These improving starters battle into the latter frames and this one stays well below this sky-high number. Play the under! |
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06-03-19 | Phillies v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 40 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Phillies/Padres. This is an important series for both teams. The Padres are in a “free fall” right now, having lost five of their last seven, including two in a row to the lowly Marlins. The Phillies sit atop the NL East. The visitors look to keep the good times rolling, while the home side is eager to get off the schneid. Unfortunately for both line-ups they run into a couple of red hot hurlers on the mound and when the smoke clears at the end of this one, I expect them to be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Phillies’ ace Aaron Nola is is 4-0 with a 2.96 ERA over his last five starts, while Padres’ starter Eric Lauer is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA over his last three contests. Key Trends: - Philadelphia has seen the total go under in 14 of its last 24 on the road. - San Diego has seen the total go under the number in 18 of 29 at home. - The Padres have seen the total go under in four of their last five as a home dog. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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06-03-19 | Bruins v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -127 | 35 h 11 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under. If St. Louis is going to avoid a dreaded 3-1 hole before heading back to Boston for Game 5, it’s clearly going to have to get back to do what it does best, and that’s slowing the pace down to a grind and buckling down on the defensive end. Jordan Binnington has answered each poor performance with a brilliant one in net for the Blues so far in the second half of the season and I expect that trend to continue. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go under in 21 of its last 36 after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest. - St. Louis has seen the total go under in 15 of 23 this year after a loss by two goals or more in its previous outing. The verdict: This one has low-scoring “goaltenders battle” written all over it. Play the under! |
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06-02-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 215 | Top | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Warriors/Raptors. I had a play on the “over” in Game 1, but in Game 2 I expect much more of a defensive affair. The Raptors got a huge effort from Paskal Sikiam, which turned out to be the difference in Toronto’s victory. A repeat performance is likely out of the question though. Draymond Green was torched in Game 1 defensively for the Warriors, but I think he and the Golden State bench/role players make the necessary adjustments to be much more competitive in Game 2. The Raptors continued their strong defensive play in Game 1 and I don’t think there’s any reason not to believe that trend won’t carry over in Game 2 as well. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go under in seven of its last nine home games after a two games or more unbeaten streak. - The Warriors have seen the total go under in eight of their last 12 road games after losing by five or more points in a playoff contest. The verdict: I think the Warriors double down defensively today. This number is high, play the under! |
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